The Role of Fixed and Variable Costs in Firm’s Export Decisions Shi-Shu Peng Institute of Economics Academia Sinica Zhihao Yu Department of Economics Carleton University April 2014 ABSTRACT Marginal cost heterogeneity and fixed cost heterogeneity are two key elements in explaining the performance of different firms in the “New New Trade Theory”. In this study we compare the effect of the two types of costs on firm’s exporting decisions. Using a merged comprehensive longitudinal firm-level dataset of Chinese firms in manufacturing sector in the period 2000-2006, we first apply the approach of difference in differences (DID) and find that Chinese firms exhibit, on average, higher degree of heterogeneity in terms of the fixed costs than the variable costs. We further employ the Probit model to evaluate the relative importance of these two types of costs on firms’ exporting decisions. We find that both variable and fixed costs play a significant role in such decisions. Although the magnitude of marginal effect of the fixed cost is lower than that of the variable cost, its potential overall effect could be higher than the variable cost since its average level is about five times of that of the variable cost. Keywords: Fixed cost, Variable cost, Firm heterogeneity, Export decisions. JEL Classification: F12 1 1. Introduction It has been a decade since Marc Melitz published his seminal work on the theory of monopolistic competition with heterogeneous firms (i.e. Melitz, 2003). Since then, the literature, which has been called the “New New Trade Theory,” has thrived in the field of international trade because it nicely fits the recent empirical findings about the behavior of exporting firms, based on increasingly available firm-level datasets. For example, Bernard and Jensen (1995, 1999) find that more efficient firms become exporters and they also tend to be larger than non-exporters.1 As a result, the New New Trade Theory has been developed mainly along the line of the heterogeneity in marginal costs and found that only the more productive firms are able to bear the fixed entry costs of exports and self-select themselves to export. This inter-firm reallocation will lead to aggregate industry productivity growth and welfare gain. Such marginal cost heterogeneity and the fixed market entry costs are the two critical elements that are added to the new trade theory, and they also offer a theoretical explanation for the empirical findings of export premium in many empirical studies. Helpman, Melitz and Yeaple (2003), and other theoretical studies along this strand of literate, follow Melitz’s structure to study firm’s other decisions such as foreign direct investment or exporting destinations. The contribution of this literature is that it points to a re-thinking of the driving force behind the globalization process of cross-border trade and investment. Another strand of the literature, initiated by Schmitt and Yu (2001, 2002),2 instead focuses on the heterogeneity in fixed costs to study the issue of scale economies and intra-industry trade volume. These fixed costs may refer to the fixed costs of export that are associated with administrations, the changes in product designs to meet local tastes or regulations, information collection, marketing, or the distribution network in a foreign country. Several studies, such as Leonidou (1995, 2004), Das, Roberts and Tybout (2001) and Roberts and Tybout (2004), have offered evidence for such fixed cost heterogeneity. Fixed cost heterogeneity has also been identified as an important channel for export market selection in Roberts and Tybout (1997), Lawless and Whelan (2008) and Lawless (2009, 2010). Firms with lower 1 Also see Sofronis Clerides, Saul Lach, and James R. Tybout (1998), and Bee Yan Aw, Sukkyun Chung, and Mark J. Roberts (2000) for the stylized facts about the behavior and performance of firms for the different countries. They basically find that exporters are in the minority and they tend to be larger and more productive. See Wagner (2007) for a survey. 2 Baldwin (2005) provides a mini-survey of the earlier studies on heterogeneous firms. 