Journal of International Dispute Settlement, Vol. 1, No. 2 (2010), pp. 447–473 doi:10.1093/jnlids/idq004 Published Advance Access July 13, 2010 International, Mixed, and Private Disputes Arising Under the Kyoto Protocol CHESTER BROWN* In the relatively short time since the Kyoto Protocol’s entry into force, many types of disputes have arisen which have resulted in the commencement of a variety of dispute settlement proceedings. In addition to the international adjudicatory bodies charged with deciding disputes arising under the Kyoto regime, domestic courts and tribunals have also found themselves seized of such litigation. The purpose of this article is to survey the complex terrain of climate change litigation, and review the experience that States and non-State entities have had to date with the settlement of disputes arising under, and out of, the Kyoto Protocol. These include inter-State disputes, mixed disputes and private disputes. We have reasonably good knowledge of the international and mixed disputes that have arisen, but in contrast, comparatively little is known about the number of private disputes that have occurred, although the complexity and novelty of transactions under the Kyoto Protocol’s flexibility mechanisms, combined with fact that such transactions are subject to national regulation and international oversight, means that such disputes are likely to arise. In sum, experience to date indicates that the many methods of settling the range of disputes are being used effectively, and it is important for the future of the climate change regime that this multi-layered approach to dispute settlement is maintained. 1. Introduction The Kyoto Protocol has now been in force for over 5 years. A major innovation of the Kyoto Protocol was the establishment of a complex regime under which States parties can seek to meet their emission reduction obligations either ‘individually or jointly’,1 by approving, and participating in, projects and transactions under the ‘Kyoto flexibility mechanisms’, which consist of ‘joint implementation’ (JI), the ‘clean development mechanism’ (CDM) and ‘international emissions trading’ (IET). These projects and transactions involve not * Associate Professor, Faculty Law, University of Sydney; Barrister (New South Wales); Door tenant, Essex Court Chambers, London. Email: [email protected]. Many thanks to Tim Stephens, Audley Sheppard and Dane Ratliff for their comments on an earlier draft. The views expressed in this article are personal. 1 Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (opened for signature 16 March 1998, entered into force 16 February 2005) (1998) 37 ILM 22, art 3. See, eg Chester Brown, ‘The Kyoto Protocol Enters into Force’ ASIL Insights (February 2005) <http://www.asil.org/insights/2005/03/ insights050301.html> accessed 15 March 2010. ß The Author 2010. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: [email protected] 448 Journal of International Dispute Settlement only States, but also private parties, many of which have emission limitation and reduction obligations of their own, as many States have implemented the Kyoto Protocol in domestic law, such as the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS), which commenced operation on 1 January 2005, and which has been transposed in national legislation.2 In light of this milestone in the operation of the Kyoto Protocol, it is timely to take stock of one aspect of the Protocol, namely the regime for the settlement of disputes arising under the Protocol. In the relatively short time since the Protocol’s entry into force, many types of disputes have arisen which have resulted in the commencement of a variety of dispute settlement proceedings; as Stephens has noted, proceedings related to climate change ‘may be initiated within a multiplicity of courts, tribunals and quasi-judicial bodies that operate on the international plane’.3 This is one of the consequences of the proliferation in international courts and tribunals, including in the environmental field, which took place in the latter part of the 20th century.4 In addition to international adjudicatory bodies charged with deciding disputes arising under the Kyoto regime, domestic courts and tribunals have also found themselves seized of such litigation. The purpose of this article is to survey the complex terrain of climate change litigation, and review the experience that States and non-State entities have had to date with the settlement of disputes arising under, and out of, the Protocol. This article commences by explaining the key provisions of the Framework Convention and the Kyoto Protocol, and noting the obligations on States that 2 Council Directive (EC) 2003/87 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 13 October 2003 establishing a Scheme for Greenhouse Gas Emission Allowance Trading within the Community (‘EU ETS Directive’). For the implementation of the Council Directive (EC) 2003/87 into UK law, see the Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trading Scheme Regulations 2005 (SI 2005/No 925), which revoked and replaced the Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trading Scheme Regulations 2003 (SI 2003/No 3311), and the Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trading Scheme (Amendment) Regulations 2004 (SI 2004/No 3390). These Regulations have been subject to a number of amendments. In addition to the EU ETS Directive, Council Directive (EC) 2004/101 of 13 November 2004 (the ‘Linking Directive’) amends the EU ETS Directive to enable EU Member States to permit operators to use credits obtained through the Kyoto flexibility mechanisms (certified emission reductions and emission reduction units) to comply with their obligations under the EU ETS. The Linking Directive was implemented into UK law by the Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trading Scheme (Amendment) and National Emissions Inventory Regulations 2005 (SI 2005/No 2903). On the UK legislation, see especially Tim Stephens, ‘The United Kingdom’s Carbon Emissions Reduction Legislation’ (2007) 24 EPLJ 249. Cf the fate of the Australian draft emissions trading legislation, the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme Bill 2010 (Cth), which did not successfully pass through the Australian Commonwealth Parliament, and whose reconsideration has now been deferred until at least 2012: Joe Kelly, ‘Kevin Rudd Delays Emissions Trading Scheme until Kyoto Expires in 2012’, The Australian (27 April 2010) <http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/kevin-rudd-delays -emissions-trading-scheme-until-kyoto-expires-in-2012/story-e6frg6xf-1225858894753> accessed 15 March 2010. 3 Tim Stephens, ‘International Courts and Climate Change: ‘‘Progression’’, ‘‘Regression, and ‘‘Administration’’ ’, in Rosemary Lyster (ed), Revelling in the Wilds of Climate Change Law (forthcoming 2010) 2, <http://ssrn.com/abstract=1487866> accessed 15 March 2010. 4 Ibid; see also Tim Stephens, ‘Multiple International Courts and the ‘‘Fragmentation’’ of International Environmental Law’ (2006) 25 Aust YBIL 227; and Chester Brown, ‘The Proliferation of International Courts and Tribunals: Finding Your Way Through the Maze’ (2002) 3 Melbourne J Int’l L 453. Disputes Under the Kyoto Protocol 449 arise under these instruments (Section 2). It then identifies the three categories of disputes that might arise in the course of flexibility mechanism transactions. These can be placed into the following broad categories: (i) international disputes, which comprises disputes between States, disputes between States and supranational organizations, and disputes between States and international organizations; (ii) mixed disputes, which include disputes between States and private entities, disputes between supranational organizations and private entities, and disputes between international organizations and private entities and (iii) private disputes, being disputes involving only private entities (Section 3). The article then considers some of the particular circumstances which have given rise to disputes under the Kyoto Protocol. These include: (i) non-compliance by States parties with their obligations, resulting in activity by the Kyoto Protocol’s Compliance Committee; (ii) disputes between the EU and some of its Member States over the operation of the EU ETS; (iii) disputes between the EU and private entities over the operation of the EU ETS; (iv) disputes between States and private entities, including challenges to the decisions of national authorities; (v) the possibility of claims being brought by investors under bilateral investment treaties (BITs) or multilateral investment treaties (MITs) and (vi) private disputes concerning, for instance, the non-delivery of contracted emissions allowances or other Kyoto units under flexibility transactions (Section 4). This analysis demonstrates that although we have reasonably good knowledge of the international and mixed disputes that have arisen, comparatively little is known about the number of private disputes that have occurred. Inevitably, there is potential for difficulties to arise in transactions under the Kyoto flexibility mechanisms, taking into account the fact that they are subject to national regulation and oversight by an international bodies, and also considering the volatility in the price of EU emissions allowances, and the likely failure of some private entities to meet contractual obligations to deliver Kyoto units. In addition, significant uncertainty attends the future of the Kyoto Protocol regime, given that the ‘First Commitment Period’ for the emissions limitation and reduction obligations will come to an end in 2012, with the post-2012 regime yet to be negotiated.5 In sum, experience to date indicates that the many methods of settling the range of disputes are being used effectively, and it is highly likely that more disputes will arise. 5 On the first ‘commitment period’, and the need to negotiate for subsequent ‘commitment periods’, see Kyoto Protocol, art 3(1), (7) and (9). See especially Tim Stephens, ‘Kyoto is Dead, Long Live Kyoto! A New Era for International Climate Change Law’ (Paper presented at the Australian and New Zealand Society of International Law Conference, 28 30 June 2007) <http://ssrn.com/abstract=1121605> accessed 15 March 2010. 