Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen 1696 PERSPECTIVE Molecular pedigree analysis in natural populations of fishes: approaches, applications, and practical considerations A.J. Wilson and M.M. Ferguson Abstract: Molecular markers can provide information on the family structure of natural fish populations through molecular pedigree analysis. This information, which is otherwise difficult to obtain, can give important insights into the expression and evolution of phenotypic traits. We review the literature to provide examples of how molecular pedigree analysis has been used extensively to examine patterns of distribution, dispersal, and social behaviour in fishes and how it provides a tool for the estimation of quantitative genetic parameters. Although multiple methodologies can be used to examine family structure, the efficacy of any molecular pedigree analysis is generally dependent on prior consideration of interrelated statistical and biological factors. Statistical issues stem from the choice of molecular marker type and marker set used, in addition to sampling strategy. We discuss these considerations and additionally emphasize the utility of supplemental nongenetic data for increasing the efficacy of pedigree analysis. We advocate that, where possible, a priori knowledge of the study system’s biology should be used to inform study design and further highlight the need for additional empirical testing of methodologies. Résumé : Les marqueurs moléculaires peuvent renseigner sur la structure familiale des populations naturelles de poissons par l’analyse moléculaire de la filiation. Ces données, difficiles à obtenir autrement, fournissent une image précieuse de l’expression et de l’évolution des caractéristiques phénotypiques. Notre revue de la littérature illustre, par des exemples, comment l’analyse moléculaire de la filiation a souvent été utilisée pour étudier les patterns de répartition, de dispersion et de comportement social chez les poissons et comment elle peut fournir un outil pour l’estimation des paramètres génétiques quantitatifs. Bien que de multiples méthodologies puissent servir à étudier la structure familiale, l’efficacité d’une analyse moléculaire de filiation dépend de la prise en considération antérieure des facteurs statistiques et biologiques interreliés. Les problèmes statistiques dépendent du choix du type de marqueur moléculaire et de l’ensemble de marqueurs utilisé, ainsi que de la stratégie d’échantillonnage. Nous examinons toutes ces considérations et nous mettons aussi en relief l’utilité des données supplémentaires non génétiques pour augmenter l’efficacité de l’analyse de filiation. Nous suggérons que, lorsque c’est possible, la connaissance a priori de la biologie du système étudié serve à la planification de l’étude. Nous insistons sur la nécessité de faire des tests empiriques additionnels de ces méthodologies. [Traduit par la Rédaction] Wilson and Ferguson Introduction Knowledge of pedigree structure is of considerable value in the study of phenotypic evolution. In the most general sense, knowledge of family relationships allows us to study the nature of phenotypic inheritance, while in a social context, expression of behavioural traits might be expected to vary according to the degree of relatedness between organReceived 19 June 2002. Accepted 7 September 2002. Published on the NRC Research Press Web site at http://cjfas.nrc.ca on 30 October 2002. J16954 A.J. Wilson1 and M.M. Ferguson. Department of Zoology, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON N1G 2W1, Canada. 1 Corresponding author (e-mail: [email protected]). Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 59: 1696–1707 (2002) J:\cjfas\cjfas59\cjfas5910\F02-127.vp Thursday, October 24, 2002 11:52:55 AM 1707 isms interacting (Hamilton 1964). Although a pedigree can frequently be tracked and controlled in laboratory studies, the same is often not true in natural animal populations. In some cases, and particularly in some taxa (notably birds and mammals), pedigree might sometimes be inferred by observation (e.g., Kempenaers et al. 1992), but fishes generally possess a suite of characteristics that make them less suitable for this approach. In fishes, inferences about parent–offspring or sibling relationships are typically impeded by a lack of parental care, coupled with a tendency towards polygamous mating systems. Though some species do provide care of offspring, a relatively high incidence of alloparental care means that even in these cases putative relationships should be treated with caution (Wisenden 1999). Even if relatives can be identified, subsequent tracking of individuals is problematic in most fishes. Not only do many species show high mobility and DOI: 10.1139/F02-127 © 2002 NRC Canada Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen Wilson and Ferguson dispersal (particularly marine taxa), but also physical tagging or marking of individuals is not always possible. Although a range of tag types can be used effectively in larger fish, this is not true for smaller individuals less than a few centimetres in length (see Frederick (1997) and references therein). Thus, small size of offspring precludes physical marking or tagging of what may often be the most dispersive of age groups. These difficulties, compounded with the practical issues presented by aquatic environments, mean that observational methods of pedigree determination are usually not a viable option. Molecular data might therefore offer a solution in that they can be used to directly examine pedigree at the genetic level. Molecular pedigree analysis is the use of molecular data to infer pedigree and can be thought of as an assessment of phylogeny at the extreme micro-evolutionary level (Avise 1994). Included in this are all methods that use molecular data to test hypothesized relationships between individuals. In addition to the testing of specified relationships (e.g., putative sibships or parent–offspring relationships), we take molecular pedigree analysis to include estimation of the level of relatedness between individuals. In the latter context it is useful to define the pairwise coefficient of relatedness r. This has been variously defined in the literature; we follow the notation of recent authors (e.g., Van de Casteele et al. 2001) in using r to denote the expected fraction of alleles in the genome that two individuals have identical by descent. To date, investigation of behavioural traits, and in particular social behaviour, has provided the dominant rationale for molecular pedigree analysis in natural populations. Ross (2001) provides a useful review of the molecular ecology of social behaviour, revealing a strong taxonomic bias of study in this area towards eusocial insects (e.g., Queller and Goodnight 1989). In contrast, much work in fishes has focused on the potential utility of molecular pedigree analysis in