A457 Dudley Road Improvement Strategic Economic Plan/Local Growth Fund Transport Scheme Business Case 1 Strategic Economic Plan Business Case Checklist Scheme: A457 Dudley Road Improvement Lead authority: Birmingham City Council STRATEGIC CASE Section / page 4) Have you appended a map? p5 9) Have you included supporting evidence of partnership bodies’ willingness to n/a participate in delivering the bid proposals? 9) Have you appended a letter from GBS LEP confirming the priority of the n/a proposed scheme? [Optional] FINANCIAL CASE Section / page 13) Have you enclosed a letter from an independent valuer to verify the market n/a value of land if land is being included as part of the non-LGF contribution towards scheme costs? 13) Have you enclosed a letter confirming the commitment of external sources to n/a contribute to the cost of the scheme? ECONOMIC CASE Section / page 15) Have you provided a completed Appraisal Summary Table? App I 15) Have you provided a completed Scheme Impacts Pro Forma? [Small projects n/a only] 15) Have you provided relevant supporting material – and for large schemes – a App G WebTAG compliant bid? COMMERCIAL CASE Section / page 16) Have you attached a joint letter from the local authority’s Section 151 Officer n/a and Head of Procurement confirming that a procurement strategy is in place that is legally compliant and is likely to achieve the best value for money outcome? MANAGEMENT CASE Section / page 17) Has a letter been appended to demonstrate that arrangements are in place to n/a secure the land to meet the construction milestones? 17) Has a Project Plan been appended to your bid? App H 17) Has a QRA been appended to your bid? App E 17) Has a Risk Management Strategy been appended to your bid? App F 2 17) Have you appended evidence of Stakeholder Analysis? [Large projects only] 17) Have you appended a Communications Plan? [Large projects only] n/a n/a DECLARATION 20) Has the SRO declaration been signed? Section / page p30 3 Strategic Economic Plan Transport Scheme Business Case Proforma 1) SCHEME TITLE A457 Dudley Road Improvement Highway Scheme: Yes Public Transport Scheme: No Major Maintenance Scheme: No 2) STRATEGIC ENABLER FROM GBS LEP STRATEGY FOR GROWTH 5. Improving physical and digital connectivity 6. Optimising physical, cultural and environmental assets 3) CONTACT DETAILS AND SCHEME LOCATION Name of Lead Contact: Phil Edwards Email: [email protected] Telephone: 0121 303 7409 District: Birmingham City Council Location of scheme: Spring Hill to City Road 4) HEADLINE DESCRIPTION The A457 Dudley Road corridor from Ladywood Middleway / Spring Hill junction on the Ring Road to City Road, Smethwick forms part of Birmingham’s Strategic Highway Network and provides a key arterial route from the Black Country into central Birmingham. Currently, this section of the Dudley Road corridor is underperforming, with road users experiencing severe delays and unreliable journey times. The scheme would: Provide increased capacity; Improve accessibility into Birmingham City Centre; Improve journey time reliability; Provide safer infrastructure for all road users; and Reduce existing congestion that acts as a major barrier to growth both in Birmingham and throughout the West Midlands. The benefits will be realised by improving junctions, widening the road to a dual carriageway and making enhancements to pedestrian and cycling facilities. 5) GEOGRAPHICAL AREA This highway improvement scheme is located within the Soho and Ladywood Wards within the Ladywood Constituency. This section of the A457 Dudley Road (between Ladywood Middleway/Spring Hill junction on the Ring Road and City Road) is a heavily trafficked major route stretching west from Birmingham City Centre and into Sandwell and the Black Country. A number of priority junctions are located along the corridor, in addition to City Hospital lying directly to the north. The route also crosses a rail line and the Birmingham Canal, both of which will require attention during planning, procurement and construction. OS Grid Reference: 404,904 287,653 (junction of Western Road / Dudley Road) Postcode: B18 7HZ (Birmingham Treatment Centre) 4 Have you appended a map? Yes No 6) STRATEGIC CASE A: Scheme Description The A457 Dudley Road is a strategic link providing connectivity between Birmingham City Centre, Sandwell and the Black Country. Major employers and developments in the area include: City Hospital, HM Birmingham Prison and the Icknield Port Loop development site. The poor standard of this section of the A457 Dudley Road link results in long queues and delays on the network and inefficient operation for most of the day. Associated environmental deterioration and poor accessibility for public transport, freight operations, cyclists, pedestrians and private vehicle users is a problem in the area because of congestion. The scheme is identified to improve accessibility for the existing industrial sites, major 5 health centres (including City Hospital), HM Birmingham Prison and the Icknield Port Loop development area. Improved reliability of the public transport services and enhanced operations for freight services are also major objectives of the scheme. (The scheme will provide improvements to bus operations and facilities for bus services along this corridor including bus routes: 11 (Outer Circle), 80, 82, 83, 87 & 89). The scheme would improve capacity, accessibility, safety and reduce congestion. This would be achieved by improving junctions, widening the carriageway (to create a standard dual carriageway) and making enhancements to pedestrian and cycling facilities. Bus priority on the approach to the ring road forms a key element of the scheme. Junction improvement locations along A457 Dudley Road include: Ladywood Middleway/Spring Hill signalization; Eyre Street / Dudley Road; Heath Street South / Dudley Road / Western Road; City Hospital Access / Dudley Road; Aberdeen Road / Dudley Road; Heath Street / Dudley Road; and Winson Green Road / Icknield Port Road / Dudley Road. A Major Scheme Business Case was originally completed in 2004 and revised in 2009 to improve this section of the Dudley Road. However, during this time the major schemes of the Northfield Relief Road, Selly Oak Relief Road and Chester Road Improvements were taken forward and there was limited resource to deliver the Dudley Road scheme as well. Following completion / securing of resources for those other schemes the need to deliver the Dudley Road scheme is extremely important for this key strategic route linking Birmingham City Centre, the Black Country and all the residential and employment areas along this corridor. See Appendix A for the Preferred Option General Arrangement for the A457 Dudley Road Improvement Scheme. B: Description of Problems to be Addressed The A457 Dudley Road is a heavily trafficked major route with over of 37,000 vehicles per day travelling along the corridor. It forms part of Birmingham’s Strategic Highway Network, providing access to the motorway network, major employment sites, residential and health centres from Birmingham City Centre and Sandwell. As a major route the A457 Dudley Road is heavily utilised by buses, heavy goods vehicles (HGVs) and servicing vehicles, and due to its strategic nature the route also carries significant volumes of commuter traffic during the peak periods which is a major cause of congestion. Due to the current levels of traffic along Dudley Road, queuing regularly occurs in both directions during the AM and PM peak periods. Analysis on delay suggests particularly during the PM peak, that delay consistently exceeds 50% in the westbound direction along the entire route, and reaches 100% outside City Hospital. This is due to the existing highway layout, with parked cars restricting the route capacity to single lane, and several routes converging at one location. The evidence suggests that, due to the existing route layout, there is very little spare capacity. Improvements along the route, in parallel with existing schemes aimed at relieving congestion on the Ring Road, will provide much needed reductions in delay. In its current form the A457 Dudley Road Network Improvement (DRNI) section is a wide single carriageway with poor junction standards, no public transport priority, very wide crossings for 6 pedestrians and no provision for cyclists. A significant number of bus routes operate