Ecology, 92(11), 2011, pp. 2085–2095 Ó 2011 by the Ecological Society of America Evidence for a three-way trade-off between nitrogen and phosphorus competitive abilities and cell size in phytoplankton KYLE F. EDWARDS,1,4 CHRISTOPHER A. KLAUSMEIER,2 2 AND ELENA LITCHMAN3 1 Kellogg Biological Station, Michigan State University, Hickory Corners, Michigan 49060 USA Kellogg Biological Station and Department of Plant Biology, Michigan State University, Hickory Corners, Michigan 49060 USA 3 Kellogg Biological Station and Department of Zoology, Michigan State University, Hickory Corners, Michigan 49060 USA Abstract. Trade-offs among functional traits are essential for explaining community structure and species coexistence. While two-way trade-offs have been investigated in many systems, higher-dimensional trade-offs remain largely hypothetical. Here we demonstrate a three-way trade-off between cell size and competitive abilities for nitrogen and phosphorus in marine and freshwater phytoplankton. At a given cell size, competitive abilities for N and P are negatively correlated, but as cell size increases, competitive ability decreases for both nutrients. The relative importance of the two trade-off axes appears to be environment dependent, suggesting different selective pressures: freshwater phytoplankton separate more along the N vs. P competition axis, and marine phytoplankton separate more along the nutrient competition vs. cell size axis. Our results demonstrate the multidimensional nature of key trade-offs among traits and suggest that such trade-offs may drive species interactions and structure ecological communities. Key words: allometric scaling; ecological stoichiometry; nutrient uptake; resource competition; resource ratio theory; trait-based ecology. INTRODUCTION Trade-offs are fundamental to ecological and evolutionary processes. They are assumed to underlie the maintenance of non-neutral species diversity (Kneitel and Chase 2004); within a species they constrain the trajectory of phenotypic evolution (Blows and Hoffmann 2005). However, relatively little is known about which trade-offs structure phenotypic diversity in different groups of organisms. Recent reviews have emphasized that, by quantifying important functional traits across species, trade-offs can be detected and linked to changes in species composition along environmental gradients (McGill et al. 2006, Litchman and Klausmeier 2008). Much of the recent progress using this approach has focused on terrestrial plants. For example, a global analysis of leaf traits revealed a single dominant axis of trait variation, along which leaves with high metabolic rates have high specific leaf area and short leaf lifespans (Wright et al. 2004). This fast-slow continuum in leaf traits correlates with a fast-slow continuum in tree life histories, and an interspecific trade-off in performance under high and low light regimes (Poorter and Bongers 2006). A key insight from these analyses is the importance of a multivariate approach to functional traits. Species differ in an immense number of ways, but a multivariate analysis often reveals that the effective dimensionality of Manuscript received 1 March 2011; revised 20 May 2011; accepted 20 May 2011. Corresponding Editor: P. R. Leavitt. 4 E-mail: [email protected] trait variation is much smaller than the number of traits measured (Wright et al. 2004, Edwards and Stachowicz 2010). Furthermore, part of the historical difficulty in detecting interspecific trade-offs may be due to the fact that trade-offs occur in multiple dimensions. For example, a functional constraint between two fitnessenhancing traits may not be observable as a negative trait correlation, if there is substantial variation in a third, correlated trait that is unaccounted for (van Noordwijk and de Jong 1986). However, although trade-offs among multiple performance axes have been postulated to explain high species diversity, current evidence for trade-offs in more than two dimensions is indirect (e.g., Harpole and Tilman 2007). In this study, we have conducted a multivariate analysis of functional traits across phytoplankton species, and combined this analysis with a theoretical framework that relates these traits to performance in interspecific competition. This allows us to test for trade-offs that occur among more than two trait dimensions. Phytoplankton are a diverse, polyphyletic group of microscopic, photosynthetic eukaryotes and cyanobacteria. They account for roughly half of global primary production, and affect the biogeochemical cycling of many elements, including carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus (Falkowski et al. 2004). Phytoplankton species composition can impact global climate (Falkowski et al. 1998), the trophic dynamics of aquatic ecosystems (Sterner and Elser 2002), and water quality (Anderson et al. 1998). Therefore, a variety of applications could 2085 2086 KYLE F. EDWARDS ET AL. benefit from an understanding of the functional basis of phytoplankton community structure. When studying interspecific trait variation, a primary challenge is to link functional traits to measures of ecological performance, such as population growth rate. In primary producers, including phytoplankton, nutrient acquisition traits and nutrient requirements for growth are among the major functional traits affecting fitness. In phytoplankton, a variety of studies have linked nutrient physiology to population dynamics through simple mathematical models (Droop 1973, Tilman 1982, Grover 1991a). The parameters of these models can be measured in the laboratory, and then used to predict the outcome of interspecific competition as a function of nutrient supply (Tilman 1982, Grover 1991a). Therefore, these parameters can be considered as informative functional traits that relate directly to population growth. By comparing parameters across species, we can ask how nutrient niches vary across species, and whether there are important trade-offs in the components of nutrient competition. We compiled a database of freshwater and marine phytoplankton to compare physiological parameters for two nutrients: nitrate and phosphate. In both freshwater and marine systems, nitrogen and phosphorus are thought to be among the most common growth-limiting factors (Smith 2006, Elser et al. 2007). If the strength of competition for nitrate and phosphate varies in space and time, any functional constraints on the use of these nutrients will affect community composition. A prior analysis of nitrate traits in marine phytoplankton has revealed a number of significant trait correlations that should constrain the evolution of competitive ability for that nutrient (Litchman et al. 2007). In this study, we expand the multi-trait analysis by looking at both nitrogen and phosphorus, and including marine and freshwater species. We ask whether competitive ability for nitrate is correlated with competitive ability for phosphate across species. This fundamental question remains unresolved not only for aquatic but for terrestrial primary producers as well. Nitrogen and phosphorus also commonly limit the growth of terrestrial plants (Elser et al. 2007), but the available evidence that species differ in their relative abilities to compete for these nutrients is limited (Tilman 1982, Güsewell and Bollens 2003). Therefore, our analysis may also yield insights into how to test for trade-offs related to nutrient competition in terrestrial primary producers. Based on existing theory and data, we can make two different predictions for how competitive ability for nitrate may relate to competitive ability for phosphate. The first prediction derives from the pervasive effect of cell size on resource acquisition. Theory predicts that when nutrient acquisition is limited by molecular diffusion, smaller cells have a strong advantage in the rate of acquisition, relative to the amount of nutrient required for growth (Pasciak and Gavis 1974, Yoshiyama and Klausmeier 2008). This prediction is supported Ecology, Vol. 92, No. 11 by lab studies of uptake affinity (Tambi et al. 2009), by mesocosm studies showing an increase in large-celled species with increased nutrient loading (Agawin et al. 2000), and by large-scale data showing that the relative abundance of picophytoplankton increases as total production decreases (Agawin et al. 2000, Bell and Kalff 2001). Therefore, based on the effect of cell size, we would predict that competitive abilities for phosphate and nitrate should be positively correlated, because smaller cells will be superior at acquiring both resources. A different prediction results if we assume that some constraint creates a trade-off in the ability to compete for nitrate vs. phosphate (Tilman 1982, Klausmeier et al. 2007). One plausible mechanism is the allocation of limited energy, materials, or cell surface to uptake proteins, which can be ion-specific (Gouaux and MacKinnon 2005). A variety of studies have found trade-offs under competition for two nutrients, although the nutrients in question are usually silicate and phosphate (Tilman 1982), or silicate and nitrate (Sommer 1986). Some support for a nitrogen vs. phosphorus trade-off comes from lab experiments showing that species composition varies as the N:P supply ratio changes (Tilman et al. 1986, Suttle and Harrison 1988). If such a trade-off occurs, then there may be two opposing factors structuring the relationship between nitrate competitive ability and phosphate competitive ability: a positive size-based correlation, and a negative correlation due to an unknown functional constraint in competing for multiple resources. Furthermore, there is evidence that large cell size is itself beneficial, e.g., by reducing grazing mortality (Cottingham 1999, Steiner 2003, Chen and Liu 2010). Therefore, if competitive ability for both nutrients declines with cell size, while at a given size there is a trade-off in nutrient abilities, this can be interpreted as a three-way trade-off between competing for N, competing for P, and the advantages accrued from large size. In order to test these predictions, we analyze a database, compiled from the literature, of nutrient traits measured in the laboratory. Because every trait of interest was not measured for every species, we use statistical techniques for quantifying multivariate patterns in the presence of missing data. The relevance of missing data techniques for ecology and evolution has recently been reviewed by Nakagawa and Freckleton (2008). As they discuss, these methods are rarely used in ecological studies, but show widespread potential. Statistical power is increased by using all the available data, and the patterns detected using only complete-case data may be biased. The approach we take here may be useful for future multivariate trait analyses. METHODS Trait database.