Planetary and Space Science 47 (1999) 1475±1485 Meteoroid streams at Mars: possibilities and implications Apostolos A. Christou*, Kevin Beurle Astronomy Unit, School of Mathematical Sciences, Queen Mary and West®eld College, Mile End Road, London, E1 4NS, UK Received 3 November 1998; received in revised form 25 May 1999; accepted 28 May 1999 Abstract In order to assess the possibility of meteoroid streams detectable from the surface of Mars as meteor showers we have derived minimum distances and associated velocities for a large sample of small body orbits relative to the orbits of Mars and the Earth. The population ratio for objects approaching to within 0.2 AU of these two planets is found to be approximately 2:1. The smaller relative velocities in the case of Mars appears to be the main impediment to the detection of meteors in the upper atmosphere of that planet. We identify ®ve bodies, including the unusual object (5335) Damocles and periodic comet 1P/Halley, with relative orbital parameters most suitable to produce prominent meteor showers. We identify speci®c epochs at which showers related to these bodies are expected to occur. An overview of possible detection methods taking into account the unique characteristics of the Martian environment is presented. We pay particular attention on the eects of such streams on the dust rings believed to be present around Mars. # 1999 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved. Keywords: Meteoroid streams; Mars; Detection methods 1. Introduction It is an established fact that comets, as they near the perihelion of their orbits, generate clouds of particulates (Kirkwood, 1861) ranging in size from submicron dust to metre-sized objects. These are ejected from the cometary nucleus in a sublimating ice medium at typical speeds which are signi®cantly less than the comet's orbital velocity (Whipple, 1950). As a result, these meteoroids move in essentially the same orbit as the parent comet, gradually spreading in longitude with respect to the comet due to small dierences in orbital period. If the orbit of a particular comet is physically close to the orbit of the Earth Ð typically <0.2 AU Ð then at certain times of the year the meteoroids can be detected as they encounter Earth's atmosphere and produce the luminous eect known as a meteor. It is evident from this model that the study of meteors and in particular the annual meteor showers (Jenniskens, * Corresponding author. E-mail address: [email protected] (A.A. Christou). 0032-0633/99/$20.00 # 1999 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved. PII: S 0 0 3 2 - 0 6 3 3 ( 9 9 ) 0 0 0 6 4 - 1 1994) can provide valuable information on the nature of comets. If an association between a meteor shower and a comet can be deduced due to orbital similarity then the reduction of related meteor observation records can yield insight into (a) the physical properties of the ejected material (b) the nature of the ejection mechanism and (c) the behaviour of the parent comet over hundreds or even thousands of years in the past. One of the currently most active areas of study focuses on comparing the past and present behaviour of dierent meteor showers as a means of inferring actual variations in the intrinsic properties of the parent body population. For example, the object (3200) Phaethon associated with the December Geminids, has been observed to be completely inert, i.e. asteroidal, in stark contrast to the bulk of known meteor shower producing bodies which exhibit the typical characteristics of comets (Whipple, 1983; Davies, 1985; Williams and Wu, 1993). Gustafson (1989) traced the orbits of several Geminid meteoroids back to Phaethon and concluded that this object is probably an extinct cometary nucleus. Such insight on the nature of Phaethon is only possible through the 1476 A.A. Christou, K. Beurle / Planetary and Space Science 47 (1999) 1475±1485 fortuitous orbital geometry of the Geminid stream relative to the Earth. In this sense, our ability to derive useful statistical conclusions is limited by the simple fact that we can only sample meteoroid streams with orbits which come suciently close to the orbit of the Earth. Recently, Adolfsson et al. (1996) (hereafter, AGM96) showed that a fast-moving (r30 km/s) meteoroid would produce a meteor of similar maximum luminosities in the atmospheres of Earth and Mars. The height of maximum meteor intensity was found to range between 90 and 50 km compared with the 100 to 70 km height range found in the case of the Earth in their work. Their study was initially motivated by the fact that at altitudes of 0120 km where meteoroid ablation begins the atmospheric densities for the two planets are comparable. The undertaking of numerous unmanned missions to Mars in the next 10 years (Mars Surveyor 98/01/03, Mars Sample Return 2005, PLANET-B, Mars