aquaculture (e.g., O’Reilly et al. 1998; Norris et al. 2000). In this context molecular analysis might enable pedigree tracking to facilitate optimization of selection regimes and broodstock management procedures, while also allowing economical common rearing practices. Parentage analysis has been carried out successfully in a number of commercially important finfish species, including rainbow trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss; Herbinger et al. 1995; Estoup et al. 1998; McDonald 2001), Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar; O’Reilly et al. 1998; Norris et al. 2000), and turbot (Scophthalmus maximus; Estoup et al. 1998) and also in shellfish (e.g., Evans et al. 2000). In situations where hatchery-based stocking programs are being implemented, parentage analysis of offspring may also be useful for examining introgression of hatchery stock into natural populations or to evaluate performance of stocked offspring (Letcher and King 2001). Other authors have considered the potential for using pairwise estimates of relatedness to avoid the risk of inbreeding depression in salmonid breeding programs (Norris et al. 2000; McDonald 2001). Here we restrict our attention to the use of molecular pedigree analysis in natural populations of fishes and do not focus on aquaculture or stocking applications. Firstly, we present a brief synopsis of available methodologies for molecular pedigree analysis, before reviewing the literature to illustrate the utility of these methods in fishes. Despite the great potential for this area of research to facilitate the study of phenotypic 1697 evolution in the field, there are also many prospective difficulties and practical considerations. Thus, in the latter part of this article, we attempt to draw attention to these issues as they pertain to molecular pedigree analysis in general and to the study of fishes in particular. Approaches to molecular pedigree analysis The simplest approach to molecular pedigree analysis is that of exclusion. For example, in parentage analysis, an offspring’s genotype is compared with that of a candidate mother or father to determine if the latter could indeed be a parent of the former. Given a codominant marker with Mendelian transmission, a parent and offspring must share at least one allele at any given locus, and so any candidate parent that does not meet this criterion can be excluded. If one parent is known, then this represents a particularly powerful method of testing a putative parent–offspring relationship. Exclusion can also be used to reconstruct pedigrees on a larger scale, for example, by assigning parentage to many individuals when there are known genotypic pools of parents and offspring (Danzmann 1997). Given enough genotypic information and sampling of all possible parents, it is possible to assign any given offspring to a single parental pair by exclusion. However, difficulties arise when it is not possible to exclude all but a single parent (or parental pair) from the available genotypic data. In such cases, likelihood methods may prove useful for distinguishing between nonexcluded candidates (Meagher and Thompson 1986). For example, SanCristobal and Chevalet (1997) presented an approach for likelihood-based parentage identification from a finite set of candidate parents. Several authors have presented additional likelihood-based methods for parentage analysis that are able to account for incomplete sampling of candidate parents (Marshall et al. 1998; Gerber et al. 2000; Duchesne et al. 2002). In these cases, likelihood ratios of candidate parents can be calculated and then comparisons made among all candidates to find the most likely parent. Simulation procedures can then be used to determine the significance of results (e.g., Marshall et al. 1998). Similarly, likelihood techniques can be applied to test other putative relationships such as sibships (Herbinger et al. 1997; Goodnight and Queller 1999). An alternative approach for parentage analysis is that of fractional allocation. Rather than determining a single most likely parent (or sibling) from a set of candidates, this approach attempts to fractionally allocate offspring among nonexcluded parents based on their probability of parentage (Neff et al. 2001). Such models have obvious applications in assessing relative mating success, for example, in studies of intra-male competition and sperm competition. Recently, attention has also been given to alternative methodologies for examining other types of relationships, notably for the reconstruction of sibships in the absence of parental information. For example, Painter (1997) explored the possibility of sibship reconstruction using a Bayesian approach. Other authors have presented Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms for partitioning individuals into sibling groups (Thomas and Hill 2000; Smith et al. 2001). In some cases, determination of actual relationships is not necessary, but whether or not individuals are related is still © 2002 NRC Canada J:\cjfas\cjfas59\cjfas5910\F02-127.vp Thursday, October 24, 2002 11:52:55 AM Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen 1698 of interest. This can be addressed by the estimation of relatedness (r) between individuals, using one of several available estimators (e.g., Queller and Goodnight 1989; Ritland 1996a; Lynch and Ritland 1999). Average relatedness within a specified group can be estimated, as can pairwise relatedness between two specified individuals. Given the expected values of r for different classes of relationship (e.g., r = 0.5 for full siblings, r = 0.25 for half-siblings), it may also be possible to use pairwise estimates of relatedness as a computationally simple way of assigning pairs to relationship types (Blouin et al. 1996; McDonald 2001). Applications in natural fish populations Breeding systems and parental care Molecular pedigree analysis provides a convenient method for examination of fish breeding systems. For example, analysis of offspring sampled from male pouches has provided evidence for monogamy in seahorses (Jones et al. 1998; Kvarnemo et al. 2000) and polyandry in pipefishes (Jones and Avise 1997; McCoy et al. 2001). Similarly, in live-bearing mosquito fish (Gambusia holbrooki), Zane et al. (1999) analyzed embryos from pregnant females and found evidence for multiple paternity. In Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar), breeding systems have also been investigated using parentage analysis. Under simulated natural conditions, minisatellite loci were used to infer paternity and so assess reproductive success of precociously maturing male parr in the presence of adult spawning pairs (Morán et al. 1996). By sampling progeny from a single redd, Morán and García-Vázquez (1998) demonstrated the utility of this approach for detecting multiple paternity in natural populations. Subsequently more extensive studies based