Faculty of Economics & Business Voluntary IFRS adoption and Earnings Quality Research among private companies Luc Schoemaker Bsc Master Thesis Accountancy 2013 Msc Accountancy & Control Date: 24 June 2013 Studentnumber: 10440429 Supervisor: dhr. prof. dr. V.R. O’Connell Second reader: dhr. drs. S.W. Bissessur ABSTRACT – This research is concerned with the effects a voluntary adoption of IFRS by private firms has on earnings quality. In contrast to public firms, private firms are not mandated to adopt IFRS. Research has shown that adopting IFRS has a positive effect on public firms’ earnings quality. However, the role financial reporting fulfills is different for private companies. This raises the question whether a voluntary adoption of IFRS is also beneficial for a private firms’ earnings quality. Empirical evidence from this research indicates a small positive relationship between adoption of IFRS and earnings quality, but with low significance. It is also tested whether the relationship between adoption of IFRS and earnings quality is moderated by different countries and firm characteristics, but no empirically evidence is found. . 2 Content Section 1: Introduction 4 1.1 Background 4 1.2 Research question 5 1.3 Contribution 5 1.4 Structure 6 Section 2: Literature review and hypotheses development 6 2.1 Public and private companies 6 2.2 Private companies and financial reporting 7 2.3 Private companies and IFRS 10 2.4 Hypotheses development 12 Section 3: Method 14 3.1 Earnings quality 14 3.2 Model specification 16 3.3 Data 17 Section 4: Results 18 4.1 Descriptive statistics 18 4.2 Main results 21 4.3 Additional tests 22 Section 5: Concluding comments 23 5.1 Summary and conclusion 23 5.2 Limitations and further research 24 5.3 Implications 25 Section 6: Bibliography 27-30 Section 7: Tables 31-38 3 Section 1: Introduction 1.1 Background The world is globalizing rapidly. To catch up with this globalisation, the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) introduced the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) in 2002. The introduction of the IFRS for listed companies in many countries around the world is one of the most significantly regulatory changes in accounting history (Daske, Hail, Leuz, & Verdi, 2008). Objective of the introduction of IFRS is to develop a single set of high quality, understandable, enforceable and globally accepted reporting principles (Foundation, 2004). The European Union made IFRS mandatory for listed companies in 2005. As expected benefits the European Union identified: eliminate barriers to cross-border trading and ensuring that company accounts are more reliable, transparent and more easily compared (Brown, 2011). After the introduction of IFRS in Europe, a lot of research has been done on the effects of the mandatory transition to IFRS. Consensus has been reach that, in general, the mandatory transition to IFRS had a positive effect on earnings quality. Although not mandatory, private companies have the choice to adopt IFRS. Francis et al (2008) argue that private firms which are actively engaged in external contracting could also have incentives to adopt IFRS. Bassimir (2012) argues that private firms are more likely to switch to increase earnings quality if they have more growth opportunities, are more leveraged, are younger, are externally rated, seek to raise external capital by issuing public bonds or equity, are registered as a stock corporation, are characterized by private equity involvement, have more international sales and operations, belong to high-tech industries and have a Big Four auditor. André et al (2012) on the other hand define international orientated, leverage, firm size and auditor reputation as most important factors to determine private firm’s choice to increase earnings quality. Based on these studies, it can be concluded that some firms face incentives that lead them to voluntary adopt IFRS, while other firms do not. These studies have in common that they discuss the ex ante decisionmaking to voluntary adopt or not. 4 1.2 Research question Much less research has been done on the ex post effects of a voluntary adoption of IFRS. For public companies, the transition has been mandatory and one of the effects has been an increase in earnings quality. For private companies, an incentive to adopt is expected benefits from higher quality reporting. But that expectation is based on the fact that adoption has led to higher earnings quality by public companies. So far, empirical evidence that adoption of IFRS also leads to higher earnings quality for voluntary adopters is lacking. IFRS Incentives to adopt: Effects of adoption: Public companies Mandatory Increased earnings quality Private companies Expected benefits Unknown Therefore, the research question is: what is the effect of voluntary IFRS adoption among private companies on the quality of earnings? In other words: has voluntary adoption of IFRS effect on the earnings quality of a private company. So far, little research has been done on the topic. Results have shown that a voluntary adoption of IFRS for private companies in Italy did not lead to lower earnings management (Cameran, Campa, & Pettinicchio, 2008). In line with their findings, Tamosiunas (2012) concludes that for UK private companies, voluntary adoption of IFRS has not led to lower earnings management. These studies have in common that they only focus on one single country, whereas this research also takes cross-country differences into account. It is tested whether the relationship between IFRS and earnings quality differs per country. Finally, it is also tested whether different firm characteristics affect the relationship. 1.3 Contribution For listed companies, the adoption of IFRS was mandatory and the effects of this transition have been well covered by literature. For private companies, the adoption of IFRS is voluntary and a lot of research has been done on the incentives for private companies to switch to IFRS. One area that has not been well covered by research is the effects of voluntary adoption of IFRS on private companies. This research seeks to fill that gap within existing literature by focusing on the relationship between IFRS and earnings quality. 5 Adoption of IFRS is seen as one means of improving quality of financial reporting (Francis J. R., Khurana, Martin, & Pereira, 2008). However, this assertion is only for public companies grounded with empirical evidence. For private companies that seek for increased quality of financial reporting there is no evidence that IFRS adoption would realise that. Since a voluntary adoption of IFRS is costy and complex (Christensen, 2012), the relation between adoption and the quality of financial reporting is an important one to consider in the cost/benefit trade-off. There is great consensus that firms will only voluntarily improve their financial reporting quality when the net benefits of doing so are positive (La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, Shleifer, & Vishny, 1998; Leuz, Nanda, & Wysocki, 2003; Francis, Khurana, & Pereira, 2003; Francis J. R., Khurana, Martin, & Pereira, 2008) 1.4 Structure The remainder is structured as follows: section 2 reviews the literature and hypotheses are developed. Section 3 contains the methodology. Descriptive statistics, main results and additional tests are provided in section 4 and section 5 concludes. Section 2: Literature review and hypotheses development 2.1 Public and private companies If a company is a separate legal entity it distincts from a natural person in that it can only acquire or be subject to a very much more restricted range of rights and liabilities than natural persons. Besides that, a company has the same legal responsibilities as a natural person (Pickering, 1968 ). Between separate legal entities one can define two mainstreams, namely public limited companies and