CCS - The Urgency and the Opportunity Ron Oxburgh Nottingham CICCS Launch, 8 February, 2008 The Problem World energy demand increasing – Rising world population – Rising per cap use of energy Traditional energy supply becoming uncertain Putin’s – Shortage of affordable oil and gas – Political ‘management’ of supply Tank Environmental security BUT world infrastructure totally dependent on fossil fuel – with us for at least 50 years – Burning fossil fuels changing the climate Le Monde, 4 Nov. 2006 World Energy Use & Emissions Energy Use Building & Other 26% GHG Emissions Industry 21% Transport 17% Electricity 36% Building & Other 15% Electricity 43% Industry 19% Transport 23% CO2, kg/MJ Emissions depend both on fuel and combustion mode 0.35 0.3 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 H d ar l a co O C il IG l oa C C r c. a t G CG C ro e ucle C IG yd N s l a a H G Co as T CS Aspects of the World distribution of Oil, Gas and Coal 140.0 120.0 100.0 80.0 60.0 Energy Exporters OIL Energy Importers COAL GAS 40.0 20.0 0.0 Middle East Russia Africa S. & Cent. America USA China India CCS Carbon capture and storage offers a way of minimising emissions from static combustion plants that generate GHG With current technology means increase in electricity costs ca. 30% May be applied to: – Fossil fuel plants to reduce emissions by 80 – 90% – Non- fossil fuel plant to achieve negative emissions Carbon Capture and Storage Capture COAL COAL MINE Transport CO2 Storage CO2 CCS – the components Capture – Most expensive element; several competing technologies. Currently increases capital cost and reduces power station efficiency Transport – Nearly 40 years of US experience without serious incident Storage – Industry experience of behaviour of high pressure CO2 underground; new storage sites needed. No full size power station in operation that captures and stores its emissions Capture Capture is the largest part of the cost (?50-70% of cost); & largest technical challenge Pre- or Post-combustion? Pre-combustion – several competing technologies primarily of new plant interest Post-combustion Comment – Main application retrofit – vital for legacy power-stations – Currently solvents (amines, chilled ammonia etc) to remove GHGs – Experiments with membranes – – – – Expensive (+30% on plant capex ) Loss of operating efficiency (-10-30%) New more efficient technology needed Large foot print EU Carbon Capture Test facility DONG 380 MW Coal Plant, Esbjerg, Denmark EU Carbon Capture test facility (2) DONG 380 MW Coal Plant, Esbjerg, Denmark Transport Pipelines – 10-20% of cost – Extensive experience in US over 40 years – Few problems encountered – European HSE different and separate ab initio qualification required – Concerns about high pressure CO2 pipelines in urban areas Metal embrittlement around leaks Explosive release of CO2 Drowning in inert gas Storage ?10 – 20% cost; different geology means that different subsurface stores will be used in different places e.g. : Abandoned oil and gas fields Enhanced oil recovery? Abandoned coal mines – co-production of methane? Saline aquifers Questions – Purity of stored gas – Long term integrity Seal security Pre-qualification Monitoring – inert tracers and sniffers – Insurance – Subsurface behaviour of supercritical CO2 Reservoir exploration is very time consuming and must be started now – without it CCS fails Research Piorities Cheaper, more compact and more efficient retrofittable CO2 separation technologies Development of geophysical experience in identifying saline aquifers Identifying storage sites near major CO2 sources – slow and labour intensive Primary energy user (CO2 generator) – sells CO2 @ C price less x+y to: Pipe line network operator CO2 Store manager keeps y and keeps x and – sells CO2 @ C price less y to: sells CO2 @ C price to market Certificated Chain of Custody How will the finances work? The Problem CCS will be an essential part of GHG management for next 50 years Power station emissions the largest single manageable greenhouse gas contribution Urgent that the technology be developed and applied as widely and rapidly as possible But CCS takes time to develop and install Will not happen without an appropriate fiscal regime unrealistic to finance on a wildly fluctuating carbon price Conclusions CCS best option for large-scale storage of CO2 Demonstration projects high priority – learn by doing + R&D to reduce costs A realistic pan-European system needed Mismatch of timescales – in the near term when work must begin ETS, carbon price may not be high enough to make CCS economically viable The infrastructure will not be ready in time without major governmental intervention through regulation and/or incentives Major world-wide market for early movers
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