PerspectivesontheFood-Energy-Water NexusinMetroSeattle: Asynthesisreportbasedon stakeholderinterviews October2016 LIZALLEN1,MICHAELBRADY2,DOUGLASCOLLINS1,BRADGAOLACH3, KEVANMOFFETT4,JULIEPADOWSKI5,6,KIRTIRAJAGOPALAN1,SASHARICHEY6,7 1.WSUCenterforSustainingAgricultureandNaturalResources,2.WSUSchoolofEconomics,3.WSU MetropolitanCenterforAppliedResearchandExtension,4.WSUSchooloftheEnvironment,5.Centerfor EnvironmentalResearch,EducationandOutreach,6.StateofWashingtonWaterResearchCenter,7.WSU DepartmentofCivilandEnvironmentalEngineering 1 PerspectivesontheFood-Energy-WaterNexusinMetroSeattle: Asynthesisreportbasedonstakeholderinterviews DraftforPublicComment October2016 CONTENTS: 1. Introduction.........................................................................................................................3 1.1. Researchgoals..............................................................................................................3 1.2. Motivationsforthiswork.............................................................................................4 1.3. Stakeholdergroupsandinterviewapproach...............................................................7 2. StakeholderinterviewfindingsabouttheSeattle-WashingtonFEWnexus........................8 2.1. Multiplevisionsofasustainablefoodsystemfuture...................................................8 2.2. OnsustainingregionalFood,EnergyandWater........................................................10 2.3. Onpromotinglocallyproducedfood.........................................................................12 2.4. Onpoliciesandstakeholderdecisions.......................................................................15 3. NextSteps..........................................................................................................................19 4. Acknowledgements...........................................................................................................20 5. References.........................................................................................................................21 6. Appendix:Additionalinformationanddataresources.....................................................23 2 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1.RESEARCHGOALS Inearly2016,aninterdisciplinaryteamofWashingtonStateUniversityresearcherscame togethertostudyinterdependenciesamongfood,energy,andwater(FEW)resourcesystems. Asurbanareasconcentratebothresourcesandresourceneeds,theSeattlemetropolitanarea wasselectedasacasestudytobetterunderstandflowsofFEWresourcesintoandoutofan urbanarea.Theinitialprojectfocusisonfoodproductionasitrelatestoenergyandwater resourceuse.Ultimately,thisworkwillprovideafoundationtoassesshowfoodandagriculture policiesandprogramsmayimpactinteractionsamongFEWresources. LONGTERMOBJECTIVESOFTHEWSUFOOD-ENERGY-WATERRESEARCHTEAM A)IdentifyFEWstocksandflowsintoandout-ofthreenesteddomainssurroundingthe Seattlemetropolitanarea:KingCounty,westernWashington,andtheStateof Washington. B)AssessthewaterandenergysectorimplicationsofincreasingtheamountofSeattle’s foodthatissourcedlocallyversusimportingfoodtomeeturbandemand. C)DevelopamodelofFEWresourceinterdependenciesthatsupportsdecision-makersin craftingscientificallyinformedpoliciestoincentivizelocalversusimportedfood,energy, andwaterproductionanduse. Tosupporttheselong-termgoals,ourresearchteamisworkingtoidentifyinformationneeds amongdiversestakeholdersandtolocaterelevantdatasourcesthatwillbeusedtodefinea conceptualmodelofFEWflowsandworktowardaquantitativemodelofphysicalprocesses. Weinterviewed27stakeholdersfromacrosswesternWashingtonwhoareworkingonissues relatedtofood,agriculture,landuseplanning,andenergyandwaterresourcemanagement. Thegoalsofinterviewsweretodeepenourunderstandingofthefactorsthatinfluence decisionsaboutFEWsystemsmanagement,andofemergingconcerns,conflicts,andevolving foodandagriculturalpoliciesintheSeattlearea. ThisdraftreportisintendedtoengageSeattle-areacitizenswhoareinterestedinfoodsystems andagriculturalpolicyinaconversationaboutcomplexinteractionsamongfood,energy,and watersystemsandtounderstanddiversevisionsforthefutureofthegreater-Seattleregional foodsystem.Weareinterestedinyourfeedbackaboutthecontentofthisreportandyour inputduringtheupcomingSeattleFood-Energy-WaterSummit. 3 SEEKINGINPUTFROMOURSTAKEHOLDERS PleasejoinusonNovember18,2016@theBrightwaterCenterinWoodinvilletoshare yourperspectives Seehttp://metrocenter.wsu.edu/metrofew-summit2016/forfullconferencedetails • Wouldyouliketoseemoreorlessofthefoodyoubuyorconsumeproducedin metroSeattle?InKingCounty?InWashingtonState? • Towhatextentdoyouvalue“localfood”?Howdoyoudefine“local”? • WhatpoliciesandprogramswouldbeimpactfulinincreasingSeattleconsumers’ accesstolocallyproducedfood? • WhatdoyoubelievearethelargestenergyinputstoSeattle’sfoodsystem? • WhatdoyoubelievearethelargestwaterinputstoSeattle’sfoodsystem? • Whatlocalpoliciesandprogramscouldreducewaterconsumption,energy consumption,andgreenhousegasemissionsassociatedwiththefoodsystem? • Whatlocalpoliciesandprogramscouldsupportresilienceofthefoodsysteminthe faceofenvironmentalandsocialchange? • Howdoyouthinkthatincreasinglocalfoodproductionwouldimpactenergyand waterresourceuses? 