Proceedings of Clima 2007 WellBeing Indoors Household Energy Consumption under Different Lifestyles Wee-Kean Fong1, Hiroshi Matsumoto1, Yu-Fat Lun2 and Ryushi Kimura1 1 2 Toyohashi University of Technology, Japan Tohoku University, Japan Corresponding email: [email protected] SUMMARY This study investigated the impacts of lifestyle in terms of family patterns, life schedules and climate factors upon household energy consumption, as well as to unfold the main causes of household energy consumption under various climatic lifestyles. Based on the findings of the previous studies, it was assumed that space heating, cooling, lighting and entertainment/media equipments usages are the major lifestyle and climate related sources of household energy consumption. Based on these aspects, together with the typical life schedules of different occupation groups, climatic data and typical family patterns, lifestyles related household energy consumptions were calculated for Hokkaido (cool temperate climate), Saitama Prefecture (temperate climate) and Kogoshima Prefecture (varies from temperate to subtropical climates) of Japan, for years 2005, 2010, 2015, 2020 and 2025. The results confirmed that regional basis lifestyles in terms of family patterns, life schedules and climate factors are significant in dictating the household energy consumption trends. INTRODUCTION The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has predicted a rise in the average global surface temperature of about 2°C between 1990 and 2100, and the average sea level is also projected to rise by about 50cm over the same period [1]. The projected climate changes are expected to result in significant adverse impacts on ecological systems and socioeconomic sectors. In view of the continued rise of greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations in the atmosphere, which may lead to dangerous interference with the climate system, the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) sets an ultimate objective of stabilizing GHG concentrations in the atmosphere. Under the Kyoto Protocol, the participating developed countries are committed to reduce their GHG emissions on an average of about 5% by the target years of 2008 to 2012 [2]. GHG emission is closely related to energy consumption. Based on the projection by the International Energy Outlook 2006, world carbon dioxide emission from the consumption of fossil fuels is expected to grow at an average rate of 2.1 percent per year from 2003 to 2030 [3]. The world CO2 emission from the consumption of fossil fuels is predicted to increase from less than 20,000 million metric tons in 2003, to more than 40,000 million metric tons by 2030, as shown in Figure 1. Hence, in handling GHG emission issue, energy consumption should firstly be looked into. ! "#$%&' ! "#$%&' ! "#$%&' Figure 1. World CO2 emissions from energy use, 1990-2030 [3] Proceedings of Clima 2007 WellBeing Indoors In response to the above issues, the present authors had previously undertaken a study to investigate the urban energy consumption trends [4]. The said study was based on an integrated approach to investigate the embodied urban energy consumption over a period of 50 years using the System Dynamic model (SD model). The study found that household energy consumption and lifestyle aspects are among the significant factors in dictating the overall urban energy consumptions trend. The current study is a continuous work from the previous investigation and it was focusing on understanding of the interrelations between household energy consumption, lifestyle and climate factors. In Japan, there are a number of existing researches on household energy consumption and lifestyle. However, little has been done in cogitating about the effects of lifestyle in terms of family patterns and life schedules of family members on household energy consumption. In view of these shortfalls, the purpose of this study is to shed new light on the impacts of lifestyle (in terms of family patterns and life schedules) and climate factors (under different climate zones of Japan) upon household energy consumption. In most the previous studies on lifestyle and household energy consumption, questionnaire survey and long-term on-site monitoring/measurement methods were commonly used. Despite the better accuracy of data, the disadvantages of these methods are that they are very costly and time consuming. This