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ercent from Steady State Response of Inflation to Preference Shock 0.1 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 0 4 8 12 16 20 Pre-1979 24 28 32 36 40 Post-1979 Percent from Steady State Response of Inflation to Technology Shock 0.1 0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 0 4 8 12 16 20 Pre-1979 FIGURE 1 24 28 32 Post-1979 36 40 Percent from Steady State Response of Interest Rate to Policy Shock 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Pre-1979 7 8 9 10 11 12 Post-1979 Percent from Steady State Response of Output to Policy Shock 0.2 0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Pre-1979 FIGURE 2 7 8 9 Post-1979 10 11 12
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz