Behavioral Ecology doi:10.1093/beheco/ars163 Advance Access publication 17 October 2012 Original Article Tropical birds take small risks Anders Pape Møllera and Wei Liangb aLaboratoire d’Ecologie, Systématique et Evolution, CNRS UMR 8079, Université Paris-Sud, Bâtiment 362, F-91405 Orsay Cedex, France and bMinistry of Education Key Laboratory for Tropical Plant and Animal Ecology, College of Life Sciences, Hainan Normal University, Haikou 571158, People’s Republic of China The life history of tropical birds differs from that of their temperate counterparts by late start of reproduction, small clutch sizes, and high rates of adult survival. Thus, tropical species should have greater residual reproductive value than temperate species. Therefore, tropical birds can be predicted to take smaller risks than closely related temperate birds in order not to jeopardize their prospects of survival, which is the single most important component of fitness, and which is greater in tropical than in temperate species. We estimated flight distances as a measure of risk-taking behavior of common species of birds for populations living in tropical areas in China (mainly Hainan) and in temperate Europe (mainly Denmark and France), predicting that flight distances should be longer in tropical than in temperate populations, and that the difference in flight distance between these 2 environments should be positively correlated with the difference in clutch size. Mean flight distance was more than twice as large in tropical compared with temperate populations for 25 pairs of taxa. The difference in flight distance between tropical and temperate taxa decreased with the difference in clutch size between the 2 environments. These findings are consistent with the hypothesis that tropical birds take smaller risks than closely related temperate taxa to minimize the risk of early death due to predation. Key words: birds, clutch size, flight distance, life history, risk-taking, tropics. [Behav Ecol] Introduction T he life histories of tropical animals differ from those of other climate zones by older age of first reproduction, lower annual reproductive rates, and higher annual rates of adult survival (Skutch 1976; Johnston et al. 1997; Ghalambor and Martin 2001; Peach et al. 2001). Although there is considerable heterogeneity in life history among tropical species, there are some striking contrasts with species from the temperate zone. Among tropical species, close relatives may differ considerably in adult survival rate with some tropical passerines having annual survival rates in excess of 90%, when their temperate relatives only survive with a probability of 50% or less (e.g., Peach et al. 2001). There is a long history of the relative importance of predation being greater in tropical than in temperate climate zones, whereas the reverse applies to abiotic factors, dating back to Darwin (1871) and Wallace (1889). Schemske et al. (2009) recently reviewed the literature on latitudinal gradients in interspecific interactions, reporting a lack of studies of latitudinal gradients in antipredator behavior. The underlying ecological factors accounting for differences in life history between the tropics and the temperate zone range from weather-induced mortality in the temperate zone (Ashmole 1963; Newton 1998), and food and food availability (Skutch 1949; Lack 1954), predation and risk of predation (Slagsvold 1982; Skutch 1985; Ghalambor and Martin 2001), and parasites and disease (Moreau 1944; Guégan et al. 2003; Guernier et al. 2004). Predation and risk of predation are known to strongly affect life history either through direct or indirect Address correspondence to A.P. Møller. E-mail: anders.moller@ u-psud.fr. Received 16 May 2012; revised 30 August 2012; accepted 1 September 2012. © The Author 2012. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Society for Behavioral Ecology. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: [email protected] effects. These effects include smaller clutches, smaller eggs, shorter time to relaying, and higher frequency of relaying in the presence of predation (e.g., Slagsvold 1982; Zanette et al. 2011). Ghalambor and Martin (2001) have shown that parent birds in South America reduce their nest visits less often than closely related species in North America, when a nest predator is presented near the nest. The opposite applies when a predator of adults is presented near the nest, with adults reducing feeding rates the most in South America, suggesting that South American species reduced their mortality risk to themselves more than phylogenetically and ecologically similar North American species, even when this imposed a cost on their offspring. In contrast, North American species reduced the risk to their offspring even when imposing a risk to themselves (Ghalambor and Martin 2001). Independent of the causes of these differences in life history, many tropical species have very high adult survival rates suggesting that individuals of such species adopt risk-aversive strategies to ensure survival. Thus, these findings can be extended to the nonbreeding season and to nonbreeding contexts during the breeding season because species with slow life histories should on average take small risks not to jeopardize their own probability of survival. The response of animals