Survey Project Mario Sandri www.mariosandri.it Index Survey Project Part I ................................................................................................................................................................................................. 4 Part II ................................................................................................................................................................................................ 4 Part III ............................................................................................................................................................................................... 4 Part IV .............................................................................................................................................................................................. 4 Part V ............................................................................................................................................................................................... 4 Part VI .............................................................................................................................................................................................. 5 Survey Project Scoring Rubric ...................................................................................................................................................... 6 How to do a survey Survey Says ... ............................................................................................................................................................................... 10 Four Steps ...................................................................................................................................................................................... 10 Step One: Create the Questions .............................................................................................................................................. 10 Step Two: Asking the Questions ................................................................................................................................................ 11 Step Three: Tally the Results ....................................................................................................................................................... 12 Step Four: Presenting the Results............................................................................................................................................... 12 Question survey Questions ...................................................................................................................................................................................... 14 Types of Questions ....................................................................................................................................................................... 15 Question Sequence .................................................................................................................................................................... 16 Neutral Questions ........................................................................................................................................................................ 17 Possible Answers .......................................................................................................................................................................... 17 How Will I Gather the Answers? ................................................................................................................................................ 19 How Will I Show the Results? ...................................................................................................................................................... 19 Test It Out ...................................................................................................................................................................................... 19 Your Original Objective .............................................................................................................................................................. 19 Sampling Info The Beauty of Sampling.............................................................................................................................................................. 20 The Margin of Error....................................................................................................................................................................... 20 Advantages of a Sample Survey over a Census ................................................................................................................... 20 Bias ................................................................................................................................................................................................. 20 pag. 2 Sampling Methods Choosing a Simple Random Sample ....................................................................................................................................... 21 Stratified Random Sampling ...................................................................................................................................................... 21 Cluster Sampling .......................................................................................................................................................................... 21 Systematic Sampling ................................................................................................................................................................... 22 Multistage Sampling.................................................................................................................................................................... 22 Difficulties and Disasters in Sampling Using the Wrong Sampling Frame ............................................................................................................................................ 