Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry STRATEGIC RESEARCH DIVISION (SINGAPORE) July 2016 Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 A member of MUFG, a global financial group Table of Contents 1. Current Situation of the Financing Market ・・・2 (1) Market Trends (page 3) (2) Background (page 4) 2. Industry Structure ・・・5 (1) Major Players (page 6) (2) Business Development and Customer Segmentation (page 7 ~) (3) Characteristics of Business Activities (page 9) (4) Financial Performance of Major Companies (page 10 ~) 3. Future Outlook (1) The Financing Market Outlook (page 14) (2) Competitive Outlook (page 15) (3) Regulatory Outlook (page 16 ~) (4) Future Challenges (page 18) 1 Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 ・・・13 1. Current Situation of the Financing Market 2 Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 1. Current Situation of the Financing Market (1) Market Trends ~ The automobile and motorcycle financing market in Indonesia has been expanding The Indonesian automobile and motorcycle financing has been growing in recent years. Loan balance has grown at a CAGR of 14.2% in the last 5 years, from IDR 104 trillion in 2010 to IDR 201 trillion in 2015. However, the rate of growth has been slowing as vehicle sales have declined. Automobile and Motorcycle Loan Balance (IDR trillion) 250 30% 2010-2015 2008-2013 CAGR:13.7% CAGR:14.2% 201 200 183 170 21.0% 20.3% 150 104 142 25% 20% 20.0% 125 100 15% 13.0% 50 9.7% 10% 8.0% 0 5% 2010 2011 2012 Loan Balance(LHS) (Source) Euromonitor, compiled by BTMU SRD Singapore 3 Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 2013 2014 YoY (RHS) 2015 1. Current Situation of the Financing Market (2) Background ~ Economy-driven demand for automobiles and motorcycles has boosted the financing market Automobile and motorcycle sales have boosted the financing market, but the slowdown in sales has affected the industry. Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Sales <Motorcycles> <Automobiles> (1,000 units) 1,400 60% 1,200 Automobile sales in Indonesia have grown at a CAGR of 13.7% over the last 10 years. However, automobile sales have been declining since 2014 due to higher fuel prices and high interest rates, with sales in 2015 declining by -16.1% YoY. Although motorcycle sales have grown at CAGR of 4.3% in the last 10 years, sales in 2015 declined by -17.6% YoY. 1,000 40% 13.7% About 70% of car buyers and 80% of motorcycle buyers use financing services. 20% 4.3% 800 0% 6,000 0% 600 -20% 4,000 -20% 400 -40% 200 -60% 2,000 -40% 0 -80% 06 07 08 09 10 Automobile Sales (LHS) CAGR (10 years) 11 12 13 14 YoY (RHS) 0 -60% 06 15 07 08 09 10 Motorcycle Sales(LHS) CAGR (10 years) 11 12 13 14 15 YoY(RHS) (Source) CEIC, compiled by BTMU SRD Singapore Population Ratio by Income Bracket (Million) 100% 250 200 80% 150 60% 100 56.2 68.1 78.6 83.5 0 11.0% 26.1% 52.1% 57.6% 40% 20% 50 0% 1990 60 or Over 2000 2010 2014 40s, 50s 20s, 30s Under 20 (Source) Euromonitor, compiled by BTMU SRD Singapore 4 40% 8,000 20% Population Growth by Age Group Indonesia has maintained a GDP growth rate of 5-6% in recent years. Most new buyers are young people in their 20s and 30s as well as the increasing ranks of middle income earners. (1,000 units) 10,000 Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 1990 Affluent 2000 2010 2015 Middle Class Low Income (Source) Euromonitor, compiled by BTMU SRD Singapore 2. Industry Structure 5 Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 2. Industry Structure (1) Major Players ~ The market comprises a large number of commercial banks and non-bank financial institutions Adira Dinamika Multi Finance, Mandiri Tunas Finance, BCA Finance etc. are affiliated with commercial banks. Most captive finance companies are affiliated with Japanese automakers, such as Toyota Astra Financial Services (Toyota), Dipo Star Finance (Mitsubishi Motors), Bussan Auto Finance (Yamaha). Astra Sedaya Finance, Federal International Finance etc. are non-captive finance companies affiliated with local major conglomerates. 6 <Commercial Banks> Company Loan Brand1 Total Assets 2 Automobile (IDR 1 billion) Mitsubishi the end of Toyota Daihatsu Honda Suzuki Nissan Motors 2015 (31.8) (16.6) (15.7) (12.0) (11.1) (5.4) 2 Motorcycle Others Honda Yamaha Suzuki Others (7.4) (68.7) (27.8) (1.7) (1.8) Adira Dinamika Multi Finance Automobile/ Motorcycle 27,744 ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ - Mandiri Tunas Finance Automobile 9,203 ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ - - - - BCA Finance Automobile 6,824 ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ - - - - Clipan Finance Indonesia Automobile 6,647 ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ - - - - Wahana Ottomitra Multiartha Motorcycle 5,306 - - - - - - - ○ ○ ○ - Buana Finance Automobile 3,163 ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ - - - - CIMB Niaga Auto Finance Automobile/ Motorcycle N/A ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ <Non-Bank Financial Institutions> 1 Company Ownership Loan Brand Total Assets 2 Automobile (IDR 1 billion) Mitsubishi the end of Toyota Daihatsu Honda Suzuki Nissan Motors 2015 (31.8) (16.6) (15.7) (12.0) (11.1) (5.4) Motorcycle 2 Others Honda Yamaha Suzuki Others (7.4) (68.7) (27.8) (1.7) (1.8) Toyota Automobile 17,804 ○ - - - - - - - - - - Mitsubishi Motors Automobile N/A ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ - - - - Yamaha Motorcycle N/A - - - - - - - - ○ - - Suzuki Automobile / Motorcycle N/A - - - ○ - - - - - ○ - Astra Sedaya Finance Conglomerate Automobile 30,392 ○ ○ - - - - ○ - - - - Federal International Finance Conglomerate Motorcycle 28,734 - - - - - - - ○ - - - Independent Automobile 11,770 ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ - - - ○ Toyota Astra Financial Services Captive Financing companies can be largely classified into commercial banks (and affiliated companies) and non-bank financial institutions, which can be further divided into captive and independent non-captive finance companies. Major Players Dipo Star Finance Bussan Auto Finance Suzuki Finance Indonesia BFI Finance Indonesia Non-captive There are over 200 finance companies in Indonesia, of which over 100 provide automobile and motorcycle finance services. Mandala Multifinance Indomobil Finance Indonesia Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Finance Summit Oto Finance Oto Multiartha Mitsui Leasing Capital Indonesia Independent Motorcycle 4,595 - - - - - - - ○ ○ ○ Conglomerate Automobile / Motorcycle 4,468 - - - ○ - ○ ○ - - ○ - Independent Automobile / Motorcycle ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ Japanese trading company Japanese trading company Japanese trading company Motorcycle N/A - - - - - - - ○ ○ ○ ○ Automobile N/A ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ - - - - Automobile N/A ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ - - - - N/A (Note 1) ○ indicates that the company provides loans for that brand, while - indicates otherwise. (Note 2) The figures in parentheses below the brand represent the market share (%) of that brand in 2015. (Source) Bloomberg, various websites, compiled by BTMU SRD Singapore Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 2. Industry Structure (2) Business Development and Customer Segmentation (1/2) ~ Commercial banks and captive finance companies mainly target more creditworthy customers Customer Segmentation in Vehicle Finance Industry Captive finance companies mainly target customers who are relatively more creditworthy through affiliated dealers. They also acquire less creditworthy customers as a result of launching promotional campaigns regularly. Non-captive finance companies cannot compete with commercial banks in terms of fund-raising ability and they have weaker connections with dealers as compared to captive finance companies. Thus, they target mainly less creditworthy customers such as low income earners in urban areas and consumers in rural areas. 7 USD 15,000 Lower Middle Class (Automobile and Motorcycle) USD 5,000 Low Low income (Motorcycle) (Source) Various articles, interviews, compiled by BTMU SRD Singapore Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 Non-captive Upper Middle Class Middle Class (Automobile) Automobile Captive USD 35,000 High Non-captive Affluent Household Annual Disposable Income (Automobile) Captive Commercial banks launch products with competitive loan interest rates and terms and run advertising campaigns aggressively to target the affluent class (many of which are automobile buyers), who are more sensitive to the lending terms. Bank-affiliated The customer groups of the financing companies can be classified as follows: Motorcycle 2. Industry Structure (2) Business Development and Customer Segmentation (2/2) ~ Commercial banks and non-bank financial institutions continue to enter the market Recent Developments in Financing Company Activities New Entrant Company Expansion of Existing Business However, although the growth of automobile and motorcycle loans has been sluggish recently, new players continue to enter the financing industry, thus resulting in intense competition among the players. Subsidiary Description Established a new local company and entered the automobile financing market. Started to provide automobile loans which specialize in Nissan brand. Acquired 40% share of an automobile financing company (Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Finance) and entered the automobile financing market. Nissan (automaker) Nissan Financial Services Indonesia JACCS (non-bank) Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Finance Tunas Ridean (local auto dealer) Bank Mandiri (local bank) Mandiri Utama