450 Journal of International Dispute Settlement 2. Outline of the Legal Regime Under the Framework Convention and the Kyoto Protocol The Framework Convention was adopted at the UN Conference on Environment and Development at Rio de Janeiro in 1992. The objective, as stated in the Convention, was to achieve the stabilization of greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations in the atmosphere ‘at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system’.6 The Framework Convention recognized that developed States should take the leading role in combating climate change,7 and that the specific needs and special circumstances of developing countries should be given full consideration, especially those that are particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change.8 All States parties to the Framework Convention (of which there are 193, plus the European Union) have certain qualitative duties, including the following: to develop, periodically update and publish national inventories of anthropogenic GHG emissions and removals by ‘sinks’; to have national and regional programmes on measures to mitigate climate change; to develop and transfer technologies to reduce GHG emissions in all relevant sectors; to promote sustainable management; to cooperate and prepare for adapting to the impacts of climate change; and to take climate change considerations into account in the formulation of social, economic and environmental policies.9 In addition, consistent with the principle that developed States should take the leading role in combating climate change, the States listed in ‘Annex I’ of the Framework Convention (being developed country parties, and the parties which are emerging market economies) accepted additional quantitative obligations.10 These were to adopt measures and policies to limit their ‘anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases’ and to protect and enhance their ‘greenhouse gas sinks and reservoirs’, in order to modify longer-term trends in GHG emissions consistent with the objective of the Framework Convention.11 These measures and policies should recognize that ‘the return by the end of the present decade to earlier levels of anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide and other [GHGs] would contribute to such modification’.12 Importantly, the Framework Convention provided that Annex I parties were 6 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (opened for signature 20 June 1992, entered into force 1994) (1992) 31 ILM 848, art 2 (‘Framework Convention’). 7 Ibid art 3(1). 8 Ibid art 3(2). 9 Ibid art 4(1). 10 Ibid Annex I. These are Australia, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Denmark, the European Community, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Monaco, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the Ukraine, the United Kingdom and the United States of America. 11 Framework Convention, art 4(2)(a). 12 Ibid. Disputes Under the Kyoto Protocol 451 permitted to implement such policies and measures ‘jointly’ with other States parties.13 The application of the concept of ‘joint implementation’ in the context of the international response to climate change reflects the fact that ‘[s]ince greenhouse gases remain in the atmosphere for a long time and migrate globally, where emissions are reduced makes little difference to the greenhouse effect’.14 But the Framework Convention did not make any further provision on how joint implementation would operate, although this was a topic of some debate during the drafting process.15 Under Article 4(2)(d) of the Framework Convention, the States parties simply agreed that ‘[t]he Conference of the Parties, at its first session, shall . . . take decisions for criteria regarding joint implementation’.16 Nor did the Framework Convention impose any specific quantitative obligations on States parties to reduce or limit their GHG emissions. At the Third Conference of the Parties (COP-3) in December 1997, the States parties to the Framework Convention adopted the Kyoto Protocol. In so doing, they managed to agree on quantified emission limitation and reduction obligations for the States listed in Annex I of the Framework Convention. Overall, the States parties agreed that Annex I States should reduce their overall GHG emissions by at least 5% below 1990 emission levels in the first Kyoto ‘commitment period’ of 2008–12.17 These States accepted an obligation under Article 3 of the Kyoto Protocol to limit their GHG emissions to the differentiated levels stipulated in Annex B of the Protocol.18 And crucially, Article 3 further provided that the States parties could meet their quantitative emission limitations either ‘individually or jointly’.19 Three methods are elaborated by which States parties can comply with their emission limitations ‘jointly’. These are collectively known as the ‘Kyoto flexibility mechanisms’, and they consist of JI, the CDM and IET. The first of these, JI, is provided for in Article 6 of the Kyoto Protocol. This provision enables Annex I States to engage in projects in other Annex I countries that will lead to emission reductions or the enhancement of emission removals by sinks. Article 6 provides in part that: For the purpose of meeting its commitments under Article 3, any Party included in Annex I may transfer to, or acquire from, any other such Party emission reduction units resulting from projects aimed at reducing anthropogenic emissions by sources or 13 Ibid. Daniel Bodansky, ‘The Framework Convention on Climate Change: A Commentary’ (1993) 18 Yale J Int’l L 451, 520; see also Chester Brown, ‘Facilitating Joint Implementation under the Framework Convention on Climate Change’ (1997) 14 EPLJ 356. 15 See discussion in Bodansky (ibid) 520 3. 16 Framework Convention, art 4(2)(d). 17 Kyoto Protocol, art 3. 18 Ibid annex B. 19 Ibid art 3. 14 452 Journal of International Dispute Settlement enhancing anthropogenic removals by sinks of greenhouse gases in any sector of the economy, provided that: (a) Any such project has the approval of the Parties involved; (b) Any such project provides a reduction in emissions by sources, or an enhancement of removals by sinks, that is additional to any that would otherwise occur.20 Article 6 further provides that a state party cannot acquire emission reduction units (ERUs)—being a valuable commodity which can be traded—if it is not in compliance with its qualitative obligations to have in place a ‘national system’ for the estimation of emissions, and an annual inventory of emissions by sources. Further, the participation by states in joint implementation projects has to be ‘supplemental to domestic actions for the purposes of meeting commitments under Article 3’.21 In addition, Annex I States are permitted to ‘authorise legal entities’ to participate in JI projects. If any such projects lead to emission reductions, this can lead to the generation of ERUs, which can be used towards meeting emission limitation and reduction commitments.22 The second of the flexibility mechanisms, the CDM, is provided for in Article 12 of the Kyoto Protocol: The purpose of the clean development mechanism shall be to assist Parties not included in Annex I in achieving sustainable development and in contributing to the ultimate objective of the Convention, and to assist Parties included in Annex I in achieving compliance with their quantified emission limitation and reduction commitments under Article 3.23 Under the CDM, Annex I States can engage in sustainable development projects in non-Annex I countries, and can earn certified emission reductions (CERs) for emission reductions achieved by such projects. As with ERUs under JI projects, CERs might be accrued through emissions reduction projects. They may also be accrued through projects which enhance the sequestration of GHGs by ‘sinks’; these may be, for instance, afforestation or reforestation projects.24 CERs can be used by Annex I states to contribute to compliance with their quantified limitation and reduction commitments under Article 3.25 Article 12(9) provides that private entities can also participate in CDM projects, and that participation is subject to any guidance provided by a body constituted 20 Ibid art 6(1)(a) (b). Ibid art 6(1)(c) (d), see also arts 5 and 7. Ibid art 6(3). 23 Ibid art 12(2). 24 Decision 17/CP.7, ‘Modalities and procedures for a clean development mechanism as defined in Article 12 of the Kyoto Protocol’, UN Doc No FCCC/CP/2001/13/Add.2 (2001) 20, 21 2, paras 6 7. 25 Kyoto Protocol, art 12(3). 21 22 Disputes Under the Kyoto Protocol 453 under the auspices of the FCCC Secretariat, the ‘CDM Executive Board’.26 This body’s role is to supervise and approve CDM activities, including the certification of emissions reductions achieved by CDM projects.27 The third Kyoto flexibility mechanism is IET. Under this mechanism, Annex I States may trade part of their ‘assigned amounts’, or permitted emission levels, with other Annex I States in order to comply with their emission limitation obligations under Article 3 and Annex B of the Kyoto Protocol. Article 17 provides in part as follows: The Parties included in Annex B may participate in emissions trading for the purposes of fulfilling their commitments under Article 3. Any such trading shall be supplemental to domestic actions for the purpose of meeting quantified emission limitation and reduction commitments under that Article.28 Having set out the legal regime that is established by the Framework Convention and the Kyoto Protocol, this article now turns to a consideration of the categories of disputes that can arise in the implementation of States’ obligations under these instruments. 3. Categories of Disputes Arising Under the Kyoto Protocol A. International Disputes The first category of dispute which might arise under the Framework Convention and the Kyoto Protocol is international disputes, which might emerge between States, concerning, for instance, the interpretation or application of these international agreements.29 Such disputes could arise if one State considers that another State is not in compliance with its obligations under one or both of the treaties. This type of dispute is dealt with at an 26 Ibid art 12(9); Decision 17/CP.7, ‘Modalities and procedures for a clean development mechanism as defined in Article 12 of the Kyoto Protocol’, UN Doc No FCCC/CP/2001/13/Add.2 (2001) 20, 27 30, paras 5 19. 27 Kyoto Protocol, art 12(4). 28 Ibid art 17. 29 On the settlement of inter-State disputes under the Framework Convention and Kyoto Protocol, see Chester Brown, ‘The Settlement of Disputes Arising in Flexibility Mechanism Transactions under the Kyoto Protocol’ (2005) 21 Arb Int’l 361, 371 2; Dane Ratliff, ‘Dispute Settlement in ‘‘Flexible-Mechanism’’ Contracts’, in David Freestone and Charlotte Streck (eds), Legal Aspects of Implementing the Kyoto Protocol Mechanisms: Making Kyoto Work (OUP, Oxford 2005) 372, 374 8; Patricia Birnie and Alan Boyle, International Law and the Environment (2nd edn OUP, Oxford 2002) 529 31; Markus Ehrmann, ‘Procedures of Compliance Control in International Environmental Agreements’ (2002) 13 Colo J Int’l Envtl L & Pol’y 377, 415 30; René Lefeber, ‘From the Hague to Bonn to Marrakesh and Beyond: A Negotiating History of the Compliance Regime under the Kyoto Protocol’ (2001) 14 Hague YB Int’l L 25; Catherine Redgwell, ‘Non-Compliance Procedures and the Climate Change Convention’, in W Bradnee Chambers (ed), Inter-linkages: The Kyoto Protocol and the International Trade and Investment Regimes (2001) 43; Peggy Rodgers Kalas and Alexia Herwig, ‘Dispute Resolution under the Kyoto Protocol’ (2000) 27 Ecology LQ 53. On the settlement of international environmental disputes more generally, see especially Tim Stephens, International Courts and Environmental Protection (CUP, Cambridge 2009); and Cesare Romano, The Peaceful Settlement of International Environmental Disputes: A Pragmatic Approach (The Hague, Kluwer 2000). 