23 Not Reaching the Individuals Selected ................................................................................................................................... 23 Nonresponse or Volunteer Response ....................................................................................................................................... 24 Disasters in Sampling ................................................................................................................................................................... 24 How to Ask Survey Questions Possible Sources of Response Bias in Surveys .......................................................................................................................... 25 Deliberate Bias ............................................................................................................................................................................. 25 Unintentional Bias ........................................................................................................................................................................ 25 Desire to Please ........................................................................................................................................................................... 25 Asking the Uninformed ............................................................................................................................................................... 25 Unnecessary Complexity............................................................................................................................................................ 26 Ordering of Questions ................................................................................................................................................................. 26 Confidentiality and Anonymity ................................................................................................................................................. 26 Be Sure You Understand What Was Measured ...................................................................................................................... 26 pag. 3 Survey Project Part I Team members brainstorm possible survey topics on issues of interest Part II Each team submits a typed proposal describing: • Topic/question of interest • Background motivation for selecting topic/question • Questions to be included in the survey • Methodology The type of sampling procedure you intend to use (i.e. stratified, cluster, simple random sample, etc.) Precise description of your randomization When, where, and how you will administer the survey Part III Select your sample and administer your survey Part IV Organize, summarize, and analyze your data Part V Prepare a written report that documents your survey. Follow these guidelines: Your written report should include each of the sections described below. The finished product will be evaluated according to the attached rubric, so read it carefully. • Topic/Question: Should be descriptive and eye catching • Background: Why did you decide to investigate this topic/question? Why is it interesting and important? • Methodology: This should be clear enough so that anyone who reads your description could replicate the survey effortlessly. Describe and defend your chosen sampling procedure. Detail your randomization process. Carefully explain when, where, and how you administered the survey. Provide a copy of your survey! • Data: Organize your data Analysis: Include appropriate graphical and numerical summaries (i.e. bar graphs, pie charts, etc.) pag. 4 Interpretation: Discuss what the data tells you about the topic/question you chose. What generalizations might you draw about the population from which the sample was drawn? • Pitfalls and extensions: Share any difficulties you experienced during the survey project. What might you do differently if you were to repeat the survey? Are there any possible extensions of this survey project that might prove interesting? Part VI Class Presentation: a 5 minute opportunity for you to share the critical aspects of your survey project with your classmates! Make it interesting!! (See the scoring rubric.) pag. 5 Methodology: Randomization Methodology: Sampling Procedure Topic/Question and Background Survey Project Scoring Rubric pag. 6 4 The topic/question selected is clearly stated, is ofinterest to the school community, andis appropriate. The background provided gives strong motivation for the team’s choice of this topic/question and represents its relevance 4 The chosen sample procedure is appropriate for addressing the selected topic/question, is described accurately, and is implemented according to the stated plan 4 The randomization process includes a clear description of the selection process and the results of that randomization (i.e. the subjects chosen). The randomization process matches the chosen sampling procedure 3 The topic/question selected is clearly stated, is of interest to the school community, and is appropriate. The background provided gives considerable support for the team’s choice of this topic/question and some attempt is made to show its relevance 3 The chosen sample procedure satisfies two of the three criteria from (4), but is weak in the other area 3 The randomization process matches the chosen sampling procedure, but clarity of communication would prevent easy replication of this randomization 2 The topic/question is flawed in one of the areas: clearly stated, of interest to the school community, appropriate OR the background provided fails in either its support for the chosen topic/question or the relevance 1 Both the topic/question and the background provided are flawed in at least one area. However, one or both satisfactorily address at least half of the areas specified 0 Neither the topic/question nor the background provided satisfactorily address at least half of the specified areas 2 The chosen sample procedure satisfies two of the three criteria from(4) completely, and does not satisfy the third requirement OR the chosen sample procedure satisfies