Vietnam in the Regional and Global TNC Value Chain Dr. Axèle Giroud Lecturer in International Business Bradford University School of Management Paper prepared for the DFID Workshop on Globalisation and Poverty in Vietnam Hanoi, 23-24th September 2002. Vietnam in the Regional and Global TNC Value Chain Abstract: This paper presents the background for the investigation of TNCs activities in Vietnam, and the role of Vietnamese affiliates in the firms’ global and regional value chain. The methodology to be adopted to gather data in Vietnam is presented, together with a framework of analysis. The internationalisation of the Vietnamese economy, thanks to its liberalisation programme, is analysed with emphasis on FDI trends and trade flows. The role played by foreign firms in Vietnam is increasing rapidly. However, Vietnam ought to be studied in its regional context. In a wider perspective Vietnam benefits from the development experience of Japan and East Asian economies. Within the ASEAN context, Vietnam also benefits from being geographically close to Singapore and other more developed Southeast Asian nations. With these national and regional features in mind, the case of Fujitsu’s activities is discussed before presenting an overview of the type of data currently being gathered in Singapore, Malaysia and Thailand. In this paper, we wish to draw a picture of Vietnam within the global Transnational Corporations’ (TNC) value chain. TNC’s activities have increased substantially over the past few decades, and integration of Vietnam within these activities has deepen together with the flows of FDI going into the country. Rapid changes occur in the geographical location of production. For many developing countries, hosting FDI may be a powerful engine for development. Countries are therefore increasingly concerned about their competitive position within the world production map. It is essential to understand where firms locate particular activities and why they choose one site over another. Host countries also need to understand how firms’ global and regional production strategies impact upon their national economies. Because Vietnam is located in the ASEAN region, one key additional aspect to be considered is therefore the role played by the region in the firm’s strategic location decision. This paper was written in the context of the research done by the Bradford team on FDI, Regionalisation and Poverty Reduction. We analyse TNCs’ activities and how Vietnam is integrated into these global, regional and national strategies. Southeast Asia has now become a major manufacturing site for many TNCs in numerous industries. Vietnam can benefit from the experience of its neighbour countries. In line with global trends, Vietnam has recently reduced barriers to trade and investment, and is part of the AFTA agreements. This will continue to help the country being part of the internationalisation of production. METHODOLOGY ADOPTED FOR THIS STUDY This research project examines the current strategies of TNCs in ASEAN (whether they originate from within or from outside the region) and the implications of 2 these strategies for regional industrial restructuring. A large number of questions asked to TNCs are related to the integration of the affiliates within the regional and international value chain of the company. While not all companies interviewed have other affiliates in the region, many do. Both primary and secondary data are in the process of being gathered, of both quantitative and qualitative nature. The survey is taking place in two stages. We are in the process of interviewing firms in the more developed ASEAN countries (Singapore, Malaysia and Thailand), where the bulk of FDI has previously taken place. To date, a total of 38 interviews were conducted, 30 are affiliates in Singapore, Thailand or Malaysia (among which some are regional headquarters) and 8 with local firms1 having international activities (note that only a sample is presented in this paper). The second stage of the project will lead researchers to interview firms in lesser-developed ASEAN nations, namely Vietnam and Cambodia. The aim is first to structure the activities of TNCs in the first group of countries, and the subsequent impact on economic development. We will then apply the lessons learnt to the second group of countries, while analysing the current role played by TNCs in order to draw conclusions and recommendations for further actions to take place. The underlying goal of the project is to analyse the impact of FDI on the development of host economies in the regional context, in order to draw recommendations for countries in the Mekong sub-region, and Vietnam in particular. Interviews were the preferred research means because generalisation of results is enhanced by the extensive nature of interviewing through the ability to query specific respondents and probe for meaning. Interviews last for a minimum of one hour and a half and have lasted up to four hours. They are conducted with top managers of TNCs2. In this paper, we select a small sample of information gathered to indicate the place of specific ASEAN countries in TNCs’ regional and global value chain. Two sectors of activities were selected for this research: the Electrical and Electronics sector, and the Textile and Garment sector. This choice of sectors was determined for ASEAN as a whole, not solely for Vietnam. The results presented aim at 1 These interviews were conducted as a test sample to provide a comparison between activities and behaviour of TNCs and those of locally-owned firms. 2 For most interviews, the general manager or the managing director was present, often with other top mangers. Role of respondents in their company include: senior finance director, vice-president, plant director, managing director, general manager, human resource manager, corporate planning manager, supplier control manager, marketing manager. 