Zika Virus Vectors and Reservoirs Scott C. Weaver Institute for Human Infections and Immunity and Department of Microbiology and Immunology, University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston Discovery of enzootic Zika virus transmission focus, 1947-48 Discovery Timeline of Zika Virus and Human Disease • 1937-1947: Rockefeller Foundation efforts to identify the sylvatic or enzootic vector in Uganda, Yellow Fever Research Institute, Entebbe, Uganda • 1947: Caged sentinel Rhesus monkeys placed on platforms in the Zika Forest canopy. One animal developed a 39.7°F fever and Zika virus was isolated from the serum on the third day of fever via intracerebral inoculation of infant mice • 1948: Zika virus was isolated from Aedes africanus mosquitoes collected in the same forest • 1954: ZIKV was isolated from the serum of a febrile girl in Nigeria, and infection was confirmed in 2 other persons by seroconversion • 1956: Experimental human (yellow-fever vaccinated) infection confirmed flu-like illness with headache, fever, malaise, nausea • 1966: ZIKV isolated from A. aegypti mosquitoes in Malaysia • 1977: First human infections in Asia described in Indonesia Serologic Evidence of ZIKV Distribution until 2007 Serologic evidence Virus detection or confirmed human case Quartet of arboviruses in West Africa with history of urban emergence: yellow fever, dengue, chikungunya, Zika Amplification periodicity: 7-8 years except Zika A. furcifer A. taylori A. luteocephalus A. furcifer Patas, African green monkeys, Guinea baboon A. aegypti A. albopictus Emergence into the urban transmission cycle: Comparisons with DENV, CHIKV, YFV 1. Yellow fever virus: Originated in Africa, emerged into human cycles following the domestication of A. aegypti; transport of A. aegypti and infected persons aboard sailing ships, especially during to the slave trade, resulted in regular introductions into the Americas and establishment of spillback enzootic circulation (but why not in Asia?) 2. Dengue viruses: Originated in Southeast Asia, diversified into 4-5 serotypes while still in the enzootic cycle (possibly selected by immune enhancement). Enzootic spillover and emergence into the human cycles followed by transport to the Americas centuries ago; spillback of DENV-2 into an enzootic cycle in West Africa (but why not in the Americas?) 3. Chikungunya virus: Originated in Africa and emerged repeatedly into the urban cycle following the domestication of A. aegypti; transport along with infected persons aboard sailing ships resulted in regular introductions into Asia and the Americas but no documented establishment of enzootic circulation outside of Africa. J. E. Bryant, et a., PLoS Pathog 3, e75 (2007); E. Wang et al., J. Virol. 