one of the three criteria completely andthe other twopartially 2 The randomization process does not match the chosen sampling procedure 1 The chosen sample procedure satisfies one of the three criteriafrom (4) completely, and one of theothertwo criteria partially 0 The chosen sample procedure does not satisfy any of the three criteria from (4) completely 1 There is some flaw in the randomization procedure itself 0 The randomization is flawed in all areas or no randomization was used Methodology: Administration of Survey Methodology: The Survey Data Recording and Summarization pag. 7 4 The survey is administered according to the stated plan. All those selected in the randomization process actually complete the survey successfully. No evidence of bias is present 3 The survey is administered almost entirely according to the stated plan. Nearly all of those selected in the randomization process complete the survey successfully. No evidence of bias 4 Survey questions have all been pretested and refined. They are clear and unbiased 3 Survey questions have all been pretested and refined. They are unbiased, but somewhat unclear 3 Original data provided and summarized in appropriate form, but with a minor error or sloppy presentation 4 Original data provided and summarized in an appropriate form. Neat and accurate 2 The survey is administered almost entirely according to the stated plan, and nearly all of those selected actually complete the survey. Some evidence of bias is present OR the survey administered deviates from the stated plan in some way that does not introduce bias, but that might impact who completes the survey 2 Survey questions have all been pretested, but not completely refined or show some bias 2 Either original data is omitted, but the data is summarized neatly and accurately OR the original data is presented, and there is a major flaw in the presentation of the data 1 Bias has impacted the survey administration to a great extent, but the stated plan was generally followed OR the administration procedure deviated markedly from the stated plan, with some bias 0 The administration process deviates markedly from the stated plan and bias is noticeable 1 Survey questions have not been pretested, but are somewhat clear and relatively unbiased 1 Original data is provided, but is not appropriately summarized OR the original data is omitted but the data is summarized partially correctly 0 Survey questions are unclear and show distinct bias 0 Original data is not provided and the data is not summarized appropriately 3 The meanings of the data summaries are interpreted. Any generalizations that may be drawn about the population from which the sample was drawn are identified 2 The meanings of the data summaries are interpreted but some errors/omissions are made. Generalizations about the target population are identified Graphical and Numerical Summaries 4 The data is correctly summarized using bar graphs/pie charts/etc. Graphs and calculations are neat and accurate Pitfalls and Extensions 4 All pitfalls encountered are articulated, with a clear explanation of how the group dealt with each of these obstacles. At least one plausible extension of the survey project is shared 3 The data is correctly summarized using bar graphs/pie charts/etc. Minor error in either computation or graphing 3 All pitfalls encountered are articulated, but explanation of how group dealt with each of these obstacles is unclear. At least one plausible extension of the survey project is shared 2 The data is correctly summarized using bar graphs/pie charts/etc. Major error in either computation or graphing 2 Some pitfalls encountered are articulated, with an explanation of how the group dealt with each of these obstacles. At least one plausible extension of the survey project is shared 3 Writing is grammatically correct, is punctuated properly, and flows logically from one point to the next, except for minor flaws in one of those categories. No spelling mistakes 2 Significant errors in one of the areas: grammar, punctuation, spelling, flow OR minor errors in two of the areas English Mechanics Interpretation 4 The meanings of the data summaries are thoroughly and accurately interpreted. Any generalizations that may be drawn about the population from which the sample was drawn are identified pag. 8 4 Writing is grammatically correct, is punctuated properly, and flows logically from one point to the next. No spelling mistakes 1 An attempt is made to interpret the meanings of the data summaries are but errors/omissions are made. Generalizations about the target population might be omitted 1 Appropriate techniques are used to summarize the data but has not executed the techniques correctly 0 The interpretation is inadequate 1 Some pitfalls encountered are articulated, but no explanation of how the group dealt with each of these obstacles or does not share at least one plausible extension of the survey project 1 Writing is flawed in two or three of the areas: grammar, punctuation, spelling, flow 0 The obstacles encountered are not articulated 0 Neither the graphical nor the numerical summary is appropriate 0 Writing is deficient in all four areas: grammar, punctuation, spelling, flow Oral Presentation: Context Oral Presentation: Delivery pag. 9 6 The group accurately presents all key aspects of its survey project, including topic/question, background, methodology, data summary, graphical/numerical analysis, interpretation, and possible pitfalls/extensions. Correct terminology is used throughout and all members participate 6 The presentation is clear, wellorganized and fluent. Visual aids are used to assist the audience in understanding important points 4 Minor errors or omissions are made in discussing the key aspects of the survey project OR the group fails to use appropriate terminology throughout OR imbalanced contributions 2 Major error in content OR complete failure to use appropriate terminology throughout OR a one person show 0 A complete disaster Flaws in content and terminology 4 The presentation is generally clear, well organized, and fluent. Visual aids are not used adequately 2 The delivery is not especially