2016 Population Report for the Arab Horse Society of South Africa Dr Helena Theron, Herman Labuschagne & Fritz Voordewind SA Stud Book Contents Introduction ............................................................................................................................................ 2 Data ......................................................................................................................................................... 2 Methods .................................................................................................................................................. 3 Age Structure .......................................................................................................................................... 4 Family size ............................................................................................................................................... 5 Generation Interval ................................................................................................................................. 6 Pedigree Completeness .......................................................................................................................... 7 Inbreeding ............................................................................................................................................... 7 Effective Population Size......................................................................................................................... 9 Important animals in the breed ............................................................................................................ 10 Stallions with the most registered foals ........................................................................................... 10 Stallions with the most offspring selected as parents ...................................................................... 11 Mares with the most registered foals ............................................................................................... 13 Mares with the most offspring selected as parents ......................................................................... 16 Influential Arabian Ancestors................................................................................................................ 18 Additive Genetic Relationship (AGR) ................................................................................................ 18 Genetic Contribution (GC) ................................................................................................................ 18 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................................. 21 1 Introduction Increased selection pressure on many domestic animal species and breeds has led to an increase in production efficiency at the expense of genetic diversity and the survival of many breeds across the world. About 8000 breeds of livestock species have been domesticated, of which 631 are classified as extinct and 1710 are classified as being at risk (FAO, 2011). The concerns with regard to the loss of genetic diversity are however, not only concerned with the extinction of breeds, but also the loss of genetic diversity within breeds. Loss of genetic diversity within breeds can negatively affect production and fitness traits. There are several factors that are used as key parameters in monitoring genetic diversity in breeds. These parameters include effective population size, inbreeding levels and average genetic relationships (Groeneveld et al., 2010). Effective management of animal genetic resources depend on comprehensive knowledge of breed characteristics. The availability of pedigree data offer a great opportunity to investigate and assess genetic diversity within a breed. In this study genetic diversity parameters for the Arab horse population in South Africa were investigated. This will give an indication if the population is at risk of losing genetic diversity or not. Data Pedigree data of South African Arab Horses were obtained from SA Stud Book’s Logix data base. It consisted of 29 209 animals, of which 13 159 (45%) were stallions or geldings and 16 049 (55%) were