2 fixed costs, according to this strand of literature, are also predicted to be more likely to export, similar to those with lower marginal costs in the literature with heterogeneous marginal costs. Although not as broadly adopted as the Melitz-type model, some recent studies such as Jørgensen and Schröder (2006, 2008), Cole (2011) and Jørgensen, Schröder and Yu (2012) follow this line of literature on fixed cost heterogeneity to study the welfare effects of the trade liberalization. Both strands of the literature start their theoretical exploration based on the observation that firms in the real world are heterogeneous and the magnitude of these heterogeneities differs across industries and countries. Their main contributions to the field of international trade are as follows. First, they are able to explain why some firms choose to export or invest abroad while others do not. Second, they find a new channel --the extensive margin-- through that new exporters enter the foreign market, which complements the channel of the intensive margin we already know (see Chaney, 2008). Third, the structure of international trade can be analyzed for the redistribution among heterogeneous firms. So far, the literature seems to lack an assessment of these two strands of the literature.3 The recent trend and the development in organizational theory motivate such an assessment because during the last few decades, the structure of some industries has changed from conventional firms that involve most production activities to modern enterprises that only perform a part in the value chain. Such structure changes are more prevalent in some industries such as consumer electronics, apparels, or footwear. A well-known example is that Apple has given up almost all production and focused only on product design, marketing and retail sales. It outsources the production to some original equipment manufacturing (OEM) firms like Foxconn. In this example of production network, the fixed costs associated with these activities could be more relevant than the marginal costs of production. This suggests that the question whether marginal cost heterogeneity or fixed cost heterogeneity is more empirically relevant may also depend on the characteristics of the industries. In this study we investigate how fixed costs and variable costs affect firms’ export decision and their relative importance by using a firm-level dataset of Chinese firms in the period of 2000-2006. We first measure and compare the heterogeneities of fixed costs and variable costs using the difference-in-difference method and the method of Propensity Score Matching. Then, we apply the Probit model for a 3 Recently, XXX , XXX have considered both marginal and fixed cost heterogeneities in their studies. . 3 statistical evaluation to investigate whether the fixed costs or variable costs play a more important role in firm’s exporting decision. We find that both fixed and variable costs play significant roles in such decisions, and although the magnitude of marginal effect of the fixed cost is lower than the variable cost, its potential overall effect could still be higher than the variable cost since its average value is about five times of that of the variable cost. The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 provides a description of the dataset used in this study. Section 3 discusses in details the methodology used for our analysis. Section 4 discusses the results, and Section 5 concludes. 2. Data and Descriptive Statistics We first introduce the dataset and variables used in this study in Section 2.1, and then illustrate the descriptive statistics in Section 2.2. 2.1. Data and Variables The data we use in this study is the Chinese Industrial Enterprises Database conducted by National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China in the period of 2000-2006. It is a panel data containing all firms that operate business in China with annual revenue higher than RMB five million yuan. It provides detailed firm-level information in three categories: (1) basic: including firm ID, location, main products, ownership, founding year, employment, and so on; (2) financial: capital, assets and liabilities, profit or loss, wages, etc; and (3) production: final products, sales, exports, among others. This dataset offers rich information for this study. We are able to identify whether a firm is an exporter by observing whether its export value is zero, and to observe directly each firm’s fixed and variable costs, which help to form potential proxies for both costs in the trade literature with heterogeneous firms. In addition, we can also use other firm-level variables such as employment, sales, shipments, value-added, founding year, industry, province, and ownership as control variables in the statistical