Introduction to Lifestyle Planning Why you need an investment strategy to provide future income. Contents Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................... 3 Are you one of the lucky few?..................................................................................................................................... 4 How much will we need to live comfortably in the future?.......................................................................................... 6 Our family home should be worth $1 million by then. Does that mean we’re OK?...................................................... 7 The income curve – why you need to act now............................................................................................................ 8 Why a comfortable future depends on a wealth creation strategy................................................................................ 9 Longevity and the health care crisis............................................................................................................................. 10 The rising cost of health.............................................................................................................................................. 11 Why not just keep working?........................................................................................................................................ 12 How much time have you got left?.............................................................................................................................. 14 What’s it to be?........................................................................................................................................................... 16 Getting started............................................................................................................................................................ 17 2 © McCarthy Group 2011 Introduction Have you ever wondered why some people seem to have all the luck when it comes to their financial affairs, while others who work hard throughout their lives end up with relatively little? Do you ever stop and wonder just how you are ever going to be able to save for the future, when everything you earn just seems to disappear and there’s nothing left at month end? If the challenge of simply making ends meet already feels like all you are able to manage, what needs to change so that you can provide for the future, particularly as we move through tough economic times? If this sounds like you, rest assured you are certainly not alone! The good news first of all is that we are fortunate to live in a country that stands out like a shining beacon in a dark and troubled world. Stephen McCarthy CEO McCarthy Group We appreciate our stability, strong economy, our natural resources, good governance, beautiful environment, and the opportunity to have a fair go. Compared to the rest of the world, who wouldn’t want to live in ‘the Lucky Country’? Despite all that we have going for us, however, there is a massive difference between the lifestyles enjoyed by those who are still at work, and those who have retired. Government data shows that nine out of every ten Australians retire into circumstances that are not financially comfortable. In fact, they could be characterised as economic hardship. Why is this the case? Could it happen to you? We answer these questions, and many more, in this introductory guide that explains just how important it is for you to have a proper plan in place to support your retirement. We will look at key issues like: • The income shortfall most people face • How much you’ll need as an asset base for a comfortable retirement • The income curve and how it drops when work stops • How increased longevity increases your income needs • The reality of our ageing population and what it means for you • The importance of time, and how much you need to grow your asset base • How to get started on an investment strategy. The bottom line is that we would like to alert you to the reality that confronts most Australians, and give you the opportunity to do something about it while you still have the time. Further good news is that despite the challenges that lie ahead, there is a solution, and McCarthy Group can help you to get started, and support you each step of the way. I trust that you will find this guide to be helpful, and wish you every success at the start of your investment journey! Stephen McCarthy 3 © McCarthy Group 2011 Are you one of the lucky few? If you are fortunate, you will be amongst the 10 per cent of Australians who will have a source of income that enables a comfortable standard of living in the years after work has stopped. 90% 10% The good news is that through McCarthy Group’s Lifestyle Planning process, you will have the opportunity to get an exact fix on your current situation, and be able to project forwards, to see your likely future position. We call it ‘The Helicopter View’ because it feels like you have gone fast forward in time, and can then look down to get a clear view of your overall situation. The bad news is that for most people we see, the picture looks something like this: Most Australians’ super will provide only 20% of their required income Income shortfall 80% If you are like the vast majority, however, when employment stops so too does the monthly income. When this happens, superannuation, savings, investments and the aged pension are often inadequate, even together, for anything more than the most basic of living standards. That might not sound like the right ending to the Great Australian Dream, but unfortunately, that’s reality for most people in retirement. Income provided The chart below shows the increasing reliance on government pensions and allowances through retirement as income from super and other sources is exhausted. The picture for retired women is even worse. 