mares. The pedigrees of the animals are exceptionally complete and only 4.13% (1205) and 4.08% (1193) of these horses had unknown dams and sires respectively. This makes the population parameters estimated in this study very accurate. Figure 1: Slightly more mares than stallions are registered with SA Stud Book. The oldest horse on the data base is a stallion born in 1829 in Germany, named Amurath WEIL 26. The oldest mare is 9 DAHABY, born in Hungary in 1838. These ancestors are Figure 2: Amurath WEIL 26, born in pedigree entries; it wasn’t until many generations later 1828, is the oldest pedigree entry in the that their progeny were imported into South Africa. data base. Photo: http://www.sukuposti.net/ hevoset/amurath-de/galleria/724208 2 Figure 3: Although pedigree records go back to the early 1800’s, Arabian numbers have steadily increased as time went by. Methods Data was analysed with the German program PopReport and the Nordic program EVA, which calculates parameters for monitoring populations for genetic diversity parameters like inbreeding and effective population size, as well as influential animals currently and in the history of the breed. Poprep was developed by the Department of Animal Breeding and Genetics of the Institute of Farm Animal Genetics (FLI). PopRep results are presented in 3 reports, which are also available, and states in detail the methods and results presented in this report. EVA was developed by Peer Berg and Anne Præbel of NordGen. NordGen Farm Animals is a service and knowledge centre for sustainable management of farm animal genetic resources for the Nordic countries. References Berg P., Nielsen J. and Sørensen M.K. 2006. EVA: Realized and predicted optimal genetic contributions. CD communication 27-09, 2pp. WCGALP, 2006, s.246. Groeneveld, E., v.d. Westhuizen, B., Maiwashe, A., Voordewind, F., and Ferraz, J. B. S. (2009). POPREP: A Generic Report for Population Management. Genetics and Molecular Research, 8(3):11581178. 3 Age Structure Most stallions and mares are 4 to 5 years old when foals are born. The average age for stallions is however 8.8 years and for mares slightly older at 9.5 years. Figure 4: Age of parents when foals are born 4000 3500 Number 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 >16 Stallions 2 332 1106 1331 1308 1207 1066 940 772 732 595 551 428 426 349 1951 Mares 3 196 1560 2699 2778 2490 2328 2093 1879 1703 1530 1332 1154 1036 905 3607 Age The rate of genetic progress in the population depends among other things on the turnover of breeding stock. In general, under artificial breeding, animals that stay in the population longer tend to leave more offspring. Thus, the distribution of parity of dams over time may be informative about the rate of turnover in the population. The distribution of breeding females in different parity groups in a given year is presented in Figure 5. Dams with parity ≥ 16 are often few in the population and they are placed together in one group i.e. ≥ 16 group. More than 9000 mares on the data base has only one parity (birth), while 37 had 16 or more parities on the data base. Number Figure 5: Distribution of mares by parity number 10000 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 12 13 14 15 >16 Total 9526 5150 3647 2666 1976 1504 1111 806 561 371 245 151 94 60 34 37 Parity number 4 10 11 Family size It is also important to know how many progeny did parents have and which parents made an important contribution in the breed. However, the amount of progeny per parent is not as important as the number of progeny per parent that were again selected to become parents. Family size refers to the number of offspring of an individual that become breeding individuals in the next generation (Falconer & Mackay, 1996). Number of stallions Figure 6: Number of registered foals per stallion 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 >48 Number of foals per stallion Most stallions (over 1600) had only one foal (Figure 6). This would however include pedigree records, where for example if an animal was imported, his parents would be taken onto the data base with only a single offspring. Progeny per sire ranged between 1 and 290 with an average of 7 (SD 13.7). Figure 7: Number of foals selected for breeding per stallion 1600 Number of stallions 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 >27 Series1 153 507 295 175 93 87 54 60 31 33 31 28 16 23 17 10 12 12 13 3 10 8 3 2 2 7 3 58 Number of selected foals per stallion However, an average of 4 (SD 7.8) progeny per sire were selected to become parents themselves, ranging between 1 and 168. More details on specific important sires will follow later in this report. 