1 » FAMILY INFLUENCE AND POLITICAL SOCIALIZATION IN JAPAN: SOME PRELIMINARY FINDINGS I N COMPARATIVE- PERSPECTIVE* ARCHIVES A k i r a Kubota" and Robert E. Ward The U n i v e r s i t y o f M i c h i g a n P r e p a r e d f o r d e l i v e r y a t t h e 65th Annual M e e t i n g o f t h e American P o l i t i c a l Science A s s o c i a t i o n , Commodore H o t e l , New York C i t y , September 2 - 6 , 1969 For some t i m e i t was g e n e r a l l y h e l d by American s o c i a l s c i e n t i s t s t h a t i n the u n i t e d S t a t e s t h e f a m i l y was n o r m a l l y t h e s i n g l e most I m p o r t a n t agency o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n where c h i l d r e n are concerned and t h a t many p o l i t i c a l a t t i t u d e s and v a l u e s tended t o be t r a n s m i t t e d .from one g e n e r a t i o n t o another v i a the medium o f t h e f a m i l y . 1 Recent r e s e a r c h has expanded and r e f i n e d our knowl e d g e i n p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n and has q u e s t i o n e d the y i e w o f f a m i l y i n f l u e n c e as e i t h e r t o o s i m p l i s t i c o r m i s l e a d i n g an e x p l a n a t i o n o f t h e c a u s a l i t y i n v o l v e d . ^ D e s p i t e such reassessments, however, t h e w e i g h t o f t h e c u r r e n t l y a v a i l a b l e evidence s t i l l f a v o r s the view t h a t i n the U n i t e d S t a t e s the f a m i l y , i f n o t predominant, i s s t i l l regarded as one o f t h e more i m p o r t a n t agencies o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n and t h a t t h i s i s p a r t i c u l a r l y t r u e w i t h r e s p e c t t o such s e m i n a l t r a i t s as p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n on t h e p a r t o f t h e c h i l d . Given a somewhat s h i f t i n g p o i n t o f view i n t h i s r e s p e c t on t h e l o c a l scene, i t i s o f s p e c i a l i n t e r e s t and importance t o l o o k abroad a t t h e r e s u l t s o f r e s e a r c h r e l a t i n g t o the process o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n i n o t h e r modern p o l i t i c a l systems t o see i f they c o n f i r m o r d i s a f f i r m our c u r r e n t hypotheses. The p r e s e n t a r t i c l e r e p r e s e n t s a p r e l i m i n a r y and somewhat t e n t a t i v e e f f o r t t o do so w i t h r e s p e c t t o contemporary Japanese e x p e r i e n c e i n t h i s f i e l d . P o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n has n o t been a p o p u l a r s u b j e c t o f s t u d y among Japanese s o c i a l s c i e n t i s t s . The r e l e v a n t l i t e r a t u r e i s s c a n t and tends t o be ephemeral and semi-popular i n q u a l i t y . I f t h e r e has been any s i n g l e focus t h a t stands o u t , i t has p r o b a b l y been on s h i f t s t h a t are a l l e g e d t o have been t a k i n g p l a c e i n t h e e l e c t o r a l b e h a v i o r o f young v o t e r s and t h e p r o b a b l e e f f e c t s of t h e s e on t h e f u t u r e o f p a r t i c u l a r p o l i t i c a l p a r t i e s . A l s o , s i n c e t h e survey approach i s expensive and s t i l l l i t t l e used by Japanese s o c i a l s c i e n t i s t s , t h e e v i d e n t i a l b a s i s f o r those v i e w p o i n t s t h a t have been expressed i s apt t o be i m p r e s s i o n i s t i c and e p i s o d i c . D e s p i t e such shortcomings t h e r e has grown up on the b a s i s o f both: indigenous and f o r e i g n commentary a s o r t o f l o r e about t h e process o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n i n Japan. I t i s n o t a b l e t h a t t h i s does n o t u s u a l l y correspond t o t h e p o p u l a r s t e r e o t y p e s of Japan w i d e l y h e l d abroad. Many might be tempted t o see i n modern Japan a s o c i e t y where t h e c e n t r a l i t y o f the f a m i l y s r o l e i s h i s t o r i c a l l y r e i n f o r c e d by c e n t u r i e s o f Confucian t r a d i t i o n , and, u n t i l r e c e n t l y , by t h e mythology o f a f a m i l y - c e n t e r e d s t a t e and t h e s o c i o - p o l i t i c a l circumstances o f a p r e p o n d e r a n t l y a g r a r i a n c u l t u r e as w e l l . The ready c o n c l u s i o n would be t h a t the r o l e of t h e f a m i l y as an agent o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n i s , i f a n y t h i n g , more dominant and f * C o p y r i g h t , 1969, The American P o l i t i c a l Science A s s o c i a t i o n . -2s a l i e n t t h a n i n a more atomized American s o c i e t y . While c o n t i n u i t y i n t h i s sense i s an i m p o r t a n t a t t r i b u t e o f Japanese c u l t u r e i t i s , however, p o s s i b l e t o view t h e s o c i e t y from another p e r s p e c t i v e — t h a t of change. This leads t o t h e p e r c e p t i o n t h a t s i n c e t h e M e i j i R e s t o r a t i o n o f 1868 Japan has been more o r l e s s c o n s t a n t l y i n v o l v e d i n a process o f s o c i e t y - w i d e change t h a t has c e r t a i n l y been r e v o l u t i o n a r y i n e f f e c t i f n o t i n format. Defeat i n t h e Second World War and i t s a f t e r m a t h , t h e A l l i e d Occupation, w i t h i t s attempts t o remake t h e s o c i e t y along more democratic and w e s t e r n l i n e s , i s s i m p l y t h e l a t e s t i n a s e r i e s o f w r e n c h i n g episodes t h a t s t r e t c h back f o r a t l e a s t a hundred y e a r s . Seen f r o m t h i s v i e w p o i n t r a p i d and d i s t u r b i n g changes I n t h e economic, s o c i a l , and p o l i t i c a l spheres have been more o r l e s s n o r m a l i n modern Japan. They have, i n e v i t a b l y , exacted a p r i c e i n terms o f i n t e r - g e n e r a t i o n a l harmony. Older generat i o n s i n Japan have been c o m p l a i n i n g f o r a c e n t u r y about a l a c k o f r a p p o r t w i t h and' I n f l u e n c e over t h e i r c h i l d r e n . The term " g e n e r a t i o n - g a p " was w i d e l y used i n Japan l o n g b e f o r e i t became p o p u l a r i n t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s . ^ I t i s t h i s a s p e c t o f t h e s o c i e t y on w h i c h s t u d e n t s o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n have e l e c t e d t o c o n c e n t r a t e w i t h t h e r e s u l t t h a t t h e i n f l u e n c e o f t h e f a m i l y as an agent o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n tends n o r m a l l y t o be d i s c o u n t e d . ^ Contemporary Japanese c u l t u r e a f f o r d s , however, t h e o r e t i c a l grounds f o r l o o k i n g a t t h e process o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n i n two q u i t e d i f f e r e n t — i n d e e d , almost p o l a r i z e d — w a y s : one o f which emphasizes c o n t i n u i t y and t h e primacy o f t h e f a m i l y as a s o c i a l i z i n g a g e n t , w h i l e t h e o t h e r focuses on change, d i s c o n t i n u i t y , and t h e s a l i e n c e o f such n o n - f a m i l i a l agencies o f s o c i a l i z a t i o n as peer groups, l i f e c y c l e e f f e c t s , e d u c a t i o n , and t h e mass media. N e i t h e r h y p o t h e s i s need completely exclude the other; o v e r l a y s and s e c t o r a l d i f f e r e n c e s i n c a u s a l i t y a r e p o s s i b l e . D e s p i t e t h i s , t h e r e s u l t a n t c o n f r o n t a t i o n i s c h a l l e n g i n g i n t h e o r e t i c a l terms and o f o b v i o u s comparative importance i n t h e a t t e m p t s o f s o c i a l s c i e n t i s t s t o comprehend t h e process o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n i n modern s o c i e t i e s i n g e n e r a l . The i s s u e s i n v o l v e d a r e complex and a n y t h i n g a p p r o x i m a t i n g a s a t i s f a c t o r y s o l u t i o n w i l l r e q u i r e I n v e s t i g a t i o n i n depth and over a s u b s t a n t i a l p e r i o d o f time. A l l t h a t t h e p r e s e n t paper hopes t o do i s t o p r o v i d e — i n a n a t i o n a l case marked so f a r by a p a u c i t y o f " h a r d " d a t a — a few leads and g u i d e l i n e s d e r i v e d from a n a t i o n a l p u b l i c o p i n i o n survey t h a t t h e authors r e c e n t l y conducted i n Japan. Our data a r e based on a l a r g e r study t h a t we conducted i n c o n n e c t i o n w i t h t h e g e n e r a l e l e c t i o n o f members o f t h e lower house o f Japan's N a t i o n a l D i e t o r P a r l i a ment h e l d on January 29, 1967. Three s u r v e y s were i n v o l v e d , two mass and one elite. The two mass surveys were conducted j u s t b e f o r e and j u s t a f t e r t h e e l e c t i o n . They were based on a s i n g l e s t r a t i f i e d n a t i o n a l p r o b a b i l i t y sample (N = 2,371 i n d i v i d u a l s ) o f t h e Japanese p o p u l a t i o n aged f i f t e e n and above, drawn f r o m 50 o f t h e 123 e l e c t i o n d i s t r i c t s t h a t r e t u r n e d c a n d i d a t e s t o t h e lower house. The e l i t e survey was c a r r i e d o u t a f t e r t h e e l e c t i o n and i n v o l v e d a sample o f 315 c a n d i d a t e s r u n n i n g f o r p a r l i a m e n t a r y o f f i c e f r o m t h e same f i f t y e l e c t i o n d i s t r i c t s . The response r a t e on t h e p r e - e l e c t i o n mass survey was 8 1 % , t h a t on t h e p o s t - e l e c t i o n mass survey 76%, w h i l e t h e f i g u r e f o r t h e e l i t e survey reached 90%. The d a t a r e l a t i n g t o p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n c o n s t i t u t e s b u t a s m a l l p o r t i o n o f t h e p r o d u c t o f t h e two mass surveys. We were a l s o i n t e r e s t e d i n p o l i t i c a l a t t i t u d e s and v o t i n g b e h a v i o r i n g e n e r a l , e s p e c i a l l y as they d i s p l a y g e n e r a t i o n a l c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s , and i n a v a r i e t y o f m a t t e r s r e l a t i n g t o p o l i t i c a l r e p r e s e n t a t i o n . -3For t h e p r e s e n t paper we a r e , t h e r e f o r e , e x c e r p t i n g from a much l a r g e r and s t i l l i n c o m p l e t e l y analyzed body o f m a t e r i a l our f i n d i n g s w i t h r e s p e c t t o p o l i t i c a l socialization. The f i n d i n g s are based p r i m a r i l y on a sample o f 177 c h i l d - p a r e n t p a i r s i n c l u d e d w i t h i n t h e sample. They a r e augmented where a p p r o p r i a t e by i n f o r m a t i o n f r o m t h e t o t a l sample. S e v e r a l o t h e r c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s o f t h e data r e q u i r e e x p l a n a t i o n . F i r s t , a l t h o u g h they a r e d e r i v e d from a n a t i o n w i d e sample so t h a t t h e i r means are unbiased e s t i m a t e s o f t r u e n a t i o n a l means, i t s h o u l d be c l e a r t h a t t h e sampling e r r o r s i n v o l v e d a r e q u i t e l a r g e i n comparison w i t h those of a s t a n d a r d n a t i o n a l c r o s s - s e c t i o n sample o f 1,500 o r more respondents. Second, t h e sampling e r r o r s o f a g e - r e l a t e d v a r i a b l e s are c o n s i d e r a b l y reduced s i n c e age was one o f t h e v a r i a b l e s about w h i c h our sample was s t r a t i f i e d . This should i n c r e a s e t h e potency o f t h e d a t a i n a n a l y z i n g problems r e l a t e d t o g e n e r a t i o n a l c o n t i n u i t y o r d i s c o n t i n u i t y . F i n a l l y , t h e sample was s p e c i f i c a l l y designed w i t h a v i e w toward maximizing t h e q u a l i t y o f o u r measurements o f f a m i l y : i n f l u e n c e . We a t t e m p t e d t o do t h i s by s e l e c t i n g our c h i l d - p a r e n t p a i r s from t h e same f a m i l y . This was done by f i r s t drawing a sample o f a d u l t s ; i . e . , twenty years o f age and above (who were a l s o e l e c t o r s ; twenty i s t h e l e g a l v o t i n g age i n Japan) and by examining i f they had c h i l d r e n aged f i f t e e n t h r o u g h n i n e t e e n . I f they d i d , we t h e n drew a sample o f those i n t h i s age b r a c k e t on a p r o b a b i l i t y b a s i s . The c h i e f purpose o f t h i s was t o enable us t o measure f a m i l y i n f l u e n c e on t h e basis o f b o t h d i r e c t o r observed data and i n d i r e c t o r p e r c e i v e d d a t a ; b o t h c h i l d r e n and p a r e n t s c o u l d be q u e s t i o n e d d i r e c t l y about t h e i r own a t t i t u d e s and b e h a v i o r as w e l l as about t h e i r p e r c e p t i o n s o f t h e o t h e r ' s views and a c t i o n s . The r e s u l t s o f t h e two approaches are by no means I d e n t i c a l . There a r e obvious l i m i t a t i o n s t o t h e methodology o f t h i s s o r t o f i n v e s t i g a t i o n . I t i s f o r t h i s reason t h a t we r e f e r r e d t o t h e study e a r l i e r as p r e l i m i n a r y and t e n t a t i v e . We do hope, however, t h a t i n a f i e l d marked l a r g e l y by specul a t i o n , these f i n d i n g s may serve t o suggest approaches and hypotheses f o r f u r t h e r f i e l d investigation. Much o f t h e a r g u m e n t a t i o n f o r t h e p o p u l a r t h e s i s t h a t t h e f a m i l y i s n o t a p a r t i c u l a r l y e f f e c t i v e agency o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n i n contemporary Japan d e r i v e s f r o m r a t h e r g e n e r a l l y h e l d b e l i e f s about t h e g e n e r a t i o n gap. This i s v i e w e d as b e i n g widespread and b a s i c . One c o n c l u s i o n i s t h a t one must l o o k p r i m a r i l y t o agencies o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n o t h e r t h a n t h e f a m i l y t o exp l a i n t h e consequent d i f f e r e n c e s i n g e n e r a t i o n a l a t t i t u d e s and b e h a v i o r . There i s a good d e a l o f evidence t h a t seems t o argue i n f a v o r o f such a c o n c l u s i o n . Some o f t h e most s t r i k i n g evidence o f t h i s s o r t I s p r o v i d e d by t h e way i n w h i c h p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n i n Japan v a r i e s w i t h age. The common c l a i m i s t h a t younger g e n e r a t i o n s t e n d t o be more " p r o g r e s s i v e " ( s h i m p o t e k i ) and o l d e r g e n e r a t i o n s " c o n s e r v a t i v e " ( h o s h u t e k i ) i n t h e i r p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n s . The p r i n c i p a l o b j e c t s o f t h e i d e n t i f i c a t i o n s i n v o l v e d a r e u s u a l l y t h e Japan S o c i a l i s t P a r t y (JSP) f o r t h e p r o g r e s s i v e s and t h e L i b e r a l Democratic P a r t y (LDP) f o r t h e c o n s e r v a t i v e s . I g n o r i n g t h e semantic a p p r o p r i a t e n e s s o f t h e l a b e l s , our d a t a s e t f o r t h i n F i g u r e 1 s u p p o r t such a view s u b j e c t t o t h e q u a l i f i c a t i o n t h a t t h i s s h o u l d n o t be t a k e n t o mean t h a t most younger v o t e r s are " p r o g r e s s i v e " i n t h e i r party identifications. I t I s s i m p l y t h a t they a r e more a p t t o d i s p l a y such a tendency t h a n t h e i r s e n i o r s . 