3 illustrating the potential of the study for Vietnam, once the full data set has been collected. We will be using both figures gathered through the interviews and qualitative information provided by the respondents during the interviews. Interviews with TNCs located in Vietnam will take place during November and December 2002. VALUE CHAIN: WHAT DOES IT INVOLVE? The value chain consists of the full sequence and range of activities that go into making a final product. It is composed of two main types of activities: support and primary activities. Support activities are those that facilitate primary activities; they consist of the general management, human resources, R&D facilities and materials management. Primary activities consist of the manufacturing and assembling processes, as well as marketing, sales and services. The value chain also includes the supply chain of physical components. Today’s globalisation trend means that firm relocate activities towards the most appropriate area. Contemporary producers have broken the steps of the value chain into many discrete pieces. They have then analysed the economics of each piece and located them around the world to achieve a number of objectives (Gourevitch et al, 2000). Strategy is often concerned with identifying and taking actions that will lower the costs of value creation and/or will differentiate the firm’s product offering through superior design, quality, service, functionality, etc… Location economies will arise from performing a value creation activity in the optimal location for that activity, wherever in the world that might be (transportation costs and trade barriers permitting). When a TNC begins business in a new country, it has to decide what core activities will be allocated to the foreign entity, and how the activities performed by the affiliate will be integrated into the global chain, or when appropriate into the regional value chain. Many factors influence the decision to transfer core competencies abroad, these include the industry concerned, the ownership advantages of the firm, and the location advantages of the host economy. The idea is that the firm builds a global network of value creation activities, with different stages of the value chain being dispersed to those locations worldwide where value added is optimum or where the costs of value creation are the smallest. 4 Primary activities tend to be relocated to developing areas. Production systems include production equipment3, production management and organisational culture. Usually, core production equipment is designed and fabricated in-house by the parent firms then transferred to affiliates. Production in developing countries is generally characterised by small-scale production, low-wage, unskilled workers, insufficient maintenance, shortage of engineers, technicians and managers, underdeveloped supporting industries and underdeveloped infrastructure (Yoshihara, 2000: 67). For this reason, companies need to adapt their production equipment, affiliates’ level of automation tends to be lower than that of parents. There is further a strong dependence on the parent company for production management. Market-orientation of the firm is often a key determinant behind the need for local responsiveness4. Finally, the overall global strategy adopted by firms is of interest, in order to see how the global or regional value chains are organised. In analysing this, we are keen to understand how the affiliate relates to its parent firm, and possibly to the regional headquarters (RHQs). The tendency among many manufacturing companies is to adopt a matrix structure with a worldwide product division structure and an area division. The area division is usually catered for by the RHQs, the latter being given a variety of strategic activities to conduct. On a national basis, the affiliate of a TNC is embedded in a network of specific business relationships. The degree of affiliate embeddedness is a function of the adaptation between the affiliate and direct and indirect counterparts (such as customers and suppliers) of these relationships (Andersson, 2000). Thus, primary and secondary activities of the firm can be further divided into internal and external activities linked to the overall TNC value chain. It is by taking these various levels of analysis into account that the place of a host country in the global and regional TNC value chain can studied. What is the key activity performed by the affiliate in the host country and how does this activity relates to the global and regional value chain of the TNC? When attempting to answer this question, one must pay particular attention to the specific strategic role(s) 3 Production equipment is the core of the production system including machines, belt conveyers, tools, test instruments or jigs. 4 Pressure to be locally responsive come from differences in consumer tastes, in infrastructure, in the distribution system, or specific government demands. 5 played by the affiliate and the roles of internal and external networks in the activities performed by the affiliate. VIETNAM: LIBERALISATION AND INTERNATIONALISATION In an international business context, globalisation finds its roots in the increasing trade and investment flows between countries. It is on these two key types of flows that we will focus this section, looking at how the Vietnamese economy has internationalised over the past decade. We will see how TNCs have played a large role in the integration of Vietnam in the global economy through their investment and their share into the country’s trade. Liberalisation programme As the second largest country in Southeast Asia with 78 million inhabitants, Vietnam is an attractive location and potentially big market for TNCs. It has gradually opened to FDI since the late 1980s, when restrictions on private investment were progressively lifted and foreign investment and ownership encouraged in line with similar trends that were occurring through Southeast Asia (Cooper, 2002). Overall, the three key liberalisation forces have been trade liberalisation, FDI promotion and recognition of private ownership. Such liberalisation took place in the context of the Doi Moi policy. Since the proclamation of the reform programmes in the late 1980s, the Vietnamese government has shown greater preference for foreign investment in order to carry out the process of renovation and socio-economic development. Private and international sectors, whose participation in the Communist economy was previously denied, were recognised