NSW CENTRAL WEST
REGIONAL ECONOMIC PROFILE
www.rdacentralwest.org.au
www.investnswcentralwest.com.au
A NSW Government Initiative
2015 Report prepared for RDA Central West by:
www.apsheereconsulting.com
About NSW Central West
Regional Development Australia – Central West is part of a national
network of 55 locally managed, not-for-profit incorporated associations
and is jointly funded by the Australian and NSW Governments. Our
region extends from Lithgow in the east to Lake Cargelligo in the
west and comprises the local government areas of Bathurst, Blayney,
Cabonne, Cowra, Forbes, Lachlan, Lithgow, Oberon, Orange, Parkes
and Weddin.
INVEST NSW CENTRAL WEST is an RDA Central West initiative.
Contributing Agencies
The NSW Central West Investment Opportunity Assessment is a key
research paper prepared on behalf of RDA Central West:
A NSW Government Initiative
NSW Central West Disclaimer
Any representation, statement, opinion or advice expressed or implied in this publication is made in
good faith, but on the basis that RDA Central West and A. P. Sheere Consulting or its employees are
not liable (whether by reason of negligence, lack of care or otherwise) to any person for any damages
or loss whatsoever, which has occurred or may occur in relation to that person taking (as the case
may be) action in respect of any representation, statement or advice referred to in this document.
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Contents
1.0 Introduction4
1.1 Project background4
1.2 Data changes4
1.3 Study area 4
2.0 Demographic profile6
2.1 Historical population 6
2.2 Estimated resident population6
2.3 Population projections8
2.3.1 NSW Department of Planning
8
2.4 Age profile9
2.5 Education qualification10
2.6 Socio-economic advantage and disadvantage
12
3.0 Economic profile16
3.1 Gross regional product16
3.2 Employment19
3.2.1 Employment by industry19
3.2.2 Employment by occupation22
3.2.3 Value of employment24
3.2.4 Labour market analysis24
3.2.5 Wages by industry26
3.2.6 Journey to work27
3.3 Business count by industry29
3.4 New building approvals31
3.5 Residential dwelling sale prices
33
4.0 Infrastructure36
4.1 Education and health care facilities 36
4.1.1 Education providers36
4.1.2 Training organisations37
4.1.3 Health care providers37
5.0 Major projects and Tourism38
5.1 Major projects38
5.2 Tourism visitation41
6.0 LGA Economic summaries42
6.1 Bathurst42
6.2 Blayney43
6.3 Cabonne44
6.4 Cowra45
6.5 Forbes46
6.6 Lachlan47
6.7 Lithgow48
6.8 Oberon49
6.9 Orange50
6.10 Parkes51
6.11 Weddin52
Appendix A54
Appendix B58
Appendix C60
Appendix D62
Appendix E64
Appendix F66
Appendix G68
Acknowledgement
This document has been developed with the assistance of Regional Development Australia - Central West and the Councils
detailed herein. The support of local businesses and government agencies is also acknowledged.
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING would like to thank all parties for their generous and ongoing support.
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1.0 Introduction
1.1 Project background
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING was engaged in 2014
by Regional Development Australia - Central West,
to update the 2012 Central West NSW Regional
Economic Profile.
The eleven Local Government Areas are as follows:
• Bathurst
• Blayney
• Cabonne
• Cowra
1.2 Data changes
• Forbes
To ensure the integrity of this updated Economic
Profile, base data has been acquired from
accredited sources including but not limited to:
• Lithgow
•
•
•
•
•
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS)
Profile id
The Department of Employment
Tourism Research Australia
NSW Department of Planning
• Lachlan
• Oberon
• Orange
• Parkes
• Weddin
Figure 1.1 illustrates the geographic location of the
eleven LGAs within the NSW Central West region.
In addition to this, 2014 Gross Regional Product
data has been provided by the National Institute of
Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR).
1.3 Study area
Previously, the 2012 Central West NSW Regional
Economic Profile document covered both the
Central West and Centroc regions and totaled 16
Local Government Areas (LGAs).
This background paper provides a demographic
and economic profile of the eleven Local
Government Areas that are covered by Regional
Development Australia – Central West (RDA-CW).
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Figure 1.1 Map of the NSW Central West region illustrating the 11 LGAs
Source: Regional Development Australia Central West 2014
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2.0 Demographic profile
2.1 Historical population
The NSW Central West region had an estimated resident population of 167,606 persons according to
the ABS Census in 2011. Orange experienced the most population growth at 7.69% between 2006
and 2011 closely followed by Bathurst at 7.47%.
The total population of the NSW Central West region (between 2006 and 2011) increased by 5,910
persons which equates to an average annual increase of 0.73% which is below the NSW average of
1.1% during the same period.
Figure 2.0 Historical population growth based on ABS Census data 2006-2011
Population
40000
2011
+2677
+2718
2006
35000
30000
25000
+401
20000
15000
+425
+308
-333
-191
10000
+391
-491
-19
+24
5000
0
Bathurst
Blayney
Cabonne
Cowra
Forbes
Lachlan
Lithgow
Oberon
Orange
Parkes
Weddin
Source: Profile id, ABS Census 2011
2.2 Estimated resident population
Populations are counted and estimated in various ways. The most comprehensive population count
available in Australia is derived from the Census of Population and Housing conducted by the Australian
Bureau of Statistics every five years. To provide a more accurate population figure which is updated
more frequently than every five years, the Australian Bureau of Statistics issues “Estimated Resident
Population” (ERP) numbers for all Local Government Areas.
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A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
The ERP is based on the usual residence population and includes adjustments for Census undercount,
Australian residents who were temporarily overseas on Census night, and backdates the population to
30 June. Each years updates take into account births, deaths and both internal and overseas migration.
ERP figures dated June 2013 indicate that between 2012 and 2013 the population of the NSW Central
West region grew by 1%. Orange, Bathurst and Cabonne experienced the greatest estimated population
growth with only three experiencing marginal populatiion decline. See Table 2.0 and Figure 2.1.
Table 2.0 ABS Estimated Residential Population by LGA, June 2013
Change
2012-2013
ERP at 30 June 2013
LGA
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
No.
%
change
Bathurst
36084
36245
36547
36916
37272
37904
38848
39484
39960
40368
41051
683
1.7
Blayney
6562
6598
6649
6741
6821
6900
7041
7143
7217
7279
7330
51
0.7
Cabonne 12482
12506
12543
12634
12706
12799
12929
13071
13211
13476
13695
219
1.6
Cowra
12849
12804
12774
12754
12688
12591
12548
12533
12523
12640
12551
-89
-0.7
Forbes
9907
9744
9610
9540
9573
9526
9562
9495
9469
9533
9664
131
1.4
Lachlan
7233
7090
6956
6829
6733
6692
6678
6663
6701
6736
6748
12
0.2
Lithgow
20418
20357
20272
20186
20277
20352
20621
20732
20850
21003
21118
115
0.5
Oberon
5243
5209
5193
5179
5166
5161
5192
5207
5209
5221
5270
49
0.9
Orange
36721
36501
36410
36374
36801
37401
37904
38660
39419
40160
40869
709
1.8
Parkes
14807
14690
14627
14600
14643
14755
14835
14984
15083
15163
15087
-76
-0.5
Weddin
3768
3756
3737
3722
3710
3715
3720
3733
3759
3744
3711
-33
-0.9
NSW CW
166074
165500
165318
165475
166390
167796
169878
171705
173401
175323
177094
1,771
1.0
Source: ABS Regional Population Growth June 2013 (Catalogue 3218), A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING.
Figure 2.1 ABS Estimated Residential Population by LGA, June 2013
ERP
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
2003
2008
2013
Bathurst
Forbes
Orange
Blayney
Lachlan
Parkes
Cabonne
Lithgow
Weddin
Cowra
Oberon
Source: ABS Regional Population Growth June 2013 (Catalogue 3218), A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING.
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2.3 Population projections
2.3.1 NSW Department of Planning
The NSW Department of Planning prepared population projections for NSW in 2014 taking into account
findings from the 2011 Census of Population and Housing.
It should be noted, however, that these projections are sometimes considered to be controversial and
should not be viewed in isolation. Economic conditions can change unexpectedly which will impact
upon population numbers hence these projections should viewed purely as the estimates they are. The
ABS itself does not publish data on population projections to the LGA level. The ABS only publishes the
ERP data on a regular basis at this level.
The population of the NSW Central West region is predicted to remain relatively stable at an average
of 0.53% between 2011 and 2031. This is lower than the NSW average of 1.39% but on a par with
regional NSW (0.54%).
At the LGA level, the resident population for most of the LGAs within the NSW Central West region
is predicted to experience marginal growth or slight decline between 2011 and 2031. Bathurst and
Cabonne are predicted to record the greatest average annual growth of 1.45% and 1.23% respectively
over the next 20 years.
Table 2.1 NSW Department of Planning population projections, 2014
Average Annual
Growth (2011-2031)
Population (No)
LGA
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
Number
%
Bathurst
39,950
42,900
45,900
48,800
51,550
11,600
1.45%
Blayney
7,200
7,400
7,550
7,650
7,800
600
0.42%
Cabonne
13,200
14,050
14,850
15,650
16,450
3,250
1.23%
Cowra
12,500
12,300
12,000
11,650
11,200
-1,300
-0.52%
Forbes
9,450
9,350
9,200
9,000
8,750
-700
-0.37%
Lachlan
6,700
6,450
6,150
5,850
5,500
-1,200
-0.89%
Lithgow
20,850
21,000
21,000
20,900
20,600
-250
-0.06%
Oberon
5,200
5,200
5,150
5,100
4,950
-250
-0.24%
Orange
39,400
41,250
43,050
44,750
46,250
6,850
0.87%
Parkes
15,100
15,250
15,350
15,450
15,500
400
0.13%
Weddin
3,750
3,650
3,500
3,400
3,250
-500
-0.67%
173,300
178,800
183,700
188,200
191,800
18,500
0.53%
Regional NSW
1,682,400
1,736,750
1,786,850
1,830,550
1,865,800
183,400
0.54%
NSW
7,218,550
7,708,850
8,230,400
8,739,950
9,228,350
2,009,800
1.39%
NSW Central West
Source: New South Wales State and Local Government Area Population, Household and Dwelling Projections: 2014 Final,
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
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2.4 Age profile
The population distribution within the NSW Central West region is very similar to that of Regional NSW
but does differ slightly when compared to NSW as a whole. In 2011, the median age of the resident
population in the NSW Central West region was 41 years, slightly above the NSW average of 38 years
but equal to Regional NSW. This older average age is attributable to the Central West having lower
proportions of its population between the ages of 25-54 years and a higher proportion over the age of
55, when compared to the State (see Figure 2.2).
Figure 2.2 Relative Age Profile, 2011
%
50
NSW
40
Regional
NSW
NSW CW
30
20
10
0
0-14
15-24
25-54
55-64
65+
Age group
Source: ABS Census 2011, Profile id
The regional centres of Bathurst and Orange have a relatively younger population, compared to the wider
regions, with a median age of 36 years, which is due to the higher proportion of residents between the
ages of 15-24. The higher levels of this age bracket could be attributable to a higher number of regional
educational institutions in these areas including the Charles Sturt University campuses, and Western
NSW Institute of TAFE campuses. Rural areas such as Weddin, Lachlan and Cowra have a relatively
higher proportion of its population over the age of 55, recording an average age of 47, 46 and 45 years
respectively (see Table 2.3).
According to the NSW Planning projections issued in 2014 the proportion of older residents within the
NSW Central West region is expected to increase over the next 20 years. This is consistent with the
national trend of an aging population. These population projections and projected age profiles of each
of the 11 LGAs is provided in Appendix A.
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Table 2.3 Population Age Distribution, 2011
Area
0-14
15-24
25-54
55-64
65+
Median age
Bathurst
20.8%
16.1%
37.6%
11.6%
13.9%
36
Blayney
23.1%
11.8%
36.1%
12.4%
16.6%
40
Cabonne
21.9%
10.5%
36.1%
13.8%
17.7%
42
Cowra
19.0%
11.0%
33.1%
15.1%
21.8%
45
Forbes
21.0%
11.7%
34.5%
13.3%
19.5%
41
Lachlan
21.3%
11.0%
35.7%
13.5%
18.7%
46
Lithgow
18.7%
11.8%
37.3%
14.2%
18.1%
42
Oberon
19.2%
12.9%
34.7%
16.2%
17.0%
41
Orange
22.1%
13.7%
38.5%
11.2%
14.4%
36
Parkes
22.5%
11.7%
35.9%
11.8%
18.0%
39
Weddin
18.7%
9.0%
32.9%
15.9%
23.8%
47
RDA CW Average
20.8%
11.9%
35.7%
13.5%
18.1%
41
Regional NSW
19.4%
12.3%
37.1%
13.3%
18.0%
41
NSW
19.3%
12.9%
41.4%
11.7%
14.7%
38
Source: ABS Census 2011, Profile id
2.5 Education qualification
According to ABS Census data, in 2011 half of the NSW Central West region’s resident population over
the age of 15 were tertiary qualified (49.5%), below both the regional NSW (53.2%) and NSW (57.2%)
averages. The region’s lower proportion of tertiary qualifications is particularly evident in the Bachelor or
Higher degree level (see Figure 2.3).
Figure 2.3 Tertiary Education Qualifications, 2011
Tertiary
qualification
NSW
Bachelor or Higher degree
Regional NSW
NSW CW
Advanced Diploma/Diploma
Vocational
Not stated
Not qualified
Qualified
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Proportion of residents %
Note: Proportion of residents over the age of 15. Based on Place of usual residence.