6 i t i s o b v i o u s , however, t h a t age i s p o s i t i v e l y c o r r e l a t e d w i t h i d e n t i f i c a t i o n w i t h Japan's major c o n s e r v a t i v e p a r t y , t h e LDP, and n e g a t i v e l y c o r r e l a t e d w i t h i d e n t i f i c a t i o n w i t h t h e l a r g e s t s o c i a l i s t p a r t y , t h e JSP. The tendency i s p a r t i c u l a r l y marked from t h e l a t e t h i r t i e s . ( F i g u r e 1 about h e r e ) Data o f t h i s s o r t suggest t h a t i n many Japanese households t h e r e i s v i r t u a l l y no t r a n s m i s s i o n o f p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n from one g e n e r a t i o n t o another. Once one has begun; along l i n e s such as t h i s t o d i s c o u n t t h e r o l e o f t h e f a m i l y as a s o c i a l i z i n g agent, r e f e r e n c e t o a l t e r n a t i v e and p u t a t i v e l y more e f f e c t i v e agents lends added s u p p o r t . There i s no doubt t h a t i n Japan as i n o t h e r modern s o c i e t i e s t h e s o c i a l i z i n g i n f l u e n c e o f peer groups, t h e e d u c a t i o n a l system, and t h e mass media I s a s i g n i f i c a n t f a c t o r . Most o f these seem t o d i s p l a y a f a i r l y marked b i a s toward " p r o g r e s s i v e " a t t i t u d e s and v a l u e s and thus may be viewed as r e i n f o r c i n g t h e h y p o t h e s i s t h a t Japanese y o u t h a r e moving away f r o m t h e p o l i t i c a l views o f t h e i r p a r e n t s . These a r e what might be termed m i c r o - f o r c e s a f f e c t i n g t h e process" o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n . Beyond these l i e s an a r r a y o f macro-forces w h i c h may a l s o p l a y a d e t e r m i n i n g r o l e . They c o n s i s t o f t h e e n t i r e spectrum o f s o c i a l , economic, and p o l i t i c a l changes t h a t have cumulated over t h e l a s t c e n t u r y . The r e c o r d i s a n i m p r e s s i v e one. No n a t i o n s t a r t i n g f r o m a non-western base has ever achieved t h e modern c o n d i t i o n i n so s h o r t a p e r i o d o f time as Japan. The process o f change i n v o l v e d has been massive, continuous and, f o r many, deeply d i s t u r b i n g . Many o f t h e most s e m i n a l i n n o v a t i o n s have t a k e n p l a c e s i n c e t h e end o f t h e Second W o r l d War and thus have had a d i r e c t e f f e c t upon today's y o u t h and t h e i r p a r e n t s . The e d u c a t i o n a l system has been f u n d a m e n t a l l y r e v i s e d along more i n d i v i d u a l i s t i c and democratic l i n e s . There has been a sweeping r e f o r m i n t h e ownership of a g r i c u l t u r a l l a n d t h a t has reduced t h e t r a d i t i o n a l l y h i g h r a t e o f r u r a l tenancy t o a nominal f i g u r e and v a s t l y improved t h e circumstances o f t h e remaining t e n a n t s . The u n i o n i z a t i o n and p o l i t i c i z a t i o n o f l a b o r has become normal r a t h e r than exc e p t i o n a l . The n a t i o n a l economy has expanded and advanced i n every d i r e c t i o n and, f r o m postwar circumstnaces c h a r a c t e r i z e d by d e v a s t a t i o n and s t a g n a t i o n , has r e c e n t l y become t h e t h i r d most p o t e n t and p r o d u c t i v e i n t h e w o r l d s u r p a s s i n g West Germany and Great B r i t a i n . As a consequence standards o f l i v i n g and l e v e l s o f e x p e c t a t i o n have i n c r e a s e d enormously, f o r almost t h e e n t i r e p o p u l a t i o n over prewar highs- and the people o f Japan have f o r t h e f i r s t time been b r o u g h t face t o face w i t h t h a t p e c u l i a r problem o f advanced i n d u s t r i a l s o c i e t i e s — w h a t they c a l l t h e r e j a ( l e i s u r e ) boom, o r t h e problem o f how t o d e a l w i t h unprecedented amounts o f f r e e t i m e i n an a f f l u e n t s o c i e t y . Communication and t r a n s p o r t a t i o n systems have changed a c c o r d i n i n g l y and any e f f e c t i v e degree o f s o c i a l or g e o g r a p h i c a l i s o l a t i o n has become an a r t i f a c t o f t h e p a s t . P o l i t i c a l l y t h e c o u n t r y has been s h i f t e d from t h e b a s i c a l l y o l i g a r c h i c and a u t h o r i t a r i a n s t r u c t u r e o f t h e M e i j i C o n s t i t u t i o n t o t h e remarkably - f r e e , open, and democratic i n s t i t u t i o n s o f t h e C o n s t i t u t i o n o f 1947. This i s an i m p r e s s i v e r e c o r d o f change f o r a t w e n t y - f i v e y e a r p e r i o d i n the h i s t o r y o f any c o u n t r y and, g i v e n t h e c o n t r a s t s between p r e - and post-war c o n d i t i o n s and t h e w i d e l y v a r i a n t experiences o f t h e d i f f e r e n t age c o h o r t s i n v o l v e d , -4aF i g u r e 1. P a r t y I d e n t i f i c a t i o n and Age 100% 90% 80% 70% L i b e r a l Democratip'Party Identifiersj 60% 50% 40%- CO 30% *o ra u Japan S o c i a l i s t P a r t y Identifiers CD 3 51 •u o CD is 20% o ^ 10% CO »H • iH -U 4-> )-( M Cd o a O rH U r-i 0% 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-4$ 50-59 60-69 /ears 70 o l d . c e r t a i n l y a s e t o f circumstances c a l c u l a t e d t o maximize a l l p o s s i b l e aspects of t h e g e n e r a t i o n gap and a c c o r d i n g l y reduce t h e c o n s e r v a t i v e i n f l u e n c e o f the f a m i l y as a s o c i a l i z i n g agency. One can muster i n t h i s manner a number o f arguments t o demonstrate t h a t i n Japan macro-forces have been combining w i t h m i c r o - f o r c e s t o enhance the g e n e r a t i o n gap and d i m i n i s h f a m i l i a l i n f l u e n c e . Some m i g h t be tempted t o go beyond t h i s and c l a i m t h a t such a c i r c u m s t a n c e i s normal f o r r a p i d l y m o d e r n i z i n g o r changing s o c i e t i e s . The t h e s i s i s a t t r a c t i v e , b u t i t i s n o t without d i f f i c u l t i e s . One such d i f f i c u l t y d e r i v e s from the f a c t t h a t a r a p i d r a t e o f change a t t h e m a c r o - l e v e l does n o t n e c e s s a r i l y l e a d t o a comparable r a t e o f change a t t h e m i c r o - l e v e l , e s p e c i a l l y where i n d i v i d u a l a t t i t u d e s and b e h a v i o r are concerned. While t h e r e i s p r o b a b l y a l o n g - r u n tendency f o r the two to converge, i n the s h o r t r u n a t t i t u d e s and b e h a v i o r are apt t o remain much more s t a b l e than one would expect g i v e n the scope o f macro-changes i n t h e e n v i r o n ment. I n Japan, f o r example, the d i s t r i b u t i o n o f p a r t i s a n s u p p o r t and t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n o f p o l i t i c a l power have remained remarkably s t a b l e over the postwar p e r i o d . There have been no changes a t t h i s l e v e l t h a t correspond i n s c a l e o r i m p o r t a n c e t o t h e t r u l y remarkable changes n o t e d e a r l i e r i n t h e economy o r s o c i e t y a t l a r g e . 7 I f such a d i s c r e p a n c y e x i s t s between...the t h r u s t o f s o c i a l i z i n g f o r c e s o p e r a t i n g a t t h e s o c i e t a l m a c r o - l e v e l and a c t u a l p a t t e r n s o f a t t i t u d e s and b e h a v i o r a t the I n d i v i d u a l l e v e l , i t , o f course suggests t h e a c t i o n o f i n t e r v e n i n g causes and thus r e d i r e c t s our a t t e n t i o n t o f o r c e s o p e r a t i n g a t the m i c r o l e v e l , d i n t h e p r e s e n t case, s p e c i f i c a l l y t o t h e f a m i l y . The s o c i a l i z i n g i n f l u e n c e o f t h e f a m i l y tends t o be p r o f o u n d and tends t o be c o n s e r v a t i v e . I t n o r m a l l y a t t e m p t s t o t r a n s m i t - t o t h e n e x t g e n e r a t i o n i t s own v a l u e s and standards of t h e moment. I t i s f o r t h i s reason t h a t s t a t e s d e d i c a t e d t o programs o f d r a s t i c and r a p i d s o c i a l change, such as t h e People's R e p u b l i c o f China, have so o f t e n found i t necessary t o t r y t o a l t e r t h e s t r u c t u r e and i n f l u e n c e o f the f a m i l y . Beyond t h i s , however, t h e r e are a t l e a s t two o t h e r reasons f o r emphasizing t h e i m p o r t a n c e o f t h e f a m i l y as an agent o f s o c i a l i z a t i o n . One i s t i m i n g and t h e o t h e r magnitude o f exposure.10 G r e e n s t e i n and o t h e r s c l a i m t h a t the e a r l i e r t h e exposure t o g i v e n a t t i t u d e s and v a l u e s , t h e g r e a t e r t h e i r impact. H A l t h o u g h t h e r e may be more t h a n a s i n g l e phase t o e a r l y p o l i t i c a l l e a r n i n g and the processes i n v o l v e d may be even more c o m p l i c a t e d t h a n we now r e a l i z e , t h e r e i s no q u e s t i o n t h a t t h e f a m i l y n o r m a l l y p l a y s a dominant r o l e i n the c h i l d ' s early life.12 a n Sheer magnitude o f exposure i s another reason. For reasons of- p h y s i c a l p r o x i m i t y a l o n e , c h i l d r e n a r e u s u a l l y most i n t e n s i v e l y and comprehensively exposed t o t h e f a m i l i e s i n t o which they are born.13 T h i s degree o f exposure seems w e l l c a l c u l a t e d t o a f f e c t a t l e a s t t h e c h i l d ' s e a r l i e r p o l i t i c a l p e r c e p t i o n s and a t t i t u d e s . As t h e c h i l d grows o l d e r , o f c o u r s e , t h i s m o n o l i t h i c i n f l u e n c e of t h e f a m i l y i s p r o g r e s s i v e l y d i l u t e d by competing agencies such as peer g r o u p s , s c h o o l s , t h e mass media, work groups, e t c . , and these t e n d t o become r e l a t i v e l y more s a l i e n t sources of s o c i a l i z i n g p r e s s u r e s . I f we t h e n j u x t a p o s e i n the Japanese case t h e two l e v e l s o f s o c i a l i z i n g i n f l u e n c e s t h a t we have been d i s c u s s i n g — t h e m a c r o - l e v e l and t h e m i c r o - l e v e l — an i n t e r e s t i n g s i t u a t i o n r e s u l t s . . Approaching t h e problem o f p o l i t i c a l -6- s o c i a l i z a t i o n from t h e m a c r o - l e v e l , we s h o u l d be i n c l i n e d t o h y p o t h e s i z e t h a t t h e changes i n v o l v e d have been s e v e r e l y r e s t r i c t i v e o f t h e e f f e c t i v e n e s s of p a r e n t s as agents o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n . Viewing i t from t h e m i c r o l e v e l , however, we f i n d reasons t o a f f i r m t h e e x i s t e n c e o f an a p p r e c i a b l e degree o f p a r e n t a l i n f l u e n c e over t h e s o c i a l i z a t i o n process. Recognizing t h a t t h e r e i s p r o b a b l y -some v a l i d i t y t o b o t h approaches leads us t o s p e c u l a t e t h a t t h e macro- and t h e m i c r o - f o r c e s ^probably i n t e r a c t on i n d i v i d u a l s and t o some e x t e n t cancel each o t h e r o u t . This i n t u r n leads t o t h e f u r t h e r s p e c u l a t i o n t h a t one w i l l I n f a c t be a b l e t o d e t e c t f a m i l y i n f l u e n c e on the p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n process b u t t h a t t h i s w i l l be moderate i n degree. What do t h e survey d a t a show i n t h i s respect? II The f i n d i n g s o f b o t h t h e f i r s t and t h e second wave o f t h e mass survey c l e a r l y c o n f i r m t h e e x i s t e n c e o f a moderate degree o f correspondence between p a r e n t ' s p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n and t h a t o f t h e i r c h i l d r e n . Table 1 , r e f l e c t i n g the r e s u l t s o f t h e f i r s t o r p r e - e l e c t i o n wave o f t h e survey, shows a t a u - b e t a c o r r e l a t i o n o f .39. Table 2, r e f l e c t i n g t h e r e s u l t s of the second o r p o s t - e l e c t i o n wave, shows a t a u - b e t a c o r r e l a t i o n o f .38. These r u l e o u t e i t h e r e x t r e m e l y s t r o n g r e l a t i o n s h i p s between t h e two v a r i a b l e s or, a t t h e o t h e r extreme, a s i g n i f i c a n t degree o f independence o f one v a r i a ble" f r o m t h e o t h e r , and l e a d one back t o the middle-ground h y p o t h e s i s t h a t (Tables 1 and 2 about here) t h e r e i s a moderate degree o f o v e r a l l a s s o c i a t i o n between t h e v a r i a b l e s under e x a m i n a t i o n . I n o t h e r words t h e d a t a f u r n i s h some b a s i s f o r b e l i e f t h a t a c h i l d ' s p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n may t o some e x t e n t be r e l a t e d t o t h a t of h i s p a r e n t s and t h a t p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n i s i n a s i g n i f i c a n t number o f cases t r a n s m i t t e d f r o m p a r e n t s t o c h i l d r e n i n Japanese households. Two f u r t h e r f a c t o r s add t o the p r o b a b i l i t y of- t h i s h y p o t h e s i s . F i r s t , t h e r e i s v e r y l i t t l e change i n t h e c o r r e l a t i o n c o e f f i c i e n t f r o m one wave o f t h e s u r v e y t o t h e o t h e r . Given a h i g h l y v i s i b l e and s t r e n u o u s l y c o m p e t i t i v e n a t i o n a l p o l i t i c a l campaign, i t i s t o be expected t h a t some changes i n p a r t i san a t t i t u d e s and i d e n t i f i c a t i o n s w i l l t a k e p l a c e over t h e campaign p e r i o d . I n s o f a r , however, as t h e c o r r e l a t i o n c o e f f i c i e n t i n v o l v e d r e f l e c t s an e f f e c t i v e process o f g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n o f p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n , one w o u l d expect t h e c o e f f i c i e n t t o remain reasonably s t a b l e when measured at two such i n t e r v a l s . T h i s i s t h e p r e s e n t case. The d i f f e r e n c e between the two scores i s remarkably s m a l l . Second, when respondents below v o t i n g age ( f r o m f i f t e e n through n i n e t e e n ) were q u e r i e d as t o t h e i r memory o f t h e p a r t y w i t h which they had f i r s t i d e n t i f i e d as c h i l d r e n ( r a t h e r than t h e i r c u r r e n t p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n s ) and t h e answers were c o r r e l a t e d w i t h t h e i r p a r e n t ' s p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n s , we o b t a i n e d t a u - b e t a scores of .45 f o r t h e f i r s t wave and .48 f o r t h e second wave.14 While s i m i l a r t o t h e c o e f f i c i e n t s i n Tables 1 and 2 they a r e , of .course, somewhat h i g h e r . This may, o f course, be due i n p a r t t o d i s t o r t i o n Table 1. C h i l d Parent P a i r s and P a r t y I d e n t i f i c a t i o n ( 1 s t Wave) Child's Party LDP Parent's LDP • . 67. 1 % Party CGP Identification DSP CGP DSP Identification JSP JCP TOTAL 2. 6 5 .2 25.1 0 .0 loo. o: 33. 3 50. 0 0,.0 16,7 0 .0 ioo. o: 100. 0 0,0 0,.0 0.0 0 .0 IOO. o: JSP 19. 2 0. 0 7 .7 73.1 0 .0 100.0 JCP 0. 0 0.,0 - 0 .0 100.0 100.0 53. 4% 6. 