private limited companies. Although both private and public companies have limited liability, separate legal entity and perpetual succession, they have some clear distinctions (Icab Tutorial, 2012). The most important distinction between private and public companies relates to their ability to raise funds from the general public. A public company has an unrestricted right to offer shares or debentures to the public, whereas this is prohibited in the case of a private company. Since only public companies can issue shares to the general public, only they are eligible to be listed (Ball & Shivakumar, 2005). Because public companies are listed, they can transfer its shares easily. In all West6 European legal systems, the trading of private company shares on a public exchange is prohibited (Kalss, 2005). By offering shares to the public, a company can provide liquidity. However, offering shares to the public stipulates corporate governance that imposes generic exogenous controls, so the manager may not attain the desired trade-off between autonomy and the cost of capital (Boot, Gopalan, & Thakor, 2006). In other words, if the decision is made to offer shares to the public, the company raises liquidity at the cost of control. While it is well known that liquidity considerations affect the type of ownership chosen, there is also evidence that managers/entrepreneurs give control issues considerable weight (Boot, Gopalan, & Thakor, 2006). The idea that going public is simply a stage in the growth of a company is outdated. Cross-sectional and cross-country differences indicate that going public is not a stage that all companies eventually reach, but is a choice (Pagano, Panetta, & Zingales, 1998). The question of what motivates companies to go public goes beyond the objective of this research and is therefore left unanswered. 2.2 Private companies and financial reporting Given the fact that there are public limited companies and private limited companies, and given the differences between them, it is interesting to look at how their financial reporting differs. The main focus in this research lies with the role financial reporting fulfills within both public and private companies. Much literature has been written about the functions of financial reporting in public companies, which first will be summarized. After that, we explain to what extent these functions of financial reporting also apply to private companies. Core is to get a clear picture of the role of financial reporting within private companies. Accounting information plays two important roles in market-based economies. First, it allows capital providers to evaluate the return potential from investment opportunities. Second, accounting information allows capital providers to monitor the use of their capital once committed (Beyer, Cohen, Lys, & Walther, 2010). The reporting of information that is useful to rational investors is called the decision usefulness approach (Scott, 2011). The assistance financial reporting provides to capital providers to monitor, is called the stewardship approach (Murphy, O'Connell, & hÓgartaigh, 2013). The decision usefulness approach deals with the problem of adverse selection. Adverse selection occurs because some person, such as firm managers and other insiders, 7 will know more about the current condition and future prospects of the firm than outside investors (Scott, 2011). This information asymmetry makes it difficult for outside capital providers to assess the profitability of the firm’s investment opportunities. This problem is exacerbated because insiders have incentives to exaggerate their firms’ projected profitability to attract capital (Beyer, Cohen, Lys, & Walther, 2010). The decision usefulness approach to financial reporting tries to overcome the problem of information asymmetry. Within decision usefulness, there are two perspectives. The so-called measurement perspective is the more traditional view. The fundamental notion underlying the measurement perspective is that accounting should directly measure and report the basic information required by investors, which is the value of the firm (Hitz, 2007). The information perspective on the other hand takes the view that the form of disclosure does not matter (Scott, 2011). Thus, for the information perspective, in contrast to the measurement perspective, specific accounting representations such as balance sheets, captions and categories such as assets and liabilities are irrelevant (Hitz, 2007). Rational investors are regarded as sufficiently sophisticated on average that they can digest implications of public information from any source (Scott, 2011). The stewardship approach to financial reporting deals with the problem of moral hazard. Moral hazard occurs because of the separation of ownership and control that characterizes most large business entities (Scott, 2011). On the one hand are there investors who own the company and on the other hand managers who exercise control over the company. Because people are generally opportunistic and self-interested, a manager tends not to act in the best interest of the owner (Williamson, 1981). Investors delegate decision making to managers. There may be a demand for information about the action that are taken by the managers, for the purpose of controlling those managers (Gjesdal, 1981). Investors value such information ex-post and require a lower rate of return ex-ante when they can rely on such information (Beyer, Cohen, Lys, & Walther, 2010). Theory implies financial reporting deals with the problem of information asymmetry, which can be separated between adverse selection and moral hazard (Gjesdal, 1981; Beyer, Cohen, Lys, & Walther, 2010; Scott, 2011) However, these are based on public limited companies. However, more than 99 percent of the companies in Europe and in the US are private limited companies and unlisted (Bassimir, 2012). Because private companies are unlisted, there is no separation of ownership and control. The absence of this separation 8 indicates a different role for financial reporting for private companies. When looking at decision usefulness the question arises who are the users of financial statements of private companies and what decisions have to be made (Scott, 2011). These users could be members, contributors, creditors and other users making rational investment, credit and similar decisions (Statement of Financial Accounting Concepts no.1, 1978). Raising capital in public markets has a systematic influence on its incentives to report earnings that reflect economic performance. These incentives to report shape the way in which information asymmetries between firms and key financing parties are resolved (Burgstahler, Hail, & Leuz, 2004). If a firm reports its earnings, a potential creditor does not have to make estimations on its financial positions. This, in turn, decreases the likelihood of an estimation error. The lower the chance of an estimation error, the lower the risk premium the potential creditor charges the firm. In order to raise capital at a lower rate, the firm is required to report financial information properly. The same story could apply to potential customers and suppliers that have to decide whether to do business with the reporting firm. From a stewardship perspective it is questionable if financial reporting plays a role for private companies. As mentioned above, stewardship deals with the problem of moral hazard, which is derived from the separation of ownership and control. For a private company, a separation of ownership and control does not exist. However, in a more broader sense, financial reporting plays an important role because it allows outsiders to monitor firm performance and contractual commitments (Khanna, Palepu, & Srinivasan, 2004). This suggests a stewardship approach that is not only orientated towards investors, but also towards other outsiders such as creditors, suppliers and customers. Everything that is discussed above related to market forces that drive financial reporting. They all mention incentives for firms to report their financial information. However, there are also institutional factors that are of importance. Examples of institutional factors are tax or accounting regimes. Such factors motivate a company to report earnings that reflect economic performance (Burgstahler, Hail, & Leuz, 2004). Information asymmetry, which creates the demand for information production by firms, also creates a demand for regulation of that information production (Scott, 2011). That same regulation of information production also creates more demand for information production. 