454 Journal of International Dispute Settlement intergovernmental level under Article 14 of the Framework Convention.30 This provision stipulates that States are to settle disputes by negotiation or other peaceful means of their own choice.31 It further provides that parties can declare that they consent to submit the dispute to the International Court of Justice (ICJ) or to international arbitration,32 although only the Solomon Islands and Cuba have deposited such a declaration.33 If the dispute has not been settled by negotiation after 12 months, and if the parties have not agreed to submit their dispute to the ICJ or to international arbitration, either party may request the constitution of a conciliation commission. However, the conciliation commission does not have the power to render a binding award, but can only make recommendations, ‘which the parties shall consider in good faith’.34 Article 19 of the Kyoto Protocol provides that Article 14 of the Framework Convention applies mutatis mutandis.35 In addition to these traditional inter-State dispute settlement procedures, the parties to the Framework Convention have negotiated a ‘non-compliance procedure’ to the Kyoto Protocol,36 the aim of which is ‘to facilitate, promote and enforce compliance with the commitments under the Protocol’.37 The Compliance Committee was the last of the bodies to be established under the Kyoto Protocol; it held its first meeting in Bonn in 2006,38 and its Rules of Procedure were adopted by the Meeting of the Parties in 2006.39 The Compliance Committee is made up of two branches: the facilitative branch, and the enforcement branch. The function of the facilitative branch is to offer advice and assistance to parties in order to promote compliance,40 and the enforcement branch has the responsibility to determine consequences for States 30 Framework Convention, art 14; for disputes concerning the interpretation or application of the Kyoto Protocol, see Kyoto Protocol, art 19, which simply refers to art 14 of the Framework Convention. 31 Framework Convention, art 14(1). 32 Ibid art 14(2). 33 The Solomon Islands has recognised international arbitration as compulsory under art 14(2) of the Framework Convention, and Cuba has declared that disputes shall be settled ‘through negotiations through the diplomatic channel’: UNFCCC, ‘Status of Ratification’ (19 October 2009) <http://www.unfccc.de>. 34 Framework Convention, arts 14(5) (6). 35 Kyoto Protocol, art 19. 36 Decision 24/CP.7, ‘Procedures and Mechanisms relating to Compliance under the Kyoto Protocol’, UN Doc No FCCC/CP/2001/13/Add.3 (2001) 64; and Decision 27/CMP.1, ‘Procedures and Mechanisms relating to Compliance under the Kyoto Protocol’, UN Doc No FCCC/KP/CMP/2005/8/Add.3. See also Lefeber (n 29); and Redgwell (n 29). For more on non-compliance procedures, see Catherine Redgwell, ‘Environmental Non-Compliance Procedures and International Law’ (2000) 31 Netherlands Yearbook of International Law 35; Martti Koskenniemi, ‘Breach of Treaty or Non-Compliance? Reflections on the Enforcement of the Montreal Protocol’ (1992) 3 Yb Int’l Env L 123. 37 Decision 27/CMP.1, ‘Procedures and Mechanisms relating to Compliance under the Kyoto Protocol’, UN Doc No FCCC/KP/CMP/2005/8/Add.3, Annex. 38 Ibid 92 para 4. 39 Rules of Procedure of the Compliance Committee of the Kyoto Protocol <http://unfccc.int/files/kyoto _protocol/compliance/background/application/pdf/rules_of_procedure_of_the_compliance_committee_of_the_kp .pdf> accessed 15 March 2010. 40 Decision 27/CMP.1, ‘Procedures and Mechanisms relating to Compliance under the Kyoto Protocol’, UN Doc No FCCC/KP/CMP/2005/8/Add.3, Annex, Part IV, para 4. Disputes Under the Kyoto Protocol 455 parties that do not meet their obligations under the Kyoto Protocol.41 The two branches of the Compliance Committee consider ‘questions of implementation’; these can be raised by ‘expert review teams’ under Article 8 of the Kyoto Protocol; by any State party to the Kyoto Protocol with respect to itself; or by any State party concerning another State party’s compliance with its obligations.42 The enforcement branch has the power to decide on sanctions in the case of States parties which are not in compliance with their obligations; such sanctions may include a declaration of non-compliance; suspension of that State party’s eligibility to participate in the flexibility mechanisms; and penalties may also be applied to that State party’s future ‘assigned amount’ for future commitment periods, meaning that it will be required to make additional emissions reductions in the future.43 Another form of international dispute—albeit not one between two States, but between States and a supranational entity, the European Commission—has arisen in the context of the EU ETS. This form of dispute concerns the implementation of the EU ETS by Member States of the EU, and the Commission’s oversight of the actions taken by those Member States. Several such disputes have arisen since the EU ETS commenced operation on 1 January 2005; analysis of these cases is provided in Section 3 of this article. A further type of international dispute might arise between a State and one of the Kyoto Protocol’s bodies, such as the body established to supervise projects undertaken under the CDM (the CDM Executive Board) or the body created to monitor JI projects (the JI Supervisory Committee). These bodies both work under the guidance of, and are accountable to, the Conference of the Parties to the Framework Convention (COP), which also serves as the Meeting of the Parties to the Kyoto Protocol (MOP) (which are together referred to as the COP/MOP, or CMP).44 B. Mixed Disputes The second category of dispute concerns those between States and private entities, international organizations and private entities, and supranational organizations and private entities; such disputes can be referred to as ‘mixed disputes’.45 There are a number of instances in which mixed disputes have already arisen, and in which they might potentially arise. 41 Ibid Part V, para 4; see also ‘An Introduction to the Kyoto Protocol Compliance Mechanism’ <http://unfccc.int/kyoto_protocol/compliance/introduction/items/3024.php> accessed 15 March 2010. 42 Decision 27/CMP.1, ‘Procedures and Mechanisms relating to Compliance under the Kyoto Protocol’, UN Doc No FCCC/KP/CMP/2005/8/Add.3, Annex, Part VI, para 1. 43 Ibid Part XV, paras 1, 4 and 5. 44 See, eg ‘Modalities and Procedures of the CDM: Role of the Executive Board’, Decision 17/CP.7, Annex, Part C, para 5. 45 For use of this phrase, see, eg Stephen Toope, Mixed International Arbitration: Studies in Arbitration between States and Private Persons (Grotius Publications, Cambridge 1990). 456 Journal of International Dispute Settlement First, if a national authority were to claim that ‘Kyoto units’—whether they be certified emissions reductions (CERs) gained in CDM projects, emissions reduction units (ERUs) gained in JI projects, or emissions trading allowances— were subject to a form of particular treatment under taxation or insolvency legislation, or were to be treated in a certain way for the purposes of national accounting standards, this may be disputed by private entities holding such units, and subjected to legal challenges in domestic courts. Relatedly, disputes might also arise where the relevant national authority of a State party makes a decision concerning, for instance, the allocation of emission allowances which is disputed by the affected private entities. Second, mixed disputes might also arise between private entities and a relevant international or supranational regulatory authority, such as the CDM Executive Board, the JI Supervisory Committee and the relevant organs of the European Union which administer the EU ETS, where those bodies make decisions adverse to the interests of private entities participating in, for instance, a flexibility mechanism transaction; several instances of this type of mixed dispute have also already arisen. A third example of a mixed dispute would be provided by a situation where measures taken by a State are alleged to be in violation of its obligations under a BIT or MIT, which gives the private entity as an investor the right to bring a claim directly against the host State. Such international investment treaties usually confer the right on ‘investors’, having the nationality of one State party to the treaty, to bring a claim in international arbitration against the other State party to the treaty, where that State party is the host State of an ‘investment’, and where it has interfered with that investment in violation of its obligations under the treaty. Finally, as a fourth example, mixed disputes may also arise where a State is a party to a transaction with a private party under one of the flexibility mechanisms. A private entity may contract with a State or State agency for the purposes of carrying out a JI or CDM project if, for example, the project is an afforestation or reforestation project under the CDM,46 and the land is State-owned. In such cases, disputes may potentially arise over title to any CERs generated by the project, if this is not made clear in the contractual agreement between the parties. C. Private Disputes The third category of dispute concerns disputes between private parties. This type of dispute might arise in the course of flexibility mechanism transactions if one party considers that the other party is in breach of its obligations. While these obligations will usually be contractual—ie obligations arising under an 46 See, eg Decision 17/CP.7, ‘Modalities and Procedures for a Clean Development Mechanism as Defined in Article 12 of the Kyoto Protocol’, UN Doc No FCCC/CP/2001/13/Add.2 (2001) paras 7 11. Disputes Under the Kyoto Protocol 457 Emissions Reduction Purchase Agreement (ERPA), or a contract for the sale and purchase of emissions allowances—they may also encompass other obligations in tort or in equity, depending on the facts and circumstances of the case. The non-performance by a party of its obligations in a flexibility mechanism transaction might, in the case of a CDM or JI project, result in the failure of the project to realize the anticipated emissions reductions; or in the case of an emissions trading contract, the non-delivery of emissions allowances. The non-delivery of emissions allowances may also result from acts or omissions by the international bodies established under the Kyoto Protocol, namely the CDM Executive Board and the Joint Implementation Supervisory Committee. The non-delivery of emissions allowances may also result from the fact that participants in a chain of back-to-back transactions for the sale and purchase of Kyoto units have used different model contracts.47 There are three model contracts which are available for use in EU ETS transactions, being those prepared by the International Emissions Trading Association (IETA), the European Federation of Energy Traders (EFET) and the International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA).48 Each of these model contracts originally differed in a number of respects (although many of the inconsistencies have now been removed in a harmonization exercise in 2005 and 2006). The non-delivery of Kyoto units might, in turn, have the effect that the intended purchaser of the emissions allowances is unable to meets its obligations under the its country’s national implementation of the Kyoto Protocol, which might include, in the case of the EU ETS, the obligation to surrender sufficient emissions allowances equivalent to the total emissions from the operator’s installation on 30 April of each year.49 Disputes arising in the context of such transactions and projects would most likely be referred to international commercial arbitration in accordance with the parties’ agreement, as set out in the relevant ERPA, or contract used for the sale and purchase of Kyoto units. For instance, IETA’s ‘CDM Emissions Reduction Purchase Agreement’ provides in clause 15.11 that any disputes are to be resolved by international arbitration in accordance with the Permanent Court of Arbitration’s (PCA’s) Optional Rules for Arbitration of Disputes Relating to Natural Resources and/or the Environment;50 likewise, the IETA 47 For a discussion of the problems which could be occasioned by the inconsistencies, see especially Brown (n 1) 381 4. 