5 Figure 8: Number of registered foals per mare Number of mares 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 1 2 3 Series1 4350 1517 989 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 >14 686 476 396 304 246 189 126 95 58 33 27 34 Mares have on average 3 foals (SD 2.8) ranging between 1 and 24 foals. The high number of mares with only one offspring includes pedigree entries. Number of mares Figure 9: Number of foals selected for breeding per mare 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Series1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 >8 3940 1178 557 345 187 99 65 53 68 Number of selected foals per mare On average, 2 foals per dam (SD 1.6) will be selected to become parents, ranging between 1 and 15. More details on specific successful animals will follow later. Generation Interval Generation interval is one of the key factors affecting the rate of genetic progress and therefore the genetic structure of the population. As a general rule, the shorter the generation interval the more rapid is the genetic change in the population holding other factors constant. Generation interval can be defined as the average age of the parents at the birth of their selected offspring (Falconer & Mackay, 1996). In the evaluation of generation interval, an offspring is considered selected if it has 6 produced at least one foal. The average generation interval for Arab horse population in South Africa is 9.9 years, with 10.0 for males and 9.9 for females. For 2012, it is 8.2 for stallions and 9.9 years for mares. This generation interval is in line with other horse breeds (Pjontek et al.,2012. Czech J. Anim. Sci., 57, 54–64). Pedigree Completeness The estimation of inbreeding coefficients is highly dependent on the pedigree completeness of an animal or breed. The more complete the knowledge of an animal’s pedigree, the more reliable is its estimate of inbreeding. Groeneveld uses the method of MacCluer et al (1983) to measure pedigree completeness, which indicates the proportion of known ancestors in each ascending generation. The Arabian horse population recorded at SA Stud Book has exceptionally complete pedigree recording. The average pedigree completeness for animals born within the last 10 years is 100% for the first generation (all parents of animals were recorded) and 99.9% have on average 2 generations recorded. 99.5%, 99.0%, 98.3% and 97.4% has on average 3, 4, 5 and 6 generations respectively recorded. This probably stems from the long recording history of South African Arab Horse breeders, which now reap the benefits, as inbreeding and other population parameters can be very accurately determined. Inbreeding Inbreeding is the mating of related animals. The genetic consequences of inbreeding are that a foal receives the same genes from both parents because the parents are related, and the genes came from a common ancestor. Inbreeding in a population is measured by the probability that both copies of a gene came from a common ancestor. This is called the inbreeding coefficient (F). The inbreeding coefficient will be higher when the relationship between the parents is higher – it depends on how closely they are related and how many ancestors they have in common. 