780 Combined Use of Time and Frequency Domain Variables in Signal-Averaged ECG as a Predictor of Inducible Sustained Monomorphic Ventricular Tachycardia in Myocardial Infarction Akihiko Nogami, MD; Yoshito lesaka, MD; Junichi Akiyama, MD; Atsushi Takahashi, MD; Junichi Nitta, MD; Yeong-hwa Chun, MD; Kazutaka Aonuma, MD; Michiaki Hiroe, MD; Fumiaki Marumo, MD; and Masayasu Hiraoka, MD Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 14, 2017 Background. Time and frequency domain analyses of signal-averaged ECG (SAECG) have several individual limitations, and the results of the two methods sometimes vary considerably. The purpose of this study was to determine whether the combined use of time and frequency domain variables facilitates identification of patients who will have ventricular tachycardia (VT) induced during programmed ventricular stimulation (PVS). Methods and Results. Nine myocardial infarction (MI) patients with clinically documented sustained monomorphic VT (SMVT), 40 MI patients without clinical VT, and 30 normal healthy control subjects were evaluated. PVS using three extrastimuli and SAECG recording were performed in the MI patients on day 36±4 after infarction. Of 40 MI patients, SMVT was inducible in 14, sustained polymorphic VT in three, nonsustained monomorphic VT in three, nonsustained polymorphic VT in two, and no inducible arrhythmia was obtained in 18. There were significant differences between MI patients with inducible SMVT and without inducible SMVT in the following SAECG variables: filtered QRS durations (high-pass filter setting, 25, 40, and 80 Hz); low-amplitude signal durations (LAS) under 10, 20, 30, and 40 ,uV (high-pass filter setting, 40 and 80 Hz); root-mean-square voltages (RMS) of the terminal 20, 30, 40, 50, and 60 msec (high-pass filter setting, 40 and 80 Hz); area ratio (area 20-50 Hz/area 0-20 Hzx 10) of a 120-msec sampling interval starting 20 msec before QRS offset; factor of normality on lead X; and minimum value of the variables on lead X, Y, or Z. Stepwise logistic regression analysis selected only IAS under 30 ,tV (high-pass filter setting, 80 Hz) and area ratio as independent predictors of inducible SMVT. With these two variables, the predicted probability of inducible SMVT [p(VT)] was expressed as p(VT)=1/[1+exp (6.2-0.11 LAS-0.01 area ratio)]. This function had 93% sensitivity, 81% specificity, 72% positive predictive value, 95% negative predictive value, and 85% predictive accuracy with .0.3 as the criterion of a positive test. Conclusions. The combined use of time and frequency domain analysis of SAECG can enhance the accuracy of this technique as a screening test for results of PVS in MI patients without clinical VT. (Circulation 1992;86:780-789) KEY WoRDs * programmed ventricular stimulation tachycardia * electrocardiography, signal-averaged Sudden death after myocardial infarction (MI) is usually caused by ventricular tachyarrhythmias. Accurate identification of patients prone to ventricular arrhythmias is necessary to treat the group of patients at high risk rationally. The signal-averaged From the Second Department of Medicine, Tokyo Medical and Dental University; The Cardiovascular Division, Tsuchiura Kyodo General Hospital, Ibaraki, Japan; and the Department of Cardiovascular Diseases, Medical Research Institute, Tokyo Medical and Dental University. Supported in part by a grant from Kohokai (A.N.). Address for reprints: Akihiko Nogami, MD, The Second Department of Medicine, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, 1-5-45 Yushima, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113, Japan. Received October 8, 1991; revision accepted May 18, 1992. * fast Fourier transform analysis * ventricular ECG (SAECG) has been demonstrated to be a useful noninvasive test for detecting patients at risk for ventricular tachyarrhythmias.1-6 In principle, two methods are currently used: 1) analysis of the ECG in the time domain after high-gain amplification and signal averaging1'2 and 2) analysis in the frequency domain by use of Fourier transformation.3-6 However, both methods have several limitations. In time domain analysis, highpass filters may disturb the signals, discrimination between noise and late potentials is difficult, the definitions of abnormal findings are inconsistent, and patients with bundle branch block generally have to be excluded. In frequency domain analysis, some methodological prerequisites, such as adequate segment or window function, have to be considered. Furthermore, the re- Nogami et al Signal-Averaged ECG in MI sults of the two methods sometimes vary considerably even when the same patients are analyzed. The purpose of this study was to determine whether the combined use of time and frequency domain variables in SAECG facilitates identification of patients who will have sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia (VT) induced during programmed ventricular stimulation. Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 14, 2017 Methods Patient Population The study group consisted of 40 consecutive patients (62±9 years old, 35 men and five women) <75 years of age admitted to Tsuchiura Kyodo General Hospital between January and December 1987 because of Q wave acute MI. Written informed consent was obtained from all patients undergoing programmed ventricular stimulation. Patients were excluded from the study if they had one of the following: uncontrolled angina or heart failure, sustained VT or ventricular fibrillation, or significant nonischemic heart disease. Patients with bundle branch block were not excluded. Nine MI patients (65 ±8 years old, eight men and one woman) with clinically documented sustained monomorphic VT 1 month after acute MI served as positive control subjects. The normal control group consisted of 30 healthy volunteers (60±7 years old, 26 men and four women) without signs of heart disease or hypertension. All normal control subjects had a normal ECG. The study protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Board of our hospital. Body Surface ECG Recording and Signal Averaging SAECG recordings were performed on day 36±4 after MI with the Arrhythmia Research Technology model 1200 EPX (Mortara Instrument, Inc.). No patient received j3-blockers or other antiarrhythmic therapy for at least 7 days before the recording. The body surface recordings were made during sinus rhythm from standard bipolar X, Y, and Z leads. At least 300 beats were averaged during each recording, and in all cases the noise levels were <0.6 ,uV. After passing through a template recognition program that rejected ectopic beats and grossly noisy signals, the signals were initially filtered (0.05-250 Hz) and amplified. Time Domain Signal Processing ofAveraged X, Y, ZLeads The digitized X, Y, and Z data underwent further signal processing according to the methods of Simson.2 Specifically, each QRS complex was filtered bidirectionally with a high-pass filter. In all, three high-pass filterings were used (cutoff, 25, 40, and 80 Hz), with the low-pass cutoff frequency fixed at 250 Hz. A vector magnitude was calculated as V=(X2+Y2+Z2)"12 by combining the filtered signals from the three leads. The onset and offset of the QRS were determined automatically. The following parameters were measured: filtered QRS duration (f-QRS); duration of low-amplitude signals of <10, 20, 30, and 40 ,uV (LAS10, LAS20, LAS30, and LAS40, respectively); and the root-meansquare voltages of the terminal 10, 20, 30, 40, 50, and 60 msec of the filtered QRS complex (RMS10, RMS20, RMS30, RMS40, RMS50, and RMS60, respectively). 781 Frequency Domain Signal Processing of Averaged X, YX Z Leads Averaged, digitized X, Y, and Z lead data were transferred to a computer for fast Fourier transformation (FFT).3-6 The 512-point FFTs were calculated by use of a four-term Blackman-Harris interval to smooth discontinuities and reduce spectral leakage. We chose an FF1 sampling interval of 120 msec. To avoid uncertainty about QRS offset, sampling intervals were started at the QRS onset, 40 msec before QRS offset, 20 msec before QRS offset, and at the QRS offset. Area ratio was calculated by dividing the area under the curve (from the plot of magnitude versus frequency) between 20 and 50 Hz by the area under the curve between 0 and 20 Hz for each of the FFT intervals.34 The area ratios of the individual X, Y, and Z lead values were averaged after log transformation. The mean values were expressed as antilogs multiplied by a constant, 1 x 105. For spectral temporal mapping analysis,5'6 the ST segment was divided into 25 segments. The first segment started 20 msec before the QRS offset with a total segment length of 80 msec, and subsequent segments started progressively later in the ST segment, at intervals in steps of 2 msec. The frequency components of each segment were calculated with FFT. The spectra produced were cross-correlated, and total areas for the frequency range of 40-140 Hz were produced. From these two indexes, a single quantitative index, the factor of normality, was calculated for each lead (X, Y, or Z) and for the composite lead, i.e., the sum of all the leads. Ventricular Stimulation Protocol Programmed ventricular stimulation was performed on day 36±4 after MI. Stimulation was performed with a programmable stimulator. The stimuli, with rectangular pulses 1.0 msec in duration at twice the diastolic threshold, were introduced from the right ventricular apex and outflow tract. The following protocol was used: 1) A single ventricular extrastimulus (S2) was introduced in late diastole during two paced ventricular cycle lengths (S,S =600 msec and 400 msec) and moved earlier until ventricular refractoriness was encountered. 2) Double ventricular extrastimuli were then introduced starting at an S1S2 interval 50 msec longer than the ventricular refractory period and S2S3 equal to S1S2. S2S3 was shortened until S3 failed to capture the ventricle, and S1S2 was then shortened until S3 evoked a response. This was continued until both S2 and S3 reached refractoriness. 3) A third extrastimulus (S4) was delivered in an analogous fashion during two paced ventricular cycle lengths. The end point of the study was either the initiation of a sustained VT or the completion of the stimulation protocol. The physicians who performed the programmed ventricular stimulation did not know the results of the patient's SAECG. The following definitions were used: 1) Sustained monomorphic VT is repetitive ventricular response with uniform QRS configuration lasting .30 seconds or requiring termination before 30 seconds because of hemodynamic compromise. 