JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 96, NO. C2, PAGES 2675-2692, FEBRUARY 15, 1991 South Atlantic Interbasin Exchange STEPHEN RICH RINTOUL 1 Centerfor Meteorologyand PhysicalOceanography,MassachusettsInstitute of Technology,Cambridge Hydrographicdata and inversemethodsare usedto estimatethe exchangeof massand heat between the South Atlantic polewardof 32øSand the neighboringocean basins.The Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) carriesa surplusof intermediatewater into the SouthAtlantic throughDrake Passage, which is compensatedby a surplusof deep and bottom water leaving the basin south of Africa. As a result,theACCloses0.25_+0.18x 1015W ofheatincrossing theAtlantic.At 32øS themeridional flux of heatis 0.25-+0.12x 1015W equatorward, consistent in signbutsmaller in magnitude thanother recent estimates. Attempts to force the system to carry a larger heat flux across 32øS led to unreasonablecirculations.The meridionalheat flux is carriedprimarily by an overturningcell in which theexportof 17x 106 m3 s-1 ofNorthAtlanticDeepWater(NADW)isbalanced byanequatorward return flow equallysplit betweenthe surfacelayers, and the intermediateand bottom water. No input of warm Indian Ocean thermoclinewater is necessaryto accountfor the equatorwardheat flux across 32øS; in fact, a large transfer of warm water from the Indian Ocean to the Atlantic is shown to be inconsistentwith the presentdata set. Togethertheseresultsdemonstratethat the globalthermohaline cell associatedwith the formationand export of NADW is closedprimarily by a "cold water path," in which deep water leaving the Atlantic ultimately returns as intermediatewater enteringthe basin through Drake Passage. 1. INTRODUCTION The South Atlantic is uniquein beingthe only major ocean basin in which the meridional flux of heat is equatorward in mid-latitudes, counter to the global requirement that the ocean-atmospheresystem carry heat from the equator to the depth, southwardflow of salineNADW at deeper levels, and a thin layer of cold fresh Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) at abyssal depths, also moving to the north. W/ist was apparently aware that such a scheme implied a heat transport of the "wrong" sign, but found such a result too strong a violation of his intuition to mention in his poles[Model, 1950;Jung, 1955;Bryan, 1962;Bennett, 1978; discussionof the Meteor data (letter from W/ist's research Hastenrath, 1982]. This heat transportis primarily the result assistantto H. Stommel, 1980). The first study to comment of an overturning meridional cell in which warm water flows on the anomalous heat transport implied by the oceanonorthward in the upper layers of the ocean, is made more graphicobservations wasthat of Model [1950]15yearslater. denseby cooling and evaporationin the North Atlantic, and Since the early work of Model [1952] and Jung [1955], returns southward at depth as North Atlantic Deep Water several studies, using a variety of methods, have confirmed (NADW) [Jung, 1952, 1955;Bryan, 1962].The secondmajor that the meridional flux of heat in the South Atlantic is source of cold water to the world ocean, Antarctic Bottom Water formed in the Weddell Sea, is also found in the Atlantic. Since the ocean basins are nearly closed to the north, the South Atlantic acts as a conduit throughwhich the dense water masses formed in the Atlantic are introduced to the other oceans, and through which water must return to close the global thermohaline cell. Determining the general circulation of the South Atlantic is therefore an important step toward a better understanding of the thermohaline circulation and, in turn, the role of the ocean in the global climate system. equatorward [Bryan, 1962, 1982; Hastenrath, 1980, 1982; Fu, 1981; Bunker, 1980; Georgi and Toole, 1982; Hsiung, 1985]. However, estimates of the magnitude of the heat flux vary over a wide range, as seen in Figure 9. Although W/ist's assumption of a predominantly meridional circulation was limiting [Reid, 1981], his picture of the vertical-meridional circulation has survived intact to the present day. However, his core layer argumentscould not determine the strength of the meridional cell, or the formation rates and transports of individual water masses.Derant [ 1941]was the first to use the density field and geostrophyto The meridional circulation in the South Atlantic was first try and quantify the circulation in the South Atlantic. Subdescribed by Wast [1935]. Using the zonal sections of the sequentestimatesof volume transportsin the literature have Meteor expeditions, he identified various property extrema, varied over a wide range, depending on each investigator's or "core layers," which he interpreted as the primary "spreading path" of each water mass away from its source choice of reference level, or on values assumedfor poorly region. The circulation scheme he derived from these obser- known quantities such as the net air-sea heat flux. In this paper the inverse method of Wunsch [1978] is used to vations consistedof a stack of layers moving alternately to combine a variety of constraintsand a priori information to the north and south: northward flow of surface water and better determine the mass and heat transports of the major relatively fresh Antarctic Intermediate Water (AAIW) at mid water massesand boundary currents in the South Atlantic. In particular, we focus on the exchange of mass and heat 1NowatCommonwealth Scientific andIndustrial Research Orga- between the South Atlantic and the neighboring ocean nization, Division of Oceanography,Hobart, Tasmania, Australia. basins,in order to gain some insight into how the deepwater Copyright 1991 by the American GeophysicalUnion. formation processesoccurring within the Atlantic are linked to the global thermohaline circulation. The distribution of Paper number 90JC02422. 0148-0227/91/90JC-02422505.00 properties in the deep ocean clearly shows that some ex2675 2676 RINTOUL: SOUTH ATLANTIC INTERBASIN 0o changetakes placeßReid and Lynn [1971], for example, were able to trace the salinity maximum of the NADW into low latitudes of the South Pacific. EXCHANGE 15øS Since the ocean basins are nearly closed to the north, the strong eastward flow in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) is the primary means by which such exchange is achieved. • Several studies of interbasin exchange with the South Atlantic have appearedin recent years. Fu [1981]discussed the exchangeof massand heat between the SouthernOcean and the rest of the Atlantic north of 32øS in a study of the subtropical South Atlantic circulation. Fu found a meridional cell carrying 20 Sv of NADW poleward across 32øS balanced by an equatorward flow of equal magnitudein the upper layers, resulting in an equatorward heat flux of 0.66- 30 ø 40ø i ß 60 ø ß ß........ - DRAKE': ...... ß ,:.'........ W-'• 75øS 90ow He also demonstrated that forcing a poleward heat transportacross32øSresultedin an unreasonable III ' : 30 ø 0o 30 ø 60øE LONGITUDE Fig. 1. Station locationsfor the five hydrographicsectionsusedto define three closed regions (I, II, III) used in the inverse model. circulation. Georgi and Toole [1982] consideredthe Southern Ocean as a whole and asked whether the ACC gained or lost heat and fresh water as it traversed each of the ocean basins. In the Atlantic the ACC was found to lose heat and gain fresh water, but the uncertainties were large, and neither estimate could be distinguishedfrom zero. Georgi and Toole inferred from their estimate of the heat divergence and estimates of the air-sea heat exchange in the Southern Ocean that the meridional heat flux across40øSwas 0.175 PW equatorward. They noted, however, that their estimates were possibly sensitive to horizontal variations in the unknown barotropic velocity field. The most recent discussion of the problem of interbasin exchangeand its relation to the global thermohalinecirculation is Gordon's [1986] study of the fate of NADW exported from the North Atlantic. He suggested that the global thermohaline ! i ß I 60 ø consistingof zonal flow in the interior and strong boundary in the east and west. : : II 0.88 PW (PW = 10]5 W), and a horizontalcirculation currents ,.,30OE : cell associated with NADW formation is closed primarily by a "warm water path:" NADW leaving the Atlantic upwells uniformly into the thermocline of the Pacific and Indian oceans, flows westward through the Indonesian Passagesand across the tropical Indian Ocean, and ultimately reenters the Atlantic via a branch of the Agulhas Current that does not complete the retroflection. Gordon concluded that the "cold water path," in which water leaving the Atlantic returns through Drake Passagein the ACC, could account for no more than 25% of the return flow. This hypothesisis consideredin detail in section4. It will be seen that the argument used to demonstrate the dominance of the warm water path is not conclusive and that the models presentedhere suggestthat a significantfraction of the return flow does reenter the Atlantic through Drake Passage. The designof the inverse models is describedin section2. Section 3 presentsthe results of a standard model, which representsa "best estimate" of the circulation. These resultsare comparedto thoseof other studiesin section4, and several additional experiments designedto test the compatibility of the data with the heat or masstransportestimatesof other investigatorsare described. The main conclusionsare summarized in section 5. 2. THE MODEL Five hydrographicsectionsare used to divide the area of the South Atlantic poleward of 32øS into three closed regions, as shown in Figure 1. The potential temperature, salinity, and potential density distributions at most of these sections have been discussedpreviously in the references given in Table 1. The AJAX section at 0øE includes seven stations from leg I of the AJAX expedition between the African coast and the beginning of leg II at 50øS, IøE. There is a 2-month gap between legs I and II. The 32øSsectionwas taken from the Fuglister [1960] atlas; however, several questionablesalinity values in the deep water of the eastern basin, thought to be due to a leaky replacement bottle [Fuglister, 1960],were replaced by constructinga ©-S curve for all other deep observationsin the Cape Basin and reading off the salinity values correspondingto the observedtemperatures. Within each region defined by these sections the water TABLE 1. Hydrographic Sections Used in the Model Section Name Reference Date Drake Passage Ajax 0øE Feb.-March 1975 Jan. 1984 Nowlin et al. [1977] Whitworth and Nowfin [1987] Conrad Jan.-Feb. Jacobs and Georgi [1977] ScrippsInstitute of Oceanography/ Texas A&M University [ 1985] Fuglister [ 1960] 30øE 1974 Ajax Weddell-Scotia Feb. 1984 IGY 32øS April-June 1959 See Figure 1 for location of the sections. RINTOUL: SOUTH ATLANTIC INTERBASIN EXCHANGE TABLE 2. 2677 Nominal Layer Boundaries (See Text) and Layer Average Potential Temperature and Salinity (Italicized Values) at Each Section Layer 1 2 Upper Boundary Lower Boundary surface rr0 = 26.20 rr0 = 26.20 3 26.80 4 27.20 26.80 27.20 rr• = 32.00 5 32.00 32.16 6 32.16 32.36 7 32.36 8 37.00 rr2 = 37.00 rr3 = 41.50 9 41.50 41.54 10 41.54 41.60 11 41.60 41.66 12 41.66 13 46.14 rr4 = 46.14 bottom Drake 0øE 30øE WeddellScotia 32øS * 16.80 16.98 * 18.27 ß 35.288 35.250 * 35.661 6.82 10.21 10.37 * 13.05 34.070 34.635 34.629 * 35.227 4.18 34.137 5.85 34.332 5.66 34.319 1.93 33.918 6.73 34.489 2.72 3.02 3.18 34.220 34.245 34.286 34.038 1.00 34.321 3.54 2.39 34.392 2.10 34.583 2.45 34.403 2.26 34.603 2.46 34.407 2.14 34.589 0.48 34.160 0.57 34.394 2.91 34.454 2.76 34.648 1.80 2.21 2.05 1.15 2.67 34.698 34.766 34.745 34.566 34.832 1.50 1.87 1.80 0.83 2.32 34.724 1.23 34.726 0.85 34.799 1.49 34.780 0.92 34.785 1.39 34.759 0.98 34.548 0.90 34.585 0.93 34.876 1.91 34.859 1.32 34.719 34.734 34.732 34.661 34.804 0.37 34.705 0.40 34.696 0.40 34.700 0.33 34.6 78 0.66 34.736 -0.33 -0.26 -0.32 -0.09 34.661 -0.73 34.652 34.668 -0.64 34.655 34.660 -0.72 34.650 34.674 * * 0.06 34.687 * ß Temperatures are in degrees Celsius, salinities in psu. *No water in this layer in this section. column was divided into 13 layers defined by approximate neutral surfaces. The surfaces were constructed by varying the reference pressureused to calculate potential density as the surface underwent large vertical excursions [Rintoul, 1988]. The nominal layer boundaries are listed in Table 2 along with the layer-average temperature and salinity at each section. These layers were chosento resolve the major water massesand for the most part correspondto the definitionsof Reid et al. [ 1977]. Experiments run with more than 13 layers gave similar results. We assume the flow is in thermal wind balance, that the sections are representative of the mean state of the ocean, and that mass is approximately conserved in each layer in each region. The mass conservation equation in each layer takes the form N • •jAxj pm(Vrel + b)jdp+ (w*a)m - (w*a)m +1• 0 decomposition (SVD)[Lanczos, 1961; Wunsch, 1978]. Before doing the SVD, the rows and columns of the coefficient matrix are weighted. The columns are divided by the square root of their length to remove the bias introduced by variable station spacing and water depth. The rows are weighted by the expected error in each equation so that each equation has unit variance. Errors in the near-conservation equations result from measurement and interpolation errors in temperature, pressure, and salinity and errors introduced in extrapolating the shear below the deepest common observed depth. Perhaps the most difficult source of error to estimate is that due to the fact that the sectionsused are not synoptic. The uncertainty in each equation due to these sources of error was roughly estimated to be ---2 Sv in each layer. In addition, layers that outcrop within a region receive lower weights than those that do not reach the sea surface, to account for possibletransfers of mass between layers due to exchangeof buoyancywith the atmosphere.In the Weddell Sea, where even the densestlayers reach the sea surface and (1) buoyancy loss to the atmosphere drives active AABW where N is the numberof stationpairs, Pro,Pm+l are depths formation, all the layers are strongly downweighted. Only of isopycnalsurfacesbounding layer m, •ij is unit normal, total mass is required to be conserved, thus allowing for (Vrel)/isthermalwindvelocityat pairj, relativeto theinitial exchangebetween individual layers in region II. The weights j 1 m reference level,bj isreference levelvelocityat stationpairj, chosen for the layers in regions I and III are roughly Axjis stationspacing at pairj, (w*a)mis netcross-isopycnalproportional to the outcrop area of each layer. The values massflux acrossinterface m, and Pmis density. The conservation equations for each layer in each area, along with the supplementary constraints discussedbelow, give 42 equations to be solved for the 190 unknowns (the listed in Table 3 are rough guessesof the uncertainty in each conservation equation due to all sourcesof error. The results of several experiments testing different weights suggested that the solution was insensitive to small (1-2 Sv) changesin referencelevel velocitiesbj at 154 stationpairs and 36 the estimated cross-interfacetransferswin). The system of equations is solved using the singularvalue In addition to the massconservationequations,a variety of other informationis incorporatedinto the model in the form of errors. 2678 RINTOUL: TABLE 3. SOUTH ATLANTIC Constraints (_ Estimated Uncertainty) for the Standard Model Uncertainty Total mass conserved in regions I, II, and III _+2Sv Mass conserved in 13 layers in I and III Layers 1-4, _+4Sv Layers 5-8 -+3 Sv Layers 9-13 -+2 Sv Total transport across Drake Passage, 0øE and 30øE 130 _+ 13 Sv Net transport across 32øSand the Weddell-Scotia 0 _+2 Sv section Net transport across 32øSbelow sill depth east of Walvis Ridge Net transport between Africa and the Agulhas Plateau below sill depth Transport of bottom water across 32øSwest of MidAtlantic Ridge Heat flux across the Weddell-Scotia section 0 -+ 2 Sv 0 _+2 Sv INTERBASIN EXCHANGE port includes both the geostrophic and Ekman transports. However, in this casethe Ekman transportsacrosseach of the sectionsis small:the 32øSsectionis nearly coincidentwith the zero line of the wind stress,the winds are weak in the Weddell Sea, and the strong zonal winds over the ACC drive only a small flux across the three meridional The final constraint across the Weddell-Scotia section. The Weddell Sea is thought to be the major source of AABW to the world's oceans, but estimates of the rate at which this water mass is produced vary over a wide range [Gill, 1973;Killworth, 1977; Carmack and Foster, 1975; Gordon, 1978]. Because of the uncertainty in the transport estimates, the a priori information that the Weddell 4 _+ 1.2 Sv sections. listed in Table 3 concerns the heat flux Sea should be a source of bottom water was included by setting the heat flux across the WeddellScotia section equal in magnitude to the heat lost by the ocean to the atmosphere in the Weddell Sea. Gordon [1981a] estimated the net annual heat loss by the ocean between 60ø 0.1 -+ 0.05 x 1015W (see text) and70øSto be 31 W m-2. Thisvalueintegrated overthe linear constraints. The additional constraints used in the standard case are summarized in Table 3 and discussed below. During the International Southern Ocean Studies (ISOS) program, several extensive current meter and pressure sensor arrays were deployed in Drake Passageto measure the transport of the ACC. Nowlin and Klinck [1986] have recently reviewed these estimates and report a mean transport of 130 Sv with an uncertainty of not more than 10%. Since the Atlantic basin is closed to the north except for a weak inflow from the Pacific (1 Sv [Coachman et al., 1975]), the net transport across the sections running from Africa to Antarctica at 0ø and 30øE must equal the transport at Drake Passage.Therefore constraintswere added requiring that the total transport across each of these three sectionsbe 130 -+ 13 Sv. The current meter observations of Hogg et al. [ 1982] in the Vema Channel also provide useful constraints on the flow. The Vema Channel is a narrow, deep passage through the Rio Grande Rise at 30øSwhich provides the only path for the exchange of bottom water between the Argentine and Brazil basins. (Whether the poorly surveyed Hunter Channel to the eagtis also deep enoughto permit someflow of bottom water between the basins is unknown, and its contribution is assumed to be small in this model.) The northward volume transport of AABW found by dynamic calculations and direct