within the area including the ‘Outer Circle’ route 11. To the east of the DRNI are the Middleway Ring Road and the continuation of the Dudley Road corridor towards the city centre. This section is a dual carriageway link built to a high standard and with correspondingly good level of service. To the west beyond Cape Hill is a dual carriageway delivering an adequate level of service. C: Options Considered The proposed improvement is to dual the narrow section of the Dudley Road, improve existing junctions, reduce congestion, and to give priority to bus operations where required. The improved junctions will also incorporate safer controlled crossing facilities for pedestrians and enhancements for cyclists. As part of the scheme development a ‘lower cost’ scheme has been considered. This would not upgrade all of the Dudley Road to a dual carriageway (the section between the City Hospital and the Ring Road would be left as current) and no additional crossing facilities would be provided. In addition, there would be no improvements to signalise the Spring Hill / Ladywood Middleway junction on the Ring Road (see Appendix B - Lower cost non-preferred Option Plan). The low cost scheme would not meet Birmingham City Council’s objectives to update the network to dual carriageway, so as to maximise capacity and provide safer crossing facilities to replace the existing four-lane uninterrupted crossing points. D: Expected Benefits/Outcomes In summary, the Dudley Road network improvement scheme would: Remove the single carriageway bottleneck from the network and replace with a continual standard of links and junctions to improve network efficiency and reduce congestion as part of the corridor designation; Improve efficiency in the operation of buses through network improvement and junction priority, delivering significant benefits to public transport operations; Improve bus interchange between bus services near the City Hospital to improve the level of service between the outer circle and the main routes on Dudley Road; Improve safety through network improvement and controlled crossings at junctions and providing better standard links; Support Dudley Road/West Birmingham regeneration initiatives through improved accessibility to the existing developments, the Cape Hill development area and assist in improving the Soho Road Centre through transferring A41 status to Dudley Road; Reduce the existing severance caused by the lack of facilities for crossing the Dudley Road; and Contribute to the retention of existing business in the area as well as encouraging interest and investment. There are a significant number of small works units in the Dudley Road area. There are also a number of derelict buildings as well as vacant land in the vicinity, some of which has direct frontage access onto Dudley Road (i.e. Heath Street and Cape Hill development sites). Although these developments are not dependent upon the Dudley Road, it is anticipated that the Dudley Road improvements will help retain existing businesses and encourage new developments which benefits from existing planning permissions. These future developments could involve: Approximately £30m of private investment in the area; Up to 500 new jobs created in the area; 20 hectares of derelict land and a major derelict building re-gained; and 100,000 square metres of new business floor space to be created. It is considered that improvements to the Dudley Road will facilitate wider economic benefits to the area as well making it more attractive to private investment. 7 E: Project Scope The scope of the project is to improve capacity, accessibility, journey time reliability (including for public transport) and road safety by increasing capacity along the section of A457 Dudley Road between the Ring Road and City Road. This will include for minor alterations to existing canal and rail bridges to accommodate wider traffic lanes. The project includes the preliminary design and consultation, internal and external approvals, land acquisition and other legal processes such as Traffic Regulation Orders, detailed design of the measures, procurement of contractors, implementation and monitoring of works on site through to completion and final payments. In detail, the works will involve the following: Route widened to a dual carriageway with central reserve (with provision for junction movements); Increased capacity at signalized junctions (Winson Green Road / Dudley Road and Western Road / Dudley Road); New signalized junction (Heath Street / Dudley Road); Upgraded pedestrian crossings at key junctions; Carriageway widening over existing canal/railway bridge; Carriageway widening over Birmingham Canal Old Line; Bus lane provided on eastbound carriageway between College Street and Birmingham Ring Road, with an associated Bus Gate on the eastern end; Cycle and pedestrian facilities on wide footways along entire route length; Realignment of junctions; and Improvements to Spring Hill interchange. F: Related Activities To widen this carriageway link to dual carriageway, private land would need to be acquired. To achieve this, Highway Improvement Lines (HILs) were imposed to land fronting the road to protect the land from development. Although the City Council now owns and / or maintains a significant proportion of the land required, land acquisitions would need to be secured in order for the scheme to be developed. This has been factored into the cost and programme development for the scheme. 8 In addition, the bridge over the Winson Green Loop Canal and the bridge over the Birmingham Canal and Birmingham / Wolverhampton railway will need to be structurally assessed to ensure they can accommodate the widening of the road. G: Consequences of Project Funding not being Secured If funding for the full scheme is not secured, the scheme would not be progressed. However, over time, some of the junctions might be enhanced by future local funding streams (i.e. Transportation’s Capital Programme or national funding streams similar to the Pinch Points Fund bid). This would be a piecemeal approach which would involve localised highway improvements. This would not deliver the wider benefits of the full scheme which this key strategic corridor requires. H: Impact on Statutory Environmental Constraints A bespoke environmental appraisal has been developed for the scheme, and is provided in Appendix C. The objective of the exercise was to assess and provide a high level environmental appraisal of the scheme in order to support an economic case. In summary: Noise and vibration - Accurate predicted noise impacts would have to be assessed to determine any significant changes to road traffic noise. It is assumed that the improvement measures proposed along the Dudley Road route will reduce the current queuing and congestion, reducing the standing traffic helping to diminish noise levels. This is likely to be counteracted to some degree by the increase in the volume of traffic using the route attributed to traffic redistribution. Noise levels may also increase if average speeds along the corridor increase. Air Quality - Activities associated with the schemes’ construction have the potential to generate dust and disrupt the traffic flow. Thus local air quality is expected to be detrimentally affected in the short term. The scheme however is designed to both reduce congestion at several locations along Dudley Road, and also provide the capacity required for safe multimodal accessibility into Birmingham City Centre from the west. The expectation is that the reductions in queues and congestion along this route and adjacent parallel strategic routes, and benefits this will generate in terms of traffic flow, will have a positive effect in air quality once the scheme is in place. Reducing the volume of traffic using the local network for ‘rat-running’ has an even greater potential impact. It will help protect a number of sensitive receptors on the periphery of the sites. All of those areas detailed will benefit from comparably better air quality if future traffic growth is not extensively supported by the local road network. Landscape and townscape - The scheme includes an increase in capacity, providing significantly improved facilities for buses, pedestrians and cyclists. Due to the associated reduction in congestion and queuing, and reduced severance for pedestrians and cyclists, the