2) Sustained polymorphic VT is repetitive ventricular response with nonuniform QRS configuration lasting >30 seconds or requiring termination before 30 seconds because of hemodynamic compromise. 3) Ventricular fibrillation is disorganized ventricular rhythm with nonuniform QRS configuration 782 Circulation Vol 86, No 3 September 1992 TABLE 1. Clinical Characteristics MI with clinical SMVT (group 1) 9 65+8 MI with inducible SMVT (group 2) 14 63±7 MI without inducible SMVT (group 3) 26 61±9 Control (group 4) 30 60±7 Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 14, 2017 No. of patients Age (years) Sex 21 26 14 8 Male 4 5 1 0 Female Location of infarction 15 6 Anterior 5 2 10 6 Inferior 1 1 1 Anterior and inferior 1 0 1 Other 2 2 2 Two or more infarctions No. of diseased coronary arteries 6 17 8 One vessel 1 6 4 Two vessels 2 3 2 Three vessels 35+±8* 60±14 41±12t Ejection fraction (%) 7 7 6 Left ventricular aneurysm 1 4 0 2 Bundle branch block 4 0 4 3 Holter Lown's grade IVb MI, myocardial infarction; SMVT, sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia. Values are mean±SD. *p<0.01, tp<0.O5 compared with group 3. and a mean cycle length <200 msec or no clearly defined QRS complexes on the surface leads. 4) Nonsustained VT is a series of five or more repetitive ventricular responses terminating spontaneously in <30 seconds. 5) No inducible arrhythmia is four or fewer repetitive ventricular responses. The reproducibility of induced sustained arrhythmias was not checked in this study. Cardiac Catheterization All MI patients underwent complete catheterization with coronary angiography and left ventriculography. Significant coronary lesions were defined as .60% reduction of luminal diameter. Left ventricular ejection fraction was determined from ventriculography. Statistics Continuous values were expressed as mean±+1 SD. Comparisons of continuous variables were made by Student's t test after validation of a normal distribution by the Wilk-Shapiro test.7 Because area ratios and factors of normality in FFT analysis did not follow a normal distribution, the variables were expressed as median with 25th to 75th percentile range and were examined by a nonparametric method (Mann-Whitney test).8 Dichotomous variables were analyzed by Fisher's exact probability test. Multivariate analysis was performed with the logistic multiple regression model with stepwise variable selection.9 A probability value of p<O.O5 was accepted as significant. Results Results of Programmed Ventricular Stimulation Of 40 MI patients without clinical VT, programmed ventricular stimulation induced sustained monomorphic . . . . . . . . . VT in 14 patients (35%), sustained polymorphic VT in three (7.5%), nonsustained monomorphic VT in three (7.5%), nonsustained polymorphic VT in two (5%), and no inducible arrhythmia in 18 (45%). The mean cycle length of induced sustained monomorphic VT was 243+±43 msec. Because only induced sustained monomorphic VT has prognostic value, as we have previously reported,'0'11 patients with other inducible arrhythmias and patients with no inducible arrhythmia were combined into one group (group 3) for further comparison with the inducible sustained monomorphic VT group (group 2). In all nine patients with clinical VT (group 1), sustained monomorphic VT was inducible and the mean cycle length of induced VT was 280±82 msec. Clinical characteristics of MI patients with clinical sustained monomorphic VT (group 1), patients with inducible sustained monomorphic VT (group 2), patients without inducible sustained monomorphic VT (group 3), and normal control subjects (group 4) are summarized in Table 1. Patients in groups 1 and 2 had significantly lower ejection fraction than those in group 3. There were no significant differences in other variables among groups 1, 2, and 3. Time Domain Analysis Results of 33 time domain analysis variables for group 1 (nine patients), group 2 (14 patients), group 3 (26 patients), and group 4 (30 control subjects) are shown in Table 2. The f-QRS durations were significantly longer in group 1 than in group 2 or 3, and the f-QRS durations in group 2 were significantly longer than in group 3 or 4 at all high-pass filter settings. The f-QRS durations in group 3 were significantly longer than in group 4 at the 40- or 80-Hz high-pass filtering. The LAS durations Nogami et al Signal-Averaged ECG in MI 783 Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 14, 2017 TABLi 2. Time Domain Variables MI with clinical MI with inducible MI without inducible Variables SMVT SMVT Control SMVT (high-pass filter cutoff) (group 1) (group 2) (group 3) (group 4) f-QRS (25 Hz) (msec) 155+31 120±31 102±11 97±10 152±29 f-QRS (40 Hz) (msec) 115±21 99±12 92±9 149±32 f-QRS (80 Hz) (msec) 111±22 96+±12 88±9 LAS10 (25 Hz) (msec) 27±19 20±16 14±6 16±6 34+23 LAS20 (25 Hz) (msec) 26±17 19±8 20±6 41±27 LAS30 (25 Hz) (msec) 33±20 24±10 24±7 LAS40 (25 Hz) (msec) 50±32 41±23 28±+11 27+8 LAS10 (40 Hz) (msec) 27±16 19±9 13+6 14±5 LAS20 (40 Hz) (msec) 39±19 31±13 21±10 20±6 LAS30 (40 Hz) (msec) 50±25 39±15 26±11 25±7 54±23 LAS40 (40 Hz) (msec) 44±15 29±12 29±7 37±18 LAS10 (80 Hz) (msec) 27±14 19±6 17±5 LAS20 (80 Hz) (msec) 55±27 43±19 28±11 26±8 61±25 34±11 LAS30 (80 Hz) (msec) 54±22 32±6 74±27 57±21 38±11 LAS40 (80 Hz) (msec) 35±8 5±4 6±7 5±4 3±2 RMS10 (25 Hz) (,uV) 9±11 13±9 13±10 11±8 RMS20 (25 Hz) (,V) 14±15 26±17 RMS30 (25 Hz) (j.V) 19±17 29±20 19±16 RMS40 (25 Hz) (,V) 29±24 54±36 57±39 33±35 RMS5O (25 Hz) (,tV) 61±56 90±57 113±83 52±51 RMS60 (25 Hz) (,uV) 92±71 137±73 162±97 3±3 6±4 3±2 5±4 RMS10 (40 Hz) (,uV) 5±5 7±4 RMS20 (40 Hz) (,V) 13±8 11±6 9±7 12+9 RMS30 (40 Hz) (,V) 26±18 23±13 12±7 18±12 43±28 RMS40 (40 Hz) (,M) 45±25 17±+10 67±39 80±48 33±25 RMS50 (40 Hz) (,M) 26±16 47±33 84±37 RMS60 (40 Hz) (,uV) 108±53 2+2 3±1 3±2 2±2 RMS10 (80Hz) (,V) 3+2 7±4 4±2 7±3 RMS20 (80 Hz) (pV) 6±4 14±7 4±3 12±7 RMS30 (80 Hz) (,uV) 7+4 11±8 21±12 23±10 RMS40 (80 Hz) (,M) 10±9 17±14 30±14 36±14 RMS50 (80 Hz) (pV) 15±11 23+13 33+12 41±16 RMS60 (80 Hz) (,V) MI, myocardial infarction; SMVT, sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia; f-QRS, filtered QRS duration; LASx, duration of low-amplitude signals of <x ,V; RMSx, root-mean-square voltage of the terminal x msec of the filtered QRS complex. Values are mean±SD. were significantly longer in group 1 than in group 3 at 40- or 80-Hz high-pass filtering, and the LAS durations in group 2 at 40- or 80-Hz high-pass filtering were significantly longer than in group 3 or 4, but there was no significant difference in the LAS duration between groups 3 and 4. The RMS voltages of the terminal 30, 40, 50, or 60 msec of the QRS were significantly lower in group 1 than in group 3, and the RMS voltages of the terminal 30, 40, 50, or 60 msec of the QRS in group 2 at 40- or 80-Hz high-pass filtering were significantly lower than in group 3 or 4. There was no significant difference in the RMS duration between groups 3 and 4. Frequency Domain Analysis: Area Ratio FFT area ratios in the four study groups are summarized in Table 3. The results of FFT analysis of SAECG to detect the low-amplitude, high-frequency signals were very dependent on the location of the 120-msec sampling interval for analysis. A significant difference in area ratios between groups 2 and 3 was found only with the sampling interval starting 20 msec before QRS offset. There was no significant difference in area ratio with this sampling interval between groups 3 and 4. Area ratios derived from FFT analysis of the remaining three sampling intervals were not significantly different between groups 2 and 3. Frequency Domain Analysis: Factor of Normality The results of spectral temporal mapping analysis are summarized in Table 4. Factors of normality on lead X and the minimum value of the variables on lead X, Y, or Z in group 1 or 2 were significantly lower than in group 3. The factor of normality on lead X in group 3 was significantly higher than in group 4. 784 Circulation Vol 86, No 3 September 1992 TABLE 2. Time Domain Variables (cont) Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 14, 2017 Variables (high-pass filter cutoff) f-QRS (25 Hz) (msec) f-QRS (40 Hz) (msec) f-QRS (80 Hz) (msec) LAS10 (25 Hz) (msec) LAS20 (25 Hz) (msec) LAS30 (25 Hz) (msec) LAS40 (25 Hz) (msec) LAS10 (40 Hz) (msec) LAS20 (40 Hz) (msec) LAS30 (40 Hz) (msec) LAS40 (40 Hz) (msec) LAS10 (80 Hz) (msec) LAS20 (80 Hz) (msec) LAS30 (80 Hz) (msec) LAS40 (80 Hz) (msec) RMS10 (25 Hz) (pAV) RMS20 (25 Hz) (,V) RMS30 (25 Hz) (,uV) RMS40 (25 Hz) (,V) RMS50 (25 Hz) (,uV) RMS60 (25 Hz) (,V) RMS10 (40 Hz) (,uV) RMS20 (40 Hz) (/.V) RMS30 (40 Hz) (,uV) RMS40 (40 Hz) (plV) RMS50 (40 Hz) (MV) RMS60 (40 Hz) (,uV) RMS10 (80 Hz) (,uV) RMS20 (80 Hz) (pAV) RMS30 (80 Hz) (,uV) RMS40 (80 Hz) (lV) RMS50 (80 Hz) (,V) RMS60 (80 Hz) (,uV) Group 1 vs. group 2 <0.05 <0.01 <0.01 NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS <0.05 NS NS NS NS NS NS NS Group 2 vs. group 3 <0.01 <0.01 <0.05 NS NS NS NS <0.05 <0.05 <0.01 <0.01 <0.05 <0.05 <0.01 <0.01 NS NS NS <0.05 NS NS NS <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 NS <0.05 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.05 Multivariate Analysis All 26 SAECG variables (the 22 time domain and the four frequency domain variables) in which there were significant differences between groups 2 and 3 were chosen as candidate variables in a multivariate analysis. Stepwise logistic regression analysis revealed that LAS30 at 80-Hz high-pass filtering (p<0.05) and area ratio with the sampling interval starting 20 msec before QRS offset (p<0.05) were the only independent predictors of inducible sustained monomorphic VT in patients with MI (Table 5). With this model, the predicted probability of inducible sustained monomorphic VT [p(VT)] was expressed as p(VT)= 1/(1 +elgt) where logit=6.2-0.11(LAS30)-0.01(area ratio). Optimal Cutoff Values To determine the optimal cutoff points for variables, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis p Group 3 vs. group 4 NS <0.05 <0.01 NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS Group 1 vs. group 3 