current measurements was 4 _+ 1.2 Sv. Therefore a constraint was added requiring that the net flux of AABW across 32øS west of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge be equal to the flux observed by Hogg et al., to within estimated error. Several more constraints are suggestedby the basin geometry. The Walvis Ridge crosses the 32øS section at 5øW and continues to the northeast to the African coast, closing the Cape Basin to the north. Thus there can be little net flow of water below the sill depth (3500 m) of the Walvis Ridge across the eastern portion of the 32øSsection. Similarly, the basin between the Agulhas Plateau and the African coast is closed to the east below 4000 m, and the net flow below this depth across this part of the Conrad section must be small. There is a similar requirement that the total transport across the 32øS and Weddell-Scotia sections be close to zero, since the Atlantic as a whole is nearly closed to the north and the Weddell-Scotiasectionspansthe Weddell Sea. The total trans- surface of region II implies a poleward heat transport of 0.1 PW by the ocean across this section. Estimates of air-sea exchange in this region are poor, but still are perhaps better known than the transports of the deeper layers across each section. Moreover, in this way we can at least determine the bottom water productions rates implied by different values of the heat flux. The impact of this constraint on the solution is considered in section 3. (Note that it is assumed that the heat lost to the atmosphereis balanced by heat carried in by the geostrophicflow. Although eddies are thought to make an important contribution to the meridional heat flux across the Polar Front [Bryden, 1979; de Szoeke and Levine, 1981], the meridional temperature gradient in the Weddell Sea itself is small, and the eddy contribution is unlikely to significantly alter the results.) The geostrophicshear in the ACC fronts extends nearly to the bottom and the transport estimates in Drake Passage obtained by referencing dynamic calculations to direct current meter measurements confirm that the eastward flow of the ACC reaches to great depth. Therefore most investigators studying the ACC have chosen a deep reference level [Jacobs and Georgi, 1977; Georgi and Toole, 1982; Whitworth, 1983; Whitworth and Nowlin, 1987]. A deep reference level also seems to be appropriate at 32øS. Wright [1969] suggestedthat a kink in the O-Scurve at •2.0øC marking the boundary between the AABW and NADW was a good reference level choice; this surface lies at 3400-3800 m at 32øS. Subsequentstudies have also found that a deep level leads to a more consistent deep circulation pattern in the southwest Atlantic [Johnson et al., 1976; Reid et al., 1977; Georgi, 1981; Hogg et al., 1982; Fu, 1981]. After some experimentation, an initial reference level of 3500 dbar was chosenfor the standard case. For station pairs at which the bottom depth was less than 3500 dbar the reference level was taken to be at the deepest common sample depth. Results of runs with different initial reference levels are discussedalong with those of the standard model in the next section. 3. RESULTS OF THE STANDARD MODEL Errors There are several sources of uncertainty in the mass and heat transport estimates. Errors in the estimates of the RINTOUL: SOUTHATLANTIC INTERBASINEXCHANGE reference level velocities arise from noise in the observa- 2679 found in the northernmostjet correspondingto the Subant- tions and because we have insufficient information to fully arctic Front. The flow is to the west near the bottom in the resolve the velocities [Wiggins, 1972; Wunsch, 1978]. The error due to noise can be estimated from the problem residuals(see the appendix). In this case, the error due to northern portion of the section and over the continental slopeat the southernendof the passage.The velocityfieldin Figure 2a is very similarto that obtainedby Nowlin et al. observational noiseis negligible: <0.1 cm s-• at Drake [1977] (see their Figure 11), who used short-term current meter measurementsto reference geostrophic calculations Passage and<0.01cms-1 for mostof theremaining bi. The uncertainty in the individual model parametersdue to the lack of resolution is larger than that due to data noise. basedon the samehydrographyused here (Melville, section Typically the diagonalelementsof the resolutionmatrix are <0.2. For the standard model the number of independent The velocity field at the AJAX sectioncrossingthe ACC at 0øE is shown in Figure 2b. The initial reference level used II, FDRAKE75). equations (i.e., the rank) is about 32, so that with the gavea net transportequalto 134Sv, and little adjustmentof available information we are able to determine only 32 the reference level velocity was required to satisfy the weightedaveragesof the 190unknownsin the problem. The resolution, however, is generally compact' the solution at each station pair is a weighted average of the (unknown) "true" velocity at physicallyadjacentpairs, not pairs from different sections, or distant parts of the same section. Station pairs with similar ratios of layer depthstend to be groupedtogether,or resolvedas a unit, by the SVD solution. In this case the local, or compact, nature of the resolutionis due to the strongvariation in layer geometryboth alongeach sectionand between sections:for example, the ratio of layer depths at a station pair from the northern end of Drake Passageis very differentfrom that at a pair from the southern end of the section, due to the steep meridional slope to the isopycnalsassociatedwith the zonal flow of the ACC. Likewise, the relative thickness of the layers at Drake Passageis very differentfrom stationpairs at 32øSor in the transportand massconservationconstraints.At this longitude, most of the transport of the ACC occurs in two jets Weddell Sea. The solution found is thus a spatially smoothed version of the real reference level velocity field. The length scale of the smoothing varies along each section, from roughly500-800 km in the interior to 100-200km near the boundaries and in Drake Passage. The extent to which the unresolved components of the associated with the Subantarctic Front (SAF) and Polar Front (PF). Both the SAF and the PF are broader at 0øEthan in Drake Passageand result in less intenseflows. However, Nowlin and Clifford [ 1982]and Whitworthand Nowlin [1987] have shownthat at both longitudesthe cross-frontalscaleis roughly twice the local deformationradius. The ACC is found mostly to the north of the Mid-Ocean Ridge. Further south is a third jet of eastward flow, much weaker than the SAF and PF, which correspondsto the boundary between the ACC and the cyclonic Weddell gyre to the south [Whitworth and Nowlin, 1987]. Near the African coast there is a strong flowto thewest(maximum speed> 15cms-1) over the continentalslope. Further offshorethe flow is weak and alternatesin signuntil the edge of the ACC is reached at the SAF at 45øS. At 30øE(Figure 2c) the ACC appearsto be broader and weaker than at 0øE, but this may be partially due to the wide stationspacingalongthis section.Two distinctfronts or jets of eastwardflow can still be seen, separatedby a thin band of westward velocities. Toward Antarctica the sense of the flow mightcontributeto the heat flux acrossa sectioncan be estimated by consideringthe projection of the total heat content onto the vectors of the null space, as shown by flow reverses, increasingin strengthnear the coast to form the Antarctic Coastal Current [Gill, 1973]. By far, the most intense flows at this section are the Agulhas and Agulhas Wunsch et al. [ 1983]. The details are shown in the appendix. Return Currents at the northern end of the section, with In this case, the projection onto the null space is small, maximumspeeds>70 cm s-1. The AgulhasCurrentis indicatingthat the depth-integrated temperaturevariesalong separatedfrom the African coastby a narroweastwardflow. Dynamic topographymaps constructedfrom historical eachsectionprimarily on the broad scaleswe have resolved. A more difficult source of error to evaluate is that due to data suggestthat the middepthcirculationin the subtropical South Atlantic consists of an anticyclonic gyre with poleward flow along the western boundary, mostly zonal flow along 32øSin the interior, and equatorward flow near the easternboundary [Defant, 1961;Montgomery and Pollock, 1942; Buscaglia, 1971; Reid et al., 1977; Tsuchiya, 1985]. These maps also show a return flow or recirculationjust heat between the ocean basins hold for each of the models offshoreof the western boundary current, analogousto the discussedbelow is taken as evidence that the assumptions recirculation gyre of the Gulf Stream system [Tsuchiya, the aliasingof time variability by combininghydrographic sectionstaken in different years. Observationsof the volume transportof the ACC, for example, show significanttemporal variability (see Peterson [1988] for a recent review). In the absence of a truly synoptic data set, the fact that the major conclusionsconcerningthe net exchangeof massand made are valid. 