4 4 .8 Total O.O 32.2 Legend: 3.2 b LDP L i b e r a l Democratic Party CGP Clean Government P a r t y DSP Democratic S o c i a l i s t P a r t y JSP Japan S o c i a l i s t P a r t y JCP Japan Communist Party 100.0% • 1 -6b- T a b l e 2. C h i l d Parent P a i r s and P a r t y I d e n t i f i c a t i o n (2nd Wave) Child's Party LDP CGP DSP Identification JSP JCP TOTAL Parent s LDP 68.4% 2.6 2.6 26.4 0.0 100.0% Party CGP 0.0 66.7 0.0 33.3 0.0 100.0 Identification DSP 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 JSP 38.4 0.0 15.4 46.2 0.0 100.0 JCP 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.0 75.0 100.0 55.0% 5.0 5.0 30.0 5.0 100.0% 1 Total T, = .38 b -7- a t t e n d a n t upon the r e c a l l process i n v o l v e d . I t seems more p r o b a b l e t o us, however, t h a t i t i s r e l a t e d t o t h e process whereby a d u l t p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n s d e v e l o p and emerge d u r i n g e a r l y c h i l d h o o d . T h i s upward s h i f t i n the v a l u e o f t h e c o e f f i c i e n t s i s c o n s i s t e n t w i t h t h e i n t e r p r e t a t i o n t h a t the f a m i l y i s most e f f e c t i v e as an agent of p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n d u r i n g the c h i l d ' s younger y e a r s and t h a t as t h e c h i l d matures and i s p r o g r e s s i v e l y exposed t o more and competitive s o c i a l i z i n g agencies he tends i n many cases t o move away f r o m the sphere of f a m i l y i n f l u e n c e I n t h i s and o t h e r r e s p e c t s . T h i s i s a dynamic aspect o f the process o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i s a t i o n t h a t needs more s y s t e m a t i c i n v e s t i g a t i o n , but the above i n t e r p r e t a t i o n does r e i n f o r c e the view t h a t t h e degree of i n t e r - g e n e r a t i o n a l agreement i n p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n d e s c r i b e d above i s not merely a c c i d e n t a l . B e f o r e t u r n i n g t o a more comparative dimension of the s i g n i f i c a n c e o f the c o r r e l a t i o n c o e f f i c i e n t s developed i n Tables 1 and 2, i t . i s w o r t h commenting b r i e f l y on the p o l i t i c a l i m p l i c a t i o n s o f t h e s e data. The d i f f e r e n c e s by p a r t y i n t h e r e l a t i v e e f f e c t i v e n e s s o f p a r e n t s i n t r a n s m i t t i n g t h e i r own p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n s to t h e i r c h i l d r e n are i n t r i g u i n g . Due t o s i z e a b l e v a r i a t i o n s i n the f i r s t and second wave responses, they are also d i f f i c u l t t o i n t e r p r e t and s u b j e c t t o very l a r g e margins o f e r r o r . They do suggest, however, t h a t p a r e n t s of communist p e r s u a s i o n are the most e f f e c t i v e s o c i a l i z e r s o f t h e i r c h i l d r e n i n t h i s r e s p e c t and t h a t , s u r p r i s i n g t o say, they may be f o l l o w e d by p a r e n t s f a v o r i n g t h e LDP. The r e l a t i v e c o n s i s t e n c y o f t h e LDP responses across the two waves i s i n t e r e s t i n g I n t h i s r e s p e c t . So, t o o , are the q u i t e c o n s i s t e n t t o t a l s f o r the percentages o f t h e 15 - 19 y e a r - o l d b r a c k e t i d e n t i f y i n g w i t h each o f t h e f i v e p a r t i e s and p a r t i c u l a r l y the ranges o f 53.4-55.0% f o r t h e LDP and 32.2-30.0% f o r t h e JSP. Both ranges exceed t h e percentage of the t o t a l v o t e p o l l e d by t h e LDP (48.8%) and t h e JSP (27.9%) i n t h e 1967 g e n e r a l e l e c t i o n b u t , t o the degree t h a t they are r e l i a b l e , t h i s showing o f t h e p a r t i s a n i n c l i n a t i o n s of the upcoming c o h o r t s o f new v o t e r s suggests a f a r more s e r i o u s problem f o r the S o c i a l i s t s t h a n f o r the L i b e r a l Democrats. The Japan S o c i a l i s t P a r t y has tended t o r e l y h e a v i l y on i t s a p p e a l t o the y o u t h v o t e (See F i g u r e 1).1? C o m p a r a t i v e l y s p e a k i n g , p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n has been a f o c a l p o i n t i n the American study of e l e c t o r a l b e h a v i o r . V o t i n g s t u d i e s , e s p e c i a l l y those emerging f r o m t h e U n i v e r s i t y o f Michigan's Survey Research Center, have p e r s i s t e n t l y p o i n t e d t o i m p o r t a n t r e l a t i o n s h i p s between p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n and v a r i o u s forms o f e l e c t o r a l b e h a v i o r . ^ T h i s emphasis on p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n has a l s o been c a r r i e d over t o s t u d i e s o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n and has emerged as one o f i t s main branches. T h i s i s due i n p a r t t o t h e f a c t t h a t v o t i n g b e h a v i o r i s v i e w e d as b e i n g c l o s e l y l i n k e d w i t h p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n . But a l s o i n v o l v e d i s t h e f a c t t h a t i n s t u d i e s of p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n has been found t o e x h i b i t some unusual c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s . I t seems t o be an area i n w h i c h t h e l a r g e s t degree o f p o s i t i v e g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n takes place.19 I t s h o u l d a l s o be p o i n t e d o u t , however, t h a t r e c e n t r e s e a r c h i n d i c a t e s t h a t the degree t o w h i c h p a r e n t s i n the U n i t e d S t a t e s pass on t h e i r p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n s t o t h e i r c h i l d r e n i s n o t as g r e a t as i t was once thought to be. A major.- study by J e n n i n g s and N i e m i , f o r example, found a t a u - b e t a c o r r e l a t i o n o f .47.20 N i e m i has suggested s e p a r a t e l y t h a t t h e h i g h e r c o r r e l a t i o n s found i n e a r l i e r s t u d i e s may r e s u l t from t h e p r a c t i c e of u s i n g p e r c e i v e d r a t h e r t h a n observed d a t a and t h a t i n such cases t h e respondent's tendency t o reduce c o g n i t i v e dissonance i s apt t o d i s t o r t the r e s u l t a n t s t a t i s t i c s . 2 1 i f t h i s d i f f i c u l t y i s avoided through r e l i a n c e o n l y on d i r e c t l y measured d a t a , the l o w e r l e v e l s o f c o r r e l a t i o n found by t h e Jennings-Niemi s t u d y and the p r e s e n t one may prove t o be the more accurate. -8The c o r r e l a t i o n c o e f f i c i e n t s of .39 and .38 f o r the two waves of t h i s study are l o w e r than b u t not markedly d i f f e r e n t from the Jennings-Niemi f i g u r e o f .47. This i s i n t e r e s t i n g b o t h i n view of t h e h i g h e r c o r r e l a t i o n s n o r m a l l y assigned i n t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s by e a r l i e r s t u d i e s and the r a t h e r w i d e l y h e l d view d e s c r i b e d e a r l i e r t h a t i n Japan the degree o f c o r r e l a t i o n i s v e r y low. Our f i g u r e s l i n k e d t o t h o s e of Jennings and Niemi suggest t h a t a c t u a l l y t h e r e i s not a g r e a t d e a l of d i f f e r e n c e i n the e x t e n t t o which p a r e n t s i n the two s o c i e t i e s t r a n s m i t t h e i r p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n s to t h e i r children. I f s o , t h i s i s a comparative f i n d i n g of c o n s i d e r a b l e p o t e n t i a l importance, i f i t can be confirmed by more e x t e n s i v e and s p e c i f i c a l l y focussed research. At t h i s p o i n t , however, i t seems a p p r o p r i a t e s i m p l y t o note the correspondence of f i n d i n g s and t o r e f r a i n from premature specul a t i o n s as t o the degrees of s i m i l a r i t y t h a t may o b t a i n i n so complex a process as p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n i n two s o c i e t i e s o f such d i s p a r a t e c u l t u r a l and p o l i t i c a l heritages. S t i l l i f one presses t h i s l i n e o f i n q u i r y as f a r as our data p e r m i t and seeks o t h e r p o i n t s t h a t argue i n f a v o r o f t h e h y p o t h e s i s t h a t the processes o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n are i n i m p o r t a n t r e s p e c t s s i m i l a r i n Japan and the U n i t e d S t a t e s , some evidence i s a v a i l a b l e . F i g u r e 2 s e t s f o r t h i n s c a l e d and c o m p a r i t i v e f a s h i o n a group o f c o r r e l a t i o n c o e f f i c i e n t s between c h i l d r e n ' s and p a r e n t ' s p o l i t i c a l a t t i t u d e s and a t t r i b u t e s i n Japan and the U n i t e d S t a t e s . Some items on t h e s c a l e a r e , o f course, more d i r e c t l y and m e a n i n g f u l l y comparable than o t h e r s ; e.g., p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n and, perhaps, p o l i t i c a l i n t e r e s t . The r e s t , w i t h t h e e x c e p t i o n o f p o l i t i c a l i d e o l o g y , r e p r e s e n t degrees o f c o r r e l a t i o n between ( F i g u r e 2 about h e r e ) p a r e n t ' s and c h i l d r e n ' s responses t o q u e s t i o n s c a l c u l a t e d t o e l i c i t i n f o r m a t i o n about a t t i t u d e s on c u r r e n t l y s a l i e n t i s s u e s o f major p o l i t i c a l importance. They, of c o u r s e , d i f f e r between the two c o u n t r i e s . S i m i l a r i t i e s o f some importance do emerge from an a n a l y s i s o f F i g u r e 2. T h i s i s p a r t i c u l a r l y t r u e of t h e c a t e g o r i e s o f p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n and p o l i t i c a l interest. I n t h e case o f the former t h e v a l u e s are not t o o d i s c r e p a n t i n abs o l u t e terms and a r e s i m i l a r i n rank o r d e r as w e l l . I n the l a t t e r the n u m e r i c a l v a l u e s are almost i d e n t i c a l . Where t h e r e m a i n i n g c o r r e l a t i o n s are concerned, they demonstrate p r i m a r i l y the t h e s i s t h a t where s p e c i f i c p o l i t i c a l i s s u e o r i e n t a t i o n s are concerned t h e degree of g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n i n v o l v e d i s q u i t e s m a l l i n b o t h Japan and t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s , I t has been r e p e a t e d l y demonstrated i n American v o t i n g s t u d i e s t h a t issues t e n d t o p l a y o n l y m a r g i n a l r o l e s i n campaigns, t h a t i s s u e o r i e n t a t i o n s t e n d t o be l e s s c e n t r a l and l e s s s t a b l e than o t h e r p o l i t i c a l a t t i t u d e s — n o t a b l y p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n — a n d t h a t i s s u e a t t i t u d e s t e n d t o be o n l y weakly i n t e r - r e l a t e d and p o o r l y organized.22 A c c o r d i n g l y , i t i s n o t s u r p r i s i n g t o f i n d t h a t i n the U n i t e d States the e x t e n t of g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n o f Issue o r i e n t a t i o n s i s q u i t e meager. This seems t o be a t l e a s t e q u a l l y t r u e i n the Japanese case. The f a c t t h a t i n Japan o f t e n twenty t o t h i r t y p e r c e n t o f the sample respond w i t h "Don't Know" (wakaranai) t o most s t a n d a r d i s s u e questions suggests f u r t h e r t h a t t h e i r i s s u e a t t i t u d e s t r u c t u r e i s even more d i s o r g a n i z e d than i n the U n i t e d S t a t e s . ^ I t i s i n t e r e s t i n g t o note w i t h respect to both countries that t h e e x t e n t o f g e n e r a t i o n a l consonance tends t o i n c r e a s e somewhat as one moves f r o m l e s s t o more c o n t r o v e r s i a l I s s u e s . -8aF i g u r e 2. G e n e r a t i o n a l Agreement o f P o l i t i c a l Japan and t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s US* Attitudes: Jap an tau-b .60 Party I d e n t i f i c a t i o n .47- .50 .40 Role o f f e d e r a l government i n s c h o o l i n t e g r a t i o n .39 .38 Party I d e n t i f i c a t i o n ( 1 ) P a r t y I d e n t i f i c a t i o n (2) .28 S e c u r i t y T r e a t y (2) .34.29- .30 A l l o w s c h o o l s t o use p r a y e r s I-.23 E v a l u a t i o n o f Negroes .20- Political Ideology .16- Political Interest .11- .20 .10 P o l i t i c a l Demonstration/ Zengakuren/Security Treaty. (1) .14 P o l i t i c a l I n t e r e s t (2) :1ft Eg&i&sii&SFttk&ku) 02 C o n s t i t u t i o n a l R e v i s i o n (2) .00 Kent Jennings and R i c h a r d G. N i e m i , 'The Transmission o f P o l i t i c a l Values f r o m Parent t o C h i l d , ' A m e r i c a n . P o l i t i c a l Science Review, v o l . 62, n o . l , . (March 1968), pp. 169-184 and u n p u b l i s h e d s t a t i s t i c s s u p p l i e d by M. Kent Jennings. —( ) • numbers t h a t r e p r e s e n t the waves o f . t h e survey -9A n o t h e r aspect of F i g u r e 2 d e s e r v i n g mention i s t h a t i n b o t h c o u n t r i e s p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n stands h i g h e s t i n the l i s t o f c o r r e l a t i o n c o e f f i c i e n t s . I n other words t h i s i s the area where the g r e a t e s t amount of g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n seems t o take p l a c e . The American f i g u r e i s somewhat h i g h e r than i t s Japanese c o u n t e r p a r t and t h e gap t h a t separates i t f r o m the next h i g h e s t c o e f f i c i e n t on t h e s c a l e i s w i d e r . The Japanese s c a l e i s n o t as complete as the American i n these r e s p e c t s . We d i d i n our survey f i n d a few a t t i t u d e s t h a t s c a l e d h i g h e r than t h o s e f o r p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n . These were of two s o r t s . The f i r s t i n c l u d e s c o e f f i c i e n t s t h a t f l u c t u a t e d w i l d l y and i n e x p l i c a b l y f r o m t h e f i r s t t o the second wave o r which were measured i n o n l y one of t h e two waves.24 They were viewed as u n s t a b l e or u n c e r t a i n and are excluded from F i g u r e 2. The second excluded qategoryy c o n s i s t s o f c o e f f i c i e n t s concerning p a r t y - r e l a t e d a t t i t u d e s which v a r y g r e a t l y f r o m p a r t y t o p a r t y i n t h e Japanese m u l t i - p a r t y s y s t e m . ^ These l a s t , however, t e n d t o s u p p o r t the view t h a t i t i s i n the area o f p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n t h a t one f i n d s the l a r g e s t amount o f g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n o f p o l i t i c a l a t t i t u d e s . ,The q u e s t i o n n a t u r a l l y a r i s e s as t o why t h i s s h o u l d be so. Campbell and h i s a s s o c i a t e s p r e s e n t an extended account o f the p e r c e p t i o n o f p a r t i e s , c a n d i d a t e s , and i s s u e s i n the American case b u t i t i s e s s e n t i a l l y due t o t h e f a c t t h a t p o l i t i c a l p a r t i e s are b o t h more c o n c r e t e and more s a l i e n t than most o t h e r p o l i t i c a l o b j e c t s . So f a r as the mass p u b l i c i s concerned, p a r t i e s and p e r s o n a l i t i e s are f a r more v i s i b l e than i s s u e s and, s i n c e p e r s o n a l i t i e s come and go, p a r t i e s tend t o a c q u i r e a s u p e r i o r h i s t o r i c a l dimension and c o n t i n u i t y t h a t makes them one o f t h e most i m p o r t a n t v a r i a b l e s i n the c o g n i t i v e processes o f t h e p u b l i c . By and l a r g e we b e l i e v e t h i s t o be the case i n Japan, a l t h o u g h w i t h the q u a l i f i c a t i o n t h a t , s i n c e the h i s t o r y o f Japanese p o l i t i c a l p a r t i e s i s much b r i e f e r than t h a t o f American or B r i t i s h p a r t i e s and s i n c e t h e p a r t y scene i n Japan has been n o t a b l y l e s s s t a b l e , we do n o t expect Japanese p a r t y I d e n t i f i c a t i o n s or a t t i t u d e s t o be as w e l l o r deeply developed.27 S t i l l p o l i t i c a l c o m p e t i t i o n i s keen i n Japan and p u b l i c i n t e r e s t h i g h e s p e c i a l l y at e l e c t i o n times. 