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 NS NS NS <0.05 <0.05 <0.05 <0.05 <0.05 <0.05 <0.05 <0.05 <0.01 NS NS NS <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.05 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 Group 2 vs. group 4 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 NS NS <0.05 <0.01 <0.05 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 NS NS NS <0.05 <0.05 <0.05 NS NS <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 NS NS <0.05 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 was performed (Figure 1). ROC curves were plotted for LAS30 at 80-Hz high-pass filtering, area ratio with the sampling interval starting 20 msec before QRS offset, and p(VT), which was calculated from LAS30 and area ratio with a logistic regression model. These were inspected for the cutoff point, which mammized a true-positive ratio while maintaining a false-positive ratio at c50%. These high-sensitivity, moderate-specificity points were chosen because it is desirable to have a screening test that does not produce many falsenegative results. ROC curve analysis identified highsensitivity cutoff criteria for LAS30 .37 msec, area ratio 2101, and p(VT) >0.3. Individual patient values for LAS30, area ratio, and p(VT) are plotted in Figure 2. Although there were significant differences in the LAS30 and the area ratio between groups 2 and 3, there were many false-positive and false-negative results. LAS30 had 86% sensitivity, 62% specificity, 55% positive predictive value, 89% negative predictive value, and 70% predictive accuracy. Nogami et al Signal-Averaged ECG in MI 785 TABLE 3. Frequency Domain Variables 1: Area Ratio P MI with MI without inducible Group 1 Group 2 Group 3 Group 1 Group 2 inducible vs. vs. SMVT Control vs. vs. vs. Sampling interval SMVT starting point (group 1) (group 2) (group 3) (group 4) group 2 group 3 group 4 group 3 group 4 NS NS 693 657 NS NS NS QRS onset 605 627 (546, 774) (598, 837) (624, 960) (512, 745) NS NS 40 msec before QRS offset 237 223 130 192 NS NS NS (76, 383) (84, 650) (103, 405) (90, 264) NS <0.01 20 msec before QRS offset 97 120 87 57 NS <0.01 NS (41, 124) (39, 84) (65, 188) (55, 210) NS <0.01 110 61 46 NS NS <0.01 QRS offset 96 (47, 155) (43, 50) (70, 146) (65, 138) MI, myocardial infarction; SMVT, sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia. Values are medians; 25th to 75th percentile range in parentheses. Area ratio: 20-50 Hz/area 0-20 Hzx1io. MI with clinical SMVT Comparison With Other Determinants of Inducibility Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 14, 2017 The area ratio had values of 64%, 65%, 50%, 77%, and 65%, respectively. On the other hand, p(VT) showed fewer false-positive and false-negative results and had 93% sensitivity, 81% specificity, 72% positive predictive value, 95% negative predictive value, and 85% predictive accuracy using p(VT) >0.3 as the criterion of a positive test. Also, p(VT) determined all nine group 1 patients as positive and 29 of 30 group 4 patients as negative. In the present study, another variable associated with inducible sustained monomorphic VT was depressed left ventricular ejection fraction (Table 1). To assess the relative importance of left ventricular ejection fraction and SAECG variables (LAS30 at 80-Hz high-pass filtering and area ratio), a stepwise logistic regression analysis was performed with these three variables as the potential predictors of inducibility. Stepwise logistic regression analysis selected only LAS30 and area ratio as independent predictors of inducible sustained monomorphic VT. Left ventricular ejection fraction was the least powerful predictor of inducibility among these three variables. Subgroups of Group 2 MI patients with inducible sustained monomorphic VT (group 2) were divided into subgroups according to the cycle length of induced VT and the number of extrastimuli required to initiate VT (Table 6). There was no significant difference in SAECG variables or p(VT) between patients in whom one or two extrastimuli were required to initiate VT and patients in whom three extrastimuli were needed. When two subgroups were made according to the cycle length of induced VT (cycle length .250 msec or <250 msec), there were significant differences in several time domain variables between the two subgroups. Patients with the induced VT cycle length .250 msec had significantly longer LAS40 at 25- or 40-Hz high-pass filtering and lower RMS voltages of the terminal 40 and 60 msec of the QRS at 25-, 40-, or 80-Hz high-pass filtering than patients with the induced VT cycle length <250 msec. There was no significant difference in frequency domain variables (area ratios or factors of normality) between patients with VT cycle length .250 msec and <250 Discussion In the present study, we tested the hypothesis that the combined use of time and frequency domain variables of SAECG would improve the selection of MI patients with inducible sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardias by programmed ventricular stimulation. Improved Selection of MI Patients for Programmed Ventricular Stimulation Several investigators10-18 have reported that programmed ventricular stimulation is