20% Main source of personal income Retired men – aged 45 and over How we finish up in this situation has a lot to do with what we are taught when growing up, and the value system we learnt from our parents and others. For example: % • “Debt is a bad thing” 100 80 Government pensions and allowances Superannuation/annuity/allocated pension Other income e.g. income from dividends or rental property Nil or negative income • “Rich people aren’t nice” • “We don’t deserve more than we have” • “The government will look after us” 60 • “Investing is only for smart people” 40 • “We’re doing all we can with the money we earn” 20 0 • “We’ll increase our retirement provisions when the kids are out of the house” 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20 or more • “It’s best to pay off the mortgage first.” Years since retirement Source: Australian Social Trends, March 2009. At http://www.abs.gov.au/AUSSTATS/[email protected]/Lookup/4102.0Main+Features50March%202009, 20/02/2009. 4 © McCarthy Group 2011 Procrastination is also a major cause. We all have a tendency to put off important things that need doing when they aren’t really urgent, in favour of other more pressing, short term ‘things to do’, even if they are lower in overall importance. So the important stuff just doesn’t get done. We won’t explore these unhelpful thought and behaviour patterns right now. Instead, we will focus on the outcomes, and look at how your own retirement funding is developing. Take comfort in the knowledge that if you do face an unpleasant surprise once your future financial position becomes clear, you still have the opportunity to do something about it, as time is on your side. We should also point out that the Lifestyle Planning model is not only focused on creating sufficient income for a comfortable retirement. It’s far broader than that, 5 © McCarthy Group 2011 and our goal is to help you set your financial goals and priorities, and develop a strategy that will allow you to achieve them. Your priorities could include, for example, the education of your children, an overseas trip, a new car every five years, becoming a stay-at-home mum when your children are a certain age, or renovations for the family home. If the creation of a future source of income seems to be the focus of our model, this is because it is the single most important requirement for a comfortable retirement. If you can achieve sufficient retirement income, do you think you’ll be able to achieve your other financial goals as well? How much will we need to live comfortably in the future? When asked the question “how much money will you need in retirement?” people often reply that they simply want to be “Just comfortable. Not rich, just comfortable.” Let’s put this on the table right now, so that there are no misunderstandings about just what we are talking about, and how difficult ‘just being comfortable’ is going to be for most people to achieve. Many people we speak to feel that they could be comfortable if they had an income of 70% of their current net earnings. Let’s suggest a figure of $50,000 per annum, after tax, as a reasonable target for a couple. That’s probably less than you are currently living on. Then again, the kids will be off your hands, your living expenses will be down, and with a bit of belt-tightening, you should be all right. Or will you? Let’s assume that today was your last day of work. What size investments or asset base would you need to enable an annual income of $50,000 per annum? The answer is quite simple. At an average annual return of 5%, you would need a lump sum of $1 million. This could be in the form of superannuation, shares, cash, property, or a combination. Do you have $1 million, to enable an income of $50,000 per annum once you’ve stopped work? This doesn’t include the value of your home, however, for reasons we’ll share with you later. less, at $18,500.1 Women typically have less due to interrupting their careers to have children. They are also more likely to have a casual or part-time job, where their income may fall below the $450 required for employer super contributions. The age pension amounts to $1011.42 per fortnight for a couple ($505.70 per person), and with an everincreasing pool of retirees who will need to draw on it, would you agree that the chances of any meaningful increases in the future are very remote? Even taken together, super and the age pension are not enough to sustain you comfortably through two or three decades of retirement. The typical super provision is only enough to last three or four years, never mind decades! What happens after that? You guessed it – eking out a meagre existence on the age pension, or living with the support of the children. Super and the age pension provide people with false hope and a false sense of security. This