to the approach of a potential predator is vigilance and/or flight (Ydenberg and Dill 1986). Flight distance is defined as the distance at which an individual moves away from an approaching predator, typically a human (Burger and Gochfeld 1991a, 1991b; Fernández-Juricic et al. 2001, 2002; Blumstein 2003), because animals are supposed to perceive humans as potential predators (Frid and Dill 2002). Animals have to balance the costs and benefits from staying put against the costs and benefits of fleeing. Staying put may further increase the risk of death and hence reduce future reproductive success, whereas fleeing prematurely will increase the metabolic cost, but also reduce food intake. As an example, short flights by small birds can increase the 268 metabolic cost more than 20-fold (Tatner and Bryant 1986), implying that individuals that fly away when an approaching predator is still far away will pay the cost of false negatives. Thus, any individual will continuously have to weigh these costs and benefits in order to optimize its fitness, resulting in a difference in this trade-off between taxa living in temperate and tropical climatic zones. The concept of risk-taking also implies that flight initiation distance (the distance at which an individual takes flight when approached by a potential predator; FID) is correlated with risk of predation, that is, that an individual indeed incurs a fitness cost by taking greater risks. Møller et al. (2008) tested this underlying assumption using FID of common passerine birds and risk of being killed by a sparrowhawk Accipiter nisus. Across the range of FID from means of 5–50 m, the risk of predation relative to the expectation based on the abundance of different prey species increased from predation being 100 times less frequent than expected by chance to almost 100 times more common than expected by chance. Likewise, Møller et al. (2010) showed that susceptibility to cat predation was negatively related to flight distance of male birds when singing. Finally, Møller et al. (2011) showed that birds with shorter flight distance for their body size were more likely to be hit by a car than expected from their abundance. Therefore, there is evidence suggesting that FID and flight reactions are under current selection due to predation. FID is an estimate of the risk that an individual is willing to take given its state. Residual reproductive value is defined as the remaining contribution of survival and reproductive success for an individual of a given age (Roff 2002). Given that the future fitness contribution of an individual is a function of its likelihood of survival and future reproductive success, and given that FID should be optimized to maximize survival and reproduction, we should expect FID to reflect the residual reproductive value of an individual. Therefore, we can predict from life-history theory the observable differences in risk-taking for different categories of individuals, be it sex, age, or experience. In addition, we should expect FID to be correlated with life history. Indeed, comparative analyses of birds have shown that mean and variance of FID is correlated with components of life history. Møller and Garamszegi (2012) have shown for European birds that species with relatively longer FID started their reproduction at older age and had lower annual fecundity and higher adult survival rate than species with shorter FID. In addition, bird species with more variable FID start to reproduce earlier, have higher annual fecundity, senesce faster, and have a longer breeding season. These effects were all independent of body mass and similarity among taxa due to common phylogenetic descent. Thus, FID as a measure of risk-taking provides reliable information about a whole suite of life-history traits. Finally, individual birds are highly consistent in their flight distance independent of the context as shown by studies of repeatability of flight distance (Carrete and Tella 2010; Møller 2010; Møller and Garamszegi 2012) suggesting that flight distance represents an inherent component of personality (Møller and Garamszegi 2012). Thus, there is no evidence of habituation to human proximity in terms of flight distances being reduced when the frequency of human encounters increases. The objectives of this study were to test whether tropical populations of birds take smaller risks when confronted with an approaching potential predator than populations of the same species or closely related species in the temperate zone. This study extends the work by Ghalambor and Martin (2001) by testing whether adult birds, even when not reproducing, take smaller risks in the tropics than in the temperate zone. We did so by estimating flight distances of common birds in China (Hainan) and Europe (Denmark and France). We exploited Behavioral Ecology the fact that many species that are widely distributed in the Palearctic zoogeographical region reach the tropics in southern China (MacKinnon and Phillipps 1999), thereby allowing comparison between populations of the same species living in very different climatic zones. In addition, we obtained information on clutch size in Europe and China, predicting that the difference in clutch size should predict the difference in risk-taking between climate zones. Finally, we tested if flight distance