Express, NETLANDER) creates an opportunity to extend our knowledge of the meteoroid stream complex to a wider range of heliocentric distances than has previously been possible. The detection of meteors in the atmosphere of Mars by means of a surface camera network or other means is, for these purposes, highly desirable. In this paper we present the results of a search for individual comets or asteroids that are likely, in our opinion, to generate observable meteor showers in the atmosphere of Mars. We have computed, in a rigorous way, the minimum orbit-to-orbit distances (MOODs for short) between Mars and a suitable subset of the known small body population. For objects which come closer than a speci®c MOOD threshold we calculate the relative velocity at the critical orbital longitude as well as future epochs at which Mars is expected to pass through that point in space. We try to estimate the likelihood of these objects being meteoroid stream parents by carrying out the same procedure for the Earth where a number of known meteoroid stream parent bodies exists. Subsequently, we re®ne the likelihood of Martian meteoroid streams and their parent bodies by examining the latter's orbital characteristics. Finally, we discuss the eects of meteoroid stream ¯ux on the Martian environment and how the various detection methods can be used to glean information about the planet and its moons. 2. Search methodology 2.1. Relation to previous work Searches for potential meteoroid stream parents as- sociated with planets other than the Earth have been carried out in the past. In unpublished work referred to in AGM96, Fox showed that 18 of the cometary orbits listed in Belyaev et al. (1986) come within 0.1 AU of the orbit of Mars as opposed to only eight for the case of the Earth. More recently, Steel (1998) derived the impact velocity distribution for a sample of over 600 known asteroids and 100 ®ctitious parabolic comets. Beech (1998) conducted a search for bodies as possible sources of ®reballs in the dense atmosphere of Venus by comparing the nodal distances of their orbits with the semimajor axis of that planet. In this work we have preferred a more rigorous approach than that employed by Beech for two main reasons: . The non-negligible inclination of the Venusian orbit (038) or, in our case, the signi®cant eccentricity of the Martian orbit (0.093) may aect the results for the closest approachers. . The fact that some asteroid/comet orbits have small inclinations means that the minimum orbit-to-orbit distance will not always be attained at the nodal crossing point. This is important when one tries to determine the actual epochs at which the planet passes through a postulated meteoroid stream. In order to avoid such problems we have considered the cartesian representation of a Keplerian orbit in space. 2.2. Minimum orbit-to-orbit distance The following have been taken, for the most part, from Murray and Dermott (1999). Consider an orbit with known semimajor axis a, eccentricity e, inclination I, argument of pericentre o and longitude of ascending node O. Using the rotation matrices 0 cos o P1 o @ sin o 0 ÿsin o cos o 0 1 0 0A 1 1 1 0 0 P2 I @ 0 cos I ÿsin I A 0 sin I cos I 1 0 0 cos O P3 O @ sin O 0 ÿsin O cos O 0 1 0 0A 1 2 3 we can move from the orbit-speci®c reference frame in which the position of the body is given by the true anomaly f to an orbit-independent frame where the position of an object is given by the cartesian co-ordinates A.A. Christou, K. Beurle / Planetary and Space Science 47 (1999) 1475±1485 0 1 0 1 X r cos f r @ Y A P3 P2 P1 @ r sin f A Z 0 4 where r quantities. L1 I, o, O cos O cos o ÿ sin O sin o cos I a 1 ÿ e2 : 1 e cos f 5 For the purposes of this investigation we shall regard the above co-ordinates as functions of the parameters a, e, I, o, O and the free variable f, that is X X a, e, I, o, O;f 6 Y Y a, e, I, o, O;f 7 Z Z a, e, I, o, O;f : 8 1477 11 L2 I, o, O ÿcos O sin o ÿ sin O cos o cos I 12 M1 I, o, O sin O cos o cos O sin o cos I 13 M2 I, o, O ÿsin O sin o cos O cos o The distance Dij between two orbits i and j is then given by D2ij fi , fj 2 2 Xj ÿ Xi Yj ÿ Yi Zj ÿ Zi 2 9 where for each comparison the parameters are ®xed and the local/global minima are obtained along with the associated values of fi and fj. 2.3. Relative velocity at the critical epoch Apart from the minimum distance criterion, the other quantity which governs the generation of a meteor from a meteoroid is the speed at atmospheric entry. For fast meteoroids, this is essentially the magnitude of the relative velocity Vrel between the planet and the parent at the critical epoch. We make a distinction between this de®nition of speed which is given by the vector dierence of the velocities of the two Keplerian orbits at the point of closest approach and the actual speed V1 of the meteoroid in that