needs to be unmasked and shown for what it is. Assuming that super and the aged pension will somehow ‘be there’ when needed is a total misconception that deceives people, and prevents them from taking the right action at the right time. Unfortunately, by the time they discover the truth, it’s usually too late to do anything about it. We need to bear in mind that $50,000 in today’s money will be over $60,000 in just five years’ time. That will mean you’ll need assets of $1.2 million by then. The effect of inflation is dramatic, but because it sneaks up on us at only 4 per cent a year, we lose sight of how it adds up over time, and leaves us short. “Inflation is as violent as a mugger, as frightening as an armed robber and as deadly as a hitman.” Are you likely to have an asset base of $1 million to support a retirement income of $50,000 a year? – Ronald Reagan, former US President. Unfortunately, it’s likely that you won’t. Here’s why: right now the average Australian male has a balance of $31,250 in his super fund, with women having even 6 © McCarthy Group 2011 You might know people right now who can relate to this situation. However, in our personal lives, we protect ourselves from negative things by saying to ourselves, “It’ll never happen to me.” 1 A Fairer go for Women and Super. At http://www.superannuation.asn.au/ mr091124-2/default.aspx, 24/11/2009. 2 Centrelink. At http://www.centrelink.gov.au/internet/internet.nsf/payments/ age_rates.htm, 18/03/2011. Our family home should be worth $1 million by then. Does that mean we’re OK? Unfortunately the answer is “no.” For many families, when the work cheques come to an end it doesn’t mean that the family mortgage has been paid off. Many couples still have to keep paying the mortgage once they have retired. Yes, there is equity that has built up in the home, but you still need somewhere to live. Even if you sell the home, and downsize, there are costs involved, and at the end of the day, you can’t ‘eat’ your home. We recommend that the value of the family home is kept out of the future value equation. That said, it could play a valuable role, for example in enabling other investments to take place, without risk, as part of a wealth building strategy. 7 © McCarthy Group 2011 Did you read the shock report of the Productivity Commission in December 2010, recommending that elderly people sell the family home, so they can fund their future aged care costs? Is this how you thought it would play out? After a lifetime of hard work, and paying off the mortgage and interest for all those years, that you would then have to sell your home, and give the money to the government to pay for your aged care costs? Me neither. Thankfully there are alternatives, as we will see. The income curve – why you need to act now The chart below reflects a typical income curve. A year 12 school-leaver in their first job will naturally be on a low starting salary, probably the lowest of any time in their working career. Over time, with wage inflation, job experience, and with promotions and new opportunities, income rises steadily. Most of us reach our peak earnings somewhere between 40 and 55. Once we retire, the curve flattens out for a few years as we use up our superannuation funds. Once these reserves are exhausted, our income plummets and reaches a point where the average retiree has significantly less income than when they were straight out of school! The income curve – ABS March 2009.4 Please stop for a moment and reflect on what you have just read. Think of your current income and expenses, and ask yourself how long a lump sum payout of $60,000 would last in support of your current lifestyle? You also need to appreciate that once this has gone, there is only the government’s age pension to fall back on, which at $505.705 per week for a couple, is inadequate for anything beyond the most basic existence. While some people we talk to regard 65 per cent of current income as the absolute minimum they would need to come out comfortably, without making too many sacrifices, the majority feel that 70 to 80 per cent is more realistic. 140000 120000 100000 Income Receiving a superannuation benefit does not necessarily guarantee a comfortable standard of retirement living. In 2007, 78% of the 206,700 retired Australians who had received a lump sum superannuation payment within the previous four years had received less than $60,000. 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 66 72 78 Age 84 Without a clear plan most people won’t get close to this target, or reach their full potential. They will never be financially free the way they would like to be. 80 per cent will claim they are not truly happy simply because of a lack of money. This is a direct result of going through life oblivious to what lies ahead, as if they are unconscious, asleep at the wheel, or in denial. Do you know anyone like this? To illustrate, the minimum wage before tax is $15 per hour, or $570 per week. The age pension as at 3 June 2011 is $335.453 per week (single person) and $252.85 per week for each person in a couple Yes, you read it correctly. $335.45 per week. Many people assume that somehow the age pension and their super will provide enough for them to live on. In other words, that ‘the system’ will provide for them. Unfortunately this is not the case. The income curve chart plummets as it does because the funds in superannuation are inadequate to go the distance, and the age pension is so low. This is spelt out in the following Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) extract. Centrelink. At http://www.centrelink.gov.au/internet/internet.nsf/payments/age_rates.htm, 18/03/2011. Australian Social Trends, March 2009. At http://www.abs.gov.au/AUSSTATS/[email protected]/Lookup/4102.0Main+Features70March%202009, 25/03/2009. Centrelink. At http://www.centrelink.gov.au/internet/internet.nsf/payments/age_rates.htm, 18/03/2011. 