of the same species in a national park with little or no human disturbance was shorter than the flight distance in areas inhabited by humans, assuming that birds in inhabited areas would have been selected to have long flight distances due to hunting and other forms of prosecution. Materials and methods Study areas We recorded FID of common birds in tropical areas in China and in temperate areas in Europe. More than 70% of all data from China were collected in the Diaoluoshan National Forest Park (18°43′N, 109°52′E) during February 2011, which is during the breeding season with many residents already building nests, laying eggs, or feeding young. This national park, consisting of pristine tropical forest with the exception of secondary forest at the edges, has an area of 380 km2, although the data were collected in the surroundings of the main buildings of the national park located far away from the edge where intruders are most likely. Annual rainfall is 1870–2760 mm and average annual temperature 24.4 ºC. Although national parks may suffer from human exploitation, we did not encounter any locals except for a handful of tourists during our visit. Furthermore, none of the species that we studied is known to be consumed in the area. In addition, we collected flight distances for birds in nearby Sanya (18°15′N, 109°30′E) and adjoining villages. Again, we found little evidence of exploitation of local birds, with barn swallows Hirundo rustica and tree sparrows Passer montanus breeding in many houses. W.L. and his students collected the remainder of the data in Haikou City (20°02′N, 110°20′E), Hainan Island, Tongguling National Nature Reserve (19°36′N, 110°57′E), Hainan Island, and Dongguan City (23°02′N, 113°43′E), Guangdong Province, China. Likewise, we collected information on FID in Northern Denmark (mainly around the town Brønderslev [57°12′N, 10°00′E] and nearby rural areas) and Ile-de-France, France (mainly around the city Orsay [48°04′N, 2°11′E] and nearby rural areas) during February–September 2006–2012 (see Møller and Garamszegi 2012 for further details). We avoided inclusion of the same individual more than once by restricting observations in a given location to a single individual of each of the 2 sexes. More than 95% of all data from China and 100% of all data from Europe were collected by A.P.M. We reached very similar conclusions when we excluded the data for the 3 species collected by W.L. and his students, demonstrating that there was no bias in the data due to data being collected by different observers. Flight distances All flight distance data were collected from birds during the breeding season, although all birds observed near nests or dependent fledglings were excluded to avoid that flight distance behavior reflects reproductive effort. We estimated FID using a technique modified from that developed by Blumstein (2006). In brief, when an individual bird had been located with a pair of binoculars, the observer, while looking at the bird, moved at a normal walking speed toward the individual, while recording the number of steps (which approximately 269 Møller and Liang • Risk-taking in tropical birds equals the number of meters, Møller et al. 2008). The distance at which the individual took flight was defined as FID, whereas the starting distance was the distance from where the observer started walking up to the position of the bird. If the individual was positioned in the vegetation, the height above ground was recorded to the nearest meter. FID was estimated as the Euclidian distance that equals the square root of the sum of the squared horizontal distance and the squared height above ground level (Blumstein 2006): FID = √(Horizontal distance2) + (Height2). A full description of different cross-validations of the data between observers, seasons, years, and areas is reported by Møller (2008a, 2008b, 2008c). The cross-validations showed that estimates of FID are consistent when comparing data published by Blumstein (2006) and unpublished data for the same species by A.P.M., with the cross-validation explaining 78% of the variance. Likewise, when comparing estimates based on 2 observers in the same site (E. Flensted-Jensen and A.P.M.), the cross-validation explained 79% of the variance. Furthermore, when comparing estimates from different countries (A.P.M.), the cross-validation explained 81% of the variance, and when comparing estimates from different years (A.P.M.), it explained 90% of the variance (Møller 2008a, 2008b, 2008c). Previous studies have shown that starting distance (the distance at which an individual is first approached) is strongly positively correlated with FID (e.g. Blumstein 2003, 2006), thereby causing a problem of collinearity. We eliminated this problem by searching habitats for birds with a pair of binoculars when choosing an individual for estimating FID, only choosing individuals that were located a minimum of 30 m from the observer. In this way, we assured that most individuals were approached from a distance of at least 30 m, thereby keeping starting distances constant across species. FID was weakly negatively related to starting distance in a model that included species, age, habitat, country, and body mass as factors (partial F1,4188 = 37.97, P < 0.0001), explaining only 1% of the variance. None of the results presented