scheme will have a positive visual impact on the landscape and townscape. Biodiversity - The scheme will not be bringing about a significant change to the effect that the existing busy route has on the ecology of the area. Heritage of historic resources - None Water environment - During site preparation and construction there is the potential for impacts on groundwater, as a result of road run-off and any accidental spillages. These should be considered along with the impacts the wider development work with have. The scheme poses low risk to surface water. However further investigation is anticipated ahead of scheme delivery, which will help inform any unforeseen scheme impacts. Physical fitness - The scheme will have a considerable positive impact on physical fitness through the implementation of cycle lanes on the highway and improved segregated crossing facilities for pedestrians. Journey ambiance - The scheme includes a significant increase to highway capacity and improvements to ensure safe journeys by all modes. This will result in improved journey ambiance and reduced traveller stress. The appraisal has been undertaken by giving consideration to the benefits and impacts of the scheme against the seven environmental themes outlined above, and providing mitigation where required. 9 7) FIT WITH STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES/POLICY Fit with overarching Strategic Transport Objectives: Access to International Gateways & HS2 Freight & Business Efficiency Access to Growth Access to Labour and Skills Improve accessibility to the City Centre, New Street Gateway and HS2 by reducing congestion and providing public transport priority. Improve journey time reliability by reducing congestion along this key strategic corridor. The scheme will aid accessibility to Icknield Port Loop development which is seeking to build 1150 new dwellings, hotel, retail and employment facilities. In addition there are a number of derelict industrial areas along this corridor which the scheme will help to open up to investment as well as providing improved access to the growth areas of the City Centre, Enterprise Zone and the Black Country. Improving local population access to the key employers in this deprived area; including access to City Hospital, HM Winson Green Prison and other employment and training opportunities along the corridor, City Centre and Enterprise Zone. Fit with Local Policy Local Transport Plan LEP Strategy for Growth/Strategic Spatial Planning Framework The projects support the targets set out in the West Midlands Local Transport Plan 2011-26 (LTP3) in terms of improving the economy, reducing emissions, reducing road traffic casualties, providing equality of opportunity and improving the local environment. The scheme supports the LEP Strategy for growth by contributing to the principles of ‘Business’ and ‘Place’. The scheme will enhance access and investment opportunities to employment land and it will improve infrastructure that underpins the connectivity of this area and this wider City Centre to Black Country corridor. The scheme, by providing improved connectivity to New Street Gateway, City Centre, Enterprise Zone and Black Country will fully support the LEP’s aim of achieving a transport network with “first class international, national, regional, and local connectivity”. By linking new developments and growth in the Dudley Road corridor to the City Centre and Black Country the scheme will support the LEP’s aim of improving “access to markets and enabling business to better access their customers”. The scheme will reduce transport and business costs by reducing travel time and facilitating easier journeys, as well as provide improved links between jobs and businesses in the City Centre and wider Black Country with those along this section of the Dudley Road. The scheme will improve network performance and thereby support the LEP aim to address “constraints on network performance”. 10 UDP/Local Plan/Core Strategy Other relevant adopted plans/strategies The scheme helps to support and deliver key objectives of the emerging Birmingham Development Plan including: ‘To create a prosperous, successful and enterprising economy with benefits felt by all’ and ‘to provide high quality connections throughout the City and with other places and encourage the increased use of public transport, walking and cycling’. This is achieved by improving accessibility to employment, reducing congestion, improving safety and encouraging investment in this deprived area of the City. The scheme is within the UPD 2005. This section of the A457 Dudley Road forms part of Birmingham’s Strategic Highway Network (SHN). The UPD states that the SHN are the roads that are critical in maintaining good accessibility within the City, be it directly to the City Centre or key areas within the City. The City Council will protect capacity and target investment to increase accessibility along selected elements of the Strategic Highway Network, whilst ensuring a primacy for environmental improvement and road safety. As part of this, within the UPD, in the ‘Improvement Priorities 6.41’ section, section (c) states that the Dudley Road (A457) is an improvement priority: ‘To improve access to the City Centre from the Black Country, and to channel traffic away from residential/shopping areas of Handsworth / Soho Road’. The project supports the Council’s Business Plan 2013+ priorities and Sustainable Community Strategy outcomes to Succeed Economically, Stay Safe and Tackle Inequality and Deprivation. The project supports and is a key contributing factor to the delivery of the Ladyport Development Plan. 8) MARKET DEMAND The Greater Birmingham and Solihull LEP is ambitious in its aim to significantly improve transport infrastructure across the geography during the SEP timeframe as a result of the Local Growth Fund. In preparing the scheme Business Case, evidence to demonstrate strong rationale for interventions was collected. In particular, Birmingham City Council understand that there must be clear solutions that have been built on market failures, support national and regional policy on growth, have been prioritised against alternative options and demonstrate clearly how they will address existing transport issues. The following sections provide an insight into how the scheme along Dudley Road can improve current transport provision within the LEP area, and the rationale for improvement, including: SWOT Analysis; Prioritisation of Options; Rationale Summary. SWOT Analysis In order to appreciate the rationale for the scheme, it is vital to understand existing transport conditions and future opportunities for transport infrastructure. The A457 Dudley Road improvements should overcome existing issues with local transportation, in addition to providing improved access to growth sites. SWOT analysis is an analytical method which is used to identify and categorise significant internal (Strengths and Weaknesses) and external (Opportunities and Threats) factors faced by transport connectivity within the Greater Birmingham and Solihull LEP area. 11 The SWOT analysis provides the context for the scheme and why it is required. It highlights the fact that there are a number of weaknesses with the existing transport infrastructure along the route, and associated threats to delivery. However, the delivery of the improvements will overcome a number of weaknesses in relation to growth and accessibility. In addition, a well managed procurement exercise and delivery phase, allied with a robust monitoring process will ensure that any threats associated with the delivery of the scheme can be mitigated or removed. The following SWOT analysis summary provides an insight into the findings. EXTERNAL P O S I T I V E Existing improvements under way including New Internal connectivity problems along the LEP Street Station rebuild, Midland Metro Extension, strategic routes restrict the ease of movement and Birmingham Airport Runway Extension; and doing business; Central location in the UK with excellent Relatively weak, although improving, rapid transport links, supporting logistics businesses transit network reduces accessibility and mobility and nationally and regionally important facilities; and the attractiveness of alternate modes both HS2 in the longer term will improve the internally and beyond the LEP area; connectivity of the