3 4 5 8 © McCarthy Group 2011 Why a comfortable future depends on a wealth creation strategy “Give a man a fish and feed him for a day, show him how to fish and feed him for a lifetime.” – Anon. It is a fact that over 90 per cent of all Australians are under-provided when it comes time to retire. This is very sad, because it means that: • They will have a significant drop in lifestyle when their income stops • They will have inadequate resources to fall back on due to a lack of preparation in the years when they were earning, and • They will be a burden for the government and for future generations. 9 © McCarthy Group 2011 This is the situation today. This is reality for hundreds of thousands of retirees, and the first of the huge wave of baby boomers are only starting to retire this year (at the time of writing, April 2011), as they turn 65. The only way to ensure that you don’t end up short is to change your thinking about the future, and take action now to ensure you lay the foundations for building your wealth during your working years. Longevity and the health care crisis The increase in lifespan due to improvements in medical care and awareness of healthy living and lifestyle means that many future retirees will live well into their eighties and nineties. This is good news, but it does mean we face an increasing period where we will need to fund ourselves after our monthly pay cheques have ended. An unintended consequence of our living longer is the dramatic increase in the numbers of retirees and the worrying reduction in the number of people in the workforce to support them. The latest projections are that by 2050 there will only be 2.7 people of working age to support each person over the age of 65.6 That is a significant reduction from the five people working to support each retiree today, and the 7.5 people who did so in 1970. This has a double impact on the government’s budget. Number of people to support retirees 8 7 7.5 6 5 5 4 3 • Firstly, more retirees will be reliant on a pension for their daily needs. 2 • Secondly, the health care costs will be under increasing pressure, as they have to fund more and more retirees, living longer, and expecting the best treatment. 1 2.7 0 1970 2010 2050 Source: Swan, W. Australia to 2050: future challenges. At http://www.treasury.gov.au/igr/igr2010/report/pdf/IGR_2010.pdf, 2010. 6 PM warns of ageing population time bomb. At http://www.smh.com.au/national/pm-warns-of-ageing-population-time-bomb-20100118-mgst.html, 18/01/2010. 10 © McCarthy Group 2011 The rising cost of health Recent Treasury forecasts show that health spending will rise to 7.1 per cent of GDP by 2050, compared to 4 per cent today. This means $7,210 per person per annum (in today’s dollars) compared with current spending of $2,290.7 The costs of aged care will also increase in similar proportions. The government has projected that the cost of aged care will quadruple from $460 per person today, to $1,840 in 2050. This cost for aged care includes: accommodating half a million elderly people in nursing homes, as well as personal care and living expenses. Taxpayers’ contribution to fund these expenses will increase from 0.8 per cent of GDP to 1.8 per cent.8 This excludes the personal contribution made by elderly people towards the cost of their care. These changes are set out in the chart below. Federal expenses (% GDP) These are very disturbing trends. Australia is not alone in this, with many countries facing a huge increase in the number of retirees who will need to be supported, and the huge cost of doing so. We have already seen the riots in France and Portugal when laws were tabled to raise the retirement age from 60 to 62, with people protesting violently as they realise they are going to get far less in the future than they thought previously. Parisians riot as government raises retirement age! 8 6 4 2 Health Age-related pensions Aged care Other income support Education 2009-10 2049-50 Source: Swan, W. Australia to 2050: future challenges. At http://www.treasury.gov.au/igr/igr2010/report/pdf/IGR_2010.pdf, 2010. Defence Our government is facing a crisis of funding as our life spans keep increasing, health care costs keep rising, and as there are fewer and fewer people in the workforce to support all the retirees. What seems certain is that there will be no money to increase what is paid to pensioners, meaning that unless you develop a plan to provide future income, you need to be prepared to go without. Prime Minister Rudd’s Keynote Address at the launch of Organ and Tissue Donor Awareness Week. At http://pmrudd.archive.dpmc.gov.au/taxonomy/term/10?page=4, 23/02/2010. Colebatch, T. “Secrets to ageing gracefully” at http://www.smh.com.au/national/secrets-to-ageing-gainfully-20110107-19ix3.html, 8/1/2011. 