10 Figure 10: Comparison between the average % inbreeding and the number of animals per year 1200 9 6 800 Animals 5 600 4 400 3 2 200 1 0 0 1829 1853 1871 1877 1887 1893 1899 1905 1911 1917 1923 1929 1935 1941 1947 1953 1959 1965 1971 1977 1983 1989 1995 2001 2007 2013 % Inbreeding 7 1000 Inbreeding % Year 7 Number of animals 8 The danger of inbreeding lies there in that it can gradually decrease productivity, fertility and survivability – a phenomenon known as inbreeding depression. Inbreeding does not affect all traits at the same intensity. Traits associated with fitness (lowly heritable) are affected most, such as survivability, mothering ability, growth and reproduction. It can therefore lead to lower conception rates, more abortions, more stillborn and weak foals and a higher susceptibility to diseases. Generally, the effects of inbreeding can become noticeable at an F value of 6.25%, therefore it is generally recommended that individuals should have inbreeding coefficients of less than 6.25%. However, not all inbred animals show signs of inbreeding depression. Inbreeding that occurs over many generations slowly decreases the number of ancestors represented in the population and genetic diversity therefore decreases. Some valuable genes can be lost during this process. To maintain sufficient genetic diversity in a population, it is recommended that long-term inbreeding should not be more than 0.5 – 1% per generation. As can be seen from the graph, inbreeding in the Arabian horse population has decreased significantly from 9% to just less than 6%. The decrease in inbreeding is exceptional and could have been managed by the use of unrelated breeding animals. However, this downward trend in inbreeding creates problems in the estimation of many of the other parameters for genetic diversity, as they are all related to inbreeding in one or the other way. The rate of change in the average inbreeding coefficients based on the slope of the regression between 1849 and 2015 for example was -0.96375, which represents inbreeding per generation of -0.1368, which is well within the safe norms of 0.5 – 1% per generation. Note however that the average inbreeding in the population is still just under 6%, which is close to the range where the effects of inbreeding depression may become noticeable. Figure 11: Distribution of foals born in 2014/2015 and inbreeding levels (Classes 1=0-5%, 2=6-10%, 3=11-15%, 4=16-20%, 5=21-25%, 6=26-30%, 7=3135%, 8=36-40%,9=41-45%, 10=46-50% and 11=>50%) 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2014/2015 foals 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 538 189 44 28 8 10 2 1 0 0 0 Most of the foals born in 2014 and 2015 have acceptable levels of inbreeding (below 6.25%) although high inbreeding levels of>25% occurred in 13 foals. 8 Figure 12: The ‘Five generation pedigree’ report of Logix shows the pedigree of Thee Cyclone, which is highly inbred at 24%. Thee Cyclone as well as his dam are the result of half brother-sister matings. Indications are thus that the South African Arab Horse population is not at risk and that genetic diversity has increased in recent generations. However, although the inbreeding has come down substantially, levels are still on average at 6%, which is high. Inbreeding can be avoided by increasing the number of individuals contributing to the next generation. The easiest way to do this is to increase the number of unrelated stallions used as sires. Closely related animals should also not be mated. It is recommended that matings where the stallion and mare share more than one common grandparent should be avoided, as the inbreeding coefficient would then be more than 6.25%. This will minimize inbreeding in the short term, but will have no effect if the of animals available as parents, is either too little or too related. In general, limitations should be placed on the level of inbreeding caused by stallions selected into the mating programme. Effective Population Size The effective population size is defined as the size of an idealized population which would give rise to the rate of inbreeding in the population under consideration (Wright, 1923). The rate of loss of genetic diversity over time depends on the effective population size which is linked to age structure and mean generation interval of the breeding animals (Engen et al, 2005). In animal breeding, it is recommended to maintain an effective populations size (Ne) of at least 50 (short-term fitness) to 100 (long-term fitness) that corresponds to a rate of inbreeding of 0.5 to 1% per generation (FAO, 1998, Bijma, 2000). There are various methods to estimate effective population size, but as the average inbreeding is decreasing in the Arabian population since 1978, not all methods are suitable. The proposed effective population size is 75 when calculated by the NeEcg method (Groeneveld). 