clear, well organized, or fluent and/or visual aids are lackin 0 Delivery destroyed content How to do a survey Survey Says ... Turn on the television, radio or open a newspaper and you will often see the results from a survey. • Gathering information is an important way to help people make decisions about topics of interest. • Surveys can help decide what needs changing, where money should be spent, what products to purchase, what problems there might be, or lots of other questions you may have at any time. • The best part about surveys is that they can be used to answer any question about any topic. You can survey people (through questionnaires, opinion polls, etc) or things (like pollution levels in a river, or traffic flow). Four Steps Here are four steps to a successful survey: • Step one: create the questions • Step two: ask the questions • Step three: tally the results • Step four: present the results Let us look at those steps in more detail ... Step One: Create the Questions The first thing is to decide is What questions do you want answered? Sometimes these may be simple questions like: • "What is your favorite color?" Other times the questions may be quite complex such as: • Which roads have the worst traffic conditions Simple Surveys If you are doing a simple survey, you could use tally marks to represent each person’s answer: Sometimes, it is helpful to be creative in how the people can respond. It makes it more fun for both you and your respondents (the people answering the question). pag. 10 Example:What is your favorite color? Have them write down their favorite color on a piece of paper and drop it in a fish bowl. Then, put all of the pieces of paper into piles and count them. Step Two: Asking the Questions Now you have your questions, go out and ask them! But who to ask? • If you survey a small group you can ask everybody (called a Census) • If you want to survey a large group, you may not be able to ask everybody so you should ask a sample of the population (called a Sample) If your are Sampling you should be careful who you ask. To be a good sample, each person should be chosen randomly • If you only ask people who look friendly, you will only know what friendly people think! • If you went to the swimming pool and asked people "Can you swim?" you will get a biased answer ... maybe even 100% will say "Yes" Note: the surveys where people are asked to ring a number to vote are not very accurate, because only certain types of people actually ring up! So be careful not to bias your survey. Try to choose randomly. Example: You want to know the favorite colors for people at your school, but don't have the time to ask everyone. Solution: Choose 50 people at random: - stand at the gate and choose "the next person to arrive" each time - or choose people randomly from a list and then go and find them! - or you could choose every 5th person Your results will hopefully be nearly as good as if you asked everyone. pag. 11 If you choose a person and they do not want to answer, just record "no answer" on the survey form and mention how many people did not answer in your report. After completing a sampling survey you can use the information to make a prediction as to how the rest of the population would respond. The more people you have asked, the better your result will be. Example: nationwide opinion polls survey up to 2,000 people, and the results are nearly as good (within about 1%) as asking everyone. Step Three: Tally the Results Now you have finished asking questions it is time to tally the results. By "tally" I mean add up. This usually involves lots of paperwork and computer work (spreadsheets are useful!) Example: For "favorite colors of my class" you can simply write tally marks like this (every fifth mark crosses the previous 4 marks, so you can easily see groups of 5) Step Four: Presenting the Results Now you have your results, you will want to show them to other people in the best possible way. We have written a special page called Showing the Results of a Survey, but here is a quick summary: Tables Sometimes, you can simply report the information in a table. A table is a very simple way to show others the results. A table should have a title, so those looking at it understand what results the table shows: Yellow 4 pag. 12 Red 5 Table: The Favorite Colors of My Class Blue Green 6 1 Pink 4 Statistics You can also summarize the results using statistics, such as mean or standard deviation Example: you have lots of information about how long it takes people to get to school but it may be simpler just to present a summary such as: - Shortest Journey: 3 minutes - Average Journey: 22 minutes - Longest Journey: 58 minutes Graphs But nothing makes a report look better than a nice graph or chart. Use Data Graphs (Bar, Line and Pie) to make them. Example Survey Question: What is your favorite color? pag. 13 Question survey How to make a good Questionnaire! The first question is one you should ask yourself: "What do I hope to learn from asking the questions?" This defines your objective (the purpose, or why you are conducting the survey). Example: you want to clean up the local river. You feel that with some help and some money you could make it really beautiful again. You want to survey your local community to find out: - Are other people also worried about the river. - Would they be willing to donate their time or money to help. Questions Now you know why you are doing a survey, start writing down the questions you will ask! Just write down any questions you think may be useful. Don't worry about quality at this stage, we will improve your list of questions later. Example: Questions you could ask for the river survey: - Does pollution worry you? - Do you ever go down to the river? - Can you spare some money to help the river? - Have you noticed the pollution in the river? - Would you be happy to volunteer for river cleanup? - When would you be available to help? pag. 14 - How should we clean up the river? - etc... You can also ask the person about themselves (not too personal!), such as approximate age, male or female, etc, so that you know the kind of people that you have