on genotyping samples from natural redds have found evidence for both multiple paternity and high reproductive success of precocious males (Thompson et al. 1998; Martinez et al. 2000). Parentage analysis has also revealed that multiple mating is common in Atlantic salmon (Garant et al. 2001; Taggart et al. 2001). In one study under near-natural conditions, more than 50% of anadromous spawners of both sexes contributed to more than one redd, with both males and females mating with different partners at different sites (Taggart et al. 2001). Similarly, reconstructing parental genotypes from progeny sampled from redds has been used to infer polyandry, polygyny, and the use of multiple redds by individual females in chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha; Bentzen et al. 2001). Although marine species have received less attention in general, several authors have used molecular methods to examine the breeding systems of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua). For example, Bekkevold et al. (2002) used microsatellitebased parentage analysis to examine correlates of male reproductive success in experimental spawning aggregations of this species, and paternity inference using allozyme markers has also been employed to examine sperm competition (Rakitin et al. 1999). In a somewhat different approach, Herbinger et al. (1997) used a likelihood ratio method and microsatellite genotypes to determine possible half-sib and full-sib relationships in a naturally spawned cohort of cod. The authors concluded that the cohort was a fairly homogeneous mixture of largely unrelated individuals, suggesting it Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. Vol. 59, 2002 was unlikely to be derived from a small number of matings (Herbinger et al. 1997). In species that provide parental care, a large number of studies have used molecular data to scrutinize putative parent– offspring relationships. Brood parasitism has been detected by paternity analysis in a range of fishes, including cichlids (Dierkes et al. 1999; Taborsky 2001), darters (DeWoody et al. 2000a), gobies (DeWoody et al. 2000b; Jones et al. 2001), and sunfish (DeWoody et al. 1998, 2000c). Although brood parasitism may most commonly take the form of male sneaking, genetic analysis has also been used to detect egg thievery, which is known to occur in some species (Largiadèr et al. 2001). Neff et al. (2000) developed an allocation model for use with microsatellite data to estimate the proportion of next-generation individuals actually descended from putative parents. The utility of this model was demonstrated by application to genetic data from a nest of bluegill sunfish (Lepomis macrochirus), a species in which so-called “cuckolder” males mature precociously and steal fertilizations from “parental”-type males that build and defend nests. The demonstrated ability of some fishes to discriminate kin from non-kin raises the possibility that males might adjust the level of parental care in response to their perceived levels of offspring paternity (Neff and Gross 2001). In a study of darters and sunfish, DeWoody et al. (2001) tested whether cannibalism by nesting males was directed towards unrelated embryos in the nest. Genetic analysis of male stomach contents found evidence for filial cannibalism even when unrelated embryos were present. Dispersal and distribution Another application of pedigree analysis stems from the potential to examine patterns of dispersal and to test hypothesized kin-biased patterns of distribution. Molecular markers have been used in fishes to indirectly estimate levels of dispersal based on classical models of gene flow, and also using assignment methods to determine an individual’s population of origin (see Hansen et al. (2001) for a review). However, pedigree analysis can also be used to examine aspects of dispersal. For example, Hansen et al. (1997) detected high levels of relatedness among young-of-the-year brown trout (Salmo trutta) sampled from short stretches of Danish rivers. In one case, estimates of relatedness suggested that 17 out of 18 individuals less than 1 year old probably represented only three full-sib families. This finding was used to highlight a potential difficulty for population genetics studies in systems where limited dispersal might lead to nonrandom distributions of closely related individuals. In such systems, sampling on a limited spatial scale, or of a single nondispersed age group, might cause bias in estimated population allele frequencies because all individuals sampled come from only a few families (Hansen et al. 1997). Both parentage analysis and estimation of r have also been used specifically to test hypothesized patterns of adult dispersal in vertebrate taxa (e.g., Taylor et al. 1997; Ohnishi et al. 2000), although there has been little work done in fishes. Intrasex levels of relatedness provided evidence of male-biased dispersal in Lake Malawi cichlids (Knight et al. 1999). In another cichlid fish, parentage analysis also demonstrated occasional exchange of individuals between groups, and in this case, subsequent © 2002 NRC Canada J:\cjfas\cjfas59\cjfas5910\F02-127.vp Thursday, October 24, 2002 11:52:55 AM Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen Wilson and Ferguson field experiments showed that females had the higher tendency to migrate (Schradin and Lamprecht 2000). In addition to dispersal, molecular pedigree analysis has been used to examine the possibility of kin-biased distributions. The expectation of kin bias in spatial distribution stems from the concepts of inclusive fitness and kin selection that are central to our understanding of social behaviour (Hamilton 1964). Certainly, laboratory studies have shown that fish may benefit from living in kin-based groups (e.g., Brown et al. 1996). As a consequence, it might be expected that spatial distribution and group structure in fishes could be determined, at least in part, by relationships between individuals. However, in order to display kin-biased behaviours, it is first necessary for an organism to discriminate kin from non-kin. Kin recognition in many fishes has been demonstrated by laboratory experimentation. For example, Arnold (2000) examined shoaling behaviour in rainbowfish (Melanotaemia eachamensis) and found that females preferentially spend time associating with relatives when in an all female shoal, but avoided male relatives in a mixed shoal. The former result is consistent with the expectation of kin-biased behaviour, whereas the latter is suggestive of an innate tendency towards inbreeding avoidance. In salmonids, numerous laboratory-based studies have demonstrated the existence of kin recognition and kin-biased behaviour (see Brown and Brown (1996) for a review). For example, in laboratory studies of brown trout (Salmo trutta), increased aggression was detected in groups of mixed or unrelated juveniles compared with