9fi There are o t h e r arguments d e r i v e d f r o m t h e o r i z i n g about t h e American experience t h a t a l s o seem a p p l i c a b l e t o Japan i n t h i s c o n n e c t i o n . G r e e n s t e i n h o l d s , f o r example, t h a t p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n i s t r a n s m i t t e d from p a r e n t t o c h i l d a t a v e r y e a r l y stage o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n and t h a t t h e development of a p a r t y o r i e n t a t i o n t h u s c l e a r l y precedes those o f candidate or I s s u e o r i e n t a t i o n s . He goes on t o argue t h a t the younger the c h i l d I s , the more u n c r i t i c a l and r e c e p t i v e he i s apt t o be toward v a l u e s o r a t t i t u d e s t h a t h i s p a r e n t s d i s p l a y e i t h e r p u r p o s e f u l l y o r i n a d v e r t e n t l y . He concludes t h a t p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n i s a f i e l d i n which the g r e a t e s t degree o f such t r a n s m i s s i o n i s apt t o take p l a c e . G r e e n s t e i n a l s o r e i n ^ f o r c e s t h i s t h e s i s w i t h a concept borrowed f r o m a c c u l t u r a t i o n s t u d i e s , namely t h o s e a t t i t u d e s t h a t are l e a r n e d e a r l i e s t are l i k e l y t o be the most i n t e r n a l i z e d and t h o s e l e a r n e d l a t e r more s u p e r f i c i a l and u n s t a b l e . 2 8 We would l i k e a t t h i s p o i n t t o r e t u r n t o our former h y p o t h e s i s about t h e i n t e r a c t i o n o f macro-forces and m i c r o - f o r c e s i n t h e process of p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n i n Japan. I t w i l l be r e c a l l e d t h a t the e f f e c t o f the macro-forces (major trends of economic, s o c i a l , and p o l i t i c a l change over t i m e ) was t o d i m i n i s h the i n t e r g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n o f p o l i t i c a l a t t i t u d e s w h i l e t h e e f f e c t s o f the m i c r o f o r c e s , i n t h i s case the f a m i l y , was t o enhance the degree o f g e n e r a t i o n a l c o n t i n u ity. The q u e s t i o n i s how does t h e i n t e r a c t i o n o f macro- and m i c r o - f o r c e s take place? Are t h e r e i n t e r v e n i n g ' s o c i o l o g i c a l o r a t t i t u d i n a l v a r i a b l e s t h a t s i g n i f i c a n t l y a f f e c t the process of g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n ? I f so, which are apt t o be more s i g n i f i c a n t a t the i n d i v i d u a l l e v e l ? -10Table 3 has been prepared i n an attempt t o shed some l i g h t on these q u e s t i o n s . I t i s based upon a d i v i s i o n of our sample of p a r e n t - c h i l d p a i r s i n t o two groups, one"of w h i c h has been s u b j e c t e d t o p a r t i c u l a r experiences t h a t are o f t e n , a l b e i t somewhat a r b i t a r i l y , r e g a r d e d as change-oriented such as urban as opposed t o r u r a l r e s i d e n c e , union membership as opposed t o non-union s t a t u s , h i g h s o c i a l c l a s s , income, or degree o f p a r e n t a l e d u c a t i o n versus t h e i r low e q u i v a l e n t s , e t c . ; (Table 3 about h e r e ) and the o t h e r of which i s composed o f those s h a r i n g t h e r e c i p r o c a l experiences t o t h e above t h a t are here r e g a r d e d as b e i n g o r i e n t e d toward c o n t i n u i t y . These two groups have then been examined i n terms o f t h e degree t o which t h e s t a t u s d e s i g n a t e d as change-oriented and t h a t designated as c o n t i n u i t y - o r i e n t e d has produced agreement between t h e p a r e n t i s and t h e c h i l d ' s p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n s i n o r d e r t o determine i f i n f a c t the v a r i a b l e concerned seems t o have enhanced o r d i m i n i s h e d g e n e r a t i o n a l c o n t i n u i t y i n t h i s r e s p e c t . The c o r r e l a t i o n c o e f f i c i e n t s t h a t r e s u l t s h o u l d be c o n s e r v a t i v e l y i n t e r p r e t e d , however, because of the small r s i z e o f the sample as a whole and the l i m i t e d number of cases i n each c e l l . The d o u b l e column o f e n t r i e s under the r u b r i c "codes" i n Table 3 i s e x p l a n a t o r y of t h e c a t e g o r i e s b e i n g used. For example, where t h e e n t r i e s o p p o s i t e " P o p u l a t i o n " at t h e t o p o f t h e t a b l e are concerned,.the c o e f f i c i e n t s .23 under the f i r s t wave and #.29 under the second are a s s o c i a t e d w i t h l a r g e p o p u l a t i o n s j w h i l e the coe f f i c i e n t s »60 and .50 are a s s o c i a t e d w i t h s m a l l p o p u l a t i o n s . When we d i v i d e our sample i n t h i s manner i n t o change-oriented and c o n t i n u i t y o r i e n t e d c o n t i n g e n t s , we f i n d c o n s i d e r a b l e v a r i a t i o n i n the c o r r e l a t i o n coe f f i c i e n t s between parent's and c h i l d r e n ' s p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n s . Urbaniz a t i o n , f o r .example i s " g e n e r a l l y regarded as a key element i n the process o f s o c i a l change. Our c o e f f i c i e n t s s u p p o r t the view where the g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n o f p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n i s concerned. Whether measured by s i z e of p o p u l a t i o n or by a d m i n i s t r a t i v e d i s t i n c t i o n s between urban and r u r a l c i v i l s u b d i v i s i o n s and whether measured by f i r s t o r second wave responses t h e r e i s a markedly g r e a t e r - t e n d e n c y f o r i n t e r - g e n e r a t i o n a l changes of p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n i n c i t i e s and f o r i h t e r - g e n e r a t i o n a l c o n t i n u i t y i n t h i s r e s p e c t i n the countryside. Where u n i o n membership i s concerned the r e s u l t s are c o n s i s t e n t b u t would argue an i n i t i a l e r r o r I n a s s i g n i n g union s t a t u s t o the "change" r a t h e r than t o t h e " c o n t i n u i t y " group. The c o e f f i c i e n t s i n d i c a t e - a v e r y marked tendency f o r t h e c h i l d r e n o f u n i o n parents t o share the p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n s of t h e i r parents compared t o a r e l a t i v e l y low tendency f o r such t r a n s m i s s i o n t o occur i n nonunion- f a m i l i e s . This i s i n t e r e s t i n g but not r e a l l y s u r p r i s i n g i n terms o f the f a c t t h a t our mass survey d a t a as a whole i n d i c a t e t h a t union membership i s one o f the: most s i g n i f i c a n t v a r i a b l e s i n p r e d i c t i n g b o t h t h e p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n and t h e e l e c t o r a l choice o f v o t e r s i n g e n e r a l . Beyond t h i s , however, u n i o n members h i p t u r n s o u t t o be remarkably i s s u e - f r e e . I t i s not r e l a t e d t o stands on most p a r t i s a n i s s u e s . A c c o r d i n g t o Table 3,. s o c i a l c l a s s a t f i r s t seems t o p l a y the a n t i c i p a t e d r o l e as an I n t e r v e n i n g and change-oriented v a r i a b l e , the t h e s i s b e i n g i n t h i s case t h a t t h e m i d d l e c l a s s tends t o be more r e c e p t i v e t o new i n f o r m a t i o n and i d e a s , and hence more s u s c e p t i b l e t o change, than does the w o r k i n g c l a s s . Yet i t i s d i f f i c u l t t o r e c o n c i l e the c o e f f i c i e n t s f o r s o c i a l class w i t h those t h a t f o l l o w f o r household income i f one g r a n t s t h a t h i g h e r s o c i a l c l a s s i s c o r r e l a t e d w i t h h i g h e r income. The two s e t s o f c o e f f i c i e n t s are m u t u a l l y opposed i n t h i s -10aT a b l e 3. Agreement Between C h i l d ' s and Parent's P a r t y by Demographic and A t t i t u d i n a l V a r i a b l e s Control Variables Identifications, lst Wave 2nd j f a v e Change C o n t i n u i t y * 'Change C o n t i n u i t y Codies A ^ l f Population .23* .60 .29 .50 Large Small Administrative Level .36 .49 .34 .46 Urban R u r a l Union Membership .62 .34 .63 .20 Yes No S o c i a l Class .24 .52 -.02 .50 High Low Household Income .52 .36 .43 .32 High Low Parent's E d u c a t i o n .18 .65 .42 .32 High Low Parent's P o l i t i c a l " Interest .36 .53 .45 .23 • High Low Child's P o l i t i c a l Interest .55 .20 .42 • .32 High Low I n d i v i d u a l o r Family .13 1.00 .16 .89 I n d i v Family New o r Old Man .02 .55 .28 .43 New Spending o r Saving .31 .37 .32 .39 Spend Save Youth D i s c i p l i n e .49 .28 .59 .34 Less More Respect f o r E l d e r ' s View .41 .32 .37 .24 No Yes C h i l d ' s A t t i t u d e s Toward: • E n t r i e s a r e tau-b coefficients Old -11- c a s e and we do not u n d e r s t a n d why t h i s s h o u l d be s o . The same I s t r u e when one u s e s t h e l e v e l o f p a r e n t ' s e d u c a t i o n as. a c r i t i c a l v a r i a b l e . The r e s u l t s f o r t h e s e c o n d wave r e v e r s e t h o s e o f t h e f i r s t f o r unknown r e a s o n s . . I f we compare t h e s e f i n d i n g s from our p a r e n t - c h i l d s a m p l e w i t h t h e r e s u l t s o f o u r mass s u r v e y a s a w h o l e * i t i s c l e a r f r o m t h e l a t t e r t h a t t h e s e t h r e e v a r i a b l e s — s o c i a l c l a s s , income, and e d u c a t i o n a l l e v e l r - a r e i n t e r - c o r r e l a t e d t o a s i g n i f i c a n t d e g r e e . However, i t a l s o emerges t h a t , w i t h t h e p a r t i a l exc e p t i o n of e d u c a t i o n a l l e v e l , a l l o f them a r e i n the J a p a n e s e c a s e e i t h e r u n r e l a t e d o r o n l y w e a k l y c o r r e l a t e d t o p a r t i s a n a t t i t u d e s o r to change v e r s u s c o n t i n u i t y i s s u e s t h a t w e r e u s e d i n T a b l e 3. I n c o m p a r a t i v e terms one e x p e c t s an i n t e r - c o r r e l a t i o n o f t h e s e t h r e e v a r i a b l e s i n any d e v e l o p e d s o c i e t y , b u t t h e l a c k o f a f u r t h e r r e l a t i o n s h i p between them and o t h e r p o l i t i c a l a t t i t u d e s and i s s u e s i n t h e J a p a n e s e c a s e i s r a t h e r s u r p r i s i n g t o t h o s e f a m i l i a r w i t h the A m e r i c a n and B r i t i s h e x p e r i e n c e s . I t may be t h a t the i m p a c t of s u c h demographic v a r i a b l e s on p a r t i s a n a t t i t u d e s and change v e r s u s c o n t i n u i t y i s s u e s i n J a p a n i s d i f f e r e n t than elsewhere, a p o i n t t h a t d e s e r v e s f u r t h e r i n v e s t i g a t i o n . When we move from demographic t o p s y c h o l o g i c a l v a r i a b l e s , we f i r s t f i n d t h a t t h e l e v e l o f p a r e n t a l p o l i t i c a l i n t e r e s t p l a y s an ambiguous r o l e . I n the f i r s t wave h i g h p a r e n t a l i n t e r e s t i s n e g a t i v e l y c o r r e l a t e d w i t h t h e d e g r e e of g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n , b u t i n t h e s e c o n d wave t h a t r e l a t i o n s h i p i s r e v e r s e d . When we t u r n t o t h e l e v e l o f t h e c h i l d ' s p o l i t i c a l i n t e r e s t , however, t h e p a t t e r n i s c o n s i s t e n t f o r both waves; h i g h e r p o l i t i c a l i n t e r e s t i s a s s o c i a t e d w i t h a h i g h e r d e g r e e o f g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n o f p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n , and low p o l i t i c a l i n t e r e s t w i t h a l o w e r d e g r e e o f g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n of p a r t y identification. H e r e , too, i t i s p o s s i b l e t o a p p r o a c h t h e problem o f g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n of p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n from e i t h e r t h e macro- o r the m i c r o - l e v e l . former one c a n h y p o t h e s i z e t h a t a h i g h l e v e l of m a j o r s o c i a l , -economic,. and p o l i t i c a l c h a n g e i n a s o c i e t y i s a p t t o p r o d u c e a h i g h e r l e v e l of p o l i t i c a l i n t e r e s t among y o u t h , and t h a t t h i s h i g h e r l e v e l o f : ' i n t e r e s t c o n j o i n e d w i t h t h e p r e s e n c e of major c h a n g e s i n t h e s o c i a l e n v i r o n m e n t i s a p t t o p r o d u c e d i s c o r d a n c e between t h e p o l i t i c a l v i e w s and p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n s o f c h i l d r e n and p a r e n t s who w e r e exp o s e d to d i f f e r e n t s o c i a l i z i n g i n f l u e n c e s . The comparable h y p o t h e s i s a t the m i c r o - l e v e l w o u l d be t h a t a h i g h l e v e l o f p o l i t i c a l i n t e r e s t among c h i l d r e n makes i t more p r o b a b l e t h a t the c h i l d w i l l be more aware of p o l i t i c a l c u e s , and, g i v e n the t i m i n g and i n t e n s i t y o f h i s e x p o s u r e to h i s p a r e n t s and t h e cues t h e y p r o v i d e , w i l l be more apt to s h a r e t h e i r p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n . A t t n e Our d a t a p r o v i d e s u p p o r t f o r t h e m i c r o - l e v e l h y p o t h e s i s . Whether we a r e e x a m i n i n g t h e c h i l d ' s i n t e r e s t i n t h e e l e c t i o n , c o n c e r n w i t h t h e outcome o f t h e e l e c t i o n , o r h i s p o l i t i c a l i n t e r e s t i n g e n e r a l , and w h e t h e r we a r e d e a l i n g w i t h the r e s u l t s of t h e f i r s t o r s e c o n d wave o f the s u r v e y , we i n v a r i a b l y f i n d a p o s i t i v e r e l a t i o n s h i p between t h e i i of t h e c h i l e s i n t e r e s t and the e x t e n t of g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n of p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n . e v e We t u r n n e x t t o t h e l a s t f i v e v a r i a b l e s i n Table 3 t h a t d e a l w i t h the child's attitudes. When we c o n t r o l w i t h s p e c i f i c r e f e r e n c e t o t h e way i n w h i c h t h e c h i l d p e r c e i v e s h i s r e l a t i o n s h i p to h i s f a m i l y , d r a m a t i c c o n f i r m a t i o n i s obtained.