been surveying. Types of Questions A survey question can be: • Open-ended (the person can answer in any way they want), or • Closed-ended (the person chooses from one of several options) Closed ended questions are much easier to total up later on, but may stop people giving an answer they really want. Example: "What is your favorite color?" - Open-ended: Someone may answer "dark fuchsia", in which case you will need to have a category "dark fuchsia" in your results. - Closed-ended: With a choice of only 12 colors your work will be easier, but they may not be able to pick their exact favorite color. Example: "What do you think is the best way to clean up the river?" Make it Open-ended: the answers won't be easy to put in a table or graph, but you may get some good ideas, and there may be some good quotes for your report. Example: "How often do you visit the river?" Make it Closed-ended with the following options: - Nearly every day - At least 5 times a year pag. 15 - 1 to 4 times a year - Almost never You will be able to present this data in a neat bar graph. Question Sequence It is important that the questions don't "lead" people to the answer Example: people may say "yes" to donate money if you ask the questions this way - Do you love nature? - Will you donate money to help the river? But probably will say "no" if you ask the questions this way: - Is lack of money a problem for you? - Will you donate money to help the river? To avoid this kind of thing, try to have your questions go: • from the least sensitive to the most sensitive • from the more general to the more specific • from questions about facts to questions about opinions Example: I will ask people how often they visit the river (a fact) before I ask them what they feel about pollution (an opinion) I will ask people their general feelings about the environment before I ask them their feelings about the river. pag. 16 Neutral Questions Your questions should also be neutral ... allowing the person to think their own thoughts about the question. In the example above we had the question "Do you love nature?" ... that is a bad question because it is almost forcing the person to say "Yes, of course." Try rewording it to be more neutral, for example: Example: "How important is the natural environment to you?" - Not Important - Some Importance - Very Important But you can also make statements and see if people agree. Possible Answers For each "closed-ended" question try to think: What are the possible answers to this question? Make sure you have most of the common answer available. If you are not sure what people might answer, you could always try a small open ended survey (maybe ask your friends or people in the street) to find common answers. Trick: try to avoid neutral answers (such as "don't care") because people may choose them so they don't have to think about the answer! It is also helpful to have an “other” category in case none of the choices are satisfactory for the person answering the question. Example: What is your favorite color? Red, blue, green, yellow, purple, black, brown, orange, other pag. 17 . Scaled Answers Sometimes you could have a scale on which they can rate their feelings about the question. Have "opposite" words at either end and a scale in between like this: Examples: The river is ... Polluted :_____:_____:_____:_____:_____:_____: Clean Cleaning up the river is ... Easy :_____:_____:_____:_____:_____:_____: Difficult . Rated Items For this type of answer the person gets to rate or rank each option. Don't have too many items though, as that makes it too hard to answer. Example: Please rank the following activities from 1 to 5, putting 1 next to your favorite through to 5 for your least favorite. ___ Fishing ___ Football ___ Golf ___ Shopping ___ Sleeping . Number Answers You can also just ask for a number Example: "How many times did you visit the river during the past year?" ____ times pag. 18 How Will I Gather the Answers? Try to make life easier by thinking how you will gather the answers before you ask the questions It is important to make the process simple, for both yourself and those responding. The Questionnaire You are going to want a neat form that makes it easy to answer the questions AND easy to total up the answers later on. How Will I Show the Results? Go over each of the questions and think how you want the answers to go into your report: • in a table, • a bar graph, • a pie chart, • or just explained in words. Example: you decide to have six options for "How many times do you visit the river" so the bar graph looks best. Test It Out You should test your questionnaire on a few people. • was each question clear and easy to understand? • were they happy with the options? It is also a good idea to time how long it takes so you will be able to tell people "this survey only takes 2 minutes" (or however long it takes). Your Original Objective Lastly, look back at your original objectives for this survey ... • will the questions really help you find out what you want to know? • are there some questions you can remove? (smaller surveys are easier!) pag. 19 Sampling Info The Beauty of Sampling In a sample survey, a subgroup of a large population is questioned on a set of topics. The results from a sample survey are used as if they are representative of the larger population, which they will be if the sample is chosen correctly and if those selected cooperate in responding. It also takes less time to conduct a sample survey than it does to conduct a census, in which everyone in the population is measured. The Margin of Error The Accuracy of Sample Surveys Sample surveys often are used to estimate the proportion or percentage of people who have a certain trait or opinion. This measure of accuracy in sample surveys is a number called the margin or error. Advantages of a Sample Survey over a Census • When a Census Isn't Possible • Speed • Accuracy Bias How Surveys Can Go Wrong Not all surveys produce trustworthy results. While it is unlikely that the sample value will equal the population value precisely, the goal of a good survey is to get an unbiased sample value. Results based on a survey are