LEP with the rest of the UK High levels of road congestion discourage and Europe; investment; Significant planned growth around the Airport; High propensity for car based travel and lower Development of Enterprise Zone sites and the than average use of cycling and walking Enterprise belt creates significant levels of new compared to national averages; jobs; High levels of deprivation, with many wards of Highest concentration of professionals outside of the LEP falling within the top 10% most deprived the capital; within the UK; The West Midlands has a low carbon economic Much of the LEPs growth plan compromises strategy (‘Connecting to Success’) to make the redevelopment of brownfield land, which suffers Metropolitan Area a Low Carbon Economic from poor connectivity and infrastructure. Area. S W O T Relieve congestion at pinch points along the key route between Birmingham and the Black Country; Removing barriers to growth through accessibility and connectivity improvements Varying levels and sources of funding creates (most notably to Central Birmingham and City uncertainty in projects, affects scope and Hospital); deliverability; Improve social mobility by reducing severance Failure to invest adequately will cause a decline across Dudley Road in areas with high levels of in network availability and reduce the IMD; attractiveness for inward investment; More facilities for pedestrians and cyclists to Failure to provide effective connectivity between ensure safe mobility along and through the centres and to national transport networks limits route; contributions to productivity and economic New investment and development could result recovery; from improved local connectivity and reduced Reduced support through delays to delivery. congestion; Enabling growth through increased highway capacity and associated reduced congestion; Positive impacts on economy, environment and society. INTERNAL N E G A T I V E Prioritisation of Options The method of prioritising options for the scheme depends on the scheme cost. Any option that is classed as a ‘Major Scheme’, over £5m, requires an Option Development process to be covered as outlined by the DfT’s WebTAG guidance modules 2.1.21 and 2.1.32 (Option Development and Further 1 2 http://www.dft.gov.uk/webtag/documents/project-manager/pdf/unit2.1.2c.pdf http://dft.gov.uk/webtag/documents/project-manager/pdf/unit2.1.3c.pdf 12 Appraisal respectively). The Option Development process “sets out the process for identifying, assessing and appraising interventions to address an identified transport need”, whereas the further appraisal requires a higher level of detail to support a more detailed cost estimation and option appraisal. The steps that form the Option Development (steps 1-9) process and Further Appraisal (steps 10-12) are as follows: 1. Understanding the Current Situation. This relates to current policy (transport and otherwise), current travel demand and current opportunities and constrains. 2. Understanding the Future Situation. The second step mirrors the first, but is concerned with future problems rather than the present 3. Establishing the Need for Intervention. This step identifies current and future transport related issues, and their underlying causes. 4. Identifying Objectives and Defining Geographic Scope of Intervention. This builds on the need identified in the previous step to generate a list of desired objectives that any intervention would have. The scope will be defined to limit the objectives to the local area of the transport problem. 5. Generating Options. Bearing in mind step 4, options to solve the transport problem are generated. It is intended this step contains a wide range of measures, which are then narrowed down in later steps. 6. Initial Sifting. This stage is required to identify any ‘showstoppers’; any issues that would prevent an option from progressing through the design process. This ensures all remaining options are sensible and achievable. 7. Development and Assessment of Potential Options. This step involves developing potential options to a level where relative costs, benefits and impacts of the options under consideration can be identified. 8. Produce Option Assessment Report (or similar). The creation of a document outlining the Option Development process. 9. Clarify Appraisal Methodology. Before any remaining options are carried onto Stage 2 (Further Appraisal), the methodology that will be used must be outlined. 10. Undertake Further Appraisal. Further appraisal will be carried out by utilising the evidence-based decision making process and reviewing the five ‘cases’ of the scheme: Strategic, Economic, Financial, Management and Commercial. 11. Public Consultation on Appraised Options. This involves putting the appraised options to a public consultation, before a preferred option is selected. 12. Outputs from the Study. Outputs from the study will be developed to suit the intended audience. The scheme has been prioritised based on the rationale for improvement at the junction. The preferred option is therefore the most suitable in removing existing weaknesses whilst providing new infrastructure for all modes. Rationale Summary There are over 37,000 vehicle journeys along this substandard section of road every day. The junctions and links are very congested for most of the day and in particular there are severe delays in the AM and PM Peak periods which constrict accessibility and investment opportunities. The scheme will open up employment and residential development by improving accessibility, reducing congestion and enhancing the local environment for all road users including pedestrians and cyclists. There is market demand in the area as highlighted by the proposed Icknield Port Development /Lady Port Development Plan.3 9) DELIVERABILITY Details of any previous work undertaken: Concept Study Feasibility Preliminary Design 3 http://www.birmingham.gov.uk/icknieldportloop 13 Detailed Design Risk Register Detailed Work Programme Quantified Risk Assessment Environmental Appraisal Member Approval Commitment of Partners Consultation with key stakeholders Strategic Business Case Business Case with BCR / established VfM case Other (specify) Dependencies & potential risks / barriers to delivery: Land ownership Land is required to enable dualling of these sections of the Dudley Road Corridor. The scheme is designed to minimise the land requirement. To improve deliverability, the land requirement is mainly on the south of the Dudley Road. Land requirements are registered for the section between the Eyre Street junction and Heath Street junctions. A similar requirement is identified for opposite the City Hospital access, to enable the incorporation of a signalled controlled crossing, and to the west of the Icknield Port Road junction. The land requirements would need to be secured in order for the scheme to be delivered. However, there have been previous discussions with land owners as land is subject to existing Highway Improvement Lines. Requirement for CPO Strips of land required for widening are mainly within the City Council’s ownership or are HMPE. However, land in private ownership is required for junction improvements and is occupied by different users including a car dealer, a small garage unit, small work units and a derelict public house. It is anticipated that further to securing scheme funding, negotiations will be concluded in line with the detailed designs. If negotiations are unsuccessful then a CPO would be required. Only following confirmation of funding will it be understood if CPOs are required as engagement with land owners would recommence on securing funding. Land type (e.g. all highways, requires See above. operational rail land, requires currently occupied residential / commercial) Requirement for major statutory None. instruments (e.g. TWA, Side Road Orders etc) Requirement for planning consents None. 14 Known environmental impacts (SSSIs, Previous consultation highlighted that none Heritage sites, Ancient Monuments, green of the agencies had any specific objections belt / parks / allotments / playing fields etc) to the proposals. Once detailed proposals are produced and full environmental assessment is carried out, mitigations will be tackled if needed, as part of the environmental protection requirements. Other Network Rail and Canal and River Trust will need to be involved with