1985; Worthington, 1976]. For a more detailed discussion of the model design, resolution, and error analysis, see Rintoul [1988]. The velocity field shown in Figure 2d is consistentwith this picture, showingstrongboundarycurrentsin the east The Velocity Field The geostrophicvelocity at each sectionfor the standard modelis shownin Figures2a-2e. The velocity field at Drake Passageis shown in Figure 2a. The ACC appearsas four deepjets with horizontalscalesof O(100 km) and maximum and west and weak alternating flows in the interior. The polewardflow extendingfrom the sea surfaceto the bottom alongthe westernboundaryhastraditionally(and arbitrarily) been divided into two currents: the Brazil Current in the upperlayers, correspondingto the westernboundarycurrent of the wind-driven subtropical gyre, and a deep western boundary current resultingfrom the thermohalinecircula- velocities greaterthan25cms-•. Thejetsareseparated by tion. The top-to-bottomtransportin the western boundary regionsof slowereastwardflow. The strongestvelocitiesare current is 63 Sv; of this, 33 Sv is returned to the north in the 2680 RINTOUL' 2.5 20 15 1000- 25 10 2 25 • 1.5 tO - ,o • • SOUTH ATLANTIC INTERBASIN EXCHANGE 1000- 10 • ,._•_o 5 5 2000- 5 2000- Z •_5 5 3000- 3000- 4000400058øS 5000 0 60øS 200 5000- S 400 600 81•0 i ' 0 lO•O Fig. 2a ß70!525 60øS ,i 2doo 30b0 , i 70øS i , 4000 i i 5000 DISTANCE (km) o lOOO- 50øS 40øS 6000 DISTANCE (km) 2102 2 Fig. 2b o 10002000- 2000- 3000' • 3000- 4000' 40005000' 6000 40øS 11 0 1•00 45? , i 50øS 60 65 i I 55øS• i iøs , iøs I 2000 3000 5000' 4000 6000 DISTANCE (km) Fig. 2c 0 - - 0 , 40•W, 30øW iI , 20øW i , ,10øW i i ,0 iø , 10øE ,i 2000 4000 60•0 DISTANCE (km) - Fig. 2d 2000 40001 6000 I 40ow 20øW oo 8000 , 0 ,' 1000 , ' , 20'00 3dO0 I 4000 DISTANCE (km) Fig. 2. Fig. 2e Geostrophicvelocity for the standardmodel. Southwardor westward flow is shaded. Contour interval is 5 cms-i. Upperplotisreference levelvelocity forthissolution. (a)DrakePassage, (b)0øE,(c)30øE,(d)32øS, and(e) Weddell-Scotia. counterflowoffshore.The transportof NADW in the band of poleward flow near the coast is 19 Sv, while the weak eddies in the interior of the westernbasinresult in a smallflux (2 Sv) to the north. flow within 1000km of the African coast. At abyssaldepths in the Cape Basin there is a cyclonic gyre carrying •3 Sv. The velocity field along the section crossingthe Weddell and Scotia Seas is shown in Figure 2e. The Weddell gyre is There is substantial northward flow along the coast of not symmetric at this section: the broad westward flow in the Africa, but it is difficultto distinguishbetweenthe Benguela interior of the basin returns to the east in a narrow jet near Current and isolated eddies. Wooster and Reid [1963] de- the northern boundary of the basin. This jet is thoughtto be fined the Bengeula Current as the flow above 1000 m and the open ocean expressionof the western boundary current within 1000 km of the coast, and estimateda transport of of the Weddell gyre [Gordon et al., 1981]. To the north there 15.7 Sv at 28.5øSusingthe Meteor data. For comparison,the is a tightly confinedanticyclonic gyre of strongflow which net transport above 1000 m and within 1000 km of the coast reaches to the bottom and appears to be related to the in this modelis 28.7 Sv. At deeperlevels in the easternbasin, bathymetry of the South Sandwich Trench. Within the there is southward flow above and to the east of the ScotiaSea the flow is strongand alternatesin signas the ship Mid-Atlantic Ridge, which is compensatedby a northward track runs from the South Scotia Ridge into the Scotia Sea RINTOUL: transport (Sv) 10 i SOUTH ATLANTIC INTERBASIN EXCHANGE transport 20 i i 30 i -10 0 i , transport (Sv) 10 ß 2681 20 , i -lO 30 . 0 (Sv) 10 20 I 1 1 2 3 4 4 5 5 layer layer layer $ 7 7 8 / 9 10 10 11 13 / / I 1 I I 11 12 13 o EAST 30 EAST Fig. 3. Volumeflux in eachlayer integratedalongeachsectioncrossingthe ACC for the standardmodel(Sv). Positive fluxes are to the east. (a) Drake Passage,(b) 0øE, and (c) 30øE. and back again across the Weddell-Scotia Confluence [Gordon et al., 1977]. Net Mass and Heat Transport Across Each Section The estimate of the absolute velocity field found in the standardcase and presentedin Figure 2 is not unique, and with the available information, we have been able to resolve the reference level componentof the velocity field only on broad scales.However, the primary focus of this paper is on the net exchangeof water massesbetween the ocean basins, and the net transportsacrosseach sectionare better determined than the details of the velocity field itself. One way to demonstratethis is to simply comparethe resultsof different models, as done below. A more formal way to demonstrate that the fluxes have been well resolved is by consideringthe contribution by the null space, as shown in the appendix. The integratedtransportin eachlayer for each of the three sectionscrossingthe ACC showsa similar pattern, as seenin Figure 3. The net transport is to the east in all but the first layer and concentrated near the sea surface. Roughly twothirds of the transport into the Atlantic through Drake Passageoccurs in layers 3-6, correspondingto the Intermediate Water and upper branch of the Circumpolar Water described by Reid et al. [1977]. (For the remainder of the discussion these layers will be referred to collectively as (lower case) intermediate water). At 32øS the zonal integral of the circulation consists of northward flow of surface and intermediate water, south- ward flow of deep water, and northward flow of bottom water (Figure 4a). Note that although the synoptic velocity field shown in Figure 2d bears little resemblance to the layered circulation described by Wiist [1935], the zonal integral of the velocity is consistentwith the picture Wast derived from analysis of the property fields. The equatorward flow of warm water and poleward flow of cooler deep water results in a net equatorwardheat flux of 0.25 PW in the standard model. The integral of the flow acrossthe Weddell-Scotia section also reveals an overturning cell (Figure 4b): poleward flow of deep water into the Weddell Sea balanced by an equatorward transport of bottom water in layers 12 and 13. Recall that in this model the heat flux across this section was required to equal the heat lost to the atmospherewithin the Weddell Sea. The constraint that the ocean carry 0.1 PW of heat into the Weddell Sea leads to a poleward transport of •9 Sv of CDW balancedby an export of cooler AABW from the Weddell Sea. When the constraint was altered to force the ocean to carry 0.2 PW of heat into the Weddell Sea, the export of AABW was also doubled. These results are summarized in the "circulation cartoon" shownin Figure 5. In this figure the net transport acrosseach sectionhas been summedin groups of layers corresponding to different water massesand plotted as a bar whose length is proportional to the transport. Despite the similarity of the plots in Figure 3 and the fact that the total transportfor each sectioncrossingthe ACC is constrainedto be 130 Sv, the transport in individual layers is not the same across each section. More intermediate water enters the Atlantic through Drake Passagethan leaves south of Africa. To keep the total transport across each section equal, the deficit of intermediate water is made up by a surplusof deep and bottom water leaving the basin across0ø and 30øE. Thus the Atlantic as a whole converts intermediate water into deep and bottom water. Also presented in Figure 5 are estimates of the net temperatureflux acrosseach section, relative to 0øC. The shift in transport in the ACC from intermediate to cooler deep and bottom water resultsin a smaller temperatureflux at 0ø and 30øE than at Drake Passage, and a net heat divergenceof •0.20 PW in the Atlantic. Note, however, that this heat divergenceis not due to local cooling of waters in the ACC. In fact, summingthe heat flux across each of the four sectionsboundingregion I implies that the ocean gains a small amount of heat (0.1 PW) from the atmospherein this area. The heat divergence actually reflects the heat lost by 2682 RINTOUL: SOUTH ATLANTIC INTERBASIN EXCHANGE transport -10 -5 (Sv) o transport 5 lO -4 -6 ß / . i -2 , , i (Sv) 0 2 .... i 4 . . ! 6 . . i 1 2 3 4 5 layer layer l 6 7 8 9 lO / l 11 12 13 32 Fig. 4. SOUTH AJAX WEDDELL-SCOTIA Integratedvolumetransportacrossthe (a) 32øSand (b) Weddell-Scotiasection.Positivefluxesare to the north and east. the oceanin the formationof deepand bottomwater at high dbar the transportthroughDrake Passageis > 100 Sv to the west). However, the transports differ from the standard One way to get a feeling for the uncertaintyin these model by only a few Sverdrups. In particular, the main transport estimates is to examine the sensitivity of the resultsdiscussedabove are unchanged:a surplusof interresults to the initial model assumed.In Figures 6 and 7 the mediate water enters the Atlantic in the ACC and is balanced results of running the model with initial reference levels at by an increasein the transport of deep and bottom water 700 dbar and the bottom, respectively,are summarized.The leaving the basin; the ACC loses heat in crossingthe solution norm is increased significantlyin both cases, as Atlantic; and at 32øSthere is an overturningcell of 0(15 Sv) either choiceleadsto an initial statethat is far from satisfy- which carries an equatorward heat flux of 0.13-0.25 PW. ing the constraints(e.g., with an initial referencelevel at 700 The exportof BW from the Weddell Sea is alsounchanged when different reference levels are used. In fact, the translatitude. port of CDW and BW across the Weddell-Scotia section øø , ........................................ •.5os ::':iiiiiii:•iiiiii!iii!iiiiiii: variedby less than 1 Sv for all the modelsconsidered :ii!iiiiiiiiiiiiiiii• demonstrating that fixingthe heat flux placesa strong iiiiiii!ii!!iiiiiiiii!ii i iiiiiiiiiii!!!11iiil •:i constraint on the system. This section has particula little 30ø .iiii::i::ii!!iiiii! e s ii::!::!" 4 i::!::i::i::i::i::i' •7 0o .5 S "•' "' o 60 TF=--• • 7F s 49 17 ................. ....... :::..: ................ ::::::::::::::::::::::::::: ::::::::::::::::::::: ::::iiii::!::ii::i::!!i" 6s s 30ø ii ;i!! ""• ' • o ................... ' ...................................... '....................... '......... 90øW 60 ø 30 ø 0o 30 ø 60oE LONGITUDE Standard Model bTb=1200 75øS •ß =•ur[•e• w•r [l•y•r• 1-•} :intermediatewater (layers3-6) Fig. 5. •=d• l=bottom w•r [l•y•r• 7-11} 90øW 60ø water (layers12-13) units of øC Sv. 0ø 30ø 60ø• LONGITUDE Schematic circulation cartoon for the standard model. Length of each bar is proportionalto the net transportacrosseach section in sum of layers correspondingto each water mass (see legend).Numbersat end of each bar give transportin Sv. Also shownis the temperatureflux acrosseachsection(relativeto 0øC)in 30ø Reference Level=700 db bTb=10,480 Fig. 6. As in Figure 5, for model with initial reference level at 700dbar;brb is thenondimensional solution normforcomparison to standard case. RINTOUL: SOUTH ATLANTIC INTERBASIN EXCHANGE 0o still roughly in balance, but layers 2 and 3 show large residuals of opposite sign in region I. The "upwelling" across the interface between these two layers is the only w* term that carries a significant mass flux (5 Sv). Indeed, allowing transfer across this isopycnal is essential to find a consistent solution' an experiment in which the w* term was removed from the mass conservation equations resulted in a solution that could not balance mass without unreasonably large reference level velocities. Although w* enters the mass conservation equations (1) as a velocity-like term, it is properly interpreted as a proxy for the net effect of a variety of processes which may act to transfer mass across the layer boundaries. This transfer may be due to true upwelling in the ocean interior, or for layers 15øS 30 ø 40 ø 60 ø 75øS 90øW 60 ø 30 ø 0o 30 ø 60OE which outcrop withina box,it maybetheresult ofair-sea LONGITUDE Reference interactionalteringthe densityof waterexposedat'the sea Level at the Bottom bTb=2500 Fig. 7. 2683 As in Figure 5, for model with initial reference level at the bottom. freedom to partition the layer transports to carry this heat flux, since only the densest layers have a significantarea at this latitude, and the temperature difference between them is small (Table 2). surface. In this section it is argued that the transfer from layer 3 to layer 2 found in this model results from the latter of these two processes. Bunker's [1988] map of net annual heat gain by the ocean shows that, outside the narrow poleward extensions of the western boundary currents, the South Atlantic between 30ø and 60øSis a region of net heat gain, in strong contrast to the North Atlantic. In particular, there is a broad, relatively weak maximum at 50-55øS, 10øW-20øE, and a stronger maximum related to theequatorward flowing Malvinas Current alongthe SouthAmericancoast[.Taylor et al. [1978] Interpretation of the Residuals also found a region of oceanic heat gain north of the Polar The residuals in the mass conservation equations in region I are shown in Figure 8a. For each layer the residuals are small and appear randomly distributed, demonstrating that the physical model is adequate to account for the observations. Shown in Figure 8b is a second set of residuals, which give the imbalance left in each layer by the horizontal advection terms alone. When the mass flux carried by the cross-isopycnaltransfer term is removed, the deep layers are Front. transport The difference in the pattern of heat gain in the two basins is in part due to the large .volumeof warm water carried to high latitudes by the near-surface currents in the North Atlantic. Although both oceans gain a similar amount of heat through radiation, the warmer North Atlantic evaporates more easily and experiences a much larger latent heat loss [Bunker, 1988]. The larger land area in the northern hemi- transport (Sv) a -8 -4 0 4 8 1 2 layer (Sv) b layere e Iø l 1 I lO 1 11 12 13 LAYERRESIDUALS Fig. 8. RESIDUALS: LATERAL ADVECTION ONLY (a) Mass residualsin each layer in region I for the standardmodel (Sv). (b) Mass residuals in region I from sum over "horizontal" advection terms alone. 2684 RINTOUL'. SOUTH ATLANTIC sphere also contributesto the high latent heat loss through outbreaks of cold, dry continental air over the North Atlan- INTERBASIN EXCHANGE [] x ß + Fu (1981) Hsiung(1985) Hastenrath(1982) Hastenrath(1980) O Bunker(1976) 1.5 tic. The outcrop area of layer 3 correspondsclosely to the area of heat gain on Bunker's map, includingthe strongmaximum near South America [Rintoul, 1988]. The latitude band in which layer 3 outcropsalso correspondsto the maximumof the westerly wind stress, which drives an equatorward Ekman flow. South of the wind stress maximum 1.0 m Bennett(1978) A Georgi+ Toole(1982) I• Standard Case ß Bryan(1962) the net divergenceof massin the Ekman layer causesupwellingof cooler water to the surface, which in turn results in a gain of heat by the ocean. 0.5- The fact that the ocean south of the wind stress maximum is a region of net heat gain is not surprising.If the pattern of annual mean near-surface temperature is to remain steady despite Ekman suction of colder waters from below, and equatorwardtransport of these waters in the Ekman layer, there must be a source of heat. In the North Atlantic it appears that the heat is supplied by horizontal advection of relatively warm waters from the south; that is, the nearsurface flow, consisting of the sum of the Ekman and geostrophicflow, has a significantpoleward component. In the South Atlantic the poleward penetration of warm water is blocked by the strong zonal flow of the ACC, and the required heat must be suppliedby the atmosphere. Thus the meteorologicalevidence supportsthe notion that in this density range the net effect of air-sea interactionsis to warm the surface waters and drive them to the north. While this is not a demonstration of the existence of such a water mass modification mechanism, a rough calculation shows that the numbers are reasonable. To warm 5 Sv of water 25 30 35 latitude 45 (øS) Fig. 9. Comparisonof estimatesof meridional heat transport in the South Atlantic. above 1200m. Of the 24 Sv carried to the southin layers 3-5 in the Brazil Current, half is compensatedby this return flow. The most intensesalinityminimum signalof the AAIW is in fact foundjust offshoreof the Brazil Current [Fuglister, 1960]. The net flux of water in this density range in the interior is weakly to the north (1 Sv). Further east, 16 Sv of IW is carried to the north by the strong flows near the easternboundary, resulting in a net flux of 5 Sv to the north across the section. Note that the net flux across the section entering the South Atlantic through Drake Passageat an average temperature of 4.2øC in layer 3 to layer 2 water with an average temperature of 10.2øC (the average temperature of the isopycnalboundinglayers 2 and 3 at 32øS)requires is a relatively small residual of the strong flows in the opposingboundary currents. The minimum salinity values found in the equatorward flow in the east are 0.1%ohigher than in the western part of the section. This may be 0.12PW, or about19W m-2 overtheoutcrop areaof layer indicative of mixing with the more saline waters above and 3. This value is of the same order of magnitude as the below this layer as the IW crosses the Atlantic from Drake estimatesof Bunker [1988] and Taylor et al. [1978] for this Passagesouth of 32øS.Thus the transport of IW across 32øS region. occurs primarily in narrow flows near the boundaries, with the northward flow near the western boundary found just 4. DISCUSSION seaward of the Brazil Current, rather than as a counterflow beneath the core of the surface current. Transport of Antarctic Intermediate Water The path by which the intermediate water (IW) enters the Atlantic from the SouthernOceanhasbeen a topic of debate for several decades.The early view was that the northward flow of AAIW was concentratedalongthe westernboundary [e.g., Wl;ist,1935]. Later, severalinvestigatorsconcludedon the basis of maps of dynamic topography that the AAIW followed the coast only as far as the Brazil-Malvinas Confluence at 40øS,there turning to the east and following the path of the anticyclonic subtropical gyre into the South Atlantic [Martineau, 1953;Reid, 1965;Buscaglia, 1971].The Meridional Flux of Heat Across 32øS The overturningcell at 32øSresultsin an equatorwardheat flux of 0.25 PW in the standard model. This estimate can be comparedto the estimatesof other investigatorsin Figure 9. The range of values is very broad, from a minimum of 0.04 PW [Hsiung, 1985] to a maximum of 1.15 PW [Hastenrath, 1980]. (Interestingly enough, both of the extreme values are obtained by similar bulk-formula integrations of air-sea exchange estimates.) The heat flux found in the standard casefalls toward the low end of this range. The projection of first direct velocity measurements[Evans and Signorini, the total heat content onto the null space vectors for this 1985], however, showed northward flow of AAIW near the sectionis small (<2%), suggestingthat the potential contricoast at 23øS, supporting the earlier ideas of W•ist at least at bution of the unresolved componentsof the flow to the heat this latitude. flux is also small. Experiments run with different initial The results of this model suggest that both paths are referencelevels confirmedthis point: using700 dbar and the important.As mentionedabove, immediatelyadjacentto the bottom as initial levels resulted in slightly smaller heat western boundary, poleward flow extends to the bottom in fluxes, showing that the heat flux estimate is stable in the the Brazil Current and deep western boundary current. sense of not being sensitive to the choice of initial model. However, just offshore there is a return flow to the north Alternatively, one can use the inverse machineryto explore RINTOUL' SOUTH ATLANTIC INTERBASIN EXCHANGE 2685 (Sv) 'transport 0o -'5 -10 -5 I ! 