—We compiled a database of parameters, measured in the lab, that describe nutrient uptake and nutrient-limited growth. The parameters we com- November 2011 THREE-WAY TRADE-OFF IN PHYTOPLANKTON piled derive from the Michaelis-Menten model of nutrient uptake, and the Droop model of phytoplankton growth: Uptake ¼ Vmax R KþR Qmin Net growth ¼ l‘ 1 m Q ð1Þ ð2Þ where Vmax is the maximum cell-specific nutrient uptake rate ([lmol nutrient]cell1d1), K is the half-saturation constant for nutrient uptake ([lmol nutrient]/L), R is the external nutrient concentration ([lmol nutrient]/L), l‘ is the specific growth rate at infinite quota (d1), Q is the internal nutrient concentration or quota ([lmol nutrient]/cell), Qmin is the minimum quota at which growth rate equals zero, and m is the specific mortality rate (d1). According to resource competition theory (Tilman 1982), competitive ability for a particular nutrient at equilibrium can be characterized by the break-even nutrient concentration for a given species in monoculture, R*. For the model above (Eq. 1), it can be shown that as mortality m approaches zero, R* approaches the following (Litchman et al. 2007): K R ! Qmin m Vmax ð3Þ Because there is little data for m, which can be highly variable, we focus on Vmax, K, and Qmin as determinants of competitive ability at equilibrium. As m ! 0, for competing species with equal mortality, the superior competitor will be the species with the greater value of the quantity Vmax/KQmin. The ratio Vmax/K is a commonly used measure of the ability to take up nutrients at limiting concentrations, or ‘‘uptake affinity’’ (Healey 1980). Therefore, the quantity Vmax/KQmin can be understood intuitively as the ability to uptake nutrients at low concentration, scaled by the amount of nutrient needed for growth (Qmin). We will refer to this quantity as ‘‘competitive ability’’ for the purposes of our analysis, and we will denote competitive ability for nitrate and phosphate respectively as CN and CP. Our database includes 60 marine species and 69 freshwater species, for each of which at least one of the N , KN, QN following parameters was measured: Vmax min , P P P Vmax , K , Qmin (see Appendix A: Tables A1 and A2 for species and parameters measured; superscripts indicate the corresponding nutrient, N for nitrate and P for phosphate). Although phytoplankton utilize ammonium as well, we only analyzed nitrate uptake traits here, as they are measured more frequently than ammonium uptake traits, and thus we were able to acquire data for more species. All parameters were collected from published studies (see the list of source references in Appendix A). As temperature and light affect these parameters, we used studies at or near 208C, without 2087 severe light limitation. The maximum rate of nutrient uptake (Vmax) often declines as cellular nutrient content increases (Morel 1987). Therefore, we only included estimates of Vmax measured under conditions of intracellular nutrient depletion. Most ecologically important taxa are represented, including diatoms, dinoflagellates, chlorophytes, cyanobacteria, haptophytes, raphidophytes, cryptophytes, xanthophytes, chrysophytes, and pelagophytes. We also recorded cell volume, which was determined from the literature if not reported in the focal study. Multiple imputation.—A primary goal of our analysis was to compare CN and CP across species. However, there are relatively few species for which all six nutrient parameters have been measured (12 freshwater species and 13 marine species). Nonetheless, entries with some missing parameter values still contain valuable information about how traits covary. Therefore, we analyzed this data set using multiple imputation, a statistical technique for quantifying multivariate patterns in the presence of missing data (Rubin 1996, Schafer 1997). A variety of methods are available to perform multiple imputation (Nakagawa and Freckleton 2008). In our analysis, we followed the method described by Schafer (1997) and implemented in the R package norm, using R 2.11.0 (R Development Core Team 2010; norm package available online).5 We found very similar results when estimating trait covariances by full information maximum likelihood, with the R structural equation modeling package OpenMX (Boker et al. 2011). We present the results of multiple imputation here, as this method allows us to visualize the estimated trait relationships for CP and CN. The method we used for testing hypotheses via multiple imputation can be described in four steps (see Schafer 1997: chapters 5–6; a flowchart of the method is shown in Appendix B: Fig. B1). We began with log10 N , KN, transformed values for all seven variables (Vmax P N P P Qmin , Vmax , K , Qmin . and cell volume). Visual analyses showed that on the log scale, the variables were approximately linearly related, with normal residuals. In the first step, we used the expectation–maximization (EM) algorithm to find the multivariate normal distribution that maximizes the likelihood of the observed data. The multivariate normal distribution is termed the imputation model, because it is assumed that the missing data follow the same multivariate normal distribution as the observed data. However, simulations have shown that the multivariate normal model robustly detects patterns in the data even for non-normal data with a large proportion of missing data (Graham and Schafer 1999). In the