Source: ABS Census 2011, Profile id
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More than half of the resident population (over the age of 15) residing in the Bathurst, Blayney, Cabonne
and Orange LGAs are tertiary qualified, with a higher proportion of their residents holding a diploma
level or above. Conversely, the Lachlan and Weddin LGAs recorded the lowest proportion of tertiary
qualified residents within the NSW Central West region.
Table 2.4 provides a breakdown of Tertiary Education Qualifications by Local Government Area within
the NSW Central West region in 2011. Figure 2.4 represents this data graphically.
Table 2.4 Tertiary Education Qualifications by LGA, 2011
Bachelor or
Higher degree
Advanced
Diploma or
Diploma
Vocational/
Certificate
level
Not
stated
Not
qualified
Qualified
Bathurst
14.0%
6.9%
22.4%
13.0%
43.8%
56.2%
Blayney
10.4%
7.3%
22.8%
11.2%
48.3%
51.7%
Cabonne
12.5%
7.5%
23.0%
9.7%
47.2%
52.8%
Cowra
7.6%
5.9%
20.2%
13.9%
52.4%
47.6%
Forbes
8.7%
5.6%
21.7%
11.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Lachlan
8.1%
5.5%
16.9%
11.1%
58.4%
41.6%
Lithgow
7.5%
5.3%
23.3%
14.1%
49.7%
50.3%
Oberon
8.9%
5.4%
23.6%
12.3%
49.8%
50.2%
LGA
Orange
14%
7.4%
21.5%
11.4%
45.7%
54.3%
Parkes
8.2%
5.1%
21.6%
13.3%
51.8%
48.2%
Weddin
8.0%
5.7%
19.2%
10.8%
56.3%
43.7%
NSW CW (av)
9.8%
6.1%
21.5%
12.0%
50.5%
49.5%
Regional NSW
12.4%
7.1%
22.1%
11.7%
46.8%
53.2%
NSW
19.9%
8.3%
17.7%
11.4%
42.8%
57.2%
Note: Proportion of residents over the age of 15. ‘Qualified’ includes ‘Not stated’. Based on Place of usual residence.
Source: ABS Census 2011, Profile id
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A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Figure 2.4 Tertiary Education Qualifications by LGA, 2011
LGA
Bathurst
Blayney
Cabonne
Cowra
Forbes
Lachlan
Lithgow
Oberon
Orange
Parkes
Weddin
RDA CW
Regional NSW
NSW
%
0
20
10
Qualified
Not qualified
30
40
50
60
Bachelor or Higher degree
Vocational
Advanced Diploma or Diploma
Note: Proportion of residents over the age of 15. Based on Place of usual residence.
Source: ABS Census 2011, Profile id
2.6 Socio-economic advantage and disadvantage
The Socio-Economic Indices for Areas (SEIFA) Index of Advantage/Disadvantage is published by the
ABS. The SEIFA index takes into account and summarises high values (advantages) and low values
(disadvantages) taken from Census variables such as households with low income (disadvantage) and
people with a tertiary education (advantage).
SEIFA data helps to identify workforce skills, social issues and potential skills development within a
region. A lower rank indicates that an area is relatively disadvantaged compared to an area with a higher
rank. All areas are ordered from the lowest to highest rank - the lowest rank being 1 - and placed in
deciles ranging from 1 to 10 with 1 being the lowest decile of advantage/disadvantage. The area with
the highest rank of 152 (having the highest level of advantage) would be placed in the 10th decile of
advantage/disadvantage. Table 2.5 details the respective rankings of all 11 LGAs.
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A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Table 2.5 Index of Relative Socio-Economic Advantage and Disadvantage, by LGA, 2011
Rank within NSW
(out of 152 LGAs)
104
92
111
24
44
39
22
79
90
36
52
LGA
Bathurst
Blayney
Cabonne
Cowra
Forbes
Lachlan
Lithgow
Oberon
Orange
Parkes
Weddin
Percentile
7
6
8
2
3
3
2
6
6
3
4
Source: ABS 2011, A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
Cabonne and Bathurst have the highest SEIFA rankings amongst the 11 LGAs listed above, followed by
Blayney, Oberon and Orange which share the same percentile ranking. These are socio-economically
more advantaged than the other LGAs listed. These results are attributable to some extent to a relatively
higher proportion of their respective resident population being tertiary qualified and other economic and
social factors. See Figure 2.5.
Figure 2.5 Index of Relative Socio-Economic Advantage and Disadvantage by LGA, 2011
Rank
120
111
Percentile
104
Rank out of 152 LGAs
100
92
90
79
80
60
52
44
39
36
40
24
22
20
8
7
6
6
6
4
3
3
3
2
Parkes
Cowra
0
Cabonne
Bathurst
Blayney
Orange
Oberon
Weddin
Forbes
Lachlan
2
Lithgow
Source: ABS 2011, A.P.SHEERE CONSULTING
Figure 2.6 illustrates the pattern of comparative advantage and disadvantage across the Central
West and region at the LGA level. The LGAs with higher incidence of socio-economic disadvantage
are depicted in shades of purple (the darker the less advantaged), whereas LGAs with higher socioeconomic advantage are depicted in shades of blue (the darker the greater advantage).
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Figure 2.6 Index of Relative Socio-Economic Advantage and Disadvantage by LGA, 2011
Source: ABS 2011, A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
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A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
3.0 Economic profile
3.1 Gross regional product
Industry Gross Regional Product (GRP) Contribution identifies the value of final goods and services
produced in the local economy and provides an insight into the size of the economy and the key
industries that are creating value in the region. Industry GRP also highlights any reliance and dominance
of particular sectors within a region.
The 11 LGAs within the NSW Central West region recorded an estimated GRP of $9.65 billion in 2014
representing 2.05% of the State’s Gross State Product (GSP).
The key sectors driving the NSW Central West region’s GRP are detailed in Table 3.0.
Table 3.0 Key industry sectors contributing to the NSW CW region’s GRP, 2014
NSW CW
GRP $m
% of total
GRP
Mining
$2112.22
21.9%
Manufacturing
$727.52
7.5%
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
$709.52
7.3%
Health Care and Social Assistance
$703.81
7.3%
Construction
$642.46
6.7%
Public Administration and Safety
$587.85
6.1%
Education and Training
$581.98
6.0%
Top GRP Contributing industry sectors
Note: GRP at Market Prices. 2014
Source: NIEIR, A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
During 2014 the Mining sector accounted for 21.9% of the NSW Central West region’s GRP (up from
18.7% in 2011) which is significantly higher than the NSW average of 3.1%. Manufacturing continues
to contribute in terms of GRP reaching approximately $727.52 million in 2014 which was equal to the
State’s average - also at 7.5%.
Agriculture is the economic strength of many areas in the NSW Central West region and this is illustrated
in its contribution to GRP at 7.3% of the total. The contribution that Construction has made continues
to grow thanks in part to the number of major infrastructure projects being undertaken in the region.
Health Care and Social Assistance, Public Administration and Safety and Education and Training also
continue to increase their GRP contributions as these sectors expand within the region. See Table 3.1.
Figure 3.0 illustrates the changes in industry contributions to GRP between 2011 and 2014 in terms of
$ value. Mining has experienced the most growth in terms of $ contributions to the NSW Central West
region representing an estimated increase in contributions of $480.7million.
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A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Table 3.1 GRP by Industry, 2014
NSW CW 2014
Industry sector
NSW 2014
GRP ($m)
% of GRP
GRP ($m)
% of GRP
$709.52
7.3%
7,336.61
1.6%
$2,112.22
21.9%
14,406.16
3.1%
Manufacturing
$727.52
7.5%
35,192.78
7.5%
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services
$397.72
4.1%
12,755.59
2.7%
Construction
$642.46
6.7%
26,545.57
5.6%
Wholesale Trade
$274.22
2.8%
22,786.65
4.8%
Retail Trade
$417.54
4.3%
22,649.59
4.8%
Accommodation and Food Services
$272.42
2.8%
14,108.16
3.0%
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
$384.55
4.0%
26,641.88
5.6%
Information Media and Telecommunications
$121.57
1.3%
20,009.34
4.2%
Financial and Insurance Services
$275.78
2.9%
61,498.58
13.0%
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
$166.96
1.7%
15,255.36
3.2%
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
$257.21
2.7%
36,610.11
7.8%
Administrative and Support Services
$231.61
2.4%
17,297.30
3.7%
Public Administration and Safety
$587.85
6.1%
24,761.25
5.2%
Education and Training
$581.98
6.0%
23,003.27
4.9%
Health Care and Social Assistance
$703.81
7.3%
32,754.93
6.9%
Arts and Recreation Services
$52.50
0.5%
4,932.73
1.0%
Other Services
$194.61
2.0%
9,131.36
1.9%
Ownership of dwellings
$542.08
5.6%
44,332.28
9.4%
$9,654.12m
100.0%
$472,009.47m
100.0%
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
Mining
Total
Note: GRP at Market Prices. 2014
Source: NIEIR, A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
Figure 3.0 Comparison of Industry Contributions to GRP between 2011 and 2014
Industry sector
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
Mining
Manufacturing
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services
Construction
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Accommodation and Food Services
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
Information Media and Telecommunications
Financial and Insurance Services
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Administrative and Support Services
Public Administration and Safety
Education and Training
Health Care and Social Assistance
Arts and Recreation Services
Other Services
Ownership of dwellings
Yr 2014
Yr 2011
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
GRP Contributions by Industry 2011- 2014 ($m)
Note: GRP at Market Prices. 2014
Source: NIEIR, A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
17
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
In terms of percentage changes of industry sector contributions to GRP Construction experienced the
greatest growth at +34.6% followed by the Mining sector at +29.5%. See Figure 3.1.
Figure 3.1 Percentage change of Industry Contributions to GRP, 2011-14
Industry sector
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
Mining
Manufacturing
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services
Construction
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Accommodation and Food Services
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
Information Media and Telecommunications
Financial and Insurance Services
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Administrative and Support Services
Public Administration and Safety
Education and Training
Health Care and Social Assistance
Arts and Recreation Services
Other Services
Ownership of dwellings
Decrease
-10
-5
Increase
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Percentage change in GRP contributions by industry 2011- 2014
Note: GRP at Market Prices. 2014
Source: NIEIR, A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
Bathurst, Lithgow and Orange accounted for approximately 63% of the NSW Central West region’s
estimated GRP in 2014. The GRP contributions for Bathurst were primarily driven by key sectors
including Manufacturing, Education and Training, Public Administration and Safety, and Health Care
and Social Assistance. The Mining and Energy sectors were the major contributors to Lithgow’s and
Orange’s economy.
The GRP growth recorded (by LGAs in 2010-11) throughout the Central West region varied depending
on the industry structure of the individual economies.
The economies that recorded the highest growth in 2014 included Orange, Lithgow, Forbes and Blayney
at 23.3%, 13.2%, 12.0% and 10.0% respectively. Oberon and Weddin experienced negative growth of
-4.9% and -0.6% respectively between 2011 and 2014.
Overall, the GRP of the 11 LGAs increased between 2011 and 2014 on an average annual basis. A
detailed break-down of the GRP contributions by industry for each of 11 LGAs is provided in Appendix
B.
18
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Table 3.2 GRP contributions by LGA 2011-14
GRP 2014
$m
GRP 2011
$m
% Change
2011-14
% Average annual
growth 2010-11 to
2013-14
% of NSW CW
GRP
Bathurst
$1,859.4
$1,767.4
5.2%
1.3%
19.3%
Blayney
$472.7
$429.8
10.0%
2.5%
4.9%
Cabonne
$849.5
$792.7
7.2%
1.8%
8.8%
Cowra
$437.3
$425.7
2.7%
0.7%
4.5%
Forbes
$398.3
$355.5
12.0%
3.0%
4.1%
LGA
Lachlan
$276.0
$272.2
1.4%
0.3%
2.9%
Lithgow
$1,540.9
$1,361.2
13.2%
3.3%
16.0%
Oberon
$222.3
$233.7
-4.9%
-1.2%
2.3%
Orange
$2,697.4
$2,187.5
23.3%
5.8%
27.9%
Parkes
$774.1
$752.0
2.9%
0.7%
8.0%
Weddin
NSW CW
$126.3
$127.0
-0.6%
-0.1%
1.3%
$9654.1 (total)
$8704.5 (total)
10.9% (av)
2.7%
100.0
Note: GRP at Market Prices. 2014
Source: NIEIR, A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
3.2 Employment
3.2.1 Employment by industry
The NSW Central West region recorded 73,258 resident workers in 2011 (ABS Census) representing
an average annual increase of 1.2% over the past five years (based on industry sectors of employment).
The employment by industry numbers for each of the 11 LGAs are provided in Appendix C.
The Mining sector, followed by Administrative and Support Services were amongst the fastest growing
sectors in the NSW Central West region (see Table 3.3).
