Chapter 4 Probability Generating Random Numbers When working with probabilities, there is sometimes a need to generate random numbers. Computer simulations are a common example of the need for random occurrences within a structured setting. These numbers are called pseudo-random numbers since they are generated by a process that is not a random process. However, these pseudo-random numbers behave very much like random numbers and so are very useful to statisticians. Your calculator can generate pseudo-random numbers, which will henceforth be called random numbers. Generating Random Numbers Between 0 and 1 Suppose that you would like to generate a number between 0 and 1. You want the number to be unpredictable, but you want every number between 0 and 1 to have an equally likely chance of being generated. Press Press . three times to reach the PRB menu. Select 1:rand and press Press . again. If you continue to press you will generate a different random number between zero and one each time you press . Note: The values shown in the screenshot will probably not be the same as the values shown on your calculator screen. These are (pseudo) random numbers! Generating Random Numbers Between Any Two Values The TI-84 Plus does not have a built-in function to generate random real numbers that are equally likely to occur and fall within a specified range of values, but they can be generated by using the rand function with some additional commands. The following command will generate random real numbers between 1 and 100. Press Press . three times to reach the PRB menu. Select 1:rand and press . Press Press . If you continue to press each time. , you will generate a different random number between 1 and 100 In general, the command used to generate a real number between values j and k is: rand * (k – j) + j , where n is the larger number. For example: rand * (10 – 1) + 1 will generate a real number between 1 and 10. rand * (900 – 500) + 500 will generate a real number between 500 and 900. Generating Random Integer Values Between Any Two Numbers To generate random integer numbers (no decimals) that are equally likely to occur and fall within a specified range of values, the use the built-in function randInt. The following sequence will generate 20 random integer values between 1 and 100. Press . Press three times to reach the PRB menu. Select 5:randInt( . . Press Press . Use and to scroll through all twenty numbers. Press to generate 20 more such random integers. Note: The values shown in the screenshot will probably not be the same as the values shown on your calculator screen. These are (pseudo) random numbers! 2 In general, the command used to generate n integer numbers between values j and k is: randInt(j, k, n) If you do not enter a value for n, then the calculator will use 1 as the default value for n. For example: randInt(10, 50, 15) will generate 15 random integers between 10 and 50. randInt(10, 50) will generate 1 random integer between 10 and 50. Generating Random Integers without Repetitions In some applications, random integers need to be generated without repeating any values. For example, suppose you wish to draw ten numbered chips from a bag, but you do not replace any chips once they are drawn. The TI-84 Plus calculator can simulate this process. Press . Press three times to reach the PRB menu. Select 8:randIntNoRep(. . Press Press . The integers from 1 to10 (inclusive) will be randomly arranged as if they were the numbers on chips being drawn from a bag without replacement. Use numbers. Press and to scroll through all ten to generate a different sequence of random draws. In general, the command used to randomly generate values between j and k without repetition is: randIntNoRep(j, k) For example: randIntNoRep(10, 20) will randomly generate integers between 10 and 20 without repetition. Store Random Numbers in a List The random numbers generated can be stored in a list to be used with other statistical procedures. The command in the screen shot on the right will generate 15 randomly-generated integer values between 10 and 50 and store them in List L1. 3 Calculating Factorials, Combinations, and Permutations Factorials A common function needed to compute probabilities is the factorial function. The notation for the factorial of n is n! The “!” function is found by pressing menu. and selecting the PRB To find the number of ways six people could be arranged in six different chairs, you would calculate six factorial (6!). Press . Press . Press to reach the PRB menu. Select 4: !. Press . Calculate 10! and 0!. Combinations The combination formula can also be used to compute probabilities. The notation for the number of combinations is nCr, where n is the total number of elements, and r is the number being selected. Combinations are used when selecting a few elements from a larger number of distinct elements. Example: Ice Cream An ice cream parlor offers 6 flavors of ice cream. Jason would like to purchase 2 flavors of ice cream. In how many ways can Jason choose 2 flavors out of the 6 flavors? In order to find the number of ways of choosing two flavors out of six, we would need to calculate 6C2. Press Press . . Press to reach the PRB menu. Select 3: nCr. Press press . 4 There are 15 different combinations of two flavors of ice cream. Calculate 6C3 and 8C3. Permutations The permutation formula can be used to compute probabilities. The notation for the number of permutations is nPr, where n is the total number of elements, and r is the number being selected. Permutations are used when trying to find all possible arrangements of elements taken from a larger group. Arrangements involve putting the elements in a particular order. If Jason’s story changes as below, then permutations apply rather than combinations. An ice cream parlor offers 6 flavors of ice cream. Jason would like to purchase 2 flavors of ice cream and is concerned about which flavor is on the top and which flavor is on the bottom (i.e. Jason is concerned about the arrangement of the flavors). In how many ways can Jason arrange 2 flavors out of the 6 flavors? In order to find the number of arrangements of choosing two flavors out of six, we would need to calculate 6P2. Press Press . . Press to reach the PRB menu. Select 2: nPr. Press press . There are 30 different arrangements of two flavors of ice cream. Calculate 6P3 and 8P3. 5
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