9 2.3 IFRS and private companies International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are accounting rules issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) with the objective of setting rules that ideally would apply equally to financial reporting by public companies worldwide (Ball R. , 2006). With the decision to mandate IFRS for public companies, the European Union aimed to establish a single set of high quality financial reporting standards well as contribute to the efficient and cost-effective functioning of the capital market (Capkun, Casavan-Jeny, Jeanjean, & Weiss, 2008). The expected benefits for European companies were listed in an EU statement in Brussels, which said that IFRS would help eliminate barriers to cross-border trading by ensuring that company accounts are more reliable, more transparent and more easily compared, which will in turn increase market efficiency and reduce the cost of raising capital for companies, ultimately improving competitiveness and helping to boost growth (Brown, 2011). Logically, the expected benefits could differ from what actually happened. There has been research done on what effects this transition to IFRS had. A lot of support has been found that the transition to IFRS increases quality of earnings for public firms through limitation of managerial discretion, more disclosure, greater transparency, less earnings management, more timely loss recognition, more value relevant accounting numbers and smaller analyst forecast errors (Ashbaugh, 2001; Ashbaugh & Pincus, 2001; Leuz C. , 2003; Barth, Kaufmann, & Stone, 2005). Overall, there has been much research that indicates that the mandatory transition to IFRS has been beneficial to both preparers and users of financial statement. In contrast to public firms, private firms can voluntary adopt IFRS. Private firms have the choice to either adopt IFRS or stick to their local general accepted accounting principles (GAAP). In the previous section we explained that there are market forces and institutional factors that drive financial reporting for private firms. Since the adoption of IFRS is voluntary, the institutional factors can be excluded from determinants that influence the choice to adopt IFRS. However, there are market forces that could drive a company to voluntary switch from local GAAP to IFRS. We give an overview on the research that has been done on the incentives for private firms to voluntary adopt. Because of the absence of institutional factors, firms are making rational decisions on the choice of financial reporting standards through weighting benefits and costs (André, 10 Walton, & Yang, 2012). Therefore, it is reasonable to assume that managers of voluntary adopters view IFRS as their preferred reporting strategy while managers of others do not view it as such (Drake, Myers, & Yao, 2010). The question arises as to why one manager would see adoption of IFRS as beneficial and another would not. While private firms do not have a separation of ownership and management, they still engage in external contracts. As mentoined above, a private company could engage with creditors, suppliers, customers etc. Firms which are actively engaged in external contracting also have incentives to improve the quality of their financial reports in order to reduce information asymmetry and increase decision usefulness, which in turn leads to reduced cost of capital through lower risk premium. An adoption of IFRS is seen as one means of improving quality of financial reporting (Francis J. R., Khurana, Martin, & Pereira, 2008). Bassimir (2012) argues that private firms are more likely to increase earnings quality if they have more growth opportunities, are more leveraged, are younger, are externally rated, seek to raise external capital by issuing public bonds or equity, are registered as a stock corporation, are characterized by private equity involvement, have more international sales and operations, belong to high-tech industries and have a Big Four auditor. André et al (2012) on the other hand define international orientated, leverage, firm size and auditor reputation as most important factors to determine private firm’s choice to increase earnings quality. Altogether, one can conclude that private companies have several incentives to increase earnings quality. Given the fact IFRS is widely recognized as being of higher quality than the domestic standards in most countries (Ashbaugh, 2001), a company must decide whether the benefits of these higher quality compensate for the cost IFRS brings along. Since a voluntary adoption of IFRS is costy and complex (Christensen, 2012), the relation between adoption and the quality of financial reporting is an important one to consider in the cost/benefit trade-off. There is great consensus that firms will only voluntarily improve their financial reporting quality when the net benefits of doing so are positive (La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, Shleifer, & Vishny, 1998; Leuz, Nanda, & Wysocki, 2003; Francis, Khurana, & Pereira, 2003; Francis J. R., Khurana, Martin, & Pereira, 2008) 11 2.4 Hypotheses development The mandatory transition to IFRS for European public firms has been discussed. Research suggests that this transition has had some important benefits, such as that information comparability has increased (Yip & Young, 2012). In general, researchers have concluded that IFRS adoption has led to increased earnings quality for public firms (Soderstrom & Sun, 2007; Capkun, Casavan-Jeny, Jeanjean, & Weiss, 2008; Daske, Hail, Leuz, & Verdi, 2008). As mentioned above, there are private companies that could benefit from higher earnings quality. However, the assumption that IFRS leads to higher earnings quality is based on research at public companies. As also discussed above, there are some major differences between financial reporting for public firms and financial reporting for private firms. Therefore, the question arises whether IFRS has the same effect on private companies as it has for public companies. So far, there has been limited research on the topic. Results from Italy show that IFRS do not contribute to the improvement of earnings quality. (Cameran, Campa, & Pettinicchio, 2008). In the United Kingdom, research shows that adopting of IFRS is not associated with lower earnings management (Tamosiunas, 2012). Hypothesis one therefore reads: H1: Voluntary adoption of International Financial Reporting Standard by private companies leads to higher earnings quality. Private companies have the possibility to voluntarily adopt IFRS. If they choose not to, they have to comply with accounting principles set by their local government. These accounting principles differ per country and therefore the amount of change a firm has to make to comply with IFRS differs. The impact is likely to be smaller in countries that already have high reporting quality or where local GAAP and IFRS are fairly close (Daske, Hail, Leuz, & Verdi, 2008). Based on this fact, ‘Country’ is added as a moderating variable to the former hypothesis. H2: the effect of voluntary adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards by private companies on earnings quality differs per country. Besides that the effect of voluntary adoption could differ per country it could also differ based on firm characteristics. As we noticed, there has been research done on the 12 incentives for private companies to voluntary adopt IFRS. One of the most extensive studies has been conducted by André et al (2012). Their research contains both a literature review and as empirical investigation on firm characteristics that determine the choice of voluntary adoption. Of the ten factors investigated, four of them seem to be a significant determinant for IFRS adoption: Internationally oriented, Capital Structure/Leverage, Size and Auditors’ reputation. One can expect that if a firm characteristic is of significant influence on the decision whether to adopt IFRS or not, the decision is strongly related with the firm characteristic. In other words: since the firm characteristic effects the choice of whether a company voluntarily adopts IFRS, the firm characteristic have to be taken into account when we investigate the effects of voluntary adoption. We follow André et al (2012) by taking three determinants that found to have significant influence on the decision to voluntary adopt IFRS. Subsequently, we examine whether these determinants effect the relationship between adoption of IFRS and earnings quality. We chose Internationally orientated, leverage and size as determinants and discuss them hereafter. Generally, firms operating internationally are more likely 1) to have a much more heterogeneous group of stakeholders; 2) to need to report to various international constituents; 3) to need to improve international customer recognition; and 4) to prefer reducing restatement costs and increasing reporting transparency (André, Walton, & Yang, 2012). Following this, it is assumed that firms operating internationally have more benefits from adopting IFRS and therefore adoption would result in higher earnings quality for them. H3: for more internationally orientated private firms, a voluntary adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards results in higher earnings quality then for less internationally orientated firms. In order to grow, firms often need external capital. If a firm already has a high level of debts, the current lender may use this information advantage when negotiating the refinancing terms (Rajan, 1992). Private companies used to have closely located banks and used to communicate with them in a personal way. However, to decrease their dependency on one bank, private firms may want to use multiple, more distant and impersonal banks. (Petersen & Rajan, 2002). In order to overcome information asymmetry with those banks, firms have the incentive to increase their public information (Bassimir, 2012). Banks can better assess 13 borrower credit quality because they have to make less estimations. In turn, this will decrease estimation errors and thus banks will charge a lower borrowing rate. (Kim, Tsui, & Yi, 2011). More leveraged firms are therefore more inclined to adopt IFRS voluntarily. Based on that fact, it is assumed that more leveraged firms are more affected by voluntarily IFRS adoption, with regard to their earnings quality, and the (directional) hypothesis is: H4: for more leveraged orientated private firms, a voluntary adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards results in higher earnings quality then for less leveraged firms. Literature generally agrees on the fact that bigger firms have more benefits from adopting IFRS then smaller firms. Some arguments are that larger firms are more likely to depend on long-term financing and therefore large firms are more likely to voluntarily adopt better governance structures (Beck, Demirguc, & Maksimovic, 2005). It is also stated that higher level of information disclosure is less costly for larger firms since these are expected to produce this information for internal purposes (Dumontier & Raffournier, 1998). As a result of this, the (directional) hypothesis is: H5: for larger private firms, a voluntary adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards results in higher earnings quality then for smaller private companies. Section 3: Method 3.1 Earnings quality. The dependent variable used in this research is earnings quality, which can be measured in various ways. Indications of earnings quality could be persistence, abnormal accruals, smoothness, timeliness, loss avoidance, investor responsiveness, and external indicators such as restatements and SEC enforcements releases (Dechow, Ge, & Schrand, 2010). For this research, we chose accruals to be most appropriate. The major benefit of accruals is to reduce timing and mismatching problems in the underlying cash flows. However, accruals accomplish this benefit at the cost of making assumptions and estimations about future cash flows, which implies that accruals include errors of estimation or noise (Dechow & 14 Dichev, 2001). The normal accruals are meant to capture adjustments that reflect fundamental performance, while the abnormal accruals are meant to capture distortions induced by application of the accounting rules or earnings management. The general interpretation is that if the “normal” component of accruals is modelled properly, then the abnormal component represents a distortion that is of lower quality (Dechow, Ge, & Schrand, 2010). The quality of accruals and earnings is decreasing in the magnitude of the accrual estimation error. Therefore, the higher the abnormal accruals, the lower the earnings quality (Dechow & Dichev, 2002). Within the field of measurements for abnormal accruals, the Modified Jones model is chosen to be most appropriate for this research, in particular, the version developed by Dechow, Sloan & Sweeney (1995). It elaborates on the Jones Model, which attempts to control for the effect of changes in a firm’s economic circumstances (Jones, 1991). The modification is designed to eliminate the conjectured tendency of the Jones Model to measure discretionary accruals with error when discretion is exercised over revenues (Dechow, Sloan, & Sweeney, 1995). In the Modified Jones model, accruals are defined as: ACC 𝑡-1 = α + β₁ (ΔREV 𝑡 - ΔREC 𝑡) + β₂ PPE 𝑡 + ε 𝑡 Where: ACC 𝑡-1 = Total Accruals in year 𝑡 α = Constant ΔREV 𝑡 = Revenues in year 𝑡 less revenues in year 𝑡-1 scaled by total assets ΔREC 𝑡 = Net receivables in year 𝑡 less net receivables in year 𝑡-1 scaled by total assets PPE 𝑡 = Gross property plant and equipment in year 𝑡 scaled by total assets ε 𝑡 = Residual Total accruals are a function of the change in revenue, adjusted for change in accounts receivable, and the level of property, plant and equipment. The portion of total accruals unexplained by normal operating activities are discretionary/abnormal accruals (Jones, 1991). By computing the portion of total accruals that is nondiscretionary, the residuals (ε in 15 the equation) are the discretionary accruals. First, total accruals is computed for every firm year observation using the balance sheet approach (Jones, 1991): Where TA 𝑡 = ΔCA 𝑡 - ΔCash 𝑡 - ΔCL 𝑡 + ΔDPL 𝑡 - DEP 𝑡 ∆CA 𝑡 = is the change in current assets in year 𝑡 ∆Cash 𝑡 = is the change in cash and cash equivalents in year 𝑡 ∆CL 𝑡 = is the change in current liabilities in year 𝑡 ∆DCL 𝑡 = is the change in debt included in current liabilities in year 𝑡 DEP 𝑡 = is depreciation and amortization expense in year 𝑡 After computing total accruals, for every firm year the constant, change in revenues, change in net receivables and gross property, plant and equipment is computed. Subsequently, by using a least-squares regression with all above mentioned variables, the residuals for every firm year observation are found. These residuals are used as the proxy for earnings quality. 