Photos: Shutterstock Votorantim The Strength of Brazilian Mining 2012 A Positive Outlook for Mining in Brazil 2 Brazil has one of the largest mineral repositories in the world and is an important producer and exporter of high quality ores. That’s why Mining is one of the strengths of the Brazilian economy. Shutterstock The Mining Industry is responsible for the positive balance of Brazil’s trade, and the outlook of this economic activity is extremely optimistic for the coming decades. Mining Companies in Brazil According to Annual Reports on Mining, DNPM – National Department of Mineral Production Brazil reported 7,932 Companies in 2010. Their breakdown by region is as follows: MIDWEST: 942 companies NORTHEAST: 1.258 companies NORTH: 439 companies SOUTHEAST: 3.392 companies SOUTH: 1.901 companies BRAZIL IN THE WORLD area > 3 million km2 The Brazilian mining industry currently finds itself in a time of vigorous growth, thanks both to the profound structural changes that the country has experienced and the social and economic situation in which the world is in. This growth is driven by the urbanization process in emerging countries endowed with large territorial areas, high demographic density and high GDP (Gross Domestic Product), as the BRICs (Brazil, Russia, India and China), which coincidentally makes them important players for global mining. Population > 140 million inhabitants Bangladesh Republic of Nigeria Pakistan Russia EUA Indonesia BRAZIL Australia China India Canada Spain Germany United Kingdom Japan Italy South Korea France Mexico GDP > US$ 900 billion Source: World Bank (2010) 3 MINERAL TRADE BALANCE Brazilian Trade Balance 2011 = US$ 29.796 35.360 45.000 40.000 11.292 27.603 7.757 12.599 5.497 13.112 9.729 5.185 10.000 4.490 15.000 6.540 20.000 10.011 15.196 25.000 18.096 22.841 30.000 11.030 US$ million 35.000 38.419 49.710 50.000 5.000 0 2006 2008 2007 Exports Imports 2009 2010 2011 Balance Source: MDIC/Aliceweb Brazil’s Mineral Production (BMP) 2011: Forecast of Brazil’s mineral production totaled US$ 50 billion From 2000, the increased demand for minerals, especially the high global growth rate, boosted the value of the BMP. During 2001/2011, the value of the BMP will have an increase of 550%, from US$7,7 billion to US$50 billion (estimated). With the urbanization process and the strengthening of world economies, it is estimated that the BMP will keep growing between 5% and 8% per year over the next two years. GROWTH OF BRAZIL’S MINERAL PRODUCTION In US$ billions 50 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Years 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 09 10 11 Forecast Petroleum & Gas not included. Source: DNPM/IBRAM 4 MINERAL PRODUCTION: GLOBAL POSITION OF BRAZIL Exporter (Global Player) Exporter Self-sufficient Niobium (1st) Iron ore (1st) Manganese (2nd) Tantalum (2nd) Nickel Magnesium Kaolin Tin Limestone Industrial diamonds Titanium Graphite (3rd) Bauxite (2nd) Dimension Stone Vermiculite Chromium Gold Tungsten Talc Importer / Producer External Dependency Metallurgical Coal Potassium Copper Phosphate Diatomite Zinc Sulphur Rare Earths STRATEGIC Source: DNPM/IBRAM/PNM 2030 CLASSIFICATION OF THE PRODUCTION AND MINERAL RESERVES OF BRAZIL IN THE WORLD Mineral Production Brazil Ranking Position Reserves Brazil Ranking Position Bauxite 14% 3rd 6,8% 5th Copper 2% 5th 2% 13th Dimension Stone 7,7% 3rd 5,6% 6th Gold 2,3% 12th 3,3% 9th Iron Ore 17% 2nd 11% 5th Kaolim 6,8% 5th 28% 2nd Manganese 20% 2nd 1,1% 6th Niobium 98% 1st 98% 1st Tantalite 28% 2nd 50% 1st Tin 4,1% 5th 13% 3rd Zinc 2,4% 12th 0,85% 6rd Source: PNM 2030/IBRAM Brazil is an important player in the world’s mining industry. However, it still depends on some minerals that are key to the economy. Brazil is the fourth largest consumer of fertilizers, and is responsible for only 2% of the world’s production. The Country imports 91% of the potassium and 51% of the phosphate needed, both essential for the fertilizers industry. 5 MAIN MINERAL PRODUCTS IMPORTED AND ExPORTED (US$ 1.000.000) 2011 2010 Δ 11/10 256.039 201.915 26,81% 49.710 35.360 40,58% 41.817 28.912 44,64% Gold (in bars) 2.239 1.786 25,38% Niobium (iron-niobium) 1.840 1.557 18,18% Copper 1.573 1.238 27,04% Silicon 637 460 38,39% Kaolin 261 275 -5,02% Manganese Ore 306 357 -14,40% Bauxite 319 270 18,15% 23 8 192,50% 9 12 -21,67% Granite 247 219 12,60% Others Minerals 439 268 63,88% 226.243 181.768 24,47% 11.292 7.757 45,57% Coal 5.231 3.575 46,31% Potassium 3.471 2.204 57,48% Phosphate 207 135 52,96% 1.141 952 19,88% Zinc 184 157 17,07% Sulphur 441 246 79,43% Others Minerals 617 488 26,43% Brazilian Balance 29.796 20.147 47,89% Balance of the Mineral Sector 38.419 27.603 39,18% Brazilian Exports Exports Mineral Sector Iron Ore Tin Lead Brazilian Imports Imports Mineral Goods Copper Brazilian Trade Balance Mineral Sector Trade Balance Source: MDIC/Aliceweb Mineral Trade Balance 6 EXportS 2011 importS 2011 % of value exported in US$ % of value imported in US$ Gold 4,50% Niobium 3,70% Copper 3,16% Silicon 1,28% Kaolin 0,53% Manganese 0,61% Bauxite 0,64% Tin 0,05% Lead 0,02% Granite 0,50% Others 0,88% Iron Ore 84,12% Source: MDIC/Aliceweb Silphur 3,91% Others 5,46% Zinc 1,63% Copper 10,11% Phosphate 1,83% Coal 46,32% Potassium 30,74% Source: MDIC/Aliceweb roYALtiES iN BrAZiL 2005-2011 (CFEm – FiNANCiAL CompENSAtioN For miNErAL rESoUrCES EXpLoitAtioN) 1.800 1.600 1.540,0 1.400 1.200 1.078,2 1.000 853,9 736,8 800 600 400 405,1 462,5 537,4 200 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: DNPM/IBRAM Jobs in the Brazilian Mineral Sector 7 IMPORTANCE OF MINING FOR THE GENERATION OF JOBS 16 First Transformation 12 11 Mining 8 4 2 Total 14 1 0 Suppliers EMPLOyMENT GENERATION MULTIPLIER EFFECT: 1:13 The total labor force employed in mining in 2011 reached 175 thousand workers. Studies by the Ministry of Mines and Energy’s National Department of Geology, Mining and Mineral Processing show that the multiplier effect of jobs is 1:13 in the mining sector, ie, for each mining job, 13 others are created (direct employment) along the production chain. Therefore, it can be assumed that the mineral sector in 2011 employs about 2.2 million workers (directly), not considering the vacancies generated during the research, prospecting and planning stages, and the workforce employed in the mines. Generates 2,2 million direct jobs in Brazil (175.000 created by the mining industry) Date 2011 Source: National Secretary for Geology, Mining and Mineral Trasnformation of the Ministry of Mines and Energy of Brazil (MME) HDI of mineral producing municipalities The Human Development Index is greater in mineral producing municipalities than the average in the respective States. Even when far from large urban centers or in areas of poverty, a mining company has become a real possibility for the sustainable development of the region. The HDI is calculated by the United Nations Development Program – UNDP. Municipality -Estate Mineral State HDI Municipality HDI Itabira – MG Iron Ore 0,766 0,798 Araxá – MG Niobium 0,766 0,799 Nova Lima – MG Gold 0,766 0,821 Catalão – GO Phosphate 0,773 0,818 Cachoeiro de Itapemirim – ES Dimension Stone 0,767 0,770 Paraupebas – PA Iron Ore 0,720 0,740 Oriximiná – PA Bauxite 0,720 0,769 Presidente Figueiredo – AM Cassiterite 0,713 0,742 Source: UNDP Investiments in the Minning Sector 8 The graphs shows an increase in the amount of investments in the Brazilian mining sector. The figures calculated by IBRAM are projections for a 5-year period. The Association