here changed statistically when including starting distance as an additional variable, and we thus excluded this variable from all subsequent analyses for simplicity. Variation in FID among years was negligible, accounting for 0.7% of the variance in a model that also included species, habitat (urban or rural), and country as additional predictor variables (partial effect of year: F2,3971 = 30.44, P < 0.001). In contrast, species accounted for 57.5% of the variance (partial effect of species: F132,3971 = 45.51, P < 0.001), justifying the use of mean FID for species as the measure of behavior. Analyses We log10-transformed mean and variance in FID before analyses. We used a pairwise comparative approach to test the predictions relying on values for sister taxa (Møller and Birkhead 1992). The logic behind sister taxa comparisons is that most phenotypic traits are the same for each pair of taxa because they share most of their evolutionary past from phylogenetic descent, with only the recent past since the 2 taxa split accounting for independent evolution. In addition, pairwise comparisons are particularly powerful because such comparisons will account not only for known confounding variables (because the 2 taxa of a pair are generally similar with respect to a given confounding variable) but, most importantly, also, because each pair of taxa are similar for variables that have not yet been identified as confounding a comparison. We used the phylogeny reported by Davis (2008) for identification of pairs of closely related species. Comparative analyses can be strongly affected by sampling effort, and Garamszegi and Møller (2010) showed recently that the effect of sample size in comparative analyses was as great as the effect of similarity due to common phylogenetic descent. Exclusion of species with small sample sizes will result in exclusion of rare species, when inclusion of such species may increase the scope of generalization beyond common and abundant species (Garamszegi and Møller 2012). Hence, it is important to address problems of heterogeneity in sampling effort although this is rarely done in behavioral ecology or evolutionary biology studies. Heterogeneity in sampling effort cannot be addressed by including sample size as an additional predictor variable, but requires that each observation contributes to test statistics relative to its importance through weighting procedures. Most statistical approaches assume that all data points provide equally precise information about the deterministic part of total process variation, that is, the standard deviation (SD) of the error term is constant over all values of the predictor variables (Sokal and Rohlf 1995). We weighted each observation (difference in mean FID or SD in FID) by sample size in order to use all data in an unbiased fashion, thereby giving each datum a weight that reflects its degree of precision due to sampling effort (Draper and Smith 1981; Neter et al. 1996). If the analyses were made by relating log-transformed mean FID (or log-transformed SD in FID) as the response variable and species pair and region (China or Europe) weighted by sample size for each population as predictors, the conclusions remained unchanged. Results Clutch size Summary statistics We used our data on clutch size reported by Cramp and Perrins (1977–1994) and Glutz von Blotzheim and Bauer (1985–1997) for Europe and Wu (1986), Zhao (2001), and W.L. for China. For species from China we relied on the most common clutch size reported in handbooks as an estimate of mean clutch size. Therefore, the precision of clutch size estimates is likely to differ between China and Europe. However, there is no reason to believe that this will cause any systematic bias in the statistical tests because the null hypothesis still predicts that the difference in clutch size between China and Europe is zero independent of the estimation methods. The data set is reported in the Electronic Supplementary Material Table S1, and the data on FID from within and outside a national park are reported in the Electronic Supplementary Material Table S2. Summary statistics for means and SD in flight distances are reported in Table 1. Mean FID for China was twice as long as mean FID for Europe, which amounted to a highly significant difference (Figure 1 and Table 1). A similar conclusion was reached if we restricted the analyses to different populations of the same species (t = −8.27, degrees of freedom [df] = 10, P < 0.0001). There was a significant difference in SD in FID, with the mean SD being 70% larger in China than in Europe (Table 1). There was also a significant difference if we only compared different populations of the same species (t = −3.02, df = 10, P = 0.013). Mean clutch size was significantly larger in Europe than in China, with the mean difference exceeding 20% (Table 1). This difference was also significant when only comparing populations of the same species (t = −4.18, df = 10, P = 0.0019). 