0 5 10 I I 1 2 3 400 6 55168 4 5 ø Layer 6 7 8 9 90ow 60 ø 30 ø 0o 30 ø .88 PW .69 PW standard 60øE lO LONGITUDE 11 32ø5 Heat Flux=.69 PW bTb=6300 12 Fig. 10. As in Figure 5, for the experimentwith the heat flux Fig. 11. Zonallyintegratedvolumetransportacross32øSfor the across32øSfixed at 0.69 PW [Hastenrath, 1982]. standardcase, the 0.69 PW case, and the 0.88 PW case. the consequencesof forcing the system to accommodatea larger equatorward heat flux. The model was run again with an additional constraint forcingthe systemto carry a specifiedheat flux across32øS. The constraintrequiringthat there be no net massflux across this latitude was upweighted slightly to ensure that the system did not satisfy the heat flux constraint by simply carryinga net flux of massto the north. All other constraints which the heat flux was set equal to the estimates of Hastenrath [1982] (0.69 PW) and Fu [1981] (0.88 PW). Figure were as in the standard model. The results obtained when the heat flux is set equal to Hastenrath' s [ 1982]estimate of 0.69 PW are shownin Figure 11 showsthe integratedmasstransport across32øSfor the three models. The magnitude of the heat flux and the strengthof the overturningcell are clearly tightly coupled. Note, however, that the relative contribution made by each water massto the total transport remains roughly the same. The layer geometryimposesstronglimits on the responseof the systemto the requirementfor an increasedheat flux: the strengthof the wholecell mustbe increased,ratherthan,for example,keepingthe volumeunchangedbut maximizingthe temperature difference by concentrating the flow in the 10. Satisfyingthe heat flux constraintrequiresan increasein energy of the reference level velocity by a factor of 5. In warmest and coldest layers. Another useful way to examine how the heat flux conparticular, increasingthe heat flux to 0.69 PW requires a much more vigorousoverturningcell at 32øS,and the export straint is met is to compare the total mass transport inteof NADW is increased from 17 to 27 Sv. The compensating gratedfrom west to east along the 32øSsection(Figure 12). equatorwardflow is roughlyevenlysplitbetweenthe ther- The integratedtransportsdiffer substantiallyin the western mocline and intermediate layers, as in the standard case. basin. Specifically,to satisfy the requirementfor an inThetransports atthesections crossing theACCreflectthe creasedequatorward heat flux, strong northward velocities increasedproductionrate of NADW implied by the stronger at the reference level are introduced near the western overturning cell. The divergenceof IW in the ACC between boundary, decreasingthe poleward flow in the Brazil Curcurrentby a factorof 3. Drake Passageand 0øEis increasedto 21 Sv, 11 Sv of which rentandthedeepwesternboundary must be converted to surface or thermocline water before East of where the Walvis Ridge crosses the section the leavingthe box to the north across32øS.Thus increasingthe solutionsare nearly identical becausethe constraintrequirexportof heat across32øSrequiresan increaseby a factorof ing no net flux of deep water acrossthis portion of the øn largelyfixesthereference levelvelocities there.To 2 in the net heatingof the oceanby the atmospherein region secti I. The large flux of NADW enteringregion I at 32øSturns to balancethe northwardflow near the easternboundaryand the east and leaves the basin as part of the ACC. In the upper keep the total transportequal to zero, the model including layers, the net flow is slightly decreasedin magnitudeat 0ø the heat flux constraint introduces strong southward flows and 30øE but is still to the east. between the Mid-Atlantic Ridge and the Walvis Ridge, temperature is lowrelativeto that Thesechangesin the'patternof masstransportdiver- wherethedepth-averaged gencesin various water massesalter the heat fluxes as well. in the west. For thismodel,then, the primarypathby which To supportthe large flux of heat to the north across32øS, NADW leaves to the south is not along the western boundmore heat is carried into the basin at Drake Passageand less ary, where the most intense salinity maximum water is is removed south of Africa. The difference in heat carried in found, but just east of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge. The discrepancybetween the standard model and Fu's and out of the basin by the ACC is thus increasedby a factor of 3 from the standard case. results at first seems surprisingly large, given that both Further insight into how the system responds to the models use the same IGY section at 32øS and similar requirement for a larger heat flux can be gained by compar- methods. However, there are several important differences ing the results of the standardmodel with experimentsin between the calculations. Fu' s heat flux estimate includes an 2686 RINTOUL: SOUTH ATLANTIC INTERBASIN EXCHANGE 32 SOUTH standard ........ß k ..... 2o] ternpflux= -168 ternpflux= -214 -20 -60 -80 ...... 0 2000 4000 6000 distance (km) Fig. 12. Total masstransportintegratedalong32øSfrom west to eastfor the heat flux experimentsand the standard case. Ekman contributionof .28 PW, due to an equatorwardmass North Atlantic Deep Water and the transport of 5 Sv. Fu realized that this value was probably Thermohaline Circulation very uncertainand suggestedit be taken as an upperbound, since it was based on the wind stress values of Hellerman [1967], which were thought to be overestimated[Saunders, 1976]. The more recent compilationsof Han and Lee [1981] and Hellerman and Rosenstein[ 1983]in fact suggestthat the Ekman transport is less than 1 Sv to the north at 32øS. A second way in which the standard model differs from that of Fu is in the additionin this caseof a constraintforcing the net equatorward flux of bottom water (BW) across32øS to be 4 _+1 Sv, as estimatedby Hogg et al. (1982)from direct current observations.Fu found the net transportof BW to be about 1 Sv. By shiftinga larger fraction of the equatorward flow to the relatively cold BW layers, the BW constraint effectively decreasesthe equatorward heat flux in the standard model. When the present model was run with this Traditionally, studies of the thermohaline circulation have focused on the processand rate of deepwaterformation. And yet the way in which this deep water returns in the upper ocean to close the global thermohaline cell is also an importantpart of the problem, as this may play a role in determining the rate at which the thermohaline "mill" grinds. The recent work of Gordon [1985, 1986] has rekindled interest in the path taken by the upwelled water as it returns to the North Atlantic to balance the export of NADW. Gordon [1986] has proposed that this return flow occurs constraint removed the BW flux was reduced to 1 Sv and the primarilywithin the warm upper layers of the ocean.In this schemeNADW reachingthe Pacific upwells into the thermocline, flows westward through the Indonesianpassages and acrossthe tropical Indian Ocean, where it is joined by heat flux was increased to 0.4 PW, close to the value Fu NADW upwelled into the Indian Ocean thermocline, and obtainedfor the geostrophiccomponentof the heattransport ultimately reentersthe Atlantic via a branch of the Agulhas (0.38 PW, with the 4000-dbar reference level). Thus the Current that does not complete the retroflection. He condifference in the heat flux estimates of Fu [1981] and the cludedthat the alternative "cold water path," in which the standard model are due to Fu's overestimate of the Ekman flow of NADW out of the Atlantic is balancedby water contribution,and the additionof a constraintin the present entering from the Pacific through Drake Passage, could modelforcingthe BW flow to be consistentwith the Hogg et account for no more than 25% of the return flow. Gordon al. current meter results at 32øS. [1985] also suggestedthat the injection of warm Indian Driving the systemto accomodatethe meridionalheat flux estimates of Hastenrath [1982] and Fu [1981] thus leads to dramatic and unreasonable changes in the circulation at 32øS. Satisfying the heat flux constraint requires a large increase in the reference level velocities, a near-reversal of the Brazil Current and the deep western boundarycurrent, and a much more vigorous overturningcell. We conclude that the data are inconsistentwith an equatorwardheat flux of this magnitude at 32øS. Ocean water at the southeastern corner of the basin was responsible for the "anomalous" equatorward heat flux observed in the South Atlantic. Gordon called on a variety of evidence to supportthis hypothesis. The linchpin in his argument was a demonstration that the mean temperatureof the water moving to the north to balancethe export of NADW was too warm to have come through Drake Passage. Assuming Hastenrath's estimate of the heat flux (0.69 PW) and an outflow of 16 Sv of RINTOUL: SOUTH ATLANTIC INTERBASIN EXCHANGE II8TF[• 3 ii::j s• .