™ T h i s i s a v a r i a b l e t h a t not s u r p r i s i n g l y d i s p l a y s a very strong -12r e l a t i o n t o the degree of g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n of p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n , as T a b l e 3 makes c l e a r . Some aspects of t h i s f a m i l y - i n d i v i d u a l or c h i l d f a m i l y r e l a t i o n s h i p i s s u e are p r o b a b l y more s a l i e n t i n Japan than i n the U n i t e d S t a t e s o r Great B r i t a i n . There have s i n c e the war been c r i t i c a l l e g a l and s o c i a l changes t h a t have d r a s t i c a l l y a f f e c t e d the t r a d i t i o n a l s t r u c t u r e o f t h e Japanese f a m i l y . The predominant view i n e d u c a t i o n and the mass media i s now r e s t r i c t i v e w i t h r e s p e c t t o the f a m i l y and s u p p o r t i v e of i n c r e a s e d i n d i v i d u a l i s m . As a consequence t h e f a m i l y i t s e l f and i t s proper r o l e and i n t e r n a l r e l a t i o n s h i p s has^become something of a p o l i t i c a l i s s u e i n contemporary Japan. Whatever the degree o f Japan's p e c u l i a r i t y i n t h i s r e s p e c t , however, i t would seem p r o b a b l e from these c o e f f i c i e n t s t h a t the f a m i l y does e x e r t an i n f l u e n c e on t h e p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n of i t s c h i l d r e n and t h a t t h e e x t e n t of generat i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n o f p a r t y i i d e n t i f i c a t i o n i s s h a r p l y a f f e c t e d by the c h i l d ' s view o f h i s r e l a t i o n s h i p t o h i s f a m i l y . 31 The new-or-old man dimension i s a v a r i a n t o f the preceding v a r i a b l e . The two dimensions are moderately c o r r e l a t e d and are considered t o be i d e o l o g i c a l l y i n t e r - r e l a t e d i n Japan. Table 3 i n d i c a t e d t h a t a c h i l d c o n s i d e r i n g h i m s e l f as a new type person o f t e n d e s e r t s h i s p a r e n t ' s p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n w h i l e those c o n s i d e r i n g themselves as o l d t y p e persons are r e l a t i v e l y much more apt t o i n h e r i t the p a r e n t ' s a t t i t u d e i n t h i s r e s p e c t . The degree of v a r i a t i o n i n t h e c o e f f i c i e n t s i s s m a l l e r though than i n the case o f the " i n d i v i d u a l o r family" variable. A t h i r d dimension t h a t i s q u i t e i m p o r t a n t i n t h e l i f e of the average Japanese seems t o have l i t t l e e f f e c t on the t r a n s m i s s i o n of p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n . The save-spend i s s u e i s b o t h a f a v o r i t e t o p i c o f d a i l y c o n v e r s a t i o n among Japanese and a l s o a m a t t e r of r e a l n a t i o n a l importance. I t i s closely linked to the'system'of t r a d i t i o n a l v a l u e s " t h a t s t r o n g l y and e f f e c t i v e l y encourages s a v i n g . The savings r a t e even i n t h e present a f f l u e n t and consumer-oriented s o c i e t y i s among t h e w o r l d ' s h i g h e s t . D e s p i t e t h i s , i t a p p a r e n t l y has l i t t l e r e l a t i o n to the generational transmission of party i d e n t i f i c a t i o n . The l a s t two v a r i a b l e s i n Table 3 — y o u t h d i s c i p l i n e and r e s p e c t f o r elder-' s v i e w — s e e m t q a f f e c t the process o f g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n i n a somewhat s u r p r i s i n g way. One would n o r m a l l y expect t h a t a c h i l d who t h i n k s t h a t today's y o u t h needs more d i s c i p l i n e would be more apt t o accept h i s p a r e n t ' s p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n . The c o e f f i c i e n t s i n Table 3 i n d i c a t e t h a t the o p p o s i t e i s t h e case; a d i s c i p l i n e - o r i e n t e d y o u t h i s more apt t o d e s e r t h i s p a r e n t ' s i d e n t i f i c a t i o n i n t h i s r e g a r d than i s a f r e e d o m - o r i e n t e d c h i l d . The same i s t r u e I n the case o f r e s p e c t f o r t h e e l d e r ' s view, a l t h o u g h i n n e i t h e r case i s the extent of the v a r i a t i o n i n c o e f f i c i e n t s p a r t i c u l a r l y large. I t i s d i f f i c u l t t o e x p l a i n t h i s r e l a t i o n s h i p adequately. I t s h o u l d be noted, however, t h a t q u e s t i o n s concerning t h e g e n e r a t i o n gap p r o v i d e t h e b a s i s f o r v e r y l i v e l y and widespread c o n t r o v e r s y i n Japan and t h a t these m a t t e r s o f y o u t h d i s c i p l i n e and r e s p e c t f o r e l d e r ' s views l i e c l o s e t o the h e a r t o f t h e i s s u e . They t e n d t o e l i c i t e m o t i o n a l l y charged r e a c t i o n s and are i n t h i s sense f a i r l y s e n s i t i v e . They a r e , f o r example, c o n s i d e r a b l y more s e n s i t i v e than t h e two e a r l i e r q u e s t i o n s about f a m i l y - i n d i v i d u a l r e l a t i o n s h i p s and the new versus o l d man dimension. I n f a c t our data on the two more: s e n s i t i v e questions are s l i g h t l y n e g a t i v e l y c o r r e l a t e d w i t h the o t h e r two v a r i a b l e s . 34 0 -13III A n o t h e r area o f major i n t e r e s t w i t h r e s p e c t t o t h e g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n of p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n i s t h e r e l a t i v e r o l e s o f t h e f a t h e r and the mother i n the t r a n s m i s s i o n process. Which i s t h e more i n f l u e n t i a l ? There i s no q u e s t i o n t h a t w i t h i n the average Japanese household each parent p l a y s a markedly d i f f e r e n t r o l e . 3 5 This i s t r u e w i t h r e s p e c t t o d i v i s i o n o f l a b o r , p a r e n t a l r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s , a u t h o r i t y , or even i n t h e area o f r e l i g i o n where t h e r o l e of t h e f a t h e r appears to d i f f e r from t h a t of the mother i n e i t h e r f a c t u a l or n o r m a t i v e terms. In g e n e r a l i n t h e Sino-Japanese c u l t u r e area i t i s customary f o r t h e f a t h e r t o be r e c o g n i z e d as t h e dominant and a u t h o r i t a t i v e f i g u r e w i t h i n t h e household. Such a s t a t u s i s l e g i t i m a t e d by t h e c e n t u r i e s o f Confucian orthodoxy which has n o n l y r e c e n t l y been undermined i n ^aw* A g a i n s t such a background i t i s tempting to assume t h a t t h e Japanese f a t h e r p l a y s the predominant r o l e i n the p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n o f h i s c h i l d r e n . But i s t h i s t r u e i n f a c t ? Do Japanese p a r e n t s have s p e c i f i c a l l y d i f f e r e n t i a t e d r o l e s and i n f l u e n c e s i n t h i s sphere? What happens i n t h e case where f a t h e r and mother are themselves of d i f f e r e n t p a r t i s a n persuasions? When we l o o k beyond Japan we see t h a t o s t e n s i b l y t h e male i n g e n e r a l plays the l e a d i n g r o l e i n t h e p o l i t i c s of a l l modern n a t i o n s . A g a i n , one i s tempted to conclude by e x t e n s i o n t h a t f a t h e r s do a l s o i n t h e area o f t r a n s m i t t i n g p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n t o t h e i r c h i l d r e n . Research i n the U n i t e d S t a t e s , however, does not c o n f i r m sucn a h y p o t h e s i s . Maccoby, Mathews, and Morton were among the f i r s t to p o i n t out i n t h e i r e x p e r i m e n t a l study t h a t the r o l e of the..mother i s more imp o r t a n t t h a n t h a t of t h e f a t h e r i n t h e t r a n s m i s s i o n of p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n . 36 Jennings and Langton l a t e r c o n f i r m e d t h i s f i n d i n g on t h e b a s i s o f a n a t i o n w i d e p r o b a b i l i t y sample.37 Our f i n d i n g s w i t h r e s p e c t t o Japan are more complex. Table 4 i n d i c a t e s t h a t i n t h e f i r s t wave of t h e survey mothers emerge as t h e more e f f e c t i v e i n f l u e n c e on t h e i r c h i l d r e n where the t r a n s m i s s i o n o f p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n i s concerned, b u t t h a t i n the second wave t h i s p a t t e r n i s r e v e r s e d and t h e f a t h e r s have become t h e more i m p o r t a n t . A s i m i l a r r e v e r s a l o f r o l e s i s found i n t h e data from our mass survey as a whole. (Table 4 about h e r e ) Such a s h i f t between t h e f i r s t and second waves o f the survey was not une x p e c t e d . We are i n c l i n e d t o e x p l a i n i t along t h e f o l l o w i n g l i n e s . The s h i f t t o o k p l a c e d u r i n g a p e r i o d of i n t e n s e n a t i o n a l campaigning. I t i s c l e a r t h a t i n Japan men are b o t h more i n t e r e s t e d I n p o l i t i c s than women and t h a t they more f r e q u e n t l y p a r t i c i p a t e i n p o l i t i c a l a c t i v i t i e s . Under t h e circumstances i t seems p r o b a b l e t h a t t h e f a t h e r - i s t h e p r i n c i p a l agent of communication t o the f a m i l y of campaign and e l e c t i o n messages f r o m t h e o u t s i d e w o r l d and t h a t i n p e r f o r m i n g t h i s f u n c t i o n he i n c r e a s e s the p o l i t i c a l s o l i d a r i t y o f t h e household along the l i n e s of h i s own p a r t i s a n p r e f e r e n c e s . ^ Such a r o l e would be s i m i l a r t o t h a t of t h e o p i n i o n - l e a d e r i n t h e two-step t h e o r y of communications.^9 I n t h e Japanese case i t a l s o d e r i v e s added p l a u s i b i l i t y from t h e importance of what are c a l l e d the j i b a n and k a n k e i dimensions of t h e i r e l e c t o r a l system. -13aTable 4. C h i l d ' s and Father's Child's Party-. Identification i n Agreement W i t h : or Mother's P a r t y P a i r Sample '1st 2nd ^ Wave Wave Identifications Cross-Section Sample— ' 1st ' ZncT^ Wave Wave. Father's P a r t y Identification .22- .49 .36 .38 Mother's P a r t y Identification .54 .29 .42 .32 — I n t h e c r o s s - s e c t i o n sample t h e f a t h e r ' s and mother's p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n s are o n l y i n d i r e c t l y measured ( o r based upon t h e c h i l d ' s r e p o r t ) . — E n t r i e s a r e tau-b coefficients ! -14A j i b a n i s a b a i l i w i c k , a d e f i n a b l e i n h a b i t e d a r e a l i n k e d by h i s t o r i c and complex i n t e r - p e r s o n a l t i e s , t h a t a t e l e c t i o n t i m e s tends t o cast i t s v o t e as a u n i t ( t h e tendency v a r i e s a good d e a l w i t h d i f f e r e n t l e v e l s of e l e c t i o n ) . ^ K a n k e i i n t h i s sense are p e r s o n a l r e l a t i o n s and r e f e r t o the i n t r i c a t e web of a s s o c i a t i o n s h i p s of f a m i l y , i n t e r e s t , r e s p o n s i b i l i t y , and o b l i g a t i o n t h a t o v e r l a y any Japanese c o m m u n i t y . ^ Both of t h e s e networks are r o u t i n e l y a c t i v a t e d on the occasion of e l e c t i o n s and t h e i r impact on a g i v e n f a m i l y i s apt t o be channeled through the f a t h e r . T h e i r e f f e c t i s to s u b j e c t him t o p r e s s u r e t o m o b i l i z e h i s f a m i l y and-other dependents i n support of p a r t i c u l a r c a n d i d a t e s or causes. The e f f e c t of these phenomena, we s u s p e c t , i s a t e n dency t o move o t h e r members of the f a m i l y c l o s e r t o the f a t h e r i n terms of p o l i t i c a l i d e n t i f i c a t i o n and thus t o t i l t the b a l a n c e of r e l a t i v e i m p o r t a n c e i n t h e f a t h e r ' s f a v o r a t the l a t e r stages of or j u s t a f t e r a l i v e l y and h a r d ^fought e l e c t i o n campaign. I t i s not a t a l l c l e a r , , however, t h a t t h i s s h o r t - s p a n movement cancels the s u p e r i o r i t y . o f the mother i n a l o n g e r term sense. C e r t a i n l y a s t r a i g h t forward- i n t e r p r e t a t i o n of Table 4 would suggest t h a t the mother i s a t l e a s t as i m p o r t a n t as t h e f a t h e r as an agent f o r the g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n of p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n ; Our i n t e r p r e t a t i o n i n c l i n e s us t o h y p o t h e s i z e t h a t as the u n u s u a l p s y c h o l o g i c a l and s o c i o l o g i c a l f o r c e s s u r r o u n d i n g the campaign p e r i o d recede i n t o h i s t o r y we may w e l l f i n d t h a t the: mother i s n o r m a l l y the more e f f e c t i v e agent of t r a n s m i s s i o n . I f t h i s i s so, we. are not c e r t a i n as t o why i t should be the case, Japanese men are o b v i o u s l y more i n t e r e s t e d and more i n v o l v e d i n p o l i t i c s t h a n t h e i r w i v e s . We s u s p e c t , however, t h a t i t may be a f u n c t i o n o f r e l a t i v e magnitudes of exposure where the c h i l d i s concerned. A c h i l d i s n o r m a l l y more exposed t o his. mother's company and a t t e n t i o n s - t h a n t o h i s f a t h e r ' s . Vogel makes an i n t e r e s t i n g case as t o t h e - q u i t e pronounced degree t o w h i c h t h i s i s so i n m i d d l e - c l a s s Japanese f a m i l i e s . 4 2 Under t h e s e circumstances i t seems h i g h l y p r o b a b l e t h a t the mother i s apt i n g e n e r a l t o have a g r e a t e r e f f e c t on t h e s o c i a l i z a t i o n of the c h i l d r e n . Where p o l i t i c a l , s o c i a l i z a t i o n and i n p a r t i c u l a r the t r a n s m i s s i o n o f p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n are concerned, i t i s not u n l i k e l y t h a t such t r a n s m i s s i o n i s l a r g e l y u n i n t e n t i o n a l and u n s t r u c t u r e d , and t h a t the mother i s more apt t o be the agent i n v o l v e d . Jennings and Langton propose a s i m i l a r h y p o t h e s i s organized around the concept o f closeness t o p a r e n t . They argue t h a t the c l o s e r a c h i l d f e e l s t o a p a r t i c u l a r p a r e n t , the more l i k e l y he i s t o be I n f l u e n c e d by t h a t p a r e n t and, s i n c e a c h i l d i s g e n e r a l l y c l o s e r t o h i s mother than h i s f a t h e r , the ~~ mother i s more apt t o be i m p o r t a n t t h a n the f a t h e r i n the g e n e r a t i o n a l transm i s s i o n of p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n . T h i s concept of closeness approximates our concept of magnitude of exposure and o v e r l a p s i t i n a number of r e s p e c t s a l t h o u g h the former i s r e a l l y an a t t i t u d i n a l and the l a t t e r a more p h y s i c a l variable. A n o t a b l e d i f f e r e n c e , however, i s t h a t w h i l e Jennings and Langton a p p l y t h e i r concept t o o n l y those £ s i n w h i c h p a r e n t a l p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n s are heterogeneous,.we apply ours t o a l l cases.