as the major participants in the new economic order. One of Vietnam’s earliest reforms was the Foreign Investment Law (1987), which opened the economy to foreign capital. This law was reinforced by the 1992 Constitution and other legislation that guarantee against nationalisation and offer various investment rights. Despite this positive attitude towards FDI, real changes have been slow to be implemented. It is mostly when the FDI inflows started to slow down during 1996 and 1999 that the government took stronger actions and instituted a series of new measures in order to promote and attract more foreign investments into the country. Laws do not address a number of institutional features that discourage FDI: foreign investment priority industries; multi-agency approval of FDI; complex and opaque trade policies (as 6 compared to neighbouring competitors); a highly-regulated labour market for foreign investors; and different playing fields for foreign and domestic investment (Gates, 2000). The Doi Moi policy was successful and promulgated Vietnam into the rank of fast growing economies, despite the US embargo on trade, which was only lifted in 1994. In the late 1980s, Vietnam rationalised the tariff structure, reduced export duties on many commodities, and decentralised and simplified the trade system. It also broke the state trading monopoly by allowing additional state and then private companies to enter foreign trade transactions. Some high tariffs were maintained: on luxury and nonessential goods. A list of goods subject to quantitative restrictions, licensing and other non-tariff barriers remained (Gates, 2000). In the 1990s, Vietnam signed 39 bilateral investment treaties, which provide additional guarantees for foreign investment, and 26 treaties for the avoidance of double taxation on income and capital. The most recent step forward in Vietnam’s trade potential is the bilateral trade agreement, signed with the US in 20015. This helped regularising trade exchanges between the two parties. Trade has improved since the 2001 bilateral trade agreement. Trade experts say the accord, which puts Vietnam on equal footing with America's other trading partners, is likely to be giving a boost to Vietnamese exports of textiles, shoes and seafood. Tariffs on Vietnamese goods will fall from an average of 40 percent to just 3 percent. The World Bank has estimated that would increase Vietnamese exports to the United States more than 50 percent6. Exporters to the US will therefore be the major beneficiaries7. The BTA will also benefit major structural ramifications over the next three years as Vietnam prepares to open its energy, financial services and telecommunications markets to US companies and import-competing sectors face intensified competition. In 1995, Vietnam became a member of the ASEAN, and this is where the next step in trade liberalisation is due to occur. Vietnam is now continuing to restructure its trade and tariff system, primarily through its integration into AFTA, which requires tariff reduction on most goods and trade harmonisation (Phuong, 1997). 5 The Bilateral Trade Agreement between the two countries was signed in December 2001 into law by Tran Duc Luong.Normal trade relations (NTR) are now in effect. 6 Wayne Arnold (2000). Vietnam’s Trade Imbalance and Economy Keeps Growing. The New York Times. December 27th 7 Credit Control. Asia Pacific and Vietnam. 2002. Vol. 23-1, pp. 19-22 7 Recognition of private ownership was the third key issue addressed by the Doi Moi. Reforming state-owned enterprises SOEs was central to this effort. Their number was reduced from 12000 in 1990 to about 6000 in 1996 (Cooper, 2002:140). Large military-run companies are also emerging, including those run purely for profit, in sectors such as mining, power generation, infrastructure and building construction, textiles, fishing and tourism. Outside of the agricultural and service sectors, private businesses (larger than family level) accounted for only 7.1 percent of GDP in 1998, while non-state sector in industry as a whole contributed just 17.1 percent (Cooper, 2002:150). Recently, the climate for private investment has improved with the approval in December 2001 by the National Assembly of a constitutional amendment guaranteeing for the first time equal treatment of the private sector. This was followed by a resolution in March 2002 stating that party members should be allowed to engage in private business. More than 21,000 new entreprises registered in 2001 up from 14,000 in 2000, and capital formation of these new enterprises roughly doubled. (World Bank, 2002: 21) This comes as a positive move, since in the long run, the state-owned firms may hinder the growth of the private sector. Private enterprise has flourished so far in part because it was starting from a low base. The boom in new companies stems almost entirely from tiny, family-run privately-financed firms8. To grow into bigger businesses, however, those ventures will require resources that currently mainly go to state-owned firms. The key issue is that of finance. Banks, mostly state-owned, favour public enterprises for loans. Moreover, many banks are constrained and prevented from lending to risky start-ups. Another problem faced by private firms is the lack of experience in capitalism9. The weakness of the private sector is primarily due to unfavourable environment of discriminatory incentives and rules of the game with respect to finance, investment, tax, trade. As a conclusion, considerable efforts were conducted since the launch of the Doi Moi as discussed above. However, the Vietnamese economy still suffers from a shortage of adequate means for TNCs. As many of its neighbour countries, Vietnam is grappling with a wide array of governance needs, including issues such as improving the 8 The Economist. Asia: Reluctant Capitalists, Vietnam. March, 16th, 2002 “Banks do not have many qualified loan officers, lawyers have little experience of commercial disputes, and the National Assembly is having to grapple with the wholly unfamiliar notion of competition policy. 