biased if the method used to obtain those results would consistently produce values that are either too high or too low. There are three common types of bias that might occur in surveys: • Selection bias occurs if the method for selecting the participants produces a sample that does not represent the population of interest. • Nonresponse bias occurs when a representative of the sample is chosen for a survey, but a subset cannot be contacted or does not respond. • Response bias occurs when participants respond differently from how they truly feel. The way questions are worded, the way the interviewer behaves, as well as many other factors might lead an individual to provide false information. pag. 20 Sampling Methods The ability of a relatively small sample to accurately reflect a huge population does not happen haphazardly. It only happens if proper sampling methods are used. The basic idea is that everyone in the population must have a specified chance of making it into the sample, and methods with this characteristic are called probability sampling plans. The most basic method to accomplish this goal is to use a simple random sample. Choosing a Simple Random Sample To actually produce a simple random sample, you need only two things. • First, you need a list of the units in the population • Second, you need a source of random numbers. For large populations it may not be practical to take a simple random sample because it may be difficult to get a numbered list of the units. Stratified Random Sampling Sometimes the population of units falls into natural groups, called strata. A stratified random sample is collected by first dividing the population of units into groups (strata) and then taking a simple random sample from each one. You can often recognize this type of sampling when you read the results of a survey because the results will be listed separately for each of the strata. Stratified sampling has other advantages in addition to the fact that results are available separately by strata. • One is that different interviewers may work best with different people. • It also may be more convenient to stratify before sampling. The accuracy with which we can estimate the average depends on the natural variability among the measurements. The less variable they are, the more precisely we can assess the population average on the basis of the sample values. Cluster Sampling Cluster sampling is often confused with stratified sampling, but actually it is a radically different concept and can be much easier to accomplish. The population units are again divided into groups, called clusters, but rather than sampling within each group, we select a random sample of clusters and measure only those clusters. In most applications of stratified sampling, the population is divided into a few large strata, and a small subset within each one is randomly sampled. In most applications of cluster sampling, the population is divided into small clusters, a large number of clusters are randomly sampled, and everyone in those clusters is measured. One obvious advantage of cluster sampling is that you need only a list of clusters instead of a list of all individual units. If cluster sampling is used, the analysis must proceed differently because there may be similarities among the members of the clusters that must be taken into account. pag. 21 Systematic Sampling Suppose you have a list of 5000 names and telephone numbers from which you want to select a sample of 100 individuals. That means you would want to select 1 out of every 50 people on the list. You would not want to simply choose the first 100 names because, depending on how the list was ordered, they might not constitute a representative sample. An idea that would work in most cases is to choose every 50th name on the list. If you did so, you would be using a systematic sampling plan. With this plan, you divide the list into as many consecutive segments as you need, randomly choose a starting point in the first segment, then sample at that same point in each segment. In our example, you would randomly choose a starting point in the first 50 names, and then sample every 50th name after that. When you were finished, you would have selected one person from each of the 100 segments, equally spaced throughout the list. Systematic sampling is often a good alternative to random sampling. In a few instances it can lead to a biased sample, and common sense must be used to avoid those. Multistage Sampling Many large surveys use a combination of the methods we have discussed. The survey designers might stratify the population by region of the country, then stratify by urban, suburban, or rural, and then choose a random sample of communities within those strata. They would then divide those communities into city blocks or fixed areas, as clusters, and sample some of those. Everyone on the block or within the fixed area may then be sampled. This is called a multistage sampling plan. pag. 22 Difficulties and Disasters in Sampling Difficulties that can occur in practice need to be considered when you evaluate a study. If a proper sampling plan is never implemented, this can lead to very misleading and inaccurate conclusions. Some problems can occur even when a sampling plan has been well designed. Here is a list of possible problems: • Using the wrong sampling frame • Not reaching the individuals selected • Nonresponse or volunteer response • Self-selected sample • Convenience or haphazard sample Using the Wrong Sampling Frame The sampling frame is the list of units from which the sample is selected. This list may or may not be the same as the list of all units in the desired "target" population. Sometimes a sampling frame either will include unwanted units or exclude desired units. For example, if we sample from a list of registered voters in order to predict election outcomes, we will include individuals who are not likely to vote as well as those who are likely to do so. Using a telephone directory to survey the general population excludes those who move often, those with unlisted phone numbers (like many physicians and teachers), and those who do not have a