Safety Evaluation of Billboard Advertisements on Driver Behavior in Work Zones A thesis presented to the faculty of the Russ College of Engineering and Technology of Ohio University In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree Master of Science Patrick J. Fry May 2013 © 2013 Patrick J. Fry. All Rights Reserved. 2 This thesis titled Safety Evaluation of Billboard Advertisements on Driver Behavior in Work Zones by PATRICK J. FRY has been approved for the Department of Civil Engineering and the Russ College of Engineering and Technology by Deborah S. McAvoy Associate Professor of Civil Engineering Dennis Irwin Dean, Russ College of Engineering and Technology 3 ABSTRACT FRY, PATRICK J., M.S., May 2013, Civil Engineering Safety Evaluation of Billboard Advertisements on Driver Behavior in Work Zones (207 pp.) Director of Thesis: Deborah S. McAvoy While the number of fatal crashes occurring in work zones has been declining over the last few years, work zone safety is still considered to be a nationwide priority. Recently, a work zone safety campaign consisting primarily of billboard advertisements was found to be ineffective. Thus, a two-phase study was performed to determine how the billboards could be improved to communicate more effectively the campaign’s safety message to the public. The first phase consisted of a public opinion survey designed to determine the preferred background and text color combination for the advertisement. Survey responses were evaluated through statistical analyses and a yellow background with black text is recommended for use in future campaign billboards. The second phase consisted of a driving simulator study to examine the slogans and graphics used in the advertisement along with the placement and orientation of the billboard with respect to the driver. Driving performance and glance behaviors of the participants were monitored throughout the simulated drive to determine what effect the billboards had on their behavior. Based on statistical analyses of driving performance, no elements of the billboard advertisements were found to improve safety on the roadway. Glance behaviors were found to be significantly impacted by the presence of an advertisement, but were not impacted by any particular element. Furthermore, as drivers made long glances to the 4 billboards their ability to maintain lane position was negatively impacted. Ultimately, billboard advertisements should be used alongside other approaches to improve work zone safety through an effective campaign. 5 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I would first like to express my sincere gratitude to my advisor, Dr. Deborah McAvoy, for her continued support and encouragement throughout my Master of Science program and into my professional career. I would not have succeeded in my graduate studies without her guidance. Next, I would like to thank my committee members, Dr. Eric Steinberg, Dr. Sang-Soo Kim, and Dr. Natalie Kruse Daniels, for their time and assistance with the completion of my thesis research. I would also like to thank my fellow researchers in the ORITE Safety and Human Factors Facility for their help in processing the data throughout this research. Finally, I would like to thank my family, fiancée, and friends for their constant love, encouragement, and support throughout my graduate and professional careers. 6 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Abstract ............................................................................................................................... 3 Acknowledgments............................................................................................................... 5 List of Tables ...................................................................................................................... 8 List of Figures ................................................................................................................... 10 Chapter 1: Introduction ..................................................................................................... 11 Chapter 2: Background ..................................................................................................... 14 2.1 Impact of Speeds in Work Zones ............................................................................ 14 2.2 Evaluating Safety Campaigns ................................................................................. 18 2.3 Use of Billboards in Safety Campaigns .................................................................. 22 2.4 Safety of Billboards ................................................................................................ 26 2.4.1 Impact on Glance Behavior ............................................................................. 26 2.4.2 Impact on Driving Performance ....................................................................... 37 Chapter 3: Public Survey Study ........................................................................................ 43 Chapter 4: Driving Simulator Study ................................................................................. 52 4.1 Selection of Methodology....................................................................................... 52 4.2 Research Equipment Used ...................................................................................... 53 4.3 Institutional Review Board Process ........................................................................ 55 4.4 Design of Scenarios ................................................................................................ 57 4.4.1 Scenario #1 – Slogans ...................................................................................... 58 4.4.1 Scenario #2 – Graphics .................................................................................... 62 4.4.2 Scenario #3 – Placement and Orientation ........................................................ 63 4.5 Study Procedure ...................................................................................................... 65 4.6 Data Collection ....................................................................................................... 73 4.7 Sample Size Determination .................................................................................... 80 4.7.1 Determination for Speed .................................................................................. 81 4.7.2 Determination for Lane Position ...................................................................... 83 4.7.3 Determination for Acceleration and Deceleration ........................................... 84 4.7.4 Determination for Mean Fixation and Total Fixation ...................................... 85 7 4.7.5 Determination for Number of Fixations........................................................... 88 4.7.6 Determination for Proportion of Fixation Duration ......................................... 89 4.7.7 Final Sample Size Determination .................................................................... 91 Chapter 5: Statistical Methodology .................................................................................. 93 5.1 Statistical Tests for Public Survey Study ................................................................ 93 5.2 Statistical Tests for Driving Simulator Study ......................................................... 97 Chapter 6: Results ........................................................................................................... 111 6.1 Public Survey Study.............................................................................................. 111 6.1.1 Increase Awareness of Work Zones............................................................... 114 6.1.2 Increase Caution in Work Zones .................................................................... 118 6.1.3 Billboard Seen Best in Daylight .................................................................... 123 6.1.3 Billboard Seen Best at Nighttime .................................................................. 126 6.1.4 Overview of the Statistical Analyses of Survey Responses ........................... 130 6.2 Driving Simulator Study ....................................................................................... 131 6.2.1 Scenario #1 – Slogans .................................................................................... 134 6.2.2 Scenario #2 – Graphics .................................................................................. 142 6.2.3 Scenario #3 – Placement and Orientation ...................................................... 146 6.2.4 Impact of Long Glances on Safety ................................................................. 148 Chapter 7: Conclusions ................................................................................................... 152 7.1 Public Survey Study.............................................................................................. 152 7.2 Driving Simulator Study ....................................................................................... 155 7.3 Recommendations for Future Research ................................................................ 162 References ....................................................................................................................... 164 Appendix A: Public Survey Study Materials .................................................................. 169 Appendix B: IRB Documents ......................................................................................... 173 Appendix C: Billboard Advertisements Used in Simulator Study ................................. 200 Appendix D: Results of the Games-Howell Tests on the Data Collected in the Driving Simulator Study .............................................................................................................. 204 8 LIST OF TABLES Page Table 1: Background and text color combinations used in surveys.................................. 44 Table 2: Slogans used in Scenario #1 ............................................................................... 59 Table 3: Placement and orientation combinations used in Scenario #3 ............................ 63 Table 4: Initial sample size determination for speed ........................................................ 82 Table 5: Initial sample size determination for lane position ............................................. 83 Table 6: Initial sample size determination for acceleration .............................................. 85 Table 7: Initial sample size determination for mean fixation ........................................... 87 Table 8: Initial sample size determination for total fixation ............................................. 87 Table 9: Initial sample size determination for number of fixations .................................. 89 Table 10: Initial sample size determination for proportion of fixation duration .............. 90 Table 11: Summary of initial sample size determination ................................................. 91 Table 12: Results of z-test for total population on increased awareness of work zones 115 Table 13: Results of z-test by age group for increased awareness of work zones .......... 115 Table 14: Results of z-test by gender for increased awareness of work zones ............... 116 Table 15: Results of z-test by driving experience for increased awareness of work zones ......................................................................................................................................... 116 Table 16: Results of z-test by knowledge of rules for increased awareness of work zones ......................................................................................................................................... 118 Table 17: Results of z-test for total population on increased caution in work zones ..... 119 Table 18: Results of z-test by age group for increased caution in work zones ............... 120 Table 19: Results of z-test by gender for increased caution in work zones .................... 120 Table 20: Results of z-test by driving experience for increased caution in work zones . 121 Table 21: Results of z-test by knowledge of rules for increased awareness of work zones ......................................................................................................................................... 123 Table 22: Results of z-test for total population on billboard seen best in daylight ........ 124 Table 23: Results of z-test by age group for billboard seen best in daylight .................. 124 Table 24: Results of z-test by gender for billboard seen best in daylight ....................... 125 Table 25: Results of z-test by driving experience for billboard seen best in daylight .... 125 Table 26: Results of z-test for total population on billboard seen best at nighttime ...... 127 Table 27: Results of z-test by age group for billboard seen best at nighttime ................ 128 Table 28: Results of z-test by gender for billboard seen best at nighttime ..................... 128 Table 29: Results of z-test by driving experience for billboard seen best at nighttime .. 129 Table 30: Results of the one-way ANOVA tests on driver behavior in Pre-Work Zone of Scenario #1...................................................................................................................... 135 Table 31: Results of the one-way ANOVA tests on driver behavior in Advanced Warning Area of Scenario #1 ........................................................................................................ 139 Table 32: Results of the one-way ANOVA tests on driver behavior in Work Zone of Scenario #1...................................................................................................................... 140 Table 33: Results of the one-way ANOVA tests on driver behavior in Pre-Work Zone of Scenario #2...................................................................................................................... 143 9 Table 34: Results of the one-way ANOVA tests on driver behavior in Advanced Warning Area of Scenario #2 ........................................................................................................ 145 Table 35: Results of the one-way ANOVA tests on driver behavior in Work Zone of Scenario #2...................................................................................................................... 146 Table 36: Results of the one-way ANOVA tests on driver behavior in approaching the billboards in Scenario #3 ................................................................................................ 147 Table 37: Results of the one-way ANOVA tests on total variation in lane position while participants were glancing at the billboards by scenario ................................................ 150 10 LIST OF FIGURES Page Figure 1. Billboard advertisement used in Cleveland. ..................................................... 43 Figure 2. Driving simulator located in ORITE Safety and Human Factors Facility. ....... 54 Figure 3. Sample billboard advertisement used in Scenario #1. ...................................... 60 Figure 4. Work zone configuration used in Scenario #1. ................................................. 61 Figure 5. Example of a face model created using the faceLab 5 eye-tracking system..... 70 Figure 6. Public survey responses by age group. ........................................................... 112 Figure 7. Proportions for the total population on increased awareness of work zones. . 114 Figure 8. Proportions for the total population on increased caution in work zones. ...... 119 Figure 9. Proportions for the total population on billboard seen best in daylight. ......... 123 Figure 10. Proportions for the total population on billboard seen best at nighttime. ..... 127 Figure 11. Mean values for lane position in the Pre-Work Zone of Scenario #1. .......... 137 Figure 12. Mean values for number of fixations in the Pre-Work Zone of Scenario #1. 138 Figure 13. Results of post-test questionnaire on recalling the slogans used. ................. 141 11 CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION Currently, the emphasis in roadway construction is to conduct maintenance and rehabilitation on existing roadways rather than construct new roadways. Consequently, there are an increased number of work zones present on the roadways. Work zones are put in place in order to guide drivers through a set of roadway conditions which they would typically not expect to encounter. As a result of these unexpected conditions, there is an increased safety risk for both drivers and construction workers. During 2011, there were 530 fatal crashes that occurred in work zones nationwide (1). Comparatively, there were 586 and 680 fatal crashes that occurred in work zones across the nation during 2010 and 2009, respectively (1). While this data indicates that the total number of fatal crashes in work zones has been decreasing over the last few years, work zone safety is still considered to be a nationwide priority. Work zone safety is an issue that is important to many entities that comprise our roadway systems; from the drivers on the roadway, to the workers in the work zones, to the transportation officials funding the construction projects. In 2005, through research sponsored by the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO) and the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA), the National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP) Report 500 (Volume 17) was released. This report outlined guidelines for how to reduce crashes in work zones and contained six primary objectives for such (2). These objectives cover various approaches for improving safety in work zones such as decreasing the impact of work zones on the roadway and improving the traffic control devices used in work zones. Of particular interest to this 12 research is the objective on approaches for increasing public awareness of work zones. One of the main approaches outlined for achieving this objective is a safety awareness campaign such as the National Work Zone Awareness Week. The first National Work Zone Awareness Week was held in April 2000 as a joint effort between the FHWA, AASHTO, and the American Traffic Safety Services Association (ATSSA) (3). The primary purpose of this campaign was to increase nationwide public awareness regarding the issue of work zone safety through a large coordinated event. The National Work Zone Awareness Week is still an event ongoing today with the next event scheduled for April 15-19, 2013 (4). Additional work zone safety campaigns are conducted throughout the year at the local level by various groups including individual state Departments of Transportation and local construction organizations. These campaigns typically focus on advocating the campaign’s safety message through slogans. Recently in Ohio, a work zone safety campaign using the slogan “Look Up, Hang Up, and Go Slow for the Cone Zone” was conducted by the Ohio Department of Transportation in order to communicate to drivers the increased risk of distracted driving while in work zones (3). Media used in this safety campaign included displaying posters at rest areas and transmitting the campaign slogan on electronic message boards located along the major highways. Additional media which are typically used in local-level work zone safety campaigns include broadcasting advertisements on the television, radio, newspaper, and internet, as well as placing advertisements on billboards and transit vehicles. 13 In 2010, the Laborers’ Local 860 in Cleveland, Ohio conducted a work zone safety campaign that primarily consisted of billboard advertisements. The billboards used in the campaign included several lines of orange text on a black background with a barrel caricature on the right and the Laborers’ Local 860 logo on the left. The billboards were located on the rooftops of several buildings adjacent to Interstate-90 in Cleveland. However, through an unofficial survey of individuals who drove past the signs, it was found that the billboards were not easily noticed and the safety message was not received. As a result, Laborers’ Local 860 desired to understand how the billboards could be improved to communicate more effectively the campaign’s safety message to the public. Researchers at Ohio University performed a two-phase study in order to determine how a work zone safety campaign using billboards would be most effective at communicating to drivers the need to slow down and drive safely through work zones. During the first phase of this study, a public survey was created to test eight different color combinations while using the current advertisement content. Public surveys were distributed in the following three cities across the State of Ohio: Athens, Cleveland, and Chillicothe. Results of the surveys were analyzed to determine which color combination was preferred by the public. The second phase consisted of a driving simulator study to examine the slogans and graphics used in the advertisement along with the placement and orientation of the billboard with respect to the driver. Participants encountered the billboards prior to entering work zones along an urban four-lane undivided highway. Driving performance and glance behaviors of the participants were monitored throughout the simulated drive to determine what effect, if any, the billboards had on their behavior. 14 CHAPTER 2: BACKGROUND 2.1 Impact of Speeds in Work Zones Typically when a work zone is set up on a roadway a reduced speed limit is implemented in an attempt to improve the safety of the work zone for both drivers and workers. However, driver compliance with the reduced speed limits is widely recognized as a work zone safety issue. This is evident from examining the recent crash data for work zones. In 2010, speeding was identified as a factor in 34 percent of the fatal crashes occurring in work zones nationwide (5). Likewise, 36 percent of the fatal crashes occurring in work zones nationwide were reported as speeding-related during 2011 (1). Examining the characteristics of the at-fault drivers in these crashes provides valuable insight into potential groups that may be impacting work zone safety. From the 2011 crash data, the plurality of the at-fault drivers were in the 16-25 age range (28 percent) and the majority of those drivers were male (86 percent) (1). Li and Bai found similar results for crashes in highway work zones in Kansas that occurred between 1992 and 2004, as 15 percent of the fatal crashes and 20 percent of the injury crashes were speeding-related (6). Additionally, male drivers were found to be at fault in 64 percent of the injury crashes and 75 percent of the fatal crashes investigated (6). Based on the crash data, male drivers were determined to be almost two times more likely to be involved in a fatal crash than female drivers. Upon examining the impact of driving environment, Li and Bai found urban two-lane highways are the environment on which fatal crashes in work zones were the most likely to occur (6). Thus, the nationwide and Kansas crash data indicate that certain groups and/or areas could be potentially 15 targeted in efforts to reduce the number of crashes occurring in work zones and improve safety. Another means of examining crash data is to consider crash rates as they account for the exposure level of drivers. Crash rates are typically provided based on the number of vehicle-miles traveled (VMT). In 1999, the total number of fatalities nationwide was 41,717 and dropped to 33,808 in 2009, a decrease of 19 percent (7). However, when examining the fatality rates per 100 million VMT the decrease is more substantial (26 percent) as the rate fell from 1.55 in 1999 to 1.14 in 2009 (7). Subsequently, the overall safety of the nation’s roadways is viewed slightly different when comparing the number of fatalities and the fatality rates. The fatality rates are a better indication of the actual risk to drivers since they account for the amount of driving occurring each year. Unfortunately, the amount of VMT for work zones nationwide is not specifically known. However, the VMT for work zones would be considerably lower than the VMT for all roadways since work zones are setup for limited durations and are only present on a portion of the total roadway system. Consequently, the driving exposure to work zones would be lower and, thus, work zones would most likely have higher fatality rates per 100 million VMT than for all roadways. Researchers have previously used crash rates per VMT as a means of evaluating safety. In 1999, Migletz et al. studied the impact of speeds on crashes for 66 work zone sites nationwide which totaled 444.9 miles in length (8). The total crash rates per million VMT was found to be 1.63 prior to construction beginning, but then increased to 1.74 during construction when work zones were in place (8). By examining only the fatal and 16 injury crashes, the crash rates were found to have increased by 4.1 percent before construction began to during the construction period (8). This indicates that, for a given section of roadway, the presence of work zones may create unsafe conditions for drivers. Crash rates per 100 million VMT were used to explore the relationship between speed and crashes as early as 1964. Solomon conducted spot speed studies on rural highways at 35 study sections, each of which averaged 17 miles in length, across 11 different states (9). Rural highways were selected as they were determined to carry approximately a third of the VMT occurring on highways across the nation. For each of the study sections, volume counts were taken periodically and used to compute the total VMT, which was then distributed among drivers based upon the speed distributions that were determined through spot speed studies. Crash rates per 100 million VMT could then be determined for drivers across an entire range of speeds. The crash rates by speed were then compared to the measured average speed for each highway section and used to determine the crash rates by the amount of variation from the average speed of traffic. Solomon found that as the variation from mean speed increased, the crash risk was also found to increase (9). This behavior was seen to be parabolic with the curve centered between zero and ten miles per hour (mph) above the mean speed. Also, as speeds increased, crash rates with high severity levels increase at faster rates than those with low severity levels. Further relationships between speed and crashes have been considered by other researchers. Hauer developed models in which the number of fatal and injury crashes can be estimated based on the change in mean speed and from the number of crashes 17 occurring (10). These models can help quantify the possible impact on crashes corresponding to a specific change in mean speed. Based on previous research they reviewed, Harsha and Hedlund were able to state a general rule of thumb in regards to the relationship between speed and crashes: a one percent increase in speed resulted in a two percent increase in injury crashes, a three percent increase in serious injury crashes and a four percent increase in fatal crashes (11). Not only are speeds in work zones recognized as a safety issue by researchers, the public also recognizes the issue exists. In 1999, Kane et al. collected public opinions on the issue of work zone safety through responses from focus groups and surveys (12). From the focus group discussions, the prevailing opinion of the groups were that speeding was the main safety problem in highway work zones. The majority of this speeding is believed to stem from driver attitudes, such as impatience and indifference, or from drivers simply ignoring traffic signs. With regards to communicating the need to slow down and be cautious while driving in work zones, the focus groups indicated that signs with slogans, such as “Let Them Work – Let Them Live,” would serve as effective reminders (12). Surveys were distributed across North Carolina and responses were collected from 487 passenger car drivers and 58 truck drivers (12). Based on the survey responses received, a majority of both passenger car and truck drivers indicated that they reduce their speeds to either the posted speed limit or the speed of the surrounding traffic while driving through work zones. The researchers later conducted spot speed studies in three work zones that were located on four-lane highways in order to evaluate driver 18 compliance with the posted speed limits of 55 mph. Speeds were recorded in each of the travel lanes at all three sites and it was determined that over 90 percent of drivers in the outside lanes and 85 percent of drivers in the inside lanes exceeded the posted speed limits (12). This study shows that while the public recognizes there is a safety risk posed by speeding in work zones; however, the risk does not appear to be significant enough to cause them to drive slower through work zones. 2.2 Evaluating Safety Campaigns As discussed previously, safety campaigns are widely used to increase public awareness of work zone hazards and to communicate specific behaviors to drivers. From the previous section, speeds in work zones were identified to be a major component to work zone safety. Accordingly, a multitude of work zone safety campaigns attempt to communicate to drivers the need to reduce their speeds when driving through work zones. In 2003, the California Department of Transportation (Caltrans) conducted a statewide work zone safety campaign using the slogan “Slow for the Cone Zone” (13). The slogan had been used in a previous campaign that was conducted in Sacramento and the San Francisco Bay Area. The vast majority of drivers in both areas reported reducing their speeds through work zones and being more alert to the presence of construction workers. These self-reported behaviors also coincided with a 25 percent decrease in total crashes occurring in work zones and no fatal crashes occurring over a two-year period (13). For the statewide safety campaign, Caltrans utilized multiple media outlets in order to reach drivers before they began their commute, by airing television commercials during the morning news, or during their commute, by using billboards and radio 19 commercials. Through these media outlets, Caltrans expected the campaign message to be seen an average of 38 times by a typical driver throughout the duration of the campaign with the target audience being those drivers in the 25 to 49 age range (13). Safety campaigns have been used in similar ways to target other issues and raise public awareness. Phillips and Torquato reviewed 45 anti-speeding campaigns in 2009 which were mainly conducted in Europe and Australia in order to determine the target audience, media, and type of content which were most commonly used (14). Not all of the studies identified a target audience, but the majority of those studies that did focused on young males. This follows the results of the speeding-related crash data discussed previously in which young males were the most common group involved in the crashes. With respect to media outlets, television advertisements were used in 80 percent of the campaigns with the next highest media outlet being outdoor advertising, or billboards and posters on buses, at 26 percent (14). In regards to content of the campaign message, the top three types of approaches used were rational, hard-hitting emotional, and those informing on the potential harm caused to others. Self-reported behaviors were available for 20 percent of the studies reviewed, all of which indicated reductions in speed, yet the actual change in driver behavior on the roadways was not quantified in any of the studies (14). In 2011, Adamos and Nathanail developed a tool for evaluating safety campaigns based on the design of the campaign and then estimating the potential impact on driver behavior (15). The proposed tool consists of a multidimensional matrix of correlations that uses variables corresponding to how a particular safety campaign is structured. Of 20 primary interest to this research are the variables associated with the level on which the campaign is conducted, the target audience, the primary purpose of the campaign (increasing awareness, changing driver behavior, etc.), and how media is used to communicate the message. Each of these variables have been identified as means of evaluating safety campaigns in previous research and are known to affect the success of a campaign. The evaluation tool developed by Adamos and Nathanail was tested using a locallevel campaign related to drinking and driving and a national campaign about driving while fatigued (15). The local-level campaign was focused on increasing awareness of the problem of drinking and driving among young drivers (18-30 years old) by distributing leaflets, displaying posters, and conducting a workshop. The aim of the national campaign was to increase risk awareness of driving while fatigued. The campaign had a target audience of professional drivers, but was also expected to reach non-professional drivers. The campaign message was communicated through a variety of mediums including broadcasts of television and radio commercials and the distribution of leaflets. For the local-level campaign, drivers were not found to significantly change their intentions to not drink and drive from the before to after campaign periods. However, for the national campaign, drivers were found to be significantly less likely to drive while fatigued. Each of the campaigns was evaluated solely based on self-reported behaviors and evaluations were not made regarding actual driver behavior. This is likely due to the campaign design and the evaluation tool used to assess the impact on public awareness. 21 Wundersitz, Hutchinson, and Woolley examined fourteen safety campaigns which used mass media and were conducted between 2001-2009 in order to assess what campaign mediums were found to be effective (16). However, conclusions could not be drawn on specific elements as the campaigns reviewed had varying characteristics, such as their objectives or outcomes. The researchers did find that a large portion of the campaigns were only evaluated based upon self-reported behaviors or the ability to remember the message instead of changes in actual driver behavior. This is consistent with previous research reviewed as most focus on whether or not the campaign messages were seen. Wundersitz, Hutchinson, and Woolley also argue that the frequency of crashes may not be an appropriate evaluation measure for safety campaigns due to the variable nature of crash data (16). While it is true that crash data can vary on a year-to-year basis, observations of crash data over an extended period of time can indicate trends that are occurring on the roadways. Furthermore, crashes are an essential safety measure and need to be considered in some capacity. Thus, a combination of measures should be examined when evaluating safety campaigns in order to assess their overall impact. In 2011 Hoekstra and Wegman discussed the need to evaluate the safety campaigns that are conducted in order to assess the effectiveness of a campaign and determine what improvements could be made to future campaigns (17). Safety campaigns will generally have a specific behavior and audience which are selected to be the primary focus of the campaign. By examining how the safety campaign attempts to alter driver behavior, a campaign may be adapted to produce better results. Hoekstra and Wegman 22 present driving as a type of automatic behavior, which people are typically more likely to alter when they are in a position to reconsider their behavior and implement a change (17). Thus, presenting a work zone safety message to drivers prior to their entry into a work zone provides drivers an opportunity to implement the behavior presented in the campaign message. Hoekstra and Wegman also suggest that safety campaigns need to be pretested to see if the campaign will potentially produce the desired change in behavior (17). Testing safety campaigns in a simulated driving environment could provide opportunities to refine how the campaign is presented and examine the effects in a controlled setting. 2.3 Use of Billboards in Safety Campaigns Billboards have been used in many safety campaigns throughout the nation in order to target a variety of issues related to driving. Lee et al. studied a safety campaign conducted in Florida during 2009 that primarily focused on educating the public on behaviors associated with aggressive driving (18). One of the driver-education approaches used in the campaign was displaying campaign slogans on six roadside billboards along a target corridor of Interstate-75 in Florida. In order to assess the effectiveness of the safety campaign, surveys were distributed to truck drivers and passenger car drivers. The surveys were distributed during the following three time periods: prior to the campaign, during the campaign, and after the campaign ended. The percentage of truck drivers who reported encountering aggressive driving every day decreased throughout the campaign from 95 percent before the campaign started, to 70 percent during the 23 campaign, and then down to 63 percent after the campaign ended (18). Accordingly, the percentage of passenger car drivers who reported encountering aggressive driving every day went from 53 percent to 43 percent to 56 percent over the same time periods (18). These results show that the safety campaigns were able to produce the desired behavioral change of reducing the amount of aggressive driving exhibited along the target corridor. However, the lasting effects of the campaign were non-existent among passenger car drivers since a larger percentage of drivers reported seeing aggressive driving after the campaign had ended than prior to the start of the campaign. Gantz, Fitzmaurice, and Yoo examined a seat belt safety campaign in Indiana that was conducted in 1987, shortly after the mandatory seat belt law was passed in that state (19). The safety campaign was composed of multiple media approaches, including television, radio, and billboard advertisements. Survey questionnaires were administered to 811 drivers across the state through telephone interviews (19). The questions in the surveyed covered a range of topics such as perceived seat belt use, exposure to the seat belt campaign, and awareness of the mandatory seat belt law. Based on the survey results, 53 percent of drivers recalled seeing campaign advertisements on television while only 13 percent recalled seeing campaign advertisements on billboards (19). For those drivers who recalled seeing billboard advertisements, 54 percent believed the advertisements had little to no impact, 17 percent said the advertisements reinforced the need to wear a seat belt, and 17 percent said the advertisements caused them to think more about seat belts (19). These percentages were comparable to those for the other media approaches. Television commercials had 47 percent of drivers who 24 believed that the commercials had little to no impact, 13 percent said the commercials reinforced the need to wear a seat belt, and 19 percent said the commercials caused them to think more about seat belts (19). The results of this study indicate that while billboards may not be the most effective approach for communicating safety campaigns to the majority of the public, they are able to provide a similar impact on drivers when compared to the other media approaches used in such campaigns. Eby et al. examined a seat belt safety campaign conducted in Michigan during 2002 which combined a mass media campaign with an enforcement program (20). The campaign was designed to have media and enforcement activities occur in an experimental region while no specific activities were to occur in a control region. The mass media campaign included television, radio, newspaper, and billboard advertisements. The researchers conducted three separate direct observation studies to determine the percentage of drivers using their safety belt. The studies were done for three different periods: prior to the start of the campaign (Pre), immediately after the campaign (Post 1), and about a month after the end of the campaign in order to study the long-term effects (Post 2). From the direct observation study, the overall safety belt use in the experimental region was found to be 74.7 percent, 72.2 percent, and 77.9 percent across the Pre, Post 1, and Post 2 periods, respectively, while the usage in the control region was 77.5 percent, 81.4 percent, and 82.3 percent across the same periods (20). Consequently, the researchers concluded that the campaign did not increase safety belt use in the experimental region. However, the safety belt use increased significantly in the 25 experimental region from Post 1 to Post 2 for drivers in the 16-29 age group and for males. This could indicate that populations which are known to be a safety concern can successfully have their behavior modified through a safety campaign, despite not being a specific target audience for the campaign. Along with the direct observation study, telephone surveys were conducted in the experimental and control regions for approximately the same periods (Pre, Post 1, and Post 2). Self-reported seat belt usage was approximately 90 percent for both regions across all three periods (20). The percentage of drivers surveyed who reported being exposed to the campaign on increased safety belt enforcement was significantly higher for the Post 1 and 2 periods (38 percent and 26 percent) than for the Pre period (11 percent) in the experimental region (20). These levels were comparable to those of the control region indicating that campaign activities were likely seen by drivers in the control region despite no specific activities having occurred there. Thus, the use of a control region was not successful and hinders the ability to make comparisons between the regions. Within the experimental region, the drivers who reported being exposed to the campaign from having seen television commercials was 56 percent while those having seen billboards was 21 percent for the Post 1 period (20). These percentages are similar to those reported by Gantz, Fitzmaurice, and Yoo for drivers in Indiana, hence corroborating the potential exposure to the safety campaign from using billboards. Phillips, Ulleberg, and Vaa examined the effect of road safety campaigns on crashes based upon a meta-analysis conducted on the results of 67 studies which had occurred between 1975 and 2007 (21). Meta-analysis is described by the researchers as a 26 method for summarizing the results of a group of similar studies which have common evaluation criteria. The results of the meta-analysis show that road safety campaigns are able to reduce crashes by nine percent (21). This suggests that, overall, safety campaigns are able to produce at least a slight change in driver behavior, resulting in additional safety benefits along the roadway. Furthermore, the results of the meta-analysis showed that the use of roadside billboards in a safety campaign is linked to a greater reduction in the number of crashes on the roadway. Phillips, Ulleberg, and Vaa conclude that roadside billboards present an immediate delivery of the safety message to drivers which, in turn, may result in drivers selecting to alter their driving behavior upon viewing the safety message. 