9 8 responsiveness and accountability of government and strengthening the rule of law and bolster government effectiveness (World Bank, 2002). Other problems include the lack of business skills and the lack of accurate marketing information (Vernard, 1998: 85). Thus, to ensure further internationalisation of its economy, Vietnam ought to concentrate its effort on improving the general business environment for companies to operate in. FDI trends Vietnam has been very successful at attracting FDI during the early 1990s, as is illustrated on Tables 1 and 2. Overall FDI stocks have increased from a mere 294 million US$ in 1990 to 17,956 million in 2000. While flows have decreased towards the end of the 1990s10, they were picking up again in 2000. Vietnam has now gained a good position amongst other ASEAN countries in terms of attracting FDI. In 2000, it ranked fourth in terms of FDI inflows, behind Singapore, Malaysia, and Thailand. Inflows to Vietnam were above 2 billion dollars, while Myanmar, Cambodia and Lao attracted 240 millions, 153 and 72 millions dollars respectively. Thus, Vietnam has definitely established itself amongst the major hosts in ASEAN. <<<Include Tables 1 and 2 Here>>> In recent years, the top investing countries in Vietnam were from Asia. This partly explains why FDI inflows into Vietnam fell sharply in the years following the Asian economic crisis. Figure 1 shows that the top investing group/countries over 1995-2000 were the 3-Asian NIEs, Singapore and Japan. Clear independence between Vietnam and other Asian countries appears through investment projects in the country. This will be discussed more in-depth later in this paper. <<<Include Figure 1 Here>>> A large share of FDI is directed towards the manufacturing sector, which is the focus of our research. Within the manufacturing sector, FDI flow concentrated in heavy industry, light industry and construction, which accounted for 39.8, 25 and 18.5 percent Accountancy and methods of dispute-settlement are still in their infancy. All these ideas are as new to most Vietnamese as their motorbikes”. The Economist. Asia: Reluctant Capitalists, Vietnam. March, 16th, 2002 10 “To address these issues, in March 1999, the Government announced measures aimed at attracting foreign investors, including gradual elimination of the dual pricing system, denomination of salaries of foreign-invested enterprises in national currency, reduction of electricity and telephone charges and other registration and business fees, and simplification of administrative procedures.” http://www.adbvrm.org.vn/Economic_Update.html 9 respectively of the share of total foreign projects in the Vietnamese manufacturing sector over 1995 to 1999 (see Table 3). <<<Include Tables 3 and 4 Here>>> Vietnam has attracted foreign projects in light industries since the late 1980s, particularly textiles and garments and food processing. It is in the mid-1990s that the share of heavy industry and construction and real estate increased more rapidly. Investment in heavy industry mainly covered typical import substitution sectors such as cement and the automobile industry. The share of investment capital in light industries tends to be small, because of the small size of projects. Japanese FDI is concentrated in heavy industry rather than light industry, particularly in terms of investment capital11. As of 1996, foreign firms accounted for 15 percent of gross value of manufacturing output. This share has increased since then, together with the increase in inward FDI. Thus, overall, foreign firms account for an increasing share in the Vietnamese manufacturing sector. While FDI inflows to Vietnam slowed down after the Asian crisis, the trend seems to have reversed. The decrease was mainly due to the fact that major investors in Vietnam originate from Asian countries, which were hit by the crisis, and the relative costs had become more adverse for Vietnam. Also, the region’s crisis undermined international investor’s confidence in Southeast Asia, and Vietnam is not an exception (Tran, 1999). Other reasons for the decrease were mentioned above, namely the investment environment of Vietnam is relatively less friendly than that of other countries in the region. Vietnam’s physical infrastructure is underdeveloped, which greatly increases costs for foreign investors (Vernard, 1998; Gates, 2000; Cooper, 2002). Large investment is required to improve Vietnam’s transport-communication networks, housing and commercial property stock and related goods, financial infrastructure, labour resources and many other infrastructural components. An additional problem is that of the property rights system. Foreign investors have difficulty obtaining and retaining user rights to land. Finally, the opaque legal and bureaucratic procedures on project approval and implementation are deficient. Vietnam must improve its business environment to boost investors’ feelings. Vietnam, trade and TNCs 11 For further details, see http://www.intellasia.com/pdf-stats/investment-fdi.htm 10 Vietnam’s external trade has expanded at a very rapid rate in the early 1990s. Exports grew at an average annual rate of 29.1 percent, and imports by an even faster 37.9 percent between 1991 and 199612. This pattern changed during the Asian crisis, and in 1998 reached standstill, with exports expanding by only 1 percent in dollar terms and imports declining by 2.1 percent. This slower growth was the result of Vietnam’s exposure to Asian markets, which account for a large share of total exports. The import contraction was the combined result of temporary import bans, depreciation of the Dong, and the economic slowdown. Recent efforts by Vietnam to pursue its international integration (by joining the AFTA, and initiating negotiations for membership in the World Trade Organisation and for most favoured nation status with the United States13) helped revive the country’s trade performance. Exports increased by 24 percent in 2000. Although the increase was mainly attributed to the increased in exports of crude oil, exports of garments and knitwear also increased (to 1,820 million US$), together with those of footwear (1,443 million US$), seafood (1,392 million US$) and electronic products and computer components (655 million US$). As exports of agricultural products declined in volume, such growths show an evolution from the export of