Quaternary Science Revtews, Vol 10, pp 297-317, 1991 Prmted m Great Britain All rights reserved 0277-3791/91 $0 00 + 50 © 1991 Pergamon Press plc INSOLATION VALUES FOR THE CLIMATE OF THE LAST 10 MILLION YEARS A. Berger and M.F Loutre lnstttut d'Astronomte et de Gdophystque G Lema#re, 2, Chemtn du Cyclotron, BI348 Louvam-la-Neuve, Belgtque New values for the astronomical parameters of the Earth's orbit and rotation (eccentricity, obhqulty and precession) are proposed for paleochmatle research related to the Late Miocene, the Phocene and the Q u a t e r n a r y T h e y have been obtained from a numerical solution of the Lagranglan system of the planetary point masses and from an analytical solution of the Polsson equations of the E a r t h - M o o n system The analytical expansion developed in this paper allows the direct determination of the main frequencies with their phase and a m p h t u d e Numerical and analytical comparisons with the former astronomical solution B E R 7 8 are performed so that the accuracy and the interval of time over which the new solution is valid can be estimated The corresponding insolation values have also been computed and compared to the former ones This analysis leads to the conclusion that the new values are expected to be reliable over the last 5 Ma In the time domain and at least over the last 10 M a m the frequency domain INTRODUCTION Research in the astronomical theory of paleochmates involves four main steps (Berger, 1988)" 1 The theoretical computation of the long-term variations of the Earth's orbital parameters and related geometrical lnsolatlons 2 The design of climatic models to transfer the insolation into climate 3 The collection of geological data and their interpretation in terms of chmate 4 The comparison of these proxy data to the simulated chmatlc variables This paper will focus only on the first point The energy available at any given latitude dp on the Earth, on the assumption of a perfectly transparent atmosphere and of a constant solar output, is a singlevalued function of the semi-maJor axis, a , of the Earth's orbit (the ecliptic), its eccentricity, e, its obliquity (the tilt of the equator on the ecliptic), e and of the longitude of the perihelion measured from the moving vernal equinox, 6) (Berger, 1978a,b). The eccentricity ts a measure of the shape of the Earth's orbit around the Sun It changes the mean distance from the Earth to the Sun and therefore the total amount of energy received by the Earth The geographical and seasonal pattern of this insolation depends on e and on the climatic precessional parameter, e sin 6), that describes how the precession of the equinoxes affects the seasonal configuration of the Earth-Sun distance The first calculations of these parameters date back to the 19th century (Le Verrier, 1855, see Berger, 1988 for a review) Mllankovitch (1941) was however the first to complete a full astronomical theory of the Pleistocene ice ages, computing the orbital elements and the subsequent changes in the insolation and climate (Imbrle and Imbrle, 1979, Berger and Andjehc, 1988) In the late 1960's judicious use of radioactive dating and other techniques gradually clarified the details of the Quaternary time scale, better instrumental methods came on the scene using oxygen isotope as ice age relics, ecological methods of core interpretation were perfected, global climates of the past were reconstructed and climate models became available (see for example Berger, 1990, for a review of the significant steps made to improve the astronomical theory of paleochmates over the last 20 years) With these improvements in dating and in interpreting the geological data in terms of paleochmates, it became necessary to investigate more critically the computation of the astronomical elements (Berger, 1984) and of appropriate Insolation parameters (Berger and Pestlaux, 1984) This has allowed us to test first, the astronomical theory in the frequency (Hays et a l , 1976, Berger, 1977b, Imbrle et a l , 1989, Berger, 1989b) and in the time domain (Berger et a l , 1990) and, further, to calibrate the Quaternary (ImbrIe et a l , 1984, Martinson et a l , 1987) and Pllocene (Shackleton et a l , 1990) time scales A first tmprovement to the Mllankovitch solution came in the 1950's from Brouwer and van W o e r k o m (1950) and later from Sharaf and Boudnlkova (1967) and A n o h k et al (1969) But a serious step forward was made with the analytical solution by Bretagnon (1974) for the planetary point masses and the calculation of e, e and e sin 6) by Berger (1976, 1977a) which lead to his 1978 solution (Berger, 1978a,b), referred to here as BER78 This solution was assumed to provide valuable information over the last 1 5 Ma in the time domain and over a much longer period in the frequency domain (Berger, 1984) The next significant improvement was related to the numerical Integration made by Laskar a few years ago (Laskar, 1986, 1988) This calculation was at the origin of a new astronomical solution calculated by Berger et al. (1988) and used for extending the validity of the paleochmatic parameters and insolation over the last 5 to l0 million years (Berger and Loutre, 1988) It is the purpose of this paper to 297 298 A Berger and M F Loutre present the final and most accurate version ot this solutton In o r d e r to appreciate the t m p r o v e m e n t of the accuracy m the c o m p u t a t i o n of the astronomical parameters of the E a r t h ' s orbit and rotation, it ts necessary to introduce some elementary notions of celestial m e c h a m c s T w o systems will have to be considered O n e wdl deal with the m o t i o n of nine planetary p o m t masses a r o u n d the Sun, the o t h e r will constder the rotatton of the Earth as a result of the luni-solar attraction P L A N E T A R Y SYSTEM Gahlean Frame of Reference E v e r y two particles in the universe attract each o t h e r with a force that is dtrectly proportional to the product of their masses, and reversely p r o p o r t i o n a l to the square of the dtstance b e t w e e n t h e m , such is the N e w t o m a n law of gravitational attractton A p p l y m g this law to the case of N celestial bodies of the solar system (the Sun and the planets), we are able to express the equattons of m o t i o n the equations of motion can also be written as m?~ : where V Us denotes the ~ector 0 v~ 0 xs O zj Hehocentrtc Coordinate System Instead ot referrmg the posttlon of the N p a m c l e s in a G a h l e a n frame of reference, they will be referred to with regard to one of them (the Sun) C o n s e q u e n t l y , the radius vector of the planet PI is given by 9---~= % r I - rs (Ftg 1) F r o m e q u a t i o n (1) we have iv G m , rj, rI = Gms #, ,~' 4, Gm, rs, y G m s rsj + 3 Gm,mjrj--~, N r~] Y~ ] = 1. l~=l N (1) F3 Subtracting them, we obtain II where r~ d e n o t e s the radius vector of the particle P~, with regard to the fixed origin, rj,~s the._~distance vector between P~ and P, and is equal to r, - r . the distance r~, is equal to r,s, m, ts the mass of P,, G ~s the Gausstan gravitational constant derived f r o m Kepler's third law T h e conservation ot linear m o m e n t u m , whtch can be o b t a m e d by a d d m g all the N equations (1) together, tells us that the centre of mass of the N particles moves uniformly m a straight line I n d e e d , we have Z ! rss + r5 mjrs = (3) m r (VU~) m~r~ = 0 1 and tt we defme the position, t~, of thts centre ot mass by _____) N G (m~ + ms) 9~ pj = - + Gm, rj, E £I '~ Z ( ; m , {2, ......... (4) l In e q u a t i o n (4), the hrst term ot the right hand side represents the actton ol the Sun on PI. the second represents the action ot the o t h e r planets on P / a n d the thtrd one can be considered as a perturbatton due to the choice of the reference trame, as it represents the action of the planets (except P~) on the Sun (1 c the new origin of the coordinate system) mtr~ I = I ._.._) e~ we obtain t, = 0 T h e r e f o r e , assuming that the centre ot mass ot the system is taken as the origin it does not change the equations of m o t i o n (1) D e f m m g a force luncUon U~ for each particle P~ N u, : ,// g r~ ~ (.