19
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Table 3.3 Employment by Industry comparison, 2006-11
NSW Central West region
Industry
Change
(06-11)
Avg Ann %
change (06-11)
2006
2011
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
7,628
6,842
-786
-2.1%
Mining
2,212
3,620
1408
12.7%
Manufacturing
6,872
6,416
-456
-1.3%
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services
1,178
1,244
66
1.1%
Construction
4,330
4,727
397
1.8%
Retail Trade
7,853
7,589
-264
-0.7%
Wholesale trade
1,928
1,983
55
0.6%
Accommodation and Food Services
4,536
4,785
249
1.1%
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
3,074
3,264
190
1.2%
806
672
-134
-3.3%
1,195
1,051
-144
-2.4%
798
794
-4
-0.1%
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
2,280
2,652
372
3.3%
Administrative and Support Services
1,392
1,781
389
5.6%
Public Administration and Safety
4,968
5,150
182
0.7%
Education and Training
5,899
6,598
699
2.4%
Health Care and Social Assistance
7,734
9,126
1392
3.6%
582
614
32
1.1%
2,548
2,797
249
2.0%
Information Media and Telecommunications
Financial and Insurance Services
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
Arts and Recreation Services
Other Services
Inadequately described or not stated
1,452
1,553
101
1.4%
Total employed persons aged 15+
69,265
73,258
3,993
1.2%
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Census of Population and Housing 2006 and 2011; Profile id,
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
The key industry employers within the NSW Central West region include the Health Care and Social
Assistance, Retail Trade, Agriculture, Education and Training and Manufacturing sectors.
The employment shares for the Agriculture, Mining, Education and Training sectors for the NSW Central
West region are relatively higher than the regional NSW and NSW averages, indicating the relative
strength of these sectors in the region. While mining contributes the largest value to the economy in
terms of GRP, employment in the sector accounts for around 5% of total employment, indicating the
significant value add of the mining industry.
Figure 3.2 and Table 3.4 provide detailed employment by industry data for the NSW Central West
region.
20
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Figure 3.2 Employment by industry - NSW Central West 2011
Industry
Health Care and Social Assistance
Retail Trade
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
Education and Training
Manufacturing
Public Administration and Safety
Accommodation and Food Services
Construction
Mining
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
Other Services
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Wholesale trade
Administrative and Support Services
Inadequately described or not stated
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services
Financial and Insurance Services
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
Information Media and Telecommunications
Arts and Recreation Services
0
3
6
9
12
15
% Employment by Industry 2011
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Census of Population and Housing 2006 and 2011; Profile id,
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
Table 3.4 Employment by Industry - NSW Central West 2011
Industry
NSW CW %
Regional NSW %
NSW %
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
9.3%
5.8%
2.2%
Mining
4.9%
2.5%
1.0%
Manufacturing
8.8%
8.3%
8.4%
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services
1.7%
1.5%
1.1%
Construction
6.5%
7.9%
7.3%
Retail Trade
10.4%
11.4%
10.3%
Wholesale trade
2.7%
2.8%
4.4%
Accommodation and Food Services
6.5%
7.7%
6.7%
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
4.5%
4.2%
4.9%
Information Media and Telecommunications
0.9%
1.0%
2.3%
Financial and Insurance Services
1.4%
2.2%
5.0%
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
1.1%
1.4%
1.6%
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
3.6%
4.6%
7.9%
Administrative and Support Services
2.4%
2.8%
3.3%
Public Administration and Safety
7.0%
7.2%
6.1%
Education and Training
9.0%
8.6%
7.9%
Health Care and Social Assistance
12.5%
13.0%
11.6%
Arts and Recreation Services
0.8%
1.2%
1.5%
Other Services
3.8%
3.9%
3.7%
Inadequately described or not stated
2.1%
2.1%
2.5%
Total
100.0
100.0
100.0
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Census of Population and Housing 2006 and 2011; Profile id,
A.P.SHEERE CONSULTING
21
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
3.2.2 Employment by occupation
The NSW Central West region has a similar workforce distribution as regional NSW and that of the
State. However, only 16% of the workers in the NSW Central West region are engaged in professional
positions compared to 22.7% in NSW. Conversely, the NSW Central West region has a relatively
higher proportion of Technicians and Trade Workers, Labourers and Machinery Operators and Drivers
compared to the State (see Figure 3.5).
Figure 3.5 Employment by Occupation, 2011
Managers
Professionals
Technicians and Trades Workers
Community and Personal Service Workers
Clerical and Administrative Workers
NSW
Regional NSW
Sales Workers
RDA CW
Machinery Operators And Drivers
Labourers
Inadequately described
0
5
10
15
20
25
Workforce %
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Census of Population and Housing 2006 and 2011; Profile id,
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
Over a third of the workforce in the Weddin and Lachlan LGAs is comprised of Managers. This is
possibly attributable to a high number of self-employed farmers within these two LGAs being classified
as managers during the 2011 Census survey.
Blayney, Lithgow and Oberon had the most residents who worked as Machinery Operators and Drivers.
Technicians and Trade Workers and Labourers, also ranked highly in these LGAs. This can be attributed
to the more industrial nature of these economies with major activities such as mining in Blayney and
Lithgow and the timber industry in Oberon. The detailed workforce distribution for each of the 11 LGAs
is provided in Table 3.5.
22
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Professionals
Technicians and
Trades Workers
Community and
Personal
Service Workers
Clerical and
Administrative
Workers
Machinery
Operators And
Drivers
Labourers
Inadequately
described
Bathurst
12.3%
18.7%
14.9%
11.2%
12.7%
10.0%
6.4%
12.0%
1.6%
Blayney
17.6%
12.6%
14.8%
8.7%
11.7%
6.9%
13.6%
12.9%
1.2%
Cabonne
23.0%
15.4%
13.9%
8.5%
12.2%
6.1%
8.3%
10.9%
1.7%
Cowra
19.4%
13.3%
13.9%
10.1%
10.8%
9.4%
6.6%
14.2%
2.2%
Forbes
22.3%
14.1%
13.3%
8.7%
11.3%
8.9%
7.6%
11.9%
1.8%
Lachlan
31.9%
12.5%
10.6%
8.9%
8.6%
6.4%
8.3%
10.7%
2.1%
Lithgow
9.4%
12.2%
17.7%
11.8%
13.2%
8.3%
14.3%
11.5%
1.6%
Oberon
18.1%
10.8%
16.5%
8.4%
10.6%
5.3%
13.9%
13.9%
2.6%
Orange
10.5%
19.4%
15.3%
9.9%
13.9%
9.6%
8.6%
11.3%
1.5%
Parkes
17.7%
13.6%
14.7%
9.6%
12.3%
9.4%
11.3%
9.9%
1.5%
Weddin
35.2%
12.5%
10.1%
8.8%
8.2%
5.5%
7.2%
10.9%
1.6%
NSW CW
15.5%
16.0%
14.9%
10.1%
12.4%
8.8%
9.1%
11.7%
1.6%
Regional
NSW
13.4%
17.4%
15.2%
10.7%
13.0%
9.7%
7.6%
11.3%
1.6%
NSW
13.3%
22.7%
13.2%
9.5%
15.1%
9.3%
6.4%
8.7%
1.8%
LGA
Sales
workers
Managers
Table 3.5 Employment by Occupation, 2011
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Census of Population and Housing 2006 and 2011; Profile id,
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
23
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
3.2.3 Value of employment
When considering employment and its importance for the overall economy, it is crucial to consider the
value of employment for each industry sector. Value of employment refers to the GRP per employee
and represents the average value generated by each individual job across different industry sectors.
Table 3.6 highlights the Mining sector as the highest value adding sector in the NSW Central West
region in 2013-14, followed by Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services and Electricity, Gas and Water
Services sectors. While the Health Care and Social Assistance and Retail sectors are key employers in
the region, these sectors are amongst the lowest value adding.
Table 3.6 Value Add per Employee, 2013-14
Industry
Value Add per employee
NSW CW 2014
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
$100,829.64
Mining
$402,201.85
Manufacturing
$154,344.73
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services
$307,837.20
Construction
$87,356.41
Retail Trade
$47,384.68
Wholesale Trade
$135,052.23
Accommodation and Food Services
$47,986.46
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
$119,053.97
Information Media and Telecommunications
$235,213.23
Financial and Insurance Services
$287,131.98
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
$377,882.90
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
$134,107.92
Administrative and Support Services
$96,558.97
Public Administration and Safety
$96,725.97
Education and Training
$88,134.85
Health Care and Social Assistance
$84,314.61
Arts and Recreation Services
$78,798.88
Other Services
$45,582.36
Average value add per employee
$154,026.25
Note: Value Added Market Price per employed person, 2014
Source: NIEIR, A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
3.2.4 Labour market analysis
Census data indicates that just under 60% of the NSW Central West regions’ resident population over
the age of 15 years were either employed or actively looking for work in 2011. The participation rates
within the region has declined by nearly 1% over the last five years, which can likely be explained by an
ageing population resulting in workers retiring.
At the LGA level, the Cabonne LGA, followed by Orange and Oberon LGAs, recorded the highest
participation rates when compared with the remaining LGAs. Conversely, Lithgow, Cowra and Weddin
had considerably lower participation rates, averaging around 50%. Participation rates should always
be viewed together with wages, income, unemployment and output to identify the productivity of an
economy. Table 3.7 provides a detailed breakdown of labour force participation rates for each of the
11 LGAs.
24
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Table 3.7 Labour Force Participation Rates 2006-2011
LGA
2006
2011
Change (%)
Bathurst
60.5%
60.7%
0.2%
Blayney
60.0%
60.3%
0.3%
Cabonne
61.5%
62.5%
1.0%
Cowra
54.4%
51.6%
-2.8%
Forbes
56.0%
56.7%
0.7%
Lachlan
62.2%
59.0%
-3.2%
Lithgow
53.1%
53.0%
-0.1%
Oberon
61.4%
60.8%
-0.6%
Orange
59.8%
60.9%
1.1%
Parkes
57.8%
56.0%
-1.8%
Weddin
56.6%
51.6%
-5.0%
NSW CW (av)
58.5%
57.6%
-0.9%
Regional NSW
55.9%
56.4%
0.5%
NSW
58.9%
59.7%
0.8%
Source: ABS Census 2006 and 2011, Profile id, A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
According to the labour market estimates provided by the Department of Employment, the NSW Central
West region had a total labour force of 94,328 persons in the June Quarter 2014. Bathurst had the
greatest labour force within the region at 22,829 persons (see Figure 3.7).
Figure 3.7 NSW CW Labour Force Estimates, June 2014
Labour Force
25000
22,829
22,374
20000
15000
10,536
10000
7,743
7,574
6,151
4,982
3,924
5000
3,580
2,872
1,763
0
Bathurst
Blayney
Cabonne
Cowra
Forbes
Lachlan
Lithgow
Oberon
Orange
Parkes
Weddin
Source: Department of Employment, smoothed labour market estimates, June Quarter 2014, A.P. SHEERE
CONSULTING
25
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
The NSW Central West region’s unemployment rates peaked in 2013 averaging 7.0% before declining
in 2014 to an average of 6.3%.
In June 2014, Cabonne (3.9%), followed by Oberon (5.0%) and Orange (5.3%) recorded lower
unemployment rates compared to the remaining LGAs. Conversely, the Cowra and Lithgow LGAs
had unemployment rates of over 8.0%, considerably above the NSW Central West and NSW State
averages. Table 3.8 provides the historic and the current unemployment rates for each of the 11 LGAs.
Table 3.8 Unemployment Rates (%) by LGA 2010-14
LGA
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Bathurst
4.9%
4.9%
4.7%
6.9%
5.8%
Blayney
4.2%
3.9%
3.6%
5.2%
5.4%
Cabonne
4.1%
3.8%
3.8%
4.1%
3.9%
Cowra
6.5%
6.8%
7.3%
10.7%
9.4%
Forbes
5.1%
4.9%
5.3%
7.7%
6.7%
Lachlan
5.6%
5.0%
4.9%
6.7%
5.9%
Lithgow
6.6%
6.2%
6.9%
10.2%
8.8%
Oberon
3.0%
3.4%
3.8%
5.6%
5.0%
Orange
4.5%
4.5%
4.1%
5.7%
5.3%
Parkes
6.1%
5.7%
5.5%
8.0%
7.4%
Weddin
3.9%
3.3%
4.2%
6.7%
5.7%
NSW CW (Av)
5.0%
4.8%
4.9%
7.0%
6.3%
NSW
5.7%
5.1%
5.2%
5.2%
5.7%
Note: Figures are as at the end of June each year
Source: Department of Employment 2014, A.P SHEERE CONSULTING
3.2.5 Wages by industry
Employed residents within the NSW Central West region recorded an average weekly income of $881 in
2011, marginally lower than the Regional NSW average ($895). The following industry sectors provided
the highest average weekly income for working residents:
•
•
•
•
Mining
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services
Public Administration and Safety
Education and Training
A detailed table of average incomes by LGA is presented in Appendix D.
26
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Table 3.9 Average weekly individual income by industry, 2011
Average weekly
income NSW CW
Regional NSW
NSW
$705
$718
$729
$1,445
$1,635
$1,631
$933
$998
$1,048
$1,308
$1,317
$1,373
Construction
$920
$949
$1,030
Retail Trade
$567
$579
$662
Wholesale Trade
$870
$914
$1,107
Accommodation and Food Services
$480
$498
$549
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
$860
$943
$1,063
Information Media and Telecommunications
$730
$883
$1,257
Financial and Insurance Services
$959
$1,026
$1,372
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
$850
$901
$1,069
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
$992
$1,035
$1,272
Industry
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
Mining
Manufacturing
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services
Administrative and Support Services
$801
$708
$861
Public Administration and Safety
$1,110
$1,174
$1,247
Education and Training
$1,078
$1,084
$1,111
Health Care and Social Assistance
$848
$903
$958
Arts and Recreation Services
$567
$654
$804
Other Services
$708
$726
$801
Average weekly individual income
$881
$885
$1,005
Source: ABS Census 2011
3.2.6 Journey to work
ABS ‘Journey to Work’ data identifies where a region’s resident workforce travels to for work and in
what industries they work in.