3.2 Model specification As described above, the measurement for earnings quality is computed as the portion of total accruals that are not non-discretionary accruals. The first hypothesis developed is the effect of voluntary adoption of IFRS on earnings quality. In order for the results to be as accurate as possible, only the last year of non-adoption is compared to the first year of adoption. The variable IFRS takes the value of 1 for the first year the annual report is prepared under IFRS and takes the value of 0 for the year preceding the IFRS adoption; the last year of local GAAP reporting. Besides that, the results are controlled for number of subsidiaries, leverage, size, country, and industry. Taken together, the following multiple regression model is computed for hypothesis 1: Hypothesis 1: Earnings Quality 𝑖,𝑡= α+ β₁FIRST 𝑖,𝑡 + β₂IO 𝑖,𝑡 + β₃LEV 𝑖,𝑡 + β₄SIZE 𝑖,𝑡 + β₅COUNTRY 𝑖,𝑡 + β₆IND 𝑖,𝑡 + ε 𝑖,𝑡 The next hypothesis is concerned with the same question, but investigates whether country has a moderating effect on the relationship between the adoption of IFRS and earnings 16 quality. The categorical variable Country can take the value of 1 for Germany, 2 for France and 3 for the United Kingdom. Whereas the variable Country is tested for the moderating effect, the other variables remain as controls, which results in the following model: Hypothesis 2: Earnings Quality 𝑖,𝑡= α+ β₁FIRST 𝑖,𝑡 + β₂COUNTRY 𝑖,𝑡 + β₃IFRS*COUNTRY 𝑖,𝑡 + β₄IO 𝑖,𝑡 + β₅LEV 𝑖,𝑡 + β₆SIZE 𝑖,𝑡 + β₇IND 𝑖,𝑡 + ε 𝑖,𝑡 Hypothesis 3 is also concerned with the relationship between the adoption of IFRS and earnings quality but then looks at any possible moderating effects of firm characteristics on the relationship. Hypothesis 3 takes into account whether a company is internationally orientated, which is measured by the number of subsidiaries a company has. Hypothesis 4 looks at potential differences between high and low leveraged firms. Leverage is measured as total debts divided by total assets. Finally, the effect of firm size on the relationship between IFRS adoption and earnings quality is tested in hypothesis 5. Firm size is measured as number of employees. The preceding results in the following multiple regression models: Hypothesis 3: Earnings quality 𝑖,𝑡= α+ β₁FIRST𝑖,𝑡 + β₂IO 𝑖,𝑡 + β₃IFRS*IO 𝑖,𝑡 + β₄LEV 𝑖,𝑡 + β₅SIZE 𝑖,𝑡 + β₆COUNTRY 𝑖,𝑡 + β₇IND 𝑖,𝑡 + ε 𝑖,𝑡 Hypothesis 4: Earnings quality 𝑖,𝑡= α+ β₁FIRST 𝑖,𝑡 + β₂LEV 𝑖,𝑡 + β₃IFRS*LEV 𝑖,𝑡 + β₄IO 𝑖,𝑡 + β₅SIZE 𝑖,𝑡 + β₆COUNTRY 𝑖,𝑡 + β₇IND 𝑖,𝑡 + ε 𝑖,𝑡 Hypothesis 5: Earnings quality 𝑖,𝑡= α+ β₁FIRST 𝑖,𝑡 + β₂SIZE 𝑖,𝑡 + β₃IFRS*SIZE𝑖,𝑡 + β₄IO 𝑖,𝑡 + β₅LEV 𝑖,𝑡 + β₆COUNTRY 𝑖,𝑡 + β₇IND 𝑖,𝑡 + ε 𝑖,𝑡 Detailed description of the variables can be found in Table 1. 3.3 Data The empirical data that is used for this research is retrieved from Amadeus, Bureau van Dijk. Bureau van Dijk has its expertise in Europe, mainly focussing on private firms. Because of this, Bureau van Dijk was most suitable and provided all necessary information. The data is extracted with a few upfront conditions. First of all, because this research is only concerned with German, French and English private companies, logically only data from those countries is extracted. In order to compare the same kind of companies throughout those three 17 different countries, more legally complex structured companies are excluded. Only simple limited private companies are used: In Germany the “Gesellschaft mit beschränkter Haftung” (GmbH), in France the limited Société Anonyme (S.A.) and in the United Kingdom the Private Limited (Ltd). Secondly, because of the differences in corporate structure, financial and insurance companies are excluded from the data sample. Finally, holdings, annuity holdings and other firms that are not used for operational business are excluded. Besides that, in order to limit our dataset, too small firms are also desired to be excluded. To achieve the above mentioned goals, only firms with a minimum of 100 employees are taken into the dataset. Firm information is extracted from Amadeus, Bureau van Dijk for the period 20042011. This period is forcedly chosen, because Bureau van Dijk only provides complete information over this period. Given the above conditions, over 16,000 unique firms are covered. However, after removing all the firms that 1) had already adopted IFRS in 2004 and 2) have not yet adopted IFRS up until 2011, in total 820 unique firms and 6560 firm-year observations are availabe. Section 4. Results 4.1 Descriptive Statistics The sample contains 820 unique firms that have made a total of 843 transitions to IFRS somewhere between 2004 and 2011. 23 firms made two transitions to IFRS: they adopted IFRS, changed back to local GAAP and adopted IFRS again between 2004 and 2011. In this study, the last year of local GAAP is compared with the first year IFRS. Therefore, there is no need to exclude these 23 second transitions from the sample. Table 2.1 reports how these transitions are distributed between 2004 and 2011. A majority of the transitions took place in the years 2009 (22,78%) and 2010 (40,81%). The question arises why 2009 and 2010 have a relatively high amount of transitions, but that is left for further research. Another substantial part of the transitions took place in 2005, which could relate to the mandating of IFRS for public firms in that year. Within the data sample, which contains 6560 firm-year observations, firms from several industries are represented. Because this research is focused on Europe, the NACE 18 Rev 2 Statistical classification of economic activities in the European Community is used (Eurostat European Commission, 2008). An overview can be found in Table 2.2. Professional, scientific and technical activities are well represented in the sample (23,17%). This classification includes legal, accounting, consulting, architectural, engineering and marketing activities. Subsequently, manufacturing (17,56%)and administrative and support service activities (12,68) also have substantial share of the sample. Twelve of the 21 categories only represent between 0 and 2,5% of the total sample. Table 2.3 shows the sample distribution between countries. Only a minority of the firm year observations originate from Germany (4,15%). France is better represented (19,27%) and the absolute majority of the firm year observations stems from the United Kingdom (76,59%). Table 3.1 reports on the summarize statistics of the dependent variable, which is earnings quality. Besides, the Table also focuses on three more control variables, namely: number of recorded subsidiaries, number of employees and leverage. With regard to the dependent variable, earnings quality, it can be concluded that it is centered around zero, because it averages 0,01 and first and third quartile are respectively -0,05 and 0,08. However, a standard deviation of 0,30 and a minimum and maximum of respectively -10,54 and 2,29 confirm some extreme outliers. The first control variable ‘number of recorded subsidiaries’ ranges from 0 to 741. For our second control variable ‘number of employees’ applies a range from 2 to 391148. These numbers tell something about the nature and diversity of the data sample. The third control variable, the calculated variable ‘leverage’ has a maximum value of 73. This means a firm has 73 times more debt than it has assets, which also implies an extreme outlier. In regression analysis, the presence of outliers in the data set can strongly distort the classical least squares estimator and lead to unreliable results (Verardi & Croux, 2009). As mentioned above, there are indications that our variables contain such outliers. The box plot (figure 1) shows us the presence of outliers in the dependent variable Earnings Quality. A solution to prevent that these outliers distort the results must be found. 