study thus stressed to estimate the lifestyle related household energy consumption using on the existing life schedule data, which is low cost and time saving, and yet able to provide reasonably accurate estimate of energy consumption. The objectives of the study are to understand the effects of family pattern, life schedule and climate aspects on household energy consumption. METHODS N The climate of Japan is predominantly temperate, but Hokkaido due to the large north-south extension of the country, the climate varies strongly in different regions. Generally, northern Japan is experiencing cooltemperate climate, central Japan is temperate, while southern Japan is under sub-tropical climate. In order Tokyo to understand the differences in domestic energy Saitama consumption patterns under different climatic Prefecture characteristics, the case study was divided into three parts according to the climate zones i.e. Hokkaido for Kogoshima cool-temperate zone, Saitama Prefecture for temperate Prefecture zone, while Kagoshima Prefecture is experiencing climates that varies from temperate to sub-tropical. (cf. Figure 2. Locations of case study areas Figure 2). Figure 3 outlines the study methodology of the current investigation. From the literature review, it was pointed out in the previous studies [5,6,7] that space heating, cooling, lighting, electronic entertainment/media equipments and hot water supply are the major sources of household energy consumption. The current study adopted these factors as the major lifestyle and climate related sources of household energy consumption, however, hot water supply was excluded in this study due to absence of life schedule data on this aspect (hereinafter, household energy consumption by space heating, cooling, lighting and entertainment/media equipments shall be referred as ‘lifestyle related household energy consumption’). Proceedings of Clima 2007 WellBeing Indoors Identification of main lifestyle and climate related sources of household energy consumption (heating, cooling, lighting, entertainment/media usages) Life schedule Durations of: Staying at home Sleeping & non-sleeping time Electronic media/entertainment equipment usage Family pattern Climatic lifestyle General and elderly families of Single-member Husband-wife Husband-wife-child compositions Lifestyles in: Heating Cooling Lighting Estimate of main lifestyle and climate related household energy consumption, 2005-2025 Northern Japan: Hokkaido Central Japan: Saitama Prefecture Southern Japan: Kagoshima Pref. Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4 Scenario 3 Scenario 4 Scenario 3 Scenario 4 Note: Details of Scenarios 1, 2, 3 and 4 are described in Table 1. Figure 3. Study methodology As mentioned above, the purpose of this study was to investigate the impacts of life schedule, family pattern and climate factors on household energy consumption. For this reason, detailed analysis had been carried out on these three aspects. For the life schedules, typical life schedules of people of different occupation groups (working groups, housewives, retirees, students, children below schooling age) were identified based on the life schedule survey by the Japan Broadcasting Corporation in 2005, on 12,600 respondents throughout Japan [8]. In this study, the extracted data include the average durations of time staying at home, sleeping & non-sleeping times and for media/entertainment equipment usages (television, radio, CD/MD/cassette player and video). Based on the above life schedule data and climatic information (sourced from the Japan Meteorological Agency and National Astronomical Observatory of Japan), as well as other relevant studies [5,7] together with necessary assumptions, typical trends of heating, cooling, lighting and media/entertainment equipment usages under the three climate zones were determined. )(*((( For family pattern, based on the projection by the .-*((( .,*((( Japan National Institute of Population and Social CB B .+*((( B Security Research, cf. Figure 4, it was predicted that @A .)*((( >? =< .