Economic History Association The Mechanization of Reaping and Mowing in American Agriculture, 1833-1870 Author(s): Alan L. Olmstead Source: The Journal of Economic History, Vol. 35, No. 2 (Jun., 1975), pp. 327-352 Published by: Cambridge University Press on behalf of the Economic History Association Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2119411 . Accessed: 09/05/2011 13:37 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use. Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. 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Cambridge University Press and Economic History Association are collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to The Journal of Economic History. http://www.jstor.org The Mechanizationof Reaping and Mowing in American Agriculture, 1833-1870 INRTODUCTION T HE successfuldemonstration of reapingmachinesby Obed Hussey and Cyrus McCormickin 1833 and 1834 inaugurated a long series of events that eventuallyrevolutionizedthe harvesting of small grains and grasses, drasticallyaltering the lives and productivity of grain farmers. Given the ultimate success and widespread impact of the reaping machine, historianshave long pondered why almost twenty years elapsed between the date when Obed Hussey sold his first machine in 1833 and the first wave of popular acceptance in the mid-1850's. Why did it take twenty years for a significantnumberof farmersto begin to exchangetheir cradles and scythes for reapers and mowers?What importanteconomic and technological factors governed the initial diffusion of this invention?These are importanthistoricalquestions,the answers to which can significantlyinfluenceour broaderperceptionsof the problemof technologicaldiffusion. Of the numerousattempts to answer these questions, none has been so systematicor rigorousas that of Paul David in his widely read and acclaimed article, "The Mechanization of Reaping in The Ante-BellumMidwest."'David first postulatesthat there were no productivity-increasing technologicalchanges,that reaperscould I have benefited from the comments of Wayne Rasmussen, Morton Rothstein, Morgan Sherwood, James Shideler, Hiromitsu Kaneda, Victor Goldberg, William Moss, C. Daniel Vencill, Robert Ankli, Robert Higgs, Rondo Cameron, Richard Rosenberg, and Philip Coelho. Brian Burwell, Richard Bryant, Rory Phillips, Robert Enholm, and James Yerkes assisted in the research. I would aso like to thank Donald Kunitz and his staff at the Higgins Library of Agricultural Technology for their assistance. 1 Paul A. David, "The Mechanization of Reaping in the Ante-Bellum Midwest," in Henry Rosovsky (ed.), Industrialization in Two Systems: Essays in Honor of Alexander Gerschenkron (New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1966), pp. 3-39. (Hereafter cited as David, "Midwest.") Recently David has applied a similar, albeit far more sophisticated, model to explain the diffusion of reapers in Britain. Paul A. David, "The Landscape and the Machine: Technical Interrelatedness,Land Tenure and the Mechanization of the Corn Harvest in Victorian Britain," in Donald N. McCloskey (ed.), Essays on a Mature Economy: Britain after 1840 (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1971), Ap 145-205, and "Discussion 5," pp. 206-214. (Hereafter cited as David, "Britain.) 327 328 Olmstead not be shared or rented and thus representedan indivisible fixed capital investmentto individualfarmers,and that farmersbehaved as if they were profit maximizers.He also implicitly assumes that each farmer'sdecision as to how many acres to plant in small grains was made independentof the reaper.Given these assumptionsand given knowledge of costs, David calculates a break-evenpoint or thresholdsize farmat which adoptionwill take place. He found that in the period 1849-53the gap between the requiredthresholdand the actualaverageacreagein smallgrainswas over twenty-oneacres, but that the gap fell to only five acresby the period 1854-57.It was this precipitousclosing of the gap between the actual and threshold acreage that accounts for the sudden diffusion of reapers in the mid-1850's.This explanation is appealing in part because of its simplicity.David has cut throughthe fog of confusionby explaining the timing and pace of diffusionwithin the context of a simple comparativestatic model which focuses on relativefactor costs. This article argues that we need to reconsiderboth the factors governing diffusion of this invention and the general lessons that have found their way from the reaper literatureinto the broader discussionsof technological change and diffusion. There are two major themes. First, sharing and contracting were economically feasible and widely practiced. Second, a myriad of improvements in reaperdesign profoundlyaffected machine productivityand diffusion. If farmers could share or rent reapers and mowers, then the thresholdargument,as presentlyconstituted,is renderedinoperative. There would still be a break-evenpoint at which it would pay to adopt a reaper, but this threshold would only apply to the total acreage cut by the machine.A reductionin the thresholdresulting from changes in relative factor prices or in the technical parameters of the model would still facilitate adoption,but one could no longer explaindiffusionby comparingthe thresholdwith the actual acreagein small grainson each farm. An alternative argumentto explain the diffusion of reapers requires that we fuse the essential elements of David's model with the emphasisthat Hutchinson,Rogin, Ardrey,and othersplaced on technologicalchange.2If we combine David'sAmericanand British 2 William T. Hutchinson, Cyrus Hall McCormick: Seed-Time, 1809-1856 (New York & London: The Century Co., 1930), (hereafter cited as Hutchinson, Seed); Reaping and Mowing 329 studies, we must conclude that there were no significanttechnological advances in what he calls the "basicreaper"between 1833 and the 1870's.This assumption probablyhas been the single most importantconclusion to find its way from the reaper literatureto more general discussionsof technologicaldiffusion.The example of the reaperhas become the economichistorians'best paradigmof delayed diffusion:the machinewas born fully developed, only to wait in the wings for twenty years before changingfactor costs led to its diffusion.Rosenberg,who perhaps more than any other economic historian has perceived the importance of changing supply conditions and in particulartechnical refinementsin explaining diffusion, actually singles out the reaper as a counter example of the general trend. "[David's]study derives much interest from the historical fact that the mechanical reaper had been available for twenty yearsbefore the suddenbeginningof its rapid adoptionafter 1853."3What started as an unsupportedassumptionhas grown into an "historicalfact,"even thoughit is in direct contradictionwith the neglected opinion of the extremelyknowledgeablehistorianswho emphasizedhow a host of technical changes transformedan experimentally crude, heavy, unwieldy, and unreliableprototype of the 1830'sinto the relativelyfinely engineeredmachineryof the 1860's. To understandthe delayed diffusionof the reaperrequiresthat more emphasis be placed on improved reaper design, which increased machine longevity, versatility, and productivity and reduced the risks and uncertainty of breakdowns. Before turningto these twin themes of sharingand technological change, it is worth considering a narrowerquestion. Within the comparativestatic frameworkhow sensitive are the thresholdcalculations to changes in parametervalues? If minor variationsin key parametershave a substantialimpact on thresholdcalculations,then William T. Hutchinson, Cyrus Hall McCormick: Harvest, 1856-1884 (New York: D. Appleton-Century Company, Inc., 1935), (hereafter cited as Hutchinson, Harvest); Leo Rogin, The Introduction of Farm Machinery in Relation to the Productivity of Labor in the Agriculture of the United States During the Nineteenth Century (Berkeley, California: University of California Press, 1931); R. L. Ardrey, American Farm Implements: A Review of Invention and Development in the Agricultural Implement Industry of the United States (Chicago: by the author, 1894). 