Click Here GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 35, L18612, doi:10.1029/2008GL034858, 2008 for Full Article North-south asymmetry of warm water volume transport related with El Niño variability Akio Ishida,1 Yuji Kashino,1 Shigeki Hosoda,1 and Kentaro Ando1 Received 2 June 2008; revised 24 July 2008; accepted 19 August 2008; published 27 September 2008. [1] A better understanding of variability in the volume of warm water in the equatorial Pacific pycnocline (warm water volume, or WWV) is critical to understanding El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability. We have investigated the meridional WWV transport in the Northern (NH) and Southern Hemispheres (SH) using a highresolution general circulation model. The transport in the western boundary region compensates the interior transport in the SH, where Sverdrup balance holds approximately. In contrast, such compensation does not hold in the NH, because the boundary transport lags interior transport by about 7 months. Hence, the WWV exchange in the NH has more impact on the recharge-discharge of the equatorial WWV. The north-south asymmetry of the WWV transport, which is interpreted based on the linear Rossby theory, is related with the southward migration of westerly wind and the negative wind curl over the northwestern off-equatorial region after the mature stage of ENSO. Citation: Ishida, A., Y. Kashino, S. Hosoda, and K. Ando (2008), North-south asymmetry of warm water volume transport related with El Niño variability, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L18612, doi:10.1029/ 2008GL034858. 1. Introduction [2] El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability is related with interannual variation of warm water volume (WWV), i.e., oceanic heat content (OHC) build-up and discharge, in the tropical Pacific [e.g., Wyrtki, 1985; Zebiak, 1989]. Jin [1997] constructed a new conceptual model for ENSO based upon the recharge-discharge of the equatorial heat content as the phase-transition mechanism. Meinen and McPhaden [2000, 2001] (hereafter MM00, MM01) used in situ measurements of subsurface temperature to confirm that variations in WWV were consistent with the rechargedischarge oscillator, but they were unable to address variations in the transport in the western boundary region due to insufficient amount of observed data. They speculated that the majority of the eastward warm water transport across 156°E must have been supplied by meridional convergence west of 156°E. Studies on the OHC in the tropical Pacific [e.g., Kessler, 1990; Hasegawa and Hanawa, 2003] have revealed the westward propagation of the OHC in the offequatorial North Pacific centered around 16°N and the OHC exchange between the equatorial and off-equatorial region support the recharge-discharge oscillator. 1 Institute of Observational Research for Global Change, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan. Copyright 2008 by the American Geophysical Union. 0094-8276/08/2008GL034858$05.00 [3] The WWV transports in the western boundary region play an important role on the equatorial WWV variability because they could compensate the recharge-discharge in the interior regions. In fact, some observational studies indicate that the interannual variations in the transport in the western boundary regions are related to ENSO variability. In the Southern Hemisphere (SH), Ueki et al. [2003] estimated the western boundary current transport during the period 1995 –2000 and found that the boundary current transport was anti-correlated with Sverdrup transport and tended to compensate the interior transport. In the northern hemisphere (NH) Lukas [1988] analyzed the sea level data during the period 1974 – 1985 and reported that the Mindanao Current (MC) was stronger than average during the ENSO year; however, there was no apparent relationship between the fluctuations of the MC and the ENSO signal because the strongest fluctuations were recognized in the non-ENSO period. Kashino et al. [2005] showed that the MC velocity was high during onset of the 2002 – 03 El Niño during the period 1999 –2002; however, the data was limited only for the onset of El Niño. In contrast to the SH, a simple relationship between the boundary current variations and ENSO variability has not been reported. [4] Some numerical studies discussed the relation of the transport variability between the western boundary and interior regions. Lee and Fukumori [2003] focused on the variability of pycnocline transports across 10°N and 10°S from a numerical hindcast experiment and found that the larger compensation between the boundary and interior pycnocline at 10°S rather than 10°N. Kug et al. [2003] investigated water exchanges