HKU843 HUNG-GAY FUNG GERALD YONG GAO PING AN’S OVERSEAS EXPANSION: FINANCIAL UNCERTAINTIES AND RISK MANAGEMENT By 2007, China’s Ping An Insurance Co. (“Ping An”) had grown into the second-largest life insurer in China. Its goal was to become a universal financial services provider by expanding into asset management and banking. These three businesses were the foundation of Ping An’s “three-pillar strategy”. It had already made two domestic banking acquisitions, but none in asset management. In November 2007, Ping An attained a 4.2% stake in Fortis, the BelgoDutch financial conglomerate, and planned to acquire a 50% stake in Fortis’ asset management business, which would be a big step towards reaching its goal. Yet this ambitious overseas expansion plan was crushed by the adverse effects of the US subprime problem and the global financial crisis. By October 2008, the value of Ping An’s stake in Fortis had dropped more than 70%, causing a reported loss of US$2.3 billion in the third quarter of 2008.1 In April 2009, Ping An reported a 99% plunge in net profit for 2008 on account of an impairment charge of US$3.3 billion related to its stake in Fortis and losses in equity investments.2 In the midst of a global financial storm, how could Ping An navigate forward? An Overview of the Global Insurance Industry Brief History The roots of the modern insurance industry could be traced back to marine insurance in the 13th century, when merchants in Europe sought investors willing to share the risk of seaborne transportation.3 A merchant would circulate an inventory list of the cargo and investors would mark their names underneath the description of the items they were willing to accept liability 1 From 1995 to June 2005, the Chinese yuan was linked to the US dollar in a fixed exchange rate system at a rate of US$1 = Rmb 8.11. From June 2005 the yuan has been linked to a basket of currencies. On 31 December 2008 the exchange rate was US$1 = Rmb 6.85. 2 Or, A. (9 April 2009) “Ping An Profit Falls 99%”, Wall Street Journal. 3 Marine insurance covered the transportation risk of cargo over the seas. Andrew S. Li prepared this case under the supervision of Professor Hung-Gay Fung and Professor Gerald Yong Gao for class discussion. This case is not intended to show effective or ineffective handling of decision or business processes. © 2009 by The Asia Case Research Centre, The University of Hong Kong. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means—electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise (including the internet)—without the permission of The University of Hong Kong. Ref. 09/445C 1 09/445C Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management for. This practice of selecting and rejecting risks by “writing under” gave rise to the term “underwriter”. Other branches of insurance emerged later: life insurance (in 1536), fire insurance (in 1666) and casualty insurance (in 1848).4 The initial form of insurance in the US was marine insurance underwritten by British insurers. The first US insurer was a fire insurance firm founded in 1752, and the first US life insurer was founded in 1759. Casualty insurance came in 1864. Insurers could underwrite multiple areas but chose to specialise in one, forming the monoline system of underwriting only one type of insurance. Patterned from the status quo, regulation was developed to reinforce the monoline underwriting and only changed to multiple-line underwriting in the late 1940s. Property and casualty (“P&C”) insurers were formed, but life insurers remained separate. Other specialised insurers evolved, but the industry in general was broadly divided between non-life and life insurers.5 Non-life underwriters, predominantly P&C insurers, protected property. The principle was to restore individuals back to an earlier financial position after a loss. Major areas included home property protection, auto protection, commercial property protection, individual liability protection and commercial liability protection. Relative to life products, the time horizon for non-life products was much shorter, and the products were fairly standardised. These products were sold through such channels as the internet, postal services and direct sales. Life underwriters protected against various human life contingencies. In the event of death, a life insurance contract protected the survivors. In the event of living longer than expected and not having enough money, an annuity provided a stream of income. Life insurance products were generally marketed as either individual or group. Typically, life insurance agents sold individual life insurance directly. The premiums were paid regularly (eg, annually, semiannually, quarterly or monthly). For group insurance, a master policy was issued to an employer for the benefit of employees. Group life involved mass selling and mass administration and provided the lowest cost of protection. Because life insurance products were more differentiated and of longer duration, consumers placed greater importance on insurers’ financial viability, brand strength and company size. Business Model The business model of providing insurance was to generate profit from the underwriting process and the investment process. In the underwriting process, the insurer selected the risks to be insured against and the appropriate premium to charge for accepting those risks. Actuarial science was used to calculate the optimal pricing. The underwriting process was profitable if the premiums received exceeded the incurred losses and underwriting expenses. The collected premiums were then invested to generate investment returns to cover claims. Ideally, investments were made in assets that matched the liabilities. As non-life contracts were typically of short duration (ie, a few years), investment returns were composed of interest on bonds, dividends on stocks, interest on collateral loans and interest on bank deposits. Life contract liabilities had much longer time horizons, such as 10, 20 or 30 years. Consequently, life insurers invested in all the areas that non-life insurers did, as well as mortgage loans and real estate. 4 Fire insurance covered loss of or damage to property due to fire, while casualty insurance covered loss of or damage due to liabilities. 5 Vaughan, E. and Vaughan, T. (2008) Fundamentals of Risk and Insurance, 10th Edition, John Wiley & Sons Inc. pp. 74–76. 2 09/445C Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management To measure performance, the industry had developed a number of metrics. For non-life insurers, the combined ratio was the key metric to measure underwriting profitability.6 For life insurers, it was less standardised, but some used the operating expense ratio.7 One common key metric for both life and non-life insurers was the solvency ratio, which indicated the ongoing viability of the firm. Banks and Insurance8 In the US, the Glass–Steagall Act of 1933 prohibited banks from owning insurance firms or security brokerages. Following the global convergence trend, the compartmentalisation ended in 1999 when the US Congress passed the Financial Services Modernization Act (also known as the Gramm–Leach–Bliley Act). In Europe, banking and insurance had combined to form bancassurance. 