“Higgs” at high mass Overview of experimental results (~1 fb-1 published, 5 fb-1 under review) theory: (Yellow Report 1, done!) Yellow Report 2 in preparation (differential distributions) What’s next? As seen in previous days, issues are many and still under discussion this is my partial (imprecise?) summary ! S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) Workshop on Implications of LHC results for TeV-scale physics (WG1) Paris, 23 November 2011 Sources CMS AN-2010-35: Angular Analysis of Resonances pp → X → ZZ JHU seminar: Path-Integral Jets by David Krohn (Harvard) § ¤ www.pha.jhu.edu/groups/particle -theory/seminars/talks/F11/talk.khron.pdf First LHC to Terascale Workshop (Sept 2011): LCH at LHC by J.R. Espinoza ☼ Boson Boson scattering analysis by A.Ballestrero (INFN Torino) LHC To Terascale Physics WS 2 ‡ S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) Outline Status: CMS and ATLAS results in a nutshell → what are the limiting factors? Next: move to larger mass improve sensitivity to lower xsec → which experimental and theoretical issues? The final arbiter: VV scattering LHC To Terascale Physics WS 3 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) Current status “high” mass: > 200 GeV (i.e. H→WW, ZZ) LHC To Terascale Physics WS 4 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) From HPC summary talk about Higgs Several channels BR→sensitivity: almost reversed order ! 6 Limiting factors WW→lnqq, ZZ→llqq limited by huge V+jets background, taken from simu/data with large theoretical/statistical error WW→lnln at high mass limited by signal << WW background (Df not effective) ZZ→llnn: • 200-400 GeV limited by non-Z background (top, W+jets, WW) • >400 GeV limited by Z+jets tail at high MET: not large but not well known (controlled with g+jets → statistical error+met uncertainty) drives the UL for mH>350 ZZ→4l limited by statistics (only ZZ background: small and well known) drives the UL for mH 200-300 Future improvements ? Combination of >5 different channels (ele, mu, btag, …) Robust! Very optimized analyses, some space for further improvement. With higher lumi: • use shape analyses (where not yet done) • extract signal with multidimensional fit (now only mZZ fit) • extract background (norm and shape) from data with lower uncertainty LHC To Terascale Physics WS 8 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) What’s next ? higher mass lower xsec LHC To Terascale Physics WS 9 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) 1 TeV masses: not anymore “the” Higgs → General search for X→VV→4f: exotic models (eg, Technicolor, ExtraDimension, …) RS Graviton vs SM Higgs: xsec larger than Higgs at high mass still very low number of events per fb -1 → importance of semileptonic final states § LHC To Terascale Physics WS 10 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) Available results: ZZ CDF search for G→ZZ: same features discussed for high mass Higgs @ LHC ZZ→4l ZZ→llnn MET control V+jets low statistics ZZ→lljj: large V+jets arXiv:1111.3432v1 CDF “bump” Available results: W+2jets ATLAS & D0 xchecks Control of V+jets Example of number of events per fb -1: § • Z+2j ~ 103 ZZ → 4l • Z+2j ~ 102 ZZ → 2l2j ATLAS-CONF-2011-060 CMS PAS EWK-10-011 Control region (eg, Z→jj sidebands) has very low stat for M(lljj)~1 TeV Improving theoretical tool (Blackhat, Madgraph, …) • test them where we have statistics • extrapolation at higher energy/multiplicity LHC To Terascale Physics WS 13 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) High mass: what’s new ? Can we simply keep the same Higgs analysis strategy? Not at very high masses! New experimental issues at very high mass (1 TeV and above) X → boosted VV → jet merging (and nearby leptons) Unknown signal and very small background → no point in pushed optimization! Keep model independent approach as much as possible How to disentangle the various models? • peak → mass and width, xsec and BR •spin! → angular analysis LHC To Terascale Physics WS 14 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) >1 TeV M(ZZ)→4f : jet merging (1) Jet merging: DR qq 1 MZ T z (1 z ) pZ ( z | pq | / | pZ |) approx DR 0.8 (CA) → MX>600 GeV DR 0.5 (Akt) → MX>900 GeV To distinguish wrt to jets from QCD (eg, X→ZZ→2l2j VS Z+jets) jet mass CMS JME-10-013 ttbar → WW→ln (jj) LHC To Terascale Physics WS 15 CMS EXO-11-006 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) Jet merging (2) jet radiation: no singularity, just decay! soft/collinear singularity in QCD number of subjets CMS JME-10-013 ¤ LHC To Terascale Physics WS 16 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) Jet pruning Remove all parts of the jet which are soft and wide angle ¤ QCD jets mass substantially decreased -> lower backgrounds arXiv:0912.0033v1 Boosted objects mass reconstruction improved Typically used for boosted top or boosted H→bb … LHC To Terascale Physics WS 17 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) Example in X→ZZ→2l2j First look at Z boosted (no numbers yet) … preliminary, A.Bonato, R.Covarelli • RS Graviton • MG 1500 GeV • CA 0.8 signal Z+jets before jet pruning before jet pruning after jet pruning after jet pruning LHC To Terascale Physics WS 18 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) Angular analysis (1) X→ZZ→4f decay kinematic fully defined by 5 angles signal (MX 250): Z decays X→ZZ MC from Johns Hopkins 0+ , 0- 1+ , 1- 2+m , 2+L , 2- § LHC To Terascale Physics WS 19 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) CMS PAS -11- 017 Angular analysis (2) Can be clearly used to disentangle different signals… but what about background? Already used in H→ZZ→2l2q: cut on likelihood • signal: ideal × uncorr. accept • Z+jets from MC: no correlations, (background from