rosslink C TM The Aerospace Corporation magazine of advances in aerospace technology F lying in t o the r o ck et plume A er ospac e tak es lidar t o new heigh ts IR e y es high in the sk y P hot o gr aph y and launch-cloud pr edic tion Wea ther and w ar far e O bserving and measuring the atmosphere The Aerospace Corporation celebrates 40 years Summer 2000 Crosslink Summer 2000 Vol. 1 No. 2 4 Departments Rockets and the Ozone Layer Martin N. Ross (left), Environmental Systems Directorate, leads research on the stratospheric impact of Air Force launch vehicles. He holds a Ph.D. from the University of California at Los Angeles in Earth and planetary sciences and has been with Aerospace since 1989 ([email protected]). Paul F. Zittel (right), Remote Sensing Department, leads research on the radiative and chemical properties of rocket plumes and has conducted basic research in the areas of laser-induced chemistry, vibrational energy transfer, and cryogenic spectroscopy. He holds a Ph.D. in physical chemistry from the University of California at Berkeley and has been with Aerospace since 1976 ([email protected]). 2 Headlines 38 Bookmarks 40 Links 11 18 26 Contents 4 From the Editor S Jon M. Neff pace technology and atmospheric science are related in many ways. Space provides a unique vantage point for observing weather systems, and with the everincreasing frequency of satellite launches, the effect of rocket exhaust on the environment has become a concern. In this issue, Crosslink explores the contributions made by Aerospace in the areas of weather forecasting and atmospheric analysis. This year marks the 40th anniversary of The Aerospace Corporation. In its trusted role as space systems engineer for the Air Force, the National Reconnaissance Office, and other government agencies, the corporation has made lasting contributions to the nation’s space programs. In celebration of the accomplishments of the last 40 years, Crosslink introduces a series of historical articles on Aerospace’s involvement in various military and civil programs during those years. The series begins with an article on the Defense Support Program. Crosslink presents this historical series to commemorate the contributions of all those who have worked on these programs through the years. These past accomplishments are noted as well for their significance as foundations for the important work ahead to meet the space-technology needs of our government and commercial partners in the complex environment of the future. 11 Water-Vapor Lidar Extends to the Tropopause John Wessel (right), Photonics Technology Department, supports DMSP in the areas of meteorological lidar and microwave remote sensing and has conducted research in molecular, atomic, semiconductor, and surface spectroscopies. He holds a Ph.D. in chemical physics from the University of Chicago and has been with Aerospace since 1974 ([email protected]). Robert W. Farley (left), Photonics Technology Department, is responsible for the development and operation of a mobile lidar system that supports satellite programs. He holds a Ph.D. in chemical physics from the University of Colorado and has been with Aerospace since August 1997 (u21670@ paros.aero.org). 34 18 The Defense Support Program Fred Simmons (left), consultant to the Space Based Infrared Systems program, has been the coordinator of various studies for SMC, BMDO, and DARPA. He holds a Ph.D. in aerospace science from the University of Michigan and has been with Aerospace since 1971 (frederick.s.simmons@aero. org). Jim Creswell (right), with 35 years of experience in space-based warning satellite development and operations, has been working as a consultant on satellite-related tasks since his retirement in 1994 from fulltime employment at Aerospace. Among various appointments during his Aerospace career, he was director of the Mission Support Office of the Defense Support Program. Creswell holds an M.S. in systems engineering from the University of California at Los Angeles and has been with Aerospace since 1965 ([email protected]). 34 Cloud Cover Over Kosovo 26 Aerospace Photos Capture Launch Clouds Robert N. Abernathy, Surveillance Technology Department, has been responsible for quantitative image processing in support of the Atmospheric Model Validation and the Rocket Impact on Stratospheric Ozone programs since 1995. He holds a Ph.D. in analytical chemistry from Pennsylvania State University and has been with Aerospace since 1980 (robert.n.abernathy @aero.org). John S. Bohlson (left), Systems Director, Sensors and Display Systems for DMSP, supports both DMSP and the National Polar Operational Environmental Satellite System in the areas of remote sensing, data exploitation, and user requirements. He holds an M.S. in meteorology from the University of Wisconsin and has been with Aerospace since 1988 (john.s.bohlson@ aero.org). Leslie O. Belsma (right), Weather and Navigation Division, manages unique quality-control tasks for the Cloud Depiction and Forecast System II. A retired Air Force Weather officer with an M.S. in aeronomy from the University of Michigan, she joined Aerospace in September 1999 (leslie. [email protected]). Bruce H.Thomas (center) is senior project leader for the DMSP Environmental Applications Center, Aerospace Omaha field office, at Offutt Air Force Base Nebraska. Thomas established an additional location of the Aerospace field office at the Air Force Weather Agency, extending the DMSP program office into the user community. He holds an M.S. in atmospheric science from Creighton University and has been with Aerospace since 1990 (bruce.h.thomas@ aero.org). Headlines For more news about Aerospace, visit www.aero.org/news/ First Launch of the Century T he launch of an Atlas IIA from Cape Canaveral on February 7, 2000, marked the first government launch of the century. It placed into orbit a DSCS III (Defense Satellite Communications System) B8 SLEP (Service Life Enhancement Program), an improved military communications satellite, the seventh DSCS launched since 1992. The B8 SLEP is the first of four improved satellites that will increase tactical communication. The payload included new electronics that add more power per channel so that ground forces, ships, aircraft, and submarines can use smaller antennas when communicating. The satellite replaces the A1, launched in 1982, in the primary DSCS Western Pacific Theater constellation. Aerospace provided a launch support team at the Cape and supported the launch remotely from locations in Colorado and California. The successful SLEP program has been in operation for four years. TIMED to Probe Distant Regions A remote-sensing spacecraft carrying a payload developed with the help of Aerospace will travel 40 to 110 miles above Earth this year to a little-explored region of the atmosphere. The two-year mission, TIMED (Thermosphere, Ionosphere, Mesosphere, Energetics, and Dynamics), will begin with a launch from Vandenberg Air Force Base. Its purpose is to study how humans and the sun influence the mesosphere and lower thermosphere and ionosphere. Those regions absorb X-rays and extreme ultraviolet radiation. TIMED will carry the Global Ultraviolet Imager (GUVI), a joint effort between Aerospace and the Applied Physics Laboratory at Johns Hopkins University. Aerospace handled the design, fabrication, and operation of the instrument and was also involved in the software and electronics for the GUVI payload. GUVI will measure profiles of the region’s composition and temperature as well as highlatitude auroral energy input. GPS for the Military and Civilians T he fourth in a series of U.S. Global Positioning System (GPS) replacement satellites, GPS IIR4, was launched aboard a Delta II from Cape Canaveral May 10, 2000. Aerospace reviewed the hardware, software, and procedures, and verified that the vehicle was ready for launch. Aerospace developed the fundamental concept of GPS for the Air Force in 1963. Today, GPS, a constellation of 28 navigational satellites that orbit 11,000 miles above Earth, is used increasingly by civilians. Civilian owners of GPS receivers found their systems significantly more accurate as of May 2, 2000. That day, President Clinton ordered an end to the intentional degradation of GPS satellite signals by the military. The military will, however, retain its right to selectively deny the GPS signals over any given region. Civilians use GPS for many purposes, including search and rescue operations and airplane and ground-vehicle navigation (GPS sensors placed in cars enable drivers to use the Internet to navigate). Unscrambling the signals should benefit the GPS industry, which is expected to grow from $8 billion to $16 billion in the next three years. Clothing That Computes S oon soldiers in the battlefield may be able to shed some of their 70 pounds of gear and don a lightweight wearable computer that could send and receive life-saving information. For example, a soldier whose vehicle has broken down could be wearing the repair manual. Sound like science fiction? It isn’t. Michael Gorlick (in photo), project engineer in the Computer Systems Research Department, constructed suspenders that have electrical conductors woven directly into the fabric. Developed as part of a joint research project between Aerospace and The MITRE Corporation, the suspenders act as a bus and data network for wearable digital devices. Civilian use of wearable computers is also on the horizon. Emergency search and rescue and disaster response teams could be equipped with them. The computers may eventually be carried in pockets, worn on belts, attached to wrists, or worn as brooches and rings. Hardhats and eyeglass frames could also house data networks. Imagine those involved in the meticulous work of satellite assembly having essential information right before their eyes. Amazing MEMS M icroelectromechanical systems (MEMS), machines so tiny they cannot be seen with the naked eye, are quickly gaining notoriety for their capability and versatility in a variety of areas. MEMS can be used to detect environmental pollutants, monitor the health of a premature newborn, sense an impending car crash and deploy the air bag, and be “woven” into the clothes of soldiers on the battlefield (where the sensors would warn against an attack by chemical or biological weapons). A more aggressive use of MEMS is the potential for manufacturing mass-producible, 1-kilogram-class nanosatellites with microelectronics-processing technology. More than 30 Aerospace scientists are involved in MEMS research, including Henry Helvajian of the Aerospace Center for Microtechnology and the editor of Microengineering Aerospace Systems (see sidebar). Aerospace researchers sent aloft a MEMS experimental testbed on the space shuttle Columbia last year. Data from 30 of the devices were analyzed to see how the various MEMS performed during launch, orbit, and reentry, compared with their performance in preflight tests. One device, designed and built by Aerospace, contains 15 microthrusters, which act like 15 individual solid rocket motors. The usefulness of MEMS in space has yet to be fully realized, and the analysis by Aerospace was the first systematic testing of MEMS in that capacity. Another experimental MEMS test mission, planned for 2001, will involve the International Space Station. Miniature Satellites Launched T he tiniest operational satellites ever placed in orbit were launched aboard a new Air Force booster for light satellites January 26, 2000, from Vandenberg Air Force Base. Each satellite weighs less than one-half pound and is slightly larger than a deck of cards. In a project for the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), Aerospace conceived the mission, designed and built the “picosats,” tested their components, and handled flight operations. The primary mission was to demonstrate the use of miniature satellites in testing DARPA microelectromechanical systems (MEMS). The two picosats were positioned in a low Earth orbit after they were released February 6, 2000, from the Orbiting Picosatellite Automated Launcher (OPAL), a satellite built by Stanford University students. The satellites were joined by a tether, which kept them in range of each other for crosslink purposes as they simulated formation flying. Thin strands of gold wire in the tether allowed the U.S. Space Command’s Space Surveillance Network to use radar to locate and track the picosats. The mission, concluded on February 10, 2000, was the first of a series of missions designed to validate MEMS technology. Microengineering Aerospace Systems explains the use of microengineering principles to impart “intelligence,” “volition,” and “motility” to systems on the miniature scale. Henry Helvajian Engineering “intelligent” functionality in microsystems requires the ability to cofabricate microelectronics with sensors and actuators using design rules that now approach the submicron scale, but will soon reach the nanometer scale.The concepts, presented in 17 chapters by some of the pioneering experts in the field, provide the foundation for enhancing existing aerospace systems or developing new significantly miniaturized systems, such as the nanosatellite, picosatellite, and femtosatellite probe. The book covers the disciplines that support microengineering: microelectronics,microelectromechanical systems (MEMS), microsystems, nanoelectronics, advanced packaging, material processing, micromachining, control systems, information theory, and the basic disciplines (physics, chemistry, and mechanics). Third in a series of publications covering this rapidly advancing technology,Microengineering Aerospace Systems uses a textbook tutorial style to present fundamental aspects of the technology and specific aerospace systems applications through worked examples. 1999 • 707 pp • ISBN 1-884989-03-9 Published by The Aerospace Press and American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics Order from AIAA 800.682.2422 or www.aiaa.org Rockets and the Ozone Layer Martin N. Ross and Paul F. Zittel Rocket engine exhaust contains chemical compounds that react with ozone in the stratosphere. A new measurement program suggests that current space transportation activities only minimally affect Earth’s protective ozone layer. P Launch of the space shuttle Discovery from Cape Canaveral rotecting Earth’s ozone layer remains an important environmental issue. Without this shielding layer, ultraviolet (UV) radiation would harm life on Earth. We hear alarming statistics on increasing incidences of skin cancer and other disorders that may be linked to a thinning of Earth’s ozone layer. We know that the presence of chlorofluorocarbons (CFC)—chemicals used as solvents and refrigerants—and other industrial gases in the atmosphere is the major cause of ozone depletion. But what about exhaust from launch vehicles? Can the cumulative effect of emissions from rockets launched every three or four days from various launch sites around the globe significantly alter Earth’s delicately balanced, natural sunscreen? Space transportation, once dominated by government, has become an important part of our commercial economy, and the business of launching payloads into orbit is expected to nearly double in the next decade. Each time a rocket is launched, combustion products are emitted into the stratosphere. CFCs and other chemicals banned by international agreement are thought to have reduced the total amount of stratospheric ozone by about 4 percent. In comparison, recent predictions about the effect on the ozone layer of solid rocket motor (SRM) emissions suggest that they reduce the total amount of stratospheric ozone by only about 0.04 percent. Even though emissions from liquidfueled rocket engines were not included in these predictions, it is likely that rockets do not constitute a serious threat to global stratospheric ozone at the present time. Even so, further research and testing needs to be done on emissions from rockets of all sizes and fuel system combinations to more completely understand how space transportation activities are affecting the ozone layer today and to predict how they will affect it in the future. The Ozone Umbrella Ozone, composed of three oxygen atoms, is the result of the action of UV radiation on oxygen molecules, composed of two oxygen atoms. In the upper regions of the atmosphere, UV light breaks apart oxygen molecules into two oxygen atoms, one of which then combines with a second oxygen molecule to form ozone. Born of UV light, ozone is also a powerful absorber of UV light, accounting for its protective role. Most of the ozone that protects Earth’s surface is concentrated in the atmospheric region called the stratosphere, usually taken as the region between about 14 and 50 kilometers altitude. The term “ozone layer” refers to the portion of the stratosphere between about 15 and 30 kilometers altitude, where the bulk of the ozone is concentrated. Compared with the mass of all the gas in the stratosphere, the mass of combustion emissions from even the largest rocket is miniscule, so it’s easy to conclude that the effect of all rocket launches on the ozone layer must be inconsequential. The ozone layer, however, is maintained by a delicate balance of the production, transport, and destruction of ozone molecules. Relatively small amounts of sufficiently active chemical compounds can upset this balance and cause important changes in the amount and distribution of ozone. Rocket engines produce small amounts of such active compounds. Early in the past decade, Aerospace conducted research for the Air Force Space and Missile Systems Center (SMC) Environmental Management Branch on how SRM exhaust affects stratospheric ozone. These studies, which raised several environmental concerns, were limited to laboratory and modeling simulations of rocket-plume chemistry. By the middle of the decade, it had become obvious that a complete understanding of rocket-exhaust Ozone-Destroying Radicals Complicated chemical and physical processes, only partially understood by atmospheric scientists, affect both the amount and distribution of ozone in the stratosphere. In general, ozone is formed in the equatorial stratosphere at altitudes above 30 kilometers. Large-scale winds continuously transport the ozone to lower altitudes and toward Earth’s poles to form a layer about 10 kilometers thick, centered at about 22 kilometers altitude. The concentration of ozone is determined by the rate of ozone transport into the layer versus the rate of ozone loss by reaction with ozone-destroying radicals such as the chlorine atom (Cl), nitric oxide (NO), and the hydroxyl radical (OH). Because each radical is able to regenerate after destroying an ozone molecule (called a catalytic cycle), radical molecules exert a major influence on ozone even at the small quantities found in the stratosphere. This means that small changes in stratospheric composition caused by industrial activity, including rocket exhaust, might cause relatively large changes in the ozone layer. The Composition of Rocket Emissions Both solid and liquid rocket-propulsion systems emit a variety of gases and particles directly into the stratosphere. A large percentage of these emissions are inert chemicals such as carbon dioxide that do not directly affect ozone levels. Emissions of other gases, such as hydrogen chloride and water vapor, though not highly reac- 40 03 X X0 02 30 Altitude (kilometers) effects