48 See, eg IETA’s ‘Emissions Trading Master Agreement for the EU Scheme’, as well as the IETA ‘Emissions Allowances Single Trade Agreement for the EU Scheme’ (<http://www.ieta.org>); the EFET’s ‘Allowances Appendix’ to the EFET ‘General Agreement concerning the Delivery and Acceptance of Electricity’ (Version 2.1(a), 2007) <http://www.efet.org>; and the ‘Confirmation of OTC Physically Settled EU Emissions Allowance Transaction’, which is intended to be used in conjunction with one of the ISDA Master Agreements <http://www.isda.org> accessed 15 March 2010. 49 Council Directive (EC) 2003/87 art 12(3). 50 IETA’s CDM Emissions Reduction Purchase Agreement (Version 2.0, 2004), cl 15.11 <http://www.ieta .org> accessed 15 March 2010. 458 Journal of International Dispute Settlement ‘Emissions Allowances Single Trade Agreement for the EU Scheme’ also provides parties with the option of selecting international arbitration as the means of settling disputes, and the arbitration clause recommends the use of the same PCA Arbitration Rules.51 4. Experience of Disputes Under the Kyoto Protocol The following discussion considers the extensive experience which has already been gained in the settlement of disputes arising under the Kyoto Protocol, and the implementation of the Protocol’s obligations in domestic law. A. Inter-State Disputes and the Kyoto Protocol’s Non-Compliance Procedure In the category of international disputes, it does not appear that any States have yet sought to invoke the dispute settlement provisions under Article 14 of the Framework Convention, or Article 19 of the Kyoto Protocol, although it has been speculated that inter-State claims could be presented.52 In contrast, however, the Kyoto Protocol’s Compliance Committee has been reasonably active.53 First, the Facilitative Branch received a submission from South Africa, as Chair of the G-77, and China, on behalf of the G-77 and China, titled ‘Compliance with Article 3(1) of the Kyoto Protocol’ on 26 May 2006, in which South Africa and China brought to the Facilitative Branch’s attention the failure of a number of Annex I Parties to comply with reporting requirements.54 Ultimately, decisions were adopted by the Facilitative Branch not to proceed against Slovenia and Latvia.55 Second, there have been at least three cases—which are known as ‘questions of implementation’—of which the Compliance Committee’s Enforcement Branch has been seized concerning the alleged non-compliance by States parties with their obligations, and the States involved are Greece, Canada and Croatia. Each of these procedures has been initiated following the report of an expert review team, which considers reports prepared by States parties in accordance with Article 8 of the Kyoto Protocol. The issue in the procedure involving Greece related to Greece’s national system of implementation, which includes ‘the institutional, legal and procedural arrangements for estimating emissions and sinks covered by the Protocol, 51 IETA’s ‘Emissions Allowances Single Trade Agreement for the EU Scheme’, cl 10.1 <http://www.ieta .org>. The PCA’s Optional Rules for Arbitration of Disputes Relating to Natural Resources and/or the Environment can be accessed at <http://www.pca-cpa.org> accessed 15 March 2010. 52 See generally Roda Verheyen, Climate Change Damage and International Law: Prevention Duties and State Responsibility (Martinus Nijhoff, Leiden 2005), in particular 279 332. 53 On the Compliance Committee’s activity, see also Stephens (n 3) 15 18. 54 ‘Compliance with Article 3(1) of the Kyoto Protocol’, CC-2006-1-1/FB (26 May 2006) <http://unfccc .int/kyoto_protocol/compliance/facilitative_branch/items/3786.php> accessed 15 March 2010. 55 ‘Report to the Compliance Committee on the Deliberations in the Facilitative Branch relating to the Submission entitled ‘‘Compliance with Article 3(1) of the Kyoto Protocol’’ ’, CC/3/2006/5 (6 September 2006). Disputes Under the Kyoto Protocol 459 and for reporting and archiving this information’.56 On 16–17 April 2008, the enforcement branch found that Greece was in non-compliance with its obligations; this was ‘the first time that any country has been officially found in non-compliance with any Kyoto Protocol obligation’.57 The Compliance Committee’s enforcement branch made a declaration of non-compliance, required Greece to submit a plan to address its non-compliance, and ruled that Greece was ineligible to take part in the flexibility mechanisms.58 On 13 November 2008, after receiving further reports from Greece, the Compliance Committee reinstated Greece’s eligibility fully to participate in the Kyoto Protocol.59 The issue in the procedure involving Canada concerned ‘a question of implementation in relation to the registry requirements of the Kyoto Protocol’.60 As the Secretariat’s informal information note states, ‘[a] national registry is a computerized system used to track holdings of GHG credits, similar to the computerized accounting system of a bank. Countries with 2012 emissions targets are required to have a registry that meets certain technical standard’.61 However, on 15 June 2008, after a hearing, the Compliance Committee’s enforcement branch decided not to proceed further with the question of implementation with respect to Canada.62 As for the procedure concerning Croatia, there were two issues at play in this procedure: first, a question of implementation relate to Croatia’s ‘assigned amount’, and second, a question relating to its ‘commitment period reserve’.63 As the Secretariat’s informal information note states, the ‘assigned amount of a Party sets its base emission limit for 5-year period of the Protocol, in the form of assigned amount units (a form of tradable emissions credits)’; and its ‘commitment period reserve essentially limits the percentage of credits a Party can sell’.64 The issue in this procedure was whether a decision taken under the 56 ‘Informal Information Note by the Secretariat: The Compliance Procedure with respect to Greece’ (14 November 2008) <http://unfccc.int/files/kyoto_protocol/compliance/application/pdf/informal_info_note_by _the_sec_on_the_compliance_procedure_with_respect_to_greece-rev-2.pdf> accessed 15 March 2010. 57 Ibid para 4. For the report of Greece’s hearing, see Compliance Committee—Enforcement Branch, Third Meeting (4 6 March 2008), Report on the Meeting (18 March 2008) <http://unfccc.int/files/kyoto_protocol/ compliance/enforcement_branch/application/pdf/cc-eb-3-2008-2_report_on_the_3rd_meeting_of_the_eb.pdf>. 58 ‘Informal Information Note by the Secretariat: The Compliance Procedure with respect to Greece’ (14 November 2008) para 6 <http://unfccc.int/files/kyoto_protocol/compliance/application/pdf/informal_info _note_by_the_sec_on_the_compliance_procedure_with_respect_to_greece-rev-2.pdf> accessed 15 March 2010. 59 Ibid para 1. 60 ‘Informal Information Note by the Secretariat: The Compliance Procedure with respect to Canada’ (16 June 2008) <http://unfccc.int/files/kyoto_protocol/compliance/application/pdf/informal_information_note_by _the_ secretariat_on_the_comp_proc_wrt_canada.pdf> accessed 15 March 2010. 61 Ibid para 2. 62 Ibid para 1. For the report of Canada’s hearing, see Compliance Committee—Enforcement Branch, Fifth Meeting (14 15 June 2008), Report on the Meeting (23 June 2008) <http://unfccc.int/files/kyoto_protocol/com pliance/enforcement_branch/application/pdf/cc-eb-5-2008-2_report_on_the_5th_meeting_of_the_eb.pdf> accessed 15 March 2010. 63 ‘Informal Information Note by the Secretariat: The Compliance Procedure with respect to Croatia’ (30 November 2009) para 3 <http://unfccc.int/files/kyoto_protocol/compliance/application/pdf/informal_informa tion_note_by_the_sec-croatia_compliance_procedure-final_decision-rev1.pdf> accessed 15 March 2010. 64 Ibid. 460 Journal of International Dispute Settlement Convention would allow Croatia to issue more credits under the Protocol (which would also increase the commitment period reserve).65 At the enforcement branch’s meeting in November 2009, it made a finding that Croatia was in non-compliance.66 It made made a declaration of non-compliance, required Croatia, to submit a plan to address its non-compliance, and ruled that Croatia was ineligible to take part in the flexibility mechanisms.67 At the time of writing, these sanctions still apply to Croatia. B. Disputes Between the EU and EU Member States A number of mixed disputes have arisen in the context of the implementation of the EU ETS by Member States of the EU, and the Commission’s oversight of the actions taken by those Member States. In 2005, for instance, the United Kingdom applied to the Court of First Instance of the European Communities for annulment of a decision of the Commission relating to the United Kingdom’s National Allocation Plan under the EU ETS.68 The relevant facts were that the United Kingdom had sought to increase its allocation of emission allowances, but the Commission had rejected the United Kingdom’s amendment to its National Allocation Plan. The Court of First Instance ultimately held that the United Kingdom’s application was well founded, and annulled the contested decision.69 At least one other Member State of the EU—namely, Germany—has also sought to challenge a decision taken by the Commission in relation to its implementation of the EU ETS.70 In that case, Germany applied for partial annulment of Commission Decision C(2004) 2525/2 of 7 July 2004, in which the Commission had rejected certain aspects of Germany’s National Allocation Plan concerning the ex-post adjustment of allowances as being incompatible with the Directive. In its judgment of 7 November 2007, the Court of First Instance upheld Germany’s claims for partial annulment.71 65 Ibid. Ibid para 6. For the report of Croatia’s hearing, see Compliance Committee—Enforcement Branch, Seventh Meeting (11–13 October 2009), Report on the Meeting (26 October 2009) <http://unfccc.int/ files/kyoto_protocol/compliance/enforcement_branch/application/pdf/cc-eb-7-2009-2_report_on_the7th_meeting_ of_the_eb.pdf> accessed 15 March 2010. 67 Informal Information Note by the Secretariat: The Compliance Procedure with respect to Croatia’ (30 November 2009) paras 7 8 <http://unfccc.int/files/kyoto_protocol/compliance/application/pdf/informal _information_note_by_the_sec-croatia_compliance_procedure-final_decision-rev1.pdf> accessed 15 March 2010. 