Monetary and financial macroeconomics Liquidity and endogenous money creation March 25, 2017 Today’s class • Compare the 2 banking models • (1) Banks intermediate loanable funds (ILF) • (2) Banks finance through money creation (FMC) • The first one is widely used theoretically but it is not the way banks work in reality • Modeling banks as in (1) can lead to counter-factual dynamics • The exposition in this class follows closely Jakab and Kumhof (2015) Intermediation of loanable funds • Bank loans represent the intermediation of real savings • The process of lending starts by collecting deposits and finishes with the lending of those savings to another agent • This model is associated to the Deposit Multiplier model where the availability of central bank high powered money (reserves or cash) imposes a limit to the changes in the balance sheets of banks. This is because banks can only create money by re-lending of the initial injection • Again, the DM model is far from the reality Intermediation of loanable funds: deposits come before loans • When a cheque deposit is made in a bank, the bank uses the deposit to fund loans to other households or firms • In this way, banks intermediate individual savings • This approach, which is fairly standard, implies a mixing of micro and macro arguments • Let’s study the balance sheet of banks when a cheque of 4 euros is deposited in bank A Intermediation of loanable funds Figure: Jakab and Kumhof (2015) • Initial balance sheet • Cheque is deposited in bank A • The cheque is drawn from bank B • The left panel is the balance sheet of the whole banking system (banks A and B) Intermediation of loanable funds • Confusion between micro and macro arguments • If funds are put into bank A from bank B, there is no change at all in the consolidated banking system • The banking system does not have more deposits in the aggregate Intermediation of loanable funds • When the cheque is deposited in A, it creates a new entry on the Liabilities side by extra 4 euros • By double entry bookkeeping it creates another entry in the “accounts receivable” entry on the asset side, to indicate that bank B has a liability to deliver central bank reserves corresponding to the value of the cheque. • So the funds have been already lent... but to bank B! Bank A has no additional funds to lend then Intermediation of loanable funds Figure: Jakab and Kumhof (2015) • Then bank A sends the cheque for clearing and this clearing is settled using central bank reserves • At this step, bank B reserves fall by 4 euros and bank A reserves increase by 4 euros • Can bank A lend this extra reserves to non-banks? NO! • Central bank reserves can’t be lent to non-banks, can be used only to make payments to banks • central bank reserves are only in accounts at the central bank. Only commercial banks and central government can obtain this type of accounts Intermediation of loanable funds Figure: Jakab and Kumhof (2015) Intermediation of loanable funds • Bank A didn’t do any extra lending, except to bank B...interbank lending • Bank B didn’t decrease its loan position either, only deposits and reserves changed • In the aggregate nothing changed • If banks cannot create money through lending (which is implied by the ILF approach), then there cannot be more loans Intermediation of loanable funds • Which is the mechanism that ILF advocates have in mind? • The story doesn’t work if we start with a cheque deposit • If we have in mind a cash deposit, it has come from another deposit somewhere in the system, so the same will hold • Also size of cash/total money is tiny • Same banking as we observe will work even in the cashless economy • ILF story is based on deposit of goods! Intermediation of loanable funds Figure: Jakab and Kumhof (2015) Intermediation of loanable funds • In this type of world the bank intermediates loanable funds • The story is non-monetary • But this type of institution is not really a bank Finance through money creation • In fact, banks create money (deposits) from providing loans (financing is the main function of banks) • When a bank makes a loan to a non-bank agent, it creates a new loan entry to this agent (on the asset side of banks balance sheet) and by double entry bookkeeping this operation has a counterpart in the liability side of the bank balance sheet in the form of deposit • The bank creates inside money exactly at the moment in which lending occurs • Both operations are under the name of the same agent (who has assets and liabilities against the bank) so NO INTERMEDIATION HAPPENED! Finance through money creation • If the loan is made for physical investment purposes, then lending and this inside money triggered investment • Bank loans finance investment, not private savings... savings are just a consequence of bank loans Finance through money creation Figure: Jakab and Kumhof (2015) Finance through money creation • In this example, investor A transfers the new money to investor B who is selling the machine • Here, investor B becomes a saver (assuming he leaves the money in his account) • Investor’s B savings are a result (not a cause) of bank loans About the Deposit Multiplier • Carpenter and Demiralp (2010) show that ther eis no empirical relationships implied by the money multiplier in the data • Changes in reserves are unrelated to changes in lending • Open market operations do not have direct impact on lending What limits money creation by banks? • Banks profit maximization • Policy rate • Regulatory requirements
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