•s ,54 75øSl '-'"--....-' .............. /I I 90øW 60 ø 30 ø 0o 30 ø 60øE LONGITUDE Warm Water the west. NADW at 2øC, Gordon estimated the mean temperature of flow to be 15.4øC. Since the warmest water in Drake Passageis about 8øC [Gordon and Molinelli, 1982], he concluded that most of the return from the Indian flow must be thermocline Ocean. However, the results of the inverse models suggestedthat the above argument is not internally consistent. In particular, the heat flux experiments showed that the heat flux across 32øS is tightly tied to the strength of the meridional cell. As a result, the magnitude of the heat flux and the transport of NADW cannot be specifiedindependently. The flaw in the box-model argument is that the values assumed for the heat flux and the NADW transport are not consistent with each other: if one insists that a weak meridional circulation carry a large heat flux, an unreasonably high temperature for the warm return flow is required. The inversion results flow of intermediate demonstrated that the northward and bottom water from the Antarctic plays an important role in closingthe meridional circulation' independent of the strength of the overturning cell, one half of the NADW leaving the Atlantic across 32øS returns at depth in these layers. None of the models showed a net import of warm Indian Ocean water into the Atlantic. Even when the system was forced to carry an equatorward heat flux 4 times that of the standard model, the system responded by increasing the vigor of the overturning cell, not by introducing an influx of warm thermocline water from the Indian Ocean. To test directly whether the data set used here was consistent with a large inflow of Indian Ocean thermocline water, the model was run again with a constraint forcing a net flux of 13 Sv of warm water (tr0 < 26.8; layers 1 and 2) to the west across the 0ø and 30øE sections. The results of the warm water path experiment are summarized in Figure 13. Forcing the system to carry a large flux of warm water into the South Atlantic requires an increasein the solution norm by an order of magnitude, and reference level velocities >35 cm s-• near the African coast. To maintain a total transport across 0ø and 30øE of 130 Sv, despite a net westward flow of warm water, requires an increase in the flux of deep and bottom water carried by the ACC of •35 level velocities sufficient to reverse the 4-6 Sv of eastward case to a westward flow of 13 Sv carry an even larger transport of deep and bottom water to Path Fig. 13. As in Figure 5 for the warm water path experiment. water derived in sign, leading to a net loss of > 1 PW in region I in contrast to air-sea exchange estimates, which show this region of the South Atlantic gaining heat. An even more dramatic illustration of the large changesin the flow field required to satisfy the constraint is provided by comparing the total mass transport integrated along each section in this model to the standard case (Figure 14). To carry more warm water into the Atlantic across 0ø and 30øE, the system introduces reference level velocities to the west in the northern end of the sections, where these layers are thickest. In turn, eastward velocities are required in the southernhalf of the section to keep the total transport equal to 130 Sv. However, the upper layers are relatively thin and occupy only a small fraction of the water column; reference flow found in the standard bTb=17,400 the northward 2687 Sv. The heat flux across 0 ø and 30øE is reversed The effect on the circulation is to introduce a recirculation of very large transport with westward flow in the north and eastward flow in the southern part of each section crossing the ACC. At Drake Passage, for example, the velocities are large enough to nearly reverse the strong jet associated with the Subantarctic Front. The transport acrossthe first 8 station pairs of the 0øE section is more than 200 Sv to the west in this model, compared to roughly zero net transport for these pairs in the standard case. Imposing a large net transfer of thermocline water from the Indian to the Atlantic Ocean thus leads to unreasonable changes in the circulation, and the present data set is incompatible with an interocean exchange of the magnitude required by the warm water path hypothesis. This does not mean, of course, that Indian Ocean water does not enter the South Atlantic. The constraint required that there be a net flux of warm water across the sections south of Africa: an arbitrarily large amount of warm water could enter the South Atlantic and return to the Indian Ocean within the same density range and not affect the constraint imposed. That is, the data are not inconsistent with the thermoclines of the two oceans being connected, as suggested by the similar O-S relation in each basin [McCartney, 1977; Gordon, 1981b] and some numerical model results [de Ruijter, 1982; de Ruijter and Boudra, 1985]. Furthermore, these results do not rule out intermittent exhange. Indeed, there is good evidence that some Indian Ocean water enters the Atlantic, but the magnitude of the exchange and the fate of this water are uncertain. Eddies formed in the Agulhas Retroflection region have been observed in satellite imagery to enter the South Atlantic [Harris et al., 1978; Gordon, 1985; Lutjeharms, 1981; Olson and Evans, 1986]. Olson and Evans [1986] estimate that one ring per year amounts to a transport of less than 0.5 Sv. Lutjeharms and Ballegooyen [1988] concluded from a study of 4 years of daily satellite imagery that rings are shed from the Agulhas retroflection loop at intervals of 1.5-2 months. If all rings formed enter the South Atlantic, this formation rate implies a transport of 3-4 Sv. In any case, the inverse models show that a large import of warm water is not necessary to explain the observed equatorward heat transport in the South Atlantic. Several additional piecesof evidencefurther supportthe casefor the cold water path playing an essential role in the global thermohaline circulation. The budget of fresh water in the Atlantic apparently 2688 RINTOUL' SOUTH ATLANTIC INTERBASIN EXCHANGE 30EAST standard warm path DRAKE PASSAGE 200 standard warm path 150 100 5o -loo O' o -50 ' 0 2•0 ' 4•0 ' 6•0 ' 8•0 1 ooo 2000 ' 10'00 3000 4000 5000 distance (km} distance (krn} 32 SOUTH standard warmpath 0 EAST 4OO standard wa 3OO -2O o c• i- 0 1000 20'00 30'00 40'00 20'00 50'00 distance(km) 40'00 60'00 distance(km) Fig. 14. Total masstransportintegratedfrom southto north alongeach sectionfor the warm water path experiment and the standard case. requires a significantequatorwardtransportof intermediate provided the O-S curve is relatively tight, the transportsof water across 32øS,following an argument of $tommel [ 1980]. heat and fresh water carried by an overturning meridional Stommel noted that the shapeof the O-S relation imposed cell are coupled. If the volume-transport-weightedtemperacertain constraints on the meridional flux of heat and freshwater in the ocean. A O-S curve constructed from the mean layer values at 32øSis shown in Figure 15. It is clear that, 10øC,then a line on the O-S curve connectingthis water with the poleward flow of NADW has a positive slope, implying that the meridional flux of fresh water is poleward. If the transport-weighted temperature of thereturnflowis • 15øC, 2O 15 10 3 ß 4 I 6 8 ß ß -5 34 ture of the equatorward return flow is warmer than about 0 3•.$ 3•.0 3•.