3 Nathan Rosenberg, Technology and American Economic Growth (New York: Harper and Row, 1972), p. 132, fn. 26. Also see p. 169, fn. 74, and Robert William Fogel, "The New Economic History: Its Findings and Methods," The Economic History Review., XIX (December 1966), 649. 330 Olmstead it is necessaryto criticallyevaluate these parametersin light of the extant historicalevidence. THRESHOLD SENSIVrrITY Figure 1 offersan indicationof the sensitivityof thresholdvalues to changes in two parameters.Lines T1 and T2 illustratehow the thresholdfarm size varies with changes in the depreciationparameter (d) for periods I (1849-53 and II (1854-57) respectively. FIGURE 1 THRESHOLD SENSITIVITY TO CHANGES IN THE RATE OF INTEREST AND THE DEPRECIATION PERIODa WI W2 T, T, T 1854-1857 0.20 g 015 Y79 ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ //o \ ^ // T eT(5 yrs.) E 0.15 o / Source: /ee 0.10 (10 yrs.)/ /A 1849-1853 0.05/ // 30 50 70 90 Threshold(Acres) a T. and T2 assume a rate of interest of 6 percent. T.3 and T4 assume a rate of interest of 10 percent. Points A and B denote David's threshold calculations. WI. and W2 show the average acreage in small grains on farms in selected Illinois counties at the beginning and end of the 1850's respectively. Source: See text and David, "Midwest," pp. 28-37. Reaping and Mowing 331 Lines T3 and T4 also show the relationshipbetween the threshold and the depreciationparameterbut assume an interest rate (r) of ten percent instead of the six percent rate used by David. Points A and B denote David's calculations (using d = .10 and r =6 percent). Points Y and Z denote what appearto be at least as plausible calculations(using d .20 and r = 10 percent). It can readily be seen that with these adjustmentsthe thresholdsmore than double in both periods. Even more noteworthy,the revised period II calculation pertainingto a period when reapers were being adopted results in a gap between the actual acreage and the threshold of almost forty acres. This gap is more than twice as large as David found in period I, and about eight times that found in period II. Given the magnitudeof these discrepanciesand their adverseimplicationsfor the accepted explanationof reaperdiffusion,it would be useful to investigatemore thoroughlythe questionsof what the usual life of a reaperwas, and what the relevant discountrate was. The estimatethat the useful life of a reaperwas ten yearsrests upon two sources-Hutchinson and Rogin.4Hutchinsonnotes that "With good care the reaperwould harvest one hundred acres per year for ten years,"but elsewherehe claims that reapershad "a life of from five to ten years. . . ." More important, Hutchinson is explicit in notingthat reapersoften did not receive the "goodcare"requiredfor a life of ten years.5Rogin states "thata machine even at that time lasted very close to ten years. . . ."6 But his remark refers to the decades of the 1870'sand 1880's,a period when the machinery,the farmer'sknowledgeof its use, and the conditionof the terrainupon which it was run bore little resemblanceto the conditionsthat prevailed duringthe period in question-the 1830's,1840'sand 1850's. A study of contemporaryaccounts and documentsuncovers numerouscitationssuggestingthat the useful life of a reaperor mower was typically closer to five years or less. The lowest estimate is reported by Danhof who, citing contemporaryfarm journals,claims that the averageuseful life of machinessold before 1850 was about two years.7In 1856 the executive committee of the Illinois State AgriculturalSociety assumedthat the better reaperswere "goodfor 4 David, "Midwest,"p. 33. 5 Hutchinson, Seed, pp. 73, 311, 471, and 365. 6 Rogin, Farm Machinery, p. 95 and fn. 145. 7 Clarence H. Danhof, Changes in Agriculture: the Northern United States, 18201870 (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1969), p. 235. Danhof cites the Rural New Yorker,XII (1861), p. 382; XIII (1862), p. 390. 332 Olmstead five years' wear."8 The judges presiding over the Auburn mower and reaper trials held in 1866, after investigating the issue, noted that "we have ascertained that the average life or duration of a mowing machine is five years."9The Auburn report's estimate was widely quoted by knowledgeable agricultural observers as representing the average life of both mowers and reapers. In 1866 the editors of The Journalof the New-YorkState AgriculturalSociety referring to both reapers and mowers asserted that ". . . it is known . . . that the average life of a machine is four years."'0 Perhaps the most compelling testimony concerning the expected average life of reapers and mowers is offered by Walter A. Wood who regularly estimated that his machines lasted four years." A reevaluation of the questions surrounding the interest rate requires much less archival digging. At first glance the issue appears straightforward. Relying on Hutchinson, David reports that the "Selection of an appropriate rate of interest proves to be simple. It appears that the McCormick Company charged farmers a standard rate of 6 percent on the unpaid balance of their reaper notes throughout the 1850's."12 This is indeed a reasonable interpretation of Hutchinson, and it has been universally subscribed to by historians of the period. But a reading of the sources used by Hutchinson reveals that farmers typically paid a marginal interest rate far in excess of six percent.'3 McCormick advertisements in the early 1850's generally listed the price as "$115 if cash is paid on delivery . . . or $120 when $30 is paid on delivery as above and the balance on the 1st December next, with six per cent interest after 1st July next."'4When the extra $5 "service charge" is subtracted from the price and added to the interest, where it properly belongs, the actual rate of interest be8 Illinois State Agricultural Society, Transactions for 1856-57, II (Springfield: Lanphier and Walker, 1857), p. 120. On pages 21 and 22 the committee again assumes a five-year lifespan. 9 "Trial of Mowers and Reapers [at Auburn]," in New York State Agricultural Society, Transactionsfor 1866, XXVI (Albany: Van Benthuysen & Sons, 1867), p. 342. (Hereafter cited as: "Auburn.") 10 The Journal of the New-York State Agricultural Society, XVI, August 1866, p. 67. 11 For example see Walter A. Wood Mowing and Reaping Machinery Co., Circular For the Year 1870 (New York City: Benjamin D. Brown, 1870), p. 53. Similar estimates are found in earlier circulars. 12 David, "Midwest,"p. 33. 13 See Hutchinson, Seed, pp. 362-63, p. 337, fn. 31, and p. 369; Harvest, pp. 71-75. 14 An 1849 advertisement similar to others found in the early 1850's is reproduced in Hutchinson, Seed, opposite p. 330. Reaping and Mowing 333 comes nineteen percent A brief look at the practices of two other manufacturersshows that they charged even higher rates. In 1860 the interestrate implied in Manny advertisementswas twenty-nine percent, and in the period between 1855 and 1857 the rate implied in Atkin'sadvertisementsranged between thirty-sixand forty-eight percent5 Since McCormickoften offered extra discounts on cash sales,it is possiblethat the true interestrate he chargedon occasions approachedthose demandedby his competitors. The selection of an appropriatediscount rate is further complicated because Hutchinsoninformsus that if the originalloans were not repaid when due at the end of five or six months (and many were not), McCormickgenerally renewed the loan at an interest rate of ten percent.'6AssumingHutchinson'scalculationsare accurate, the appropriatediscount rate would become ten percent. A final point of considerableimportanceis that for many farmersthe purchase of a reaper necessitated complementarycapital investments-an extra horse, land clearing, fencing, and so on. In such cases one must considerthe total investmentpackage.The marginal interestrate on the complementarycapital most likely exceeded ten percent and this higher rate, whateverit may have been, would become the appropriatediscountrate for the entirepackage. In light of this reevaluationthe credit practices of early reaper manufacturersappearmuch less novel than has hitherto been supposed. The accepted view, that McCormickand other producers supplied loans at or below their own opportunitycost of funds and substantiallybelow prevailingruralinterest rates rests upon a miscalculationof the true interestrate and must be discarded.The findings presentedabove also suggest that precise thresholdcalculations are fraughtwith uncertainty.Reservationssimilarto those raised in this section could be stated of every variableand parameterin the thresholdequationexcept one (the price of the reaperis fairly well agreed upon). The net impact of changes in these other variables 15 For example, in 1860 Manny listed the f.o.b. cash price as $135 or terms of $50 cash (which is assumed to be paid on July 1), $50 on November 1 and $45 on January 1. These terms imply an interest rate of 29 percent. The Northwestern Farmer, V (June 1860), p. 238. 