1.2.MOTIVATIONSFORTHISWORK Thepastcenturyhasseensubstantialchangesinhowsocietymanagesfood,water,andenergy. Thepre-industrialandearly-industrialeconomieswereinextricablylinkedtotheavailabilityof waterandenergytodofarmwork.Ifonecomponentofafarmwasnotmanagedsustainably, theeffectswouldbeimmediatelyapparent.Forexample,ifpumpingwatertoirrigateacrop forcedafarmertospendmoreonenergycoststhanthevalueoftheircropthedisparityin inputcostsandprofitswouldquicklybecomeapparent.Withbothindustrialdevelopmentand increasingurbanizationcameincreasingseparationoffood,energy,andwaterresource management. Inourmoderncontext,factorsincludingclimatechange,populationgrowth,urban development,andinternationaltradeagreementshaveledtoincreasingcomplexityofFEW managementdecisions.Figure1illustratestheprogressioninthecouplingofFEWsystemsover time.Asillustratedintheright-mostpanelofthefigure,somedecisionsleadtoshort-term benefitsinonesector,butultimatelynegativelyimpactothersectors.Inordertofind“win-winwin”solutions,resourcemanagersmustrecognizethatfood,energyandwatersystemsare 4 tightlycoupled,witheachsectorbalancing,offsetting,andabsorbingthechangesinother sectors.Possibleunintendedconsequencesofdecisionsmustbeconsideredandsystemsmust bemanagedholistically. Figure1.TightercouplingofFEWsystemsovertime.Circlesizeindicatesrelativecomplexityof sectormanagementdecisionsandcircleoverlapsindicatemanagementinterconnections. (ImageadaptedfromAdam,PadowskiandBarber,indevelopment.) RECOGNIZINGFEWSYSTEMINTERCONNECTIONS Food,energy,andwateraredeeplyintertwinedinmanyofthemodernagricultural productionsystemsandintransport,processing/cooking,andconsumption,andwaste managementofmodernfoodstuffs.Understandinghowchangestoonesectorimpact andinfluencetheothertwosectorsiscriticalifFEWsystemsaretobemanaged sustainably.Examplesoftheseinterconnectionsare: • Demandformorebiofuelproductioncouldleadtoincreaseddemandforoilseed crops.This“win”intheenergysectormightbelinkedtofertilizerrunoffand intensivewaterusethatnegativelyimpactswaterqualityandquantityandfood crops. • Convertingdairymanuretofuelinanaerobicdigestersystemsmayreduce methaneemissions(apowerfulgreenhousegas)andincreasethesupplyof locallyproducedrenewableenergy,butwastefromsuchsystemsmayleadto degradedlocalwaterquality. • Growingfoodcropsindoorscouldbeaviablewaytoexpandlocalfood productioninurbanareasandextendtheseasonalavailabilityoffreshlocal producewhiletakingadvantageofincreasedwateravailabilityoutofhigh summerdemand,butcouldbecostlyinenergyusagetomaintainbuildingclimate control. • Expandingwateraccessforfoodcropirrigationcouldnecessitatecurtailmentof 5 waterformunicipaluse,hydropowergeneration,andin-streamecosystemflows. PrioritiesandapproachestomanagingFEWresourcesvaryacrosslocal,state,regionaland federalagencies.Urbanareasarehot-spotsofconsumptionforFEWresources.Whenfoodis importedtofeedanurbanpopulationitcarrieswithitthe“virtual”waterandenergyresources thatwereused,elsewhere,toproduce,process,andtransportit.Increasinglocalfood productioncoulddecreasevirtualresourceflows,butmayutilizemoreenergyandwaterlocally forproductionandprocessingandmayputincreasedpressureonalreadyover-allocatedwater suppliesinWashington. Interviewsconductedduringsummer2016indicatethatconnectionsbetweenwaterresources andfoodproductionarewellunderstoodbywesternWashingtonstakeholders(accesstowater forirrigationandfloodingrisksclearlyaffecttheviabilityoffarmingoperations).However, connectionsbetweenenergyandfoodsystemsintheregionarelessclearlydefinedandare typicallylessattheforefrontofdecision-makers’concerns.Whenstakeholdersconsiderenergy andwaterinterconnectionstheyoftenthinkintermsofwatermanagementforhydroelectric energygeneration.Energycostsoftreatingwaterandpumpingwaterarelessfrequently considered. ConsiderationofFEWresourceinteractionsisvitalinthecontextofrapidregionalchange. Washington’sOfficeofFinancialManagementestimatesthatKingCounty’spopulationwill growfromabout1.9millionpeoplein2010toabout2.4millionpeoplein2040(SeattleOffice ofPlanningandCommunityDevelopment,2016).In2015,thepopulationofthecentralPuget Soundregiongrewby2.2%,thehighestgrowthrateinthepast20years(PugetSoundRegional Council,2016).Andatthesametime,climatechangeisprojectedtoreducewateravailability duringpeakgrowingseasonintheNorthwestUSduetolesswaterbeingstoredasmountain snowpackandchangingprecipitationregimes(Luceetal.2013;Changetal.2013). GlobalclimatechangeimpactsareexpectedtomakewesternWashingtonanevenmorecritical agriculturalareaforfeedingthenationasotherregionsbecomelesssuitableforsometypesof agriculturalproduction(Eigenbrodeetal.2013;Rosenzweigetal.2014).Thistransitionwill bringtotheregionandstatebotheconomicopportunitiesandseriousconcernsaboutenergy, water,landuseandagriculturalpollution.Manyintervieweesexpressedadesiretowork towardimprovedcoordinationandcollaborationacrossagenciesandorganizationsintermsof settinggoalsforthefutureoffoodproductionintheregionandaddressingbarrierstomeeting thosegoals. Throughmodeling,thisresearchwillstrengthenunderstandingofcomplexinterdependencies amongFEWresourcesandenableexplorationofpolicyalternatives.Modelscannottellus whichsystemorpolicyis“best”,buttheycansimulateFEWsectorinteractionsandsuggest possibleoutcomesofspecificsystemchanges,tothensupportinformeddecisions. 6 1.3.STAKEHOLDERGROUPSANDINTERVIEWAPPROCH Weareinterestedtolearnfromstakeholderswithawiderangeofprofessionalrolesand perspectivesonFEWresourcemanagementaroundSeattleandWashingtonState.Wesought tospeakwithindividualsrepresentingeachoffourgeneralgroups:1)producerrepresentatives, 2)consumerrepresentatives,3)energyandwaterpolicydecisionmakers,and4)foodpolicy decisionmakers.Classifyingstakeholdersbasedontheirrolesisachallengeasmanyindividuals workattheinterfaceoftwoormoregroups.Fromnearly200individualsidentifiedasmembers ofthefourstakeholdergroups,weinvited50individualstobeinterviewedacrossarangeof areasofexpertise.Atotalof27semi-structuredphoneinterviewswereconductedduring summer2016,whichgeneratedawealthofinformationabouthowSeattle-areastakeholders arethinkingabout“localfood”andwhatopportunitiesandchallengesthereareforlocalfood production,distribution,equitableaccess,andrelatedpolicies.Seetheappendixforthefulllist ofindividualswhowereinterviewedandtheirprofessionalaffiliations. Producerrepresentatives(7individuals):individualsinwesternWashingtonwhoproducefood orworkcloselywithagriculturalproducerstodevelopfarmmanagementplansortobringtheir productstomarketsfocusedonchallengesthatsmallandmid-sizeproducersfaceinscalingup theiroperationsandinmaintainingviablebusinessmodels.Thesestakeholdersdetailedspecific zoningandtaxationpolicychangesthattheybelievewouldbestsupportincreasedfood productioninwesternWashington.Accesstoirrigationwaterandmanagingfloodrisksare centralissuesthatdriveproducers’decisions. Consumerrepresentatives(5individuals):individualsexperiencedwithconcernsandpriorities drivingSeattlearearesidents’foodpurchasingdecisionsobservedastable,butnotnecessarily