agricultural commodities towards manufactured exports. Imports were also on the increase in 2000 and a sizeable part of these went to the manufacturing industry to increase its capacity14. Asia remains the key trade partner for Vietnam, accounting for over 47 percent of its total exports and 77 percent of its total imports in 200115. However, the shares of Western Europe and North and Central America as final markets for Vietnamese products have increased substantially over the past decade (see Table 5). <<<Include Tables 5 and 6 Here>>> Foreign companies are taking an increasingly important role in foreign trade, role that should increase further in the future as restrictions are eased. Table 6 shows the growing importance of FDI for Vietnam’s foreign trade. If oil trade were to be discounted, the share of foreign firms in total trade would be significantly higher. The share of foreign firms in total exports of goods has more than doubled in the late 1990s 12 Extracted from http://www.adbvrm.org.vn/Economic_Update.html http://www.adbvrm.org.vn/Economic_Update.html 14 http://www.uk-vietnam.org/commerce/Economic%20Report.html#_Toc513881151 15 http://www.adb.org/Documents/Books/Key_Indicators/2002/default.asp#contents 13 11 from over 10 percent in 1996 to 23 percent in 2000. Similarly, foreign firms’ share in total export has increased by more than a third, from over 18 percent in 1996 to over 28 percent in 2000. These figures clearly indicate that part of Vietnam’s internationalisation through trade is occurring thanks to foreign firms’ operations. VIETNAM IN A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE The analysis presented above with emphasis on FDI trends and trade has highlighted how closely integrated within Asia Vietnam is. Hence, in this section, we will try and grasp the particular place held by Vietnam amongst its neighbour countries. Vietnam within East Asia Similarly to many Asian countries, Vietnam has experienced high growth rates in the early 1990s before the outburst of the Asian crisis, but a slower growth in the second half of the decade. Still, growth rates in Vietnam have remained stable over the past three years, and forecasts show that this stability should continue (see Table 7). Growth rates achieved prior to the Asian crisis have not been recovered. Vietnam grew by 9.3 and 8.2 percent in 1996 and 1997 respectively, while its growth has thereafter levelled out at just above 5 percent. Growth is now led by the industrial and construction activity, which grew by 8.2 percent16 (World Bank, 2002). The economy of Vietnam is closely linked to that of other Asian countries and higher growth rates in these latter are essential to the growth of its economy. <<<Include Tables 7 and 8 Here>>> Table 8 shows Asian countries (except for Japan) can be categorised into four groups in terms of economic development and per capita GNP. The first group is that of advanced economies with Singapore and Hong Kong. The second group includes Taiwan and Korea. The third group is comprised of Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, and the Philippines. Finally, the fourth group includes China, Vietnam, Myanmar, Cambodia and Laos. Asian countries’ development experience is often analysed in the light of that of the whole of Asia, in the context of the ‘Flying Geese’ pattern of economic development, whereby each country in the region follows successive stages of development. The key 16 In line with the country’s industrialisation, the share of agriculture in GDP has decreased substantially over the past decade, from 50 percent of the GDP in 1980, down to just above 38 percent in 1990 and 24 percent in 2001. The share of industry increased from 23 percent in 1980 to 36.6 percent in 2001, while that 12 concept is that of hierarchical development17, with inter-related economic development of countries. This was also labelled as the catching up product cycle (Kojima, 2000). Asian countries have benefited from a movement of comparative advantage coming from the developed countries, and in particular from Japan (Yusuf, 2002). Such a development pattern is key to the integration of countries in TNCs’ value chain. Capital accumulation and the creation by foreign firms of backward and forward linkages allow indigenous firms in the less developed country to gain access to the technology and know-how related to more advanced methods of production. Through its interdependence with neighbour countries, Vietnam ought to reach a higher level of comparative advantage and benefit from an improved industrial structure, mainly through the development of these international and regional production networks. Japanese firms and firms from the NIEs have been very pro-active at integrating Vietnam into its value chain, as illustrated in Figure 1. One key explanation might be that of geographical proximity, which has facilitated centralised control of Japanese and Asian firms in Southeast Asia (Ernst, 2000). First, regional integration has taken place through TNCs’ relocation to lower developed countries in the region. Secondly, East Asian countries’ interdependence has also arisen through gains from complementary exports between Japan and the NIEs, on the one hand, and neighbouring developing countries on the other hand. This complementary pattern is the result of the intra-industrial specialisation of the countries in the region. ASEAN still differs from East Asia in that the success of specific sectors in the region is nearly entirely due to foreign firms (Freeman & Hew, 2002). The specific experience of Vietnam is still unclear, but the role played by foreign firms in its economy is increasing. Vietnam within ASEAN The extent of indigenous technical capacity in Vietnam is lower than in the case of other ASEAN countries, but some regional investment is taking place with companies from Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand and on a smaller scale from Indonesia with interest in Vietnam. Thus, ASEAN firms and foreign firms located within ASEAN have started to integrate Vietnam within their regional value chain. Between 1995-2000, Singapore of manufacturing levelled out with only 18.7 percent http://www.adb.org/Documents/Books/Key_Indicators/2002/default.asp#contents in 2001. 