second step, we used data augmentation to generate multiple imputations of the missing data from the multivariate normal model. Data augmentation is an 5 hhttp://CRAN.R-project.org/package¼normi 2088 KYLE F. EDWARDS ET AL. algorithm similar to Markov chain Monte Carlo that is useful for generating multiple imputations (Schafer 1997). The goal in generating imputed data sets is to allow visualization of the patterns in the multivariate normal fit, and to allow statistical analyses that require complete data sets, while at the same time properly quantifying the uncertainty in patterns of interest due to missing data. Multiple estimates are generated for each missing value, with the variation among those estimates representing the uncertainty of the model in predicting that value (Rubin 1996). We initiated each augmentation chain at the MLE of the multivariate normal model; plots of the traces of the covariance parameters showed that autocorrelation vanished by the 100th step, and we conservatively saved the 500th step in the chain, to ensure there was no autocorrelation between the initial and final chain states (Schafer 1997). This was repeated 200 times, yielding 200 imputations for each missing value, to ensure that our conclusions had maximal statistical power (Graham et al. 2007). In the third step, the statistical model of interest is fitted separately to each of the imputed data sets. For example, we may fit a multiple regression testing whether CN is predicted by CP, cell volume, or both variables. The point estimates and standard errors for each of these predictors is saved, for each of the 200 imputations. Finally, in the fourth step, the coefficient estimates and standard errors from all the imputations are combined to yield proper significance tests. In essence, there are two sources of uncertainty or error that must be combined: within each imputed data set, there is residual variation that affects the standard errors of the coefficients fitted to that data set; across imputed data sets, there is variation among the coefficient estimates for those data sets, which quantifies the uncertainty in that coefficient due to uncertainty about the true values of the missing data. Therefore, a ‘‘total variance’’ for each coefficient is calculated as T ¼ Ū þ (1 þ m1)B, where m is the number of imputations, B is the between-imputation variance in that coefficient, and Ū is the mean within-imputation variance for that coefficient (i.e., the square of the standard error). Then a t test p can ffiffiffi T, be calculated using the approximate t statistic Q= where Q̄ is the mean coefficient estimate over all imputations, and the statistic is distributed with degrees of freedom as follows: m ¼ ðm 1Þ 1 þ 2 U ð1 þ m1 ÞB (Rubin 1996, Schafer 1997). Example imputed data sets and subsequent analyses are shown in Appendix B: Fig. B2. Regression models.—As described in Multiple imputation, we combined multiple imputation with regression analyses to test whether CN and CP are significantly related, and whether these traits are also predicted by cell volume. We also aimed to test whether these Ecology, Vol. 92, No. 11 relationships differed between the freshwater and marine species in the data set. Therefore, for each nutrient we fit two models, one in which competitive ability for that nutrient was predicted by competitive ability for the other nutrient as well as cell volume, and one which each of these effects is allowed to vary by system (marine vs. freshwater). In order to better test for differences between systems, we imputed the freshwater and marine data separately, which is appropriate for testing interactions because it allows the imputation model to vary between systems (McCaffrey et al. 2001). In addition, as described in the next subsection, we found that fitting separate imputations for marine and freshwater species increased our ability to predict the missing data, as judged by leave-one-out cross-validation. Predictive performance of the imputation models.—In order to test the predictive ability of the imputation models, we performed leave-one-out cross-validation. For each observed value of each nutrient parameter, we created a new data set in which that value was deleted. Using that data set we then created 200 imputed values for the deleted entry. We calculated the difference between the deleted value and the mean of the 200 imputations for that entry. Finally, we calculated the mean squared prediction error for each of the six nutrient parameters. We also calculated, as a null model, the mean squared prediction error if the deleted value was estimated as simply the mean of the observed values for that parameter. We performed this cross-validation analysis for two different imputation models, one in which all the whole data set was used to impute missing values, and one in which freshwater and marine missing values were imputed using only freshwater and marine species, respectively. Because the freshwater species had relatively many observations of P parameters, and relatively few observations of N parameters (Appendix B: Table B1), we performed a power analysis of the ability to detect a trade-off between CP and CN among freshwater species, under the pattern of missingness in the freshwater data. We found that despite the missing data, the imputation method could detect a trade-off in 95% of cases at P , 0.05, and in 88% of cases at P ,0.01, when simulated data were generated using the covariance matrix fit to the observed data (Appendix B: Fig. B4). In contrast, when we performed the same regression using only the species in the simulated data with no missing traits, a trade-off was detected in 80% of cases at P , 0.05, and in 61% of cases at P , 0.01 (Appendix B: Fig. B4). CP and Monod affinity.