~l?l t 5". t = ~1 P" t2) 1 lq s ~s o FIG l Radm~ vector ol the bull and ol the planets with respect to the centre of mass IO) ol the planetary ~vstcm Insolation Values for the Last 10 Ma A s in t h e G a h l e a n f r a m e function can be defined: of reference, 299 a force echptlc G ( m s + mj) V1 = + Rj (5) o/ w i t h Rj, t h e d i s t u r b i n g f u n c t i o n g i v e n b y R, = ~ -77}7 - Gm, 1 ) - + ,,, plane (6) "70 Accordingly, the equations of motion take the same f o r m as (3) ---, ouj mJoj=mJ U) ooj T h i s e q u a t i o n m a y also b e w r i t t e n in t h e x - c o o r d i n a t e . d2x, - dt 2 8U, - 1 ~< I ~< 9 (8 if P l u t o is e x c l u d e d ) d xj (8) w i t h s i m i l a r e q u a t i o n s in y a n d z Keplenan Elements A t r a n s f o r m a t i o n f r o m t h e c o o r d i n a t e s (x 1, yj, zj) a n d v e l o c i t y c o m p o n e n t s (xj, ~/, zj) i n t o to t h e 6 osculanng e l e m e n t s ( s e m i - m a J o r axis, a; e c c e n t r i c i t y , e; i n c l i n a tion t of the orbit on the reference plane; longitude of t h e a s c e n d i n g n o d e , if2; l o n g i t u d e o f t h e p e r l h e h o n , ~t, a n d m e a n l o n g i t u d e , ~,, r e c k o n e d f r o m t h e o r i g i n o f t i m e , Fig. 2) gives rise to t h e L a g r a n g e e q u a t i o n s (6 t i m e s t h e n u m b e r of p l a n e t s ) r e l a t i n g all t h e o r b i t a l elements of the planets together and describing their motion around the Sun (Brouwer and Clemence, 1961) da 2 FIG 2 Position of the Earth (E) around the Sun (S) In astronomy, it Is usual to define an orbit and the posltkon of the body describing that orbit by six quantities called the elements Three of them define the orientation of the orbit with respect to a set of axes, two of them define the size and the shape of the orbit (a and e respectively), and the sixth ( w i t h t i m e ) defines the p o s i t i o n of the body within the orbit at that time In the case of a planet moving In an elliptic orbit about the Sun, it is convenient to take a set of rectangular axes in and perpendicular to the plane of reference, with the origin at the centre of the Sun The x-axis may be taken towards the ascending node N, the y-axis being In the plane of reference and 90° from x, while the zaxis IS taken to be perpendicular to this reference plane so that the three axes form a right-handed coordinate system Yo the reference point from where the angles are measured As the reference plane is usually chosen to be the echptlc at a particular fixed date of reference (named epoch of reference in celestial mechanics, Woolard and Clemence, 1966), 7o is, m such a case, the vernal equinox at that fixed date (the vernal equinox is also referred to as the First Point of Aries indicating the position of the Sun when It crosses the celestml equator from the austral to the boreal hemisphere) P is the perihelion, g2 the longitude of the ascending node, to, the argument of the penhehon, Jt = f2 + to the longitude of the perihelion, t the lnchnatlon, v the true anomaly, k = ~t + v the longitude of the Earth in its orbit dzt OR (1 - - e 2 ) 1/2 - dt na 0 de OR ena 2 ena 2 dt (1 - e2)I/2 O 3x dt [1--(1-e2) I/2] ena 2 O dt - n a 2 (1 - OR 1 e2) 1/2 sin i i9f2 tan ~- na 2 (1 dQ dt na 2 (1 - + e2) 1/2 1 OR e2) 1/2 sin t d t _ _ 2 OR na 8a na 2 (1 dR ena 2 [1 - l - Ol e 2 ) 1/2 + n (1 -- e2) 1/2 OR (9) d! de d~, - tan 5 + dt (1 - - e 2 ) 1/2 ! 8R (1 - e2) 1/ - - + 8e t a n -7- OR na 2 (1 -- e2) 1/2 8t However, these equations possess some inconvenient f e a t u r e s for o r b i t s w i t h s m a l l e c c e n t r i c i t i e s a n d / o r s m a l l lnchnatlons" the appearance of the eccentricity and of sin t in t h e d e n o m i n a t o r o f t h e e x p r e s s i o n s for & t / d t a n d d • / d t l e a d s to s e r i o u s p r o b l e m s r e l a t e d to s m a l l d e n o m i n a t o r s w h e n e a n d t a p p r o a c h z e r o . A s all p l a n e t a r y o r b i t s he a l m o s t e x a c t l y in t h e s a m e p l a n e 3IX) A B e r g e r and M F l.outrc and differ only shghtly from circles, it Is thus desirable to use a modified form of these equations by settmg = = = = 11 k p q e sin e cos sin t sin l Jl Jt sin if2 COS 2 OR dt na Ok ~R - - 2na 2 (1 - eel u2 qh 8R 2na 2 (1 - dX 2 OR dt na Oa (I - Ok e 2 ) I/2 e'l ~- (It ..... dh dt (1 - e2) I'-~ OR na 2 h (1 - kp e 2 ) 1/2 dk e 2) t/2 - dt k (1 - aq 8 R na ~ ah e2) 1/2 rta 2 [1 + (1 - OR e 2 ) I/2] hp 2ha 2 (1 - c3p hq 2na 2 (1 - OR e 2 ) 1/2 @ dt c3X OR e 2 ) I/2 e 2) v2 m~ (I I ~ ~ [I t I ~ dR 2na 2 (1 - e 2 ) 1/2 pl~ e 2 ) 1/2 e 2 ) 1/2 + Oh (ll) 4na 2 (1 - e 2 ) 1/2 q OR 2ha 2 (1 -- eel 1/2 Ok t m I 1 + m, - ,/,- ,,,, t ¢ + + ¢ , ¢, tit - dt ~1 ttt Ok dq I1t I where n / represents the m e a n moUon ot P, ( 2 x / l , . 7 I being the planet's period of revolution), mj ~s the mass t of P/ relative to the mas,~ ot the Sun (m~ = l?l .57) and ~R - ~1 f . . . . . 1 + OR ph 2na 2 (1 I-t = (;nls O ~. - - 2na 2 (1 - ~1 with /x gwen by the third law of K e p l e r 8q II- p -I+ Ok OR OR ( p - - + q - - ) t,_' ) l : ,9 p ,9 q m~ Oq OR 4na z (1 - OR In order to obtain the long periodic terms, only the long period part of the disturbing f u n c n o n R is retained ( B r e t a g n o n , 1974, 1984, Berger, 1984) and e x p a n d e d in powers of the two following small p a r a m e t e r b 1 T h e r a n o of the masses of the planets to that o! the Sun 2 T h e i r e c c e n t n c m e s (el and m c h n a t l o n s (t) on the reference plane This system (11) might be solved numerically or analyUcally But in any case. due to the complexity o1 R . th~s d~sturbmg t u n c n o n will have to be truncated For e x a m p l e , following M d a n k o w t c h (1941). B r o u w e r and van W o e r k o m (1950). D z l o b e k (1963) and Bretagnon (1974). R can be e x p a n d e d to the second degree ol the variables h. k . p. q In that case for a planet P~ disturbed by the seven others (Pluto is excluded). R takes the following torm dR eel I/2 (1 I e:)'-'] OR --+k 0 It + Op kq . n a ~ (1 n,c~ [I + (1 OR 2ha 2 (l - OR 2ha "~ (1 - e:) 1''- na 2[1 + (1 - e~) u21 8X Ok + Oh (10) So that the equaUons (9) b e c o m e da qk 4A,, (p + q-t + P-, ~- qT) + aR B. (kfl, + tbh ,) + 8AI, (%q, + lbP,) Op where A j,, BI, anti (), are functions ot %, - (1~') II In such a case an analytical solution for (11) can be found With (13). (11) indeed b e c o m e s 301 Insolatmn Values for the Last 10 Ma Oh, EARTH-MOON SYSTEM O, t] (2A,,kj + Bj,k,) dt ok, dt - O, t] (2A,,hj + Bj,h,) Z 14: I d•l dt dhj After having computed the motion of the planetary point masses around the Sun, the method by Sharaf and Boudnlkova (1967) for the E a r t h - M o o n system can be used to obtain an analytical expansion for the long-term variations of the other two variables involved in the astronomical theory of paleocllmates (Fig. 3): the precession in longitude (V) involved in the calculation of 6) and the obliquity of the ecliptic or tilt (e), i.e. the inclination of the ecliptic of a particular date on the equator of that date. The PoIsson equations for the E a r t h - M o o n system provide the long-term variations of the lunl-solar precession in longitude Vf and of the inclination e/- of the equator on the mean ecliptic of epoch (Woolard and Clemence, 1966, Lleske et al., 1977). These equations expanded to the second degree In eccentricity and inclination can be written as 14: I - O, t] (2Al,qj - Aj,q,) Z t~= I - + [/, t] (2Al,pj - Aj,p,) dt where nl(lpml [/, l] - for t > 1 l+mj nlm~ [/, t] - dt l+mj In the Lagrange method, the second degree terms of the quantities h, k, p, q of the so-called long period part of the disturbing function are retained. The resolution of the system of the differential equations thus obtained gives the Lagrange solution: m h = ~ P cos ef ~ , for t < 1. N, sIn(s,t + 6, + apf) l 1 P sin ef 2 y. t N 2 sm 2(s,t + 6, + V]) (16) _ /5 sin rs y, t y~ ] > t N,N/ sin[(s, + sj)t + b, + 6j + 2apf] M, sln(g,t + [3~) /, = 1 (14) m k = y~ k= Mx cos(gkt + ~k) 1 E¢ I p = N s Eco Z Nk Sln(skt + 6~) k= 1 (15) q = Nk cos(skt + iSk) k= 1 where m = n -- 8 Long period terms of higher degree can then be introduced in the Lagrange equations Their solution takes the same form as (14) and (15), with more terms (m > 8 and n > 8). In that way, solutions are accurate to the first or to the second power with respect to their masses and to the first or to the third degree with respect to the planetary e's and t's, respectively if terms of power equal to or higher than 2 or 3 of their masses and terms of degree equal to or higher than 3 or 5 In e's and t's are neglected in the disturbing function (12 and 13) used to write the Lagrange equations Eq FIG 3 Precession and obliquity y the vernal equinox of date, Yo the vernal equinox of reference, 7,,~,~ = Vt the luni-solar precession in longitude, V the general precession m longitude which provides the longitude of the moving perihelion dJ through d~ = ~ + V, e! the inchnation of the equator of date on the echptlc of reference and e the obliquity (Berger, 1984), as we are interested by the long-term variations of the astronomical elements, their shortterm variations are removed and Y and Yo are more adequately referred to as mean vernal equinox 302 A Berger and M F Loutre + ~ dvJ dt _ 1 p cose t 3 ~. 15 3 2 Y~ 1 where h and ~ are constants o1 m t e g r a n o n , and k and !~ are gwen by ~ . M,M, c o s ( 1 3 , - 13, t b"M,~ ,M, sml(g, - g,)t + 15, - 1111 (19) N2 - l>t k : I' cos h (20) Po + 3 15 cosef + 15 ,- iM, M, cosl(g,- g,)t + 13,-[~,] P cosE t (cote r - tanef) I~ = 15 cosh - y~ N, cos(~,t + ~Pt) N~ + 7 a~ - 5 1 -- a7(a,- (t~ l)tan 2 2 1 _ __ /5 cos~ t 2 -3P cose t 1 ' -- / > I N, Nt cos[(s, + ~,)t + 6, + 6, + 2~Pd Z 1 N 2 cos2(s,t + ~, + q~t) f'° P 3 "] (21) y~ ,I M,M, cos(13, - 13, '1 y~ N,N~ cosl(~s, - ,fit + O, - 011 ~] - P c°sct Z ~] I l > t (17) where P ts the so-called precesstonal constant of N e w c o m b (/6 = 54 "9066) and P,, = 17 "3919 Clearly (16) is d e p e n d e n t upon the solunon of the system (15) m p and q. w h e r e a s (17) d e p e n d s upon both (14) and (15) and t h e r e f o r e revolves the e l e m e n t s ot the expansion of (h, k) and (p, q) T h e s e equations (16) and (17) are solved o r d e r by o r d e r with respect to the small p a r a m e t e r s (eccentricity and m c h n a n o n ) which leads to T h e a, u'. h and b"s ,ire c o m p h c a t e d / u n c t i o n s o1 h, k. s. g, P,, and P T h e value o1 ~i' and ~ arc related to qJl and ~I through the spherical triangle f~. y~, 7 of H g 3 where f2 is the ascending node of the e c h p n c of date on the e c h p n c of epoch. '~,~ ~s the d l r e c n o n of the mtersecnon of the e q u a t o r ot date w~th the ecllpnc of epoch. and y the m e a n equinox of date (Berger. 