growing,interestinlocallyproducedfoodandperceivedthatthepublicgenerallyhaslimited awarenessofwaterandenergyissuesassociatedwithagriculture.Consumerswhovaluelocally grownfoodwereperceivedtodosobecausetheyseecommunity-buildingandeconomic benefitsofsupportinglocalproducersandtheyappreciatethehighqualityoflocalfood products. EnergyandWaterPolicyDecisionMakers(8individuals):individualswhomakenatural resourcemanagementpolicydecisionsatmunicipal,countyandstatewidescaleshighlighted managementchallengesrelatedtofrequentfloodingthatKingCountyfarmersface,the tradeoffsbetweenpreservingriparianzonesforsalmonhabitatandfarmland,andpotential impactsofincreasingirrigationefficiency.Watermanagerswerehopefulaboutthepotential forresidents’waterresourcecouncilstomanagewatereffectivelyinfarmingcommunities. Otherkeyissuesraisedwerethedifficultyofcreatingwatermarketsinthecontextofrecent courtdecisionsaboutwaterrightstransfers. FoodPolicyDecisionMakers(7individuals):individualsfocusedonagriculturalpolicyor, separately,foodaccesspolicydiscussedtheimportanceofprogramsthatsupportfarmersand farmlandpreservation:aneedtobalanceresourceallocationtosupportfarmerscurrentlyand 7 toensurelong-termpreservationofagriculturallandsandproductivityintheregion.They identifiedmarketforcesandfederalpoliciesthatperpetuateexistingagriculturalpractices.In thecontextofthesemarketandfederalpolicyforces,craftingappropriateandallowablelocal foodandagriculturalpoliciesisachallenge. 2.STAKEHOLDERINTERVIEWFINDINGSABOUTSEATTLEWASHINGTONFEWNEXUS 2.1.MULTIPLEVISIONSOFASUSTAINABLEFOODSYSTEMFUTURE Seattle-areastakeholdersholddifferentvisionsofanidealfoodsystemforthefuture.These visionsimplydifferentprojectedpatternsofFEWresourceinteractions.Broadlyspeaking,the stakeholdersinterviewedforthisprojectbelievethatitisadesirablegoaltoincreasefood productioninKingCountyandwesternWashingtonandincreaseconsumptionoflocally producedfoodintheSeattlearea.Twodistinctvisionsofanidealregionalfoodproduction futureemergedfromamongtheinterviewees:1)Adenselyurbanizedregionshouldbe surroundedbyhighlyproductivelargerfarms,2)Asmallerurbancoreshouldbesurroundedby greenspaceusedforfoodproductioninterspersedthroughtheresidentialzones.Many stakeholdersdon'tseethesevisionsofthefutureasmutuallyexclusive,statingthattheywould liketoseemoreopportunitiesforfarmsofallsizesthroughouttheregion.Differentpatterns mayalsobeappropriateforcitiesofdifferentsizesandenvironmentalsettings.Atthesame time,severalstakeholdersexpressedfrustrationthatagenciesandorganizationsare occasionallyworkingatcross-purposesbysupportingdifferentvisions,asexpressedinzoning, farmlandpreservationpolicies,taxationstructures,andinfrastructureinvestments. Advocatesforthesharpurban-agriculturalboundarymodelfeelthatsprawlisaserious concernandwouldliketomaximizetheefficiencyoflocalfoodproductionbyscalingup farmingoperationstomeetahigherproportionoflocalfooddemand.Thesestakeholders expectthatlargerfarmsmaybeabletoeffectivelyimplementtechnologiesthatensuremore efficientuseofirrigationwaterandenergy.Somestakeholdersseelargerlocalfarmsasa pathwaytowarddecreasingrelianceonagriculturalproductsfromoutsideoftheregion.They expectthatlargerfarmswouldhavegreatercapacitytosupplygrocerychainsanddistribution companieswithlocalproduceandthateconomiesofscalecouldsupportincreasedlocalfood processingforout-of-seasonconsumption.Increasinglocalfoodprocessingcouldincreaselocal energyandwaterusewhilereducingtransportationenergyuse. Advocatesforthemixedurban-agriculturalmodelfocusonthesocialandculturalbenefitsof urbanandlocalfoodproduction.Thesestakeholdersstatethatitisimportantforconsumersto strengthentheirconnectiontothepeoplewhogrowtheirfoodandtobetterunderstandthe environmentalconsiderationsassociatedwithagriculture.Stakeholdersinfavorofmixed urban-agriculturaldevelopmentemphasizethevalueofpoliciesthatsupportsmall-andmid 8 sizeproducersinprocessingandsellingproductslocallyandgenerallyfocuslessontheamount oflocalproductionthanonsupportingpracticesthatconservesoilandwaterresources. Somestakeholderssupportamixtureofseverallandusepoliciesandlocalfoodpolicies. Focusingondifferentvalues,andemphasizingthosevaluesindifferentcombinations,leadsto differentpolicyalternatives,whichinfluencehowFEWresourcesareallocated,used,andhow theyflowacrossregionalboundaries.Detailedexplorationofthesemanypossiblepolicy optionsistheidealuseofaFEW-systemmodel. Inresponse,weareinterestedincompilingexamplesofdifferentzoningapproachesin Washingtoncountiesandinotherstates,includinghowurbangrowthboundariesand agriculturalzonesaredefinedandhowdifferentagriculturalusesareincentivized.Wearealso interestedintheperceivedorrealizedopportunitiesandconsequencesassociatedwith emergingpracticessuchasindoorvegetablecultivationandtheuseofreclaimedwastewater forirrigation.ItisthesetypesofpolicydecisionsandtheirassociatedimpactonFEWresource utilizationthatourmodelwillultimatelyhelptest;allowingpolicymakerstomakeinformed decisions. Interviewees’MostFrequentlyExpressedPolicyGoals • Expandpublicandprivatefarmlandpreservationprograms;focusonmaintaining urbandensityandfightingsprawl. • Preservegreenspaceandutilizeopenspaceforfoodproduction,preservesoil qualityonfarmlandfordrainageandcarbonstoragebenefits. • Rewardfoodproductioninurbanspaces,residentialspaces,andonfarmland. • Maximizetheefficiencyoffoodproduction,whilepursuingneutralorpositive impactsonsoilquality,waterquality,andairquality. • Preferentiallysupportcertaintypesofagriculturalproduction(e.g.,incentivize fruitsandvegetablesoverforageproduction,useofgrainasacovercrop,and promotelocalwheatororganicmeat). • Designatelandcurrentlyzonedforagricultureas“workingland”inthe WashingtonStateGrowthManagementAct,sothatagriculturallandsare protectedunderstate,aswellascounty,laws. • Expandinstitutionalmarketsforlocalfood,includinghospitals,universities, businesses,andlargerestaurantchains. 