assessing the existing rail and canal bridges for alteration and increased traffic volumes, and to coordinate railway and canal possessions if required. The location of Statutory Undertakers’ mains and services has initially been identified with budget estimates, but further detailed cost estimates will be required for relevant diversions. Traffic Regulation Orders will be needed to make some of the proposals effective. Earliest start date on site: January 2018 Approximate duration of scheme: Design & Approvals period: 2½ Years Mobilisation: 1/3 Year Construction: 2/3 Year TOTAL: 3½ Years Summary Delivery Assessment: Overall Deliverability (Tick only one row) Delivery Period 2015/16 to 2019/20 (inclusive) Beyond 2019/20 Highly Deliverable Readily Deliverable No Major Barriers Moderate Delivery Risks Significant Delivery Risks Proposing/delivery agency: Birmingham City Council Partnership Bodies Birmingham City Council’s PFI Highways Contractor Amey will be a partnership body as programming of maintenance work will need to be considered and modified. It is anticipated that the City Council will need to appoint a contractor through the tendering process to deliver the scheme. As specified within the Strategic Economic Plan Initial Guidance4, “The Government recognises that local capacity and strength of existing economic development partnerships will vary, and that some places may need support to move towards a stronger partnership approach to delivering growth and 4 https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/224776/13-1056-growth-deals-initial-guidance-for-localenterprise-partnerships.pdf 15 economic development.” As the scheme involves highway improvements, a strong partnership will need to be made between Birmingham City Council and the Department for Transport (DfT). It is important that Birmingham City Council builds a strong relationship with the business community and public transport operators in order to realise the full benefits of the scheme. The following diagram demonstrates the key partnerships that will be required in order to deliver the scheme. Promoter Birmingham City Council Private Sector Centro Public Transport Operators Black Country Adjacent LEPs Landowners DfT Network Rail Canal and River Trust Government Bodies 10) COSTS / FUNDING Cost: Specific estimate if available £5-15m £15-30m £30-50m £50-100m £100-200m £200m+ Unknown at this stage £30,004,000 16 Proposed sources of funding: Source Contribution Approx % 13.5% ** 75% 11.5% ** LTP Local Growth Fund (through SEP) CIL Highways Agency Network Rail Regional Growth Fund Local Authority (e.g. Prudential Borrowing / asset release) Transport Operator Private Sector Other (specify if known) ** Note: It is anticipated that the total proposed Local Contribution of 25% is made up of LTP and CIL funding. 11) ECONOMIC OUTCOMES / IMPACT Economic Structure & Productivity: Tick one box for each row only Large / Moderate Slight Neutral High Beneficial Beneficial Beneficial Business efficiency Business investment Labour Market Efficiencies Links to national transport networks & international gateways Slight Adverse Moderate Large / Adverse High Adverse Provide a brief bullet point justification for any areas of economic impact on which the scheme is likely to have something other than a neutral impact: Business efficiency Business investment Labour market efficiencies Links to national transport networks and international gateways Reduced congestion, improved access to jobs and training opportunities for local people. Facilitates investment and redevelopment in the local and wider area. Improves access to jobs and training opportunities for local people particularly from more deprived areas, including by public transport. Reduces congestion on a main route into Birmingham City Centre, including to New Street Gateway and possible HS2 station. 17 Economic Exclusion: Tick one box for each row only Large / Moderate Slight Neutral High Beneficial Beneficial Beneficial Benefits to areas with high Indices of Multiple Deprivation Justification / evidence Slight Adverse Moderate Large / Adverse High Adverse The wards surrounding the Dudley Road are revealed within the highest 5% deprived areas while the income is evaluated to be some 15% lower than the Birmingham average It is anticipated that the improvements to the transport network allied with improved public transport options, that the income levels, economic activity and qualifications in the area will be improved, while deprivation will be reduced. Impact if nothing is done: Accessibility to key employment sites (including the City Centre and local community facilities) will not be improved. Investment will not be attracted to this deprived area of the city. Congestion will impact on the wider economic growth of this corridor between Birmingham and the Black Country. Environmental and public realm improvements for the local residents will not be achieved. 18 12) WebTAG APPRAISAL Tick one box for each row only Large / Moderate Slight Neutral High Beneficial Beneficial Beneficial Slight Adverse Moderate Large / Adverse High Adverse Economic (Note: VfM: Low = 0>1.4, Medium 1.5 > 2.0, High 2.0+) Transport Economic Efficiency (VfM) Reliability Wider Economic Benefits Environment Noise Local Air Quality Greenhouse Gasses Landscape / Townscape Heritage Biodiversity Water Environment Social Physical Fitness Journey Quality Accidents Security Access to Services Affordability Severance Option Values To summarise the appraisal above, the impact the A457 Dudley Road scheme will have on the three categories is detailed below: Economy Environment Social Reduces congestion and facilitates redevelopment opportunities in the local area. Some benefits to noise and air quality from reduced congestion. Creates opportunities to improve local access and road safety, and to reduce severance, by improving pedestrian routes and crossing facilities. 19 13) THE FINANCIAL CASE – PROJECT COSTS Table A: Funding Profile (Nominal terms) £000s Earlier 2015/16 2016/17 years LGF funding 0 0 6,499 sought Local Authority 545 723 812 contribution Third Party 0 723 812 contribution TOTAL 545** 1,446 8,123 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 Total 11,129 3,912 871 22,411 1,391 489 109 4,069 1,391 489 109 3,524 13,911 4,890 1,088 30,004 * For future schemes beyond 2019/20, please provide addition spreadsheet cost profile. ** Costs before 2015/16 include £545k spent to date. Table B: Cost Estimates Cost heading Cost (£000s) Land Statutory Undertakers Roadworks General Main Carriageway Signs and Lighting Landscape and Ecology Roadworks Structures Preliminaries Traffic Management Restricted Working Hours Design and Supervision TOTAL 7,248 10,906 1,989 3,445 1,316 32 480 1,452 871 719 1,546 30,004 Date estimated Feb 2014 Feb 2014 Feb 2014 Feb 2014 Feb 2014 Feb 2014 Feb 2014 Feb 2014 Feb 2014 Feb 2014 Feb 2014 Status (e.g. target price) Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate For full cost details, refer to Appendix D. 14) THE FINANCIAL CASE – AFFORDABILITY AND FINANCIAL RISK Birmingham City Council has identified a number of risks associated with the delivery of the scheme, within the following areas: Political Risk; Management Risk; Delivery Risk; Stakeholder Risk; Structural Risk; Funding Risk; and Environmental Risk. A quantified risk assessment can be found in Appendix E, and is discussed in more detail in Section 17F. The vast majority of risks identified relate to either delay to scheme delivery or increased costs. The project cost includes Optimism Bias of 44%, which provides a relevant level of contingency based on the stage at which the project has already been developed. It is therefore envisaged that the Optimism Bias includes any additional costs associated with the risk elements set out in Appendix E. Robust project and risk management procedures will be implemented by Birmingham City Council to minimise the likelihood and scale of cost overruns. However, if cost overruns occur due to unforeseen circumstances, these will be funded by the City Council. 