Finance Established a joint venture between Tunas Ridean and Bank Mandiri to enter the automobile financing market. Oct 2014 Sumitomo Corporation (trading company) Hino (automaker) Hino Finance Indonesia Established a new captive finance company mainly offering finance services for Hino trucks and buses with the aim of strengthening customer relations. Dec 2014 J-Trust (non-bank) Group Lease (non-bank) Group Lease Finance Indonesia Established a joint venture company providing automobile, motorcycle and other consumer financing services. Jan 2016 JA Mitsui Leasing (non-bank) Mitsui Leasing Capital Indonesia Expanded its sales networks (up to 3 branches/year) especially in rural areas. Jun 2013 Bank Central Asia (local bank) Central Santosa Finance Acquired stock of a motorcycle financing company (Central Santosa Finance) and expanded its existing business. Jan 2014 Trakido Utama Group Chandra Sakti Utama Leasing Expanded business from heavy equipment financing to include automobile financing due to weakness in the mining industry. Mar 2015 (Source) Company homepages, newspaper articles, etc., compiled by BTMU SRD Singapore 8 Date Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 Nov 2013 Feb 2014 2. Industry Structure (3) Characteristics of Business Activities ~ Provision of incentives to dealers and labour-intensive methods of credit screening/loan collection Financing companies mostly acquire their customers through dealers, and so need to provide incentives to them. Business Operations and Characteristics of Financing Companies Automobile Customer Acquisition M arketing Occupation Incentive to Dealers S creening Application Terms Screening Ordinary salaried employees Yes Yes No Privileges System Various incentives such as overseas travel No Required Documents Salary statement, ID, Utility payment slip, etc. Copy of driver's license Credit Information Data No Yes (CIC: Credit Information Center) Home Visit and Verification Home visit, verification of required documents, interviewing neighbors No Insurance Vehicle Insurance Interest Rate Several hours to 2 days after receiving 1 to 3 days after receiving documents documents Vehicle inspection certificate, letter of proxy authorizing vehicle impoundment (to be kept by financing company) To be obtained via a financing company. Around 10-15% Around 30% Voluntary vehicle insurance 3-8% No Payment Period Average of 3-4 years with equal monthly repayment 3-5 years with monthly repayment Loan Delinquency Management Reminder before Due Date Call Center Basis for Repossession of Collateral Vehicle Impoundment Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 Vehicle inspection certificate to be kept by applicants. Bank: more than 30%, Financing Company: more than 25% Bank transfer, cash, post-dated check Mainly cash Automatic money transfer Via telephone or SMS by person-in-charge Via telephone or SMS by person-in-charge, urging debtors to repay loans through home visit Via telephone, written notice Reminder via telephone or SMS before due Via telephone or SMS by person-in-charge, date reminder through home visit Almost none (contact customers after due date) Used aggressively Used together with home visiting Intensive reminder from a call center 30-50 days overdue 30 days overdue 60-90 days overdue Vehicles that are difficult for the financing company to impound are outsourced to contractors If financing companies have to Around 60-70% of their initial value Around 30-40% of their initial value Sellout Used Car Price seize/sell collateral after an after 3 years after 1 year overdue loan, both automobile Fundraising Mainly bank borrowings (some major players issue corporate bonds) Method and motorcycle financing (Source) Various articles, interviews, compiled by BTMU SRD Singapore companies normally outsource the work to external contractors. 9 Several hours after receiving documents Down Payment Payment Method Seizure No Individuals, middle management or above in Office workers, those working in the service the company industry, farmers, etc. Provision of incentives to individual sales staff Collateral Document Reminder Dealers Urban areas: 60% Rural areas: 40% Interest Kickback Collateral Terms Credit Execution Overwhelming majority in urban areas Automobile / Motorcycle Rewards to Sales Staff Screening Period C ollateral/Credit E xecution The financing companies usually call to remind automobile debtors to repay their loans via bank transfer from a call center. In contrast, motorcycle loan debtors are more likely to make cash payments and are often late in repaying their loans by up to a week, so labour-intensive methods such as home visits are used to remind and collect payment. Customer Profile Japan (Reference) Motorcycle Dealers Channel Regional Characteristics Collection Credit screening is labourintensive as there is no useful credit information