Concept 1-5: Scientific inquiry • Two approaches to science: Discovery science Inductive reasoning Hypothesis-based science aka “the scientific method” Uses deductive reasoning Discovery science • Careful observations of natural phenomena • Analysis of data • Inductive reasoning Generalization based on many observations. • Theory based on these observations. 1 Galapagos finches • Darwin’s observations of finches on the Galapagos islands. He spent 40 months taking notes of nature while he was a naturalist aboard the HMS Beagle. He derived his theory of evolution from these observations. Discovery science vs. Scientific method • Discovery science is not bad, but not very robust. Anecdotal observations are not hard evidence, but can lead to experiments to robustly test the hypotheses. • The scientific method (hypothesis-based science) is the only accepted way to obtain hard evidence for a theory or hypothesis. Hypothesis based science Hypothesis must be testable must be falsifiable Prediction: Deductive reasoning (“if….then”) 2 Testing evolution theory • If bacteria grows in an environment with antibiotics, then after many generations the bacteria will evolve antibiotic resistance. • Experiment: compare the bacteria Staphylococcus aureus antibiotic resistance before and after penicillin was developed. Evolution of MRSA • Staphylococcus aureus was used by Alexander Fleming in the development of penicillin. 1943: nearly all S. aureus was killed by penicillin. 1950: 40% of S. aureus was antibiotic resistant. 1960: 80% of S. aureus was antibiotic resistant. Today, 98% of S. aureus is resistant to penicillin. MRSA = Methicillin resistant staphylococcus aureus. Hypotheses can never be proved to be correct. 3 3rd hypothesis of flashlight problems Evil flashlight fairies destroy flashlights. The scientific method • Step 1: Observation • Step 2: Asking questions (develop hypotheses) • Step 3: Make predictions If_____________, then I expect ____________. • Step 4: Design an experiment to test your hypotheses. • Step 5: Collect and Analyze data • Step 6: Make conclusions based on your data. Designing experiment • Variables Independent variable The variable that you control during the experiment. A good experiment should only have one independent variable. Placed on the X-axis on graphs and tables. Dependent variable The variable that changes in response to the independent variable. Placed on the Y-axis on graphs and tables. Controlled variables Alternative independent variables that you control so only your chosen independent variable will affect the experiment. 4 Designing an experiment • Good experiments should always have replication One experiment is not considered robust, especially if sample size is small. Results that are repeatable over several of same type of experiments are more credible. Large sample sizes are more statistically significant than very small sample sizes. • A good experiment should always have a control Independent variable is omitted or held constant. 5
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