68 Case T-178/05 United Kingdom v European Commission (Judgment of 23 November 2005) [2005] All ER (D) 304 (Nov); OJ C22 (28 January 2006) 14. See also Case T-143/05 United Kingdom v Commission, OJ C115 (14 May 2005) 39. 69 Case T-178/05 United Kingdom v European Commission (Judgment of 23 November 2005) [2005] All ER (D) 304 (Nov); OJ C22 (28 January 2006) 14. 70 See, eg Case T-374/04 Germany v Commission, OJ C284 (20 November 2004) 25; Case T-374/04 Germany v Commission, Judgment of the Court of First Instance (7 November 2007); Case T-374/04 Germany v Commission, OJ C315 (22 December 2007) 34. 71 Case T-374/04 Germany v Commission, Judgment of the Court of First Instance (7 November 2007) OJ C315 (22 December 2007) 34. 66 Disputes Under the Kyoto Protocol 461 In addition to these applications which have been made by Member States against the Commission, the Commission has commenced proceedings against various Member States for non-compliance with their obligations under the EU ETS.72 C. Disputes Between the EU and Private Entities In addition to the mixed disputes between the EU and various Member States, there have also been mixed disputes between the EU and private entities. One such dispute, in which the General Court of Justice of the European Union has recently issued its judgment, concerns the application made by Arcelor SA against the European Parliament and the Council of the European Union, in which it claimed that the Emissions Trading Directive 2003/87/EC should be partially annulled.73 More specifically, Arcelor SA requested that the Court declare Articles 4, 6(2)(e), 9, 12(3) and 16(2), (3), and (4) and related provisions of the Directive ‘void to the extent that those provisions . . . appl[ied] to installations for the production of pig iron or steel, including continuous casting, with a capacity exceeding 2.5 tonnes per hour’. In addition, Arcelor SA sought the payment of compensation for damage it had suffered following the adoption of the Directive.74 Arcelor SA’s case rested on its view that the contested provisions ‘infringe[d] its right to property and its freedom to pursue an economic activity, which constitute fundamental rights guaranteed by the Community legal order’.75 It further argued that the contested provisions ‘infringe[d] the principle of equal treatment’, because the competing non-ferrous metal and chemical product sector s were excluded from the scope of the Directive.76 The General Court ultimately rejected Arcelor SA’s arguments as unfounded, observing that the right to property and freedom to pursue an economic activity did not constitute ‘absolute prerogatives’, but had to be ‘viewed in relation to their social function’.77 It also held that Arcelor SA had failed to substantiate ‘how and to what extent . . . it was likely to become a ‘‘net purchase of emissions allowances’’ unable to pass on its costs to its customers’.78 As for the issue of unequal treatment, this argument had previously been made in Arcelor Atlantique et Lorraine and Others, in which the Grand Chamber of the European Court of Justice rendered its judgment on 72 Case C-122/05 Commission v Italy (Judgment of 18 May 2006) OJ C165 (15 July 2006) 10; Case C-107/05 Commission v Finland (Judgment of 12 January 2006) OJ C60 (11 March 2006) 10. 73 Case T-16/04 Arcelor SA v European Parliament and Council of the European Union, Judgment of the General Court (2 March 2010). 74 Ibid para 32. 75 Ibid para 146. 76 Ibid paras 161 2. 77 Ibid para 153. 78 Ibid para 155. 462 Journal of International Dispute Settlement 16 December 2008, while the present case was pending.79 The General Court relied on the Grand Chamber’s judgment in Arcelor Atlantique et Lorraine and Others, and accepted that the steel, chemical and non-ferrous metal sectors were, for the purposes of examining the validity of the Directive, in a comparable position while being treated differently.80 However, the General Court then observed that the principle of equal treatment would not be infringed if the different treatment of the steel sector, on the one hand, and the chemical and non-ferrous sectors, on the other, could be justified.81 Noting that the EU ETS established by the Directive was a ‘novel and complex scheme’, the Court held that ‘the original definition’ of the Directive’s scope, and the ‘step-by-step approach taken’, were within the discretion enjoyed by the Community legislature;82 therefore, this plea of illegality was also rejected.83 Two further arguments advanced by Arcelor SA—being that the Directive infringed the freedom of establishment under Article 43 of the EC Treaty, and that it infringed the principle of legal certainty—were also both rejected by the Court.84 It followed that Arcelor SA had failed to demonstrate that the European Parliament and the Council of the European Union had ‘acted unlawfully or committed a sufficiently serious breach of a rule of law designed to confer rights on the applicant’.85 D. Disputes Between States and Private Entities Mixed disputes have also arisen in circumstances where private entities have launched challenges to the decisions of national authorities concerning the implementation of the EU ETS. This particular form of mixed dispute arose in 2005, when the German Emissions Trading Office faced over 800 complaints concerning the German National Allocation Plan.86 At least one of these complaints ultimately found its way to the Court of First Instance of the European Communities. In EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg v Commission, the claimant argued that the Court of First Instance should annul the 79 Case C-127/07 Arcelor Atlantique et Lorraine and Others [2008] ECR I-9895 (Judgment of 16 December 2008) OJ C44 (21 February 2009) 8. 80 Case T-16/04 Arcelor SA v European Parliament and Council of the European Union, OJ C100 (17 April 2010) 35, Judgment of the General Court (2 March 2010) para 168, citing Arcelor Atlantique et Lorraine and Others, Case C-127/07, [2008] ECR I-9895 (Judgment of 16 December 2008) OJ C44 (21 February 2009) para 38. 81 Case T-16/04 Arcelor SA v European Parliament and Council of the European Union, OJ C100 (17 April 2010) 35, Judgment of the General Court (2 March 2010) para 168, citing Case C-127/07 Arcelor Atlantique et Lorraine and Others, [2008] ECR I-9895 (Judgment of 16 December 2008) OJ C44 (21 February 2009) para 46. 82 Case T-16/04 Arcelor SA v European Parliament and Council of the European Union, Judgment of the General Court (2 March 2010) para 168, citing Case C-127/07 Arcelor Atlantique et Lorraine and Others, [2008] ECR I-9895 (Judgment of 16 December 2008) OJ C44 (21 February 2009) para 61. 83 Case T-16/04 Arcelor SA v European Parliament and Council of the European Union, Judgment of the General Court (2 March 2010) para 169. 84 Ibid paras 176 92, 196 205. 85 Ibid para 206. 86 ‘German Lawsuits Left Small Changes for Success’, Carbon Market Europe (8 April 2005) 4 <http://www .pointcarbon.com/wimages/CME_8_April_2005jspf_1.pdf> accessed 15 March 2010. Disputes Under the Kyoto Protocol 463 Commission’s decision of 7 July 2004, in which it had endorsed Germany’s National Allocation Plan.87 In particular, the claimant considered that elements of the National Allocation Plan amounted to state aid within the meaning of article 87(1) of the EC Treaty. On 30 April 2007, however, the Court of First Instance dismissed the application as being inadmissible.88 In Australia, court proceedings have also been initiated by public interest groups which have sought to ensure, inter alia, that GHG emissions from proposed projects were considered as part of the environmental impact assessment process.89 As Stephens has observed, ‘in several cases in Australian jurisdictions it has been held that GHG implications of development proposals must be addressed under environmental planning legislation’; this is ‘despite the fact that such legislation often makes no reference to climate change and requires only that broad consideration to be given to environmental impacts and values including the objective of sustainable development’.90 The public interest groups’ success in this type of litigation does have its limits, however, as it relates only to the environmental impact assessment process, rather than the merits of the project in question from the perspective of its likely GHG emissions.91 E. Disputes Under BITs and MITs A further type of mixed dispute could arise in a situation where a host State adopts a legislative measure or takes any step that adversely affects an investment of a foreign national who is entitled to the protections of a BIT or MIT. Legislative or regulatory measures that might fall foul of a State’s obligations under a BIT potentially encompass a wide range of sovereign actions, such as the introduction of emissions limitation and reduction obligations in domestic law; the adoption of regulatory measures restricting the use of an investment; the revocation of a necessary licence which is required under national law for an afforestation project or a methane recovery project; the introduction of regulatory measures which amount to an indirect or ‘creeping’ expropriation, or which result in the investment not being accorded one of the other standards of protection contained within the BIT; and of 87 Case T-387/04 EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG v Commission, OJ C6 (8 January 2005) 38. Case T-387/04 EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG v Commission, Order of the Court of First Instance of 30 April 2007, OJ C140 (23 June 2007) 23. For a similar dispute, see Case T-371/05 AIETC—Associazione Italiana Tecnico Economica del Cimento et al v Commission. This case was removed from the list on 24 July 2006: OJ C237 (30 September 2006) 14. 89 Gray v The Minister for Planning, Director-General of the Department of Planning and Centennial Hunter Pty Ltd [2006] NSWLEC 720; on this case, see Anna Rose, ‘Gray v Minister for Planning: The Rising Tide of Climate Change Litigation in Australia’ (2007) 29 Syd LR 725; for similar proceedings, see Greenpeace Australia v Redbank Power Company (1994) 86 LGERA 143; Australian Conservation Foundation v Minister for Planning [2004] VCAT 2029; and Taralga Landscape Guardians v Minister for Planning [2007] NSWLEC 59. See further Stephens (n 3) 4, 6 8. 90 Stephens (n 3) 6 7. 