useful to identify patients with MI at risk for ventricular tachyarrhythmias or sudden cardiac death. However, it is not a desirable screening test because of the invasive nature of programmed ventricular stimulation. The incidence of inducible sustained monomorphic VT has been reported to be 7-25%. In view of the expense, low incidence of msec. TABLE 4. Frequency Domain Variables 2: Factor of Normality MI with MI with MI without clinical SMVT inducible SMVT inducible SMVT (group 3) 90±15 (%Mo) P Control Group 1 vs. group 2 Group 2 vs. group 3 Group 3 vs. group 4 Lead (group 4) (group 1) (group 2) <0.01 <0.05 <0.05 75±27 43±24 69+29 Lead X NS <0.05 72±27 NS 72±28 46±25 53±29 Lead Y NS NS 73±24 NS 76±29 62±31 68±33 Lead Z NS <0.05 NS 56±23 44±29 60±26 29±15 Minimum (X, Y, Z) NS NS NS 72±27 63±29 51±20 55±19 Composite MI, myocardial infarction; SMVT, sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia. Values are mean±SD. Group 1 vs. group 3 <0.01 <0.05 NS <0.01 NS Group 2 vs. group 4 NS <0.05 NS NS <0.05 786 Circulation Vol 86, No 3 September 1992 TABLE 5. Multivariate Analysis: Stepwise Logistic Regression Analysis Variable Coefficient p LAS30 (high-pass filter setting, 80 Hz) <0.05 -0.11 Area ratio <0.05 -0.01 (starting point, 20 msec before QRS offset) Constant 6.2 LAS30, duration of low-amplitude signals of <30 ,V. induction of sustained monomorphic VT, patients' psychological stress, and the potential morbidity of electrophysiological testing, improved noninvasive methods for selecting patients for programmed ventricular stimulation are needed. The present study reveals that the combined use of time and frequency domain analysis of SAECG is the most accurate predictor of inducible sustained monomorphic VT. Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 14, 2017 Previous Studies Many investigators'9-23 have reported a strong correlation between SAECG variables and inducibility of sustained monomorphic VT. However, the results were limited by the patient selection bias that existed in most of these studies. In most previous studies,19-21,23 the patients evaluated included those presenting with sustained VT, nonsustained VT, or syncope. We believe that to determine the usefulness of SAECG as a screening test for programmed ventricular stimulation after MI, the study population should be patients without clinical ventricular tachyarrhythmias. Patients with clinical ventricular tachyarrhythmias do not require screening tests because they are already known to be candidates for programmed ventricular stimulation. In the present study, MI patients without clinical sustained ventricular tachyarrhythmias were analyzed to determine the predictors of inducible sustained monomorphic VT. Denniss et a122 evaluated 306 patients with recent MI and no spontaneous ventricular tachyarrhythmias and reported that as a predictor of the presence of inducible sustained VT, QRS duration >140 msec had a sensitivity of 72%, a specificity of 78%, and a predictive accuracy of 76%. However, they examined only QRS duration, and their programmed ventricular stimulation protocol was limited to use of two extrastimuli. Enhancing the Predictive Accuracy by Combining the SAECG Variables In previous reports, SAECG parameters of either time domain or frequency domain were used singly to predict inducibility, and predictive accuracies were calculated by single cutoff values. In general, however, it is difficult to determine single cutoff values because of numerous crossover data points. By using generous criteria of one variable, one would increase sensitivity, but specificity would decrease, and by strict criteria, specificity would increase but sensitivity would decrease. In the present study, the combined use of LAS30 (high-pass filter setting, 80 Hz) and area ratio (area 20-50 Hz/area 0-20 Hzx 10') reduced the false-positive and false-negative results and enhanced predictive accuracy. Concerning the filter settings, Caref et a123 reported that the combination of time domain variables A LAS 30 (80Hz) Ai , .0-1.1 . O.9 . 37 40 0.8 _ 0.7 a 0.6 - 0.5 7 i 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 04 0.5 0U6 0.7 U8 0.9 1.10 FALSE-POSITIVE RATI0 B AREA RATIO 1.0 0.9- - - 52 o or 0.4-- 190 0.50.6- 2 B- C - 30 0.3 0.2 350 0.1 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.7 U 0.9 1.1 ,o FALSE-POSITIVE RATIO P [VT] X E We $4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 FALSE-OSITIVE RATIO FIGURE 1. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for the three signal-averaged ECG measurements with the strongest relation to outcome of electrophysiological study: duration of low-amplitude signals <30 gVat 80-Hz high-pass filtering (LAS30 [80Hz], panel A), area ratio with the sampling interval starting 20 msec before QRS offset (panel B), and predicted probabilities of inducible sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia (p[VT]) determined by a logistic regression model (panel C). Cutoff values were selected for each measurement by inspecting the curve and identifying the point at which true-positive ratio is maximized while maintaining a false-positive ratio c50%. Arrows indicate thesepoints on ROC curves. Values for measurements are indicated along ROC curves. Nogami et al Signal-Averaged ECG in MI A , 120 A2 <"u - C 00 0n 0 r <UlDt r - Iw 1Dr 787 U[l- *0 0 D: 00 0 00 A al F 0 00 0 00 o0 a000 00 00 40 I .a- Lat A OA_ £ 201- 0 L~~ 00 ,,0 A- 20 ~ t3 mRI GoRWm - 00 ORWI R WIV Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 14, 2017 B -- -o0 0 LA AL. 0.2 ~~~~~~~ALA -a Ow 00 o00 LA & AflGL4£,& 09 080 000 IRGOWI FIGURE 2. Panel A: Individual data points for duration of low-amplitude signals <30 gV at 80 Hz high-pass filtering (LAS30 [80Hz]). Dashed line indicates cutoff criterion identified by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Vertical bars represent 1 SD. Panel B: Individual data points for area ratio with the sampling interval starting 20 msec before QRS offset. Values are plotted along the log scale (y axis). Dashed line indicates cutoff criterion identified by ROC analysis. Box shows the median and the 25th and 75th quartiles for the data, and whiskers show the range of the data. Panel C: Predicted probabilities ofinducible sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia (P[VT1) determined by a logistic regression model. Dashed line indicates cutoff criterion identified by ROC analysis. 'I GROWU GROUPM RPIV analyzed at different filter settings enhanced the of the technique. accu- racy Cycle Length of Induced VT Interestingly, there were significant differences in time domain variables between patients with inducible slower VT (cycle length 2250 msec) and faster VT (cycle length <250 msec) but no significant differences in the frequency domain variables (area ratios or factors of normality). Because the inducible slower monomorphic VT appears to have more sinister prognostic implications,10l11l7,18 time domain variables may be more useful predictors than frequency domain variables from this point of view. Multivariate analysis to find independent predictors of inducible slow sustained VT could not be performed in this study because of the small number of patients with inducible slow VT (n =6). Although it did not reach a significant level, p(VT) was higher in the slow VT group (0.76±0.24) than in the fast VT group (0.52±0.29). MI Patients With Clinical VT and Normal Control Subjects In the present study, MI patients with clinically documented sustained monomorphic VT (group 1) as positive controls and normal control subjects (group 4) were also evaluated. The p(VT) function determined all group 1 patients as positive and 29 of 30 group 4 subjects as negative, although there were many false-positives (positives in group 4) and false-negatives (negatives in group 1) when a single SAECG variable was used. The patients with clinical VT were already known to be candidates for programmed ventricular stimulation. However, this demonstrates the accuracy of this function. Implications for Clinical Management The results of this study indicate that SAECG can be applied in patients after MI with high sensitivity and high negative predictive value for inducible sustained monomorphic VT. This is ideal in this clinical circumstance because it identifies a large group of patients who have a low probability of inducible VT by programmed ventricular stimulation. Also identified is a second group with a higher probability of inducible VT who can be evaluated more fully with programmed stimulation in the hope of selecting those who would benefit from antiarrhythmic treatment. Limitations To determine the significance of SAECG for prediction of inducible VT by programmed ventricular stim- 788 Circulation Vol 86, No 3 September 1992 TABLE 6. Comparison Between Subgroups of Group 2 Inducible SMVT CL<250 msec CL2250 msec Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 14, 2017 Variable f-QRS (25 Hz) (msec) f-QRS (40 Hz) (msec) f-QRS (80 Hz) (msec) LAS40 (25 Hz) (msec) LAS40 (40 Hz) (msec) LAS30 (80 Hz) (msec) LAS40 (80 Hz) (msec) RMS40 (25 Hz) (,uV) RMS60 (25 Hz) (I.V) RMS40 (40 Hz) (,V) RMS60 (40 Hz) (,V) RMS40 (80 Hz) (gV) RMS60 (80 Hz) (,rV) Area ratio ES=1, 2 Inducible SMVT ES=3 (n=6) (n=8) p (n=5) (n=9) 136±40 125±27 121±28 58±25 55±14 61±22 63±21 12±8 32±26 11±10 24±13 6±3 15±7 145 108±13 108±14 104±15 28±9 36±9 48±23 52±21 43±23 137±59 23±11 65±32 14±8 29±14 120 NS NS NS 0.05 0.01 NS NS <0.01 <0.01 <0.05 <0.05 <0.05 <0.05 NS 134±49 124±34 120±36 48±36 45±20 55±28 62±23 30±31 76±69 19±16 40±34 14±8 22±13 102 (55, 210) (78, 278) 58±28 55±25 69+32 112±9 110±9 107±10 37±12 43±12 53±20 53±20 29±21 101±74 17±9 51±33 11±9 24±14 132 (54, 334) 64±32 57±29 65±32 46±31 51±17 0.63±0.31 p NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS (67, 205) NS 79±23 NS NS 45±31 NS NS 72±37 NS 42+23 NS 41±27 NS 53+23 NS 63±21 NS 0.52±0.29 NS 0.60±0.27 NS ventricular tachycardia; CL, cycle length; ES, number of extrastimuli required to initiate ventricular tachycardia; f-QRS, filtered QRS duration; LASx, duration of low-amplitude signals of <x ,uV; RMSx, root-mean-square voltage of the terminal x msec of the filtered QRS complex; NF, factor of normality; p(VT), predicted probability of inducible sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia. Values except area ratios are mean±SD. Area ratios are medians; 25th