7 8 11 © McCarthy Group 2011 Why not just keep working? The best solution that the government has come up with so far is to legislate to keep us working by increasing the retirement age. This has already happened in the 2010 budget, where the retirement age was increased from 65 to 67. I am sure this is not the sort of development that you had in mind! That won’t be the end of it either, given the numbers involved, and the increased costs in health and longevity. An official retirement age of 70 could soon be on the cards, and I recently heard one of our political leaders suggesting 72 as a possibility! 12 © McCarthy Group 2011 This ‘work longer’ option is very attractive for the government. Each additional year you spend working means: • One more year of super that goes into your retirement savings account • One year less that the government has to pay you support • One more year of taxes for the government to receive • An alleviation of the skills shortage and wage pressure facing this country. How do you feel about having to extend your working life by a further two, three or even five years, simply because there will be too many people of a similar age and life stage by then? This will come at a time when you’ll feel you’ve already worked long enough, and when you were really looking forward to starting a new phase in life, with fewer responsibilities and at last, the time available to do the things that you never had time for before. The graph below shows the changing shape of our population over the period ahead. There is nothing that will change these facts. It is important for you to be aware of them, and understand the implications. It is precisely this knowledge about what lies ahead that may encourage you to make the decision to change your current course, and take actions that will enable you to retire earlier than 65, at a time you choose, with the income needed to support a long and comfortable life. Our ageing population % of population, by age group 100 2 12 2 14% 14 3 16% 18 4 21% 19 5 23% 80 20 25% 60 67 66 63 61 60 40 85 and over 65-84 15-64 0-14 20 19 18 16 16 15 2007 2017 2027 2037 2047 0 Source: The Sun Herald, 22/11/2009, pp.56, 57. Do these future projections come as a shock to you? If so, why do you have to worry about them right now? Can’t you put them aside for a while and deal with them later? The answer comes back to the word ‘time’, which in the field of investment, is the biggest influence on your prospects of future success. When you run out of time, you run out of options. As the saying goes, “When you’ve got the money, you haven’t got the time. When you have the time, you haven’t got the money.” 13 © McCarthy Group 2011 “He that lives upon hope will die fasting.” – Benjamin Franklin. How much time have you got left? The chart below has six boxes, with each box representing 15 years of your life. (We have taken 90 as a good yardstick to aim for, as this is becoming increasingly likely in terms of current life spans and projections). Years in your life: 1 16 31 46 61 76 2 17 32 47 62 77 3 18 33 48 63 78 4 19 34 49 64 79 5 20 35 50 65 80 6 21 36 51 66 81 7 22 37 52 67 82 8 23 38 53 68 83 9 24 39 54 69 84 10 25 40 55 70 85 11 26 41 56 71 86 12 27 42 57 72 87 13 28 43 58 73 88 14 29 44 59 74 89 15 30 45 60 75 90 Where are you on this chart? Just starting out? Somewhere in the middle? Take a moment to work out where you are. Then cross out the numbers that represent your life to date. Now highlight the years that you plan to spend in retirement. The area that is left open are the years that you have left to develop and implement an effective wealth creation strategy to provide you with a comfortable lifestyle through your retirement years. “The time to repair the roof is when the sun is still shining.” – John F. Kennedy, former US President. 14 © McCarthy Group 2011 “An idea that is developed and put into action is more important than an idea that exists only as an idea.” – Buddha. Let’s say you are 40 years old now, and that you plan to retire at 60. That means you have 20 years to go. That also means 240 more pay cheques. That might sound like a lot, but how much are you saving from each pay cheque right now? If you are like most people, and spending all that you earn, and then a bit more on credit, will you ever save enough to carry you through three or four decades of retirement? That’s why unhappy endings are far more common than happy endings. The good news is that there is a way, and we will work through it with you step-by-step. The important thing to grasp right now is that you have a major challenge ahead. The first step in solving it is to understand the nature of what is happening, and the situation that you will find yourself in unless you decide to take action to create the required change, starting now. There’s nothing to be gained in putting things off, or procrastinating. All this will lead to is lost time and lost opportunity. 