required moving beyond the theoretical investigations to actual measurements. In 1995, responding to the concerns raised by the earlier studies, SMC requested that Aerospace establish a practical, quick-to-implement program to collect actual data from SRM plumes in the stratosphere. The program, named Rocket Impacts on Stratospheric Ozone (RISO), and led by the Aerospace Environmental Systems Directorate, initially focused on the stratospheric impacts of the heavy-lift Titan IVA. RISO has subsequently been expanded to include responsibility for investigating the impact of all current U.S. Air Force launch vehicles. The Air Force Office of Scientific Research joined with SMC during the RISO planning phase and supported several investigators on the RISO team. The initial pioneering RISO plume measurement campaigns began in 1996. Catalytic reactions 20 re osphe Strat re osphe Trop 10 Commercial airlines fly in the upper troposphere at an altitude of about 12 kilometers; the WB-57F aircraft typically flies at an altitude of 19 kilometers, below the peak in ozone concentration but well enough into the stratosphere that the chemical and mixing processes observed during RISO missions are representative of the ozone layer as a whole. Reactive gases that constitute a small part of the rocket exhaust consume ozone, which deactivates them. Represented by X,these are thought to be mainly the chlorine atom,nitric oxide,and the hydroxyl radical,depending on the rocket propellant. A variety of chemical processes can reactivate ozone-destroying molecules, so that each can destroy many ozone molecules before finally being removed from the stratosphere. tive, indirectly affect ozone levels by participating in chemical reactions that determine the concentrations of the ozonedestroying radicals in the global strato- Transient Plume-Wake Effects 11 12 1 2 10 9 3 8 4 7 6 5 sphere. A small percentage of rocketengine emissions, however, are highly reactive radical compounds that immediately attack and deplete ozone in the Mesoscale Mixing July June May 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 181 192 203 21 22 4 5 23 306 24 7 8 9 10 31 25 26 27 28 29 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 1 18 2 19 3 20 4 21 5 22 6 23 24 7 8 25 9 26 10 27 11 28 12 29 13 30 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 Cumulative Global Mixing 2002 2001 2000 1 – 10 km Plume Immediate ozone loss Deactivation of reactive emissions Long-term reactions The three main phases of propulsion system emissions. Instruments carried by high-altitude aircraft can only measure the intense disturbances in the local phase.Stratospheric disturbances during the mesoscale and global phases are too slight to be observed directly and must be predicted using computer models of atmospheric chemistry and dynamics. These models, however, strictly depend upon key data from measurements obtained during the local phase. 0.65 0.58 20 0.51 0.43 0.36 0 0.29 0.22 0.15 –20 Fraction of chlorine that is reactive Distance from plume centerline (meters) 0.72 0.08 0.00 –40 0 200 400 600 Distance downstream (meters) 800 1000 Most chlorine emerges from solid-propellant rocket motors as hydrogen chloride (HCl). Some of the HCl is converted into reactive chlorine atom (Cl) and molecule (Cl2) by downstream chemical processes called “afterburning.” Computer models are used to predict how much of the chlorine is in the reactive form as a function of distance away from the motor nozzle. Here, a model predicts that about one-third of the HCl leaving the nozzle is converted into Cl and Cl2 in the plume of an Athena II rocket as it flies through the ozone layer. plume wake following launch. Aerosol emissions, such as alumina particles, carbon (soot) particles, and water droplets, can also act as reactive compounds when heterogeneous chemical reactions take place on the surface of these particles. Rocket emissions have two distinct effects on ozone: short-term and longterm. Following launch, rapid chemical reactions between plume gases and particles and ambient air that has been drawn into the plume wake cause immediate changes in the composition of the local atmosphere. During this phase, which lasts for several hours, the concentrations of radicals in the plume can be thousands of times greater than the concentrations found in the undisturbed stratosphere, and the ozone loss is dramatic (see figure on page 10). Long-term effects occur as gas and particulate emissions from individual launches become dispersed throughout the global stratosphere and accumulate over time. The concentrations of emitted compounds reach an approximate global steady state as exhaust from recent launches replaces exhaust removed from the stratosphere by natural atmospheric circulation. Before the RISO field campaigns, relatively little was known with certainty about the highly reactive components of rocket-engine emissions or the intensity of ozone destruction in the plume wake. In 1995, managers and researchers from the Air Force and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) met to review rocket emissions and identify critical knowledge needs. The meeting participants concluded that airborne measurements inside actual stratospheric rocket plumes should be a priority for further research, and the RISO program was designed with those conclusions in mind. The Role of Chlorine Radicals Researchers have long been aware that hydrogen chloride (HCl) is a component of SRM exhaust. It had been assumed that HCl, which is relatively unreactive, would contribute to ozone depletion globally over the long term by slightly increasing radical chlorine levels in the stratosphere but would not alter ozone levels in the plume-wake region immediately after launch. Atmospheric scientists began to wonder, however, if unreactive HCl could be converted into highly reactive chlorine radicals in plume combustion processes, resulting in an immediate and possibly deep ozone loss in and around SRM plume wakes. Such a short-term loss could conceivably influence the intensity of the sun’s harmful UV light on the ground near launch sites. To find an answer, Aerospace researchers modified existing computer models of secondary combustion in SRM plumes by incorporating a more complete representation of the chemistry of chlorine compounds. Secondary combustion, also called “afterburning,” refers to the intense chemical processing that takes place in rocket plumes after the hot gases have left the engine nozzle until they cool to the temperature of the surrounding atmosphere. These new afterburning models predicted that a significant amount of HCl in SRM exhaust would indeed be converted into chlorine radical in the hot plume. Given the inevitable, and important, implication of deep ozone loss, the reactive chlorine emission index (EI) of SRMs needed to be verified. An EI provides a standardized way of expressing how much of a particular exhaust component is emitted into the atmosphere by a rocket engine. The EI is 50 Chlorine molecule concentration (1010 per cubic centimeter) 40 Titan IVA April 24, 1996 25 0 0 15 30 Horizontal distance (kilometers) The theory of reactive chlorine production in SRM plumes was proved during a WB-57F mission through the plume wake of a Titan IVA. The concentration of chlorine molecule (Cl2) was measured as the aircraft flew through the eight-kilometerwide plume 40 minutes after launch. Because Cl2 is not present in the undisturbed stratosphere, all of the measured Cl2 could be attributed to the Titan IVA SRMs. The data were obtained by J. Ballenthin and associates of the Air Force Research Laboratory, Hanscom Air Force Base. calculated by dividing the total mass of a particular component in the plume (in grams) by the total mass of propellant burned (in kilograms). For rocket engines, the EI refers to the exhaust plume composition after the secondary combustion process has occurred and the plume has expanded Large mode Medium mode Small mode Alumina particles emitted by SRMs come in three distinct sizes, or modes. (A human hair is 20 times the diameter of the large-mode particle.) Only particles in the small mode remain in the stratosphere long enough to mix throughout the atmosphere and possibly play a global role in stratospheric chemistry. RISO studies of these modes in Titan IVA and space shuttle plumes showed that less than 0.1% of the total mass of SRM alumina particles appears in the small mode, which is 10 to 100 times smaller than previous estimates indicated. to match the pressure and temperature of the surrounding atmosphere. EIs serve as a convenient way to analyze plume data, provide input for computer models, and quickly compare the potential stratospheric impacts of different propulsion systems. The true extent of the immediate stratospheric response to the putative reactive chlorine emissions was not well understood; the results of various models were not in agreement. For example, predictions of the duration of the short-term ozone loss in the wake of a Titan IV-class vehicle varied from a few minutes to a few hours from model to model. Without actual plume data, it was impossible to evaluate the accuracy of the various models, and the resulting uncertainty allowed the possibility that the actual ozone loss exceeded all predictions. The behavior of ozone in SRM plume wakes needed to be measured, and the plume-wake models needed to be evaluated. A third uncertainty concerned the alumina particles in SRM exhaust. These tiny particles (most are less than one-thousandth of a millimeter in diameter) have the same chemical makeup as sapphire (Al2O3). Some laboratory measurements had suggested that heterogeneous chemical reactions on the surface of alumina particles might contribute to ozone loss by converting chlorine from inactive to active forms. The potential importance of this effect is critically determined by the exact sizes of the alumina grains in the exhaust. The largest grains fall out of the stratosphere within several days, and so their surfaces do not have time to promote significant chemistry in the global sense. The smallest grains may remain aloft for several years, however, possibly promoting ozone-harmful reactions throughout the stratosphere. To resolve this question, alumina particles in SRM plume wakes needed to be collected and the EI of the smallest of them measured. In-Situ Plume Experiments At its inception, RISO conducted three independent data-collection experiments. Two of these, both completed in 1998, used remote-sensing devices based at Cape Canaveral Air Force Station. First, a network of sensors measured the influence of stratospheric plumes on the intensity of harmful solar UV light on the ground near the launch site. Second, a multiple-wavelength lidar (light detection and ranging) system successfully illuminated plumes with laser beams to measure the optical properties of plumes over Cape Canaveral and provide insight into how plume exhaust mixes into the stratospheric background air. These two efforts conclusively demonstrated that even though radicals in rocket exhaust cause immediate loss of UV-absorbing ozone in individual plumes, rocket plumes disperse in a way that makes it highly unlikely that the intensity of UV light on the ground near launch sites would measurably increase following launches of even the largest rockets. RISO’s main focus, however, has been to develop a detailed understanding of rocket emission chemistry by directly measuring the composition of stratospheric air inside plume wakes during the critical time from several minutes to several hours after launch. RISO chose the NASA WB-57F aircraft to carry instruments into lower-stratospheric rocket plumes at an altitude of about 19 kilometers. During a typical mission, the WB-57F enters a plume about five minutes after launch and then executes figure-8 maneuvers around the launch-vehicle trajectory, encountering the plume wake about every 10 minutes for up to two hours after launch. The aircraft travels at about 200 meters per second and spends between 2 and 60 seconds in the plume during each encounter measuring composition. Beginning in 1996, a variety of exhaust plumes were sampled by the instrumented WB-57F aircraft, including the space shuttle, Titan IVA, Delta II, Atlas IIAS, and Athena II. Three instruments carried during the 1996 missions proved the scientific value of the RISO concept. The instruments have steadily improved since the first missions. Seventeen state-of-the-art instruments carried during the 1999 missions collected a wide variety of gas and particulate data that will allow a more comprehensive characterization of plumewake chemistry. Highlights from Early Missions On April 14, 1996, the WB-57F carried into a Titan IVA plume a Neutral Mass Spectrometer developed by the Air Force Research Laboratory at Hanscom Air Force Base. Analysis of data from the spectrometer unambiguously demonstrated that the plume contained significant USAF NASA Exhaust plume of a Titan IVA launched from Vandenberg Air Force Base, as seen from the WB-57F cockpit just before flying thorough the plume. Only two minutes old in this view, the plume displays a pattern of breakup from windshear and mixing characteristic of all stratospheric plumes. The California coast and San Miguel Island are visible. The WB-57F high-altitude aircraft, operated by NASA’s Johnson Space Center, carries large scientific payloads well into the stratosphere. The WB-57F has served the RISO program since 1996, flying though 11 rocket-exhaust plumes.The two-person aircrew includes a dedicated science officer who monitors instrument status and initiates plume data collections. amounts of reactive chlorine molecule, a gas not found in the natural stratosphere. The RISO team concluded that the estimated chlorine molecule EI of the Titan IVA SRMs was generally consistent with predictions based on the Aerospace computer models of chlorine afterburning chemistry. RISO WB-57F missions have carried up to four instruments to observe the extent and duration of immediate ozone loss in the plume wake. Data from each plume encounter allow investigators to quantify how much ozone is destroyed in the plume over time. Measurements from Titan IVA and space shuttle plumes show that the amount of ozone destruction does not increase without limit. RISO researchers have shown that ozone loss slows about one hour after launch, suggesting that the most ozone-destructive emissions have been deactivated by reactions with various gases in the surrounding air. This important observation has eased concerns that the short-term ozone loss in rocket plumes might be much greater than in the model predictions. Surprisingly, data obtained from within the plumes of several different rockets show that launch vehicles with greatly differing SRM emission rates cause about the same amount of ozone loss between 30 and 60 minutes after launch. Ozone loss in the plumes of Delta II and Atlas IIAS rockets was about the same as the loss in the plumes of the much larger Titan IVA and space shuttle. Existing plume-wake models that include only SRM chlorine gas emissions have not predicted this result; why this discrepancy exists is not yet known. It may be that SRM emissions interact with the stratosphere in a fashion not yet accounted for in plume models, or perhaps the liquid-oxygen/kerosene core engines of the Atlas IIAS and Delta II produce reactive gases that act alone or with SRM emissions to cause some additional ozone loss. Further data collection and measurement of the actual radical EIs for the various systems, and the development of detailed models of plume-wake chemistry, are needed to solve this puzzle. Interagency ACCENT Program Thiokol Propulsion, the company that manufactures the SRMs used on the space shuttle and Atlas IIAS, and Alliant Techsystems, the company that produces the Delta II SRM, joined RISO in 1998 as contributing partners. In 1999, RISO joined forces with NASA, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and the National Center for Atmospheric Research as part of the Atmospheric Chemistry of Combustion Emissions Near the Tropopause (ACCENT) mission, a multiagency-sponsored effort to study the effects of aircraft and rocket-engine exhaust on the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere. ACCENT brings together RISO and ongoing efforts of the NASA Atmospheric Effects of Aviation Program (AEAP). The Ozone concentration (1010 per cubic centimeter) 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 12 24 0 12 24 0 Plume wake (kilometers) Ozone concentration measured across the plume wakes of four different launch vehicles, all obtained about one hour after the different launches. Red represents data obtained while the WB-57F aircraft was inside the exhaust plume. The total amounts of chlorine emitted by the Titan IVA, Atlas IIAS, space shuttle, and Delta II ACCENT partnership grew out of the realization that a common set of atmospheric measurements from shared payloads on the WB-57F aircraft could serve the interests of both the Air Force and NASA programs. The ACCENT payload included as many as 17 instruments, significantly enhancing the RISO/ACCENT science team’s ability to understand plume-wake chemistry and characterize rocket-engine emissions. Three successful plume-wake flights took place during the 1999 ACCENT deployments. The data collected will allow several important unresolved problems to be addressed, including estimating the nitric oxide radical EI of SRMs and the soot EI of liquid-oxygen/kerosene engines and measuring the intensity of chemical reactions that take place on the surface of alumina particles in the plume. Looking Ahead RISO represents but one component of ongoing Aerospace activities to provide the Air Force with cutting-edge research and technical guidance on a wide range of environmental issues—from solvent chemistry to toxic ground clouds and ozone depletion. For its part, the RISO team allows SMC to claim world-class scientific expertise with regard to the 12 24 0 12 24 SRMs at the altitude of these measurements are about 2, 0.2, 4, and 0.3 tons per kilometer of altitude. Despite such large differences in chlorine emission rates among the four rocket types,the ozone losses in the plumes are comparable.The data were obtained by J. Benbrook and W. Sheldon of the University of Houston. influence that rocket emissions have on Earth’s ozone layer. The advances coming out of RISO are making the Air Force and the entire space-launch community confident that ozone loss from both individual and collective launches does not constitute a significant environmental hazard. RISO has proved that a low-cost program of ongoing plume-wake intercepts using appropriate instrumentation can help resolve the scientific problems surrounding the issue. RISO has also shown how joining forces with other agencies and industry increases the scientific return on investment for all interested parties. The data and conclusions from the RISO program reinforce a presumption that rocket emissions do not seriously threaten the ozone layer at the present time. However, as the space transportation industry grows, as new launch systems are introduced, and as the ozone layer recovers from past damage caused by nowbanned substances, the effect of rocket emissions on stratospheric ozone is likely to become a more visible issue. The space transportation community should continue to support scientific