orbit at the top of the Martian atmosphere. This may be expressed as q 10 V1 V 2rel V 2esc where Vesc is the escape velocity at a height of 120 km above the surfaces of Mars or the Earth; the respective values for the two planets used here are 4.95 and 11.1 km/s. Flynn and McKay (1989) found that slowmoving meteoroids smaller than 1 mm will not be heated to ablation temperatures Ð a necessary condition for the luminous eect Ð due to their large surface-area-to-mass ratio. This upper limit is shifted to 0.04 mm for fast meteoroids (AGM96). In what follows we present expressions from which the components of the relative velocity vector can be derived. Following Roy (1988) we de®ne the auxiliary cos I 14 N1 I, o sin o sin I 15 N2 I, o cos o sin I 16 with the help of which the velocity vector in the orbitindependent frame may be expressed as 0 1 2 0 1 L2 X_ B _ C na 4 @ b M2 A cos E ÿ a V @YA r _ N2 Z 1 3 L1 @ M1 A sin E 5 N1 0 17 where b denotes thep semi-minor axis of the Keplerian ellipse equal to a 1 ÿ e2 and E is the eccentric anomaly given by 1 ÿ r=a r sin f i , i2 ÿ1: 18 E arg e b In this work we make use of bold notation to denote vectors whose moduli are simply given by the Roman type symbol. The relative velocity vector Vrel of body i with respect to body j will be equal to ViÿVj. 2.4. Sample selection In order to measure, in a statistically meaningful way, the likelihood of existence of meteoroid streams at Mars compared to that for the Earth we have chosen to apply the algorithms described in the previous section to a suitable sample of known asteroids and comets. In the case of comets, we have simply collected the orbits of 134 numbered short-period comets listed 1478 A.A. Christou, K. Beurle / Planetary and Space Science 47 (1999) 1475±1485 Table 1 Adopted ecliptic J2000 orbital elements for the Earth and Mars generated by the HORIZONS ephemeris system for the epoch JD2451000.5 Planet a (AU) e I (8) o (8) O (8) t (JD) Earth 0.999352 0.017354 0.000420 93.2437 8.9702 2,451,181.311 Mars 1.523594 0.093384 1.849930 286.4286 49.5622 2,4508,20.898 in JPL's DASTCOM database (Chamberlin et al., 1998). On the other hand, the large number of known asteroids dictated the use of a ®ltering procedure. Firstly, we have rejected unnumbered asteroids in order to ensure the reliability of the orbits present in the sample. In this way, we avoid large errors in cases where the calculated minimum distance Dmin is very small (010ÿ2 AU). Furthermore, we require that the perihelia distances of the selected asteroid orbits are within 0.2 AU of the aphelion distance of Mars. This ensures that our sample encompasses all the orbits which pass suciently close to Earth or Mars for a related meteoroid stream to be detected. Note that all orbits with perihelia inside that of the Earth have corresponding aphelion distances greater than 1 AU. In this way we have selected 1371 out of a total of 9246 numbered asteroids listed in Bowell's `astorb.dat' ®le available on the web at ftp://ftp.lowell.edu/pub/elgb/ astorb.html as of 30 September 1998. The elements for Earth and Mars were computed with JPL's HORIZONS ephemeris generation tool (Chamberlin et al., 1998) and are shown in Table 1. 3. Expected meteor brightness Before we go any further it would be instructive to comment on how bright a meteor of a given velocity and mass one would expect to see at Mars. In their analysis AGM96 reached the conclusion that fast (r30 km/s) meteors penetrate to lower altitudes at Mars than they do at Earth making their detection from the surface more favourable in the case of that planet. A subtle feature in their investigation was that in comparing the magnitudes of meteors at the two planets they adjusted the atmospheric impact speed at Mars for the expected fall-o of Keplerian speed with heliocentric distance and the weaker gravitational acceleration at that planet with respect to the Earth. In this way they were able to address the issue of the relative overall brightness of meteors from the surfaces of the two planets. Since here we are interested in individual cases whose velocities/speeds are known we would like to have estimates for meteor brightnesses at the same speed as the Earth and also look at the intrinsic as well as the apparent brightness. This is important when one considers meteor searches from vantage points other than the surface of the planet (see Section 5). For a meteor of a given speed and mass the dierence in magnitude between the two atmospheres was given in AGM96 as dM ÿ2:5 log HE =HM hE =hM 2 19 where H and h denote the atmospheric scale height and altitude of maximum luminosity for Mars and the Fig. 2. Same as Fig. 1 but for cometary orbits. The high speed outlier present in the plot for Mars is comet 1P/Halley. A.A. Christou, K. Beurle / Planetary and Space Science 47 (1999) 1475±1485 1479 Fig. 