1978a) So. q, and c can be d e t e r m i n e d by ! 2 y 1(,, + k), + + -I I h - t/= ~ a,N, cos [(s, + k)t + 6, + ct l - y~ y . (,,N,N, cos[( % ~ ,, + 2k)t + ~, + 0, + 2 . ] I - y~ a,,N~ cos 2 [(s, + k)t + 0, + cq I I "; 1 - y. t I - y ~ t a,jN,Njcos[(s, + s, + 2k)t + 6, + ~, + 2tt] / t + ~_~ G,N, ~ t C;&,N, cos l(s, - b) t + 6, - ~,] (22) q) = I~t + (J 1>1 - y y. a I) N,N, cos[(~, - ~,)t + 6, - 6,1 (18) + Z y ~ b,N, sln[(6, G,,N- sm 2 [(s, + k)t + ~), + ,t] l + k)t + i3, + otl ? + Z + y.. h,,N~ sm 2[(~, + k)t + 6, + ~tl Z t (;qNtN, + Z Z t 1>¢ + y~ bqN, Ntsln[(s, + s, + k)t + b, b, + 201] + y~ t + y~ b,IN, N , sm[(s, - sl)t + ~, - b,] t,] sln[(s, + 3, + 2k)t + a, + - + i~, + 2-1 j > r l l,] .] I l "> ! ~p! = (~t + ct + sm [(s, + kit + 3, + t where t! - 0,1 y~ GIIM,M , s,n [(g, - grit + 13, - 13J (23) />1 Insolation Values for the Last 10 Ma e* = h - ~ N2t I 1 a, (a,- 1) t a n h 303 e0 = 23°4458 ap0 = 1°3960 + dV - - l 1 (2a, 4 1) cot h I .! (24) The C, C', G and G " s are complicated functions of the a, a', b, b"s and h The general precession m longitude and the obliquity can, therefore, be written m the same expansion form as the orbital elements given by (14) and (15) e = e* + ~ dt At cos(v,/ + ~,) (25) V = kt + a + ~ , S, sln(~,t + o,) (26) l I A,, ~,,, ~,, S,, ~, o~ are given by identification of (25) to (22) and (26) to (23). The constants h, k, !~, e* and a are computed by solving the set of equations (22) and (23) corresponding to the initial conditions and by using the relaUons between them: (20), (21) and (24) (see the next section for illustration) LONG-TERM VARIATIONS OF THE EARTH'S ORBITAL ELEMENTS, PRECESSION AND OBLIQUITY The 1978 Solutton The method stated above has been used by Berger (1977b, 1978a,b) to give the analytical expressions of and calculate the astro-lnsolation parameters currently used for paleochmate reconstruction In these papers, the orbital elements h, k, p, q have been computed from Bretagnon's (1974) analytical solution which takes into account all the long period terms of the disturbing function up to the fourth degree in e's and t's and the short period terms (secular part) of the disturbing function that give, to the second power of the masses, important long period terms in the solution For this contribution of the short period terms, all the terms to the third degree in e's and t's which lead to a significant modification of the frequencies have been kept This leaves Bretagnon with solution (14) for (h, k) which has 24 terms and (15) for (p, q) which contains 17 terms All these terms have been ordered and regrouped by Berger so that the final expressions (14) and (15) contain only 19 and 15 terms respectively The amplitude, frequency and phase of all these terms are given in Table 1 of Berger (1976) The development of e and V have been obtained by using the method developed by Sharaf and Boudnlkova (1967) which allows the terms to the second degree in the eccentricity of the Earth's orbit to be included To reach a sufficient accuracy, Berger (1978a) has kept 240 and 411 terms respectively m (25) and (26) The constants of integration k, h and ct were deduced from the initial conditions for 1950 0, the reference plane being of 1850.0 (27) = 50 "2686 o In addition, for this solution, k m (18) and (19) was given by the same expression as for !~, it means that k was not gwen by (20) but rather by (21), according to the expansion by Sharaf and Boudnikova (1967) who used a mixed procedure of integration step by step (see Berger et al., 1988 for more detads) This computation leads to the following values e* h ct k (=~) = = = = 23°320 556 23°394 901 3°392 506 50 "439 273 (28) and the amplitudes, phases, and frequencies of (14), (15), (26) and (25) were also published in Berger (1978b) with a computer programme available in Berger (1978a). This solution, labelled here as BER78, was compared with many previous ones (Berger, 1977a). Moreover, a sensitivity analysis to the number of terms kept in the disturbing function and to the order of masses lead to the conclusion that this solution would be quite accurate over the last 1 5 Ma in the time domain and the frequencies acceptable for a much longer period (Berger, 1984). The insolatlons have the same accuracy (Berger and Pestlaux, 1984) because the formula used to compute them was without approximation (Berger, 1978a,b), they were used to validate the astronomical theory (e g. Kutzbach, 1985, Kutzbach and Guetter, 1986; Prell and Kutzbach, 1987, Saltzman et al., 1984; Berger et al., 1990) and/or calibrate the geological data (Imbrle et al, 1984, 1989, Martlnson et al., 1987) The 1990 Solutzon This former astro-lnsolatlon solution (BER78) will be compared in this paper to a new solution (BER90) built up from the Laskar's numerical solution for (e, ~x, l, if2) (Laskar, 1986 and 1988) and according to the procedure developed m a previous section of this paper for e and e sin 6) The main characteristics of BER90 can be summarlzed as follows, the Lagrange equations giving the secular evolution of the planets are expanded up to the second order of the masses and the fifth degree In e's and fs, including lunar and relativistic contributions This secular system is Integrated over 30 mdllon years ( - 1 0 to +20 million years) A modified Fourier analysis is then performed to fit a quasi-periodic function to the numerical values obtained The elements of the Earth's orbit are referred to the mean ecliptic and the mean equinox of 2000 0 To allow a comparison with the solution BER78, the time origin adopted has been moved to 1950 0 The constants of integration as well as the values of the disturbing planetary masses (Table 1) used in the Laskar's 304 A Berger and M F TABLE 1 Values ot the planeta D masses used b~¢ Brctagnon m 1974 and m 1982 (this i~ the ratm of the solar mass to the mass of each planet) Plam.ts Bretagnon {19741 Loutrc U s i n g t h e initial c o n d m o n s t o r [9511 0 r e t e r r e d to t h e r e t e r e n c e p l a n e o f 2000 0 ~,, q~. Bretagnon (1982) we d e d u c e d Mercury Venus Earth + Moon Mars Jupiter ~,aturn Llranu~ Nt_ptunc 6,000,000 408,500 328,900 ~ 099,01R1 1.1)47 35~ z; 498 22.869 It; 314 6 023 600 408 523 328,900 ~ 0t)g.71(l I 047 355 ~, 498 500 22 860 19 314 computahon arc t h o s e u s e d by B r e t a g m m tot hi', V S O P 8 2 s o l u t i o n ( B r e t a g n o n , 19825 T h e V S O P g 2 s o l u t i o n , r e p r e s e n t i n g the s e c u l a r varldtlOll ~, o | t h e p l a n e t a r y o r b i t s , t,, m a d e ot t h e p e r t u r b a t i o n s d e v e l o p e d u p to t h e t h i r d p o w e r o f t h e m a s s e s l o t all t h e p l a n e t s a n d u p to t h e sixth p o w e r for t h e f o u r o u t e r p l a n e t s It also c o n t a n l ~ t h e p e r t u r b a t i o n s ot t h e M o o n onto the Earth-Moon system A c c o r d i n g to t h e s e n s l t w l t y a n a l y s i s m a d e b 3, B c r g c r (1977a5, thls i m p r o v e m e n t m t h e p h m e t a r y m a s s e s r c l a t w e to t h o s e u s e d m t n e s o l u t u m B E R 7 8 is not e x p e c t e d to s l g m t t c a n t l y c h a n g e t h e n u m e r i c a l ~,dues ol the s o l u t i o n It is t h e a c c u r a c y with w h m h the p e r t u r b m g l u n c t l o n is k n o w n w h i c h m o s t h i n f l u e n c e s t h e accul,tcv ol t h e s o l u t i o n ot t h e p l a n e t , u y p o i n t m a s s e s ',vMern T h e m e t h o d b} S h a r a l a n d B o u d n l k m a (19671 (xcc p r e v i o u s s e c t i o n ) has t h e n b e e n u s e d to o b t a i n all e x p a n s i o n l o r t h e o h h q u t t } (22) a n d t h e p r e e e ~ s u m (23) c o r r e s p o n d i n g to t h e o r b i t a l e l e m e n t s g w e n by L a s k a r M o r e o v e r , a c c o r d i n g to (205 a n d 1215, the c o n s t a n t ~ k and I~ a r e n o w c a l c u l a t e d t h r o u g h d i f f e r e n t e x p r e s s u m ~ l e a d i n g to e x p a n s t o n s (225 a n d (23) w h i c h a l e stnctl~ to the s e c o n d d e g r e e ~ t t h r e s p e c t to t h e E a i t h ' s e c c e n t ~ v t l h In such a c a s e . h a n d ~t can bc c o n s ~ d m e d ,l~ t h c onl 3, t w o constant,, o f i n t e g r a t i o n , k a n d I~ b e i n g ~ o m p u t e d b~/ (20) a n d 121), w h i l e the m~t~al c o n d i t i o n ~ 23'~4458 _-: 0°6982 4 t h e t o l l o w m g c o n s t a n t s ot n l t c g r a t ~ o n h u = 23 399 935 =- 1 600 753 F r o m t h e m , we c o m p u t e d k I~ = - 50 "390 811 5(I "417 262 ~ 333 410 Brt_tagnon-Bt.rger Laskar-Berget Label BER78 BER90 131) ,h i, . i e T h e initial v a l u e ol t h e d e r l v a t w e ol (26) tit computed at t = 0 dq, 5O "273 147 dt , ,~ can be c o m p a r e d to t h e initial v a l u e g i v e n n3 (271 dq, 5tj "2681~ dt gl~ m g t h e a c c m ac 3 o t t h e t . o m p u t a t l o n a t . o m p l e t e out ot p h a s e ot tile c h n l a t l c pret.ess~on will o c c u r onl 3 m a t i m e s p a n ol m o r e t h a n 1411 M a PALEOCLIMATIC SOLUTION K n o w i n g the e x p a n . ~ , m ol tile aMrononllt_al e l e m e n t s c, l. zr. ~2 (14 a n d 15). ~ (25) a n d q~ (26) ( T a b l e s 3 4, 5 . 