The NSW Central West region as a whole has a high containment ratio with on average 71% of all
working residents working within their own LGAs. A high containment ratio can be partly attributed
to the diversity of the regional economy; extensive size of most of the LGAs and significant distance
to job opportunities in other areas including metropolitan areas. One result of this is that the principal
economic benefits of a workforce are kept within the LGA with local spending in particular captured
within the residents’ LGA. See Table 3.10.
Table 3.10 Working Residents’ Place of Work, 2011
Place of
residence
Live and work in
the same LGA
Place of
residence
Live and work in
the same LGA
Bathurst
78%
Lithgow
78%
Blayney
47%
Oberon
67%
Cabonne
46%
Orange
77%
Cowra
78%
Parkes
79%
Forbes
78%
Weddin
72%
Lachlan
82%
NSW CW Average
71%
Source: ABS Census 2011, A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
27
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Table 3.11 indicates the top five industries which attract the most residents away from their respective
place of residence and which LGAs they migrate to for this work.
In Bathurst’s case, the Manufacturing sector experienced the most loss of resident workers to other
regions followed by Education and Training and Health Care and Social Assistance. The regions of
Blayney, Lithgow, Oberon and Orange captured most of these resident workers potentially due to the
proximity of these areas to Bathurst and the existence of job opportunities within the sectors listed.
Table 3.11 Industries and regions attracting most workers away from place of residence, 2011
Number of resident
workers who leave the
LGA for work in this
industry sector (2011)
LGAs capturing most industry sector
resident workers where stated. (Does
not include POW no fixed address or
POW State/Territory undefined)
Place of
residence
Industry sectors
Bathurst
Manufacturing
255
Oberon, Blayney
Education and Training
253
Blayney, Lithgow, Oberon, Orange
Health Care and Social Assistance
226
Blayney, Lithgow, Orange
Public Administration and Safety
213
Orange, Lithgow
Mining
212
Lithgow, Cabonne
Mining
315
Orange, Cabonne, Bathurst
Manufacturing
156
Orange, Bathurst, Cowra
Education and Training
70
Bathurst, Orange
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
32
Orange, Bathurst
Construction
46
Orange, Bathurst, Cabonne
Health Care and Social Assistance
543
Orange and Cowra
Education and Training
309
Orange, Bathurst and Cowra
Retail Trade
281
Orange and Cowra
Construction
277
Orange and Blayney
Public Administration and Safety
238
Orange and Bathurst
Health care and Social Assistance
63
Cabonne, Weddin, Orange
Education and Training
61
Cabonne, Forbes, Weddin
Agriculture, forestry and fishing
48
Forbes, Cabonne, Young, Boorowa
Manufacturing
43
Blayney, Blacktown, Cabonne
Retail trade
43
Cabonne, Young, Orange, Bathurst
Health care and Social Assistance
69
Parkes, Weddin, Cabonne
Education and Training
59
Parkes, Cabonne
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
51
Lachlan, Parkes, Weddin, Cowra
Retail trade
22
Parkes, Cabonne
Professional, Scientific and Technical
Services
21
Parkes, Lachlan, Cowra
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
23
Forbes, Parkes
Health care and Social Assistance
18
Forbes, Parkes
Public Administration and Safety
9
Parkes
Education and Training
8
Forbes
Manufacturing
8
Forbes, Parkes
Blayney
Cabonne
Cowra
Forbes
Lachlan
Source: ABS Census 2011, Journey to Work 2011, based on Place of residence and Place of Work,
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
28
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Number of resident workers
who leave the LGA for work
in this industry sector
LGAs capturing most industry
sector resident workers where
stated. (Does not include POW
no fixed address or POW State/
Territory undefined)
Place of
residence
Industry sectors
Lithgow
Health Care and Social Assistance
204
Blue Mountains, Bathurst
Public Administration and Safety
165
Blue Mountains, Bathurst
Construction
163
Blue Mountains, Bathurst
Retail Trade
143
Blue Mountains, Bathurst
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
142
Blue Mountains, Bathurst,
Sydney
Manufacturing
84
Bathurst
Health Care and Social Assistance
74
Bathurst and Lithgow
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
72
Bathurst and Goulburn
Mulwaree
Education and Training
68
Bathurst and Lithgow
Public Administration and Safety
66
Bathurst and Lithgow
Mining
769
Blayney, Cabonne
Construction
500
Cabonne
Manufacturing
302
Cabonne, Blayney
Health Care and Social Assistance
224
Cabonne
Education and Training
213
Cabonne, Bathurst
Construction
131
Forbes, Orange
Mining
112
Orange, Bogan and Blayney
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
106
Forbes, Lachlan
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
104
Dubbo, Orange and Sydney
Health Care and Social Assistance
95
Forbes, Dubbo and Lachlan
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
84
Cowra and Young
Health Care and Social Assistance
60
Cowra and Young
Construction
34
Cowra and Young
Education and Training
33
Cowra, Forbes and Young
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
26
Bland
Oberon
Orange
Parkes
Weddin
Source: ABS Census 2011, Journey to Work 2011, based on Place of residence and Place of Work,
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
3.3 Business count by industry
Registered business by industry shows how many businesses there are in Council areas by industry
sector using the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Business Register derived from the ATO’s GST
register. Business Register counts are published by the ABS on SA2 (Statistical Area level 2) and not
LGA boundaries. 2013 data was not available for some Councils within the NSW Central West region
and as a result 2011 data has been used as a more accurate means of comparison.
There were an estimated 15,678 business entities actively trading in the NSW Central West region in
June 2011. Of these, the majority were represented by the Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing sector
with 5,101 businesses (32.5%). The region also has strong business presence within the Construction
sector accounting for 13.2% of total businesses. Comparison with employment data suggests that
there are many small business operators in both of these sectors. The Bathurst LGA was home to the
majority of businesses (20.5%) followed by Orange (18.7%).
29
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Table 3.12 provides a detailed comparison, with a table outlining the business mix for each of the 11
LGAs provided in Appendix E.
Table 3.12 Business Count by Industry 2011 (Percentage)
Industry
NSW CW
Regional NSW
NSW
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
32.5%
21.5%
8.0%
Mining
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
Manufacturing
3.5%
3.9%
4.0%
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
Construction
13.2%
16.3%
15.7%
Retail Trade
6.9%
7.3%
7.0%
Wholesale Trade
2.8%
2.8%
4.1%
Accommodation and Food Services
4.1%
4.6%
4.0%
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
6.2%
5.6%
6.5%
Information Media and Telecommunications
0.4%
0.5%
1.2%
Financial and Insurance Services
4.1%
5.5%
8.0%
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
7.3%
8.8%
11.0%
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
5.7%
7.9%
13.2%
Administrative and Support Services
2.3%
3.0%
4.3%
Public Administration and Safety
0.3%
0.3%
0.4%
Education and Training
0.8%
1.1%
1.4%
Health Care and Social Assistance
3.5%
4.5%
5.2%
Arts and Recreation Services
1.0%
1.3%
1.4%
Other Services
Total
4.6%
4.5%
4.2%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Source: ABS Cat 8165.0 (2012)
Figure 3.8 Business Count by Industry within the NSW Central West region, 2011
Industry
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
Construction
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
Retail Trade
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Other Services
Accommodation and Food Services
Financial and Insurance Services
Manufacturing
Health Care and Social Assistance
Wholesale Trade
Administrative and Support Services
Arts and Recreation Services
Education and Training
Mining
Information Media and Telecommunications
Public Administration and Safety
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services
0
5
10
15
20
25
% Businesses by Industry 2011
30
35
Source: ABS Cat 8165.0 (2012)
30
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
3.4 New building approvals
According to the building approvals data provided by the ABS, the NSW Central West region recorded
$438.3 million worth of new building approvals during 2013-2014. Please note that these figures do not
take into consideration alterations or additions to existing residential dwellings. New residential building
approvals accounted for around 50.5% of the total value of new building approvals in the region during
this 12 month period. See Figure 3.9.
Figure 3.9 Value of New Building Approvals within the NSW Central West region, 2007-14
New building
approvals ($’M)
500
400
300
Non-Residential
200
Residential
100
0
2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2013-14
Source: ABS Cat 8165.0 (2012), ABS Building Approvals Catalogue 8731 July 2014, A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
The value of new building approvals peaked in 2009-10 before declining in the following year and
increasing in 2011-12. Table 3.13 provides a detailed break-down of the value of new building approvals
for each of the 11 LGAs in the five years to 2013-14.
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A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Table 3.13 Value of New Building Approvals ($’m), 2009-12 and 2013-14
Residential ($’m)
LGA
Non-residential ($’m)
09-10
10-11
11-12
13-14
09-10
10-11
11-12
13-14
Bathurst
$43.0
$30.5
$44.0
$64.9
$26.6
$10.5
$25.1
$64.5
Blayney
$6.4
$8.1
$16.5
$5.4
$7.5
$8.8
$8.5
$5.1
Cabonne
$19.0
$13.3
$14.6
$12.1
$13.2
$4.5
$2.5
$6.2
Cowra
$3.2
$6.0
$5.6
$5.3
$4.2
$4.4
$8.7
$7.5
Forbes
$3.4
$3.4
$1.4
$3.9
$6.4
$13.0
$16.8
$1.0
Lachlan
$2.5
$2.5
$3.0
$1.4
$7.1
$0.6
$6.8
$1.3
Lithgow
$31.2
$27.1
$23.5
$25.1
$16.9
$10.9
$18.6
$11.9
Oberon
$8.0
$3.1
$2.5
$2.8
$2.3
$1.3
$0.5
$0.4
Orange
$100.6
$67.6
$76.0
$86.4
$29.8
$39.7
$36.7
$107.1
Parkes
$8.3
$8.3
$7.2
$9.9
$18.7
$2.3
$17.3
$10.7
Weddin
$2.9
$2.4
$3.5
$4.2
$4.8
$2.7
$0.1
$1.2
$221.5
$137.5
$98.7
Total
$228.5 $172.3 $197.8
$141.6 $216.8
Note: Data does not include alterations or additions. Figures do not include major projects.
Source: ABS Cat 8165.0 (2012), ABS Building Approvals Catalogue 8731July 2014, A.P.
SHEERE CONSULTING
During 2013-14, a total of 894 new residential dwellings (worth more than $221 million) were approved
in the NSW Central West region. Houses represented approximately 89% of the total number of new
residential building approvals within the region in 2013-14.
The majority of residential building approvals were recorded in Orange, followed by Bathurst and
Lithgow, accounting for a total of over $162 million in 2013-14. See Figure 3.10.
Figure 3.10 Number of Residential Building Approvals by LGA, 2013-2014
LGA
Bathurst
Blayney
Units
Cabonne
Houses
Cowra
Forbes
Lachlan
Lithgow
Oberon
Orange
Parkes
Weddin
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Residential building approvals (No)
Note: Data does not include alterations or additions. Figures do not include major projects.
Source: ABS Building Approvals Catalogue 8731, Feb 2014, A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
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A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
3.5 Residential dwelling sale prices
Based on the dwelling sale price estimates provided by the NSW Department of Housing, the median
dwelling price in the NSW Central West region was approximately $242,600 during the June Quarter
2014. Over the past year, the dwelling prices in the region increased by 8.1%.
It is relatively cheaper to buy a residential dwelling in the NSW Central West when compared with
regional NSW and significantly cheaper than the State of NSW (see Figure 3.11). During the past five
years, the median dwelling prices in the NSW Central West region have increased at an average annual
rate of 2.7%, above regional NSW (1.2%) but less than NSW (4.2%) averages.
Figure 3.11 Median Dwelling Prices, 2007-2014
NSW
Median dwelling
prices ($’000)
$600
Regional NSW
NSW Central West
$500
$400
$300
$200
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Note: Figures as at June each year
Source: NSW Department of Housing (2014), A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
As at June 2014, Bathurst recorded the highest cost of housing in the NSW Central West region with
median dwelling prices of around $349,000, followed by Orange and Cabonne. Oberon and Blayney
experienced significant drops in the median house price between 2013 and 2014. Parkes, Forbes and
Lithgow experienced the greatest increase in median dwelling prices between 2013 and 2014. See
Table 3.14.
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A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Table 3.14 Median Dwelling Prices, 2007-2014 ($’000)
LGA
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Bathurst
$245.5
$269.0
$260.0
$297.5
$301.0
$322.0
$333.0
$349.0
Blayney
$181.0
$181.3
$225.0
$220.0
$323.0
$235.0
$305.0
$241.0
Cabonne
$178.0
$175.0
$191.3
$266.8
$249.0
$243.0
$255.0
$270.0
Cowra
$185.0
$171.0
$180.0
$175.0
$228.0
$180.0
$170.0
$178.0
Forbes
$150.0
$175.5
$155.0
$185.8
$166.0
$167.0
$180.0
$218.0
Lachlan
$131.0
$115.0
$65.0
$90.0
$143.0
$123.0
$165.0
$160.0
Lithgow
$195.0
$200.0
$192.5
$221.5
$208.0
$235.0
$223.0
$255.0
Oberon
$227.5
$182.5
$209.0
$230.0
$300.0
$370.0
$250.0
$231.0
Orange
$270.0
$275.0
$260.0
$290.0
$285.0
$322.0
$318.0
$345.0
Parkes
$190.0
$180.0
$200.0
$185.0
$186.0
$210.0
$210.0
$251.0
Weddin
$165.0
$200.0
$148.0
$130.0
$122.5
$115.0
$170.0
$170.0
NSW CW (Av)
$192.5
$193.1
$189.6
$213.3
$233.3
$234.3
$234.5
$242.6
Regional NSW
$272.0
$275.0
$270.0
$305.0
$305.0
$303.0
$307.0
$323.0
NSW
$375.0
$373.0
$375.0
$435.0
$445.0
$439.0
$480.0
$527.0
Note: Figures as at June each year
Source: NSW Department of Housing (2014), A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
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A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
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35
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
4.0 Infrastructure
4.1 Education and health care facilities
Education and health care facilities are important social infrastructure that affects both residents’ quality
of life and impact upon local economic development.