research efforts to fully understand the impact of rocketpropulsion systems on the composition of Earth’s natural umbrella, the ozone layer. Further Reading B. B. Brady, L. R. Martin, and V. I. Lang. “Effects of Launch Vehicle Emissions in the Stratosphere,” Journal of Spacecraft and Rockets, Vol. 34, 774–779 (1997). C. H. Jackman, D. B. Considine, and E. L. Fleming, “A Global Modeling Study of Solid Rocket Aluminum Oxide Emission Effects on Stratospheric Ozone,” Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 25, 907–910 (1998). M. N. Ross, et al., “Study Blazing New Trails Into the Effects of Aviation and Rocket Exhaust in the Atmosphere,” Transactions of the American Geophysical Union, Vol. 80, 442–444 (1999). M. N. Ross, et al., “In-Situ Measurement of Cl2 and O3 in a Stratospheric Solid Rocket Motor Exhaust Plume,” Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 24, 1755–1758 (1997). M. N. Ross, J. R. Benbrook, W. R. Sheldon, P. F. Zittel, and D. L. McKenzie, “Observation of Stratospheric Ozone Depletion in Rocket Plumes,” Nature, Vol. 390, 62–65 (1997). M. N. Ross, P. D. Whitefield, D. Hagen, and A. R. Hopkins, “In-Situ Measurement of the Aerosol Size Distribution in Stratospheric Solid Rocket Motor Exhaust Plumes,” Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 26, 819–822 (1999). WMO, “World Meteorological Organization Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion,” Report No. 25, Chap. 10, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland (1991). John Wessel and Robert W. Farley In this NASA shuttle photo of a sunset over South America, a pink layer, attributed to sulfuric acid droplets and ammonium sulfate particles, begins at the tropopause and extends upward into the stratosphere to 19 kilometers. NASA Water-Vapor Lidar Extends to the Tropopause Helium balloon John Wessel and Robert W. Farley Lidar’s role in obtaining accurate measurements of water vapor in the upper troposphere is becoming increasingly important as the issue of global warming heats up. T he question of whether Earth is dangerously heating up has become a subject of debate in our time. But is global warming fact or fiction? One thing is certain: The surface temperature of Earth has increased 0.45 to 0.6 degrees Kelvin in the past century. A recent study supported by The National Science Foundation predicts our planet will warm by 2 degrees Kelvin in the 21st century. Recent research conducted by The Aerospace Corporation to validate Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) measurements could shed some light on global warming issues. Global warming takes place when heat becomes increasingly trapped in Earth’s atmosphere. It is now widely believed that “greenhouse gases” (so called because these atmospheric constituents produce a “greenhouse effect” over Earth) contribute to this warming. Water is the most influential component of the greenhouse gas mixture: Water vapor absorbs infrared radiation emitted from Earth’s surface and lower atmosphere more than any other constituent, thereby trapping heat best. Accurate knowledge of the amount of atmospheric water must be obtained to improve and test global-warming models. Aerospace recently made significant advances in the ability to measure the distribution of water vapor in the upper troposphere (upper portion of the lower atmosphere). Using a ground-based lidar (light detection and ranging) system, Humidity transducer Temperature transducer Ground plane antenna Ground plane antenna Wire (flex) antenna A radiosonde is an instrument package carried by a balloon that ascends to altitudes of 20 to 30 kilometers. It measures temperature, humidity, and pressure in the atmosphere and broadcasts the information back to a ground station. The Global Positioning System is used to record the trajectory during ascent to determine wind speed and direction. measure humidity, temperature, and air pressure. First, radiosondes do not operate correctly at the low temperatures typically encountered above an altitude of 8 kilometers. Second, they are one-shot attempts at measuring atmospheric conditions, and they take one hour to reach their zenith. The lidar system measures water vapor continuously over the entire altitude range. This is important because the lidar can capture data from a satellite as the satellite moves overhead, and satellites are only in view for five minutes. During this brief time, the “ground footprint” of the satellite must be in line with the lidar. The lidar both global-climate and weather-forecast modeling. One way to determine the causes (and the only way to predict the future extent) of global warming is to have accurate models, which presupposes having accurate knowledge of the initial atmospheric conditions. Global-climate-change studies rely heavily on computer-generated models that predict the future state of the atmosphere based on initial data retrieved from ground- and satellite-based weather measurements. Although these models are largely based on thoroughly tested principles of physics, a number of simplifica- Pionee rs in Space fe De Meteo rology M ete or ol og ic m n se al Satellit e Progr a The most reliable calibration occurs when the lidar measures moisture in the satellite “ground footprint” area as the satellite passes overhead. A lidar set up over water works best during calibration of satellite data because the water’s surface emits less interfering microwave energy than land. For this reason, setting up the lidar on a small island or on a shipboard platform is ideal. which operates much like radar, the researchers discovered significantly more water content in the upper reaches of the troposphere than was previously thought to exist. This capability was developed to improve calibration of U.S. Air Force meteorological satellites. Lidar vs. Weather Balloons The combined use of lidar and satellites provides many advantages over conventional balloon-borne radiosondes, which Setting up the Aerospace mobile lidar are Steven Beck,Yat Chan, and Jerry Gelbwachs. It was first used for satellite calibration at Kauai, Hawaii.The container was equipped with wheels and towed to the final site.The structure on the left front of the container is the elevator that raises the beam director periscope (located on top of the container).The beam director is stored below the roof line so the container can fit inside an aircraft. then calibrates the data derived from the satellite. Essentially, it verifies whether or not a satellite is measuring water vapor properly. (See sidebar “How Lidar Works,” pages 14 and 15) Finally, water-vapor data can now be derived from multiple satellites that measure water vapor all over the world. Before the advent of satellites, data were derived from radiosondes routinely launched over land by national weather services. Improving Computer Models Combining accurate ground-based lidar measurements with high-quality imagery obtained by satellites promises to improve tions are used to improve calculation speed and bypass scientific problem areas. In addition, adequate computer power is not yet available to process the volume of data required for accurate prediction. The result is that computer-generated weatherforecast and global-climate-change models yield oversimplified results. As more computer power becomes available, more complete data on initial conditions can be processed, resulting in improved models. Microwave Sounders vs. Radiosondes DMSP recognized in 1979 the need for accurate data to feed numerical (computer) global-weather-prediction models and pio- neered a microwave-sounding instrument, the SSM/T-1 (Special Sensor Microwave/ Temperature), to measure temperature in the atmosphere. Until then, radiosondes alone were relied upon to gather data about atmospheric temperatures. Microwave sounders are passive devices, radio receivers that listen for emissions at various frequencies. Water vapor emits microwaves, the intensity of which is used to estimate water content in the atmosphere, particularly over oceans, where conventional methods of obtaining measurements are in short supply. (Radiosondes, which provide a more because water provides the principal means of energy transport in the troposphere and plays a critical role in global warming. Additionally, water vapor induces cloud formation and violent weather events, determines atmospheric visibility, causes icing, and influences aircraft contrail formation. In processing water-vapor data derived from SSM/T-2 measurements, serious discrepancies were observed between microwave and radiosonde water-vapor data. The problem was traced to radiosonde humidity transducers. Errors show up in the water-vapor data derived from R. L. Jones, Sandia National Laboratories The U.S. Navy Pacific Missile Range Facility on the island of Kauai. Because a minimum of land in view is desired when a satellite aligns with the lidar, an island setting was ideal for The Aerospace Corporation’s test of its new Raman lidar system. In addition, Kauai provided the necessary moist environment for the experiment. direct means of measuring atmospheric properties, are in widespread use over land.) In 1991, DMSP launched the SSM/T-2, which measures water vapor. SSM/T-1 and SSM/T-2 now serve as eyes on worldwide weather, providing the data needed to initialize the computer models. Although the SSM/T-1 temperature sounder has a long history of success, the SSM/T-2 is newer and has had limited development. Because water vapor is highly variable in the atmosphere, measurements of it are generally neglected in computer-generated forecast models. This is unfortunate satellites because satellites are calibrated against radiosondes. Water-Vapor Lidar Raman lidar is a specialized type of lidar named after Sir Chandrasekhara Raman, who won the Nobel Prize for physics in 1930 for his discovery of the shifts in the wavelength of light that occur when a light beam interacts with molecular vibrations and rotations. Whereas lidar typically measures light that remains at one frequency, Raman lidar can measure wavelength-shifted light. Because each constituent of the atmosphere correlates to a characteristic wavelength shift, Raman lidar is useful in measuring the constituents of the atmosphere. Raman lidar was initially developed at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center. Aerospace confirmed its feasibility for use in DMSP applications in experiments performed during 1993 at the Air Force Malabar facility. Plans were then made to develop a mobile lidar system capable of calibrating satellites from a variety of remote locations, and Aerospace designed and constructed the system in-house. This mobile lidar is housed in a surplus Air Force transportable radar container. Experimentation on Kauai The new Raman lidar system was first put to use during the calibration and validation of the DMSP F-14 satellite. A sea-level island location with an airport and controlled air space, clear dark sky, and, of course, a moist atmosphere were required for the demonstration. The Navy’s Pacific Missile Range Facility on the Hawaiian island of Kauai was chosen. The Hawaii Air National Guard provided transportation. Calibration was highly successful and showed significant improvement over radiosonde calibration. During a two-week period, 10 lidar measurements were taken that closely matched measurements gathered by the SSM/T-2. However, the radiosonde measurements suggested considerable instrument error. Aerospace concluded that radiosonde water-vapor measurements taken above 8 kilometers altitude are incorrect most of the time because the water-vapor transducers carried by radiosondes become unresponsive at the low temperatures encountered at high altitudes. High-Altitude Water Vapor High-altitude water-vapor measurement is a key element in modeling global warming because water has a much greater influence on Earth’s tropospheric energy balance than trace gases such as carbon dioxide. However, water vapor is not accurately monitored, and little is known about its influence on global climatic change. Aerospace learned from the Kauai experiment that the lidar’s high-altitude accuracy needed to be improved to accurately validate SSM/T-2 for upper-tropospheric water-vapor measurement. A new highaltitude detector system was incorporated into the lidar, which allowed measurements above 10 kilometers. When this new system was used at the U.S. Navy’s Pacific 14 12 Radiosonde Lidar Altitude (kilometers) 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Relative humidity (percent) Steven Beck, Jerry Gelbwachs, and John Wessel preparing to launch a radiosonde near the Aerospace transportable lidar system at Kauai. The radiosonde, contained in a white plastic-foam package, is suspended below the balloon. Relative humidity measured at San Nicolas Island Oct. 7, 1998. Lidar measurements are appreciably higher than corresponding radiosonde measurements. Missile Range Facility at San Nicolas Island, off the coast of California, SSM/T2 upper-atmosphere water-vapor measurements were validated. The lidar measurements indicated that, on average, four times more water vapor than expected lies in thin layers near the tropopause (top of the troposphere). How Lidar Works The picture of upper-tropospheric water vapor observed from San Nicolas Island was much different than expected based on prior NASA satellite measurements. Lidar has proved to be an improvement over ground-based methods of measuring water vapor in the atmosphere. Atmospheric scattering Laser transmitter Laser Frequency shifters Photodetectors Collimator (expands) Telescope Telescope primary mirror Spectrum analyzer Shutter A lidar consists of a laser transmitter, a receiver telescope, photodetectors, and range-resolving detection electronics (not shown). The Raman lidar shifts the laser frequency from the infrared range into the ultraviolet range using harmonic generator crystals. The ultraviolet is expanded in a collimator telescope to make the output eye-safe and to improve the divergence of the beam. The operating principles of lidar are similar to those of radar. The laser transmits a short pulse of light in a specific direction. The light interacts with molecules in the air, and the molecules send a small fraction of the light back to the receiver telescope. 0 Wind speed (meters per second) 10 20 30 40 Wind speed 18 Wind direction Aerospace, Lidar NASA, Sage II Altitude (kilometers) 18 16 Mixing ratio 14 12 Mastenbrook, frost point hygrometer Oltmans, Mastenbrook, frost point hygrometer 16 Kley, frost point hygrometer 14 10 12 8 0 20 40 60 Mixing ratio (parts per million/volume) 80 0 50 Mixing ratio (parts per million/volume) 100 (Left) Mixing ratio of water vapor to air, measured by lidar on September 25, 1998.Wind direction in degrees from north is 10 times the value shown on the wind speed scale. (Right) Average mixing ratios observed by Aerospace lidar at San Nicolas and the Table Mountain Observatory June–October. NASA Sage II instrument midlatitude measurements were lower than Aerospace averages, Oltmans-Mastenbrook measurements above Colorado were much lower, and Mastenbrook’s, in summer over Washington, D.C., and Trinidad, V.I., were closest to Aerospace measurements. Most high-quality ground-based measurements for the upper tropopause were made in equatorial regions; the Kley points are typical of these. (The mixing ratio is the ratio of water-vapor pressure to air pressure in the atmosphere.) Laser r eive Rec Lidar Atmospheric Profile Raman Spectrum Vibrational Raman Logarithmic intensity Laser wavelength H2O signal The returning light signal is measured by photodetectors. The amount of time it takes the light to return to the receiver telescope indicates altitude, the wavelength shift of the light identifies the type of air molecules that scattered the light,and the intensity of the light represents the concentration of molecules. In Raman lidar (the Raman process), light interacts with vibrating and rotating molecules, and this causes the shift in wavelength shown in the Raman spectrum. Aerospace used separate optical filters to isolate the wavelength signals emitted by the water vapor and nitrogen molecules.The ratio of the signals is proportional to the mixing ratio of water vapor to air. 20 Altitude (kilometers) A second set of data acquired in 1999 from the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory Smithsonian Table Mountain Observatory site, located at 2,300 meters in elevation at Wrightwood, California, confirms this figure. The high location provided very clear skies and reduced the range to the tropopause, thereby improving measurements. Data from the two sites were similar, confirming that the data represent weather in the vicinity of the local tropopause. If the results of these experiments are broadly descriptive of the midlatitude atmosphere, they may add to our understanding of global warming. Before now, few high-altitude measurements had been taken at those latitudes using precise methods. Atmospheric Circulation and Hadley Cells The combination of lidar data, wind data, and SSM/T-2 upper-atmosphere watervapor imagery provided information that supports the current scientific understanding of general atmospheric circulation. Global atmospheric circulation is caused by the uneven heating of Earth’s surface. Lower latitudes receive more radiation 0 Time N2 O2 Wavelength H2O June 30, 1998 Brightness temperature (kelvin) 275 San Nicolas Island 235 October 7, 1998 Brightness temperature (kelvin) 275 San Nicolas Island 235 Brightness-temperature mappings recorded in the SSM/T-2 upper tropospheric channel for satellite overpasses, made during San Nicolas Island lidar measurements. Blue corresponds to low-brightness temperature, which indicates the presence of moisture and signifies that emissions are primarily from the cold upper troposphere. Red corresponds to high-brightness temperature. High-brightness temperatures occur when microwave emissions originate from low altitudes, which are normally warmer, and the middle and upper troposphere are dry. Otherwise, the microwave emissions would be absorbed by high-altitude water vapor. In these images, San Nicolas Island, indicated by a small white triangle, lies near the boundary between moist and dry upper layers. from the sun than do higher ones. To understand atmospheric circulation, various models have been developed. One such model is the Hadley circulation model. The sun shines approximately overhead at the equator. This heats surface regions, causing air to rise and cool. The cool air loses moisture in the process. Once cool, it moves north and south, descending toward midlatitudes and then returns at low levels back to the equator where it gets reheated. SSM/T-2 routinely identifies large midlatitude regions, including locations such as San Nicolas Island, that have very dry upper air. Dry regions are surrounded by moist high-altitude regions. The dry air presumably came from very high altitudes near the equator and subsided to a lower altitude upon reaching midlatitudes. The lidar and radiosonde data can be used to estimate how long ago this subsidence occurred. Thin moist layers are usually observed by lidar in regions that characteristically have dry air. In the case of San Nicolas Island, we hypothesized that wind shear carries moisture from moist regions into neighboring dry areas. When we combined the windshear velocities with the distance