74, 3227-3234 (2000); S. M. Volk et al., J. Virology 84, 6497-6504 (2010). S. B. Halstead, Emerg Infect Dis 21, (2015). Risks for ZIKV Spillback into Permanent Enzootic Cycles Enzootic yellow fever Physical Map of the World, April 2008 Independent state Dependency or area of special sovereignty Island / island gr oup Recent chikungunya virus spread 150 Capital Kingston Navassa Island Aruba (NETH.) ST. KITTS AND NEVIS ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA Guadeloupe (FR.) (U.S.) DOMINICA Montser rat (U.K.) Martinique (FR.) ST. VINCENT AND ST. LUCIA THE GRENADINES BARBADOS Neth. Antilles (NETH.) GRENADA A N D E S VENEZUELA Islade Malpelo Cali Bogotá COLOMBIA NI GER (BRAZIL) SAO TOME AND PRINCIPE E q u a to r Libreville REP. OF THE GABON CONGO São Tome Annobon Córdoba C e r r o A c o n c a g u a ( h ig h e s tp o in tin S o u t h A m e r ic a , 6 9 6 2 m ) URUGUAY Buenos Air es Montevideo S IN A T N U O M U R A L (U.K.) Diego Garcia Glorioso Islands (adm inister ed b y FRAN CE, claim ed b y COMOROS) (FRANCE) Juan de Nova Island MOZAMBIQUE Harare Mozambique Channel Bassas da India BOTSWANA 2005-2011 Tromelin Island (FRANCE) Antananarivo MADAGASCAR (FRAN CE) K A L A H A R I D E S E R T SaintDenis Port Louis MAURITIUS Reunion (FRANCE) Europa Island (FRAN CE) Gaborone Pretoria Johannesbur g LESOTHO SOUTH AFRICA Maputo Mbabane SWAZILAND L A Y S I A - Hagåtña Guam (U.S.) C h a lle n g e rD ( w o r ld 's g r e a t e s to c e a n d e FEDERATED S PALAU OCEA N I N D Jakarta O N (AUSTL.) Cocos (Keeling) Islands E JavaSea S I L a g u n a d e lC a r b ó n ( lo w e s tp o in tin S o u t h A m e ric a a n d t h eW e s t e r n H e m is p h e r e ,1 0 5 m ) Arafura Sea TIMOR-LESTE Ashmore and Cartier Islands Port Moresby Timor Sea Gulf of Carpentaria (AUSTL.) Re ef T r o p ic o fC a p ric o rn ( 2 3 ° 2 7 ') Alice Springs A U S T R A L I A G E L a k e E y r e ( lo w e s tp o in tin A u s t r a lia ,1 5 m ) G R E A TV IC T O R IA D E S E R T Maseru Durban Perth Canberra A u s t r a lia ,2 2 2 9 m ) Melbourne Tasman Se Tasmania French Sout hern and Ant arctic Lands (FRANCE) PRINCE EDWARD ISLANDS (SOUTH AFRIC A) ÎLES CROZET (Fr. S. and Ant. Lands) AUCKLAND ISLANDS (N.Z.) ÎLES KERGUELEN (Fr. S. and Ant. Lands) Stanley Heard Island and McDonald Islands Bouvet Island (NORWAY) ScotiaSea Campb Islan (AUSTL.) Macquarie Island (AUSTL.) South Georgia and t he South Sandwich Islands (administer ed by U.K., claimed b y ARGENTINA) SOUTH ORKNEY ISLANDS SOUT HERN OCEAN SOUT HERN OCEAN SOUT HERN OCEAN A n ta r c tic C ir c le ( 6 6 ° 3 3 ') AmeryIce Shelf BellingshausenSea Weddell Sea AmundsenSea Ross Sea Ross Sea 120 * A n ta rc tic a Ronne Ice Shelf + V in s o n M a s s if ( h ig h e s tp o in tin A n t a r c t ic a ,4 8 9 7 m ) Ross IceShelf Ross Ice Shelf 90 60 30 Sydney M o u n tK o s c iu s z k o ( h ig h e s tp o in tin Great Australian Bight ÎleAmsterdam (Fr. S. and Ant. Lands) ÎleSaint-Paul (Fr. S. and Ant. Lands) (St. Helena) Falkland Islands (Islas Mal vinas) (administer ed by U.K., claimed b y ARGENTINA) Drake Passage B PAPUA NEW GUIN Dili ( d e e p e s tp o in to ft h e I n d ia n O c e a n ,7 2 5 8 m ) (AUSTL.) A BandaSea Surabaya T Bandung R E N C H Christmas Island Cape Town Punta