1. Two-dimensional density histogram of numbers of asteroidal orbits passing within 0.2 AU of Mars (a) and Earth (b). Gravitational acceleration at a height of 120 km above the respective surfaces of the two planets has been incorporated into the speed calculation. The approach distances and speeds of the individual orbits have been binned with a resolution of 0.01 AU and 4 km/s, respectively. The brightness scale translates in counts as follows: dark grey: 1, light grey: 2, white: r3. Maximum count for an individual resolution element is 14. A 30 km/s cut-o point in the case of Mars is evident in this and the following ®gure. Earth, respectively. If we adopt those authors' estimate of the scale height ratio (20.8) and set hE/hM=1 we ®nd dM0 +0.25m. Therefore, the intrinsic brightness of Martian meteors should be only marginally lower than that for the Earth. In order to derive an estimate of the relative apparent magnitudes from the surface for the speeds we consider in this investigation we compare their Fig. 2 with their Eq. (25) for v1,E equal to 72 and 30 km/s. This gives hE/hM 2 1.2 and if we assume a maximum luminosity altitude of 0100 km for the Earth (Hughes, 1978) we ®nd hM 2 80 km. A straightforward substitution in Eq. (19) gives dM=ÿ0.25m as viewed from the surface of the planet. A simple expression for the apparent magnitude as function of mass and velocity may be derived by adapting Eq. (19) in Hughes (1978) according to our magnitude dierence estimate to give M 24:8m ÿ 2:5 log tmV 31 =L 20 where t is the luminous eciency, m is the mass and L is the fraction of the trail over which the observer measures the magnitude. For V1=25 km/s, t=2 10ÿ3 cm/s, m = 1 g and L = 7.5 km which is relevant to this work, Eq. (20) gives M 2ÿ1.7m. 4. Results 4.1. Population comparisons We have proceeded to measure the current MOODs between the orbits of those small bodies and the orbit of Mars/Earth using the method described in Section 2. This revealed a total of 297 asteroids and 51 comets which can approach Mars to within 0.2 AU compared to 156 and 24, respectively, for the case of the Earth. An important point to be made here is that in some cases a particular object is able to produce two meteor showers as its orbit crosses the orbit of the planet near both its ascending and descending node. We have treated such opportunities as separate events, since we are interested in the frequency of shower occurrence at Mars. In order to gain insight into the dierences between the respective populations of potential meteoroid stream parents we have computed the atmospheric impact speeds of these objects at the point of closest approach using Eq. (10). Subsequently, we gather our results in distance/speed bins which we then display in a two-dimensional density histogram format for the asteroidal (Fig. 1) and cometary (Fig. 2) components separately. One striking dierence between these two plots is immediately obvious. Although the spread in speeds for asteroidal orbits is similar for the two planets, this is not observed to be the case for cometary orbits, with a distinct de®cit of high speed Mars approachers. The theoretical relative speed upper limit for Mars, achieved for a comet in a retrograde parabolic orbit with a pericentre at the orbital distance of the planet, is 58 km/s. Only one object, 1P/Halley, is found to approach this with the remainder of our asteroidal and cometary orbit sample staying under 1480 A.A. Christou, K. Beurle / Planetary and Space Science 47 (1999) 1475±1485 Table 2 Comparison of the number of asteroids for a given atmospheric impact speed V1 (km/s) and minimum orbit-to-orbit distance Dmin (AU) for Mars and the Earth V1 < 15 15 < V1 < 25 25 < V1 < 35 V1 > 35 Dmin < 0.05 54 (11)a 0.05 < Dmin < 0.1 43 (11)a 0.1 < Dmin < 0.15 46 (9)a 0.15 < Dmin < 0.2 81 (11)a a 30 10 14 15 (35)a (20)a (14)a (15)a 1 1 1 0 (7)a (5)a (8)a (7)a 0 0 0 0 (2)a (1)a (0)a (0)a 30 km/s. We note that the respective upper limit for the Earth is 72 km/s and this is approached for the most prominent annual showers such as the Perseids and the Leonids. In Tables 2 and 3 we show the actual relative statistics of Mars and Earth approachers for cometary and asteroid orbits, respectively. In combination with Figs. 1 and 2, the following two features are apparent: 1. There are approximately ®ve times more asteroids and comets encountering Mars at low velocities (<15 km/s) than the Earth. This is partly due to the mean Keplerian speed drop-o with heliocentric distance but also due to the weaker gravitational acceleration for meteors hitting the atmosphere of Mars (4.95 km/s for a parabolic meteoroid compared with Earth's 11.1 km/s). 