7 ) . It is p o s s i b l e to ~ a l e u l a t e t h e e x p a n s i o n ol all the astlo-nlso]atlon palameter', A', t h e e c c e n t r i c 1 D c a n b e c o m p u t e d t h r o u g h e- - h: 4- /, 2 t h e e x p a n s i o n t o r e 2 Is g l v e | l by e 2 = ~., M 2, + ~ ~ w n h Z, = 2M,M, cos(7. I g,t + Jl, [ ABLE 2 Chalactt_rNms ol the 2 dlllt.renl soluHons lol the. oiNtal cKm~_nt,, ~1~. obhqmtv and the pret.es'qon Author (30) the v a l u e o l k, I~ a n d I for dq~ ~s u s e d to test tile a c c m ac~, o l t h e ~ . o m p u t a t u m dt (29) ~\c~-urat \ 1,?,~.k t t. nt_t_ cl~.glct, (e, I) otdLr masses ~ q, ~ l podl [ thpll~ ~ q' 2 2 9' 2 lt}q() lt~qO 18511 2l)(}l) ' Order ot the expansion ol the equations (tht. ord~.r ol th,. solution might be high,.1 ) ~" Berger has computed t ~, [rom the (e. ~) and 0 if2) system ol P,retagmm ' Berger has computed t tp lrom tht. (e ~t) and (t. (,2) system ol L,isk,u a Degree of the expansum of (t. "q~)with rtspeet to the Earth's eceentnclt,, act.ordulg to the formulae by Sharal and Boudmko,,a (19671 X,} 305 Insolation Values for the Last 10 Ma T A B L E 3 A m p h t u d e s , m e a n rates, phases and periods of the 5 largest a m p h t u d e m the trigonometrical expansion of the (e, Jr) system (equations 14) Mean Rate ("/year) Amphtudes BER78 1 2 3 4 5 0 018608 0 016275 0 013007 0009888 0003367 BER90 0 0 0 0 0 018970 016318 012989 008136 003870 BER78 BER90 4 7 17 17 16 4 7 17 17 5 20721 34609 85726 22055 84673 Phase (°) BER78 24898 45549 92249 37774 56847 28 193 128 320 99 Period (years) BER90 6 8 3 2 3 30 199 151 309 77 6 7 7 8 0 BER78 BER90 308043 176420 72576 75259 76929 305014 173831 72311 74578 232738 The labels B E R 7 8 and B E R 9 0 correspond respectwely to Bretagnon (1974) and Laskar (1988) from which the developments of e, n, l, f2 originate However, the n u m b e r s gwen here are not those published by these authors because both soluhons have been assigned to the same standard astronomical epoch of reference (origin of time is 1950 0) The sign of the a m p h t u d e ol terms 3 and 5 m column B E R 7 8 has been changed relatively to the values given in Berger (1978a, b) m agreement with the change of the phase by 180 ° This has been done to allow an easier comparison between the solutions T A B L E 4 Amplitudes, m e a n rates, phases and periods of the 5 largest a m p h t u d e terms m the trigonometrical expansion of the (l. 2 ) system (equations 15) Mean Rate ("/year) Amphtudes 1 2 3 4 5 Phase (o) BER78 BER90 BER78 BER90 0 027672 0 020040 0 012076 0 007609 0005083 0 027538 0 015973 0 010306 0008047 0 005695 0 0 - 1 8 82930 - 5 61094 - 17 81877 - 6 77103 00 - 1 8 85013 -560436 - 17 76134 - 7 05274 BER78 106 248 12 277 305 Period (years) BER90 2 5 0 4 0 107 245 17 287 143 BER78 6 5 2 2 8 BER90 -68829 230977 72732 191404 -68752 231248 72967 183758 The labels B E R 7 8 and B E R 9 0 correspond respectively to Bretagnon (1974) and Laskar 11988) from which the developments of e, ;t, t, Q originate However, the n u m b e r s gwen here are not those published by these authors because both solutions have been assigned to the same standard astronomical epoch of reference ( o n g m of time is 1950 0) T A B L E 5 A m p h t u d e s , m e a n rates, phases and periods of the 5 largest amplitude terms m the trigonometrical expansion of the general precession (26) A m p h t u d e s (") 1 2 3 4 5 Mean Rate ("/year) BER78 BER90 7391 2555 2022 1973 1240 5911 3597 2865 2691 2217 02 15 76 65 23 BER78 4 2 5 7 7 31 32 24 0 31 60997 62050 17220 63672 98378 Phase (o) BER90 BER78 31 54068 004374 004782 32 62947 0 09238 251 280 128 168 292 Period (years) BER90 9 8 3 1 7 247 230 45 288 352 2 4 3 8 0 BER78 BER90 41000 39730 53615 2035441 40521 41090 29630307 27101064 39719 14029011 T h e sign of the a m p h t u d e of term 4 in column B E R 7 8 has been changed relatively to the values gwen m Berger (1978a, b) m a g r e e m e n t with the change of the phase by 180° This has been done to allow an easier comparison between the solutions The expansion for e can then be o b t a m e d , defining m 2 and a, through. e = m [1-0.25 M, m2= Z we finally obtain (Berger, 1978a)" k M2I' a , m + ~ t e~ c o s y k - 0.25 ~ k and y~ y . b2 ~ 1> a,a1 cos (7,, - )~j) = t Y~ k bk cos Yk --0.5 b 2 cos2yk k ~ k y, l>k bkbt cos(vk + Yt) 306 A Berger and M F Loutre -05 y y h /~/, + 0 125 ~ /, +0375 ~ Z +0375 Z e=e' l>h h Z b~b, cos(2ya - 7:) + 0 375 y . X b,b~ X X X /, / > /~ m > cos(27: - t = ~' -~ y ~ A , l 7: + 7,,,) + cos (7a - ~': - 7,,,))] (32) with e~ = b~ + 0 3 7 5 b 3 + I) 75 b~ y~ b7 14h O n the other hand. the longitude m e a s u r e d t r o m the equinox of date + tp The precessmn (tp). given by written m short as ~i' = I~t + . represents the periodic part ot precession then b e c o m e s ol the perlhehon is given by 6) = Jr (23). can also be + 6~, where ?,~, ~, The cllmatm = e sm (at + (lit + t~) + 6al,) = e sin (~ + lit + ~l) COS ~q, + e cos (at + lit + (~) sm ~xl, With e q u a t m n s (14) and (23). and h m l t m g the expansion to the second o r d e r m M, and N, the chmatlc precession can be written as M,sml(g, + li)t + 13, + "1 / t - - G,N,M:sln y. l I [(s, + g, + k + li)t + ,b, + 1;, + 2.1 + y~ y~ I t [(3, - ,~,', + q,) (34) 1 -- G,N,M, sin c o s ( y / + C.,) e . E,. k,. q),. P , . . , Ya/ + cos (Ta + 7: - Y,,,) + cos (7a + y~ P, s i n ( s t 1 l> 1>/, e sin 6, = y /:, ~oqT/ + dO,) c sin 6) = ~ ] b,b~ cos(2y: + y,) babtb,,, (cos (Ya + Y/ + 7,,,) e sin tb + y, I /, + l ) 75 She classical astro-msolatton elements (e, e sm ~,) and ~ - - already gwen m (25)) can therefore be written In the same expansion lorm as for h, k, p and q given by (14) and (15) b~b, cos(2y~ + y,) Z h v,) b h cos 37a ~ /, +0375 b,b, cos(v, ii, arc gwen by ldentlhcatlon ot (34) to (32) and (33) The amplitudes, trequencles, phases ot (14). (15) and (34) are gwen in Bergm (1978a. b) for B E R 7 8 . as [or B E R 9 0 , the most important terms of (34) are given in Tables 6 . 7 and 8 of this paper The m a m advantages of such d e v e l o p m e n t s , m addition to providing the numerical values of the elements, are that they allow an m t e r c o m p a r l s o n with the previous solution(s) (see next section) and also give directly the most important trequencms ot these lundamental parameters It is important to stress that the hmJted n u m b e r ol terms given in Tables 3 to 8 does not allow an accurate c o m p u t a t i o n of the respective elements, m a n y more terms have been used tor the c o m p u t a t i o n of (34) Let us r e m e m b e r that the values related to e. Jr. t. £2 are associated with an analytical expression used by Laskar to ht the numerical values he obtained from a numerical lntegratum ol the Lagrange equations ! o obtain a g o o d fit, 80 terms (the t~rst ot which ,ire given m Tables 3 and 4) had lo be kept m the trlgonometrlc,iI expressions (14) and (15) which normally lead to a large n u m b e r of terms m the analytical expressions (34) for lespectlvely the eccentricity, the chmatlc precession p a r a m e t e r and the obilqmty (Berger and Loutre 1990) R e - a s s e m b h n g all these terms m such ,l wa~, thal all the trequencles would be different from term to lerm. ordering them to immediately have the most ~mpottant ones and analysing the accuracy ot the numerical v,tlues o b t a i n e d from (34) ac~.oldmg to the n u m b e r ol tcrms kept m each ol the cxp.lnsu)ns lead to the lollowlng conclusions I-or the o b h q u l t y troln the 6480 terms ol (22). 6320 ha~ e dfllercnt arguments and 704 have ,in a m p h t u d e largel lhan ()"1, le,ldlng to devmtlons generall~ less than 0 °01)05. 89 w~th an a m p h t u d e larger than "v' a h e a d 5 lead to devlallons generally less than 0 '(11 H)I tile dunatlC ple~.esslon a m o n g the 12880 telnls. 1522 h,lve an a m p h t u d e larger than 10 ". leading to de~ mtk)n', less than 1 "'~ lor m less than 0 ()()()5 lot c and less than 7 e 10 ~ 1o~ tile chmat~c precessum With the 92 tern> ha~uag an amplitude larger than 1() a the pleclslOn ~s not ',cry much lower It reaches Ill ' tor the chtnatl~ prc~.ess|on and 2 ~' tor ~;~ Insolation Values for the Last 10 Ma 307 . TABLE 6 Amphtudes, mean rates, phases and periods of the 5 largest amphtude terms m the trigonometrical expansion of chmauc precession (second equation m 34) Mean Rate ("/year) Amphtudes 1 2 3 4 5 BER78 BER90 BER78 BER90 0 018608 0 016275 0 013007 0009888 0003367 0 018970 0 016318 0 012989 0008136 0 003870 5464648 57 78537 68 29654 67 65982 67 28601 54 57 68 67 55 66624 87275 33975 79501 98574 Phase (°) Period (years) BER78 BER90 BER78 BER90 32 0 197 2 131 7 323 6 102 8 32 2 201 3 153 4 311 4 78 6 23716 22428 18976 19155 19261 23708 22394 18964 19116 23149 The sign of the amphtude of terms 3 and 5 m column BER78 has been changed relatwely to the values given m Berger (1978a, b) m agreement with the change of th~ phase by 180° This has been done to allow an eas~er comparison between the solutions TABLE 7 Amphtudes, mean rates, phases and periods of the 5 largest amphtude terms m the trigonometrical expansion of obhqmty (equation 25) Amphtudes (") BER78 1 2 3 4 5 -2462 -857 -629 -414 -311 22 32 32 28 76 Mean Rate ("/year) BER90 -1969 -903 -631 -602 -352 00 50 67 81 88 BER78 31 32 24 31 44 60997 62050 17220 98378 82834 BER90 31 32 32 24 30 54068 62947 08588 06077 99683 Phase (o) Period (years) BER78 BER90 BER78 BER90 251 9 280 8 128 3 292 7 15 4 247 14 288 79 265 33 129 70 43 20 41000 39730 53615 40521 28910 41090 39719 40392 53864 41811 TABLE 8 Amphtudes, mean rates, phases and periods of the 5 largest amphtude terms m the trigonometrical expansion of eccentricity (first equation of 34) Amphtudes 1 2 3 4 5 Mean Rate ("/year) Phase (°) Period (years) BER78 BER90 BER78 BER90 BER78 BER90 BER78 BER90 0 011029 0008733 0007493 0006724 0 005812 0 011268 0008819 0007419 0005600 0004759 3 13889 13 65006 10 51117 13 01334 9 87446 3 20651 13 67352 10 46700 13 12877 9 92226 165 2 99 7 294 5 291 6 126 4 169 2 121 2 312 0 279 2 110 1 412885 94945 123297 99590 131248 404178 94782 123818 98715 130615 The sign of the amphtude of terms 2 and 3 m column BER78 has been changed relatwely to the values given in Berger (1978a, b) m agreement with the change of the phase by 180° This has been done to allow an easier comparison between the solutions F o r t h e e c c e n t r t c l t y as t h e s e r i e s e x p a n s i o n is s l o w l y c o n v e r g e n t a n d t h e n u m b e r o f t e r m s Is h u g e , t h e accuracy of the numerical values for e can be very p o o r tf u n c o n t r o l l e d t r u n c a t i o n s a r e m a d e . K e e p i n g all t h e t e r m s ( 1 1 4 7 9 ) f o r w h i c h t h e a m p h t u d e is l a r g e r t h a n 4 × 10 - 6 l e a d s t o a d e v i a t i o n o f a b o u t 2 × 10 - 6 F o r t h e g e n e r a l p r e c e s s i o n in l o n g i t u d e t h e 8 4 9 2 t e r m s w i t h a n a m p h t u d e l a r g e r t h a n 0 "01 g w e r i s e t o a d e v l a t t o n l e s s t h a n 8 × 10 - 5 d e g r e e W i t h 2 3 9 4 t e r m s , t h e d e v t a t l o n ~s g e n e r a l l y less t h a n 6 × 10 - 3 d e g r e e W i t h 2 6 2 t e r m s w h o s e a m p l i t u d e s a r e l a r g e r t h a n 50", it Is o f t h e o r d e r o f 0 °2 Therefore, m order to avoid any loss of accuracy by having to limit the expansions in order to provide the expressions (34) with an acceptable, managable numb e r o f t e r m s , o n l y t h e n u m e r i c a l v a l u e s o f e, e, e s i n TABLE 9 Value of the different constants m the development of the astro-cllmatlc elements for BER78 and BER90 (to = 1950 0) BER78 e* (°) k ('7year) R ('7year) (o) 23 50 50 3 and insolation for the available upon request 320 439 439 392 556 273 273 506 BER90 23 333 410 50 390 811 50 417 262 1600753 l a s t 10 m l l h o n y e a r s will b e from the first author I N T E R C O M P A R I S O N OF THE ASTROPALEOCLIMATIC PARAMETERS First, let us point out that even if t h e p l a n e s of 3118 A Bergcr and M F Loutr~ reterence for the solunon BER78 and BER90 are not the same (1850 II and 2000 01 the comparison between the two solutions for the obhqmty and chmanc precession ks entirely vahd as the values calculated fm paleochmatm research are instantaneous (1 e they refer to the reference planes of the date and not ot the epoch) The accuracy ot the solution depends essentially upon the accuracy and the number ot terms kept in the p e r t u r b a n o n / u n c t i o n (Berger, 1976, 19841 In the case of BER90, It also depends on the numerical process used to obtain the analytmal development ot the elements the F o u n m analysis for the Earth's orbital elements (h, k, p and q) was limited to 811 terms giving rise to an accuracy ot about 0 1% tot the eccentricity and 1 5% for the lnchnatlon, but this accuracy does not depend on time and affects only the values ,it timer dose to the present-day (Laskar, 19881 A nalyu~ al ( omparI son Tables 3 to 8 provide, for BER78 and BER90, the characteristics of the 5 largest terms m the orbital systems (e, rt) and (t, g2) as well as in ~. ll,, e sin d) and e The trequencles wdl provide automatically the spectra of the astro-lnsolatlon parameters, as needed m the vahdanon process of the astronomical theory (c g h n b n e et a l , 1984, Berger, 1989a, b) For the obliquity the number ot terms for the solution BER9() ks much larger than for BER78 for BER90 there are 149 terms for whmh the amphtude ts larger than 1" whereas there are only 47 for BER78 The 4 hrst terms ot BER90 have to be compared respectively with term numbers 1,2, 4, 3 of BER78, the 5th term does not have any corresponding term m BER78 Comparison o1 the two solutions shows only weak dflferences m the frequencies tot the most unportant terms, the differences in the trequencles generate differences m the periods ot the order of a tew tens to hundreds of years, they amount to 200 years tor the 53,864 yr-perlod but are generally less lmpoltant tot the other terms On the contrary, the amphtudes m BER90 are significantly different lrom those o1 BER78 -1969" for the first term ot BER90 against - 2462' tor the con espondlng term m BER78 This dltterence of 20% ks slightly compensated for b~ thc appearance of a new 41,000-yr term (number 5 in BER90), the 29,000-yr term ot BER78 ranking only 6 m BER90 with an amplitude of - 2 0 6 " against -312" Differences can even reach 50% for the 4th term ot BER90 but are only a few percent lot the 3rd one 'ks tor the phase, the differences are less than 30 ° fin the important terms The comparison ot ~p between BER78 and BERg0 ks more complicated Very large periodicities (about 311 Ma) appear m BER90 with important amphtudes These periods are characteristics ot the exmence ol almost commensurable characteristic trequencms It the~ are omitted, the second and third terms ot BER78 can be compared to terms 4 and 7 respectively m BER90, the frequencies and phases being m good agreement and thmr respective amphtudes quite ~omparable As was also the case [oi the obhqulty, the numbel ol terms m the expansion of the chmatm precessum is larger R)r BER90 than tot BER78 In BER90 there arc 110 terms lor which the amphtude is larger than ~, Y 10 ~, whereas there ,ire only 46 in BER78 As therc arc many trequencms close to each other, it ks not very ~ as~ to fred the terms which have to be compared Nevertheless, the 5 first terms ol BER90 can be compared respectively with term numbms l, 2, 3, 4 6 ot BER78 The 5th term of BER78 corresponds to the 9th term ol BERg0, which Dyes more weight to the 23,0011-~i period m BER90 This docs not preclude a good agreement between the 2 solutions the periods generally &tier only by a tcw tens to a few hundreds ot years, the amplitudes ale qmte close to each other (the absolute difference ts only 3 7 × 10 -a for the first term, I c a relative dflferencc ot about 2%) but for ~ome terms the dff|erence is more important (the amphtudc ot the 9th term of BER90 corresponding to a lq,000-y! component ks about hall the corresponding amphtude of the 5th term of BER781, the difference between the phases is generally less than 20" For the time series tol chmanc precession, as ~scll as tol obhqmty, the difference in amphtudes me compensated tor bv new te~m,, haling more or less smnl,n trequencles and phases The analysis ol the c~centnclty Is nmch more comphcated the number ot telms Is greater tol BER90 than tor BER78 (90 against 42 tor ,ill terms with ,in amphtude larger than 4 ~ 10 a), the difference m the periods Increases v~lth their length (the difference is 8,700 years lor the hrst term but only 16"~ years lor the second) which makes thc comparison term b 5 term more dehcate Nevertheless, assuming that the hrst terms etfectwely correspond to each other, the change m the phases between BER90 and BER78 ale ol the same order ol magnitude than lor the other elements (gene! ally about 211° lot the nlost important terms), the agreement between the amphtudes rem,uns ver~ good with a difference ol the order ot 10- a (but iI becomes more nnpoltant --- ol the order ot 10 ~- - tor the othel terms) This comparison lcads to the conclusum that the solutums BER78 and BER90 can only beconlc dlflerent belore 1 5 mflhon years ago (a tew tnnes the period ol 4011,000 w a r s corresponds to the largest amphtude tol the eccentricity) Nlut'lUt l( {ll ( olnpat {~Oll From the analyncal cxpresslons (34), time ~cnc> can be generated and compared together, tot example over the previous 5 mllhon years and the next million years centred at 19511[) 1he vananons m time ot the eccentricity the obhqmty and the climatic precession corresponding to BER90 are presented in Figs 4 to 9 for a time interval going trom 0 to 6 Ma BP They are compared to the solunon BER78 tor the time mtmval 0 to 3 Ma BP in Figs 4, ~ and 6 309 Insolation Values for the Last 10 Ma BERg0 BER78 In BER90, during the last 5 mdhon years (next Obllqmty Obhqmty mdhon years), the eccentricity is seen to vary between 0 000267 (0 001694) and 0 057133 (0 052614) with an average quasl-pertod of 96,805 (93,100) years Simultaneously, the obhqu~ty of the Earth's orbit has vaned between 22 °08 (22 °28) and 24 °54 (24 °32) with an average quasi-period of 41,074 (41,174) years Whde the chmat~c precession oscillates between - 0 05625 ( - 0 05193) and 0.05623 (0 05201) with an average quasz-penod of 21,000 (21,378) A characteristic feature of the time evolution of the eccentricity ~s the -400 almost complete disappearance of the 100,000-year cycle between 2 4 Ma BP and 2 8 Ma BP (Ftg 6a), as •-~ -500 well as between 4 4 Ma BP and 4.8 Ma BP (Fig 8a), leaving only the 400,000-year cycle. The obhqulty is ~ -000 charactensed by very small changes m amphtude between 3 Ma BP and 35 Ma BP (Fig 7b), and -700 ~ between 4 Ma BP and 4 5 Ma BP (Fig 8b) A visual check to Figs 4, 5 and 6 shows that the solution BER90 is m good agreement with BER78 over -000 the last 1 5 × 106 years, for the eccentricity, as well as for the obliquity and chmattc precession They become -900~ dwergent only before 1 5 × 106 BP The eccentnctty curves look totally different at the 100 ka t~me scale -1000 starting 1 5 Ma BP The amphtude of the 100,000 yearcycle disappears in the two solutions leawng only the FIG 4b Comparison between BER78 and BER90 of the long-term vanatzons of the obhqulty from 1 Ma BP to the present (1950 0 400,000-year envelope but for different t~me intervals AD) BRE74 LASS8 BERT8 |*l|||| BER90 |_-*||~|| Eccentricity Eccentrlclty BER7B Precession 8~J88ZS -10 - BER90 Precession 8Z88~8 -100 _ oo -00~ -300 -40C -400 ~ -500 -000 j: e~ rt~ -0~ -700 -700 4800 ~ -800 -900 -90G: _,ooo FIG 4a Comparison between BER78 and BER90 of the long-term vanattons of the eccentricity from 1 Ma BP to the present (1950 0 A D ) BRE 74 refers to Bretagnon (1974) and LAS 88 to Laskar (1988) FIG 4c Comparison between BER78 and BER90 of the long-term variations of the chmat~c precession from 1 Ma BP to the present (1950 0 A D ) 310 A BRE74 BER78 Eccentrlmt [ Loutrt_ I.,A888 BEB90 Eccentnczty ~ !! iI i1 t! i1 ~ , , ,o ~ o -~oooi'* ~'~'7'- -100~ -llO0 -.oo1/ -1200-~ -12001 -1300 Berger and M o o o o o o ~ -1300 -1400 -1400 -1500 -1500 -~0oo ~--J) o -1100 -t3oo ~l ~ BER90 Precession BERT8 PrecesslOD -1000~ ! E-~-1600 -1700L -~001~ -1000 -1000 -1800~ -1900 -1900 _2000~ -2000 I, I FIG 5a Compar,son between BER78 and BER90 ol the long-term vanatmns of the eccentr,c~ty from 2 Ma BP to 1 Ma BP BER78 BERg0 Obhqmty Obhqmty ot FIG 5c Compartson between BER78 and BER90 the long-term variations ol the chmatte precession trom 2 Ma BP to 1 Ma BP BRE74 BER78 Eccentricity LAS88 BER90 Eccentnczty -200d o © o o o o ~/r'r'f'r' I -21oo ~ j -2400 2~ -2500 -2000 -2700 -2f100 --- ---- - ,~'--~ < _200o__<2___ -2000 , I , I , d - ~ r , ' , ~ FIG 5b Comparison between BER78 and BER90 ot the long-term variations of the obhqmty from 2 Ma BP to 1 Ma BP l _~oooL,,,~,~,l,l F I G 0a Comparison betwe~.n BER78 and BER90 ot the long-term v a n a u o n s of the eccentnc,tv from 3 Ma BP to 2 Ma BP 311 Insolation Values for the Last 10 Ma BER78 BEE90 0bhqmty 0bhqulty LAS88 BER90 Eccentricity BERg0 ~66|| -2000 BER90 Precessson Obhquzty 8 Z 8 8 8 ~ _2000~ ? ? o o o -.o, ,. .... i -210 -3100 -2LOC -220 -320( -320© ___) i -220~ - ~ . -240C ~.~ -350~ ~ -2201 -3800 -2701 -3700 ~ -3700 -2001 -3800 -2900 -3000 --4000 ~ ' ' ' ~ ' I t l t FIG 6b Comparison between BER78 and BER90 of the long-term variations of the obliquity from 3 Ma BP to 2 Ma BP BERTfl Precessaon FIG 7 Long-term vanatlons of the eccentricity (a), the obhqulty (b) and the chmauc precession (c) from 4 Ma BP to 3 Ma BP for BER90 LAS88 BEE90 Eceen~el~ BER90 Precession ??70°°o -2000 , I ' I '~1 ' I '. o o o o o o o BEE90 0bhqul~ -~ ~,~,~, -210C -4100 " i -22o -420 " ~ i -2300 ~ -420 i -2400 ~ - BEE90 Preeesslon ~ -~0, ~-4500 ~ -2800 " i -4600 - ~ -2700~i -4700 -2800 -4800 -290C -4900 ~ -30( FIG 6c Comparison between BER78 and BER90 of the long-term variations of the climatic precess]on from 3 Ma BP to 2 Ma BP FIG 8 L o n g - t e r m v a n a t l o n s o f t h e e c c e n t n c l t y ( a ) , t h e o b h q u l t y ( b ) andthechmatlcprecesslon(c) f r o m 5 M a B P t o 4 M a B P f o r B E R ~ 3[2 A Berger and M F Loum_ LAS88 BERg0 BER90 Eccentrlclty Obhqulty -5100! ~ BER90 :8~gSggg Precession ! -5300 -5500 -5800~ i -5900 -~ooo~,,, ~ FIG 9 Long-term~a~mtlonx ol the eccentricity(,t) the obhqmt} (hi and the chmatlc precessum (¢) lrom 6 Ma BP to '~ Ma BP for BER90 this chaiacterlstlc shape, reflecting the 400,00t)-vear component m BER78 between 1 7 Ma BP and 2 1 Ma BP, can be round in BER90 between 2 4 Ma BP and 2 8 Ma BP The obhqmty is out of phase b,e one tourth ol a cycle (10,000 years) at 1 9 Ma BP with BER90 leading BER78 The first discrepancy between the two solutions for chmatlc precession appears at 1 3 Ma BP but the hrst significant difference occurs between 1 ~ and 1 7 Ma BP This contrrms the conclusion made in 1984 comparing the solution BER78 with other solutions and estimating the influence ot the perturbanons not taken into account (relatlvistm and lunar), Berger (1984) concluded that the tm~e series for the precession, eccentricity and obllqmty can be considered rehable for the last 1 5 × 10*" years only In the case of the eccentricity, the drtlerence m phase between BER78 and BER90 ~s much less than a hall period over the last 5 Ma For the obliquity, the mare difference arises between 3 and 3 5 Ma BP during which the new solution is far less regular than BER78 (r e less slnusoldal) The two solutions for the climatic precessmn are out of phase by half a mean cycle (10,000 years) at 2 Ma BP, but they recover very rapidly at 2 2 Ma BP the phase difference is again small THE INSOLATION VALUES Simulation of the past chmate reqmres the calculation of the daffy or monthly msolatmn instead of, or in addmon to, the Mdankovltch caloric season's insolation (Berger, 1978c) The daily mid-month or monthly mean insolation can bc derived lrom a srlnplc but accurate set of formulae (Berger, 1978a, b) For the sake ol comparison, the mid-month daily insolation, defined from a constant increment of the true longitude ol the Sun, starting at the spring equinox, ,ire computed lor C,lch 10 degrees ol latitude Let us recall that these values represent the insolation at around the 2()th ol each month In the same ~,lx, monthly mean insolation values, averaged over I(I degree latrtudmal zones will also bc displayed tot the intercomparlson between BER78 and BER90 Analysis ol the lnsol,itum ~alues obtained [rotn BER90 brings some gcneral conclusions insolation > dominated by precession mainly in thc equatollal regions but the obhquit3 signal rs remlorced at the solstlccs and at high l,ttltudcs The role of eecentrieitx m modulating the precessional component m the \arlatlon ol insolation is very visible through the 40{I,()00 },car cycle (sec lot example the monthly mean insolation lor March 2{b-:~0°N (fqgs 12, 13 and 14)) Foi thc last I 5 mllhon years the BER78 and BERO0 insolation values are very snmlar (Figs 10 and 11 ) "1his conlirms the limit ol \ahdrt~ already given lo~ the. orbital parameters l h e same characteristics hold therelore lor the two solutions over that time sp,m Foi example tot the last 2()lt,0(}{I }'cars, the most slgnllu.ant deviations o| the 65°N July mid-month msolatkm trom the 1950 l} / \ D xaluc (427 W/m n) are round to be located ,uound 185 ka BP (--28 w/me), 160 ka BP (- q W/m:) 1-~7 ka BP ~--!i ~ / i n e) 114 ka BP (--~5 P~/ m 2 ) 93 ka BP ( - 6 W/in-), 71} ka BP ( -1 t) W/m e) 41 ka BP I -- 10 W/m:) and 22 ka BP ( - 9 W/m e) as lar ds thc negatl~c de'~ldtlOnS arc concerned, and around 197 ka BP (46 W/m-'), 173 ka BP (54 w/me), 148 ka BP (28 W/ me). 126 ka BP (6(I W/toni, 104 ka BP (48 W/m:) 82 ka BP (40 W/me), 56 ka BP (34 W/nan), 33 ka BP (15 W/ m -~) and 10 ka BP (43 W/m e) tor the positive deviations in addition to the analysts of this 65°N July msolaturn, ~t m~ght also be sigmtlcant to compare the monthly mean msolatum values given by the 2 solutu)ns lot June over the latitudinal band 80-9(t°N and tor December 70-80°S, foi March 20-30°N and lor September 1{t-2()°S These lantudes and months are indeed among those which were retained rn the insolation climate index (Berger c t a l , 19811 ,is s h o ~ m g a statistically significant ~_orrelatron with 6 0 Is records The behaviour ol the curves tot March 20-30°N and September 10--20°S are very similar and their intercompanson wdl be restricted to the msolanon curxe for March 20-30°N Globally. the insolation curves lor March 20°-30°N (Figs 12-14) are very srmdar tot the two solutions until around 1 4 ~< 10~ BP One ol the characteristics ot the BER78 curve is a well-marked beat between 1 7 and 2 1 mllhon years for whmh the 400,000 year 'envelope" corresponds to the d~sappearance of the 100,000 year eccenmcity cycle, and to a shght damping of the amphtude of obhqulty, and to a less extent of precession This same feature appears later ( 2 4 t o 2 8 M a B P ) mBER90 Inamoredetaded analysis, we can see that until 200 ka BP. there exists 313 Insolation Values for the Last 10 Ma BER78 BERg0 July 65N 1 u l y 65N BERT8 March 2 0 - 3 0 N BERg0 March S0-30N 31i§§~ t~ -____ FIG 10 Comparison between BER78 and BER90 of the long-term vanatJons of the 65N mid-month July insolation from 1 Ma BP to the present FIG 12 Comparison between BER78 and BER90 of the long-term variations of the monthly mean insolation for March 20N-30N from 1 Ma BP to the present BERT8 BERg0 BER78 BER90 July 65N July 65N March 20-30N March 20-30N EII~|J ..^fl§gl~|! a~ FIG 11 Comparison between BER78 and BER90 of the long-term variations of the 65N mid-month July insolation from 2 Ma BP to 1 Ma BP FIG 13 Comparison between BER78 and BER90 of the long-term variations of the monthly mean msolaUon for March 20N-30N from 2 Ma BP to 1 Ma BP 314 A Bcrger and M F Loutrc BER78 March 20-30N BERg0 March 20-30N !|iI~ -2000 -2100 -2~'00 -'~400 -2700 -290( -300( FIG 14 Comparison between BER78 and BER90 of the long-term vanatlons of the monthly mean insolation for March 20N-30N from 3 Ma BP to 2 Ma BP some tiny differences in amphtudes between the two solutions (less than 5 W/m 2) Before 40(I ka BP the amplitude exhibits increasing differences reaching 10 W/m 2, with the amphtude of BER78 somenmes being larger than in BER90 (400 ka to 830 ka), somenmes smaller (830 ka to 1100 ka) Before 1 5 Ma BP, the differences become more significant, in particular between 1 9 and 2 7 Ma BP At 1 9 Ma BP, BER90 leads BER78 and its amphtude IS smaller, but before 1 95 Ma, BER90 starts to lag behind BER78, at around 2 Ma, the two solutmns are completely out of phase and they remain out of phase over more or less 100,000 years the amplitude of BER78 being smaller than BER90 For the next 300,000 years, there are period', durmg which the two solutions are m phase (2 08-2 10 Ma BP, 2 17-2 22 Ma BP, 2 28-2 33 Ma BP) alternating with periods where BER90 lags behind BER78 Between 2 4 and 2 7 Ma BP the mean quasi-period ot BER90 (22,150 years) becomes larger than in BER78 (20,570 years) giving rise to pertods during which the two solutions are m phase (around 2 6 Ma BP) or totally out of phase (around 2 5 Ma BP) Finally, at 2 7 Ma BP the two solutions are again in phase The comparison of the soluttons over other lantudJnal zones and months shows stmllar behaviour beats can be seen in the June monthly mean insolation averaged over the latitudinal band between 80 and 90°N, but do not occur at the same time for the two solutions The differences between the amphtudes of the insolation curves increase with time back in the past From a few W/m 2 durmg the last 200,000 years to 10 W/m -~ around 700 ka, it leaches 20 W/m e at 1 ~ Ma BP Belore 13 Ma BP, the two solutions become dlfterent A characteristic leature of the insolation around 4 4 Ma is the small variations m amplitude related to the small value of the eccentricity at that time (e is almost 0 ,it 4 38 Ma BP) and to the small changes m precession and obhqulty I'he same feature has a striking appearance m the 65°N mid-month lnsolanon values for July (Fig IS) In the case of the monthly mean values lor Decembe~ 70-80S some tiny differences can already be seen around 1 Ma BP (few W/m -~in amphtude), but they arc much more perceptible before for example, differences in amplitude hke around 14 Ma BP and appearance of new relative maxima at l 29 and 1 41 Ma BP For the winter latitudes at December 611--70N and June 50-60S, the amplitude of the variations are very small and consequently the comparison more difficult Broadly for December 60-70N the two solutions differ very few from each other (less than 1 W/m -~) over the last 900,000 years Between 900 ka and 1 5 Ma, the differences in amphtude increase and phase lags appear at different times Betore l 5 Ma, the two solutions can hardly be compared sometimes they look very similar (2 4 Ma to 2 7 Ma) while at other times they are totally different (1 9 Ma to 2 3 Ma) CONCLUSION The BER90 solution includes for (e, rr) and (;, g2), terms depending upon the second power as to the dlsturbmg masses and on the fifth degree with respect to the planetary eccentrlcmes and lnchnations The conclusions drawn lrom tormer comparisons ol different astronomical solutions for the astro-lnsolatlon parameters (Berger. 1984) are confirmed • The accuracy ol thc solunon depends upon the accuracy of the constants, the initial condmons and the expansions themselves • The ~,alues ol obhqulty and pietessum are strongly dependent upon the accurac~ ol the system (l, ~ ) , mole than upon the accuracy ulth which the Polsson equations can be solved • Back to 1 Ma, the tyro solutions BER7,~ and BER90 are ver 3 smlflar Between 1 Ma and l 5 Ma rome dltferenccs arise, which are not ~cr~ important, but, earher than that, the two solunon,, become very different, so that for periods prewous to 1 5 Ma the solution BER90 must be used when insolation values are needed to lorcc climate models A prehminary comparison ol BER9I) with two numerical integrations ot a set of equations for the dynamics of both the planetary pomt masses and the E a r t h - M o o n system (Laskar, personal communication m Berger et a l , 1988, Quinn el a l , 1991) leads us to conclude that these values remain reh- Insolation Values for the Last 10 Ma BER90 J u l y 65N BER90 J u l y 65N E§g~IH 315 able until 5 to 10 M a ago, but most p r o b a b l y not for periods e a r h e r than 10 Ma, as this seems to be the limit of validity of the astronomical solution I n d e e d , before 10 Ma, the orbits of the inner planets look chaotic any two orbits with n e a r b y initial conditions diverge (Laskar, 1989, 1990) T h e l n t e r c o m p a r l s o n b e t w e e n B E R 7 8 and B E R 9 0 shows also that B E R 7 8 might continue to be used without any p r o b l e m up to 1 Ma BP H o w e v e r , it IS preferable to B E R 9 0 for the last glacial-interglacial cycles because of its better accuracy close to present-day times, the reproduction of the p r e s e n t - d a y conditions f r o m B E R 9 0 indeed suffers f r o m the fit carried-out by L a s k a r (1988) to represent ItS numerical values for h, k, p, q by trigonometrical series Fortunately, this numerical p r o c e d u r e does not affect the solution outside the time origin m FIG 15a-b Long-term variations of the 65N mid-month July insolation from 3 Ma BP to 2 Ma BP (a) and from 4 Ma BP to 3 Ma BP (b) BER90 J u l y 65N BER90 J u l y 65N Finally, it is highly significant for the rehabdity of the solution that three soluttons o b t a i n e d i n d e p e n d e n t l y for e, e, e sin 6~ all agree over the last 3 Ma at least M o r e o v e r , use of these new values has already shown a m u c h better and m o r e natural fit with the geological records over the last 5 M a (Shackleton et a l , 1990; Hllgen, 1991) T h e shght a d v a n t a g e of the analytical p r o c e d u r e used here for B E R 9 0 , and earlier for B E R 7 8 , allows a straightforward way to obtain all the frequencies and related amplitudes and phases which characterize the astronomical p a r a m e t e r s without having to rely on spectral techniques at all I m p r o v e m e n t s m a d e not only in the straightforward numerical integration of the planetary point masses and E a r t h - M o o n systems, but also in the analytical p r o c e d u r e s to only deal directly with the long t e r m variations ( B r e t a g n o n , 1990, Bretagn o n and Simon, 1990), are therefore very encouraging ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS m We very much thank J Laskar for providing us with the numerical values of his 1988 solution One of the authors (MFL) was supported by contract CEA BC-4561 of the Commissariat Franqats a l'Energw Atomique which IS greatly acknowledged Graphics were made by F Mercier who is warmly thanked, with the graphics package obtained from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (USA) REFERENCES FIG 15c-d Long-term variations of the 65N mid-month July insolation from 5 Ma BP to 4 Ma BP (c) and from 6 Ma BP to 5 Ma BP (d) Anohk, M V , Kraslnsky, G A and Plus, L J (1969) Trigonometrical theory of the perturbations of major planets (in Russian) Trudy Institute Theorettcheskol Astronomu Leningrad 14, 1-48 Berger, A (1976) Obhquity and precession for the last 5,000,000 years Astronony and Astrophysics, 51, 127-135 Berger, A (1977a) Long-term variations of the Earth's orbital elements Celestial Mechanics, 15, 53-74 Berger, A (1977b) Support for the astronomical theory of climatic change Nature, 269, 44-45 Berger, A (1978a) A simple algorithm to compute long term 316 A Berger and M F Loutre variations o1 daily or monthly insolation Contribntion No 18 Instltut d ' A s t r o n o m i e et de Gdophyslque G kemaitrc Llm~erslt~ C a t h o h q u e de Louvdm, kouvaln-la-Neu,,e Berger, A (1978b) Long-term variations ol ddll'~ msolations and Quaternary ehmatlc changes Journal o/ Atrnospheru 5~:emes 35(2), 2362-2367 Berger, A (1978c) Long-term variations el calorie insolation resulUng trom the Earth s orbital elements Quaterna#v RPseart.h 9 139-167 Bcrger A (1981) l h c astronomical theor,, ol pdleodlmatus In Berger A ( c d ) , Chrnan~ Vanattom and Vartabtht~ Facts and Fheortes pp 5(11-525 Reldel, Dordrecht Holland Bcrger A (1984) Accuracy and f r e q u e n o e s stablhtv ol th~ L,lrlh s orbital elements during the Quaternary In Bergei A l m b n u I Hays J Kukla G , Saltzman, B (eds), Mtlanl~olttd~ and (hmate pp .