—For 19 freshwater species, we compared observed and imputed values of CP to the Monod affinities for P compiled in Bruggeman (2011). The Droop model (see Plate 1) and the Monod model make equivalent predictions for competition outcomes at equilibrium, under limitation by a single nutrient (Appendix C). Therefore, a comparison of CP and Monod affinity is useful to evaluate the utility of our November 2011 THREE-WAY TRADE-OFF IN PHYTOPLANKTON 2089 TABLE 1. Predictive performance of the imputation method. Model and statistics N V max KN QN min P V max Freshwater Null MSPE Imputation MSPE No. observations Reduction (%) 1.04 0.346 14 67 0.137 0.0776 26 43 0.326 0.0848 17 74 Marine Null MSPE Imputation MSPE No. observations Reduction (%) 2.23 0.380 27 83 0.276 0.204 35 26 2.06 0.0633 25 97 KP Q Pmin 0.639 0.421 47 34 0.446 0.363 43 19 0.544 0.150 47 73 2.84 0.466 30 84 0.48 0.0978 30 80 1.90 0.149 30 92 Notes: Parameters are minimum quota at which growth rate equals zero, Qmin; the half-saturation constant for nutrient uptake, K; and the maximum cell-specific nutrient uptake rate, Vmax, for N and P. For all six nutrient parameters, mean-square prediction error is reported for the imputation model (Imputation MSPE) and a null model in which missing values are imputed using the mean of the observed values (Null MSPE). Percentage reduction in MSPE by the imputation model is also listed. This imputation model imputes the freshwater and marine species separately; results for a model combining all species are given in Appendix B: Table B1. ‘‘competitive ability’’ approximation, as well as the imputation model. RESULTS Predictive performance of the imputation model.— Cross-validation results indicate that the imputation model has substantial success in predicting known trait values (Table 1). Mean squared prediction error was reduced 19–97% compared to a null model in which deleted values were imputed using the mean of the observed trait values. The most accurately predicted trait for both nutrients tends to be Qmin, followed by Vmax and then K. The results in Table 1 were derived with an imputation method in which the freshwater and marine species were imputed separately. This method was superior at predicting all traits, when compared to an imputation model in which the entire data set was used simultaneously (Appendix B: Table B1). Therefore, unless otherwise noted, all the following results are derived from the method that separately imputes the two groups. Competitive abilities and cell volume.—In order to visualize the multivariate patterns of trait variation, we plot observed values in combination with the mean imputed values of the missing data. We then properly test for significant trait relationships using regression analyses that incorporate uncertainty in the values of the missing data. There is evidence for two independent relationships involving CN, CP, and cell volume. CN and CP both tend to decline as volume increases, and this pattern is driven by the marine species (Fig. 1A, B). At the same time, when volume is held constant there is a negative relationship between CN and CP, and this pattern is driven by the freshwater species (Fig. 1C–E). These patterns are confirmed by multiple regression; CN is significantly negatively related to both cell volume and CP, and likewise CP is significantly negatively related to both cell volume and CN (Table 2, Models A and B; R 2 ¼ 0.19 and 0.27 for CN and CP, respectively). We also performed an analysis in which these effects are modeled separately for the freshwater and marine species. The results show that the volume effect on CN and CP is only significant for the marine species, and the trade-off between CN and CP is only significant for the freshwater species (Table 2, Models C and D). Furthermore, the variation in CN and CP explained by these regressions is greater (R 2 ¼ 0.70 and 0.89, respectively). Principal components analysis using the mean imputed values for both marine and freshwater species shows that 90% of the variation in these three traits is explained by the plane defined by the first two PC axes (Fig. 1D, E). The first axis (which explains 50% of the variation) corresponds primarily to variation associated with volume, and the second axis (which explains 40% of the variation) corresponds primarily to a trade-off in CN vs. CP that is orthogonal to volume-driven variation. Therefore, the dominant axes of trait variation differ between marine and freshwater species, but trait variation among all species can be effectively summarized by a single plane relating CN, CP, and cell volume. A similar plane of trait variation is found when analyzing only the 25 species for which all seven traits were measured (Appendix B: Fig. B3). CP and Monod affinity.—For the 19 species shared between our data set and the compilation by Bruggeman (2011), CP was positively correlated with Monod affinity (Pearson r ¼ 0.61, P ¼ 0.006; Fig. 1F; Appendix C). This supports the utility of our competitive ability approximation, and the imputation model. Multivariate nature of the variation in CN and CP.