groups of relatives (Olsen et al. 1996a). Such studies have led to the hypothesis that kin discrimination in juvenile salmonids might permit a reduction in territorial aggression, thus lessening the costs associated with territory defense (Brown and Brown 1996). However, the ability of fishes to discriminate kin in laboratory studies does not prove that kin-biased behaviour occurs under natural conditions in the wild. To date, genetic studies have provided some evidence for kin-biased patterns of distribution in the field. For example, aggregation of related individuals was detected in Eurasian perch (Perca fluviatilis) using estimates of group relatedness (Gerlach et al. 2001) and in tilapia using an index of genetic similarity based on allele sharing (Pouyaud et al. 1999). Conversely, despite a known preference by three-spined sticklebacks (Gasterosteus aculeatus) to associate with kin in the laboratory, no evidence for close relatedness among individuals from within shoals of wild-caught juveniles was found (Peuhkuri and Seppae 1998). Fontaine and Dodson (1999) tested whether juvenile Atlantic salmon kin occupied adjacent territories in order to profit from kin-biased behaviours. Microsatellite markers were used to determine pairwise coefficients of relatedness (r) using the estimator of Queller and Goodnight (1989). There was no relationship between r and geographical distance separating fish. Additionally, pairs of fish were classified as unrelated, half-siblings, or full siblings according to the procedure of Blouin et al. (1996). Little evidence was found for the idea of siblings defending adjacent territories, though many related pairs of fry were detected when sampling was carried out soon after emergence. In a contrasting study of the same species, Mjølnerød et al. (1999) found that there was a significant as- 1699 sociation between genetic similarity and position in the river. In particular, they found that genetically similar juveniles were found closer together than less related individuals. However, although the association was significant, it was not strong, and the authors concluded that factors other than relatedness are likely important for determining juvenile position in the river. Although this work did not directly analyze pedigree, conclusions were based on pairwise bandsharing coefficients from multilocus genetic fingerprints that typically show high correlation with relatedness. Estimation of quantitative genetic parameters Quantitative genetic parameters such as heritability and genetic correlation are most easily estimated from the degree of resemblance in a phenotypic trait between relatives (Falconer and Mackay 1996). Thus their estimation in natural populations has been largely limited because of the lack of pedigree information. It is therefore possible that molecular pedigree analysis will greatly facilitate application of a quantitative genetic framework to the study of phenotypic traits (morphological, life history, and behavioural) in natural populations (see Ritland (2000) for a review). In fishes, this may have considerable implications both for our understanding of phenotypic evolution and for management and conservation practices. For example, intraspecific morphs living in sympatry have been reported in several freshwater fish species (e.g., Skúlason et al. 1996). Field-based estimates of heritability could be used to test for a genetic basis to such phenotypic variation, as an alternative to currently employed common garden rearing experiments. Similarly, estimating genetic correlations between traits in natural fish populations will allow testing of the genetic bases of tradeoffs that are believed to have a large role in the determination of teleost life histories (Roff 2002). In a more applied context, management efforts frequently aim to conserve genetic diversity in an attempt to safeguard the evolutionary potential of a species or population. However, molecular measures of genetic variation that are typically used may show little correlation with quantitative measures, such that the former have limited value in predicting short-term evolutionary potential (Reed and Frankham 2001; McKay and Latta 2002). Molecular pedigree analysis might facilitate the estimation of quantitative genetic parameters via several methods. For example, Ritland (1996b) showed how heritability could be estimated from a regression of phenotypic trait similarity on estimated relatedness between individuals and further developed his model to allow incorporation of sharing among relatives of environmental effects, dominance, and levels of inbreeding. The use of pairwise relatedness to estimate quantitative genetic parameters has, however, been criticized because such an approach loses valuable information from multiple relationships and because families are weighted according to the number of pairs rather than according to information content (Thomas and Hill 2000). One alternative is to use a MCMC procedure to partition the population into full-sibling families within a single generation (Thomas and Hill 2000). Reconstructed pedigrees can subsequently be used to estimate genetic parameters in a conventional manner. Simulations show that in comparison to those derived from pairwise techniques, estimates obtained in this manner © 2002 NRC Canada J:\cjfas\cjfas59\cjfas5910\F02-127.vp Thursday, October 24, 2002 11:52:56 AM Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen 1700 may deviate less from those calculated from the known pedigree. This may be particularly true if there is prior information regarding the distribution of family sizes in a population (Thomas and Hill 2000). Nevertheless, in a study of body weight in Soay sheep, poor performance of this method was found and attributed to insufficient amounts of marker data and low numbers of relatives in the sample (Thomas et al. 2002). Presently there has been very little empirical work that applies marker-inferred relatedness or pedigree structure to quantitative genetic study (but see Ritland and Ritland 1996; Mousseau et al. 1998; Thomas et al. 2002). In the only study of fish to date, Mousseau et al. (1998) estimated heritabilities for weight, length, flesh color, and precocious maturation in Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha). In this case, a captive population was used and it was known that the population consisted of a mixture of full-sibs and unrelated individuals, allowing the use of a maximum likelihood method to infer relatedness between pairs. The inferred relatedness was then combined with phenotypic trait data in a mixture model. Estimates of quantitative genetic parameters obtained in this way were found to fall within the range reported previously for these traits in this species (Mousseau et al. (1998) and references therein). Although further demonstrating the utility of marker-based approaches, this latter methodology requires a known distribution of relatedness (e.g., all individuals are full-sibs or unrelated), and so its applicability in natural populations may be less general. Practical considerations With one known parent, exclusion of a candidate parent for an individual is often possible based on examination of genotypes at only one or two marker loci (e.g., DeWoody et al. 2000b; Evans and Magurran 2001). However, in largerscale pedigree analyses, where many individuals are being considered and the aim is pedigree reconstruction or examination of patterns of relatedness, considerable amounts of information will be required. Advances in molecular techniques have enabled the collection of large amounts of data, but the widespread application of large-scale pedigree analysis has been limited to some extent by a lack of available software dedicated to handling and processing this information. Increasingly, computer programs are being made publicly available (Table 1), providing the researcher with an expanding range of tools for various types of analyses, including testing putative pairwise relationships as well as parentage assignment, sibship reconstruction, and relatedness estimation. Nevertheless, successful implementation of these methodologies depends on careful consideration of several other issues. These include the choice of marker system (e.g., Gerber et al. 2000) and statistical features of the methodology employed (Bernatchez and Duchesne 2000) and ecological features of the study population such as size, geographical range, patterns of dispersal, and demographic variables. In the following section, we draw attention to some of these issues in the hope that their prior consideration will be of benefit to future study design. Choice of marker system Microsatellites have largely emerged as the marker type of Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. Vol. 59, 2002 choice for pedigree analysis, as they have for related applications such as population assignment testing (see Hansen et al. 2001). This class of molecular marker has been extensively reviewed elsewhere (e.g., Estoup and Angers 1998), but their particular suitability for pedigree analysis stems from the combination of high variability with codominant expression. In general, an increase in molecular variability will result in an increase in exclusion probability, defined as the average capability of a marker system to exclude any given relationship (Gerber et al. 2000). Although development costs are high, these are offset to some degree by the possibility for successful cross-amplification of loci across related species demonstrated in many fish taxa (e.g., Olsen et al. 1996b; Wenburg et al. 1996; Iyengar et al. 2000). Nevertheless, microsatellite loci may not be available in every instance, and it is important to note that other marker systems can also be used. In principle, molecular pedigree analysis is possible using any type of molecular marker system. Early r estimators were first developed for use with protein polymorphisms (Queller and Goodnight 1989). More recent work has centered on the use of DNA-based marker systems, including minisatellites, random amplified polymorphic DNAs (RAPDs), and amplified fragment length polymorphisms (AFLPs), as well as microsatellites. These latter systems are based on the polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and thus facilitate nonlethal sampling as ample quantities of DNA can be extracted from small pieces of tissue such as fin clips or scales (Yue and Orban 2001). Codominant marker systems are preferable in that they allow tracking of both maternally and paternally derived alleles. However, the use of dominant markers has also been limited by a lack of statistical methodology (see Table 1). For example, efficient estimators of pairwise relatedness have not been developed for use with dominant markers. Nevertheless, dominant marker information can be used effectively for exclusion-based pedigree analyses, including large-scale parentage assignment (e.g., Danzmann 1997). More recently, Gerber et al. (2000) extended the likelihood-based methodology of parentage assignment to dominant markers. Dominant markers (specifically AFLPs) were shown to be less efficient than microsatellites in this context, but effective parentage assignment was possible with the former, particularly if there was careful selection of loci (Gerber et al. 2000). Thus, for exclusion-based methods and for parentage assignment, inexpensive dominant marker systems represent a viable alternative when microsatellite loci are unavailable. Design of marker set For any chosen marker system, careful consideration and choice of loci is necessary to maximize both efficiency and success of pedigree analysis. In large-scale pedigree analysis, performance of any approach will increase with the amount of molecular information available. For example, using an increased number of loci with higher numbers of alleles per locus will increase the likelihood of successful parentage assignment (e.g., Marshall et al. 1998) and will increase both accuracy and precision of relatedness estimation (e.g., Ritland 1996a). However, given the costs and practical constraints associated with data collection, it is of interest to examine how much information is minimally required. © 2002 NRC Canada J:\cjfas\cjfas59\cjfas5910\F02-127.vp Thursday, October 24, 2002 11:52:56 AM J:\cjfas\cjfas59\cjfas5910\F02-127.vp Thursday, October 24, 2002 11:52:56 AM Comment Can also be used to output pairwise relatedness estimates Examining group genetic similarity with fragmentary data sets Pairwise relatedness estimation according to the estimator of Lynch and Ritland (1999) Pairwise and group relatedness according to the estimator of Queller and Goodnight (1989) Likelihood based, can be used to test multiple types of relationship (e.g. parentage, full-sib, half-sib) Testing putative pairwise sibling relationship Testing putative pairwise sibling relationships MCMC algorithms for partitioning individuals into either full sibships or kin groups of unspecified relatedness Reconstructs genotypes of unknown parents from known parent and progeny genotypes Likelihood based, allows incomplete sampling of candidate parents Likelihood based, allows incomplete sampling of candidate parents Likelihood based, allows incomplete sampling of candidate parents Exclusion based approach to parentage assignment Note: Data type is denoted as C, codominant only, or C/D, codominant or dominant marker types. C C/D BURIAL v.1.0 MarQ v.1.0 C DELRIOUS Marker-assisted heritability estimation C RELATEDNESS v.5.0 Relatedness estimation C KINSHIP v.1.3 C RELPAIR v.0.90 Testing pairwise relationships C C GERUD v.1.0 RELATIVE v.1.10 C/D FaMoz C C PAPA v.1.0 Pedigree 2.0 C CERVUS v.2.0 Parentage analysis, assignment, and reconstruction Sibship analysis and reconstruction Data C/D Program PROBMAX Function Table 