2.4 Safety of Billboards 2.4.1 Impact on Glance Behavior The ability of billboard advertisements to reach drivers while they are on the roadway can be beneficial for communicating a safety campaign message. However, the use of billboards in this context requires drivers to look away from the roadway ahead in order to see and comprehend the safety message. This can lead to a potential driver distraction issue which may introduce other potential safety issues along the roadway. Research into the safety effects of billboard advertisements has included studying the glance behavior of drivers to determine if billboards are a significant distraction. Research has shown that drivers have a natural limit for the length of time that they are willing to look away from the roadway. In 1988, Rockwell mentioned a two second rule that has been found by researchers in regards to driver eye movements away 27 from the roadway ahead (22). This limit on glance duration is included in the discussion of in-vehicle glances recorded during three on-road studies conducted by Rockwell. The two second rule was found to be consistent with the results of the three studies. The mean glance durations towards the car radio were found to be statistically similar for all three studies with glances averaging 1.4 seconds overall, whereas glances towards the rear view mirror averaged 1.0 seconds and speedometer glances averaged 0.8 seconds (22). Also in 1988, Zwahlen, Adams Jr., and Schwartz proposed a set of limits for glance behavior when a driver is using the keypad on a cellular telephone to dial a phone number (23). The number of glances towards the phone that were required to complete the dialing task was related to the average glance duration for both a maximum and acceptable limit. The maximum limits on average glance duration were proposed as two seconds for a single glance with the limit decreasing by 0.2 seconds for each additional glance made up until 1.4 seconds for four glances (23). Glances that exceeded these maximum limits were considered to be unacceptable as they were determined to impact driver safety. The acceptable limits on average glance duration were proposed as 1.2 seconds for one glance, 1.0 seconds for two glances, and 0.9 seconds for three glances (23). The glances occurring between the acceptable and maximum limits were considered to potentially impact driver safety. In 1993, Wierwille proposed a limit of 1.6 seconds for which drivers would normally be willing to look away from the roadway (24). Wierwille reviewed the results of several studies on driver glance behavior and found the 1.6 second limit for a single glance to apply to all of the mean glances reported in the studies. In 2007, Horrey and 28 Wickens used the 1.6 second limit in the evaluation of glances made towards a LCD screen mounted on the dashboard of a driving simulator (25). The LCD screen was intended to represent the in-vehicle technologies present in modern vehicles. Participants were given the task of reading a series of numbers to determine whether there were more even or odd numbers while driving in the simulated environment. The task was classified as either simple or complex depending on the amount of numbers presented to the driver (five or 11). Additionally, drivers were presented with a hazard condition where either a low or high wind gust hit the side of the car. The mean glance duration towards the screen was below the 1.6 second limit for each of the four conditions studied. However, the complex task was found to have significantly more long glances as 21 percent of the total glances recorded exceeded the 1.6 second limit compared to 6 percent for the simple task (25). Overall, the driver’s ability to respond to the hazard condition was found to be negatively impacted by increased glance duration towards the LCD screen. As a result, the researchers developed a model to estimate the crash risk based on the percentage of glances longer than 1.6 seconds and certain aspects of the driving situation, including speed of the vehicle. These previous studies have focused primarily on in-vehicle glances while other studies have focused on those glances made outside of the vehicle. In 2006, Klauer et al. used the data collected during a naturalistic driving study to determine the crash risk when drivers looked away from the forward roadway (26). The researchers analyzed glance behavior during the period prior to the precipitating factor of a crash or near-crash where the subject was the at-fault driver. The analysis began five seconds before the 29 precipitating factor and ended one second afterwards. Glances away from the roadway during this time period was found to be a contributing factor for 60 percent of the crashes, near-crashes, and incidents that occurred in the study (26). Odds ratios were calculated for a variety of conditions when the driver was looking away from the forward roadway. Odds ratios describe the likelihood of an event, such as a crash or near-crash, occurring and would be 1.0 for normal conditions with greater values indicating an increased crash risk. The odds ratio for all glances away from the forward roadway that were greater than two seconds was calculated to be 2.19 (26). However, those glances made towards the side and rearview mirrors or to the sides of the roadway environment as part of the driver scanning for potential hazards merit separate consideration from other glances away from the roadway as these behaviors are required as a part of normal driving. For these types of long glances that exceed 2.0 seconds the odds ratio was calculated to be 0.45 indicating that these behaviors increase safety (26). Similarly, when these long glances related to the driving task are removed from the data set for long glances away from the forward roadway the odds ratios increases to 2.27 (26). Moreover, the length of time and frequency of glances away from the roadway were found to be significantly higher for crashes than near-crashes. Thus, as the driver’s attention is averted from the roadway for instances not related to the driving task at-hand, the safety of the driver is negatively impacted. Based on past research, there is an apparent acceptable limit of two seconds for driver glances. This limit applies to glances made both inside and outside of the vehicle. Additionally, these long glances are shown to have an impact on a driver’s ability to 30 safely operate their vehicle as seen by the increased crash risk. Thus, when assessing the impact of glance behavior on safety, the two second limit can be a useful guideline. In 2002, Sodhi, Reimer, and Llamazares studied the duration of glances away from the forward roadway during an on-road study that took place over a 22 mile route (27). Drivers were instructed to complete a series of tasks while a head-mounted eyetracking system recorded their glance behavior. The eye-tracking data was only analyzed for five participants for the task requiring drivers to change the radio to a certain station, and for the task in which participants were asked to look in the rearview mirror and describe the vehicle present. Based upon the analysis, two of the 113 glances made towards the radio and two of the 95 glances made towards the rearview mirror exceeded the 1.6 second limit proposed by Wierwille (27). The average of the longest glances made in the radio and rearview mirror tasks were 1.56 and 1.63 seconds, respectively (27). These results support the proposed limits that drivers will naturally set for themselves, but is based on a very small sample of drivers. Beijer completed an on-road study examining the glance behavior of drivers towards roadside advertising as they drove along an expressway in Toronto during 2002 (28). As participants drove along the expressway, they passed 37 different advertising signs which were categorized into the following four sign types: billboard, scrolling text, video image, and roller bar (28). The billboard signs were static advertisements whereas the other three sign types had some form of active component included in the sign. Throughout the experimental drive an eye-tracking system was used to collect the participant’s eye movements and a scene camera was used to collect the visual scene as it 31 was presented to the driver. The videos from the eye-tracking system were then analyzed to determine various glance behavior parameters such as average glance duration and the number of glances per advertising sign. The study showed no significant difference in the average glance duration between the four sign types, but the number of glances per sign was significantly different between the billboard signs and the three active component signs. Beijer found that there were 0.64 glances per subject per sign towards billboard signs, yet there were 1.32, 1.31, and 1.45 glances per subject per sign towards the roller bar, scrolling text, and video signs, respectively (28). Additionally, Beijer analyzed long glances, or those glances longer than 0.75 seconds, to determine if there was a particular sign type which participants tended to fixate on for longer time periods. It was determined that 88 percent of participants made at least one long glance towards an advertising sign, with billboards and scrolling text signs receiving significantly less long glances per sign than the roller bar and video signs (28). These results imply that advertising signs with active components may cause drivers to take longer and more frequent glances towards these signs. Thus, active component signs could be considered a potentially greater distraction for drivers as they divert their attention from the roadway ahead for longer time periods, which could result in unsafe driving conditions. Smiley, Smahel, and Eizenmann further examined glance behavior towards roadside video advertising signs during an on-road study in Toronto during 2002 (29). Drivers passed signs which were located near three intersections in the downtown area and along an urban expressway while an eye-tracking system recorded their glance 32 behavior. Once the eye-tracking data was analyzed, there were a total of 69 intersection approaches (33 were by video signs) and 14 expressway approaches. Drivers made at least one glance towards a video sign during 48 percent of the intersection approaches and 36 percent of the expressway approaches (29). The average glance duration towards video signs was determined to be 0.48 seconds while the longest glance was 1.47 seconds (29). This indicates that the video signs do not pose a significant safety risk with regard to the amount of time that drivers look away from the roadway. In 2011, Perez and Bertola conducted an on-road study in which participants drove two 30 minute routes past locations with and without advertising billboards and recorded the driver’s glance behavior with an eye-tracking system (30). Data was collected in four data collection zones where billboards were present. The location of the billboard (left or right side of the roadway) and the level of clutter (high or low) in the visual scene were varied to create the four zones. Additionally, there were four data collection zones which did not have billboards but featured high and low levels of visual clutter for two zones apiece. The researchers selected the data collection zones to begin 960 feet prior to the billboards based on the Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices (MUTCD) legibility guidelines. The glance behavior during these zones were analyzed by first examining where the driver was looking (roadway ahead, billboard, etc.) and noting the glance durations for each object. The proportion of glances were determined by comparing the total glance durations per object to the total amount of time driving through the data collection zone. 33 For the zones with billboards present, drivers were seen to have looked less frequently at the roadway ahead as the mean proportion of glances was 0.82 in comparison to 0.85 for the zones without billboards (30). However, the mean proportion of glances towards billboards was 0.02 in areas with high clutter and 0.04 in areas with low clutter (30). Furthermore, the mean glance duration towards billboards was 0.04 seconds for the entire study (30). This indicates that the billboards evaluated in the study were not very distracting as they were glanced at for very short durations and for approximately 3 percent of the entire time participants were driving in the study. Lee, McElheny, and Gibbons conducted a naturalistic driving study in Cleveland, Ohio during 2006 where participants drove past five digital billboards, 15 conventional billboards, 12 comparison sites, and 12 baseline sites (31). The comparison sites had visual elements that drivers would see on a daily basis, such as commercial signs, while the baseline sites had no signs present. The participant’s glance behavior was recorded using an eye-tracking system and the data was analyzed for an eight second period which ended when the participant passed the object of interest. Data was collected for 36 participants on a 50-mile route during daytime conditions and then for 12 of those same participants on a 48-mile route during nighttime conditions (31). Four sites were not included in the abbreviated route used for the nighttime conditions. Based on the analysis of the glance behavior for daytime conditions, there were no significant differences between the four types of sites for both the proportion of glances to the roadway ahead and the number of glances made towards the side of the roadway with the sign. However, the mean glance duration was found to be significantly 34 longer for digital billboards (0.87 seconds) than for conventional billboards (0.73 seconds) (31). There were no differences in the amount of long glances made towards each of the four sites when using the 1.6 second limit proposed by Wierwille. For the glance behavior during nighttime conditions, there were trends seen across the glance behavior measures which indicated that digital billboards may be more of a distraction than conventional billboards. However, no statistical analyses were done due to the small sample size of data collected during nighttime conditions. The location of the billboard may influence the driver’s glance behavior. In 2005, Crundall, Loon, and Underwood compared the distraction capabilities of street-level advertisements (SLAs) and raised-level advertisements (RLAs) through the glance behavior of participants as they viewed multiple video clips (32). As participants viewed the video clips, an eye-tracking system was used to record their eye movements. From the eye-tracking data, it was determined that the SLAs had 2.1 fixations per advertisement and RLAs had 1.5 fixations per advertisement (32). Similarly, SLAs had mean fixation durations of 0.433 seconds and RLAs had mean fixation durations of 0.354 seconds (32). These results suggest that drivers may look for longer periods and more frequently at advertisements that are located lower and closer to their normal field of view. This seems logical as drivers would not have to deviate their gaze very far from the roadway in order to see these advertisements. Content of the billboard advertisements may be another factor which influences glance behavior. In 2011, Megias et al. conducted a motorcycle driving simulator study where drivers passed static billboards located above the roadway which had either 35 positive, negative, or neutral emotional content (33). The emotional content of the pictures used on the billboards were rated by a standard produced by the International Affective Picture System. Examples of the types of images used in the study are: romantic scenes for positive content, vehicles from crashes for negative content, and inanimate objects for neutral content. Eight images for each type of content were used in the study in combination with six hazardous and six non-hazardous situations. The hazardous situation was created by having an entity unexpectedly enter the roadway in front of the subject. The scenarios for the study were 7.00 seconds in length with the billboards visible for the first 4.80 seconds of the scenario while the entity entered the roadway 0.80 seconds after the billboard was not visible (33). The total fixation time on the billboards was significantly different between the different types of content as positive images were looked at for 1.76 seconds, negative images for 1.91 seconds, and neutral images for 1.60 seconds (33). The average glance durations were the same for the positive and negative images (0.33 seconds) with the neutral images being significantly higher (0.35 seconds) (33). Similar to the total fixation times, the total number of fixations was significantly different as negative images had the most fixations and neutral images had the least. These results indicate that the content of a billboard can impact the glance behavior of drivers and should be considered in the development of billboard advertisements. Consideration of glance behavior differences between drivers needs to be included in a potential safety evaluation. In 2011, Owens et al. tested novice and experienced drivers on their ability to assess the risk presented in a driving environment 36 by viewing several photographs (34). Participants were shown two photographs of actual driving environments and instructed to decide which of the scenes posed the greater risk to the driver. As soon as a participant had decided which scene was riskier, they were instructed to enter their response on a keyboard. The system used to run the test controlled the order in which the 26 pairs of test scenes were displayed, recorded the time it took for the participant to enter their response after the image was shown, and collected data on the participant’s eye movements. The pairs of driving scenes were setup in an either an “Easy” group where there were large differences in the risk presented by the scenes or a “Difficult” group where the difference was smaller (34). As expected, the response times for the “Difficult” group were significantly longer than those for the “Easy” group. The analysis of the glance behaviors showed that experienced drivers fixated on the riskier roadway scene to a significantly greater degree than novice drivers (34). This supports the idea that as drivers gain more experience, they become more adept at assessing the potential risk on the roadway. Consequently, younger drivers may be more at risk when glancing towards distracting objects as they may misinterpret the risk present on the roadway and decide to look away during these times. As these studies show, there is a need to evaluate a driver‘s glance behavior in considering the safety of billboard advertisements. If the billboard is too distracting from a visual perspective than the use of that sign in a safety campaign would be selfdefeating. Similarly, the sign must be read in order to obtain the safety message, so a balance on the glance duration must be found. Ultimately, the impact on a driver’s performance in safely operating the vehicle while looking at billboards is unclear for 37 most of these studies reviewed in this section and needs to be considered alongside the impact on glance behavior. 2.4.2 Impact on Driving Performance Research into the safety of billboards has also included analyzing crash data to see if billboards were associated with an increase in crashes. Tantala and Tantala analyzed the crash data at 20 sites with digital billboards and 57 sites with regular billboards located in the greater Reading area in Pennsylvania (35). Crash data for the areas near the billboard sites was taken over a nine year period (2001 to 2009) which included data from before the digital billboards replaced the regular billboards. Also traffic volume data for the same time periods was used to determine the crash rates based on the annual average daily traffic (AADT). This was done to factor in how often crashes occurred based on the average amount of traffic on the roadways. For the 20 digital billboard sites, the number of crashes that occurred within a half-mile of the site was examined for equivalent periods prior to and after the billboard conversion. The total number of crashes was found to decrease by 13.0 percent from the before to after periods while the crash rate per million AADT also dropped from 1.52 to 1.35 (35). However, these reductions in crashes were not statistically significant at a 95 percent level of confidence. Tantala and Tantala also conducted an Empirical Bayes method, as specified by the 2010 Highway Safety Manual, to predict the number of crashes that would have occurred at the digital billboard sites if the signs had not been converted (35). The Empirical Bayes method used the crash data from the 57 regular billboard sites when 38 developing the predicted number of crashes. The results of the Empirical Bayes method were 917 predicted crashes if the conversion did not occur in comparison to 925 actual crashes, a difference that is not statistically significant (35). Consequently, the analysis of the crash data shows no effect on crashes from digital billboards in comparison to regular billboards. In addition to the glance behavior discussed previously, Smiley et al. studied crashes and driving performance near video signs in Toronto during 2002 (36). Crash data was obtained for a period of approximately seven years which spanned the construction of the video signs at the three intersections and along the expressway. Empirical Bayes methodology was used to account for traffic volumes at the intersections, but was not used for the expressway segment. The total crashes on the video approaches at intersections were not significantly different for the before and after periods as the crashes increased by 0.6 percent (36). For the expressway video approach, the number of crashes across the before and after periods was not significantly different with a comparable non-video sign expressway segment. Combined with the results found by Tantala and Tantala, billboards appear to not have an impact on the number of crashes occurring at the locations where the signs are visible. Driving performance on the expressway was studied by Smiley et al. through use of traffic detector stations on the travel lanes approaching the video sign and on the travel lanes directly opposite for which the sign was not visible (36). The speed and headways for the vehicles traveling through this section were evaluated for periods before and after the installation of the video sign. The data showed that the average speed decreased over 39 the video approach, but there were increases in the standard deviation of speed and a decrease in headways. As a result, the researchers argue that safety on the video approach was improved through the decrease in speed, yet degraded as headways decreased and speed variance increased (36). From the previous section on glance behavior, a few of the studies discussed did examine driving performance in addition to glance behavior. Lee, McElheny, and Gibbons also collected data on the driving performance of the participants as they drove past the four types of sites during daytime conditions (31). Across all road types, conventional billboards had a significantly greater standard deviation of speed than digital billboards; though this difference was not present between the two sign types when the participant was driving on the interstate. The standard deviation of lane position was higher for digital and conventional billboards than the comparison and baseline sites, but this difference was not statistically significant. These results indicate that the type of billboard does not have an effect on driving performance. Conversely, for the motorcycle driving simulator study, Megias et al. found the braking responses to the hazardous event to be significantly faster for the negative images in comparison to the positive and neutral images (33). The content of billboard advertisements may impact driving performance; however, this evaluation was made during scenarios which were very short in duration. In 2011, Edquist et al. conducted a driving simulator study examining the impact of billboards on driving performance (37). The study consisted of participants completing a lane change task as instructed by a traffic sign located on the side of the road. This lane change task was conducted at the following three locations: those with static billboards, 40 those with changeable billboards, and those with no billboards present. The driving simulator was also equipped with an eye-tracking system which was used to collect data on the participant’s eye movements. The study showed that participants took significantly longer to change lanes at locations with static or changeable billboards than at locations with no billboards. Furthermore, the results of the eye-tracking data showed that for almost all of the participants, drivers spent less time looking at the roadway ahead when driving past a location with a billboard present than when for locations without a billboard. The results of this study suggest that drivers may take longer to complete simple driving actions, such as completing a lane change, due to the presence of billboard advertisements. This may occur because drivers are not devoting their full attention to the driving task at hand and the roadway ahead, but instead are becoming distracted by an outside influence. In 2009, Young et al. conducted a driving simulator study to determine the effect of billboards on driving performance and glance behavior for three different roadway environments: urban, rural, and highway (38). Participants in the study drove each of the three environments with and without billboards located along the roadway. The primary driving performance measures evaluated were time to contact and the lateral control of the vehicle. The time to contact was measured relative to the vehicle ahead of the participant. Lateral control of the vehicle was evaluated as the number of times the vehicle left the travel lane and how long the vehicle was out of the lane. Time to contact was determined to not be significantly different for the presence of billboards, but the lateral control measures were both significantly different. While driving past billboards, 41 participants drove outside of the travel lane more frequently and for longer time periods. Furthermore, an eye-tracking system was used to collect data on the duration and frequency of glances towards billboards. Participants were found to look towards the side of the roadway significantly more when passing billboards, but the duration of these glances were not affected by the presence of billboards. In 2007, Jamson and Merat completed a driving simulator study which examined the effectiveness of displaying safety campaign messages on variable message signs (VMS) (39). Participants drove past a total of 24 VMS which displayed either two slogans, “WATCH YOUR SPEED” or “KEEP YOUR DISTANCE.” The number of signs which were displaying a safety message was varied across four groups with no signs on for a baseline condition and either 33 percent, 66 percent, or 100 percent of the VMS displaying one of the two slogans. The two slogans were used equally throughout each of the three groups with active signs. After passing the 24 VMS used for the safety messages, a final sign was presented with a Tactical Incident Management (TIM) message informing drivers of an incident ahead and instructing them to drive in a specific lane. This sign was setup in order to require the driver to complete a lane change maneuver. The length of time needed to complete the lane change was recorded along with the speed and headway of the vehicle. The participant’s eye movements were recorded using an eye-tracking system. The researchers were primarily interested in the eye movements as the participants approached the VMS. This resulted in using a section of 820 feet prior to the sign as this was the area over which the sign was determined to be legible. The upstream section was 42 denoted as the 1640 feet prior to the legibility section while the downstream section was 1640 feet after the VMS. The change in speed and headway were each calculated as the difference between the mean values for the upstream and downstream sections. There was no significant difference found between the active and inactive signs for the change in either mean speed or mean headway. The length of time needed to complete the required lane change was found to be significantly shorter for the 33 percent of VMS active condition in comparison to the other conditions. However, for the same condition the gazes towards the final VMS were significantly longer in duration than for the other conditions. Over the course of the scenarios, it was seen that drivers continued to glance at the signs with safety messages which helped them be able to respond sooner to the TIM message (39). Thus, despite the safety messages not having a direct effect on the intended driving performance measures, there was an improvement in the driving performance required by the warning message. Thus, it is apparent that billboards can be effective at communicating a safety campaign to drivers; however, they can also serve as a significant distraction from the driving task at hand. The amount of time required for a driver to look towards a billboard and comprehend the safety message should be balanced with the amount of time in which they can safely look away from the roadway ahead. Based on the research reviewed, it can be seen that the impact on driver behavior from using billboards to deliver a work zone safety message is unknown at this time. This study aims to examine the effects of campaign billboards on driver behavior in work zones and to determine the most effective content and placement of billboard advertisements from a safety perspective. 43 CHAPTER 3: PUBLIC SURVEY STUDY The first phase of the study consisted of a public opinion survey designed to determine the background and text color combination that was preferred by the public for use in the billboard advertisement. Previously, Laborers’ Local 860 used the billboard advertisement, shown in Figure 1 below. This sign was found to be ineffective at communicating the safety message after conducting an unofficial survey of drivers who had passed the sign. Researchers initially focused on assessing which elements of the advertisement were potentially contributing to the sign not being seen by drivers. The combination of a black background with orange text was believed to be difficult for drivers to see when traveling at high speeds on a busy highway. Also the advertisement was believed to be too cluttered for drivers to easily comprehend the safety message as multiple lines of text with varying fonts were used alongside two graphics. Figure 1. Billboard advertisement used in Cleveland. 44 In order to assess whether the black and orange color combination used in the advertisement was considered ineffective by drivers, the advertisement was reproduced in several color combinations which are listed in Table 1 below. The black background with orange text used in the original sign was included along with seven new combinations. The background and text colors used in the reproduced advertisements were selected from those colors specified for use on traffic signs by the National Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices (MUTCD) (40). Table 1: Background and text color combinations used in surveys Set of Billboards Background Color Text Color Black Orange Green White Set 1 Orange Black Yellow Black Fluorescent Yellow-Green Black Red White Set 2 Light Blue Black Red Black There are 13 background colors identified in the National MUTCD for use on traffic signs (40). Each of the colors is associated with conveyance of specific information to drivers. Since the purpose of the billboards is to communicate a safety campaign message to drivers, it was considered to be important to remain consistent with the manner in which traffic signs are used. This approach builds upon the knowledge already obtained by drivers through their years of experience and provides an opportunity to build upon that driver expectancy. 45 The black background used in the previous advertisement is associated with traffic signs that communicate regulations to drivers. This color would be good for the billboard as it would reinforce the regulation of reduced speed limits that are typically used in work zones. Red is used in traffic signs with prohibitive regulations, primarily for stop signs. Using red would communicate to drivers that exceeding the speed limit is a behavior that should be stopped since it is a traffic offense. Both yellow and fluorescent yellow-green are the background colors used for warning signs, with fluorescent yellowgreen specifically for school, pedestrian, and bicycle warning signs. Each of these colors is consistent with the slogans used in the advertisement which are warning drivers to be more cautious in work zones by reducing their speed. Orange is the background color for temporary traffic control signs which are used to guide drivers safely through work zones. Thus, using an orange background for the billboard advertisement would build upon the connotation with work zones and be consistent with helping to guide drivers through the work zone. Green and blue are the background colors which are used for traffic signs that provide some type of guidance or information to drivers. Green is used for directional guidance and to provide recreational information. Blue is used to inform drivers of services available, provide tourist information, or denote an evacuation route. Thus, the associations for both green and blue are fairly consistent with the intent of the advertisement to offer guidance to drivers. However, the meanings for the two colors do not line up as closely as the other background colors discussed. 46 For the background colors selected from the National MUTCD for the reproduced billboard advertisements, it was determined that most of the colors were darker shades. For the surveys, a balanced mix of dark and light colors was considered to likely be more beneficial in determining the color combination preferred by drivers. Based on which colors were shown to the people taking the surveys, a general trend towards a lighter shade may be due to the other shades being darker and somewhat similar to one another, or vice versa. In this way a balanced approach could help to eliminate any bias towards a lighter or darker color based on the colors presented. Thus, light blue was selected to replace blue as the background color for the reproduced advertisements. Light blue is currently an unassigned color for traffic signs, but would likely be recognized by drivers as having a similar meaning to that of blue signs. Five background colors specified for traffic signs were not selected as they were thought to be inappropriate for use in the reproduced advertisements for a number of reasons. Brown is used for providing drivers guidance to recreational areas and cultural interests. While guidance is being offered to drivers through the billboard, the type of guidance intended by the color is considered too dissimilar to be used for the advertisement. Conversely, a white background color is used for regulatory signs which would have a similar meaning to that intended by the billboards. However, white was not selected for use in the reproduced advertisements since it was considered not to be a good option for attracting a driver’s attention. Both brown and white were thought to be too likely to blend in easily with the surrounding environment and, subsequently, not be seen by drivers traveling at highway speeds. 47 The background colors of purple, fluorescent pink, and coral were not selected as their meanings do not line up with the intended purpose of the billboard. Purple is the background color used on signs to indicate which lanes are for electronic toll collection accounts only at a collection point on a toll highway. Fluorescent pink is for incident management signs which are used to guide drivers along a certain route in instances where a traffic incident has occurred. Traffic incidents are specified in the MUTCD to include emergency road user occurrences such as a hazardous material spills, natural disasters, or any unplanned event which impacts the normal flow of traffic (40). These emergency situations are not similar to the message of the safety campaign, so the association should be avoided. Finally, coral is a background color that is unassigned at this point and should not be used in the advertisement in order to avoid potential driver confusion. Based on the background color of the traffic sign, the MUTCD also specifies the colors which may be used in the legend (the text and symbols) of the sign (40). Accordingly, the text colors for the billboard advertisements were selected to be either black or white depending on the background color used. The lone exception was the black background with orange text used in the original advertisement. This color combination is listed in the MUTCD as an option for changeable message signs. The original color combination was primarily maintained in the reproduced advertisements so that it could be compared to the new color combinations developed. For the orange, yellow, and fluorescent yellow-green backgrounds, black text was selected as it was the only legend color specified for each. Likewise, white text was 48 selected as it was the only option for use with a green background. The light blue background did not have a legend color specified since it is currently unassigned, so black text was selected for the advertisement since it better contrasted with the lighter shade. Regulatory signs with a red background can have either black or white for the legend color. As a result, both colors were selected to be used for the text in the reproduced advertisements. This would also provide an evaluation of which text color might be preferred given a constant background. There were only two variations to the reproduced advertisements other than the different background and text color combinations used. The first was to change the slogan from “Caution in Work Zones” to “Slow Down in Work Zones.” The new slogan was selected since it was a more direct version of the message being communicated to drivers. The phrase “Slow Down” plainly communicates to drivers an action they should take to improve safety whereas “Caution” leaves room for the interpretation as to how drivers should be more cautious through work zones. The second variation was to display the “Slow Down in Work Zones” slogan in the same font as the “Road Work Season” slogan. The slogans were displayed in the same font in order to remain consistent within the advertisement in regards to how the message was communicated to drivers. The reproduced advertisements were separated into two groups so that the participants would only be required to evaluate four billboards when taking the survey. Presenting the participants with eight billboards was thought to provide them with potentially too many options to consider at one time and may not produce a preferred option. Also, dividing the advertisements into two groups provided the ability to evaluate 49 certain color combinations directly. For example, grouping the two red backgrounds with differing text colors allowed for an assessment on how text color affected public preference. Similarly, grouping the orange text on a black background and the black text on an orange background allowed for a direct assessment on how public preference is affected by reversing the colors in a particular combination. Survey questionnaires were developed to collect opinions from the public about the reproduced billboard advertisements. The surveys consisted of thirteen questions which ranged from information about the driver to their opinions on the various advertisements. Two demographics questions were first used to assess whether or not the surveyed population matched the overall population. The next six questions addressed the participant’s driving experience and their knowledge of the rules and regulations for work zones. For the next four questions, participants were asked to select which of the four billboards in the set they were shown best met the following conditions: made them more aware of work zones, made them more cautious in work zones, would be seen the best during daytime conditions when driving on the freeway at 65 mph, and would be seen the best during nighttime conditions when driving on the freeway at 65 mph. The final question in the survey asked if the sign was too cluttered with information. Survey responses were solicited from volunteers across three cities in Ohio: Athens, Chillicothe, and Cleveland. Distribution of the surveys was done outside of high -traffic locations, such as malls and stores, in each of the cities. Participants were handed a copy of the survey to fill out and were shown either one of the two sets of billboard advertisements. Copies of the questionnaire and the sets of billboard advertisements that 50 were shown to the participants are included in Appendix A. The responses obtained from the survey were compiled into a database and evaluated to determine the preferred billboard color combination for each of the four different conditions presented in the survey. The responses to the demographics and driving experience questions were used to evaluate which color combination was preferred among the different groups (i.e. age groups, gender, etc.) for the different conditions. The resulting color combination from each of the conditions and groups evaluated were then compared to make a determination on the color combination which would be most effective overall. Statistical tests were done on the responses to the survey questions to determine if there were statistically significant differences between the proportions of responses for each color combination. Since there were two sets of billboard advertisements used in the survey, the proportion of responses for each color combination were used in order to make comparisons between the two sets. The null hypothesis for the statistical tests was that there is no difference between the billboards that were selected. The sample size for the public opinion survey was selected based upon the effect size that would be determined. Effect size is commonly used in statistical analysis as a means of defining the differences that are found to exist between the treatments that were used in a study. According to Field, effect size is an objective and standardized measure of the magnitude of the observed effect (41). This allows the effect of a treatment to be equated across different variables which are used in a study. Thus, for the public opinion surveys the effect of the color combinations on the four conditions in the survey can be evaluated in a similar manner for both sets of billboard advertisements. 