in the upper 200-m depth between the equatorial and off-equatorial Pacific Ocean. The results showed that ENSO-related meridional transport in the NH is larger than in the SH. Although the observational and numerical studies infer asymmetric variability of the transport in the western boundary region, the factors that induce the north-south difference are not fully understood. [5] In this study, we investigated the interannual variability of the WWV transport associated with El Niño by diagnosing the result from a high-resolution ocean general circulation model (OGCM) experiment. This diagnosis allowed us to (1) quantify the transport in the western boundary and interior regions and (2) discuss the mechanism of the transport variability, and is based on the WWV across 8°N and 8°S above 20°C isotherm. Our diagnosis is the same as MM01, except that we extended the analysis into the western region west of 156°E. Since the model accurately simulated mean and variability of the equatorial currents and hydrography including the western boundary regions as reported in the previous works [e.g., Kim et al., 2004; Qu et al., 2004; Ishida et al., 2005], the diagnosis of the model is valuable to discuss the transport precisely and to also better L18612 1 of 5 L18612 ISHIDA ET AL.: WARM WATER VOLUME TRANSPORT L18612 Figure 1. Comparison of the 20°C isotherm depth time-series in the (a) western and (b) eastern sites between the TAO/ TRITON data (black lines) and model (red line for 8°N, green line for the equator, and blue line for 8°S). The longitudes are 156°E for 8°N and equator, and 165°E for 8°S in Figure 1a and 110°W in Figure 1b. understand the processes in the western boundary regions where observed data is still limited. 2. Model and Experiment [6] The model is based on the Modular Ocean Model (MOM2) [Pacanowski, 1995]. The domain is zonally global between 75°S and 75°N, with a horizontal grid spacing of 0.25 degrees and 55 levels in the vertical [Ishida et al., 2005]. In the spin-up stage, the model is forced with annual mean wind stress for the first 2 years and with climatological monthly wind stress for the following 18 years. Next, the model is forced by 3-day averaged ECMWF wind from January 1982 to December 2004. The modeled sea surface temperature is relaxed to the monthly sea surface temperature [Smith and Reynolds, 2003] and sea surface salinity to Levitus’ [1982] monthly climatology. [7] The depth of the 20°C isotherm (Z20) representing the main thermocline is computed by linear interpolation of the gridded model output. The WWV transport per unit width is computed by integrating the modeled velocity vertically between the surface and Z20. Similar to MM01, we compute the zonal integration of the meridional WWV transport at 8°N and 8°S from 156°E to the eastern boundary (west coast of America), which is referred to as the WWV transport in the interior region (WWVTINT) in this study. We also define the WWV transport in the western boundary region (WWVTWB) as the zonal integration from the western boundary (the east coast of Mindanao Island for 8°N and New Guinea for 8°S) to 156°E. 3. Results [8] Comparison of Z20 between the model and TAO/ TRITON (Tropical Atmosphere Ocean/TRIangle Trans Ocean buoy Network) data indicated high consistency between the data and model in interannual variability related to the 1997 – 98 and 2002 –03 El Niño events as well as in high frequency variability (Figure 1). The mean correlation coefficient at the stations in Figure 1 is about 0.74 and its standard deviation among the stations is 0.16. The comparison with satellite sea surface height anomaly indicates slightly higher correlation about 0.77. It is noted that Z20 during El Niño is the shallowest in the northwestern site earlier than in the southwestern site (i.e., early January 1998 at 8°N, 156°E and June 1998 at 8°S, 165°E) as seen in both observation and model (Figure 1a). This infers that the discharge of WWV in the off-equatorial NH occurs earlier than in the SH in the western region. [9] The WWVTINT in the model (black lines in Figures 2a and 2d) shows poleward discharge during the 1997 – 98 El Niño event with an intermittent decrease (or break of discharge) at 8°S between late 1997 and early 1998, which is consistent with MM01 (their Figure 9). Although the peak magnitude of the model southward transport across 8°S in September 1997 is larger than the observation by factor of two, the value and time of northward discharge at 8°N early 1998 and southward discharge at 8°S in June 1998 are consistent with the observed estimates. The model also simulated poleward WWV discharge during the other El Niño events in 1982– 83, 1986 – 88, 1991 – 92, 1997 –98, and 2002 – 