between the lidar location and the surrounding moist region, we estimated that the air subsided within 2 to 20 hours of our measurements. The overall picture of dry high-altitude equatorial air moving north and subsiding at our midlatitude is consistent with the Hadley circulation model, which predicts that equatorial air moves toward the poles. Applying Our Knowledge Future research will extend water-vapor measurements over regions representative of the global atmosphere, and the capability of measuring temperature will be added to the lidar. The new DMSP Special Sensor Microwave Imager Sounder (SSMIS) instrument will measure temperatures up to 80 kilometers altitude, which will require a new validation method. This instrument is being developed by Aerojet-Gencorp and is scheduled for launch in November 2000. It combines the features of the current-generation SSM/T-1, SSM/T-2, and SSM/I (SSM/Imager) instruments with increased horizontal resolution and the capability of measuring temperatures at high altitudes. Some researchers use Rayleigh lidar to measure temperature up to 80 kilometers altitude. We currently measure temperature The Hadley Circulation Model Cold and dry Tropopause Moist layer Dry Ice, rain Moist Very warm massive convection Equatorial Pacific to an altitude of 40 kilometers using both Rayleigh and rotational Raman lidar, and expect to reach 80 kilometers in 2001. Lidar will then provide the data needed to validate all SSMIS atmospheric measurements. Midlatitude In general, lidar is an excellent method for calibrating satellite microwave sensors. It accurately depicts the atmosphere those sensors view. Enhancing lidar’s capabilities will contribute to our increas- In 1735, George Hadley, a British physicist (1685–1768), formulated a model to explain the general pattern of global atmospheric circulation. The Hadley model describes, in the simplest form, a large-scale circulation in Earth’s atmosphere, with a rising motion of air over the equatorial regions and a descending motion northward and southward toward the midlatitudes. Massive convection in the equatorial Pacific lofts air from the surface to altitudes above the tropopause. The tropopause is coldest in equatorial regions, and water precipitates in the form of rain and ice from the convected air masses. This injects very dry air into the region of the tropopause and above.The air moves generally toward the poles and descends in the process, accounting for our observations of exceedingly dry air layers at midlatitudes. Frequently, moist layers occur above the dry regions. Wind shear causes this by transporting thin layers from nearby moist regions. ing understanding of the atmosphere, which may one day in the near future lead us to solving the puzzle of why Earth is getting hotter. Further Reading M. A. Janssen, Atmospheric Remote Sensing by Microwave Radiometry (Wiley-Interscience, New York, 1993). T. R. Karl and K. E. Trenberth, “The Human Impact on Climate,” Scientific American, December 1999, pp. 100–105. R. M. Measures, Laser Remote Sensing (Wiley-Interscience, New York, 1984). S. H. Melfi and D. N. Whiteman, “Observation of Lower Atmospheric Moisture Structure and Its Evolution Using a Raman Lidar,” Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 66, 1282–1292 (1985). D. Rind, “Just Add Water Vapor,” Science, Vol. 281, 1152–1153 (1998). F. W. Taylor, “The Greenhouse Effect and Climate Change,” Reports on Progress in Physics, Vol. 54, 881–918 (1991). Naval Air Warfare Center The U. S. Navy Pacific Missile Range Facility, San Nicolas Island, off the California coast, where Aerospace used lidar with a new high-altitude shutter system to validate SSM/T-2 upper-atmosphere water-vapor measurements. J. Wessel, S. M. Beck, Y. C. Chan, R. W. Farley, and J. A. Gelbwachs, “Raman Lidar Calibration for the DMSP SSM/T-2 Microwave Water Vapor Sensor,” IEEE Transactions on Geosciences and Remote Sensing, Vol. 38, 141–154 (2000). DSP E arly in the morning on a day in August 1972, all satellites in the constellation that would alert the United States of a missile attack suddenly lost their warning capability. The detectors and circuitry, according to the status data, had been hit by a strong source of ionizing radiation. This appeared to be an ominous event to operators at the ground stations, where the initial interpretation was that the Russians had detonated a nuclear warhead in space, possibly as a precursor to a ballistic missile attack. Prompt analysis of the sensor outputs by an Aerospace expert in nuclear and space physics on duty at one of the sites provided the actual cause: The satellites had been hit with a massive proton flux from an extraordinarily intense solar flare. An unwise reaction by the government was averted. The Aerospace Corporation subsequently worked with the U.S. Air Force and the system contractor to provide fixes to assure uninterrupted operation through such events. Aerospace has often provided invaluable assistance to the Air Force, playing a key role in the development, operation, and success of this national asset—the Defense Support Program (DSP). Deployed 40,000 kilometers above Earth in the equatorial plane, a constellation of satellites equipped with infrared sensors (“IR eyes”) looks for ballistic missiles aimed at the United States or its allies. The period of their orbits is 24 hours, so the satellites remain at constant longitudes, that is, in geostationary orbits, guarding against an attack on the United States or its allies from anywhere in the world. The system has been in operation continuously since it went on line in 1971. Fortunately, the United States has never experienced a missile attack; of course, the Launch of the Program 461 satellite by an Atlas Agena from Vandenberg Air Force Base on August 19, 1966, into a 3700-kilometer circular orbit. IR Eyes High in the Sky The Defense Support Program Fred Simmons and Jim Creswell Crosslink commemorates the 40th anniversary of The Aerospace Corporation by introducing a series on the history of the corporation’s role in national space programs. extent to which DSP has served as a deterrent to such an attack cannot be known. In addition to performing their primary mission, DSP sensors have produced a wealth of information on a variety of sources, military and otherwise, that has served many other purposes. Certain civilian uses of these surveillance satellites are described in the premier issue (January 2000) of Crosslink. Those particular appli- cations of course are peripheral to the principal mission of DSP. Early Development The U.S. national early warning program had its beginnings in the early 1960s, when it became evident that the United States was vulnerable to attack by the intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBM) then under development in the Soviet Union. By the mid-sixties, ICBMs High altitude (above 30 kilometers) Sensor line of sight Low altitude (20–30 kilometers) Sources of confusion for a space-based surveillance system. From low altitudes (0 to 10 kilometers), cultural sources include industrial sites (such as heat exchangers, flare gas burners, smelters, and coke ovens), petroleum and pipeline fires, explosions and dumps, and slash-and-burn regions; geophysical sources include forest fires, volcanoes, and solar scatter from cloud edges, coastlines, water surfaces, high deserts, and snow-covered heights. From high altitudes (above 30 kilometers), cultural sources include target-related clouds and tracks, objects in low Earth orbits, and vehicle reentries; natural sources include meteors and bolides, volcanic clouds, air glow, and aurora, as well as the sun, moon, planets, and stars. 108 107 Missile at 20 kilometers Intensity 106 105 104 103 102 Terrain Cloud at 10 kilometers 10 2.2 2.6 3.0 3.4 3.8 4.2 4.6 5.0 Wavelength The blue and green curves show the spectra of typical terrain and a solar-illuminated cloud at 10 kilometers altitude; the red curve shows a hypothetical missile at 20 kilometers altitude. appeared in test flights, and the United States adopted the MAD (mutual assured destruction) strategy as its national defense posture. Early warning became critical to the survival of U.S. retaliatory forces, and launch detection by space-based sensors was essential. Aerospace was called upon at the start to perform trade studies and prepare technical specifications for an operational system. It provided the general system engineering and technical direction for the development of the program. The ballistic missile defense studies as a whole had been initiated earlier. As part of its Project Defender, the Advanced Research Projects Agency (ARPA) of the Department of Defense in the late 1950s explored concepts for early warning based on the detection of the infrared emission from rocket exhaust plumes by sensors stationed in space. The ARPA program consisted mainly of system studies and various measurement programs to characterize the infrared properties of ballistic missiles and the backgrounds against which they would have to be observed. Concurrent with much of that work, the Air Force, aided by Aerospace, began development of its own Missile Defense Alarm System (MIDAS). That system, had it been implemented, would have employed a constellation of many satellites in low Earth orbits. A space experiment designated as Program 461, the final element of the MIDAS program, provided the proof of principle to support the development of a system with far greater capabilities. Although the exhaust plume from a rocket emits a great deal of infrared radiation, so do many other sources that might appear in the background. To discriminate the rocket from the background sources, the sensors must operate in specific regions of the spectrum. In their characteristic molecular bands between two and three microns, water vapor and carbon dioxide in the atmosphere greatly suppress emissions from fires and other hot terrestrial sources and solar reflections from the ground and low clouds. Because water vapor and carbon dioxide are the principal products of rocketpropellant combustion, the hot exhaust plume from the missile appears as a very bright source moving against the background in those same spectral bands. Consequently, as a missile rises through the atmosphere and absorption diminishes, the apparent intensity of the plume rapidly increases. Accordingly, the sensors are The RTS-1 payload for Program 461 was built by Lockheed Missiles and Space Company (now Lockheed Martin) for the Air Force Space Systems Division. The sensor, built by the Aerojet-General Corporation, included an 8-inch aperture concentric telescope and a focal plane containing a linear array of 442 lead-sulfide detectors.A spectral filter defined a narrow bandpass within the band of water-vapor absorption in the atmosphere.The sensor was mounted on a spin table to rotate at 6 rpm, providing a scan of Earth every 10 seconds. A pair of star sensors provided information for attitude determination.Three such payloads were launched in 1966; two were successful. Each sensor collected data for about a year. Elevation angle Zenith angle rget Target Local vertical Ground track The Program 461 satellite was designed to operate in a spinning mode to scan Earth below from a low circular polar orbit (~3226 kilometers) with a period of 10 seconds. designed with detectors filtered to accept radiation only in those molecular bands. Furthermore, this spectral region favors the use of lead-sulfide detectors, which offer the advantage of high sensitivity with passive cooling. launched ballistic missile (SLBM), the smallest missile of a direct threat to the continental United States. During 1966 and 1967, Program 461 collected data on many of the ballistic missiles and space launch vehicles in the Soviet and U.S. arsenals, totaling dozens of test launches. In the course of those observations, Program 461 sensors produced a substantial database on the clutter created by the scanning of the Earth-cloud backgrounds, information also needed for the optimization of the DSP sensors, the development of which was commencing at that time. Thus were provided the proof of principle for space-based surveillance and a valuable database for the design of the sensors in the national early warning system to follow. DSP Sensors In the late-1960s, the design of the sensors for the DSP system to some extent followed the concept for MIDAS. A linear array of passively cooled infrared detectors, with spectral filters providing a bandpass in the center of an atmospheric absorption band, was positioned in the focal plane of a telescope mounted in a satellite rotating at six revolutions per Apparent radiant intensity USAF Sensor Design In the design of a sensor for missile detection, a basic engineering decision involves a choice between two approaches. A sensor can be designed to have relatively few detectors that scan the field of view, or it can be designed to have a very large number of detectors staring at the scene to detect targets by their motion through the field of view. The technology of the 1960s enabled only the former approach, which was incorporated in Program 461 and subsequently, DSP. In either case, a basic design tradeoff is the optimization of the spectral filter: The wider the bandpass, the more target intensity is collected, but also the greater the amount of highly variable background. The early target and background measurement programs provided sufficient information, mostly with airborne instruments, for the design of the Program 461 sensors; the results of that program provided the basis for further optimization of the sensors in the DSP system that followed. Program 461 satellites, built by Lockheed Missiles and Space Company, observed many launches of missiles and space launch vehicles from Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg Air Force Base, as well as from different sites in the Soviet Union. After processing the signals received at the ground stations, the target intensities were reported as radiant intensities in the system bandpass as functions of time for the particular viewing aspect and other parameters of the observation. Extraction of such signatures from the raw data was a formidable task in view of the relatively coarse pointing system of these satellites by today’s standards; Aerospace provided much of the analysis for that purpose. Such data were obtained from observations of three SS-9 missiles in test flights from the Tyuratam facility near the Aral Sea to the Kamchatka peninsula in the Sea of Japan. At the time, this liquid-propellant ICBM was the largest missile in the USSR inventory and the principal threat to the United States. Among other observations in the Eastern hemisphere, a particular sighting of significance was that of a single-stage missile launched in a test flight from Kapustin Yar on February 3, 1967. The relatively short burn of that missile afforded observations in only three scans between cloud break and thrust termination. That missile was later identified as an SSN-6 medium-range submarine- Oct 23, 1966 Mar 31, 1967 May 31, 1967 0 100 200 Time (seconds) 300 Program 461 observation. This plot, illustrative of the product, shows the characteristic intensity profile of a two-stage missile. The initial increase in intensity occurs as the missile rises and the atmospheric absorption decreases. After the maximum, the “afterburning” of hydrogen and carbon monoxide in the exhaust diminishes as the vehicle and exhaust velocities become comparable and the density of oxygen in the air decreases. After a minimum, the reported intensity again increases as the missile velocity exceeds the exhaust velocity, until the image of the plume exceeds the detector field of view. minute. The idea of a constellation of many satellites in a low Earth orbit was abandoned in favor of a few satellites in geostationary orbits positioned at longitudes affording views of the launch sites of concern. Accordingly, a sensor with a USAF DSP Flight 1 satellite prior to shipment to Cape Canaveral (1970). Note the offset of the telescope from the vehicle axis. The two small telescopes pointing normal to the axis of rotation are the star sensors that provide the data necessary to determine the precise pointing of the primary telescope. The main body of the satellite contains a reaction wheel to control the spinning rate, propulsion units for station keeping, and electronic components for data processing and transmittal. Solar cells covering the body and four paddles provide power. The radiator, used for passive cooling of the detectors, is located near the base of the telescope. Azimuth Elevation Projection of detector array Equator DSP mode of scanning.The detector arrays cover the range from near nadir to slightly above the horizon. The downlinked data include the responding detector identification and the universal time, which specify the target position in satellite coordinates of azimuth and elevation. much more powerful telescope and many more detectors was designed by Aerojet for installation in a satellite built by TRW Inc. The DSP development effort was originally known as Program 266, then 949, USAF Launch of DSP Flight 1 from Cape Canaveral in November 1970. and later 647. The system became DSP when it achieved full functional capability. DSP sensors incorporated many features representative of an advanced technology for that time. The design included a larger array of detectors (2000 initially, 6000 eventually), spectral filters, electrical circuitry for optimizing discrimination of targets from a cluttered background, and improvements in data processing onboard and at the ground station. A key feature of the DSP design (insisted upon by the Aerospace advisors to the Air Force), was the absence of moving elements in the sensor optics, elements that enormously simplified the bore sighting and precise attitude determination. The optical axis of the telescope was offset from the axis of rotation of the satellite; the field of view of the detector array extended from near the nadir to slightly above the horizon. Thus, the rotation of the satellite provided a scan of most of a hemisphere every 10 seconds. Two ground stations were initially built, one located near Denver, Colorado, and the other deep in the outback of Australia. The initial satellite, Flight 1, was launched in November 1970 by a Titan IIIC launch vehicle with a Transtage third stage. Unfortunately, it didn’t quite reach a geosynchronous orbit, and the subpoint circled Earth every five days. The orbit was high enough, however, to allow checkout of the ground data-processing sites and the mission software and to provide nominal Earth-pointing and sensor operation. Aerospace advisors at the ground sites and the Air Force Satellite Control Facility provided the leadership for debugging and modifying the software with “field-fixes” and configuring the satellite for collecting data. The anomalous orbit was fortuitous because it provided the opportunity to observe launches from both the United States and the Soviet Union. The functioning of the system was proved, and data from a considerable number of observations were collected. In May 1971, Flight 2 was successfully launched, and after on-orbit testing (accomplished in a very short time), it was turned over to the Air Force Systems Command. The satellite was stationed over the Indian Ocean to view the major launch sites of the Eurasian continent. For Flight 2 to effectively perform the warning mission, it had to recognize and report ICBM launches and reject all infrared phenomena USAF NASA Ground station in Australia. Deployment of DSP Flight 16 from the shuttle in November 1991. restrict the spectral bandpass to suppress terrestrial sources. That addition and other changes in the detectors and electrical circuitry provided a substantial improvement in sensitivity, which was needed to detect and track upper stages. The average orbit lifetime of a sensor has been five years, with considerable variation. To date, 19 satellites have been built. All but one were launched with Titan vehicles, those since 1989 with Inertial Upper Stages. The exception was Flight 16, deployed from the shuttle into a low Earth orbit for subsequent boost by an Inertial Upper Stage motor to a geostationary altitude. The research test series that preceded the development of DSP provided no effective means for establishing the precise pointing of the sensors. Aerospace realized that a foolproof backup needed to be added to DSP for determining the precise attitude of the infrared sensors. (In retrospect, the use of an Earth sensor for pointing and star sensors for instantaneous, precise attitude determination proved to be effective.) Aerospace concluded that a ground-based laser operating in the infrared band of the sensor—analogous to a beacon or transponder in the field of view of a radar—could serve that purpose. The idea was vigorously pursued, and a DSP satellite was successfully illuminated within a year of the first satellite launch. Aerospace developed and provided hydrogen-fluoride chemical lasers for that use. Although the lasers were rarely needed for precise attitude determination of DSP satellites, they were used as a beacon for functional checkout of the overall system. 