9 2.2.ONSUSTAININGREGIONALFOOD,ENERGYANDWATER DIVERSITYOFREGIONALAGRICULTURE StakeholdersemphasizedthatthechallengesofmostconcerntoWashingtonstateproducers arehighlyvariabledependingontheirspecificlocalclimate,topography,zoning,andnatural resourcepolicies,aswellastheirpersonalbackground,values,andbusinessmodel.Depending onthekindsofagriculturaloperationsstakeholdersworkmostcloselywith,theirperspectives onthemostimpactfulpoliciesandmostsignificantchallengesdiffer. ForeachagriculturalcommodityproducedinWashington,afewcountiesdominateproduction. Wheatproductionisconcentratedinsoutheastcounties,whilemilkproductionisgreatestin YakimacountyandnorthernPugetSound(Whatcom,SkagitandSnohomishcounties)(USDA NASS,2012).Applesaregrownthroughoutthestate,butmorethanhalfofWashington’sapple acresareplantedinYakimaandGrantcounties(USDANASS,2012).Vegetableproductionis concentratedinGrant,Benton,andFranklincounties.Averagefarmsizevariesgreatlyamong counties. Diversityinfarmingoperationsexistsevenatthecountyscale.KingCountyhasfiveagricultural productiondistricts(APDs),whichencompass42,000acresofprimefarmland(Figure2). AgricultureissupportedwithintheAPDsthroughtheprotectionofagriculturalsoilsandstrict limitationsregardingdevelopment(KingCountyLocalFoodInitiative,2015).InKingCounty, farmsizesrangefromseveral-acreorganicvegetablegrowingoperationstolargecommercial forageproducers.Stakeholdersnotedthatnearly80%oftheactivelyfarmedlandinKing Countyisusedforlivestockproductioninsomeform(e.g.,dairies,pasture,orforage production).Landgrowingmarketcrops(non-irrigatedflowers,irrigatedspecialtyandorganic vegetables,berries,orchardfruits,andwinegrapes)accountsfor5%oftheAPDarea.With245 vegetablefarms,KingCountyhasthelargestnumberofvegetablefarmsofanyWashington county.However,thetotalacreageplantedtovegetablesin2012wasjust984acres,foran averagefarmsizeof4acres(USDANASS,2012).Thegrosssaleablemarketvalueoffruitand vegetableproductioninKingCountyisestimatedat$20million(KingCountyLocalFood Initiative,2015). 10 Figure2.LocationsofKingCountyAgriculturalProductionDistricts. THREATSTOREGIONALFOODSYSTEMSUSTAINABILITY Climatechangeisanincreasinglyprominenttopicinstakeholders’discussionsofchallengesfor theregionalfoodandagriculturesystem.Highertemperatureshavemanypossible consequencesforproducers,includingincreasedwaterdemand,lessreliablesummerwater availabilitybecauseofreducedsnowpack,earlyseasonflooding,earlierharvestdates,and changesinpestanddiseasepressures.Thereareconcernsaboutincreasedincidenceof extremeweatherevents,droughts,andflooding.Thesechangesadduncertaintiestowhatis alreadyaveryhigh-riskbusiness.Consumersgenerallyhavelessawarenessabouttheimpacts ofclimatechangeontheagriculturalsystemsthatsupporttheirfoodsupply. Accesstowaterforirrigationisanongoingconcernformanystakeholders.Intervieweesnoted thatKingCountyunderwentashiftinthelate70sandearly80swhenmanydairiesclosedand thenumberofsmallfruitandvegetableproducersbegantoexpand.Astraditionallivestock agriculturefarmsconvertedtocropproduction,somefarmscamewithhistoricwaterrights, 11 butmanydidnot.Innavigatingthewaterrightssystemsomefarmershavebeenabletolease water,whileothershiftedtogrowingun-irrigatedflowersorareusingexemptwells. Intervieweesnotedthatintypicalsummerconditionsfarmerswithoutaccesstogroundwater arestillabletogrowflowersandsomeothercropsiftheyarelocatedclosetoariverwheresoil holdssufficientmoisture,butindroughtconditionsthosefarmsareatriskofsubstantiallosses. Climatechangeisexpectedtointensifychallengesforunirrigatedfarms. FloodingisaseriousmanagementchallengeforKingCountyproducersinparticular.Federal FoodandDrugAdministrationregulationspreventfoodcropsthathavebeentouchedby floodwatersfrombeingharvested.Also,somecroppinginsuranceoptionsarenotavailableto growersinfloodplains.Somewhatironically,atthesametime,floodplainsoilsarerich,hold waterwell,andhaveashallowwatertablethatcanbeusefultothecrops.Beinginafloodplain limitswherefarminfrastructurecanbebuiltandwherehomesforfarmerscanbebuilt.As localfooddemandincreasesforshoulderseasonandyear-roundproduction,earlyspringor latefallfloodingisanevenmoresignificantconcern. 2.3.ONPROMOTINGLOCALLYPRODUCEDFOOD DEFINING“LOCAL” IncreasingtheproportionoftheSeattle-areafoodsupplythatislocallyproducedisadesirable goalaccordingtomany.Moststakeholdersplacedemphasisontheconceptofsourcingfood products“ascloseasisreasonable”,statingthatsustainableproductionisamoreimportant valuethanhyper-localproduction.Variationsofthisstatementwerefrequntlyheard:“Food shouldbeproducedasclosetowhereit'sconsumedaspossible,butthatwillbedifferentfor everytypeoffood”.Therewasawidespreadviewthatpolicymakersandconsumersshould focusonsupportingefficientfoodsourcing;makingdecisionsbasedon“whateachregiondoes best”.Stakeholdersinallsectorsinterviewedtendedtohaveflexibledefinitionsforwhatmakes foodlocal. IntervieweesrecognizedthatsourcingallSeattle’sfoodfromwithinKingCounty--oreven withinWashingtonState--isnotrealisticintheforeseeablefuturebasedonconsumers’desire forproductsthatcannotreadilybegrowninWashington(e.g.avocadosandbananas).Several stakeholdersstatedthattheythoughtofconcentriccircleswhendefiningwhichproductsare local—givingpreferencetocropsgrownintheimmediateareainseason,butconsidering,for example,aproductgrowninOregontobemorelocal,andhencepreferable,tothesame productgrowninCalifornia.Themesinperspectivesonlocalfoodproductionfromdifferent stakeholdergroupsareoutlinedbelowonthefollowingpage. 