analysis. The variables are listed in Table 1. [Insert Table 1 here] The dependent variable is the exporting decision, namely whether or not to export. We construct this variable for each firm by a dummy variable that equals 1 if the export value (variable code V213 in the dataset) is greater than zero, while equals 0 if such value is zero. The most important independent variables are the fixed and variable costs. In the 4 literature such as in Schmitt and Yu (2001), the fixed costs that affect the exporting decision are the ones associated with the domestic sales: only those firms whose fixed costs lower than a threshold level will be able to export. For each non-exporter, the fixed costs (FC) of each firm is then formed by directly adding its three types of costs: the operating expense (code F328), the management cost (code F336), and financial cost (code F340). For each exporter, however, since we cannot identify which proportions of these fixed costs are associated with its domestic and exporting sales, we have to adjust the above sum to figure out its fixed costs that are associated only to its domestic sales. Among the three types of fixed costs, only the operating expense (F328) closely expands with the sales due to exporting decision. We thus assume that of the operating cost is associated with the for year , the proportion of exports and that of with the domestic sales ( ). Such operating cost associated exclusively with domestic sales, however, is not directly observed in the dataset. Therefore, we calibrate with the observable data using the firm-level sales (that can be divided into exporting and domestic parts). Specifically, we compute the average ratio of the exporting sales to the domestic sales across all exporters, denoted as , and then use it to calculate the firm-level estimated domestic operating cost for each exporter that is comparable with that of a non-exporter. In short, for non-exporters the fixed cost is and for the exporters it is . In the Melitz-type models it is the marginal cost that plays a critical role in driving the exporting behaviors of firms. However, marginal cost is not observable. One appropriate measure can be the average variable cost, namely the total variable cost per output (i.e. the firm-level TVC/Q where Q is the output). For the variable costs, we can directly observe the operating costs (also called “the costs of product sales”; code F327). But in our dataset, for each firm we only observe its shipment (i.e. P*Q; code V207), not output (Q). To find AVC, we should multiply the TVC per shipment by the firm-level price (P) but unfortunately, such price seems to be unavailable in any dataset. Therefore, we compute the industry-level price using the China Custom Database instead to calculate the firm-level AVC.4 Two caveats: first, the average industry-level prices are obtained using the Custom data only (i.e. rigorously speaking, they are export prices). These prices are 4 The China Custom Database contains information for all transactions of exports and imports such as the commodity HS codes, volumes, and prices, among others. We first compute for each commodity the weighted average price using the transaction values as weights. Then using these average commodity prices and following a table transferring between commodities and industries, we compute the weighted average price for each industry using the total transaction volume of commodities as weights. 5 different between exporters and non-exporters, however. For non-exporters, it is almost impossible to compute the domestic industry prices due to lack of data. Second, using the industry-level price is equivalent to assuming that the firm-level prices of all firms in the same industry are identical. This assumption will definitely move the distribution of the AVC away from its true value within an industry and affect our results. The control variables include the shipment (V207), employment (V210), capital-labor ratio (F301/V210), year, ownership, and industry. The year-fixed-effect variable ranges from 2000 through 2006. The ownership variable includes seven types dummy variables: the (1) state-owned, (2) collectively-owned, (3) private-owned, (4) capital from Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan, (5) foreign-owned, (6) Chinese and foreign joint-venture mainly owned by Chinese capital, and (7) Chinese and foreign joint-venture mainly owned by foreign capital. The industry dummy variables denote 29 manufacturing industries listed in Table Appendix 1. 