16 This is the figure cited in Hutchinson, Harvest, p. 74. We do not know how it was calculated, and the true rate may have been substantially higher. 17 Robert Ankli has convincingly raised such reservations about the wage rate and the labor saving (or productivity) or the machine. See Robert Ankli, "The Coming of the Reaper," unpublished manuscript, Department of Economics, University of Guelph. Ankli has independently developed many of the ideas explored in this paper. 334 Olmstead is at best uncertain,but the fact that apparentlyreasonablerevisions in just two parameters(a life of five years, and an interest rate of nineteen percent) generatethresholdsof approximately100 and 80 acres in periods I and II respectivelyhas ominousimplicationsfor the future usefulnessof the thresholdmodel.'8To be sure, there is a closing of the gap (from about seventy-fiveacres to about fifty acres), but we are still left with a vast schism almost ten times as large as that which emerged from David's period II calculations. Given these reservationsit behooves us to examinemore closely the assumptionsunderlyingthe model and searchfor an alternativeexplanationfor the belated adoptionof reapers. REAPER SHARING AND CONTRACTING One method by which farmerscould have drasticallynarrowed the gap between their actual acreage and the threshold (however wide this gap might have been) was to participatein sharingand contractingarrangements.A substantialbody of evidence indicates that a greatmany farmerstook advantageof this method,but before examiningthis evidence,it would be useful to raisetwo relatedissues that are crucialto the thresholdargumentbut which have gone unanalyzed. First, the argumentrequires that the actual acreage in small grains be an independent variable, the increase of which partlyexplainsthe diffusionof reapersand mowers.To date, neither evidence nor logical argument has been offered to support this particularline of causalityinstead of the alternativepossibilitythat the advent of better reapers induced farmers to increase their acreage."9The actual resolutionof this issue is complicatedby the strong possibility that farmersincreased their acreage in anticipation of purchasing a reaper. In such instances the arrival of the 18 It is difficult to make precise statements of these revised thresholds since using the higher interest rate requires a reduction in the initial price. Since the prices used by David included an unknown proportion of both cash and credit sales, it is impossible to determine how much of an adjustment is needed. In any case the threshold calculations are not very sensitive to small changes in machine prices. 19 There are numerous accounts suggesting this latter line of causality. For example, "They [mowers and reapers] have placed the farmer above the contingency of finding extra hands for securing his crops at a critical juncture, and on this account can extend his breadth of sowing with the confidence of being able to secure what he raises." J. J. Thomas, "Farm Implements and Machinery,"in Report of the Commissioner of Agriculture for the Year 1862 (Washington, D.C.: G.P.O., 1863), p. 421; see also Hutchinson, Harvest, p. 76. Reaping and Mowing 335 reaperwould follow the acreageincreasebut still be a cause of the increase. Assumingthat the above caveat proves unfounded-that is, the acreage in small grains was in fact determined independently of reapers,a second imposingissue must be raised.What were the distributionsaroundthe two means reportedfor farms in selected Illinois counties?Without ancillaryassumptionsabout the distribution functionof the acreagearoundthese means (assumingthese samples are representativeof other grain-producingareas), David's model leaves open the possibilitythat no farmercould have benefitedfrom the introductionof the hand-rakereaper from 1833 to 1860. This would be the case with distributionstightly skewed around the means.Alternatively,with other distributionsthere could have been several times as many farms exceeding the threshold acreage (in grains) as there were reapersin use. In either case one would want to searchbeyond the accepted explanation.20 These issues, althoughof conceptualinterest, take a back seat to the moreimportantquestionof whetheror not there was widespread sharingand renting.David arguesthat "In the apparentabsence of feasible cooperativearrangementsfor sharingthe use of harvesting machinery among farms at this time the reaping machine itself constitutedan indivisibleinput for the farmer."'21This argumentis particularlyinteresting because it runs counter to the economist's usual proclivityto assume that side marketswill arise unless faced by well-specified institutional or technological constraints which cause marketfailure.It is thus necessaryto show that such barriers did in fact exist. There is little evidence of commercialrenting of reaping and mowing machines, or commercialgrain harvesting by horsepower, such as developed in connection with the use of the large breaking-plowson the prairies during the 1850's. Neighbors may well have shared the use of a reaping machine owned by one farmer, compensatingthe owner on an informal basis, but, some inquiry into contemporaryaccounts, farm newspapers, and such sources does not suggest that this was commonpractise.... The fact that the maximumcutting capacity of the early machines was not very large, especially when the time constraint 20 For an excellent discussion of the importance of the size distribution of farms in telling the story of reaper adoption in Canada see Richard Pomfret, "The Introduction of the Mechanical Reaper in Ontario, 1850-70," mimeographed paper delivered at the Cliometrics Conference, Madison, Wisconsin, April 1974. 21 David, "Midwest,"p. 16. 336 Olmstead on harvesting in any given locale is taken into consideration, coupled with the high costs of overland transport for a bulky machine weighing upwards of a half a ton, would appear to have militated against operating a profitable itinerant commercialreaping enterprise during the ante-bellum era. The time constraint seems the crucial factor, since it was not present to the same degree either in prairie breaking operations or in post-harvest tasks such as threshing and corn shelling; the former became established on a commercial basis, while sharing of equipment among neighbors was not unusual in the latter cases. Furthermore,as a consequence of the time constraint, the problems of deciding who was to have priority of use of a jointly owned reaper would have required the owners (users) to form some compensationarrangement, equivalent to an output pool or a profit pool. The economic, not to mention the political and sociological consequencesof a reorganizationof independent small farms into such pooling arrangementswould have profoundly altered the course of agrarianhistory in the United States.22 A numberof scholarshave recognized that if machines could be shared,therebymakingtheir services divisible, the thresholdmodel would lose much of its appeal. Lance Davis and Alan Bogue have made this point quite forcefully,but they only offeredhints of actual evidence. Davis cites Bogue: "I gave this problem to a graduate student one morningat eight o'clockand he was back in my office by ten with a long list of cooperativepurchases."23 The student's list came from McCormicksales records.Admittedly,a quotationof a colleague citing an anonymousgraduatestudent referringto the McCormickcollectionis not a standardform of scholarlyreference, and one would like to ask severalquestionsconcerningthe representative natureof the student'slist. Notwithstandingthese minorobjections, one reasonablycould expect the proponentsof the threshold model to investigatethis evidence, but such has not been the case, for subsequentlythe thresholdmodel has been widely reproduced and extended to explaindiffusionin other countries.In a discussion dealing with the diffusionof reapersin Britain,a numberof noted scholarsrecognizedthe potentialimportanceof cooperativeuse, but David repeatedly asserted that reaperswere not shared or rented because of "high transactionscosts," the "cost of negotiationsand of forming a market,"and the cost of moving the reaperfrom one farm to another.24He also noted that "Thebroaderquestionof why Ibid., pp. 16-17, fn. 27. Lance E. Davis, "'And It Will Never Be Literature': The New Economic History: A Critique,"Explorationsin EntrepreneurialHistory, 2nd series, VI (Fall 1968), 87-88. 