Total Population Projections for Virginia and its Localities, 2020-2040
Total Population Projections for Virginia and its Localities, 2020-2040
Produced by Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service
Note: All projections have error due to future uncertainty. Research shows the
average error for county-level projections is 12% for 10-year projections, 24% for 20year projections, and 36% for 30-year projections. The Cooper Center model
produced mean projection errors below the expected average: 6, 15, and 24 percent
for 10-, 20-, and 30-year projection horizons, respectively, for 2010 projections.
Geography Name
Virginia, Statewide
Accomack County
Albemarle County
Alleghany County
Amelia County
Amherst County
Appomattox County
Arlington County
Augusta County
Bath County
Bedford County
Bland County
Botetourt County
Brunswick County
Buchanan County
Buckingham County
Campbell County
Caroline County
Carroll County
Charles City County
Charlotte County
Chesterfield County
Clarke County
Craig County
Culpeper County
Cumberland County
Dickenson County
Dinwiddie County
Essex County
Fairfax County
Fauquier County
Floyd County
Total Population
2020
2030
8,811,512
33,432
115,642
15,742
13,413
33,353
15,833
206,896
80,655
4,714
77,257
7,001
35,235
17,191
23,383
17,761
57,834
31,400
30,514
7,811
12,523
388,894
15,025
5,523
55,102
10,623
15,600
29,542
11,884
1,182,609
74,118
15,902
9,645,281
33,568
134,196
15,394
13,968
34,386
16,551
201,699
87,580
4,760
86,325
7,212
37,121
17,137
23,263
18,131
60,459
33,447
30,877
8,376
12,427
473,842
15,871
5,884
63,614
11,057
15,375
30,516
12,479
1,271,995
83,312
16,311
1
2040
10,530,228
33,661
154,814
15,121
14,449
35,340
17,191
197,065
94,713
4,816
95,943
7,415
38,885
17,129
23,296
18,419
62,825
35,259
31,187
8,905
12,332
572,693
16,631
6,228
72,835
11,434
15,193
31,276
13,007
1,350,245
93,028
16,645
Total Population Projections for Virginia and its Localities, 2020-2040
Fluvanna County
Franklin County
Frederick County
Giles County
Gloucester County
Goochland County
Grayson County
Greene County
Greensville County
Halifax County
Hanover County
Henrico County
Henry County
Highland County
Isle of Wight County
James City County
King and Queen County
King George County
King William County
Lancaster County
Lee County
Loudoun County
Louisa County
Lunenburg County
Madison County
Mathews County
Mecklenburg County
Middlesex County
Montgomery County
Nelson County
New Kent County
Northampton County
Northumberland County
Nottoway County
Orange County
Page County
Patrick County
Pittsylvania County
Powhatan County
Prince Edward County
Prince George County
Prince William County
2020
29,009
62,412
97,192
17,821
39,681
24,088
15,014
20,397
12,473
35,770
118,135
352,577
54,182
2,282
38,828
86,142
7,219
27,109
17,308
11,736
25,063
397,272
37,092
12,953
14,008
9,284
32,877
11,684
105,293
15,091
21,031
12,133
12,636
16,035
37,648
24,995
18,488
63,751
32,019
24,865
37,751
487,768
2030
31,839
68,461
119,419
18,283
42,520
25,886
14,727
22,082
12,589
35,489
139,000
400,396
55,233
2,281
41,946
109,030
7,466
29,997
18,316
12,166
23,961
482,234
40,338
13,047
14,640
9,680
32,968
12,300
116,278
15,044
23,112
11,996
12,968
16,212
41,207
25,895
18,682
63,720
35,702
25,816
39,447
573,535
2
2040
34,537
74,695
145,938
18,683
45,222
27,505
14,520
23,638
12,672
35,281
162,475
450,630
56,387
2,288
44,922
136,736
7,690
32,734
19,191
12,581
22,951
567,195
43,436
13,144
15,214
10,067
33,037
12,851
127,338
14,976
25,036
11,896
13,281
16,374
44,662
26,716
18,902
63,648
39,343
26,592
40,899
659,301
Total Population Projections for Virginia and its Localities, 2020-2040
Pulaski County
Rappahannock County
Richmond County
Roanoke County
Rockbridge County
Rockingham County
Russell County
Scott County
Shenandoah County
Smyth County
Southampton County
Spotsylvania County
Stafford County
Surry County
Sussex County
Tazewell County
Warren County
Washington County
Westmoreland County
Wise County
Wythe County
York County
Alexandria city
Bedford city
Bristol city
Buena Vista city
Charlottesville city
Chesapeake city
Colonial Heights city
Covington city
Danville city
Emporia city
Fairfax city
Falls Church city
Franklin city
Fredericksburg city
Galax city
Hampton city
Harrisonburg city
Hopewell city
Lexington city
Lynchburg city
2020
35,655
7,649
9,727
98,413
22,887
83,431
29,051
22,985
45,829
32,302
18,684
166,236
178,152
7,408
12,121
45,300
41,856
57,040
18,344
40,841
30,030
75,590
145,116
6,625
18,746
7,149
45,636
253,813
18,620
6,250
42,555
6,490
23,751
13,673
9,261
26,647
7,632
136,417
57,114
23,702
7,613
80,229
2030
36,580
7,882
10,175
104,063
23,223
90,341
29,296
22,821
49,045
32,599
18,568
223,917
244,410
7,759
12,249
45,436
45,818
58,800
19,202
40,357
30,581
86,321
147,706
7,101
19,645
7,655
47,252
285,153
19,855
6,649
43,249
7,075
24,758
14,738
9,983
28,383
8,261
137,838
65,768
24,844
8,225
83,840
3
2040
37,436
8,089
10,587
109,373
23,478
97,249
29,534
22,679
52,104
32,913
18,412
299,632
333,654
8,086
12,386
45,535
49,709
60,402
19,994
39,976
31,035
97,627
149,195
7,559
20,431
8,128
48,545
318,488
20,960
7,036
44,106
7,622
25,543
15,632
10,661
29,917
8,854
139,663
75,015
25,818
8,799
87,137
Total Population Projections for Virginia and its Localities, 2020-2040
Manassas city
Manassas Park city
Martinsville city
Newport News city
Norfolk city
Norton city
Petersburg city
Poquoson city
Portsmouth city
Radford city
Richmond city
Roanoke city
Salem city
Staunton city
Suffolk city
Virginia Beach city
Waynesboro city
Williamsburg city
Winchester city
2020
42,105
16,591
14,217
185,196
252,128
4,201
32,699
13,623
95,717
17,392
206,674
99,287
25,889
24,605
99,126
438,114
22,375
15,510
27,967
2030
46,591
18,436
15,052
189,890
258,323
4,468
33,320
15,167
97,826
18,392
208,665
101,174
27,075
25,574
114,615
430,495
23,575
16,729
29,449
2040
51,005
20,076
15,878
193,838
260,689
4,722
33,939
16,604
99,916
19,318
210,368
102,656
28,116
26,440
132,187
419,103
24,613
17,820
30,781
For further information, please visit www.coopercenter.org/demographics/virginia-populationprojections or contact Qian Cai at [email protected] or (434) 982-5581.
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