2.2. Descriptive Statistics Firms are heterogeneous in both their fixed costs and variable costs with probably different magnitudes. In this subsection, we simply observe the heterogeneity in the two types of costs by first comparing the variation of total fixed costs (FC) with that of average variable costs (AVC) using firm-level data in different years during the period of 2000-2006. Then, we implement a similar analysis using the same data not only in different years, but also in 30 different industries. Table 2 shows the comparison results between the variations of FC and AVC for each year from 2000 to 2006. We calculate the coefficients of variation (CV) for both FC and AVC with all firms included regardless of what industry they are in. We consider the fixed costs to be more heterogeneous than the average variable costs if the CV of the former is higher than that of the latter, and vice versa. From Table 2, we see that for all seven years, FC exhibits higher degree of variation, or heterogeneity, than AVC. [Insert Table 2 here] Next we proceed in more detail with such comparison between FC and AVC for each industry and for each year between 2000 and 2006. Table 3 demonstrates the coefficients of variation for both costs on the yearly-industry basis.5 From this table, 5 We drop 13 firms (out of 1,287,177) as outliers when preparing Table 3 since in the following 12 industries in different years they cause the coefficients of variation for AVC extremely large (ranging from 20 to 60; we accept CVs lower than 20): industries 13, 14, 18, and 19 in 2000, industry 30 in 2002, industries 29, 31, and 35 in 2003, industries 32 and 35 in 2004, industry 30 in 2005, and industry 42 in 6 we see that various industries exhibit different properties. In the following fourteen industries: No. 14, 18, 19, 21, 22, 23, 24, 28, 29, 32, 36, 37, and 40, the FC is always more heterogeneous than the AVC for all years. For the other fifteen industries, FC is more heterogeneous than AVC most of the time since only in industry 16, AVC exhibits higher degree of heterogeneity than FC (in five years out of six) and in the rest fourteen industries, this is the case only in one or two years out of six. Therefore, we may conclude from Table 3 that FC is in general more heterogeneous than AVC if the degree of heterogeneity is measured by coefficient of variation. [Insert Table 3 here] 3. Methodology We introduce the statistical strategies for comparing the degree of heterogeneities in the above two types of costs and then explore their effects on firms’ export decisions. More specifically, Section 3.1 illustrates how we compare the degree of the heterogeneity in both costs using the method of difference in difference (DID) and its advanced version adjusted by the approach of propensity score matching (PSM) to address the problem of selection bias. Then in Section 3.2, a Probit model is implemented to compare the magnitudes of the two types of costs in affecting the export decisions. 3.1. Difference in Difference and Propensity Score Matching Difference in Difference In the previous section we compared the degree of heterogeneity of the fixed and variable costs simply using the coefficients of variations. To provide a more rigorous analysis, here we apply the method of Difference in Difference (DID). The DID method is an econometric quasi-experimental technique that is used to measure the effect of a treatment or an event within a given period of time. In particular, this method aims to measure the pre-post and within-subjects differences of the treatment and control groups induced by such a treatment or event. The concept of this method can be applied in this study, although there is no effect of a treatment or event to be measured. The pre-post and within-subjects differences of the two groups can be viewed as the fixed-variable costs and within-subjects heterogeneity differences of the exporter and non-exporter groups induced by profitability. In other words, we view the exporters and non-exporters as treatment and control groups, and apply the DID method to measure whether the fixed cost or the variable cost has higher degree of heterogeneity between the two groups of 2006. This may be related to the assumption of equal price within an industry. 