The NSW Central West region has well established and diverse social infrastructure including a large
number of education providers (see Appendix F), training organisations, public and private hospitals,
medical specialist services, mental health facilities, nursing homes, aged care facilities, sporting and
cultural facilities.
4.1.1 Education providers
Charles Sturt University (CSU) is the largest regionally based university in Australia. In the Central
West RDA region, it has campuses at Bathurst and Orange. CSU had 37,964 students in 2010, with
32,645 domestic and 5319 overseas enrolments. Of those, 9568 studied on campus, 23,367 by online
learning and 5029 by mixed mode. Forty per cent of CSU’s online learning enrolments are from rural
and regional areas. (Source: Regional Education, Skills and Jobs Plan – Central West 2012-14). Around
2500 students were enrolled at the Bathurst campus of Charles Sturt University in 2014. A full list of
courses currently available at both the Bathurst and Orange CSU campuses is available in Appendix
G.
The University of Sydney, University of Western Sydney and Notre Dame University have rural clinical
schools, located at Orange, Bathurst and Lithgow respectively. These schools were established to
provide non-regional medical students with periods of exposure to rural practice, with the aim of
encouraging medical graduates to consider rural careers. The Parkes Study Centre is a joint initiative
between CSU, TAFE Western and Parkes Shire Council which combines TAFE and university study
using infrastructure at the Parkes campus of TAFE. It includes targeted strategies to increase Indigenous
and lower socio-economic students’ participation in higher education.
TAFE Western offered 628 different course options in 2013 and is well represented in the NSW Central
West region. The total number of enrolments across TAFE Western for 2013 was 36,823 with 21,404
enrolments in the NSW Central West Region. (Source: TAFE NSW Western Institute, 2014).
UWSCollege Lithgow opened in February 2014. In 2015, student numbers are expected to grow and
UWSCollege will increase course offerings to include the following programs:
• University Foundation Studies in Arts
• University Foundation Studies in Health Science and Nursing
• Diploma of Arts
• Diploma in Criminal and Community Justice
• Diploma in Engineering
• Diploma in Health Science (HP, HSM & TR) (Health Promotion, Health Services Management and
Therapeutic Recreation)
• Diploma in Health Science (PDHPE) (Personal Development, Health and Physical Education)
In addition to this UWSCollege will be offering the Bachelor of Nursing at Lithgow in 2015. The stateof-the-art facility can accommodate up to 300 students.
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A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Key higher education providers in the region include:
• Charles Sturt University (www.csu.edu.au)
• Notre Dame University (www.nd.edu.au)
• UWSCollege (www.uwscollege.edu.au)
• Sydney University (www.sydney.edu.au)
• TAFE NSW (www.tafensw.edu.au)
4.1.2 Training organisations
The region is also well serviced by a number of registered training organisations including:
• Adecco
• BEC Business and Training Centre
• Central West Training Centre
• Complete Staff Solutions
• Integral Skills
• Octec Training Services
• Verto
• Skillset
• Synergy Telecoms
4.1.3 Health care providers
Health care is a dominant employment sector in the NSW Central West region and this is illustrated
by the number of such providers present in the region. There are a number of specialist services also
provided within the region accommodating most of the needs of the local population.
Key health care institutions include but are not limited to:
• Orange General Hospital
• Forbes District Hospital
• Bathurst Base Hospital
• Lithgow Hospital
• Blayney District Hospital
• Oberon Hospital
• Bloomfield Hospital
• Orange Health Service
• Cowra District Hospital
• Parkes District Hospital
• Dudley Private Hospital
Health services (includes multi-purpose services)
Complimentary health providers are available throughout the NSW Central West region. These include
but are not limited to:
• Emergency Helicopter Services
• Psychology
• General Practitioner Clinics
• Acupuncture/acupressure
• Dentistry
• Homeopathy
• Radiotherapy and Cancer treatment
• Chinese Herbal Medicine
• Cancer Care Lodge
• Aromatherapy
• Radiology
• Reflexology
• Neurology
• Reiki
• Optometry
• Herbalist and iridology
• Physiotherapy
• Massage
• Podiatry
• Pathology
37
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
5.0 Major projects and Tourism
5.1 Major projects
The building approvals data does not provide a complete overview of investment activity in the NSW
Central West region as it excludes major resource and infrastructure projects.
Major investment and infrastructure projects within the region are listed in Table 5.0. These projects
represent $1,706 million in capital investment and contribute to economic growth and development on
a regional scale.
Major projects have a considerable impact on the economy. Firstly, during the construction phase,
there is a significant boost to the local and regional economy from the construction activity and initial
investments. Secondly, many of these projects will act as catalysts for further economic activity after
they are completed.
Table 5.0: Major Investment and Infrastructure Projects (as at 12th January 2015)
Project Name
Value ($M)
Location
Project Status
Joss Group Retail &
Accommodation Complex
$15
Bathurst
Under construction
Airport Upgrade
$5
Bathurst
Under construction
Kelso Intermodal Terminal
$100
Bathurst
Approved
Australian Centre for
Science, Technology &
Emerging Industry
$30
Bathurst
Planning
Potable Water Supply for
Cumnock and Yeoval
$5
Cumnock & Yeoval
Planning
Molong Multi-purpose
Health Service
$15
Molong
Planning
Local Road Maintenance
across Cabonne Shire
$12
Cabonne LGA
Construction
Yeoval-Cumnock Sewerage
Reticulation Scheme
$2.5
Cumnock & Yeoval
Construction
Industrial Estate Subdivision
$3.5
Cowra
Planning
Heavy Vehicle Bypass
$20
Cowra
Planning
Main Street (CBD
Development – Stage 2)
$3
Cowra
Under Construction
Cowra Airport Development
$3
Cowra
Planning
Blayney to Demondrille Rail
Project
$70
Cowra
Under Tender
Multi-story Motel - RSL
$5
Cowra
Under Construction
10 multi-dwelling housing
development
$2
Cowra
Approved
108 allotment subdivision
$10
Cowra
Planning
$40.9
Forbes
Under Construction
Forbes Hospital
Redevelopment
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A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Upgrade to Lithgow Aquatic
Centre
$3
Lithgow
Under Construction
Black Bridge Upgrade
Wallerawang
$3.5
Lithgow
Approved
Portland Sewage Treatment
Plant Upgrade
$10
Lithgow
Planning
Black Springs Wind Farm
$50
Oberon
Approved
Macquarie River Pipeline
$47
Orange
Under Construction
Charles Sturt University
Accommodation Complex
$9
Orange
Approved
Orange Airport Expansion
$19
Orange
Under Construction
Charles Sturt University
Medical Centre
$98
Orange
Planning
Orange Ex-Services Club
Expansion
$25
Orange
Under Construction
Orange Regional Museum
$9
Orange
Under Construction
Summa Park Upgrade
$19
Orange
Under Construction
Southern Distributor Stage 1
$4
Orange
Under Construction
Shiralee infrastructure
$4
Orange
Approved
Orange Local Aboriginal
Land Council - Tourist and
Visitor Accommodation
$14
Orange
Approved
Private Hospital
$200
Orange
Approved
Southern Cross Village
$19
Parkes
Under construction
Central West Homemaker
Centre
$20
Parkes
Approved
Parkes Gracelands Garden
Estate
$110
Parkes
Approved
North Parkes Mine
Expansion
$114
Parkes
Approved
Peak Hill Multi-Purpose
Service - Health
$12
Parkes
Under Construction
$72.5
Parkes
Under Construction
Water Treatment and
Sewerage Treatment Plants
$50
Parkes
Planning
Lake Endeavour Dam
Upgrade
$11
Parkes
Under Construction
Parkes Regional Airport
Redevelopment
$3
Parkes
Under Construction
Grenfell Pool
$4.5
Weddin
Planning
Grenfell Medical Centre
$1.95
Weddin
Planning
Parkes Hospital
Redevelopment
Table 5.1: Major Investment and Infrastructure Projects recently completed
Project Name
Value ($M)
Location
Project Status
Nestle Purina Blayney Pet
Food expansion
$65
Blayney
Completed
Intermodal Rail Terminal and
Rail Siding
$20
Blayney
Completed
Canowindra Pool
Redevelopment
$2
Canowindra
Completed
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A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Project Name
Value ($M)
Location
Project Status
$2
Nashdale
Completed
Sewerage Treatment Plant
$15.3
Cowra
Completed
Railway Lane (CBD
Development – Stage 1)
$0.7
Cowra
Completed
Cowra Water Treatment
Plant
$4
Cowra
Completed
Darby’s Fall Water Treatment
Plant
$1
Cowra
Completed
Livestock Exchange Centre
$26.6
Forbes
Completed
Lake Cargelligo to MerriAbba Water Pipeline
$19
Lachlan
Completed
University of Notre Dame
Clinical School
$4.8
Lithgow
Completed
University of Western
Sydney Outreach Campus
$8
Lithgow
Completed
Clarence Water Transfer
Station
$4
Lithgow
Completed
Lithgow and Wallerawang
Sewage Treatment Plants
$30
Lithgow
Completed
Aboriginal Learning Centre TAFE NSW
$3.4
Orange
Completed
Summer Centre
Redevelopment
$6
Orange
Completed
Gosling Creek Nursing
Home
$24
Orange
Completed
Manildra to Parkes Power
Line Upgrade
$30
Parkes
Completed
Transgrid Manildra to Parkes
Power Transmission Line
$80
Parkes
Completed
ARTC Cootamundra to
Parkes Railway
$100
Parkes
Completed
North Parkes Mine Block
Cave Knowledge Excellence
Centre
$13
Parkes
Completed
Toyota Dealership
$3
Parkes
Completed
Graceland's Residential
Development
$1.3
Parkes
Completed
Broken Hill to Parkes Rail
Upgrade
$253
Parkes
Completed
New Police Station
$13
Parkes
Completed
Motel - Accommodation
$6
Parkes
Completed
Broula King Mine
$13
Weddin
Completed
Realignment of Mitchell
Highway at Guanna Hill
Note: The major projects status is recorded as at 12th January 2015 but is not exhaustive.
Source: Regional Development Australia Central West, Councils.
40
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
5.2 Tourism visitation
This information is based on statistical geographical areas known as SA2s which have been drawn
by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). The use of SA2 regions rather than Local Government
Areas (LGAs) means that the following data is for a geographic region that may not exactly match the
boundaries of the LGA in question. As such, the Tourism data in this report should be considered as
the best approximation of the visitor profile in each LGA. Tourism Research Australia’s change to SA2
reporting means that this profile is not comparable with previous LGA profile reports.
The NSW Central West region attracted approximately over 3 million domestic visitors each year
between 2010-2013 with around 62% comprising day-trippers and the remainder encompassing
overnight visitors (see Table 5.1). Domestic overnight visitors spent approximately $424 million (as a
four year annual average to the year ending September 2013).
Bathurst and Orange attracted the highest number of domestic overnight and day-trip visitors compared
to other LGAs within the region. These two regional centres account for over half of the total domestic
visitation to the Central West region.
Table 5.1 Domestic Visitation by LGA (SA2 level), Annual average for 2010-2013
LGA region (SA2)
Bathurst
Blayney
Cabonne
Domestic
visitor nights
('000s)
Average length
of stay (nights)
Domestic visitors
Overnight
visitors
('000s)
Domestic
day-trippers
('000)
Domestic
Total visitors
overnight
('000)
Expenditure ($m)
661
2.3
293
594
$92
887
95
2.7
35
66
$13
101
na
na
na
na
na
na
Cowra
325
2.6
117
134
$41
250
Forbes
184
2.6
64
80
$23
144
Lachlan
210
3.9
54
2
na
$29
54
Lithgow
327
2.4
131
292
$48
423
Oberon
193
2.6
72
129
$28
201
Orange
879
3
259
463
$106
722
Parkes
321
2.6
112
122
$39
235
Weddin
39
2.7
14
na
$5
14
3,234
2.7 days
1,151
1,880
$424 million
3,031
1
NSW
Central West
2
1 Individual data was not available for Cabonne
2 Domestic day-trippers data not available
Source: Tourism Research Australia, National Visitor Survey, YE September 2010 to YE September 2013
41
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6.0 LGA Economic summaries
6.1 Bathurst
Bathurst is one of the seven ‘‘Evocities’’ in NSW and is a key regional centre in the Central West.
Bathurst is the largest LGA in the region and represents approximately one-fifth of the Central West
economy. When compared with the remaining member LGAs, Bathurst has the highest proportion
(56.2%) of tertiary qualified individuals.
Bathurst has recorded the second highest population growth in the region of 7.47% between 2006 and
2011. Bathurst’s Estimated Resident Population as of June 2013 was 41,051 persons.
While Bathurst’s GRP is largely driven by the manufacturing sector, the key industry employers include
the Education and Training, Health Care and Social Assistance and Retail Trade sectors.
Table 6.1: Key Indicators, Bathurst
Period
Indicator
Annual change
% of NSW
Central West
Estimated resident population
June 2013
41,051
1.7% (2012-13)
23.2%
Employment
June 2011
17,256
1.68%
23.9%
Unemployment rate
June 2014
5.8%
-1.1%
n/a
GRP ($’m)
2013-14
$1859.4m
1.3%
19.3%
Businesses
June 2011
3,214
-
20.5%
2013-14
$64.9m
-
29.3%
Statistic
New residential building
approvals ($’m)
Key industry sectors
Key GRP Contributing Sectors
(2014)
Manufacturing, Education and Training, Public Administration
and Safety, Health Care and Social Assistance, Construction
Key employing sectors (2011)
Education and Training; Health Care and Social Assistance; Retail
Trade; Manufacturing; Public Administration and Safety.