9 Important animals in the breed It is also important to identify animals that have made major genetic contributions to the breed. They are identified by the animals with the most offspring in the breed, the most selected offspring in the breed, and the highest Additive Genetic Relationship (AGR) and Genetic Contribution (GC). Stallions with the most registered foals The stallions with the most registered foals on the Logix data base are presented in Figure 13 and Table 1. The stallion with the most registered foals (290), and also the most foals selected to be parents (169) is the imported stallion Maistro. He was born in 1990 and bred by Sirgard in Texas. His strain is recorded as Dahman Shahwan. An additional 4 stallions have more than 150 registered foals each. Figure 13: Stallions with most registered foals 0 50 100 150 MAISTRO SILVERN GLEAM THEE CYCLONE MAGIC DREAM CAHR BHF STING NIYASHIN EL SHAKLAN CHARISMATIC BVA SAF FIRSTAAR AL SHAKEL HAMASA EL FAGR LADDINN PGN PRIZIM MAGICAL CAF SHAH JAHAN BARABAZ SIMEON SEGEV SHAHEER PRINCE CYCLONE ANCHOR HILL OMAR RAAFEEK MH AHSOM AHIR SIMPLY RED SC BANGHOR MIKALO WD MAJESTY BELVEDERE PSY JAMANI GRANDEE ANSATA ALY SHERIF BEY EL JAMAAL BASK OMAR EL SHAKER 10 200 250 300 350 Table 1: The 30 stallions with the most registered foals Registration no 10065696 9961046 9963885 12654430 11000874 9862632 12564209 9870171 12542692 9862608 9985755 9986019 11319233 9862525 9869546 12081527 9862483 11586351 9874801 12779336 9870130 12586715 9850587 9985771 12527024 9788514 12481354 12199782 9870197 11351780 Name MAISTRO SILVERN GLEAM THEE CYCLONE MAGIC DREAM CAHR BHF STING NIYASHIN EL SHAKLAN CHARISMATIC BVA SAF FIRSTAAR AL SHAKEL HAMASA EL FAGR LADDINN PGN PRIZIM MAGICAL CAF SHAH JAHAN BARABAZ SIMEON SEGEV ANCHOR HILL OMAR SHAHEER PRINCE CYCLONE RAAFEEK MH AHSOM AHIR SIMPLY RED SC BANGHOR MIKALO WD MAJESTY BELVEDERE PSY JAMANI GRANDEE ANSATA ALY SHERIF BEY EL JAMAAL OMAR EL SHAKER BASK Birth Year 1990 1989 1994 1992 1994 1982 2005 1975 2004 1981 1986 1993 1997 1977 1970 2000 1969 1999 1979 2006 1973 2003 1985 1986 2003 1966 2002 1996 1975 1956 % Inbreeding No of foals 11.59 290 12.60 189 24.01 179 0.60 174 1.13 151 4.64 138 7.35 136 0.27 130 16.34 123 10.60 123 4.98 120 3.29 117 1.77 116 0.00 116 0.00 111 0.00 106 7.99 105 11.50 105 21.79 95 4.17 90 9.69 89 3.20 88 0.00 88 5.95 87 0.41 83 7.68 83 13.26 82 0.00 78 12.32 77 0.00 77 Stallions with the most offspring selected as parents Even though a stallion may have many registered foals, it does not necessarily mean that he has the largest genetic contribution in the breed, as the number of offspring selected as parents will have a greater influence. The stallions with the most offspring that became parents are listed in Figure 14 and Table 2. Only two stallions, Maistro and Thee Cyclone, have more than 100 foals selected as breeding stock. 11 Figure 14: The Logix pedigree report of the stallion Maistro which is 11.6% inbred to Morafic. Figure 15: Stallions with the most offspring selected as parents 0 20 40 60 MAISTRO THEE CYCLONE HAMASA EL FAGR SAF FIRSTAAR BHF STING BASK SILVERN GLEAM SHAH JAHAN NIYASHIN EL SHAKLAN ANCHOR HILL OMAR DARIUS RAAFEEK AHIR LADDINN BARABAZ PGN PRIZIM WD MAJESTY BEY SHAH OMAR EL SHAKER JAMANI GRANDEE MORAFIC NAZEER GRANTCHESTER SIMEON SEGEV CHEZ NOUS SHAH RUKH BANGHOR MIKALO MAGICAL CAF JAMANI SHABANI ANSATA IBN HALIMA SAHIBY GAMAAL EL ARAB 12 80 100 120 140 160 180 Table 2: Stallions with the most offspring selected as parents. Animal 10065696 9963885 9862608 9870171 11000874 11351780 9961046 9862525 9862632 9862483 9868829 9874801 9870130 9985755 9869546 9986019 11318755 9985771 9870197 9788514 12223491 12121562 12081527 9868738 9787672 9850587 11319233 9788415 12064721 9817883 Name MAISTRO THEE CYCLONE HAMASA EL FAGR SAF FIRSTAAR BHF STING BASK SILVERN GLEAM SHAH JAHAN NIYASHIN EL SHAKLAN ANCHOR HILL OMAR DARIUS RAAFEEK AHIR LADDINN BARABAZ PGN PRIZIM BEY SHAH WD MAJESTY OMAR EL SHAKER JAMANI GRANDEE MORAFIC NAZEER SIMEON SEGEV GRANTCHESTER CHEZ NOUS SHAH RUKH BANGHOR MIKALO MAGICAL CAF JAMANI