1. Computer programs available for molecular pedigree analysis. Ritland (1996b) http://genetics.forestry.ubc.ca/ritland/programs.html Schönfisch et al. (2001) http://www.uni-tuebingen.de/uni/bcm/BURIAL/index.html Stone and Björklund (2001) http://www.zoology.uu.se/zooeko/JonS/DELRIOUS/delirious.htm Queller and Goodnight (1989) http://www.bioc.rice.edu/Keck2.0/labs/ Goodnight and Queller (1999) http://www.bioc.rice.edu/Keck2.0/labs/ Göring and Ott (1997) ftp://linkage.rockefeller.edu/software/relative http://www.sph.umich.edu/statgen/boehnke/relpair.html Smith et al. (2001) email: [email protected] or [email protected] Jones (2001) http://www.bcc.orst.edu/~jonesa/ Gerber et al. (2000) http://www.pierroton.inra.fr/genetics/labo/Software/Famoz/index.html Duchesne et al. (2002) http://www.bio.ulaval.ca/navigation/frame-principal-departement.html Marshall et al. (1998) http://helios.bto.ed.ac.uk/evolgen/cervus/cervusregister.html Danzmann (1997) http://www.uoguelph.ca/~rdanzman/software/ Reference and source Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen Wilson and Ferguson 1701 © 2002 NRC Canada Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen 1702 In parentage assignment work, simulation approaches should be used to assess the likely performance of any given marker set with specified allelic distributions (e.g., Danzmann 1997; Marshall et al. 1998). However, although such methods are useful for determining the probable success rate with a specified marker set, they are of limited use in deciding a priori how many loci are needed and which loci should be used. More recently, Bernatchez and Duchesne (2000) developed a model to predict the probability of assigning parents to a parental couple under the maximum likelihood method of parentage assignment proposed by SanCristobal and Chevalet (1997). Under this model, the probability of assignment is a function of the number of candidate parents, the number of loci used, and the mean number of alleles per locus. Given a desired level of assignment success, it should thus be possible to design an appropriate marker set (Bernatchez and Duchesne 2000). Therefore, this work represents an important step towards improving the design of parentage studies. Similar statistical considerations apply when estimating relatedness. A general feature of all pairwise estimators is a large sampling variance (Ritland 2000; Van de Casteele et al. 2001). This variance might lead to a failure to detect kinbiased patterns of distribution and dispersal or an inability to use relatedness estimates for discriminating efficiently between classes of relatives (Blouin et al. 1996; McDonald 2001). Sampling variance decreases with increasing marker information so that the precision of r can be increased by use of more loci; though it is also important to note that loci provide information about relatedness roughly in proportion to the number of alleles (Ritland 2000). In addition to large sampling variances, relatedness estimators can also be subject to bias, which may be an inherent property of the estimator (Ritland 1996a) or result from the necessity of estimating population allele frequencies from sample frequencies (Queller and Goodnight 1989). Making the appropriate choice of r estimator might reduce both bias and sample variance. Lynch and Ritland (1999) argued that their estimator was better than earlier estimators (e.g., Queller and Goodnight 1989; Ritland 1996a), because it yielded similar or lower levels of sampling variance while also being computationally simpler. However, in a subsequent comparison, Van de Casteele et al. (2001) found that the most appropriate choice of estimator for a given data set can depend on the number and variability of the marker loci used, frequency distribution of alleles at each locus, and population composition. The conclusion that there is generally no single best-performing estimator has led to the recommendation that simulations should be performed to decide which estimator to use for a given marker data set (Van de Casteele et al. 2001). To date, few studies have done this (but see Thomas et al. 2002), and the actual and relative performance of relatedness estimators in the field is largely unknown. Data quality and marker characteristics In addition to the amount of information required, data quality is important in all applications of pedigree analysis. Genotyping error is to be expected in any large-scale study and can lead to false exclusion in pedigree analyses (O’Reilly et al. 1998). Fortunately, methods and computer programs designed for performing large-scale parentage analysis typically allow for these possible errors (Danzmann Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. Vol. 59, 2002 1997; SanCristobal and Chevalet 1997; Goodnight and Queller 1999). Provided that genotyping errors are allowed at a rate greater than zero, then the success of likelihood approaches to parentage assignment may be fairly insensitive to variation (e.g., Marshall et al. 1998). However, this is not true for relatedness estimation in which it is assumed that error rates are negligible (Van de Casteele et al. 2001), and genotyping errors are also likely to impact the accuracy of likelihood procedures for sibship reconstruction (C. Herbinger, Department of Biology, Dalhousie University, Halifax, N.S., Canada, personal communication). Thus, particular care must be taken to select loci that can be scored consistently, and in some cases, the choice of a suitable marker set might reflect a trade-off between the aims of using the most informative loci and minimizing genotyping error rates. Furthermore, methodologies for molecular pedigree analysis assume a number of marker characteristics that typically include independence, selective neutrality, an absence of null alleles, and a negligible mutation rate (e.g., Marshall et al. 1998; Van de Casteele et al. 2001). Wherever possible, the validity of these assumptions should be tested, and loci that do not meet the criteria should be excluded from subsequent analysis. Marker loci should be tested for departures from Hardy– Weinberg equilibrium proportions of genotypes using available population genetic computer programs (e.g., Raymond and Rousset 2001). Such departures might result from mutations, undetected null alleles, and selection. Similarly, it is prudent to examine population genetic structure of natural study systems before large-scale pedigree analysis. Not only can this help to inform sampling strategy (see below), but also restricted gene flow can result in patterns of population genetic structure that violate the assumption of random mating. Although loose linkage between a few pairs of markers may not seriously bias multilocus likelihood procedures, it is likely to lead to a general decrease in the precision of relationship estimation (Thompson and Meagher 1998) and should also be tested for. Design of sampling strategy Sampling strategy includes decisions as to how many individuals should be sampled, as well as where and when sampling should take place. In allocating effort and resources, the trade-off between the number of individuals sampled and the amount of molecular data obtained from each individual warrants consideration. For example, if pedigree analysis is being performed to estimate quantitative genetic parameters, then beyond a few loci, the number of phenotypes sampled might typically provide a greater constraint on statistical power than the amount of genotypic data (Ritland 2000). Another consideration is that the estimation of population allele frequencies from finite samples can introduce bias into pedigree analysis procedures (e.g., Queller and Goodnight 1989). In this context, larger sample sizes are expected to provide more accurate estimates of population allele frequencies. The number of individuals sampled is also critical in determining the success of pedigree reconstruction, because in most natural fish populations, sampling of candidate parents (or siblings) is likely to be incomplete. Marshall et al. (1998) © 2002 NRC Canada J:\cjfas\cjfas59\cjfas5910\F02-127.vp Thursday, October 24, 2002 11:52:56 AM Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen Wilson and Ferguson demonstrated how the success of likelihood-based paternity inference will decline as the number of candidate males increases and as the proportion of those candidates sampled decreases. Although the number of candidates will be a feature of a system that cannot be controlled, sampling strategy will dictate the proportion of those candidates that are likely to be sampled. We illustrate the effect of this latter consideration (Fig. 1), showing the success of paternity inference (defined as a percentage of paternity tests resolved with 80% confidence; Marshall et al. 1998) as a function of the proportion of candidate males. The allelic distributions used in this simulation were taken from McDonald (2001), in which 12 microsatellite loci were found sufficient for assigning 97% of rainbow trout to a single parental pair based on exclusion alone. Simulations were performed using CERVUS 2.0 (Marshall et al. 1998), and we assume that the maternal parent is also unknown, as is likely the case in most fish populations. Clearly, despite the use of a potentially powerful marker set in this case, success declines dramatically as the proportion of candidate parents actually sampled drops. This feature will be typically confounded with the effect of population size, as constraints on the absolute number of individuals sampled will mean that in a larger population, the proportion of candidates sampled will also be smaller. Thus population size has major implications for any attempt at pedigree reconstruction. Population size in fishes can be estimated using a variety of methods. Direct counts may be possible in some cases (for example, using underwater visual census methods or counting fish passing through ladders), though frequently mark–recapture or depletion-based estimates of abundance might be used (King 1995). Assuming normal constraints on fieldwork, sampling a high proportion of candidate relatives is clearly facilitated by a small population size, as well as by low rates of adult mortality. Furthermore, the presence of actual parents in a system will be dependent on rates of emigration from the study area. Thus, although molecular pedigree analysis can in itself be used to examine patterns of dispersal (discussed above), prior knowledge of dispersal may also be used to inform spatial sampling strategy. Again, this may be of particular importance if pedigree analysis is being used for the estimation of quantitative genetic parameters. Effective use of relatedness to estimate heritability is contingent upon the presence of significant actual variance of relatedness within the sample (Ritland 1996b), whereas estimation from reconstructed sibships is facilitated by the presence of large families (Thomas et al. 2000). Thus, in mobile animals, sampling of an insufficient number of relatives among a large number of unrelated individuals could prevent effective estimation of genetic parameters. In philopatric fish such as salmonids, it has been suggested that this problem might be avoided by sampling near to breeding areas (Mousseau et al. 1998). The researcher should also use predictable aspects of life cycle or biology to inform temporal aspects of sampling strategy. For example, the presence of discrete breeding seasons in many fish species facilitates highly efficient sampling approaches such as testing putative sibships by collecting embryos from a nest before emergence and dispersal (e.g., Thompson et al. 1998). In migratory species, sampling in a given spatial area may only be possible at certain times, or actual pedigree structure of a sampled popula- 1703 Fig. 1. The effect of varying the proportion of all candidate males sampled on the expected success of paternity inference. Success of paternity inference is indicated as the percentage of paternity tests resolved with 80% confidence, for numbers of candidate males of 1000 (open square), 500 (solid triangle), 250 (open circle), 100 (solid square), 50 (open triangle), and 10 (solid circle). Simulations were performed according to the procedure of Marshall et al. (1998) using allelic distributions for 12 microsatellite loci genotyped in rainbow trout, Oncorhynchus mykiss (McDonald 2001). tion might vary predictably as the result of temporal changes in the spatial overlap of generations. Seasonal variation in climatic conditions is also an important consideration, because weather conditions can affect both the spatial distribution of fishes and the practicality of sampling them. Availability of supplemental information The efficiency of pedigree analysis is typically increased by the use of supplemental information about individuals. For example, in parentage and sibship analysis, age and sex information is routinely used to determine a priori whether an individual should be considered as a candidate relative (e.g., mother, father, or sibling) of another. Where possible, supplemental information should therefore be collected, particularly in attempts to explicitly reconstruct pedigree, though a lack of supplemental data will not preclude all applications of molecular pedigree analysis. For example, estimation of relatedness does not necessarily require any a priori grouping of individuals, though such groupings (based on age or sex) are certainly useful to test specific hypotheses (e.g., sex-biased dispersal; Knight et al. 1999). It is important to realize that such supplemental information can be difficult to obtain in many fish taxa. For example, sexual dimorphism of external morphology is common but not ubiquitous in fishes, and in some cases, assigning sex may be difficult or impossible without resorting