2. At the other end of the speed spectrum, the situation is reversed. We see in Tables 2 and 3 that a total of 12 comets and 30 asteroids enter Earth's atmosphere with V1 > 25 km/s compared with only three comets and three asteroids, respectively for Mars. Thus there appears to be a de®cit of intermediate period (Halley-type) Mars-approaching comets. The reason for this state of aairs is not clear to us. It would be hard to justify it in terms of observational bias since any comet that can approach Mars should be detectable from the Earth. 4.2. Criteria for parent body candidates We now proceed to identify individual bodies which, Table 3 Same as Table 2 but for cometary orbits V1 < 15 15 < V1 < 25 25 < V1 < 35 V1 > 35 a (2)a (2)a (1)a (1)a 3 1 1 6 (4)a (1)a (0)a (1)a 1 0 0 1 (0)a (2)a (0)a (3)a 0 1 0 0 Values for the case of the Earth are given in parentheses. Object VX VY VZ V1 Dmin (Mars) Dmin (Earth) (2102) Tantalus ÿ14.3 ÿ9.7 ÿ20.6 27.3 0.060 (5335) Damocles 7.5 2.3 ÿ28.3 29.8 0.049 (5660) 1974 MA ÿ20.0 10.3 11.7 25.8 0.024 1P/Halley 17.2 ÿ50.6 4.5 53.9 0.067 13P/Olbers 2.4 ÿ19.0 18.8 27.3 0.021 0.045 ± 0.158 0.066 ± a Values for the case of the Earth are given in parentheses. Dmin < 0.05 14 0.05 < Dmin < 0.1 12 0.1 < Dmin < 0.15 4 0.15 < Dmin < 0.2 7 Table 4 Closest approach data for the most favourable meteoroid stream candidates for Marsa (2)a (2)a (0)a (3)a The cartesian components of Vrel, denoted as (VX, VY, VZ), are given in km/s and are referred to the J2000 ecliptic frame. The column labelled V1 gives the actual impact speed on the Martian atmosphere. Closest approach distances are given in AU. Respective closest approach distances with the Earth are provided for comparison. A dash should be interpreted as that object coming no closer than 0.2 AU to the planet. In the case of comet 1P/Halley and the Earth, the closest approach distance corresponding to the more productive Z Aquarid shower is given. at least on dynamical grounds, should produce prominent meteor showers at Mars. Our experience with the Earth dictates that these will be in orbits with small closest approach distance with Mars and high relative speed. However, as we saw in the previous section, there are virtually no objects which approach the orbit of Mars with a relative speed greater than 30 km/s. As a compromise between our results and the high speed requirement we have chosen a relative velocity threshold of 25 km/s and a close approach distance upper limit of 0.1 AU. As pointed out in Section 3, this speed threshold should be sucient to produce bright, easily observable meteors. 4.3. Candidate identi®cation and description By using these distance/speed criteria we have identi®ed ®ve objects which, assuming the existence of ejected particulates or collisional debris along their orbits, we expect to be the parent bodies of prominent, bright meteor showers at Mars. These are listed in Table 4 along with their relative velocity components at Mars and MOODs for Mars and the Earth for comTable 5 Future meteor shower detection/observation opportunities from the surface of Mars for the next six years (Earth dates are given)a Object 1999 (2102) Tantalus (5335) Damocles (5660) 1974 MA 1P/Halley 13P/Olbers 19/8 a 1/10 2000 11/9 28/3 5/6 2001 6/7 18/8 2002 30/7 13/2 23/4 2003 24/5 6/7 2004 16.6 1/1 10/3 The orbits of the ®ve candidate parent bodies have Dmin < 0.1 AU and V1 > 25 km/s ensuring a strong luminous eect during atmospheric ¯ight of the postulated meteoroids. A.A. Christou, K. Beurle / Planetary and Space Science 47 (1999) 1475±1485 parison purposes. In Table 5 we present their epochs of occurrence in the next six years for the convenience of Mars mission planners and scienti®c investigators. We also note that the respective lists for the Earth, which are not shown here, contains all the known prominent meteor shower parents such as comets 55P/ Tempel±Tuttle, 109P/Swift±Tuttle and minor planet (3200) Phaethon. In what follows we discuss these objects in some detail. Minor planet (2102) Tantalus is a Q-type, 3.5 kmsized object spectrally similar to H6 chondrites (Hicks et al., 1998; Lupishko and Di Martino, 1998; Binzel et al., 1996). The prominent Q-types (1862) Apollo and (1566) Icarus have been associated, albeit weakly, with minor meteoroid streams by Olsson-Steel (1987). The absence of a stream association with Tantalus in Olsson-Steel's work was given to be due to lack of observations during the critical epoch. Furthermore, a strong association between several Prairie network ®reballs and Icarus was shown in Drummond (1982). We thus conclude that further observations from Mars and the Earth at the proper epochs can be used to determine the state of this object and near-Earth asteroids in general as meteoroid stream parents. Asteroid (5335) Damocles was discovered in 1991 by R. H. McNaught and colleagues at which time it was given the provisional designation 1991 DA. Its calculated orbit was typical of that of an intermediateperiod comet (e.g. 1P/Halley) taking the object