^4 a s e U n f o r t u n a t e l y , we d i d not i n our survey measure the e x t e n t t o w h i c h a c h i l d f e e l s c l o s e r t o h i s mother than h i s f a t h e r . The c l o s e s t a p p r o x i m a t i o n -15t h e r e t o was our examination o f t h e e x t e n t to which a c h i l d f e e l s dependent upon o r independent o f h i s f a m i l y i n t h e making- o f c r i t i c a l l i f e d e c i s i o n s . ^ 5 The two dimensions a r e c l e a r l y d i f f e r e n t b u t o v e r l a p i n t h e sense t h a t they b o t h r e v o l v e about t h e c h i l d ' s a t t i t u d e s toward parents o r a p a r e n t . I t . may a l s o be t h a t t o some e x t e n t t h e types o f a t t i t u d e s tapped by these two q u e s t i o n s a r e i n t e r - r e l a t e d . Under these circumstances, a l t h o u g h t h e l i n k a g e i s h i g h l y s u p p o s i t i o u s , i t may be o f some i n t e r e s t t o h y p o t h e s i z e t h a t t h e two v a r i a b l e s r e p r e s e n t two d i f f e r e n t ways o f o p e r a t i o n a l i z i n g t h e concept o f magnitude o f exposure i n order" t o see what f o l l o w s . I f one t h a n assumes t h a t magnitude of^exposure r a t h e r than t h e sex o f t h e p a r e n t i s t h e c r i t i c a l f a c t o r i n t h e g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n o f p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n , we would e x p e c t t h e s u p e r i o r i t y o f mother t o f a t h e r t o v a n i s h once we c o n t r o l f o r magnitude o f exposure. I n o t h e r words, i f we c o n t r o l f o r t h e f a m i l y — i n d i v i d u a l r e l a t i o n 1Q our study ( o r f o r closeness t o a p a r t i c u l a r p a r e n t i n t h e Jennings L a n g t o n study which was n o t done), t h e e x t e n t o f t h e agreement, between t h e c h i l d ' s and t h e mother's p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n should n o t be s i g n i f i c a n t l y g r e a t e r than t h a t between t h e c h i l d ' s and t h e f a t h e r ' s p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n s . Our d a t a i n d i c a t e t h i s t o be t h e case. Because o f sample s i z e and t h e number and t y p e o f assumptions i n v o l v e d i n t h e above r e a s o n i n g , Table 5 o b v i o u s l y (Table 5 about h e r e ) s h o u l d be t r e a t e d w i t h c a u t i o n , b u t t h e c o e f f i c i e n t s o b t a i n e d a r e d r a m a t i c a l l y s i m i l a r t o t h e a n t i c i p a t e d r e s u l t were o u r assumptions t o be v a l i d . Our data a l s o p r o v i d e an o p p o r t u n i t y f o r c r o s s - c u l t u r a l comparison w i t h r e s p e c t t o t h e degree t o which a c h i l d ' s a b i l i t y t o r e c a l l h i s f a t h e r ' s p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n a f f e c t s the p r o b a b i l i t y t h a t the c h i l d himself w i l l develop some s o r t o f p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n o f h i s own. Comparable data a r e p r o v i d e d f o r France and t h e U n i t e d States by P h i l i p E. Converse and George Dupeux.46 The r e s u l t i n g percentages, w h i l e n o t o f course i d e n t i c a l , a r e (Table 6 about here) are g e n e r a l l y s i m i l a r f o r t h e t h r e e c o u n t r i e s and suggest a q u i t e h i g h degree o f r e l a t i o n s h i p between a b i l i t y o r i n a b i l i t y t o r e c a l l t h e f a t h e r ' s p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n on t h e one hand and t h e d i s p o s i t i o n o f t h e c h i l d t o a c q u i r e some f o r m o f p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n o f h i s own. One suspects t h a t such r e c a l l i m p l i e s t h e presence and a c t i o n o f o t h e r g e n e r a t i o n a l l y t r a n s m i t t e d cues t h a t are i n v o l v e d i n t h e genesis and subsequent development o f p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n by c h i l d r e n . No c l a i m i s made i n t h e case o f such r e c a l l e i t h e r t h a t i n f a c t t h e f a t h e r d i d have a p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n o f t h a t t h e p a r t i c u l a r i d e n t i f i c a t i o n r e c a l l e d i s a c c u r a t e . I n t h i s c o n t e x t o f p s y c h o l o g i c a l dynamics, the p e r c e i v e d f a c t i s n o r m a l l y more s i g n i f i c a n t t h a n t h e f a c t i t s e l f . A f i n a l aspect o f p a r e n t a l i n f l u e n c e r e m a i n i n g t o be examined i s t h e e f f e c t o f t h e homogeneity o r h e t e r o g e n e i t y of t h e parent's -party i d e n t i f i c a t i o n on t h e g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n o f p a r t y " " i d e n t i f c a t i o n . As we have seen, b o t h f a t h e r and mother a r e i m p o r t a n t i n t h e p r o c e s s , a l t h o u g h -*- somewhat d i f f e r e n t degrees and ways. We would a n t i c i p a t e t h a t i n Japan as i n t h e U n i t e d States homogeneity o f p a r e n t a l p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n would f a c i l i t a t e and h e t e r o g e n e i t y n 15aTable 5. C h i l d ' s and Father's o r Mother's P a r t y I d e n t i f i c a t i o n s , by the F a m i l y - I n d i v i d u a l Relationship Agreement o f P a r t y I d e n t i f i c a t i o n between: 1 s t Wave 2nd Wave F a m i l y O r i e n t e d C h i l d and: Father 1.00* Mother 1.00 .84 Father 31 .18 Mother 39 .13 1.00 I n d i v i d u a l O r i e n t e d C h i l d and — E n t r i e s a r e tau-b coefficients. -15b- T a b l e 6. Recalling Father's Party I d e n t i f i c a t i o n Respondent's P a r t y I d e n t i f i c a t i o n and Know F a t h e r ' s Party France* USA^ Japarr^- Do not Know Father's Party • France USA Japan P r o p o r t i o n h a v i n g some partisan self-location ( p a r t y or vague t e n d a n c e ) 79.4% 81.6 85.0 87.9 47.7 50.7 61.1 64.9% P r o p o r t i o n that these are of t o t a l e l e c t o r a t e 24.0% 75.0 37.0 42.9 63.0 8.0 40.2 37.3% f •^-F.rom C a m p b e l l , C o n v e r s e , M i l l e r and Stokes, ^ N t c>p_. c i t . , ( 1 9 6 6 ) , p. — T h e f i r s t column of s t a t i s t i c s a r e from the f i r s t wave, and f r o m t h e s e c o n d wave of our c r o s s - s e c t i o n s u r v e y . 282 t h e s e c o n d column \ -16impede g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n . Table 7 s u p p o r t s such a view. (Table 7 about h e r e ) We f e e l t h a t t h e s t r i k i n g degree t o which t h e c o e f f i c i e n t s i n Table 7 support such a h y p o t h e s i s i s due i n p a r t t o t h e f a c t t h a t we r e l i e d upon i n d i r e c t data i n measuring t h e e x t e n t o f p a r e n t a l homogeneity i n t h i s r e s p e c t . ^ 8 There i s l i t t l e q u e s t i o n t h a t c h i l d r e n tend t o o v e r - r e p o r t t h e degree o f p a r e n t a l homog e n e i t y and t h a t t h i s tendency i n f l a t e s t h e s t a t i s t i c a l r e l a t i o n s h i p i n v o l v e d . But i n t h e Japanese case such a tendency does n o t seem g r e a t enough t o a f f e c t t h e b a s i c v a l i d i t y o f our f i n d i n g s . Japanese c h i l d r e n were found t o o v e r - r e p o r t the e x t e n t o f agreement between t h e i r own p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n and t h a t o f t h e i r p a r e n t s o n l y i n r a t h e r s m a l l degree, s m a l l e r t h a n we a n t i c i p a t e d i n f a c t . ^ 9 xt seems r e a s o n a b l e , t h e r e f o r e , t o assume t h a t t h e c h i l d ' s tendency t o o v e r - r e p o r t homogeneity between t h e parent's p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n s i s comparably" s m a l l . I n any e v e n t g i v e n t h e spread between t h e c o e f f i c i e n t s i n Table 7 i t would be d i f f i c u l t to a v o i d t h e c o n c l u s i o n t h a t p a r e n t a l homogeneity i s a s t r o n g f a c t o r i n g e n e r a t i o n a l transmission of party i d e n t i f i c a t i o n . What o f t h e r e l a t i o n s h i p between p a r e n t a l p a r t i s a n homogeneity and t h e f a m i l y i n d i v i d u a l r e l a t i o n s h i p ? We r e p o r t e d e a r l i e r a h i g h c o e f f i c i e n t o f c o r r e l a t i o n between t h e way i n which t h e c h i l d p e r c e i v e s h i s r e l a t i o n t o t h e f a m i l y and t h e g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n o f p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n . Now we f i n d a s i m i l a r r e l a t i o n between p a r e n t a l p a r t i s a n homogeneity and such t r a n s m i s s i o n . These a r e t h e two v a r i a b l e s t h a t , on t h e b a s i s o f our d a t a , seem t o be most s i g n i f i c a n t l y i n v o l v e d i n t h e process o f g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n o f p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n . How do they r e l a t e t o one another? I s p a r e n t a l p a r t i s a n homogeneity Independent o f t h e f a m i l y - i n d i v i d u a l r e l a t i o n s h i p ? I f s o , does each o f these v a r i a b l e s a f f e c t generat i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n i n d e p e n d e n t l y and c u m u l a t i v e l y ? Or a r e they c o r r e l a t e d and, i f s o , does one o f them m a i n t a i n o n l y a s p u r i o u s r e l a t i o n s h i p w i t h g e n e r a t i o n a l transmission? We f i n d l a r g e l y a f f i r m a t i v e answers f o r t h e f i r s t o f these sets o f q u e s t i o n s . The two v a r i a b l e s a r e l a r g e l y independent o f each o t h e r . When we c o r r e l a t e p a r e n t a l p a r t i s a n homogeneity and f a m i l y - I n d i v i d u a l r e l a t i o n s h i p , we o b t a i n tau-b s c o r e s of-.04 and -.06 f o r our p a i r sample and .01 and .03 f o r our mass sample as a w h o l e . A l s o each o f these v a r i a b l e s g e n e r a l l y c o n t r i b u t e s t o t h e process of g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n i n d e p e n d e n t l y and c u m u l a t e l y . Except f o r t h e c o e f f i c i e n t i n t h e upper l e f t hand corner in- the f i r s t wave m a t r i x , Table 8 i s c o n s i s t e n t w i t h such a s u p p o s i t i o n . This i s a view t h a t , d e s p i t e some d i f f e r e n c e s i n design and o b j e c t i v e , would seem t o be supported f o r t h e U n i t e d States by t h e JenningsLang t o n study. (Table 8 about h e r e ) IV T h i s b r i n g s us back t o one o f t h e p r i n c i p a l themes o f t h e p r e s e n t paper, namely t h e s u r p r i s i n g degree o f s i m i l a r i t y t h a t seems to e x i s t between Japan and -16a- Table 7. G e n e r a t i o n a l Transmission P a r e n t a l Homogeneity - o f P a r t y I d e n t i f i c a t i o n , by 3 P a r e n t a l Homogeneity i n Party I d e n t i f i c a t i o n Agreement Between C h i l d ' s and Parent's Party I d e n t i f i c a t i o n s 1 s t Wave High 67 Low 32 J •^Parental Homogeneity i s based upon i n d i r e c t l y measured data, — E n t r i e s a r e tau-b coefficients 2nd Wave 49 -.47 -16bT a b l e 8. G e n e r a t i o n a l Transmission o f P a r t y I d e n t i f i c a t i o n , by P a r e n t a l Homogeneity and F a m i l y - I n d i v i d u a l R e l a t i o n s h i p P a r e n t a l Homogeneity: i n Party I d e n t i f i c a t i o n Agreement between C h i l d ' s and Parent's Party I d e n t i f i c a t i o n s Individual Oriented High Low • ^ E n t r i e s a r e tau-b coefficients 2nd Wave 1 s t Wave a Family^ Oriented Individual Oriented Family Oriented .85* .38 21 59 •1.00 .41 88 00 -17the U n i t e d States w i t h r e s p e c t t o t h e aspects o f t h e process of p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n t h a t we have i n v e s t i g a t e d . M e t h o d o l o g i c a l l y speaking, one reason f o r o u r emerging w i t h such a f i n d i n g i s , o f course, our obvious and e x t e n s i v e debt t o American s t u d e n t s o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n . We have borrowed l i b e r a l l y from and adapted t o Japanese circumstances a v a r i e t y of hypotheses and t h e o r i e s t h a t have been developed i n the course o f what are o b v i o u s l y f a r more advanced and i m p r e s s i v e s t u d i e s than those a v a i l a b l e f o r any o t h e r s i n g l e modern s o c i e t y . I n t e n t a t i v e terms a t l e a s t , we are g r a t i f i e d by the r e s u l t s and encouraged t o b e l i e v e t h a t t h e t a c t i c s h o u l d be more b r o a d l y and s y s t e m a t i c a l l y a p p l i e d t o e x p l o r a t i o n s o f t h e process o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n i n o t h e r advanced s o c i e t i e s . We would n o t w i s h , however, t o be c o n t r u e d as p r e d i c t i n g t h a t t h e degree o f c r o s s - c u l t u r a l s i m i l a r i t y t h a t we t h i n k we have d e t e c t e d i n t h i s q u i t e l i m i t e d i n v e s t i g a t i o n i s a l s o apt t o o b t a i n i n most o t h e r areas o f t h e Japanese p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n process. We' are too w e l l aware t h a t degrees of f a m i l y i n f l u e n c e on p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n are more r e a d i l y p r e d i c t a b l e and measurable than are the i n f l u e n c e s o f most o t h e r s o c i a l i z i n g agencies and o f the advantages t h a t a c c r u e from our h a v i n g focussed upon one o f t h e most r e s e a r c h a b l e and p r o m i s i n g aspects o f t h e s o c i a l i z i n g p r o c e s s , t h e g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n o f p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n . We suspect t h a t many o t h e r a r e a s x . w i l l n o t d i s p l a y a comparable degree of s i m i l a r i t y , b u t the p o i n t i s t h a t we do n o t now know t o what degree t h i s i s t r u e . This b e i n g so, we are s i m p l y s u g g e s t i n g the v a l u e of an i n f o r m e d , s y s t e m a t i c , and c u l t u r a l l y s e n s i t i v e a d a p t a t i o n o f t h e r e l a t i v e l y w e l l - d e v e l o p e d methodology and p r o p o s i t i o n s o f American s c h o l a r s h i p i n t h i s f i e l d t o t h e study o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n i n c o t h e r modern s o c i e t i e s . One. needs i n comparative s t u d i e s some s o r t o f benchwork o r p o i n t o f d e p a r t u r e . I n p r a c t i c a l terms t h e r e i s much to be s a i d f o r u s i n g the best-developed one a v a i l a b l e . B e f o r e t u r n i n g t o a few c o n c l u d i n g remarks, i t might be w e l l a t t h i s p o i n t t o r e i t e r a t e a few s c a t t e r e d e a r l i e r remarks about the b a s i c c h a r a c t e r o f our s t u d y . So f a r as p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n i s concerned, i t i s i n t e n d e d as a p i l o t a s t u d y . This i s t r u e b o t h i n terms o f i t s sampling d e s i g n and of l i m i t a t i o n s on t h e data g a t h e r e d . I t i s not comparable i n e i t h e r sense t o a s t a n d a r d n a t i o n w i d e survey I n Japan o r the U n i t e d S t a t e s . I t s goals are t o e x p l o r e n e g l e c t e d f r o n t i e r s , t o demonstrate f e a s i b i l i t y , and t o e s t a b l i s h g u i d e l i n e s f o r and encourage the conduct o f more d e f i n i t i v e s t u d i e s i n the f u t u r e , not t o a r r i v e i t s e l f a t def i n i t i v e c o n c l u s i o n s . We have a l s o , o f course, been i n t e r e s t e d i n r a i s i n g t h e o r e t i c a l I s s u e s o f broader scope about t h e r o l e o f t h e f a m i l y and i t s members as agents o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n and i n a t t e m p t i n g t o d e v i s e ways t o o p e r a t i o n a l i z e such i s s u e s . We are aware t h a t t h i s i n t e r e s t has on o c c a s i o n l e d us t o q u i t e l i b e r a l i n t e r p r e t a t i o n s o f some of t h e data. S t i l l t h e c o n s t r a i n t s i n v o l v e d go f a r beyond t h o s e o f the normal s p e c u l a t i v e study and the t e c h n i c a l requirements o f data a n a l y s i s have been c a r e f u l l y f o l l o w e d . I n t h i s r e s p e c t i t has, o f course, been p o s s i b l e t o p r e s e n t o n l y a v e r y s m a l l p r o p o r t i o n o f t h e thousands o f t a b u l a t i o n