20 The risk register and Quantified Risk Assessment details the financial implications of each risk occurring, and the associated mitigating actions. The following table demonstrates a selection of key financial risks associated with the delivery of the scheme, the associated consequences and mitigation where required: Risk Operational Risk Risk Event Consequences Operating costs vary from budget, performance standards slip or the service cannot be provided. Additional revenue would be required in the longer term. Actual inflation differs from assumed inflation rates. Additional costs required to deliver completed scheme. Failure to secure necessary contributions from partners. Lower than expected funding, with further importance placed upon the LPP fund. Project costs are underestimated Costs overrun. Uncertainty of the value of physical assets at the end of the contract. Long term reduction in asset value. Inflation Risk Contributions Costing Residual Value Risk Mitigation 1. Develop detailed operation schedules; 2. Identify service performance standards before additional services are contracted. 1. Develop robust financial forecasts; 2. Adjust forecasts to account for any predicted rate change. 1. Ensure funding from diverse range of sources; 2. Continued engagement with partners. 1. Detailed design and robust costing; 2. Contingency fund implemented. Identify value of junction upgrades and possible depreciation at initial design stage. Birmingham City Council understands that the level of investment from the Local Growth Fund will be capped at £22.4 million for this scheme, and any cost overruns will be sourced through the city council funded element of the project. 15) THE ECONOMIC CASE – VALUE FOR MONEY The following sections provide description and analysis of the economic impact of the scheme, including: Significant positive and negative impacts; A description of the key risks and uncertainties; and A short description of the modelling approach used to forecast the impact of the scheme and the checks that have been undertaken to determine that it is fit for purpose. Local Impacts Improved connectivity between the city centre and the Black Country will result in improved access to opportunity for those living to the west of central Birmingham, which has some of the city-region’s most disadvantaged communities. The dense urban fabric has undergone a process of remodelling, seeking to reduce journey times, improve journey reliability and connect areas of workforce demand in the city centre with areas of labour supply in the western suburbs. This process continues, with the Dudley Road project forming part of the wider process with potential benefits for local residents and city centre businesses. In addition, the scheme will provide direct access for several housing and business redevelopment locations, unlocking localised economic growth, and also unlock growth between LEP geography’s through improved interconnectivity. 21 Modelling Approach Saturn Model The original Value for Money Economic Case was developed as part of a 2004 Major Scheme Bid for Dudley Road Improvements. The objectives assessed include: Environment (covering: noise, greenhouse gases, landscape, townscape, heritage of historic resources, biodiversity, water environment, physical fitness, journey ambience); Safety (covering: accidents and security); Economy (covering Transport Economic Efficiency: Business Users & Transport Providers, reliability, wider economic impacts); Accessibility (covering: option values, severance, access to the transport system) and Integration (covering: Transport Interchange, Land-Use policy and Other Government Policies). A Saturn Model was used to forecast the impact of the scheme as part of the development of the original 2004 major scheme business case and this has been checked through a calibration and validation report. Further information from the 2004 Major Scheme Bid document and Calibration and Validation Report of the Model is available if required. TUBA Evaluation TUBA economic evaluation was conducted using the time and distance skims from the Dudley Road Saturn model, including the Do-Minimum and Do-Something scenarios for an opening year 2020 and forecast year 2035 for the AM and PM peak hour time periods. Annualisation factors were applied to the AM and PM peak model outputs by examining traffic profiles for a typical weekday. Economic Appraisal In order to forecast the impact of the scheme on a number of quantitative indicators, economic appraisal software was used in accordance with the DfT’s guidance in Unit 3.5 of WebTAG. The following scheme and input data (with associated assumptions) were used to calculate the benefits over a 60 year period: Benefits were based on traffic data from 2020 (opening year) to 2079, covering a 60 year period; The Saturn model used to input the economic appraisal represents AM (8am to 9am) and PM (5pm to 6pm) peak hours. Using the number of working days in a year and local traffic data, annualisation factors of 671 in the AM peak and 729 in the PM peak were used; Scheme construction to occur between 2017 and 2020; Traffic data split into 4 user classes (Car, HGV, Bus Driver and Bus Passenger); and Net Present Value is discounted to 2010, in 2010 prices. The TUBA input and output files are provided in Appendix G. In summary, the scheme would provide the following economic benefits: Economic Efficiency – Consumer Users Economic Efficiency – Business Users Accident Benefits Carbon Benefits Net Present Value of Benefits (PVB) Broad Transport Budget Wider Public Finances Net Present Value of Costs (PVC) Overall Impact Net Present Value (NPV) Benefit to Cost Ratio (BCR) Benefits (£000’s) 33,116 18,792 n/a 1,486 49,723 24,421 3,671 24,421 25,302 2.036 The results suggest that the scheme will have significant benefits for all users and will deliver a Benefit to Cost Ratio of 2.04. These benefits can be associated with a number of key indicators, including reduced congestion and journey time, improved accessibility and unlocking growth throughout west Birmingham. 22 An Appraisal Summary Table has been provided as Appendix I to support the economic appraisal of the scheme, including the impacts on the economy, the local environment and society. Where possible, the impacts have been quantified. In addition, the scheme economic impact has been examined without optimism bias. The result of this examination suggests that the Net Present Value could increase to £31.61m, with a Benefit to Cost Ratio of 2.75. 16) THE COMMERCIAL CASE Procurement Overview and Strategic Approach The overall responsibility for delivery of the A457 Dudley Road Improvement scheme, including the appointment of consultants, contractors and delivery partners will lie with Birmingham City Council as the lead Authority. This will be undertaken in accordance with the use of a competitive tender process in line with the procedure for quotations set out in Sections 3.1 and 3.2 of Standing Orders relating to Contracts and wider procurement processes. The appropriate procurement processes will be selected to enable delivery of the proposed scheme in the most efficient way that delivers maximum value for money within the resources available. This means that, where appropriate, existing procurement mechanisms and / or existing proven competent framework suppliers will be used to accelerate delivery. This will enable us to the start the implementation process quickly and will significantly reduce the likelihood of early delays in the delivery programme that could impact on delivery of the scheme as a whole. Infrastructure Procurement Outline Approach Building on the City Council’s record of successful delivery of large and complex highway and transport-related capital projects and programmes, internal resources will be used for the design and contract administration of schemes where available. However, external consultants are likely to be appointed to deliver a significant proportion of the detailed design and implementation work, with the City Council providing a programme management and monitoring role. Design Stage Where available, design work will be carried out using the City Council’s own resources. However, it is anticipated that much of the detailed design work will be carried out by external consultants under the control of the Project Management Team, which will be staffed by senior, experienced Council Officers. It is intended that the design stage will be procured under the Homes and Communities Agency’s framework contract which is already widely used by the City Council to procure consultants for works on the highway. Highway Works During the first quarter of 2014, a new Highway Infrastructure Framework Contract will be put in place. The new contract is being developed specifically to allow for the entire highway elements needed for the programme. In ensuring value for money from capital investments Birmingham recognises the need to provide for the long term maintenance and management of all new infrastructure. To this end, our long term, strategic partnership with Amey for the maintenance and management of the city’s highways and related infrastructure meets this objective. All designs for proposed infrastructure will be assessed for maintainability by Amey in line with the City Council’s code of practice. This will guarantee that all materials and construction details are robust and capable of being cost effectively maintained. It will also ensure that the positioning and layout of features fits well with existing infrastructure, enabling accessibility for maintenance operations in a safe and efficient manner, whilst reducing the potential for traffic disruption during maintenance. 