0.160 0.153 0.145 3.75 Elevation (rad) 0.161 Elevation (rad) from other sources. This required templates (intensities vs. time) for threat missiles to compare with the data as it was transmitted to the ground. Analysis to that end by other organizations would have taken months. Aerospace and the sensor contractor, working closely with personnel at the site, produced templates in a few weeks and continually upgraded them as the data from missile sightings were accumulated. This analysis also facilitated some necessary modifications of the system software by Aerospace and contractor personnel assigned to the ground site. Transition of Flight 2 to a fully operational status, consequently, was greatly accelerated. The sensor met the requirements and rapidly created a database of all the ballistic missiles and space launches of the time. In later years, additional satellites were deployed to maintain a constellation with satellites in the East to report ICBM launches and in the West to cover the ocean areas from which SLBMs could be launched. Later, a larger constellation of satellites, stationed over a range of longitudes, provided multisensor viewing of areas of particular concern. The sensors have been upgraded and improved in several respects throughout the life of the program. One significant improvement was the addition to Flight 6 and subsequent sensors of an array of sensors to view targets above the horizon. For such fields of view, it was not necessary to Horizon 3.79 Azimuth (rad) 3.83 0.155 Horizon 0.150 2.37 2.43 Azimuth (rad) 2.49 Apparent motion of target in the satellite field of view over the Atlantic Ocean (left), with time increasing upward to the left, and over the western Pacific Ocean (right), where the launch site was beyond the horizon and the target appeared after rising above the Earth limb. Green indicates target positions of maximum intensity per scan in the main array; blue indicates positions reported by the more sensitive cells in the above-the-horizon array. Note the increasing spread as the vehicle accelerates. Also, they were used for determining sensor resolution and bore sighting, new software validation and evaluation of stray light properties, and assessing system sensitivity to uncooperative laser illumination and developing means for its mitigation. Incidentally, after two star sensors on Flight 8 failed, lasers were used in their originally intended applications—beacons in the sensor field of view as the primary means of determining the precise attitude. Target data downlinked from the satellites to the ground include the intensities of the detected source above a prescribed threshold, the identification of the responding detectors, and the universal time, the latter two providing the instantaneous target position in satellite coordinates: elevation and azimuth. By appropriate processing, including a comparison with stored templates of intensity versus time based on prior sightings, the target can be identified and its heading established. The principal product of the DSP system in near real time is a warning message from the ground station relaying that information to the national command authority. DSP satellites have fulfilled their primary mission by reporting thousands of missile launches over three decades. Data for Off-Line Analysis The data from those DSP sightings have also been provided to various centers for off-line analysis, when appropriate, and for archiving in a comprehensive database maintained by Aerospace. The database contains the reports on all ballistic missile sightings, as well as on a vast number of other events, military in nature and otherwise (for example, space launch vehicles). The data listings include not only the maximum intensities in a given scan, but also the lower intensities of the target distributed in the vicinity. For such analysis, data from the satellites can be displayed in a variety of forms. DSP Support of Theater Operations DSP took on a more direct and proactive role in its missile-warning mission during Desert Storm operations in 1991. In that conflict, Iraq launched a large number of Scud missiles at targets located in Saudi Arabia and Israel. Specifically, the DSP satellites stationed in the Eastern Hemisphere detected and tracked the missiles during the boost period and reported their headings to the appropriate Patriot missile batteries fielded by the U.S. Army in those areas. The information was provided by telephone communication links, some of which were staffed by Aerospace personnel, allowing the Patriots to intercept the incoming Scuds. Although the effectiveness of the Patriots in destroying the warheads can be questioned, the interceptions did take place, establishing the feasibility of defense against theater missiles. Largely because of their success in Desert Storm, DSP satellites currently play the key role in the Air Force’s Attack and Early Reporting to Theater (ALERT) system, an operational function of the 11th Space Warning Squadron of the 21st Space Wing. Aerospace provided invaluable assistance to the Air Force in the procurement of that system by generating specifications and providing support with the contractor selection process. For the ALERT system, data from the entire DSP constellation and other sources are integrated and processed at one facility located at Schriever Air Force Base in Colorado. The detection reports, considerably improved in accuracy, are transmitted rapidly to commanders in the theaters through U.S. Army Launch of a Scud missile for engagement by an improved Patriot in the Willow Dune experiment at the Kwajalein Missile Range in 1997. space-based communication links. DSP satellites provide worldwide coverage so that the ALERT system can monitor all major regional conflicts and areas of concern simultaneously, and provide threatmissile descriptors, such as launch point, heading, position, velocity, and predicted impact location. Observations of Other Sources The database contains hundreds of sightings of other sources that appear in the fields of view of the sensors; many are assigned descriptors that characterize the nature and time variation of their movement across the monitor screen. In no instance has analysis failed to identify the sources of those sightings. (Contrary to some assertions in the popular press, there have been no sightings of alien spacecraft.) 29100 29200 29300 29400 29500 GMT (seconds) Time variation of maximum single-detector intensities over a range of two orders of magnitude. (GMT: Greenwich mean time). 300 250 200 GMT = 29348 150 300 Altitude (kilometers) Intensity Altitude (kilometers) 300 250 200 GMT = 29348 150 400 500 Range (kilometers) 600 Intensity (Left) Spatial distribution of signals reported in a single scan. The signals from the extended plume merge into those of a persistent trail. (Right) Distributions intensities reported in a single scan with altitude. The solid symbol on both graphs indicates the position of the vehicle. DSP DSP DSP ALERT control center CONUS ground station Communications networks National command authority Theater commanders Overseas ground station (Australia) European ground station The ALERT architecture. (CONUS: Continental United States) Among the objects of current interest are the occasional meteors of significant size. Earth is constantly bombarded by small meteors, most the size of a grain of sand. Their numbers, and intensities due to atmospheric drag, appear to vary inversely with mass. Large meteors of potentially catastrophic size are rare. Nevertheless, during the last 30 years, DSP has observed some very sizable meteors. For example, in 1972 an exceptionally large meteor was observed in a grazing trajectory that came within an astronomical whisker of hitting Salt Lake City. Analysis by Aerospace led to the conclusion that the object was of sufficient mass that a slightly deeper penetration of the atmosphere would have resulted in an impact equal to the explosive force of the atomic bombs that destroyed Hiroshima and Nagasaki in World War II. In addition to such moving objects, very intense stationary thermal sources on the ground can be seen in spite of the background suppression afforded by the spectral filters and electronic circuitry. Such sources include fires, gas flare-offs from oil refineries, volcanic eruptions, nuclear explosions, and solar scatter and reflections. The observation of such events is of course facilitated by very low humidity, which minimizes absorption in the path to space. Some particularly mysterious sightings occurred in the early 1970s. Extremely bright stationary sources suddenly appeared in the area adjacent to the Caspian Sea, with apparent intensities of nearly a megawatt per steradian lasting for several minutes. Certain analysts elsewhere attached a sinister interpretation to those events. However, analysis at Aerospace solved the mystery simply by noting that these sources all appeared precisely along a pipeline to Moscow from the natural gas fields in the area. Clearly, the sources were burning gas, presumably flared off for maintenance of the pipeline, a conclusion later confirmed by other information. Gas flares from oil refineries are also routinely observed, particularly in dry regions such as Southern California and the Near East. Likewise, volcanoes are frequently observed at various locations throughout the world, sometimes by the emission from the lava flow, but more often by reflected sunlight from the ash plume rising high in the atmosphere. Observations of many other infrared sources, both stationary and moving, have been routinely observed, reported, and processed at Aerospace for inclusion in the database, archived at the Ballistic Missile Defense Organization Advanced Missile Signature Center, Air Force Arnold Engineering and Development Center, Tullahoma, Tennessee, which is accessible to qualified users. Over the years, there have been innumerable reports analyzing the data to fulfill the needs of various Space and Missile Systems Center program offices and other government agencies. The results of most of those analyses are in the classified literature. The database contains an extensive collection of events, the observations of which were not even thought of when the system was originally conceived. Among other uses, that collection provides the fundamental basis for evaluating the effect of such events on the performance of the Space Based Infrared Systems (SBIRS) that will replace DSP in a few years. It is axiomatic in the field of infrared phenomenology that when more sensitive sensors are deployed in space, unexpected obser130° 125° 55° Edmonton 120° 115° Calgary 110° 50° Missoula Perigee Meteor ground track 45° Boise Salt Lake City 40° Path of a meteor moving north at 18 kilometers per second over several western states, at closest approach a mere 94 kilometers above Earth. vations and other surprises are invariably produced. This is true of the DSP sensors, not only in their original configuration, but especially in the improved versions. The new system will feature many improvements in the sensors and advances in overall capability, and will be assigned additional missions. SBIRS will quite likely bring many surprises when it is deployed. Fred Simmons Large meteor seen in broad daylight in August 1972. The fireball is the bright spot just to the right of the cloud, in the left center, followed by a faint trail to the right. Later, at a closer approach, the fiery source was much brighter, with a teardrop shape and a more visible trail. (Photo extracted from video conversion of a film recording submitted to the government some years ago by an amateur photographer.) References W. Kellogg and S. Passman, “Infrared Techniques Applied to the Detection and Interception of Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles,” Rand Corporation Report No. RM-1572 (October 1955). R. Zirkind, “Review of Project Tabstone,” Journal of Missile Defense Research, Vol. 4, No. 1 (Summer 1966). R. G. Hall, “Missile Defense Alarm: the Genesis of Space-Based Infrared Early Warning,” Space and Missile Systems Center Conference Honoring IR Pioneers (The Aerospace Corporation, June 3, 1999). Missile Defense Data Center, Bits-n-Bytes, Vol. 5, No. 2 (Spring 1997). R. D. Rawcliffe, et al., “Meteor of August 10, 1972,” Nature, Vol. 247, 449 (1974). D. W. Pack, et al., “Civilian Uses of Surveillance Satellites,” Crosslink, Vol. 1, No. 1 (January 2000). R. S. J. Sparks, et al., “The Giant Umbrella Cloud of the May 18th Explosive Eruption of Mount St. Helens,” Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, Vol. 28, 257–274 (1986). E. E. Lapin, “Surveillance by Satellite,” Journal of Defense Research, Vol. 8, No. 2 (Summer 1976). E. Tagliaferri, et al., “Detection of Meteoroid Impacts by Optical Sensors in Earth Orbit,” Hazards Due to Comets and Asteroids, edited by T. Gehrels (University of Arizona Press, 1994). Col. J. Kidd, and 1st Lt. H. Caldwell, USAF, “Defense Support Program: Support to a Changing World,” AIAA Space Programs and Technologies Conference (Huntsville, AL, March 24, 1992). Col. D. L. Burkett II, USAF, “Space Based Infrared Systems SBIRS,” Space and Missile Systems Center Conference Honoring IR Pioneers (The Aerospace Corporation, June 3, 1999). Maj. J. Rosolanka, USAF, “Defense Support Program—A Pictorial Chronology 1970– 1998,” Space and Missile Systems Center Conference Honoring IR Pioneers (The Aerospace Corporation, 3 June 1999). F. S. Simmons, Rocket Exhaust Plume Phenomenology (The Aerospace Press and American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, El Segundo, CA, 2000). Rocket Exhaust Plume Phenomenology is an introductory treatment of the multidisciplinary subject of plume phenomenology as it relates to the development of spacebased defense systems. The text covers the elementary principles of rocketry, basics of rocket-propellant combustion, gas dynamics of supersonic exhaust plumes, infrared radiation processes, theoretical plume models, physical properties of exhaust constituents, diagnostic measurement techniques, and other related topics. More specifically, this work is primarily concerned with the phenomenology of rocket exhaust plumes as the targets of space-based surveillance systems; however, the spectral, temporal, and spatial distributions of the infrared emission from rocketpowered vehicles are also required for the design and optimization of sensors for various other defenserelated missions. It is written at a level intended to bridge the gap between space systems engineers and scientists involved in detailed studies of plume observables. 2000 • 286 pp • ISBN 1-884989-08-X Published by The Aerospace Press and American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics Order from AIAA 800.682.2422 or www.aiaa.org Aerospace Photos Capture Launch Clouds Robert Abernathy A new and improved method of measuring launch-vehicle ground clouds leads to fewer launch delays and reduces costs. T he spectacular display of billowing smoke that envelops the launchpad during a rocket launch has become synonymous with the launch itself. Rockets release immense amounts of exhaust. Titan IVB solid-rocket motors emit 118,000 pounds of exhaust during the first 10 seconds of firing. The hot exhaust accumulates at the launchpad to form what is called the “ground cloud.” As the rocket ascends, it also leaves behind a continuous stream of exhaust, known as the launch column. During countdown to the launch, the U.S. Air Force Range Safety uses an onsite computer model known as the Rocket Exhaust Effluent Dispersion Model (REEDM) to predict the rise and dispersion of the expected ground cloud. REEDM relies on meteorological data such as wind, cloud cover, solar angle, and weather-front conditions to predict the extent of the toxic hazard corridor, the downwind area where ground concentrations of chemicals may exceed allowable public exposure limits. When REEDM predicts the launch may cause exposure to unsafe levels of toxic gases, the launch is delayed until meteorological conditions improve. When REEDM was being developed during the 1960s and 1970s, several cloudtransport parameters were not well known, so the model was deliberately designed to be conservative. Over the years, the level of toxic compounds considered acceptable for public exposure has been lowered, increasing the likelihood of a launch delay. By 1994, toxic hazard corridor predictions were beginning to reduce launch availability at both Air Force launch ranges, the Eastern Range at Cape Canaveral Air Force Station and the Western Range at Vandenberg Air Force Base. The high cost of launch delays, up to $1 million a day, and the continued concern for public welfare prompted development of the Air Force Atmospheric Dispersion Model Validation Program (MVP) to test and improve REEDM’s accuracy. The Aerospace Corporation developed this validation program and provides technical management. An Aerospace method of monitoring exhaust clouds using photographic imagery showed that REEDM consistently underestimated the ground-cloud stabilization height and overestimated the extent of the toxic hazard corridor. With subsequent Aerospace modifications, REEDM predictions have improved launch-range availability, preventing Launch of a Titan IVB rocket from Cape Canaveral Air Force Station. unnecessary launch holds and saving the government millions of dollars while protecting the public safety. Monitoring Ground Clouds Ground clouds are difficult to monitor. Within the first few minutes after a launch, they grow to dimensions of 1–2 kilometers and rise to