12 Producerrepresentatives: • Businessandlandfirst:Producerstendtoprioritizewhetherfoodproductionis environmentallyresponsibleandeconomicallypractical,sellinglocallyisgenerallynota toppriority. • Diversedistance:ManyproducerswhosellatSeattleareafarmers’marketsarefarming ontheurbanfringe,butsomeproducerscomefromasfarawayascentralandeastern Washington. • Cooperative…ornot?:Forproducers’cooperatives,aconnectiontoaspecificagricultural placenamemaybeseenasanopportunitytotapintocustomerrecognition. Cooperativemembersmaydisagreeaboutwhichfarmsshouldbenefitfromthat“local” branding,dependingontheiractuallocationandtheproductionpracticesthatthey employ. Consumerrepresentatives: • Localisnot“local”:SomeSeattlecustomersmaysaythatwithin150milesofthecityis local,butthatdefinitioneliminatesmostofWashington’sappleproduction,whichthey alsoconsider“local”. • Freshnesscounts:Whenconsumersplaceahighvalueonlocalfoodproductionitis oftenbecauselocallyproducedfoodstendtobefresh,highqualityandassumedtobe sustainablyproduced.Definitionsoflocalmaychangewithseasons;itiseasiertoeat locallyduringharvestseason.Manyconsumerslackknowledgeaboutwhatfoodscanbe grownlocallyandduringwhatseasonstheyareavailable. • Food-typematters:Localproduce,meat,dairyproductsarehigherprioritiesfor consumersthanarelocallyproducedgrainsandpackagedfoods. EnergyandWaterPolicyDecisionMakers: • Priorappropriations:LawgovernswateraccessinWashington.Therecurrentlyareno legalmechanismsforgivingpreferencetowateruseforlocalfoodproduction. • Transportationcosts:Theenergycostsassociatedwithtransportingfoodarean importantconsideration;thelargestenergycostinthefoodsystemmaybeconsumers drivingtheirpersonalvehiclestogrocerystores. FoodPolicyDecisionMakers: • Localisnoteverything:Focusingondefinitionsof“local”maydistractfrommorecritical foodandagriculturepolicyissuesincludingfoodaccess,energyandwateruse,and generalsustainabilityoffarmingoperations. • Localdiffersbycrop:Whatconstituteslocalvariesfordifferentcrops;forexample, manyfeelthatsourcingSeattle’swheatfromeasternWAisanimportantgoal. • Influencesoftrade:ManyfeelthatsystemsshouldadaptsomoreWashington-grown productsstaywithintheregionratherthanbeingshippedinternationally. • Intersectingvalues:Formanypolicymakers,supportinglocalfoodisanimportantvalue becauseitislinkedtotheobjectivesofpreservingopenspaceandpreservingthe livelihoodoffarmersinruralcommunities. 13 StakeholdersrecognizethatthemajorityoffoodconsumedintheSeattlemetroareacomes fromlargenationalgrocerychainsandrestaurantchains.Whiletheregionhasarobust networkofproducers,processors,andinnovativefoodcompanies,stakeholdersfrequently notesthatfarmers’markets,CommunitySupportedAgriculture(CSA)shares,anddirectfarm salesaretheexceptiontotheruleofwheremostoftheurbanpopulationpurchasesfood. Currentlylessthan2%ofthenearly$6billionKingCountyresidentsspendannuallyonfood anddrinkisgrownwithinKingCounty(KingCountyLocalFoodInitiative,2015).Still, intervieweesperceiveSeattleresidentstobeamongthenation’sleadersintheirinterestand supportforalocalfoodculture.Organicandsustainablyproducedfoodsareimportanttomany areaconsumersandsupportinglocalfarmersisapriorityforsomeshoppers.Intervieweeswere dividedastowhetherSeattle’smarketforlocallyproducedfoodissaturatedorgrowing. TRADEOFFSRELATEDTOINCREASINGLOCALFOODPRODUCTION Intervieweeswereasked,“Whatdoyouseeaspotentialdrawbacks,ifany,toincreasingfood productionforlocalmarkets?”Stakeholderstendednottothinkintermsof“negativeaspects oflocalproduction”.Instead,whilerecognizingthatsupportinglocalfoodproductioncouldbe linkedtotradeoffsforwateruse,energyuse,habitatprotectionfornativespecies,andother socialandenvironmentalgoals,stakeholderstendedtobelievethatreducingvirtualwaterand energyflowsfromoutsidetheregionwasadesirablegoalformetroSeattle.Inpartthisis basedonasociallyresponsibleviewpointofwantingtolocalizesomeofthe“externalities”of foodproduction(e.g.wateruseandenergyconsumption)insteadofexternalizingthemto othercommunities.Additionally,stakeholderspointedoutthatfarmlandfulfillsimportant social,culturalandenvironmentalservices,suchascarbonstorageandfloodcontrol.Inthis sectionweexploresomeofthetradeoffsstakeholdersidentifiedaspotentiallyassociatedwith increasinglocalfoodproductionfortheSeattlepopulation. Food-Watertradeoffs:Increasinglocalfoodproductionisassumedtorequireincreasedwater usageforirrigationunlesssubstantialincreasesinefficiencyareincentivizedandimplemented. Atthesametime,theregioncontinuestoexperiencerapidpopulationandindustrialgrowth. Regionaldecision-makersmustaccountfor,andcontendwith,projectionsforawater-scare future.Existingwaterallocationlawsandconservationofendangeredfishareatthecoreof manyconcernsforawater-scarcefuture;policiescannotnecessarilypreservein-streamwater flowsforfishhabitatandintensiveirrigationatthesametime.Choosingtoincreaselocalfood productionmaynecessitatetradeoffswithwateruseinothersectorsandmayrequirewater conservationpolicies,suchas:notwateringlawnssowatercangotolocalfood,avoidinghome gardenstoprioritizecommercialfoodproductionoverpersonaluses,usingreclaimed wastewaterforfoodproduction,andincentivizinggreywaterhouseholdsystemstoreduce potablewateruse.Stakeholdersexplainedthatrecentcourtcaseshavesetstandardsthat makeitdifficulttotransferwaterrightsfromoneusetoanother,forexampletore-allocate municipalwaterforagriculture.WatershedImprovementDistrictsareapolicymechanismthat hasbeeninplacesinceearlyinWashingtonStatehistorybutareonlyrecentlycomingintouse 14 againforgroupsofproducersseekingtocollectivelymanagewaterresources.Some stakeholdersviewedtheseDistrictsasanaspectofahopefulfuture. Stakeholdersexpressedarangeofperspectivesaboutthepotentialuseofreclaimed wastewaterforirrigation.SomedescribedcurrentpilotprojectsnowunderwayinKing Countyusingreclaimedwastewatertoirrigatenon-foodcropsandplayingfields.The conceptraisedsomeconcernsfromstakeholdersthinkingaboutitfromapublichealth andsafetystandpoint.Manystakeholdersexplainedthattheydidnotyethaveenough informationaboutthepotentialbenefitsandconcernsofirrigatingcropsinwestern Washingtonwithreclaimedwastewatertoevaluatetheoption. Food-Energytradeoffs:Formanystakeholders,theconnectionbetweenfoodproductionand energyresourceswassomewhatlesstangibleandlessclearlydefinedthantheconnection betweenfoodandlocalwaterresources.Thepossibilityofexpandingindoorfoodproduction doesraisequestionsaboutenergyneedsandwhattherelativecostsandbenefitsareof growinglocallyinaclimatecontrolledenvironmentwithmunicipalwatercomparedtoless locally,outdoors,withstreamorgroundwater.Stakeholdersdescribedinterestintestprojects, uncertaintyaboutbuildingandenergycosts,anduncertaintywhetherindoorurbanproduction canbeprofitableenoughtojustifythecosts.Thereareexamplesofsuccessfulmicrogreens indoorcultivationintheSeattlearea,whichsomestakeholdersreferencedasanexampleof indoorgrowingthatmaybeenvironmentallysoundandeconomicallyprofitable.Questions aroundthefutureofindoorgrowingalsoaroseregardingnewWashingtonStatelawsthat legalizegrowingmarijuana;thereareremainingquestionsaboutwheremarijuanacultivationis allowedandhowtobalancewaterandenergyresourcesneededtogrowmarijuanaagainst waterandenergyresourcesneededforlessprofitablecrops.Intensifyingproductionand intensifyingprocessinginfrastructurecouldintensifyenergyandwaterresourceuseforthis newregulated-marketcommodity. 