— Because CN and CP are composite metrics that combine multiple parameters, there are multiple ways to have high or low values of these traits. Therefore, variation in competitive ability depends upon the pattern of covariation in the component parameters, and the emergent patterns described above may not be evident when the components are analyzed in isolation. This can be seen from a comparison of uptake affinity (Vmax/K ) for N 2090 KYLE F. EDWARDS ET AL. Ecology, Vol. 92, No. 11 FIG. 1. The relationship between competitive ability for nitrate and phosphate, CN and CP, respectively, and cell volume. (A) Scatterplot of log10CN vs. log10(cell volume), combining observed and imputed trait values. Open circles are marine species, and solid circles are freshwater species. (B) Scatterplot of log10CP vs. log10(cell volume); symbols are as in panel (A). (C) Scatterplot of log10CP vs. log10CN, combining observed and imputed trait values. Open circles are marine species, and solid circles are freshwater species. Circle diameter is proportional to the cube root of the effective spherical diameter for that species. (D) Loading of CN, CP, and cell volume (V ) onto the first two PC axes of a PCA using these three variables. Respective loading coefficients of CN, CP, and volume are (0.17, 0.65, 0.74) on axis 1, and (0.46, 0.86, 0.21) on axis 2; percentages in axis labels are the percentage of variation explained by each axis. (E) The plane defined by the two PC axes in panel (D) and a three-dimensional scatterplot of the trait values as in panel (C). For reference, points are connected to the plane with a vertical line. Note that log10CP increases toward the viewer. (F) Scatterplot of log10CP vs. log10(Monod affinity), for the 19 freshwater species in common between this study and Bruggeman (2011). Solid circles are the six species with all six nutrient traits observed, and open circles are the 13 species with some missing trait data. TABLE 2. Multiple regression results for the relationships between competitive ability for nitrate and phosphate, CN and CP, and cell volume. Coefficient SE P Model A: CN response, no effect of system (mean R 2 ¼ 0.19). Volume CP Predictor 0.32 0.31 0.088 0.15 0.00033 0.037 Model B: CN response, slopes vary by system (mean R 2 ¼ 0.70). Volume, freshwater Volume, marine CP, freshwater CP, marine 0.24 0.31 0.67 0.050 0.22 0.11 0.27 0.2 0.29 0.005 0.012 0.80 Model C: CP response, no effect of system (mean R 2 ¼ 0.27). Volume CN 0.25 0.36 0.10 0.18 0.011 0.051 Model D: CP response, slopes vary by system (mean R 2 ¼ 0.89). Volume, freshwater Volume, marine CN, freshwater CN, marine 0.050 0.36 0.63 0.076 0.17 0.14 0.23 0.26 0.77 0.010 0.0063 0.69 Notes: Four models are summarized: (A) CN as a function of volume and CP, (B) the same model with these slopes varying by system, (C) CP as a function of volume and CN, and (D) the same model with these slopes varying by system. For each predictor, the coefficient, standard error, and P value from a two-sided t test are listed. The coefficients and standard errors are calculated using multiple imputation as described in Methods: Multiple imputation. The mean R 2 across all imputations is also listed for each model. November 2011 THREE-WAY TRADE-OFF IN PHYTOPLANKTON 2091 FIG. 2. Relationships between uptake affinities and the minimum quota at which growth rate equals zero, Qmin, for freshwater species. (A) Scatterplot of log10(uptake affinity for P) vs. log10(uptake affinity for N). Solid circles are species for which all four N P , Vmax ], K is the half-saturation traits were measured (Vmax is the maximum cell-specific nutrient uptake rate for N and P [Vmax constant for nutrient uptake [KN, KP]), open circles are mean imputed values for species with at least one N trait and one P trait measured, and gray triangles are mean imputed values for all other freshwater species. (B) Scatterplot of log10(uptake affinity for P) vs. log10QPmin . Solid circles are species for which all three traits were measured, open circles are mean imputed values for species with P or KP measured, and triangles are mean imputed values for all other freshwater species. (C) Scatterplot of QPmin and one of Vmax P N log10(uptake affinity for N) vs. log10QN min . Symbols are as in panel (B). (D) Scatterplot of log10C vs. log10C . Solid circles are species for which all six traits were measured, inverted triangles are mean imputed values for species with at least two N traits and two P traits measured, open circles are mean imputed values for species with at least one N trait and one P trait measured, and gray triangles are mean imputed values for all other freshwater species. and P among the freshwater species. Although uptake affinity is often thought to indicate the ability to compete under nutrient limitation (Healey 1980), our P N data show no relationship between Vmax /KP and Vmax /KN (Fig. 2A; mean Pearson correlation across imputations ¼ 0.13). However, our analysis of the Droop model (Eqs. 1 and 2) indicates that competitive ability depends upon the ratio of uptake affinity to the nutrient requirement for growth (Qmin). Furthermore, Vmax/K tends to be positively correlated with Qmin for both nitrate and phosphate (Fig. 2B, C; mean Pearson r ¼ 0.82 and 0.58, respectively). Accordingly, a trade-off between N and P competitive abilities only becomes apparent when uptake affinity is scaled by Qmin (Fig. 2D; mean Pearson r ¼ 0.65). Analogous considerations are important for the relationships between cell volume and CN or CP among the marine species. Vmax, K, and Qmin all tend to increase with volume for both N and P (Appendix B: Fig. B5). While an increase in K or Qmin will reduce competitive ability, an increase in Vmax will increase competitive ability. Therefore, the ultimate effect of volume on CN and CP depends on the relative allometric scaling of the component parameters; for both of these traits, the ultimate effect is negative (Appendix B: Fig. B5). 2092 KYLE F. EDWARDS ET AL. Ecology, Vol. 92, No. 11 PLATE 1. Michael R. Droop (1918–2011). Photo courtesy of SAMS (Scottish Association for Marine Science). DISCUSSION We have found that the interspecific relationship between CN and CP is consistent with both of the predictions outlined in the Introduction. Both traits tend to decrease as cell size increases (Fig. 1A–C, Table 2), leading to an axis of trait variation along which CN and CP are positively correlated (Fig. 1D, E). At the same time, when cell size is controlled for, there is a negative correlation between CN and CP (Fig. 1C–E, Table 2), leading to a trade-off in the ability to compete for these two nutrients. The size-based trait variation is most evident in the marine species, while the variation orthogonal to cell size is most evident in the freshwater species (Fig. 1A–C, Table 2). However, the data as a whole appear to be well summarized by a single plane of trait variation (Fig. 1C–E). Therefore, we suggest that the marine and freshwater species are both structured by the same underlying trade-off, which can be visualized as a constraining plane in three-dimensional trait space (Fig. 1E). A potential three-way trade-off, and the advantage of large cell size.—The plane relating CN, CP, and cell volume can be interpreted as a three-way trade-off, in which an increase in any single trait tends to decrease the other two traits. This interpretation rests on the assumption that there is a fitness advantage to large cell size, which we have not quantified here. Two prominent hypotheses for the advantage of large cell size are resistance to grazers, and an advantage in nutrient competition under fluctuating nutrient supply. Marine studies of microzooplankton grazing have shown that the ratio of grazing mortality : production is typically lower for larger species (Chen and Liu 2010), and furthermore, that grazing on large cells by larger zooplankton such as copepods is too low to compensate for reduced microzooplankton grazing (e.g., Sommer et al. 2005). There is similar evidence from lakes (Hambright et al. 2007), as well as evidence that large cells experience lower mortality from the cladocerans that can dominate phytoplankton grazing in lakes and ponds (Cottingham 1999, Steiner 2003). It is also possible that large cells persist solely because larger phytoplankton species are consumed by different kinds of grazers than smaller phytoplankton species (Sommer et al. 2005, Calbet 2008). If grazing on smaller species reduces their competitive effect, while a different suite of grazers control larger species, then large phytoplankton could persist due to niche differentiation via specialized consumers, in the absence of any other advantage of large cell size (Armstrong 1994). Large cell size has also been suggested as an advantage under fluctuating nutrient supply (Turpin and Harrison 1980, Suttle et al. 1987, Stolte and Riegman 1995, Litchman et al. 2009). Larger cells tend to have greater maximum uptake rates on a per-cell basis (Litchman et al. 2007, this study), and may have larger nutrient storage capacity, relative to minimum nutrient requirements (Grover 1991b, Stolte and Riegman 1995, Litchman et al. 2009). These trends will allow larger cells to take up nutrient pulses more quickly, or store more nutrients under brief periods of high supply. There is some experimental evidence in support of these predictions (Turpin and Harrison 1980, Suttle et al. 1987). In addition, an eco-evolutionary analysis using empirical trait allometries from diatoms has shown that November 2011 THREE-WAY TRADE-OFF IN PHYTOPLANKTON large size can be selected for, under pulsed nitrate supply with a relatively long (;2–30 day) period (Litchman et al. 2009). Empirical support for a CN vs CP trade-off.—Nitrogen and phosphorus are thought to be common factors limiting phytoplankton growth, in both freshwater and marine systems (Smith 2006, Elser et al. 2007). Our results imply that phytoplankton species are constrained, such that an increase in competitive ability for nitrate tends to decrease competitive ability for phosphate. This result is consistent with prior empirical work on community composition as a function of the N:P supply ratio. Laboratory and mesocosm experiments have shown that even moderate changes in N:P supply can alter community composition (Tilman et al. 1986, Suttle and Harrison 1988, de Tezanos Pinto and Litchman 2010). Large-scale observational studies have used the ratio of total nitrogen to total phosphorus (TN : TP) as a proxy for the N:P supply ratio; these studies have also found that community composition varies with TN : TP (Smith 1983, Philippart et al. 2000). Although changes in community composition with TN : TP may be driven in part by changes in the abundance of nitrogen-fixing species (Smith 1983), large changes in