51 Several measures of effect size have been proposed by statisticians including the specification of the difference that would be detected in the study. This detectable difference is often presented as a proportion of the sample standard deviation (σ) with 0.25σ for a small effect, 0.50σ for a medium effect, and 1.00σ for a large effect (42). For the public opinion survey, it was determined that a medium or large effect size would be preferred for the evaluation of the color combinations. Furthermore, it was selected that for the entire study, the statistical tests would be conducted at a 95 percent level of confidence (α = 0.05) and the statistical power of a test to detect an effect would be 80 percent (β = 0.20), based upon a 4:1 ratio of α to β. From these parameters the sample size per treatment level for the medium and large effect sizes could be determined for the entire study evaluating the eight billboard advertisements and for both sets of four billboards. From Hinkle, Wiersma, and Jurs, the entire study would require 936 participants to detect a medium effect size and 240 participants to detect a large effect size (42). For each set of four billboard advertisements, 352 and 92 participants would be needed to detect a medium and large effect size, respectively (42). Due to time constraints, it was determined that the sample size for a large effect size would be used and the minimum number of survey responses that would be collected was set at each of the values listed above. The total number of survey responses collected was 376, with 156 participants completing surveys for Set 1 and 220 participants completing surveys for Set 2. 52 CHAPTER 4: DRIVING SIMULATOR STUDY 4.1 Selection of Methodology The second phase of the study used the Ohio Research Institute for Transportation and the Environment’s (ORITE) Safety and Human Factors Facility’s state-of-the-art driving simulator. As seen in the Background chapter, the primary methods used to evaluate the impact of billboards on driver behavior were a driving simulator or an onroad instrumented vehicle in a naturalistic driving environment. These are the same approaches that were recommended by Molino et al. for studies on electronic billboards that are used for advertising (43). Of the previous research reviewed in the Background chapter, there were five studies which evaluated both driving performance and glance behavior. Lee, McElheny and Gibbons was the only naturalistic driving study examining both aspects of driver behavior while the other studies reviewed (Megias et al., Edquist et al., Young et al., and Jamson and Merat) were all conducted in a driving simulator. The driving simulator provides the ability to evaluate driver behavior in a controlled environment. One of the main benefits of this type of study is that researchers have full control over the conditions presented to the driver. This helps limit the number of factors which may potentially affect the different variables being studied. For example, the presence of traffic on the roadway may affect the speed at which drivers select to travel. Vehicles that are driving ahead of the subject could cause the subject to drive at a slower speed than they would if there was no traffic present on the roadway. The driving behavior exhibited during naturalistic driving studies can be affected by these types of factors which may produce potentially confounding effects. However, driving simulator 53 studies are only a representation of a real-world driving environment and the driver behavior exhibited may not directly correlate to that for an actual driving environment. For example, the speed at which a driver travels in the simulator may not be the exact same speed they may travel on actual roadways; thus, illustrating a primary advantage of conducting a naturalistic driving study. Yet, trends seen in the driving behavior exhibited during a simulator study can be indications of how drivers would behave on actual roadways despite the behavior not being exactly the same. Additionally, driving simulator studies protect the safety of drivers during the study since they would not be exposed to the risk of physical harm associated with a naturalistic driving study. Furthermore, the logistical issues to conduct each of the two methodologies influenced the decision on which evaluation tool to utilize. Based upon these considerations, a driving simulator study was selected as the best methodology for this study since drivers could be exposed to multiple billboards in a controlled environment within a short period of time. 4.2 Research Equipment Used The state-of-the art driving simulator located in the ORITE Safety and Human Factors Facility is a Drive Safety DS-600c Research Simulator and is shown in Figure 2. The simulator cab is composed of the front half of a Ford Focus which features all of the standard controls found in a typical passenger car, such as an accelerator, a brake pedal, a steering wheel, two side mirrors, and a rear-view mirror. Three panels wrap around the front of the cab to provide a 180 degree field of view, so that the driver is fully-immersed within the simulated environment. Projectors display the simulated world on the panels in 54 front of the cab while the side and rearview mirrors are small screens which display the simulated world behind the vehicle. The cab is mounted on a fixed motion base which provides a total of five degrees of pitch and five inches of longitudinal motion to mimic the starting and stopping of a vehicle. The simulator collects a wide array of driving performance data which can be specified by the researchers during the design of the scenarios. Data can be collected at rates up to 60 Hz, hence providing the ability to thoroughly analyze a participant’s driving performance. Figure 2. Driving simulator located in ORITE Safety and Human Factors Facility. 55 The driving simulator is also equipped with a faceLab 5 eye-tracking system from Seeing Machines, as seen in Figure 2, which can be used to record the driver’s eye movements throughout the study. The eye-tracking system consists of two cameras and an infrared light pod installed on a bracket mounted to the dashboard in front of the driver’s seat. Software included in the system is used to create a three-dimensional model of the participant’s face in order to track their eye movements. As a result, there is no video recorded of the participants and the eye-tracking system does not contact the participant in any way which, unlike some head-mounted systems, allows them freedom to behave as they normally would. Finally, the eye-tracking system collects data at a rate of 60 Hz, thus providing the ability to thoroughly analyze a participant’s glance behavior in correlation with the driving performance data collected in the simulator. 4.3 Institutional Review Board Process Since human subjects were needed for their participation in the driving simulator, the study had to gain approval from the university’s Institutional Review Board (IRB) before the research could commence. The IRB process is designed to protect the rights of human subjects in regards to personal privacy and minimize the risk that they may incur. The process states that the research should maximize the amount of benefits that would result from conducting the study and the researchers must be able to show that those benefits justify the use of human subjects. Participants must also be selected in a fair manner, so as to not unnecessarily target any particular groups. Prior to submitting the 56 study to the IRB for approval, the researchers completed a research ethics course which tested these issues. In order to submit the study to the IRB for approval, the researchers completed an IRB Project Outline Form. This form described the structure of the study and detailed the steps which were taken to protect the participants. The study was described in regards to the objectives, methodology, and the risks and benefits associated with the study. Along with describing the risks to participants, researchers described the procedures that were taken in order to minimize the risks. Also the compensation for those individuals participating in the study was covered in the submittal. For this study, it was determined to use the Psychology Department’s pool of research participants for recruitment and those individuals received research credit compensation. However, for other participants in the study there was no compensation offered. The submittal also required the researchers to provide copies of the consent forms and questionnaires which were used in the study. The informed consent process included communicating the voluntary nature of the study and disclaiming the possible risk of incurring simulator sickness, often characterized by headaches and/or nausea. Participants were informed of these issues prior to their involvement in the study. Copies of the informed consent forms were included in the submittal to the IRB. The study was first approved by the IRB in January 2011 for a period of one year. In December 2011, an IRB Periodic Review Form was submitted and approved for another year. All of the forms that were submitted to the IRB for this study and the approval documents are included in Appendix B. 57 4.4 Design of Scenarios The simulator study was designed to evaluate three specific aspects of the billboard advertisements to determine which of those elements were effective at communicating the safety message. The aspects of the billboards that were evaluated were the slogans and graphics used in the advertisement and the placement and orientation of the billboard with respect to the driver. Each of these three elements was evaluated in individual scenarios that were specifically designed to test that particular element. The driver behavior displayed as participants drove past the billboards was used to evaluate the effectiveness of the billboards. If participants displayed safer driving behaviors, such as driving slower through work zones or maintaining better lane placement, after having seen a billboard then the particular sign was considered to be effective at communicating the safety message. For all three scenarios, participants drove on an urban four-lane undivided highway which was designed similar to Interstate-90 in Cleveland where the original billboard advertisements were located. No traffic was present on the highway during the three scenarios in order to avoid having the participant’s behavior impacted by other vehicles. While lack of traffic present on the roadway could potentially produce differences in the observed driver behavior, this condition was considered the best assessment of the billboards’ true impact on driver behavior. Since the only portions of the scenarios which varied were the billboard elements being studied, any changes in driving behavior exhibited by the participants can be associated with the billboards presented. However, by observing driver behavior in this manner, the emphasis would be 58 on examining directional trends rather than the exact magnitude of the impact on driver behavior. Based on the results of the public survey study, which are presented in Section 6.1, the billboard advertisements for the simulator study were selected to have a yellow background with black text. The slogan and graphics which were used in the advertisement were dependent on the element being studied in the particular scenario. The billboard advertisements which were used throughout the three scenarios can be seen in Appendix C. The next three subsections provide further descriptions on how each of the three scenarios was designed to evaluate a particular element of the billboards. 4.4.1 Scenario #1 – Slogans The first scenario was designed to test 12 different slogans in the billboard advertisement to see which were effective from a safety perspective. The slogans selected for the study were either used in previous work zone safety campaigns or variations of those slogans that were previously used. The slogans from previously conducted safety campaigns included those that were conducted in Ohio, Michigan, California, and Pennsylvania (3). All twelve slogans have the theme of driving slower through work zones in order to create a safer environment for both work zone personnel and the driving public. In order to limit the amount of time that a participant drove in the simulator, the first scenario was divided into four different versions, as shown in Table 2, each of which consisted of three slogans. 59 Table 2: Slogans used in Scenario #1 Version 1st Slogan A Slow Down in Work Zones B Slow Down Respect the Barrel C Slow Down Save Lives D Go Slow Thru the Zone 2nd Slogan Let ‘em Work Let ‘em Live Give ‘em a Brake Brake for Barrels My Daddy Works Here 3rd Slogan See Orange Drive Slow Drive Slow Drive Safe Go Slow for Safety Slow for the Cone Zone The slogans were divided across the four versions of Scenario #1 in an attempt to vary the keywords used to communicate the safety message across the three slogans for a particular setup. For example, “Slow Down Respect the Barrel” and “Brake for Barrels” were assigned to different groups since they each included the keyword barrel within the slogan. Also there were four slogans which did not contain the keyword slow, so those four slogans were separated. The slogans were divided up in this manner so participants were receiving different messages as they passed the various billboards within the scenario. If participants found the messages to be too repetitive then they may tend to ignore the billboards and not receive the safety message. Furthermore, in order to eliminate a possible bias from the order in which the billboards were presented to the drivers, each of the four versions was designed into three subsets (i.e., A1, A2, A3) so that each of the slogans was presented as the first, second, and third slogan encountered. Throughout Scenario #1, the driving environment presented was kept constant with only the billboard advertisements varying across the four versions and their respective subsets. All of the test billboards in Scenario #1 featured a slogan with the graphics used in the original billboard advertisement. As seen in Figure 3, the slogans 60 were framed by the Laborer’s Local 860 logo on the left side of the advertisement and the construction barrel caricature on the right. The same layout for the advertisement was used throughout with only the slogan changing from one billboard to the next. Figure 3. Sample billboard advertisement used in Scenario #1. Control billboards were also used in the study and consisted of a yellow background with no content. The yellow background was maintained for the control billboards rather than using the blank billboards in the simulated environment which have a white background. Changing the background color between the control and test billboards would introduce another factor which may impact glance behavior as participants may glance towards the billboards solely due to the different background color. In the layout for Scenario #1, participants drove through four work zones with a billboard located prior to the driver entering the work zone. All of the billboards in Scenario #1 were located 100 feet from the right edge of pavement and were placed 250 feet before the “Road Work 1 Mile” sign in the advanced warning area of the work zone. The billboards were also rotated towards the driver by 15 degrees and were placed on the 61 ground so that they were approximately 20 feet in height. The four work zones consisted of the same right-lane closure based on the configuration outlined in the Ohio Manual of Uniform Traffic Control Devices. The work zones were approximately 1.5 miles in length and the posted speed limit was reduced to 55 mph within the work zone. Speed limit signs were posted at the end of the work zone to restore the speed limit back to 65 mph. The work zone configuration showing how the warning signs and construction barrels were setup along with the location of the billboard can be seen in Figure 4. Figure 4. Work zone configuration used in Scenario #1. The four work zones were each separated by a mile-long stretch of regular highway. These sections were provided for buffer areas between the work zones in order to provide participants enough time to adjust back to their normal driving habits after having driven through a work zone. Throughout Scenario #1, the first billboard encountered was always a control billboard with the remaining billboards being the test advertisements. The control billboards were used to establish a baseline condition for 62 driver behavior so comparisons could be made with the driver behavior exhibited in the presence of the campaign billboards. 4.4.1 Scenario #2 – Graphics The second scenario was used to test three combinations of graphics that were featured in the billboard advertisement to see which combinations were effective from a safety perspective. The graphics that were used for this part of the study were the Laborer’s Local 860 logo and the construction barrel caricature that were used in the original billboard advertisement. The first combination consisted of the logo and barrel framing the slogan as used in the first scenario. The second combination of graphics framed the slogan with the construction barrels whereas the third combination featured the logo to the left of the slogan. All three of the advertisements featured the same yellow background with black text that was used in the first scenario. The “Slow Down in Work Zones” slogan was selected for the test billboards since it was the slogan that was used during the public opinion survey. Thus, consistency in the evaluation of the other elements of the billboard advertisements was maintained. The setup of the roadway environment for Scenario #2 was the same as that used throughout Scenario #1 with billboards placed prior to a driver’s entry into each of the four work zones. The work zone configurations were again right lane closures for a distance of 1.5 miles and the four work zones spaced a mile apart from one another. Locations and placement of the billboards were the same as for Scenario #1. The first billboard encountered was the control billboard consisting of a blank yellow background, with the three remaining billboards displaying the different graphic combinations. Three 63 versions of Scenario #2 were created so that each graphic combination was presented on the second, third, or fourth billboard encountered. 4.4.2 Scenario #3 – Placement and Orientation The third scenario was used to test 12 different combinations of the physical placement and orientation of the billboard advertisement with respect to the driver to determine which combinations were effective from a safety perspective. In order to create the 12 combinations shown in Table 3 below, the billboards were placed at different heights, on either side of the highway, and orientated at three different angles with respect to the driver. For the vertical placements, as listed in Table 3, billboards were placed either on the ground (Low) or on top of an industrial building that was 20 feet in height (High). Billboards were always centered at 100 feet from the edge of pavement on either the left or right side of the highway. Finally, the orientation angles were measured perpendicular to the centerline of the highway. Table 3: Placement and orientation combinations used in Scenario #3 Combination # Vertical Placement Side of Road Orientation Angle 1 High Left 0° 2 High Left 15° 3 High Left 60° 4 High Right 0° 5 High Right 15° 6 High Right 60° 7 Low Left 0° 8 Low Left 15° 9 Low Left 60° 10 Low Right 0° 11 Low Right 15° 12 Low Right 60° 64 The angles were selected to be either zero, 15, or 60 degrees so that the billboard was either directly facing the driver, slightly angled towards the driver, or almost parallel to the driver, respectively. These three angles represent how billboards are typically found along actual roadways. The 60 degree angle was primarily selected to represent the billboard used in the original campaign that was parallel to the highway. Orienting the billboard parallel to the highway was believed to be part of the reason why the original sign was believed to be ineffective. For a parallel orientation, drivers would need to look farther away from the roadway in order to see the sign than if the billboard was angled more towards the driver’s direct line of sight. By selecting the 60 degree angle, the billboard is almost parallel to the roadway, yet is angled towards the driver slightly in order to attract their attention. For Scenario #3, the participants again drove along the four-lane highway in an urban area as in the previous two scenarios. However, unlike the previous scenarios, work zones were not setup on the highway and the posted speed limit was 65 mph throughout the entire scenario. As participants drove along the highway they passed a total of 12 billboards which were spaced approximately 0.6 miles apart. For Scenario #3, it was not considered feasible to have the participants drive through work zones after seeing each of the billboards as that would result in a scenario which was too lengthy. The participants would likely begin to become fatigued by driving through such a long scenario and would likely drive in a manner which would cause them to finish the scenario sooner. Consequently, having participants alter their behavior in order to 65 complete the study earlier would likely not represent their true driving behavior in an actual environment and would not be beneficial to this study. Three versions of Scenario #3 were created with the placement and orientation combinations randomized in each to prevent the driver from being able to predict where the next billboard will be located. If drivers were able to anticipate where the billboard would be located, they may start looking at that area on the screen before actually seeing the billboard. This would affect the accuracy of the eye-tracking data and the evaluation of the billboards from a safety perspective. The placement and orientation combinations were considered to likely have a greater impact on glance behavior than the other billboard elements studied. This was due to the participants having to look at different areas of the roadway environment in order to see the different billboards. However, driving performance was still evaluated throughout Scenario #3, so that the effects from the billboards on both aspects of driver behavior would be evaluated as done for the two previous scenarios. 4.5 Study Procedure The entire simulator study was composed of the testing scenarios as described above along with the informed consent process, two questionnaires, and two adaptation scenarios. The length of time in which a participant needed to complete the study was selected to be a maximum of one hour, so as to limit the amount of time that participants would be driving in the simulator. Having participants drive for periods of longer than one hour increases the potential of fatigue setting in which may cause the driver to alter their behavior so that they could finish the study faster. In order to provide enough time 66 for participants to complete the entire study, general guidelines were set to help limit the time spent on each aspect. The informed consent process and completion of the questionnaires was allotted 15 minutes. The adaptation scenarios and set up of the eyetracking system were allotted 15 minutes while the testing scenarios were allotted 30 minutes. The testing scenarios were conducted in different phases of the driving simulator study with the first phase consisting of Scenario #1 while the second phase was Scenarios #2 and #3. Each of the three testing scenarios were calculated to take approximately 10 minutes to complete based upon an individual driving at the posted speed limit for the entire length of the scenario. Since Scenario #1 was split into four versions that each had different slogans, a single participant could drive through three of the versions within the 30 minute window allotted for the testing scenarios. While Scenarios #2 and #3 each had different versions, the same billboards are used throughout so participants only had to complete those scenarios once. As a result, participants in the first phase of the study drove through three different versions of Scenario #1 while the participants in the second phase drove one version of Scenario #2 and one version of Scenario #3. Participants were largely recruited from the Psychology Department’s human subject research system. Those students who completed the study through this method earned a research credit for their participation. Additional students were recruited from the general student body by direct contact and flyers, but those individuals were offered no compensation for completing the study. All of the participants recruited for the study 67 were required to be at least 18 years of age, have a valid driver’s license, and have at least two years of driving experience. When participants first entered the Safety and Human Factors Facility, they were introduced to the study through a narrative paragraph which informed them of the procedure and provided a general overview of the study. The overview of the study indicated that they would be driving past several billboard advertisements, but no description was given as to their content. After being introduced to the study, participants were asked to complete an informed consent form and were allowed to ask any questions in regards to the study. Participants were then asked to fill out a pre-test questionnaire which included questions on driver demographics, driving experience, and opinions on safety campaigns. After these two elements had been completed, the driving simulator portion of the study could commence. Participants were then shown the driving simulator and given an opportunity to adjust the seat as necessary and locate the controls. Next, participants were required to complete two adaptation scenarios prior to proceeding on with the study. The adaptation scenarios were designed to provide participants with ample opportunity to become familiar with the driving simulator controls and reach a point where they were as comfortable driving in the simulated environment as they would be in an actual driving environment. The first adaptation scenario featured a two-lane rural roadway. During the scenario, subjects had to maintain their speed and lane position for approximately thirty seconds. Feedback tools were provided to the participants in order to help them adjust to 68 how the driving simulator operates. The first feedback tool guided participants as to where the vehicle was positioned within the lane so they could adjust to how that appears on the screens. The lane position feedback tool consisted of five circles that were present on the screen directly in front of the driver. The circles would light up based upon where the vehicle was positioned within the lane with only one circle on at a time. When the vehicle was in the center of the lane then the center circle was green, but as the vehicle moved to the left side of the lane, yet was still within the lane, the circle directly left of center turned yellow. If the vehicle crossed the centerline into the oncoming lane then the far left circle turned red. The same procedure happened as the vehicle moved to the right with the circle right of center turning yellow when the vehicle was on the right side of the lane and the far right circle turning red when the vehicle crossed the edge line onto the shoulder. If the vehicle went all the way outside of the lane then all five circles turned red. The second feedback tool provided to the participants was used to assist them with getting adjusted to the vehicle’s acceleration. If participants drove over the posted speed limit of 45 mph by more than 5 mph, the simulator issued a verbal command which instructed the driver to “Slow Down.” After participants were able to maintain their speed below 50 mph and keep the vehicle within the lane for approximately 30 seconds, then they successfully completed the first adaptation scenario. At that point the simulator again issued another verbal command which said “Practice Complete” and the screens of the simulator faded to black and the vehicle came to a stop automatically. 69 The next adaptation scenario featured a four-lane undivided highway in an urban environment. No traffic was present on the highway and the virtual world was vacant of work zones and billboards. Participants were instructed to drive along the highway until they felt comfortable with the controls of the simulator and being able to drive in that environment. Observations on how the participant was driving were made by the researcher to ensure that they were able to successfully keep the vehicle in a travel lane and drive at an appropriate speed. On average, participants drove through the second adaptation scenario for approximately five minutes. Once participants indicated they felt comfortable driving in the simulator and the researcher observed this to be true, the second adaptation scenario was stopped and the study proceeded. Once a participant had completed the two adaptation scenarios, the eye-tracking system was configured for that individual. Participants were asked to sit in their normal driving position and look straight ahead at the screen. The cameras were then adjusted so that the participant’s face was centered within the frame of each camera. Then a threedimensional face model was created for that participant using the eye-tracking software. The face model was created by locating six reference points on the image of the participant’s face. Reference points were placed on the corners of both eyes and on the corners of the mouth, as shown in Figure 5. After the reference points were established, the faceLab 5 software was able to lock on to the glint of light on the eye which resulted from the infrared light being reflected onto the participant’s face. The system was able to track either the iris or the pupil, depending on which provided greater accuracy. Gaze vectors were available for each eye as can be seen by the green lines centered on each of 70 the eyes in Figure 5. The eye-tracking system used a world model, as seen in the frame on the right in Figure 5, to relate the location of the participant to the simulator screens. Figure 5. Example of a face model created using the faceLab 5 eye-tracking system. After the three-dimensional model was created, a gaze calibration procedure was completed in order to increase the accuracy of the eye-tracking system. Participants were instructed to follow a flashing white dot with their eyes while keeping their head in the same position. The dot would appear on the visible part of the center screen which was indicated by a box that was directly in front of the driver. The dot started in the upper left-hand corner of the box and moved across the top of the box to the middle and then to the upper right-hand corner. The dot then proceeded to move down across the middle of the box from the right side to the middle to the left side. Then finally down across the bottom of the box from the left corner to the middle to the right corner. At each of these nine positions the dot would stop and the center of the dot would flash which indicated that the eye-tracking system was capturing the participant’s gaze. 71 After the dot had moved through the nine positions, a message appeared on the screen displaying the accuracy of the calibration. If the accuracy of the calibration was within one degree of error for both eyes, the calibration was considered acceptable. If the error was greater than one degree for either eye, the gaze calibration procedure was repeated. In some instances, an error less than one degree could not be obtained through three trials due to issues with how the eye-tracking system was operating for that particular participant. For these instances, the minimum error that could be obtained was accepted and the problems with the eye-tracking system were noted for possible reference during the analysis of the eye-tracking data. Next, the testing scenarios were run with instructions given for each of the particular scenarios prior to the participant being allowed to begin the scenario. For Scenarios #1 and 2, participants were instructed to drive along the highway as they normally would and were told that they would be driving through four work zones and past several billboards, but no indication was given on the content of the billboards. For Scenario #3 participants again were instructed to drive along the highway as they normally would and were told they would be driving past several billboards, but were not told the content of the signs. In between the testing scenarios, participants were given an opportunity to exit the driving simulator if they were in need of a break. During the evaluation of the slogans in the first phase of the simulator study, participants were asked to fill out a short post-test questionnaire upon completing Scenario #1. No post-test questionnaires were administered after Scenarios #2 and #3 as the same slogan was used in the billboards for those scenarios. The questionnaire had two 72 questions in regards to the billboards they had just seen during the scenarios. The first question sought the opinion of the participant in regards to billboard clutter. This question was included so a comparison could be made to the billboard advertisements that were presented in the public survey study. The billboard advertisements for this portion of the study were simplified down to a single slogan and two graphics whereas the advertisements in the survey had multiple lines of text and two graphics. Thus, this question was used to see if participants still found these simplified billboards to be cluttered with information. The second question in the post-test questionnaire had participants recall the slogans which they remembered best from the scenarios. This was done to determine the most memorable slogans out of the nine slogans that the participants were shown. Participants were required to write down the slogans when answering the questionnaire to assess how accurately the slogan was recalled. This option was selected rather than providing a list of slogans which the participants could select from as it was considered to be a better evaluation of the ability of a slogan to reach drivers. After completing the post-test questionnaire during the first phase or after completing the two scenarios during the second phase, participants were debriefed on the purpose of the study being an evaluation of billboards as a means of communicating a work zone safety campaign message. Participants were given the opportunity to ask any questions they had in regards to the study and to offer any feedback or comments. At that point in time, participants were informed that they had completed the study and were thanked for their participation. 