91 Ibid. 88 464 Journal of International Dispute Settlement course more extreme measures, such as those which result in the direct expropriation of a CDM or JI project.92 In general terms, BITs require the host States of ‘investments’ to provide certain protections for ‘investors’; ‘investors’ are usually defined in the BIT as being nationals of the other State party to the BIT. The manner in which the relevant BIT defines ‘investment’ will determine whether an investor’s asset, such as a CDM or JI project, falls within the protection of that treaty. As the definition of ‘investment’ is usually defined in relatively broad terms to include moveable and immovable property, rights in contracts, as well as shares, it is highly likely that an industrial asset, or a commercial interest in a flexibility mechanism project, would qualify for protection under most BITs. In entering into BITs, host States typically agree to treat investors of the nationality of the other State party in accordance with certain standards of protection, and accept certain obligations to accord those standards of treatment.93 These include the obligation to accord fair and equitable treatment,94 the obligation to accord full protection and security,95 the obligation to accord national treatment, being treatment no less favourable than the host State accords to its own investors;96 the obligation to accord most-favoured-nation treatment, being treatment consistent with the most favourable treatment accorded to foreign investors;97 the obligation not to subject the investor’s investment to discriminatory, arbitrary or unreasonable measures,98 and the obligation not to expropriate the investment unless it is done for a public purpose, in a non-discriminatory fashion, and is accompanied by the payment of prompt, adequate and effective compensation.99 In addition to these obligations being contained in BITs and MITs, some of them also exist as obligations under customary international law. For instance, it is generally accepted that states are under an obligation not to expropriate the property of aliens unless it is done for a public purpose, is nondiscriminatory, and is accompanied by the payment of prompt, adequate and effective compensation.100 In addition, the fair and equitable treatment 92 See, eg ‘The Impact of Climate Change Regulation on Bilateral Investment Treaties’ <http://www .mallesons.com/publications/2008/Nov/9695998w.htm> accessed 15 March 2010. 93 On each of these standards of protection, see Campbell McLachlan, Laurence Shore and Matthew Weiniger, International Investment Arbitration: Substantive Principles (OUP, Oxford 2007); and Rudolf Dolzer and Christoph Schreuer, Principles of International Investment Law (OUP, Oxford 2008). 94 Dolzer and Schreuer, ibid 119 49. 95 Ibid 149 53. 96 Ibid 178 86. 97 Ibid 186 91. 98 Ibid 173 8. 99 Ibid 89 118. See also Christoph Schreuer, ‘The Concept of Expropriation under the ECT and other Investment Protection Treaties’ in Clarisse Ribeiro (ed), Investment Arbitration and the Energy Charter Treaty (JurisNet, Huntington 2006) 108, 108: ‘Expropriations, in order to be legal, must be in the public interest, non-discriminatory, must take place under due process of law and against prompt adequate and effective compensation.’ 100 See, eg Ian Brownlie, Principles of Public International Law (7th ed, 2008) 531 6; Malcolm Shaw, International Law (5th edn OUP, Oxford 2003) 737 47. Disputes Under the Kyoto Protocol 465 standard, as well as the full protection and security standard, are related to the customary international law obligation on States to treat aliens in accordance with the ‘international minimum standard’ of treatment.101 Crucially, most BITs permit investors to bring direct claims against the host State for alleged breaches of any of the obligations owed to foreign investors.102 Thus, should a host State adopt any measure that has the effect of depriving the investor of the benefit of a flexibility mechanism transaction, the investor may, if there is a relevant BIT or MIT, bring a claim against the host State, without needing to seek the diplomatic protection of its own government, and often without the need to exhaust local remedies or even the contractually agreed remedies.103 There are also aspects of the Kyoto regime that might be considered as conflicting with certain obligations under most BITs, including, in particular, the national treatment and most-favoured-nation treatment obligations. For instance, under Article 12 of the Kyoto Protocol, CDM projects can only be entered into between developing countries (ie States not included in Annex I of the Framework Convention on Climate Change) and developed countries (ie States included in Annex I). As a practical matter, the States listed in Annex I will only become involved in CDM projects through the participation of a private company having that State’s nationality. As participation is limited to private entities from Annex I States, it is arguable that this regime might lead to claims that potential investors are suffering discriminatory treatment on the basis of their nationality; this would, prima facie, appear to amount to a violation of the obligation existing under most BITs to accord national treatment. Were a claim to be made under a BIT, it is unclear how an arbitral tribunal would respond to an argument by the host State that it should not be held liable for any breach of a investment treaty on the basis that it was acting in accordance with its obligations under the Kyoto Protocol, or the Framework Convention on Climate Change. In general, States that have sought to defend their regulatory actions by relying on rules arising from other international regimes have received relatively short shrift. For instance, in Compañia del Desarrollo de Santa Elena SA v Republic of Costa Rica,104 the claimant sought compensation due to Costa Rica’s expropriation of a property consisting of over 30 km of Pacific coastline, which was home to ‘a dazzling variety of flora 101 On the international minimum standard, see especially the Neer claim, IV RIAA 60 (1926), and discussion in Brownlie (ibid) 524 8; on the relationship between the ‘international minimum standard’ and the obligation to accord ‘fair and equitable treatment’ in accordance with art 1105 of the NAFTA, see, eg Glamis Gold Ltd v United States (Award of 8 June 2009) paras 598 627. 102 Dolzer and Stevens (n 93) 129. 103 See, eg Alan Redfern and Martin Hunter, with Nigel Blackaby and Constantine Partasides, Law and Practice of International Commercial Arbitration (4th edn Sweet and Maxwell, London 2004) 474 7. For a suggestion that some steps to exhaust local remedies should be taken, see Generation Ukraine Inc v Ukraine (ICSID Case No ARB/00/9, Award of 16 September 2003) para 20.30. 104 Compañia del Desarrollo de Santa Elena SA v Republic of Costa Rica (ICSID Case No ARB/96/1, Award of 17 February 2000) 5 ICSID Rep 153. 466 Journal of International Dispute Settlement and fauna, many of which [were] indigenous to the region’.105 Costa Rica’s arguments relating to its efforts to have the relevant coastal area designated as a World Heritage site were dismissed by the Tribunal.106 In its award, the Tribunal held that: ‘While an expropriation or taking for environmental reasons may be classified as a taking for a public purpose, and thus may be legitimate, [this] . . . does not affect the nature of the measure or the compensation to be paid for the taking. . . . The international source of the obligation to protect the environment makes no difference.’107 The difficulty created by the existence of competing norms in public international law is by no means specific to investment treaty arbitration.108 As the Arbitral Tribunal in Southern Bluefin Tuna stated: ‘There is frequently a parallelism of treaties, both in their substantive content and in their provisions for settlement of disputes arising thereunder.’109 It is not necessarily the case that investment treaty tribunals will assume that rules contained in BITs should always prevail over other rules of international law; defences to violations of treaty obligations can be found in the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties,110 as well as the ILC Articles on State Responsibility.111 It would be difficult to imagine, for instance, that an arbitral tribunal would apply a rule in an international investment agreement where to do so would be contrary to a rule of international law having the status of jus cogens, being a norm ‘accepted and recognised by the international community of States as a whole as a norm from which no derogation is permitted’.112 Nor would an investment treaty tribunal ordinarily insist on the performance by a State of obligations arising under an international investment agreement in circumstances where that State was in ‘distress’, or the violation was done out of ‘necessity’.113 So much is clear, but the obligations under the Kyoto Protocol are clearly far from attaining jus cogens status, and it is also difficult to say that failure to comply with the Kyoto rules would place the State in a position where it was entitled to invoke any of the circumstances precluding wrongfulness contained in the ILC’s Articles. Nonetheless, it is possible that an investment treaty tribunal could take the Kyoto rules into account if they were raised as a defence by a host State in an investment treaty dispute. The tribunal may take the view that it can take into 105 Ibid para 15. Ibid paras 35, 46. 107 Ibid para 71. 108 See especially Joost Pauwelyn, Conflict of Norms in Public International Law: How WTO Law Relates to other Rules of International Law (CUP, Cambridge 2003). 109 Southern Bluefin Tuna (Australia and New Zealand v Japan) (Award on Jurisdiction and Admissibility of 4 August 2000) para 52. 110 Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties (opened for signature 23 May 1969, entered into force 27 January 1980) 1155 UNTS 311, arts 46–64 (‘Vienna Convention’). 111 See, eg James Crawford, The International Law Commission’s Articles on State Responsibility: Introduction, Text and Commentaries (CUP, Cambridge 2002) 61, arts 20 27 (‘ILC Articles’). 112 Vienna Convention, art 53. 113 ILC Articles, arts 24 25. 106 Disputes Under the Kyoto Protocol 467 account the host State’s obligations under the Kyoto Protocol when interpreting the (possibly) conflicting obligation under the BIT. Article 31(3)(c) of the Vienna Convention provides that in interpreting treaties, there shall be taken into account, together with the context, ‘any relevant rules of international law applicable in the relations between the parties’.114 This provision lay dormant and ignored in the Vienna Convention for many years,115 but it has recently been invoked before and applied by international courts on a number of occasions.116 In EC—Biotech Products, a WTO Panel held that Article 31(3)(c) of the Vienna Convention required ‘consideration of those rules of international law which are applicable in the relations between all parties to the treaty which is being interpreted’.117 The full potential of this provision as a principle of ‘systemic integration’ in treaty interpretation is probably yet to be seen, and it is available to investment treaty tribunals as a tool to aid the interpretation of BIT provisions, assuming that the States parties to the BIT are both States parties of the Kyoto Protocol. But there are limitations to the possibility of using Article 31(3)(c) as a means of reaching a Kyoto-friendly interpretation of BIT obligations; it is suggested that it would be extremely difficult for an investment treaty tribunal to reconcile directly conflicting obligations under a BIT and the Kyoto Protocol.118 F. Disputes Between Private Entities Arising in Flexibility Mechanism Transactions The private entities which enter into flexibility mechanism transactions under the Kyoto Protocol face the possibility of private disputes arising out of their commercial relationship. Possibly the issue which will arise most frequently in these disputes is a claim by one party that its contractual counterparty has 114 Vienna Convention, art 31(3)(c). Campbell McLachlan, ‘The Principle of Systemic Integration and Article 31(3)(c) of the Vienna Convention’ (2005) 54 ICLQ 279, 279; Philippe Sands, ‘Treaty, Custom and the Cross-Fertilisation of International Law’ (1998) 1 Yale Human Rights Dev L J 85, 95; Philippe Sands, ‘Sustainable Development: Treaty, Custom and the Cross-Fertilisation of International Law’ in Alan Boyle and David Freestone (eds), International Law and Sustainable Development: Past Achievements and Future Challenges (OUP, Oxford 1999) 39, 49 50. 