from the aphelion distance of Mars out to the orbit of Uranus. However, further observations revealed no cometary activity. Based on a combination of the above facts and subsequent numerical work, Steel et al. (1991) and Asher et al. (1994) concluded with high probability that Damocles is, in fact, an inactive or extinct cometary nucleus. If that is the case, a detection or otherwise of a meteoroid stream associated with this body is of major scienti®c importance. Results from observations at the critical epoch can be used to infer the true nature of Damocles and relate it to objects with similar characteristics such as (944) Hidalgo, the Centaur/Trojan groups or even (3200) Phaethon, the parent of the Geminids. The calculated MOOD of Damocles with Mars is 0.05 AU compared with 0.6 AU for the Earth, meaning that Mars is the only planet of the two where meteoroids ejected from Damocles will be detectable. Comet 1P/Halley is a known meteoroid stream parent body. Furthermore, it is unique in being the only comet responsible for two distinct prominent meteor showers during the year, the Orionids in October, visible from the northern hemisphere, and the Z Aquarids in May, mainly a southern-hemisphere shower (Hajduk and Buhagiar, 1982; Hughes, 1987). Its calculated MOODs to Earth are 0.15 AU for the October shower and 0.07 AU for the May event with 1481 a large relative speed of 066 km/s owing to the comet's retrograde orbit. These MOODs are well represented by the observed peak rates of 25 and 37, respectively, (Jenniskens, 1994). The above means that the calculated MOOD value to Mars of 0.07 AU combined with a relative speed of 54 km/s should yield a respectable meteor shower in the atmosphere of Mars. Thus, the predictable behaviour of comet Halley as a meteor shower parent render the existence of a related shower in the Martian atmosphere highly likely. We note here that a lowering of the peak ¯ux with respect to the Earth is expected since the orbit of Mars is further away from the comet's perihelion than the Earth is. However, this argument could be inverted in the sense that observation of the actual ¯ux at Mars could provide constraints on the range of orbital longitudes at which meteoroid ejection is taking place. Comet 13P/Olbers has an orbit which is in some ways similar to that of 1P/Halley (a 018 AU, e 0 0.93) apart from its inclination (0458) which implies a lower encounter velocity with Mars (Table 4) and its perihelion distance of 01.18 AU meaning that Mars is the only planet of the two where meteors associated with that comet will be observable. Its last apparition was in 1956 and the next one will take place in 2024. (5660) 1974 MA is a minor planet in a comet-like orbit (e 0 0.76, i0 388) which approaches the orbit of Mars approximately six times closer than that of the Earth according to Table 4. Mars is, therefore, a far more suitable place than the Earth to detect an associated stream and indeed provide insight on the nature of the object in a manner similar to the Phaethon± Geminids association. 5. Detection methods and implications Concerning the issue of actual observation of such phenomena, it would seem prudent to employ, if possible, methods which do not necessitate the manufacture of expensive, customized hardware. Ideally, the deployment of one or, preferably, several wide-angle surface cameras observing the Martian sky at night as proposed in Morgan et al. (1995) and AGM96 would be more than sucient to characterize any existing annual meteor showers and provide counts as well as orbital information for the individual meteors. The most important impediment here is the high data rates that are required to transmit the generated image data volume to the Earth. The development of suitable data compression techniques such as Hough transforms may alleviate this problem in the near future (Trayner et al., 1996). Data sent back from the Mars Path®nder have suggested that the opacity of the Martian atmosphere MS98 Orbiter? MS01 Orbiter? Mars Express? Mars Express/Beagle 2? NETLANDER? Mars Surveyor craft? PLANET-B? MS98 Lander? Mars Express? PLANET-B? Beagle 2? NETLANDER? PLANET-B Small detector area (100 cm2) Requires at least two stations. Limited direction/velocity information. Requires active sounding apparatus. Applicable only to the largest (>0.1 m) meteoroids. For camera searches: two-dimensional CCD detector array and multi-second exposure capability necessary. Mars Surveyor Landers? Beagle 2? Orbital search with camera or radar Radar/LIDAR sounding ELF/VLF wave emission Ionization trail radio re¯ection Density enhancement in Phobos/Deimos ejecta Large detection area (the Martian atmosphere). Accurate directional information. Potential use as diagnostic of the physical properties of Phobos/Deimos regolith and the dynamical evolution of dust. Sensitive to faint (>+7m) meteors. Straightforward implementation. Provides orbital information Omni-directional. Potential use for magnetic ®eld mapping. Does not require a landing station. Broad search area. Surface camera network Restrictions Advantages Detection method Table 6 List of meteor/meteoroid detection methods applicable at Mars Requires high data rate transmission capability. A.A. Christou, K. Beurle / Planetary and Space Science 47 (1999) 1475±1485 Implementation platform 1482 may increase during the night due to the formation of high altitude water clouds in the early hours of the morning (Smith et al., 1997). However, optical surveys from the surface may be supplemented by other methods which make use of instrumentation that is currently operating or is due to come on-line in the next few years. A synergy among these will eventually provide the necessary justi®cation (or otherwise) for the deployment of dedicated instrumentation in later missions. These methods are summarised in Table 6 along with their perceived advantages and disadvantages. As a high speed meteoroid passes through the atmosphere, it leaves behind an ionization trail which re¯ects radio waves (McKinley, 1949; Hawkins, 1963). This property of the trail can either be exploited by a radio transmitter/receiver system for simple meteor counting or a radar experiment to glean size/range information. In addition, the presence of a planetary magnetic ®eld such as that of the Earth means that electromagnetic energy is emitted as the ®eld lines are distorted by the presence of ionized material and then allowed to relax to their original con®gurations (Bronshten, 1983). The frequency of the emitted radiation tends to depend on the nature and speed of the meteoroid but is typically in the 1 to 10 kHz range (Keay, 1985; Watanabe et al., 1988). This radiation can be detected, for example, by means of a riometer system (Morgan et al., 1995; Detrick et al., 1997) and can be used to investigate the Martian crustal magnetic ®eld anomalies discovered recently by Mars Global Surveyor (Acuna et al., 1998). The study of meteor trains in the Martian atmosphere can also yield useful data on the upper layer of the atmosphere itself, as demonstrated for the case of the Earth (Whipple, 1938). It is conceivable that an optical search for meteors can be conducted using a wide-®eld camera aboard an orbiting spacecraft passing above the nightside of the planet. This was ®rst proposed by Khotinok (1985) as a method of deriving the ¯ux of meteorite-sized bodies at the heliocentric distance of Mars. The typical altitudes of meteors in the atmosphere of Mars are estimated by AGM96 to be 080 km. Thus, meteors observed from orbit by nadir-pointed cameras will appear 02.2 and 3 magnitudes fainter from 300 and 400 km altitudes, respectively, than they would from the surface. The sensitivity of modern CCD detectors in combination with the expected dark background should ensure that satisfactory results will still be obtained. The main issue here is the requirement for a two-dimensional detector array Ð unlike the linear CCD detector which is employed in the camera aboard Mars Global Surveyor Ð with multi-second exposure capability. The authors are aware of two instruments with speci®cations which may satisfy the requirements for an A.A. Christou, K. Beurle / Planetary and Space Science 47 (1999) 1475±1485 orbital meteor search. One is the wide angle mode of the MARCI camera on board the Mars Climate Orbiter which was successfully launched in December 1998 and is expected to reach the planet in September 1999. The centremost portion of the CCD detector in this instrument is partitioned into 20-pixel-high sections which are overlaid by dierent colour ®lters. A colour image is constructed by allowing the scene to sweep through the detector, coinciding sequentially with the dierent ®ltered sections (Malin et al., 1999). The data that accumulates into the remainder of the 1024X1024 CCD array will be normally discarded. The other possibility lies with the THEMIS visible/IR imaging device slated to ¯y aboard the 2001 Mars Surveyor orbiter (Christensen et al., 1999). In light of the above, we would like to encourage the instrument investigators to consider seriously, the feasibility of observations of the nightside of the planet at or near the epochs listed in Table 5. As a ®nal note, this observational mode has also been proposed as a means of detecting electrostatic discharges thought to occur during dust storms (Melnik and Parrot, 1998). One possibility that has so far been neglected in the literature is the use of a dust detector in orbit around Mars such as the one aboard the recently launched Nozomi (PLANET-B) spacecraft. It is known that a meteoroid stream will lose its dust-sized (R10ÿ9 g) particles very quickly due to the action of radiation pressure (Dohnanyi, 1978). One is then left with a reduced ¯ux (R1 particle/km2) of mm-sized particles (Babadzhanov et al., 1991) which is unlikely to register in the 0100 cm2 of detector surface in the hours or days during which passage through the stream takes place. We caution here that this ¯ux estimate is based on visual observations of bright meteors and does not necessarily extend to particle sizes less than 0.1 mm for which corresponding meteors would be faint (>+9m). There have been occasions in which dust detectors aboard interplanetary probes have registered temporally enhanced ¯uxes of micron-sized dust particles (Alexander et al., 1971; Homann et al., 1976). In this paper we concentrate our attention on the indirect eects of a stream on the dust environment at Mars. Namely, the possibility of dust rings around Mars may still enable the detection of such streams using suitable detectors in orbit. These rings were ®rst proposed by Soter (1971) as a product of micrometeroid sputtering of the surfaces of Phobos and Deimos. The weak gravity ®eld of the Martian moons implies that a large fraction of the impact ejecta will spread along their orbits and create a kind of dust ring or torus, similar to the ones believed to be associated with the Saturnian moons Mimas and Enceladus (Hamilton, 1994; Showalter and Cuzzi, 1993). Although the unambiguous detection of such ring material is still pending Ð this is in fact the primary purpose of the Nozomi 1483 Table 7 List of observation/detection opportunities related to very-closeapproaches (Dmin < 0.01 AU) between Mars and the orbits of a given object (Earth dates)a Object 1863 2101 2135 2201 3040 4503 4503 5641 2004 14/7 25/10 28/1 7/8 2005 26/7 22/3 16/9 23/4 15/12 Object 5645 6130 6178 6322 8014 9162 9P/ 114P/ 2004 25/9 24/12 21/10 11/3 2005 8/1 27/6 7/3 26/2 a At those instances the dust environment around Mars may be disturbed due to enhanced meteoroid ¯ux on the surfaces of the Martian moons. Additionally, the occasional physical proximity of the parent to the planet may result in meteor outbursts (Jenniskens, 1995; Jenniskens et al., 1997). All such opportunities during the nominal lifetime of the Nozomi (PLANET-B) probe, expected to reach Mars in December 2003, are shown. dust detector (Ishimoto et al., 1997) Ð extensive studies of its nature and dynamics have already been carried out (Krivov, 1994; Ishimoto and Mukai, 1994; Hamilton, 1996; Krivov and Hamilton, 1997). In particular, the number density of particles in the ring has been shown to depend sensitively on the assumed micrometeroid ejecta yield at the surfaces of the moons (Krivov, 1994; Ishimoto, 1996). This quantity is currently poorly constrained. In view of the above, it is possible that periods of greatly enhanced meteoroid ¯ux, such as times of passage of Mars through a meteoroid stream, may have dramatic consequences for the spatial and temporal structure of the ring/torus. For example, for the above-mentioned upper ¯ux limit which can be attained during a Leonid-type meteor storm we expect 0400 meteoroids r1 mm in size to impact the surface of Phobos every hour at velocities ranging from 5 to 55 km/s depending on the particular stream being encountered, delivering 0104 times the number of same-sized sporadic background particles received by the satellite over the same period of time. These estimates assume that (a) Phobos presents a 20 24 km ¯at elliptical target to the stream with a surface area of p 10 12 0400 km2 and (b) the ¯ux of mm-sized meteoroids in the sporadic background at the heliocentric distance of Mars can be extrapolated from the value of 10ÿ11 particles mÿ2 secÿ1 (2p str)ÿ1 reported in Table 3 of McDonnell (1978). These are only intended to serve as order-of-magnitude estimates. The Mars Dust Counter aboard Nozomi (Tsuruda et al., 1996) is well-suited for the study of such phenomena. In contrast to previous experiments on Mars-bounded missions (Alexander et al., 1965; Nazarova and Rybakov, 1976), it is intended to stay in 1484 A.A. Christou, K. Beurle / Planetary and Space Science 47 (1999) 1475±1485 the vicinity of the planet for at least one Martian year (1.88 Earth yr). It should be able to correlate likely periods of enhanced interplanetary (hyperbolic) meteoroid ¯ux (see Table 7) with any subsequent disturbances in the circum-Martian dust environment. These should manifest themselves as sudden enhancements in dust density in the vicinity of the satellites which gradually spread along the circumference of their orbits. Our hope is that the inevitable detection of meteoroid streams by direct or indirect means in the vicinity of Mars will encourage the research community to regard meteor science on other planets as a valuable source of information in the interdisciplinary study of the solar system. 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