$ 3•.0 salinity (psu) Fig. 15. Potential temperature-salinitydiagram constructedfrom the layer average values at 32øS. as suggestedby Gordon [1986], then the transport-weighted salinity is much greater than that of the poleward fl0w, resultingin a large poleward flux of fresh water. Estimatesof the net fresh water balance of the Atlantic using bulk formulae, on the other hand, suggest that the Atlantic as a whole loses fresh water to the atmosphere [Baumgartner and Reichel, 1975; Schmitt et al., 1989]. To carry fresh water into the Atlantic across 32øSand balance the water budget, the return flow must be sufficiently cold, and hence the contribution of the subthermoclinewater must be significant. Broecker and Peng [1982] have also argued that the nutrient balance of the North Atlantic requires a contribution from the AAIW. Since there is no large sourceor sink of nutrients in the northern North Atlantic, the upper layer water feeding the NADW formation regions must have about the same nutrient concentrations as the NADW leaving. RINTOUL.' SOUTH ATLANTIC INTERBASINEXCHANGE 2689 about one kilometer depth [at 30øN]. This feature is likely generatedby the isopycnaltransport of silicaterich water all the way from the Antarctic Ocean!" (p. 346). A source of feed water to the formation region at this depth is also supportedby the radiocarbon data, they continued, as the observed •14C of NADW is low relative to that of the equatorward return flow balancing the export of NADW at 32øSis evenly split between the thermocline and the intermediate and bottom water layers, and the surplus of intermediate water entering the basin in the ACC is balanced by a net export of deep water. Thus both the standard model and the heat flux tests supportthe notion that the Atlantic as a whole converts intermediate water entering the basin through Drake Passageinto deep and bottom water leaving near-surface the basin south of Africa. Broecker and Peng suggestedthat "the most likely candidate for the feed water is the silicate maximum water in the North water... found at Atlantic. The distribution of AAIW in the ocean is also suggestive of a link between the intermediate water and the global cell associated with NADW formation. As Jacobs and Georgi [1977] noted, the distribution of intermediate water is not uniform in the three oceans: the 34.4%o isohaline reaches to These results are in conflict with Gordon's [1986] recent suggestionthat the global thermohaline circulation associated with the formation of NADW is closed primarily by a "warm water path," in which the export of NADW is compensatedby an inflow of warm Indian Ocean thermo- cline water south of Africa. To test directly whether the data set used here was consistent with the warm water path, the model was run with a contraint added requiring a net flux of 13 Sv [Gordon, 1985] of warm water from the Indian to the additional source of AAIW within the South Atlantic, or to Atlantic. Satisfying this constraint required drastic changes topographic control. Alternatively, the results presented in the circulation, including reference level velocities >35 here suggestthat the AAIW is drawn into the Atlantic by the cm s -1 at 3500 dbar and the introduction of a horizontal formation of NADW: the AAIW tongue extends further into recirculation of > 150 Sv at the 0 ø and 30øE sections. The 40øSin the Indian Ocean, and to 35-45øS in the Pacific, while in the Atlantic the same isohaline extends to 5øS. They suggestedthat the disparity in the degree of penetration of AAIW in each ocean might be due to the presence of an the Atlantic than the other oceans because the Atlantic is the only ocean with a significantnorthern sourceof deep water. Broecker and Takahashi [1981] were led to a similar hypothesis in their study of the intermediate waters in the central Atlantic. 5. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS presentdata set is thus inconsistentwith a net transfer of warm water of this magnitudefrom the Indian Ocean to the South Atlantic. This does not mean that warm Indian Ocean water never enters the South Atlantic (flow from the Indian to the Atlantic and back within a density layer is not restricted by this model) but rather suggeststhat the import of Indian Ocean thermocline water does not play a major part in the globaloverturningcell associatedwith the forma- An inverse method and historical hydrographic data have been used to estimate the absolute velocity field in the South Atlantic poleward of 32øS, with a particular focus on the exchangeof mass and heat between the South Atlantic and the neighboring ocean basins. All the models show a divergence of intermediate water and a convergenceof deep and bottom water in the ACC during its transit of the South Atlantic. The shift in transport from intermediate to deep layers in the ACC results in a net divergenceof heat carried by the current. The magnitudeof the divergence, 0.25 --- 0.18 PW, is similar to that found by Georgi and Toole [1982]. The "loss" of heat is not due to local cooling of the waters in the ACC, however, but rather reflects the heat lost in the high-latitude regions in the formation of deep and bottom water. The surplusIW carried into the Atlantic leavesthe box to the north across 32øS, with 5 Sv first gaining heat from the atmosphereover the broad outcrop area of layer 3 (26.8 < cr0 < 27.2). The equatorward flow of thermocline and IW across 32øSis balancedby a poleward flow of 17 Sv of NADW in the deepwesternboundarycurrent. This overturningcell results in an equatorward meridional heat flux of 0.25 PW across 32øS. Forcing the system to be compatible with the larger heat flux estimates of Hastenrath [1982] and Fu [1981] led to dramatic changes in the solution: a large increase in the solution norm, a near-reversal of the western boundary current, and a doubling in strength of the meridional cell. These changeswere considered to be unrealistic, and the hypothesisthat the heat flux across32øSwas as large as 0.69 PW was rejected. Even when the system is forced to carry an unreasonably large heat flux across 32øS, however, the water mass trans- tion of NADW. ports show the samepattern as in the standardmodel. The paper. Taken together, the results of the inverse models make a strongcasefor the cold water path playinga dominantrole in closing the thermohaline circulation. Such a role is also apparentlyrequired by the freshwater and nutrient budgets of the Atlantic. Inverse methodshave proved to be particularly useful in this study of interbasin exchange. By consideringbudgets for a set of density layers it was possible to make the first estimates of the transports and transport divergences of individual water massesin the ACC. These budgets in turn revealedthe importantrole played by the intermediatewater in the global thermohalinecirculation. The flexibility of the method was also used to advantage, enabling us to include a variety of a priori informationin the model, and to test the consistencyof specifichypotheseswith the observationsin an explicit and straightforwardmanner. These results suggest, furthermore, that much could be learned about the global thermohalinecirculationby applying similar methods to study the circulationat high latitudes of the South Indian and South Pacific oceans. In particular, one may hope to shedsomelight on the poorly understoodupwellingbranch of the circulation, in which the NADW that has left the Atlantic is modified to become intermediate water before reentering the basin. APPENDIX: SENSITIVITY OF THE FLUX ESTIMATES The discussion of the errors in the property fluxes pre- sentedhere summarizesthe presentationof Wunschet al. [1983] and is included here for completeness;those interested in a more complete treatment are referred to that 2690 RINTOUL: SOUTH ATLANTIC INTERBASIN EXCHANGE The "true" velocity at a hydrographic section can be written N To estimate the error in B4, we first use the fact that the V and Q vectors form a complete set to rewrite the vector of (vertically integrated) tracer concentrations C: k N C -- Z (CtVl)Vl-• Z /=k+l /=1 or v = A1 + A2 + A3 + A4 where Q are the "null space" vectors [Wunsch and Grant, 1982], vR is the relative velocity, vœis the Ekman velocity, and b is the reference level velocity. The flux of a tracer C (CtQl)Ql /=k+l Wunschet al. [1983] show that the squaredmagnitudeof B 4 is then given by (•//2)CtQQtC lB4 2_< a CtC • ct ß across a section becomes Fc= B1 + B2 + B3 + B4 where B1,2,3, 4 are the fluxesobtainedby integratingthe velocities A 1,2,3,4 timestheconcentrations alongthe section. B 3 and B4 can be written CtQQtC k ctc B• = Ctb= Y• -•2tv• ctc whereC tvvtc is the squaredprojectionof C ontothe range 1=1 N B4= • CtVVtC otlCtQlß /=k+l Errors in Fc result from errors in each of the individual componentsof the flux. B1, the flux contribution from the thermal wind, has errors due to noise in the observations, navigatioherrors, and interpolationerrors, as discussedin the text. Errors in B 2 arise from errors in the wind stress. Thecontribution fromthereference levelvelocity B3 also contains errors resulting from noise in the observations. The singular value decomposition provides a formal estimate of the error in the bi due to data noise,whichcan be converted intoanestimate of theerrorin thefluxdueto thissource, as seen below. B 4 represents the flux due to the unresolved components of the flow lying in the null space of the coefficient matrix A. Since the set of eigenvectorsof A (V, Q) form a complete set, B 4 representsthe differencebetween all of A. If the problem is fully determinedand there is no null space, then A = 0, and this uncertainty is zero. For the problems consideredhere, the projection of C onto the null spacetends to be small. The error estimatesgiven in the text are the change in the transport of each property that would result from an increase in the rms null space velocity (i.e., a2) of 1 cm S-1 . Acknowledgments. Carl Wunsch provided valuable ideas and suggestionsthroughout the course of this work, which was completed while the author was a student in the MassachusettsInstitute of Technology/WoodsHole OceanographicInstitute Joint Program in Oceanography. W. Nowlin and J. Reid allowed the use of the AJAX data prior to publication and provided useful comments on the manuscript. Many thanks to Barbara Grant for computing assistance.Support was provided by National Science Foundation grant OCE-8521685 and National Aeronautics and Space Administration grant NAG5-534. models based on the same data and constraints. 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