270 Behavioral Ecology Table 1 Mean and standard errors of mean and SD of FID (m) for pairs of populations of birds in the temperate and the tropical zone Variable Temperate zone Tropical zone t P Mean FID Range in means SD FID Range in SD N Clutch size N 7.7 (0.5) 5.0–24.4 4.3 (0.4) 0.5–12.7 25 4.93 (0.15) 21 15.6 (2.1) 7.2–82.5 7.3 (1.7) 2.8–39.2 25 4.05 (0.11) 21 −13.39 <0.0001 −4.64 <0.0001 6.48 <0.0001 N is the number of populations and t and P are test statistics for paired t-tests based on log10-transformed values. only comparing different populations of the same species (F = 5.70, df = 1,9, r2 = 0.39, P = 0.0083, slope [standard error, SE] = −1.432 [0.600]). Flight distance in areas with and without human inhabitants We were able to obtain FID estimates for 9 species from the Tongguling National Park and from nearby inhabited areas in Sanya, Hainan. Neither mean FID nor SD in FID differed significantly between these 2 types of habitats in a paired test (mean [SE] for park: 19.77 m [4.11], outside park: 11.27 [1.78]; SD [SE] for park: 15.86 [6.44], outside park: 5.65 [0.68], paired t-test based on log10-transformed data: mean: t = −1.89, df = 8, P = 0.10; SD: t = −1.28, df = 8, P = 0.24). These conclusions were unaltered in tests that were not weighted by sample size (mean: t = −1.21, df = 8, P = 0.26; SD: t = −0.26, df = 8, P = 0.80) and in nonparametric Wilcoxon matchedpairs tests (mean: S = −8.50, P = 0.36; SD: S = −2.50, P = 0.82). Flight distance and clutch size Difference in mean FID between China and Europe was negatively correlated with difference in mean clutch size between China and Europe (Figure 2). This relationship accounted for 31% of the variance and hence represented a large effect (F = 8.67, df = 1,19, r2 = 0.31, P = 0.0083, slope [SE] = −0.199 [0.068]). There was also a significant relationship when Figure 1 Mean (SE) flight initiation distance (m) for populations of birds from the temperate and tropical zones. The line is Y = X. Figure 2 Difference in flight distance between populations of birds from the tropical and the temperate zones in relation to difference in clutch size between populations of birds from the tropical and the temperate zones. Discussion The main findings of this study of risk-taking as reflected by FID of populations of common bird species from China and Europe were that (1) FID were on average twice as long in China as in Europe for populations of the same species or populations of closely related species; (2) difference in logtransformed FID between China and Europe decreased with difference in log-transformed clutch size between the 2 study areas for populations of the same species or pairs of closely related species; and (3) log-transformed FID for the same species did not differ consistently in paired tests between populations in a national park and populations from inhabited areas in tropical China. We predicted that tropical populations of birds on average would take much smaller risks than temperate conspecifics or closely related heterospecifics, when confronted with a potential predator. Indeed, this prediction was confirmed by the finding that mean flight distance in Europe was only half as long as that in China. We found a similar pattern in comparisons based on populations of the same species and in comparisons based on populations of the same or closely related species, showing consistency in research findings. These findings corroborate the ideas initially proposed by Wallace (1889) suggesting that predation plays a much greater role in tropical than in temperate climates, while the opposite applies to abiotic causes of death. Birds in China may have been prosecuted as pests or captured for use as pets or food more often than birds in Europe. For example, Mao Zedong initiated in 1958 an attempt to exterminate sparrows throughout China (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Four_ Pests_Campaign). Such human activities would undoubtedly select for longer flight distances, hence providing an alternative explanation for the main result that we reported. We explicitly tested if flight distance was affected by human presence by comparing mean flight distance estimates obtained from national parks and from nearby inhabited areas with continuous presence of humans. This comparison did not reveal any consistent difference in mean or SD in flight distance. We also note that none of the species that we studied were a preferred source of meat making it unlikely that flight distances would reflect persecution. Finally, flight distance is independent of whether a species is hunted or not once differences in body size have been accounted for (Møller 2008c, p. 1309). Alternatively, we could expect that flight distances actually would decrease in inhabited areas because frequent encounters between birds and humans would select for shorter flight distances to save energy caused 271 Møller and Liang • Risk-taking in tropical birds by flight when a bird is approached by a human. Furthermore, humans may provide a refuge for birds from predators, which generally have much longer flight distances than their prey (Møller 2012a), and differences in predator community between urban and rural habitats is a likely explanation for differences in antipredator behavior (Møller et al. 2008; Møller and Ibáñez-Álamo 2012). Indeed, urban birds have much shorter flight distances than rural conspecifics (Cooke 1980; Møller 2008a, 2012b), and the difference in flight distance increases with time since urbanization (Møller 2008a). These differences are not due to habituation because individuals are highly consistent in their flight distance among contexts (Carrete and Tella 2010; Møller 