agency in Indonesia (e.g. buyer workplace/home visits, interviews with neighbours). Indonesia Type of Business Operation Collected by collection division Around 50-60% of their initial value after 2 years Mainly bank borrowings 2. Industry Structure (4) Financial Performance of Major Companies (1/3) ~ Stable earnings , but operating expenses eat into net margins Major financing companies in Indonesia are starting to experience slower revenue growth. At the same time, net income ratios have come down amidst higher operating expenses due to increased financing and credit costs. However, finance companies are helped by the fact that (1) they have a high lending profit margin and (2) they control credit costs by maintaining a high loan collection rate. The funding rate is about 5% for automobile financing companies and 10-20% for motorcycle financing companies, while the lending rate for automobile financing companies is over 10% and around 30% for motorcycle financing companies. 10 Earnings of Major Financing Companies (IDR Trillion) 60 30% 50 25% 40 20% 30 15% 20 10% 10 5% 0 0% 2009 2010 2011 Revenue 2012 2013 2014 2015 Net Income Ratio (Note) 12 major financing companies’ financials used: Astra Sedaya Finance, Adira Dinamika Multi Finance, Federal International Finance, Toyota Astra Financial Services, BFI Finance, Clipan Finance Indonesia, BCA Finance, Mandiri Tunas Finance, Mandala Multifinance, Wahana Ottomitra Multiartha, Buana Finance. (Source) Various websites, newspaper articles, etc., compiled by BTMU SRD Singapore Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 2. Industry Structure (4) Financial Performance of Major Companies (2/3) ~ Maintaining high loan repayments rates while keep credit costs low The non-performing loan ratio for automobiles and motorcycles is about 1.0%1.5%. This denotes the percentage of bad loans (that are more than 90 days overdue) to total gross loans. In Indonesia, vehicles as collateral are normally impounded and sold when loans are past due by 30-50 days. Thus, the amount of bad loans tends to be equal to the amount of uncollected receivables after selling collateral. This is because (1) prices of used cars decline more slowly than the rate of loan repayment and (2) bad debt losses after disposing of collateral are low. Non-Performing Loan Rates for Personal Loans 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 1/12 7/12 1/13 7/13 Housing Loan 1/14 7/14 1/15 Automobile/Motorcycle loan 7/15 1/16 Other Consumer Loan (Source) Bank Indonesia, compiled by BTMU SRD Singapore Second Hand Prices of Major Car Models Vehicle Price Loan Balance Toyota Avanza 1.3G1.3G Suzuki Swift Honda Jazz Toyota Innova G2.0 250 250 200 225 225 175 200 200 175 175 125 150 150 100 125 125 100 75 100 100 75 75 75 50 50 25 25 200 175 150 50 25 0 New 1 yr 2 yrs 3 yrs 4 yrs 0 New 1 yr 2 yrs 3 yrs 4 yrs 0 150 125 50 25 New 1 yr 2 yrs 3 yrs 4 yrs 0 New 1 yr 2 yrs 3 yrs 4 yrs (Note) Prices are in IDR million. Loans are calculated as such: initial loan amount of 75% (25% downpayment), 5 year period, 15% interest rate. (Source) Various articles, compiled by BTMU SRD Singapore 11 Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 2. Industry Structure (4) Financial Performance of Major Companies (3/3) ~ Rising costs putting pressure on margins The net income ratio of financing companies has declined recently as revenue growth has not been able to keep up with expenses, with increased funding costs cited as one of the main reasons for the increase in costs. Automobile financing companies have higher profitability as their customers are relatively more creditworthy. They also shoulder less cost burdens (e.g. labour costs associated with credit screening/loan collection and allowance for bad loans). The profitability of motorcycle financing companies is lower as (1) their main customers are less creditworthy and are more prone to bad loans, (2) motorcycle financing companies incur large labour costs for credit screening/loan collection. 12 Earnings of Financing Companies by Vehicle Loan Type 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Net Income Ratio for 7 Automobile Financing Companies Net Income Ratio for 3 Motorcycle Financing Companies (Note) 7 automobile financing companies’ financials used: Astra Sedaya Finance, Toyota Astra Financial Services, BFI Finance、Clipan Finance Indonesia, BCA Finance, Mandiri Tunas Finance, Buana Finance. 