116 See especially Chester Brown, A Common Law of International Adjudication (OUP, Oxford 2007) 49 52; McLachlan (n 115) 295 309; and the Report of the International Law Commission Study Group, ‘Fragmentation of International Law: Difficulties Arising from the Diversification and Expansion of International Law’, UN Doc A/CN.4/L.682 (4 April 2006) paras 433 60. See, eg Iron Rhine Railway (Belgium/Netherlands), Award of 24 May 2005 (PCA) paras 58, 79; Oil Platforms (United States v Iran) (2003) 42 ILM 1334, 1352, para 41 (ICJ); Mamatkulov and Abdurasolovic v Turkey, Judgment of 6 February 2003, paras 98 9 (ECHR); Al-Adsani v United Kingdom, 123 ILR 24, 40 (ECHR, 2001); Fogarty v United Kingdom, 123 ILR 54, 65 (ECHR, 2001); McElhinney v Ireland, 123 ILR 73, 85 (ECHR, 2001); Bankovic v Belgium, 123 ILR 94, 108 (ECHR, 2001); US – Import Prohibition of Certain Shrimp and Shrimp Products, DSR 1998-VII, 2755, 2807, para 158 (WTO Appellate Body); EC – Measures Affecting the Approval and Marketing of Biotech Products, WT/ DS291-293 (WTO Panel). 117 EC—Measures Affecting the Approval and Marketing of Biotech Products, WT/DS291 293, para 7.70 (WTO Panel). 118 See further Stephens (n 29) 334 42; Brown (n 116) 49 52; and Margaret Young, ‘The WTO’s Use of Relevant Rules of International Law: An Analysis of the Biotech Case’ (2007) 56 ICLQ 907. 115 468 Journal of International Dispute Settlement failed to deliver the Kyoto units which had been agreed. And this possibility can arise for a number of reasons, which are examined in the following paragraphs. (i) Non-delivery in the Context of CDM Projects Since the entry into force of the Kyoto Protocol, over 2065 CDM projects have been registered by the CDM Executive Board.119 The rules, modalities and procedures for entering into CDM projects are contained in the Marrakesh Accords, agreed at COP-7.120 Close scrutiny of the different stages in the lifespan of the CDM project cycle reveals several possibilities for disputes to arise. Problems might arise in the ‘preparation’ of the CDM project; and also in the subsequent stages of the ‘validation’ of projects; ‘registration’; ‘monitoring’; ‘verification’; ‘certification’; and the ‘issuing’ of certified emission reductions. Prior to the ‘validation’ and ‘registration’ of a CDM project, the relevant ‘designated operational entity’ must have received ‘written approval of voluntary participation’ in the CDM project from each State party involved.121 No dispute settlement provisions attach to such ‘written approval’, resulting in a ‘legal vacuum in terms of not having a right to recourse any court or tribunal’.122 In other words, it is probable that a contract containing a dispute resolution clause, such as an ERPA, would only be entered into by the project participants after the written approval was received. If one of the State parties withdrew its approval, presumably the other State party could have recourse to the dispute settlement provision in the Kyoto Protocol, Article 19, which provides for the application of the dispute settlement procedures set out in Article 14 of the Framework Convention.123 But these provisions only apply to disputes between States. Further, even though a State can espouse the claim of one of its nationals and exercise diplomatic protection to bring a claim, the State need not choose to do so. If such an event, the lack of any dispute settlement provision could leave private entities involved in such projects exposed.124 Problems might equally arise if there is a substantial delay in a 119 As at the time of writing, the most recently registered CDM project (on 1 March 2010) was the Hubei Shenhe 4MW Hydro Power Project, in China: figures taken from <http://www.unfccc.de> accessed 15 March 2010. 120 See especially Decision 17/CP.7, ‘Modalities and procedures for a clean development mechanism as defined in Article 12 of the Kyoto Protocol’, UN Doc No FCCC/CP/2001/13/Add.2 (2001). 121 Decision 3/CMP.1 (Article 12), ‘Modalities and procedures for a clean development mechanism as defined in Article 12 of the Kyoto Protocol’, UN Doc No FCCC/KP/CMP/2005/8/Add.1 (2005) 6, 15, para 40(a). 122 Ratliff (n 29) 386. 123 Kyoto Protocol, art 19. 124 This discussion presupposes, of course, that the issuing by a state of a Letter of Approval actually gives rise to international obligations. It has been argued that, depending on its terms, the Letter of Approval could be regarded as a unilateral declaration giving rise to international obligations: Ratliff (n 29) 386. It is, admittedly, a more difficult question whether the Letter of Approval creates enforceable rights for the individual project participant. Disputes Under the Kyoto Protocol 469 State issuing its written approval for a CDM project; this might make it difficult for private entities to meet their contractual delivery obligations. Subsequent stages in the CDM project cycle also entail complex procedural requirements. The next step is the ‘validation’ of the CDM project, which is the process of ‘independent evaluation of a project activity by a designated operational entity (‘‘DOE’’) against the requirements of the CDM’.125 These requirements include ensuring that local stakeholders have commented on the proposed project, that an environmental impact assessment has been prepared, that the project would result in GHG emission reductions additional to any that would occur in the absence of the project, and that any methodologies used comply with those approved by the CDM Executive Board.126 After submission of the validation report to the CDM Executive Board for registration, the CDM project needs to be monitored; this task is largely carried out by the project participants, but the relevant DOE has to approve of the monitoring plan.127 Next, during the life of the project, it has to be ‘verified’, meaning that the DOE has to confirm that the reduction in GHG emissions.128 And finally, the project has to be ‘certified’. This is the ‘written assurance’ by the DOE that during the relevant time period, ‘a project activity achieved the reductions in anthropogenic emissions by sources of greenhouse gases as verified’.129 In these subsequent stages, contractual disputes might arise between the project participants, and also between the project participants and the DOE if it does not perform its obligations adequately, or if it comes to a conclusion that the CDM project activity is not meeting the stated objectives of the project design document. If there are any problems in the CDM project cycle—or if a CDM project simply does not yield the number of Kyoto units which had originally been foreseen by the project participants—then a CDM project participant might be unable to meet its contractual obligations, resulting in one or more disputes. (ii) Non-delivery in the Context of JI Projects In the course of a JI project, similar issues can arise. There are two possible procedures for JI projects, known as ‘Track 1’ and ‘Track 2’.130 The ‘Track 1’ procedure applies where the Annex I state hosting the project meets the 125 Decision 3/CMP.1 (art 12), ‘Modalities and procedures for a clean development mechanism as defined in Article 12 of the Kyoto Protocol’, UN Doc No FCCC/KP/CMP/2005/8/Add.1 (2005) 6, 14, para 35. The CDM Executive Board maintains a list of private corporations permitted to act as DOEs in CDM projects. There are currently 26 DOEs: see <http://cdm.unfccc.int/DOE/list> accessed 15 March 2010. 126 Ibid para 37. 127 Ibid paras 53 60. 128 Ibid para 61; see further Hugh Wilkins, ‘What’s New in the CDM?’ (2002) 11 RECIEL 144, 155. 129 Decision 3/CMP.1 (art 12), ‘Modalities and procedures for a clean development mechanism as defined in Article 12 of the Kyoto Protocol’, UN Doc No FCCC/KP/CMP/2005/8/Add.1 (2005) 6, 18 19, paras 61, 63; Wilkins (n 128) 155 6. 130 For an overview of the JI process, see also UNFCCC, ‘Joint Implementation (JI)’, at <http://unfccc .int/kyoto_mechanisms/ji/items/1674.php> accessed 15 March 2010. 470 Journal of International Dispute Settlement eligibility requirements of the Marrakesh Accords.131 In such a case, the Annex I state may apply its own national rules and procedures to select JI projects and issue ERUs.132 At the time of writing, 131 such JI projects have been registered with the JI Supervisory Committee.133 If the host State does not meet the eligibility requirements set out in the JI Guidelines of the Marrakesh Accords, the ‘Track 2’ procedure applies, meaning that the JI Supervisory Committee, established under the Accords, must ‘verify’ the project.134 To date, 16 projects have been registered under Track 2.135 Similar to verification under the CDM, the process of ‘verification’ seeks to determine whether a project and the ensuing reductions of GHG emissions meet the requirements of Article 6 and the guidelines agreed in the Marrakesh Accords.136 Where the ‘Track 1’ procedure is followed, this verification is made by the host State of the JI project, and can proceed to issue the appropriate quantity of ERUs.137 But if the ‘Track 2’ procedures apply, then project participants are required to submit a project design document to an ‘independent entity’, accredited by the JI Supervisory Committee, in order to have their JI project ‘verified’.138 To meet the conditions for verification, the accredited independent entity (AIE) is required to determine whether, inter alia, the project has been approved by the states parties involved (ie, whether both states have provided a Letter of Approval), whether the project meets the test of ‘additionality’, in that the project would result in a reduction of GHG emissions that is additional to what would otherwise take place, and whether an environmental impact assessment has been carried out.139 As is the case in CDM projects, the project participants are to submit a monitoring plan to the accredited independent entity, which then makes a determination of the emission reductions or enhancements of removals by sinks by the JI project. This determination is not final, but a review of the determination can be requested by a state party involved in the JI project, or three members of the JI 131 These requirements are set out in Decision 9/CMP.1, ‘Guidelines for the implementation of Article 6 of the Kyoto Protocol’, UN Doc No FCCC/KP/CMP/2005/8/Add.2 (2005) 2, 6, para 21. 132 Ibid para 23. 133 The most recent Track 1 JI project is the ‘District Heating System Rehabilitation in Rivne Region’, in the Ukraine (JI project UA1000131) (approved 12 February 2010): available at <http://www.unfccc.de> accessed 15 March 2010. 