SHABANI ANSATA IBN HALIMA SAHIBY GAMAAL EL ARAB Birth Year % Inbreeding No of foals 1990 1994 1981 1975 1994 1956 1989 1977 1982 1969 1967 1979 1973 1986 1970 1993 1976 1986 1975 1966 1956 1934 2000 1952 1953 1985 1997 1965 1958 1984 11.59 24.01 10.60 0.27 1.13 0.00 12.60 0.00 4.64 7.99 0.00 21.79 9.69 4.98 0.00 3.29 0.94 5.95 12.32 7.68 3.32 0.00 0.00 4.89 5.99 0.00 1.77 6.79 10.55 19.00 169 115 85 79 78 75 71 69 67 66 65 64 62 61 57 55 54 54 47 46 46 45 43 43 42 41 40 39 38 37 Mares with the most registered foals The two mares with the most registered foals, Dana Sashay and Ricochet V, are both imported and registered as ova donors. They are both relatively young (born in 2002 and 2003) in comparison with the other mares on the list. 13 Figure 16: Mares with the most registered foals 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 DANA SASHAY RICOCHET V TIMARIE BLUE PRIDE SANNIESGUNS FARRAH NOURMAHAL KHETA CLIGNETTE NAOMI CLIGNETTE NANA JAMANI GENEREZE TIMARIE BLUE BELLE VLINKFONTEIN SAMHA EIBNA SANDRA QUIMRAN LIZELLE EIBNA REBINA NOURMAHAL QUANSA METRA KEMADA VIDIKO NATALIE SAHIBY AHIRA BINT FOZE PATIENCE V TIMARIE BLUE SALA QUIMRAN MOOI MEISIE VLINKFONTEIN GALLI GIRL GÜLILAH GULMEK NOURMAHAL VANESSA VIDIKO CALLISTA NOURMAHAL HANNAH JOHRHEMAR MALIKA ZABUBEGA SAFARI RIDASA SULET SAHIBI KARIBA Figure 17: The two imported mares Dana Sashay and Ricochet V have the most registered foals on the Logix data base. They are both approved ova donors. Photos: http://www.strydomstud.co.za 14 Table 3: Mares with the most registered foals. Mare Reg.nr 12623260 12625026 9860701 9919200 9861972 9912254 9923087 9860750 9860958 9861311 9861550 9861782 9861949 9862129 9871617 9899782 9900325 9959875 12625042 9860669 9860974 9861006 9871609 9871666 9876129 9900242 9905878 9914516 9923624 9934068 Name DANA SASHAY RICOCHET V TIMARIE BLUE PRIDE SANNIESGUNS FARRAH NOURMAHAL KHETA CLIGNETTE NAOMI CLIGNETTE NANA JAMANI GENEREZE TIMARIE BLUE BELLE VLINKFONTEIN SAMHA EIBNA SANDRA QUIMRAN LIZELLE EIBNA REBINA NOURMAHAL QUANSA METRA KEMADA VIDIKO NATALIE SAHIBY AHIRA BINT FOZE PATIENCE V TIMARIE BLUE SALA QUIMRAN MOOI MEISIE VLINKFONTEIN GALLI GIRL GÜLILAH GULMEK NOURMAHAL VANESSA VIDIKO CALLISTA NOURMAHAL HANNAH JOHRHEMAR MALIKA ZABUBEGA SAFARI RIDASA SULET SAHIBI KARIBA BirthYear 2002 2003 1955 1988 1966 1985 1990 1956 1959 1962 1964 1965 1966 1967 1973 1974 1976 1974 2002 1953 1959 1960 1973 1973 1975 1975 1983 1986 1990 1993 15 % Inbreeding 0.76 2.25 0.36 9.24 13.28 0.92 16.41 10.39 7.64 14.96 11.84 13.48 6.84 13.49 2.39 30.18 1.82 0.05 1.17 3.50 8.94 2.35 5.02 21.04 2.59 18.92 12.78 4.46 7.01 16.35 Nr of foals 24 19 18 18 17 17 17 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 Mares with the most offspring selected as parents Figure 18: Mares with the most offspring selected as parents 0 2 4 Number of selected foals 6 8 10 12 14 SAHIBY JULEEMAH TIMARIE BLUE PRIDE METRA KEMADA CORREZE NOURMAHAL VANESSA SHAREEF SMAYHA SULEENA VIDIKO NAZIMA JAMANI LIKWEZI LAR MALIKA TIMARIE BLUE SALA EIBNA SANDRA QUIMRAN MOOI MEISIE ENDORA BINT FOZE BANGHOR FAB FARAH VLINKFONTEIN GALLI GIRL MET-LUS BARALAY SAHIBI BINT AHIR JAMANI GIANETTA CHARMANTE NADIYA SAHIBY AMEERA EIBNA REBINA WADI MUNA NABILAH BINT SAKLABILAH SHAHEER OHIO RINESSA SHAHEER TAMARISKA SANNIESGUNS FARRAH MET-LUS BANDY The Logix report (Animal information -> Progeny) of Sahiby Juleemah’s 15 foals. 16 16 Sahiby Juleemah was bred by Dr Valerie Noli-Marais of Sahibi stud from a sire-daughter cross, resulting in an inbreeding coefficient of 28%. Her fertility and performance is the best in the breed: she had 15 foals in 15 years, of which all was selected as parents. Table 4: Mares with the most selected offspring. Animal 9904640 9860701 9870395 9871617 9871666 9860669 9861030 9861550 9861865 9870478 9871484 9959974 9860974 9861006 9870429 9877465 9877556 9959875 9861949 9861964 9862103 9870502 9870866 9871310 9876087 9901703 9913492 9916008 9919200 9923046 Name SAHIBY JULEEMAH TIMARIE BLUE PRIDE CORREZE METRA KEMADA NOURMAHAL VANESSA TIMARIE BLUE SALA JAMANI LIKWEZI EIBNA SANDRA VIDIKO NAZIMA SULEENA SHAREEF SMAYHA LAR MALIKA QUIMRAN MOOI MEISIE VLINKFONTEIN GALLI GIRL ENDORA BANGHOR FAB FARAH MET-LUS BARALAY BINT FOZE