3 motorcycle financing companies’ financials used: Federal International Finance, Mandala Multifinance, Wahana Ottomitra Multiartha. (Source) Bloomberg, compiled by BTMU SRD Singapore Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 3. Future Outlook 13 Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 3. Future Outlook (1) The Financing Market Outlook ~ The financing market is expected to grow slowly with the increasing demand for automobiles and motorcycles Automobile demand slowed down in 2015 due to rising gasoline prices and high policy interest rates. However, sales are expected to recover in 2016 as major automakers launch new models in popular automobile segments. Similarly, motorcycle demand declined in 2015 due to higher fuel prices and low consumer sentiment. Recovery is expected from 2017, driven by economic improvement and traffic congestion in urban areas. However, growth will be gradual as the market is saturated with a motorcycle ownership rate of 3.3 people/unit. Forecasts of Vehicle Sales and Major Economic Indicators Year 14 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 CAGR (2015→2018) 1,116 1,229 1,208 1,013 1,049 1,106 1,178 5.1% 24.8 10.2 -1.8 -16.2 3.5 5.4 6.5 - 1,000 units 7,064 7,744 7,867 6,480 6,474 6,700 6,901 2.1% % -11.8 9.6 1.6 -17.6 -0.1 3.5 3.0 - ③ Real GDP Growth Rate ④ GDP per Capita % 6.0 5.6 5.0 4.8 5.0 5.3 5.5 - ⑤ Population Million ① Automobile Sales (YoY) 1,000 units ② Motorcycle Sales (YoY) % USD 3,745 3,676 3,532 3,362 3,620 3,906 4,179 7.5% 245 249 252 255 259 262 266 1.3% (Note) The figures from 2016 onwards are estimates. (Source) IMF, CEIC, compiled by BTMU SRD Singapore Forecast of Vehicle Loans (IDR Trillion) 20% 400 334 303 15% 275 300 248 200 As such, given that automobile and motorcycle loan balance generally correlate with automobile and motorcycle sales trends, it is expected that the automobile and motorcycle financing market will grow at a faster rate than it did in 2015. 2012 183 201 224 10% 5% 100 0% 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 Automobile/Motorcycle Loan (LHS) (Note) The figures from 2016 onwards are estimates. (Source) Euromonitor, compiled by BTMU SRD Singapore Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 2018 2019 YoY (RHS) 2020 3. Future Outlook (2) Competitive Outlook ~ Competition for customers will intensify, leading to wider earning gaps among companies Going forward, while the financing market is expected to keep growing, new entrants will intensify competition and the earning gaps among companies will widen according to their customers’ creditworthiness. Commercial banks are likely to offer loans with favourable lending terms (e.g. better interest rates) as they benefit from cheaper fundraising costs and are able to acquire highly creditworthy customers, especially in urban areas. Their credit costs are expected to remain low and they will report solid earnings. Captive finance companies are likely to report solid earnings as they will be able to continue to take advantage of their cooperation with affiliated dealers to acquire a steady stream of relatively highly creditworthy customers. Meanwhile, the earnings of non-captive finance companies are likely to polarize, due to gaps in customers’ creditworthiness based on their capital structure. Non-captive finance companies managed by local conglomerates and Japanese trading companies are expected to report solid earnings by acquiring relatively highly creditworthy customers through their affiliated dealers(note). However, the intensifying competition will make it more difficult for independent companies to acquire highly creditworthy customers, and the profitability of these companies will decline due to the increase in credit costs and incentive rewards to dealers. (Note) Major automobile and motorcycle manufacturers established joint ventures with local conglomerates and Japanese trading companies to develop their financing businesses. 15 Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 3. Future Outlook (3) Regulatory Outlook (1/2) ~ New Financial Services Authority to regulate and supervise the financial sector The Indonesian government established the Financial Services Authority (Otoritas Jasa Keuangan or OJK) in January 2014 for the purpose of strengthening regulation and supervision in the financial sector. Traditionally, the Central Bank (Bank Indonesia or BI) supervised banks, while the Capital Market Supervisory Agency (BAPEPAM-LK) supervised all financial agencies except banks (stock exchanges, securities firms and insurance companies, etc.). However, the supervisory system did not work properly, as there were inconsistencies between BI and BAPEPAM-LK regarding their regulatory framework, with some financial agencies not controlled by either BI or BAPEPAM-LK. Hence, OJK was established and appointed to supervise most of the financial agencies, whereas BI focuses mainly on financial policy. 