19 -10 0 -5 5 EarningsQuality Figure 1: Box plot distribution of earnings quality One possibility is to employ Winsorization, where the lower and upper extreme values are replaced by their nearest neighbours (Barnett & Lewis, 1978). Extreme values increase skewness and kurtosis. Winsorization is a simple procedure for reducing skewness and kurtosis (Shete, et al., 2004). Skewness has to do with the symmetry of the distribution, while kurtosis has to do with the peakedness of a distribution. (Tabachnick & Fidell, 1996). When a distribution is perfectly normal, the values of skewness and kurtosis are zero (Tabachnick & Fidell, 1996). The continuous variables Earnings Quality, Number of recorded subsidiaries, Leverage and Size are winsorized. A P(0,01) level is used, which indicates that for each variable, the upper and lower 1% is replaced by its neighbouring value. This has a major impact on skewness and kurtosis. For example, the kurtosis of Leverage decreased from 3422,10 to 7,19. Table 3.2 provides an overview of the effect winsorizing has on the continuous variables. Table 3.3, which describes the Pearson’s correlation matrix, shows the correlation coefficients between the (winsorized) variables are low. Only the positive association between number of recorded subsidiaries and number of employees is striking (β = .65; p < .01). It seems logic that a company having a greater number of subsidiaries also has a higher number of employees. Leverage also correlates significantly with Earnings quality (β 20 = -.05; p < .01), Number of subsidiaries (β = -.07; p < .01) and Size (β = -0,02; p < .10), but coefficients are rather low. 4.2 Main results In this chapter, we test hypotheses 1 to 5 using least squares regression. The least squares method produces a straight line drawn through the points so that the sum of squared deviations between the points and the line is minimized (Keller, 2008). The models developed in chapter 3, based on the hypotheses explained in chapter 2, are tested using least squares regression. Hereafter, results are discussed. Hypothesis 1 is solely concerned with the effect of a transition to IFRS on earnings quality. Therefore, variables FIRST and earnings quality are regressed using all other variables as controls, following the model for hypothesis 1. Results of testing hypothesis 1 can be found in Table 4.1. The transition to IFRS has a very small positive effect on earnings quality. However, using a 0,10 significance level, the effect is not significant (β = .01; p = 0,615). The low Adjusted R-square value (-0,020) indicates a low explanatory power for the model. Using a 0,10 significance level, none of the control variables has a significant influence on earnings quality. Hypothesis 1 asserted that a transition to IFRS has a positive effect on earnings quality. These results indicate no significant relationship and therefore Hypothesis 1 is rejected. Hypothesis 2 investigates the moderating effect of a particular country on the relationship between transition to IFRS on earnings quality. Table 4.2 shows the results of this regression. It shows that compared to Germany, for France (β = -0,033; p = 0.592) and the United Kingdom (β = -0,076; p = 0.197) the relationship between adoption of IFRS and earnings quality is weaker. However, results indicate that using a 0,10 significance level, no significant differences are evident. In contrast to what hypothesis 2 predicted, no significant difference between countries is found, thus hypothesis 2 must be rejected. This research also investigates the moderating effect of firm characteristics, namely number of subsidiaries, number of employees and leverage, on the relationship between transition to IFRS on earnings quality. Hypothesis 3 examines the moderating effect of number of subsidiaries. It stated that firms having a higher amount of subsidiaries, benefit more from a transition in terms of earnings quality. However, results show there is no interaction effect (β = 0,00; p = 0.99). Therefore, hypothesis 3 must be rejected. Complete 21 results can be found in Table 4.3. Hypothesis 4 assumed that firms with a higher leverage benefit more from a transition in terms of earnings quality. When looking at the results of hypothesis 4, which can be found in Table 4.4, this cannot be confirmed. Results indicates that firms with higher leverage, experience a weaker relationship between transition to IFRS and earnings quality (β = -0,01; p = 0.745). This weaker relationship is not significant. Anyway, the assertion from hypothesis 4 that firms with higher leverage experience a stronger relationship is rejected. Finally, hypothesis 5 states that bigger firms benefit more from transition. The number of employees is regressed as a moderating variable between transition to IFRS and earnings quality. Results can be found in Table 4.5 The moderating coefficient equals zero, which indicates no interaction effect of firm size on the relationship between a transition to IFRS and earnings quality (β = 0,00; p = 0.465). Therefore, hypothesis 5 must also be rejected. 4.3 Additional tests As mentioned above, outliers can strongly distort outcomes and lead to unreliable results. However, there are no indications that these outliers are the result of data entry errors. This means these outliers cannot be excluded without a compelling reason. A good strategy to deal with this problem is the use of robust regression. The idea of robust regression is to weigh the observations differently based on how well behaved these observations are. Roughly speaking, it is a form of weighted and reweighted least squares regression. (Institute for digital research and education, 2006). Robust regression can be used in any situation one would use a least squares regression. In short, the most influential points are dropped, and then cases with large absolute residuals are down-weighted (Institute for digital research and education, 2006). Because of the outliers in earnings quality, the relationship between a transition to IFRS and earnings quality is again regressed using the robust regression method. Table 5 reports the results. Compared to least-squares regression, the relationship between a transition to earnings quality is stronger and, using a 0,10 significance level, significant (β = 0,01; p = 0.07). This means that, using the robust regression method, the transition to IFRS 22 has a significant positive effect on earnings quality. In turn, this means, following the robust regression method, that hypothesis 1 can be accepted. For the main model, the effect of a voluntary transition to IFRS on earnings quality, it could be interesting to use the t-test for independent samples. One independent sample group is the 843 firm year observations that are in their last year of reporting under local GAAP (group 0). The other independent sample group is the 843 firm year observations that report under IFRS for the first year (group 1). A t-test is performed and results are reported in Table 6.1. Group 0 averages -0,001 while group 1 averages 0,005, a mean difference of 0,006. Based on hypothesis 1, it is assumed that the group that adopted IFRS (group 1) averages higher. However, the independent t-test indicates that the alternative hypothesis, where group 1 averages higher than group 0, is not significant (p = 0,286). This suggests there is no significance difference between the sample group that reports under local GAAP and the sample group that reports under IFRS for the first year. The absence of significant difference is in line with the results from the regression, but is in contrast to hypothesis 1. Based on these results, hypothesis 1 is rejected. On the contrary, if an independent t-test is done with the original data, so before winsorization, results differ. Without adjusting for outliers, group 0 averages -0,031 and group 1 averages 0.003, a mean difference of -0.034. An independent t-test indicates that the alternative hypothesis, group 1 averages higher than group 0, is significant (p = 0,07) using a 0,10 