73 4.6 Data Collection Throughout all of the testing scenarios, data was collected on the participant’s driving performance and glance behavior. The driving simulator produced log files of the driving performance for each of the scenarios. The eye-tracking system was run throughout each of the scenarios and produced log files which detailed the participant’s glance behavior. For both the driving simulator and the eye-tracking system, the data collection rates were set at 60 Hz so that the data could be correlated during the analysis process. This provided the ability to analyze how the two aspects of driver behavior were each affected by the billboards and to examine the relationship between the two. For the driving simulator, the data collection was divided into the three zones for Scenarios #1 and 2. The first zone was denoted as Pre-Work Zone and ranged from 1250 feet before the billboard to the “Road Work 1 Mile” sign. This area was selected to begin 1250 feet prior to the billboard as this was determined to be the point at which participants could first detect the billboard. The second data collection zone, also known as the Advanced Warning Area, consisted of the traffic signs that provided drivers with information about the work zone ahead. This area stretched from the “Road Work 1 Mile” sign to the first construction barrel in the work zone. Finally, the third data collection zone (Work Zone) spanned the length over which the construction barrels were set up. These three data collection zones were selected since these areas would indicate the extent to which the billboards impacted the driver’s behavior. For Scenario #3, the driving simulator was set up to collect data for the entire length of the scenario since no work zones were in place. However, the data was only 74 analyzed for sections prior to each of the 12 billboards in the same manner that was done for the Pre-Work Zone in Scenarios #1 and 2. The driving performance data in Scenario #3 was analyzed for the area beginning when the subject was 1250 feet before the billboard up until the subject was 250 feet past the sign. For Scenarios #1, 2, and 3, the eye-tracking system was used to collect data on the participant’s eye movements throughout the entire length of the scenarios. The system had to be manually set to collect data for each of the participants. The eye-tracking began shortly after the participants started driving and was then stopped immediately before the participant was instructed to stop driving. The log files produced by the eye-tracking system and the driving simulator had time stamps which enabled researchers to match the data from the two systems. The driving performance measures that were collected by the driving simulator were: speed, lane position, acceleration, deceleration, and collisions. Speed data was used as an indication of a driver’s perceived risk when traveling along the highway. If drivers travel at a lower speed, the driver may perceive the roadway conditions to be unsafe and thereby reduce their speed in an attempt to feel safer. Conversely, if a subject drives at a high speed, the driver may perceive little to no risk for that driving environment. Overall, the billboards evaluated in the study indicated that drivers should reduce their speeds when driving through work zones, thereby increasing safety within the work zones. Thus, if drivers decrease their speed after seeing the billboards, this indicated that they received the message and recognized the potential risk. Furthermore, the mean speeds and the variance in mean speeds over the different data collection zones were used in the safety 75 evaluation of the billboards in regards to their effectiveness in communicating the work zone safety message. Mean speeds in the work zones were evaluated to determine if the billboards caused drivers to display the desired behavior. Comparisons of the mean speed and speed variance were made across the data collection zones to evaluate the different elements of the billboard advertisements that were presented to drivers including the billboards without advertisements. Statistical tests will be used to determine if the mean speeds and speed variances between the different billboard advertisements presented to the drivers were statistically significant. The null hypothesis for the speed analysis in the different scenarios stated that there is no difference in the mean speeds between the different elements of the billboards. The lane position data collected was the position of the vehicle’s center of gravity relative to the centerline of the travel lane. Values were reported as positive when the vehicle was traveling on the right side of the lane and negative when the vehicle was traveling on the left side of the lane. Since the travel lanes in the simulator study were 12 feet in width, the limits of the lane position data were +6 feet for the far right side of the lane and -6 feet for the far left side of the lane. Lane position data was used as an indication of a driver’s perceived risk when traveling through work zones. If drivers travel farther away from the construction work area within their travel lane, the drivers may have perceived the work zone as a safety risk. Since participants were driving on an undivided four-lane highway with a concrete barrier separating the directions of travel and on which the right lane was closed, drivers moving farther away from the work zone 76 would be moving toward the concrete barrier adjacent to the inside shoulder. Traveling farther away from the work zone also increases the safety of the work zone as the likelihood of an intrusion crash into the work area is decreased. Additionally, the variation in lane position data was used as an indication of the potential distraction related to the billboards. If the lane position varied greatly as a driver approached a billboard, this could indicate that the billboard was distracting a driver from the roadway ahead. Comparisons of the mean lane position and the variations in lane position were made across the data collection zones to evaluate the billboard advertisements presented to drivers. Statistical tests were used to determine if the mean lane position and variations in lane position between the different billboard advertisements were statistically significant. The null hypothesis for the lane position analysis in the different scenarios stated that there was no difference in the mean lane position and variations in lane position between the different billboard elements. Based on the instrumentation of the driving simulator, the acceleration and deceleration data collected were normalized values of the pressure exhibited by the driver on the accelerator and brake pedal, respectively. When a pedal is not depressed the value is 0.00 and when a pedal is at maximum depression the value is 1.00. While deceleration of the vehicle without the use of the brake pedal is possible, the behavior of interest was whether participants actively decelerated because they perceived a need to slow down more immediately. Both acceleration and deceleration data were used as an indication of a driver’s reaction to the billboards and their potential for being involved in a crash when traveling along the highway. The mean accelerations and the variance in acceleration 77 were found for the different data collection zones and comparisons were made across the zones and between the different billboards presented to the drivers. Likewise, the deceleration data was evaluated in a similar manner. Statistical tests were used to determine if the mean acceleration and mean deceleration between the different billboard advertisements were statistically significant. The null hypothesis for the acceleration and deceleration data stated that there are no differences in the mean values between the different billboard elements. Collision data was recorded when a participant collided with another object and returns the name of the object that was involved in the collision. In addition, the subject’s position in the simulated environment and the point of time during the scenario were used in determining the details of the collision. Collision data was used as the actual risk of a driver when traveling along the highway and the potential distraction related to the billboards. The observed frequency of crashes served as an indication of the risk present on the roadway environment and indicated potential aspects of the roadway environment that were contributing to crashes. Comparisons of the crash frequency between the different elements of the billboard advertisements were done to determine if there is a particular aspect of the signs which may be contributing to crashes. The eye-tracking system collected the participant’s eye movements in relation to the screens of the driving simulator and provided the data as coordinates in the threedimensional model created by the researcher. The model was correlated to the physical environment of the simulator screens by measuring the screen area on which the simulated environment was presented. Specifically, as the driver approached the 78 billboard, the physical area on the screens in which the billboard appeared was measured and coordinated to the three-dimensional model used in the eye-tracking system. Furthermore, the eye-tracking data was coordinated with the subject’s position along the roadway as provided by the driving simulator data by using the time stamps included with each of the log files. The researcher was then able to determine what aspects of the simulated environment were present on the screen in front of the driver at a particular point of time. Thus, as the subject approached the billboard, their eye movements were analyzed to determine when they glanced towards the billboard. The glance behavior was analyzed from 1250 feet prior to the billboard up until the sign was passed for every billboard presented to the participants in the study. The participant’s gaze intersecting the area on the screen where the billboard appears was considered a glance towards the billboard. Consecutive gaze intersections represented the participant making a single fixation on the billboard. The minimum length of time for a fixation was considered to be 0.10 seconds as this was believed to be the shortest amount of time required for a participant’s cognition of the billboard. Once individual fixations were determined for each of the billboards, several other glance behavior parameters were then used to evaluate the billboards. These glance behavior parameters included mean fixation, total fixation, number of fixations, and proportion of fixation duration. The length of time that a participant fixated on a billboard advertisement indicated how long it took the driver to comprehend the billboard and whether or not the billboard was distracting to the driver. The glance behavior measures used in this study provide evaluations on these two issues. Individual fixations represent all of the glances made 79 towards billboards and were used to determine if there was a billboard which had a higher frequency of long glances. For this study long glances were considered to be those individual fixations that are longer than 2.0 seconds as this was the limit suggested by Rockwell (22). The frequency of long glances towards the billboards indicated if drivers found the signs to be distracting. Mean fixations were determined as an average of all the individual fixations a participant made towards a billboard and provided a generalized duration for how long participants needed to look at the billboard in order to comprehend the message. Mean fixations also indicated if drivers find the billboards to be distracting as higher value indicated longer glances overall. Total fixation was the total length of time that a subject glanced at a particular billboard. This parameter was used to evaluate the length of time needed to comprehend the billboards as larger total fixation values indicated that drivers had to look at the billboard for longer periods of time in order to receive the message. Number of fixations was recorded as the number of times a participant looked at a billboard. This parameter was used to evaluate whether or not the billboard was distracting as billboards with more frequent fixations were considered distracting. Finally, proportion of fixation duration was a ratio of the total time a participant glanced at a billboard compared to the total amount of time they were approaching the sign. Alternatively, this parameter was considered the percentage of time that participants looked at the billboard while approaching the sign. This parameter indicated if the sign was distracting by comparing the values obtained for the test advertisements to those values for the control advertisement. Statistical tests were conducted on all of the glance 80 behavior parameters to determine if there were statistically significant differences between the billboard advertisements. The null hypothesis for each of the glance behavior parameters stated that there were no differences in the mean values between the different billboard elements being evaluated. 4.7 Sample Size Determination For the simulator study, the number of participants required was determined based upon the data collected, a 95 percent level of confidence, and a statistical power of 80 percent as selected for the statistical tests. The following equation was used in this study to determine the sample size, n, that would be required to detect a certain difference level in each of the driver behavior parameters: (42) Where: σ = Sample standard deviation Zβ = Critical value for a power of 80 percent (β = 0.2) = 0.842 Zα/2 = Critical value for a 95 percent level of confidence (α = 0.05) = 1.96 ε = Detectable difference The sample size required for each of the eight data collection parameters was determined based upon a range of standard deviations and a range of detectable differences. From the previous research reviewed, it was seen that neither the standard deviations nor detectable differences were reported in any of the simulator studies. Furthermore, the standard deviation of the data collected may be impacted by the equipment used to collect the data. Previously, a simulator study conducted in the ORITE Safety and Human Factors Facility reported several of the data collection parameters that 81 were used in this study (44). This previous study was similar in nature as it evaluated how driver behavior was affected by several traffic signs. The standard deviations for each of the parameters were reported separately and used as a guideline for the sample size determination in this study. The detectable difference values used in the initial sample size determination were selected based upon the practicality of measuring each of the parameters. Once five participants had completed Scenario #1, the resulting standard deviation for each parameter was determined and used to select the final sample size. The description of this process as it applies to each of the parameters is discussed below. 4.7.1 Determination for Speed From the previous simulator study conducted by ORITE, the standard deviation for speed was reported to range from 2.87 to 12.23 mph for the different elements tested with an average standard deviation of 5.55 mph for the study (44). Therefore, an approximate range of standard deviations from 3.0 to 10.0 mph were used for the initial sample size calculations. The range of values for the detectable difference in speed were selected to range from 1.0 mph, the lowest discernible variation possible on the speedometer in the simulator, to 5.0 mph which is the largest error possible when using a laser speed gun to conduct a field study. The selected ranges for standard deviation and detectable difference were used in the equation above to produce Table 4. 82 Table 4: Initial sample size determination for speed Standard Deviation in Speed (mph) 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 Detectable Difference in Speed (mph) 1.0 71 126 197 283 385 503 636 786 2.0 18 32 50 71 97 126 159 197 3.0 8 14 22 32 43 56 71 88 4.0 5 8 13 18 25 32 40 50 5.0 3 6 8 12 16 21 26 32 After the first five participants had completed Scenario #1, the mean speeds were determined for each of the data collection zones. For the Pre-Work Zone, Advanced Warning Area, and Work Zone the standard deviations in speed were found to be 4.0, 4.6, and 5.6 mph, respectively. Examining Table 4, it can be seen that larger standard deviation values result in a larger sample size for a particular detectable difference. Therefore, the largest value from the five participant sample was used to select the initial sample size. Of the detectable differences presented in Table 4, the most practical value from a safety standpoint is likely 3.0 mph as it would likely be the smallest difference that would be noticeable to drivers while traveling through an actual work zone. Furthermore, a change in speed of less than 3.0 mph would be difficult to detect on actual roadways due to the limitations of typical data collection instruments (i.e., radar guns). Therefore, from Table 4, for a detectable difference of 3.0 mph and a standard deviation of 5.6 mph, the required sample size would be between 22 to 32 participants. 83 4.7.2 Determination for Lane Position Lane position was evaluated in the previous simulator study and the standard deviation ranged between 0.46 to 0.82 feet with an overall average standard deviation of 0.60 feet (44). Therefore, an approximate range of standard deviations from 0.25 to 2.00 feet were used for the initial sample size calculations to cover potentially greater values. The smallest detectable difference in lane position was selected to be 0.10 feet as this was the lowest variation the driving simulator could report. The largest detectable difference in lane position was selected to be 1.00 feet as larger values would not be useful in assessing the billboard’s impact on driver behavior. The initial sample size calculations using the selected ranges for standard deviation and detectable difference are shown in Table 5. Table 5: Initial sample size determination for lane position Standard Deviation Detectable Difference in Lane Position (ft) in Lane Position (ft) 0.10 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 0.25 50 8 2 1 1 0.50 197 32 8 4 2 0.75 442 71 18 8 5 1.00 786 126 32 14 8 1.25 1227 197 50 22 13 1.50 1767 283 71 32 18 1.75 2405 385 97 43 25 2.00 3141 503 126 56 32 After the first five participants had completed Scenario #1, the mean lane position was determined over each of the data collection zones and the largest standard deviation of lane position was found to be 0.66 feet. For the variation in lane position throughout 84 the area prior to the billboard the standard deviation was also found to be 0.66 feet. The smallest and most practical difference in lane position for drivers traveling along an actual roadway is likely 0.50 feet. The lane lines used on highways are typically three to four inches in width and drivers are not likely to be able to visually notice changes in lane position that are less than twice the width of a lane line. As a result, Table 5 shows that for a difference of 0.50 feet and a standard deviation in lane position of approximately 0.75 feet, the required sample size would be 18 participants. 4.7.3 Determination for Acceleration and Deceleration The acceleration and deceleration data are normalized values, so the initial sample size determination was done using one of the parameters as the sample size would then be adequate for both parameters. From the previous simulator study, the largest acceleration value was found to be 0.38 while the maximum deceleration value was found to be 0.16 (44). Furthermore, the mean deceleration values were all very low (<0.01) indicating that participants did not use the brake pedal very often. Therefore, the initial sample size was determined using acceleration data as there was more data available to use as a guideline. In the previous ORITE study, the standard deviations for acceleration were reported between 0.02 and 0.07 with an average standard deviation of 0.04 (44). Therefore, the range of standard deviations for the initial sample size calculations was selected to be 0.01 to 0.08. The mean values for acceleration varied between 0.06 and 0.26 (44). Thus, the lowest detectable difference was selected to be 0.01 as this was the lowest variation reported by the simulator, while the highest detectable difference was 85 selected to be 0.20 as this was approximately half of the maximum acceleration reported. Table 4 displays the initial sample sizes calculated for the acceleration data based on the selected ranges for standard deviation and detectable difference. Table 6: Initial sample size determination for acceleration Standard Deviation Detectable Difference in Acceleration in Acceleration 0.01 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.01 8 1 1 1 1 0.02 32 2 1 1 1 0.03 71 3 1 1 1 0.04 126 6 2 1 1 0.05 197 8 2 1 1 0.06 283 12 3 2 1 0.07 385 16 4 2 1 0.08 503 21 6 3 2 After the first five participants had completed the study, the mean acceleration for each of the data collection zones was determined and the largest standard deviation of acceleration was found to be 0.08. Additionally, the mean acceleration across the three data collection zones was found to be 0.18. Therefore, a detectable difference of 0.05 would be approximately a quarter of the mean value obtained from the five participant sample. Differences in acceleration of less than 0.05 would likely not be practical on actual roadways. From Table 6, it can be seen that for a detectable difference of 0.05 and a standard deviation of 0.08 the sample size estimation would be 21 participants. 4.7.4 Determination for Mean Fixation and Total Fixation The previous simulator study reported results for mean fixation but did not include data on total fixation. Nevertheless, the standard deviations for mean fixation 86 were used as a guideline for the total fixation data as large variations between the parameters would not be expected as total fixation is a summation of the glances which are averaged to produce mean fixation. The standard deviation for mean fixation was reported between 0.41 and 0.54 seconds for the four signs with an overall average of 0.47 seconds (44). Therefore, a range of standard deviations from 0.10 to 2.00 seconds was used for the mean fixation data to account for the longer glances which were expected towards the billboard advertisements as opposed to the traffic signs in the previous study. For total fixation, the range was adjusted slightly higher to be from 0.25 to 2.50 seconds to account for larger values. The smallest detectable difference in mean fixation was selected to be 0.10 seconds as this was the lowest fixation used in the analysis of the eye-tracking data. The largest detectable difference in mean fixation was selected to be 1.00 seconds as longer glances that begin to approach the 2.00 second limit are seen in previous research to negatively impact safety. The range for detectable differences for the total fixation data was selected to be similar to that used for the mean fixation data, but slightly higher. The initial sample size calculations for both mean and total fixation are shown in Tables 7 and 8, respectively. 87 Table 7: Initial sample size determination for mean fixation Standard Deviation in Mean Fixation (sec) 0.10 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 1.25 1.50 2.00 Detectable Difference in Mean Fixation (sec) 0.10 8 50 197 442 786 1227 1767 3141 0.25 2 8 32 71 126 197 283 503 0.50 1 2 8 18 32 50 71 126 0.75 1 1 4 8 14 22 32 56 1.00 1 1 2 5 8 13 18 32 Table 8: Initial sample size determination for total fixation Standard Deviation in Detectable Difference in Total Fixation (sec) Total Fixation (sec) 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 1.50 0.25 8 2 1 1 1 0.50 32 8 4 2 1 0.75 71 18 8 5 2 1.00 126 32 14 8 4 1.25 197 50 22 13 6 1.50 283 71 32 18 8 2.00 503 126 56 32 14 2.50 786 197 88 50 22 After the first five participants had completed the study, the mean and total fixation for each of the billboards presented to the drivers was determined. The standard deviation of the mean fixation data was found to be 0.55 seconds while the standard deviation of the total fixation data was 1.51 seconds. In regards to the detectable difference, the smallest practical value with regards to safety would likely be 0.50 seconds or a quarter of the 2.00 second limit for glances away from the roadway. This detectable difference could also be used for the total fixation data as they are related 88 variables. However, from the sampled data the average of the total fixations was found to be approximately twice that of the mean fixations. Consequently, a larger detectable difference, such as one second, should likely be used in the initial sample size estimate. From Table 7, a detectable difference in mean fixations of 0.50 seconds and a standard deviation of 0.55 seconds results in a sample size of eight participants. From Table 8, it can be seen that for a detectable difference of 1.00 seconds and a standard deviation of 1.51 seconds the estimated sample size is 18 participants. 4.7.5 Determination for Number of Fixations The previous simulator study did not report the number of fixations made towards each of the traffic signs, so no guideline was available for that data. The range of standard deviation values was selected to be from 0.25 to 2.00 fixations as this data was not expected to vary greatly between participants. These values were used for the initial sample size estimate and would be reevaluated after data was collected for this study. Since the number of fixations made by participants was recorded as integer values, the range of detectable differences was selected to be in 0.50 intervals, or half of a fixation. This would result in the detectable difference being to either one whole number or another. The range of detectable differences for the initial sample size calculations was selected to be from 0.50 to 2.50 fixations. The initial sample size calculations using the selected ranges for standard deviation and detectable difference are shown in Table 9. 89 Table 9: Initial sample size determination for number of fixations Standard Deviation in Detectable Difference in Number of Fixations Number of Fixations 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 0.25 2 1 1 1 1 0.50 8 2 1 1 1 0.75 18 5 2 2 1 1.00 32 8 4 2 2 1.25 50 13 6 4 2 1.50 71 18 8 5 3 1.75 97 25 11 7 4 2.00 126 32 14 8 6 After the first five participants had completed the study, the number of fixations towards each billboard presented to the driver was determined. The standard deviation in the number of fixations made by those participants was found to be 1.60. Thus, the selected range for the initial sample size estimate was found to be adequate. As for a practical detectable difference, it is conceivable that a passenger could indeed detect the number of glances a driver makes away from the roadway ahead, so a detectable difference of a single fixation could be considered practical. Thus, using those two values, the sample size obtained from Table 9 would be between 18 to 25 participants. 4.7.6 Determination for Proportion of Fixation Duration The previous simulator study conducted by ORITE reported standard deviations for proportion of fixation duration between 0.08 and 0.10 with an average standard deviation of 0.09 for the study (44). Consequently, the range of standard deviations was selected to be from 0.05 to 0.40 in order to account for potentially higher values due to probable differences in glance behavior towards the billboards in contrast to the traffic signs evaluated in the previous study. The eye-tracking data was analyzed over the Pre- 90 Work Zone section of the scenario which would take a participant approximately 13 seconds to traverse if driving at the posted speed limit. Since the lowest fixation used in the analysis of the eye-tracking data was 0.10 seconds, the lowest proportion of fixation duration value for a single glance towards the billboard while driving at the speed limit would be 0.008. Thus, the smallest detectable difference was selected to be 0.01 as this would be the minimal difference between no glances and a single glance towards the sign. The highest detectable difference was selected to be 0.20 which was approximately half of the maximum values which were reported in the previous simulator study. The initial sample size calculation for proportion of fixation duration is shown in Table 10. Table 10: Initial sample size determination for proportion of fixation duration Detectable Difference in Proportion Fixation Duration Standard Deviation in Proportion Fixation Duration 0.01 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.05 197 8 2 1 1 0.10 786 32 8 4 2 0.15 1767 71 18 8 5 0.20 3141 126 32 14 8 0.25 4908 197 50 22 13 0.30 7067 283 71 32 18 0.35 9618 385 97 43 25 0.40 12562 503 126 56 32 After the first five participants had completed the study, the proportion of fixation duration for each billboard presented to the driver was determined. The standard deviation in the proportion of fixation duration data was found to be 0.15. During the sample size evaluation of the total fixation parameter, the practical detectable difference was selected to be 1.00 seconds. If a participant was driving towards the billboard at the 91 speed limit and glanced at the billboard for a total of 1.00 seconds, their proportion of fixation duration would be 0.08. Thus, from a practicality standpoint, the smallest detectable difference for proportion of fixation duration would likely be 0.10 in order to account for potentially shorter travel times over the 1250 feet prior to the billboard. From Table 10, a detectable difference of 0.10 and a standard deviation of 0.15 would result in a sample size of 18 participants. 4.7.7 Final Sample Size Determination After examining the standard deviations from the driving performance and glance behavior data that was collected for the first five participants for Scenario #1, the sample size tables above were referenced. The initial sample sizes that were determined for each of the driver behavior parameter are summarized in Table 11 below. Table 11: Summary of initial sample size determination Driver Behavior Parameter Initial Sample Size Estimate Speed 22 to 32 Participants Lane Position 18 Participants Acceleration and Deceleration 21 Participants Mean Fixation 8 Participants Total Fixation 18 Participants Number of Fixations 18 to 25 Participants Proportion of Fixation Duration 18 Participants Overall, it can be seen that the driver behavior parameter of speed controls the determination of the sample size for the simulator study. Since the standard deviation value from the first five participants fell between the values presented in Table 4 a range of participants was selected for the sample size. Since the parameter of speed will control 92 the sample size determination, the sample size was calculated to be 28 participants based on a standard deviation of 5.6 mph and a detectable difference of 3.0 mph. However, the final sample size was selected to be slightly larger than the calculated value in order to account for potential changes in the standard deviation values that would be obtained from the larger sample. As a result, the final sample size was selected to be 30 participants for each of the billboard elements in order to achieve the selected detectable differences. The previous driving simulator study conducted by ORITE had a total sample size of 39 participants (44). The four driving simulator studies reviewed in the Background chapter also reported their sample sizes. Megias et al. had a sample size of 22 participants while Edquist et al. and Young et al. each had 48 participants (33, 37, 38). Jamson and Merat had the largest sample size of 80 participants, yet found very few statistically significant differences at a 95 percent level of confidence despite the large sample size (39). Given the sample sizes for the previous studies along with the findings of Jamson and Merat, the sample size of 30 participants was considered sufficient for this study. Due to the way that the slogans were split among the four groups in Scenario #1 and that a single participant would drive three versions of the scenario, a total of 40 participants were needed so that each slogan would be seen by 30 participants. Scenarios #2 and #3 were run in tandem and required an additional 30 participants to complete those scenarios. Therefore, a total of 70 participants were needed in order to complete the simulator study, which was the number of drivers that participated in the study. 93 CHAPTER 5: STATISTICAL METHODOLOGY In order to evaluate the different billboard advertisements, statistical analyses were conducted on the data collected from both the billboard survey and driving simulator studies. Statistical testing is an effective tool for assessing the differences in the data collected and determining whether or not those variations in the data were due to chance or the selected manipulation. Furthermore, statistical tests can indicate if the effect being evaluated in the sample groups would truly exist in the population. This is important to this research as the billboard survey and driving simulator studies conducted each used sample groups from the driving population in order to assess the billboard advertisements. By using statistical testing to analyze the data collected in each of the studies, determinations were made on the potential impact of the various billboard elements on driver behavior. This was done through a series of comparisons done with statistical tests which will be described in the following sections. The descriptions are divided between the two studies conducted and include information on the statistical tests used in the analysis. 5.1 Statistical Tests for Public Survey Study The billboard surveys were designed to evaluate the preferred text and background color combination for the billboard advertisement. Based on how the surveys were established the data collected was categorical as the participants selected one of the four signs that were presented to them. Prior to any statistical analyses, the frequencies of the sign selections needed to be determined. Once the frequencies were totaled, it was seen that the sample sizes for the two sets of four billboards were unequal as the first set 94 had 156 completed surveys and the second set had 220 surveys. If the two sets had equal sample sizes, then the statistical comparisons could be made by using the frequencies of the responses for each of the billboards. However, to compare the two sets given the different sample sizes, the frequencies were divided by the number of completed surveys for that particular set to produce the proportion of responses for each of the eight billboards. The statistical test selected for evaluating the selection proportions was a twoproportion z-test. There are four conditions that must be met for that particular test to be valid. The first two conditions are that the samples must be selected from the population at random and that the samples are independent. Each of these conditions is met by the design of the experiment since participants were selected at random from the general driving population to complete the survey and the participants were only shown one set of billboards. The other two conditions are that the samples must include at least five responses in each of the groups being compared and that the population size is at least ten times the sample size (45). These two assumptions were checked while conducting the statistical analyses. The proportions were used to calculate the test statistic (z) for the two-proportion z-test by the following equation: (45) Where: p1 = Sample proportion from population 1 p2 = Sample proportion from population 2 SE = Standard error of the sampling distribution between two proportions 95 Calculated as: (45) Where: n1 = Size of sample 1 n2 = Size of sample 2 p = Pooled sample proportion Calculated as: (45) For the statistical tests conducted on the survey responses, the null hypothesis stated that the background and font color combinations used in the billboard advertisements were selected equally. Conversely, the alternative hypothesis stated that the two color combinations were not selected equally. The two-proportion z-test was conducted as a two-tailed test as the null hypothesis did not indicate a directional relationship. For this research, a 95 percent level of confidence was used throughout the statistical analysis. Thus, the critical z-score was considered to be 1.96 for the statistical analysis. If the calculated z-score was found to exceed the critical z-score, a significant result was indicated and the null hypothesis was then rejected. In order to determine which of the eight different background and font color combinations presented in the survey was preferred by the participants, direct comparisons were made for each of the four primary survey questions. For each of the questions it was first determined which two color combinations had the greatest selection proportions. The z-score was then calculated using those two proportions and, if the test produced a significant result, the billboard with the greater proportion was found to have 96 been selected statistically more often than every other color combination. However, if the test did not produce a significant result, there was no statistical difference between the billboards in regards to public preference. At that point, the color combination with the third highest proportion was tested against the billboard with the highest proportion overall. This process would continue on in this manner until a significant result was obtained from the test. These comparisons were first made for the four primary survey questions for the entire sample population. Then the demographics questions were used to separate the participants into groups so comparisons could be made within the groups for each of the primary questions. The participants were divided into groups based upon age, gender, and driving experience. The comparisons conducted for the statistical analysis of the survey results are described below: “Which sign would make you more aware of Construction Work Zones?” Responses for the total sample population Responses within the six age groups Responses by gender Responses within the five groups by driving experience Responses based upon reported knowledge of rules for driving in a work zone “Which sign would make you more cautious in the Construction Work Zone?” Responses for the total sample population Responses within the six age groups Responses by gender 97 Responses within the five groups by driving experience Responses based upon reported knowledge of rules for driving in a work zone Responses based upon reported number of crashes in work zones “Which sign would you be able to see best during the day?” Responses for the total sample population Responses within the six age groups Responses by gender Responses within the five groups by driving experience “Which sign would you be able to see best during the night?” Responses for the total sample population Responses within the six age groups Responses by gender Responses within the five groups by driving experience 5.2 Statistical Tests for Driving Simulator Study The driving simulator study was designed to evaluate the impact of the billboards on driver behavior. For the statistical analysis of the data collected in the simulator study, it was determined that several comparisons needed to be made between the behavior observed by the different billboard advertisements. As a result, the data was labeled by the type of billboard presented to the driver so that comparisons could be made between the signs to determine if there were any differences detected in driver behavior. Since each of the three scenarios comprising the simulator study include at least four billboard advertisements, the statistical tests used in the analysis needed to be able to 98 compare multiple groups. The t-test is a statistical test that is commonly used to compare the means of two groups (41). If multiple t-tests were conducted between each of the groups included in the different scenarios in the study, Type I errors would be compounded. Type I errors are the detection of an effect in the sample population when there is no effect present (41). This is represented by a value referred to as the α-level. To minimize the chance of having a Type I error occur, the statistical tests were carried out at a 95 percent level of confidence where the α-level is 0.05. Conducting multiple ttests would increase the probability for a Type 1 error to occur as the familywise error rate would increase. The familywise error rate is calculated using the following equation: (41) Where: n = The number of tests being conducted on the data For Scenario #2 there are four groups being tested while Scenarios #1 and #3 each have 12 groups. If each of the groups were compared to one another, the number of tests to be conducted would be six for Scenario #2 and 66 for Scenarios #1 and #3. Subsequently, if all of those tests were conducted, the familywise error rate would be 0.26 for Scenario #2 and 0.97 for Scenarios #1 and #3. These rates are considered to be extremely high and the results from the multiple tests would not be useful. As a result, the one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) was selected for the statistical analysis of the data. The one-way ANOVA is able to compare the variances between several groups and still control the Type I error by using the Bonferroni α, which is the α-level divided by the number of tests (41). 99 The one-way ANOVA is a parametric test and, as such, the data used in the test must meet four assumptions for the test to produce valid results. The assumptions are that the data should be measured independently, the collected data must be interval data, there should be homogeneity of variances in the data between the groups, and the data must be normally distributed. For the first two assumptions, the design of the driving simulator study ensures that those assumptions are met. Each participant was scheduled to participate at separate times and only one person could drive the simulator at a time, so the behavior of one participant would not have any effect on the behavior of another participant. The data parameters collected in the study were collected over separate zones with data logged at a rate of 60 times per second and recorded in units that quantified the observed behaviors. The homogeneity of variances for the data was evaluated by conducting Levene’s test. The null hypothesis for this test stated that the sample variances between the groups were equal. If the test produced a significant result, the variances were not homogeneous and that assumption of the parametric tests would be violated. The final assumption that the data should follow a normal distribution can be evaluated by plotting the data in a histogram. This provides a visual evaluation of the data; however, statistical tests were also desired to provide verification on conformance to normality. To check normality of the data, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Shapiro-Wilk tests were conducted. These tests each compare the sampled data to a normally distributed dataset that has an equivalent mean and standard deviation (41). If the test produced a significant result, the sampled data would not follow the normal distribution. 100 After Levene’s test was conducted on the data for each of the scenarios in the study, it was determined that the data parameters of acceleration in the area prior to the billboards, total fixation, and proportion of fixation duration did not have homogeneous variances for Scenarios #1 and #2. Additionally for Scenario #1, acceleration in the advanced warning zone and mean fixation did not have homogeneous variances. However, all of the data parameters in Scenario #3 were determined to have homogeneous variances. The results for the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Shapiro-Wilk tests indicated only two parameters in Scenario #2 and one parameter in Scenario #3 had data that followed the normal distribution. For Scenario #2 those parameters were acceleration in the advanced warning zone and lane position in the area prior to the billboard. For Scenario #3, the single parameter with normally distributed data was lane position. Upon reviewing the histograms of the data, it was seen that the distribution of the data was not drastically different from the normal distribution. Most of the distributions had the issue of positive skew where the data tended to fall on the left side of the distribution. This issue was most prominent in the glance behavior parameters across all three scenarios. Those parameters will have an inherent positive skew due to how the data is recorded and the nature of the data itself. As discussed in the review of previous research on glance behavior, drivers tend to make short glances away from the roadway as long glances are found to correspond to decreases in safety. Accordingly, the glance behavior data in this research indicated that drivers most often made either no glances or short glances, both of which corresponded to low values. Hence, the distributions of the 101 glance behavior data are practically centered on a value of zero and thereby sit on the left-side of a normal distribution. There are three approaches suggested by Field to correct problems with nonnormal distributions which are to remove outliers, to change the value of the outliers, or to transform the data (41). The option of changing the values of the raw data was not selected because it did not seem ethical to alter the values recorded even if they were extreme values. If cases were determined to be outliers, they would be reviewed to determine if they were truly unrepresentative of actual driving behaviors and thus needed to be removed from the analysis. To find if there were outliers in the data, the values were standardized to z-scores by the following equation: (41) Where: X = Each individual data points = The mean of all scores s = The standard deviation of all scores After the data was converted to z-scores, it was analyzed to determine the extent of outliers present in the data. Based on the z-scores, a normal distribution would have no more than 5 percent with absolute values greater than 1.96, 1 percent with absolute values greater than 2.58, and no absolute values greater than 3.29 (41). For Scenario #1, the parameters of speed in the area prior to the billboard and mean fixation were found to have the largest problem with outliers as the data points exceeding a z-score of 3.29 were 1.9 percent and 1.1 percent, respectively, of the 480 data points collected. Further review of the data found that the outliers for speed were eight data points ranging from 102 approximately 81 to 90 mph and a single data point of approximately 45 mph. The five outliers in mean fixation were found to range from 3.62 seconds to 5.08 seconds. These speeds and mean fixations could be considered extreme values that would not likely occur in actual driving conditions. However, the study was designed to isolate the driver on the roadway to see the extent of their behavior. Hence, the magnitude of the variation in the data above what would be expected to occur on actual roadways could be considered logical as the actual conditions are not replicated perfectly. As a result, it was determined that the outliers would be conditionally removed from the speed data to see if it resulted in a normal distribution as the speed data had the most outliers. If the normality of the dataset did not improve, the outliers would be left in the dataset. After removing the identified outliers in the speed data for Scenario #1, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Shapiro-Wilk tests were conducted on the new data sets. These tests still indicated that the speed data did not follow a normal distribution despite removing the nine outliers. To see if outliers may still be an issue the z-scores were recalculated for the new data set and it was found that five data points exceeded the critical z-score of 3.29. Those five data points were speeds ranging between 79 and 81 mph. Since the removal of the outliers did not improve the normality of the data, it was selected that no data would be removed for any of the parameters. Given the previous evaluation that most of the collected data does not following a normal distribution, the method that was used to determine outliers may not be applicable as it is based on a normal distribution. Furthermore, the purpose of this study is to evaluate the potential safety benefits of the billboards based on the observed driver 103 behavior and any removal of the outliers would result in removing observed instances of extreme driver behavior. These extreme behaviors are the actions that are recognized in previous research to correspond with decreases in safety. Consequently, further attempts to resolve the non-normal data were done through transforming the data. In the review of previous research it was seen that Horrey and Wickens implemented a log transformation to the glance behavior data in their study to address the violations of normality that had occurred (25). This type of transformation was selected by Horrey and Wickens to address the positive skew in their data. That same positive skew problem was also seen in the glance behavior for this research. There are other possible transformations that can be applied to datasets including taking either the square root or reciprocal of the data points. However, for some of the parameters being studied (i.e., lane position) there are data points that are either zero or negative values, so the square root and reciprocal transformations would be inappropriate. The log transformation did require adding a constant to the data points to account for the negative values and zeroes. To apply the log transformation to all of the datasets, a constant of six was added to the lane position data while a constant of one was added to the other parameters. The constant of six was selected for the lane position data as the smallest value that could be recorded for lane position would be -6 as that would correspond to the vehicle being centered on the far left edge of the travel lane. The log transformations were done using the following equations: For lane position: (41) 104 For other parameters: (41) Where: x = Each of the data points xtransformed = Transformed data point After transforming all of the data sets, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and ShapiroWilk tests were conducted to check normality and Levene’s test was also conducted to check for homogeneous variances. For Scenario #1, only lane position in the pre-work zone and advanced warning zones followed a normal distribution while the other parameters still did not. Also three parameters still did not have homogeneous variances in Scenario #1 as compared to five parameters in the untransformed data. For Scenario #2, three parameters had normally distributed data in the transformed datasets, an improvement of one parameter over the untransformed datasets. Similarly, the transformed datasets only corrected one of the parameters which previously did not have homogeneous variances. No improvements in normality of the data were seen for Scenario #3 after applying the log transformations. Overall, the log transformations were considered to be ineffective at correcting the normality and homogeneous variance problems that occurred in the data sets. While some improvements could be made, the collected data sets still violated the assumptions of the parametric tests. Although Field does indicate that when the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Shapiro-Wilk tests are used on large sample sizes there is a possibility that small deviations from normality can produce a significant result (41). Likewise, Levene’s test can produce a false significant result when used on large sample sizes. Given that the number of data points analyzed in these tests were 480, 120, and 348 for Scenarios #1, 105 #2, and #3, respectively, there is a possibility that the tests are indeed producing a false significant result. As discussed previously, the visual check of the histograms across the three scenarios did not show large variations from the normal distribution, so the data may not be in violation of the assumptions for parametric tests. Furthermore, Field states that the one-way ANOVA test is considered a robust statistical test because it is able to withstand violations of the assumptions (41). If the homogeneity of variances assumption is violated, ANOVA is considered to still be robust for equal sample sizes. If sample sizes are not equal then Welch’s F-ratio can be used to mitigate the issue. Glass, Peckham, and Sanders reviewed the robustness of the one-way ANOVA with regards to violations of normality and found it to be very robust for particular conditions (46). According to their findings, skewed populations are found to have very little effect on the level of significance or power of the test. Upon consideration of the issues surrounding the normality and homogenous variances assumptions and the robustness of the one-way ANOVA test, it was selected to proceed with the one-way ANOVA to conduct the statistical analysis of the data. After the one-way ANOVA was conducted and the results of the test were obtained, questions regarding how the potential violations had impacted the results were reviewed and addressed in Chapter 7. The one-way ANOVA functions by comparing the amount of variability due to the experimental manipulation, which would be the billboard advertisements in this research, to the amount of variability due to the unsystematic variation, which can be considered to be other factors within the experiment. The comparison is made by calculating the mean squares of the model, MSM, and the mean squares of the residual, 106 MSR. The F-ratio is then calculated as the ratio of the mean squares of the model to the mean squares of the residual. The equations used to calculate the F-ratio are as follows: (41) Where: SST = Total sum of squares xi = Observed data point xgrand = Grand mean (41) Where: SSM = Model sum of squares nk = Number of participants within the group xk = Mean of the group With degrees of freedom: (41) Where: dfM = Degrees of freedom of the model k = The number of groups (41) Where: SSR = Residual sum of squares xik = Observed data point within the group With degrees of freedom: (41) Where: dfR = Degrees of freedom of the residual (41) Where: MSM = Mean squares of the model 107 (41) Where: MSR = Mean squares of the residual (41) Where: F = Ratio of the systematic variation and the unsystematic variation After calculating the F-ratio it is compared to a critical F-ratio for the confidence level (α) and the degrees of freedom (dfM and dfR) being used to conduct the test. If the calculated F-ratio is found to exceed the critical F-ratio this is a significant result indicating that the null hypothesis is rejected. In the one-way ANOVA test, the null hypothesis stated that the groups being evaluated have equal means. The null hypothesis is rejected when at least one of the groups has a mean which does not equal the means of the other groups. The extent to which groups have means that are unequal to the other groups is unknown from simply conducting the one-way ANOVA test. Thus, to conclude which groups are different either a planned comparison or a post hoc test must be conducted. Planned comparisons and post hoc tests are similar to whether a one- or twotailed test is conducted (41). If a specific hypothesis is formulated prior to conducting the experiment, as for a one-tailed test, then planned comparisons are performed. However, if no specific hypothesis is formulated, as for a two-tailed test, post hoc tests are used. In this research there were no specific hypotheses pre-determined on how the billboards would affect driver behavior prior to conducting the study. Accordingly, post hoc tests will be used to check for differences between the groups. Several post hoc tests can be used after conducting a one-way ANOVA test, but the tests each perform better under certain conditions. Based on the potential issues with normality and homogeneous 108 variances in the datasets, a post hoc test which can withstand these issues is preferred. The Games-Howell test performs well under those two issues along with performing well when sample sizes are unequal (41). Once the significant differences are identified, the effect size can be calculated to indicate the impact of the experimental manipulation. Effect size, r, is defined by Cohen to correlate to either a small (r = 0.10), medium (r = 0.30), or large effect (r = 0.50) (41). As the effect size increases, the experimental manipulation is considered to have caused more of the variation seen between the groups. For the results of the one-way ANOVA tests, effect size was calculated using the following equation: (41) While conducting the one-way ANOVA test, the Welch’s F-ratio was also determined to correct for violations of the homogeneous variances assumption. Welch’s F-ratio is able to account for those violations as it adjusts the residual degrees of freedom to produce a revised F-ratio (41). Also the model sum of squares and mean squares of the model are adjusted due to a weighting factor for each group that is included in the equations. The following equations were used to calculate the Welch’s F-Ratio: (41) Where: wk = Weighting factor for the group sk = Variance of the group (41) Where: xgrand(Welch) = Weighted grand mean (41) 109 Where: SSM(Welch) = Weighted model sum of squares (41) Where: MSM(Welch) = Adjusted mean squares of the model (41) Where: Λ = Weighting factor With degrees of freedom: (41) (41) Where: FW = Welch’s F-ratio As for the statistical analysis of the billboard survey data, all of the statistical tests on the data from the driving simulator study were conducted at a 95 percent level of confidence (α = 0.05). For the statistical analysis of the data collected from the driving simulator study, the following comparisons were conducted using the one-way ANOVA test: Scenario #1: Compared the 12 billboard slogans with the control billboard in the Pre-Work Zone for the following parameters: speed, lane position, variation in lane position, acceleration, mean fixation, total fixation, number of fixations, and proportion of fixation duration Compared the 12 billboard slogans with the control billboard in the Advanced Warning Area for the following parameters: speed, lane position, and acceleration 110 Compared the 12 billboard slogans with the control billboard in the Work Zone for the following parameters: speed, lane position, and acceleration Scenario #2: Compared the 3 billboard graphic combinations with the control billboard in the Pre-Work Zone for the following parameters: speed, lane position, variation in lane position, acceleration, mean fixation, total fixation, number of fixations, and proportion of fixation duration Compared the 3 billboard graphic combinations with the control billboard in the Advanced Warning Area for the following parameters: speed, lane position, and acceleration Compared the 3 billboard graphic combinations with the control billboard in the Work Zone for the following parameters: speed, lane position, and acceleration Scenario #3: Compared the 12 billboard placements in the area leading up to the billboard for the following parameters: speed, lane position, variation in lane position, acceleration, mean fixation, total fixation, number of fixations, and proportion of fixation duration Impact of Long Glances on Safety in All Three Scenarios: Compared the total variation in lane position as participants were fixating on the billboards for both long glances (≥ 2.0 seconds) and short glances (< 2.0 seconds) 111 CHAPTER 6: RESULTS The billboard advertisements being evaluated in this research were designed to be the main component of a work zone safety campaign. Different elements of those billboard advertisements were evaluated by conducting a public survey study and a driving simulator study. In each of the studies, the primary objective was to determine to what extent the billboards were able to have an effect on driver behavior. For the public survey study, the evaluation was to ascertain which background and text color combination was preferred by the public in regards to communicating the safety message. During the driving simulator study, driving performance and glance behaviors of the participants were observed in a controlled environment. Those observed behaviors were then analyzed to compare the different billboards shown to drivers. When examining the effects on driver behavior in both studies, considerations were given to how the specific behaviors would affect safety on the roadway. The results of the public survey and driving simulator studies are described in the following sections. 6.1 Public Survey Study Upon completion of the public survey study, a total of 376 responses had been obtained. Completed survey responses were obtained from 175 females (47 percent) and 197 males (52 percent). There were four surveys where the gender question had not been answered. Survey responses were also totaled for the following age groups: 16-24, 25-34, 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, and 65 years and older. These age groups were selected due to their use by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration in analyzing crash data by demographic groups (1). The number of responses collected in each of the six age groups 112 is shown in Figure 6. When conducting the survey study, researchers attempted to match the demographics of the survey sample population to that of the general driving population in terms of gender and age. However, since participants were recruited on a voluntary basis and due to time constraints, an exact match of the demographics was not feasible. Number of Responses 250 200 150 100 50 0 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Age Group Figure 6. Public survey responses by age group. As seen in Figure 6, the sample population had a majority of participants (53 percent) in the 16-24 age group. From the 2010 Census, the age group of 15-24 years old constituted 17.1 percent of Ohio’s population eligible for a driver’s license (47). Comparatively, in the 2010 Census the 45-64 age group made up a plurality of Ohio’s population eligible for a driver’s license at 34.4 percent, whereas that same age group comprised 16.8 percent of the population in this study (47). Based on this information, younger drivers were considered to be overrepresented in the public survey study. As seen in previous research, younger drivers are identified as a high risk group since they 113 are involved in crashes at a higher rate than other age groups. In 1996, the crash involvement rate for drivers 16 to 24 years old was 1,222 crashes per 100 million VMT which more than doubled the other age groups as those 25-44, 45-64 and 65 years and older had rates of 532, 405, and 529 crashes per 100 million VMT, respectively (48). Thus, the overrepresentation of younger drivers in this study was considered to be beneficial to this research. Any positive impacts to safety found would be based largely on a high risk group of drivers and could possibly have a direct impact on addressing roadway safety. When the survey was developed, there was a question included which asked participants how many crashes they had been involved in while driving in a construction work zone. During the analysis of the survey responses, it was determined that there were 24 participants that responded they had been involved in at least one work zone crash. Of those participants, 18 had reportedly been involved in at least one crash, four had been in two crashes, and one participant had been in three crashes. Therefore, there were not adequate responses for an analysis to be conducted on the number of crashes in which a driver had been involved. The number of responses were too small to meet the assumptions of the two-proportion z-test as outlined in Chapter 5. As a result, statistical analyses of the survey responses were not conducted for the intended comparisons on number of crashes. One of the goals of the public survey study was to determine if drivers considered the billboard originally used in the work zone safety campaign to be cluttered. The survey responses showed that approximately 60 percent of the participants thought the billboards 114 used in the survey were too cluttered. The other goal of the study was to determine which background and text color combination would be preferred by drivers for communicating the work zone safety campaign message. This determination was made using the four primary questions included in the survey about the color combinations and comparing the responses within individual demographic groups. 6.1.1 Increase Awareness of Work Zones The first primary question was in regards to increasing a driver’s awareness of the presence of construction work zones on the roadways. Participants were asked to select the sign which they believed would make them more aware of work zones. The selection proportions for the eight billboards are shown in Figure 7 and the results of the two- Color Combination proportion z-test for the total sample population are shown in Table 12. Red with Black Blue with Black Red with White Yellow-Green with Black Yellow with Black Orange with Black Green with White Black with Orange 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 Proportion of Responses Figure 7. Proportions for the total population on increased awareness of work zones. 115 Table 12: Results of z-test for total population on increased awareness of work zones Color Combinations Group P SE z-statistic Result Compared Reject Null: Total Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.620 0.025 2.68 pyellow-green ≠ pyellow The statistical test produced a significant result which means that participants selected the fluorescent yellow-green background with black text statistically more often than the yellow background with black text as the proportions were 0.65 and 0.58, respectively. Comparisons were then made for the responses within the different demographic groups to see if there were any variations from the billboard preferred by the total population. Those z-test results are summarized in Tables 13, 14, and 15. Table 13: Results of z-test by age group for increased awareness of work zones Age Color Combinations P SE z-statistic Result Group Compared Accept Null: Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.619 0.035 1.87 pyellow-green = pyellow 16-24 Reject Null: Yellow-Green and Orange 0.500 0.036 10.24 pyellow-green ≠ porange Reject Null: 25-34 Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.636 0.065 3.29 pyellow-green ≠ pyellow Reject Null: 35-44 Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.587 0.073 2.02 pyellow-green ≠ pyellow Accept Null: 45-54 Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.586 0.091 0.72 pyellow-green = pyellow Reject Null: 55-64 Yellow and Yellow-Green 0.588 0.084 3.55 pyellow ≠ pyellow-green Reject Null: 65+ Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.846 0.100 2.50 pyellow-green ≠ pyellow 116 Table 14: Results of z-test by gender for increased awareness of work zones Color Combinations Gender P SE z-statistic Result Compared Accept Null: Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.607 0.035 0.84 pyellow-green = pyellow Male Yellow-Green and Red Reject Null: 0.444 0.034 10.41 with White pyellow-green ≠ pred(wh.) Reject Null: Female Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.628 0.037 3.78 pyellow-green ≠ pyellow Table 15: Results of z-test by driving experience for increased awareness of work zones Years of Color Combinations zP SE Result Experience Compared statistic Yellow-Green and Accept Null: 0.615 0.042 1.32 Yellow pyellow-green = pyellow 1-5 years Yellow-Green and Reject Null: 0.504 0.043 8.26 Orange pyellow-green ≠ porange Yellow-Green and Reject Null: 6-10 years 0.597 0.060 3.69 Yellow pyellow-green ≠ pyellow Yellow-Green and Reject Null: 11-15 years 0.636 0.084 3.58 Yellow pyellow-green ≠ pyellow Yellow-Green and Accept Null: 0.500 0.112 0.90 Yellow pyellow-green = pyellow 16-20 years Yellow-Green and Accept Null: 0.500 0.112 0.90 Orange pyellow-green = porange Yellow and YellowAccept Null: 0.642 0.047 1.48 Green pyellow = pyellow-green 20+ years Yellow and Red with Reject Null: 0.403 0.048 10.278 White pyellow ≠ pred(wh.) From Table 13, the age groups of 16-24 and 45-54 were found to produce a different color combination preference than that of the overall population. Each of these groups selected the fluorescent yellow-green and yellow backgrounds with black text at equal proportions and statistically more often than the other six color combinations. Participants in the 55-64 age group also contrasted from the overall population as they 117 were found to prefer the yellow background with black text over the fluorescent yellowgreen background with black text. Further statistical analyses could not be done for the 45-54 age group after the first two color combinations as no other combination garnered at least five responses as required by the assumptions of the test. From Table 14, males were found to have selected the color combinations with yellow and fluorescent yellow-green backgrounds at statistically equal rates while females displayed the same preference as that of the overall population. In Table 15, there were a few variations seen from the overall population as participants with 1-5 and 20+ years of driving experience selected the yellow-green and yellow backgrounds with black text equally. Moreover, participants with 16-20 years of driving experience equally preferred the color combinations using the fluorescent yellow-green, yellow, and orange backgrounds. No additional color combinations could be tested as they did not elicit at least five responses. When analyzing which billboard was preferred for increasing awareness of work zones, the results were also evaluated by the participant’s self-reported knowledge of the rules and regulations for driving in a work zone. This comparison was considered to be important as those individuals who do not have knowledge of the rules were more likely to violate those rules. If the billboard was able to communicate the safety message to these drivers and make them more aware of construction work zones, they may be more likely to learn and comply with the rules. For the question on knowledge of rules, participants selected a response on a scale from strongly agree to strongly disagree. The participants who answered either neutral or 118 disagree made up 11 percent of the overall population while the other 89 percent answered either strongly agree or agree. The two-proportion z-test was carried out for those who did not claim to have knowledge of the rules (neutral or disagree) to determine their preferred color combination. Results of the statistical analysis, shown in Table 16, indicate that those drivers who reported not having knowledge of the rules for driving in work zones selected the fluorescent yellow-green and yellow backgrounds with black text statistically more often than the other combinations. Table 16: Results of z-test by knowledge of rules for increased awareness of work zones Color Combinations zGroup P SE Result Compared statistic Accept Null: Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.750 0.068 0.74 Neutral pyellow-green = pyellow and Reject Null: Disagree Yellow-Green and Orange 0.550 0.079 6.29 pyellow-green ≠ porange 6.1.2 Increase Caution in Work Zones The second primary question asked participants to select the sign which they believed would make them more cautious in work zones. Figure 8 displays the selection proportions for the eight color combinations while the results of the two-proportion z-test for the total sample population are shown in Table 17. Color Combination 119 Red with Black Blue with Black Red with White Yellow-Green with Black Yellow with Black Orange with Black Green with White Black with Orange 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 Proportion of Responses Figure 8. Proportions for the total population on increased caution in work zones. Table 17: Results of z-test for total population on increased caution in work zones Color Combinations Group P SE z-statistic Result Compared Accept Null: Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.519 0.026 1.46 pyellow-green = pyellow Total Reject Null: Yellow-Green and Orange 0.497 0.026 3.45 pyellow-green ≠ porange The results in Table 17 indicate that the participants selected the fluorescent yellow-green and yellow backgrounds with black text statistically more often than the other color combinations for making them more cautious in work zones. From Figure 8, the proportions were 0.53 and 0.50 for those two combinations whereas the orange background with black text had a proportion of 0.45. Additional statistical analyses were then conducted based upon the demographic groups to see if there were any variations from the color combination preferred by the total population. The results of the z-tests by age, gender, and driving experience are summarized in Tables 18, 19, and 20, respectively. 120 Table 18: Results of z-test by age group for increased caution in work zones Age Color Combinations P SE z-statistic Result Group Compared Accept Null: Yellow-Green and Orange 0.513 0.036 1.19 pyellow-green = porange Accept Null: 16-24 Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.508 0.036 1.56 pyellow-green = pyellow Yellow-Green and Red Reject Null: 0.416 0.032 7.10 with White pyellow-green ≠ pred(wh) Accept Null: Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.545 0.067 0.70 pyellow-green = pyellow 25-34 Reject Null: Yellow-Green and Orange 0.491 0.067 2.47 pyellow-green ≠ porange Accept Null: Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.500 0.074 1.78 pyellow-green = pyellow 35-44 Reject Null: Yellow-Green and Orange 0.478 0.074 2.33 pyellow-green ≠ porange Reject Null: 45-54 Orange and Yellow-Green 0.586 0.091 2.49 porange ≠ pyellow-green Reject Null: 55-64 Yellow and Yellow-Green 0.529 0.086 4.48 pyellow ≠ pyellow-green Reject Null: 65+ Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.846 0.100 2.50 pyellow-green ≠ pyellow Table 19: Results of z-test by gender for increased caution in work zones Color Combinations Gender P SE z-statistic Result Compared Accept Null: Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.508 0.036 0.96 pyellow-green = pyellow Male Reject Null: Yellow-Green and Orange 0.487 0.036 2.24 pyellow-green ≠ porange Accept Null: Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.529 0.038 1.53 pyellow-green = pyellow Female Reject Null: Yellow-Green and Orange 0.517 0.038 2.37 pyellow-green ≠ porange 121 Table 20: Results of z-test by driving experience for increased caution in work zones Years of Color Combinations zP SE Result Experience Compared statistic Yellow-Green and Accept Null: 0.537 0.043 1.36 Orange pyellow-green = porange Yellow-Green and Accept Null: 1-5 years 0.529 0.043 1.83 Yellow pyellow-green = pyellow Yellow-Green and Red Reject Null: 0.436 0.038 6.46 with White pyellow-green ≠ pred(wh.) Orange and YellowAccept Null: 0.493 0.061 1.23 Green porange = pyellow-green 6-10 years Reject Null: Orange and Yellow 0.442 0.069 2.79 porange ≠ pyellow Yellow-Green and Accept Null: 0.576 0.086 0.52 Yellow pyellow-green = pyellow 11-15 years Yellow-Green and Reject Null: 0.455 0.087 3.08 Orange pyellow-green ≠ porange Yellow-Green and Accept Null: 0.600 0.110 1.11 Yellow pyellow-green = pyellow 16-20 years Yellow-Green and Accept Null: 0.550 0.111 1.91 Orange pyellow-green = porange Yellow and YellowAccept Null: 0.547 0.048 0.74 Green pyellow = pyellow-green 20+ years Reject Null: Yellow and Orange 0.466 0.053 3.85 pyellow ≠ porange Table 18 shows that the 16-24, 25-34, and 35-44 age groups displayed the same preferences as the overall population in selecting the fluorescent yellow-green and yellow backgrounds with black text equally. However, the 16-24 age group also selected the orange background with black text as statistically often as the aforementioned color combinations. In contrast to the overall population, the age groups of 45-54, 55-64, and 65 and older preferred just one color combination. The 45-54 age group differed the most from the overall population as they selected the orange background with black text statistically more often. Those participants in the 55-64 age group preferred the yellow 122 background with black text whereas those in the 65 and older group preferred the fluorescent yellow-green background. From Table 19, neither gender varied from the two color combinations preferred by the overall population. Also those participants with 11-15 and 20+ years of driving experience selected the same combinations as the overall population as seen in Table 20. However, that was not the case for participants with 6-10 years of driving experience. Those drivers selected the orange and fluorescent yellow-green backgrounds with black text statistically more often than the other billboards. Participants with 1-5 and 16-20 years of experience preferred the orange background with black text along with the color combinations preferred by the overall population. As in the analysis of the previous question, no further tests could be conducted in the 16-20 age group as the remaining color combinations did not meet the minimum of five responses. During the analysis on which billboard would increase caution, it was also selected to evaluate the responses by self-reported knowledge of the rules for driving in a work zone as done for the previous question. Those participants who did not report knowing the rules for driving in a work zone may not be driving cautiously throughout work zones. The two-proportion z-test was conducted on the responses for those answering either neutral or disagree and the results are shown in Table 21. Those participants were found to have equally selected the yellow, orange, and fluorescent yellow-green backgrounds with black text and the red background with white text. No further tests could be done within that group due to violating the minimum responses. 123 Table 21: Results of z-test by knowledge of rules for increased awareness of work zones Color Combinations zGroup P SE Result Compared statistic Accept Null: Yellow and Orange 0.500 0.083 0.00 pyellow = porange Neutral Accept Null: and Yellow and Yellow-Green 0.450 0.079 1.16 pyellow = pyellow-green Disagree Accept Null: Yellow and Red with White 0.450 0.079 1.16 pyellow = pred(wh.) 6.1.3 Billboard Seen Best in Daylight The third primary question asked participants to select the sign which they would be able to see the best in daylight while driving along a freeway at 65 mph. Figure 9 displays the selection proportions for the eight color combinations and the results of the Color Combination two-proportion z-test for the total sample population are shown in Table 22. Red with Black Blue with Black Red with White Yellow-Green with Black Yellow with Black Orange with Black Green with White Black with Orange 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 Proportion of Responses Figure 9. Proportions for the total population on billboard seen best in daylight. 124 Table 22: Results of z-test for total population on billboard seen best in daylight Color Combinations Group P SE z-statistic Result Compared Reject Null: Total Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.504 0.026 2.61 pyellow-green ≠ pyellow The results in Figure 9 and Table 22 indicate that at a proportion of 0.53 the participants selected the fluorescent yellow-green color combination statistically more often than the yellow color combination (proportion of 0.46) at a 95 percent level of confidence. Thus, the public perception is that a billboard using a fluorescent yellowgreen background and black text would be seen the best during the day. To determine if there were any variations in the preferred color combination from that of the total population, additional statistical analyses were conducted by age, gender, and driving experience as summarized in Tables 23, 24, and 25, respectively. Table 23: Results of z-test by age group for billboard seen best in daylight Age Color Combinations zP SE Result Group Compared statistic Reject Null: 16-24 Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.480 0.036 2.08 pyellow-green ≠ pyellow Accept Null: Yellow and Yellow-Green 0.509 0.067 1.38 pyellow = pyellow-green 25-34 Reject Null: Yellow and Red with White 0.455 0.067 2.88 pyellow ≠ pred(wh.) Reject Null: 35-44 Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.478 0.074 2.33 pyellow-green ≠ pyellow Reject Null: 45-54 Yellow-Green and Orange 0.586 0.091 2.32 pyellow-green ≠ porange Accept Null: Yellow and Yellow-Green 0.588 0.084 1.88 pyellow = pyellow-green 55-64 Reject Null: Yellow and Red with Black 0.353 0.082 6.00 pyellow ≠ pred(bl.) 125 Table 24: Results of z-test by gender for billboard seen best in daylight Color Combinations Gender P SE z-statistic Result Compared Reject Null: Male Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.503 0.036 2.43 pyellow-green ≠ pyellow Accept Null: Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.509 0.038 1.34 pyellow-green = pyellow Female Reject Null: Yellow-Green and Orange 0.451 0.038 5.55 pyellow-green ≠ porange Table 25: Results of z-test by driving experience for billboard seen best in daylight Years of Color Combinations zP SE Result Experience Compared statistic Yellow-Green and Reject Null: 1-5 years 0.449 0.043 2.54 Yellow pyellow-green ≠ pyellow Yellow-Green and Accept Null: 0.537 0.061 1.00 Yellow pyellow-green = pyellow 6-10 years Yellow-Green and Reject Null: 0.463 0.061 4.16 Orange pyellow-green ≠ porange Yellow and Red with Accept Null: 0.515 0.087 1.02 White pyellow = pred(wh.) 11-15 years Yellow and YellowReject Null: 0.455 0.087 2.56 Green pyellow ≠ pyellow-green Yellow-Green and Accept Null: 16-20 years 0.550 0.111 1.91 Yellow pyellow-green = pyellow Yellow-Green and Reject Null: 20+ years 0.557 0.048 2.01 Yellow pyellow-green ≠ pyellow In Table 23 it can be seen that the age groups of 16-24, 35-44, and 45-54 matched the color combination preference of the total population. Differing from the total population were the age groups of 25-34 and 55-64 as they equally selected the yellow and fluorescent yellow-green backgrounds with black text for the billboard seen best 126 during the daylight. Statistical analyses could not be conducted on the responses of the 65 years and older group as only one color combination received at least five responses for being seen best during the day. From Table 24, males were found to have the same preference as the overall population while females preferred both the fluorescent yellow-green and yellow backgrounds with black text at a 95 percent level of confidence. Variations from the color combination preferred by the total population were noticed for three groups in Table 25. Drivers with 6-10 and 16-20 years of driving experience equally selected the fluorescent yellow-green and yellow backgrounds with black text as seen best during the day. However, no further comparisons could be conducted within the group with 16-20 years of experience as none of the other color combinations received at least five responses. At a 95 percent level of confidence, participants with 11-15 years of driving experience were found to prefer both the yellow background with black text and the red background with white text. 6.1.3 Billboard Seen Best at Nighttime The fourth primary question asked participants to select the sign which they would be able to see the best at nighttime while driving along a freeway at 65 mph. The selection proportions for each of the eight color combinations are displayed in Figure 10. Results of the two-proportion z-test for the total sample population are shown in Table 26. Color Combination 127 Red with Black Blue with Black Red with White Yellow-Green with Black Yellow with Black Orange with Black Green with White Black with Orange 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 Proportion of Responses Figure 10. Proportions for the total population on billboard seen best at nighttime. Table 26: Results of z-test for total population on billboard seen best at nighttime Color Combinations Group P SE z-statistic Result Compared Accept Null: Yellow and Yellow-Green 0.810 0.020 0.92 pyellow = pyellow-green Total Yellow and Red with Reject Null: 0.421 0.026 26.87 White pyellow ≠ pred(wh.) Figure 10 illustrates that participants selected the fluorescent yellow-green and yellow backgrounds with black text at proportions of 0.80 and 0.82, respectively, from the two sets of color combinations. Those color combinations were selected more often than the other color combinations at a 95 percent level of confidence as shown in Table 26. Thus, the public perception is that the fluorescent yellow-green and yellow backgrounds would be seen the best during the night. Additional statistical analyses were then conducted by classifying the responses within different demographic groups. This was done to determine if there were any variations in the preferred color combinations 128 from those of the total population. The results of the two proportion z-tests by age, gender, and driving experience are summarized in Tables 27, 28, and 29, respectively. Table 27: Results of z-test by age group for billboard seen best at nighttime Age Color Combinations zP SE Result Group Compared statistic Accept Null: Yellow and Yellow-Green 0.811 0.028 1.94 pyellow = pyellow-green 16-24 Reject Null: Yellow and Red with White 0.434 0.035 19.10 pyellow ≠ pred(wh.) Reject Null: 25-34 Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.818 0.052 2.05 pyellow-green ≠ pyellow Accept Null: 35-44 Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.761 0.063 1.42 pyellow-green = pyellow Reject Null: 45-54 Yellow and Yellow-Green 0.897 0.057 2.95 pyellow ≠ pyellow-green Accept Null: 55-64 Yellow and Yellow-Green 0.765 0.073 0.69 pyellow = pyellow-green Table 28: Results of z-test by gender for billboard seen best at nighttime Color Combinations Gender P SE z-statistic Result Compared Accept Null: Yellow and Yellow-Green 0.812 0.028 1.87 pyellow = pyellow-green Male Yellow and Red with Reject Null: 0.462 0.036 19.28 White pyellow ≠ pred(wh.) Accept Null: Yellow-Green and Yellow 0.803 0.030 1.17 pyellow-green = pyellow Female Yellow-Green and Red Reject Null: 0.358 0.036 18.41 with White pyellow-green ≠ pred(wh.) 129 Table 29: Results of z-test by driving experience for billboard seen best at nighttime Years of Color Combinations zP SE Result Experience Compared statistic Yellow and YellowAccept Null: 0.809 0.034 0.70 Green pyellow = pyellow-green 1-5 years Yellow and Red with Reject Null: 0.412 0.042 15.61 White pyellow ≠ pred(wh.) Yellow and YellowReject Null: 6-10 years 0.821 0.047 2.22 Green pyellow ≠ pyellow-green Yellow-Green and Reject Null: 11-15 years 0.727 0.078 3.30 Yellow pyellow-green ≠ pyellow Yellow-Green and Reject Null: 16-20 years 0.850 0.080 3.42 Yellow pyellow-green ≠ pyellow Yellow and YellowReject Null: 20+ years 0.811 0.038 2.35 Green pyellow ≠ pyellow-green Table 27 shows that the 16-24 age group has the same color combination preference as the overall population at a 95 percent level of confidence. The 35-44 and 55-64 age groups also selected the fluorescent yellow-green and yellow backgrounds with black text more than the other color combinations, but further tests could not be conducted on the remaining color combinations as they did not garner enough responses. Participants in the 25-34 age group selected the fluorescent yellow-green background with black text statistically more often while those in the 45-54 selected the yellow background with black text statistically more often. Statistical analyses could not be conducted on the responses of the 65 years and older group as only one color combination received at least five responses for being seen best during at night. From Table 28, there were no variations from the overall population found in the color combinations preferred by both males and females. Additionally, no variations from the overall population were found for drivers with 1-5 years of driving experience based 130 on the results in Table 29. However, the other four driving experience groups each preferred one of the two color combinations preferred by the overall population. Participants with 6-10 years and those with over 20 years of experience each selected the yellow background with black text more often at a 95 percent level of confidence. Those participants with either 11-15 or 16-20 years of driving experience were found to select the fluorescent yellow-green background with black text statistically more often than the other color combinations. 