(*((( by the year 2025, about 79.5% of the families in ; : :8 -*((( Japan would be in the categories of single-member 89 ,*((( 7 +*((( family (i.e. 1 person), husband-wife family (i.e. 2 )*((( ( people) and husband-wife-child family (i.e. 3 /000 /001 /0 20 /021 /0/0 /0/1 3456 people) [9]. Also, it was projected that the DEFGHIJKLMNO DEFGHIJKLMNOKPQ MRJ SMITRO UHVOIWKPQ MRJ SMITROKXOXGOV YWQOVF proportion of population age 65 and above will increase from 19.9% in 2005 to 24.4% in 2025, and Figure 4. Japanese family patterns [9] 35.7% by 2050 [10]. Based on this information, this study focused on these three family groups and the elderly family groups for the estimate and analysis of household energy consumptions. Based on the above data and assumptions, typical lifestyles related household energy consumptions were estimated for Hokkaido, Saitama Prefecture and Kagoshima Prefecture, Proceedings of Clima 2007 WellBeing Indoors for years 2005, 2010, 2015, 2020 and 2025. The projections were carried out according to the official household projection data of each region [10]. The assumptions for energy consumption rates were based on the typical energy consumption rates of the relevant household electrical appliances in Japan, as well as reference to the household energy consumption survey carried out by the Architectural Institute of Japan (AIJ) [5]. The projections for lifestyle related household energy consumption were carried out for four scenarios as described in Table 1. Under these projections, it was assumed that there is no change of energy efficiency and no extra energy saving effort as compared to the present trend. Table 1. Projection scenarios Scenarios Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4 Descriptions Projection based on the existing typical lifestyles and the official population projection statistical data [10]. Instead of the official household projection data, it was assuming that the proportion of family groups in year 2005 to be remained unchanged over the projection period, while population growth was based on the official projection data [10] as in Scenario 1, and other factors as per Scenario 1. Instead of being housewives in the traditional Japanese families, this scenario assumed that the proportion of working women would be increased, while other factors as per Scenario 1. It is assuming that the average daily working hours of the working groups would be reduced by 1 hour over the projection period, while other factors as per Scenario 1. RESULTS Before presenting the analysis results, it is necessary to describe the trends of population and household growths in the three chosen case study areas. The 2005 populations of Hokkaido, Saitama Prefecture and Kagoshima Prefecture were about 5.7, 6.9 and 1.8 millions respectively. Projection by the Japan National Institute of Population and Social Security Research shows that the population of Hokkaido and Kagoshima Prefecture will gradually drop over the next 20 years, while in Saitama Prefecture, the population will slightly grow until 2015 then decrease gradually [10], cf. Figure 5. c\ZZZ b\ZZZ a ZZZ ts \ ss ` ZZZ \ qr p oni _\ZZZ lmk j ^\ZZZ hi ]\ZZZ [\ZZZ Z defg ]ZZ` ]Z[Z uvwwxyzv ]Z[` {xy|x}x ]Z]Z ]Z]` ~xvy}x Figure 5. Population projections for Hokkaido, Saitama Prefecture and Kagoshima Prefecture [10] In the next 20 years time, as shown in Figure 6, the number of single-member families (SM) and husband-wife families (HW) will increase steadily, while the number of husband-wifechild families (HWC) will continue to drop in all these three regions. It must also be noted that the proportion of elderly families are projected to increase significantly, particularly in the single-member family and husband-wife family sectors. Projection shows that the family pattern in Japan is moving towards small family’s direction, whereby the single-member families and husband-wife families will constitute more than 50% of the overall Japanese families by the year 2025. Proceedings of Clima 2007 WellBeing Indoors ¡ ¢£ ¤¥ ¤¥¦ ¢£§¨ ¤¥§¨ ¤¥¦§¨ ® ª©© ® ª©© ÑÍÍ ® ©©© ® ©©©ÁÀ ÀÀ ¿ ©©¾¼½ »º ¸¹ ¬©© ¼½ÅÄ ¼Ã «©©  ·µ µ¶ ª©© ´ ÐÎÍ ÁÀ ÀÀ ©© ¾¿ ½ »¼º ¬©© ¸¹ ·µ ¶ «©© ´µ ª©© © °±²³ª©©© ÆÇ ÈÉ ª©©¯ ÈÉÊ ª©®© ª©®¯ ÆÇËÌ ª©ª© æÍÍ ãâ åÍÍ ââ àá ÎÍÍ ÞÝßÜ ÚÛ äÍÍ Þßëê ÑÍÍ èÞé Ù ÐÍÍ ×Ø Ö× ÏÍÍ ãâ ââ ÐÍÍ àá ÞÝßÜ ÏÎÍ ÚÛ Ù× Ø ÏÍÍ Ö× ÎÍ © ª©ª¯ ÈÉËÌ çÍÍ ÈÉÊËÌ Hokkaido Saitama Prefecture SM: single-member family, HW: husband-wife family, HWC: husband-wife-child family, HW-E: elderly husband-wife family, HWC-E: elderly parent husband-wife-child family Í ÒÓÔÕ ÐÍÍÍ ÐÍÍÎ ÐÍÏÍ ÐÍÏÎ ìí îï îïð ìíñò ÐÍÐÍ ÐÍÐÎ îïñò Í îïðñò Kagoshima Prefecture SM-E: elderly single-member family, Figure 6. Household growth trends of Hokkaido, Saitama Prefecture and Kagoshima Prefecture, 2000-2025 [10] Singlemember family 2-member family 3-member family Figure 7 illustrates the calculation results of the ùóôóó typical lifestyle related household energy øõôóó consumption (per household per year) of different øóôóó family patterns in northern, central and southern ÷õôóó ÷óôóó Japan. Validation of results has been done by öõôóó comparison with the residential energy öóôóó consumption survey conducted by AIJ [5]. This õôóó óôóó data were used as the basis for the analysis in this ú û úú úü ûû úúý úüþ úüý ûûú ÿ study. This figure indicated three energy ! "#$#! % !