13 invested a total of 1,406.43 million US$ Vietnam, followed by Malaysia with 372.84 million dollars, and Thailand with 272.17 million dollars. Indonesia invested a total of 2,344 million US$ in the region, the bulk of which went to Singapore (ASEAN, 2001: 15). Difference in the levels of economic development suggest a variety of options for production strategies in the region. Labour-intensive industries tend to locate in lower developed countries in the region, where labour costs lower although productivity may not be high. In this context, Vietnam must be placed within the regional framework of ASEAN, but also within the wider framework of Asia, with China as a key competitor to attract TNCs. In the region, Singapore stands out by having a comparative advantage for high-technology manufactured products, and by attracting regional headquarters (RHQs) of many TNCs. When looking at comparative advantages, Vietnam is at par with Myanmar for resource-based and labour-intensive industries, but the country’s large pool of labour and potential market, and it political stability has given the country a clear advantage. VIETNAM, TNCs AND THEIR GLOBAL AND REGIONAL VALUE CHAIN This section is meant to illustrate the depth of the data that will be collected amongst TNCs located in Vietnam in both the Electrical & Electronics and the Textile & Garment sectors. The aim is to provide an analysis of the complex structures existing within and amongst firms as part of their value chain. Functional areas of TNCs affiliates With current advances in technology and the endeavour of many TNCs to focus their business on core products through global rationalisation of the value chain, Vietnam may well follow a different development path than that of its neighbours. Before the 1990s, Asian affiliates mainly produced mature products while parent companies concentrated on new products. Production costs were kept low thanks to low wages in developing areas. The standard technology was easier to use in developing countries, as few skills were required of workers. Nowadays, production has become more technologyintensive (depending on the sectors), and many affiliates in Southeast Asia receive state of the art technology. This results from TNCs’ strategic decision to only select a few manufacturing locations in the world, as part of their global value chain activities. If an 17 which originated with Kaname Akamatsu in the early 1960s. 14 affiliate is merely integrated in the TNCs’ value chain as a screwdriver-type plant, it receives semi-finished parts from its parent company and assembles it. This type of affiliates used to be common a few decades ago in Southeast Asia. However, factories that manufacture parts and components in-house have increased. With more integrated plants in Southeast Asia, production of parts is either taken on by the affiliate, or performed by other affiliates in neighbour countries. Sometimes parts are simply procured from local producers, which is when the foreign firm may have linkages with supplier firms. In running their global operations, TNCs are faced with strategic choices over control of key functions and the balance between in-house activities and contracting to other firms. To illustrate the functional scope of affiliates across Southeast Asia, and how they are integrated with each other, we will use the example of Fujitsu, which was one of the companies interviewed so far. Fujitsu is structured around six key services and products categories18, but also divides the world into sub-geographical units particularly for sales and marketing purposes. The company interviewed was established in 1988 in Thailand to assemble hard disk drive (HDD). Fujitsu produces 12 percent of world HDD, 6 percent of which are produced in Thailand. The Thai operations have no other functional scope than assembling of the product. All sales and procurement functions are performed by the RHQs located in Singapore, while the overall strategy and R&D functions are performed by the parent company in Japan. Other manufacturing plants of Fujitsu are located throughout Southeast Asia, namely Philippines, Malaysia, Singapore and Vietnam. Operations of the Thai plant are integrated to those of its sister companies within ASEAN. In Vietnam, Fujitsu has one representative office, one sales office and three manufacturing plants19. All three manufacturing/assembling plants were established after 1995, and clearly Vietnam was integrated into the regional value chain of the company later than the other ASEAN countries. This indicates how Fujitsu has penetrated ASEAN in stages, and it was only after being familiar with neighbouring countries and the regional environment that Fujitsu penetrated Vietnam for manufacturing purposes. The Thai operations are linked to Philippines and Vietnam for inputs and to the 18 These categories include (1) IT & Computers, (2) Peripherals, (3) Telcommunications, (4) Microelectronics, (5) Software, (6) Speciality Products. http://www.fujitsu.com/products/ 15 Singaporean RHQs for sales and marketing, while R&D is performed in Japan. The whole of the affiliate’s production is sent to sales companies, then sold world wide (with only 10 percent of it sold in other ASEAN market). About half of the affiliate’s inputs originate from within the company. While a large share of these internal inputs come from Japan, many come from affiliated companies in Singapore, the Philippines and Vietnam. Hence, although the Thai plant does not manufacture for other affiliates, it uses parts and components manufactured by other Fujitsu affiliates in Singapore, the Philippines and Vietnam in its assembling activities. The assembling function of the plant is part of the global and regional value chain of the company. Of the firms in our sample, 8 originate from the USA, 8 from Japan, 4 from Europe, 3 from Taiwan, 2 from Hong Kong, 2 from South Korea, and 1 is a minority joint venture with an Australian partner. In terms of location, 4 affiliates are located in Singapore, 14 in Malaysia and 9 in Thailand. Out of the 4 firms in Singapore, 2 are RHQs for the global firm’s operation in Southeast Asia, one is in charge of further investment plans in the