7 firms. Consider the following equation: (1) where represents the fixed cost (FC) or average variable cost (AVC) of firm (notice that the total number of observations should be twice of the number of all firms because each firm has observations on both the FC and AVC); is a dummy variable for exporters (equals 1 if firm is an exporter and 0 otherwise); is a dummy variable for FC (equals 1 if the observed cost is FC and 0 otherwise); is an error term. For the AVC, the average for exporters is , while the average for non-exporters is since since and and . The difference in the average in terms of the AVC between exporters and non-exporters is since . For the FC, the average for exporters is and and , while the average for non-exporters is . since Thus, the difference in the average in terms of FC between exporters and non-exporters is . The above differences between the two groups of firms in terms of the AVC and FC, and , measure the degrees of heterogeneity between the two groups , of firms in AVC and FC, respectively. The difference of the above two differences, further tells us which of AVC and FC has larger degree of heterogeneity between the two groups of firms. A simple statistical test of whether .is different from zero can tell us whether the two groups of firms have a larger degree of heterogeneity in FC than in AVC. Propensity Score Matching The method of DID may be subject to certain biases (e.g., the sample selection bias). To adjust such biases, the Propensity Score Matching (PSM) is a common method for obtaining unbiased estimation of the treatment effects. The bias occurs probably because the effectiveness of a treatment may have something to do with a participant’s certain characteristics that are related to whether or not he chooses or is chosen to be in a treatment. The concept of the Propensity Score Matching is to choose from the control group the observations with certain characteristics that are most similar to those of the 8 observations in the treatment group. With such matching, the distribution of characteristics of the observations in the two groups will be fairly similar and therefore the above problem of endogeneity may be greatly reduced. In brief, the method of the PSM assigns a propensity score to each observation with certain sample characteristics controlled by using the estimation of a Logit model, and then matches the samples in the two groups. There are various approaches of matching, with no consensus about which one is the best. Here we apply the one-to-one non-replacement approach. Namely, we match each sample in the treatment group (exporters) exactly with one corresponding sample in the control group (non-exporters) that is most similar to it. After being adjusted by the PSM method, we implement the DID method again, and report/compare the results with and without the PSM method. In Section 4, we will report the results from the method of DID without and with the adjustment of the PSM. In addition, considering of the issue of lacking of suitable measure for marginal cost, we use the total variable costs, total variable costs per shipment, and total variable costs per sales as proxy candidates for the purpose of robustness check. 3.2. Probit model Now we implement the Probit model to investigate whether the fixed or variable costs play a more important role in export decisions. The Probit model is proposed as follows: (2) where the dependent variables denotes the dummy variable of firm ’s is firm exporting decision, which equals to 1 if this firm exports and 0 otherwise; ’s total fixed costs; should theoretically represent firm ’s marginal cost, but due to the data limitation, we use average variable costs as proxies. As for control variables, is its value of shipment for firm ; denotes its sales; denotes firm ’s employment; denotes the capital labor ratio of firm ; controls for the time fixed effect from the year of 2000-2006; is a group of six dummy variables of ownership to control for seven types of ownership is another group of 29 dummy variables of industries to structures; control for firms’ industries in two-digit level; and finally, is an error term. In addition, we compute the marginal effects of the main variables by applying the dProbit function in Stata and later will report together with the results of Probit 9 model. 4. Results 4.1. Difference in Difference without and with Propensity Score Matching In Table 4 we report the results from the comparison of the heterogeneity between exporters and non-exporters for fixed and variable costs, using the method of DID without and with the adjustment of the PSM. Table 4 lists, for the year in the period of 2000-2006, the values and significance for the coefficient of the cross term in equation (1), namely . Again, the degree of heterogeneity between exporters and non-exporters for the fixed costs will be significantly greater, smaller, and not different from that for the variable costs if and not different from zero. is significantly greater, smaller, [Insert Table 4 here] Table 4 exhibits consistent results regardless of whether using DID or DID+PSM methods. For all years, s are all positive, suggesting that the degree of heterogeneity between exporters and non-exporters for the fixed costs is statistically significantly greater than that for the variable costs. This indicates that among various sources and aspects of firm heterogeneity, we may need to pay more attention to the fixed cost since it can be statistically more heterogeneous than the average variable cost. 4.2. Probit model The next question of our interest is whether the fixed cost or the variable cost is more important in affecting firms’ exporting behaviors. We employ the Probit model to evaluate the relative importance of the role of the fixed and average variable costs in firm’s exporting decision. First, to avoid the problem of multi-collinearity, Table 5 shows the matrix of the correlation coefficients between independent variables to make sure that they are indeed not mutually highly correlated. From Table 5, if we define high correlation as the correlation coefficient exceeding 0.8, the MC problem only exists between the shipment and sales (because the value of the coefficient is 0.99). We thus drop the variable of sales because the variable of shipment is more relevant in the concept of firm’s production activities. [Insert Table 5 here] 10 The results of the Probit model are illustrated in Table 6. From the estimated coefficients, we find that both the fixed and average variable costs, on average, affect firms’ exporting decision negatively, and significantly at 1% and 10% significance levels, respectively. In other words, a higher value of fixed or average variable costs decreases firms’ probability becoming exporters, with a higher significance level for the fixed cost. This result confirms the findings related to fixed and variable costs in the literature of heterogeneous firms. The dProbit function in Stata can further offer the quantitative explanations for the marginal effect of the two types of costs on the probability of exporting with the related coefficients. We find that when the cost rises by 1 million RMB, for the fixed cost the probability of exporting will decrease by 0.0148% while for the average variable cost it will decrease by 0.0175%, suggesting that the variable cost may be more effective in exporting decision than the fixed cost. However, we also find that the average fixed cost and variable cost for all firms across all years to be 6.93 million RMB and 1.33 million RMB, respectively. Considering this, the overall effect of the fixed cost can be larger than that of the average cost since on average we cannot lower the variable cost by more than 1.33 million RMB. Both shipment and employment affect firms’ exporting decision positively and significantly, implying that firms that produce more and hire more workers are more likely to export. The effect of capital-labor ratio is negative and significant, suggesting that more labor-intensive firms are more likely to export, possibly due to the export-led characteristics of China. [Insert Table 6 here] 5. Conclusion We investigate how the variable cost and fixed cost affect the exporting decisions of firms. For the variable cost, both the theoretical and empirical literatures find that higher variable cost prevents firms from exporting; for the fixed cost, however, although some theoretical studies have found such relationship, the empirical ones are still lacking. As far as we know, this study is the first to simultaneously consider and compare the effects of the two types of costs on exporting decisions. In this study, by using a merged comprehensive longitudinal firm-level dataset of Chinese firms in manufacturing sector in the period 2000-2006, we first apply the approach of difference in differences (DID) (and in addition DID with propensity 11 score matching (PSM) for the sake of robustness) to examine the degrees of heterogeneity of the two types of costs. We find that Chinese firms on average exhibit higher degree of heterogeneity