Oikos OIK-03229 Derroire, G., Balvanera, P., Castellanos-Castro, C., Decocq, G., Kennard, D. K., Lebrija-Trejos, E., Leiva, J. A., Odén, P.C., Powers, J. S., Rico-Gray, V., Tigabu, M. and Healey, J. R. 2016. Resilience of tropical dry forests – a meta-analysis of changes in species diversity and composition during secondary succession. – Oikos doi: 10.1111/oik.03229. Appendix 1 Figure A1. Fitted local polynomial regressions of each index of species richness, evenness and composition similarity for tree and shrub species with age of succession in tropical dry forest datasets. The red line is the fitted regression (using function LOESS in R ver. 3.1.3). The grey shading is the area demarcated by the 95% confidence intervals. The dashed line is the mean value for old-growth forest plots, when available. Dots are observations. Castellanos stands for Castellanos-Castro. (a) Species richness (b) Shannon evenness index (c) Sørensen similarity index (d) Chao–Sørensen similarity index Appendix 2 Figure A2. Forest plot of meta-analysis of the slope of linear regression of the considered index against successional age (effect size) for each index of species richness, evenness and composition of tree and shrub species in successional tropical dry forest. The dashed line represents a slope of zero (no correlation between the considered index and successional age). The size of boxes represents the weight of the study in the analysis. Horizontal lines represent 95% confidence intervals. Positive effect sizes indicate a positive change with successional age. The position of the centre of the diamond represents the overall summary effect (obtained with a random-effect weighted meta-analysis model) and its horizontal extent represents the positive and negative 95% confidence intervals. Castellanos stands for Castellanos-Castro. (a) Species richness (b) Shannon evenness index (c) Sørensen similarity index (d) Chao–Sørensen similarity index Appendix 3 Table A3. Goodness of fit (R2) of the linear regressions fitted for each index and datasets. Goodness of fit (R2) for Dataset Castellanos-Castro and Newton 2015 – Ceibal - pasture Castellanos-Castro and Newton 2015 – Rosales - pasture Castellanos-Castro and Newton 2015 – Rosales - shifting Kennard 2002 Lebrija-Trejos et al. 2008 Leiva et al. 2009 Mora et al. 2015 Powers et al. 2009 – Palo Verde TDF Powers et al. 2009 – Santa Rosa oak Powers et al. 2009 – Santa Rosa TDF Rico-Gray and Garcia-Franco 1992 Sovu et al. 2009 Spittler 2001 Species richness Shannon evenness Sørensen similarity 0.102 0.261 0.001 0.089 0.684 0.795 0.574 0.010 0.605 0.472 0.083 0.001 0.110 0.113 0.474 0.020 0.014 0.608 0.176 0.041 0.014 0.038 0.349 0.188 0.014 0.040 0.424 0.894 0.841 0.421 0.972 0.378 Chao– Sørensen similarity 0.297 0.910 0.842 0.224 0.080 0.432 Appendix 4 Table A4. Results of meta-analyses (all datasets) and meta-regressions of the slope of linear regression of the considered index against successional age (effect size) for each index of species richness, evenness and composition of tree and shrub species in successional tropical dry forest. MAP is mean annual precipitation and PET/MAP is the ratio between annual potential evapotranspiration and MAP. The estimates of effect size in bold are significant (the 95% confidence interval excludes 0). For the meta-regressions on categorical moderators (previous land use and duration of succession studied), p-values give the significance of the difference between the two categories. For the meta-regressions on continuous moderators (MAP, number of dry months and PET/MAP), p-values give the significance of the relationship between the effect size and the continuous moderators. All datasets Previous land use Duration of succession studied MAP Number of dry months PET/MAP Species richness Shannon evenness Sørensen similarity effect size effect size pasture effect size shifting 0.088 0.118 0.044 0.002 0.002 0.008 0.011 0.005 Chao– Sørensen similarity 0.009 0.012 0.003 p-value effect size ≤ 30 years 0.108 0.145 0.504 0.045 effect size > 30 years p-value slope of meta-regression 0.070 0.171 –0.0004 0.002 0.049 0.623 0.038 0.003 <0.001 0.003 <0.001 –0.0000 0.810 0.001 0.983 0.019 0.749 –0.0000 0.207 0.0004 0.674 0.002 0.130 –0.0000 0.143 0.005 0.363 0.012 0.203 –0.0000 0.213 0.006 0.449 0.014 0.268 p-value slope of meta-regression p-value slope of meta-regression p-value –0.0002 0.003 Appendix 5 Figure A5. Results of the meta-regressions of the slope of linear regression of the considered index against successional age (effect size) for each index of species richness, evenness and composition of tree and shrub species and each continuous moderator, in successional tropical dry forest. PET/MAP is the ratio between annual potential evapotranspiration and the mean annual precipitation. The red line is the meta-regression, the dashed lines the 95% confidence interval and dots are the effect size for the datasets. p-values give the significance of the relationship between the effect size and the continuous moderators. (a) Species richness (b) Shannon evenness index (c) Sørensen similarity index (d) Chao–Sørensen similarity index Appendix 6 Figure A6. Funnel plots for the overall analysis (without moderators) of the slope of linear regression of the considered index against successional age and for the meta-regressions with the moderators previous land use and duration of succession studied, for each index of species richness, evenness and composition of tree and shrub species in successional tropical dry forest. Dashed lines represent 95% pseudo-confidence intervals. (a) Species richness (b) Shannon evenness index (c) Sørensen similarity index (d) Chao–Sørensen similarity index
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