region, and the fourth one is a distribution centre for ASEAN as well as covering for major financial function as part of the global operations. One of the two RHQs provides logistics, technical consultancy, and financial/treasury functions for other affiliates in ASEAN countries. Other affiliates of the firm are also located in Singapore, those are mostly in charge of manufacturing and sales. This illustrates how Singapore is dominant in ASEAN for the position of regional headquarters (and major support like procurement, testing, engineering services and training). The city-state has also become a major hub for the region, with substantial spillover effects in neighbour countries (Wong, 2000). Singapore is the most advanced in the region technologically. To link this point with the case of Fujitsu, Singapore is a major pole for production of HDD (Gourevitch, 2000). Seagate established the first significant HDD assembly operation in Singapore in 1982. By 1996, the six largest HDD in the world were present in the country. Some of these companies have now started operations in neighbour ASEAN countries, and suppliers for the whole industry have developed throughout the region. Apart from a mere manufacturing/assembling function, other affiliates in our sample also performed a sales function. Many affiliates had an in-house R&D centre, the 19 http://vn.fujitsu.com/sitemap 16 latter aiming primarily at processes. Hence, while the core research function is still performed either by the parent firm or outside ASEAN, many affiliates nowadays have their own development centre. These R&D centre are often small, and in many cases were recently opened. Still, this indicates that affiliates in Malaysia and Thailand have established themselves fully into their firms’ value chain, and are increasingly given control over strategic functional areas. In the case of Vietnam, it is not anticipated that particular functional areas will be allocated to the foreign affiliates. In the Textiles and Garment, and Electrical and Electronics sector, it is anticipated that TNCs still use Vietnam as a manufacturing/assembling base only. It is expected that either the parent company or the RHQs will still heavily control affiliates. Because a large share of investors originates from other Asian countries, it is anticipated that the majority of investors will have other affiliates in either East Asian or Southeast Asian countries. Vietnam is not anticipated to be the sole or first foreign location for manufacturing activities. Exchange of goods: ‘make or buy’, origin and destination Once the data is gathered amongst foreign affiliates in Vietnam, a clear picture of how affiliates interact locally, regional and internationally within and outside the firm in terms of exchange of goods will be drawn. The data presented in Table 9 is meant to illustrate the information that is in the process of being gathered. <<<Insert Table 9 Here>>> Overall, a small share of the foreign affiliates’ output is sold on the local market. Affiliates are clearly export orientated in nature, a little less in Malaysia than in Thailand. We only have two companies with manufacturing activities in Singapore, and figures in Table 9 are therefore not yet representative. What is interesting is to see the high share of total output sold within the company. In the case of Malaysia nearly 26 percent of the intra-firm sales remain in Malaysia itself, thus going to other affiliates located in Malaysia. This clearly shows the importance of intra-firm activities within Southeast Asia. This is not the case for Thailand and Singapore. In terms of input, slightly more than a third of total inputs purchased by foreign affiliates are bought within the host countries of Malaysia or Thailand. Affiliates in Thailand bought a quarter of their input from other affiliates/parent company, of which 17 over 16 percent were bought from other affiliates in Thailand. While the Malaysian affiliates rely more on intra-firm purchase, less comes from within Malaysia. It is still early in this research project to draw any conclusions from our data. However, it is important to show the type of information that will be gathered amongst foreign affiliates in Vietnam. Future investment plans: place of locations in the global and regional value chain Few companies in the sample have plans to expand in other Southeast Asian countries. From Table 10, we can see that affiliates have plans to invest further in either Malaysia or Thailand. Two firms mentioned they were thinking of Vietnam as an investment location, one would consider investment if opportunities arise, and the other was seeking opportunities in the country. Most firms mentioned that regular investment went into consolidating existing affiliates in Southeast Asia. Hence it is clear that reinvestment is becoming a very important phenomenon in ASEAN. Like its neighbour countries, Vietnam must pay special attention to companies already located into its borders. CONCLUSION In this paper, we have drafted ideas for the analysis of Vietnam within TNCs global and regional value chain. Fieldwork in Vietnam is planned for November and December 2002, after which, we will be able to draw a complete map of the place of Vietnam within TNCs’ value chain in the Textiles and Garments, and Electrical and Electronics sector. Our discussion has led us to structure the discussion around the two key globalisation drives, namely FDI and international trade in the context of the liberalisation programme followed by the Vietnamese government. While investment flows have slowed down towards the end of the 1990s, they are peaking up again. The role of foreign firms in the Vietnamese economy is thus increasing, as foreign firms’ share of the country’s exports is increasing rapidly. In this paper, the geographical location of Vietnam was highlighted. Asian countries account for the bulk of investment in Vietnam, and the country has taken place in the regional division of labour. Japan, East Asian and Southeast Asian countries all play a substantial role in Vietnam. It is in this regional perspective that Vietnam must be planning its internationalisation. In the final part of this paper, we looked at the case of Fujitsu and its activities in Malaysia and intra- 18 firm links within ASEAN and Vietnam in particular. Expansion of the firm in Vietnam came in the second half of the 1990s, and the Vietnamese manufacturing plants provide the Malaysian affiliates with key parts and components. The regional aspect of TNCs’ activities is illustrated through this case. It is emphasised at the end of the paper that most TNCs interviewed in Thailand and Malaysia have little future investment plans in the rest of the region, but the parent firm is committed to consolidate existing plants in the two countries. 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ASEAN Economic Bulletin, 19(1): 6. 21 Table 1 - FDI inward stocks in South and East Asia, 1980-2000 (Millions of dollars) Host economy World China Singapore Malaysia Thailand Indonesia Philippines Vietnam Myanmar Cambodia Lao 1980 1990 1995 2000 495,200 1761,198 2,743,391 6,314,271 6,251 6,203 5,169 981 10,274 1,281 7 5 191 2 24,762 137,435 346,694 28,565 59,582 89,250 10,318 28,732 54,315 8,209 17,452 24,165 38,883 50,601 60,638 3,268 6,086 12,688 230 6,286 17,956 173 1,091 2,408 191 498 758 13 211 659 Source: UNCTAD, 2001. Table 2 - Inward FDI flows in South Asia and China, 1995-2000 (Millions of dollars) Country China Singapore Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Thailand Vietnam Myanmar Cambodia Lao 1995 35,849 8,788 4,346 5,816 1,459 2,004 2,336 277 151 95 1996 40,180 10,372 6,194 7,296 1,520 2,271 2,519 310 294 160 1997 44,237 12,967 4,677 6,513 1,249 3,627 2,824 387 204 91 1998 43,751 6,316 -356 2,700 1,752 5,143 2,254 314 121 46 1999 40,319 7,197 -2,745 3,532 737 3,562 1,991 253 135 79 2000 40,772 6,390 -4,550 5,542 1,489 2,448 2,081 240 153 72 Source: UNCTAD, 2001 22 Figure 1 - FDI in Vietnam (BOP Basis) by source country, cumulative 1995-2000 Other 12% Japan 16% USA 4% Europe 13% ASEAN 20% Asian NIEs 35% Source: ASEAN, 2001b Note: Other comprises all countries/regions not mentioned, joint countries' and international organisations' investment. Within the category 'ASEAN' countries, Singapore accounted for the bulk of the investment, with a total of 1,406.43 million of US$, that is over 65% of total ASEAN investment in Vietnam. 23 Table 3 - FDI flow to the Vietnamese manufacturing sector by industry, 1995-1999 (approval and total project cost basis) Number of projects Heavy industry Light industry Construction Food processing Aquaculture Total 347 481 185 151 33 1,197 Value of projects Million US$ 4,359.78 2,032.76 2,741.52 1,752.87 74.51 10,961.45 Share of total (value basis) 39.8 18.5 25.0 16.0 0.7 100.0 Source: ASEAN Secretariat, 2001 Note: Light industry includes: Food and Food processing, Leather Products, Textiles and Garments, and Wood Products. Heavy industry includes essentially Cement, Glass and Non-metal products, Chemical industry, Electronics and Electrical products, Machinery and Metal products Table 4 - Ownership shares in Vietnamese manufacturing (Percentage of gross value of output) Manufacturing Textiles Garments 1995 1996 1995 1996 1995 1996 “State” “Non-state” 55 54 59 58 37 36 30 30 26 26 50 49 “Foreigninvested” 15 17 15 17 13 15 Source: Hill, 2000: 291 24 Table 5 - Direction of Vietnamese Trade: Merchandise Exports and Imports Asia Exports Imports 1990 43.8 60.6 Western Europe 2001 47.6 77.2 1990 7.9 17.6 2001 28.1 11.8 North & Central America 1990 2001 0.2 8.9 0.3 3.7 Rest of the World 1990 48.1 21.5 2001 15.4 7.3 Source: extracted from Asian Development Bank, 2002 Table 6 - Import and Export by FDI - Percentage over total 1996-2000 (Percentage of total) Exports of goods by FDI, fob Imports by FDI, cif 1996 10,83 18,33 1997 19,49 30,22 1998 21,18 24,87 1999 22,42 27,64 2000 23,08 28,48 Source: http://www.uk-vietnam.org/commerce/20 20 Exact internet site is http://www.uk-vietnam.org/commerce/Economic%20Report.html#_Toc513881151 25 Table 7 - East-Asia: Real GDP Growth (Percentage growth) Projection Developing East Asia East Asia 5 Indonesia Korea Malaysia Philippines Thailand Transition China Vietnam Small Economies East Asia NIEs Non-Japan East Asia Japan Memo: All East Asia 1999 6.9 6.8 0.8 10.9 6.1 3.4 4.2 2000 7.5 7.1 4.9 9.3 8.3 4.0 4.3 2001 4.9 7.1 4.9 9.3 8.3 4.0 4.3 2002 5.3 3.7 3.5 4.2 3.0 4.0 3.0 2003 5.9 4.9 4.0 5.6 6.0 4.5 3.5 7.2 4.5 6.3 4.8 6.4 0.8 2.8 8.0 5.5 2.0 8.0 7.6 1.5 3.6 8.0 5.5 2.0 8.0 7.6 1.5 3.6 7.0 5.2 3.0 2.4 4.7 -1.2 0.8 7.0 7.0 4.1 4.2 5.6 1.7 3.0 Small Economies are weighted average of Cambodia, Lao PDR, Mongolia, Papua New Guinea. NIEs are Consensus Forecasts March ‘02’. Japan is World Bank DECPG Update March’ 02 Source: World Bank (2002) East Asia Rebound, But How Far? Regional Overview. www.worldbank.org Table 8 - Per capital GNP (US$) of selected Asian countries, 2001 Singapore Hong Kong Taiwan Korea Malaysia Thailand Indonesia Philippines China Vietnam Lao PDR Cambodia 1998 30,170 24,060 12,276 8,600 3,670 2,160 640 1,050 750 350 320 260 1999 24,150 24,570 13,153 8,490 3,390 2,010 600 1,050 780 370 290 280 2000 24,740 25,920 14,087 8,910 3,380 2,000 570 1,040 840 390 290 260 Source: Data retrieved from Asian Development Bank, 2002 26 Table 9 – Foreign affiliates, final markets and input origin (Percentages) Affiliate Location Singapore (2 firms) Malaysia (14 firms) Thailand (9 firms) Final markets Local market Share of output sold internally 40.0 2.5 Intra-firm sales on local market 0 Input origin Local market Share of input Intra-firm purchase on bought local market internally 2.5 17.5 0 28.9 56.2 25.9 32.7 42.7 5.6 7.9 49.4 0.0 34.4 25.3 16.7 Note: two firms interviewed in Singapore were RHQs, which is why figures do not appear in this table for them. One firm interviewed in Thailand is in the Textiles and Garment industry. All other firms are in the Electrical and Electronics sector. Table 10 Future investment intention in ASEAN (Number of firms) Future investment in Brunei Cambodia Indonesia Laos Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam No possibility 24 23 23 24 19 24 22 23 16 23 If opportunity arises 1 2 Seeking opportunities 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 Likely expansion Definite expansion 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 3 27
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