6.1.4 Overview of the Statistical Analyses of Survey Responses The statistical analyses conducted on the survey responses largely indicated that the public preferred two color combinations over the rest for each of the four primary questions. The preferred combinations were the fluorescent yellow-green and yellow backgrounds with black text. These two color combinations were preferred by the overall population for increasing caution in work zones and for being seen best during the night. For increasing awareness of work zones and being seen best during the day, the fluorescent yellow-green background with black text was preferred. During the analyses by different demographic groups, the two color combinations were selected equally in over half of the cases analyzed. Based on these results and considering the meanings assigned to those colors as defined in the MUTCD, the yellow background with black text was selected for use in the billboard advertisements developed for the driving simulator study. The yellow background is believed to be more consistent with the purpose of the safety campaign and better maintains driver expectancy. Additional discussion on this decision can be found in Section 7.1. 131 6.2 Driving Simulator Study Based on the demographics of the sample population from the public survey study, it was decided that the participants recruited for the driving simulator study would be focused on the younger driver population. The overrepresentation of younger drivers would be beneficial to the simulator study as the driving behaviors typically displayed by this group are not as developed as those of more experienced drivers. This can often result in younger drivers exhibiting behaviors that are considered to be unsafe. If participants are observed to drive in a safer manner through the work zones after having seen the billboard advertisements, then the signs can be considered to potentially have an effect on the general driving population. Participants were recruited primarily on the college campus in order to meet the criterion of using younger drivers in the study. The resulting population recruited for the driving simulator study was a total of 71 participants. This is larger than predetermined sample size of 70 because one participant was unable to complete the study due to technical difficulties with the driving simulator, so an additional driver was recruited. Within the sample population, 48 participants were between the ages of 18-20 (67 percent) whereas 22 drivers were between the ages of 21-25 (31 percent). One participant did not provide a response to the age question on the pre-test questionnaire. Additionally, the population consisted of 47 males (66 percent) and 24 females (34 percent). The plurality of participants drove a total of 0.5-1.0 hours and between 5-10 miles in one direction during a typical day (42 and 32 percent, respectively). As seen in the public survey study, the majority of drivers reported having knowledge of the rules and 132 regulations for driving in a construction work zone as 66 percent agreed with the statement and 24 percent strongly agreed. The pre-test questionnaires given to participants also included a couple of questions on safety campaigns to assess the experiences and beliefs of the participants. The first question was whether the driver knew any safety campaigns and if they could recall the slogan that was used. This question was included to examine whether previous safety campaigns had been able to reach the drivers in regards to exposure. Most of the participants (62 percent) reported not knowing any safety campaigns. Of the 27 drivers who did report knowing a safety campaign, 18 listed slogans for seat belt campaigns with the primary response being the “Click it or Ticket it” slogan. There were six participants who listed slogans used in work zone safety campaigns including the slogans of “Give ‘em a Brake” and “Slow Down, My Daddy Works Here” that were used in this study. The other question included on the pre-test questionnaire asked drivers if a safety campaign informing them on the hazards in a work zone would cause them to alter their driving behavior and, if so, presented them with multiple options on how their behavior would change. Approximately 83 percent of participants responded that the campaign would cause a change in their behavior. For those participants who would change their behavior, 88 percent indicated that they would reduce their speed, 85 percent would pay closer attention, and 69 percent would drive farther away from the work zone. There were no participants who indicated they would drive faster or drive closer to the work zones. The driving simulator study was designed to have participants see a variety of billboard advertisements and collect data on the driving performance and glance 133 behaviors observed. The driving performance measures collected were speed, lane position, acceleration, deceleration, and collisions. After processing the collected data it was seen that no collisions occurred during the entire study. Additionally, the data collected on deceleration showed that participants very rarely used the brake pedal across the three data collection zones. Overall, drivers were seen in these areas to reduce their speed by reducing the amount of pressure applied to the accelerator pedal. Since the acceleration data is a measure of how much pressure is applied to the pedal, in terms of safety, this data is best suited for observing a driver’s response to a particular event. For example, acceleration data would be useful if a researcher was interested in how long it takes a driver to start accelerating once a traffic signal turns green or the time it takes a driver to respond to another vehicle suddenly pulling out in front of them. In each of these cases the data can be examined against time to evaluate the driver’s response. For this study acceleration data was analyzed for a small sample of participants as they approached the billboards to determine if their acceleration data varied in response to seeing the signs. However no trends were seen across the sampled data, so no further attempts were made to analyze the data. Based upon this finding, it was decided to remove acceleration data from the statistical analyses of the billboards. Consequently, the only driving performance parameters reported here are speed, lane position, and variation in lane position. The glance behavior parameters reported in the following sections are mean fixation, total fixation, number of fixations, and proportion of fixation duration. Multiple comparisons of the billboard advertisements were made based on these parameters to determine their effect on driver behavior. The 134 results for the three scenarios in the driving simulator study are presented in separate sections below as each of the scenarios was designed to evaluate a different component of the billboards. Following those sections is an analysis of driving performance while participants looked at the signs in all three scenarios. 6.2.1 Scenario #1 – Slogans The first scenario in the driving simulator study was designed to test the slogans used in the billboard advertisements. Participants were presented with either a control billboard or a work zone safety campaign billboard prior to driving through a construction work zone. The campaign billboards used in this scenario had one of the 12 campaign slogans being tested, while the graphics and color combination of the sign as well as the placement and orientation with respect to the driver were kept constant. As participants drove through the simulated environment data was continuously collected on the driving performance and glance behavior parameters outlined previously. During the processing of the data, mean values for the parameters were taken across the area prior to the billboards (Pre-Work Zone), the area directly prior to the work zone (Advanced Warning Area), and the work zone area denoted by the construction barrels (Work Zone). The only parameter which was not processed as a mean value was variation in lane position as this is measured by the total lateral distance the vehicle travels throughout the Pre-Work Zone. The four glance parameters were only processed with respect to the participant’s glances towards the billboards and hence are only included for the Pre-Work Zone. Mean speed and mean lane position were the only parameters processed for all three data collection zones. 135 To determine to what extent the slogans in the billboards had an effect on driver behavior, comparisons were done by conducting one-way ANOVA tests on the data collected from the sample population. Each of the seven driver behavior parameters were analyzed to compare the behaviors exhibited as drivers approached either the control or test billboards as well as the behaviors after having seen those signs. For the statistical analyses, the one-way ANOVA tests were conducted at a 95 percent level of confidence (α = 0.05). The null hypothesis for each of the parameters stated that the means were equal for each type of billboard encountered. This would indicate that the observed behaviors were the same between each of the signs. The alternative hypothesis stated that there was a difference in the mean values between the types of billboards encountered which would equate to a difference in driver behavior by those signs. The results of the one-way ANOVA tests conducted on the data in the Pre-Work Zone are shown in Table 30. The mean fixation, total fixation, and proportion of fixation were found to have violated the homogeneous variances assumption so the F-ratio and degrees of freedom values reported in Table 30 are the results of the Welch’s F-test. Table 30: Results of the one-way ANOVA tests on driver behavior in Pre-Work Zone of Scenario #1 Degrees Source of Sum of Mean FCritical Parameter of Result Variation Squares Square Ratio F-ratio Freedom Speed Lane Position Model Residual Model Residual 54.21 9222.44 11.73 219.00 12 467 12 467 4.52 19.75 0.98 0.47 0.23 1.77 Accept Null 2.08 1.77 Reject Null; E.S. = 0.23 136 Table 30: Continued Parameter Variation in Lane Position Mean Fixation Total Fixation Number of Fixations Proportion Fixation Duration Source of Sum of Variation Squares Model Residual Model Residual Model Residual Model Residual Model Residual Degrees Mean FCritical of Square Ratio F-ratio Freedom 11.64 12 0.97 494.71 38.02 222.32 230.17 1195.62 62.98 1064.54 467 12 144.25 12 144.17 12 455 1.06 3.17 0.49 19.18 2.63 5.17 2.34 2.21 12 0.18 11.24 144.19 0.03 Result 0.92 1.77 Accept Null 9.22 1.82 Reject Null; E.S. = 0.38 10.13 1.82 Reject Null; E.S. = 0.40 2.21 1.77 Reject Null; E.S. = 0.23 10.33 1.82 Reject Null; E.S. = 0.41 Based on the results of the one-way ANOVA tests, there were no significant differences found in either speed or variation in lane position at a 95 percent level of confidence. This indicates that the mean speeds and mean variations in lane position as participants drove up to the billboards were equivalent between the test and control signs. Conversely, the results of the one-way ANOVA for the other parameters produced Fratios which were greater than the respective critical F-ratios, indicating that the null hypothesis should be rejected for those parameters. Since the alternative hypothesis was accepted, the results of the Games-Howell tests were referenced for those parameters to determine where the differences existed between the mean values for the different signs. Since the Games-Howell test compares each billboard individually, the resulting tabulated data is quite lengthy for this particular scenario. In attempts to limit the length of this chapter, the Games-Howell test results can 137 be found in Appendix D. Mean fixation, total fixation, and proportion of fixation duration were all found to have significant differences between the control and test billboards at a 95 percent level of confidence. The control billboards were found to have significantly shorter mean and total fixations in comparison to the test billboards, as expected. Drivers were also found to look at the control billboards for a smaller proportion of the time they were approaching the signs when compared to the test billboards. Based on these results and the effect sizes listed in Table 30, the campaign billboards were found to have a medium-sized practical effect on those glance behaviors. No statistically significant differences were found between any of the test billboards for these parameters. Additionally, the Games-Howell tests did not produce any significant results for either lane position or number of fixations despite the results of the one-way ANOVA. This could be an indication that the violations of the normality assumption may have produced false significant results for these two parameters. To verify the results of the statistical tests, the mean values for each billboard were plotted in Figures 11 and 12. Lane Position (ft.) -1.50 -1.25 -1.00 -0.75 -0.50 -0.25 Control Slogan 12 Slogan 11 Slogan 10 Billboard Content Slogan 9 Slogan 8 Slogan 7 Slogan 6 Slogan 5 Slogan 4 Slogan 3 Slogan 2 Slogan 1 0.00 Figure 11. Mean values for lane position in the Pre-Work Zone of Scenario #1. 138 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 Control Slogan 12 Slogan 11 Slogan 10 Billboard Content Slogan 9 Slogan 8 Slogan 7 Slogan 6 Slogan 5 Slogan 4 Slogan 3 Slogan 2 0.00 Slogan 1 Number of Fixations 3.00 Figure 12. Mean values for number of fixations in the Pre-Work Zone of Scenario #1. The mean values for lane position were found to vary between 0.87 feet and 1.33 feet left of the center of the lane for the 12 test billboards and control billboard as seen in Figure 11. The “My Daddy Works Here” billboard (Slogan #8) was found to have drivers traveling closer to the center of the lane while drivers were furthest away from center as they approached the control billboard. However, this was a difference of approximately six inches across 30 participants having seen each of the test billboards while the control billboard was seen 120 times. Thus, the Games-Howell test results are likely correct in indicating no significant differences in lane position as drivers encountered the signs. Figure 12 shows that the mean number of fixations ranged between 1.62 fixations for the control billboard and 2.76 fixations for the “Give ‘em a Brake” billboard (Slogan #7). The test billboard with the smallest mean was the sign using the “Slow Down Save Lives” slogan (Slogan #10) at 2.21 fixations. Upon examining the means, it seems plausible that the results of the one-way ANOVA are correct in indicating a difference in 139 the means for the number of fixations data. As for the other glance behavior parameters, the number of fixations towards the control billboard appears to be different than for the test billboards whereas no differences exist between the test billboards. However, the interval nature of this parameter and the non-normality of the data may be combining to produce a false significant result. In attempts to remain conservative with the analysis, the null hypothesis was accepted. Thus, the control and test billboards have no significant differences in the number of fixations made towards the signs. One-way ANOVA tests were also conducted on the mean values for speed and lane position in the Advanced Warning Area and Work Zone. Results of the statistical analyses for these parameters are shown in Tables 31 and 32. Based on the results of the one-way ANOVA tests, the calculated F-ratios were found to be less than the critical Fratio in all four tests. Hence, the null hypothesis of equivalent means for the test and control billboards is accepted for both parameters across both areas. At a 95 percent level of confidence, there were no significant differences in the observed mean speeds and mean lane positions of the participants after they had passed either the safety campaign billboards or the blank control billboard. Table 31: Results of the one-way ANOVA tests on driver behavior in Advanced Warning Area of Scenario #1 Degrees Source of Sum of Mean FCritical Parameter of Result Variation Squares Square Ratio F-ratio Freedom Speed Lane Position Model Residual Model Residual 67.08 9737.73 3.49 161.20 12 467 12 467 5.59 20.85 0.29 0.35 0.27 1.77 Accept Null 0.84 1.77 Accept Null 140 Table 32: Results of the one-way ANOVA tests on driver behavior in Work Zone of Scenario #1 Degrees Source of Sum of Mean FCritical Parameter of Result Variation Squares Square Ratio F-ratio Freedom Speed Lane Position Model Residual Model Residual 123.37 7522.19 5.71 250.77 12 467 12 467 10.28 16.11 0.48 0.54 0.64 1.77 Accept Null 0.89 1.77 Accept Null After participants had completed the driving portion of Scenario #1, they were provided a brief post-test questionnaire to complete. The questionnaire included two questions which asked participants if they considered the signs to be cluttered and asked them to write down any of the slogans they could recall from the billboards. The first question was used to compare the simplified billboards used in the driving simulator study with those used in the public survey study. Meanwhile, the second question was used to see which of the slogans were considered to be memorable to the participants. Upon completion of the driving simulator study, the questionnaire responses were compiled and there was a total of 47 responses collected from participants who drove through at least one version of Scenario #1. Of those 47 participants, only four considered the billboards too cluttered. Thus, the percentage of participants who thought the signs were cluttered went from approximately 60 percent in the public survey study to 8.5 percent in the driving simulator study. The only changes made to the billboards were to 141 reduce the amount of text present by just having a single slogan over two lines of text and reducing the size of the graphics in relation to the font size of the slogan. For the second question, all 47 participants had written down at least one slogan they believed they could recall. There were a total of 87 slogans that participants wrote down, but only 53 of those (60.9 percent) were exact matches to the slogans used in the scenario. Typically, the other 34 responses were either portions of a slogan that was used or a combination of two or more slogans. Figure 13 summarizes the exact matches for each of the slogans that participants could recall. Within the exact matches, the slogan with the highest frequency was “My Daddy Works Here” at 18 responses. “Slow Down in Work Zones” was the slogan with the next most responses at a total of nine. There were only three slogans that did not receive a response which was an exact match. Those slogans were as follows: “Slow for the Cone Zone,” “Slow Down Respect the Barrel,” Slogan Used and “See Orange Drive Slow.” My Daddy Works Here Slow Down in Work Zones Give 'Em a Brake Drive Slow Drive Safe Let 'Em Work, Let 'Em Live Slow Down, Save Lives Brake for Barrels Go Slow for Safety Go Slow Thru the Zone 0 5 10 15 Number of Exact Matches Figure 13. Results of post-test questionnaire on recalling the slogans used. 20 142 6.2.2 Scenario #2 – Graphics The second scenario in the driving simulator study was designed to test the graphics used in the billboard advertisements. As in Scenario #1, participants were presented with either a control billboard or a work zone safety campaign billboard prior to driving through a construction work zone. The campaign billboards used in Scenario #2 had one of three graphics combinations while the slogan, color combination, and the placement and orientation of the sign with respect to the driver were all kept constant. As participants drove through the simulated environment, data was collected on the driving performance and glance behavior parameters outlined previously. The data was processed over the same three areas as for Scenario #1. The four glance parameters were processed with respect to the participant’s glances towards the billboards and, hence, are only included for the Pre-Work Zone. Mean speed and mean lane position were processed for all three zones whereas variation in lane position was processed only in the Pre-Work Zone. To determine to what extent the graphics in the billboards had an effect on driver behavior, comparisons of the mean values were done by conducting one-way ANOVA tests on the data collected from the sample population. Each of the seven driver behavior parameters were analyzed to compare the behaviors exhibited when the driver was approaching the control and test billboards as well as after having passed the signs. For the statistical analyses, the one-way ANOVA tests were conducted at a 95 percent level of confidence (α = 0.05). The null hypothesis for each of the parameters stated that the means were equal for each type of billboard encountered. This would indicate that the 143 observed behaviors were the same between each of the signs. The alternative hypothesis stated that there was a difference in the mean values between the types of billboards encountered, which would equate to a difference in driver behavior between the signs. The results of the one-way ANOVA tests conducted on the data in the Pre-Work Zone are shown in Table 33. The total fixation and proportion of fixation data were each found to have violated the homogeneous variances assumption for the one-way ANOVA. To address that issue the F-ratio and degrees of freedom values reported in Table 33 are the results of the Welch’s F-test. Table 33: Results of the one-way ANOVA tests on driver behavior in Pre-Work Zone of Scenario #2 Degrees Source of Sum of Mean FCritical Parameter of Result Variation Squares Square Ratio F-ratio Freedom Speed Lane Position Variation in Lane Position Mean Fixation Total Fixation Number of Fixations Proportion Fixation Duration Model Residual Model Residual 21.74 1609.78 0.62 58.51 3 116 3 116 7.25 13.88 0.21 0.50 0.78 3 0.26 Residual Model Residual Model Residual 72.88 7.76 43.24 64.10 287.78 116 3 116 3 60.19 0.63 2.56 0.37 21.37 2.48 Model Residual 38.00 318.00 3 116 12.67 2.74 Model 0.57 3 0.19 Residual 2.55 60.43 0.02 Model 0.52 2.69 Accept Null 0.41 2.69 Accept Null 0.42 2.69 Accept Null 6.86 2.69 Reject Null; E.S. = 0.39 16.21 2.77 Reject Null; E.S. = 0.43 4.62 2.69 Reject Null; E.S. = 0.33 15.88 2.77 Reject Null; E.S. = 0.43 144 Based on the results of the one-way ANOVA tests reported in Table 33, there were no significant differences found in any of the three driving performance measures at a 95 percent level of confidence. The null hypothesis was accepted for speed, lane position, and variation in lane position which correlates to the driver behavior being equivalent for these measures as participants drove up to the control and test billboards. However, for the glance behavior measures, the null hypothesis was rejected in each of the one-way ANOVA tests signifying that a difference in the mean values exists between the four types of billboards being compared. The Games-Howell test was conducted on each of the four glance behavior parameters in order to determine where the differences existed between the mean values. Once again the results of the Games-Howell tests are presented in Appendix D. Mean fixation, total fixation, number of fixations, and proportion of fixation duration were all found to have significant differences between the control and test billboards at a 95 percent level of confidence. However, no statistically significant differences were found between any of the test billboards for these parameters. Mean fixation and total fixation for the control billboards were found to be of significantly shorter duration in comparison to those for the campaign billboards. Each of the three test billboards had mean fixations that were approximately 0.90 seconds, yet were almost three times larger than the mean fixation of 0.32 seconds for the control billboard. The difference was even larger in magnitude for the total fixation data. The test billboard using only the Laborer’s Local logo had the shortest total fixation at a mean of 2.22 seconds while the control billboard had a mean of 0.61 seconds for total fixation. 145 The number of fixations per sign were also significantly different as the control billboard averaged 1.03 fixations and the test billboards averaged between 2.23 and 2.43 fixations. Finally, participants were found to look at the control billboards for a significantly shorter proportion of the time they were approaching the signs at 5.8 percent in comparison to approximately 21 percent for the three campaign billboards. Combining these results with the effect sizes listed in Table 33, it was found that the presence of an advertisement on the sign had a medium-sized practical effect on each of the glance behavior parameters. One-way ANOVA tests were also conducted on the mean values for speed and lane position for both the Advanced Warning Area and Work Zone. Results of the statistical analyses for these driver behavior parameters are shown in Tables 31 and 32. Based on the results of the one-way ANOVA tests, the calculated F-ratios were found to be less than the critical F-ratio in all four tests. Hence, the null hypothesis of equivalent means for the test and control billboards is accepted for speed and lane position across both areas. At a 95 percent level of confidence, there were no significant differences in the observed speeds and lane positions of the participants after they had passed either the safety campaign billboards or the blank control billboard. Table 34: Results of the one-way ANOVA tests on driver behavior in Advanced Warning Area of Scenario #2 Degrees Source of Sum of Mean FCritical Parameter of Result Variation Squares Square Ratio F-ratio Freedom Speed Lane Position Model Residual Model Residual 18.72 1750.63 0.20 39.47 3 116 3 116 6.24 15.09 0.07 0.34 0.41 2.69 Accept Null 0.20 2.69 Accept Null 146 Table 35: Results of the one-way ANOVA tests on driver behavior in Work Zone of Scenario #2 Degrees Source of Sum of Mean FCritical Parameter of Result Variation Squares Square Ratio F-ratio Freedom Speed Lane Position Model Residual Model Residual 2.09 548.63 0.09 77.89 3 116 3 116 0.70 4.73 0.03 0.67 0.15 2.69 Accept Null 0.05 2.69 Accept Null 6.2.3 Scenario #3 – Placement and Orientation The third scenario in the driving simulator study was designed to test the placement and orientation of the billboard advertisement with respect to the driver to examine what impact it had on driver behavior. Unlike the previous scenarios, there were no work zones placed on the freeway in Scenario #3. Participants were presented with the same work zone safety campaign billboard multiple times as they drove along the fourlane undivided freeway in an urban setting. The placement and orientation of the sign with respect to the driver was varied throughout the scenario to see how the location of the billboard in the physical world affected the participants. Billboards were placed at varying heights (high or low), on either side of the freeway, and at three different angles. This resulted in a total of 12 different combinations for the placement and orientation of the signs. As participants drove through the simulated environment, data was collected on the three driver performance and four glance behavior parameters outlined previously. 147 The data was processed in the same manner as the Pre-Work Zone in Scenarios #1 and #2; starting at a distance of 1250 feet prior to the billboard and ending at the sign itself. To determine to what extent the placement and orientation of the billboard had an effect on driver behavior, the mean values for the various parameters were compared by conducting one-way ANOVA tests on the data collected from the sample population. Each of the seven driver behavior parameters were analyzed to compare the behaviors exhibited as the driver was approaching each of the billboard locations. For the statistical analyses, the one-way ANOVA tests were conducted at a 95 percent level of confidence (α = 0.05). The null hypothesis for each of the parameters stated that the means were equal for each billboard location encountered, which would indicate that the observed behaviors were the same between each of the physical locations. The alternative hypothesis stated that there was a difference in the mean values between the billboard locations encountered, which would equate to a difference in driver behavior between the signs. The results of the one-way ANOVA tests conducted on the data as participants approached the various billboard placements and orientations are shown in Table 36. Table 36: Results of the one-way ANOVA tests on driver behavior in approaching the billboards in Scenario #3 Parameter Speed Lane Position Variation in Lane Position Source of Sum of Degrees of Variation Squares Freedom Model Residual Model Residual Model Residual Mean Square 58.68 3660.20 5.50 180.18 11 336 11 336 5.33 10.89 0.50 0.54 10.70 11 0.97 473.52 336 1.41 FRatio Critical F-ratio Result 0.49 1.82 Accept Null 0.93 1.82 Accept Null 0.69 1.82 Accept Null 148 Table 36: Continued Parameter Mean Fixation Total Fixation Number of Fixations Proportion Fixation Duration Source of Sum of Degrees of Variation Squares Freedom Model Residual Model Residual Model Residual Mean Square 5.73 134.68 39.70 1311.41 13.47 1855.59 11 336 11 336 11 336 0.52 0.40 3.61 3.90 1.23 5.52 Model 0.24 11 0.02 Residual 8.22 336 0.02 FRatio Critical F-ratio Result 1.30 1.82 Accept Null 0.93 1.82 Accept Null 0.22 1.82 Accept Null 0.91 1.82 Accept Null From Table 36, the one-way ANOVA tests resulted in acceptance of the null hypothesis for all three driving performance measures and all four glance behavior measures. Thus, there were no significant differences found in any of the driver behavior measures at a 95 percent level of confidence. Overall, driver behavior was found to be equivalent as participants encountered the twelve billboards set at various placements and orientations. 6.2.4 Impact of Long Glances on Safety As discussed in Chapter 2, when drivers make glances away from the forward roadway for more than two seconds, their ability to perform driving tasks decreases and their risk of being involved in a crash increases. Thus, long glances away from the roadway are recognized to negatively impact safety. During the previous analyses of the different billboard elements the impacts on driving performance and glance behavior were examined separately. However, the two elements are interrelated and are recognized to contribute to a driver’s ability to safely travel on the roadways. 149 When the eye-tracking data was processed, the individual fixations made by a participant were found in order to determine the glance behavior parameters used in this study. In Scenario #1 there were a total of 1,025 individual fixations toward the billboards. Approximately 11 percent of those fixations, or a total of 110, were two seconds or longer in duration. During Scenario #2, long glances to campaign billboards comprised 9.2 percent of the 240 fixations recorded while, for Scenario #3, long glances comprised 5.5 percent of the 896 fixations recorded. The percentages of participants making at least one long glance were 64 percent, 45 percent, and 54 percent of the sample populations for Scenarios #1, #2, and #3, respectively. During the processing of the eye-tracking data, the data for the observed driving performance over the same time span were also determined so the direct relationship between the two aspects of driver behavior could be studied. For the purposes of analyzing a participant’s driving performance while they were glancing at the billboards in this study, it was decided that the most important parameter in terms of safety was the total variation in lane position. Since the fixations on the billboards were mainly short in duration, the amount of variation in speed would likely be minimal. Furthermore, lane position was more likely to be affected by the glances made towards the billboards as drivers would be less likely to realize they were drifting within the lane since their attention was away from the forward roadway. As a result, data processing efforts were focused on determining the total variation in lane position as drivers were looking towards the billboards. 150 For the comparison of long glances and short glances, one-way ANOVA tests were conducted on the total amount of variation in lane position during those glances for all three scenarios in the driving simulator study. The one-way ANOVA tests were each conducted at a 95 percent level of confidence (α = 0.05). The null hypothesis stated that the means were equal for long and short glances which would indicate that the observed movement within the lane was equivalent between the types of glances. The alternative hypothesis stated that there was a difference in the mean values between long and short glances which would equate to a difference in driver behavior between the two. The results of the one-way ANOVA tests conducted on the total variation in lane position as participants glanced at the billboards are shown in Table 37. In all three scenarios, the total variation in lane position data was found to have violated the homogeneous variances assumption for the one-way ANOVA test. To correct those issues the F-ratio and degrees of freedom values reported in Table 37 are the results of the Welch’s F-test. Table 37: Results of the one-way ANOVA tests on total variation in lane position while participants were glancing at the billboards by scenario Degrees Scenario Source of Sum of Mean FCritical of Result # Variation Squares Square Ratio F-ratio Freedom Reject Model 28.77 1 28.77 1 88.60 3.92 Null; Residual 85.78 112.78 0.08 E.S.= 0.50 Reject Model 10.29 1 10.29 17.46 2 4.32 Null; Residual 23.31 21.30 0.10 E.S.= 0.55 Reject Model 15.76 1 15.76 3 31.35 4.04 Null; Residual 58.34 48.41 0.07 E.S.= 0.46 151 In Table 37, it can be seen that for all three scenarios the null hypothesis was rejected for the total variation in lane position while participants were glancing at the billboards. Thus, there were significant differences found in the driving behavior displayed during the long and short glances at a 95 percent level of confidence. For Scenario #1, the total variation in lane position was an average of 0.74 feet during long glances as opposed to 0.19 feet during short glances. For Scenario #2, the means for total variation were 0.89 feet during long glances and 0.17 feet during short glances. Finally, participants making long glances in Scenario #3 varied 0.73 feet within the lane on average whereas participants making short glances varied 0.15 feet. Additionally, the effect sizes listed in Table 37 indicate that glance length had a medium-sized practical effect on the total variation in lane position across the three scenarios. 152 CHAPTER 7: CONCLUSIONS This research was conducted to evaluate the impacts on driver behavior from billboard advertisements used in a work zone safety campaign. Two studies were conducted in order to evaluate the different elements of the billboards and assess their ability in communicating the campaign message. The following sections include discussion of the results of the respective studies and how those results correspond to using billboards in safety campaigns. The final section presents several recommendations for future research into this field. 7.1 Public Survey Study The primary goal of the public survey study was to determine the background and text color combination that was preferred by the public for use in a work zone safety campaign advertisement. Participants were presented with a set of four billboards and asked to select the sign which best met the conditions described in that particular question. Based on the statistical analyses of the survey responses, the fluorescent yellow-green with black text was preferred by the overall population for increasing awareness of work zones and for being seen during the daytime. That same color combination was also preferred by the overall population along with the combination featuring a yellow background with black text for increasing caution in work zones and for being seen during the nighttime. These two color combinations were also largely preferred when examining the responses by age group, gender, years of driving experience, and knowledge of rules for driving in work zones. When examining the four conditions by each of those different 153 groups, there were a total of 52 cases where a billboard preference was determined through statistical analysis. The fluorescent yellow-green background with black text was found to be a preferred color combination in 45 cases whereas the yellow background with black text was a preferred color combination in 34 cases. There were a total of 28 cases where those two color combinations were equally selected. As seen in the national data from 2010 regarding speeding-related fatal crashes in work zones, the population with the highest risk was drivers in the 16-25 age group with the majority of those drivers being males (1). This trend is evident in previous data as the overall crash involvement rates on the roadways nationwide in 1996 were highest for drivers in the 16-24 age group (48). Also from 1992 to 2004, Li and Bai found male drivers to be at fault in the majority of injury and fatal crashes classified as speedingrelated and having occurred in highway work zones in Kansas (6). When examining the responses from those participants in the 16-24 age group, the fluorescent yellow-green and yellow backgrounds were equally selected for three of the four conditions being evaluated. Only the fluorescent yellow-green background with black text was preferred for the sign best seen during the day. The same color combination preferences were seen for male drivers in the corresponding conditions. Since the color combinations using the fluorescent yellow-green and yellow backgrounds were equally selected in most cases, the MUTCD sign color meanings were once again referenced to determine which of the two should be used. This was done so that consistency was maintained with how traffic signs communicate their message to drivers to avoid potential driver confusion with the intent of the billboards. From the 154 MUTCD, fluorescent yellow-green is to be used as the background color for school, pedestrian, and bicycle warning signs whereas yellow is the background for general warning signs (40). While each of these colors are consistent with the campaign message warning drivers to be more cautious in work zones, the yellow background is more appropriate for the conditions of the campaign. Fluorescent yellow-green is intended for use in particular conditions that do not associate with the intent of the work zone safety campaign. The background color for traffic signs that best matches the purpose of the campaign is orange as it is used for temporary traffic control signs that are intended to guide drivers safely through work zones (40). However, the orange background was directly compared with the yellow background in the same set of billboards and was only found to be selected more frequently than the yellow background for two cases. Thus, the yellow background with black text was determined to be the color combination that should be used for billboard advertisements in a work zone safety campaign. Another goal of the public survey study was to determine if the original billboard advertisement used by Laborer’s Local 860 was considered to be too cluttered. The researchers believed that the sign contained too much content for drivers to be able to process the campaign message while traveling along the freeway. Accordingly, participants were asked whether or not the recreated billboards were cluttered. Since 60 percent of participants indicated that the billboards are too cluttered, they are likely ineffective at communicating the safety message. Drivers seeing the original billboards were probably not able to easily receive the message given the cluttered format. 