~-39 Reldel Dordrecht, Holland Berger A (19881 Mllankovitch Theory and Climate Rel'wns it: Geophvsus 26(4), 624--687 Berger A (1989a) Fhe spectral characteristics el prc-Quatern,lrs climatic records an example of the relationship between tht_ astronomical theor,~ and gee-sciences In Berger A Schneider S and Duplessy J C] (cds), Cbmate and Geoscwmes pp 47-76 Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht Holland Berger, A (1989b) Pleistocene climatic vanabihtv at astronomical Irequencies Quaternar~ hlternattonal, 2, 1-14 Berger, A ( 19901 Astronomical theory of paleochmates and the last glacial-interglacial cycle Quaternary 3ttente Rel'tews (m press) Berger, A and Andlehc, 'I P (1988) Mllutin Milanko,<ltch, pert tit. la th6orie astronomiquc des pal6oehmats Hlstotre et Mcsa#e Edmon du CNRS, Ill-3, 38.5-402 Paris Berger, A and Loutre, M F (1988) Nev, insolation ~alues lor thl_ climate ol the last l(J mllhon years Sc Report 1988/1z; Instltut d ' A s t r o n o m l e et de Geophvsique G Lemaitre Umverslte ( a t h o [ique de Louvam, Louvam-la-Neuve Bcrger A and Loutre M F (1990) Orlglnc des Irequenc<_s dt.s dl6ments astronomlques lntervenant dans le cakul dc I'lnsolation Bulletin de la Classe des ~clem eL A~ademw Rovale de Bel(tque, ~¢ ~eru" I11/~), 45-1116 Bcrger A and Pestiau--, P (t984) Accuracy arid st,iblht~, el tht. Quaternary terrestrial insolation In Berger, A , l m b r l c J tta,,s J Kukla, G and Saltzman, B (eds) Mtlankovmh and (Ttmate pp 83-112 Reldel Publ C o m p a n y , Dordrecht Holland Berger, A , Guiot, J , Kukla G and Pestlaux, P (1981) Long term •~ariations ot the monthly insolation as related to c h m a n c changes Geologtsche Rundwhau, 70, 748-758 Berger, A Loutre, M F and Laskar, 1 (1988~ Llnc nou~elle solution astronomique pour les l(i derniers millions d anndes Sc Report 1988/14 lnstltut d ' A s t r o n o m l e et de Geophysiquc (, Lemaitre Unlversitt~ C a t h o h q u e de Louvam Louv,nn-la-Neu~c Berger, A Gallde H Fichefet, T , Marsiat, I and Fricot Ch (1991)) "I estlng the astronomical theory with a coupled climate-ice sheet model Global and Palentarv Change, 3(1/21 113-124 Bretagnon, P (1974) T e r m e s 5_ Iongues pdrlodes dans le systemt. solaire A~tronom~ and 4strophvslcs 30 141-lS4 Bretagnon P (1982) [heorlc du m o u v e m e n t de I cnsembh, des planetes Solution VSOP82 Astronomy and Astrophvw¢s !14 278-288 Bretagnon P (1984) Accuracy ol the long term planctar 3 theor~ In Berger A , lmbrle, J , Hays, J Kukla, G , Saltzmdn, B (cds) Mdanl, ovltch and (hmate, Part I pp 41-53 Reidel Pnbl Compan~ Dordrecht, ttolland Bretagnon, P (1990) Methode itdratlve de construction d u n e theorie g~nerale plandtalre Astronomy and ,tstroph~sus 231 561-570 Bretagnon, P and Simon J -L 119901 Theorlt. general,, du couph. Jupiter-Saturne par une mdthode it6rahve Astronom~ a#id Astrophysus 239 387-398 Brouwer, D and Clemence, G M (196l) Methods o] (clerical Me~hamcs Academic Press, New York 598 pp Brouwer, D and van W o e r k o m , A J J (1950) q h c sccular vandtmns of the orbital elements el the principal planets 4str Palters Amer Ephem Naut Almanac, Xlll(II), Washington D C 81I(17 D/lobeLk () (196~,) Mathematt¢ul [heorlcs o/ l'lanetarv Alot:ons Do,,cr Publications Ne~ York (translated by Harrmgton, M and Husst_y W I ) 294 pp Hays, I D , lmbrie, J and Shackleton N J ( 19761 Vail,mon~ m the Earth s orbit Pacemaker el the I,.e Ages ,Silence 194 t 12t-1 [~2 Hllgen F 1t99t) C a h b r a t n m el Gauss to Matuvama sapropt_l patterns m the Medlterrane,ln to the astrononncal record ,rod Imphcaton tor the global polarity tnnu scale h n b r , . J and hnbrie, K P (11~1791 h c ,Iqes 5ollmqthe ~t~sh'#~ Enqov~ New Jersey 224 pl y lmhric J , Ha'¢s I , M a m n s o n I) (J M d n t v r e , \ Ml\ ,\ ( Morel', J J Plsias N G Prell, W L and Shackleton N J (19841 l h e orbital theor; ol Pleistocene chmate support lrom a revised ( ' h m n o l o g y o1 the marine hr~O record In Bergei /\ lmbric I Ilays I Kukla (, and Sahzman P, (uds) MHanhol mh and (/mum, pp 26~J1-~,0';; Reldel D o r d r t c h l I Iotland hnbrlc I M d n i y r e A and M i x ,\ 11989) ()t.oanie ic~,polis~, to t)rbil,il lorcin7 in lhc lalc Qtiatolnar'~ Observational and t.xpcrlmcrltal slr,ilegies In Berg(.i A ~chneider, $ dlld 1)uplos<,'~ I(I reds) (/relate altd (,eos(lellces, pp t21-164 KltlwCl Academic Publishers, l)ordrechl Holland kutzb,ich I (1985) Modehng tit paleochmalcs t d l a m ~ I;t (;eol?hvslts 2 8 A , 159-b~6 Kutzbach J and Guettel P I I19801 l h e mlluent.t, el dlanglng orbit<il parameters and surlace boundary conditions on chmatlc simulations tot the past 18,(11~i years Journal o[ Atniosphe#:t Sttemes 43{ 16), 1726 17'~l;I L,isk,:r J (1986l Secular reims el da,,sleal planetary theorl~.s u,qna the r~-sults el general theory tstronomv and Astrophlsu s 157, $9-791 Lask,u 1 (1988J 5eeulat ~.xolution I,l the solar svstcnl o~ci 10 nnllions Vedrs IffroHot;,ts a;':d tslrophiw~s 198, 341-162 Ldskar J (1981}) A numerical experiment on the chaotic beh,isnm[ ol the solar w s t e m lValure, 338 237-2~,8 L,iskal I (1990) The t.haolic lnotion el the solar s)stem \ numerical estlmale el the silo tll the chaotic zones I~.attts Lc \ , e i r i c r 1I I I (1854) R u c h c r c h e s a s t r o f l o n n q u c s [ ()bM'll II[OIIU Imperial de ['a#ls l#lnah,~ dt Lleskc I H lcderlc I Prlckc W ,rod M o i a n d o tt flq77) l=~xpicssiorls hit the precession quantities based upon the IAU (1976) s y s t e m ol aMroilonllt,l[ c o n s t a n t s 4311on,,:#ni arid ls/,,o + p/l~,wts 58 1 16 Martlnson, I) (~ PlsldS N tw II<ixs I I) lmbriu 1 , Mooic I (. and Shacklelon, N I (1987) ~\ge dating and the orbit,it thcorv el thl. ice ages de,<elopment el a high-resolution tl to ~,00 (i00-vcar ehionostratlgrdphy Quatetna#~ Researdi, 271l) 1-29 MIlankovllch M (19411 Kanon der Erdbestrahlung und suint. A n ~ e n d u n g aul d,is Eiszcltcnproblem Royal Serbian %tlentes, Spe~ pith 1 ¢2, ~e( tton o/Mathemattt al and Natural St :erices, Vol ~,:~ Belgrade, ~33 pp (~( atom ol Insolation and the le~_ ,%gt_ Problem L n g h s h Trdnsl,mon b~ Israel Program lor Scl~ntlhc Franslatlon and published lor the U S Department el ( ommur~.t. and the Natnmal Science Foundation Washington D (. 19i69) Prell W L and Kutzbach J E (19871 Monsoon ~ariabdit~ o',er tht_ past 150,0t111 years Joarna[ +~[ (,eophvwcal Research 92(D7) 841 I -8425 Ounln I R [ iemainc 8 and l)mlcan M ( 1991 ) ,\ Ihlct_ inllhon "~t.ar integration el th(. [ a r l h • orbit (in pros',1 Saltzm,irl B , Hansen, A R and Maaseh, K A (1984) lhc lai~. Ouatern,lr~¢ glaciations ,is the icspons¢ el a three-componenl teedback system to Earth-Orbital Forcing Journal o[ Alml~vJherll ~t:t'llt¢'S 41(2]). "43811-'4~8') Shackleton, N J Berger, A ,ind Pcltler, W R (199t1) An alteinati~c aMrononncal cahbratlon of the h)wer Pleistoeen¢ time SL,Ile based on O D P site 677 Phtlowq~ht(al Tramat tlons o[ the Rol al ,~,o,:ell' t dtnbttrteh 81, 251-261 %haral S G and Boudmkos.i N & (1967) Secular "~arl,mon~, el elements ol the Earth s orbit which influences the climates ol Ihu gcoloDedl past (m Russian) 7rudv Institute TheorenHleshol A stronomn, Lemngrad ! 114 ~ 231-261 Woolard E W and Clemenee (~ M (196'5t 5phetual ,Istronom; Academic Pros,, New Y o r k 45 ~, pp Insolation Values for the Last 10 Ma 317 A D D I T I O N A L DATA The disk at the end of this issue contains the orbital and insolation data referred to in this paper The disk is a 3 5 inch double density - - double sides - - 720 KB containing four IBM(~) format A S C I I files File __ 90 T O P contains the introductory information for the three data files File 1 90 D A T contains 0-5 Myr BP • first column time in ka (negative for the past, origin (0) IS 1950 A . D ) • second column eccentricity, E C C • third column: longitude of perihelion from moving vernal equinox in degree and decimals, O M E G A • fourth column obliquity in degree and decimals, O B L • fifth column climatic precession, E C C SIN(OMEGA) • sixth column: mid-month insolation 65N for July in W/m e • seventh column mid-month insolation 65S for January in W/m e • eighth column mid-month insolation 15N for July in W / m e • ninth column mid-month insolation 15S for January in W/m 2 File 2 90. D A T contains: 0-1 Ma BP • first column time in ka (negative for the past, origin (0) is 1950 A D.) • second to eighth column: mid-month insolation 90N, 60N, 30N, 0, 30S, 60S, 90S for December in W/m 2 File 3 90 D A T contains 0-1 Ma BP • first column time in ka (negative for the past, origin (0) is 1950 A D ) • second to eighth column: mid-month insolation 90N, 60N, 30N, 0, 30S, 60S, 90S for June in W/m e
© Copyright 2025 Paperzz