SUSTAINABLE URBAN TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT – A NEW MANAGEMENT CHALLENGE Michael Aherne Chair, Traffic Efficiency and Monitoring Working Group, POLIS All views personal Outline • • • • • • Future Vision Policy Context for the future Review of Transport Philosophy Network Objectives The Tools for the Job 3-stranded Approach to TM service provision Context • • • • POLIS New EU-wide challenges Problems not fully identified Solutions need to be explored • Business-as-usual or not? FUTURE VISION (S) COMPETING VISIONS? Vision (i) The Technological Network high-tech vehicles , constant communication with each other , with central control systems.. optimum routes for all, all journey time minimised Vision (ii) The Quiet City streets as quality living and working places, noise-free, pollutant-free, safe, attractive minimal vehicular intrusion, quality public realm, (underground) public transport Vision (iii) The Responsible Citizenry a sustainable city of responsible citizens, who choose the most appropriate mode for the trip (pre-planned, of course), interchanging effortlessly between walking, cycling, driving, bus and train etc Vision 1? Incident Detection & Response Management Effective Resolution of Traffic Problems Traffic Management System Automatic Incident Detection Incident Management Video Detection Fuzzy Logic Main Category: Accident Verify by CCTV Sub Category: Right Lane Closed Response Plan Management ... 1. Set Lane & Speed Control Trigger AND Maincategory=ACCIDENT Subcategory=right laneclosed 2. Set Dynamic Message Signs 3. Dispatch Emergency Vehicles Operator ... The Quiet City (Vision 2)? Vision 3: Paris PT Journey Planner.. EU Riding 2 horses? EU riding two (or more) horses? Supports Vision (i) The Technological Network Relevant to highway network management Good for EU economy (20% of which is transport): •Vehicle manufacture •IT systems •Distribution •Safety Vision 1 Universal On-Board Unit—7FP?? Digital Tachograph Galileo EGNOS/GPS Vehicle Systems Interfaces Emergency Call DSRC Beacons EFC OBTU Driver Information GSM/GPRS Driver Interface Passenger Interface Other Applications Other Communications Data Bus Applications 1.8 (metr.) Las Vegas Helsinki Birmingham Stockhom Turin Tel Aviv Amsterdam Dublin Karlruhe Brussels Munich London Zurich Toronto Tokyo Belo Horizonte Rome 100 Berlin Paris Vision 1 - Status Quo on Adaptive… % junctions with fixed time control (with and without UTC update) 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 EU riding two (or more) horses? Supports Vision (ii) The Quiet City •80% of population EU lives in cities •Environmental and qualitative view of urban living •Quality of life and Health are key issues •Noise and AQ Directives •Green Paper on urban Transport Vision 2: HEAVEN DSS led to ... … site specific solutions for the interaction with existing and new .. .. traffic monitoring and control systems HEAVEN DSS .. A.Q. , noise and meteo monitoring systems and forecast models EU riding two (or more) horses? Supports Vision (iii) The Responsible Citizenry • Only vision capable of providing urban accessibility, reliability and sustainability • Requires multi-lateral action • Recognises all decision-takers • Has elements of Visions (i) and (ii) • But reality of “responsible citizen?” The Responsible Citizen (Vision 3)? REVIEW OF TRANSPORT PHILOSOPHY Accommodation begins… Predict - and - provide Predict and provide Public Transport Excess Traffic will “go away”…? 4 Phases of Transport 1. Accommodation through roadside on-street parking, longer traffic signal cycle times, etc. 2. predict-and-provide 3. predict-and-provide-public-transport 4. predict-and-reduce or predict-and -suppress New phase of contra-congestion transport planning and traffic management excess traffic will not simply “go away…” SETTING NETWORK OBJECTIVES Network Management Objectives (Absence?) Set Sustainable TM/T objectives as Part of Overall Urban Strategy and Transport Plan…. Safety remains paramount Noise and Air Q EU Directives – Other objectives can be complex and competing… Possible Network Management Objectives… • competitive bus speeds, • reduced journey times, • increased cycling and walking for shorter trip lengths, • absence of city centre congestion etc. • reliable and repeatable network performance across all the modes Possible Network Management Objectives… Management Without Objectives? Reactive Paralysis? 5 possible factors for non-intervention… • how to intervene? • would intervention make situation better or worse? • enough forewarning? • no reporting requirement …(traffic = weather)? • No clear management objectives – no incentive / direction for interventions. Traffic will not self-regulate …Pro-active network management needed… The Tools for the Job The right tools for the job? • Primary traffic management tools (cameras and loops) monitor and respond to vehicles • AUTCs commenced in predict-andprovide stage • Prime concern now = movement of people and goods, not vehicles. • Legacy issue: appropriateness of systems? method of use? London Management Approach.. Think about people and goods Better alignment and prioritisation of decisions Be better prepared for the future Co-ordinate future investment Long-term resilience Long term focus & foresight Three-Strand Approach to Sustainable Traffic Management pre-requisite : Set network (traffic) management objectives then Development of Optimal Intervention Strategies: Multi-modal Urban Traffic Management Management Structures and Techniques STRAND 1: Development of Optimal Intervention Strategies APPROACH: Analyse norms (daily, seasonal, incidental …) Analyse behavioural responses Develop suites of interventions (DSS) to achieve optimal network performance (acc to objectives) Two universal problems : Boundary problem highway / urban Evening peak discharge from central area. Development of Multi-Modal TM: Multi-modal detection / control: Public transport modes needs weighted for numbers carried. Short Modes need to be counted… Real Time? Just in Time / Enough Time? Decide type and level of data for effective management?(real time, batch, trend, behavioural, qualitative etc.) Multi-modal? Multi-stakeholder : Context: More competitive and privatised p.trans. So partnership approach between stakeholders Agreeing •overall network management objectives, •expected stakeholder activity and performance, •collaborative actions, • data and systems integration, •co-ordinated interventions and •emergency responses etc. Development of Management … Appropriate management philosophy (Management by Exception, Management by Increment, Management by Objective etc.), Management structures (within agencies, between agencies etc.) for overall network management, incident management, intervention management, data exchange etc. Development of Management … contd. The transparency and accountability to the wider public etc. Audit procedures to identify / prompt management activity in various areas of network management, including human dependency, legacy and contractual constraint, etc. Comparative study of network management in other industry sectors, and identification of transferable techniques and technology Overload management - comparison Many managers deal with peak loading sandwich shops, mobile phone networks, electricity supply, Best interests of customer and business to pro-actively manage by…? extra staff, incentivising the off-peak, queue management, network protection protocols ? What is “overload management strategy” for traffic network? Conclusion – New challenge and opportunity 1. Urban mobility goalposts are / have moved 2. Management approach and supporting systems must move to same place 3. The setting of clear (sustainable) objectives coupled with appropriate management structures, systems and techniques, are the key. New enforcement measures?
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