similar heights. Also, although the optimal wind for a launch carries the ground cloud out to sea, such a wind direction does not allow for the use of groundbased launch-cloud sampling systems. Aircraft instrumented to sample and measure ground-cloud concentrations of toxic compounds have been used during launches of the space shuttle, but aircraft sampling is expensive and doesn’t provide an instantaneous three-dimensional extent for the cloud. Additionally, this method of measurement typically relies on the pilot’s ability to fly into the center of the visible cloud, which precludes accurate nighttime sampling. Without visible feedback, the pilot doesn’t know the aircraft’s location relative to the center of the cloud, so concentration measurements are extracted from unknown regions. Aerospace proposed an alternative approach to monitoring the rise and expansion of exhaust clouds, and in 1994 it developed the technology to track ground clouds using multiple cameras that capture images simultaneously from various locations surrounding the launch pad. Because a ground cloud rises and stabilizes quickly, the cloud needs to be tracked for only a few minutes following launch. The images captured during the tracking complement measurements garnered from aircraft sampling. Day and night images of the launch cloud were needed to test REEDM under all launch conditions. Visible and infrared imagery would be captured, using visible charge-coupled-device cameras and thermal infrared scanners. In daytime, the visible cameras “see” the scattering of sunlight caused by aerosols from the solidrocket motors. Throughout the day and night, the infrared scanners observe the temperature difference between the warm launch cloud (vapors) and the cooler background sky. Cameras provide better-resolution images than infrared scanners, but the quality of camera imagery is subject to adequate lighting, which depends upon the relative positions of the sun, cloud, and camera. The camera can also provide clearer cloud-edge-detection imagery of a low-elevation cloud on a hot sticky day because atmospheric humidity and cloud elevation affect the quality of the infrared imagery. Because the two imaging systems complement each other, Aerospace designed and built four visible and infrared imaging systems (VIRIS) in which the visible camera and the infrared scanner are mounted on a single tripod. The camera and infrared scanner are “coaligned,” meaning the center pixel of each camera simultaneously views the same distant object. The four systems were shipped alternately to Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg for use during Titan IV launches from both launch ranges. Calibrating VIRIS Aerospace designed custom tripod heads that accurately encode, or digitize, the viewing direction (azimuth and elevation) as VIRIS tracks a cloud. Optimal camera locations depend upon wind direction, so they cannot be selected until a few hours before launch. The challenge is to quickly calibrate the systems, aligning a known pixel with true north for zero azimuth and level for zero elevation. Calibrating the angle encoders of the tripods requires the camera crew to identify large landmarks that can be observed by both the cameras and the infrared scanners. Before the imagery systems are deployed, a survey provides accurate position information on the observable landmarks, using either a differentially corrected Global Positioning System (GPS) receiver or accurate maps of the launch range. Once the camera is set up, the GPS receiver provides the camera-site location. The camera crew calculates the azimuth and elevation from the camera to the landmark. Once the center pixel is aligned with the landmark, it is a simple matter to set the correct azimuth and elevation readout from the tripod. The field of view is calibrated by scanning the landmark horizontally and vertically while recording the change in encoded azimuth and elevation. Typically, camera crews can set up and calibrate to 0.1 degree of accuracy within 45 minutes. Each calibrated imagery system provides a real-time display of the The Aerospace Corporation’s imagery crew tracking a Titan IV ground cloud at the Eastern Range at Cape Canaveral Air Force Station. The vehicle assembly building on the left and the mobile service tower next to the ground cloud served as useful calibration landmarks.The rocket’s launch column extends above the ground cloud. azimuth and elevation to the ground cloud from each camera’s perspective. Hence, the ground cloud’s approximate position can be triangulated in real time using the pointing angles to the cloud from all sites. Triangulating Cloud Position Aerospace developed PLMTRACK software to triangulate the position and extent of a ground cloud with imagery captured simultaneously from any two sites. Once an image is calibrated, each pixel represents a ray into space from the camera’s position. PLMTRACK converts a selected pixel in one image (the top of the cloud, for example) into an azimuth and elevation from that image’s camera location. It then projects that ray across the simultaneous image from the other site. The analyst identifies the same feature (top of the cloud) in the sister image using the projected ray for perspective, and the same feature is thereby seen from two perspectives. PLMTRACK converts this information into a ray from each site that passes through the same feature and calculates the closest approach of the two rays, which represents the position of the selected feature in three-dimensional space. This approach works well when an object or feature can be observed from two perspectives. Triangulating the top and bottom of a cloud at low elevations is easy because both top and bottom are observable from multiple perspectives. But how is the horizontal extent of the cloud determined when the same sides cannot be seen from both perspectives? Where is the “middle” of the cloud? PLMTRACK allows the analyst to use a rectangle to define the top, bottom, left, and right extremes of the cloud from each camera’s perspective, and the projection of these rays provides an estimate of the extent for the cloud. The middle of the rectangle provides the ray through the middle of the cloud from each site, and the nearest approach of these middle rays represents the position of the cloud. Validating Multicamera Imagery Neither the camera nor the infrared scanner directly detects the toxic hydrochloric acid in rocket exhaust. For this reason, it is important to document not only that the cameras and infrared scanners see the same extent (angular size) of the ground cloud, but also that the observable (seen by VIRIS) extent contains the toxic acid that might pose a hazard. Aerospace images obtained from the coaligned camera and infrared scanner have consistently shown the same angular extent for the Titan IV ground clouds, verifying that both image-capturing methods are similarly useful when applied to tracking ground clouds. However, these observations do not prove that hazardous levels of toxic chemicals do not extend beyond the observable extent of the cloud. Aircraft sampling of hydrochloric acid within four Titan IV exhaust clouds provided the complementary data needed to validate the coaligned multicamera imagery. An aircraft was fitted with a Geomet hydrochloric-acid monitor to obtain concentration profiles during four launches between May 1995 and December 1996—two each from Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg. Comparison of the aircraft data and imagery showed that the observable extent contained the measurable acid (in the form of both vapor and aerosol). These observations are consistent with the mechanism of atmospheric dispersion: Atmospheric eddies mix vapors (seen in the infrared) and aerosols (seen in the visible) equally well. These results show that VIRIS provided the cloud’s extent for Titan IV day and night launches, and that the extent includes the hazardous levels of hydrochloric acid. Predicting Ground-Cloud Stabilization Height Because it is initially warmer than the surrounding air, the ground cloud rises. As it does, it entrains the ambient air, which causes it to cool and lose buoyancy. Within three to four minutes, the cloud reaches its “stabilization height,” where it attains thermal equilibrium with the surrounding air and stops rising. The 1995 version of REEDM was used to predict the height of the ground cloud prior to the May 14, 1995, launch of a Titan IV. The REEDM prediction underestimated the stabilization height of the cloud by half, which corresponds to overestimating the ground-level concentration by a factor of eight. During the next three years, the Aerospace Titan IV groundcloud imagery consistently showed a difference between the observed and predicted stabilization heights for 13 launches from both launch ranges. Because the stabilization heights derived from the images consistently remained much higher than REEDM’s predictions, the REEDM code was reviewed, revealing several errors. Yet even after these errors were corrected, predictions of stabilization height remained too low. Speculating that the values of two volumetric parameters in the cloud-rise algorithm might be wrong, Aerospace focused its image-analysis efforts on the accurate measurement of the cloud’s volume immediately after launch and during the cloud’s rise. The desired volumetric parameters, which are simply the initial + + PLMTRACK’s analysis of blimp imagery from two sites.The red pixel (+) is projected as a blue ray,and the blue pixel (+) as a red ray,in the sister images.The Good Year blimp was used to test the accuracy of both PLMTRACK and PLMVOL. X M2 PLMTRACK Calculations X Top of plume = T1 × T2 Bottom of plume = B1 × B2 Middle of plume = M1 × M2 Other points = nearest point of approach for defined lines X L1 M1 X X X X X X R1 Site 1 L2 R2 Site 2 T1 L1 M1 T2 R1 L2 M2 R2 B1 B2 Image 1 Site 1 Image 1 Site 2 PLMTRACK-derived Cartesian extent and position from analysis of multiperspective imagery. radius of the ground cloud and the rate of increase in radius with altitude (the air entrainment coefficient), would come directly from these measurements. Reconstructing the Cloud Aerospace developed PLMVOL, a software application based on a second analy- sis algorithm, which reconstructs the three-dimensional cloud from the twodimensional imagery collected simultaneously at multiple locations. First, the simultaneous imagery from all available locations is digitized and imported with the calibration information into PLMVOL. How Meteorological Conditions Affect Launches The local meteorological conditions control the transport and spread of potentially toxic rocket exhaust in the atmospheric boundary layer, the layer that is directly influenced by Earth’s surface—where we live and breathe. During the day, the boundary layer roughly corresponds to the height to which pollutants are mixed (the mixing height). The atmospheric boundary layer is classified as stable, neutral, or unstable based on altitudinal temperature (the temperature profile). Mixing is most vigorous in the boundary layer when there is free convection (unstable). The boundary layer stability and height are affected by many variables, including latitude, time of year, time of day, synoptic conditions, surface roughness, terrain, cloud cover, and wind variation with altitude. These variables are necessary for dispersion-model predictions because they determine the thermal and mechanical generation of turbulence and the buoyant forces on the ground cloud. Wind shear, a very strong variation in wind direction or speed with altitude, can also threaten the physical integrity of the launch vehicle or prevent its accurate insertion into orbit. Lightning, either natural or vehicle-induced, can damage the vehicle. A variety of meteorological conditions can cause large electric fields aloft and pose a lightning hazard to ascending vehicles and determine the propagation of blast waves in the case of a vehicle failure. The meteorological conditions over a launch range can cause a launch delay for many reasons and are critical in determining whether a range is available for launching a rocket. Then the analyst traces the outline of the exhaust cloud within each image. Next, PLMVOL converts the pixels within these outlines into rays projected into space from each camera’s location. The exhaust cloud is located at the intersection of these rays. To derive the points where the rays intercept, PLMVOL divides space into small cubes and marks them as occupied by the ground cloud only when intercepted by rays from all available perspectives. It maps the threedimensional extent of the ground cloud as the Cartesian locations (x,y,z) of all the occupied volume elements. Since the volume elements are adjacent (stacked cubes), summing all occupied volume elements yields the imageryderived volume of the ground cloud. Finally, the sphereequivalent radius, used by REEDM, is calculated from the imagery-derived cloud volume by determin- USAF ing the radius of a sphere The ground cloud and the abort cloud are produced by a failed launch. If the abort occurs several hundred feet above ground, REEDM may predict with an equivalent volume. a larger toxic hazard corridor for the unburned oxidizer than for the Typically, the Titan IV ground cloud. ground cloud is not spheridid not always provide the complementary cal in shape, but the sphere-equivalent perspectives needed to accurately map the radius is a convenient unit for comparison. cloud volume. The accuracy of PLMVOL estimates depends upon the relative position of the Analyzing Amateur Imagery camera sites to the ground cloud’s REEDM also predicts toxic exposure position. PLMVOL can’t provide an accufrom a low-altitude launch-vehicle abort. rate cloud volume if cameras do not see In the event of an abort, the launch vehicle the ground cloud from complementary would be destroyed in an explosion that perspectives, for example along-wind and releases a hypergolic mixture of liquid crosswind perspectives, simultaneously. fuel and oxidizer. If the abort occurs sevAerospace used PLMVOL to extract eral hundred feet above the ground, cloud-volume data for only 6 of 13 imaged REEDM may predict a larger toxic hazTitan IV ground clouds. Several factors led ard corridor for the unburned oxidizer to this low yield of volumetric data. For than for the ground cloud. example, the cloud didn’t always travel in Aerospace proved that normal launchthe predicted direction, Vandenberg cloud data could be applied to the abortrestricted access to camera sites to the east cloud scenario. It measured the behavior and south of the launch pad, and low (rise, growth, and stabilization) of normal atmospheric clouds blocked visibility launch clouds during launches from 1994 from one or more of the sites. In sum, the and 1997. Abort clouds weren’t measured available camera locations and visibility Camera site 1 Camera site 2 PLMVOL’s cloud volume (purple shape) is mapped by projection of pixels (rays) into volume elements.The rays are identified as outside (dotted) or inside (solid) the ground cloud’s outline (red line) from each perspective.Volume elements are occupied by the ground cloud only when intercepted by “inside”rays from all available perspectives. Height in meters (mean sea level) because no Titan IVs failed during deployment. Without abort-cloud data, the accuracy of REEDM predictions for an abort situation could not be validated nor could the ground cloud’s entrainment data be shown to apply to the abort cloud. The few options for obtaining the necessary data were considered in 1997. One possibility was to use an explosive release of oxidizer to simulate the abort cloud because the most toxic component of the abort cloud is unburned oxidizer. Safety concerns, however, limited test sites to desert locations that did not match the terrain or the meteorological conditions of the launch ranges. Two other options were to continue imaging Titan IV launches on the chance of a failure or search for imagery of earlier aborts hoping to interpret that imagery quantitatively. We chose the latter. A worst-case abort scenario was inadvertently tested on April 18, 1986, when a defect in a Titan 34D-9 solid rocket motor caused the rocket to explode at an elevation of 830 feet at Vandenberg. Aerospace reviewed the videotapes from the three range-tracking cameras. Unfortunately, the camera operators at two locations did not keep the abort cloud completely within the field of view. To obtain a cloud’s volume, which involves analyzing the abortcloud imagery from the third range camera, a second, complementary perspective of the abort cloud had to be available. Without abort-cloud imagery from a second camera, the abort-cloud imagery from the third range camera could not be interpreted quantitatively (as cloud position and volume). Luckily, an amateur photographer videotaped the launch and its abort cloud with a handheld camcorder. This photography provided the necessary second, nearly perpendicular, perspective. Interpretation of the abort-cloud imagery was complicated because both cameras were panned and zoomed several times during the three minutes the images were captured. Neither camera was mounted on an 1800 1600 Imagery-derived 1400 1200 1000 0.64 was REEDM’s default 800 REEDM version 7.05 prediction (3 hours before launch) 600 400 200 0 0.00 4.00 8.00 12.00 16.00 Time after launch (minutes) 20.00 The REEDM-predicted and Aerospace-imagery-derived cloud-height curves for a May 14, 1995, Titan IV launch. The imagery-derived rise curve for the ground cloud revealed a factor-of-two discrepancy between measured and predicted stabilization height. Subsequent MVP deployments documented that REEDM systematically underestimated the stabilization heights for all 13 Titan IV ground clouds at both ranges under a variety of launch conditions. Aerospace imagery-derived air-entrainment rates for normal Titan IV ground clouds and for the Titan 34D-9 abort cloud. The values are substantially lower than the default value used in REEDM calculations during the past 30 years. Legend: A—solid rocket motor; B—upgraded solid rocket motor; C—Cape Canaveral Air Force Station;V—Vandenberg Air Force Base. Calibrating Amateur Abort-Cloud Imagery Top left of SLC-4W Umbilical Tower (574,232) An amateur video of the 1986 Titan 34D-9 aborted launch provided the second perspective necessary to measure the volume of the abort cloud. In 1998 an analyst used the launch facilities shown in a frame of the video to provide the known landmarks needed to calibrate the field of view and the pointing angle of the camera for the image. The analyst also chose various unknown landmarks (such as patches of sand on the hillside) and measured their pixel locations in x, y coordinates (shown in parentheses). Once the image was calibrated, each pixel could be converted to a specific azimuth and elevation from the camera site. As the camera was panned and zoomed, these landmarks provided the calibration for subsequent unknown features (tertiary calibration points) as they moved into the field of view. This method of transferring the calibration to subsequent imagery was used by Aerospace to interpret quantitatively the amateur photography of the abort cloud. The simultaneous images collected at surf (amateur video) and program sites reveal the shape and size of the red abort cloud from almost right-angle perspec- tives. The