24 David, "Britain,"pp. 214-15. 22 23 Reaping and Mowing 337 there were no reaping contractorsis an intriguingone," and added that "thedifficulty[with tryingto measurethe transactionscost] was that there were no reapingcontractingfirmsin existence and therefore no firmswhose books can be examined to establish how high they were."At this junctureit is necessaryto emphasizethat all the argumentsdenying the possibility of cooperativearrangementsare ex post rationalizationsto explain the fact that no direct evidence exists. These rationalizationsdo not themselvesconstituteevidence, for no informationwhatsoeverpertainingto transactionscosts, and so on, has been presented. In the face of direct evidence showing cooperativeuse the rationalizationsbecome vacuous. With this in mind it seems desirableto examine more thoroughlythe available historicaldocuments. An indicationof the pervasivenessof legal joint-ownershipcan be gleaned from the records of the McCormickCompany.25Random samplesof all McCormicksales in 1854 and 1859 show that in both years approximatelyone out of every four reapers sold was purchased jointly by two or more individuals. In the overwhelming majorityof cases the individualsdid not have the same last name. An in-depth investigation indicates that the above figure underestimates the importanceof sharing in the Midwest because the frequency of joint purchases varied sharply between regions. In the more developed states (such as Virginia, Pennsylvania, and Ohio) relatively few machines were purchasedjointly. But in the newly settled states of the Midwest-including Illinois, Iowa, and Wisconsin-over thirty percent of all McCormickreapers were jointlypurchased.In some areasjoint ownershipwas very common. For example, in 1854 the McCormickagency in Cordova, Illinois (William Marshall& Son) sold 241 reapers in Iowa and Illinois; ninety-four of these, or thirty-nine percent, were purchased jointly. In 1858 this agency sold 536 machines-over forty percent were jointly purchased. In 1858 the Wisconsin agency of Isaac G. Porter &Company sold thirty-four machines-fifty-five percent were jointly purchased. Over forty-one percent of the 255 machines sold in 1859 by Fish & Elliot in Iowa were purchased jointly. The facts are un25 The following discussion is based on data found in McCormick Company ledgers entitled "Reaper Sales," for the years 1854, 1858, 1859, the McCormick Collection in the Wisconsin State Historical Society Library. A random sample shows that 24 percent in 1854 and 23 percent in 1859 of the reapers were jointly purchased. Cases where one of the individuals was identified as a financial backer securing the note of the other were tabulated as single rather than joint purchases, 338 Olmstead deniable: not only was there widespreadjoint ownership,but this form of sharing was most common in the Midwest. The point to emphasizeis that the McCormicksamplesdeal with machineslegally purchasedby two or more farmers.A multitude of other sources indicate that this method of sharingmay have been far less common than contractingand informalsharingamong neighbors.An examination of farmers'diaries,letters and memoirs,company advertisements, state agriculturalreports,journals,and agriculturalhistories reveals hundredsof referencesto contractingand informalsharing but only a few referencesto formaljoint ownershipof the type reflected in the McCormicksamples. A search of farmers' diaries, letters, and autobiographiesuncovered twenty-three documents that mentioned reapers and/or mowers. In many instances the references were very brief, comprisingonly one or two sentences.In thirteen there is explicit mention of sharingor contracting,in three cases it is uncertainwhether or not the machineswere shared, and in seven cases there was no mentionof cooperativeuse. Only one mentionedformaljoint ownership, and none explicitly denied that the machineswere shared or rented.A few excerptsfromthese accountswill be most illuminating. The followingsegmentfromthe diaryof BenjaminF. Gue illustrates the apparentease with which he moved his Atkins self-rakerfrom one farm to anotherin Iowa during the harvest of 1855.26 July Mon.Jy. 2, was warm.I went down to Davenportafter our reaper.Got it, AtkinsSelf Rakerpaid $180.00to Jacksonthe agentand $5.00 freight, 60 cents ferriage.Cameout to the brickhouse and put up. Borrowed $90 fromF.J.ParkerforJo. * * * Wed. Jy. 11, was hot. A little past noon a tremendousstormof wind and rainand hail cameover us and did an immenseamountof damageto kindsof crops. wheatandcornand~all Thurs.Jy. 12, was hot. In the afternoonI tookthe Reaperup to Jerryswheat. Fri. Jy. 13, was hot. We startedthe Reaperin Jerryswheat. The Reaper workedwell. Sat.Jy. 14, we finishedJerryswheat,got throughabout6 o'clock. Sun.Jy. 15, waswarm,wentoverto Jos. Mon.-Wed.Jy. 16-18,cut wheatforJo. Thurs.Jy. 19, movedthe Reaperdownto JacksonParkersand cut 1/2 day. 26 Earle D. Ross (ed.), Diary of Benjamin F. Gue in Rural New York and Pioneer Iowa; 1847-1856 (Ames, Iowa: Iowa State University Press, 1962), p. 128. Reaping and Mowing 339 Fri. Jy. 20, was rainy, cut part of day. Sat. Jy. 21, moved the Reaperdown to my place and cut for me. Sun.-Mon.Jy. 22-23, cut for Jackson. Tues.-Wed.Jy. 24-25, was warm, cut wheat for myself. Thurs.Jy. 26, finishedmy wheat. Fri.-Sat.Jy. 27-28, Began Jos wheat. Sun. Jy. 29, cut for old Van.... Mon. Jy. 30, Jo cut wheat ?V2 day and for me ?2 day. Tues. Jy. 31, Finished my wheat at 9 oclock and moved up to Jacksonsand cut the rest of the day. August Wed. Aug. 1, was rainy all day. Thurs.Aug. 2, Finished cutting for Jackson. Fri. Aug. 3, cut for Tyler. In all, Guereapedon six differentfarmsmakingat least eleven moves fromone farmto another. Similaraccounts are found in the diary of Mitchell Y. Jackson who bought a Mannyin 1856. Jacksonregularlymowed and reaped for himself, for his brother-in-lawOliver Caldwell, and for his brother A. E. Jackson. In 1861 Mitchell Jacksonbought a "New Yorker"self-rakingreaper and agreed to harvest eighty acres for another neighbor on a contract basis.27Given the concern about prohibitivelyhigh transportcosts it is worth noting that these farms were not all contiguous.CharlesMarsh,the inventorof the Marsh Harvester,matter-of-factlyrecalls that "In 1855 our grain was cut by an Atkins self-raker hired for that purpose . . . , and in '56, in connectionwith a neighbor, [we] purchaseda Manny reaper. ... Marsh'sfarm was in IlliNext year we bought out our neighbor."28 nois. MarionDrury notes that in Iowa in the mid-1850'shis grandfather"boughtthe firstreaperof this kind [a McCormick]introduced in our community,and for some years it was used to cut the grain on a numberof neighboringfarms."29 These accounts are buttressed by Rodney Loehr's observation that a Minnesotafarmer"aslate as 1865 . . . traveledabout reaping 27 See Rodney C. Loehr (ed.), Minnesota Farmers' Diaries: William R. Brown 1845-46; Mitchell Y. Jackson, 185263 (St. Paul: The Minnesota Historical Society, 1939), pp. 183-84, 194, 203-205. 28 Charles W. Marsh, Recollections 1837-1910 (Chicago: Farm Implement News Company, 1910), p. 80. 29 Marion R. Drury, Reminiscences of Early Days in Iowa (Toledo, Iowa: Toledo Chronicle Press, 1931), p. 21. 