jj sidebands) To optimize further (multidimensional fit), need full theoretical description of background: qq → ZZ: § gg also available → can be used to disentangle qq-gg!! LHC To Terascale Physics WS 20 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) What’s next ? higher mass lower xsec LHC To Terascale Physics WS 21 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) Improve UL WHY? Models with lower xsec Ex of (light) composite higgs just an example for mH [80,200] ☼ HOW? Factor 10 in luminosity wrt to present results Improve theoretical control of • signal/background interference (YR2) • signal: → NNLO&NNLL effects, precise mass shape prediction • background: → precise prediction ZZ, WW ewk continuum LHC To Terascale Physics WS 22 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) Mass shape From Passarino talk at last LHC to Terascale WS Present approx: • xsec for on-shell Higgs production and decay in zero width approx • acceptance from MC with ad-hoc BW distribution 10-30% uncertainty on xsec for mH 400–600 GeV Study with QFT-consistent Higgs propagator in the YR2 Higgs qT HqT: qT > mH NNLO qT << mH NNLL (resumming ln(mH2/qT2)) Uncertainties: • factor/renorm scale • non perturb. effects • PDF (smearing with NP form factor) LHC To Terascale Physics WS 24 • large mt approximation S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) Reweight to HqT HqT used to reweight full event generators (POWHEG at NLO) H pT mH 500 GeV mH 120 GeV Powheg Powheg reweighted to Hqt (to be redone before PS) HNNLO Hy mH 120 GeV mH 500 GeV Very small effect on acceptance in 4l: 1-2% (larger if jet veto!) LHC To Terascale Physics WS 25 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) Signal: jet counting Analysis in exclusive jet bins • if background depends on Njets (ex, WW+0,1,2 jets) • for VBF → theoretical uncert in jet bins to be combined with correlations different treatments of the uncontrolled higherorder O(α3s) terms varying renormalization and factorization scales in the fixedorder predictions for each exclusive jet cross section σN (results as 100% correlated) i.e., different NNLO expansions inclusive xsec (σ≥Njets), as source of perturbative uncertainties σN = σ≥N − σ≥N+1 with error propagation LHC To Terascale Physics WS 26 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) Signal: jet veto Resummation of jet-veto logarithms ( ln(pcut/mH) ), induced by jet cut parameter p cut Presently doable only on beam thrust variable (~raw approx of p cut) and used to reweight MC@NLO from inclusive to exclusive prediction direct exclusive prediction LHC To Terascale Physics WS 27 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) Signal-background interference Recent results for WW, but focused on low mass ( arXiv:1107.5569v1 ) Effect on gg→H→WW at LO mT < mH non-resonant diagrams can be large for mT > mH also shape effects! Worth to investigate further at high mass? LHC To Terascale Physics WS 28 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) Background: ZZ prediction Single resonant contribution ZZ fully from MC, well under control Interference in the final state with identical leptons qq→ZZ NLO + gg→ZZ LHC To Terascale Physics WS 29 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) qq gg scale S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) PDF+a s 30 gg LHC To Terascale Physics WS ZZ uncertainties qq WW uncertainties WW taken from MC for large mH → gg+qq NLO available (MCFM) PDF+a s and scale uncertainty dominates in jet bins using uncert on s(>=N) + modeling: MC@NLO vs ALPGEN WW from control region for mh<200 GeV (mll, Dfll) LHC To Terascale Physics WS 31 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) VBF and VV scattering VV scattering tell us that something must be there → fundamental to test nature of Higgs boson or to find alternative EWSB mechanism LSB<1TeV SB sector weakly coupled LSB>1TeV Strongly interacting light Higgs SB sector strongly coupled ‡ SM No higgs ‡ Increasing in lumi → look into resonance in VBF measurement of VV scattering spectrum LHC To Terascale Physics WS 32 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) Higgs-like resonance in VBF RE-DO all the analyses in VBF mode (eg, fermiophobic) Today only WW→lnln. Expectations for next year: • lumi > 10 fb-1 • s(vbf) ~ 0.1×s(gg) • 0.5 effic. VBF cuts VBF signal yields in 2012 ~ 0.5 gg signal yields used in present results ZZ→4l will be still limited by statistics WW→lnln will improve S/B (signal/10, WW/a s2) semileptonic final states will have reasonable signal yields + much lower background than inclusive analysis eg, ZZ→lljj : • signal yields for mh300-500 ~ 15 – 5 events • V+(N+1)jets/V+N jets ~ 0.15 → asking 2 jets reduce to 2% the background! • S/B may increase of more than factor 2 (eff 0.5 × s 0.1 / 0.02) LHC To Terascale Physics WS 33 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) Measurement of VV scattering spectrum Increasing of xsec at high VV is suppressed by PDF and for unpolarized V → small difference btw SM and violation of unitarity (no Higgs) SILH W ±W ± scattering ‡ → with proper cut (which increase VLVL scattering contribution, eg Dh jets) can be enhanced → see next talk LHC To Terascale Physics WS 34 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University) Summary Higher mass: theoretical issue: control of V+jets experimentally new strategies needed (eg, jet pruning) Lower xsec: several theoretical uncertainties: • mass shape (should be solved) • exclusive jet counting → PDF+a s If something observed → angular analysis If not, → VBF search, measurement of VV scattering spectrum LHC To Terascale Physics WS 35 S.Bolognesi (Johns Hopkins University)
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