map shows the position of the launch pad and the abort-cloud images taken at each identified camera site. The colored lines on the map show that the right and left edges of the images correspond to the angular field of view of the cameras and that the cameras are pointing at the abort cloud above the launch pad. A pixel (+ sign at the top of the abort cloud) in the image from the surf site’s perspective (north of the abort cloud) is projected by PLMTRACK as a ray (red line) into the simultaneous image from the program site’s perspective (southeast of the abort cloud). The fact that the projected ray touches the top of the abort angle-encoding tripod, nobody intentionally calibrated the field of view of the cameras, and the camera operators did not realize that abort clouds would later be of more interest than burning ground debris. Fortunately, Aerospace was able to calibrate much of the abort-cloud imagery and used PLMVOL to quantify the position and volume of the abort cloud during its rise. Improving Model Predictions Aerospace imagery-derived air entrainment rates for the Titan 34D-9 abort cloud measured at Vandenberg and for normal Titan IV ground clouds measured at both Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg were substantially lower than the default value used in REEDM calculations during the past 30 years. These values indicate that REEDMbased predictions of ground-cloud stabilization height have been consistently too low and toxic-hazard predictions too high. The imagery-derived results also show that the air entrainment coefficient and the initial cloud size are constants for the Titan IV normal launch cloud and have the same value for both launch ranges and for both sets of solid rocket motors. The coefficient is the same for the 34D-9 abort cloud, which indicates similar behavior for both normal and abort clouds. The current version of REEDM (7.09) provides improved stabilization height predictions through the use of Aerospace imagery-derived values for both the air entrainment coefficient and the initial radius. The new REEDM predictions, which are in closer agreement with the observed launch-cloud stabilization heights, have improved launch-range availability by preventing unnecessary launch holds. In addition, a Titan IV database now establishes the margin of safety for current and future dispersion models. The MVP database includes quantitative analysis of imagery from nine Titan IV launches at Cape Canaveral and four at Vandenberg between 1994 and 1997. MVP deployments involved collecting meteorological data, necessary for running REEDM or improved future dispersion models. Aircraft samples were taken from two Cape Canaveral and two Vandenberg Titan IV launches during MVP. Aerospace analysis of these aircraft data revealed that both the visible and the infrared imagery “see” the full extent of the cloud containing hydrochloric acid during the first few minutes after launch. This means that the observable aerosol and vapor disperse at the same rate as the unobservable acid, which is consistent with the behavior of aerosols and the mechanism of turbulent dispersion in the atmosphere. Tracking Tracer Gas The Aerospace imagery of the Titan IV launches provided useful cloud rise and stabilization data under favorable meteorological conditions, that is, when winds SLC-4E Mobile Service Tower Top of Titan 34D-9 (100,268) Top of SLC-4E Umbilical Tower (100,262) SLC-4W Mobile Service Tower Patch 2 (72,143) Patch 3 (484,93) Patch 1 (231,103) Patch 4 (601,110) FOV = 6.62 deg by 4.96 deg Surf site + N W 560 ft Surf’s Image 640 ft 720 ft SLC-4E launch pad for Titan 34D-9 cloud in the sister image illustrates the usefulness of the PLMTRACK software and the accuracy of our calibration for both sites. If the analyst identifies the top of the cloud in both images, PLMTRACK reports the point of nearest approach of the rays projected from both sites and, therefore, the position of the top of the cloud. Program site Program’s Image carried the ground cloud out to sea or over unpopulated areas. Aerospace imagery crews at Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg supported four two-week-long elevatedtracer-gas releases that provided complementary dispersion data, including winds that carried the innocuous tracer toward populated areas. During these MVP efforts, Aerospace established the usefulness of quantitative imagery for measuring the near-field (2–5 kilometers) dispersion of tracer gases. A blimp released an invisible inert tracer gas at various heights when the wind was blowing inland. This allowed for dispersion measurements over the complex inland terrain of both ranges. Analysis of the infrared imagery provided the crosswind and along-wind expansion rates in the near field at the release altitude. During these elevated-tracer-release experiments, aircraft and van sampling provided trajectory and dispersion information further afield. These tracer data complement the Titan IV launch-cloud data. Predicting Ground Clouds in the Future The ability of Aerospace to capture and process quantitative imagery of Titan ground clouds has provided, at a low cost to the consumer, the rise and dispersion data necessary to tune REEDM for more accurate prediction of ground-cloud toxic hazard corridors. Such accurate prediction also reduces the launch costs because it leads to fewer launch holds. A similar measurement program could be used to tune current and future dispersion models for the other heavy launch vehicles, such as the space shuttle today and the Evolved Expendable Launch Vehicle in the future. In addition, routine imagery of launch clouds could provide real-time range-safety information, not only for normal launch clouds but also for the more toxic abort cloud. Further Reading R. N. Abernathy, B. Lundblad, and B. Kempf, “Tracer Puff Dispersion at Launch Sites,” Proceedings of the JANNAF Propellant Development and Characterization and the Safety and Environmental Protection Joint Meeting. CPIA Publication 687 (Naval Submarine Base at San Diego, CA, April 26–30, 1999). The Aerospace surveillance technology crew in front of a mobile laboratory.These mobile laboratories, equipped with visible and infrared imagery systems, support remote detection and tracking of chemicals, such as those in launch abort clouds, bomb detonations, and tracer release experiments. They are deployed at launch and test ranges throughout the continental United States. Shown in the photo from left to right, beginning with the back row (in doorway): Bruce A. Rockie, Luis J. Ortega, Michael A. Rocha; left center row: Gary N. Harper, Brian P. Kasper, Karl R. Westberg, Jess T. Valero; right center row: Robert N. Abernathy, Kenneth C. Herr, Jeffrey L. Hall, Donald K. Stone; front row: Mark L. Polak, Andrew D. Shearon, J.Thomas Knudtson, Naomi J. Rose, George J. Scherer, Roberta S. Precious, Karen L. Foster. B. L. Lundblad, R. N. Abernathy, and Capt. B. J. Laine, “Atmospheric Dispersion Model Validation Program,” Proceedings of the JANNAF Propellant Development and Characterization and the Safety and Environmental Protection Joint Meeting, CPIA Publication 674 (NASA Johnson Space Center, April 21–24, 1998). Cloud Cover Over Kosovo In response to an Air Force request for better weather forecasting in the Balkans, Aerospace developed a higher-resolution cloudanalysis prototype that provided more accurate cloud-cover information in support of operations in Kosovo. John S. Bohlson Leslie O. Belsma Bruce H. Thomas Clouds over Yugoslavia and the Adriatic Sea. NASA E arth’s cloud cover frequently affects the outcome of modern combat because sophisticated aircraft (and weaponry such as laser-guided missiles and night vision sights) do not operate reliably in the presence of clouds. Knowing the state of the cloud cover can determine the success of reconnaissance missions, and it is the most critical factor in the accuracy of humanitarian airdrops. To be of value, cloud data must be current and accurate, but such data can be difficult to obtain, especially in areas where access is limited by military or political restrictions. Brig. Gen. Fred Lewis, director of Air Force Weather, recognized in 1998 a need for improved cloud data to support military operations in the Balkans. Gen. Lewis wanted a cloud-analysis model that could do a better job at analyzing and forecasting clouds than either the Air Force Weather Agency (AFWA) model then in use or even the extensive upgrade under development at the time. The Aerospace Corporation stepped in to develop a prototype system that leapfrogged over the planned AFWA cloud model upgrade to deliver automated cloud-analysis products (such as amount of cloud cover or cloud classification) at a much higher resolution. This prototype became the basis for a cloud-analysis system that was then put into operation in less than 60 days in the spring of 1999 to improve weather support for the war in Kosovo. The improved resolution allowed forecasters to provide more accurate cloud-cover predictions to the battlespace planners and pilots. Cloud-Analysis Model The Air Force Weather Agency, at Offutt Air Force Base, Omaha, Nebraska, has used automated cloud-analysis models to generate quantitative information on clouds since 1970. The earliest AFWA three-dimensional cloud-analysis model, the 3-D Neph, used space-based cloudcover imagery from Defense Meteorologi- cal Satellite Program (DMSP) satellites. The current model, RealTime Nephanalysis, known as RTNeph, combines groundbased observations with data from DMSP and the Television and Infrared Observation Satellite (TIROS) of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration to produce worldwide cloud analyses at a 48-kilometer resolution. It computes the number of cloud layers, the percentage of cloud coverage, and the height of the base and top of each layer on a 48-kilometer grid. A cloud-forecast model uses the analyses to produce cloud forecasts at this same grid resolution. The grid is an array of points superimposed on a map of Earth’s surface. Observations of clouds are not taken at grid points, but at irregularly spaced points. Nephanalysis is the process that interpolates cloud data observations to the points on the grid. The distance between adjacent grid points on the AFWA polar stereographic whole-mesh reference grid is 381 kilometers at 60 degrees latitude. All finer- Weather and Warfare The war in Kosovo demonstrated dramatically that weather affects every aspect of battle. The impact of weather on war has long been recognized. In The Art of War, circa 500 B.C., Sun Tzu advised, “Know the ground, know the weather; your victory will then be total.” Vice Adm. Scott A. Fry echoed these words 2,500 years later when he told reporters during a briefing on Operation Allied Force that the Serbs had two main allies—geography and weather. In 480 B.C., storms at sea broke up the “bridge of boats” across the Hellespont, turning back the army of Xerxes, the emperor of Persia, from its march to invade Greece. In 1588 storms off the coasts of Scotland and Ireland wrecked many ships of the Spanish Armada as they retreated after Spain’s failed invasion of the British Isles. In June 1812, Napoleon invaded Russia with 500,000 men, only to withdraw five months later in snow and bitter cold with fewer than 10,000 surviving troops. During World War II, storms forced Gen. Dwight D. Eisenhower to delay the Normandy invasion one day. • • • U.S. Air Force drawing of a DMSP Block 5D-2 spacecraft. resolution grids are defined relative to this whole-mesh reference grid. For example, the distance between points on an 8thmesh grid is 48 kilometers; on a 16thmesh grid, 24 kilometers; and on a 64th-mesh grid, only 6 kilometers. Because cloud cover data at 64th mesh presents much finer detail than data at 8th mesh, data at 64th-mesh is called fine-grid data. Data from a lower-resolution grid, such as that based on an 8th mesh, is called coarse-grid data. Image of cloud cover over the Balkans, April 15, 1999, generated by the current AFWA low-resolution cloud-cover-analysis model with grid points 48 kilometers apart. Clouds over the Balkans on the same date in a higher-resolution image generated by the new CDFSII cloud-cover analysis model. Grid points are 24 kilometers apart. • The highest-resolution image of the same area on the same date generated by the Aerospace prototype model, with grid points 6 kilometers apart. The AFWA polar stereographic whole-mesh reference grid. The distance between the grid points is 381 kilometers at 60 degrees north or south latitude. Aerospace cloud-cover analysis prototype image of the Mediterranean area, April 6, 1999. A visual representation of the gridded cloud data (cloud mask) can be used by the weather officer to quickly assess cloud conditions. Tools added to the prototype system enable color-coding of the data to highlight aspects of the cloud mask. Improved Resolution Enhances Forecasting The Air Force Space and Missile Systems Center is developing the upgrade to AFWA’s current cloud-detection and forecast system. The new system, known as CDFSII, will increase the resolution of the AFWA cloud analyses and forecasts from an 8th mesh (48-kilometer) grid to a 16th mesh (24-kilometer) grid. Also, by combining data from multiple weather satellites, it will improve cloud detection in stressing conditions such as low clouds and fog, thin cirrus clouds, and tropical clouds. When completed in December of this year, the new CDFSII system will • provide a multiple-satellite data-acquisition system that combines the high spatial resolution of DMSP imagery with multispectral data from TIROS • merge the global coverage of these polar-orbiting systems with the frequent refresh available from an international constellation of geostationary weather satellites • perform multiple-satellite-specific cloud detection using science algorithms from SERCAA (Support of Environmental Requirements for Cloud Analysis and Archives) • use clustering techniques to accomplish cloud layering and typing and then combine these independent satellite cloud data records using an optimal interpolation scheme • feed the cloud analyses into a singlecloud forecast model to deliver shortterm (12-hour) and long-term (48-hour) forecasts Battlespace Weather Forecasting Although CDFSII will improve forecasting beyond that provided by the current system at AFWA, Gen. Lewis decided that an even finer-scale automated cloudanalysis and forecasting system was needed to support operations, specifically the “weather function,” in the Balkans. Under a new centralized support concept, an Operational Weather Squadron was activated in Germany. The Weather Squadron performs the weather function continuously during the intelligence preparation of battlespace in a series of steps that converts weather data into intelligence and communicates it to users. The weather officer collates weather information collected throughout the battlespace, combines it with weather data received from weather flight observers and forecasters and from higher headquarters, and then generates the weather forecasts. The Aerospace Prototype In response to Gen. Lewis’s call for highresolution cloud analyses to better support the Weather Squadron, Aerospace developed a prototype cloud-analysis model at a fine-scale grid, increasing the resolution to 6 kilometers (64th mesh) from the 24 kilometers planned for the CDFSII system. Aerospace developed the prototype by modifying the CDFSII SERCAA algo- rithms to improve computing speed. Faster processing enabled use of DMSP “fine mode” data, which is higher resolution than the DMSP “smooth mode” data used in CDFSII. The Aerospace cloud-analysis prototype represents the first quantitative use of DMSP fine-mode data in a meteorological model. Fine data is not available worldwide, so the prototype model produces the 64th-mesh fine grid regionally using the fine data and then combines it with a worldwide analysis at the coarser CDFSII grid using DMSP smooth-mode data. The new model began generating cloud analyses as a prototype in January 1999 at the Aerospace Environmental Application Center facility at AFWA. The Kosovo conflict prompted the Air Force to issue a request to put this prototype system, along with high-resolution forecasting capability, into operation within 60 days. Within two weeks of the Air Force request, Aerospace wrote code to post fine-grid cloud data over Kosovo from the prototype system as images on the Air Force Weather Information network, which provides data to weather forecasters in Europe. Color-coding was added to highlight aspects of the cloud mask. From Laboratory to Battlespace Aerospace, AFWA, Atmospheric Environmental Research, and Sterling Software (the CDFSII contractor) worked together to develop an operational system based on the Aerospace prototype. The prototype DMSP Cloud Data Cloud forecast image of the Balkans on April 6, 1999, derived from the CDFSII 24-kilometer analysis. Cloud forecast image of the Balkans on April 6, 1999, derived from the Aerospace prototype 6-kilometer analysis. had to be ported from the laboratory environment to a 24-hour-a-day operational capability, expanded to include multispectral TIROS algorithms, and combined with the forecast model. A capability to “tune” the algorithms on a regional basis to produce a better cloud analysis was added. Tuning is not as critical for the TIROS algorithms because additional channels allow for more cloud-discrimination tests, but because DMSP has one visible and one infrared channel, a single-test clouddetection algorithm that is very sensitive to threshold settings is used. Aerospace found that using the same thresholds in the DMSP algorithms for each satellite was inadequate because of differences in DMSP smooth- and fine-mode calibration. Fine data typically exhibits a 5-degree Kelvin cold bias, so a bias term was added to the fine-mode infrared threshold values that greatly improved the fine-grid (64thmesh) results. A major task in the transition of the prototype to an operational forecast system involved modifying the CDFSII coarse-grid cloud-forecast model to run at the higher resolution (6 kilometers). Code was written to overwrite the coarse-grid values with fine grid for all grid points touched by one satellite swath of DMSP fine data, which is typically an eighth or less of an orbit. The forecast model then advected the resulting fine-grid cloud analysis with highresolution winds from an operational mesoscale model to produce the cloud forecast. The team completed the system in less than 60 days, and Gen. Lewis specifically commended Aerospace for this support to the nation’s warfighters. The operational implementation of the Aerospace prototype cloud model improved weather forecasting for operations across the Balkans by providing more accurate cloud-cover data to the air tasking, order-planning, and execution processes. This system is still in use to support regional high-resolution cloud forecasting. Further Reading R. S. Dudney, “McPeak on the War,” Air Force Magazine, May 1991, p. 21. D. A. Fulghum, “Pentagon Criticizes Air Strike on Iraq,” Aviation Week, January 25, 1993, p. 47. L. D. Kozaryn, “More Planes, Better Weather Mean More Strikes,” American Forces Press Service, http://www.defenselink.mil/news/ May1999/n05261999_9905261.html, March 2000. L. D. Kozaryn, “No Silver Bullet to Stop Serb Aggression,” American Forces Press Service, http://www.defenselink.mil/news/Mar1999/n0 3311999_9903311.html, March 2000. M. P. Plonski, G. Gustafson, B. Shaw, B. Thomas, and M. Wonsick, “High Resolution Cloud Analysis and Forecast System,” AMS Satellite Meteorology Conference (Long Beach, CA, Jan. 2000). J. Pulley, “Some War Heroes Have Their Heads in the Clouds,” Air Force Times, April 26, 1999, p. 12. Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) satellites have been providing worldwide cloud imagery for national programs since 1966. The Air Force Weather Agency uses data from three-dimensional cloud analyses in developing computer cloud-forecast models for the military. Data from DMSP satellites formed the cornerstone of the Aerospace protoype cloud model. The U.S. Air Force has launched more than 30 DMSP satellites.The constellation includes at least two sunsynchronous polar-orbiting satellites flying at about 800 kilometers above Earth, with one satellite orbiting in early, and the other in late, morning. Unlike other meteorological satellites, DMSP provides imagery at the edge of its 3000-kilometer swath that nearly matches the quality of imagery directly below the satellite. The primary sensor, the operational line scan, collects cloud imagery in a visible and a long-wave-infrared band. The operational line scan calibrates, indexes, and stores the data for transmission. During daylight, the fine-mode resolution of the visible-band data is 0.62 kilometers, and the resolution of the infraredwavelength data is 2.8 kilometers. Fine data is collected on a regional basis up to a quarter obit. On-board smoothing is used to decrease the data rate (and therefore resolution) to provide data for the entire orbit. The operational line scan also has a unique capability that allows it to gather visible-light data at night at a 3.5-kilometer resolution with as little as one-quarter-moon illumination. Additional satellite sensors measure atmospheric vertical profiles of moisture and temperature and a variety of space environmental parameters. DMSP has proved to be a valuable tool in scheduling and protecting military operations. The last of the Block 5D-2 series of satellites was launched April 4, 1997.The Block 5D-3 series, the first of which was launched in December 1999, accommodate larger sensor payloads and feature a larger power supply, more on-board memory, and increased battery power that will extend the life of the satellites from the current four years to five. Bookmarks Recent Publications and Patents by the Technical Staff Publications (August 1999–March 2000) W. H. Ailor, “Space Traffic: Do We Need Control?” Aerospace America (Nov. 1999), pp. 34–38. E. J. Beiting, “Measurements of Stratospheric Plume Dispersion by Imagery of Solid Rocket Motor Exhaust,” Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 105, No. D5, 6891–6901 (Mar. 16, 2000). K. D. Bell and D. C. 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Martin, Communication Satellites, fourth edition (The Aerospace Press and AIAA, El Segundo, CA, and Reston, VA, 2000). H. Mirels, “Effect of Wall on Impulse of Solid Propellant Driven Millimeter-Scale Thrusters,” AIAA Journal, Vol. 37, No. 12, 1617–1624 (Dec. 1999). J. A. Morgan, “Neutrino Propulsion for Interstellar Spacecraft,” Journal of the British Interplanetary Society, Vol. 52 No. 11/12, 424–428 (Nov./Dec. 1999). T. Mosher, “Evaluating Small Satellites: Is the Risk Worth It?” Proceedings of AIAA/USU Conference on Small Satellites (Logan, UT, Aug. 23, 1999), pp. 1–13. T. M. Nguyen, J. Yoh, and G. Goo, “Performance Evaluation of the DVB Waveform Using LSI Logic L64724 Satellite Receiver Model with Imperfect Components,” MILCOM ’99 Proceedings (Atlantic City, NJ, Oct. 31–Nov. 3, 1999), pp. 1–6. D. P. Olsen, “A Hybrid Interleaving that Enables Packet Switching on Multi-access Channels,” IEEE Transactions on Communication, Vol. 47, No. 12, 1777–1780 (Dec. 1999). W. Park and M. R. Hilton, “Characterization of Cryogenic Mechanical Properties of Aluminum-Lithium Alloy C-458,” Scripta Materialia, Vol. 41, No. 11, 1185–1190 (Nov. 1999). G. E. Peterson, Dynamics of Meteor Outbursts and Satellite Mitigation Strategies (The Aerospace Press and AIAA, El Segundo, CA, and Reston, VA, 1999). T. D. Powell, “Automated Tuning of an Extended Kalman Filter Using the Downhill Simplex Algorithm,” Proceedings of AAS/AIAA Astrodynamics Specialist Conference (Girdwood, AL, Aug. 16–19, 1999), pp. 1-11. A. Prater, E. Simburger, D. A. Smith, P. J. Carian, and J. H. Matsumoto, “Power Management and Distribution Concept for Microsatellites and Nanosatellites,” Proceedings of the 34th Energy Conversion Engineering Conference (Vancouver, BC, Aug. 2–5, 1999), pp. 1–5. S. Raghavan, S. Lazar, and R. Kumar, “The CDMA Limits of C/A Codes in GPS Applications-Analysis and Laboratory Test Results,” Proceedings of the Satellite Division of the Institute of Navigation 12th International Technical Meeting (Sept. 14–17, 1999), pp. 1–12. M. N. Ross, “Study Blazing New Trails Into Effects of Aviation and Rocket Exhaust in the Atmosphere,” EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union, Vol. 80, No. 38, 437, 442–443 (Sept. 21, 1999). P. R. Rousseau, “An Algorithm to Reduce Bias in Planar Near-Field Measurement Data,” Proceedings of Antenna Measurement Techniques Association 1999 Symposium (Monterey Bay, CA, Oct. 4–8, 1999). R. Rudy, R. Puetter, and S. Mazuk, “Paschen Lines and the Reddening of the Radio Galaxy 3C109,” Astronomical Journal, Vol. 118, 666–669 (Aug. 1999). R. S. Selesnick and J. B. Blake, “On the Source Location of Radiation Belt Relativistic Electrons,” Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 105, No. A2, 2607–2624 (Feb. 1, 2000). M. R. Shane, H. G. Yeh, G. L. Lui, and A. H. Yamada,“Uplink Timing Detection for Frequency Hopping Communication,” MILCOM ’99 Proceedings (Atlantic City, NJ. Oct. 31–Nov. 3, 1999), pp. 1–5. E. J. Simburger, D. Smith, D. Gilmore, and M. Meshishnek, “Development of a Thin Film Amorphous Silicon Space Solar Cell for the PowerSphere Concept,” Proceedings of 16th Space Photovoltaic Research and Technology Conference (Cleveland, OH, Aug. 31, 1999). F. S. Simmons, Rocket Exhaust Plume Phenomenology (The Aerospace Press and AIAA, El Segundo, CA, and Reston, VA, 2000). K. Tsai and G. L. Lui, “Binary GMSK: Characteristics and Performance,” ITC ’99 Proceedings (Las Vegas, NV, Oct. 27, 1999). K. Tsai and G. L. Lui, “Coherent Viterbi and Threshold Demodulators for Pulse-Driven GMSK Signals,” ITC ’99 Proceedings (Las Vegas, NV, Oct. 27, 1999). C. S. Tsang and T. M. Nguyen, “Long Loop Time Tracking Performance for Satellite Communication System,” MILCOM ’99 Proceedings (Atlantic City, NJ, Oct. 31– Nov. 3, 1999), pp. 1–5. C. C. Wang and T. M. Nguyen, “Using ShortBlock Turbo Code for Telemetry and Command,” 1999 International Telemetering Conference (Las Vegas, NV, 25–28 Oct. 1999). C. C. Wang, “Improving Faded Turbo Code Performances Using A Biased Channel Side Information,” MILCOM ’99 Proceedings (Atlantic City, NJ, Oct. 31–Nov. 3, 1999). R. L. Walterschied, G. Schubert, and D. G. Brinkman, “Wave Disturbances in a Model of the Comet SL-9 Impacts into Jupiter’s Atmosphere,” Icarus, Vol. 145, 140–146 (May 2000). J. Wessel, S. M. Beck, Y. C. Chan, R. W. Farley, and J. A. Gelbwachs, “Raman Lidar Calibration for the DMSP SSM/T-2 Microwave Water Vapor Sensor,” IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, Vol. 38, No. 1, 141–154 (Jan. 2000) Patents (November 1999–April 2000) J. C. Camparo, “Method of Stabilizing Electromagnetic Field Strength in an Atomic System,” U.S. Patent No. 6,025,755, Feb. 2000. C. J. Clark, A. A. Moulthrop, M. S. Muha, C. P. Silva, “Frequency Translating Device Transmission Response Method,” U.S. Patent No. 6,041,077, Mar. 2000. R. W. Dezelan, “Satellite Communications Facilitated by Synchronized Nodal Regressions of Low Earth Orbits,” U.S. Patent No. 5,999,127, Dec. 1999. R. B. Dybdal, “Adaptive Control of Multiple Beam Communication Transponders,” U.S. Patent No. 6,055,431, Apr. 2000. R. W. Postma, R. B. Pan, B. T. Hamada, L. K. Herman, “Flexure Washer Bearing and Method,” U.S. Patent No. 6,022,178, Feb. 2000. R. W. Postma, R. B. Pan, B. T. Hamada, L. K. Herman, “Roller Washer Bearing and Method,” U.S. Patent No. 6,036,422, Mar. 2000. G. Radhakrishnan, “Apparatus for Magnetic Field Pulsed Laser Deposition of Thin Films,” U.S. Patent No. 6,024,851, Feb. 2000. K. Siri, “Shared-Bus Current Sharing Parallel Connected Current-Mode DC to DC Converters,” U.S. Patent No. 6,009,000, Dec. 1999. D. M. Speckman, “Method of Making Indium Oxide Microspheres for Antistatic Coatings,” U.S. Patent No. 6,027,673, Feb. 2000. C. C. Wang, “Error-Floor Mitigating Turbo Code Communication Method,” U.S. Patent No. 6,028,897, Feb. 2000. C. C. Wang, “Repetitive Turbo Coding Communication Method,” U.S. Patent No. 6,014,411, January 2000. R. P. Welle, “Mechanical Valve Having N-Type and P-Type Thermoelectric Elements for Heating and Cooling a Fluid Between an Inlet and an Outlet in a Fluid Pump,” U.S. Patent No. 6,007,302, Dec. 1999. R. P. Welle, “Method of Pumping a Fluid Through a Micromechanical Valve Having N-Type and P-Type Thermoelectric Elements for Heating and Cooling a Fluid Between an Inlet and an Outlet,” U.S. Patent No. 5,975,856, Nov. 1999. R. P. Welle, “Ultrasonic Data Communication System,” U.S. Patent No. 5,982,297, Nov. 1999. R. P. Welle, “Ultrasonic Power Communication System,” U.S. Patent No. 6,037,704, Mar. 2000. A. D. Yarbrough, S. S. Osofsky, R. E. Robertson, R. C. Cole, “Micromachined Monolithic Reflector Antenna System,” U.S. Patent No. 6,008,776, Dec. 1999. A. D. Yarbrough, S. S. Osofsky, R. E. Robertson, R. C. Cole, “Micromachined Reflector Antenna Method,” U.S. Patent No. 6,045,712, Apr. 2000. Links Conferences,Workshops, and Symposia Sponsored or Hosted by The Aerospace Corporation October 3–5, 2000 19th Aerospace Testing Seminar: Balancing the Forces of “Faster, Better, Cheaper in Aerospace Testing” Sponsored by The Aerospace Corporation and the Preseminar tutorials (October 2) are Institute of Environmental Sciences and Technology • Handbook for Dynamic Environmental Criteria The forum will include presentations from industry leaders in • Integration and Test Systems Engineering testing, instrumentation, and program planning. Also offered • Data Validity Requirements for Your Test Data will be tutorials and a special panel discussion featuring • Vacuum Physics and Vacuum Techniques members of the ongoing Broad Area Review commissioned • Signal Processing by the U.S. Air Force. • Satellite Structural Testing Topics include • Thermal Balance and Thermal Vacuum Testing • Lessons Learned • Introduction to Modal Analysis and Testing • Industry Test Practices, Standards, and Processes The seminar will be held at the Manhattan Beach Marriott, • Testing Methodologies, Innovations, and Challenges 1400 Parkview Ave., Manhattan Beach, CA 90266. • Risk Management For more information visit www.aero.org/conferences/ats/. • Integration for “Best Practices” October 22–25, 2000 MILCOM 2000: 21st-Century Military Communications—Architectures and Technologies for Information Superiority Hosted by The Aerospace Corporation and TRW, Inc. • Advanced Communications Standards and Protocols Sponsored by Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, • Advanced Communications Technologies Inc., IEEE Communications Society, and Armed Forces ComTopics of the classified sessions are munications and Electronics Association • Milsatcom to Support Joint Vision 2010 The Military Communications International Symposium offers • Strategic and Tactical Communications Architectures a diverse program of both classified and unclassified sessions, • Advanced Techniques and Technologies for Information guest speakers, panels, and tutorials. • Information Warfare, Security, Superiority Topics of the unclassified sessions include Unclassified sessions will be held at the Los Angeles Airport • 21st-Century Communications Architectures Marriott, 5855 W. Century Blvd., Los Angeles, CA 90045. • Advanced Commercial Systems for Military Application Classified sessions will be held at The Aerospace Corporation • Advanced Communications Networks in El Segundo. • Advanced Communications Techniques For more information visit www.milcom2000.org. November 28–December 1, 2000 Risk Management 2000: Lessons for the Millennium Sponsored by The Aerospace Corporation and the Air Force Space and Missile Systems Center The goal of this third annual symposium is to stimulate broader interest in risk management at the national level. A tutorial, Earned Value Risk Management, will be offered the first day. Discussion topics include • Effective Risk Management Practices • Application of Tools and Methodologies • Lessons Learned • Comprehensive Areas of Interest (launch vehicles, spacecraft, ground systems) The Conference will be held at the Hilton McLean Tysons Corner, 7920 Jones Branch Dr., McLean, VA 22102. For more information visit www.aero.org/conferences/risk/. The Aerospace Press Four Decades of Communication Satellites Donald H. Martin Communication Satellites, fourth edition, was published in May by The Aerospace Press and the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics. Since the book was first published in 1986, it has become a standard in the chronicles of communication satellites. The fourth edition has more than doubled in size from that first publication, reflecting the phenomenal growth in communication satellites. The author, Donald H. Martin, here presents an analysis of two of the many changes in the industry. Communication satellites represent one of the most significant applications of space technology. Almost every year since the early 1960s, a new communication system has launched its first satellite. Today, applications reach more than 100 countries, providing a variety of communication services to both large and small terminals on land, ships, and aircraft. During these four decades, advances in electronics and satellite technology and an expanding market for communication satellite services have generated changes in communication satellite design. Two aspects of this broad scope of change—increase in weight and in design life—are shown in the graphs, which are based on data from Communication Satellites, fourth edition. Points on the graphs represent all satellite programs described in the book—whether experimental or operational, civil or military, commercial or noncommercial—from all manufacturers except those in Russia and China. The points are positioned on the graphs to show the date of the program’s first launch. Blue triangles represent satellites in geostationary orbits; magenta squares, satellites in lower orbits. Satellite weight is usually stated as dry weight without fuel or weight with fuel at the beginning of the satellite’s life in orbit. The latter weight is shown on the first graph. The growth in satellite weight accommodates more communications equipment, thereby increasing satellite capacity to respond to the growing market for satellite services. Also, the mission effectiveness of any given weight has been increased by technological improvements. These improvements, occurring in small increments over the decades, include lighter materials and higher-efficiency solar cells and propulsion. The weight of most nongeostationary satellites has been restrained by very limited budgets. Only since 1997 have larger nongeostationary satellites been launched for programs that provide voice communications to handheld user terminals. Satellite life is limited by three factors: random failures, exhaustion of consumables, and component wear-out. Design life is a requirement related to consumables, such as propellant, and to components subject to wear-out, such as rotating mechanical devices. For those programs that have announced a design or mission life, the increase in satellite life, shown on the second graph, is a result of improved technology; lessons learned in the manufacturing, testing, and operation of satellites; and the ability to build and launch larger satellites. Horizontal lines of triangles show the increase in common communication satellite design lives from 5 to 7 to 10 to 12 to 15 years. 16 8000 Life (years) Weight (pounds) 10000 6000 4000 2000 0 1962 1972 1982 1992 Launch date 2002 12 8 4 0 1962 1972 1982 1992 Launch date 2002 Horizontal lines of triangles in the figure show the increase in common communication satellite design lives from 5 to 7 to 10 to 12 to 15 years. (Left) beginning of life of satellite weight. (Right) satellite design life. Communication Satellites,fourth edition, describes communication satellites beginning with the U.S. Army’s Project SCORE launched in 1958 through satellites now being manufactured. The book focuses on the satellite and its communication subsystem, but also describes some broader aspects of the larger communication system that includes the satellite. Satellite drawings, communication subsystem block diagrams, coverage maps, and lists of references augment the text. An extensive bibliography of more than 3,500 entries cites literature on communication satellite systems and their applications, ground terminals, transmission methods, spectrum use, network engineering, satellite hardware, and social, economic, and legal issues. Appendixes present information about the International Telecommunications Union and the World Trade Organization in relation to communication satellite systems.A glossary defines abbreviations and acronyms and provides a table showing frequency bands used by each satellite system. Information is derived from sources available to the public by October 30, 1999; launch dates are current through February 2000. 2000 • 286 pp • ISBN 1-884989-08-X Order from AIAA 800.682.2422 or www.aiaa.org Crosslink Summer 2000 Vol. 1 No. 2 Editor in Chief Donna J. Born Editor Jon M. Neff Managing Editor Peggy L. Haynes Copyright 2000 The Aerospace Corporation. All rights reserved. Permission to copy or reprint is not required, but appropriate credit must be given to The Aerospace Corporation. Art Director Thomas C. Hamilton Illustrator John A. Hoyem Photographer Eric Hamburg Editorial Board William C. Krenz, Chairman David A. Bearden Harlan F. Bittner Donna J. Born Linda F. Brill David J. Evans Isaac Ghozeil David J. Gorney Linda F. Halle Michael R. Hilton John P. Hurrell Mark W. Maier John W. Murdock Jon M. Neff Mabel R. Oshiro Frederic M. Pollack Alfred N. Sorenson The Aerospace Corporation P.O. Box 92957 Los Angeles CA 90009-2957 Crosslink (ISSN 1527-5264) is published by The Aerospace Corporation, an independent, nonprofit corporation dedicated to providing objective technical analyses and assessments for military, civil, and commercial space programs. Founded in 1960, the corporation operates a federally funded research and development center specializing in space systems architecture, engineering, planning, analysis, and research, predominantly for programs managed by the Air Force and the National Reconnaissance Office. For more information about Aerospace, visit www.aero.org or write to Corporate Communications, P.O. Box 92957, M1-447, Los Angeles, CA 90009-2957. For questions about Crosslink, send e-mail to [email protected] or write to The Aerospace Press, P.O. Box 92957, Los Angeles, CA 90009-2957. NONPROFIT ORG U.S. Postage PAID El Segundo, CA Permit No. 125 Change Service Requested
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