Source: ABS Census (2011), Department of Employment (2014), NIEIR 2014, ABS Cat 8165.0
(2012), ABS Cat 8731.0 (July 2014), ABS Cat 3218.0 (2013)
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A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
6.2 Blayney
The Blayney LGA makes up nearly 5% of the NSW Central West regional economy. The Mining,
Manufacturing and Agricultural sectors are the dominant sectors within the Blayney LGA driving its
GRP, employment and business.
Between 2006 and 2011 the LGA experienced population growth of 5.93% which was the third highest
in the region. Blayney’s Estimated Resident Population as of June 2013 was 7,330 persons. The Blayney
LGA had a comparatively low unemployment rate of 5.4% in June 2014. The region contributed 4.9%
to the NSW Central West region’s GRP.
Table 6.2: Key Indicators, Blayney
Period
Indicator
Average Annual
growth
% of NSW
Central West
Estimated resident population
June 2013
7,330
0.7% (2012-13)
4.1%
Employment
June 2011
3,110
1.72%
4.2%
Unemployment rate
June 2014
5.4%
0.2%
n/a
GRP ($’m)
2013-14
$472.7m
2.5%
4.9%
Businesses
June 2011
727
-
4.6%
2013-14
$5.4m
-
2.4%
Statistic
New residential building
approvals ($’m)
Key industry sectors
Key GRP Contributing Sectors
(2014)
Mining, Manufacturing, Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing,
Construction, Education and Training
Key employing sectors (2011)
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Health Care and Social
Assistance, Mining, Manufacturing, Education and Training
Source: ABS Census (2011), Department of Employment (2014), NIEIR 2014, ABS Cat 8165.0
(2012), ABS Cat 8731.0 (Jul 2014), ABS Cat 3218.0 (2013)
43
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
6.3 Cabonne
The Cabonne LGA accounts for around 9% of the total GRP of the NSW Central West region. The
economy recorded an average annual growth in GRP of 1.8%. The following sectors contributed the
most to Cabonne’s GRP: Mining, Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Manufacturing, Education and
Training, Construction.
Between 2006 and 2011 the LGA experienced population growth of 3.43% whilst the LGA’s
unemployment rate was comparatively low at 3.9% in June 2014. Cabonne’s Estimated Resident
Population as of June 2013 was 13,695 persons which was an increase of 1.6% from 2012.
The key employing sectors within the Cabonne LGA are Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Health Care
and Social Assistance, Manufacturing, Education and Training and Retail Trade. Cabonne also had
the lowest unemployment rate in 2014 of 3.9% when compared to the other LGAs in the region.
Table 6.3: Key Indicators, Cabonne
Period
Indicator
Annual growth
% of NSW
Central West
Estimated resident population
June 2013
13,695
1.6% (2012-13)
7.7%
Employment
June 2011
6,026
1.04%
8.2%
Unemployment rate
June 2014
3.9%
-0.2%
n/a
GRP ($’m)
2013-14
$849.5m
1.8%
8.8%
Businesses
June 2011
1627
-
10.4%
2013-14
$12.1m
-
5.4%
Statistic
New residential building
approvals ($’m)
Key industry sectors
Key GRP Contributing Sectors
(2014)
Mining, Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Manufacturing,
Education and Training, Construction
Key employing sectors (2011)
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Health Care and Social
Assistance, Manufacturing, Education and Training and Retail
Trade
Source: ABS Census (2011), Department of Employment (2014), NIEIR 2014, ABS Cat 8165.0
(2012), ABS Cat 8731.0 (Jul 2014), ABS Cat 3218.0 (2013)
44
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6.4 Cowra
The Cowra LGA’s GRP represents 4.5% of the NSW Central West region’s GRP. The following sectors
contributed the most to Cowra’s GRP: Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Manufacturing, Health Care
and Social Assistance, Education and Training, Wholesale Trade.
Between 2006 and 2011 the LGA experienced population decline of 2.67% whilst the LGA’s
unemployment rate was one of the highest in the region at 9.4% in June 2014. Cowra’s Estimated
Resident Population as of June 2013 was 12,551 persons which was a decrease of -0.7% from 2012.
The top five employing sectors were Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Health Care and Social Assistance,
Retail Trade. Manufacturing and Education and Training.
Table 6.4: Key Indicators, Cowra
Period
Indicator
Annual growth
% of NSW
Central West
Estimated resident population
June 2013
12,551
-0.7% (2012-13)
7.1%
Employment
June 2011
4,735
-0.97%
6.5%
Unemployment rate
June 2014
9.4%
-1.3%
n/a
GRP ($’m)
2013-14
437.3
0.7%
4.5%
Businesses
June 2011
1092
-
7.0%
2013-14
$5.3m
-
2.4%
Statistic
New residential building
approvals ($’m)
Key industry sectors
Key GRP Contributing Sectors
(2014)
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Manufacturing, Health Care and
Social Assistance, Education and Training, Wholesale Trade
Key employing sectors (2011)
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Health Care and Social Assistance,
Retail Trade. Manufacturing and Education and Training.
Source: ABS Census (2011), Department of Employment (2014), NIEIR 2014, ABS Cat 8165.0 (2012),
ABS Cat 8731.0 (Jul 2014), ABS Cat 3218.0 (2013)
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6.5 Forbes
The Forbes economy represents around 4% of the NSW Central West regional economy. The following
sectors contributed the most to Forbes’ GRP: Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Construction, Education
and Training, Retail Trade, Health Care and Social Assistance and Manufacturing.
Between 2006 and 2011 the LGA experienced a population decline of 2% whilst the LGA’s unemployment
rate was comparatively average at 6.7% in June 2014. Forbes’ Estimated Resident Population as of
June 2013 was 9,664 persons which was an increase of 1.4% from 2012.
The top five employing sectors were Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Retail Trade. Health Care and
Social Assistance, Education and Training, and Accommodation and Food Services.
Table 6.5: Key Indicators, Forbes
Period
Indicator
Annual growth
% of NSW
Central West
Estimated resident population
June 2013
9,664
1.4% (2012-13)
5.5%
Employment
June 2011
3,891
0.28%
5.3%
Unemployment rate
June 2014
6.7%
n/a
-1.0%
GRP ($’m)
2013-14
$398.3m
3.0%
4.1%
Businesses
June 2011
1151
-
7.3%
2013-14
$3.9m
-
1.8%
Statistic
New residnetial building
approvals ($’m)
Key industry sectors
Key GRP Contributing Sectors
(2014)
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Construction, Education and
Training, Retail Trade, Health Care and Social Assistance,
Manufacturing
Key employing sectors (2011)
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Retail Trade. Health Care and
Social Assistance, Education and Training, and Accommodation
and Food Services
Source: ABS Census (2011), Department of Employment (2014), NIEIR 2014, ABS Cat 8165.0 (2012),
ABS Cat 8731.0 (Jul 2014), ABS Cat 3218.0 (2013)
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6.6 Lachlan
The Lachlan economy represents around 3% of the NSW Central West regional economy. The
following sectors contributed the most to Lachlan’s GRP: Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Education
and Training, Health Care and Social Assistance, Manufacturing and Mining.
Between 2006 and 2011 the LGA experienced population decline of 7% whilst the LGA’s unemployment
rate was comparatively average at 5.9% in June 2014. Lachlan’s Estimated Resident Population as of
June 2013 was 6,748 persons which was an increase of 0.2% from 2012.
The top five employing sectors were Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Health Care and Social Assistance,
Education and Training, Retail Trade and Manufacturing.
Table 6.6: Key Indicators, Lachlan
Period
Indicator
Annual growth
% of NSW
Central West
Estimated resident population
June 2013
6,748
0.2% (2012-13)
3.8%
Employment
June 2011
2,854
0.12%
3.9%
Unemployment rate
June 2014
5.9%
-0.8%
n/a
GRP ($’m)
2013-14
$276m
0.3%
2.9%
Businesses
June 2011
1083
-
6.9%
2013-14
$1.4m
-
0.6%
Statistic
New residential building
approvals ($’m)
Key industry sectors
Key GRP Contributing Sectors
(2014)
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Education and Training, Health
Care and Social Assistance, Manufacturing and Mining
Key employing sectors (2011)
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Health Care and Social
Assistance, Education and Training, Retail Trade and Manufacturing
Source: ABS Census (2011), Department of Employment (2014), NIEIR 2014, ABS Cat 8165.0 (2012),
ABS Cat 8731.0 (Jul 2014), ABS Cat 3218.0 (2013)
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6.7 Lithgow
The Lithgow economy represents around 16% of the NSW Central West regional economy. The
following sectors contributed the most to Lithgow’s GRP: Mining, Construction, Electricity, Gas, Water
and Waste Services, Public Administration and Safety and Manufacturing.
Between 2006 and 2011 the LGA experienced population increase of 2 % whilst the LGA’s unemployment
rate was comparatively high at 8.8% in June 2014. LIthgow’s Estimated Resident Population as of June
2013 was 21,118 persons which was an increase of 0.5% from 2012.
The top five employing sectors were Mining, Health Care and Social Assistance, Retail Trade, Public
Administration and Safety and Accommodation and Food Services.
Table 6.7: Key Indicators, Lithgow
Period
Indicator
Annual growth
% of NSW
Central West
Estimated resident population
June 2013
21,118
0.5% (2012-13)
11.9%
Employment
June 2011
8,058
0.88%
11.0%
Unemployment rate
June 2014
8.8%
-1.4%
n/a
GRP ($’m)
2013-14
$1540.9m
3.3%
16.0%
Businesses
June 2011
1274
-
8.1%
2013-14
$25.1m
-
11.3%
Statistic
New residential building
approvals ($’m)
Key industry sectors
Key GRP Contributing Sectors
(2014)
Mining, Construction, Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services,
Public Administration and Safety and Manufacturing
Key employing sectors (2011)
Mining, Health Care and Social Assistance, Retail Trade, Public
Administration and Safety and Accommodation and Food
Services
Source: ABS Census (2011), Department of Employment (2014), NIEIR 2014, ABS Cat 8165.0
(2012), ABS Cat 8731.0 (Jul2014), ABS Cat 3218.0 (2013)
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6.8 Oberon
The Oberon economy represents around 2.3% of the NSW Central West regional economy. The
following sectors contributed the most to Oberon’s GRP: Manufacturing, Agriculture, Forestry and
Fishing, Public Administration and Safety, Construction and Transport, Postal and Warehousing.
Between 2006 and 2011 the LGA experienced a population decline of 0.38% whilst the LGA’s
unemployment rate was comparatively average at 5% in June 2014. Oberon’s Estimated Resident
Population as of June 2013 was 5,270 persons which was an increase of 0.9% from 2012.
The top five employing sectors were Manufacturing, Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Retail Trade
Public Administration and Safety and Accommodation and Food Services.
Table 6.8: Key Indicators, Oberon
Period
Indicator
Annual growth
% of NSW
Central West
Estimated resident population
June 2013
5,270
0.9% (2012-13)
3.0%
Employment
June 2011
2,320
-0.17%
3.2%
Unemployment rate
June 2014
5.0%
-0.6%
n/a
GRP ($’m)
2013-14
$222.3m
-1.2%
2.3%
Businesses
June 2011
685
-
4.4%
2013-14
$2.8
-
1.3%
Statistic
New residential building
approvals ($’m)
Key industry sectors
Key GRP Contributing Sectors
(2014)
Manufacturing, Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Public
Administration and Safety, Construction, Transport, Postal and
Warehousing
Key employing sectors (2011)
Manufacturing, Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Retail Trade,
Public Administration and Safety and Accommodation and Food
Services
Source: ABS Census (2011), Department of Employment (2014), NIEIR 2014, ABS Cat 8165.0 (2012),
ABS Cat 8731.0 (Jul 2014), ABS Cat 3218.0 (2013)
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A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
6.9 Orange
Orange is one of the seven ‘‘Evocities’’ in NSW and is a key regional centre in the Central West. The
Orange economy represents around 28% of the NSW Central West regional economy. The following
sectors contributed the most to Orange’s GRP: Mining, Health Care and Social Assistance, Public
Administration and Safety, Manufacturing and Education and Training.
Between 2006 and 2011 the LGA experienced a population increase of nearly 8% which was the
highest growth in the region. Oranges’s unemployment rate was comparatively average at 5.3% in June
2014. Orange’s Estimated Resident Population as of June 2013 was 40,869 persons which was an
increase of 1.8% from 2012.
The top five employing sectors were Health Care and Social Assistance, Retail Trade, Education and
Training, Manufacturing and Construction.
Table 6.9: Key Indicators, Orange
Period
Indicator
Annual growth
% of NSW
Central West
Estimated resident population
June 2013
40,869
1.8% (2012-13)
23.1%
Employment
June 2011
17,249
2.29%
23.5%
Unemployment rate
June 2014
5.3%
-0.6%
n/a
GRP ($’m)
2013-14
$2,697.4m
5.8%
27.9%
Businesses
June 2011
2938
-
18.7%
2013-14
$86.4
-
39%
Statistic
New residential building
approvals ($’m)
Key industry sectors
Key GRP Contributing Sectors
(2014)
Mining, Health Care and Social Assistance, Public Administration
and Safety, Manufacturing, Education and Training
Key employing sectors (2011)
Health Care and Social Assistance, Retail Trade, Education and
Training, Manufacturing and Construction
Source: ABS Census (2011), Department of Employment (2014), NIEIR 2014, ABS Cat 8165.0
(2012), ABS Cat 8731.0 (Jul 2014), ABS Cat 3218.0 (2013)
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6.10 Parkes
The Parkes economy represents around 8% of the NSW Central West regional economy. The following
sectors contributed the most to Parkes’ GRP: Mining, Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Transport,
Postal and Warehousing, Public Administration and Safety and Health Care and Social Assistance.
Between 2006 and 2011 the LGA experienced a population increase of just over 2% whilst the LGA’s
unemployment rate was comparatively average at 5.3% in June 2014. Parkes’ Estimated Resident
Population as of June 2013 was 15,087 persons which was a decrease of -0.5% from 2012.
The top five employing sectors were Retail Trade, Health Care and Social Assistance. Agriculture,
Forestry and Fishing, Accommodation and Food Services and Education and Training.
Table 6.10: Key Indicators, Parkes
Period
Indicator
Annual growth
% of NSW
Central West
Estimated resident population
June 2013
15,087
-0.5% (2012-13)
8.5%
Employment
June 2011
6,035
0.7%
8.2%
Unemployment rate
June 2014
5.3%
-0.4%
n/a
GRP ($’m)
2013-14
$774.1m
0.7%
8.0%
Businesses
June 2011
1355
-
8.6%
2013-14
$9.9
-
4.5%
Statistic
New residential building
approvals ($’m)
Key industry sectors
Key GRP Contributing Sectors
(2014)
Mining, Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Transport, Postal and
Warehousing, Public Administration and Safety, Health Care and
Social Assistance
Key employing sectors (2011)
Retail Trade, Health Care and Social Assistance. Agriculture,
Forestry and Fishing, Accommodation and Food Services and
Education and Training
Source: ABS Census (2011), Department of Employment (2014), NIEIR 2014, ABS Cat 8165.0
(2012), ABS Cat 8731.0 (Jul 2014), ABS Cat 3218.0 (2013)
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6.11 Weddin
The Weddin economy represents around 1.3% of the NSW Central West regional economy. The
following sectors contributed the most to Weddin’s GRP: Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Education
and Training, Transport, Postal and Warehousing, Construction and Wholesale Trade.
Between 2006 and 2011 the LGA experienced a population increase of 0.66% whilst the LGA’s
unemployment rate was comparatively average at 5.7% in June 2014. Weddin’s Estimated Resident
Population as of June 2013 was 3,711 persons which was a decrease of -0.9% from 2012.
The top five employing sectors were Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Health Care and Social Assistance,
Education and Training, Retail Trade and Construction.
Table 6.11: Key Indicators, Weddin
Period
Indicator
Annual growth
% of NSW
Central West
Estimated resident population
June 2013
3,711
-0.9% (2012-13)
2.1%
Employment
June 2011
1,454
0.35%
2.0%
Unemployment rate
June 2014
5.7%
-1.0%
n/a
GRP ($’m)
2013-14
$126.3m
-0.1%
1.3%
Businesses
June 2011
533
-
3.4%
2013-14
$4.2
-
1.9%
Statistic
New residential building
approvals ($’m)
Key industry sectors
Key GRP Contributing Sectors Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Education and Training,
(2014)
Transport, Postal and Warehousing, Construction, Wholesale
Trade
Key employing sectors (2011)
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Health Care and Social
Assistance, Education and Training, Retail Trade and Construction
Source: ABS Census (2011), Department of Employment (2014), NIEIR 2014, ABS Cat 8165.0
(2012), ABS Cat 8731.0 (Jul 2014), ABS Cat 3218.0 (2013)
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A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Appendix A
Table A.1: Projected Population Age Distribution - Bathurst, 2011-2031
Age bracket
2011
2016
0-14 yrs
20.6%
19.7%
15-24 yrs
16.6%
15.7%
25-34 yrs
12.0%
13.3%
35-44 yrs
12.7%
11.9%
45-54 yrs
13.0%
12.2%
55-64 yrs
11.4%
11.5%
65+ yrs
13.7%
15.6%
Source: NSW Department of Planning 2014
2021
19.0%
15.1%
13.3%
11.9%
11.8%
11.4%
17.5%
2026
18.6%
14.8%
12.4%
12.7%
11.1%
11.0%
19.4%
2031
18.4%
14.6%
11.7%
12.6%
11.2%
10.6%
21.0%
2026
21.6%
11.1%
9.8%
11.8%
11.1%
13.1%
21.6%
2031
22.4%
10.9%
9.6%
12.2%
10.9%
11.5%
22.4%
2026
21.2%
9.6%
9.0%
12.5%
12.5%
13.5%
21.5%
2031
20.9%
9.4%
8.8%
12.4%
12.7%
12.7%
23.0%
Table A.2: Projected Population Age Distribution - Blayney, 2011-2031
Age bracket
0-14 yrs
15-24 yrs
25-34 yrs
35-44 yrs
45-54 yrs
55-64 yrs
65+ yrs
2011
22.8%
11.7%
9.0%
13.1%
14.5%
12.4%
16.6%
2016
22.1%
11.4%
10.7%
11.4%
13.4%
12.1%
18.8%
2021
22.1%
10.7%
10.7%
10.7%
12.8%
12.8%
20.1%
Source: NSW Department of Planning 2014
Table A.3: Projected Population Age Distribution - Cabonne, 2011-2031
Age bracket
0-14 yrs
15-24 yrs
25-34 yrs
35-44 yrs
45-54 yrs
55-64 yrs
65+ yrs
2011
18.4%
14.6%
11.7%
12.6%
11.2%
10.6%
21.0%
2016
21.8%
10.4%
10.0%
11.4%
13.9%
13.2%
19.3%
2021
21.5%
9.8%
9.8%
11.8%
13.1%
13.8%
20.2%
Source: NSW Department of Planning 2014
54
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Table A.4: Projected Population Age Distribution - Cowra, 2011-2031
Age bracket
0-14 yrs
15-24 yrs
25-34 yrs
35-44 yrs
45-54 yrs
55-64 yrs
65+ yrs
2011
18.9%
11.2%
8.4%
11.2%
13.3%
14.9%
22.1%
2016
17.5%
11.0%
8.9%
10.6%
12.6%
14.6%
24.8%
2021
16.7%
10.0%
8.8%
10.4%
12.1%
14.6%
27.5%
2026
16.7%
9.0%
8.5%
10.7%
11.5%
14.1%
29.5%
2031
16.1%
9.0%
7.6%
10.8%
11.7%
13.5%
31.4%
2026
19.3%
12.2%
8.8%
11.0%
10.5%
11.6%
26.5%
2031
18.4%
12.1%
8.6%
10.9%
10.3%
10.9%
28.7%
2026
20.5%
11.1%
9.4%
11.1%
11.1%
12.0%
24.8%
2031
19.3%
10.1%
9.2%
10.1%
11.9%
12.8%
26.6%
2026
16.1%
9.6%
9.4%
11.5%
11.8%
13.9%
27.6%
2031
15.8%
9.2%
8.5%
11.4%
11.4%
13.3%
30.3%
Source: NSW Department of Planning 2014
Table A.5: Projected Population Age Distribution - Forbes, 2011-2031
Age bracket
2011
2016
0-14 yrs
20.8%
19.8%
15-24 yrs
12.0%
11.8%
25-34 yrs
9.9%
10.7%
35-44 yrs
11.5%
10.2%
45-54 yrs
13.0%
12.3%
55-64 yrs
13.5%
12.8%
65+ yrs
19.3%
22.5%
Source: NSW Department of Planning 2014
2021
19.9%
12.4%
9.7%
10.2%
11.3%
12.4%
24.2%
Table A.6: Projected Population Age Distribution - Lachlan, 2011-2031
Age bracket
2011
2016
0-14 yrs
20.9%
20.9%
15-24 yrs
11.9%
10.1%
25-34 yrs
11.2%
11.6%
35-44 yrs
11.9%
10.9%
45-54 yrs
12.7%
12.4%
55-64 yrs
13.4%
13.2%
65+ yrs
17.9%
20.9%
Source: NSW Department of Planning 2014
2021
19.7%
10.7%
10.7%
10.7%
12.3%
13.1%
23.0%
Table A.7: Projected Population Age Distribution - Lithgow, 2011-2031
Age bracket
2011
2016
0-14 yrs
18.7%
17.7%
15-24 yrs
12.2%
10.7%
25-34 yrs
10.3%
11.0%
35-44 yrs
12.5%
11.5%
45-54 yrs
14.9%
13.4%
55-64 yrs
13.7%
14.6%
65+ yrs
17.7%
21.2%
Source: NSW Department of Planning 2014
55
2021
17.4%
9.8%
10.5%
11.0%
12.4%
15.0%
24.0%
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Table A.8: Projected Population Age Distribution - Oberon 2011-2031
Age bracket
2011
2016
0-14 yrs
19.4%
18.3%
15-24 yrs
12.6%
12.5%
25-34 yrs
9.7%
9.6%
35-44 yrs
12.6%
11.5%
45-54 yrs
13.6%
13.5%
55-64 yrs
14.6%
14.4%
65+ yrs
17.5%
20.2%
Source: NSW Department of Planning 2014
2021
17.3%
10.6%
9.6%
10.6%
12.5%
14.4%
25.0%
2026
17.5%
9.7%
8.7%
11.7%
11.7%
14.6%
26.2%
2031
16.2%
10.1%
7.1%
11.1%
11.1%
14.1%
30.3%
2026
20.2%
12.5%
12.7%
13.2%
11.2%
10.7%
19.5%
2031
19.8%
12.4%
12.1%
12.8%
11.3%
10.6%
20.9%
2026
21.1%
10.4%
11.0%
12.0%
11.0%
12.0%
22.4%
2031
21.0%
10.3%
10.3%
11.9%
11.3%
11.3%
23.9%
2026
17.9%
7.5%
9.0%
9.0%
11.9%
13.4%
31.3%
2031
18.8%
7.8%
9.4%
10.9%
9.4%
12.5%
31.3%
Table A.9: Projected Population Age Distribution - Orange 2011-2031
Age bracket
2011
2016
0-14 yrs
21.9%
21.1%
15-24 yrs
14.1%
13.4%
25-34 yrs
13.1%
13.9%
35-44 yrs
13.0%
12.3%
45-54 yrs
12.6%
12.0%
55-64 yrs
11.1%
11.2%
65+ yrs
14.4%
16.1%
Source: NSW Department of Planning 2014
2021
20.9%
12.5%
13.6%
12.5%
11.6%
11.1%
17.7%
Table A.10: Projected Population Age Distribution - Parkes 2011-2031
Age bracket
2011
2016
0-14 yrs
22.4%
21.6%
15-24 yrs
12.2%
11.8%
25-34 yrs
10.9%
11.5%
35-44 yrs
11.9%
11.5%
45-54 yrs
13.5%
12.5%
55-64 yrs
11.2%
12.8%
65+ yrs
17.8%
18.4%
Source: NSW Department of Planning 2014
2021
21.6%
10.8%
11.5%
11.5%
11.5%
12.8%
20.3%
Table A.11: Projected Population Age Distribution - Weddin 2011-2031
Age bracket
2011
2016
0-14 yrs
17.1%
16.7%
15-24 yrs
9.2%
9.7%
25-34 yrs
9.2%
8.3%
35-44 yrs
10.5%
11.1%
45-54 yrs
13.2%
12.5%
55-64 yrs
15.8%
13.9%
65+ yrs
25.0%
27.8%
Source: NSW Department of Planning 2014
56
2021
17.4%
8.7%
8.7%
10.1%
11.6%
14.5%
29.0%
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
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57
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Appendix B
Bathurst
Blayney
Cabonne
Cowra
Forbes
Lachlan
Industry GRP Contribution ($m) per Local Government Area 2014
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
68.52
37.14
131.04
90.60
97.71
82.50
Mining
16.50
240.50
385.77
2.46
0.00
17.98
Manufacturing
215.85
38.77
76.37
41.89
24.07
18.72
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services
120.26
10.33
9.39
10.03
10.36
7.07
Construction
133.66
17.45
27.41
21.22
32.58
15.07
Wholesale Trade
48.59
12.49
12.67
28.30
22.57
9.95
Industry Sector
Retail Trade
100.85
5.96
9.35
27.28
27.44
12.78
Accommodation and Food Services
75.95
6.69
7.08
17.77
11.66
7.59
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
73.84
10.98
14.98
19.52
14.66
11.21
Information Media and Telecommunications
54.15
0.00
4.56
5.30
3.21
3.65
Financial and Insurance Services
69.96
6.32
4.91
13.01
15.96
5.50
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
48.74
4.93
3.87
5.93
4.54
3.06
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
62.49
8.78
17.52
11.02
15.85
4.61
Administrative and Support Services
52.82
8.77
18.01
7.74
7.74
4.60
Public Administration and Safety
170.05
8.80
22.21
24.49
17.83
15.87
Education and Training
182.65
14.24
27.84
29.05
32.02
20.89
Health Care and Social Assistance
156.62
9.18
27.26
38.11
27.33
19.31
Arts and Recreation Services
15.11
2.38
2.77
4.54
2.63
1.69
Other Services
41.97
7.55
12.35
9.73
9.80
4.56
(Ownership of dwellings)
150.77
21.46
34.16
29.26
20.30
9.35
$1859.36
$472.74
$849.50
$437.26
$398.26
$275.97
Total ($m)
Source: NIEIR, GRP at Market Prices 2014
58
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Lithgow
Oberon
Orange
Parkes
Weddin
Industry GRP Contribution ($m) per Local Government Area 2014 continued
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
21.55
40.86
25.49
66.56
47.55
Mining
625.32
0.58
631.50
191.61
0.00
Manufacturing
63.12
51.29
162.00
32.49
2.94
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services
110.43
6.50
68.34
40.75
4.25
Construction
186.55
12.39
152.87
35.82
7.43
Wholesale Trade
19.63
5.44
83.59
24.65
6.34
Retail Trade
39.77
6.75
144.18
38.33
4.85
Accommodation and Food Services
39.60
5.86
74.05
23.76
2.41
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
51.25
10.52
107.52
62.13
7.93
Information Media and Telecommunications
8.73
1.31
30.84
8.24
1.58
Financial and Insurance Services
26.05
6.16
108.89
15.72
3.30
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
13.34
4.04
69.78
6.97
1.76
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
18.13
3.91
95.01
18.03
1.86
Administrative and Support Services
33.78
9.02
72.10
15.57
1.46
Public Administration and Safety
91.57
13.56
169.43
47.97
6.06
Education and Training
50.81
10.24
161.72
41.52
11.00
Health Care and Social Assistance
61.18
5.85
307.04
45.74
6.19
Arts and Recreation Services
4.14
7.64
8.20
1.85
1.54
Other Services
17.93
3.23
69.81
16.19
1.50
(Ownership of dwellings)
58.02
17.18
155.04
40.23
6.31
Industry Sector
Total ($m)
$1540.90
$222.34 $2697.40 $774.12
$126.26
Source: NIEIR, GRP at Market Prices 2014
59
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Appendix C
Industry Sector
Bathurst
Blayney
Cabonne
Cowra
Forbes
Lachlan
Employment by industry per LGA, 2011
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
688
395
1,173
731
745
916
Mining
309
283
223
43
107
77
1,893
268
520
488
228
166
380
49
64
59
50
36
Construction
1,221
203
430
264
215
100
Retail Trade
1,955
238
438
546
426
242
Manufacturing
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services
Wholesale Trade
378
109
166
192
153
82
Accommodation and Food Services
1,288
122
236
329
229
141
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
715
147
233
194
155
85
Information Media and Telecommunications
293
16
40
29
14
8
Financial and Insurance Services
243
41
68
62
55
23