03. [10] The WWVTWB exhibited different behaviors in the NH and SH (blue lines in Figures 2a and 2d). In the NH, the WWVTWB lagged behind the WWVTINT, which was recognized especially for the 3 El Niño events in 1982 –83, 1991– 92 and 1997 – 98 (red double-headed arrows in Figure 2a). The highest correlation between the WWVT INT and WWVTWB occurred when the WWVTINT was shifted by 7 months. As the result, there was a significant net WWV exchange across 8°N (red-green shade in Figure 2a). Contrasting to the NH, the WWVTWB counterbalanced to the WWVTINT in the SH so that the net WWV exchange across 8°S was small (Figure 2d). The magnitudes of the variations (standard deviation) of the transport in the interior, western boundary and whole equatorial regions were 4.7 Sv, 4.2 Sv and 5.6 Sv at 8°N, while they were 8.8 Sv, 7.8 Sv and 3.8 Sv at 8°S, respectively. [11] To investigate the dynamics determining the WWV transport variability, we investigated the transport variability and wind forcing based on the linear Rossby wave theory [Meyers, 1979; Kessler, 1990; Qiu and Lukas, 1996]. The oceanic response in the reduced gravity model is given by @h @h ~ t ; cR ¼ r @t @x f ð1Þ where h is the pycnocline depth anomaly, and ~ t is the surface wind stress vector. The long Rossby wave speed is cR = bc2/f2, where f is the Coriolis parameter, b is the 2 of 5 L18612 ISHIDA ET AL.: WARM WATER VOLUME TRANSPORT L18612 meridional derivative of f, and c is the internal gravity wave speed. Since meridional transport (V) is given by the sum of the geostrophic component (c2/f @h/@x), and Ekman transport (t x/f), equation (1) is written as V ¼ Figure 2. (a) Northward transport anomaly upper 20°C isotherm in the model across 8°N: black line for the interior (156°E– eastern boundary), blue line for western boundary (western boundary – 156°E), red-green shading for total transport across whole equatorial longitude. The red arrows indicate time lag of the interior and boundary WWV transport in three El Niño events. (b and c) The model northward transport anomaly (black line) and the sum of the Sverdrup transport and vortex stretching terms (red line), and the Sverdrup transport (blue line) and stretching term (green). (d – f) Same as Figures 2a – 2c except for 8°S. r ~ t f @h þ b b @t ð2Þ [12] On the right hand side, the first term represents the Sverdrup transport and the second term represents additional transport induced by vortex stretching or horizontal convergence. These two terms were determined by using the ECMWF wind stress data for ~ t and the model Z20 anomaly for h. [13] In the NH, both the Sverdrup transport and stretching terms had much higher variability compared with the WWV transport so that the Sverdrup balance did not hold (Figure 2c). Large northward (southward) Sverdrup transport in the developing (decaying) period of El Niño was induced by large wind stress curl variation significantly in the 1986 –88 and 1997– 98 El Niño events. The stretching term also had high variability with large positive values at the peaks of the El Niño events. Although both of the Sverdrup transport and the stretching terms had large amplitudes they could on the most part cancel each other out so that the sum of these terms approximated the WWV transport well (Figure 2b). In fact, the correlation of the WWV transport with the Sverdrup transport and the stretching terms was low compared with the sum of them together (Table 1). [14] Compared to the result in the NH, the Sverdrup transport itself in the SH approximated well to the WWV transport (Figure 2f). Relatively small amplitude of the stretching term resulted in high correlation between the WWV transport and Sverdrup transport (Table 1). Although the contribution by the stretching term was relatively small, the sum of the Sverdrup transport and stretching terms showed high correlation (0.89) with the WWV transport as well (Figure 2e). Therefore, inclusion of the stretching term improves the simulation of the WWV transport including the intermittent decrease of southward transport (or break of discharge) in the period between late 1997 and early 1998. [15] Clarke et al. [2007] argued that vortex stretching as well as Sverdrup transport should be taken into account at ENSO time scales based on their theoretical order estimates. The results from the realistic simulation model in this study indicates that the inclusion of the vortex stretching term is more important in the NH than in the SH. In the SH, the WWVTWB is anti-correlated with the WWVTINT and therefore anti-correlated with the Sverdrup transport, which is Table 1. Correlation Coefficient Between the WWV Transport Anomaly in the Interior and Sverdrup Transport Term, Stretching Term, and Sum of the Sverdrup Transport and Stretching Terms 8°N 8°S 3 of 5 Sverdrup Stretching Sum 0.35 0.66 0.42 0.31 0.72 0.89 L18612 ISHIDA ET AL.: WARM WATER VOLUME TRANSPORT L18612 Figure 3. Composite maps of wind stress anomaly vectors and its curls (a– c) and the model Z20 anomaly (d – f) of the El Niño events in 1982– 83, 1991 – 92, and 1997 – 98. The time-series of the composite northward transport anomaly at 8°N (g) and 8°S (h): black for interior region, blue for western boundary region, and red for total transport. consistent with the observational study by Ueki et al. [2003]. 