to lethal sampling procedures. In some species, sexual dimorphism becomes more pronounced during spawning and thus sampling at this time might be appropriate. In other cases, or © 2002 NRC Canada J:\cjfas\cjfas59\cjfas5910\F02-127.vp Thursday, October 24, 2002 11:52:56 AM Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen 1704 with juvenile individuals, sex determination may itself be possible using molecular markers (e.g., Griffiths et al. 2000). Age information is similarly of value in determining whether a given individual should be included as a candidate parent of another. This is particularly true in combination with some knowledge of reproductive biology (e.g., likely age of maturation). Similarly, in a long-lived species with overlapping generations, sibship reconstruction (e.g., Smith et al. 2001) might most appropriately be performed within a single age cohort. Although it is possible that siblings and half-siblings may actually differ in age, analysis without regard to age structure will risk confounding sibships with parent–offspring relationships (C. Herbinger, Department of Biology, Dalhousie University, Halifax, N.S., personal communication). Unfortunately, age determination in fishes is notoriously labour intensive and further hindered by indeterminate growth rates and frequent overlap (both spatially and temporally) of generations. Assuming that spawning occurs in discrete periods, age determination of fishes may be possible using methods such as analysis of length–frequency distributions or calcified structures such as otoliths and scales (Casselman 1987). It should be noted, however, that such methods are not perfect and validation is important in all cases. Summary and conclusions Success of molecular pedigree analysis clearly requires careful consideration of issues relating to the methodology employed and to the biology of the study organism at both individual and population levels. The primary result of failure to adequately consider both statistical and biological issues will be a lack of statistical power in testing hypotheses. Although statistical issues can be complex, it is clear that simulation approaches are useful in evaluating performance and determining significance of results (Marshall et al. 1998; Goodnight and Queller 1999; Van de Casteele et al. 2001). Continued development of these approaches and, in particular, attempts to yield specific guidelines for the development of marker sets (e.g., Bernatchez and Duchesne 2000) are of immense value. Although it is to be expected that further improvement of statistical methodologies will increase the accuracy and precision of pedigree analysis, it is also possible that new types of molecular markers may effect the development of this field. In this respect, we particularly support the efforts to extend methodology of large scale pedigree analysis to dominant marker types (Gerber et al. 2000). There is an urgent need for future research to focus on empirical testing of both existing and new methodologies. Simulation-based studies alone are clearly insufficient for fully exploring the implications of an organism’s biology to the efficacy of pedigree analysis. Although the choice of a study system will normally be dictated by the presence of biological features of interest, it is nevertheless important to consider aspects of fish biology and ecology that might affect study design. Age and sex information may be trivial to obtain in some taxa but this is not necessarily the case in fishes, and prior knowledge of range, dispersal, and population size may also be relevant in many cases. Although this information will not always be available, in general many Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. Vol. 59, 2002 applications of molecular pedigree analysis are likely to be aided by prior biological knowledge of the study system. These biological considerations suggest that although hypothesized relationships might be tested in many situations, the ability to reconstruct pedigrees (for example, to estimate quantitative genetic parameters or examine differential reproductive success of adults) may be more restricted. Hansen et al. (2001) pointed out the difficulties of microsatellite-based population assignment methods in marine systems where high dispersal might often lead to a lack of detectable genetic structure, even over large geographical distances. We suggest that this also poses problems for molecular pedigree analysis in marine systems as sampling high proportions of candidate relatives will be best managed in small closed populations more typical of freshwater habitats. Although molecular pedigree analysis may therefore be used under semi-natural experimental conditions (e.g., Bekkevold et al. 2002), in situ application to marine and larger freshwater habitats might be restricted to species with tendencies towards low dispersal or philopatry. However, small closed populations are not without difficulties themselves. In particular, although efficient sampling may be facilitated, such systems may also have less advantageous attributes, such as high rates of drift (leading to loss of genetic variation) and inbreeding (a violation of the typical assumption of random mating; e.g., Queller and Goodnight 1989). In fishes, efforts to validate results through observational study are impeded by those very features that make molecular pedigree analysis such an attractive tool. This presents a challenge for the critical evaluation of pedigree analysis methodologies through empirical testing. To an extent, the need for validation can be met by simulation studies and also through application of analyses to captive fish populations with known true pedigrees (e.g., Smith et al. 2001; A.J. Wilson, unpublished data). In natural populations, it may be possible to evaluate methodologies by examining the congruence of results from multiple approaches, for example, by comparing pedigree structures obtained by parentage analysis and sibship reconstruction. Despite the potential pitfalls, knowledge of pedigree structure in natural fish populations can provide enormous insight into phenotypic evolution, both by direct examination of putatively kin-biased behaviour and more generally by allowing application of a quantitative genetic framework to the study of phenotype. Thus molecular pedigree analysis represents an important tool for extending evolutionary study from the laboratory to the natural environment in which phenotypic evolution occurs. Acknowledgements This work was supported by an Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC) research grant to MMF. We thank C. Herbinger, J. Hutchings, T. Nudds, and three anonymous reviewers for helpful comments on the manuscript. References Arnold, K.E. 2000. Kin recognition in rainbowfish (Melanotaenia eachamensis): sex, sibs and shoaling. Behav. Ecol. 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