Arenas 150 - IS LA PA N DS N) Saipan CelebesSea Gough Island 60 A n ta r c tic C ir c le ( 6 6 ° 3 3 ') I N DI A N TRISTAN DA CUNHA (St. Helena) E G ID R S E D N A ARGENTINA G O N A T IA A P Santiago MALAWI (FR.) (U.K.) (U.S.) BRUNEI Melekeok a rri er B CHILE Mayotte Lilongwe ZIMBABWE NAMIBIA Windhoek Walvis Bay St. Helena British Indian Ocean Territory Dar es Salaam Moroni Lusaka OCEAN T R E S E D 30 ARCHIPIÉLAGO JUAN FERNÁNDEZ (CHILE) St. Helena IB M A N (BRAZIL) (BRAZIL) Kuala Lumpur M A Northern Mariana Islands Sea Singapore SINGAPORE 1879-1956 Victoria Lake Nyasa COMOROS (St. Helena) Martin Vaz Trindade Medan Mogadishu M t .K ilim a n ja ro ( h ig h e s tp o in tin A f r ic a ,5 8 9 5 m ) Dodoma TANZANIA SEYCHELLES ATLANTI C Belo Horizonte Rio de Janeir o São Paulo Pôrto Alegre Philippine SPRATLY ISLANDS Nairobi BURUNDI Namibe Asunción K PHILIPPINES re at G Brasília PARAGUAY U Bandar Seri Begawan Male MALDIVES KENYA Lake Victoria Bujumbur a Lake Tanganyika ZAMBIA SRI LANKA Y Ho Chi Minh City NICOBAR ISLANDS (INDIA) A V A J SOUTH M ID -A T IC L T A N R T S E E AD M A C A T A Isla San Felíx (CHILE) Isla San Ambrosio (CHILE) Isla Sala y Gómez (CHILE) SOMALIA 2004 UGANDA Kampala Colombo SouthChina Sea CAMBODIA Phnom Penh Gulf of Thailand Andaman Sea Manila VIETNAM Bangkok ANDAMAN ISLANDS (INDIA) Chennai Laccadive Sea Luanda Lubumbashi BOLIVIA T r o p ic o fC a p ric o rn ( 2 3 ° 2 7 ') R Bengaluru PARACEL ISLANDS THAILAND (INDIA) RWANDA Kigali REPUBLIC Okinawa Taiwan S.A.R. Hainan Dao Rangoon LAKSHADWEEP Y E L L East China Sea Taipei Hong Kong LuzonStrait Macau S.A.R. Gulf of Vientiane Tonkin Bengal ETHIOPIA OF THE CONGO Kinshasa (Cabinda) (St. Helena) Salvador Lago Titicaca La Paz (YEMEN) Yokohama Shanghai Wuhan Hanoi LAOS Nay Pyi Taw - Hyderabad Arabian Sea Socotra Djibouti Tokyo - saka O Pusan Chongqing Mandalay BURMA I NDI A ID R N A E C NO M ID IA D -IN N E R T D N A E IL H -C U R E P C H SOUTH PACI FI C OCEAN Po l y n e s i a (FRANCE) Easter Island (CHILE) DJIBOUTI Gulf of Aden ANGOLA E S ÎLES TUBUAI Pitcair n Islands (U.K.) L a c 'A s s a l ( lo w e s tp o in tin A f ric a , 1 5 5 m ) Addis Ababa Brazzaville ANGOLA Ascension Lima SUDAN Chengdu JAPAN Seoul SOUTH KOREA Thimphu Kolkata Dhaka - Ahmadabad Bayof Sanaa Yellow Sea BANGLADESH ¯ Karachi Muscat OMAN YEMEN Asmara DEMOCRATIC (EQUA. GUI.) (BRAZIL) Fortaleza Cook Islands Kathmandu Kanpur OMAN Abu Dhabi UNITED ARAB EMIRATES I L A H K L 'A B U R ERITREA Khartoum CHAD Niamey ARQUIPÉLAGO DE FERNANDO DE NOR ONHA Belém B RA Z I L New Delhi PAKISTAN Persian Gulf ARABIA Jiddah Mumbai Tombouct ou SENEGAL 2013-2015 Manaus PERU BAHRAIN Manama Doha Riyadh QATAR SÃO PEDRO E SÃO PAULO ECUADOR KUWAIT Kuwait SAUDI Red Sea Banjul BURKINA Bamako FASO THE GAMBIA Bissau Ouagadougou N'Djamena GUINEA GUINEA-BISSAU BENIN NIGERIA Conakry Abuja CÔTE TOGO Freetown D'IVOIRE GHANA SIERRA Yamoussoukr o CENTRAL LEONE Lagos Lomé AFRICAN REPUBLIC Accra Monrovia PortoAbidjan CAMEROON LIBERIA Novo Bangui Malabo Yaoundé