#& "#$#! '( ! "#$#! consumption trends that worth mentioning, (1) working, R: retiree, WW: both working, WH: working households with retirees or housewives generally W: husband & housewife, RR: both retirees, WWS: working consume more energy due to longer hours staying parent & schooling child, WHB: working husband, housewife & child below schooling age, WHS: working husband, at home, (2) northern Japanese households housewife & schooling child, RRW: retiree parents & generally consume more energy due to space working child heating and lighting needs, and (3) the bigger the Figure 7. Typical lifestyle related family, the higher the energy consumption is household energy consumption for each expected but the per person energy consumption family 1) < D C rate is obviously less. 0) 9 C < B 9 A =? > 9 : @ ? > 9 =< ; : 9 8 7 6 K J I BH ? 7; G F @ : B ? E /) .) Figure 8 presents the calculated results of total -) lifestyle related household energy consumption ,) +) for Hokkaido, Saitama Prefecture and Kagoshima *) Prefecture (for all households of each region) ) under Scenario 1. This scenario serves as the +) *. +)+) +)+. 2345 +)*) LMNNOPQM ROPSOTO UOVMWXPTO reference case for Scenarios 2, 3 and 4. Despite the expected continuous decrease of population in Figure 8. Lifestyle related household energy consumption under Scenario 1 Hokkaido and Kagoshima Prefecture, the total (based on official household projection data) lifestyle related household energy consumption increases until 2015 and 2020 respectively. For Saitama Prefecture, the population is expected to drop after 2015, cf. Figure 5, but the total lifestyle related household energy consumption will increase until 2020. The increase of energy consumption despite population drop is mainly attributed to the reduction of family sizes and growth of elderly households. The calculated results also show that energy consumption in Hokkaido is higher compared to the southern regions. It is basically due to energy consumption for heating. Similar findings were also showed in the residential energy consumption survey carried out by AIJ [5]. Another reason of higher energy consumption in the northern regions was the energy consumption for lighting. In Hokkaido, generally more than half of a year the sunset time is earlier than 6.00pm, while in Kagoshima it is only about 3 months. Proceedings of Clima 2007 WellBeing Indoors Figure 9 shows the calculated results of Scenario 2 in comparison to Scenario 1. Under Scenario 2, the energy consumption was calculated based on the assumption that the 2005’s family pattern (the proportions of each family group) will remain unchanged over the projection period. It is obvious that the energy consumption would be significantly reduced if there is no change of family pattern. Under the official household projection, the shares of single-member families and husband-wife families will significantly increase in future (cf. Figure 6). The reduction of family size results in higher energy consumption because of higher per-person energy consumption rate and increased number of households/residential units. The result concludes that family size has inverse relation with household energy consumption. In the case of Hokkaido, under Scenario 1, the energy consumption increases until 2015 but under Scenario 2, the energy consumption consistently drops over the projection period. The huge different of energy consumption under Scenarios 1 and 2 in Hokkaido was because of drastic drop of husband-wife-child families and significant increase of the share of single-member families under Scenario 1. `Z[\\ `\[\\ ^_[\\ uv gmt ^^[\\ srq ^][\\ p o gn ^Z[\\ lm ^\[\\ k ijh Y_[\\ fg Y^[\\ Y][\\ YZ[\\ bcde Z\a\ Z\aY wxcydez{ a Z\Z\ wxcydez{ Z ]Z[\\ ]a[\\ ]\[\\ uv |}[\\ gt srmq |_[\\ p |`[\\ o gn |^[\\ lm jik |Y[\\ h |][\\ fg ||[\\ |Z[\\ |a[\\ Z\ZY bcde Z\a\ Hokkaido Z\aY wxcydez{ a Z\Z\ wxcydez{ Z ~ ~~ ~ ~ Z\ZY Saitama Prefecture Kagoshima Prefecture Figure 9. Lifestyle related household energy consumption under Scenario 2 (assuming that the family pattern of year 2005 remains unchanged) It was indicated previously in Figure 7 that households with housewives generally consumed more energy because of longer hours staying at home. Scenario 3 attempts to validate this statement. Under this scenario, energy consumption was calculated based on increased proportion of working women (reduced proportion of housewives), which results in shorter duration of energy usage for heating, cooling and lighting. As shown in Figure 10, regardless of energy consumption at the workplace, increased proportion of working women will reduce the household energy consumption. ¦¥ ¤ £ § ¢ ~ ¢ ¡ ¥¦ ¤ £ § Hokkaido ¡ ÉÊ È¿ Ǻ ÀÁ Æ¿ »º à » ¹ ½ ÅĿà ÍÌ ÂË ÁÀ ¹ ¾¿ ½¼ »º ¸¹ ¡ ¡~ ¡¢ ¡ ¡ ¡ ¯«©¯« ¯«©«« ¡ Saitama Prefecture ¨©¨« ¨©®« ¨©« ¨©¬« ¨©ª« ´µ¶· °±²± °±²³ °±°± ÎÏÐÑÒÓÔÕ Ö ÎÏÐÑÒÓÔÕ × °±°³ Kagoshima Prefecture Figure 10. Lifestyle related household energy consumption under Scenario 3 (increased proportion of working women) Scenario 4 calculates the lifestyle related household energy consumption under assumption of reduced working hours. The Japanese Government is presently encouraging people to reduce working hours and spend more time with family at home. This scenario investigates its impact on household energy consumption if the average working hours of the working groups were reduced by one hour per day. The calculated results obtained (cf. Figure 11) shows that reduced working hour will result in increase of household energy consumption. It is because Proceedings of Clima 2007 WellBeing Indoors longer hours at home mean spending more household energy, particularly on space heating, cooling and lighting. ¥¦ ¤ £ § ¢ ßáÚÛÛ ¢ ßàÚÛÛ úûüñ ùì òó øñ íì õ í ë ï ÷öñõ ÿþ ôý òëó ðñ îíï ì êë ¢ ~ ¢ Hokkaido #$ " ! '& % ßÛÚÛÛ ØÞÚÛÛ ØÝÚÛÛ ØÜÚÛÛ ØÙÚÛÛ æçèé âãäã çèé ä âãäå âãâã çèé âãâå Saitama Prefecture ()*+, ()*+, - Kagoshima Prefecture Figure 11. Lifestyle related household energy consumption under Scenario 4 (reduced working hours) DISCUSSION From the above results, it can be inferred that lifestyles in terms of life schedule and family pattern, and climate factors have significant effect in predominating over the household energy consumption trends. In most of the previous studies on lifestyle and household energy consumption found in literature, the focuses were put on the energy saving potential by practicing energy saving smart lifestyle in term of the usage of energy consuming household appliances. However, it is difficult to get long-term cooperation from all households. For example, in the survey conducted by AIJ [5], the respondents were not practicing energy saving lifestyles in most of the aspects in household daily life. Besides the aforementioned lifestyle aspect, there are also some other aspects of lifestyle that have indirect effect on household energy consumption. This study pointed out that lifestyles in terms of life schedule and family pattern do have significant impacts on household energy consumption. The longer time staying at home results in higher energy consumption, this is even more notable in the northern regions where long hours heating and lighting are necessary. Hence, the higher proportions of housewife and retiree population, who tend to spend more time at home, implying higher household energy consumption. In terms of family pattern, smaller family size results in higher per-person energy consumption. In Japan, the family sizes are getting smaller and smaller (cf. Figure 4), as mentioned earlier, smaller family size is expected to result in higher household energy demand. The situation is worse when the smaller family size coupled with the rapid increase of retired elderly who consumes more household energy due to longer duration at home. Hence, in order to reduce energy consumption for space heating/cooling and lighting, it is deemed necessary to encourage the usage of smaller power space heating/cooling and lighting equipments. Besides improvement of energy efficiency, it can also be achieved by having smaller and enclosed partitions/room in the residential buildings (particularly the living room and dining room), so that same space heating/cooling and lighting effect can be achieved with smaller power