in terms of the fixed cost than the variable cost, suggesting that the fixed cost is one non-negligible dimension among various dimensions of heterogeneity of firms. We further employ the Probit model to evaluate the relative importance of these two types of costs on firms’ exporting decisions. We find that both the variable and fixed costs both play significant roles in such decisions in a negative relationship. In addition, with the function of dProbit in Stata we find that although the magnitude of marginal effect of the fixed cost is lower than that of the variable cost, its potential overall effect on firms’ export decision can still be higher than the variable cost since its average level is about five times of that of the variable cost. 12 References Aw, Bee Yan; Chung, Sukkyun and Roberts, Mark J. “Productivity and Turnover in the Export Market: Micro Evidence from Taiwan and South Korea.” The World Bank Economic Review, January 2000, 14(1), pp. 65-90. Baldwin, Richard. “Heterogeneous Firms and Trade: Untestable Properties of the Melitz Model.” NBER Working Paper 11471, 2005. Bernard, Andrew B. and Jensen, J. 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Helpman, Elhanan; Melitz, Marc J. and Yeaple, Stephen R. “Export versus FDI with Heterogeneous Firms.” American Economic Review, March 2004, 94(1), pp. 300-316. Jørgensen, Jan G. and Schröder J.H. Philipp. “Tariffs and Firm-Level Heterogeneous Fixed Export Costs.” The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, 2006, 5(1). _______ . “Fixed export cost heterogeneity, trade and welfare.” European Economic Review, Octobor 2008, 52(7), pp. 1256-1274. Jørgensen, Jan G., Schröder J.H. Philipp and Yu, Zhihao. “Tariffs and Firm-Level Heterogeneous Fixed Export Costs.” Review of World Economics, 2012, 148, pp. 73-87. Kandilov Ivan T. and Zheng, Xiaoyong. “The Impact of Entry Costs on Export Market Participation in Agriculture.” Agricultural Economics, September 2011, 42(5), pp. 531-546. 13 Krugman, Paul R. “Increasing Returns, Monopolistic Competition, and International Trade.” Journal of International Economics, November 1979, 9(4), pp. 469-479. _______ . “Scale Economies, Product Differentiation, and the Pattern of Trade.” American Economic Reviews, December 1980, 70(5), pp. 950-959. Leonidou, Leonidas. C. “Empirical research on export barriers — review, assessment, and synthesis.” Journal of International Marketing, 1995 3 (1), p.p. 29–43. _______ . “An analysis of the barriers hindering small business export development.” Journal of Small Business Management, July 2004, 42 (3), p.p. 279–302. Liu, Bih Jane and Wu, Yu-Yin. “Are Exporters Always More Productive than Non-Exporters?” Working Paper, 2009. Melitz, Marc J. “The Impact of Trade on Aggregate Industry Productivity and Intra-Industry Reallocations.” Econometrica, November 2003, 71(6), pp. 1695-725. Montagna, Catia. “Efficiency Gaps, Love of Variety and International Trade.” Economica, Feburary 2001, 68(269), pp. 27-44. Roberts, Mark J. and Tybout, James R. “The decision to export in Colombia: An empirical model of entry with sunk costs.” American Economic Review, September 1997, 87 (4), p.p. 545–564. Schmitt, Nicolas and Yu, Zhihao. “Economics of Scale and the Volume of Intra-Industry Trade.” Economics Letters, December 2001, 74(1), pp. 127-132. Wagner, Joachim. “Exports and Productivity: A Survey of the Evidence from Firm Level Data.” The World Economy, January 2007, 30(1), pp. 60-82. 14 Table 1: List of Variables. Variables Description Dummy variable of exporting decision: equals 1 if firm ’s exports, 0 otherwise.. The fixed costs of firm . The average variable costs of firm . The shipment of firm . The sales of firm . The employment of firm . The capital-labor ratio of firm . The year of the dataset in which firm was surveyed. The ownership type of firm . The industry firm is in. Table 2: Coefficients of Variation of Fixed and Variable Costs (Yearly). Year Fixed costs Variable costs 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 6.27 6.44 7.01 7.66 8.40 8.56 9.03 6.27 6.01 5.12 5.20 4.90 4.61 4.60 Source: Computed by the authors. 15 Table 3: Coefficients of Variation of Fixed and Variable Costs (Yearly-Industry). 