2.4.ONPOLICIESANDDECISIONMAKING RECENTFOODPOLICYINIATIVES TheSeattleCityCouncilpassedtheLocalFoodActionInitiativein2008,aimingtosupportthe localandregionalfoodsystem.SpecificgoalsoftheLocalFoodActionInitiativeinclude preventingfoodwasteandincreasingcompostingofnon-ediblefood,supportingsmall businessesthatgrow,processanddistributelocalandhealthyfood,prioritizingfood productionasauseofland,andworkingtoincreasetheaffordabilityandaccessibilityof healthyfoodforallSeattleresidents(CityofSeattle,2012).TheKingCountyExecutive'sLocal FoodInitiativewasintroducedin2014toconnectlocalfarmersandconsumers,increaseaccess tohealthy,affordablefoodsinunderservedareas,protectfarmlandandimplementstrategies toimproveresiliencetotheeffectsofclimatechange(KingCountyLocalFoodInitiative2015). 15 Specific10-yeartargetsputforthinthe2015LocalFoodInitiativeKitchenCabinet’sLocalFood Reportincludeadding400netnewacresinfoodproductionperyearinKingCounty(2%per year),increasingthenumberofnewandbeginningfarmersinKingCountyby25newfarmers peryear,doublingdemandforlocallyproduced,healthyfoodfrom$93millionto$186million, reducingtheamountofwholesomefoodlossby25%,andincreasingconsumptionoffruitsand vegetablesamongbothyouthandadults(LocalFoodInitiative,2015). PRODUCERS’DECISION-MAKINGCONSIDERATIONS Farmmanagementdecisionsmustbesitespecific.Producers’valuesandthepolitical,social, environmental,andeconomiclandscapeinwhichtheyareoperatinginfluencetheirproduction andmanagementdecisions.ThesefundamentaldecisionsareaffectedbyoraffecthowFEW resourcesareutilizedlocallyandhowthoseresourcesflowacrossregions.Overall,thereisa widespreadperceptionamongstintervieweesthatfarmerswanttobegoodstewardsofthe landandthusmaybeamenabletochangestopoliciesorpracticesthatpromoteasustainable FEWenvironment.However,farmmanagementdecisionsaresitespecificandproducersvary intheirapproachestomanuremanagement,dealingwithmudinthewintermonths,rotational grazing,streambankprotection,pollinatorhabitatpreservation,pesticideuse,andmore. FarminginWashingtonistiedtorichculturaltraditions.Somefarmshavebeeninafamilyfor overfivegenerations.KingCountyalsohasmanyimmigrantfarmersforwhomagricultureisa linktotheircountryoforiginandtotheirlocalcommunity.Fortheseandotherproducers, stayinginbusinessisimportanteconomicallyaswellassociallyandculturally.Farming practicesdirectlyaffecthowFEWresourcesareutilizedlocallyandhowthoseresourcesflow acrossregions.Therefore,culturalheritagecanbeconsideredavariablethatneedstobe incorporatedinscenariodevelopmenttounderstandlocalandregionaltrade-offsinFEW resourcemanagement.Thiswillbeparticularlyimportantwherepreservingaculturalpractice iseitheratoddswithphysicalresourceuseefficiencyorenhancesresourceuseefficiency. Consumerdemandplaysaroleinshapingproductionpractices.Inthepastdecadeconsumer demandfororganicproductsandthehighermarketvalueoforganicproducehaveinfluenced manyproducersintheregiontopursueorganiccertification.Somefarmerslookattheirannual salesandmakeadjustmentstowhattheywillgrowbasedonthatinformation.Cropsand productionsystemsutilizewaterandenergydifferently,sotheseconsumerdrivendemands shapehowFEWresourcesareutilizedlocallyandhowthoseresourcesflowacrossregions. ProducersmaymoveawayfromwhatisbestgrowninthePNWtofavorwhatthedemandis regardlessoftheFEWimplications.Afarmers’marketmanagerobservedthatmanyproducers arepursuingabusinessmodelwitharoughlybalancedcombinationofrestaurantsales, wholesale,andfarmers’marketsales.Stakeholdersnotedthat,asinanybusiness,successin agriculturedependsonfindingyournicheandbuildinganactionablebusinessplan.Lackof marketingskillsandlackoftimetopursuemarketingstrategiesarecommonchallengesfor producers.TheremaybemoreopportunitiesforentrepreneurialeducationforWashington producersthatwouldsupporttheminincreasingthesizeoftheirfarmsandincreasingsales.A 16 shiftincropselectionawayfrom“resourceefficient”cropswouldchangethebalanceofFEW resources,butcouldpotentiallybeeconomicallybeneficialforproducers. Producersareconcernedaboutalackofaccesstofoodpacking,processing,andstorage facilitities.Increasingthenumberandaccessibilityofsuchfacilitiesforproducerscould increasethequantityoffoodthatcanbeproducedandconsumedintheSeattlearea.Atthe sametime,food-processingoperationscoulddemandincreasedlocalenergyandwaterinputs. Somestakeholdersnotedthatlackofaccesstoprocessingfacilitiesmaybelessofabarrierthan itiscommonlycitedtobe,notingthatsomeunderutilizedfacilitiesexistandthatmore significantbarriersmaybeproducers’lackoftimeandlackofrelevantskillsetstoaddvalueto rawproducts.OthergapsininfrastructurewerealsocitedasbarriersforWashington producers.Forexample,lackoffundingforrailwayandroadmaintenanceisachallengefor producersinruralpartsofthestatewhocouldotherwiseperhapsparticipateinthemarketfor locallyproducedfoods. ThecostoflandinwesternWashingtonishigh.SeveralstakeholdersassertedthatKing Countylandpricesaretypicallytoohightopurchasedandprofitablyfarmed.Farmland preservationprogramsandlandtrustsareimportanttoolsforsupportingfarming.Some stakeholdersstatedthattherearemorepotentialfarmersthanthereisavailableland. Sometimestheissueissimplyfindingsufficientacreageforsaleintheareainwhichafarmer wantstobuy.Beingabletoscaleupafarmhastodowiththecostofland,butitcanalsobea challengeifapotentialbuyers’lacksunderstandingoflendingoptionsandhowtocraftaniche businessplan.Somepotentialpropertiesmayalsoposeconcernswithpastoveruse, contamination,orendangeredspeciesimpacts.Manyproducersleaselandonshort-term leasesandcannotsecurecapitaltomakelongtermsinvestmentsintheirfarmland,for example,efficientirrigationsystems.Landpriceandlandtenureareimpactedbypoliciesandin turnshapepatternsofFEWresourceuse.Onestakeholdernotedthatitisdifficultforcounties tosupportagricultureatthepolicylevelbecauseitdoesnotgenerateasmuchmoneyfrom propertytaxesasotherlanduses. Laborandeconomicconcernsaffectagriculturalpractices.Anumberoffactorscurrently contributelimitsonavailablelaborincludinglaborshortage(immigrationrestrictionshave reducedthenumberofseasonalagriculturalworkerscomingtoWashingtonstate),findingand retainingqualifiedemployees(somestakeholdersnoteashortageofworkerswithnecessary skillsforspecializedagriculturallabor),andpayingadecentwage(thecostoflivinginWestern Washingtonishighandpayingalivingwagethatwillattractandretainemployeesmaymean payingmorethanminimumwage).Mid-sizeproducersinparticularfacechallengesto obtainingeconomicstability.Taxstructuresdon’tnecessarilyrewardfoodproduction,for example,stakeholdersnotedthatmanylandownerselecttousefarmlandforhorsesorforage, ratherthancultivatinglandforfoodcrops.Severalstakeholderswhoworkcloselywith producerswereconcernedthatnewKingCountyhealthdepartmentregulationsandthe federalFoodSafetyActareaburdenforlocalproducersandrepresentasignificantbarrierto small-scaleproducersbecausetheyrequiretrainingandcertificationthatiscostlyandtime 17 consumingtoobtain.Ingeneral,thegrowingseasonandlaborconditionsinWashingtonleadto moreexpensiveproductionthanotherpartsoftheUSandworld.Onestakeholdernotedthat thecostofproductioninWashingtoncanbeuptothreetimesthatinCalifornia;forexamplea vegetableproducerinCalifornia’scentralvalleymaybeabletoharvestbroccoli2-3timesa year,butWashington’sshortergrowingseasonlimitsbroccoliproductiontoonecropperyear. CONSUMERS’DECISION-MAKINGCONSIDERATIONS Consumershaveincreasinglysophisticatedknowledgeabouttheirfoodpurchasingoptions, whichisafunctionofawealthofreadilyaccessibleinformationonline.Stakeholdersobserveda generationaltrendtowardconsumerspurchasingmorepreparedfoodsandlessfreshfruits, vegetablesandrawingredients.Ingeneral,modernconsumerswereperceivedtohaveor choosetospendlesstimetocookathomethantheydidinpastdecades.Stakeholdersnoted thatinterestingdemographictrendsemergeincomparingfarmers’marketsalesindifferent partsofSeattle.Forexample,stakeholdersnotedatendencyforolderconsumerstovalue organic,freshproducewhileyoungerconsumersseemmorelikelytoshopatfarmersmarkets forthesocialexperienceandtobuypreparedfoods.Preparingandpackagingfoodscaninvolve significantwaterandenergyuse.Theseshiftsinconsumerpreferencesmaysignificantlyalter theembeddedenergyandwaterassociatedwithfoodproduction,processing,transportation, andultimatelyconsumption.Policydecisionsonwhatisallowedtobesoldatfarmersmarkets canimpactthoseFEWresourceallocations. Seattleisperceivedtobeanationalleaderinfoodtrends,witharobustfarmersmarket cultureandstronginterestinorganicallyproducedproducts.Whileadesireforfreshhigh qualityproduceandinterestinsupportingthelocaleconomyaresaidtomotivateconsumers’ interestinlocallyproducedfoods,stakeholdersobservedthatSeattleconsumershavecometo expectaccesstoallfoodsyearround.Theconceptofeatingseasonallyispercieivedtobetoo limitingbythevastmajorityconsumers.Stakeholders’opinionsvariedwidelyonwhether marketingcampaignsforlocalfoodwork;somebelievedthatpromotinglocalproductswasa keycomponentofsupportingtheregionallocaleconomy,whileothersfeltthatmarketing campaignsdoverylittletoinfluenceconsumerbehavior.Clearlythesepoliciesandconsumer choicesaffecthowand“who's”waterandenergyareused. Accesstohighquality,nutritious,affordablefoodforthediverseurbanpopulationisacritical componentofanydiscussionaboutfoodpolicy.Stakeholdersexpressedenthusiasticsupport fortheFreshBucksprogram,whichmatchesfoodstampdollarsatareafarmersmarkets.There isrecognitionthatultimatelythepriceoffoodandaccesstopurchasingoptionsdetermines mostoftheSeattlepopulation’sfoodpurchasingdecisions.Anypoliciesorbehaviorsthatshift theallocationofwherefoodisproducedwillaltertheallocationandflowsofenergyandwater acrossregions. 18 3.NextSteps RecognizingthatthereisawealthofrecentreportsanddataaboutSeattleareafoodsystems, weareintheprocessoflearningfrompreviousresearchintheregion.AttheUrbanFoodEnergy-WaterStakeholderSummitwewilldelvedeeperintoadiscussionaboutintersecting food,energyandwaterresourcemanagementissuesandpotentialimplicationsofpolicy decisionsinregion.OurresearchteamwillpresentaconceptualmodelofFEWsystemsat nestedcity-local-regionalscalesandwillmodifyanddevelopthatmodelbasedonstakeholder input,toformthebasisofamodeling-baseddecision-supportandanalysistool. Wehopethatthisprojectbuildsonthestrongtraditionofcollaborationaroundfoodand agricultureresearch,planning,andpolicy-makingintheregionandprovidesdecision-makers withusefultoolsthatgeneratenewinsightintosysteminteractions. UrbanFood-Energy-WaterSummit http://metrocenter.wsu.edu/metrofew-summit2016/ Who:Youareinvited!Localpolicydecisionmakers,agriculturalproducers,governmentagency personnel,NGOrepresentatives,industryrepresentatives,researchersandmembersofthe publicinterestedinthefutureoflocalfoodsystemsshouldallparticipate. Where:TheBrightwaterConventionCenter,22505StateRoute9SEWoodinville,WA98072 When:FridayNovember18,2016,Publicmorningsession8:30-11:00am Sign-uphere:http://urbanfew.brownpapertickets.com (Note:Aby-invitationafternoonbreakoutsessionandluncheonwillbeheldafterthepublic portionoftheSummitfrom11:00-4:30pm.PleasecontactLizAllen,[email protected],ifyou wouldlikeaninvitationtotheafternoonsession.) 19 4.Acknowledgements ThisworkwasmadepossiblewithfundingfromtheWSUCenterforSustainingAgricultureand NaturalResources(CSANR),theWSUCenterforEnvironmentalResearch,Educationand Outreach(CEREO),andtheStateofWashingtonWaterResourceCenter. Thankyouallofthestakeholderswhoparticipatedinthisworkthusfar!Thisreportwould notbepossiblewithoutthefollowingindividualswhogenerouslygavetheirtimetobe interviewed. Stakeholder Group Producers and Producer Affiliates Name JayMirro JoshMonaghan MaryEmbleton ColinMcCrate SiriErikson-Brown Consumer sector Respresentatives Energyand waterpolicy decision makers LeighNewman-Bell HannahCavendish Palmer ChrisCurtis ZackCook DanaGould ScottOwen DianeDempster JoannaRichey RichardMartin TedSullivan PatriceBarrentine Foodpolicy decision makers SteveEvans ScottPowell LauraBerg DaveChristenson MichaelLufkin MelissaCampbell LizUnderwoodBultmann PhyllisShulman SharonLerman RussellLehman LeifFixen Affiliation SeniorResourcePlanner,KingCountyConservationDistrict SeniorProgramManagerPlanningandStrategicInitiatives,King CountyConservationDistrict KCDRegionalFoodSystemGrantProgramManager,KingCounty ConservationDistrict Co-Founder,SeattleUrbanFarmCounty Fruitandvegetableproducer,LocalRootsFarmandSnoqualmie WatershedImprovementDistrict FarmIncubatorOutreachCoordinator,PikePlaceMarketFoundation Director,SnoqualmieValleyFarmersCooperative ExecutiveDirector,SeattleNeighborhoodFarmersMarkets MarketManager,PikePlaceMarket FoodAccessProjectCoordinator,PikePlaceMarketFoundation GroceryMerchandiser,PCCNaturalMarkets GrowerLiaison,Charlie’sProduce FormerAssistantDirector(retired),KingCountyWaterandLand ResourcesDivision ManagingSupervisor,KingCountyWaterandLandResources Division FarmlandPreservationProgramManager,KingCountyWaterand LandResourcesDivision AgPolicyProject/ProgramManager,KingCountyWaterandLand ResourcesDivision FarmSpecialist,KingCountyWaterandLandResourcesDivision EnvironmentalAnalyst,SeattleCityLightEnvironmentalAffairs PolicyDirector,WashingtonAssociationofCounties PolicyUnitSupervisor,WashingtonDepartmentofEcology LocalFoodEconomyManager,KingCountyLocalFoodInitiative AssociateDirector,PCCFarmlandTrust SeniorPlanner,PugetSoundRegionalCouncil,RegionalFoodPolicy Council FoundingMember,RegionalFoodPolicyCouncil FoodPolicyAdvisor,SeattleFoodActionPlan Director,WashingtonSustainableFood&FarmingNetwork PNWConservationProgramManager,AmericanFarmlandTrust 20 5.References Chang,H.,Jung,I.W.,Strecker,A.,Wise,D.,Lafrenz,M.,Shandas,V.,...&Johnson,G.(2013). Watersupply,demand,andqualityindicatorsforassessingthespatialdistributionofwater resourcevulnerabilityintheColumbiaRiverbasin.Atmosphere-Ocean,51(4),339-356. CityofSeattle.(2012).CityofSeattleFoodActionPlan,October2012.Retrievedfrom http://www.seattle.gov/Documents/Departments/OSE/Seattle_Food_Action_Plan_10-2412.pdf CityofSeattle.(2014).RecommendationsoftheKingCountyFarmsandFoodRoundtable, http://www.seattle.gov/Documents/Departments/OSE/FoodandFarms_Roundtable_Final_Recs _w_appendix_June_2014.pdf Eigenbrode,S.D.,Capalbo,S.M.,Houston,L.L.,Johnson-Maynard,J.,Kruger,C.,&Olen,B. (2013).Agriculture:Impacts,AdaptationandMitigation.InClimateChangeintheNorthwest (pp.149-180).IslandPress/CenterforResourceEconomics.Retrievedfrom https://www.eopugetsound.org/sites/default/files/ClimateChangeInTheNorthwest.pdf#page=1 90 KingCountyLocalFoodInitiative.(2015).KingCounty’sLocalFoodInitiative.Retrievedfrom http://your.kingcounty.gov/dnrp/local-food/documents/2015-KC-Local-Food-Report.pdf KingCountyWaterandLandResourcesDivision(WLRD)andKingCountyAgricultural Commission.(2009).2009FARMSReport:FutureofAgriculture,RealizeMeaningfulSolutions. Retrievedfromhttp://your.kingcounty.gov/dnrp/library/water-and-land/agriculture/future-offarming/farms-report-no-apdx.pdf Luce,C.H.,Abatzoglou,J.T.,&Holden,Z.A.(2013).Themissingmountainwater:Slower westerliesdecreaseorographicenhancementinthePacificNorthwestUSA.Science,342(6164), 1360-1364. PugetSoundRegionalCouncil.(2016).“PugetSoundTrends:Onourwayto4Millionpeople”. Retrievedfromhttp://www.psrc.org/assets/14735/Trend-Population-201607.pdf PugetSoundRegionalCouncil.(2014).RegionalFoodPolicyCouncil2014-2017ActionPlan. Retrievedfromhttp://www.psrc.org/assets/11958/food_policy_action_plan_10_2014.pdf Rosenzweig,C.,Elliott,J.,Deryng,D.,Ruane,A.C.,Müller,C.,Arneth,A.,...&Neumann,K. (2014).Assessingagriculturalrisksofclimatechangeinthe21stcenturyinaglobalgriddedcrop modelintercomparison.ProceedingsoftheNationalAcademyofSciences,111(9),3268-3273. 21 SeattleOfficeofPlanningandCommunityDevelopment.(2016).“AboutSeattle”.Retrieved from http://www.seattle.gov/dpd/cityplanning/populationdemographics/aboutseattle/population/ UnitedStatesDepartmentofAgriculture(USDA)NationalAgriculturalStatisticsService(NASS) CensusofAgriculture.(2012).WashingtonCountyLevelData.Retrievedfrom https://www.agcensus.usda.gov/Publications/2012/Full_Report/Volume_1,_Chapter_2_County _Level/Washington/ 22 6.Appendix:Informationanddataresources Manypreviousandongoingresearcheffortshaveaddressedquestionsaboutthecapacityof regionalagriculturetomeetSeattle-areafooddemand.Ourresearchteamisintheprocessof locatingandanalyzingexistingdataandresources.Wewelcomefurthersuggestionsabout resourcesforlearningaboutregionallanduse,waterandenergypolicies,agricultural production,processing,transportation,sales,andtrendsinconsumerbehavior.Thefollowingis alistofinformationalresourceswehavecollectedthusfar. DataType PotentialResources CountyLandUseDesignations WashingtonStateDepartmentofCommerce, FarmBureau DocumentationofWashingtonState WashingtonMunicipalResearchCenter ordinancesandregulations Dataaboutwhereproducersare PugetSoundFresh selling&agritourismoperations FoodsystemfacilitiesinKingCounty KingConservationDistrictInfrastructure MappingTool AgriculturallandusesinKing KingCountyWLRD;NationalAgricultural County,bycropandacreage StatisticsService ConsumerDemandforlocal HartmanGroup products SeattleFarmersmarketsales SeattleNeighborhoodFarmersMarkets;Pike PlaceFarmersMarkets FateoffoodproducedinKing NorthwestAgribusinessCouncil County Statusandallocationofwaterrights WashingtonDept.ofEcologyWashington WaterResourceTrackingSystem ADDITIONALREGIONALREPORTS: AmericanFarmlandTrust.(2012).PlantingtheSeeds:MovingtoMoreLocalFoodinWestern Washington. Born,B.,DeMelle,A.,Martin,K.,&Horst,M.(2012).WesternWashingtonFoodshedStudy. Retrievedfromhttp://wafoodshed.wix.com/western-wa-foodshed Collins,D.(2009).KingCountyFoodandFitnessInitiativeAgriculturalAssessment. EcoTrustOregonFoodInfrastructureGapAnalysis(2015).Retrievedfrom https://ecotrust.org/publication/regional-food-infrastructure/ Green,R.,&Cornell,J.(2015).Regionalmarketanalysisoffoodsecurityandregionalresilience: wholecommunitypreparednessthroughlocalfoodproductionanddistributionin Washingtonstate. 23
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