expects, based on data collected from mining companies, significant investments of US$ 68.5 billion for the period 2011-2015, which represents a new record for the mining industry. The private sector invests more in the Country, an average of over US$ 13 billion per year. This amount is periodically reassessed by IBRAM. These investments apply to a number of minerals, and since Iron Ore is the most significant one, it will take up 63% of the total. Shutterstock iNCrEASES iN miNErAL prodUCtioN UNtiL 2015 Increase on 2015 (1.000 ton) (B) Forescast Production on 2015 (C)=(A+B) 372.000 399.500 771.500 2,1 74 118 192 2,6 Alumina 8.900 10.000 18.900 2,1 Bauxite 31.700 13.000 44.700 1,4 Copper 213 449 662 3,1 Gold 0,058 0,033 0,091 1,5 Phosphate 6.300 5.300 11.600 1,8 288 50 338 1,2 516.000 156.770 672.770 1,3 80 40 120 1,5 Ores Iron Ore Nickel Zinc Agregates Niobium Production 2011 (1.000 ton) (A) Variation x times (V/T) Source: IBRAM estimatives 9 iNvEStmENt iN thE miNErAL SECtor 2011 – 2015 In billions of US$ 2011-2015 2011-2015 2010-2014 80 2008-2012 70 2010-2014 2009-2013 57 60 54 48 50 30 32 28 25 49 47 2007-2011 40 68,5 64,8 62 2010-2014 20 10 sep-11 jan-11 aug-10 apr-10 jan-10 mar-09 sep-08 jul-08 may-08 mar-08 jan-08 nov-07 sep-07 jul-07 may-07 jan-07 mar-07 0 Source: IBRAM In millions of US$ Investments in the mineral sector 2010 to 2014: US$ 62 billion 0 310 Chromite 44 40 Coal 270 200 Vanadium 310 0 limestone 631 0 Zinc 66 400 Niobium 300 Manganese 400 2.675 New investments in the mineral sector 2011 to 2015: US$ 68,5 billion Potassium Gold Copper Phosphate Nickel Alumina Iron 0 2.030 2.418 2.657 2.542 2.510 1.890 6.716 6.550 8.187 5.220 39.230 44.969 iNvEStmENtS oF thE miNErAL SECtor BY miNErAL From 2011 – 2015 Source: IBRAM Geological Surveying 10 Brazil’s mining potential is significant. To date, about less than 30% of its immense territory is known through geological surveys in an appropriate scale for this activity. The Indigenous areas, that account for 13% of this territory and 25% of the Amazon, are among regions that may have their mining potential assessed, as well as the coastal area, located along the Brazilian continental platform. The graph shows that there is pent-up demand in the field of geology surveying in Brazil. For illustrative purposes, although its land area is about seven times that of Peru, Brazil allocates only half of the amount invested by that country on geological research. PRIVATE INVESTMENT IN MINERAL ExPLORATION TOP 10 COUNTrIES IN TErMS OF INvESTMENTS IN MINEraL ExPLOraTION Canada (US$ 2,03 billion) 19% Other Countries 31% Australia (US$ 1,2 billion) 12% Brazil (US$ 321 million) 3% US 8% Argentina 3% China 4% Mexico 6% Russia 4% Chile 5% Peru 5% 10 leading countries Total: US$ 10,7 billion Source: Metals Economic Group – 2009 Shutterstock 11 INVESTMENTS IN MINERAL ExPLORATION IN THE WORLD Area (sq.km) x 1.000 Absolute Investments (US$) Share of Investments (%) Absolute Investmentes/ Area (US$/sq.km) Brazil Investment vs Countries Canada 9971 2.033.000 19 0,2 5.4 Australia 7682 1.284.000 12 0,2 4.5 USA 9373 856.000 8 0,3 2.4 Mexico 1973 642.000 6 0,0 8.7 Chile 757 535.000 5 0,0 18.8 Peru 1285 535.000 5 0,4 11.1 17075 428.000 4 0,7 0.7 China 9600 428.000 4 0,1 1.2 Argentina 2780 321.000 3 0,1 3,1 Brazil 8547 321.000 3 0,01 1 Global Investment (US$ 10.700.000) Russia US$ 1.000 The table shows the disparity between the total amounts invested by countries assessed as compared to Brazil. The analysis takes into account the countries’ sizes, and confirms that smaller countries (Peru, Chile and Mexico) or countries of similar territorial areas are ahead of Brazil in exploration investment (except for Russia). www.i br a m .or g.br
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