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
225
32
51
48
34
12
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
645
115
221
130
184
49
Administrative and Support Services
450
89
113
83
69
38
Public Administration and Safety
1,487
175
376
236
192
145
Education and Training
2,117
247
514
387
363
272
Health Care and Social Assistance
2,051
338
784
579
423
303
Arts and Recreation Services
180
21
45
42
20
15
Other Services
660
144
202
172
134
66
(Ownership of dwellings)
348
78
129
121
95
78
17,526
3,110
6,026
4,735
3,891
2854
Total
Source: ABS Census 2011, Profile id, A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
60
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Industry Sector
Lithgow
Oberon
Orange
Parkes
Weddin
Employment by industry per LGA, 2011 continued
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
216
427
339
681
531
Mining
998
20
1,109
436
15
Manufacturing
542
447
1,489
332
43
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services
350
21
159
65
11
Construction
471
148
1,243
356
76
Retail Trade
802
165
1,960
700
117
Wholesale Trade
156
53
475
178
41
Accommodation and Food Services
671
158
1,120
444
47
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
464
125
676
401
69
Information Media and Telecommunications
52
9
167
36
8
Financial and Insurance Services
133
22
327
69
8
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
77
27
234
50
4
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
247
63
767
192
39
Administrative and Support Services
274
43
483
125
14
Public Administration and Safety
681
164
1,203
417
74
Education and Training
503
130
1,504
438
123
Health Care and Social Assistance
885
139
2,797
684
143
Arts and Recreation Services
81
61
105
33
11
Other Services
288
47
771
269
44
(Ownership of dwellings)
167
51
321
129
36
8,058
2,320
17,249
6,035
1454
Total
Source: ABS Census 2011, Profile id, A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
61
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Appendix D
Bathurst
Blayney
Cabonne
Cowra
Forbes
Lachlan
Wages by Industry per LGA, 2011
$794
$721
$718
$735
$671
$611
Mining
$1,216
$1,653
$1,593
$866
-
$1,466
Manufacturing
$1,059
$1,281
$1,130
$771
$776
$889
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services
$1,402
$1,308
$1,289
$1,137
$1,075
$1,303
Construction
$925
$1,152
$1,189
$728
$827
$885
Retail Trade
$575
$465
$556
$552
$595
$606
Wholesale Trade
$889
$741
$902
$920
$859
$786
Accommodation and Food Services
$491
$534
$488
$451
$422
$479
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
$910
$729
$728
$830
$835
$766
Information Media and Telecommunications
$852
$500
$663
$677
$840
$746
$1,088
$1,102
$968
$765
$955
$775
Industry Sector
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
Financial and Insurance Services
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
$933
$953
$1,202
$607
$991
$911
$1,000
$1,126
$1,079
$996
$882
$950
$713
$853
$894
$627
$698
$567
Public Administration and Safety
$1,251
$1,093
$956
$1,116
$1,133
$1,007
Education and Training
$1,110
$967
$990
$1,088
$1,067
$1,059
Health Care and Social Assistance
$910
$848
$800
$796
$823
$829
Arts and Recreation Services
$627
$433
$537
$492
$657
$469
Other Services
$685
$929
$1,047
$526
$680
$616
Average weekly individual income (based on
19 industries listed)
$917
$915
$933
$773
$778
$827
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Administrative and Support Services
Source: ABS Census 2011,-Invest-Central-NSW-Economic-Profile-Dec2012, A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
62
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Manufacturing
Parkes
Weddin
Mining
Orange
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
Oberon
Industry Sector
Lithgow
Wages by Industry per LGA, 2011 continued
$653
$821
$731
$625
$675
$1,722
$1,514
$1,509
$1,463
-
$930
$1,128
$932
$915
$450
$1,410
$1,121
$1,264
$1,329
$1,750
Construction
$969
$890
$1,000
$912
$644
Retail Trade
$551
$543
$619
$555
$620
Wholesale Trade
$893
$604
$936
$955
$1,087
Accommodation and Food Services
$534
$464
$527
$476
$414
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
$1,048
$937
$953
$1,017
$712
Information Media and Telecommunications
$835
$500
$905
$777
-
Financial and Insurance Services
$818
$582
$1,154
$854
$1,492
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
$881
$693
$1,015
$659
$500
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
$854
$981
$1,095
$1,044
$903
Administrative and Support Services
$816
$784
$829
$656
$1,375
Public Administration and Safety
$1,179
$1,105
$1,260
$1,183
$923
Education and Training
$1,067
$1,201
$1,129
$1,048
$1,134
Health Care and Social Assistance
$812
$898
$1,036
$850
$730
Arts and Recreation Services
$444
$947
$567
$565
$500
Other Services
$750
$581
$864
$644
$463
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services
Average weekly individual income
$903
$858
$964
$870
$756
(based on 19 industries listed)
Source: ABS Census 2011,-Invest-Central-NSW-Economic-Profile-Dec2012, A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING
63
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Appendix E
Industry Sector
Bathurst
Blayney
Cabonne
Cowra
Forbes
Lachlan
Number of businesses by industry, 2011
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
620
371
841
370
515
638
Mining
18
6
3
6
8
0
Manufacturing
107
12
40
52
33
30
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services
11
3
4
2
5
9
Construction
549
86
181
121
114
56
Retail Trade
242
33
69
100
64
61
Wholesale Trade
86
11
38
33
40
40
Accommodation and Food Services
112
39
41
59
39
30
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
195
19
89
79
67
44
Information Media and Telecommunications
18
3
6
2
0
3
Financial and Insurance Services
170
28
37
36
42
32
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
310
35
73
70
77
52
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
263
32
75
41
46
17
Administrative and Support Services
104
7
27
26
21
17
Public Administration and Safety
6
0
6
0
6
0
Education and Training
42
3
15
2
0
0
Health Care and Social Assistance
147
12
29
30
17
23
Arts and Recreation Services
41
12
7
10
8
8
Other Services
174
16
45
56
49
23
3,214
727
1,627
1,092
1,151
1,083
Total
Source: ABS Cat 8165.0 (2012)
64
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Industry Sector
Lithgow
Oberon
Orange
Parkes
Weddin
Number of businesses by industry, 2011continued
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
265
313
333
506
329
Mining
6
3
16
12
0
Manufacturing
58
22
138
49
10
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services
3
1
3
4
0
Construction
204
67
518
147
31
Retail Trade
116
30
248
99
26
Wholesale Trade
40
5
96
38
12
Accommodation and Food Services
73
22
137
68
21
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
107
52
196
87
34
Information Media and Telecommunications
6
3
10
6
3
Financial and Insurance Services
37
23
167
54
10
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
87
46
283
74
32
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
73
38
251
49
9
Administrative and Support Services
22
16
94
29
0
Public Administration and Safety
9
0
10
9
0
Education and Training
18
0
31
15
0
Health Care and Social Assistance
58
8
191
33
0
Arts and Recreation Services
21
4
32
12
3
Other Services
70
32
182
63
12
1,274
685
2,938
1,355
533
Total
65
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Appendix F
List of public schools
Bathurst
•
Bathurst Public School
•
Bathurst South Public School
•
Bathurst West Public School
•
Carenne School
•
Denison College of Secondary Education, Bathurst and Kelso High Campuses
•
Kelso Public School
Blayney
•
Blayney High School
•
Blayney Public School
Cabonne
•
Canowindra High School
•
Canowindra Public School
•
Cargo Public school
•
Cudal Public School
•
Cumnock Public School
•
Eugowra Public School
•
Manildra Public School
•
Molong Central School
•
Yeoval central School
Cowra
•
Cowra High School
•
Cowra Public School
•
Holman Place School
•
Holmwood Public school
•
Mulyan Public School
Forbes
•
Corinella Public School
•
Forbes High School
•
Forbes North Public School
•
Forbes Public School
Lachlan
•
Lake Cargelligo Central School
•
Tullibigeal Central School
•
Tottenham Central School
66
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Lithgow
•
Cooerwull Public School
•
Lithgow High School
•
Lithgow Public School
•
Zig Zag Public School
Oberon
•
Oberon High School
•
Oberon Public School
Orange
•
Anson Street School in Orange
•
Bletchington Public School
•
Bowen Public School in Orange
•
Calare Public School
•
Canabolas Public School
•
Canobolas Rural Technology High School
•
Glenroi Heights Public School
•
Orange East Public School
•
Orange Grove Public School
•
Orange High School
•
Orange Public School
Parkes
•
Middleton Public School
•
Parkes East Public School
•
Parkes High School
•
Parkes Public School
Weddin
•
Grenfell Public School
•
The Henry Lawson High School
Source: www.schools.nsw.edu.au
67
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
Appendix G
Course list at Bathurst Campus - Charles Sturt University (December 2014)
Course
Bachelor of Accounting
Bachelor of Arts
Bachelor of Business (Management)
Bachelor of Business (Marketing)
Bachelor of Business Studies
Bachelor of Clinical Practice (Paramedic)
Bachelor of Communication (Advertising)
Bachelor of Communication (Advertising) / Bachelor of Business
(Marketing)
Bachelor of Communication (Journalism)
Bachelor of Communication (Public Relations)
Bachelor of Communication (Public Relations) / Bachelor of Business Studies
Bachelor of Communication (Radio)
Bachelor of Communication (Theatre / Media)
Bachelor of Computer Science
Bachelor of Computer Science (Honours)
Bachelor of Criminal Justice
Bachelor of Education (Early Childhood and Primary)
Bachelor of Education (Health and Physical Education)
Bachelor of Education (K - 12)
Duration
3 years full- time
6 years part- time
3 years full- time on campus
6 years part- time on campus
6 years distance education
3 years full-time 6 years
part-time
3 years full-time 6 years
part-time
3 years full- time
6 years part- time
3 years full- time on campus
4 years distance education
3 years full- time on campus
4 years full- time on campus
3 years full- time on campus
3 years full- time on campus
4 years full- time on campus
3 years full- time on campus
3 years full- time on campus
3 years full-time 6 years
part-time
1 year full-time 2 years
part-time
4 years full-time (5 year
pathway available)
4 years full- time
4 years full- time
Source: CSU website 2014, www.csu.edu.au
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Course list at Orange Campus - Charles Sturt University (December 2014)
Course
Bachelor of Clinical Science
Bachelor of Dental Science
"Bachelor of General Studies (Science) Associate Degree in
General Studies (Science) [exit point only]
University Certificate in General Studies (Science) [exit point only]"
Bachelor of Pharmacy Bachelor of Pharmacy (Honours)
Bachelor of Physiotherapy Bachelor of Physiotherapy (Honours)
Bachelor of Science (Honours)
Graduate Certificate in Sustainable Agriculture
Graduate Diploma of Sustainable Agriculture
“Master of Sustainable Agriculture
Graduate Diploma of Sustainable Agriculture Graduate Certificate
in Sustainable Agriculture”
Duration
3 years full-time
5 years full-time
3 years full-time 6 years
part-time
4 years full-time
4 years full- time
1 year full-time 2 years parttime
0.5 years full-time 1 year parttime
1 year full-time 2 years parttime
1.5 years full-time 3 years parttime
Source: CSU website 2014, www.csu.edu.au
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A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015
NSW CENTRAL WEST
REGIONAL ECONOMIC PROFILE
www.rdacentralwest.org.au
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www.investnswcentralwest.com.au
A.P. SHEERE CONSULTING 2015