155 7.2 Driving Simulator Study The driving simulator study was designed to evaluate three different elements of the billboard advertisements and assess the impacts of those elements on driver behavior. The elements studied were the slogans and graphics used in the advertisement as well as the placement and orientation of the sign with respect to the driver. Each of these elements were evaluated in separate scenarios by varying that particular element while keeping the other elements consistent throughout the scenario. While in the simulator, participants drove along an undivided four-lane highway in an urban environment with no other traffic present. During Scenarios #1 and #2 participants saw a billboard prior to driving through a work zone in which the right lane was closed. For Scenario #3, participants saw several signs that were placed at varying locations on the side of the highway and were oriented at various angles, but there were no work zones present. Throughout the three scenarios, data was continuously collected on multiple driving performance and glance behavior parameters to observe participant’s behavior as they approached the billboards and after having passed the signs. While data was collected on additional driving performance parameters, there were only three parameters which were included in the statistical analyses. Mean values for speed and lane position were analyzed as participants approached the billboards and after having passed the signs. Variation in lane position was only analyzed as drivers approached the billboards. The four glance behavior parameters included in the statistical analyses were mean fixation, total fixation, number of fixations, and proportion of fixation duration. Each of 156 these parameters was analyzed by the glances towards the billboards while drivers were approaching the signs. Across each of the three scenarios, overall driving performance was found to not be impacted by the billboard elements. Mean speeds were found to be equivalent between the billboards being tested within the individual scenarios. Despite the campaign message telling drivers to slow down in work zones, there were no differences seen in mean speeds through the work zones if drivers had seen a campaign billboard or the blank control billboard. This is in direct contrast from the pre-test questionnaire results where the majority of drivers had reported that a work zone safety campaign would cause them to reduce their speeds. Similar results were found by Kane et al. who found the majority of drivers surveyed had responded that they slow down in work zones, yet spot speed studies showed large percentages of drivers exceeding the speed limit in work zones (12). For the work zones in the driving simulator study, mean speeds for each of the billboards tested were between 56-58 mph in Scenario #1 and just over 55 mph in Scenario #2. While these mean speeds do represent a decrease from the speeds seen in the Pre-Work Zone and Advanced Warning Area, they are still exceeding the posted speed limit. Thus, drivers are indeed reducing their speeds in the work zones when compared to their prior speeds, although not to a level that is below the posted speed limit. However, the reduction in speeds cannot be attributed to the campaign billboards as speeds were determined to be equivalent between billboard types. Consequently, the campaign message in the billboards was not found to cause drivers to alter their speeds when driving in the work zones. This finding is consistent with Jamson and Merat who found 157 that displaying safety campaign messages about speed on variable message signs did not impact the observed speeds (39). Mean lane position was also found to not be impacted by the billboards encountered in the three scenarios. In the first two scenarios, participants were observed to have driven farther to the left-side of the travel lane, or away from the work zone, when compared to their mean lane position as they drove in the Pre-Work Zone and Advanced Warning Area. However, there were no significant differences found between the test and control billboards in mean lane position throughout the work zone in either scenario. This indicates that while participants had seen the work zone safety message, the billboards did not cause them to travel farther away from the work zone. Participants had responded during the pre-test questionnaire that safety campaigns would cause them to drive farther away from work zones, yet that behavior was not observed. During each of the scenarios, as participants were approaching the billboards, there were no significant differences found in mean lane position or variation in lane position. Variation in lane position can indicate driver distraction as increased lateral movement within the lane potentially corresponds to the driver unknowingly allowing the vehicle to drift laterally. None of the elements studied can be considered to be more distracting than their respective counterparts as the means were found to be equivalent within each scenario. This contrasts with the findings of Young et al. where lateral control of the vehicle was hindered when driving past billboards (38). The results of this study are more consistent with Lee, McElheny, and Gibbons who found no differences in lane position as drivers passed billboards located along an interstate highway (31). 158 Glance behavior was found to be impacted by the billboard content in Scenarios #1 and #2. For these scenarios, the glance behavior toward the control billboard was determined to be significantly different from the behavior towards the campaign billboards. For the control billboards, mean fixation and total fixation were found to be significantly shorter than those to the billboards containing the various slogans and graphics. Accordingly, the significant differences in proportion of fixation duration showed that participants looked at the control billboards for a smaller proportion of time while driving up to the signs in the first two scenarios. In Scenario #2, the number of fixations toward the campaign billboards were significantly greater than those towards the control billboards. Conversely, in Scenario #3 there were no significant differences found in the glance behavior towards the signs despite their varied locations on the side of the freeway and being at different orientation angles with respect to the driver. The results of the four glance behavior parameters across the scenarios in the study show conclusively that drivers were observed to glance more frequently and for longer periods at billboards containing advertisements than towards those that contained no content. However, there were no significant differences observed between the campaign billboards presented in each scenario. Overall, the glance behavior results of this research are primarily in contrast with those seen in previous research. Crundall, Loon, and Underwood found that mean fixation and number of fixation were affected by the height of advertisements (32). However, no differences were seen in glance behavior as the billboard height was varied during Scenario #3. Megias et al. found that billboards with negative content had greater mean fixations, total fixations, and number of fixations 159 (33). The slogans in Scenario #1 each communicated the need to reduce speeds, but the emotions tied with how that message was portrayed differed as some used personal connections such as “My Daddy Works Here.” Yet there were no differences seen in the glance behavior between the slogans used in Scenario #1. Additionally, differences were seen in the magnitude of the observed glance behaviors in this research. During an on-road study Smiley, Smahel, and Eizenmann found the longest glance to a video billboard to be 1.47 seconds (29). The individual fixations to billboards in this study were observed to be longer overall, with approximately 10 percent of all fixations longer than two seconds in duration. Perez and Bertola also found short glances towards billboards in their study and the resulting proportion of fixation duration to the billboards were low at roughly 0.03 (30). On average, the proportion of fixation duration for each of the billboards in this study ranged between 0.05 and 0.29. The larger values for the glance behavior parameters in this study may be due to there being no traffic on the highways. Without any traffic present, participants were more likely to look away from the forward roadway as there were no concerns about what was going on around the vehicle. Thus, the magnitude of glance behavior for this study is likely greater than that seen on actual roadways. Despite these differences, there were two studies that had findings which were similar to that of this research. In previous studies of conventional billboards and signs with active components, such as digital billboards, glance behavior was found to be impacted. Beijer found the number of fixations to be greater to billboards with active content while Lee, McElheny, and Gibbons found mean fixations to be longer for digital 160 billboards (28, 31). These findings are consistent with the differences in glance behavior seen between the campaign billboards and those that were blank. The results of the statistical analyses on the lane position and number of fixations data from Scenario #1 illustrated the potential issues with having violated the assumption of normality. For these two parameters, the one-way ANOVA results indicated that there were differences between the groups, but the Games-Howell tests indicated there were no differences. After examining the data to see what may have occurred, there were no large differences seen in lane position so the null hypothesis was accepted. It did appear that there may be a difference in number of fixations between the control and test billboards; however the null hypothesis was rejected to remain conservative in the analysis. The nonnormality of the data may have produced the differing results in those statistical tests, but the overall results of the statistical analyses are likely valid. Examining the mean values for the groups in each of the analyses conducted for the study it is evident that the differences found are valid. Throughout the three scenarios there were only minor differences seen in the driving performance parameters between the groups, but not to an extent that would be practical on actual roadways. Similarly, the glance behaviors observed between the test billboards did not differ to a practical extent for the three scenarios. Therefore, the violations of the normality assumption are not believed to have impacted the results of the statistical analyses conducted in this research. Analysis of the variation in lane position observed during the glances to the billboards was done in each of the scenarios to examine the impacts to safety from long glances. Results of the statistical analyses indicated there were significant differences in 161 the variation in lane position between long and short glances. Long glances were defined to be those longer than two seconds as proposed by Rockwell (22). Throughout the study, participants were found to have larger variations in lane position when making long glances than during short glances. Thus, as drivers made long glances to the billboards their ability to maintain their lane position was negatively impacted. This confirms previous research which indicated that long glances away from the forward roadway are a safety concern. Klauer et al. found that the chance of being involved in a crash more than doubles when long glances are made away from the forward roadway (26). If drivers are unable to keep their vehicle within the lane while glancing away from the roadway than they may leave their travel lane and potentially come into contact with another vehicle. Consequently, the use of billboards in a work zone safety campaign should balance how long participants need to look away from the roadway to comprehend the sign with the benefits observed in work zone safety. Based on the observed behaviors throughout the work zones in this study, the campaign billboards were not found to impact driver behavior in a way that would improve safety. While participants on average drove through the work zones at reduced speeds and drove further away from the construction barrels than they did prior to the work zones, the same behavior was seen for whether they had passed a campaign billboard or a control billboard. Thus, the campaign billboards were not found to impact driver behavior in a way that improved safety. As a result, billboard advertisements should not be the only component of an effective work zone safety campaign. The signs should be used as part of a larger campaign effort which includes advertising to promote 162 awareness and enforcement of that message within work zones. Using personal appeals in the campaign would also be beneficial as the participants in this study best recalled the slogan “My Daddy Works Here” after having seen several billboards. The ability to draw on personal connections may be more likely to increase awareness of work zone safety rather than by just using a message which communicates the desired behavioral change. Development of work zone safety campaigns should give consideration to the elements involved and how it will be carried out. With regards to the billboards evaluated in this research, using the yellow background with black text along with streamlined content, in terms of slogans and graphics, is more likely to communicate the message to drivers. However, communication of that message alone will not produce the desired behavioral changes associated with increased caution in work zones. Thus, the billboard advertisements should be used as a method of promoting the work zone safety campaign and should be supplemented with other elements to maximize their effectiveness. 7.3 Recommendations for Future Research Based on the results of this research, there are additional areas in which further evaluation of billboard advertisements in safety campaigns could be conducted. First, introducing traffic onto the highway with participants would likely produce a better evaluation of glance behavior to the signs. As discussed previously, the glance behaviors observed in this research were found to be greater than that seen in previous studies. One of the primary factors is likely the lack of traffic on the highways throughout the driving simulator study. This probably contributed to participants making longer glances to the billboards than they typically might in an actual driving environment. From personal 163 experience with the driving simulator used in this study, there are some limitations in being able to accurately replicate traffic driving through a work zone. Conducting a naturalistic driving study could potentially result in a more accurate assessment, however the scope of billboards evaluated may need to be limited. Expanding the participant pool to include additional age groups is another area to consider for future studies. Including participants of different age groups could possibly produce differences in the observed driving performance and glance behavior. Younger drivers are recognized to have behaviors that differ from those of more experienced drivers which contributes to why younger drivers are found to be involved in more crashes. Furthermore, drivers in the other age groups are those that travel through work zones more often, so those individuals should also be targeted in safety campaigns. Evaluating the driver behavior of individuals in those groups may produce different results than from focusing specifically on younger drivers. Finally, evaluation of additional advertising media should be done to compare those methods with billboards. Most safety campaigns use multiple media outlets, such as television and newspaper advertisements, to promote their message in order to reach as many people as possible. Comparisons of these outlets have been done primarily through survey responses in previous research, so the results are based on self-reported behaviors which tend to differ from actual behaviors. These types of media can be evaluated in a driving simulator as done in this research. For example, drivers can watch a television campaign commercial prior to driving in the simulator or can be played a radio commercial while driving up to a work zone. 164 REFERENCES 1. National Center for Statistics and Analysis. Fatality Analysis Reporting System Encyclopedia. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation. http://wwwfars.nhtsa.dot.gov//QueryTool/QuerySection/SelectYear.aspx. Accessed February 23, 2013. 2. Antonucci, N. D., K. K. Hardy, J. E. Bryden, T. R. Neuman, R. Pfefer, and K. Slack. NCHRP Report 500: Guidance for Implementation of the AASHTO Strategic Highway Plan. Vol. 17, A Guide for Reducing Work Zone Collisions. Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., 2005. 3. Campaign Programs. The National Work Zone Safety Information Clearinghouse. http://www.workzonesafety.org/public_awareness/. Accessed December 9, 2010. 4. National Work Zone Awareness Week – FHWA Work Zone. Federal Highway Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation. http://www.ops.fhwa.dot.gov/wz/outreach/wz_awareness.htm. Accessed February 23, 2013. 5. National Center for Statistics and Analysis. Traffic Safety Fact Sheet: 2010 Speeding. Publication DOT-HS-811-636. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation, 2012. 6. Li, Y., and Y. Bai. Highway Work Zone Risk Factors and Their Impact on Crash Severity. Journal of Transportation Engineering, Vol. 135, No. 10, 2009, pp. 694701. 7. National Center for Statistics and Analysis. Traffic Safety Facts 2009. Publication DOT-HS-811-402. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation, 2011. 8. Migletz, J., J. L. Graham, I. B. Anderson, D. W. Harwood, and K. M. Bauer. Work Zone Speed Limit Procedure. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 1657, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., 1999, pp. 24-30. 9. Solomon, D. Accidents on Main Rural Highways Related to Speed, Driver, and Vehicle. Bureau of Public Roads, U.S. Department of Commerce, 1964. 10. Hauer, E. Speed and Safety. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 2103, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., 2009, pp. 10-17. 165 11. Harsha, B., and J. Hedlund. Changing America’s Culture of Speed on the Roads. Improving Traffic Safety Culture in the United States – The Journey Forward, AAA Foundation for Traffic Safety, Washington, D.C., 2007, pp. 257-272. 12. Kane, M. R., L. E. King, K. A. Buch, and M. L. Carpenter. Motorists Perception of Work Zone Safety. Publication FHWA/NC/99-006. The University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC, 1999. 13. California Department of Transportation. The Cone Zone Goes Statewide. California Department of Transportation Journal, Vol. 4, No. 1, 2003, pp. 37-39. 14. Phillips, R., and R. Torquato. A Review of 45 Anti-speeding Campaigns. Publication TOI Report 1003/2009. Institute of Transport Economics, Oslo, Norway, 2009. 15. Adamos, G., and E. G. Nathanail. An Experimental Approach Towards the Evaluation of Mass Media Road Safety Campaigns – A Comparative Analysis of Two Case Studies. Presented at 90th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 2011. 16. Wundersitz, L. N., T. P. Hutchinson, and J. E. Woolley. Best Practice in Road Safety Mass Media Campaigns: A Literature Review. Publication CASR074. Centre for Automotive Safety Research, The University of Adelaide, Australia, 2010. 17. Hoekstra, T., and F. Wegman. Improving the Effectiveness of Road Safety Campaigns: Current and New Practices. IATSS Research, Vol. 34, No. 2, 2011, pp. 80-86. 18. Lee, C., M. Saxena, P. Lin, E. Gonzalez-Velez, and J. W. Rouse. Aggressive Driving and Safety Campaigns: Lessons Learned from the Better Driver Campaign in Florida. Presented at 89th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 2010. 19. Gantz, W., M. Fitzmaurice, and E. Yoo. Seat Belt Campaigns and Buckling Up: Do the Media Make a Difference? Health Communication, Vol. 2, No. 1, 1990, pp. 1-12. 20. Eby, D. W., L. P. Kotsyniuk, K. Sudharsan, J. M. Vivoda, and H. K. Spradlin. The Effects of Paid Media and Enforcement on Safety Belt Use in Michigan. Publication UMTRI-2002-27. The University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute, Ann Arbor, MI, 2002. 21. Phillips, R. O., P. Ulleberg, and T. Vaa. Meta-analysis of the Effect of Road Safety Campaigns on Accidents. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 43, No. 3, 2011, pp. 1204-1218. 166 22. Rockwell, T. H. Spare Visual Capacity in Driving – Revisited: New Empirical Results for an Old Idea. Vision in Vehicles II: Proceedings of the Second International Conference on Vision in Vehicles, Nottingham, U.K., 1988, pp.317-324. 23. Zwahlen, H. T., C. C. Adams Jr., and P. J. Schwartz. Safety Aspects of Cellular Telephones in Automobiles. Presented at the 18th International Symposium on Automotive Technology and Automation, Florence, Italy, 1988. 24. Wierwille, W. W. Visual and Manual Demands of In-car Controls and Displays. Automotive Ergonomics, Taylor and Francis, U.K., 1993, pp.299-320. 25. Horrey, W. J., and C. D. Wickens. In-Vehicle Glance Duration: Distributions, Tails, and Model of Crash Risk. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 2018, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., 2007, pp. 22-28. 26. Klauer, S. G., T. A. Dingus, V. L. Neale, J. D. Sudweeks, and D. J. Ramsey. The Impact of Driver Inattention on Near-Crash/Crash Risk: An Analysis Using the 100Car Naturalistic Driving Study Data. Publication DOT HS 810 594. Virginia Tech Transportation Institute, Blacksburg, VA, 2006. 27. Sodhi, M., B. Reimer, and I. Llamazares. Glance Analysis of Driver Eye Movements to Evaluate Distraction. Behavior Research Methods, Instruments, & Computers, Vol. 34, No. 4, 2002, pp. 529-538. 28. Beijer, D. Observed Driver Glance Behaviour at Roadside Advertising. Presented at 83rd Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 2004. 29. Smiley, A., T. Smahel, and M. Eizenmann. The Impact of Video Advertising on Driver Fixation Patterns. Presented at 83rd Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 2004. 30. Perez, W., and M. A. Bertola. The Effect of Visual Clutter on Driver Eye Glance Behavior. Presented at Sixth International Driving Symposium on Human Factors in Driver Assessment, Training and Vehicle Design, Lake Tahoe, CA, 2011. 31. Lee, S. E., M. J. McElheny, and R. Gibbons. Driving Performance and Digital Billboards. Center for Automotive Safety Research, Virginia Tech Transportation Institute, Blacksburg, VA, 2007. 32. Crundall, D., E. Van Loon, and G. Underwood. Attraction and Distraction of Attention with Roadside Advertisements. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 38, No. 4, 2006, pp. 671-677. 33. Megias, A., A. Maldonado, A. Catena, L. L. Di Stasi, J. Serrano, and A. Candido. Modulation of Attention and Urgent Decisions by Affect-laden Roadside 167 Advertisement in Risky Driving Scenarios. Safety Science, Vol. 49, No. 10, 2011, pp. 1388-1393. 34. Owens, D. A., J. M. Stevenson, A. Osborn, and J. Geer. Differences in the Perception of Potential Risk by Novice and Experienced Drivers. Presented at 89th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 2010. 35. Tantala, M. W., and A. M. Tantala. An Examination of the Relationship between Digital Billboards and Traffic Safety in Reading, Pennsylvania Using Empirical Bayes Analyses. Presented at Moving Toward Zero: 2011 ITE Technical Conference and Exhibit, Lake Buena Vista, FL, 2011. 36. Smiley, A., B. Persaud, G. Bahar, C. Mollett, C. Lyon, T. Smahel, and W. L. Kelman. Traffic Safety Evaluation of Video Advertising Signs. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 1937, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., 2005, pp. 105-112. 37. Edquist, J., T. Horberry, S. Hosking, and I. Johnston. Effects of Advertising Billboards During Simulated Driving. Applied Ergonomics, Vol. 42, No. 4, 2011, pp. 619-626. 38. Young, M. S., J. M. Mahfoud, N. A. Stanton, P. M. Salmon, D. P. Jenkins, and G. H. Walker. Conflicts of Interest: The Implications of Roadside Advertising for Driver Attention. Transportation Research Part F: Traffic Psychology and Behaviour, Vol. 12, No. 5, 2009, pp. 381-388. 39. Jamson, A. H., and N. Merat. The Effectiveness of Safety Campaign Messages – A Driving Simulator Investigation. Presented at Fourth International Driving Symposium on Human Factors in Driver Assessment, Training and Vehicle Design, Stevenson, WA, 2007. 40. Manual of Uniform Traffic Control Devices. 2009 Edition including Revisions 1 and 2. Federal Highway Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation, 2012. 41. Field, A. Discovering Statistics Using SPSS. 2nd Edition. Sage Publications Ltd., London, 2005. 42. Hinkle, D. E., W. Wiersma, and S. G. Jurs. Applied Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences. 5th Edition. Houghton Mifflin Company, Boston, MA, 2003. 43. Molino, J. A., J. Wachtel, J. E. Farbry, M. B. Hermosillo, and T. M. Granda. The Effects of Commercial Electronic Variable Message Signs (CEVMS) on Driver Attention and Distraction: An Update. Publication FHWA-HRT-09-018. Human Centered Systems Team, Office of Safety Research and Development, Federal Highway Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation, 2009. 168 44. McAvoy, D. S. Work Zone Speed Reduction Utilizing Dynamic Speed Signs. Ohio University, Athens, OH, 2011. http://ntl.bts.gov/lib/42000/42200/42221/Dynamic_Speed_Sign_Final_Report_OU1.p df. Accessed August 14, 2012. 45. AP Statistics Tutorial: Hypothesis Test for Difference Between Proportions. Stat Trek. http://stattrek.com/hypothesis-test/difference-in-proportions.aspx?tutorial=ap. Accessed January 13, 2011. 46. Glass, G. V., P. D. Peckham, and J. R. Sanders. Consequences of Failure to Meet Assumptions Underlying the Fixed Effects Analyses of Variance and Covariance. Review of Educational Research, Vol. 42, No. 3, 1972, pp. 237-288. 47. Profile of General Population and Housing Characteristics: 2010 Demographic Profile Data. American FactFinder. United States Census Bureau. http://factfinder2.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtml?fpt=tab le. Accessed January 3, 2012. 48. Cerrelli, E. C. Crash Data and Rates for Age-Sex Groups of Drivers, 1996. National Center for Statistics and Analysis, National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation, 1998. http://wwwnrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/98.010.PDF. Accessed January 3, 2012. 169 APPENDIX A: PUBLIC SURVEY STUDY MATERIALS Survey Questionnaire 1) Age: ______________ Years 2) Gender: Female Male 3) I am a licensed driver. Yes No 4) How long have you been driving? 1-5 Years 6-10 Years 11-15 Years 16-20 Years 20+ Years 5) Do you have any of the following driving limitations? (Check all that apply) Visual impairments (Night time, color blindness, etc.) Corrective lenses Medical concerns Drug use for medical condition(s) Physical Limitations 6) I have been in ____ crashes while driving in Construction Work Zones. No Crashes 1 Crash 2 Crashes 3 Crashes 4+ Crashes 7) I know the rules and regulations for driving in a Construction Work Zone. Strongly Agree Neither agree Disagree agree nor disagree Strongly disagree 8) Regarding the speed limit, I typically drive: The limit to 6-10 MPH 11-15 MPH 5 MPH over over over Below the limit 16-20 MPH over 9) Which sign would make you more aware of Construction Work Zones? A B C D 10) Which sign would make you more cautious in the Construction Work Zone? A B C D 11) If you were driving along a freeway at 65 mph, which sign would be able to see best during the day? A B C D 170 12) If you were driving along a freeway at 65 mph, which sign would be able to see best during the night? A B C D 13) Are the signs too cluttered with information? Yes No 171 A: B: C: D: 172 A: B: C: D: 173 APPENDIX B: IRB DOCUMENTS OHIO UNIVERSITY INSTITUTIONAL REVIEW BOARD (IRB) PROJECT OUTLINE FORM Proposal Title 1. Safety Evaluation of the Configuration and Placement of Billboard Advertisements on Driver Behavior in Work Zones Investigator(s) Information Primary Investigator Name First Patrick Department Address Middle J. Fry Civil Engineering Stocker 308 (If off-campus, include city, state and zip code) Email [email protected] Training Module Completed? Co-investigators Name Julie Owens Address 243 Porter Hall Email [email protected] Training Module Completed? Advisor Information (if applicable) Name Last Deborah McAvoy, Ph.D., P.E., P.T.O.E. Address Stocker 118 Email [email protected] Training Module Completed? Phone 614-419-5734 Yes No X Department Phone 740-593-1074 Yes No X Department Phone Psychology Civil Engineering 740-593-1468 Yes No X 174 2. Study Timeline a. Anticipated Starting Date (Study, including recruitment, cannot begin prior to IRB approval. This date should never precede the submission date) b. Duration of Study 3. Years Funding Status a. Is the researcher receiving support or applying for funding? If YES List Source February 1, 2011 Months 2 Yes X No Laborers Union – 860 (Cleveland) Describe any consulting or other relationships with this sponsor. Funding will be used for: X X 4. Paying Participants (Provide further details in compensation section) Researcher Expenses (Postage, Equipment, Travel, etc.) Other __Salaries_______________________________________________________ Review Level Based on the definition in the guidelines, do you believe your research qualifies for? Exempt Review – See description of categories at: Category X http://www.ohio.edu/research/compliance/Exemption-Categories.cfm Expedited Review - See description of categories at: http://www.hhs.gov/ohrp/humansubjects/guidance/expedited98.htm Full Board Review Category 7 175 5. Recruitment/Selection of Subjects a. Maximum Number of Participants to be Enrolled – If screening occurs, include number that will need to be screened in order to get the N necessary for statistical significance. b. Characteristics of subjects (check as many boxes as appropriate). Minors Disabled (Physically or Mentally) Legally Incompetent X Adults Prisoners Cognitively Impaired Pregnant Non-English Speaking X 400 Elementary School Students Middle School Students High School Students University Students c. Briefly describe the criteria for selection of subjects (inclusion/exclusion). Include such information as age range, health status, etc. Attach additional pages if necessary. The criteria for selection of subjects is 18 years or older, two years of driving experience, and a valid driver’s license. The subjects are limited to 18 years and older with two years of driving experience due to the inexperience levels of new drivers. d. Please describe how you will identify and recruit prospective participants. Participants for the study will be solicited on voluntary basis by the PI working on the research study through direct person to person contact or by phone from the community-at-large. Flyers will be posted throughout the university requesting participants. Individuals will also be recruited at businesses and community centers through the use of a pamphlet that will be left at the front desk or with the business administrator. Participants will also be recruited from the Psych Pool. The flyer/pamphlet has been provided in Appendix B. It is anticipated approximately 50 individuals will be recruited per month. e. Records Are you accessing private, i.e. medical, educational, or employment Yes No X records? If YES, Describe process for obtaining approval for the use of the records or for securing consent from the subjects. Attach a letter of support from the holder or custodian of the records i.e. primary physician, therapist, public school official.) f. Please describe your relationship to the potential participants, i.e. instructor of class, co-worker, etc. If no relationship, state no relationship. No Relationship Attach copies of all recruitment tools (advertisements, posters, etc.), label as APPENDIX B g. Performance Sites/Location of Research X Ohio University Facility Public Location Other – Describe below and provide letters of cooperation and/or support 176 6. Project Description a. Please provide a brief summary of this project, using non-technical terms that would be understood by a non-scientific reader. Please limit this description to no more than one page, and provide details in the methodology section. Traffic safety along the nation’s roadways is a major concern for traffic and safety professionals. Engineering, educational and enforcement efforts have reduced the fatality rate from 5.5 deaths per 100 million miles of travel in 1966 to 1.13 deaths in 2009. In recent years there has been a change in roadway work zone projects from new roadway construction to maintenance and rehabilitation of the existing infrastructure. This change in construction activity has required work zone locations in which traffic flow must be maintained. Operating work zones on existing roadways while maintaining traffic flow places construction workers at a higher exposure to vehicle intrusion as well as exposing the driving public to unexpected roadway conditions. The result is a decrease in safety for both the work zone personnel and drivers. Advances in technology have helped to reduce the number of fatalities occurring due to the maintenance of traffic through active work zones. However, there are still over 700 fatalities in work zones every year. Each year various organizations spend money on advertisement campaigns with the aim of drawing public awareness to the issue of work zone safety. In order to ensure that an advertisement campaign will be likely to increase public awareness of work zone safety, a driving simulator study is proposed to test different billboard advertisements. Driving simulators have been utilized for human factors and transportation engineering research where they have proven to be a valuable and valid tool for understanding human performance for a variety of applications. They are an especially effective tool when the simulation model is able to represent, as closely as possible, real-world driving conditions while allowing for accurate driver performance measurements. It is proposed to use a high-fidelity driving simulator to determine the particular billboard advertisement and placement which most effectively conveys the message of work zone safety to drivers. b. Please describe the specific scientific objectives (aims) of this research and any previous relevant research. The objective of this research is to compare driver performance, and therefore work zone safety, in work zones which have a billboard advertisement placed prior to the work zone. In order to fulfill the objectives of the research needs, the project has been subdivided into individual tasks culminating with a report outlining the results of the research conducted and direction for the research. The tasks to fulfill the objectives of this research are as follows: Conduct a simulator study to examine driver behavior in work zones when different billboard slogans are utilized and compare the results to determine which most effectively increases safety. Conduct a simulator study to examine driver behavior in work zones when different billboard graphics are utilized and compare the results to determine which most effectively increases safety. Conduct a simulator study to examine driver behavior in a downtown setting and on an urban freeway when different billboard placements are utilized along the roadway. An eye-tracking system will be used to collect the driver’s gaze during the experiment in order to determine which placement most effectively catches the driver’s attention. 177 c. Methodology: please describe the procedures (sequentially) that will be performed/followed with human participants. After recruitment, the participants will be introduced to the project using the following narrative paragraph. You have volunteered to be in a research study to compare the relative driving performance of drivers in a controlled laboratory environment to understand the impact of various billboard advertisements on driver behavior. The driving simulator has been built to represent the interior of a standard size passenger automobile, including dashboard, steering wheel, gas pedal, and brake pedal. As you drive the simulator, operate it as if you were driving an actual automobile. The computer screens are intended to represent the actual images you would encounter while looking through the windshield, door windows, and rear view mirrors. The scenes have been programmed with images to replicate typical features encountered on the roadway, including other vehicles present on the road, pedestrians, lane markings, traffic signs, traffic signals, etc. You will drive through four scenarios. The first one is merely to get you acclimated to the vehicle controls and computer-generated images. The first scenario should take about 15 minutes. Altogether, you will be driving for about 45 minutes. Your total time commitment for this study is approximately 60 minutes; 45 minutes for driving and 15 minutes to answer the questionnaire. Your driving performance will be monitored and statistics will be recorded on the computer and quantified. Your name will remain confidential in the study and your performance will be identified by a subject number only. Your participation in this study will be greatly appreciated and may be a valuable benefit to society. Through your participation the safety consequences along roadways will be quantified and the results may serve to improve safety campaigns in the State of Ohio as well as across the nation, which ultimately aim to reduce traffic crashes on road and highways as well as reduce taxes. The participants will then be asked to fill out the informed consent form and the pre-test questionnaire. The participants will drive in the simulator for approximately 15 minutes in order to become accustomed to the motion platform and simulated world. If the participants desire to continue they will drive in the simulator for an additional 30 minutes. If the participants do not desire to continue in the study, they will be thanked for their time and leave the study. After completing the simulation participants will be asked to fill out a post-test questionnaire. The participants will be informed of the scope of the project as well as where and when they will be able to find the results of the study. 178 d. Describe any potential risks or discomforts of participation and the steps that will be taken to minimize them. The risks involved in this experiment are minimal. Some participants may experience simulator sickness after driving in the simulator for extended periods of time; mainly for driving periods greater than one hour. Based upon previous studies conducted by the PI, it is anticipated that less than one percent of the participants will experience slight to moderate simulator sickness. If a participant indicates at any time that they are too uncomfortable to continue, they will be released from the experiment. Also, crackers and water will be available for the participants to help with any simulator sickness. e. Describe the anticipated benefits to the individual participants. If none, state that. (Note that compensation is not a benefit, but should be listed in the compensation section on the next page.) The benefits for the individual participants will be the same as those for society. f. Describe the anticipated benefits to society and/or the scientific community in lay language. There must be some benefit to justify the use of human subjects. Engineering, educational and enforcement efforts have reduced the fatality rate along the nation’s highway from 5.5 deaths per 100 million miles of travel in 1966 to 1.13 deaths in 2009; however, there are still more than 700 fatalities each year in work zones across the nation. The trend of roadway construction toward rehabilitation of existing infrastructure and away from building new roadways has placed work zone personnel and the driving public at an increased risk. The aim of this research is to determine which billboard configuration and placement most effectively increases work zone safety. These findings will present state departments of transportation and other organizations a basis from which they can draw on when developing their work zone safety public awareness campaigns. This in turn will increase the safety of roadway work zones for both the driving public and work zone personnel and, ultimately, reduce work zone crashes and save lives. 