9 Universal banking generally referred to banking that involved commercial banking, brokerage and insurance in one form of organisation, typically seen in European countries. The Insurance Industry in China Early History The insurance industry was nationalised with the formation of the People’s Insurance Company of China (“PICC”) when the People’s Republic of China was founded in 1949. All domestic insurance work ceased, as the communist state alone was to administer social welfare. With Deng Xiaoping’s economic reforms in 1979, PICC gradually restored domestic operations in 1980, marking the rebirth of the Chinese insurance industry. With nationwide operations in both life and non-life businesses, PICC owned the market until the emergence of Ping An (formed in 1988) and China Pacific Insurance Company (formed in 1991). The insurance industry focused on a limited range of products: group life, simple life and personal accident insurance products.10 In 1992, in order to facilitate its entry into the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade—the precursor to the World Trade Organisation (“WTO”)—China pledged to open up its insurance industry. Not long after, American Insurance Assurance (“AIA”) won regulatory approval to be the first foreign player in China. In addition to introducing innovative products such as whole life insurance, term life insurance, endowment and annuity products, AIA introduced the agency distribution system.11 The second and third foreign insurers to enter China were Tokyo Marine and Fire Insurance (in 1994) and Winterthur Swiss Insurance (in 1996). Limitations on geography and business products were placed on foreign insurers to protect the domestic insurers.12 6 The combined ratio was calculated by adding the loss ratio to the expense ratio for the period under consideration. The loss ratio was calculated by dividing the losses incurred by the premiums earned. The expense ratio was calculated by dividing the expenses incurred by the premiums written. If the combined ratio was less than 100%, the underwriting was profitable.. 7 The operating expense ratio was calculated by determining general and administrative expense as a percentage of net earned premium. 8 Vaughan, E. and Vaughan, T. (2008) Fundamentals of Risk and Insurance, 10th Edition, John Wiley & Sons Inc: New Jersey, pp. 86–87. 9 Bancassurance was the selling of insurance through a bank or a full merger of banking and insurance operations. 10 Chan, K. (28 January 2004) “China Life Insurance—The Slate—Wide and Clean”, Nomura. 11 A term life product provided basic life insurance protection for a stated period of time. In other words, it paid the beneficiary if the death of the insured occurred within the stated term. In contrast to term life, whole life products provided life insurance benefits for the entire lifetime of the insured; The traditional way of selling life insurance in China was to approach state-owned enterprises directly. In an agency distribution system, life insurance was sold “door-to-door” through agents. 12 Zhuang, C. and Kristensen, J. (June 2002) “The Chinese Insurance Market”, XL Winterthur. 3 09/445C Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management PICC, China’s biggest insurer, transformed into an insurance holding company in 1996 and restructured again in 1999 to abide by China’s Insurance Law. The two main subsidiaries resulting from the last restructuring were China Life, which conducted life insurance business, and PICC, which conducted non-life insurance business.13 Regulatory Environment With the gradual restoration of competition in the insurance industry in the 1980s, the regulatory function of PICC was under the central bank, the People’s Bank of China (“PBOC”). PBOC introduced a number of key insurance regulations, such as the 1983 Regulations on Contracts for Property Insurance, the 1985 Provisional Regulations on the Administration of Insurance Enterprises, the 1992 Provisional Measures on the Administration of Insurance Institutions with Foreign Investments in Shanghai and the 1995 Insurance Law of the People’s Republic of China.14 On 1 October 1995, the Insurance Law came into effect and detailed provisions on licensing of insurance companies and intermediaries, separation of life insurance and property and casualty insurance, regulation of market conduct, regulation of insurance products, measures of the financial condition and performance of insurance companies, and the supervisory and enforcement powers of the regulatory authority. In addition to regulating the insurance industry, PBOC was in charge of supervising and regulating the banking and securities industries. However, the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis prompted the government’s decision to minimise risk by establishing firewalls between the three. In November 1998, the China Insurance Regulatory Commission (“CIRC”) was created to supervise and regulate the growing insurance market. On 28 October 2002, CIRC amended the Insurance Law to align the industry more closely with international practices. Salient changes included: increased disclosure requirements from insurance companies; stricter reserve and solvency requirements; greater leeway on insurance products; wider investment channels, including equity investment in insurance-related entities such as asset management companies; more severe penalties for market misconduct; and lowered barriers to entry by allowing more foreign insurers into the market and allowing P&C insurers to provide accident and short-term health insurance products.15 China, abiding by WTO accession requirements, opened up its insurance market and removed all geographic and product restrictions by the end of 2004. However, foreign life insurers were still required to operate as joint ventures, whereas non-life insurers could be wholly owned by foreigners. Nonetheless, CIRC maintained control over the pace of license approvals as joint ventures had to submit an application for each branch. CIRC stipulated how the insurance funds were to be used. Prior to June 2003, insurance companies had been restricted to investing only in state-owned enterprise bonds. Over time, the restrictions were relaxed and a portion of the funds could be invested in the stock market and in the equity of non-listed banks. By 2008, insurance companies were able to better match their long-term liabilities with long-term investments in infrastructure projects such as highways, energy projects and urban facilities16 [see Exhibit 1 for the insurance investment rules as of 2008]. 13 Chan, K. (28 January 2004) “China Life Insurance—The Slate—Wide and Clean”, Nomura. Allen, A. (1999) The Insurance Industry in China, Asia Information Associates Ltd: Hong Kong, pp. 34–36. 15 Ping An (2004) “IPO Prospectus”, pp. 168–169. 16 Chang, M. (29 September 2008) “Ping An”, Deutsche Bank. 14 4 09/445C Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management The Modern Insurance Industry As of 2007, China’s penetration rate for non-life and life insurance remained low. China’s P&C penetration rate was 1.1%, compared to 2.8% for Taiwan and 3.6% for South Korea. China’s life insurance penetration rate was 1.8%, compared to 12.9% for Taiwan and 8.2% for South Korea. From 2002 to 2007, premiums for P&C companies grew at a compound annual growth rate of 23%, while the disposable per capita income in urban areas grew at a compound annual growth rate of 12%. Life insurance gross written premiums increased 22% year-on-year in 2007. With the country’s massive population (1.3 billion in 2007) and double-digit real GDP growth rate (11.9% in 2007), Deutsche Bank analysts proclaimed that the opportunity was immense for both non-life and life underwriters in China.17 Non-Life Market By July 2008, there were 29 domestic and 14 foreign non-life insurance companies in China, up from 11 and seven in 2002. The top three underwriters (ie, PICC, China Pacific and Ping An) accounted for 66% of the non-life insurance market, down from 97% in 2000 [see Exhibit 2]. The major lines of business were motor vehicle, commercial property, cargo, liability and personal-accident injury insurance. Because third-party-liability motor insurance was made compulsory in June 2006, it accounted for the highest percentage of the industry’s gross written premiums (70%). The country’s motor vehicle ownership rate (defined as the number of passenger vehicles per capita) was still low at 2.4%, in comparison to South Korea at 25% and Japan at 45%. Attracted by the strong growth potential and ease of entry, many smaller non-life underwriters (both foreign and domestic) continued to enter the market, resulting in intense price competition and poor underwriting profitability. To improve the market environment, CIRC introduced a number of measures in 2008, such as more stringent enforcement of the solvency margin rules, encouraging insolvent insurers to either exit or merge with one another, and a new premium-settlement system whereby customers used terminals to pay cash directly to insurers instead of paying agents.18 Life Market By July 2008, the life insurance market remained highly concentrated, with the top three insurers (China Life, Ping An and China Pacific) accounting for approximately 65% market share of the life insurance market, down from 96% in 2000. They were the only players with nationwide reach, strong brands and high service levels. The number of smaller domestic insurers grew to 59 in 2007, from about 43 in 2005. The foreign market share stood at 4.9%, with AIA leading with 0.94% [see Exhibit 2 for market shares of the major non-life and life insurers]. The major lines of business were individual life insurance and group life insurance. The major life underwriters introduced unit-linked products 19 in 1999 and dividend products (participating life 20 and annuity products) in 2000. Policyholders viewed the unit-linked products as an investment with some insurance protection added on. With a culture of high 17 Chang, M. (29 September 2008) “China Insurance”, Deutsche Bank. Ibid. 19 A unit-linked product offered an investment vehicle such as a mutual fund with life insurance benefits. 20 A participating product entitled the policyholder to “participate” in the distributable earnings in the form of dividends. 18 5 09/445C Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management savings and the absence of an adequate social security system, savings-type insurance products dominated the Chinese market, accounting for over 80% of the life market in 2000. Participating products were offered as an intermediary blend of term life insurance and investment-linked products. They offered lower guaranteed rates, but the policyholder shared in the investment profit or loss of the insurance company. With increased investment awareness and demand for a savings product with an investment feature, the demand shifted from non-participating policies to participating polices. In 2002, participating policies represented 49% of total premiums and 90% of total new premiums. In 2004, universal life products were introduced.21 Like participating products, they offered a mix between term life insurance and investment-linked products. The attractiveness of universal life products was attributed to flexibility, transparency and a lack of alternative high-yield investments. After considering the tax-deferred benefits, universal life crediting rates of 3.20–3.35% were superior to the term-deposit and bank deposit rates offered at the time, which were both subject to 20% tax. The main distribution channels were agents, direct sellers and intermediaries, such as banks (bancassurance), which was introduced in 2000. The main products typically distributed through the bancassurance channel were investment-type products (ie, unit-linked, universal life and, to a lesser extent, participating life products) [see Exhibit 3 for information on the distribution channels of insurance products in China]. The Development of Ping An History In 1985, Peter Ma, the deputy manager of a small, state-run security-fund firm near Shenzhen, lobbied the regulators for permission to set up the country’s first privately run insurer as an alternative to the state monopoly PICC. Ma was granted permission and started the Shenzhen Ping An Insurance Company in 1988. It focused on providing property, freight-transport and liability insurance. 22 In 1994, Ping An expanded into life insurance. In developing the company as a diversified financial services provider, it established a number of subsidiaries such as trust, health insurance and annuity insurance providers, and made several bank acquisitions. By 2008, Ping An had eight subsidiaries nationwide [see Exhibits 4 and 5]. Culture, Vision and Strategy By integrating Western management ideas with traditional Chinese philosophy, Ping An formed a novel corporate culture. Its stated mission was as follows: 21 A universal life product was similar to traditional whole life products, except the policyholder had greater transparency and flexibility. That is, the policyholder could vary the premium payments and death benefits. Essentially, the collected premiums less the monthly payments for the insurance protection were deposited into an account and earned interest. The rate of return on the interest was determined by the insurer every month and was termed the “investment-credit rate”. In China, universal life insurance escaped estate duties and the investment could accumulate tax-free. 22 Hamlin, K. (October 2007) “China’s Would-Be Giant Killer”, Institutional Investor—International Edition. 6 Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management 09/445C For investors, Ping An’s goal is to produce stable return and boost asset values. For customers, the Company aims to provide the best services with integrity. For employees, Ping An’s commitment centers on being a responsible employer and provides for the lives and careers of its employees. For Society, Ping An’s commitment is based on the Company’s desire to give back to society and contribute to the development of the country.23 - Ping An Ping An’s values were as follows: Corporate: Ping An constantly seeks to achieve excellence in all aspects of its business, building on a strong foundation of Chinese culture and traditions Team: Our business is based on unity, energy, learning, and innovation. Individual: Our employees focus on integrity and trust and are continually striving for the highest achievement. 24 - Ping An Ping An's operating concept was to “combine a pioneering spirit with distinctive professionalism to achieve lasting success”.25 Its stated vision was: To become one of the world's top ranking financial services and insurance groups and a leader in the financial industry. We believe that our ability to innovate has helped us maintain our leading position in the market and capitalize on the growing demand for insurance services in the PRC.26 - Ping An In a May 2007 presentation, Ping An outlined its three-pillar strategic framework [see Exhibit 6] and three-stage strategy.27 STAGE 1 2 3 BUSINESS PROFIT CONTRIBUTION • • • • • • • • • Core profit driver for the next 5 years Life Insurance P&C Insurance Banking Investment Consumer Finance Annuity Health Insurance New Distribution Channels Third Party Asset Management Next 3–10 years Next 5–15 years Figure 1: Ping An’s Three-Stage Strategy 23 For details, see Ping An’s website: http://www.pingan.com/about/en/culture.jsp (accessed 31 March 2009). Ibid. 25 Ibid. 26 Ibid. 27 Ping An (14 May 2007) “Performance & Strategy of Ping An”, Company Presentations. 24 7 09/445C Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management Management Team In line with a corporate culture combining East and West, 68 of the company’s top 100 executives were recruited from overseas.28 The management team had deep local knowledge combined with extensive international experience. Two key people were Ma, the founder, and Louis Cheung. Ma had been the chief executive since April 2001 and chairman since April 1994. He obtained his doctorate degree in money and banking from Zhongnan University of Economics and Law and was a member of the 11th National Committee of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference.29 Cheung, who had led the McKinsey team that redesigned the investment process and information technology platform for Ping An, was hired as senior adviser, chief information officer and chief financial officer in 2000. A native of Hong Kong, Cheung had worked as an engineer before obtaining his PhD in business information systems from the University of Cambridge30 [see Exhibit 7 for Ping An’s key management team]. In September 2006, Euromoney magazine named Ping An Asia’s best-managed insurance company. It was also named the best-managed company in China and fifth-best in Asia, based on feedback from over 100 research and financial institutions. The respondents noted that Ping An was a leader in senior manager hires with “international experience, strong corporate governance and market-based operations”.31 Business Model and Results Ping An was China’s first financial conglomerate, providing insurance, investment management and wealth management to approximately 41 million individuals and two million corporations in 200832 [see Exhibit 8 for the profit breakdown of Ping An by business unit]. The major contributing business units were life insurance, P&C insurance, banking and securities. Insurance For life insurance, the main products distributed were term life, whole life, universal life and unit-linked insurance, as well as par products33 [see Exhibit 9]. These products were primarily distributed through agents, group sales representatives and bancassurance channels. Group insurance was primarily offered to large state-owned entities, foreign-invested enterprises, privately held Chinese companies and government branches. The company’s bancassurance intermediary relationships included China Post, the four largest national commercial banks and many other mainland banks. As of 2007, Ping An sourced 22.5% of its premiums from first-tier cities (ie, the relatively developed and high-income cities Shanghai, Beijing and Shenzhen), compared to 7.3% for China Life. It had the leading market shares of 18.2% in Beijing, 22.3% in Shanghai and 28 Hamlin, K. (October 2007) “China’s Would-Be Giant Killer”, Institutional Investor—International Edition. This was a political advisory body in China with delegates from various political parties and organisations, as well as independent members. 30 Hamlin, K. (October 2007) “China’s Would-Be Giant Killer”, Institutional Investor—International Edition. 31 For details, see Ping An’s website: http://www.pingan.com/about/en/news_70086.jsp (accessed 9 January 2009). 32 For details, see Ping An’s website: http://www.pingan.com/about/en/insurance.jsp (accessed 9 January 2009). 33 Lo, K. and Ho, S. (18 January 2008) “Ping An Insurance”, ABN AMRO. 29 8 09/445C Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management 26.9% in Shenzhen, ahead of China Life with 14.2% in Beijing, 18.6% in Shanghai, and 21.2% in Shenzhen.34 In October 1999, Ping An pioneered the introduction of unit-linked products (both individual and group) to China. In mid-2004, Ping An was one of the first market leaders to sell universal life products, which comprised 50% of Ping An’s new policy premiums in the fiscal year 2005.35 Non-life products were categorised as automobile, non-automobile, and accident and health. In 2008, the composition breakdown in terms of gross written premiums was: automobile (72%), non-automobile (23%), and accident and health (5%) [see Exhibit 10 for selected financial data of Ping An]. Banking In June 2007, the China Banking Regulatory Commission approved Ping An’s request to merge Fujian Asian Bank with Shenzhen Commercial Bank to form Shenzhen Ping An Bank. 36 With 49 branches in three cities and assets of US$9.9 billion, the bank was tiny compared to the big four state-owned titans (ie, Agricultural Bank of China, Bank of China, China Construction Bank, and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China), which had a combined 73,000 branches and assets of US$3.2 trillion.37 Richard Jackson joined Ping An in October 2005 and was tapped to become the bank’s president. With 20 years’ experience in various roles at Citigroup in South Korea, Hungary and Poland, he brought a wealth of experience. Most notably, Jackson had grown Citibank Hungary from a single-branch bank into the country’s fifth-largest bank.38 Securities39 With a buoyant A-share 40 stock market in the first half of 2007, the securities business benefited substantially from brokerage fees, underwriting commissions and proprietary trading investments. It had 22 branch offices nationwide. Asset Management As of 2007, the asset management business unit did not provide any significant revenue contribution. Ping An Asset Management Co. Ltd was formed in 2005.41 In June 2006, China Ping An Asset Management (Hong Kong) Company Ltd was also established. In January 2007, John Pearce—the former chief executive of Australia’s largest fund manager, Colonial First State Investments—was brought on as the chief investment officer and chairman of China Ping An Asset Management (Hong Kong) Company Ltd. With US$49.0 billion in in-house funds, Pearce planned to grow and diversify the money management business by expanding into overseas markets and competing to manage money for institutional investors.42 34 Chang, M. (29 September 2008) “China Life”, Deutsche Bank. Chang, M. (6 April 2006) “Ping An”, ABN AMRO. 36 For details, see Ping An’s website: http://www.pingan.com/about/en/news_70118.jsp (accessed 9 January 2009). 37 Hamlin, K. (October 2007) “China’s Would-Be Giant Killer”, Institutional Investor—International Edition. 38 For details, see Ping An’s website: http://www.pingan.com/about/en/news_70104.jsp (accessed 9 January 2009). 39 Lo, K. and Ho, S. (18 January 2008) “Ping An Insurance”, ABN AMRO. 40 Chinese companies were listed variously and on different stock exchanges. “A-share” denoted Chinese companies listed in China and traded in renminbi. “B-share” denoted Chinese companies listed in China but not traded in renminbi. “H-share” denoted Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong. 41 For details, see Ping An’s website: http://www.pingan.com/about/en/news_70100.jsp (accessed 9 January 2009). 42 Hamlin, K. (October 2007) “China’s Would-Be Giant Killer”, Institutional Investor—International Edition. 35 9 Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management 09/445C Key Competitors Ping An’s key competitors were China Life in the life insurance segment and PICC in the non-life insurance segment. China Life China Life was formed after the 1999 restructuring of PICC, the former state-owned monopoly. Consequently, it was the largest life player, with a well established distribution channel and wide geographic reach. However, as the largest player in the market, it also suffered the most from the negative spreads that resulted from guaranteeing high rates of return in the early 1990s.43 To fix the situation and facilitate a smoother initial public offering, China Life underwent a restructuring in June 2003. In this restructuring, the “legacy” policies with negative-spread issues were retained with China Life Insurance Company and the rest were given to China Life, effectively giving China Life a clean slate. China Life had successful initial public offerings on the New York Stock Exchange on 17 December 2003 and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on 18 December 2003. Like Ping An, China Life slowly expanded into other areas. In 2006, China Life and China Life Insurance Company established a P&C company and had total assets of US$233.9 million by the end of 2007. China Life also formed China Life Pension in 2007 and had total assets of US$103.4 million by the end of the year [see Exhibit 11 for selected financial data of China Life]. In a May 2008 presentation, China Life presented its three-step strategy to reach its goal of becoming a top global financial and insurance group.44 Step Description 1 1. Establish life business as core insurance business 2. Establish asset management as core non-insurance business 2 1. Build P&C business to become core business 2. Build pension business to become core business 3 1. Extend into banking, mutual fund, securities and trust businesses Figure 2: China Life’s Three-Step Growth Strategy PICC The current PICC was the non-life business that resulted from the 1999 restructuring of PICC, the former state-owned monopoly. Like China Life, it had inherited a substantial network. PICC had maintained its leading position in the non-life market for over 59 years, though its market share had eroded significantly since China’s accession to the WTO. In 2004, it had a 58.1% market share and, by 2008, it had 41.6% [see Exhibit 12 for selected financial data of PICC]. 43 A negative spread was a situation in which an underwriter promised higher interest rates than the prevailing interest yields it was able to generate from its investments. In the early 1990s, interest rates were high, so life insurers offered guaranteed rates of return of up to 11% for policies that ran for more than 10 years. When the deposit rate declined rapidly from about 11% in the mid-1990s to 2.25% in 1999, the investment yields failed to meet the guaranteed rate of return, resulting in negative interest spreads across the industry. 44 China Life (31 May 2008) “Improving Investment Environment & China Life’s Corporate Governance”, Company Presentations, http://www.e-chinalife.com/IRchannel/files/presentation20080619En.pdf (accessed 13 June 2009). 10 09/445C Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management International Expansion Much like foreign companies that made investments in China to gain market knowledge, Chinese financial institutions bought minority stakes in companies overseas. To avoid regulatory restrictions and political opposition abroad, they purchased relatively small positions rather than making outright acquisitions. Aside from a good return on investment, Chinese banks and insurers looked to gain expertise in risk management, information technology, product development and customer service.45 [see Exhibit 13 for notable overseas deals in 2006 and 2007 by Chinese financial institutions]. On 29 November 2007, Ping An announced it had purchased a 4.2% stake in Fortis, thereby becoming the largest shareholder. The stake was later increased to 4.99% in 22 January 2008. A further placement of 7.5 million more shares was made on 26 June 2008 to avoid dilution, for a total purchase of US$3.42 billion. 46 Fortis’s board of directors invited a Ping An representative to join the board, provided the stake remain above 4%. At the time of investment, Fortis’s stock was trading at a price-to-book value of 1.1x. In comparison, Hong Kong banks traded in the 1.8–2.5x range, and domestic Chinese banks traded in the 3.0–4.0x range. Ping An shares rose 6.73% whilst the Hang Seng Index rose 3.92% after the public announcement.47 The price appears reasonable, especially in light of Fortis’s 25% and 30% share price decline since June 30.48 - Deutsche Bank It was speculated that the decline in Fortis’s share price was attributed to the uncertainty around the ABN AMRO integration and the bearish market sentiment regarding financials. The deal brings together one of the only global players with proven success in the bancassurance model and a Chinese firm aspiring to build a significant bancassurance-based franchise.49 - Finance Asia’s specialist close to the deal Another specialist commented: “The deal is an ALM [asset-liability management] play for Ping An as Fortis has a dividend yield of 7% and Ping An had a number of legacy policies. The deal also allows Ping An to denominate part of its investment portfolio in Euro.”50 Other analysts were surprised by the deal size, as Ping An’s regulator-approved upper limit for overseas investments was 5% of its assets. Deutsche Bank calculated that this one transaction had committed 64% of Ping An’s total permitted overseas-investment allocation.51 On 19 March 2008, Ping An and Fortis announced that they had entered into a global asset management partnership and that Ping An would buy a 50% stake in Fortis Investments for US$3.35 billion. The deal was subject to regulatory approval. 45 Ngai, J. and Wang, Y. (June 2008) “Global Investment Strategies for China’s Financial Institutions”, McKinsey Quarterly. €1 = US$1.5582 on 26 June 2008. 47 Ping An (6 October 2008) “Impairment of Investment in Fortis Group Shares”, Company Presentations; Hang Seng Index is Hong Kong’s main stock market index. 48 Anand, S. (30 November 2007) “Ping An Buys 4.2% Stake in Fortis”, FinanceAsia.com, http://www.financeasia.com/print.aspx?CIID=98369 (accessed 9 January 2009). 49 Ibid. 50 Ibid. 51 Ibid. 46 11 09/445C Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management Ping An is very much interested to have a strong partnership outside China for its asset management services as it has seen fast increasing demand from its rich clients who desire to diversify their wealth. A strong partnership means you are not just a financial investor but can also have a real influence when you need your partner to help you with some specific deals. In this case, you have to buy a big stake into it.52 - Chen, G. and Flaherty, M., International Herald Tribune A Goldman Sachs report indicated that Ping An would benefit in three areas. First, there would be improvement in Ping An’s capital management scale and products, particularly enhancing third-party asset management. Second, Ping An would obtain skills in product design, investment management, research, information technology and marketing. Third, the joint venture might give Ping An competitive advantages over domestic competitors in overseas investment and investment products.53 Ma called the deal an important step in the company’s three-pillar strategic framework. 54 Fortis Fortis was formed in 1990 through the merger of NV AMEV, a Dutch insurer, and VSB Groep, a Dutch bank. By the end of 1990, AG Group, a large and dominant Belgian insurer, joined the merger. Through organic growth and acquisitions of other banks and insurance firms, Fortis grew substantially in Europe and abroad. It formed a number of joint ventures and alliances with Asian financial institutions, such as Haitong Securities Co. Ltd in Shanghai, Maybank of Malaysia and the Industrial Development Bank of India Ltd. On 17 October 2007, as part of a consortium with Royal Bank of Scotland and Banco Santander, Fortis took over the Dutch bank ABN AMRO.55 In March 2008, Fortis and Ping An announced their asset management partnership. We call [the joint venture] a win-win and we want to quickly win on both sides. Our teams will work with Ping An and define what these quick wins can be, so that we can immediately get the machine in motion.56 - Jean-Paul Votron, chief executive of Fortis Although Fortis had operated for a few years in Asia, it only had seven branches and eight representative offices. In partnership with Ping An, Fortis intended to grow the contribution from the asset management business from 10% to one-third of net profits in three years. Outsiders considered the deal to be an effort by Fortis to bolster its capital position, having reported a subprime-related write-down of US$2.7 billion.57 Critics reasoned that it did not make sense for Fortis to sell the asset management business so cheaply. Analysts reported that Ping An had received the better half of the bargain, paying a mere 1.8% instead of the nearly 3% (of assets under management) that Fortis had paid for ABN AMRO’s assets.58 52 Chen, G. and Flaherty, M. (14 March 2008) “Ping An to Buy Major Stake in Fortis Unit”, International Herald Tribune. Huiying, C. (9 April 2008) “Ping An–Fortis Deal: Who Really Wins?”, Caijing. 54 Ibid. 55 Fortis (2009) “History of Fortis”, http://www.holding.fortis.com/general/history.asp (accessed 24 April 2009). 56 Lau, J. (4 April 2008) “Fortis Seeks Fresh Asian Alliances in Wake of Ping An Deal”, Financial Times. 57 Ibid. 58 Buerkle, T. (April 2008) “THE BUY SIDE—Mixed Blessing”, Institutional Investor. 53 12 Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management 09/445C Votron denied the connection with solvency: To do it right in China you can't do it on your own […] It's too big, too complex and you would only scratch the surface […] Ping An was the most powerful distribution engine that we could find to help us grow.59 - Jean-Paul Votron, chief executive of Fortis Credit Crisis On Monday, 29 September 2008, Fortis became one of the casualties of the global credit crisis. The Friday before, Fortis had named its third chief executive in three months. The share price tumbled to its lowest in a decade. Belgium, the Netherlands and Luxembourg bailed out Fortis by pledging more than US$17.5 billion to keep it from insolvency. In exchange for this bailout, each country partially nationalised Fortis in their respective country by taking a 49% ownership.60 Aftermath Since Ping An’s initial investment in November 2007, Fortis’s share price had fallen 72% by 3 October 2008, leading Ping An to announce a 66% write-down of the Fortis investment. Ping An further announced that it would terminate the sale and purchase agreement with Fortis Bank to acquire the 50% stake in Fortis Investment Management, which was still pending regulatory approval.61 On 8 April 2009, Ping An reported a 99% plunge in net profit for 2008 on account of an impairment charge of US$3.3 billion related to its stake in Fortis and losses in equity investments. The investment had lost more than 90% of its value since October 2007. Some critics claimed that Ping An’s investment in Fortis was the worst overseas investment ever made by a Chinese company. Nonetheless, Ma said Ping An would not retreat from the international scene: “In the coming five years, we will continue to achieve the strategic objective of being ‘financially integrated and international-leading’.”62 59 Ibid. Sterling, T. (29 September 2008) “Benelux Nations Partially Nationalize Fortis Bank”, International Herald Tribune. 61 Chang, M. (7 October 2008) “Ping An Insurance Grp”, Deutsche Bank. 62 Or, A. (9 April 2009) “Ping An Profit Falls 99%”, Wall Street Journal. 60 13 Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management 09/445C EXHIBIT 1: INSURANCE INVESTMENT GUIDELINES Investment type Sub-category restrictions Cash / deposits Fixed interest No restrictions Government bonds - no restrictions Financial bonds + Sub-bonds by commercial banks <30% total assets (<10% in a single bank) Sub-debt by commercial banks <8% of total assets (<5% in a single bank) Corporate bonds (including convertible bonds and short-term financial bonds) <30% total assets - Corporate bond (enterprise bond) exc convertible bond; single issue <10% of the issue and <3% of total asset (without guarantee); <20% and <5% with guarantee Sub-debt by insurers <20% net asset value, (4% in a single issuer) Total investment in a single issuer (include bond guaranteed by the issuer) <20% of total assets Domestic Bond investment in single enterprise (corporate) <10% of total assets Credit ABS <2% of total assets, single credit ABS <10% of its issue scale Equity <20% of total assets <10% for direct investment and <10% for fund investment Concentration risk in one company <5% for total insurer's equity portion <10% of total equity of a listed company Need to report to CIRC, if total investment loss on a portfolio basis >10% and gain >20% Equity interest in non-listed commercial banks (state-owned banks, joint stock banks and city banks in China) Ordinary investment (<5% bank's equity capital) Ordinary investment - concentration risk in one bank <1% of total asset Material investment (>5% bank's equity capital) Material investment - total investment balance <40% of insurers' paid in capital Overseas Indirect infrastructure projects Real estate QDII (Qualified Domestic Institutional Investors) Currency market products, fixed proceeds products and equity products <3% of total assets For life insurer: <5% of total assets and a single investment <20% of total project budget For non-life insurer: <2% of total assets and a single investment <5% of total project budget Currently not allowed. However, investment using insurer's own capital for it's own use allowed. <15% of total assets Structured deposits <5% QDII amount; Mortgage backed securities <20% QDII amount; Equities of Chinese corporate <10% of QDII amount Concentration risk in one company <5% total shares issued and outstanding Concentration risk in a single debt <10% of QDII amount Others Hong Kong listed H-share and red chips <5% total assets Need to report to CIRC, if total investment loss on a portfolio basis >10% and gain >20% Indirect infrastructure projects (under consideration) Real Estate (under consideration) Private Equity <8% of total asset, <5% for debt investment, <3% for equity investment <5% of total asset (estimated); no cap in amended Insurance Law (draft) Need CIRC approval case by case Source: Chang, M. (29 September 2008) “Ping An Insurance”, Deutsche Bank. 14 09/445C Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management EXHIBIT 2: MARKET SHARE OF NON-LIFE AND LIFE INSURERS JULY 2008 Source: Chang, M. (29 September 2008) “China Insurance”, Deutsche Bank. 15 09/445C Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management EXHIBIT 3: DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS Distribution Channel Exclusive agents Products Sold Individual life, annuities, and accident & health Description Independent agent sales force. Main distribution for individual life insurance. Compensation Method Commissions and performance fees Group insurance Group life, annuities, and sales rep / accident & health; Direct sales / P&C products force Full time employees. Main distribution channel for group life / P&C insurance products Salary and performance bonus Intermediaries Commercial banks, post office, savings cooperatives, insurance agencies and brokerage companies Commissions and performance fees Individual and group products Source: Chang, M. (29 September 2008) “China Insurance”, Deutsche Bank. 16 99% Ping An P&C Company of China Ltd 99.06% Ping An Securities Co., Ltd. 86.77% China Ping An Trust & Investment Co., Ltd 99.88% Ping An Annuity Insurance Company of China Ltd 97% Ping An Health Insurance Company of China Ltd 95% Ping An Asset Management Co. Ltd 96% China Ping An Insurance (Hong Kong) Company, Ltd. 75% Shenzhen Ping An Bank Co., Ltd 90.04% Ping An insurance (Group) Company of China, Ltd. EXHIBIT 4: ORGANISATIONAL STRUCTURE Ping An of China Asset Management (Hong Kong) Company, Ltd 100% China Ping An Insurance Overseas (Holdings) Ltd. 100% Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management 17 Source: Ping An (2008) “Fact Sheet”, HTTP://WWW.PINGAN.COM/CMS-TMPLT/OPENATTACH.DO?FILENAME=/INVESTOR/EN/FILE/SUMMARY.PDF (accessed 29 January 2009). Ping An Life Insurance Company of China Ltd 09/445C Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management 09/445C EXHIBIT 5: HISTORICAL HIGHLIGHTS Year 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1998 1997 1996 1995 • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 1994 • 1988 • • Milestone Listed in Shanghai Stock Exchange Established Ping An Asset Management Company (HK), Ltd. Acquired Shenzhen Commercial Bank Established Ping An Asset Management Company, Ltd. Established Ping An Health Insurance Company of China, Ltd. Listed on Hong Kong Stock Exchange Purchased Fujian Asia Bank Ltd. Renamed Ping An Bank Ltd. Established Ping An Annuity Insurance Company of China, Ltd. Introduction of nationwide auto claims services Early pioneer promoting Universal Life products Established Ping An Group HSBC becomes strategic investor Developed detail auto and fire rating program Established customer contact management system – service channel integration Established nationwide call centre and internet portal (PA18) Introduced on-line auto claims processing Centralized financial management and implemented real time reporting Commenced bancassurance business First to launch unit-linked products Established value based KPI management system Introduction of management incentive shares program Appointed McKinsey & Co to help with restructuring Centralized treasury function and investment management Established Ping An Securities Co., Ltd and China Ping An Insurance Overseas (Holdings) Ltd. Established Ping An Trust and Investment Co., Ltd. First domestic insurer to implement the individual life agency system First domestic insurer to engage an international auditor and consulting actuary First domestic insurer with foreign strategic investors: Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley Ping An expands into life insurance business Established as a regional property & casualty insurance company in Shenzhen Source: Ping An, (14 May 2007) “Performance & Strategy of Ping An”, Company Presentations; Hamlin, K. (October 2007) “China’s Would-Be Giant Killer”, Institutional Investor—International Edition; Turton, C. (18 November 2004) “Ping An Insurance”, JP Morgan. 18 09/445C Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management EXHIBIT 6: PING ANϗS THREE-PILLAR STRATEGY Shared Customer Resources Banking Insurance Asset Manage ment Integrated Financial Services Platform Source: Ping An (14 May 2007) “Performance & Strategy of Ping An”, Company Presentations. 19 09/445C Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management EXHIBIT 7: KEY MANAGEMENT TEAM Name Current Position Previous Experience Starting Year MA Mingzhe Chairman & founding CEO Deputy Manager of China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Social Security Company 1988 CHEUNG Chi Yan Louis Executive Director, COO, CFO McKinsey Global Partner 2000 SUN Jianyi Executive Director, Executive VP KU Minshen Stephen MELDRUM Chief HR Officer Head Actuary YOUNG Wen Binn CIO LEUNG Ka Kui Dominic Chief Insurance Business Officer Richard JACKSON Chief Finance Business Officer Director of the Investment Committee, Chairman of Ping An Security YIP Lai Shing Deputy GM of Wuhan Branch, People’s Insurance Company of China Human Resources Director of Unilever HPC China 20 years with Lincoln National (US based life insurer) Formerly CIO with AETNA Life and Aetna International (6 years total in the two jobs) and investment experience at Nomura Asset Management (5 years) Prudential Asia (Greater China GM for 8 years), Taiwan Nashan Life (8 years) and AIA (15 years) Country Manager and Consumer Business Head of Citibank Korea CEO of DBS Vickers (Hong Kong) Ltd. 1990 2001 1999 2003 2004 2005 2002 Source: Kellock, M. (14 July 2004) “Little Left on the Table; Initiating with a Hold”, Deutsche Bank; Ping An (24 November 2006) “Building a Winning Franchise in China’s Fast Developing Financial Sector”, http://www.creditcard.pingan.com.cn/pa18Web/resources/jsp/openAttach.jsp?fileName=Present ation_HKUST_2006.pdf&storeName=investor/200611/20061127105228222033.pdf (accessed 13 June 2009). 20 Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management 09/445C EXHIBIT 8: PING AN'S BREAKDOWN OF NET PROFIT BY BUSINESS UNIT (in US$ M) 2004 2005 2006 2007 Life Insurance 395 517 833 1,589 Property & Casualty Insurance 32 62 153 303 Banking 1 10 224 Securities 89 218 Other businesses* 33 43 83 472 Total Net Profit 459 623 1,168 2,806 * Other business mainly include corporate, trust business and asset management business. Source: Ping An (2004–2008) “Annual Report”. EXHIBIT 9: RANGE OF INSURANCE PRODUCTS OFFERED BY PING AN Protection Investment Product Type Term Life Whole Life Par Products Universal Life Unit-linked Source: Lo, K. and Ho, S. (19 January 2008) “Ping An Insurance”, ABN AMRO. 21 2008 (432) 122 211 80 88 70 Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management 09/445C EXHIBIT 10: SELECTED FINANCIAL DATA OF PING AN (in US$ M, except percentages) Individual life Bancassurance Group life Total Life Gross Written Premiums Automobile Non-automobile Accident & Health Total Non-Life Gross Written Premiums 2004 5,248 852 1,185 7,285 910 518 54 1,482 2005 5,658 165 1,030 6,853 1,094 590 78 1,763 2006 6,696 135 996 7,828 1,614 614 118 2,347 2007 7,532 103 1,125 8,760 2,225 770 168 3,163 2008 8,820 313 1,118 10,250 2,829 903 212 3,944 Key Metrics Net Earned Premiums (US$ M) Administrative Expenses (US$ M) Operating Expense Ratio Expense ratio Loss ratio Combined Ratio Net Investment Yield Solvency margin ratio (Life) Solvency margin ratio (Non-Life) 2004 7,149 540 7.6% 20.2% 77.0% 97.2% 4.1% 123.1% 158.7% 2005 6,687 627 9.4% 23.3% 72.0% 95.3% 4.2% 140.7% 153.4% 2006 7,710 882 11.4% 31.7% 63.9% 95.6% 4.3% 183.1% 131.3% 2007 8,625 1,295 15.0% 36.5% 61.1% 97.6% 4.5% 287.9% 181.6% 2008 10,182 1,283 12.6% 35.5% 66.5% 102.0% 4.1% 183.7% 153.3% Distribution Channels Sales Agent Group Sales Representatives Bancassurance 2004 199,997 1,605 20,023 2005 200,193 1,644 27,222 2006 205,437 2,127 24,214 2007 301,801 2,857 26,310 2008 355,852 3,366 39,878 Fixed maturity investments Term deposits Bond Investments Other Fixed maturity investments Equity investments Investment Properties Cash, cash equivalents and others Total Investments 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Carrying Carrying Carrying Carrying Carrying Value % Value % Value % Value % Value 11,726 39.9% 10,075 28.0% 8,629 17.8% 4,845 7.5% 12,323 16,486 56.1% 23,325 64.9% 27,348 56.4% 27,575 42.8% 41,867 99 0.3% 126 0.4% 202 0.4% 352 0.5% 544 879 3.0% 2,225 6.2% 6,536 13.5% 15,669 24.3% 5,310 220 0.7% 181 0.5% 207 0.4% 203 0.3% 804 N/A N/A N/A N/A 5,569 11.5% 15,781 24.5% 6,986 67,834 29,408 100.0% 35,933 100.0% 48,491 100.0% 64,424 100.0% Source: Ping An (2004–2008) “Annual Report”. 22 % 18.2% 61.7% 0.8% 7.8% 1.2% 10.3% 100.0% 09/445C Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management EXHIBIT 11: SELECTED FINANCIAL DATA OF CHINA LIFE (in US$ M, except percentages) Individual life Group life Accident & Health Total Life Gross Written Premiums FY04 7,316 50 1,548 8,914 FY05 9,227 127 1,586 10,940 FY06 11,691 167 1,619 13,477 FY07 13,346 128 1,737 15,211 FY08 15,801 47 1,904 17,752 Key Metrics Net Earned Premiums (US$ M) Administrative Expenses (US$ M) Operating Expense Ratio Net Investment Yield Solvency Margin Ratio FY04 8,732 961 11.0% 3.5% 315.4% FY05 10,796 1,056 9.8% 3.9% 273.4% FY06 13,394 1,363 10.2% 4.3% 349.5% FY07 15,141 1,722 11.4% 5.8% 525.2% FY08 17,653 1,768 10.0% 5.0% 310.0% Distribution Channels Sales Agent Group Sales Representatives Intermediaries 2004 668,000 12,000 87,000 2005 640,000 12,000 89,000 2006 650,000 12,000 87,000 2007 638,000 13,000 90,000 2008 716,000 12,600 94,000 Debt Securities Equity Securities Term Deposits Statutory deposits – restricted Loans Securities purchased under agreements to sell Cash and cash equivalents Total Investments 2004 2005 Carrying Carrying Value % Value 21,932 40.1% 37,307 2,521 4.6% 5,773 25,620 46.8% 24,068 584 1.1% 781 57 0.1% 143 41 0.1% 3,973 7.3% 4,095 72,169 54,728 100.0% Source: China Life (2004–2008) “Annual Report”. 23 % 51.7% 8.0% 33.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 5.7% 100.0% 2006 Carrying Value 52,248 13,941 25,617 781 346 7,330 100,263 % 52.1% 13.9% 25.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 7.3% 100.0% 2007 Carrying Value 64,698 28,489 24,612 843 1,043 738 3,696 124,118 % 52.1% 23.0% 19.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 3.0% 100.0% 2008 Carrying Value 84,071 10,961 33,324 898 2,617 4,976 136,847 % 61.4% 8.0% 24.4% 0.7% 1.9% 0.0% 3.6% 100.0% Ping An’s Overseas Expansion: Financial Uncertainties and Risk Management 09/445C EXHIBIT 12: SELECTED FINANCIAL DATA OF PICC FY04 22.2% 76.8% 99.0% 115.4% Expense ratio Loss ratio Combined Ratio Solvency margin ratio FY05 29.1% 68.1% 97.2% 136.7% FY06 29.5% 69.4% 98.9% 135.0% FY07 33.8% 68.3% 102.1% 189.1% FY08 28.4% 74.7% 103.1% 145.0% Source: PICC (2004–2008) “Annual Report”. EXHIBIT 13: NOTABLE DEALS IN 2006 AND 2007 Investor Industrial and Commercial Bank of China China Investment (CIC) Bank of China China Development Bank China Construction Bank Target The Standard Bank of South Africa Morgan Stanley Singapore Aircraft Leasing Barclays Bank of America (Asia) in Hong Kong Transaction US$5.49 billion for 20% share US$5 billion for 9.9% US$3.4 billion for 100% US$3 billion for 3.1% share US$1.25 billion for 100% Source: Ngai, J. and Wang, Y. (June 2008) “Global Investment Strategies for China’s Financial Institutions”, McKinsey Quarterly. 24
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