16 Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 3. Future Outlook (3) Regulatory Outlook (2/2) ~ More stringent financial regulations may reduce the number of small to medium-sized companies Since the establishment of the new system, OJK and BI are considering implementing new regulations on non-bank financial companies in order to stabilize the financial system. In particular, the criteria for loan assets and allowance for bad loans in ③ are expected to be stringent. Thus, there is a concern that this may cause the profitability of some companies to fall. Also, as per ④, local companies with debt in foreign currency such as JPY and USD may be affected as changes in fund raising methods could lead to higher interest rates. The implementation date of the new regulations has not yet been specified. If implemented, companies with a weak capital base will see their competitiveness weaken as they have to incur increased costs to develop their organization/system. Hence, they might be forced to partner with large companies or fold. 17 New Regulations Major Categories1 ① Complying with capital requirements Strengthening the ② functions on corporate governance Strengthening the risk ③ management system of loan assets Description ■ Current regulations state that the minimum capital for companies is IDR 100 billion with a maximum foreign ownership of 85%. However, OJK will encourage companies to fully comply with the capital requirements as numerous non-bank financial institutions do not meet this capital requirement. ■ There will be more stringent regulations on corporate governance such as requirements, responsibilities and work execution processes for shareholders, board members and auditors in order to increase the transparency and health of financing companies. ■ Companies will have to maintain their financial health indicators such as capital-to-asset ratio, gearing ratio2 and non-performing loan ratio3 at a certain level in order to stay in business. ■ Companies which have foreign-currency-denominated loans will have to comply with regulations on hedging ratio, liquidity ratio and acquiring an external credit rating (implemented in January 2015). Strengthening regulations ■ More specifically, the minimum hedging ratio should be 20% (25% from 2016 onwards) for ④ on foreign-currencyforeign currency offshore debt, while the minimum liquidity ratio should be 50% (70% from denominated loans 2016 onwards). In addition, companies will be required to have a credit rating of at least BB from an external credit rating agency. (Note 1) It is expected that ① to ③ will be implemented by OJK, while ④ will be introduced (reviewed) by BI. (Note 2) Gearing ratio is a financial ratio that compares some form of borrowed funds to the equity capital (including subordinated debt). (Note 3) Non-performing loan ratio refers to the percentage of loans that are more than 90 days overdue to total gross loans. (Source) Bank Indonesia, newspaper articles, etc., compiled by BTMU SRD Singapore Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 3. Future Outlook (4) Future Challenges ~ Maintaining and expanding profitability is a major challenge for financing companies As competition is expected to intensify going forward, financing companies have to increase their loan balance and maintain/increase their profitability by reducing their credit costs. ① Strengthening the marketing capabilities Financing companies have to continue to strengthen their alliance with dealers in order to maintain their competitive advantage in customer acquisition. It is important for them to attract dealers further by improving their loan serviceability and enhancing their marketing capabilities. ② Strengthening their credit control system Strengthening their credit control system is crucial for financing companies to maintain/expand their profitability by reducing credit costs. In addition to the complying with more stringent loan screening standards, financing companies will need to establish an effective loan screening process such as developing a credit scoring model (an automated credit scoring system) based on customers’ attributes which can be adjusted according to employment/income environment. Early loan collection (successfully reminding debtors who are late in repaying their loans by up to a week) is crucial for preventing bad loans. Financing companies will need to make their loan collection operations more efficient by concentrating on reminder operations at their own call centres or using outsourced debt collection agencies. 18 Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 This report has been prepared by The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, Ltd. 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All rights reserved. 19 Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016 The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, Ltd Strategic Research Division(Singapore) 9 Raffles Place #01-01 Republic Plaza Singapore 048619 [Contact] Kazuhiro Hori ([email protected]) Kohei Yamaguchi ([email protected]) Shuhui Lin ([email protected]) 20 Indonesia Automobile and Motorcycle Finance Industry I July 2016
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