134 Decision 9/CMP.1, ‘Guidelines for the implementation of Article 6 of the Kyoto Protocol’, UN Doc No FCCC/KP/CMP/2005/8/Add.2 (2005) 2, 6, para 24. 135 As at the time of writing, the most recent Track 2 JI project was the ‘CMM utilisation on the Joint Stock Company ‘‘Coal Company Krasnoarmeyskaya Zapadnaya No 1 Mine’, in the Ukraine (JI project UA2000016) (approved 22 February 2008): available at <http://www.unfccc.de> accessed 15 March 2010. 136 Decision 9/CMP.1, ‘Guidelines for the implementation of Article 6 of the Kyoto Protocol’, UN Doc No FCCC/KP/CMP/2005/8/Add.2 (2005) 2, 6, para 30. 137 Ibid para 23. 138 Ibid para 31. At present, any organisations which have the status of a ‘designated operational entity’ for the purposes of CDM projects also qualifies as an ‘accredited independent entity’ for the purpose of JI projects: Decision 10/CMP.1, para 3. There are currently 26 such organisations: see <http://www.unfccc.de>. 139 Decision 9/CMP.1, ‘Guidelines for the implementation of Article 6 of the Kyoto Protocol’, UN Doc No FCCC/KP/CMP/2005/8/Add.2 (2005) 2, 6, para 33. Disputes Under the Kyoto Protocol 471 Supervisory Committee, within 15 days of the receipt of the determination.140 As is the case in CDM projects, disputes might arise at several junctures in the life of a JI project. First, one State might withdraw its approval, leaving the investor—and possibly the other project participant—bereft of a judicial remedy. Second, one of the project participants might allege that the other has not complied with its contractual obligations. Third, the project participants might consider that the accredited independent entity has not performed its functions properly, or disputes might also arise if that body comes to the conclusion that the JI project is not meeting its stated objectives. (iii) Relevance of Force Majeure There are, of course, many other possible situations that might be envisaged where one party is unable to meets its obligations. In some of these cases, it is possible that the party in default will invoke a force majeure provision which is contained in their ERPA (or other contract for the sale and purchase of Kyoto units). Whether these sets of facts would enable the project participants to invoke successfully the defence of force majeure is unclear, and will depend in each instance on the facts and circumstances of the case. But given the likelihood that a force majeure defence will be invoked, it is worth examining this doctrine more closely. In private law, the term ‘force majeure’ is usually used to describe a provision in a contract ‘by which one or both of the parties is excused from performance of the contract, in whole or in part, or is entitled to suspend performance or to claim an extension of time for performance, upon the happening of a specified event or events beyond his control’.141 It is related to the English law doctrine of frustration, which permits parties to avoid compliance with contractual obligations ‘where something occurs after the formation of the contract which renders it physically or commercially impossible to fulfil the contract or transforms the obligation to perform into a radically different obligation from that undertaken at the moment of entry into the contract’.142 However, frustration operates within ‘narrow confines’. One reason for this, as the editors of Chitty on Contracts put it, is that: [P]arties to commercial contracts commonly make provision within their contract for the impact which various possible catastrophic events may have on their contractual obligations. Thus, force majeure clauses . . . are frequently inserted into commercial contracts. The effect of these clauses is to reduce the practical significance of the doctrine of frustration because, where express provision has been made in the contract itself for the event which has actually occurred, then the contract is not 140 Ibid para 39. Hugh Beale and others (eds), Chitty on Contracts (29th edn Sweet and Maxwell, London 2004) vol I, 860 (footnotes omitted). 142 Ibid 1311. 141 472 Journal of International Dispute Settlement frustrated. Therefore the wider the ambit of contractual clauses, the narrower is the practical scope of the doctrine of frustration.143 Most contracts for the sale and purchase of Kyoto units, be they an ERPA under the CDM, or an agreement for the sale and purchase of emissions allowances, such as the model agreements prepared by IETA, EFETand ISDA, contain a force majeure provision.144 Such provisions could come into play in various situations— including those described above—in the course of a flexibility mechanism transaction. However, project participants should note that the force majeure provision is extremely limited in its scope of operation. It is unlikely, for instance, that a party would successfully be able to claim force majeure in respect of the non-registration of a CDM project by the CDM Executive Board; such an event should probably be regarded as something within the control of the party affected by the force majeure. Nevertheless, this doctrine is likely to play a role in the resolution of disputes concerning the non-delivery of Kyoto units. 5. Conclusion This article has reviewed the categories of disputes that have arisen, and which may arise, under, and out of, the Kyoto Protocol. These can broadly be described as being international disputes, mixed disputes and private disputes. In the category of international disputes, it appears that no formal dispute settlement proceedings have been initiated between States parties to the Framework Convention or the Kyoto Protocol, but the Protocol’s Compliance Committee has been seized of three questions of implementation in the short time since it was established in 2006. In contrast, there has been a greater number of mixed disputes, with the implementation of the EU ETS especially giving rise to numerous proceedings before national courts and the Court of Justice of the European Union. Other types of mixed disputes have also arisen, such as applications by public interest litigants seeking orders from national courts that the environmental impact assessment of proposed development projects should take into account their expected GHG emissions. Another form 143 Ibid 1312 (footnotes omitted). See, eg IETA Emission Allowances Single Trade Agreement for the EU Scheme (Version 4.0, 2008), clause 11: ‘ ‘‘Force Majeure’’ means the occurrence of any event or circumstance, beyond the control of the FM Affected Party, that is not a Suspension Event and that could not, after using all reasonable efforts, be overcome and which makes it impossible for the FM Affected Party to either (i) where the Delivering Party, to deliver the Compliance Period Traded Allowances from the Delivering Party’s Account specified in clause 3.3 or (ii) where the Receiving Party, to accept the Compliance Period Traded Allowances into the Receiving Party’s Account specified in clause 3.3, in accordance with the Scheme. The inability of a Party to perform a relevant delivery or acceptance obligation as a result of it having insufficient Compliance Period Traded Allowances in any relevant Account (whether caused by the low or non-allocation of Allowances from a Member State or non-Member State or the failure of that Party to procure sufficient Allowances to meet its delivery obligations) shall not constitute a Force Majeure; provided, however, that this is not an exhaustive list of events which will not constitute a Force Majeure and is provided for the avoidance of doubt only.’ Clause 5 of that same agreement deals with the consequences of a force majeure. For another example, see the IETA Code of CDM Terms (Version 1, 2006), which is to be used for the IETA Emissions Reduction Purchase Agreement (Version 3, 2006), all available at <http://www.ieta.org>. 144 Disputes Under the Kyoto Protocol 473 of mixed dispute could arise if investors decide to launch claims under BITs as a result of States implementing their emissions reduction obligations under the Kyoto Protocol. As for the disputes that have arisen between private entities, comparatively little is known about the number of such disputes. Many disputes arising out of flexibility mechanism transactions are likely to result in a commercial settlement being reached, and, in any event, the majority of the disputes that proceed to formal dispute settlement proceedings will be resolved by international commercial arbitration, rather than by national courts. Bearing in mind the confidentiality that usually attends international arbitration proceedings, it is likely that those disputes will continue to be dealt with away from public scrutiny. There is plainly a lot of activity being undertaken to implement the Kyoto Protocol. Most States are anxious to ensure that they are in compliance with their obligations. Many private entities are entering into flexibility mechanism transactions with great fervour, as they endeavour to comply with their emission reduction and limitation obligations under national law. This activity is reflected in the size of the global carbon market, which was estimated in October 2009 to be worth USD100 billion.145 At the same time, those private entities are making full use of the legal tools available at their disposal to minimize the impact of the Kyoto regime on their business. For the moment, however, the main battleground at the international level remains the negotiating table, rather than the courtroom. As has been mentioned above, the first Kyoto ‘commitment period’ ends in 2012, and the post-2012 regime is yet to be agreed. Work towards a post-2012 framework has been ongoing through the ‘Ad Hoc Working Group on Further Commitments for Annex I Parties under the Kyoto Protocol’ (the ‘AWG-KP’), and the ‘Ad Hoc Working Group on Long-term Cooperative Action under the Convention’ (the ‘AWG-LCA)’.146 There have been a number of roadblocks to progress, one being the failure of States to agree on future commitments at the Copenhagen Meeting. Only time will tell if States will be able to reach agreement on these issues. In the meantime, participants in the process—including both States and non-State entities—should have confidence in the various means available to settle disputes that have been built around, and which support, the Kyoto Protocol. And in designing the post-2012 arrangements, States should take note of the value that the participants recognize in having a multi-layered dispute settlement system; this will, it is hoped, help to ensure the effective functioning of the Kyoto Protocol, its successor, and the markets that have been established under the auspices of the international climate change regime. 145 ‘Carbon Market Trading Hit as UN Suspends Clean-Energy Auditor’, in The Times (London), (13 September 2009) <http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/natural_resources/ article6832259.ece> accessed 15 March 2010. 146 See especially Stephens (n 5) 6; and UNFCCC Secretariat, ‘Notification of UN Climate Talks in Bonn’ (2 March 2010) <http://unfccc.int/files/parties_and_observers/notifications/application/pdf/notification _20100303.pdf> accessed 15 March 2010.
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