23 17) THE MANAGEMENT CASE A: DELIVERY Refer to Appendix H for the initial project plan. The plan includes tasks and associated timeframes covering the following key elements: Full Business Case development; Land preparation; Tendering process; Contractor appointment; Detailed Design; Construction; and Completion. B: CONSTRUCTION MILESTONES Table C: Construction Milestones Start of works Completion of Works Completion of Programme inc Final Accounts Opening date Estimated Date January 2017 End of September 2017 March 2018 June 2018 C: PREVIOUS DELIVERY PERFORMANCE The following major transport schemes have been successfully delivered by Birmingham City Council in the last 5 years: Scheme Cost To Time (Y/N) To budget Comments (Y/N) Delivered: Selly Oak Link Road £63m Yes Yes £19m Yes No Northfield Relief Road In delivery*: New Street Gateway (in partnership with Network Rail) Metro Extension (in partnership with Centro) Chester Road (sole lead) Additional DfT contribution provided to cover shortfall in S106 contribution Contractor’s claim £600m Under construction £127m Under construction £10m Full approval D: STATUTORY POWERS AND CONSENTS The Council, in carrying out transportation, highway and infrastructure related work, will do so under the relevant primary legislation comprising the Highways Act 1980; Road Traffic Regulation Act 1984; Traffic Management Act 2004; and Transport Act 2000; Local Government (Miscellaneous Provisions) Act 1976; Countryside and Rights of Way Act 2000 and other related regulations, instructions, directives and general guidance. Procurement will be undertaken in accordance with standing orders and financial regulations. Grant will be provided in accordance with Section 31 of the Local Government Act 2003. Consent would be sought if required from Network Rail and Canal & River Trust to carry out works on structures over their assets. 24 E: GOVERNANCE Birmingham’s Local Growth Fund schemes will be managed at a senior level by a Project Board consisting of the Executive, Senior User, Finance and Contractor. For Dudley Road Improvements, the Executive will be Paul Dransfield (Deputy Chief Executive) and the Senior User will be John Blakemore (Director of Highways and Resilience). Finance will be represented by John Warlow (Director of Corporate Finance). These three Birmingham City Council Directors will be joined by a senior member of the contractor’s team. The Project Board will meet with predefined regularity and together they will be responsible for project control. They will make decisions within the scope of Cabinet approval and were appropriate decisions on any minor scope alterations. Any exceptional decisions, including decisions outside of the approved scope of the scheme, will be referred to the relevant Cabinet Member and if necessary the full Cabinet. Cabinet Lead Cabinet Member Project Board Executive Senior User Finance Senior Supplier Deputy Chief Executive, Paul Dransfield Director of Highways and Resilience, John Blakemore Director of Corporate Finance, Jon Warlow Contractor Project Assurance Project Manager Design Procurement Construction Engagement & Consultation Public Finance & Funds Stakeholders The Project Manager will manage the project, tracking progress against scope, time and budget. They will give direction to officers across the authority with a specific role in delivering the project, meeting with each area regularly to ensure any risks or issues are identified and providing challenge were needed. They will also report to the Board on a regular basis, escalating any issues for discussion or decisions outside of their remit. Members of the project team will work together to deliver the project, ensuring a joined up approach. The engagement & consultation section of the project team will engage with key stakeholders as well as conduct public consultation. This will be used to inform decision making across the project. Two well established officer groups within the authority, the Transport Delivery Group (TDG) and Transport & Street Services Group (TSSG), will provide project assurance. They will scrutinise delivery, finances and procedures, providing challenge to the Project Manager and Project Board and recommendations for improvements where appropriate. F: RISK MANAGEMENT A Risk Register has been completed for the Dudley Road Improvement scheme (see Appendix E). The register covers many aspects of the planning, design and construction processes, and will be updated on a regular basis during scheme progression. The register currently includes 69 risks, associated with the following key themes: Scheme development; Implementation; 25 Project management; Scheme approval and funding; Procurement and deliver; and Construction. Each of the risks has been assessed against the probability of incurred delays or additional costs, as explained within the Risk Management Strategy (see Appendix F). Quantified Risk Assessment The Quantified Risk Assessment (QRA) demonstrates that the number and extent of risks involved result in the following P50 values: 10 weeks delay to the existing programme; and £367k additional costs incurred by the end of the project. However, it is envisaged that a number of risks will be reduced significantly as the scheme progresses towards construction. Has a QRA been appended to your bid? Yes No Has a Risk Management Strategy been appended to your bid? Yes No A full QRA and Risk Management Strategy can be found at Appendix E and F respectively. G: STAKEHOLDER MANAGEMENT The following diagram and table illustrates Birmingham City Council’s analysis of key stakeholders for the scheme. The diagram indicates each stakeholder’s level of interest and influence over the scheme. The table then ranks those stakeholders in order of importance and details their interest in the scheme alongside BCC’s strategy for engagement. INFLUENCE Centro Bus Operators Utilities Police Rail operators Landowners Local residents Amey HMMPFI INTEREST Network Rail Canal & River Trust Environment Agency Other emergency services 26 Importance rank 1 Stakeholder Influence Interest Centro High Interface of improvements public transport 2 Bus operators High 3 Utilities High 4 Landowners High 7 Local Residents Med-high 6 Police Med-high 9 Network Rail Medium 10 Canal & River Low Trust Environment Low Agency 11 12 Other emergency Med-low services Strategy the Consult on scheme with designs and hold regular update meetings to keep informed of work progress. Impact on their services Consult on scheme of proposed junction designs and hold alterations and traffic regular update management meetings to keep arrangements whilst informed of work works take place progress. Proposed scheme will Consult on scheme require the protection designs. Initiate and/or movement of regular update some infrastructure. meetings to ensure any risks or issues are identified and resolved. Commission a stat undertakers assessment. Changes to surrounding Consult on designs land and any potential and keep informed. impacts on their land Traffic management Consult on designs. arrangements whilst Hold public meeting. works take place, Keep informed impacts of junction through local media improvements and and website. potential changes to bus routes Proposed junction Keep informed of alterations and traffic project works and management schedule. arrangements whilst works take