s i n v o l v e d . The r e s u l t , we hope,„is a study t h a t i s more than s p e c u l a t i v e i n c h a r a c t e r and i n v a l u e . of W i t h these q u a l i f i c a t i o n s i n mind, we would l i k e t o comment on t h r e e aspects t h e o v e r a l l f i n d i n g s of t h i s s t u d y : 1) t h e e x t e n t of f a m i l y i n f l u e n c e as an agent o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n i n Japan, 2) t h e r o l e o f t h e f a m i l y I n t h e l a r g e r and o v e r a l l process o f p o l i t i c a l ' s o c i a l i z a t i o n and p o l i t i c a l change i n Japan, and -183) problems a s s o c i a t e d w i t h the study of p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n i n comparative and c r o s s - c u l t u r a l terms. The study e s t a b l i s h e s a p r o b a b i l i t y t h a t i n a p a r t i c u l a r area, the g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n o f p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n , t h e Japanese f a m i l y does p l a y an i m p o r t a n t and demonstrable r o l e . This i s c o n t r a r y t o t h e view t h a t , l a r g e l y on t h e basis of s p e c u l a t i v e commentary, has come t o be r a t h e r w i d e l y h e l d among both Japanese and f o r e i g n s c h o l a r s . I t i s n o t a b l e a l s o t h a t t h e degree of i n f l u e n c e found f o r Japan i s s i m i l a r t o , a l t h o u g h lower t h a n , t h a t h e l d t o p r e v a i l i n the U n i t e d S t a t e s . T h i s does n o t mean t h a t the i n f l u e n c e o f t h e f a m i l y i s e i t h e r dominant or n e c e s s a r i l y s i g n i f i c a n t where o t h e r areas o f t h e p o l i t i c a l . s o c i a l i z a t i o n process are concerned. I n f a c t our data i n d i c a t e t h a t , when the focus of i n q u i r y s h i f t s f r o m p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n t o i s s u e o r i e n t a t i o n s , f a m i l y i n f l u e n c e — a t l e a s t f o r our f i f t e e n t h r o u g h n i n e t e e n year b r a c k e t — s e e m s t o p l a y i o n l y a m a r g i n a l and n e g l i g i b l e r o l e ( i t might prove h i g h e r f o r younger age g r o u p s ) . T h i s , t o o , i s s i m i l a r t o the American case. I t i s a l s o of i n t e r e s t under t h i s f i r s t r u b r i c t o note t h a t when we l o o k more I n t e n s i v e l y a t the d e t a i l s of p a r e n t a l i n f l u e n c e on t h e i r c h i l d r e n ' s p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n t h a t the r o l e of the mother seems a t l e a s t as prominent as t h a t o f the f a t h e r and p o s s i b l y more so. T h i s , t o o , resembles the Aermican experience' b u t w i t h the a d d i t i o n of a more pronounced, i f p o s s i b l y temporary, r o l e f o r the f a t h e r i n the l a t e r stages of e l e c t o r a l campaigns. T u r n i n g t o the r o l e o f the f a m i l y i n the l a r g e r and o v e r a l l process o f p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n and p o l i t i c a l change i n Japan, we found i t much more d i f f i c u l t to uncover evidence o f any c l e a r - c u t o r l a r g e - s c a l e i n f l u e n c e by the f a m i l y . I t was p a r t l y i n t h i s c o n n e c t i o n t h a t we suggested the d e s i r a b i l i t y o f d i s t i n g u i s h i n g between the impact o f macro-forces and m i c r o - f o r c e s on i n d i v i d u a l a t t i t u d e s and behavior. I n t h i s c o n t e x t the f a m i l y , o f c o u r s e , r e p r e s e n t s a m i c r o - f o r c e . The case of Japan i s p a r t i c u l a r l y i n t e r e s t i n g i n t h i s r e s p e c t because t h e volume and i n t e n s i t y of major s o c i a l , economic, and p o l i t i c a l changes have been so g r e a t d u r i n g the l a s t c e n t u r y as a whole and s i n c e t h e Second World War i n p a r t i c u l a r . U n f o r t u n a t e l y , t h e absence of s y s t e m a t i c survey data on p u b l i c a t t i t u d e s w i t h r e s p e c t t o such changes and the v e r y l i m i t e d temporal dimensions of our own survey ( t h e two waves were separated by o n l y a few weeks) make i t i m p o s s i b l e t o analyze the c a u s a l i t y o f such changes w i t h any p r e c i s i o n . S t i l l i t i s obvious t h a t , f o r example, on t h e war-peace dimension, the p r i v a t e - p u b l i c w e l f a r e dimension, o r t h e p e r s o n a l s a c r i f i c e and s a v i n g s — p e r s o n a l enjoyment dimension Japanese a t t i t u d e s have changed m a r k e d l y s i n c e the war. I t i s d i f f i c u l t i n a p o s i t i v e sense t o a s s i g n any s i g n i f i cant share of the r e s p o n s i b i l i t y f o r such s h i f t s t o m i c r o - f o r c e s such as the f a m i l y . I t i s more the macro-forces t h a t seem t o be i n v o l v e d , probably o p e r a t i n g over time and l a r g e l y t h r o u g h agents of s o c i a l i z a t i o n o t h e r than the f a m i l y a t t h e m i c r o level. S t i l l t h e r e i s a l s o another f a c e t t o t h i s p i c t u r e , o f l a r g e - s c a l e s o c i a l change i n postwar Japan, a f a c e t f e a t u r i n g a g r e a t e r element o f c o n t i n u i t y . One aspect o f t h i s i s enountered i n the r e a l m o f p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n . W h i l e i t i s t r u e t h a t t h e r e have been s i g n i f i c a n t s h i f t s i n p o p u l a r p a r t i s a n o r i e n t a t i o n s i n c o n n e c t i o n w i t h the r i s e o f new p a r t i e s s i n c e the war, i t i s also t r u e t h a t t h e r e have been n o t a b l e c o n t i n u i t i e s . The b u l k o f the Japanese e l e c t o r a t e was " c o n s e r v a t i v e " i n t h e i r p a r t i s a n i d e n t i f i c a t i o n b e f o r e the war and they c o n t i n u e so t o d a y , although -19t h e s p e c t r u m o f a v a i l a b l e c h o i c e h a s been v e r y s u b s t a n t i a l l y expanded. One i s l e d t o j u x t a p o s e t h e s e f i n d i n g s t h a t i n r e c e n t J a p a n e s e p o l i t i c a l h i s t o r y i s s u e - o r i e n t e d a t t i t u d e s h a v e tended t o be r e l a t i v e l y u n s t a b l e and p a r t i s a n o r i e n t e d a t t i t u d e s r e l a t i v e l y s t a b l e w i t h the c o n c l u s i o n emerging from our data t h a t the e x t e n t of g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n i s s m a l l where i s s u e - o r i e n t e d a t t i t u d e s a r e c o n c e r n e d b u t r e l a t i v e l y l a r g e where p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n i s c o n c e r n e d . This s u g g e s t s t h a t t h e e x t e n t to w h i c h g e n e r a t i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n t a k e s p l a c e i n p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n may be r e l a t e d t o t h e degree of s t a b i l i t y m a n i f e s t e d by the a t t i t u d e o r value i n question. I f s o , t h i s i s , o f c o u r s e , a n o t h e r way of s a y i n g t h a t a m i c r o f o r c e s u c h as t h e f a m i l y has w i t h r e s p e c t t o t h i s r e l a t i v e l y s t a b l e phenomenon of p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n p l a y e d a s i g n i f i c a n t r o l e i n t h e l o n g e r - t e r m p r o c e s s of p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n and p o l i t i c a l change i n J a p a n . The p o i n t o b v i o u s l y r e q u i r e s much f u r t h e r i n v e s t i g a t i o n however. F i n a l l y , a somewhat p u z z l e d and i n d e t e r m i n a t e word about t h e r p r o b l e m s of s t u d y i n g p o l i t i c a l " s o c i a l i z a t i o n or o t h e r p o l i t i c a l phenomena i n c o m p a r a t i v e and c r o s s - c u l t u r a l terms when t h e mode of s t u d y employed i s the s u r v e y method. T h i s was o u r a p p r o a c h and we l i k e to t h i n k t h a t t h e c o m p a r a t i v e c o n t e n t t h a t was s o o b v i o u s l y i n v o l v e d i n our s a m p l i n g d e s i g n , q u e s t i o n n a i r e d r a f t i n g , and t h e o r e t i c a l s u p p o s i t i o n s has e n r i c h e d t h e r e s u l t s and made them l e s s remote a p p r o x i m a t i o n s t o t h e l e v e l of c u l t u r e - f r e e g e n e r a l i z a t i o n about i m p o r t a n t p o l i t i c a l phonomena. But i t i s p r e c i s e l y the problems s u g g e s t e d by the i n t i m i d a t i n g compound a d j e c t i v e " c u l t u r e - f r e e " t h a t c o n t i n u e to t r o u b l e u s . P e r m i t us to c i t e j u s t two examples t h a t , w h i l e c e r t a i n l y not n o v e l , a r e c h a r a c t e r i s t i c of t h i s s o r t o f e n d e a v o r , e s p e c i a l l y where the terms of c o m p a r i s o n i n v o l v e c u l t u r e s as h i s t o r i c a l l y d i s p a r a t e as t h o s e of J a p a n and t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s . Both a r e a s p e c t s of t h e problem of e q u i v a l e n c e , one a t the c o n c e p t u a l , the o t h e r more a t the t e c h n i c a l s e m a n t i c or l i n g u i s t i c l e v e l . Take the c o n c e p t of p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n a s t h e f i r s t example. There a r e o b v i o u s d i f f e r e n c e s between t h e J a p a n e s e and t h e A m e r i c a n p a r t y s y s t e m s . The U n i t e d S t a t e s has o n l y two m a j o r n a t i o n a l p a r t i e s and t h e s e h a v e b e e n s t a b l e f o r many y e a r s . J a p a n now has f i v e and has h i s t o r i c a l l y e x p e r i e n c e d a good d e a l of i n s t a b i l i t y on h e r p a r t y s c e n e . P a r t y a l l e g i a n c e i n J a p a n i s a l s o l e s s s t a b l e and p e r h a p s l e s s s a l i e n t than i n t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s , a l t h o u g h J a p a n e s e p a r t y o r i e n t a t i o n s a r e somewhat more s t r o n g l y c o r r e l a t e d w i t h a c t u a l p a r t i s a n v o t e c h o i c e s than i n the American case. T h e s e a r e d i f f e r e n c e s between t h e two s y s t e m s . We can a l s o f i n d a good d e a l of common ground. Which i s more s i g n i f i c a n t where t h e concept of " p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n " i s c o n c e r n e d ? I s t h e r e a h i g h enough d e g r e e of s i m i l a r i t y to t h e c o n c e p t a c r o s s the two c u l t u r e s to l e g i t i m a t e c o m p a r i s o n s of t h e t y p e we h a v e been a t t e m p t i n g or a r e t h e d i f f e r e n c e s more c o n t r o l l i n g . I f the l a t t e r , are t h e r e ways of a d j u s t i n g f o r s u c h d i f f e r e n c e s ? We r e a l l y do not y e t know, and i n t h i s s e n s e s o m e t h i n g of an a c t of f a i t h o r a t l e a s t an i m p l i c i t r e q u e s t f o r a s u s p e n s i o n of judgment i s r e q u i r e d i n many s u c h e x p e r i m e n t s . The problems may be l e s s t r o u b l e s o m e where more c l o s e l y r e l a t e d c u l t u r e s a r e i n v o l v e d . T h e n t h e r e a r e a range o f problems r e l a t i n g to t h e t r a n s l a t i o n of q u e s t i o n n a i r e s from E n g l i s h t o J a p a n e s e and of t h e r e s u l t s b a c k i n t o E n g l i s h a g a i n . What degrees of freedom s h o u l d ' ^ i n v o l v e d ? Does one s t r i v e f o r l i t e r a l a c c u r a c y i n t r a n s l a t i o n o r f o r c u l t u r a l e q u i v a l e n c e and, i f t h e l a t t e r , how can you t e l l when you r e a l l y h a v e i t ? I t i s r e a l l y r e m a r k a b l e how v a r i a n t t h e judgments of s o - c a l l e d e -20- e x p e r t s and b i l i n g u a l s can be i n t h e s e r e s p e c t s , e s p e c i a l l y when d e a l i n g w i t h a l a n g u a g e as r e m o t e f r o m E n g l i s h and as i n t r i n s i c a l l y v a g u e by W e s t e r n s t a n d a r d s as o r d i n a r y s p o k e n J a p a n e s e . U n h a p p i l y , we h a v e no a n s w e r s f o r t h e s e q u e s t i o n s . Our i n s t i n c t and o u r e n d e a v o r has b e e n t o s e e k c u l t u r a l e q u i v a l e n c e . We a r e n o t r e a l l y c e r t a i n t h a t i n a l l c a s e s we o b t a i n e d i t , h o w e v e r , a n d , when d e a l i n g w i t h a t e c h n o l o g y s u c h as s u r v e y r e s e a r c h , one l i k e s t o be as c e r t a i n as p o s s i b l e o f t h e r i g o r a r i d ~ i e l i a b i l i t y of a l l h i s instruments. C r o s s - c u l t u r a l r e s e a r c h o f t h i s s o r t s i m p l y seems i n h e r e n t l y t o i n v o l v e — u n d e r p r e s e n t c i r c u m s t a n c e s a t l e a s t — a somewhat g r e a t e r d e g r e e o f u n c e r t a i n t y on s c o r e s o f t h i s s o r t t h a n does m o n o - c u l t u r a l r e s e a r c h . One I m a g i n e s t h a t s u c h d e g r e e s o f u n c e r t a i n t y may m u l t i p l y as do t h e numbers o f c u l t u r a l e l e m e n t s involved. Such i s s u e s , o f c o u r s e , a f f e c t u l t i m a t e l y , a l m o s t a l l a s p e c t s o f a c r o s s c u l t u r a l research project. The a n s w e r s one g i v e s t o t h e m c o n d i t i o n t h e d e s i g n and w o r d i n g o f t h e q u e s t i o n n a i r e , t h e q u a l i t y o f t h e r e s p o n s e s e l i c i t e d , and t h e d a t a a n a l y s i s process i t s e l f . Consequently, they m e r i t very serious c o n s i d e r a t i o n . We s e e k t o h i g h l i g h t t h e s e i s s u e s b e c a u s e o f o u r i m p r e s s i o n t h a t i n s u f f i c i e n t a t t e n t i o n has b e e n p a i d t h e m so f a r i n t h e d e s i g n and c o n d u c t o f c r o s s - c u l t u r a l s u r v e y r e s e a r c h , and a l s o b e c a u s e t h e y c a u s e d us a g o o d d e a l o f ' c o n c e r n i n des i g n i n g and a d m i n i s t e r i n g o u r own s u r v e y . We w o u l d n o t l i k e t o l e a v e t h e i m p r e s s i o n , h o w e v e r , t h a t we c o n s i d e r t h e m so s e r i o u s t h a t t h e y n e e d i n v a l i d a t e a t t e m p t s t o a p p l y t h e s u r v e y m e t h o d on a c r o s s - c u l t u r a l b a s i s . Such a t t e m p t s seem t o us b o t h e s s e n t i a l and p r o m i s i n g a t t h i s l e v e l f o r p r e t t y much t h e same r e a s o n s a d v a n c e d w i t h r e s p e c t t o t h e a p p l i c a t i o n o f s u r v e y m e t h o d o l o g y on t h e t h e d o m e s t i c s c e n e . Where a p p l i c a b l e , i t l e n d s i t s e l f t o g r e a t e r r i g o r , g r e a t e r c o n t r o l , g r e a t e r p r e c i s i o n , and g r e a t e r c e r t a i n t y t h a n do more q u a l i t a t i v e a p p r o a c h e s . It i s , f u r t h e r m o r e , e s s e n t i a l t o t h e a d v a n c e m e n t o f o u r c a p a c i t i e s t o make r e a l l y g e n e r a l i z e d statements a b o u t p o l i t i c a l a t t i t u d e s and b e h a v i o r . I t i s wise to be a w a r e , h o w e v e r , o f t h e added p i t f a l l s i n v o l v e d and t o g i v e t h e s e t h e m o s t serious attention. FOOTNOTES The r e s e a r c h on w h i c h t h i s p a p e r i s b a s e d was made p o s s i b l e by g r a n t s f r o m t h e .. N a t i o n a l S c i e n c e F o u n d a t i o n , t h e C a r n e g i e C o r p o r a t i o n o f New Y o r k , and t h e Ford Foundation. The b o d y °f d a t a u s e d i n t h i s a n a l y s i s w e r e g a t h e r e d by Y o r o n Kagaku K y o k a i o f Tokyo. The a u t h o r s a l s o w i s h t o a c k n o w l e d g e t h e i r i n d e b t e d n e s s t o P h i l i p E. C o n v e r s e , D o n a l d E. S t o k e s , and S u z u k i - • T a t s u z o f o r a s s i s t a n c e i n d e s i g n i n g and a d m i n i s t e r i n g t h e q u e s t i o n n a i r e s . M. K e n t J e n n i n g s has g e n e r o u s l y made a v a i l a b l e some o f h i s u n p u b l i s h e d d a t a o n p o l i t i c a l s o c i a l i z a t i o n i n t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s , w h i l e K e n n e t h V. L a n g t o n has b e e n k i n d enough t o d i s c u s s and c r i t i c i z e c e r t a i n of our f i n d i n g s . T a b l e s and f i g u r e s p r e s e n t e d i n t h e paper w e r e p r e p a r e d i n t h e f i r s t i n s t a n c e b y o u r r e s e a r c h a s s i s t a n t s , S u z u k i Toshikc- and H a r l a n H i m e l . Mr. Ward w o u l d a l s o l i k e t o e x p r e s s h i s g r a t i t u d e t o t h e C e n t e r f o r A d v a n c e d S t u d y i n t h e B e h a v i o r a l S c i e n c e s w h e r e h i s s h a r e o f t h e p a p e r was w r i t t e n . 