to 75th percentile range in parentheses. NF (lead X) NF (lead Y) NF (lead Z) NF (minimum X, Y, Z) NF (composite) p(VT) SMVT, sustained monomorphic 84±27 49±36 66+37 48+37 59±12 0.76±0.24 ulation, the following need to be taken into account: 1) changes in the inducibility of VT after MI,11 2) changes in the variables of SAECG after MI,24 and 3) the relation between SAECG parameters and the site of the MI.25 When the inducibility of VT and SAECG varies over time, the prediction of inducibility should also be considered to be time dependent. In the present study, only the inducibility of sustained monomorphic VT on day 36 after MI was evaluated by SAECG on day 36 after MI. The presence of an abnormal SAECG is strongly determined by the site of the MI. Nearly twice as many patients with inferior wall MI have abnormal SAECG parameters as patients with anterior wall MI.25 Prediction of inducible VT should be studied in a large number of patients with each type of MI. In the present study, the incidence of inducible sustained monomorphic VT was higher (35%) than in previous studies. Up to three extrastimuli during two paced ventricular cycle lengths were used to initiate VT, and all sustained VTs with any cycle lengths were included in group 2. Reproducibility of VT was not tested in this study. However, a higher incidence of inducibility in this study might be a result of the smaller sample size. The incidence of inducible sustained monomorphic VT in our hospitals was reported to be 23-25% in a large number of patients when the same ventricular stimulation protocol was used.10" Conclusions In summary, the combined use of frequency domain and time domain analysis of SAECG can enhance the accuracy of this technique as a screening test for the results of programmed ventricular stimulation in MI patients without clinical ventricular tachyarrhythmias. Acknowledgment We thank John J. Rozanski, MD, Cleveland Clinic Florida, Ft. Lauderdale, Fla., for his helpful discussion. References 1. Rozanski JJ, Mortara D, Myerburg RJ, Castellanos A: Body surface detection of delayed depolarizations in patients with recurrent ventricular tachycardia and left ventricular aneurysm. Circulation 1981;63:1172-1178 2. Simson MB: Use of signals in the terminal QRS complex to identify patients with ventricular tachycardia after myocardial infarction. Circulation 1986;74:731-745 3. 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Kanovsky MS, Falcone RA, Dresden CA, Josephson ME, Simson MB: Identification of patients with ventricular tachycardia after myocardial infarction: Signal-averaged electrocardiogram, Holter monitoring, and cardiac catheterization. Circulation 1984;70: 264-270 20. Nalos PC, Gang ES, Mandel WJ, Landenheim ML, Lass Y, Peter T: The signal-averaged electrocardiogram as a screening test for inducibility of sustained ventricular tachycardia in high risk patients: A prospective study. Am J Coll Cardiol 1987;9:539-548 21. Lindsay BD, Ambos HD, Schechtman KB, Cain ME: Improved selection of patients for programmed ventricular stimulation by frequency analysis of signal-averaged electrocardiograms. Circulation 1986;73:675-683 22. Denniss AR, Richards DA, Cody DV, Russell PA, Young AA, Ross DL, Uther JB: Correlation between signal-averaged electrocardiogram and programmed stimulation in patients with and without spontaneous ventricular tachyarrhythmias. Am J Cardiol 1987; 59:586-590 23. Caref EB, Turitto G, Ibrahim BB, Henkin R, El-Sherif N: Role of bandpass filters in optimizing the value of the signal-averaged electrocardiogram as a predictor of the results of programmed stimulation. Am J Cardiol 1989;64:16-26 24. Kuchar DL, Thorburn CW, Sammel NL: Late potentials detected after myocardial infarction: Natural history and prognostic significance. Circulation 1986;74:1280-1289 25. Gomes JA, Winters SL, Martinson M, Machac J, Stewart D, Targonski A: The prognostic significance of quantitative signalaveraged variables relative to clinical variables, site of myocardial infarction, ejection fraction and ventricular premature beats: A prospective study. JAm Coll Cardiol 1989;13:377-384 Combined use of time and frequency domain variables in signal-averaged ECG as a predictor of inducible sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia in myocardial infarction. A Nogami, Y Iesaka, J Akiyama, A Takahashi, J Nitta, Y Chun, K Aonuma, M Hiroe, F Marumo and M Hiraoka Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 14, 2017 Circulation. 1992;86:780-789 doi: 10.1161/01.CIR.86.3.780 Circulation is published by the American Heart Association, 7272 Greenville Avenue, Dallas, TX 75231 Copyright © 1992 American Heart Association, Inc. All rights reserved. Print ISSN: 0009-7322. Online ISSN: 1524-4539 The online version of this article, along with updated information and services, is located on the World Wide Web at: http://circ.ahajournals.org/content/86/3/780 Permissions: Requests for permissions to reproduce figures, tables, or portions of articles originally published in Circulation can be obtained via RightsLink, a service of the Copyright Clearance Center, not the Editorial Office. 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