THE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR AQUACULTURE IN THE MEDIUM AND LONG TERM RICHARD SLASKI SCOTTISH AQUACULTURE RESEARCH FORUM SARF Topics for today Aquaculture – the requirement Aquaculture – the opportunities Aquaculture – the challenges Plus ca change? The World Needs More Food Relevance to UK and EU? Our populations are relatively stable But we import the majority of our seafood from 3rd countries: Norway China USA Argentina Thailand Vietnam What happens if these sources become more difficult? “EU importers struggle as Thai shrimp prices leap” – April 2013 EU Struggling with Capture Fish And Aquaculture! Global Picture is Better The Requirement – and the Opportunity Neil, Tom, Dan and Alex have given us some vision for the future, and to briefly reiterate, we need more production from our oceans because: Commercial fisheries have reached a plateau Our terrestrial land is – ultimately - valuable for high energy cereal crops Freshwater is globally limiting The world’s population continues to grow We need to develop a “Marine Agronomy” Food – of course, especially proteins and lipids Energy - biofuels Chemicals Etc The Challenges - Current The SARF R&D Database (www.sarf.org.uk) Aquaculture research projects commissioned between 1994 and 2013 (Mainly UK and Europe) Any Trends in 2 Decades? Blue Biotech is emerging All the other topics remain relatively consistent (The exact details of the challenges may evolve / change) Always Challenges with Animal Production For Example: How many thousands of years have we been growing terrestrial food animals? Estimated veterinary research spend in 2010: £127 million Equivalent aquaculture categories: £3.4 million 2.6% of the total – for 5% of the production The point being that the exact nature of ‘challenges’ may change and evolve – but challenges themselves do not diminish Looking Ahead for Aquaculture Alex has set the scene very well “The scarcity of suitable production sites can potentially be the most limiting factor to future production growth in the salmon aquaculture industry.” Frank Aschea, Atle G. Guttormsenb, Rasmus Nielsenc, 2013 This is talking about salmon, but it’s probably true for most other species – and probably true globally as well as in UK and EU Change and development will be steady and incremental – and will only happen if profit can be made State aids rules make things like feed in tariffs difficult for food production But Structural Funds – EMFF – can help with pilot/demonstration and derisking projects Crystal Ball Technology developments will be critical We will see more input from engineers We will see more development of technical standards Health, welfare, food safety, containment, interactions, stock improvements, breeding programmes, etc will all remain important topics for research and problem-solving Nutrition will evolve: Most animals are ‘fed’ on something But for finfish, there is a need to move further down the food chain in terms of raw materials Over the longer term, and always ensuring good animal welfare and good nutritional value/quality for consumers Closing Thoughts Exciting times ahead There will be more collaboration opportunities Industry sectors Research fields Regulators and public sector But Festina Lente And Plus ca change Thank your for your attention!
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