Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay Elementary Mathematical Modeling Chapter 4. Exponential Functions 4.1 Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Da Zheng University of Houston March 24, 2014 Introduction-A Glimpse at Exponential Functions Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data An exponential function is a function of the following form: f (x) = P × ax where P and a are constants. For example, the following functions are all exponential functions: f (x) = 5 × 2x f (x) = ex f (x) = 3 × ( 21 )x Introduction-A Glimpse at Exponential Functions Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Let f (x) = 5 × 2x so that f is an exponential function. Suppose we are at x0 and then move ahead to x0 + ∆x. Then the function value changes from f (x0 ) to f (x0 + ∆x). Also, we observe that 5 × 2x0 +∆x 5 × 2x0 × 2∆x f (x0 + ∆x) = = = 2∆x . f (x0 ) 5 × 2x0 5 × 2x0 We can see that this ratio has nothing to do with x0 . That is, it does not care about where we start. It just cares about how much the increment is, i.e. ∆x. Introduction-A Glimpse at Exponential Functions Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data This means, for an exponential function, regardless of the original input, as long as we increase the input by ∆x, then the new function value will be a∆x multiplying the original function value. This is also a characterization of exponential functions. One can compare this with that of linear functions. Exponential Growth Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Now let’s see how exponential functions arise. Exponential functions occur quite often in population growth. The following example is a typical one. Suppose there are initially 3000 bacteria in a culture and the number of bacteria doubles every hour. Then, we have the following table Hour 0 1 2 3 Number of Bacteria 3000 2 × 3000 = 6000 2 × 6000 = 12000 2 × 12000 = 24000 Exponential Growth Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data So far, maybe you cannot see that these data can be modeled by an exponential function. However, let N (t) be the number of bacteria after t hours, and we observe the following, N (0) = 3000 = 3000 × 20 N (1) = 3000 × 2 = 3000 × 21 N (2) = 3000 × 2 × 2 = 3000 × 22 N (3) = 3000 × 2 × 2 × 2 = 3000 × 23 Exponential Growth Elementary Mathematical Modeling Hence, from this pattern, we know we can write H(t) as Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data N (t) = 3000 × 2t , which is clearly of the form N (t) = P at . So N (t) is an exponential function. The advantage to know the formula for N (t) is that if we want to know the number of bacteria for any t, we don’t have to multiple 3000 by 2 t times. For instance, we can calculate N (6) = 3000 × 26 = 192, 000. Moreover, this formula allows us to calculate the value for non-integer inputs, such as N (1.5) = 3000 × 21.5 = 8485. Base, Growth Factor, Initial value Elementary Mathematical Modeling Let’s take a look at the formula for an exponential function: f (x) = P ax . Here, a is called the base. Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Sometimes, if a > 1, we call it the growth factor, since you can see from the example above,the function has base 2 and it gets larger and larger as we increase the inputs. If a < 1, we call it the decay factor, since you can check that the function value gets smaller and smaller as we increase the inputs. The following is one example for an exponential function with decay factor. t 1 H(t) = 3000 × , 2 and it is easy to see that H(t) is decreasing. Base, Growth Factor, Initial value Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data What if we view the variable of an exponential function as time and input x = 0? We have f (0) = P a0 = P . So P is called the initial value. We can also see their graphs. It will convince you why we the name the base as growth factor or decay factor. Base, Growth Factor, Initial value Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data We can also conclude that for growth factors, the graph is concave up and increasing rapidly; for decay factors, the graph is also concave up but decreasing rapidly. In-class Problems Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Problem Suppose an amount has initial value 10. For the next period, we multiply the amount by 3. Find the exponential function for this amount. In-class Problems Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Problem Suppose that f is an exponential function with growth factor 2.4 and that f (0) = 3. Find f (2) and a formula for f (x). Unit Conversion Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Sometime, it is better if can we represent the same exponential function with a different base. For example, suppose from 1790 to 1860, the U.S. population grew exponentially with yearly growth factor 1.03. So we can model this as f (x) = P × 1.03x , where x is the years since 1790 and P is the initial value equal to the population in 1790. Now what if we just want the variable to represent decades since 1790? To achieve this, we must calculate the decade growth factor, which is 1.0310 = 1.344. Then, our exponential function is g(x) = P × 1.344x , where x is the decades since 1790. Unit Conversion Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data In fact, we can check that f and g are the same model, just the variables represents different periods. In more details, we have x f (x) = g( ). 10 So if we want to know the population in 1800, we plug 40 in f (x) = P × 1.03x or 4 in g(x) = P × 1.344x . Both will give us the same answer. Unit Conversion Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Now, we reverse the above problem. Suppose we first model the data as h(x) = P × 1.344x , where x is the decades since 1790. Then, if we want the variable to be the years since 1790, we can calculate the yearly growth factor as 1.3441/10 = 1.03. Then the new exponential function is k(x) = P × 1.03x . In deed, we have the following formula to change between the growth factors. a =growth factor for one period −→ ak = growth factor for k periods b =growth factor for k periods −→ b1/k = growth factor for one period In-class Problems Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Problem A certain quantity has a yearly growth factor of 1.17. What is its monthly growth factor? Percentage Growth Rate and Growth Factor Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Exponential functions also arise from constant percentage change, which occurs quite common in our daily life. Let’s consider the following case: Suppose Mike gets a job in some company. Initially his salary is P , and his salary increases by 5% each year. So what will be his salary after t years? Let S(t) denotes his salary after t years. Then we have: S(0) = P = P × (1 + 5%)0 S(1) = P × (1 + 5%) = P × (1 + 5%)1 S(2) = P × (1 + 5%) × (1 + 5%) = P × (1 + 5%)2 ... ... Percentage Growth Rate and Growth Factor Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Hence, following this pattern, we can model the data as an exponential function, S(t) = P (1 + 5%)t . Here, we see that the base (or the growth factor) is 1 + 5%. We say that our salary has a yearly percentage growth rate of 5%. Maybe you have already known how to write an exponential function given the initial value P and yearly percentage growth rate r, that is, f (x) = P (1 + r)x . Percentage Decay Rate and Decay Factor Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Similarly, if we know some quantity decreases by r each year, we know that the exponential function should be f (x) = P (1 − r)x . Here, 1 − r is the decay factor and we call r the yearly percentage decay rate. In-class Problems Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Problem An exponential function has a growth factor of 1.06. What is the percentage growth rate? In-class Problems Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Problem Suppose f is an exponential function with percentage growth rate of 5% and f (0) = 8. Find a formula for f (x). In-class Problems Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Problem A certain population has a yearly growth rate of 2.3%, and the initial value is 3 million. a. Use a formula to express the population as an exponential function. b. Express using functional notation the population after 4 years, and then calculate that value. Percentage Change and Unit Conversion Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Suppose a quantity has yearly growth rate of 5%, then what is its decade growth rate? Is it 5% × 10? NO! This problem is not that simple. Let’s take a look at the correct way to solve it. First, the yearly growth factor is 1 + 5% = 1.05. So use the unit conversion technique we learned in last section, we can calculate that the decade growth factor is 1.0510 = 1.63. This mean the decade growth rate is 1.63 − 1 = 0.63. Hence, you can see that if we calculate wrongly and obtain 5% × 10 = 0.5, then it is much smaller than the actual decade growth rate. In-class Problems Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Problem A quantity increases by 4% for each of 8 years. What is its percentage increase over the 8-year period? In-class Problems Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Problem A quantity decreases by 3% for each of 5 years. What is its percentage decrease over the 5-year period? Recognizing Exponential Data Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Remember that in the last chapter, we learned how to model the given data by a linear function. Now, we have a new tool, i.e. exponential functions, so let’s see how to model given data by exponential functions. To explain the method, consider the following example: The table below shows how the balance in a saving account grows over time since the initial investment: Time(month) Balance($) 0 3500 1 3542 2 3584.5 3 3627.52 4 3671.05 Recognizing Exponential Data Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Can we model the data by some exponential function? That is, we are going to find a function of the following form: B(t) = P × at , where t denotes the months, and B(t) denotes the balance, such that B(0) = 3500 B(1) = 3542 B(2) = 3584.5 B(3) = 3627.52 B(4) = 3671.05 Recognizing Exponential Data Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Like the case for linear modeling, we need to test whether there does exist such an exponential function before we try to construct it. Recall the characterization of an exponential function, after each period, we multiply the old value by the same number to obtain the new value. That is, if the table of data can be modeled by an exponential function, then we must show common quotients if we divide each data entry by the one preceding it. So we create the following table of quotients. Recognizing Exponential Data Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data ∆t 0 to 1 3542 Ratios of B 3500 = 1.012 ∆t 2 to 3 3627.52 Ratios of B 3584.5 = 1.012 1 to 2 3584.5 =1.012 3542 3 to 4 = 1.012 3671.05 3627.52 Construct an Exponential Model Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data From this table of quotients, we can see that we have a common quotient, so we can try to seek for a exponential model. Notice that our function should be of the form: B(t) = P × at , hence we need to obtain the base (growth factor) a and initial value P first. P is easy to obtain, since it is the value when t = 0 and we can read the table and have P = 3500. Construct an Exponential Model Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Next, to obtain a, let’s use the table of quotients we have just created. The quotients are all the same, so let’s just look at the first entry. This quotient is P × a1 B(1) = = a. B(0) P × a0 So the base is exactly the common quotient. So a = 1.012. Thus, for the above example, we have B(t) = 3500 × 1.012t . When data are measured in increment not equal to one Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng Consider the following table of data: x y 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data 0 64 3 22.91 6 8.2 9 2.93 To see whether they can be modeled by an exponential function, we create the table of quotients. ∆x Ratio of y 0 to 3 = 0.36 22.91 64 3 to 6 = 0.36 8.2 22.91 6 to 9 = 0.36 2.93 8.2 When data are measured in increment not equal to one Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data So these data can be modeled by an exponential, function, even though the increment is not 1, it does not matter, since for equal difference in period, we have equal quotients. The problem is how to obtain the base (decay factor in this case). Notice that the common quotient 0.36 seems to be the base. But it is indeed the quotient corresponding to a period of 3 units. Hence, recall the unit conversion technique, we perform the following to obtain the correct quotient. 1 a = (0.36) 3 = 0.71. So the exponential model for these data is f (x) = 64 × 0.71x . In-class Problems Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Problem The value of a coin collection increases as new coins are added and the value of some rare coins in the collection increases. The value V , in dollars, of the collection t years after the collection was started is given by the following table. t=time in years 0 1 2 3 4 V=value in dollars 130 156 187.2 224.64 269.57 In-class Problems Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Problem a. Show that these data are exponential. b. Find an exponential model for the data. c. According to the model, when will the collection have a value of $500? In-class Problems Elementary Mathematical Modeling Da Zheng 4.1. Exponential Growth and Decay 4.2. Constant Percentage Change 4.3. Modeling Exponential Data Problem Test the given data to see whether it is exponential. If it is, find an exponential model for it. x y 0 6 2 18 4 54 6 162
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