340 Olmstead his neighbors'grain for a dollar an acre without horses for a dollar and a quarter an acre if he furnished both horses and reaper."30 Loehr, who has probably studied most of the known diaries of Minnesotafarmershas made the general observationthat "since few settlers could affordthem, the fortunatefew cut grain by the acre for their neighbors."'31 Company advertisementsoffer substantial support for Loehr's conclusion that reapers and mowers were frequently shared and rented. McCormick, Manny, Wood, Ketchum, Atkins, Hussey, Brown, Easterly, Miller and numerous other manufacturersdistributed literature referring to the cooperative use of their machines.32A statementfound in an 1856 pamphlet published by the Illinois Central Railroad is particularlysignificant because of its apparentgenerality: Reapingmachinesare almostaltogetherused at the West. They cost $125. Theywill cut fourteenacresof wheatper day. Contractsfor reapingare made at 621/2 cents per acre. The contractorfurnishesa driver,rakerand horses, andthe farmerfindsbindersandshockers.33 Finally, there are actually published records describing in considerable detail the activities of several mowing contractors in Massachusettsin 1855. For example,between July 3 and September 20, 1855 WilliamF. Portermowed on twelve differentfarms spread 30 Rodney C. Loehr, "Some Sources for Northwest History; Minnesota Farmers' Diaries," Minnesota History, XVIII (September 1937), 290. 31 Loehr, Brown and Jackson, p. 17. Earle Ross makes a similar observation refering to Iowa in the 1850's. See Earle D. Ross, Iowa Agriculture: An Historical Survey (Iowa City: The State Historical Society of Iowa, 1951), p. 44. 32 The following examples represent only a small sampling of the statements found in advertisements and catalogues. An 1849 McCormick advertisement states: "Many farmers who have purchased one have earned its cost in one year in harvest- ing for their neighbors . .. ," The Wisconsin Farmer and Northwestern Cultivator, I (June 1, 1849), 144b. A similar claim is found in an advertisement reproduced-in Hutchinson, Seed, opposite p. 330. An 1853 Ketchum advertisement quotes D. W. Schoonmakerof Seneca, New York: "I go round mowing; there has not been a day since I commenced mowing but I have from five to ten persons after me to mow. I have mowed in four towns . . . ," Ruggles, Nourse, Mason, & Co.: Catalog for 1853 (Worcester, Mass., 1853), p. 80. In an 1861 Manny circular R. W. Whiting notes that "I had the pleasure of using one of your Manny Machines last year upon my own and on some fifteen other farms in this town . . . ," Alzirus Brown, Manny's Patent Combined Mower and Reaper (Worcester, Mass., catalog for 1861), p. 11. 33 The Illinois Central Railroad Company, Farming and Wood Lands . . . (New York: John W. Amerman, 1856), p. 16. Bidwell and Falconer cite 62 1/2 cents per acre as the cost of hiring a mower in 1858. See Percy W. Bidwell and John I. Falconer, History of Agriculturein the Northern United States, 1620-1860 (Washington: Carnegie Institute, 1925), p. 296. Reaping and Mowing 341 acrossfour townships.Porternever spent more than parts of three days in sucession on any one farm. He often mowed on two farms the same day, and he frequentlyreturnedto farmson which he had previously worked-in some cases as many as three times. He mowed as little as one acre and as much as fifteen acres before moving on to anotherfarm. His account shows that he moved his machine between farms at least twenty-one times.84 To this point, discussionof sharingand contractinghas only dealt explicitly with a subset of the relevant cooperative arrangements. Assume FarmerJones rents his reaper to Farmer Smith. For purposes of analysis we could view this transactionfrom a different perspective: Farmer Smith has rented his land to Farmer Jones. Land leasing and sharingarrangementsofferedanothermethod for farmersto spread the fixed costs of a reaper and thereby capture the scale economiesit afforded. In all, we have detailedreferencesto men whomwe can reasonably describe as reaping and mowing contractorsoperating in Iowa, Illinois,Wisconsin,Minnesota,and Massachusettsduringthe 1850's and 1860's. Statementspublished in company brochurestestify to the existenceof contractorsin most northernstates. The evidence of widespreadcooperativeuse of harvestingequipmentraisesa number of interestingquestionspertainingto the combinedimpactof institutional organization,sociologicalrelationships,and market development on technologicaldiffusion.Was sharingmoreprevalentin some regionsthan in others and if so, why? What institutionaland social arrangementsarose to help farmershedge on risks and lessen the transactionscosts inherent in sharing arrangements?What were some of the proceduresof contractorsoperatingin an entirely new market,the extent of which was seriouslyrestrictedby the combined effects of the state of the arts, the length of the harvest, and the threat of bad weather?Did the potential for sharingincrease over 34 "Farm Implements: Reports of the Committee on Mowing Machines," in Charles L. Flint (ed.), Abstracts of Returns of the Agricultural Societies of Massachusetts, 1855 (Boston: William White, 1856), pp. 125-176, esp. pp. 156-157. Within these pages are also several related county society reports on mowers. Although this paper only touches on British sources there is at least some evidence of similar sharing behavior there. "A considerable number of these machines [reapers] have been worked on large farms, their price and bulk rendering them comparatively inapplicable to smaller farms. This objection is, however, obviated . . . by persons letting them out to hire, the farmer supplying the horses to work the machines, and the owner sending a man to attend to it whilst working. On some estates the landlords have purchased them, to afford their tenantry an opportunity of hiring." Journal of the Royal Agricultural Society, XX (1861), 127. 342 Olmstead time thus contributingto diffusion?Resolutionof these questions may have a critical bearing on our understandingof the diffusion process,but without more researchonly tentative statementsare in order. From the McCormicksales records it appears that cooperative purchases,althoughcommonto all regions,were most prevalentin developing areaswhere reaperswere firstbeing introduced.As the area matured,and as farmersbegan replacing their machines, the importanceof joint purchases declined. This hypothesis conforms both with literary descriptionsfound in farmer accounts and with the limited samples already drawn from the McCormickledgers. Such a hypothesis has conceptual appeal, for the relative benefits frommechanizationand sharingwould have been greaterin developing regions.Nineteenth-centuryrurallabormarketswere notoriously balkanized,but it is safe to generalizethat labor was much scarcer in new agriculturalregions than in established communities.The assumption underlying the comparativestatic analysis that individual farmersfaced a perfectlyelastic supply curve for labormight be reasonablefor easternstates, but it is seriouslyat odds with the starkrealities confrontedby many western farmers.The numerous accounts of farmersin the weeks before the harvest or even at its peak (when the opportunitycost of theirown time was exceptionally high) roaming the countryside and nearby hamlets in search of laborlends credenceto the practicalimplications,if not the theoretical preciseness,of the often-heardcliche that labor could not be found at any price."35Higher wage rates and greater uncertainty would have stimulated the adoption of reapers. But capital was also scarcerin new areas,and would not higherinterestrates at least in part offset the effect of higher wages? In answeringthis question the significanceof McCormickcredit policies on regional diffusion patterns and sharing becomes apparent. Although manufacturers chargedmuchhigherinterestratesthanhas previouslybeen thought, the rates were apparentlyuniformbetween regions, which means that the financialcosts of a reaperwere not correspondinglyhigher in capital-scarceareas.Relativefactor prices thus created a tremendous incentive for mechanization,but other problems restricted individual adoption. Complementarycapital needed for adoption 35 If individual farmers in fact faced an upward sloping supply curve for labor then we