179 7. Confidentiality a. Check all that apply Data is collected anonymously Data will be recorded without possibility of identification (Computerized Data) X Data will be recorded with a code replacing identifiers and a master list connecting the code and the identifier exists for some period of time Data will be recorded with identifying information, e.g. name, SSN, oak id, etc. Nature of data makes it potentially identifiable (e.g. material with DNA, photographs) b. If master code list is used (3rd option); please provide detail, such as how/where code list is securely stored, when it will be destroyed, etc.). N/A c. If data is stored with identifiers, please provide details of how data will be stored securely (i.e. locked cabinet, password protected, etc.) as well as timeframe of when data will be de-identified. N/A d. Data Sharing Will identifiable data be shared with anyone outside the immediate research team? If YES, please describe Yes e. Recording Will participants be No X Audio recorded? Yes No X Video recorded? Yes No X If YES, please describe how/where recordings will be stored, who will have access to them, and an estimate of the date (month/year) that they will be destroyed. f. Additional Details (if needed) 180 8. Compensation a. Will participants receive a gift or token of appreciation? If YES, list the item and its approximate value. Yes No X b. Will participants receive services, treatment or supplies that have a monetary value? If YES, please describe and provide the approximate value. Yes No X c. Will participants receive course credit? Yes X No If YES, please describe non-research alternatives to earn the credit, the number of points awarded and what percentage of total points for the course it represents. If you are using the Psychology Pool, which has already established guidelines that provide these details to the IRB, simply write Psych Pool. Psych Pool, Non-Psych Pool participants will not receive compensation d. Will participants receive monetary compensation (including gift Yes No X cards)? If YES, please detail the amount per session and total compensation possible. Additionally, describe what compensation amount is paid to participants who discontinue participation prior to completion.* * If University funds are used to compensate participants, minimally, the name and address of participants will need to be provided to the Finance Office at OU. If participants will be paid $100 or more in a calendar year, participant social security numbers must be provided to Finance. The consent form must reflect this. 9. Instruments a. List all questionnaires, instruments, standardized tests below, with a brief description, and provide copies of each, labeled as APPENDIX C. Experiment Questionnaire The experiment questionnaire will be used as a pre-test survey to ask participants about their driving experiences in work zones. The participants will also be asked to supply demographic information to determine the representative nature of the participants with the population in terms of age, gender, etc. Also the experiment questionnaire will be used as a post-test survey to ask participants about the slogans utilized in the billboard advertisements that they drove past. 181 10. Data Analysis How will the data be analyzed? What statistical procedures will be used to test hypotheses; if qualitative, how will data be coded, etc. Demographic Data This analysis will allow the researchers the ability to determine the extent to which the sample population is representative of the overall driving population. The observed frequency distribution or percentage of participant demographics will be compared with the corresponding values of the expected distribution of the nation’s demographics. The intent of the comparison will be to test whether the discrepancies between the observed and expected frequencies or percentages were attributable to chance or were significantly different. If the discrepancies were attributable to chance, then the differences between the two percentages can be deemed statistically insignificant. The statistical analysis to determine if the demographic data (gender or age) in the sample population was significantly different than the population will be the test of goodness-of-fit or the chi-square test. The null hypothesis for the chi-square test will be as follows: There was no difference between the demographic data (gender or age) of the simulator experiment sample and the nation’s population. Speed Data The analysis of speed data will be used as an indication of a motorist’s perceived risk of traveling along a roadway. The speed data will be analyzed using the overall mean speed, the mean speeds prior to and after the presence of the billboards, the mean speed with a billboard present and without a billboard present, as well as the variance of the speeds will be calculated. Statistical tests will be used to determine if the mean speeds and speed variances between the billboard scenarios are statistically significant. The null hypothesis for the scenarios speed analysis will be that there is no difference between the mean speeds of the scenarios. The Paired t-test will be utilized to determine the effectiveness of the billboards based upon the comparison of the mean speeds and speed variances. If the data collected violates normality for the speed data, the mean speeds will be compared with the Paired t-test’s nonparametric counterpart, the Mann-Whitney U Test. Acceleration and Deceleration Data The acceleration and deceleration data will be used as an indication of a motorist’s potential for a crash as well as their reaction to the billboards. Acceleration and deceleration are recorded as normalized values with a range between 0.00 and 1.00. A value of 0.00 indicates that the pedal is not depressed while a value of 1.00 indicates that the pedal is at maximum depression. The acceleration data will be analyzed using the overall mean acceleration, the mean acceleration prior to and after the presence of the billboards, the mean acceleration with a billboard present and without a billboard present, as well as the variance of the accelerations will be calculated. Likewise, the deceleration data will be analyzed and calculated in a similar manner. Statistical tests will be conducted to determine if the mean acceleration and mean deceleration between the billboard scenarios are statistically significant. The null hypothesis for the acceleration and deceleration is that there is no difference between the acceleration and deceleration of vehicles. The Paired t-test will be utilized to determine the effectiveness of the billboard advertisement based upon the comparison of the overall mean acceleration and deceleration and the corresponding variances. If the data collected violates normality for the acceleration and deceleration data, the means will be compared with the Paired t-test’s nonparametric counterpart, the Mann-Whitney U Test. 182 Collision Data The analysis of collision data will be used as an indication of a motorist’s actual risk of traveling along a roadway and potential distraction related to the billboards. Collision data is recorded on the simulator control station if the participant collides with another object. From this data it can be determined when the collision occurred, where in the work zone the collision occurred, and with what object the subject vehicle collided. The observed frequency distribution or percentage of collisions will be compared among the billboard scenarios to the test scenario without a billboard. The intent of the comparison will be to test whether the discrepancies between the billboard scenario crashes and non-billboard scenario crashes were attributable to chance or were significantly different. If the discrepancies were attributable to chance, then the differences between the two percentages can be deemed statistically insignificant. The statistical analysis to determine if the collision frequency data in the sample population was significantly different will be the test of goodness-of-fit or the chi-square test. The null hypothesis for the chi-square test will be as follows: There was no difference between the collision frequency data of the simulator experiment sample. Detection Distance Data Detection distance will be used as an indication of the participant’s ability to see the billboard. The participant’s gaze relative to the simulator screens is recorded on the eye-tracking control station. Where their gaze intersects the billboard for a significant period of time represents the participant detecting the billboard ahead. This data will be coordinated with the vehicle position data recorded on the simulator control station to determine at what distance from the billboard can the participant detect the sign. Statistical tests will be conducted to determine if the detection distance between the billboard scenarios are statistically significant. The null hypothesis is that there is no difference between the detection distance for the billboard scenarios. The Paired t-test will be utilized to determine the effectiveness of the billboard advertisement based upon the comparison of the detection distance. If the data collected violates normality for detection distance, the lateral placement data will be compared with the Paired t-test’s nonparametric counterpart, the Mann-Whitney U Test. Time of Gaze Data Time of gaze will be used as an indication of the time required for the participant’s cognition of the billboard. The length of time that the participant’s gaze is fixated on the billboard is recorded on the eye-tracking control station. The time of gaze for each billboard will be analyzed. Statistical tests will be conducted to determine if the time of gaze among the various billboards are statistically significant. The null hypothesis is that there is no difference between the time of gaze for the billboards. The Paired t-test will be utilized to determine the effectiveness of the billboard advertisement based upon the comparison of the time of gaze for the billboards. If the data collected violates normality for time of gaze, the time of gaze data will be compared with the Paired t-test’s nonparametric counterpart, the Mann-Whitney U Test. 183 11. Informed Consent Process Select One of the Following Options I am obtaining signed consent for this study (Attach copies of all consent documents as X Appendix A, using the template provided at the end of this document. I am requesting a waiver or alteration of Informed Consent (provide details below and attach information that will be provided to participants regarding the study (email, cover letter) as Appendix A. Waiver of signature ___ Exempt study ___ Waiver needed to protect the privacy of participants ___ Waiver needed due to cultural norms (e.g. wary of forms needing signatures) ___ Impracticable (online or phone study) ___ Other ________________________________________________________________ Deception (incomplete disclosure) ___ Necessary to avoid participants altering behavior (e.g. not informing of 2 way mirror; providing cover story ) ___ Complete waiver of consent Provide additional information regarding the waiver, if needed. Attach copies of all consent documents or text and label as APPENDIX A. Please use the template provided at the end of this document. b. How and where will the consent process occur? Will participants have an opportunity to ask questions and have them answered? What steps will be taken to avoid coercion or undue influence? The potential participants in the study will be debriefed regarding the study as outlined above and in the Appendices. They will be given the informed consent form to read, review and signed, if so desired. Prior to signing the document, they will be allowed to ask any questions regarding the experiment with appropriate, honest answers provided. The participants will not be forced or asked to proceed with the experiment unless they are completely comfortable with the task. The consent process will occur in the Safety and Human Factors Facility (Stocker 308) after the participant has initially agreed to participate in the study. The participant will be given a verbal briefing regarding the project and experiment. At that point, the participant will be provided the informed consent form to read, review and sign. The participants will be encouraged to ask any questions that they may have regarding the experiment and the task they may be completing before they sign the consent form and throughout the study. The participants will also be made aware that at any time they may withdraw from participating in the project without ramifications. 184 c. Will the investigator(s) be obtaining all of the informed consents? Yes X No X No If NO, identify by name and training who will be describing the research to subjects/representatives and inviting their participation? d. Will all adult participants have the capacity to give informed consent? Yes. This is demonstrated by their ability to obtain a driver’s license. If NO, explain procedures to be followed. Yes e. Will any participants be minors? Yes No If YES, include procedures/form for parental consent and for the assent from the minor. f. Will participants be deceived or incompletely informed regarding any aspect of the study? Yes No If YES, provide rationale for use of deception. If YES, attach copies of post-study debriefing information and label as APPENDIX D. Additionally, complete the questions related to a consent form waiver or alteration on page 11. X X 185 Investigator Assurance I certify that the information provided in this outline form is complete and correct. I understand that as Principal Investigator, I have ultimate responsibility for the protection of the rights and welfare of human subjects, conduct of the study and the ethical performance of the project. I agree to comply with Ohio University policies on research and investigation involving human subjects (O.U. Policy # 19.052), as well as with all applicable federal, state and local laws regarding the protection of human subjects in research, including, but not limited to the following: The project will be performed by qualified personnel, according to the OU approved protocol. No changes will be made in the protocol or consent form until approved by the OU IRB. Legally effective informed consent will be obtained from human subjects if applicable, and documentation of informed consent will be retained, in a secure environment, for three years after termination of the project. Adverse/Unexpected events will be reported to the OU IRB promptly. All protocols are approved for a maximum period of one year. Research must stop at the end of that approval period unless the protocol is re-approved for another term. I further certify that the proposed research is not currently underway and will not begin until approval has been obtained. A signed approval form, on Office of Research Compliance letterhead, communicates IRB approval. Primary Investigator Signature Date (Please print name) Co-Investigator Signature (Please print name) Date 186 Faculty Advisor/Sponsor Assurance By my signature as sponsor on this research application, I certify that the student(s) or guest investigator is knowledgeable about the regulations and policies governing research with human subjects and has sufficient training and experience to conduct this particular study in accord with the approved protocol. In addition: I agree to meet with the investigator(s) on a regular basis to monitor study progress. Should problems arise during the course of the study, I agree to be available, personally, to supervise the investigator in solving them. I assure that the investigator will report adverse/unexpected events to the IRB in writing promptly. If I will be unavailable, as when on sabbatical or vacation, I will arrange for an alternate faculty sponsor to assume responsibility during my absence. I further certify that the proposed research is not currently underway and will not begin until approval has been obtained. A signed approval form, on Office of Research Compliance letterhead, communicates IRB approval. Advisor/Faculty Sponsor Signature Date (Please print name) *The faculty advisor/sponsor must be a member of the OU faculty. The faculty member is considered the responsible party for legal and ethical performance of the project. 187 Ohio University Consent Form Non-Psych Pool Participants Title of Research: Safety Evaluation of the Configuration and Placement of Billboard Advertisements on Driver Behavior in Work Zones Researchers: Patrick Fry, Graduate Research Assistant; Deborah McAvoy, Ph.D., P.E., P.T.O.E., Assistant Professor You are being asked to participate in research. For you to be able to decide whether you want to participate in this project, you should understand what the project is about, as well as the possible risks and benefits in order to make an informed decision. This process is known as informed consent. This form describes the purpose, procedures, possible benefits, and risks. It also explains how your personal information will be used and protected. Once you have read this form and your questions about the study are answered, you will be asked to sign it. This will allow your participation in this study. You should receive a copy of this document to take with you. Explanation of Study You have volunteered to be in a research study to compare the relative driving performance of drivers in a controlled laboratory environment to understand the impact of various billboard advertisements on driver behavior. The driving simulator has been built to represent the interior of a standard size passenger automobile, including dashboard, steering wheel, gas pedal, and brake pedal. As you drive the simulator, operate it as if you were driving an actual automobile. The computer screens are intended to represent the actual images you would encounter while looking through the windshield, door windows, and rear view mirrors. The scenes have been programmed with images to replicate typical features encountered on the roadway, including other vehicles present on the road, pedestrians, lane markings, traffic signs, traffic signals, etc. You will drive through four scenarios. The first one is merely to get you acclimated to the vehicle controls and computer-generated images. The first scenario should take about 15 minutes. Altogether, you will be driving for about 45 minutes. Your driving performance will be monitored and statistics will be recorded on the computer and quantified. Your name will remain confidential in the study and your performance will be identified by a subject number only. Your participation in this study will be greatly appreciated and may be a valuable benefit to society. Through your participation the safety consequences along roadways will be quantified and the results may serve to improve safety campaigns in the State of Ohio as well as across the nation, which ultimately aim to reduce traffic crashes on road and highways as well as reduce taxes. We are also requesting that you fill out a questionnaire regarding your demographics and past driving habits. We will use the demographic data to determine if the results from this study can be applied to the nation’s population. If the demographic data for the survey participants are significantly different than the nation’s demographic data, we may not be able to generalize the results of this project. We are attempting to assure we 188 have an adequate representation so that we can draw significant conclusions from this project. Your total time commitment for this study is approximately 60 minutes; 45 minutes for driving, 10 minutes to answer the pre-test questionnaire and 5 minutes to answer the post-test questionnaire. Risks and Discomforts The risks to which you will be exposed by participating in the experiment are minimal. The risks are as follows: 1. Simulator sickness due to driving in a simulator; generally less than one percent of participants experience nausea and a headache at the onset of driving or after driving for an hour or more. 2. Discomfort while sitting in the simulator for an extended period of time. While these risks generally occur in less than one percent of participants, the following precautions will be taken to ensure minimal risk to you: 1. You have the right to withdraw from the experiment at any time. 2. You will be allowed to take up to a two-minute break in between driving sessions to alleviate any discomfort you may experience due to sitting for an extended period of time. 3. The length of the driving simulation has been kept to one hour. 4. Crackers and water will be available to participants who experience motion sickness. Benefits The current trend in roadway construction is to repair existing infrastructure, thus placing work zone personnel and the driving public at an increased risk. The aim of this research is to determine which billboard configuration and placement most effectively increases work zone safety. These findings will present organizations with a resource they can use when developing their work zone safety public awareness campaigns. Therefore this project will assist in reducing the number of work zone crashes and saving the lives of work zone personnel and the driving public. Confidentiality and Records The data collected from the experiment will be identified by a time stamp including date and time of travel run. Your completed questionnaires will be also be linked by a time stamp that will correspond to the collected data. Your name will not appear in any document or tape related to this research. Participation in this study is completely confidential. Additionally, while every effort will be made to keep your study-related information confidential, there may be circumstances where this information must be shared with: * Federal agencies, for example the Office of Human Research Protections, whose responsibility is to protect human subjects in research; 189 * Representatives of Ohio University (OU), including the Institutional Review Board, a committee that oversees the research at OU. Compensation No compensation will be provided. Contact Information If you have any questions regarding this study, please contact: Pat Fry, Graduate Research Assistant, By Email: [email protected] Deborah McAvoy, Ph.D., P.E., P.T.O.E., By Email: [email protected] If you have any questions regarding your rights as a research participant, please contact Jo Ellen Sherow, Director of Research Compliance, Ohio University, (740)593-0664. By signing below, you are agreeing that: you have read this consent form (or it has been read to you) and have been given the opportunity to ask questions and have them answered you have been informed of potential risks and they have been explained to your satisfaction. you understand Ohio University has no funds set aside for any injuries you might receive as a result of participating in this study you are 18 years of age or older your participation in this research is completely voluntary you may leave the study at any time. If you decide to stop participating in the study, there will be no penalty to you and you will not lose any benefits to which you are otherwise entitled. Signature Date Printed Name Version Date: 01/18/10 190 Ohio University Consent Form Psych Pool Participants Title of Research: Safety Evaluation of the Configuration and Placement of Billboard Advertisements on Driver Behavior in Work Zones Researchers: Patrick Fry, Graduate Research Assistant; Deborah McAvoy, Ph.D., P.E., P.T.O.E., Assistant Professor You are being asked to participate in research. For you to be able to decide whether you want to participate in this project, you should understand what the project is about, as well as the possible risks and benefits in order to make an informed decision. This process is known as informed consent. This form describes the purpose, procedures, possible benefits, and risks. It also explains how your personal information will be used and protected. Once you have read this form and your questions about the study are answered, you will be asked to sign it. This will allow your participation in this study. You should receive a copy of this document to take with you. Explanation of Study You have volunteered to be in a research study to compare the relative driving performance of drivers in a controlled laboratory environment to understand the impact of various billboard advertisements on driver behavior. The driving simulator has been built to represent the interior of a standard size passenger automobile, including dashboard, steering wheel, gas pedal, and brake pedal. As you drive the simulator, operate it as if you were driving an actual automobile. The computer screens are intended to represent the actual images you would encounter while looking through the windshield, door windows, and rear view mirrors. The scenes have been programmed with images to replicate typical features encountered on the roadway, including other vehicles present on the road, pedestrians, lane markings, traffic signs, traffic signals, etc. You will drive through four scenarios. The first one is merely to get you acclimated to the vehicle controls and computer-generated images. The first scenario should take about 15 minutes. Altogether, you will be driving for about 45 minutes. Your driving performance will be monitored and statistics will be recorded on the computer and quantified. Your name will remain confidential in the study and your performance will be identified by a subject number only. Your participation in this study will be greatly appreciated and may be a valuable benefit to society. Through your participation the safety consequences along roadways will be quantified and the results may serve to improve safety campaigns in the State of Ohio as well as across the nation, which ultimately aim to reduce traffic crashes on road and highways as well as reduce taxes. We are also requesting that you fill out a questionnaire regarding your demographics and past driving habits. We will use the demographic data to determine if the results from this study can be applied to the nation’s population. If the demographic data for the survey participants are significantly different than the nation’s demographic data, we may not be able to generalize the results of this project. We are attempting to assure we 191 have an adequate representation so that we can draw significant conclusions from this project. Your total time commitment for this study is approximately 60 minutes; 45 minutes for driving, 10 minutes to answer the pre-test questionnaire and 5 minutes to answer the post-test questionnaire. Risks and Discomforts The risks to which you will be exposed by participating in the experiment are minimal. The risks are as follows: 1. Simulator sickness due to driving in a simulator; generally less than one percent of participants experience nausea and a headache at the onset of driving or after driving for an hour or more. 2. Discomfort while sitting in the simulator for an extended period of time. While these risks generally occur in less than one percent of participants, the following precautions will be taken to ensure minimal risk to you: 1. You have the right to withdraw from the experiment at any time. 2. You will be allowed to take up to a two-minute break in between driving sessions to alleviate any discomfort you may experience due to sitting for an extended period of time. 3. The length of the driving simulation has been kept to one hour. 4. Crackers and water will be available to participants who experience motion sickness. Benefits The current trend in roadway construction is to repair existing infrastructure, thus placing work zone personnel and the driving public at an increased risk. The aim of this research is to determine which billboard configuration and placement most effectively increases work zone safety. These findings will present organizations with a resource they can use when developing their work zone safety public awareness campaigns. Therefore this project will assist in reducing the number of work zone crashes and saving the lives of work zone personnel and the driving public. Confidentiality and Records The data collected from the experiment will be identified by a time stamp including date and time of travel run. Your completed questionnaires will be also be linked by a time stamp that will correspond to the collected data. Your name will not appear in any document or tape related to this research. Participation in this study is completely confidential. Additionally, while every effort will be made to keep your study-related information confidential, there may be circumstances where this information must be shared with: * Federal agencies, for example the Office of Human Research Protections, whose responsibility is to protect human subjects in research; 192 * Representatives of Ohio University (OU), including the Institutional Review Board, a committee that oversees the research at OU. Compensation For participation in this study you will receive one research credit. This credit will be received even if you withdraw from the study prior to its completion. Contact Information If you have any questions regarding this study, please contact: Pat Fry, Graduate Research Assistant, By Email: [email protected] Deborah McAvoy, Ph.D., P.E., P.T.O.E., By Email: [email protected] If you have any questions regarding your rights as a research participant, please contact Jo Ellen Sherow, Director of Research Compliance, Ohio University, (740)593-0664. By signing below, you are agreeing that: you have read this consent form (or it has been read to you) and have been given the opportunity to ask questions and have them answered you have been informed of potential risks and they have been explained to your satisfaction. you understand Ohio University has no funds set aside for any injuries you might receive as a result of participating in this study you are 18 years of age or older your participation in this research is completely voluntary you may leave the study at any time. If you decide to stop participating in the study, there will be no penalty to you and you will not lose any benefits to which you are otherwise entitled. Signature Date Printed Name Version Date: 01/18/10 193 Date: _________________ Pre-Test Questionnaire 1) Gender: Female Male 2) Age: 16-20 21-25 26-35 36-45 46-60 61-70 3) Do you have any of the following driving limitations? (Check all that apply) Visual impairments (Night time, color blindness, etc.) Corrective lenses Medical concerns Drug use for medical condition(s) Physical Limitations 4) How much total time do you spend driving on a typical day on your way to and from work/school? 0.0-0.5 hours 0.5-1.0 hours 1.0-1.5 hours 1.5-2.0 hours 2.0-2.5 hours Over 2.5 hours 5) How many miles do you drive in one direction on a typical day to arrive at work/school? 0-5 miles 5-10 miles 11-20 miles 21-30 miles 31-40 miles Over 41 miles 6) I know the rules and regulations for driving in a Construction Work Zone. Strongly Agree Neither agree Disagree agree nor disagree Strongly disagree 7) Do you know of any safety campaigns conducted by the State of Ohio or any road agencies? Yes No Do you recall the slogan? (Any words are appropriate) __________________________________________ 8) Would a safety campaign informing you of the hazards in a work zone alter your driving behavior? Yes No If yes, check all that apply: Reduce speed Increase speed Pay closer attention to workers Drive farther away from the work zone or barrels Drive closer to the work zone or barrels Other: _________________________________ 194 Post-Test Questionnaire Date: _________________ 1) Are the signs too cluttered with information? Yes No 2) Which of the slogans do you remember best? 195 196 Ohio University Institutional Review Board Periodic Review Form Proposal # 11X007 Proposal Title Funding Source Safety Evaluation of the Configuration and Placement of Billboard Advertisements on Driver Behavior in Work Zones Principal Investigator Information Name Patrick Fry Address Email Laborers Union – 860 (Cleveland) Department Civil Engineering Stocker 308 [email protected] Phone 614-419-5734 Indicate Study Status: X Open to continuing enrollment of new participants Enrollment closed, plan to re-open enrollment once approved Enrollment closed, participants still receiving treatment/intervention Enrollment closed, only data analysis occurring on identifiable data Completed (no enrollment, no treatment/intervention, data has no identifiers) Provide the total number of participants enrolled in the study, to date: 70 1. Summarize all amendment submissions approved by IRB (after original approval): None 2. Are there any revisions to be considered in this review? If yes, please respond to items a – d below. YES a. Describe the proposed changes and why they are being made. b. Describe how, if at all, the proposed changes affect the risks of the study. NO X 197 c. Describe how, if at all, the proposed changes affect the benefits of the study. d. Does the proposed change affect the consent/assent document(s)? YES If yes: NO Will any participants need to be re-consented as a result of the changes? If so, please describe process to be used. Include two copies of the revised consent/assent documents, one with changes highlighted, and one without highlighting. 3. Provide a synopsis of the results to date (include the progress of the study as compared to the hypothesis). If the risk/benefit assessment has been altered based on the results obtained from the study thus far, describe. The simulator study has been conducted with 70 participants and the prescribed data was collected. The results for each of the 70 participants have been determined on an individual basis; however, statistical analysis of the entire dataset still needs to be conducted at this time. It is anticipated that more participants will need to be enrolled in the study in order to expand the age demographics of the sample population. Currently, only participants in the 18-24 age range have participated in the study at this time. In order for the study to be more representative of the actual population, further recruitment of participants in other age groups is necessary. 4. Have there been any: Adverse events or unanticipated results? Withdrawal of subjects from research? Complaints about the research? Enrollment Problems? Literature, findings, or other information that has become available since starting study that indicates a need to amend the study? Changes to funding status? Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No No No No No X X X X X Yes No X a. If you answered ‘yes’ to any of the above questions, please explain below or attach explanatory material. 198 5. Provide a copy of all currently approved informed consent documents, assent documents, and a copy of any debriefing information, if applicable. Please do not submit any document that contains participant signatures. Principal Investigator Signature Date Advisor Signature Date Please return this form to: Office of Research Compliance 117 Research & Technology Center Ohio University Athens, OH 45701-2979 You may also scan the signed form and email it to [email protected] 199 200 APPENDIX C: BILLBOARD ADVERTISEMENTS USED IN SIMULATOR STUDY Scenario #1 Billboards Version A 201 Version B Version C 202 Version C (Continued) Version D 203 Version D (Continued) Scenario #2 Billboards *Also used for Scenario #3 204 APPENDIX D: RESULTS OF THE GAMES-HOWELL TESTS ON THE DATA COLLECTED IN THE DRIVING SIMULATOR STUDY Scenario #1 – Slogans Results of Games-Howell Test on Lane Position in Pre-Work Zone 95 percent LOC Interval Mean Standard Comparison Difference Error Lower Upper Bound Bound Slogan 1 -0.383 0.165 -0.963 0.197 Slogan 2 -0.289 0.128 -0.736 0.158 Slogan 3 -0.382 0.143 -0.881 0.118 Slogan 4 -0.144 0.139 -0.632 0.344 Slogan 5 -0.382 0.138 -0.865 0.101 Slogan 6 -0.154 0.143 -0.654 0.345 Control Slogan 7 -0.102 0.132 -0.564 0.360 Slogan 8 -0.460 0.143 -0.962 0.041 Slogan 9 -0.342 0.121 -0.762 0.079 Slogan 10 -0.199 0.148 -0.718 0.320 Slogan 11 -0.061 0.135 -0.532 0.409 Slogan 12 -0.239 0.142 -0.736 0.258 Results of Games-Howell Test on Mean Fixation in Pre-Work Zone 95 percent LOC Interval Mean Standard Comparison Difference Error Lower Upper Bound Bound Slogan 1 -0.622 0.150 -1.154 -0.089 Slogan 2 -0.855 0.198 -1.566 -0.144 Slogan 3 -0.639 0.123 -1.074 -0.204 Slogan 4 -0.465 0.136 -0.949 0.019 Slogan 5 -0.540 0.133 -1.010 -0.070 Slogan 6 -0.673 0.150 -1.207 -0.139 Control Slogan 7 -0.491 0.133 -0.963 -0.020 Slogan 8 -0.821 0.239 -1.681 0.039 Slogan 9 -0.654 0.117 -1.067 -0.240 Slogan 10 -0.603 0.126 -1.049 -0.157 Slogan 11 -0.475 0.121 -0.905 -0.045 Slogan 12 -0.457 0.088 -0.766 -0.148 Result Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null Result Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null 205 Scenario #1 – Slogans (Continued) Results of Games-Howell Test on Total Fixation in Pre-Work Zone 95 percent LOC Interval Mean Standard Comparison Difference Error Lower Upper Bound Bound Slogan 1 -1.589 0.357 -2.855 -0.322 Slogan 2 -1.610 0.335 -2.801 -0.419 Slogan 3 -1.856 0.381 -3.215 -0.496 Slogan 4 -1.680 0.361 -2.965 -0.394 Slogan 5 -1.473 0.355 -2.735 -0.212 Slogan 6 -1.539 0.344 -2.764 -0.315 Control Slogan 7 -1.646 0.321 -2.784 -0.509 Slogan 8 -1.633 0.342 -2.850 -0.415 Slogan 9 -1.863 0.336 -3.055 -0.671 Slogan 10 -1.432 0.312 -2.539 -0.325 Slogan 11 -1.419 0.334 -2.605 -0.233 Slogan 12 -1.295 0.306 -2.378 -0.213 Results of Games-Howell Test on Number of Fixations in Pre-Work Zone 95 percent LOC Interval Mean Standard Comparison Difference Error Lower Upper Bound Bound Slogan 1 -0.685 0.313 -1.780 0.410 Slogan 2 -0.660 0.306 -1.730 0.410 Slogan 3 -0.695 0.298 -1.740 0.350 Slogan 4 -0.971 0.377 -2.300 0.360 Slogan 5 -0.651 0.290 -1.660 0.360 Slogan 6 -0.695 0.294 -1.730 0.340 Control Slogan 7 -1.143 0.364 -2.430 0.140 Slogan 8 -0.833 0.324 -1.970 0.310 Slogan 9 -0.951 0.336 -2.140 0.230 Slogan 10 -0.592 0.269 -1.530 0.350 Slogan 11 -0.660 0.306 -1.730 0.410 Slogan 12 -0.798 0.320 -1.920 0.330 Result Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Result Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null Accept Null 206 Scenario #1 – Slogans (Continued) Results of Games-Howell Test on Proportion Fixation Duration in Pre-Work Zone 95 percent LOC Interval Mean Standard Comparison Result Difference Error Lower Upper Bound Bound Slogan 1 -0.153 0.035 -0.276 -0.030 Reject Null Slogan 2 -0.156 0.032 -0.268 -0.043 Reject Null Slogan 3 -0.183 0.036 -0.313 -0.054 Reject Null Slogan 4 -0.165 0.036 -0.292 -0.037 Reject Null Slogan 5 -0.147 0.035 -0.272 -0.022 Reject Null Slogan 6 -0.151 0.033 -0.270 -0.032 Reject Null Control Slogan 7 -0.160 0.032 -0.272 -0.048 Reject Null Slogan 8 -0.160 0.033 -0.275 -0.044 Reject Null Slogan 9 -0.183 0.033 -0.299 -0.067 Reject Null Slogan 10 -0.142 0.031 -0.250 -0.033 Reject Null Slogan 11 -0.136 0.033 -0.251 -0.020 Reject Null Slogan 12 -0.129 0.029 -0.232 -0.027 Reject Null Scenario #2 – Graphics Results of Games-Howell Test on Mean Fixation in Pre-Work Zone 95 percent LOC Interval Mean Standard Comparison Difference Error Lower Upper Bound Bound Logo & Barrel -0.575 0.137 -0.940 -0.210 Control Logo -0.590 0.157 -1.010 -0.170 Barrels -0.586 0.125 -0.920 -0.250 Result Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null 207 Scenario #2 – Graphics (Continued) Results of Games-Howell Test on Total Fixation in Pre-Work Zone 95 percent LOC Interval Mean Standard Comparison Difference Error Lower Upper Bound Bound Logo & Barrel -1.696 0.357 -2.650 -0.740 Control Logo -1.613 0.361 -2.580 -0.650 Barrels -1.745 0.346 -2.670 -0.820 Results of Games-Howell Test on Number of Fixations in Pre-Work Zone 95 percent LOC Interval Mean Standard Comparison Difference Error Lower Upper Bound Bound Logo & Barrel -1.200 0.390 -2.230 -0.170 Control Logo -1.267 0.446 -2.450 -0.080 Barrels -1.400 0.375 -2.390 -0.410 Result Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Result Reject Null Reject Null Reject Null Results of Games-Howell Test on Proportion Fixation Duration in Pre-Work Zone 95 percent LOC Interval Mean Standard Comparison Result Difference Error Lower Upper Bound Bound Logo & Barrel -0.159 0.034 -0.249 -0.069 Reject Null Control Logo -0.151 0.034 -0.242 -0.061 Reject Null Barrels -0.165 0.033 -0.253 -0.076 Reject Null ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! Thesis and Dissertation Services !
© Copyright 2025 Paperzz