telephone. Using the wrong sampling frame is one way to create selection bias. The sampling frame doesn't cover the target population, leading to selection bias target population = all U.S. adults ↓ no telephone or unlisted ↓ never sampled ↓ sampling frame = telephone white pages ↓ random sample of n adults Not Reaching the Individuals Selected Even if a proper sample of units is selected, the desired units may not be reached. It is very important once a sample has been selected that those individuals are the ones who are actually measured. It is better to put resources into getting a smaller sample than to get one that has been biased by moving on to the next person on the list when someone is initially unavailable. Failing to contact or measure the individuals who were selected in the sampling plan leads to nonresponse bias. pag. 23 Nonresponse or Volunteer Response Even the best surveys are not able to contact everyone on the list, and not everyone contacted will respond. Remember that the lower the response rate, the less the results can be generalized to the population as a whole. Responding to a survey (or not) is voluntary, and those who respond are likely to have stronger opinions than those who do not respond. As mentioned earlier, this type of nonresponse bias can lead to systematically over- or underestimating the truth about a population. Disasters in Sampling Basing a sample survey on a self-selected sample (also called a volunteer sample or a convenience sample) is usually so problematic that the results cannot be extended to anyone beyond the sample. This warning applies only to sample surveys and to some observational studies. • Self-Selected Sample Those who have a strong opinion about the question are more likely to respond than those who do not have a strong opinion. • Convenience or Haphazard Sample Another worthless sampling technique for surveys is to use the most convenient group available or to decide haphazardly on the spot who to sample. Rarely do the responses from a convenience sample or haphazard sample represent any larger population for the question of interest. You have seen the proper way to collect a sample and have been warned about the many difficulties and dangers inherent in the process. pag. 24 How to Ask Survey Questions You may be surprised at how much the answers to questions can change based on simple changes in wording. The wording and presentation of questions can significantly influence the results of a survey. Possible Sources of Response Bias in Surveys Many pitfalls can be encountered when asking questions in a survey or experiment. Here are some of them: • Deliberate bias • Unintentional bias • Desire to please • Asking the uninformed • Unnecessary complexity • Ordering of questions • Confidentiality and anonymity Deliberate Bias Sometimes, if a survey is being conducted to support a certain cause, questions are deliberately worded in a biased manner. Be careful about survey questions that begin with phrases like "Do you agree that...?" Most people want to be agreeable and will be inclined to answer "yes" unless they have strong feelings the other way. Unintentional Bias Sometimes questions are worded in such a way that the meaning is misinterpreted by a larger percentage of the respondents. If you were to ask people to recall the most important date in their life, you would need to clarify if you meant the most important calendar date or the most important social engagement with a potential partner. (It is unlikely that anyone would mistake the question as being about the shriveled fruit, but you can see that the same word can have multiple meanings.) Desire to Please Most survey respondents have a desire to please the person who is asking the question. They tend to understate their responses about undesirable social habits and opinions, and vice versa. Asking the Uninformed People do not like to admit that they don't know what you are talking about when you ask them a question. pag. 25 Political pollsters, who are interested in surveying only those who will actually vote, learned long ago that it is useless to simply ask people if they plan to vote. Most of them will say "yes." Instead, they ask questions that establish a history of voting, such as "Where did you go to vote in the last election?" Unnecessary Complexity If questions are to be understood, they must be kept simple. A question like "Shouldn't former drug dealers not be allowed to work in hospitals after they are released from prison?" is sure to lead to confusion. Does a "yes" answer mean they should or should not be allowed to work in hospitals? It would take a few readings to figure that out. Another way in which a question can be unnecessarily complex is by actually asking more than one question at once. An example would be a question like "Do you support the President's Health Care Plan, since it would ensure that all Americans receive health coverage?" If you agree with the idea that all Americans should receive health coverage but disagree with the remainder of the plan, do you answer "yes" or "no"? Or what if you support the President's plan, but not for that reason? Ordering of Questions If one question requires respondents to think about something that they may not have otherwise considered, then the order in which questions are presented can change the results. Confidentiality and Anonymity People will often answer questions differently based on the degree to which they believe they are anonymous. Because researchers often need to perform follow-up surveys, it is easier to try to ensure confidentiality that anonymity. In ensuring confidentiality, the researcher promises not to release identifying information about respondents. In an anonymous survey, the researcher does not know the identity of the respondents. Be Sure You Understand What Was Measured Sometimes words mean different things to different people. When you read about survey results, you should get a precise definition of what was actually asked or measured. Sometimes even common terminology may mean different things to different people. pag. 26
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