EQUATORIAL GUINEA PENEDOS DE Gulf of Guinea Georgetown Paramaribo GUYANA French Guiana (FRANCE) SURINAME Cayenne Lahore JORDAN MA L I CAPE VERDE Dakar I RA N e a d S e a ( lo w e s tp o in tin A s ia ,4 0 8 m ) Jerusalem D Cairo E G Y PT S AH A R A Quito Guayaquil 2005-2015 Amman ISRAEL Alexandria L I B YA Laayoune (El Aaiún) H M t .E v e r e s t IM ( h ig h e s tp o in tin A s ia A a n d t h e w o r ld ,8 8 5 0 m ) L A Y A S BHUTAN NEPAL occupied b y the SOVIET administer ed by RUSSI Seaof NORTH KOREA Japan Pyongyang Tianjin 2008-2015 CHI NA Line of Actual Contr ol ¯ Islamabad Sappor o Shenyang Beijing D E S E R T Indian claim 1972 Line of Contr ol Kabul AFGHANISTAN MAURITANIA T R E S E D T A K L A M A K A N Dushanbe TAJIKISTAN Ashgabat Mashhad IRAQ Baghdad I B O G Bishkek KYRGYZSTAN Tashkent TURKMENISTAN Tehran SYRIA Damascus H C N E R T E IN P IP IL H P Isladel Coco (COSTA RICA) (ECUADOR) Beirut A L G E RI A 2010 Praia Baku ¯ LEB. CYPRUS (GR.) Western Sahara TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO Caracas Medellín ARMENIA AZERBAIJAN Yerevan Aleppo Nicosia Crete KURIL ISLANDS MO NG O L I A Ürümqi UZBEKISTAN Tbilisi T U RK E Y Athens MediterraneanSea Khabar ovsk Ulaanbaatar Aral Sea C A U C A Caspian S U SM Sea T S . ( lo w e s tp o in tin E u r o p e ,2 8 m ) GEORGIA Ankara · Izmir GREECE Valletta Tripoli CANARY ISLANDS (SP.) G o r a E l'b r u s ( h ig h e s tp o in tin E u r o p e, 5 6 3 3 m ) Seaof Azov BULGARIA Skopje Istanbul KOS. ALB. MACEDONIA (IT.) MALTA Rabat Sakhalin A L T A Y M T S . LakeBalkhash BlackSea Sofia Pristina Tirana (IT.) Sicily Nouakchott Port-of-Spain Maracaibo San José GALAPAGOS ISLANDS MONT. Rome Sardinia Tunis TUNISIA (SP.) Casablanca Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskiy Irkutsk Astana K A ZA K HSTA N SER. arajevo ITALY SPodgorica VATICAN CIT Y (FR.) BALEARIC ISLANDS (SP.) Algiers Gibralt ar(U.K.) Melilla MADEIRA ISLANDS (PORT.) Caribbean Sea COSTA RICA Panama PANAMA ÎLES MARQUISES ( F r .P o ly .) BOS. & HER. MARINO Corsica Barcelona SPAIN Ceuta (SP.) E G D Samara Seaof Okhotsk M H A C R N IA E R N AT M ilw a u k e eD e e p ( d e e p e s tp o in to ft h e A t la n t ic O c e a n ,8 6 0 5 m ) British Virgin Islands (U.K.) Anguilla (U.K.) HAITI Santo Puerto Domingo Rico (U.S.) E q u a to r Sea Lake Baikal Novosibir sk Omsk Kharkiv V A JAMAICA GUATEMALA HONDURAS Tegucigalpa Guatemala San Salvador NICARAGUA EL SALVADOR Managua (FRANCE) Chukchi Yekaterinbur g O (U.K.) Port-au- DOMINICAN REPUBLIC Prince (U.K.) BELIZE Belmopan Clipper ton Island Madrid PORTUGAL Lisbon AZORES (PORT.) I MOROCCO Turks and Caicos Islands CUBA Cayman Is. Puebla Moscow Minsk T SHO AP AN) PO(J NAM OCEAN Havana Mexico LAT. LITH. Vilnius Bering Nizhniy Novgorod Riga U MONACO Marseille ANDORRA THE BAHAMAS Nassau Miami Gulf of Mexico Guadalajar a Baltic Sea RUSSIA Yakutsk Y (FRAN CE) NORTH ATLANTI C Bermuda MEXICO (U.S.) Adamstown St. Pier re and Miquelon Boston Washington, D.C. Houston Monterr ey Wrangel Island