ITAC – Industry Technical Advisory Committee for Oil Spill Response Wednesday, October 24, 2016 Dr. Victoria Broje Subsea Dispersants – D3 Research Projects on Subsea Dispersants Effectiveness Modelling Fate and Effects Monitoring New projects (VOC modelling, marine snow literature review, biodegradation modelling) Comparative Risk Assessment Communication Efforts Exxon Scaled Testing of Subsea Dispersant Effectiveness Scope: • Phase I – evaluated injection methods & DOR using a tower basin, Corexit® 9500 dispersant & one crude oil • Phase II – tested other oils and dispersants using a tower basin • Phase III – studied high pressure conditions with dead oil using a high pressure test tank • Phase IV – evaluated latent breakup (tip streaming) using an inverted cone system • Phase V – tested high pressure conditions with live oil / associated gas using a high pressure test tank • Phase VI – larger scale testing using the Ohmsett wave basin Scaled Testing of Subsea Dispersant Effectiveness Conclusions: • SSDI significantly reduced oil droplet sizes • Effectiveness depends on the oil type, dispersant & dosage • Injection methods were evaluated • New approach for predicting droplet sizes (modified Weber) • Results don’t support statements that SSDI during DWH spill was unnecessary due to small size of naturally dispersed oil droplets • The scaled testing indicates that SSDI effectiveness is not dependent on pressure • Developed new monitoring equipment (droplets & bubbles detection) Numerical Modeling of Deepwater Plumes Scope: Comparison of most used integrated plume trajectory models • SINTEF (OSCAR) and DeepBlow model as the integrated nearfield plume model, Plume-3D • National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) Blowout and Spill Occurrence Model (BLOSOM) • The MIKE by DHI Oil Spill (OS) module, with integrated nearfield plume model and Lagrangian and Eulerian model for the farfield • RPS ASA’s OILMAP, which includes the OILMAPDeep module as the integrated near-field plume model • A hybrid modeling approach of empirical and Lagrangian particle tracking models Numerical Modeling of Deepwater Plumes Modelers ran 14 simple but realistic scenarios with and without subsea dispersant injection in deep and shallow water for high and low gas-oil ratio and in weak to strong cross-flows Conclusions: • Initial droplet size distribution and the rates of the fate processes are critical to improving confidence in model predictions • Validated with observations made at Macondo, published SINTEF lab data and DeepSpill data • Results were reviewed at a workshop • Publication – Sokolofsky et al, 2015 Conclusions: • Oil degrading microorganisms occur even in extreme marine environments that are cold, deep, and under high pressure; • Microbial communities can rapidly shift to hydrocarbon degraders; • Oil diluted to realistic concentrations is expected to biodegrade in deep waters; and • Further biodegradation testing not deemed a high research priority for further API funding given current and on-going work in this topic. http://hazenlab.utk.edu/files/pdf/ 2016Hazen_etal_EST_Feature.pdf Role of Pressure on Hydrocarbon Toxicity Scope: • Develop an understanding of the effects of pressure and gasses on potential toxicity of dispersed oil at depth Approach: • Review literature on the effect of pressure on toxicity of narcotic chemicals including hydrocarbons • Use available toxicity models to predict the toxicity of C1 to C4 gases and assess the relative contribution of dissolved phase gases in contributing to aquatic toxicity Conclusion: • Toxicity testing of baro-tolerant deep sea species at ambient pressure likely conservative; avoiding safety concerns / costs for toxicity tests at elevated pressure Solubility/Toxicity of Oil Components at Depth Scope: • Identify and compare models that can predict the solubility and toxicity of oil and dispersants under deep sea conditions Approach: • Used a proven fate model to predict dissolved concentrations of oil components and used those in an effect model to predict toxicity • Dissolved oil and gas component exposures from several scenarios were simulated using the SINTEF OSCAR model coupled to the HDR pressure-dependent toxicity model; Conclusion: • Results showed dissolved gases have a limited role (≤1.4%) in contributing to predicted toxicity 9 Scope: • Assess the relative sensitivity of baro-tolererant species Approach: • Conduct toxicity tests using constant, single hydrocarbon (toluene, methyl naphthalene, phenanthrene) and dispersant (Corexit 9500) exposures with three baro-tolerant species at 1 atm pressure • Conduct physically and chemically dispersed oil toxicity tests at 1 atm with two deep sea species • Compare to shallow-water species SSD Conclusion: • Data so far indicate that deep-sea species have similar toxicological responses to whole oil or individual oil components, and are comparable to shallow water species. Lophelia pertusa Anoplopoma fimbria Pandalus borealis Evaluated existing and emerging monitoring technologies ◦ White paper developed ◦ Results presented at Clean Gulf 2012 Developed industry recommended monitoring plan for SSDI http://www.spillprevention.org/documents/AP I%201152-Industry-Recommended-SubseaDispersant-Monitoring-Plan.pdf Developing “Industry Guidelines on requesting Regulatory Concurrence for Subsea Dispersant Use” 11 New Projects • Review of Oil Degradation Models Investigate the algorithms used to characterize degradation processes in oil fate models and identify opportunities to foster consistency and state-of-the-science • Marine Snow in the Context of Oil Spill Response Conduct literature review on marine snow in unpolluted marine environments and in presence of oil; effect of dispersants on marine snow formation; DWH and other spills data; conceptual models and study designs. • Modeling Volatile Organic Compound (VOC) Concentrations in Air Model VOC concentrations at the water surface near blowout site and evaluate effect of SSDI on VOC concentrations. 12 Comparative Risk Assessment Goal • To compare the relative risks and tradeoffs of different oil spill response options in a hypothetical deepwater blowout scenario • Relative response options comparison. Not a NRDA. Approach • RPS/Ramboll/Environ team in collaboration with Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) • Oil spill trajectory modeling to define volumes of water, area of sea surface, length of shoreline with oil above pre-defined thresholds • Estimate fraction of VECs within ecosystem compartments exposed to oil above threshold • Evaluate exposure and recovery potential for each VEC • Compare of the relative risks and tradeoffs to ECs and VECs associated with deployment of different oil spill response options 13 Comparative Risk Assessment Modeling Parameters RPS 14 Comparative Risk Assessment • Two trajectories were selected from 100 stochastic model runs (randomizing start date and time) assuming no response. – a median case for floating oil exposure (area exposed at any time during and after the spill) – a “worst case” for shoreline oiling (97th percentile for shoreline length oiled) • Modeled response options – Natural attenuation (no response action) – Mechanical recovery – for oil fate demonstration (Mech) – Mechanical recovery, in-situ burn, surface dispersant (MBSD) – Subsea dispersant injection (SSDI), 100% treated beginning day 6, plus mechanical recovery, in-situ burn, surface dispersant 15 • Comparative risk assessment workshop November 3 – 4 in Tampa (Clean Gulf Conference) • About 50 participants from TAC, industry, regulators and academia • Review of the approach and results • Breakout groups structured to facilitate discussions on: • comparative risks of response strategies for the 2 scenarios, • whether subsea injection of dispersants contributes to reducing the overall impacts in the scenarios relative to other response strategies • critical information needs. Communications Efforts • • • • • • External technical advisory committees Workshops Factsheets Newsletters Peer-reviewed scientific literature Conferences Website: http://www.oilspillprevention.org Industry has conducted extensive dispersants-focused research building on decades of prior knowledge API D3 program generated valuable scientific data on various aspects of subsea dispersant injection Results to date support the use of subsea dispersant injection as a primary spill response tool Subsea Dispersants – D3 19
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