must abandon the assumption that there were no diseconomies of scale to harvesting by cradle. Reaping and Mowing 343 was scarce and often beyond the reach of individualfarmers.There was a serious power constraint,for antebellumharvestersrequired a minimum of two, and in many cases four, horses. Many small farmerscould not afford this many animals, but when acting in combinationwith their neighborsthis constraintvanished. Several accounts of reaper sharing explicitly note the joint use of horses. Land was abundantbut cleared, fenced, plowed, and planted land was not. All of these operationsrequired capital, labor, and time, and thus, while relative factor prices favored mechanization,constraintsin the supply of complementarycapital and acreage limitations militated against individual ownership. The logical solution was cooperativeuse of reapers.Graduallyfarmersaccumulatedthe needed complementarycapital and increasedtheir acreagein small grains,partlybecause they had access to a harvester.These changes reduced the need for sharing, and thus the incidence-or average sharing rate-decreased. But on the margin, that is among new farmersor those convertingfrom hand to machine harvesting,sharing remained important.This is a crucial point because it is the behavior at the margin-of first users-that is of most interest in analyzingproblemsof technologicaldiffusion.Thus our fixationon average sharing rates, of which the McCormickdata suggest a lower bound of about twenty-five percent, underestimatesthe importanceof joint use on initial adoption. The generalimpressionconveyed in literarysources,testimonials, and state reports is that sharing and contractingwere also more frequentin the New England states. Again there is ample cause to accept this hypothesis, for the reasons offered in contemporary sourcesare quite convincing.Sharingand contractingarrangements proliferatedbecause the farmswere too small to warrantindividual ownership.Furthermore,a far greaterproportionof the workin this region was mowing grassesas opposed to reapingwheat. The argument that harvestingequipment could not be contractedhas been appliedto both reapersand mowers,but it is clearthat technological constraintsdid not so seriouslyrestrictthe mobility of mowers,for they lacked the cumbersomereel found on most reapers. Finally, dependingon the local conditions,the length of the harvest season could be substantiallylonger in mowing operations, and grasses were not as seriouslythreatenedas grainsby bad weather. What of the institutionaland sociologicalcharacteristicsof sharing and contractingagreements?The discovery of cooperativeuse ob- 344 Olmstead viously has not ". . . profoundlyaltered the course of agrarianhistory. . . ," but neverthelessit is worth asking how the participants pooled risks,determinedprioritiesof use, and so on. An understanding of these issuesrequiresus to realize that we are not dealingwith negotiations between impersonal corporationsor total strangers. Bargainingcosts were greatlyreducedby the strongbonds of mutual trust that united the participants.Neighbors, perhaps united by blood, but in any case welded to one anotherby their commonexperienceof the lonelinessand hardshipsof rurallife, did not bicker over the details of "profitpools."In most cases if tragedystruckone partner,it would have been unthinkablefor the others not to have volunteeredcompensation.But the participantsdid not rely entirely upon the potential benevolence of their neighbors,for they devised a rather obvious method to pool risks-all detailed accounts of sharing and contracting show that the machine was frequently moved back and forth between farms. Thus if bad weather struck in the middle of the harvest,each of two sharerswould have about one-half of his grain shocked. Smallerfarmersrecognized that half a loaf is better than none and that immediatelysharinga reaperor mower is preferableto waiting years until they had amassed the necessary acreage and resources to permit profitable individual ownership.The risks and costs of sharinghave always been juxtaposed with those of individualownership.A more accuratereflection of the options small farmers faced is revealed if the question is rephrasedand we cast the risks and costs of sharing against those inherentin the continueduse of cradles.Fromthis latterperspective the reaper, even if shared, affordedinsuranceagainst disaster,for it allowed small farmersto cut as much wheat in one day as they could cradlewith their limited laborsupply in severaldays. A final point of considerableinterest is that technical change in machine design introduced in the late 1840's and throughoutthe 1850'shad a profoundeffect on machineproductivityand maneuverability, thereby increasingthe potential for sharingand facilitating diffusion.These technicalchangeswere of such great importancein determiningthe timing and pace of diffusion that they warrant special consideration. SECONDARY INVENTIONS, MACHINE PRODUCTIVITY, AND DIFFUSION The comparative-staticthresholdmodel provides an explanation for the more than twenty-yearlag in reaper acceptance which emphasizesthe shortrun changesin marketforces.The model and the Reaping and Mowing 345 accompanyingargument assume that the technical proficiencyof what David calls the "basic reaper"was constant over time. No allowance is made for changes in supply conditions (including technicalrefinements,better marketingprocedures,improvedrepair facilities, and so on) except insofar as such changes might be reflected in the nominalprice of the machinery.We have alreadyseen above that revisions in two parameters somewhat diminish the "predictive"powers of the thresholdmodel. The question at issue here is, given its apparentvariance with historical conditions and with the hypothesesof previousscholars,does the model even provide an interestingexplanationof the diffusionprocess.We have a readily available competing explanation.A number of historians have arguedthat the lag between inventionand popularacceptance was largely due to the simple fact that the early machines were crude, unwieldy, and unreliable-in short, they did not work well. But in the late 1840'sand the early 1850's a number of important design modificationsand complementaryinventions-what Usher has termed "secondaryinventions"-were introducedwhich vastly increasedmachineproductivity.These changes reduced the risksof disastrousbreakdownsin the midst of the harvest, lessened the horsepowerand auxiliarymanpower requirements,and increased machineversatilityand mobility. All of these changes would act to reduce the required threshold acreage in small grains needed for profitableadoption. To assess the relative merits of the competing explanationsit would be useful to establish with some precision what has been said by the proponentson each side and to assess the documentary bases for these divergent views. This historiographicalinquiry is especially called for given the widespreadacceptanceby economic historiansof the view that "the reaper"was, for practicalpurposes, availablein the 1830's. In summarizingthe basic problemDavid notes: Despite the fact that the history of commercialproductionof mechanicalreaping machines in the United States stretched back without interruptionto the early 1830's, this industry was one that only began to flourish in the 1850's. . . . Thus the intriguing question to which an answer must be given is why only at that time [the mid-1850's] were large numbers of farmers suddenly led to abandon an old, labor-intensivemethod of cutting their grain, and to switch to the use of a machine that had been available since its invention two decades earlier?36 36 David, "Midwest,"pp. 8, 9. 