equipments. Also, in term of lifestyle, the family members should be encouraged for shared usage of space heating/cooling and lighting by spending more times in the common spaces such as living room, particularly during evening time when most of the family members are at home. Another aspect of lifestyle that has significant impact on household energy consumption is the climatic lifestyle. This study indicated that households in the northern regions of Japan (cold Proceedings of Clima 2007 WellBeing Indoors region) generally consume more energy in comparison with the southern regions (warmer region). As mentioned above, the main reasons are energy requirements for heating and lighting. Thus, as part of the efforts to reduce the energy consumption in the northern regions, it is necessary to reduce the heating and lighting requirement by passive design measures such as introducing solar radiation in winter through windows facing south, double glazing windows, airtight building, direct solar radiation for lighting, etc. for the residential buildings in the cold regions. Besides, it is also important to reduce the energy consumption for heating and lighting by introducing higher energy efficient heating and lighting equipments. Although this study has effectively pointed out the importance of some aspects of lifestyle in household energy planning, it must also be noted that there are some limitations with this study. Firstly, fixed energy consumption rates were applied for the projections of future energy consumptions. So it may not reflect the actual amount of future energy consumption. Secondly, the household energy consumptions were calculated based on the typical life schedules and energy consumptions of household appliances and climatic data. Thus, it may not represent the actual energy consumption of each household. However, in this study, the main purpose is to understand the energy consumption trend rather than predicting the future energy demand. Hence, the results were deemed sufficient to illustrate the possible future household energy consumption trends. Nevertheless, these limitations will be taken into consideration in the future studies. This study based on the case of Japan is deemed important as Japan is often used as a model for development in other Asian countries, hence the findings will have implications beyond Japan. Japan is now experiencing social change such as aging society and shrinking family sizes. This study found that these social changes will indirectly result in increased household energy consumptions. It is believed that the existing developing countries will also experience similar social change in future, which will eventually affect the household energy consumption trends. Hence, it is vital to take these aspects into consideration in their longterm energy planning. REFERENCES 1. IPCC. 2004. 16 years of scientific assessment in support of the climate convention. Geneva: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. 2. UN. 1998. Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. New York: United Nations. 3. U.S. DOE. 2006. International energy outlook 2006. Washington DC: U.S. Dept. of Energy. 4. Fong, W K, Matsumoto, H, Lun, Y F, et al. 2007. System dynamic model for the prediction of urban energy consumption trends. ‘The 6th International Conference on Indoor Air Quality, Ventilation & Energy Conservation in Buildings’ (IAQVEC 2007) on 28-31 October 2007, in Sendai, Japan. (To be presented) 5. AIJ. 2006. Energy consumption for residential buildings in Japan. Tokyo: Architectural Institute of Japan. (in Japanese) 6. Takuma, Y, Inoue, H, Nagano, F, et al. 2006. Detailed research for energy consumption of residences in Northern Kyushu, Japan. Journal of Energy and Buildings, Vol.38 (2006),1349-1355. 7. Tsurusaki, T, Murakoshi, C, Yokoo, M, et al. 2000. Measurement and analysis of residential energy consumption in Hokkaido. Proceeding of the Conference on Energy, Economy and Environment, Vol. January 2000, pp 417-422. (in Japanese) 8. NHK. 2006. Life Schedule Survey Report 2005. Tokyo: Japan Broadcasting Corp. (in Japanese) 9. Japan National Household Projection 2003. Tokyo: National Institute of Population and Social Security Research. (in Japanese) 10. Japan Population Projection 2006. Tokyo: National Institute of Population and Social Security Research. (in Japanese)
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