East SiberianSea S I BE RI A R U S S I A ( JA N IA H C A L A P P A (U.K.) Palmyra Atoll (U.S.) (Fr. Poly.) Montréal LakeOntario S IN A T N U O New York M Philadelphia LakeErie Atlanta Dallas Jarvis Island 2007 DENMARK Copenhagen Saint Petersburg N IN E T Y E A S T R ID G E Toronto Detroit Chicago Denver Kingman Reef (U.S.) ARCHIPEL DES TUAMO TU (Fr. Poly.) Lake Michigan Minneapolis UNI TED Helsinki Tallinn EST. Isle of Dublin Man (U.K.) POLAND Hamburg BELARUS IRELAND KINGDOM Amsterdam Warsaw NETH. Berlin London Kyiv GERMANY Brussels Prague Celtic Guer nse y(U.K.) Luxembour g U K RA I N E BELGIUM CZECH REP. Sea Jer sey (U.K.) SLOVAKIA LUX. Paris Bratislava Vienna MOLDOVA LIECH. SWITZ. AUSTRIA Budapest Chi sinau FRANCE S HUNGARY P SLOVENIA Bern L ROMANIA Odesa A Ljubljana Bayof CROATIA Belgrade Zagreb Milan SAN Bucharest Biscay Island of Newfoundland STATES North Sea UNITED Belfast Gulf of St.Lawrence Lake Huron Ottawa FINLAND Gulf of Bothnia Stockholm Lake Winnipeg Tijuana ISLAS REVILLAGIGEDO (MEXICO) White Sea SWEDEN (DEN.) Oslo Labrador Sea Lake Superior (U.S.) F r e n c h Tórshavn Rockall R IF T D e a t h V a lle y ( lo w e s tp o in tin N o r t h A m e ric a ,8 6 m ) 180 ARCTICOCEAN NEW SIBERIAN ISLANDS LaptevSea A r c tic C ir c le ( 6 6 ° 3 3 ') NORWAY Faroe Islands Reykjavík Edmonton T r o p ic o fC a n c e r( 2 3 ° 2 7 ') Papeete (NORWAY) ICELAND Denmark Strait Nuuk (Godthåb) (U.K.) Los Angeles Honolulu (Fr. Poly.) 150 120 SEVERNAYA ZEMLYA Norwegian Sea Jan Mayen Davis Strait Hudson Bay CANADA S IN A T N U O M San Francisco HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SOCIETY ISLANDS 90 KaraSea NOVAYA ZEMLYA (NORWAY) G R E A T Y K C O R NORTH Johnston Atoll 60 FRANZ JOSEF LAND Svalbard BarentsSea Baffin Island Great SlaveLake 30 (N.Z.) (DENMARK) Vancouver Seattle (U.S.) 30 Longyearbyen Greenland Bay Great Bear Lake Whitehor se Gulf of Alaska PACI FI C Niue (N.Z.) 0 ARCTIC OCEAN Greenland Sea Baffin A r c tic C ir c le ( 6 6 ° 3 3 ') U. S. M t .M c K in le y ( h ig h e s tp o in tin N o rt h A m e ric a ,6 1 9 4 m ) Anchor age OCEAN Kiritimati (Christmas Island) (KIRIBATI) 30 ISLANDS Banks Island Victoria Island LANDS N IS ALEUTIA K I R I B A T I 60 Ellesmere Island QUEEN ELIZABETH Beaufort Sea Barrow 60 0 90 120 ARCTICOCEAN Scale 1:35,000,000 Robinson Projection standard parallels 38°N and 38°S R B e r m u d a M ID -A TL A N T IC AUSTRALIA Sicily / AZORES O N A L IP T L A • Yellow fever virus: ½ (Americas but not Asia) • Dengue viruses: ½ (Africa for DENV-2, none detected in the Americas) • CHIKV: 0/2 (none detected in Asia or the Americas) • Zika virus? No direct evidence in Asia but virtually surveillance But independent enzootic circulation is difficult to distinguish from temporary spillback unless sufficient genetic divergence between enzootic and human strains is detected, or epizootics in nonhuman primates 0 30 60 90 120 150 180 (N.Z Phylogenetic Tree of Zika Virus Strains BR/ZIKV/BeH815744/2015 Zika Virus probably