non-fixing taxa have been observed as well (Philippart et al. 2000). The relative contribution of different nitrogen forms (ammonium, nitrate, organic N compounds and fixed atmospheric N) to TN may also change with changing TN : TP ratios, and alter phytoplankton community composition. A future analysis of traits associated with utilizing different forms of N could help disentangle their contribution to structuring phytoplankton communities along the TN : TP gradient. Our results are also consistent with an analysis of the correlation between TP and dissolved nitrogen across lakes (Leibold 1997). In some regions, nutrient concentrations were positively correlated across lakes, which may indicate that among-lake variation is driven by a combination of strong grazer pressure and variation across lakes in overall nutrient supply; in another region, nutrient concentrations were negatively related, as predicted by nutrient limitation and a trade-off in competition for N vs. P (Leibold 1997). Multivariate constraints on trait variation.—The tradeoffs we have described occur at the emergent level of the competitive ability approximation. Comparisons using only the component parameters could have indicated that such trade-offs do not occur (Fig. 2), and in some cases could suggest opposite patterns of trait covariation (Appendix B: Fig. B5). It is likely that for most organisms and traits, a multivariate approach will be essential for fully uncovering constraints on trait variation. Studies of intraspecific genetic trait variation have also found that constraints on trait variation, and therefore constraints on trait evolution, may only be evident in multivariate trait space (Blows and Hoffmann 2005). In addition, our results suggest that 2093 relating traits to population dynamic models may be an important guide for uncovering and interpreting trait constraints. Potential differences in selective pressures between marine and freshwater systems.—In our data set, there is a striking difference between marine and freshwater species in the regions of trait space inhabited (Fig. 1C). This may reflect biases in the choice of species that are used in lab studies of nutrient uptake kinetics. For example, many of the large marine species are dinoflagellates or diatoms associated with toxic blooms. However, the differences in trait distribution may also reflect different selection pressures in marine vs. freshwater environments. Marine diatoms include more large species than freshwater diatoms (Litchman et al. 2009). If marine phytoplankton communities consistently include more very large species, this may be due to different patterns of nutrient fluctuation in marine vs. freshwater systems (Litchman et al. 2009), greater mixed layer depths in marine systems (Litchman et al. 2009), or the different dominant consumers in these systems (Sommer and Sommer 2006). In our data set, freshwater species not only tend to be smaller, but appear to be more spread out along a CN vs. CP axis (Fig. 1C). Freshwater systems are thought to exhibit more spatial variation in the N:P supply ratio (Sterner and Elser 2002, Sterner et al. 2008). If N:P ratio is a dominant force in interspecific competition, and varies greatly across environments, then this variation in selective pressures could result in freshwater species spreading out along the axis of CN vs. CP (Fig. 1C). Trait-based ecology and interspecific trade-offs.—Our results support the value of quantifying functional traits in order to detect interspecific variation in ecological strategies (McGill et al. 2006, Litchman and Klausmeier 2008). Despite the fundamental role of trade-offs in ecology and evolution, there is surprisingly little understanding of which trade-offs maintain natural phenotypic diversity. Furthermore, although it is reasonable to expect that trade-offs involve multiple traits or strategies simultaneously, there is very little evidence for trade-offs that involve more than one axis of trait variation. To our knowledge, the analysis most similar to the constraining plane in Fig. 1E is from an analysis of fish life histories (Winemiller and Rose 1992). They found evidence for a general three-way trade-off among three life history strategies, which they termed ‘‘opportunisitic,’’ ‘‘periodic,’’ and ‘‘equilibrium.’’ More such analyses are needed, to better understand how many dimensions of trait variation underlie the immense natural diversity of phenotypes. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This work was supported by grants from the James S. McDonnell Foundation, and the National Science Foundation (OCE 09-28819 to E. Lichtman and C. A. Klausmeier, and 08-45932 to E. Lichtman). This is KBS publication #1590. 2094 KYLE F. EDWARDS ET AL. LITERATURE CITED Agawin, N. S. R., C. M. Duarte, and S. Agusti. 2000. Nutrient and temperature control of the contribution of picoplankton to phytoplankton biomass and production. Limnology and Oceanography 45:591–600. Anderson, D. M., and A. D. Cembella, and G. M. 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APPENDIX A List of species in the data set and references for trait data (Ecological Archives E092-182-A1). APPENDIX B Additional methods and results for multiple imputation analyses (Ecological Archives E092-182-A2). APPENDIX C Competitive ability in the Monod model (Ecological Archives E092-182-A3).
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