significance level. Table 6.2 reports the results. This means, using the original data, there is significant difference between the sample groups and hypothesis 1 can be accepted. Section 5. Concluding comments 5.1 Summary & conclusion At the heart of this study was the question whether a voluntary transition to IFRS by private companies has an effect on earnings quality. It has been extensively studied that the mandatory adoption of IFRS by public companies has led to higher earnings quality. The same effect is assumed for private companies. However, we explained that there are some 23 important differences in financial reporting for public and private companies. the main motivation of this research is the absence of extensive research in this area. It contributes by studying the effects a voluntary transition to IFRS has on the earnings quality for private companies. To achieve this goal, we compared for a private company its last year of reporting under local GAAP with its first year of reporting under IFRS. A total of 843 transitions to IFRS within three countries were examined for their effect on earnings quality. From the empirical results this research provided, we can conclude that a voluntary adoption of IFRS by a private company has only little significant effect on that private firms’ earnings quality. We used least squares regressions to determine the relationship between a transition to IFRS and earnings quality. Earnings quality was determined by using the modified Jones model (Dechow, Sloan, & Sweeney, 1995). Furthermore, we investigate whether the relationship between transitions to IFRS differs per country and for different firm characteristics. Based on the least squares regressions performed with these variables, we did not find significant results. Besides that, we performed additional analysis. Using a robust regression method, the relationship between a transition to IFRS and earnings quality can be confirmed, however with low significance. In line with these results, an independent t-test with our original data also suggests a transition to IFRS has some effect on earnings quality, again with low significance. Altogether, it can be concluded that, based on these results, a voluntary adoption of IFRS only has very little effect on a private companies earnings quality. We provide some indications that a positive relationship between adopting IFRS and earnings quality could be possible, but these indications have low significance. 5.2 Limitations & further research There are some concerns related to the results that should be taken into account. First of all, this research only used one measurement for earnings quality. Among earnings quality measurements are persistence, abnormal accruals, smoothness, timeliness, loss avoidance and investor responsiveness (Dechow, Ge, & Schrand, 2010), while this study only used abnormal accruals. A more appropriate conclusion could be that this study did not find much significant evidence for a relationship between a transition to IFRS and abnormal accruals, instead of earnings quality. It is interesting for further research to look on the 24 effects a transition to IFRS has on the other measurements of earnings quality. Secondly, also the dataset has some limitations. The dataset is dominated by the United Kingdom (77%), while an evenly distributed sample would be more informative. The question why UK firms have adopted IFRS disproportionately is also an interesting topic for further research. For this research, the three largest European economies were chosen, but it could be interesting to also include data from other European countries. Thirdly, this study uses time series data. A time series is a collection of observations of well-defined data items obtained through repeated measurements over time (Australian Bureau of Statistics, 2013). In contrast, a cross-sectional analysis could be performed which would compare companies that have adopted with companies that have not adopted at one point in time and therefore exclude the time factor. Finally, in order to examine the effects of a transition to IFRS, we compared the last year a company reported under local GAAP with the first year a company reports under IFRS. However, research indicates that earnings quality is affected in the transition period due to earnings management (Capkun, Casavan-Jeny, Jeanjean, & Weiss, 2008). The effect of a transition to IFRS on earnings quality might be better measured by looking at the second year after adoption (Pagano, Panetta, & Zingales, 1998). 5.3 Implications As we mentioned before, research indicates that the mandatory adoption of IFRS by public companies has led to increased earnings quality for them. Other research shows that private companies could also benefit from increased earnings quality. However current studies ignore the fact that financial reporting plays a different role for private companies than it does for public companies. Therefore, there is no empirical evidence that, in line with public firms, a voluntary adoption to IFRS also leads to an increase in earnings quality. This research contributes to the existing literature by investigating effects of a voluntary transition to IFRS on earnings quality. Based on our results, the relationship between a transition to IFRS and earnings quality cannot be confirmed. These results can have two different implications for existing literature. On the one hand, one can argue that the differences between public and private companies cause the results for mandatory and voluntary adoption to differ. On the other hand, the different results for mandatory and voluntary adoption could underline the differences between public and private companies. 25 For practitioners, the results could be of potential interest when managers have to make a decision whether to adopt IFRS or not. We explained that managers will do so when the expected net benefits of doing so are positive (Francis J. R., Khurana, Martin, & Pereira, 2008). Studies to public companies conclude that one of the expected benefits is an increase in earnings quality. Results from this study indicate that the increase in earnings quality is not a matter of course. 26 Section 6: Bibliography André, P., Walton, P., & Yang, D. (2012). Voluntary adoption of IFRS: A study of determinants for UK unlisted firms. working paper, 1-39. Ashbaugh, H. (2001). Non-US Firm's Accounting Standards Choice. Journal of Accounting and Public Policy 20, 129-153. Ashbaugh, H., & Pincus, M. (2001). 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The Accounting Review 87 (5), 1767-1789. 30 Section 7: Tables Table 1: Variables Table 1: List of variables Variable name: Explanation: Earnings quality 𝑖,𝑡 Measured as residuals (ε 𝑡) of Dechow’s Modified Jones accrual model: ACC 𝑡-1 = α + β1 (ΔREV 𝑡- ΔREC 𝑡) FIRST 𝑖,𝑡 + β2 PPE 𝑡 + ε 𝑡 Voluntary adoption of IFRS whereas 1=first year of adoption 0=last year of local GAAP IO 𝑖,𝑡 Internationally orientated measured as LEV 𝑖,𝑡 Capital structure measured as total debts SIZE 𝑖,𝑡 Firm size measured by total amount of COUNTRY 𝑖,𝑡 Country in Europe whereas 1=Germany IND 𝑖,𝑡 Industry classified by NACE rev 2 number of subsidiaries divided by total assets employees 2=France and 3=United Kingdom 31 Table 2: Descriptive Statistics: sample distribution Table 2.1: Year of Transition 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Total: Last year local GAAP 167 22 23 17 192 344 78 0 843 First year IFRS 0 167 22 23 17 192 344 78 843 19,8 2,61 2,72 2,02 22,78 40,81 9,26 100% First year IFRS % Table 2.2: Industry Classifications (of total firm year observations) A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U Total: Amount 56 112 1152 104 88 280 624 304 296 696 0 88 1520 832 32 16 88 128 136 0 8 6560 % 0.85 1.71 17.56 10.61 0 1.34 23.17 12.68 0.49 0.24 1.34 1.95 2.07 0 0.12 100% 1.59 1.34 4.27 9.51 4.63 4.51 A: Agriculture, forestry and fishing; B: Mining and quarrying; C: Manufacturing; D: Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply; E: Water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation activities; F: Construction; G: Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles; H: Transportation and storage; I: Accommodation and food service activities; J: Information and communication; K: Financial and insurance activities; L: Real Estate activities; M: Professional, scientific and technical activities; N: Administrative and support service activities; O: Public administration and defence; compulsory social security; P: Education; Q: Human healt and social work activities; R: Arts, entertainment and recreation; S: Other service activities; T: Activities of households as employers; undifferentiated goods- and servicesproducing activities of households; U: Activities of extraterritorial organizations and bodies Table 2.3 Country (of total firm year observations) Germany France United Kingdom Total: Amount 272 1264 5024 6560 % 4.15 19.27 76.59 100% 32 Table 3: Descriptive statistics: summary statistics Table 3.1: Descriptive statistics Variable Obs Earnings Quality 4488 No Recorded subsid. 6560 Employees 5817 Leverage 5913 Mean 0,01 18,25 6506 0.76 St.dev 0,300 59,53 25396 1.09 Q1 -0,05 1 408 0.53 Med 0,01 3 928 0.71 Q3 0,08 12 2799 0.88 Min -10,54 0 2 -0.48 Max 2,29 741 391148 73.67 Table 3.2: Winsorization Variable: Earnings Quality No recorded subsid. Employees Leverage Before winsorization Skewness -13,10 7,50 8,22 52,32 Table 3.3: Pearson’s Correlations Matrix Variable Earnings Quality Earnings Quality 1,00 No recorded subsid. 0,01 Employees 0,01 Leverage -0,05*** Kurtosis 400,39 72,81 86,06 3422,10 After winsorization Skewness -0,65 4,61 5,59 1,26 Kurtosis 7,36 25,80 36,87 7,19 No recorded subsid. Employees Leverage 1,00 0,65*** -0,07*** 1,00 -.0,02* 1,00 ***p < .01 ;**p < .05 ;* p < .10 33 Table 4 Regression output Table 4.1 Regression output hypothesis 1 Source SS df MS Model Residual .142105104 54.9163392 6 1311 .023684184 .041888893 Total 55.0584443 1317 .041805956 EarningsQua~x Coef. FIRST Country1 Subsidiariesx Leveragex Employeesx IndustryM _cons .0056839 -.0031648 .000021 -.0089117 2.79e-08 -.0019685 .0310743 Std. Err. Number of obs F( 6, 1311) Prob > F R-squared Adj R-squared Root MSE t .0112846 .0112082 .0001765 .0198954 4.08e-07 .0012776 .0344393 0.50 -0.28 0.12 -0.45 0.07 -1.54 0.90 P>|t| 0.615 0.778 0.905 0.654 0.946 0.124 0.367 = 1318 = 0.57 = 0.7581 = 0.0026 = -0.0020 = .20467 [95% Conf. Interval] -.016454 -.0251528 -.0003252 -.0479421 -7.72e-07 -.004475 -.0364878 .0278218 .0188231 .0003671 .0301187 8.28e-07 .0005379 .0986364 Table 4.2 Regression output hypothesis 2 Source SS df MS Model Residual .35391564 54.7045286 9 1308 .03932396 .041823034 Total 55.0584443 1317 .041805956 Number of obs F( 9, 1308) Prob > F R-squared Adj R-squared Root MSE = 1318 = 0.94 = 0.4888 = 0.0064 = -0.0004 = .20451 EarningsQual~x Coef. 1.FIRST .0689186 .057903 1.19 0.234 -.0446744 .1825116 Country1 2 3 .0457334 .0541732 .0450951 .0428913 1.01 1.26 0.311 0.207 -.0427332 -.0299701 .1341999 .1383165 FIRST#Country1 1 2 1 3 -.0332946 -.076775 .0621917 .0594162 -0.54 -1.29 0.592 0.197 -.155301 -.1933365 .0887118 .0397865 Subsidiariesx Leveragex Employeesx IndustryM _cons -.0000268 -.0051501 4.81e-08 -.001944 -.0295453 .0001828 .0200662 4.08e-07 .0012773 .0452935 -0.15 -0.26 0.12 -1.52 -0.65 0.883 0.797 0.906 0.128 0.514 -.0003855 -.0445156 -7.53e-07 -.0044497 -.1184012 .0003319 .0342154 8.49e-07 .0005617 .0593107 Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] 34 Table 4.3 Regression output hypothesis 3 Source SS df MS Model Residual .142117173 54.9163271 7 1310 .020302453 .04192086 Total 55.0584443 1317 .041805956 Number of obs F( 7, 1310) Prob > F R-squared Adj R-squared Root MSE Std. Err. t P>|t| = 1318 = 0.48 = 0.8465 = 0.0026 = -0.0027 = .20475 EarningsQualityx Coef. [95% Conf. Interval] 1.FIRST Subsidiariesx .0056035 .0000188 .012242 .0002168 0.46 0.09 0.647 0.931 -.0184126 -.0004064 .0296197 .0004441 FIRST#c.Subsidiariesx 1 4.40e-06 .0002594 0.02 0.986 -.0005045 .0005133 Country1 Leveragex Employeesx IndustryM _cons -.0031636 -.0089071 2.78e-08 -.0019684 .0311067 .0112127 .0199049 4.08e-07 .0012781 .0345052 -0.28 -0.45 0.07 -1.54 0.90 0.778 0.655 0.946 0.124 0.367 -.0251604 -.047956 -7.72e-07 -.0044758 -.0365848 .0188333 .0301418 8.28e-07 .000539 .0987981 Table 4.4 Regression output hypothesis 4 Source SS df MS Model Residual .146549457 54.9118948 7 1310 .020935637 .041917477 Total 55.0584443 1317 .041805956 Std. Err. Number of obs F( 7, 1310) Prob > F R-squared Adj R-squared Root MSE t P>|t| = 1318 = 0.50 = 0.8354 = 0.0027 = -0.0027 = .20474 EarningsQualityx Coef. [95% Conf. Interval] 1.FIRST Leveragex .0148724 -.002089 .0303928 .0288986 0.49 -0.07 0.625 0.942 -.0447515 -.0587815 .0744962 .0546035 FIRST#c.Leveragex 1 -.0125904 .0386663 -0.33 0.745 -.088445 .0632642 Country1 Subsidiariesx Employeesx IndustryM _cons -.0031312 .0000211 2.65e-08 -.0019724 .0260605 .0112125 .0001765 4.08e-07 .0012781 .0377355 -0.28 0.12 0.06 -1.54 0.69 0.780 0.905 0.948 0.123 0.490 -.0251276 -.0003252 -7.74e-07 -.0044798 -.0479681 .0188652 .0003674 8.27e-07 .000535 .1000891 35 Table 4.5 Regression output hypothesis 5 Source SS df MS Model Residual .164485207 54.893959 7 1310 .023497887 .041903786 Total 55.0584443 1317 .041805956 Std. Err. Number of obs F( 7, 1310) Prob > F R-squared Adj R-squared Root MSE t P>|t| = 1318 = 0.56 = 0.7882 = 0.0030 = -0.0023 = .2047 EarningsQualityx Coef. [95% Conf. Interval] 1.FIRST Employeesx .0083627 2.73e-07 .0118669 5.28e-07 0.70 0.52 0.481 0.605 -.0149176 -7.63e-07 .0316429 1.31e-06 FIRST#c.Employeesx 1 -4.58e-07 6.27e-07 -0.73 0.465 -1.69e-06 7.72e-07 Country1 Subsidiariesx Leveragex IndustryM _cons -.0032199 .000016 -.0091371 -.0019672 .0300179 .0112104 .0001766 .0199014 .0012779 .0344757 -0.29 0.09 -0.46 -1.54 0.87 0.774 0.928 0.646 0.124 0.384 -.0252123 -.0003305 -.0481791 -.004474 -.0376157 .0187725 .0003625 .0299049 .0005397 .0976515 36 Table 5: Robustness test Table 5: Robust Regression test Huber Huber Huber Biweight Biweight Biweight iteration iteration iteration iteration iteration iteration 1: 2: 3: 4: 5: 6: maximum maximum maximum maximum maximum maximum difference difference difference differe nce difference difference in in in in in in weights weights weights weights weights weights = = = = = = Robust regression .79956935 .05786964 .00949149 .29382238 .01429939 .00322772 Number of obs = F( 1, 1327) = Prob > F = EarningsQu~x Coef. FIRST _cons .0133652 .0052692 Std. Err. .0074231 .0053487 t 1.80 0.99 P>|t| 0.072 0.325 1329 3.24 0.0720 [95% Conf. Interval] -.001197 -.0052235 .0279274 .015762 37 Table 6: T-test for independent samples Table 6: T-test for Earnings quality (after winsorization) Two-sample t test with equal variances Group Obs Mean 0 1 639 690 combined 1329 diff Std. Err. Std. Dev. -.001684 .0046356 .0083693 .0074821 .2115638 .1965397 -.0181187 -.0100549 .0147508 .0193261 .0015971 .0055917 .203849 -.0093725 .0125667 -.0063196 .0111946 -.0282806 .0156414 diff = mean(0) - mean(1) Ho: diff = 0 Ha: diff < 0 Pr(T < t) = 0.2862 [95% Conf. Interval] t = degrees of freedom = Ha: diff != 0 Pr(|T| > |t|) = 0.5725 -0.5645 1327 Ha: diff > 0 Pr(T > t) = 0.7138 Table 6: T-test for Earnings quality (before winsorization) Two-sample t test with equal variances Group Obs Mean 0 1 639 690 combined 1329 diff Std. Err. Std. Dev. -.0313499 .0026791 .02203 .0096342 .5568853 .2530695 -.07461 -.0162368 .0119103 .021595 -.0136824 .0117186 .4272072 -.0366715 .0093066 -.034029 .0234447 -.0800218 .0119638 diff = mean(0) - mean(1) Ho: diff = 0 Ha: diff < 0 Pr(T < t) = 0.0734 [95% Conf. Interval] t = degrees of freedom = Ha: diff != 0 Pr(|T| > |t|) = 0.1469 -1.4515 1327 Ha: diff > 0 Pr(T > t) = 0.9266 38
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