346 Olmstead Elsewhere David discusses the "basicreaper"and the "pioneering hand-rakemodel," implying a constant product over a span of a decade or more.87In his study of diffusionof reapersin Britainhe extends this assumptionto an even longer time period. "Progressin the design of machinerycould increaseits versatilityin coping with a variety of terrainconditions."But a few lines later he notes that "withinthe period with which the present analysisdeals, however, there were no radicaldesign advancesof this sort in reapingequipIn this case the relevantperiodis 1851 to 1871. ment."88 In all this discussionthere is little reference to specific technical obstaclesor to the accountsof traditionalhistoriansexcept an occasionalremarktermingtheir argumentsunconvincingand vague. For example: "One would have to find more convincing technical obstacles than are discussedin the authoritativeworks on the reaper to account for the lag betwen the first sale of Hussey'smachine in 1833 ... and the eventualadoptionof the innovationin the 1850's."39 It is time to exhumesome of the traditionalaccounts. The historians who seriously studied reapers had a thorough understandingof the refinementsin reaper design; if they were "vague"it was because they did not want to belaboran issue which they knew to be obvious.In one of severalallusionsto the importance of design changes Hutchinsonnotes: .[. (A] complete story of the mechanicalevolution of the reaper between 1848 and 1855 would involve technicalities beyond the purpose of this narrative, but several changes of considerableimportancewere introducedwhich require mention. Scarcely a single element [of the McCormickreaper] was left untouched.40 Hutchinsonitemizes eleven majorchanges introducedwithin a few years that encompassedthe precise time when the first boom in reapersales occurred. Rogin'saccountagreeswith that offeredby Hutchinson. The inventor himself [McCormick] furnishes the explanation for his reaper's failure to gain earlier popularity, for he tells us that his machines "were not of much practical value until the improvementof my second patent in 1845." . .Thus we are told that of one hundred reapers sold in 1847 without dividers, eighty were returned. Upon the addition of "improved"dividers, the 87 88 89 40 Ibid., p. 22. David, "Britain,"p. 186. David, "Midwest,"p. 13; also see p. 11. Hutchinson, Seed, p. 325; also see p. 324. Reaping and Mowiing 347 reapers were accepted and used during the subsequent harvest. Nevertheless, the McCormick reaper was not a truly practicable machine so long as its capacity was limited by the ability of a man walking on the ground to rake the grainoff the platformas it was cut.41 Rogin describesthe tedious processof trial and errorspanningfour or five years (1845 to 1849) before McCormicksucceeded in perfecting a raker'sseat. Rogin (and McCormick)consideredthis improvementan essentialprerequisiteto widespreadadoption.42Next, Rogintraces out the improvementsin the cutting bar between 1850 and 1854 which allowed McCormick'smachineto serve as a mower and improvedits performanceas a reaper: [T]hese valuable improvements... were instrumentalin increasingthe use of horse-drawn harvesting machinery in reaping grain. When we turn to the figures for the production of McCormick machines we are struck by the notable increase which took place during 1855 and 1856. This increase does not representmerely the natural accelerationin the adoption of a new invention, for, as the bookkeeper in McCormick'semploy since 1849 pointed out, the machines for 1855, 1856, and 1857, were the first ones to give general satisfaction.43 This brief anthologyis intended to illustratethe importancethat the leading researchersplaced on technical refinementsin determining the eventual diffusionof reapers.A look at the rapidly changing compositionof reapersales offersan idea of the marketsignificance of the more importantchanges. Between 1849 and 1857 the traditional hand-rakereaper'sshare of the total market declined from almost one hundred percent to below twenty-five percent. By the mid-1850'sabout seventy-five percent of the "reapers"sold were mowers, combines, and self-rakers-machines that did not exist in the mid-1840's. Probably the single most important change accounting for the jump in total reapersales was the improvementin cutting bar and knife design that led to the development of specialized mowing machines (as well as combines, and improvedreapers). One must remember that the aggregate data do not distinguish between 41 The early attempts threw the machines off balance and the seats had to be removed. Rogin, Farm Machinery, pp. 88-89. Also see John F. Steward, The Reaper: A History of the Efforts of Those Who Justly May Be Said To Have Made Bread Cheap (New York: Greenberg, Inc., 1931), p. 198. 42 Rogin, Farm Machinery, pp. 87-90; Steward, The Reaper, p. 201. 43 Rogin, Farm Machinery, p. 91. Ardrey presents arguments similar to those offered by Hutchinson and Rogin; see Ardrey, Farm Implements, pp. 47, 153, 229. 348 Olmstead mowers and reapers,so the widely cited figure of 70,000 "reapers" sold between 1850 and 1858 includes mowers, hand-rakereapers, combines and self-rakers.Most accounts agree that even crude mowersdid not exist until about 1847 at the earliest,yet as a rough estimate it appears that specialized mowers accounted for at least twenty-fivepercent of the total increasein "reaper"sales.44 Cuttingbar improvementswere also responsiblefor the explosion in the popularity of combines. Combines permitted a farmer to spread the fixed cost of a machine over a larger acreage, thereby loweringthe thresholdacreagerequiredin grainsalone. In the early 1850's McCormickexperiencedserious problemsin developing his combine, and he did not considerit perfected until 1855. Notwithstanding these problems,by 1854, at the very start of the boom in reapersales,"mostof the machineswhich were sold [by McCormick] Since McCormickfolwere combined reapers and mowers... his combine,it is reasonperfecting in producers other major lowed able to presumethat by 1854 a majorityof industrysales were combines. This observationis particularlysignificant because smaller farmers-those near the thresholdmargin, and thus the only ones of interest insofar as the thresholdmodel is concerned-evidently showed a distinctpreferencefor combines. The shift to self-rakersalso began in the mid-1850's.Between 1853 and 1856,Atkinssold approximately4,000 self-rakersand claimed to be producing5,000 in 1857.46Otherfirmswere producingself-rakers in the mid-1850's,and it is possible that their output exceeded Atkins'.47 By 1860Hutchinsonestimatesthat therewere about20,000 self-rakers,which would have accountedfor twenty-fivepercent of all the reapersin use.48 There is no doubt that there were significantand rapid shifts in 44 Ketchum, the first producer to specialize in mowers, sold nine machines in 1849. The estimate of mower sales is based on figures found in Hutchinson and in company circularsand advertisements.These data indicate about 20,000 mowers were sold between 1850 and 1858. 45 Hutchinson, Seed, p. 323. 46 This would have exceeded McCormick's sales by about 1,000 machines. The Northwestern Farmer, II (February 1857), 84. Also see Hutchinson, Seed, p. 326 for 1854 sales. 47 Ardrey, Farm Implements, p. 229. 48 Hutchinson, Harvest, p. 393. David apparently errs in claiming that "McCormick did not manufacture a self-rake model until the introduction of the 'Advance' in the post Civil War period," for Hutchinson notes that McCormick made his first self-rakers in 1861 and by 1864 two-thirds of his entire output were self-rakers. David, "Midwest,"pp. 21-22; also see p. 34; Hutchinson, Harvest, p. 96. Reaping and Mowing 349 the compositionof sales awayfromthe basic hand-rakereaperduring the 1850's. Its rapidly dwindling market share indicates design changes and farmer preferences were fast making this style of harvesterobsolete. But assumewe disregardthe diminishingability of the basic hand-rakereaperto compete.If we want to hold technology constantin orderto identify the importanceof changingmarket forces, is it reasonable,especially in light of the emphasis of the traditionalhistorians,to considerthe hand-rakereaperto have been an homogeneous product during the period 1849-1857,let alone over two or three decades?Is there any evidence that the technical refinementswhich have so impressed some historiansdid in fact result in improved performance,thus increasing the reaper'seconomic worth? A study of the reportsof the variousmowerand reapertrialsoffers an indication of the rapid improvementin performance.Prior to 1852 there are only the qualitativeobservationsof the judges of the 1848 Buffalo trials sponsoredby the New York State Agricultural Society. The judges found that all the machines clogged badly, were extremely heavy, and had excessive side drafts. The judges rated the machines' overall performanceand the quality of their workbelow that done with a scythe or cradle.49Only four yearslater at Genevathe resultswere quite different.The judgesnow were very favorablyimpressedwith the economic worth of the better reapers and mowersalthoughthey still noted many flaws. For example,five out of the seven mowers tested "clogged frequently,"and two of the seven "ceasedto work."McCormick'sknives had to be replaced twice, and his machinewas judged "toofragile for useful purposes" as a mower, and as a reaperit lacked "firmness"and subjected the horses to a heavy side draft.50Such criticismsseldom appearedin later reports. One of the most important summary measures of reaper and mower performance,and one we can compareover time, was their draft while in operation.Table 1 records the average draft of the reapers and mowers competing in Geneva, New York in 1852; Hamilton,Ohio in 1857; and Auburn,New Yorkin 1866. Over the 49 As reported in Danhof, Changes in Agriculture, p. 234; also see Fifth Annual Report of the Secretary of the State Board of Agriculture of the State of Michigan for the Year 1866, V (Lansing: John A. Kerr & Co., 1866), p. 261. 50 "Report of the Committee on Trial of Impliments at Geneva, July, 1852," in New York State Agricultural Society, Transactionsfor 1852, XII, 104-112. (Hereafter cited as "Geneva.") 350 Olmstead TABLE 1 REAPERAND MOWERDRAFT 1852, 1857, 1866 Reapers Mowers Geneva 1852 Hamilton 1857 Auburn 1866 410 403 258 341 247 234 Sources:Calculatedfromdata foundin "Geneva,"p. 111; O.A.R. for the Year 1857, pp. 227-231, 349, 403. XII, 101; and "Auburn," span of fourteenyears the averagedraftof both reapersand mowers declined about forty percent.This downwardtrend in draft dramatically reflects the cumulativeimpact of a host of technologicalrefinements on several aspects of reaper and mower performance bearing directly on their horsepowerneeds and on their maneuverability in rough terrain.5'These changes would have facilitated movingreapersbetween farms,therebystimulatingcooperativeuse. Underlyingthe decline in draftwas a reductionin frictionand wear on moving parts which resulted in greater durability.The judges at Auburnexplicitlyequatedhigh draftwith poor workmanshipand faulty design. The main causes, of this wide differencewere, 1st. Bad workmanship,ill made gearings, rough bearings and imperfect adjustmentsof lines and parallelisms. 2d. Surface draft; wheels so narrow as to cut into the ground; castor wheels, greatly increased draft by their tendency to present their broad surfaces to the line of draft. So the great weight of some machines, by increasing their surfacepressure,at the same time increasedtheir draft.52 Similarobservationslinking draft with design were made at other trials.For example,the judges at the 1857 Syracusetrials concluded that a relatively simple but innovativechange in the design of the 51 For a discussion of reapers requiring an increase in horses see Gould P. Colman, "Innovation and Diffusion in Agriculture," Agricultural History, XLII (July 1968), 177-78. Danhof asserts that "The need for several teams militated against the machine in the eyes of countless farmers who possessed only one team, or perhaps a lone horse." See Danhof, Changes in Agriculture, p. 232. Numerous design changes increased reaper versatility. Besides the reduction in draft discussed above, the Kirby machines marketed in the last half of the 1850's introduced independently suspended finger-bars. "This independent action and flexibility of the finger-bar, lessens the liability to breakage when in contact with obstructions."The finger bar could also be easily set at any desired height. Ben[jamin] Perdey Poore (ed.), Field Trial of Reapers, Mowers, and Harvest Impliments, By the United States Agricultural Society at Syracuse, N.Y. July 13th, 14th, 15th, 16th, 17th, 18th, and 20th, 1857 (Boston: Bazin & Chandler, 1858), p. 47. (Hereafter cited as: Syracuse.) 52 "Auburn," p. 349. Reaping and Mowing 351 cutting bars on Wood'smower reduced its draft by more than fifty pounds.3 The lighter draft, insofar as it stemmed from improved cutting bar and knife design, resulted in less clogging and fewer breakdownsduring peak load seasons. Whereas clogging was universal at Buffaloin 1848, and generallythe case at Geneva in 1852, it was a rare occurrenceat Auburn in 1866. By then most of the better mowers could stop and start in heavy grass without backing the machine-a feat seldom accomplishedin the early 1850's.Although improvementsin the cutting apparatuswere most important for mowing, they also improved reaper performanceespecially in wet, downed,or heavy grain. CONCLUSION A detailed examinationof the historical evidence indicates that we must searchbeyond the explanationofferedby the comparative static thresholdmodel if we desire to understandthe dynamics of reaper diffusion. By adjusting the depreciationparameterto conform with a value commonly cited in contemporarysources, the threshold model provides a basis for concluding that few if any midwesternfarmerswould have rationallyadopted a reaper in the 1850's. Even if we could obtain accurate estimates of this (and other) parameters,we still must ask whether the thresholdmodel helps us understandthe diffusionof the reapergiven the assumptions of indivisibilityand no technologicalchange. Machineservices were in fact divisible-sharing and contracting were widely practiced. The fact that we have record of a reaper contractor(known to his neighborsas "a fanner") working on six farms in one season suggests that sharingwas indeed feasible and that similararrangementsinvolvingfewer farmerswould have been correspondinglyeasier. The diffusionprocess was integrallylinked patterns,for it appearsthat cooperato changingsharing-contracting tive use of harvestingequipmentwas particularlyimportantamong firstusers,and that it was most commonin newly developingregions. Furthermore,it appearsthat design changesmarkedlyincreasedthe potentialfor cooperativeuse and thus diffusionin the early 1850's. An understandingof why reaperswere suddenly accepted in the 1850's after a twenty-year hiatus requires that we recognize the 53 See the discussion of Walter A. Wood's mowers and reapers in Syracuse, pp. 40-41. 352 Olmstead economicsignificanceof numeroustechnicalrefinementson machine productivity.Changesin relativefactor prices as emphasizedin the comparative static model undoubtedly contributed to diffusion. Traditionalhistoriansrecognizedthis point, but they consideredit of minorimportancecomparedto the effect of changing technological factors on diffusion-to date not one iota of evidence has been offered that seriously challenges this judgment. From this latter perspectivethe storyof the reaper,ratherthan contradicting,actually reinforces Rosenberg'sargument emphasizing the importance of secondary inventions and design modifications on the diffusion process. "By concentratingour attention upon the sharp discontinuities associated with major inventions, we are misrepresenting the mannerin which the gradualgrowthin the stockof usefulknowledge is transformedinto improvementsin resourceproductivity.654 The properparablefor the reaperis not the story of Archimedesin but the tale of the ugly duckling. the tub shouting"Eureka," Finally, we would be remissnot to raise some importantmethodological issues. On this subject we can do no better than to heed ProfessorDavid's own warning "that the econometric historianespecially if he should keep regular company with theorists-lives in perpetualdangerof neverpausingto askwhetherthere is perhaps some direct evidence to suggest he should favor a different, and possiblyless mathematicallytractableset of priors."55 ALANL. OLMSTEAD, University of California, Davis 54 Nathan Rosenberg, "Factors Affecting the Diffusion of Technology," Explorations in Economic History, X (Fall 1972), 8. 56 Paul A. David, "The Use and Abuse of Prior Information in Econometric History: A Rejoinder to Professor Williamson on the Antebellum Cotton Textile Industry," THE JOURNALOF ECONOMICHIsToRY, XXXII (September 1972), 725.
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