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Ind FC VC FC VC FC VC FC VC FC VC FC VC FC VC 13 2.82 4.06 3.03 1.56 2.97 2.10 3.07 0.70 3.18 0.46 3.40 4.97 3.51 0.50 14 3.22 0.89 3.31 0.73 3.69 0.67 3.92 0.46 4.50 1.07 5.08 0.58 5.31 0.51 15 3.32 0.78 3.44 0.52 3.89 1.87 4.33 0.58 3.89 1.00 4.07 1.04 4.30 6.52 16 1.74 4.69 1.67 4.99 1.74 1.75 1.67 1.11 1.75 7.87 1.79 2.35 2.22 0.75 17 2.34 1.18 2.46 3.65 2.65 1.16 3.02 1.34 3.51 0.74 4.13 3.77 4.25 0.60 18 2.76 0.70 3.46 0.89 3.40 0.44 3.07 0.88 3.50 0.38 4.01 1.14 4.68 0.88 19 2.41 0.48 2.42 0.46 2.66 0.59 3.27 0.39 3.50 0.23 3.97 0.23 3.27 0.26 20 2.19 3.60 2.30 0.56 2.84 0.40 2.42 0.35 4.39 0.49 4.80 0.37 4.94 0.39 21 2.75 0.65 2.03 0.45 2.06 0.33 2.16 0.30 2.55 0.80 2.71 0.30 2.63 1.42 22 3.57 0.49 4.30 2.29 4.76 0.96 4.61 0.35 5.21 0.44 5.08 0.31 5.87 0.35 23 1.86 0.41 2.12 0.46 2.29 0.58 2.37 0.52 2.53 0.68 2.53 0.74 2.71 0.29 24 2.14 1.00 2.34 0.71 2.35 1.75 2.50 0.22 2.71 0.38 2.57 0.56 2.66 0.25 25 4.40 19.85 4.19 0.76 4.05 1.33 3.70 0.49 4.13 2.45 4.08 1.18 4.06 0.96 26 4.95 8.40 6.02 2.14 5.66 0.59 7.34 0.56 10.00 0.45 8.30 0.90 7.60 2.13 27 3.68 0.68 3.21 1.41 3.42 1.42 3.85 0.54 4.14 3.79 4.74 6.79 4.98 0.59 28 4.46 0.22 3.07 0.29 3.16 0.31 3.55 0.27 3.93 0.20 3.62 0.20 3.58 2.79 29 2.97 0.65 3.22 0.47 3.62 0.39 3.84 0.37 4.30 0.43 4.47 0.69 4.44 1.00 30 2.24 0.37 2.73 0.54 2.74 12.41 2.76 0.37 10.20 3.81 2.85 0.66 4.07 1.56 31 2.63 0.67 2.63 1.87 2.66 0.75 2.71 0.41 2.84 10.77 3.02 0.47 2.98 2.02 32 7.13 2.42 6.77 1.76 7.64 0.52 8.96 0.49 10.11 0.52 9.18 0.46 9.40 5.88 33 5.61 0.68 4.16 0.64 4.11 0.40 4.45 11.10 6.60 4.61 6.09 0.46 7.33 0.35 34 2.51 0.92 3.23 7.33 2.49 0.89 2.86 0.36 3.02 1.31 3.36 1.05 3.52 2.46 35 3.31 1.21 3.43 0.53 3.82 15.22 4.06 0.40 4.11 3.46 4.38 11.35 4.60 0.52 36 2.50 1.29 2.44 1.17 2.78 1.23 3.22 2.44 4.44 1.48 3.65 1.26 4.00 0.65 37 7.11 1.29 7.60 1.59 8.42 0.61 8.11 0.62 6.35 0.66 8.20 0.53 8.56 0.46 39 1.11 0.21 1.10 0.24 1.09 0.26 6.17 0.61 7.45 8.95 7.49 10.02 7.91 1.72 40 7.03 0.97 6.91 6.73 5.89 0.62 6.52 4.28 8.44 1.86 9.44 2.57 10.18 1.59 41 5.36 5.25 5.62 0.77 6.26 13.37 3.20 0.46 2.74 3.10 2.65 0.88 2.73 0.89 42 2.40 0.61 2.44 0.96 2.43 0.95 2.16 0.48 2.63 13.22 2.63 0.51 2.86 1.92 Source: Computed by the authors. Note: There is no industry-level price for industry 43 for computing variable costs, thus not being able to obtain the coefficients of variation for this industry. 16 Table 4: Results of Heterogeneity Comparison between Exporters and Non-exporters in the Fixed and Variable Costs using DID with and without PSM. Year DID DID+ PSM 2000 0.50*** 0.33*** 0.25*** 0.21*** 0.18*** 0.15*** 0.54*** 0.48*** 0.36*** 0.31*** 0.27*** 0.22*** 0.23*** 0.43*** 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Note: ***, **, *: Significant at 1%, 5%, 10% levels. Table 5: Matrix of Correlation Coefficients between Independent Variables. 1.00 0.02 1.00 0.71 0.02 1.00 0.72 0.02 0.99 1.00 0.60 0.02 0.57 0.57 1.00 0.05 0.01 0.04 0.04 -0.01 17 1.00 Table 6: Results of the Probit Model. Coefficients -4.45*** -1.48*** -5.26* -1.75* 0.11*** 0.04*** 3.91*** 1.30*** -0.31*** -0.10*** Const -1.35*** Obs. 1,287,151 R-squared Marginal Effects 0.19 1,287,151 0.19 Note: (1) ***, **, *: Significant at 1%, 5%, 10% levels; (2) the marginal effects are calculated with the dProbit function of Stata. 18 Table Appendix 1: Industry Classification. Code Industry name 13 Agriculture and food processing 14 Foodstuff manufacturing 15 Soft drink manufacturing 16 Tobacco manufacturing 17 Textile 18 Weaving costume, shoes and cap manufacturing 19 Leather, fur and feather manufacturing 20 Wood working and wood, bamboo, bush rope, palm, straw manufacturing 21 Furniture manufacturing 22 Paper making and paper products 23 Print and copy of record vehicle 24 Stationary and sporting goods manufacturing 25 Oil processing, coking and nuclear manufacturing 26 Chemical material and chemical product manufacturing 27 Medicine manufacturing 28 Chemical fiber manufacturing 29 Rubber product 30 Plastics product 31 Nonmetallic mineral product 32 Ferrous metal refining and calendaring processing 33 Non-ferrous metal refining and calendaring processing 34 Metal product 35 Universal equipment manufacturing 36 Task equipment manufacturing 37 Transport communication facilities manufacturing 39 Weapons and ammunition 40 Electric machine and fittings manufacturing 41 Communication apparatus, computer and other electric installation manufacturing 42 Instrument and meter, stationary machine manufacturing Source: HuaMei Information (2012). Note: The industry classification is grouped by International Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC) of All Economic Activities. 19
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