1. See, f o r e x a m p l e , H e r b e r t Hyman, P o l i t i c a l S o c i a l i z a t i o n . New Y o r k : Free P r e s s , 1959, p. 69; F r e d e r i c k E l k i n , The C h i l d and S o c i e t y , New Y o r k , Random H o u s e , 1960, p. 46; o r James C. D a v i e s , "The F a m i l y ' s R o l e I n P o l i t i c a l S o c i a l i z a t i o n , " A n n a l s o f t h e A m e r i c a n Academy o f P o l i t i c a l and S o c i a l S c i e n c e s , v o l . 361 ( S e p t e m b e r , 1 9 6 5 ) , p p . 10-19. 2. R o b e r t D. Hess and J u d i t h V. T o r n e y , The D e v e l o p m e n t o f B a s i c A t t i t u d e s and V a l u e s Toward G o v e r n m e n t and C i t i z e n s h i p d u r i n g t h e E l e m e n t a r y S c h o o l Y e a r s , P a r t I , U. S. O f f i c e o f E d u c a t i o n , 1 9 6 5 , p p . 193 and 200; R i c h a r d E. Dawson and Kenneth P r e w i t t , P o l i t i c a l S o c i a l i z a t i o n , B o s t o n , L i t t l e , Brown, 1969, p p . 1 0 5 - 1 0 8 ; o r M. K e n t J e n n i n g s and R i c h a r d G. N i e m i , "The T r a n s m i s s i o n of P o l i t i c a l V a l u e s f r o m P a r e n t t o C h i l d " A m e r i c a n P o l i t i c a l S c i e n c e Review^ vol. 6 2 , no. 1 ( M a r c h , 1 9 6 8 ) , pp. 1 6 9 - 1 8 4 . 3. The J e n n i n g s - N i e m i a r t i c l e on t h i s score. 4. R o b e r t J . L i f t o n , " Y o u t h and H i s t o r y : I n d i v i d u a l Change i n P o s t w a r D a e d a l u s , v o l . 9 1 , no. 1 . , ( W i n t e r , 1 9 6 2 ) , pp. 172-197. 5. See, f o r e x a m p l e , K u r o d a Yasumasa, " A g e n c i e s o f P o l i t i c a l S o c i a l i z a t i o n and P o l i t i c a l Change: P o l i t i c a l O r i e n t a t i o n o f J a p a n e s e Law S t u d e n t s , " Human O r g a n i z a t i o n , v o l . 24, no. 4 ( W i n t e r , 1 9 6 5 ) , pp. 3 2 8 - 3 3 1 . 6. I n f a c t b o t h F i g u r e 1 and r e c e n t s t u d i e s o f t h i s s u b j e c t i n J a p a n I n d i c a t e t h a t t h e JSP i s l o s i n g s u p p o r t among t h e y o u n g e s t c o h o r t s o f new v o t e r s . See N i s h i h i r a S h i g e k i , " A r e Young P e o p l e B e c o m i n g More C o n s e r v a t i v e ? " , J o u r n a l o f S o c i a l and P o l i t i c a l I d e a s i n J a p a n , v o l . 2, n o . 3 (December, 1 9 6 4 ) , pp. 137-143. The o r i g i n a l and f u l l f o r m o f t h e a r t i c l e ; may be f o u n d i n A s a h i J a n a r u , J u l y 2 6 , 1 9 6 4 , pp. 12-19. J a p a n e s e p e r s o n a l names c i t e d i n t h i s paper a r e g i v e n i n t h e Japanese manner; i . e . , w i t h surname f i r s t . 7. See, c i t e d above i s o f p a r t i c u l a r i n t e r e s t f o r e x a m p l e K u r o d a Yasumasa, op. cit., p. 328. and relevance Japan," -22- 8. N i s h i h i r a S h i g e k i , N i h o n j i n no I k e n , T o k y o , S e i s h i n d o , 1 9 6 3 , pp. 93-136. 9. Dawson and P r e w l t t , o p . c i t . , p p . 1 2 4 - 1 2 5 . W i t h r e s p e c t t o t h e s t a b i l i t y o f t h e J a p a n e s e f a m i l y " i h t h i s r e s p e c t , s e e E z r a F. V o g e l , " K i n s h i p , S t r u c t u r e , M i g r a t i o n t o t h e C i t y , and M o d e r n i z a t i o n , " i n R. P. D o r e , ed. ^ s p e r . t s o f S o c i a l Change i n M o d e r n J a p a n , P r i n c e t o n , P r i n c e t o n U n i v e r s i t y " P r e s s , 1 9 6 7 , pp. 91-111. ; 10. A t h i r d may b e t h e f a m i l y ' s r o l e as t h e m a i n s o u r c e an i n f a n t ' s b a s i c n e e d s . D a v i e s , o p . ' c i t . , p . 10. 11. F r e d I . G r e e n s t e i n , C h i l d r e n a n d P o l i t i c s , New Haven, Y a l e U n i v e r s i t y P r e s s , 1 9 6 5 , p . 8 0 ; M e l f o r d S p i r o , "The A c c u l t u r a t i o n o f A m e r i c a n E t h n i c G r o u p s , " A m e r i c a n A n t h r o p o l o g i s t , v o l . 57 ( 1 9 5 5 ) , p . 1 2 4 9 . 12. Greenstein, i b i d . , 13. Dawson and P r e w l t t , op. c i t . . 14. B e c a u s e o f t h e d i f f i c u l t y i n r e l i a b l y p i n n i n g down t h e p o i n t i n p a s t t i m e f o r w h i c h t h e c h i l d was s p e c i f y i n g h i s f i r s t p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n and t h e p r o b l e m s o f p a r e n t a l r e c a l l a s s o c i a t e d t h e r e w i t h , we u s e d t h e c u r r e n t s t a t u s o f p a r e n t a l p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n s r a t h e r t h a n some e a r l i e r s t a t u s i n r u n n i n g these c o r r e l a t i o n s . Our d a t a i n d i c a t e l i t t l e change o v e r t i m e i n t h e p a s t and p r e s e n t s t a t u s o f p a r e n t ' s p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n s . pp. 5 5 - 8 4 ; E l k i n , o p . c i t . , of satisfaction f o r p p . 46-47. p p . 1 0 7 - 1 0 8 , expand u p o n t h i s theme. 15. We h a v e e n c o u n t e r e d a s i m i l a r r e c a l l , p r o b l e m i n o u r a t t e m p t t o m e a s u r e g e n e r a t i o n a l a g r e e m e n t o f p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n i n o u r mass s u r v e y d a t a as a whole. Although t h e numerical values o f these c o r r e l a t i o n c o e f f i c i e n t s (.38 f o r t h e f i r s t wave and .32 f o r t h e s e c o n d w a v e ) c l o s e l y r e s e m b l e t h o s e o f t h e comparable c o e f f i c i e n t s f o r o u r p a r e n t - c h i l d p a i r s , t h e subs t a n t i v e r e l a t i o n s h i p i n t h e former i s p r o b a b l y weaker t h a n i n t h e l a t t e r . because o f t h e problem : o f d i s t o r t i o n i n r e c a l l . Also the fact that the J a p a n e s e p a r t y s y s t e m has b e e n r e l a t i v e l y u n s t a b l e makes i t v e r y d i f f i c u l t r e c o v e r s u b s t a n t i v e r e l a t i o n s h i p s o n t h e b a s i s o f p e r c e i v e d d a t a o f t h e mass survey alone. 16. I t seems i m p r o b a b l e t h a t a p e r c e i v e d " f a c t " c a l sense be t o t a l l y d i f f e r e n t f r o m t h e f a c t t h e r e I s a h i g h degree o f agreement between p a r t y i d e n t i f i c a t i o n and t h e c h i l d ' s r e p o r t Father .64 Mother .86 Entries 17. a r e tau-b a of this sort w i l l i n a s t a t i s t i itself. I n our Japanese d a t a t h e p a r e n t ' s r e p o r t o f h i s own of h i s parent's party i d e n t i f i c a t i o n : .81 .88 coefficients. T h e f i g u r e s f o r JSP i d e n t i f i c a t i o n a c c o r d c l o s e l y t o t h o s e c i t e d b y N i s h i h a r a S h i g e k i o n p . 199 o f t h e a r t i c l e c i t e d a t f o o t n o t e 6 a b o v e , b u t o u r f i g u r e s f o r LDP i d e n t i f i c a t i o n a r e s u b s t a n t i a l l y h i g h e r t h a n h i s . -23- 18. Angus C a m p b e l l , P h i l i p E. C o n v e r s e , W a r r e n E. M i l l e r , a n d D o n a l d E. The A m e r i c a n V o t e r , New Y o r k , W i l e y , 1 9 6 0 , p p . 6 4 - 7 7 . 19. See J e n n i n g s and 74-82. 20. Op. c i t . . 21. R i c h a r d G. N i e m i , A M e t h o d o l o g i c a l S t u d y o f P o l i t i c a l S o c i a l i z a t i o n i n t h e Family, unpublished doctoral d i s s e r t a t i o n a t t h eU n i v e r s i t y of Michigan, 1967, 22. P h i l i p E. C o n v e r s e , "The N a t u r e o f B e l i e f Systems i n Mass P u b l i c s " i n D a v i d A p t e r , e d . , I d e o l o g y a n d D i s c o n t e n t . New Y o r k , F r e e P r e s s , 1 9 6 4 , p p . 2 0 6 - 2 6 1 ; C a m p b e l l e t al op. c i t . , ( 1 9 6 0 ) p p . 1 8 8 - 2 6 5 . and N i e m i , op. c i t . , p p . 1 7 2 - 1 7 4 , o r Hyman, o p . c i t . . Stokes, p p . 70-72 p p . 172-173. K 23. A l t h o u g h i t i s d i f f i c u l t t o compare i s s u e a t t i t u d e s c r o s s - c u l t u r a l l y i n any m e a n i n g f u l manner, i t a p p e a r s t h a t J a p a n e s e more f r e q u e n t l y s a y , " D o n ' t know," t o a s t a n d a r d i s s u e q u e s t i o n t h a n A m e r i c a n s . I t I s n o t unusual t o f i n d a 2 0 % o r 3 0 % DK r a t i o i n J a p a n w h e r e a s I n A m e r i c a a c o m p a r a b l e r a t i o t e n d s t o r e m a i n i n t h e 10 - 2 0 % l e v e l , a n d i t o c c a s i o n a l l y s u r p a s s e s t h e 2 0 % mark. 24. E x a m p l e s w o u l d be a t t i t u d e s t o w a r d t h e S e l f D e f e n s e F o r c e s w h i c h s c a l e d a t .40 f o r t h e f i r s t wave a n d .20 f o r t h e s e c o n d ; o r a t t i t u d e s t o w a r d p r o t e s t i n g o f f i c i a l d e c i s i o n o n l e g i t i m a t e c l a i m s ( . 4 1 ) , t h e power o f B i g B u s i n e s s ( . 4 7 ) , o r t h e power o f l a b o r u n i o n s ( . 4 9 ) , a l l o f w h i c h w e r e m e a s u r e d o n l y o n c e . 25. Examples w o u l d be c o e f f i c i e n t s r e l a t i n g t o w h i c h p a r t y t h e r e s p o n d e n t first l i k e d (.55 a n d . 4 5 ) , p a r t y v o t e i n t e n t i o n ( . 4 2 ) , a n d t h e r a n k i n g o f t h e D e m o c r a t i c S o c i a l i s t P a r t y on a l i k e - d i s l i k e s c a l e (.40). There a r e c u r r e n t l y f i v e m a j o r n a t i o n a l p a r t i e s i n Japan. T h e r e h a v e b e e n upwards o f t w e n t y i n t h e 1945-1969 p e r i o d a l o n e . 26. Op. c i t . , ( 1 9 6 0 ) , p p . 42-88. 27. A c o m p l i c a t i n g f a c t o r i n J a p a n i s t h e e x i s t e n c e o f a m u l t i - p a r t y s y s t e m based on a system o f multi-member e l e c t o r a l d i s t r i c t s . T h i s may b e c o n d u c i v e t o an added degree o f i n s t a b i l i t y i n p a r t y a t t i t u d e s . See R o b e r t E. W a r d , J a p a n ' s P o l i t i c a l S y s t e m , E n g l e w o o d C l i f f s , New J e r s e y , P r e n t i c e - H a l l , 1 9 6 7 , p p . 52-75 f o r an e x p l a n a t i o n o f t h e s y s t e m s c o n c e r n e d . 28. G r e e n s t e i n , o p . c i t . , p p . 71-75 and 80. 29. M o r e s p e c i f i c a l l y , we o b t a i n e d t h e f o l l o w i n g Child's: Interest i n election Concern w i t h outcome Political Interest First High .49 .54 .55 statistics: Wave Low .10 .25 .20 Second High .63 .50 .42 Wave Low -.05 .09 .03 24- 30. The q u e s t i o n u s e d t o m e a s u r e t h i s r e l a t i o n s h i p i s as follows: I n d e a l i n g w i t h s u c h p r o b l e m s as e d u c a t i o n , o c c u p a t i o n , and m a r r i a g e , how do y o u make a d e c i s i o n ? W h i c h o f t h e f o l l o w i n g s t a t e m e n t s comes c l o s e s t t o your opinion? a) b) c) d) e) 3 1 . The D e c i d e on t h e b a s i s D e c i d e more o r l e s s D e c i d e more o r l e s s D e c i d e on t h e b a s i s No o p i n i o n / D . K . my own i n t e r e s t s ; t h e b a s i s o f my own i n t e r e s t s ; t h e b a s i s o f my f a m i l y ' s i n t e r e s t s ; my f a m i l y ' s i n t e r e s t s ; and q u e s t i o n used t o measure t h i s Would you say you of person? 32. of on on of The dimension a r e more o r l e s s a new q u e s t i o n used t o measure t h i s d i m e n s i o n i s as follows: type of person i s as o r an o l d type follows: W o u l d y o u s a y y o u a r e t h e t y p e o f p e r s o n who t e n d s t o s a v e money o r t y p e o f p e r s o n who t e n d s t o s p e n d i t s o as t o h a v e a good t i m e ? 33. The q u e s t i o n s u s e d t o m e a s u r e t h e s e v a r i a b l e s a r e as Do y o u f e e l t h a t t o d a y ' s Do y o u f e e l t h a t t o d a y ' s o p i n i o n or not? 34. We follows: y o u t h n e e d more d i s c i p l i n e o r n o t ? y o u t h s h o u l d p a y more r e s p e c t t o t h e i r o b t a i n the f o l l o w i n g tau-b c o r r e l a t i o n m a t r i x : family new-or- y o u t h individual o l d man discipline family-individual new-or-old-man youth discipline respect f o r elder's view f o r e x a m p l e , V o g e l , op. .184 -.093 -.109 cit., -.104 -.106 the parents' respect f o r elder's view .472 35. See, passim 36. E l e a n o r E. M a c c o b y , R i c h a r d E. M a t h e w s , and A n t o n S. M o r t o n , " Y o u t h and P o l i t i c a l Change,'-' P u b l i c O p i n i o n Q u a r t e r l y , v o l . 1 8 , no. 1 , ( S p r i n g , 1 9 5 4 ) , p p . 23^-39. 37. M. K e n t J e n n i n g s and K e n n e t h P. L a n g t o n , " M o t h e r s v e r s u s F a t h e r s : the F o r m a t i o n o f P o l i t i c a l O r i e n t a t i o n s Among Young A m e r i c a n s , " u n p u b l i s h e d ( 1 9 6 8 ) 34 pp. 38. Our index of homogeneity increases High 1 i n t h e f o l l o w i n g manner: 2 3 Low 4 Total F i r s t wave 57.3% 20.5 18.3 3.9% 100.0% S e c o n d wave 70.5% 14.8 10.4 4.3 100.0% -25- 39. P a u l F. L a z a r s f e l d , B e r n a r d B e r e l s o n , and H a z e l Gaudet, The P e o p l e ' s (New Y o r k : D u e l l , S l o a n , and P e a r c e , 1 9 4 4 ) , Chap. 16. 40. R i c h a r d K. B e a r d s l e y , John W. H a l l , R o b e r t E . Ward, V i l l a g e J a p a n U n i v e r s i t y o f C h i c a g o P r e s s , 1 9 5 9 ) , pp. 424-445. 41. S c o t t C. F l a n a g a n , " V o t i n g B e h a v i o r i n J a p a n : The P e r s i s t e n c e of Patterns," C o m p a r a t i v e P o l i t i c a l S t u d i e s , v o l . 1, no. 3 ( O c t o b e r pp. 391-412. 42. Op. cit., 43. J e n n i n g s 44. Choice (Chicago: Traditional 1968), passim and L a n g t o n , op. cit., I b i d . ; J e n n i n g s and N i e m i , op. pp. cit., 16-18, 25-26. p. 181. 45. S e e f o o t n o t e 30 above f o r t h e t e x t of t h e q u e s t i o n . 46. C a m p b e l l e t a l . , . op. 47. C a m p b e l l e t a l , op pp. 5-15. cit.. cit., ( 1 9 6 6 ) , pp. ( 1 9 6 0 ) , pp. 281-283. 146-148; J e n n i n g s and L a n g t o n , op. c i t . , 48. S i n c e our s a m p l e i s b a s e d upon o n e - c h i l d a n d - o n e - p a r e n t p a i r s r a t h e r t h a n upon o n e - c h i l d - a n d - f a t h e r - m o t h e r - t r i p l e s , we h a v e no c h o i c e but t o r e l y upon p e r c e i v e d d a t a f o r the i n f o r m a t i o n p e r t a i n i n g to the remaining p a r e n t . 49. S e e f o o t n o t e 16.
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