Assoc. Prof. Murat Somer, CASE 153 E-mail: [email protected] Fall 2015 Office Hours: Tuesdays, 3:00-5:00pm Chapter 9: Political Parties and Electoral Systems Learning Objectives Describe how political parties differ from interest groups. Differentiate among the types of party systems. Characterize the alternative electoral arrangements used in democratic elections, and explain the relationship between electoral systems and party systems. Describe the party systems and key electoral outcomes in the Topic in Countries and Spotlight on countries. Political Parties and Party Systems The Value of Political Parties Party Identification Party Systems One-party systems One-party dominant systems Two-party systems Two-and-a-half party systems Multiparty systems Political Parties and Party Systems Political Parties Are central link between the elites and masses Seek political office, generally through participation in elections An organization, community of communities held together typically by an overarching ideology Different from interest groups: Political parties do not concentrate on a single issue. They aggregate and articulate interests Political Parties and Party Systems The Value of Political Parties 1. They propose new policies and proclaim what they will do in the office Most parties are not programmatic, they focus on leader’s personality 2. Parties simplify voters’ decision-making by gathering politicians with similar views 3. Ease of accountability: If voters do not like what is going on in a country, they can punish the ruling party by voting to the alternative ones. 4. Central link between masses and elites, active participants in politics. 5. They are (supposed to be) much more institutionalized and enduring than social movements or interest groups (hence les subject to collective action problems) Political Parties and Party Systems Party Systems One-party systems One-party dominant systems Two-party systems Two-and-a-half party systems Multiparty systems Party Identification & Party Systems Comparativists study party identification: someone’s attachment to a particular party Strong party identification: Individuals vote for the same party election after election Weak party identification: Swing voter, more personalized politics (candidate rather than party matters), more fluid system Collection of the main parties in a country generates that country’s party system One party system, one-party dominant system, two party system, two-and-a-half party system, multiparty system, no party system (ex: Iran) One-Party Systems: Single party coordinates government activities and mobilizes mass support During elections, the candidates within the single party are elected. Versions from the harshest to less harsh: totalitarian, authoritarian and pragmatic (Sartori) Example: Chinese Communist Party (Moved from totatlitarian to authoritarian) One-Party Dominant Systems: One party can dominate political systems without full control over political system Small parties are not banned, but receive little vote This can raise questions about the democratic nature of the system This system can emerge after democratization or independence of a country Example: Mexico’s PRI, Polish Communist Party, India’s Congress Party, United Russia in recent years Two-Party System Two major parties compete for control of government Coalitions remain unnecessary Small parties may exist, but not very successful Example: US Democratic Party vs. GOP Two-and-a-Half Party Systems In addition to two party systems, there is a third party Third party is influential, but has a much less vote in the parliament than two large parties Yet, the third party does not have the power to exist in a coalition Example: West Germany Two major parties had 80% of the votes. There was also a third party. Moved to multiparty after unification Multiparty Systems Large number of key parties (generally >3) Large parties may exist, yet they are not as dominant as in other party systems. Parties can form coalitions (It is the norm) Turkish National Elections 1999 JUNE 7 2015 ELECTIONS NOVEMBER 1 ELECTIONS Pros and Cons of Large Number of Major Political Parties ADVANTAGES DISADVANTAGES More option for voters. Masses are better represented. There is greater likelihood that a voter will find a party closest to his/her ideology. Instability, because of fragile coalitions. Disputes among ruling parties can get harsher since each may consider itself as the core of the coalition Minority interests are better represented. Smaller parties are not forced to merge with larger ones. In two-party systems, optimal choice to appeal to center. In multi-party systems, this does not exist. Parties can hold more ideological agendas Difficult to hold parties accountable: Which party will be punished in a poorly performing coalition? The largest? Or all the coalition members? Elections and Electoral Systems Election: A form of conventional mass participation where population chooses among candidates or political parties seeking office Adam Przeworski: “Democracy is a system where parties lose elections” In democratic systems, a ruling party or president can lose elections and be removed. Elections and Electoral Systems Types of Electoral Systems Proportional representation (PR) Closed vs. Open list proportional representation (open list PR) First past the post (FPTP) Single-member districts versus multi-member districts Hybrid systems Proportional Representation (PR) In its pure form: The % of seats a party gets is equal to the % of votes it gets. Example: Party X gets 25% of votes 25% of the seats reserved in the parliament On the party’s candidate list, the first 25 names get those seats (leader at the top of the list) PR encourages small parties Threshold: Rule that parties should get a certain percentage of votes to be in the parliament (ex: Turkey, 10%). Threshold encourages smaller parties to merge. Elections and Electoral Systems Advantages of PR Electoral Systems Minority interests are represented Women are more likely to be elected to office Emphasis on ideas over personalities Disadvantages of PR Electoral Systems Too many small parties with disproportionate importance PR facilitates extremist parties First Past the Post (FPTP) Voters do not vote for political parties; but vote for an individual political candidate in a relatively small district. The candidate getting the plurality of the votes (ex: >50%) in that district gains the seat. Only one person gets elected in a district SingleMember District (SMD) Large number of candidates. Ex: In case of 5 candidates, one should get only above 20%. An extreme candidate with loyal followers can do that (But more than 70% would be unhappy) Primary election: Voters elect which candidate will represent a party… Think and Discuss Does a PR system’s advantages, such as doing a better job of representing the interests of minority groups, outweigh its disadvantages, such as potentially giving small parties the ability to hijack the process of creating and maintaining a ruling coalition? Why? Topic in Countries The United Kingdom Generally considered a two-and-a-half party system Labour Party has controlled the government since 1997; the main opposition party is the Conservative Party (“Tories”); the third largest party is the Liberal Democratic Party FPTP for House of Commons elections; tends to produce a majority party (which then controls the prime minister position) IN THEORY AND PRACTICE Duverger’s Law and British Elections Maurice Duverger believed that electoral systems have two basic consequences: psychological and mechanical Believed FPTP systems encourage two-party systems Electoral results in the United Kingdom cast doubt on Duverger’s law Mixed systems Combine alternative vote (voters rank candidates) with SMD: Preference system Combine alternative vote (voters rank candidates) with MMD: Single tranferable vote (STV) Think and Discuss Does the existence of regionally strong third parties in the United Kingdom have implications for the United States? Could American third parties be successful if they adopted a regional strategy rather than trying to run as national parties? Topic in Countries Germany Multiparty system with two main parties: Christian Democrats (CDU/CSU) and Social Democrats (SPD) Electoral system for the Bundestag combines PR and FPTP; PR seats distributed to create overall totals as if a pure PR system In Theory and Practice Realignment Theory and Germany Realignment Theory Developed by scholars of American politics Claims “critical elections” remake a country’s political landscape Germany and Realignment Theory Some see Germany as experiencing a realignment following 2005 elections The 2005 Bundestag election produced no clear winner; result was a CDU/SPD grand coalition Aftermath included a new party, the Left Party Topic in Countries India Multiparty system (six national parties); Congress Party (INC) dominated for much of early independence period and heads the ruling coalition at present; BJP is INC’s main rival SMD/FPTP system for Lok Sabha; majorities are hard to come by, so coalitions between national and regional parties are common Topic in Countries Mexico The Institutional Revolution Party (PRI) dominated for much of the 20th century; multiparty system today with the National Action Party (PAN) controlling the presidency but the PRI regaining strength. Enrique Pena Nieto from PRI elected president in 2012. The Congress is elected through a combination of PR and FPTP (presidential winner comes from a FPTP national vote) In Theory and Practice Party Organization Theory and Mexico Party Organization Theory Associated with Joseph Schlesinger Highlights the collective action problem of political parties; why should individuals work for the party? Parties are market-based. Trade goods for voter support. But their goods are public goods. Party “entrepreneurs” are willing to work hard because they may gain personally through winning political office Mexico’s Party of Democratic Revolution (PRD) PRD founded by the son of a former PRI leader Cardenas He was a party entrepreneur, but formed the PRD as much or more because of policy differences with the PRI as he did because of a desire to hold office Topic in Countries Brazil Weak parties Very large number of parties gain seats in the legislature; four are the most important, including the Worker’s Party (PT), the party of President Rousseff. Lower house chosen by PR (but senators by FPTP and president by majority vote); lower house uses “open list” PR Topic in Countries Nigeria Emerging one-party dominant system (PDP dominates the executive and legislature) Senate and House of Representatives elections are SMD/FPTP; PDP has dominated elections since democracy was restored in 1999 Topic in Countries Russia Weak party system after collapse of USSR; turned into one-party dominant system under Putin Used to be a hybrid system; President Putin pushed to change it to PR only; 2007 legislative elections and 2008 presidential elections sparked claims of irregularities Topic in Countries China Classic one-party system; CCP continues to dominate Chinese politics No real national elections; but, local elections have some genuine competition; candidates in village elections not always those preferred by the CCP Some believe these local elections are an experiment in democracy–like the special economic zones that were an experiment with capitalism before it spread across the country Topic in Countries Iran A few main political parties after 1979 Revolution; parties later replaced by loose electoral coalitions; today, a “no party system” Guardian Council can block candidates from running for office; in Majles elections, some districts are single-member while others are multi-member Think and Discuss The previous chapter discussed non-electoral mechanisms for linking elites and masses. This chapter focuses on political parties and elections. Which of these sets of mechanisms are more important for understanding mass participation and how masses are linked to elites? Why? TIC Country Current Leader/Leaders Example of Decision-Making and its Rationality United Kingdom David Cameron (Prime Minister) Margaret Thatcher and the Falklands Island War Germany Angela Merkel (Chancellor) Helmut Kohl and the German Currency Union India Narendra Modi (Prime Minister) Manmohan Singh and the Indo-U.S. Nuclear Agreement; ITAP feature on incrementalism Mexico Enrique Pena Niteo (President) Ernesto Zedillo and liberalization; ITAP feature on rational choice theory and NAFTA Brazil Dilma Rousseff (President) Henrique Cordoso and the Plano Real Nigeria Muhammadu Buhari (President) The Nigerian Civil War Russia Vladimir Putin (President); Dmitry Medvedev (Prime Minister) The Coup against Mikhail Gorbachev China Xi Jinping (President) Mao Zedong, the Great Leap Forward, and the Cultural Revolution; ITAP feature on Deng Xiaoping, Tiananmen Square, and elite learning Iran Hassan Rouhani (President); Ali Khamenei (Supreme Leader) The choice to bar reformist candidates in the 2004 Majles election France François Hollande (President) Sarkozy and the decision to ban burqas in public Iraq Fuad Masum (President); Haider alAbadi (Prime Minister) Nouri al-Maliki and the decision on whether to maintain a U.S. troop presence in Iraq South Africa Jacob Zuma (President) The 2011 Immigration Amendment Bill
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