EIBNA REBINA JAMANI GIANETTA SAHIBY AMEERA RINESSA MET-LUS BANDY WADI MUNA CHARMANTE NADIYA NABILAH BINT SAKLABILAH SHAHEER OHIO SAHIBI BINT AHIR SANNIESGUNS FARRAH SHAHEER TAMARISKA Birth Year 1982 1955 1950 1973 1973 1953 1960 1964 1966 1951 1973 1980 1959 1960 1950 1977 1977 1974 1966 1966 1966 1952 1972 1972 1974 1979 1986 1987 1988 1990 17 % Inbreeding 27.99 0.36 9.07 2.39 21.04 3.50 7.68 11.84 7.37 1.65 0.68 7.19 8.94 2.35 10.04 8.72 2.43 0.05 6.84 19.24 0.07 10.42 10.18 0.10 2.07 3.48 0.55 19.00 9.24 0.43 No of foals 15 14 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Influential Arabian Ancestors Figure 19: Nazeer was a grey Arabian stallion born in 1934 in Egypt. He has sired many offspring and is the sire of Morafic. (Wikipedia, Photo:http://www.arabsiowa.com/Nazeer.jpg. He is the stallion with the highest GC in South Africa. Figure 20: Morafic was a grey Arabian stallion foaled in 1956 in Egypt and later imported to the United States by Gleannloch Farms (Wikipedia). He is the stallion with the highest AGR in South Africa. The most influential Arab Horse ancestors are determined by the Additive Genetic Relationsip (AGR) and the Genetic Contribution (GC). Both these scores are related to one another and to the inbreeding of the animal. The official definitions are listed below. Additive Genetic Relationship (AGR) The additive genetic relationship reflects what proportion of their DNA (alleles) animals share because they have common ancestor(s). Additive genetic relationships are calculated from the pedigree. The additive genetic relationship between individuals depends on the number of common ancestors and on the number of generations to each common ancestor. In this report, the AGR was estimated relative to the foals born in 2015. The additive genetic relationship is an estimate of the proportion of alleles that the foals born in 2015 have in common because of one or more common ancestor(s). https://wiki.groenkennisnet.nl/ Genetic Contribution (GC) The proportion of the genes of the foals born in a specific year (2015) that are expected to derive by descent from a specific ancestor is known as the genetic contribution of the specific ancestor. It relates to the development of the pedigree over generations and gives an indication of how the ancestor may influence the population. (J. A. Woolliams, P. Bijma, B. Villanueva, 1999. Expected Genetic Contributions and Their Impact on Gene Flow and Genetic Gain. GENETICS 153 (2) 10091020). 18 Animals have common ancestors when their common ancestor was popular enough to have multiple offspring, which, possibly after some generations, resulted in the birth of both parents. The more popular a breeding animal was in the past, the larger the chance that two potential parents have this ancestor in common. The more animals share that common ancestor, the larger the chance that mating two animals will result in an inbred offspring. In other words, there is a relation between the long term genetic contribution of an animal to the population and the rate of inbreeding in the population. The genetic contribution is a measure of the level of relatedness between animals in a population because of a shared common ancestor. Although all the horses in the following table are related to one another, the difference between AGR and GC can be illustrated with the first 6 stallions, which are related to one another as in Figure 21. Nazeer •AGR: 12.66; GC: 10.54 Morafic •AGR: 14.18; GC: 7.41 Shaikh Al Badi •AGR: 12.98; GC: 2.23 Ruminaja Ali •AGR: 12.73; GC: 3.72 The Minstril •AGR: 11.22; GC: 3.31 Maistro •AGR: 12.15; GC: 2.19 Figure 21: The 6 Arabian sires with the highest AGR (Additive Genetic Relationship) with the foals born in 2015, are related to one another as sires and sons. Photographs: http://www.allbreedpedigree.com/ Their AGR are high, because they are related to one another, e.g. Nazeer is the sire of Morafic. In addition, other sons of these stallions have also formed lines, increasing their influence on the South African population. However, their GC score measures their direct genetic contribution to the registered foals born in 2015, without taking into account different lines that has formed. Table 5: The 6 sires with the highest AGR (Additive genetic relationship) with foals born in 2015. Name MORAFIC SHAIKH AL BADI RUMINAJA ALI NAZEER MAISTRO THE MINSTRIL Sex M M M M M M Year 1956 1969 1976 1934 1990 1984 Sire NAZEER MORAFIC SHAIKH AL BADI MANSOUR THE MINSTRIL RUMINAJA ALI Dam MABROUKA BINT MAISA EL SAGHIRA BINT MAGIDAA BINT SAMIHA AMIRI SANAA BAHILA 19 Inbr % 3.32 16.58 14.35 0.00 11.59 7.27 AGR 14.18 12.98 12.73 12.66 12.15 11.12 GC 7.41 2.23 3.72 10.5 2.19 3.31 Table 6: Arabian Horses that has the highest GC score (Genetic Contribution scores) with registered foals born in 2015. Inbreeding coefficients as well as AGR scores are also shown. Name NAZEER Sex Year Sire M 1934 MANSOUR Dam BINT SAMIHA Inbr % 0.00 AGR 12.66 GC 10.5 MORAFIC M 1956 NAZEER MABROUKA 3.32 14.18 7.41 MESAOUD M 1887 AZIZ YAMAMA III 0.00 7.51 7.13 MANSOUR M 1921 GAMIL MANIAL NAFAA EL SAGHIRA 0.00 7.37 6.41 BINT SAMIHA F SAMIHA* 0.00 7.42 5.51 KAZMEEN M 1916 SOTAMM KASIMA 0.00 6.39 4.56 IBN RABDAN M 1917 RABDAN EL AZRAK BINT GAMILA* 0.00 5.13 4.56 AZIZ M 1881 HARKAN AZIZA 0.00 4.33 4.31 BEY SHAH M 1976 BAY EL BEY STAR OF OFIR 0.94 6.37 4.12 PADRONS PSYCHE M 1988 PADRON KILIKA 2.56 8.18 4.08 SKOWRONEK M 1909 Unknown JASKOLKA 0.00 3.98 3.98 MABROUKA F MONIET EL NEFOUS 4.79 8.46 3.94 SHAHLOUL M 1931 IBN RABDAN BINT RADIA 0.00 6.31 3.79 NAFAA EL SAGHIRA F NAFAA EL KEBIRA 0.00 3.75 3.75 RUMINAJA ALI M 1976 SHAIKH AL BADI BINT MAGIDAA 14.35 12.73 3.72 ASTRALED M 1899 MESAOUD QUEEN OF SHEBA 0.00 6.77 3.63 GAMIL MANIAL M 1912 SAKLAWI II DALAL 0.00 4.57 3.44 BASK M 1956 WITRAZ BALALAJKA 0.00 4.48 3.44 NASEEM M 1922 SKOWRONEK NASRA 0.00 6.64 3.42 SID ABOUHOM M 1936 EL DERE LAYLA 0.00 5.81 3.40 RAZINA F RIYALA 9.38 7.89 3.37 XA FAMES VENTURE M 2006 GH VENTURE AFTER ALL VF 8.20 6.99 3.35 RAKTHA (GB) M 1934 NASEEM RAZINA 1.95 8.86 3.35 THE MINSTRIL M 1984 RUMINAJA ALI BAHILA 7.27 11.12 3.31 RABDAN EL AZRAK M 1897 DAHMAN AL AZRAK RABDA 0.00 3.29 3.27 RIDAA F 1892 MERZUK ROSE OF SHARON 0.00 4.12 3.22 MONIET EL NEFOUS F 1946 SHAHLOUL WANISA 0.78 7.18 3.18 RISALA F 1899 MESAOUD RIDAA 0.00 7.31 2.99 ROSE OF SHARON F 1885 HADBAN RODANIA 0.00 3.08 2.89 NEFISA F 1885 PROXIMO DAJANIA 0.00 2.98 2.80 SAMIHA* F 1918 SAMHAN BINT HADBA EL SAGHIRA 0.00 2.93 2.76 BAY EL BEY M 1969 BAY-ABI NAGANKA 0.00 3.66 2.75 SOTAMM M 1910 ASTRALED SELMA 6.25 6.09 2.71 NASRA F NEFISA 0.00 5.87 2.67 MAGNUM PSYCHE M 1995 PADRONS PSYCHE A FANCY MIRACLE 0.00 6.28 2.66 BINT RADIA F 1920 MABROUK MANIAL RADIA 0.00 3.70 2.58 BINT SABAH F 1925 KAZMEEN SABAH 0.00 5.05 2.47 BINT GAMILA* F 1911 IBN NADRA Unknown 0.00 2.42 2.42 SIDI SCORPIO (AI) M 2010 MAGNUM CHALL HVP SIDI MOONLIGHTING 3.30 6.88 2.41 QUEEN OF SHEBA F SHEBA 0.00 2.40 2.40 RASIM M 1906 FEYSUL RISALA 0.00 6.01 2.38 1925 KAZMEEN 1951 SID ABOUHOM 1910 MEANAGI SEBELI 1922 RASIM 1908 DAOUD 1875 YARAL 20 FEYSUL M 1894 IBN NURA EL ARGAA 0.00 2.33 2.33 PADRON M 1977 PATRON ODESSA 1.51 7.89 2.32 SHEIKH EL ARAB M 1933 MANSOUR BINT SABAH 0.00 7.34 2.28 KASIMA F KASIDA 0.00 2.28 2.28 SHAIKH AL BADI M 1969 MORAFIC BINT MAISA EL SAGHIRA 16.58 12.98 2.23 MAISTRO M 1990 THE MINSTRIL AMIRI SANAA 11.59 12.15 2.19 1905 NARKISE The two stallions Nazeer and his son Morafic has the highest Genetic Contribution to the South African Arab population with 10.5% and 7.41% respectively. Conclusion The South African Arab Horse population is probably not at risk of losing genetic diversity. Due to complete recording of pedigrees, inbreeding coefficients can be determined very accurately. Although some of the important ancestors have very high levels of inbreeding, they have been successful. Inbreeding levels in the population were lowered from 9% to 6%, which makes it difficult to estimate most of the effective population size estimates. However, the population does not seem to be at risk due to a small effective population size. This is probably due to the importation of horses. The most important ancestors is Nazeer and his son Morafic. Locally bred animals are also used extensively, although imported animals remain important. Breeders should continue to avoid inbreeding as much as possible and to use unrelated sires in breeding programmes. 21
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