15 © McCarthy Group 2011 Having been made aware of these big picture realities that are being played out across Australia every minute of every day, you have two choices. Firstly, to forget about them, and hope that something will happen to change things in your own situation, like a big win in Lotto (at odds of about one in 27 million) or an unexpected inheritance. Or secondly, to face the situation, and resolve to meet the challenge in the interests of your whole family, and in the interests of the quality of life you deserve after a lifetime of work. “Lost years are worse than lost dollars.” – Yiddish proverb. What’s it to be? “The longest journey starts with the first step.” We are going to make the assumption that you feel you deserve a financially secure and comfortable retirement. The next step, therefore, is to zoom in on your personal situation, and put together the picture that holds true for you, to see if you are headed in the right direction. – Lao Tzu. We will help you take this first step by presenting your financial future to you in the space of 20 minutes. We will then work through the analysis and the implications of your situation with you. Once you have made a start, you are on your way. If you then continue the journey, you will end up in a very different place from where you are currently headed, of that you can be sure. “Give me six hours to chop down a tree and I will spend the first four sharpening the axe.” – Abraham Lincoln. This is the process that we are now beginning. Planning and strategy are the keys. Ask yourself the following: • Would a pilot leave on a trip without a prepared flight plan? • Would a builder start work without an approved design? The answer is clearly, “no.” Therefore it’s ironic that when it comes to our own lives, so many people simply live from day to day, without clear goals, without a plan, simply flowing wherever the river of life chooses to take them. Lifestyle Planning is all about taking charge and developing a wealth creation strategy that can help you achieve life-changing results. Having read this Introduction to Lifestyle Planning, you may well appreciate why it is so important for you to develop a future source of income to replace your employment income when work stops. However, we have seen that while everyone would hope to reach this position, few actually achieve it. The reason is that a concrete strategy is needed to turn hopes and dreams into reality. “To accomplish great things, we must not only act but also dream, not only plan but also believe.” , ten to be in five you want e? Where do years tim or twenty Planning Lifestylyeinto the future A journe 20 30 The Helicopter View 40 50 80 The Gap 6 Missing Income goal −•• • • Asset base required % 5 Have Asset base required Months left in workforce Total taxation 3 This is the gap between what you have and what you need. This is the future asset base required to maintain your standard of living. Total career earnings 3 Estimated superannuation (A+B) 9 Income from total assets Other assets 7 + Shortfall or surplus from future asset base required Your savings commitment Save X % ROI of income = 5% 10% 15% = Total assets Lifestyle Planning fold fold fold Total mortgage payments 2 © McCarthy Group 2011 70 Future e to ask 4 ybe it’s tim know, ma estions. goaldon’t qu you IfIncome rse5lf a few − % ROI you For illustrative purposes this is the asset base required to maintain your living standards if today was the day you retired. 16 60 Today for: Prepared Getting started We have seen that while we would all hope to be in a position where we can retire in relative comfort, only a small fraction of the population actually achieves this. Why is that the case? In our view, it’s because most people are too busy earning a living to set aside the time needed to ensure there is sufficient income when work stops. As mentioned in our introduction, the good news is that there is a solution. Since 1999, McCarthy Group has worked with thousands of families across Australia to analyse their current and future financial positions and develop tailored investment strategies to enable them to achieve a comfortable future. We will share more insights with you on subjects including: • The income trap – where all our money goes • How tax and our mortgage consume most of our income • How much you need for a comfortable retirement “If you can dream it, you can do it.” –17Walt Disney. © McCarthy Group 2011 • Why superannuation and the age pension can never be enough • Why we have so little invested in savings, shares and property • How inflation erodes the value of future income • Your situation, and the information you need to start your investment journey. We are also able to help you establish your financial goals and develop a tailored investment plan that sets you on the road towards achieving them, all based on your personal income, tax, mortgage, savings and overall life situation. We look forward to taking that important next step in your life journey with you, and we will be there to support you, every step of the way. For further information on how McCarthy Group can help you achieve a secure and comfortable financial future, please call us on 1300 850 318, or email us at [email protected]. Act Now Don’t put the decision off any longer. Make the first move towards becoming one of the thousands of investors whose lives have been changed forever. For a free consultation with absolutely no obligation, contact McCarthy Group today on 1300 850 318, or email us at [email protected] It could be the most valuable call you’ll ever make. McCarthy Group Pty Limited ACN 086 284 826 Building 2, Suite 2.01 35 Waterloo Rd Macquarie Park NSW 2113 PO Box 42 North Ryde BC NSW 1670 T 1300 850 318 F 02 9687 3610 E [email protected] www.mccarthygroup.com.au
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz