Population Management of Bears in North America Author(s): Sterling D. Miller Source: Bears: Their Biology and Management, Vol. 8, A Selection of Papers from the Eighth International Conference on Bear Research and Management, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada, February 1989 (1990), pp. 357-373 Published by: International Association of Bear Research and Management Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3872940 Accessed: 03/01/2009 20:41 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use. Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at http://www.jstor.org/action/showPublisher?publisherCode=iba. Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. JSTOR is a not-for-profit organization founded in 1995 to build trusted digital archives for scholarship. We work with the scholarly community to preserve their work and the materials they rely upon, and to build a common research platform that promotes the discovery and use of these resources. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. International Association of Bear Research and Management is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Bears: Their Biology and Management. http://www.jstor.org POPULATION OF BEARSINNORTHAMERICA1 MANAGEMENT STERLING D. MILLER, Alaska Department of Fish and Game, 333 Raspberry Rd., Anchorage, AK 99518-1599 Abstr-act: Population management for black bears (Utrsus amer-icanus), brown-grizzly bears (U. arctos) and polar bears (U. maritimus) in North America is reviewed. In differentareasbearpopulationsare managedto achieve goals of populationcontrol,conservation,or sustainedyield. Most NorthAmericanbearsare managedfor sustainedyields andthis topic is emphasized.The consequenceof errorin populationmanagementis highas bearsreproduceslowly andreducedpopulationswill require many years to recover. Simulationresultswhere reproductiverates were generous,naturalmortalityrates were low, and harvestswere 75% of maximumsustainable ratesindicatedthatpopulationsreducedby half will require>40 yearsto recoverfor brown(grizzly) bearsand >17 yearsfor blackbears. Underoptimalconditionsfor reproduction,naturalmortality,andwithmalestwice as vulnerableas females,maximalsustainablehuntingmortalitywas estimatedas 5.7%of totalpopulationforgrizzly bearsand 14.2%for black bears. In recentdecades,all 3 species have obtainedthe statusof game animalsin mostjurisdictionsand managementfor controlobjectives is increasinglyuncommon. Managementfor conservationrequiresprimaryemphasison habitatprotectionand on minimizingmortalitiesfrom any source. Managers of huntedbearpopulationsuse informationfromhunters,fromsex andage compositionof killed bears,fromresearchprograms,and fromcomputersimulationstudies. Non-criticaluses of datafrom any of these sourcesmay lead to managementerror. Dataon age-at-harvestis especially proneto misinterpretation.Techniquesused to limit harvestsby managersof hunted bear populationsare reviewed. The primaryconstraintsfacing bear populationmanagementderive from inadequatehabitat protection,political pressures.technologicallimitationsof available populationmanagementtechniques.and inadequatefinancial supportfor management. Int.Conf.BearRes.andManage.8:357-373 Populationmanagementefforts designed to enhance or stabilizebearnumbersare recentin the United States and Canada. In the last centuryand early portionof the present century, black and grizzly bears were widely regardedas impediments to desired development and humansafety. Bountiesfor killing bearswere offeredin manyjurisdictions. This attitude,combinedwith habitat destruction,ledto theeliminationof grizzlybearsthroughout most of the United States except Alaska and the reductionof black bears especially in the southernand southeasternUnited States (Cowan 1972, Jonkel 1987). By the mid-19th century, polar bear populationswere also greatly reduced by markethunting for their hides (Anon. 1965, Stirling 1986). Attitudestowardsbears began to change in the 20th century. Instead of being classified as "predators"or "vermin"that could be killed indiscriminately,bears were classified as fur animalssubjectto regulatedcommercialharvests. By the 1920's, bearswere elevated to the status of "game"animals in most areas (Table 1). Typically,limitationson sale of hides, meator otherbear productscame along with game animalstatusas well as significantlimitationson huntingopportunities(seasons, bag limits, techniques,etc.). In some areasfurtherlimitations resulted when bear populations were greatly depleted. At this point populationswere classified as "threatened",the status of the grizzly in the lower 48 states,or "endangered",such as the blackbearsin Texas since 1987 (Wallace 1987). There is nothinginevitable abouta downwardtrendin bearnumbersto a threatened or endangeredstatus. For black bears,at least, popula'Invitedpaper. tionscurrentlyarestablein muchof the UnitedStatesand Canada. Also, in some regions, with formerlydepleted populationsof all 3 species, bears have recoveredto a secure status. The techniquesused in modem bearmanagementare the subjectof this paper. These techniquesareappliedto 3 general goals for population managementlisted by Caughley(1977:168): control(treatmentof a population that is too dense to stabilize or reduce its density), conservation(treatmentof a small or declining population in such a way as to raise its density), and sustained yield (exploitationto takefroma populationa long-term sustained yield of surplus animals without causing a populationdecline). Although all 3 of these goals are discussed,primaryemphasisin this paperis on sustained yield management. This paperwas preparedin responseto an invitation from F. Bunnell to prepare a plenary paper for this conference. Numerouspersonsverykindlyrespondedto my requestfor managementplansandotherinformation that describedhow bears are managedin theirjurisdictions including: S. Amstrup(AK), R. Archibald(BC), J. Beecham (ID), L. Berchielli (NY), J. Brown (MT), J. Collins (NC), A. Dood (MT). K. Elowe (MA), D. Garshelis(MN), J. Gunson(AB), R. Johnson(WA). D. Koch (CA), G. Kolenosky (ON). O. Oedekoven(WY), A. LeCount(AZ). D. Martin(VA), R. Masters(OK), C. McLaughlin(MA). E. Orff (NH), J. Pederson(UT), A. Polenz(OR).J. Rieffenberger(WV).S. Schliebe(AK),L. Schaaf(KY). C. Servheen(MT). B. Smith(YK), J. Stuht (MI). D. Taylor (AK). M. Taylor (NWT). C. Winkler (TX), andJ. Wooding(FL). K. Schneider.C. Schwartz, S. Stringham.and 3 anonymousreferees offered many valuable suggestions on an earlier draft of this manu- 358 BEARS-THEIR BIOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT Table 1. Year in which bears were declared to be game animals In different portions of North America. Dates refer to black bears except where Indicated by "G" for grizzly bear or "P" for polar bear. Location Alaska New York Pennsylvania BritishColumbia Montana Montana Oregon Texas Michigan Quebec YukonTerritory Alberta Arkansas Arizona South Carolina Arizona Wisconsin Maine Washington Alaska Vermont Colorado Manitoba Idaho California Alaska NorthwestTerritories Maryland Yukon Oklahoma Massachusetts Newfoundland Ontario New Brunswick Newfoundland Saskatchewan Nova Scotia Utah West Virginia Quebec Ontario Manitoba Newfoundland Minnesota New Hampshire Year classified as game animal 1902(G)a 1903 1905a 19093 1923 1923(G) 1925, 1970" 1925 1925 1926C 1928a 1929(G) 1927d 1927a 1927 1929(G) 1930 1931e 1933, 1969f 1939 1941 1941 1942 1943 1948g 1948(P)a 1949(P) 1949 1950(P)h 1951 1953" 1961 1961' 1961 1962 1963 1966 1967 1969 1969(P)h 1970(p)h 1970(P)h 1971(P) 1971 1983j Source 57th Cong. Sess. I Chap. 1037 Clark(1978) Alt and Lindsey (1980) Anon. 1980 Dood et al. (1986) Dood et al. (1986) Anon. (1987a) Winkler(1975) Harger(1980) Caron(1980) MacHutchonand Smith (1988) Nagy and Gunson(1988) Conley (1977) LeCount(1977) Stokes (1977) Brown (1985:154) Kohn (1982) McLaughlin(1986) Poelkerand Hartwell(1973) Code Fed. Reg. Title 50(91.1) Wiley (1978) Beck (1979) Shoesmith(1977) Beecham (1986) Anon. (1987b) Anon. (1965:51) Urquhartand Schweinsburg(1984) Taylor (1984) Stirlingand Calvert(1985) Vohs(1977) Cardoza(1978) Russell and Forsey (1978) Clarke(1961) Cartwright(1978) Mahoney(1984) R. Seguin (Sask. Parks,Recreationand Culture, Meadow Lake, pers. commun.) Patton(1978) Burruss(1979) Rieffenbergerand Alien (1978) Stirlingand Calvert(1985) Stirlingand Calvert(1985) Stirlingand Calvert(1985) Stirlingand Calvert(1985) Hugie et al. (1978) Orff (1987) a Date of first bag limit or season restriction. b Firstdeclared game in 1928, replaced,then redeclaredin 1970. c Vallee (1977) gives 1970 as date game statuswas assigned in Quebec. d Date of total season closure. e Hermesand Hugie (1977) note black bearswere bountieduntil 1957 and game statuswas being recommendedin 1977. f Date of first season, game animal statusrepealedin 1951 in some areas,reinstitutedin 1969. g Burton(1977) gives 1957 as date game statuswas assigned in California. h Date of legal basis for currentmanagement. i Polarbears in Ontariohave been treated,for managementpurposes,as a furbearersince 1971 (G. Kolenosky,Ont. Ministryof Nat. Resour., Maple, pers. commun.). J $20 bountyremovedfrom bears in 1955, first season in 1961. * Miller BEAR POPULATION MANAGEMENT script. The workwas fundedby FederalAid in Wildlife RestorationProjectW-22-6, Job 4.18R and the Alaska Departmentof Fish and Game. CONSEQUENCEOF ERROR For all 3 managementobjectives the consequenceof errorin managingbearpopulationsis high. Bear populationsthatareinadvertentlyreducedto lower levels than desired will require many years to recover. This is becauseall 3 species of NorthAmericanbearshave long lifespans(>20 years),low reproductiverates(an average of 2 cubs producedby adult females every 2-6 years), delayedreproductivematurity(firstbreedingat3-7 years), high survivorship of adults, variable survivorship of young, which is frequentlydependenton environmental conditions(Rogers 1983), andtypicallylittle fluctuation in numberof adultsfromyearto year(Jonkel1987, Kolenosky and Strathern1987, Kolenosky 1987). The periodrequiredfor recoveryof reducedpopulations of black and grizzly bears was simulatedusing a simple deterministicmodel (MillerandMiller 1988) in a scenario involving overharvestsby hunters. In these simulations,maximallyproductivepopulationsof black and grizzly bears that were stabilized by hunting were suddenly overharvestedby doubling the exploitation rate. When the populationdeclined to half its original size, huntingwas restrictedandthe time requiredfor the populationto recoverto its initial size was noted. When no huntingoccurredduringtherecoveryperiod,theblack bear population recovered in 6 years compared to 10 years for grizzly bears(Table 2). When huntingduring the recovery period occurredat 75% of the maximum sustainablehuntingrate,it took almost3 times longerfor blackbearsto recoverand4 timeslongerforgrizzlybears (Table 2). These results are minimal values as the reproductiveand naturalmortalityratesused were set at themostoptimisticvaluesthathavebeenreported(Miller 1989). Table 2. Simulation results for estimating period required to recover from overhunting that caused a 50% reduction in maximally productive grizzly bear and black bear populations. During recovery period population was subject to hunting rates of 0, 50, and 75% of the initial rates at which populations were stable. Grizzlybear Years requiredto recoverfrom reductionwhen huntingis held at following fractionsof initial huntingrate: (No hunting) 50% 75% 10 19 40 Blackbear 6 9 17 359 MANAGEMENT FORCONTROLOF BEAR NUMBERS Until the currentcentury,reductionof bear numbers was the most common objective for bear population management.In some partsof NorthAmerica,bearsare still sufficientlyabundantor troublesometo humansthat managementeffortsinvolvereducingbeardensities(e.g., PoelkerandHartwell 1973,Jorgensenetal.1978,Ambrose andSanders1978, PoelkerandParsons1980, Will 1980, Miller 1990a, Gasaway in press). Such areas have becomeincreasinglyrareandgeographicallyrestrictedin recentdecades. They will likely become even rarer. However,wherehumanandbearpopulationscoexist, managerswill have to deal with some problems. These problems can result in bear mortalities that are large enoughto be significantfrom a populationmanagement standpoint.ForYellowstonegrizzlies,controlkillingsof only a few additionalfemales may mean the difference between continued population decline and recovery (KnightandEberhardt1984,1985). Insuchcases,human populations,not bearpopulations,mustmakethe needed accommodationsfor coexistence. Many states and provincescompile dataon the number of human-bearconflicts reported. It is sometimes implied that an increasein the numberof nuisancebear complaintsreflects an increasein bear numbers. More often, however,increasedcomplaintsreflecta changein humanuse of bear habitat. Increasedhuman-bearconflicts more commonly correspondto a decline in bear populations,not an increase. Research in Alaska and other northernregions has demonstrated thatpredationfrombearsandwolves (Canis lupus) can inhibit recovery of depleted moose (Alces alces) and caribou (Rangifer tarandus) populations (Ballardet al. 1980, Franzmannet al. 1980, Gasawayet al. 1983, Ballardand Larsen 1987, Ballardand Miller 1987, Boertjeet al. 1988). These findingshave resulted in pressurefrom sportsmenand subsistence huntersto reducenumbersof predatorsto permitfastergrowthand higherharvestsof preypopulations. In responseto such pressures,grizzly bearseasons have been liberalizedand harvests have increased in many portions of interior Alaska (Miller 1989). These changes representa geographicallywidespreadshift from conservativegrizzly bear managementstrategiesto more aggressive ones in which the likelihoodof managementerrorin these areas is increased. In at least 2 areas,increasedharvestshave resultedin declinesin grizzlybearpopulations(Reynolds and Hechtel 1988, Miller 1990a). Elsewhere,resultsare inconclusive (Gasaway 1988) or no field studies designed to evaluate trendsin bear numbersare ongoing. 360 BEARS-THEIR BIOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT Responsiblemanagementof bearpopulationsundercircumstances such as these is especially challenging because the techniquesavailable to documentchanges in bearpopulationsareimprecise. This makesit difficultto establish realistic criteriaby which to judge when bear populationreductiongoals have been met. Also, there sometimes is inadequaterecognition that management prescriptionsfor predatorreductionprogramsthat involve bears(e.g., Gasawayin press)need to be different than for predatorslike wolves that have much higher reproductiverates. MANAGEMENTFOR CONSERVATION Conservationis the generalobjectivefor grizzly bear managementeffortsin the lower 48 states,for blackbear managementin southernandsoutheasternstates,andfor managementof all species in nationalparks. In some large Alaskan parks where grizzly bears are abundant, population managementis less importantthan people managementandhabitatprotection.Most nationalparks in the U.S. and Canadaare not so fortunateand require active bear managementto assure perpetuationof bear populations(Knight and Eberhardt1987, Knight et al. 1988, Horejsi 1989). Even in parksandotherprotectedareas,baselinedata on populationdensityandcompositionmay be critically importantin evaluatingimpactsof environmentalaccidents or changingpatternsof humanuse of areasoccupied by bears. The absenceof a systematicallyobtained baselineestimateof beardensityin KatmaiNationalPark made it difficultto evaluatewhetherthe bearpopulation had declined as a result of the 1989 oil spill from the Exxon Valdez. Similarly, in Glacier National Park,the lackof a systematicallycollectedhistoricalrecordof bear numbersmade it difficult to isolate humanuse patterns, which may have caused a reduction in bear numbers (Hayward1989, Keating 1989). In parts of North America small bear populations survive only in small pockets of habitatisolated from each other. This fragmentationexposes these populations to higher probabilities of extinction because of chanceeventsandenvironmentalvariation.Managersof these populationsmustdeterminehow largethese populationsandreservesshouldbe to insurepersistencein the face of naturalcatastrophes,andrandomenvironmental, demographic,andgeneticevents (SchafferandSampson 1985). For Yellowstone grizzlies the minimumviable populationthat gave a 95% probabilityof survivingfor 100 years was estimated at 50-90 bears (Schaffer and Sampson 1985). Using the same general approachbut with different data on mortality rates, the estimated minimumviable populationwas estimatedat 125 bears (Suchy et al. 1985). The InteragencyGrizzly Bear Committeeformed in 1983 is an example of the kind of coordinationthat is essential if remnantpopulationsof grizzly bears are to survivein thelower48 states(Salwasseretal. 1987). This committee includes representativesof 5 U.S. agencies that manage portions of grizzly habitatplus 6 state or provincialwildlife agencies, and 2 Indiantribes. Working together, these agencies have developed a coordinatedset of objectives and strategiesto directconservationefforts. The InternationalAgreementon the Conservationof PolarBearsandtheirHabitatis anotherexample of the kind of cooperationneeded to perpetuatehealthy bearpopulations(Stirling 1986, 1988a). Techniquesfor estimatingpopulationsize and trend, discussedbelow, areespeciallyneededin managementof reducedpopulationsfor conservationobjectives. Unfortunately, some of the techniquesthat provide the most accuratepopulationestimates may frequentlybe inappropriatefor very small remnantpopulationsof bears because these techniques are usually imprecise when appliedto smallpopulations.Inaddition,subjectingsuch populationsto the additionalstressandmortalityassociated with markingstudiesmay be unwise. In managing greatlyreducedremnantpopulationsof bears,managers may find it more productiveto concentrateon habitat protectionissues ratherthanon effortsto documentbear numbersor mortalityrateswithmarkingstudiesthatmay produceonly uncertainresults. SUSTAINED YIELD Sustainedyield managementof bearpopulationsis the managementgoal in most areasof NorthAmericainhabited by bears. Most commonly the yields are taken by hunters.Perhapsbecausesustainedyield managementis not usuallyconductedin a crisis atmospherewherebear populationsare threatenedor where bears are seen as damagingto humans'economicinterests,sustainedyield managementhas not received as much attentionas it deserves. More concern is merited because correct managementof populationsthat have sustained yield goals may prevent crisis situations from developing. Also, populationmanagementtechniquesare especially importantin managingfor sustainedyields. For these reasons this topic is given primary emphasis in this review. The principlebehindsustainedyield managementis thatpopulationsproducea surplusof animalsthatcan be removed or harvestedwithout causing populationdeclines. Under sustainedyield management,harvesting BEAR POPULATION MANAGEMENT * Miller takes the place of mortalitiesthat would occur from old age and othercauses. In very dense populations,reproductiveratesof bearsaresuppressedby density-dependent mechanismsthat act to preventthe populationfrom overshooting carrying capacity. Because population growthis suppressedby these mechanisms,populations at carryingcapacity can supportlittle harvest. If such dense populations are harvested and bear density declines, reproductiverates should increase and natural mortalityratesshould decline,whichproducesa surplus that can be taken annuallywithout causing declines in bearnumbers.Maximumsustainableyield (MSY) is the point where populationsize and productivitybalanceto producethe maximumsize of harvestwithoutcausing a population decline. At populationslower than MSY, productivityand sustainableharvest rates remain high but fewer total bearscan be harvestedwithoutcausing a populationdecline. For bear managersthe MSY populationsize is more useful theoreticallythanpracticallysince the "optimum" populationsize will be unknown. This is becausereproductive and mortalityratescan varyfrom yearto year in a density independentfashion based on fluctuationsin food supply (Jonkel and Cowan 1971; Rogers 1976, 1983, 1987). Managersstrivingfor sustainedyields from exploited bear populationstry to maintainpopulations that have good average reproductiverates and small average naturalmortalityrates in the expectation that suchpopulationswill be producingharvestablesurpluses at high levels. The challengefacing managersmanagingbearpopulationsfor sustainedhigh harvestsis to identifycorrectly whatharvestlevels aresustainableandwhen sustainable levels are exceeded. To assist in makingthese determinations the populationmanagermay have information available from hunters,from the animals that are harvested, from field investigations, and from simulation studies. InformationProvided by Hunters Hunterscan providevaluableinformationto managers of exploited bear populations. Informationfrom huntersis most useful as a flag that alerts managersto potential problems or helps to form hypotheses about populationstatus. These hypothesescan then be evaluated using otherlines of evidence. NumberKilled.-Perhaps the single most basic and useful piece of informationthat can be provided by huntersis thenumberof bearskilled. Increasingnumbers of bears killed should alert managersthat populations could be declining. Of course, populationtrend is not 361 necessarily correlated with number killed; increasing harvestscould occur withoutpopulationdecline as long as sustainableharvestlevels were not exceeded. Probablythe best way to use dataon harvestnumber requires calculation of sustainableharvest rate. With informationon reproductiveand mortalityratesderived fromresearch,thisratecanbe estimatedusing simulation models,discussedbelow. Thecalculatedsustainablerate can be compared with actual harvest rate obtained by dividing number killed by estimated population size. This approachresultedin a recommendationagainstan increase in polar bear huntingquotas in the Northwest Territories(Stirlinget al. 1985). In a few instances,efforts have been made to use kill numbersto derive populationsize by assuming the kill representssome percentageof the total population,usually the calculated sustainableharvest rate, and backcalculating from this rate to derive a total population estimate.This is a reasonableprocedureonly if managers have independentevidence thatthe populationis stable. Unreportedsport or nuisance kills and wounding losses can representsignificantsourcesof mortalitythat managersshouldconsider. In ruralnorthwesternAlaska, less than half the grizzly bear sport and subsistence harvestis reportedas required(W. Ballard,Alas. Dep. of Fish and Game, Nome, pers. commun.). On the heavily hunted Kenai Peninsula in Alaska, where reportingis thoughtto be fairly complete, wounding loss of black bearswas estimatedto be 13-16%of reportedkill based on mortalities of radio-markedbears (Schwartz and Franzmannin prep.). "Controlkills" of nuisance black bearsaccountedfor 36%of known human-causedmortalities and unreportedcontrol kills were estimated to equalorexceed reportedones in theYukon(MacHutchon and Smith 1988). Poachingaccountedfor 9% of deaths of markedblack bearsin Maine (Hughie 1982). A third of the knowngrizzly bearmortalitywas illegal harvestin Alberta(Peek et al. 1987). The mortalityrateof marked grizzlies in Montana was estimated at 0.47, all from illegal, unreportedkills (Knickand Kasworm 1989). In 6 studies of markedgrizzly bears, 26% of mortalities werecausedby illegal harvestscomparedto 42%by legal hunting(McLellan1990). Managersneed to incorporate estimates of all significant mortalitysources into their bearmanagementefforts. HunterEffort.-Number of bearskilled is best interpretedalong with informationon level of huntingeffort. Increases in number of bears killed under conditions whereeffort is constantmay lead managersto suspectan increasingbearpopulation.The same increasein harvest numberwhere effort is also increasingmay suggest an 362 BEARS-THEIR BIOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT increasedexploitationrateand a declining bearpopulaAlaska(Miller 1988, 1990a). Kill densityestimateswere tion. This indicatorwas used in Alberta,wheremanagers used to illustratethatdangersof overkillof a grizzly bear noted that harvests of grizzly bears increased 100% populationwas higher in the Canadianportion of the NorthernContinentalDivide Ecosystem where a legal duringa period when effort increased350% (Nagy and Gunson 1988). In a heavily huntedareain south-central huntingseasonwas in placethanon theU.S. side (Horejsi Alaska wheregrizzly beardensitywas reducedby about 1989). Kill density also can be used to establishquantihalf as a consequenceof liberalizedhuntingregulations, fiable managementobjectives in managementplans. successful huntersreportedspendingmore time before IntegratedApproaches.-In Minnesota, black bear was before reduced a bear than the density populationmanagersuse a huntersurveyto collect data shooting on huntingsuccess andbearskilledperhunter-day.Data hunter effort data are (Miller 1990a). Typically, highly areadjustedto correctfor annualvariationin food abunvariable and statistical tests seldom reveal significant danceandareusedto select themostconservativegrowth differences. This does not, however, invalidatethe caucurvethatfits this trendfroma seriesof model-generated tious use of sucheffortdatato assistmanagersin forming curves of populationgrowth. Managersthen use the trends. about population hypotheses selected curve and some subjective criteriato develop HunterSuccess.-Hunter successratesareinfluenced by improved access or huntertechnology, motivation, estimatesof populationsize andto set harvestquotas(D. and number of bears. This means that effort indices Garshelis, Minn. Dep. of Nat. Resour., GrandRapids, should be used with caution. Variabilityin effort unrepers. commun.). This approachappearsto be a worthwhile effort toward integrating information obtained lated to populationstatus is apparentin Alaska where fromhunterswiththatfromothersourcesintoa standardnon-residentgrizzly bear hunters are requiredto hunt ized managementframeworkuseful in makingobjective with guides andpay high fees. Residenthuntershave no such restrictionand need only buy a $25 tag. These managementdecisions. differences in cost of hunt affects motivation and is InformationProvided by Harvest Composition reflectedin success rates. The statewidesuccess ratefor Detectionof bearpopulationtrendfromthe sex and/or non-residentsis much higher (52% in 1987) than for residents (8.4%) (Alaska Dep. of Fish and Game age structureof harvestedbearsis more often attempted than achieved(Caughley1974;Wiley 1980;Gilbertet al. in the Game file [ADF&G]unpublished data). However, where Kodiak that includes 1978; Bunnell and Tait 1980, 1981; Miller and Miller Island, ManagementUnit are allocated 1988). Proceduresthatareappropriatefor moreproduchighly prized brown bear huntingpermits by lottery,bothtypes of huntershadhighersuccess rates: tive ungulatepopulations(e.g., Fraser1976,Fryxellet al. 19%for residentsand 74% for non-residents(ADF&G 1988) are difficult to apply to bears because they are a long-lived and low density species thatcan sustainonly unpublishedfile data for 1986). In contrast, average harvestsuccess rate for grizzly bear huntersin Alberta low harvest rates (Harris and Metzgar 1987a). Low was 3% for residentsand 12%for non-residentsduring harvestratesprovidea smallsampleof harvestedanimals fromwhich to make inferencesaboutthe populationand 1971-1987 (Nagy andGunson 1988). Even wherehuntAra delay in the time requiredfor harvest to perturbthe be can hunter success limited is low; by permits, ing kansas black bear permitteeshad 0.4-2.2% success in population'ssex and age structure.Sex ratioof harvest differentyears(PharrisandClark1987). This variability is moresensitiveas an indicatorof populationstatusthan underscoresthe need to look for trendsin success rates age structure(Harris 1984), perhaps because all the harvestis distributedbetween only 2 sexes comparedto within groupsthatare as homogeneousas possible with 20 or moreage classes. It is popularto try to use dataon respect to residency, transportationtype, motive, and areahunted. age composition of harvestbecause hunterscan be reKill density.-The geographiclocationof hunterkills quired to submit teeth from their kills. These can be is also important. Harvest number with geographic sectionedandageestimatedby countingcementumannuli locationpermitsmanagersto estimatekill perunitareaor (StonebergandJonkel 1966). The age of harvestresults in tablesof supposedly"hard"data,the utilityof which is sustainof effects kill density. Excluding immigration, more sustainable be calculated either can ablekill density frequentlyassumedthandemonstrated. (like Differences in the sex and age composition of bear harvestnumbers)or estimatedbasedon areaswhereboth populationssubjectedto differentlevels of huntinghave populationtrendandkill densityareknown. Kill density divided by populationdensity was used to approximate been documented(Jonkel and Cowan 1971; Beecham 1980; Kolenosky 1986; Reynolds and Hechtel 1988; grizzly bear harvestrate in a heavily huntedportionof BEAR POPULATION MANAGEMENT * Miller Miller 1988, 1990a). As yet, these differenceshave not been clearlyrelatedto differencesin the age composition of bearsharvestedfrom these populations. Increasesin numberof black bearfemales harvestedhas been correlated with increasedharvestrate in Ontario(Kolenosky 1986). The sample of bears shot by hunters will seldom directlyreflect the populationcomposition. Huntersare selective and bearshave differentialvulnerabilitybased on sex, age, or reproductivestatus (Bunnell and Tait 1980). A furtherproblemis thatmost interpretationsof harvestcomposition data assume a stable age distribution, which is usuallyinappropriate.Relaxationof stable age distributionassumptionsmay be possible if independentinformationon rate of change in populationis available(Eberhardt1985, 1988). Commonly,age dataon sex orage compositionof bear harvests are used to infer that populations are stable because mean (or median) age or sex ratio of harvested animals is constant. Similarly,some managerslook for decreasingmean(ormedian)age of harvest(especiallyof males) or increasingproportionsof females in the kill as indicatorsof overharvest. Such interpretationscan lead managersinto unwarrantedcomplacencyaboutpopulation status. When birthand deathratesare constant,the sex and age compositionof the populationwill stabilize regardlessof populationtrend.This has been recognized since the 1907 paper by Lotka (Caughley 1977) but remains a source of confusion. When birth and death ratesarenot constantor vulnerabilityby sex or age class is changing, harvest composition may change in response. This change,however,is not necessarilyrelated to a change in populationstatus. Managersshould be cautious in setting planningobjectives based on age or sex ratio in harvest statistics. Benchmarkssuch as "no fewer than 60% males in the total harvest"may be inadequateto preventoverexploitation. The sex ratio of harvest at sustainableharvest levels is not a constant. Instead,this value is a function of a numberof factorsincludingthe relativevulnerability of each sex to human-causedmortality, sex and agespecific naturalmortalityrates,proportionof total mortalitythatis representedby harvest,andsex ratioatage of firstvulnerabilityto hunters.Failureto meetanobjective of at least 60%males could, for example,be "remedied" by addingan early springseason when males have high vulnerability(O'Pezio et al. 1983, Miller 1990/, Van Daele et al. 1990) rather than by decreasing kill of females. It is preferableto set exploitationguidelines in termsof thetotaladultfemaleharvestas hasbeendonefor polarbears(Tayloret al. 1987b). 363 A promisingapproachto interpretationof sex andage compositionof blackbearharvestdatawas suggestedby Fraseret al. (1982). This approachexploits the higher harvest vulnerability of males compared to females (Bunnell and Tait 1980), which results in a progressive decline in theproportionof males in olderage classes. At some age, the highervulnerabilityof males will be offset by the largernumberof survivingfemalesandtheharvest at that age and older will favor females. In lightly exploitedpopulationsthe age at which females predominatein the harvestwill be olderthanin heavily exploited populations.A regressionof percentmales in harveston age class will have a steeper negative slope in heavily huntedpopulations(Fraseret al. 1982). Simulationstudies have indicatedthat for bears this model is sensitive to a number of likely violations of underlying assumptions (Harris and Metzgar 1987a). Even if it lacks robustness,however, this approachmay be useful as a tool to examineconflicting interpretations of availabledata. Ina portionof south-centralAlaska,the Fraseret al. (1982) approachwas successfully used to documentthatcurrentgrizzly bearexploitationrate was higherthanformerly(Miller 1988). Even thoughharvest ratecould not be directlyestimatedbecauseof violations of the model's assumptions,this analysis was useful in discreditingthe hypothesisthatthe bearpopulationwas unaffectedby increasedharvests. Also, the most likely bias in the use of the Fraseret al. (1982) approachin Alaska would have resulted in an underestimationof harvestrate. This was because vulnerabilityof females declined in the adult age classes when females were periodically protected by being accompanied by offspring(it is illegal to shootgrizzlybearsaccompaniedby cubs or yearlingoffspring). Because the estimatedharvest ratewas an overestimatebutwas still higherthanthe calculatedsustainablerate,it was usefulin demonstrating a clear need for reducedharvests. A morecomplexapproachfor interpretingsex andage compositionof harvestdatawasdevelopedby Tait(1983). Using sex and age composition of harvestdata, Tait's approach uses non-linear optimization procedures to developmaximumlikelihoodestimatesforhistoricpopulation size, hunting rate, recruitmentrate, and other parameters. Unfortunately,Tait's model has yet to be adequatelytested with real harvestdata or evaluatedto see how robust it is when underlyingassumptionsare violated. Alaskais currentlymakingan effortto conduct such tests. The limitationsof sex andage compositionof harvest data should not discourage managers from collecting thesedataandcontinuingto investigatemeaningfulways 364 BEARS-THEIR BIOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT of using them. Comparedto field studies as a way of evaluatingpopulationstatus,harvestdataare much less expensive to collect. In using these data,managersmust be awareof the limitations,however,as commonmisinterpretationscould lead managers into misclassifying declining populationsas stable. With existing technology, it is clear thatthe limitationson use of composition of bearharvestdataare such thathuntingremnantpopulationsof bearscannotbe justifiedon the basis thatsuch datawould be helpful in evaluatingpopulationstatus. documenting potential changes in density caused by hunting,development,or habitatdeterioration(Schoen and Beier 1989, Miller and Sellers 1989, Ballardet al. 1990). Such density estimates were made for 9 grizzly bearand 3 black bearpopulationsin Alaska in a variety of habitatsandovera rangeof beardensitiesfrom6.7-380 bears/1,000km2(Miller et al. 1987, Barneset al. 1988, Schoen and Beier 1989, Miller and Sellers 1989, Miller 1990a, Ballardet al. 1990, Schwartzand Franzmannin prep.). Not all of the problems associated with using these techniqueshave been resolved. The best methods for dealing with capturebias, small sample sizes, and InformationObtained from Research Research is an importantcomponent of sustained extrapolationof results to larger areas need additional study. A correctionfactorfor small samplebias in such yield management for bears. Research is necessary estimateswas developed by Eberhardt(in press). becausebearpopulationmanagementhas few generally Otherapproachesto estimatingbeardensityarebased acceptedtechniquesthatcan be widely appliedto evaluon movements of radio-markedbears (Rogers 1977, atepopulationsize ortrend(Harris1986). Researchis not needed for each exploited population. Frequently,adeHughie 1982, Reynolds et al. 1987, Schwartz and in prep.).Typically,thesetechniquesinvolve Franzmann cautious extrapolation quate results can be obtainedby home be it should from researchdone elsewhere. However, rangesof individualbearsovera studyarea plotting recognizedthatresponsiblesustainedyield management and calculating the proportionsof each home range of a bear populationwill be expensive and may require overlappingthestudyarea.Theseproportionsaresummed field studies to estimate population size, population to derivea populationestimateanddividedby the size of density,movements,or criticalreproductiveandmortal- the study area to obtain a density estimate. Such estimates are usuallyidentifiedas minimumvalues because ity rates. of the possibilitythatnot all bearsin the studyareawere most Trend.-Research and Size programs Population These estimatesusually do not include a radio-marked. Fresize. of estimation address population commonly and may contain subjectiveelements estimate variance varisome is estimated size using quently, population difficult to replicateby differentobservthem make that the as such ation of capture-mark-recapture procedures ers. Beecham al. et However, may providemore accuratedensity 1980, they Seber-Jollytechnique(DeMaster than estimates This et al. proceduresused when capture-recapture 1986, Kolenosky 1986). 1983, Amstrup the estimatedpopulation area of the size the addition in rate of survival estimate an occupiedby techniquerequires is uncertain of 1982). (Hughie to the other standardassumptions capture-recapture In the small but politically significantpopulationsof procedures(Seber 1982). Wheresurvivalestimatesare not available,black bearpopulationestimateshave been grizzlybearsin GlacierandYellowstoneNationalParks, obtained using more traditionalLincoln Index procegrizzly bear populationsize and trend were estimated fromdirectobservationsof bears(Martinka1971, 1974; dures (Jonkel and Cowan 1971, LeCount 1982, Young Craigheadet al. 1974;KnightandEberhardt1984, 1985; andRuff 1982, MillerandBallard1982, Beecham 1983, Keating1986;McDonaldet al. 1988;Hayward1989). In Aune and Brannon 1987). Frequentlyit is difficult to a Montanastudyarea,numberof grizzlies was estimated convert populationestimates obtainedusing such techby addingmarkedbears known presentwith unmarked niquesto densityestimatesbecauseof uncertaintyabout bearsseen (Aune andBrannon1987). Systematicapplisize of the areaoccupied by the estimatedpopulation. cationof directobservationtechniquesmaybe preferable InAlaska,intensivecapture-recapture techniquesusing for deriving such estimates for critically small popularadio-telemetryto correctfor lack of populationclosure tions of grizzly bears such as in the Yellowstone area have been used to derive black and grizzly bear density (Harris1986). However,these approachesaretoo laborestimatesin small(<2,000 km2)areas(Milleret al. 1987). With this approachthe area occupied by the estimated intensive to be useful to managers of exploited bear populations. They also lack varianceestimates, which populationdoes not have to be estimated. In 1 areathis of the techniquewas used to documentstatisticallysignificant makesit difficultto evaluate significance reported numbers. changes in population declines in bear numbers caused by hunting (Miller Anotherpromisingapproachtowardsestimatingbear 1990a). Elsewhere,theseestimatesserveas baselinesfor BEAR POPULATION MANAGEMENT * Miller- density withoutmarkinganimalswas describedby Dean (1987). This method employs intensive aerial surveys anda sightabilitycorrectionfactorto estimatenumberof animalsmissed duringaerialsearches. Researchaimed at developing indicatorsof population trend have not yet producedconsistently reliable procedures. Different techniques have been used to detect changes in bear numbers (see review in Harris 1986 and discussions in Peltonet al. 1978, Phelps 1979, LeFranc et al. 1987). There are ongoing efforts to develop trend indices based on use of bait stations (D. Garshelis, Minn. Dep. of Nat. Resour., GrandRapids, pers. commun.), scent stations (Lindzey et al. 1977, J. Beecham, Id. Dep. of Fish and Game, Boise, pers. commun.), and on trackcounts in Florida(J. Wooding, Fla. Game and Fresh WaterFish Comm., Wildl. Res. Lab., Gainesville, pers. commun.). In some partsof Alaska, annual aerial counts of bears are conducted at food concentrationsites such as along salmon streams. Correct interpretationof such datafrom any 1 year requires manyreplicatecounts (Ericksonand Siniff 1963). Also, the utilityof counts at food concentrationareasto detect populationtrendis questionable.Numerousbearswould likely be observedin such areaslong afterthe numberof bearsin less preferredhabitatshaddeclinedsignificantly. Away from food concentrationareas,high directannual counts from aircraftmay providea useful index of trend where bear populationsare dense and visibility is high. Suchcountsin alpinehabitatsareconductedin southeastern Alaska (Schoen and Beier 1989) and on Kodiak Island(R. Smith,Alas. Dep. of Fish and Game, Kodiak, pers. commun.). Vital Rates.-Rates of birth,death, and recruitment for bearpopulationscan only be establishedby research programsor by extrapolationfrom research. For longlived species with low reproductiveand adultmortality rates like bears,estimationof these parametersrequires manyyearsof studyof > 10radio-markedfemales(Miller 1989). Estimatesof survivorshipratesbased on regular locations of radio-markedanimals can be calculated usingproceduresdevelopedby Heisley andFuller(1985) and Pollock et al. (1989). These procedureshave been appliedon populationsof grizzly andblackbears(Knick and Kasworm 1989, Schwartzand Franzmannin prep.). Otherapproachesusing kill rates of tagged black bears were describedby LeCount(1982), Kolenosky (1986), and Miller (1987). For polar bears and grizzly bears, mortalityrateof adultfemales was shown to be the most criticalfactor in correctlyestimatingpopulationgrowth rateor sustainablemortalityrates(KnightandEberhardt 1985, Tayloret al. 1987b). 365 In cases whereresearchobjectivesrequirecaptureor handlingof bears, the studies themselves will result in some mortalitiesor other stresses on bear populations. These stresses may not be significant to healthy bear populations(Ramsay and Stirling 1987), but they may make such studies inappropriatefor depleted populations. Whetherconductedon depletedpopulationsornot, all proposedstudies requiringhandlingof bears should receive adequatepeer review to assure that poorly designed or implementedprojectsare not authorized. InformationObtained from Simulation Studies Informationobtained from hunters,from harvested bears,andfromfield studiesneeds to be integratedinto a conceptualframeworkor model where it can be used to makemanagementdecisions. Managersareincreasingly findingmathematicalmodels of populationsto be useful tools for organizing and making decisions from such information. Computersare useful tools for examining suchmodelsas theypermitmanagersto quicklymakethe lengthy and repetitive calculations needed to estimate parameterslike sustainableharvestlevels. Deterministic models used to estimate sustainable harvestlevels have only 1 resultper set of inputs. These models are relativelysimple to make. Useful deterministic models can be made by persons withoutprogramming talents using conventional spreadsheetsoftware. Such models may introducesystematicerrorin species, like bears, with multi-year periods of maternal care (Tayloret al. 1987c). Stochastic models, where life history events are assigned probabilitiesinsteadof fixed rates, are useful in examining the range of possible outcomes per set of inputs.Softwareusefulin constructingstochasticmodels for species with any kind of life historyhas been developed by Harriset al. (1986). This software was used to evaluate sensitivity of harvestdata(Harrisand Metzgar 1987h)andis usefulin predicting,forexample,probability of survivalof small populationsof bears. Deterministicmodels basedon ANURSUS (Tayloret al. 1987a) with optional stochastic features have been developedspecifically for each of the 3 NorthAmerican bearspecies. ANURSUS attemptsto mimic the dynamics of bearpopulationsand,as a result,requiresa daunting numberof inputparameters.The 3 species modelsbased on ANURSUS are currently being linked and documented(M. Taylor,NorthwestTerrit.Dep. of Renewable Resour.,Yellowknife,pers.commun.). Whenthis is accomplished,ANURSUS can be more widely tested and used to establish managementobjectives based on sustainableyield. 366 BEARS-THEIR BIOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT ANURSUS was used to estimatesustainableharvest levels for adultfemalepolarbears. Less than 1.6%of the total populationof all bearscould be harvestedas adult females (Taylor et al. 1987b). Based on this finding sustainableharvest number can be approximated(M. Taylor, NorthwestTerrit.Dep. of Renewable Resour., Yellowknife, pers. commun.)as: H = (N)(0.015/F), where H is numberof bears that can be harvested,N is total population number, F is the proportionof adult females in the harvest,andthe 0.015 constantis derived from the simulationresultthat<1.6%populationcan be harvested as adult females (Taylor et al. 1987b). It follows that if the whole harvestis adult females, then harvestsof 1.5%of the populationcan be sustained. If a proportionof the harvest is male then a largerpercent harvest can be sustained. The maximum sustainable harvestrate for polar bears was estimatedat 4.5%; this occurred when 33% of the harvest is female (Stirling 1988b). In the YukonTerritory,ANURSUS was used to make preliminaryestimates of maximum sustainable harvestlevels for male (6%)andfemale (2.5%)segments of regional grizzly bear populations(B. Smith, Yukon Dep. of Renewable Resour., Fish and Wildl. Branch, Whitehorse,pers. commun.). Deterministicmodels were used by Bunnell and Tait (1980) to estimatesustainablemortalityfrom all causes. Whennaturalmortalitiesare subtractedseparately,such models estimate sustainableharvestlevels. The consequence of errorsimulationdiscussed earlier illustrates this application. With the generousestimates of reproductive rates and survivorshipfrom naturalmortality used to estimate populationrecovery period (Table 1), maximumsustainableharvestswere estimatedat 7.8% for grizzly bears older than 2.0 and at 15.9%for black bears>1.0 (Table 3). These were convertedto estimates of sustainable harvest of the whole population using typical values for mortalityof cub and yearlinggrizzly bearsandcubblackbears(BunnellandTait 1985). Under these conditions and assumptions,maximal sustainable annualhuntingmortalitywas 5.7%for grizzly bearsand 14.2%forblackbears(Table3). Elsewherethisapproach was used to estimatethatsustainableharvestsfor Yukon grizzlies was 2-3% of the population(Sidorowicz and Gilbert 1981). McCullough (1981, 1986) estimated higher sustainableharvest levels than other models by incorporatingdensity-dependenteffects on recruitment. Thereis both directand indirectevidence for such relationships (Rogers 1983; Kemp 1972; Stringham1980, 1983;YoungandRuff 1982;SchwartzandFranzmannin prep.). In my view, however, these relationshipsare as yet too poorly understoodto be safely incorporatedinto estimatesof sustainableharvestlevels for huntedpopulations. Estimatesof sustainableharvest rates derived from models may be comparedwith calculatedharvestrates derivedfrom kill numbersand populationestimates. In cases where differentsexes have differentvulnerability to hunters, population harvest rate can be estimated directlyfrominformationon the sex andage composition of the population (Bunnell and Tait 1985) or harvest (Fraseret al. 1982). Suchcomparisonsshouldbe viewed skeptically especially when age distributionsare not stable (Caughley 1974, 1977; Harris1984). Harvest Controls Managershave numerousregulatorytools for influencing the number or composition of bears harvested (Phelps 1979, Harger 1978). The effectiveness of any particulartool will varyamongareasdependingon hunting conditionsand the type and motives of the hunter. Seasons and Bag Limits.-Number of bearstakenby hunterscan usuallybe reducedby shorteningseasonsand increased by lengthening seasons. However, season lengthworksto reducekill only to a point;in Pennsylvania, 736 black bearswere taken in a 1979 open hunting season only 1 day long (Lindzeyet al. 1983). A similar numberarecurrentlybeing takenwith a 3-dayseason(G. Alt, Pa. Game Comm., Moscow, pers. commun.). Seasonscanbe heldperiodicallyinsteadof shortened.Onthe Alaska Peninsulain southwesternAlaska, grizzly bear huntinghas been allowed only on alternateyears in an effortto reduceharvestandmaintainopen hunting(Sellers and McNay 1984). Shorterseasonsmaygive managersjustas manybears killed by huntersin a shortertime, huntingundermore crowded conditions. When this occurs, managersmay choose to limitthe numberof huntersby issuing permits. Huntingby limitedpermitcan augmentthe qualityof the Table 3. Estimated sustainable yield from maximally productive populations of grizzly and black bears (input parameters reported in Miller [1989]). Annualhuntingratefor initial stabilizedpopulationof grizzly bears (>2.0-years-old)and black bears (>1.0-years-old) Equivalenthuntingratefor total population(all ages) a Total 7.8% 15.9% 5.7a 14.2%b populationestimatedfrom numberof 2-year-oldsby assumingyearling and cub mortalityratesof 0.20 and 0.35, respectively,for each sex. b Total populationestimatedfrom numberof yearlingsby assumingcub mortalityratesof 0.22 for each sex. BEAR POPULATION MANAGEMENT * Miller hunting experience and, depending on numberissued, may serve to maintaintrophybearsin the population. In some parts of Alaska, special permits and seasons arealso used to minimizedamageby anddanger fromgrizzly bearsthatenterruralvillages. By providing for these bears to be taken legally, managers achieve moreaccuraterecordson kill ratesandallow thepublicto effect controlactionsthatwould otherwisehave to be accomplishedat public expense. Seasons can also be adjustedto influence the sex of bears taken. This is particularlytrue during spring seasonsbecausemalebearstendto leave densearlierthan females,move greaterdistances,arenot accompaniedby cubs, and springhuntersmay be more selective for large (male) bears (O'Pezio et al. 1983, Schoen et al. 1987, Miller 1990b, Van Daele et al. 1990). During spring grizzly bear seasons in Alaska (1984-1988), 74% of grizzly bears taken (n = 2,563) were male comparedto 55% of bearstakenin fall seasons (n = 2,963) (ADF&G unpublisheddata). A similar patternwas evident for black bear where 75% of springbears harvestedduring 1984-1988 were male (n = 4,691 bearskilled) compared to 64% in fall harvests(n = 2,887). In some areas,polar bearskilled in seasons open duringthe den entranceand emergenceperiodare more likely to be females because dens aretypicallyon land,which may be nearvillages of nativehunters,andonly pregnantfemales use dens (Stirling 1986,Kolenosky 1987). Inpartsof Canadapregnant females areprotectedfrom huntingby delayingopening of huntinguntil 1 December,afterthedenentranceperiod (Stirlingand Calvert 1985). Black beartrackingstudies in Mainerevealedthatblackbearsarelikely to be distant fromtheirbreedingrangesduringearlyfall seasons. The geographicdistributionof kill at suchtimes wouldnot, as a result,accuratelydepict the origins of harvestedbears (Hughie 1982). A chronology of sex ratio in kill of grizzly bears harvestedin a portionof southcentralAlaska was given by Miller(1990b). Therewas littlechangein sex ratioof kill over time during fall seasons, but there was an increasein the proportionof females killed as the spring season progressed. This suggested that the last partof springseasonsshouldbe eliminatedif hunterkills needto be reduced. However, 2-4 times as many females are killed duringeach of the first 2 weeks of Septemberthan duringany week of the springseasons. Also, the percentage of females in the kill is higherin the early fall thanat any other time of the year (Miller 1990b). In this area, morefemales wouldbe protectedfromhuntersif the first 2 weeks of the fall season were closed than could be accomplishedby closing the whole springseason. 367 Bag limits can also be adjustedto influencethe number of bears taken. In most of Alaska, grizzly bear bag limits are 1 per 4 years. The multi-yearbag limit serves to make huntersmore selective as by takinga bearthey forego the opportunityto takea betterbearin subsequent years. In Alaska's Game ManagementUnit 13, grizzly bearbag limits were changedfrom 1 per 4 yearsto 1 per yearduringfall seasons in 1982-1986 andharvestsaveraged 81 bearsperseason(range59-96). Whenbag limits were 1 per4 years,fall harvestswere lower averaging60 bears(range40-73) in the 5 yearsbefore the change and 53 (range48-58) bearsper season in the 2 yearsafterthe change (ADF&G unpublisheddata). Increasein reportedkill for certainareas may result from misreportingby hunters. This may occur when areaswith multiple-yearand annual-yearbag limits are mixed. Differencesin baglimitsandseasonsgive hunters incentivesto reportlocationof theirkills incorrectly. In Alaska,an investigationby Fish andWildlife Protection Officers resultedin the prosecutionof a guide who had misreportedthe locationof at least 25 grizzlybearskilled by himself, his relatives,andhis clients during 1 season. Halfof these werewronglyreportedas havingbeentaken in areaswitha 1peryearbag limit whenthey had,in fact, been taken in an area with a 1 per 4 year bag. Such misreportingcan result in serious managementerrorin circumstanceswheremanagersrely on accuracyin these statistics. Another way to affect bear harvests is to time bear seasons to occur at the same time as hunts for other species. In some areas harvests will be increased if hunterscan take bears incidentalto hunts designed primarilyto takeungulates. This approachhas been used in a number of different areas to influence taking black bears (Burk 1977) as well as grizzly bearsin Alaska. Closed Areas.-Areas closed to hunting are also a potentiallyuseful tool for managers. Closed or lightly huntedreservoirareascan be sourcesof surplusanimals that immigrateto open or more accessible areas where theycanbe hunted(Beecham 1986). To be effective such areasmust be large. Methods,Means, and Legal Bear Definitions.-Besides season adjustmentsand limited entry systems, managers use restrictions on methods and means of huntingto influenceharvest. These includerestrictions on weapon type, transportationmethods, use of attractants like bait, and use of dogs. In Michigan,the age of blackbearstakenby huntersusingdogs was olderthanfor huntersnot using dogs (Harger1978). However,regulationsthatpermitbaitingor huntingwithdogs couldresult in adverse populationimpacts if huntersselect for fe- 368 BEARS-THEIR BIOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT males, which are more likely to "tree"when chased by The ability of managers to maintain or increase bear dogs. populationnumberssuccessfully is limited by 4 major One of the most effective ways to maximize sustainconstraints. able harvest of bears with minimal influence on the The first constraint is adequate protection of bear of the is to direct habitat. This topic is treatedelsewhere (McLellanand reproductivecapability population hunterharvestaway from adult females by prohibiting Shackleton1988, McLellan1990, Mattson1990, Schoen shooting females accompanied by offspring. Where 1990). female bearsproducenew littersevery 2 or 3 years,adult The second constrainton bear populationmanagefemales are vulnerableonly 1/2 to 1/3 as frequentlyas ment is political. Bear populationmanagersare presmales. Experimentsare ongoing in the YukonTerritory sured by many special interestgroups, frequentlywith to direct the harvests of outfitters away from female diametricallyopposed objectives. In Alaska, for exgrizzly bearsby giving them incentivesto harvestmales ample,subsistenceandsporthuntersfrequentlypressure (Smith 1990). Clearly, it is difficult to differentiate managersto reducepopulationsof bearsandotherpredabetween sexes of bearsbut it will be done more often if tors. On the other extreme are groups that agitate to huntershaveincentivesto do so. InOntarioit was shown reduceor eliminatehunting.One suchgroupmanagedto that not all females contributeequally to reproduction eliminatethe black bearhuntingseason in Californiain 1989 (D. Koch, Calif. Dep. of Fish and Game, Sacra(Kolenosky 1990). Protectionof maternalblack bear females, which are producing the bulk of recruits, is mento, pers. commun.). Wildlife managersmust spend an increasingamountof theirpersonnelandfinancialreespecially importantwhen this is the case (Kolenosky sources dealing with the demandsand proposalsof spe1990). Commercialization and Restrictions by Class of cial interest groups. These expendituresrepresentreHunter.-Limitations on commercialuse of bearpartsis sources that are diverted from habitat and population a useful tool in preventingexcessive harvests. Commer- managementprograms. Some groups,commonly those cial exploitationof wildlife has the potentialto reduce opposed to hunting, even target resource management and eliminate wildlife populationsand species quickly agencies as the problem. These activities reducepublic confidence and support for managementefforts. An (Geist 1988). The Lacy Act of 1900 in the UnitedStates was a largely successful effort to stop the trendof comimportantchallengefacing wildlife managersis to direct the activitiesof these groupsinto activitiesthatincrease mercial overexploitationof many wildlife species and supportfor soundlybasedmanagement.This is easierto populations(Trefethen1961). In many areasthe sale of blackor grizzly bearhides or parts,such as gall bladders, say thanto do. Clearly,however,in the NorthAmerican is illegal as is the sale of polar bear hides. These political system, the concernsof such groupscannotbe restrictionsreduce harvests over what would occur if ignored without ultimate counter-productive consecommercial sales of bear parts were allowed (Geist quences. Althoughit maybe frustratingatthetime,it will be allowed of bear could sales Commercial help if these special-interestgroups are involved in the 1988). parts in some states withoutcreatinglocal managementprobdevelopment of managementplans. This provides a forum where their concerns can be heardby managers elsewhere exacerbate this but lems, by problems may and managers'concernscan be heardby them. claim the came to the lawbreakers parts ability giving There appears to be more political will to protect from somewheresales were legal. remnant or restrict to benefit populationsof bearsthanthereis to reestablish special Regulations designed in bears areas where they have been eliminated. Alas groupsof hunterssuch resident,non-resident,native, be used can to thoughgrizzlies have been eliminatedfrom99%of their sport, trophy, or subsistence hunters former limited to constrainharvests. As an alternative using range south of Canada(Servheen 1987 cited by Jonkel certain classes 1987),thereis little interestin reestablishingthem entrypermits,suchregulationsallow only in of huntersto participate.This is the system in effect for places like California,Colorado,or Arizona (Brown States where 1985). In Texas much of the public is opposed to polar bear in both Canadaand the United managementactions that would result in a significant only indigenouspeople have huntingrights. increasein blackbearpopulationnumbersor distribution DISCUSSION (C. Winkler,Tex. Parksand Wildl. Dep., Austin, pers. has evolved Inmostareas,bearpopulationmanagement commun.). Reintroductionof bears into an area where based to numbers from efforts to reducebear they have been eliminatedis a positive action that will objectives of numbers. on maintenanceor augmentation population provoke some opposition. In North Americanpolitical BEAR POPULATION MANAGEMENT * Miller systems,it appearsto be moredifficultto takeactionthan to do nothing. Thus, it is importantto assure that the status quo includes bears. The thirdconstraintis the technologicaltool kit available for use by managers. Many of the tools used by managersto assess the success or failureof bearmanagementstrategieslackprecision,estimatesof variability,or producepotentiallybiased results. It is easier to detect potentialsources of bias and imprecisionin analyses of bearpopulationsthanit is to develop approacheswithout these flaws. Unfortunately,the decisions managershave to make do not disappearjust because the information availablehas uncertainaccuracyor precision. In making these decisions, however, managersshould incorporate the limitationsof the datainto theirmanagementstrategies. Usually this will mean settingmanagementobjectives and guidelines on the conservative side of what might be estimatedto be optimal. The costs associated with unintendedpopulationdeclines and the difficulties of detecting such declines until they are far advanced mandate a conservative approach to bear population management. The fourth major constraintto populationmanagement is financial. 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