4. Discussion [16] Our results indicated asymmetry of the WWVTINT in the SH and NH, i.e., the Sverdrup balance holds in the SH but does not hold in the NH. In the NH, significant stretching caused the imbalance between planetary vorticity advection and wind stress curl. The results also indicated asymmetry of the WWVTWB, which compensated for the WWVTINT in the SH but not in the NH. The noncompensation in the NH was caused by the phase-lag of the WWVTINT and WWVTWB. [17] To explain the WWVTWB lags about 7 months behind the WWVTINT in the NH, we focused on the composite maps of wind forcing and Z20 for 3 El Niño events in 1982 – 83, 1991 – 92, and 1997 – 98 and a timeseries of the WWV transport at 8°N and 8°S (Figure 3). These 3 events were selected because of the clearly recognizable lags as seen and indicated with red arrows in Figure 2a. Year (0) corresponds to the developing period of El Niño events (1982, 1991, 1997) and Year (+1) corresponds to the decaying periods (1983, 1992, 1998). The plots are presented in 3 stages (early, mature, and later stages); the maps for the Z20 anomaly are presented 3 months later than that for wind forcing in the early and later stages to take into account of the time lag of Z20 response to wind forcing. [18] At the beginning of El Niño, a westerly wind anomaly existed north of the equator as indicated with a red arrow in Figure 3a and it induced anomalous water divergence (i.e., shoaling of Z20) east of the Philippine Islands (Figure 3d). As El Niño progressed, the westerly shifted southward and crossed the equator in the mature stage (Figure 3b). There were symmetric structures in the Z20 anomaly: two shallow regions north and south of the equator in the western equatorial Pacific, and one deep region in the eastern equatorial Pacific (Figure 3e). After the mature stage, the westerly moved further to the south and reached at around 5°S, and a negative wind stress curl in the northwestern equatorial Pacific was generated as indicated with a red square in Figure 3c. This wind forcing deepened Z20 east of the Philippine Islands (red square in Figure 3f) through convergence of Ekman transport. The deepening of 4 of 5 L18612 ISHIDA ET AL.: WARM WATER VOLUME TRANSPORT Z20 offshore of the Philippine Islands implies that the dynamic height is higher there than that on the western boundary, therefore, the northward WWVTWB anomaly is generated based on the geostrophic relation. This scenario was consistent with the time-series of the WWV transport composite at 8°N (Figure 3g), which showed that the northward WWVTWB is generated after the northward WWVTINT by about half a year. In contrast, the transport variability at 8°S showed low variability in Year (0) and the large WWVTINT was compensated with the WWVTWB in Year (+1). 5. Conclusions [19] To summarize, our study on north-south asymmetry in the WWV transport variations shows that the amplitude of the WWVTINT in the SH is larger than that in the NH; however, the net WWV transport across the whole equatorial region is more significant in the NH because most of the WWVTINT is compensated with the WWVTWB in the SH. Therefore the WWV variability in the whole equatorial region, a key variable in El Niño cycle, is determined by the net transport variability in the NH. The WWVTINT is explained by Sverdrup transport and vortex stretching terms predicted based on the linear long Rossby wave theory in both hemispheres; however, Sverdrup transport is a better approximation in the SH because of relatively smaller contribution by the vortex stretching term. The forcing mechanism in this study is different from the studies based equilibrated Ekman transport and geostrophic transport. The net exchange in the NH is associated with the lags of the WWVTINT and WWVTWB. Negative wind stress curl in the north equatorial Pacific after the mature state of El Niño is key to generating the lagged northward WWVTWB, which causes the north-south asymmetry of the discharge of the equatorial WWV. In this study, we focused on the WWV exchange between equatorial and off-equatorial regions. 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