2010; Møller and Garamszegi 2012). If this hypothesis were correct, we would expect longer flight distances in the national park than in the nearby agricultural and urban habitats. That was not the case either. Hence, there was no empirical evidence suggesting that the comparison in flight distance between the temperate and the tropical zones could be accounted for by differences in human presence. If flight distances vary consistently between environments, and if flight distances constitute behavioral means of reducing the risk of predation, as already shown (Møller et al. 2008, 2010, 2011), then we should expect physiological and morphological adaptations to improve the efficiency of such behavior. Indeed, Møller (2009a) has reported that basal metabolic rate is greater in species with long flight distances, allowing such species to take flight earlier than others, and Møller et al. (unpublished data) have shown that bird species with long flight distances for their body size had large wing areas and large aspect ratios. An alternative proximate explanation for the findings reported here is that the effectiveness of flight at reducing the risk of predation varies between temperate and tropical zones, with this effectiveness being greater in temperate zones. If that was the case, we should expect selection for greater flight ability and maneuverability in the tropics, where predation pressure is expected to be the greatest (Darwin 1871; Wallace 1889). We are only aware of a single study addressing this question. Data on wing loading and aspect ratio in different populations of barn swallows H. rustica show the opposite pattern, with larger wing areas and hence smaller wing loadings and large aspect ratios at high latitudes (Møller et al. 1995). Hence, this alternative is not supported by available data. If life history was the underlying basis for changes in flight distance, we should be able to demonstrate differences in flight distance between tropical and temperate zones being correlated with differences in life history. Indeed we have shown here that this was the case for clutch size. This finding is consistent with the hypothesis that flight distance is adjusted to life history, and that flight distance can be considered an integral behavioral measure of this life history. These findings extend the study by Ghalambor and Martin (2001) by showing that, not only in the reproductive tradeoff between risk avoidance for self and parental care but also between risk avoidance for offspring and parental care, birds living in environments that favor late start of reproduction, low rates of reproduction, and high rates of survival will be selected to take small risks independent of whether they are reproducing or not. We should expect similar relationships between difference in adult survival rate between China and Europe and difference in flight distance. Unfortunately, we do not have sufficient survival data from China to make such a test. This study has a number of implications for future studies. First, we predict for intraspecific studies that residual reproductive value will be greater in China than in Europe, and individuals with higher residual reproductive value will take smaller risks in both China and Europe. Second, the much greater diversity of the predator community in China compared with Europe (Cramp and Perrins 1977–1994; MacKinnon and Phillipps 1999) raises questions about the degree of specialization in terms of antipredator behavior in the 2 environments. We already know that many different components of antipredator behavior covary and change in response to changes in the predator community, as shown in comparisons of antipredator behavior in nearby urban and rural habitats (Møller and Ibáñez-Álamo 2012). It would be interesting to test if such changes in antipredator behavior between China and Europe are correlated with changes in flight distance. In conclusion, we have shown consistent differences in flight distance between sister taxa of birds in the tropics and the temperate zones with the former taking much smaller risks than the latter. These differences in flight distance could be accounted for by differences in life history implying that it is differences in life history that are driving behavioral differences in risk-taking behavior. These findings could be further tested by comparing survival rates as reflected by age ratios of birds from the 2 areas, with the prediction that differences in flight distance should be correlated with differences in age ratios. They may also have conservation implications with tropical birds being more prone to disturbance than temperate zone birds. Supplementary material Supplementary material can be found at http://www.beheco. oxfordjournals.org/. Funding No funding was acquired for this study. We thank C. Yang, Y. Cai, L. Wang, and T. Su for assistance with data collection in the field. Funding was provided by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 31071938 to WL) and Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University (NCET-10-0111 to WL) D. Blumstein and an anonymous reviewer provided constructive criticism. References Ashmole NP. 1963. The regulation of numbers of tropical oceanic birds. Ibis. 103:458–473. Blumstein DT. 2003. 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