place Any potential impact on Keep informed. their services Any potential impacts on Consult on designs local waterways and keep informed. Any potential impacts on Keep informed. surrounding land and waterways Proposed junction Keep informed. alterations and traffic management arrangements whilst works take place Can the scheme be considered as controversial in any way? Yes No The scale of the scheme could be considered as controversial, although in principle it is recognised that improvements are needed along this section of the A457 Dudley Road, which is why the existing HILs 27 were introduced in order to protect land for the scheme. However, representations might be received from individual landowners who have land affected by the HILs who we would need to acquire land from in order to deliver the scheme. Have there been any external campaigns either supporting or opposing the scheme? Yes No 18: MONITORING, EVALUATION AND BENEFITS REALISATION A: BENEFITS REALISATION The purpose of benefit evaluation is to determine whether the A457 Dudley Road Improvement scheme has been successful in achieving its intended goals. It will also assist in understanding the scheme’s impacts to enable meaningful feedback to take place. A monitoring plan should be developed for the scheme to clearly define the scope, context and rationale for the monitoring. It will set out objectives, presenting input, output and outcome monitoring, highlighting indicators to be used. Scheme Objectives Scheme objectives help to define the scope of the monitoring and evaluation required. The application identifies the following objectives, which address two key LEP strategic enablers, for the evaluation of the Dudley Road Improvement scheme. Objectives 1 Improve journey time reliability along Dudley Road 2 Improve safety along Dudley Road 3 Improve reliability of public transport 4 Remove barriers to growth, job creation and economic development 5 Reduce severance and social exclusion 6 Cater for the increased transport demand which will accompany economic development Logic Map Based upon the objectives of the Dudley Road Improvement scheme a logic map has be prepared in support of this application and is shown in Appendix J. Logic mapping assists in the clarification of what is being delivered, the anticipated outcomes and the opportunities for monitoring. The process therefore plays a crucial role in the development of a Monitoring Plan. The logic map outlines the objectives for the schemes, developed to address two of the strategic enablers set out in the LEP Strategy for Growth. It links inputs/outputs with the outcomes that can be derived from the scheme. It is anticipated that the logic map will be reviewed and updated as baseline monitoring is developed. Inputs, Outputs and Outcomes The logic map has been used to identify and illustrate the contribution of the improvements measures to the overall objectives derived for the schemes. They can also be used to develop indication sets, focused around the delivery of the scheme and an understanding of available data sets. Scheme Inputs The Department for Transport’s (DfT) Monitoring and Evaluation Framework, published in December 2012, presented the following definition of Inputs: “Inputs are the resources which are invested in implementing the project. This includes the Department’s and local contribution funding, but also human resources such as the time invested, skills required and other inputs, such as equipment, technology and research.” Historically the collection and reporting of inputs within transportation monitoring has focused on the first two elements of the above, namely the financial (funding) investment and the human resources 28 used. In the logic map, inputs are shown as the financial investments. From the strategic case standpoint, labour and other associated inputs have not been shown on the logic map. Scheme Outputs In the context of the DfT requirements, outputs should be monitored for each scheme element as a mechanism to enable the analysis of project delivery. Outcome reporting also enables project teams to quantify precisely what has been delivered and thereby identify lessons learned and best practice. The outputs are shown to the left of centre on the logic map. Scheme Outcomes A critical decision to be made in developing a robust yet proportional Monitoring Plan, is the extent of outcome monitoring. The logic map prepared highlights a range of first, second and third order outcomes considered likely to result from investment. Another way of considering first, second and third order changes is to present them as scheme specific, network and wider area outcomes. The derivation of simple key indicators for each scheme objective aims to capture the impacts fully, but without waste. The use of SMART (Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Realistic and Time scaled) indicators, where appropriate, will enable Birmingham City Council to draw accurate comparisons over time. B: MONITORING AND EVALUATION It is important that the measurement of change can be related back to the scheme objectives and beyond that, to the overall vision for the scheme – a contributor to the wider Birmingham Development Plan. Monitoring and data collection is intended to be synchronised with wider Council data collection where possible, to be undertaken at regular intervals, associated with LTP and wider planning exercises. Evaluation is envisaged as being a formal process, with a medium to long term aspiration to unlock growth, ensuring the potential local and regional benefits of the A457 Dudley Road Improvement scheme are fully realised in a timely manner. As part of the evaluation of the impact of the scheme, three phases are intended: 1. 2. 3. Data collection; Evaluation of collected data for technical assessment; and Benefit realisation. The following key indicators will assist in evaluating the scheme outputs against its overarching objectives: 29 Scheme Outcome Increased capacity of Dudley Road Indicator Average delay and queue length along Dudley Road Reduced delay and improved journey times Journey times through local network Improved journey times for buses Bus journey times through local network Improved and safer pedestrian facilities NO2 levels at existing monitoring sites Accident numbers Pedestrian numbers Improved and safer cycling facilities NO2 levels at existing monitoring sites Accident numbers Cyclist numbers Reduced severance caused by previous road Number of pedestrians and cyclists design crossing Dudley Road Improved safety along Dudley Road Accident numbers along Dudley Road Journey ambiance improvements Journey times through local network (all modes) Caters for increased transport demand The degree of saturation along Dudley Road More reliable bus services Bus reliability studies Increased use of sustainable travel modes Modal share studies along Dudley Road Reduction in CO2 emissions Co2 levels at monitoring sites Improved air quality AQMA site data Increased attractiveness for businesses and Development area utilised by businesses social enterprise ventures Improved accessibility to Accessibility studies skills/employment/services Employment rate Indices of Multiple Deprivation Removed barriers to growth, job creation and Development area utilised by businesses economic development Employment rate GVA of Soho, Ladywood and Birmingham Indices of Multiple Deprivation Reduced severance and social exclusion Employment rate GVA of Soho, Ladywood and Birmingham Indices of Multiple Deprivation The main conclusions will inform the benefit realisation. There is a close relationship between evaluation and realisation tasks. While the former is a series of activities which may be carried out by third party observers, the latter has been integrated into scheme development from inception and will be reflected in the design and management of the project. 19) EQUALITY ANALYSIS Has any Equality Analysis been undertaken in line with the Equality Duty? Yes No 30 20) Senior Responsible Owner Declaration As Senior Responsible Owner for Dudley Road Improvements, I hereby submit this request for Local Growth Fund allocation on behalf of Birmingham City Council and confirm that I have the necessary authority to do so. Name: Philip Edwards Signed: Position: Transportation Programmes Manager 31
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz