Scientific Method Somewhere, something incredible is waiting to be known. ~Carl Sagan Scientific Method Research is going up alleys to see if they are blind. ~Marston Bates Observation Information about our world that we obtain directly from our senses. Quantitative Observation: Based on exact measurement •Example: The room is 8 meters wide. Qualitative Observation: Not easily measureable •Example: This table is smooth. Inference Logical interpretation or explanation based on observations and prior knowledge. Example: That car is fast because it is a red Mustang. Inference vs. observation A few observations and much reasoning lead to error; many observations and a little reasoning lead to truth. ~Alexis Carrel Inference vs. observation DON’T JUMP TO CONCLUSIONS! I thought there was going to be a net… Base your conclusions on careful observations. List FIVE observations regarding the cartoon above. List FIVE inferences regarding the cartoon above. Hypothesis • Educated guess based on observations • Suggests a possible explanation or answer to the “question” • Suggests cause and effect relationships • Testable • Predicts possible outcomes of a study Hypothesis • Educated guess based on observations • Suggests a possible explanation or answer to the “question” • Suggests cause and effect relationships • Testable • Predicts possible outcomes of a study Experiment •Procedure designed to test validity of hypothesis •Involves collection of data Variables Constants Factors that do not remain the same in an experiment. Dependent variable: Factors that remain unchanged in an experiment. • Factor that changes in response to changes in the Independent Variable. Independent variable: • Factor that the researcher chooses to manipulate in order to assess its effects another variable. Experimental Group A group of subjects or conditions that will be exposed to changes in order to obtain measureable data. Control Group A group of subjects or conditions that is matched as closely as possible with the experimental group, but is not exposed to any experimental treatment. Used as a basis for comparison to aid in determining significance of data obtained in the experiment. Keys to a Good Experiment One independent variable! Control group Measureable results Collect lots of data Analysis Interpret data collected. Perform any calculations. Prepare any graphs or charts. Conclusion Make statement that accepts or rejects hypothesis based on analysis of data. Make recommendations for further study or possible improvements to the procedure. Analysis & Conclusions Testing leads to failure, and failure leads to understanding. ~Burt Rutan Observe and Question Form Hypothesis Conduct Experiment Collect Data Analyze Data and Form Conclusion(s) Continental Drift Theory: WHAT IS A THEORY? Big Bang Theory WHAT IS A THEORY? A scientific theory begins as a HYPOTHESIS, which is an educated guess. With experimentation, a hypothesis can be either disproven or supported, but cannot be proven. As more and more support is gathered for the hypothesis, without being disproven, it may become widely accepted as a good explanation of a phenomenon. At this point, it may be considered to be a THEORY. WHAT IS A THEORY? We don’t regard any scientific theory as the absolute truth. ~Kenneth Miller WHAT IS A THEORY? Science is organized common sense where many a beautiful theory was killed by an ugly fact. ~Thomas Huxley WHAT IS A THEORY? Science never gives up searching for truth, since it never claims to have achieved it. ~John Charles Polanyi 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 • How reliable is the source of the claim? • Was the information obtained using good science? • Were the data from the experiments interpreted correctly? • Are there other possible explanations for the results? • Is the information consistent with other sources? • Are there other possible explanations for the results? • Is the information consistent with other sources? Remember! Think critically! Example: Vaccines cause autism? Cleveland Plain Dealer January 25, 2011
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