originated in Africa BR/ZIKV/BeH818995/2015 BR/ZIKV/BeH819966/2015 SR/ZIKV/Z1106033/2015 BR/ZIKV/BeH819015/2015 PR/ZIKV/PRVABC59/2015 GT/ZIKV/103344/2015 Americas, 2015 GT/ZIKV/8375/2015 BR/ZIKV/Natal_RGN/2015 HT/ZIKV/1225/2014 Asian/Am erican lineage BR/ZIKV/SPH2015/2015 French Polynesia, 2013 Cambodia, 2010 FM/ZIKV/MICRONESIA/2007 Yap, 2007 MY/ZIKV/P6_740/1966 Malaysia, 1966 PF/ZIKV/HPF/2013 KH/ZIKV/FSS13025/2009 SN/ZIKV/DakArD7117/1968 SN/ZIKV/DakAr41519/1984 SN/DakAr41671/1984 SN/ZIKV/DakAr41525/1984 SN/ZIKV/DakAr41662/1984 SN/ZIKV/DakAr41666/1984 SN/ZIKV/DakArD128000/1997 NG/ZIKV/IBH30656/1968 African lineage CF/ZIKV/DakArB13565/1976 CF/ZIKV/DakArB7701/? CF/ZIKV/DaKArB15076/? SN/ZIKV/DakArD157995/2001 UG/ZIKV/MR766/1947 NG/SPOV/CHUKU/1952 ZA/SPOV/SM6_V1/? SN/KEDV/DakArD14701/1972 0.2 African sister flaviviruses Historic and Recent History of Zika Virus Spread and Epidemics 2015 2007 2013 2015 2015 2007 2014 Outbreaks Serologic evidence Virus detection or confirmed human case 2013 2014 Hypotheses For the Recent ZIKV Emergence 1. ZIKV underwent adaptive evolution to enhance infectivity of urban Aedes (Stegomyia) spp. vectors (like chikungunya virus, in which the Indian Ocean lineage underwent a series of A. albopictus-adaptive mutations from 2005-2009. 2. ZIKV underwent adaptive evolution to enhance human viremia (which would not only enhance transmission efficiency, but could increase the risk of transplacental fetal transmission). 3. The stochastic introduction of ZIKV into naïve populations in the South Pacific allowed for sufficient levels of amplification to facilitate the introduction into Brazil (assisted by increased global travel, expansion of tropical cities and A. aegypti populations; i.e. no change or difference among ZIKV strains in epidemic potential or virulence). The Cape Verde epidemic, with A. aegypti transmission, if confirmed to be caused by an African ZIKV lineage strain, would support hypothesis 3. K. A. Tsetsarkin et al., Nature Comm 5, 4084 (2014). Why have major outbreaks of ZIKV infection never been detected in Africa or Asia? 1. Epidemics occur in Africa and Asia but remain undetected due to difficulty in clinical diagnosis and lack of specific diagnostics for flaviviruses 2. Relatively constant levels of enzootic spillover and/or endemic human-mosquito-human transmission result in relatively constant levels of infection that remain undetected due to lack of surveillance and ZIKV diagnostics; microcephaly could also be overlooked under these circumstances or be rare due to immunity in women of child-bearing age 3. ZIKV strains in Africa and Asia that did not undergo vector- or human-adaptive evolution have lower efficiency of transmission and epidemic potential (<R0) Acknowledgements Rubing Chen, Robert Tesh, Nikos Vasilakis Kathy Hanley Derek Cummings Ben Althouse Amadou Sall Doug Watts Mawlouth Diallo Funding: NIH-NIAID R01-AI069145, R01-AI071192, R01-AI48807
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