A C T A U N I V E R S I T A T I S L O D Z I E N S I S _______________FOLIA O E C O N O M IC A 198, 2006 M a riu sz Plich , M arcin P o n e w c z y ń s k i ** PCE IN IMPEC M O D E L - C O N S T R U C T I N G Л DATABASE I. I N T R O D U C T I O N In th e 2 0 y e a rs h isto ry o f th e IM P E C m o d e l P C E (P e rs o n a l C o n s u m p tio n E x p e n d itu re s) e q u a tio n s h a v e b e e n e s tim a te d m a n y tim es. N u m b e r o f c a te g o rie s d is tin g u is h e d v arie d fro m 1 to 18. T h e m a x im u m n u m b e r o f c a te g o rie s (1 8 ) is n o t v ery h ig h a c c o rd in g to s ta n d a rd s o f In fo ru m ty p e m o d e ls. F o r e x a m p le , n u m b e r o f e q u a tio n s in U S m o d e l is 93, S p a n ish - 4 2 , J a p a n e s e - 85. T h e rea so n o f th e c o m p a ra tiv e ly sm a ll n u m b e r o f c a te g o rie s in th e P o lis h m o d e l h as b ee n th e lack o f d a ta . In th e m id d le o l 9 0 s e q u a tio n s of 18 P C E c a te g o rie s w e re e s ti m a te d u sin g A lm o n ’s P A D S sy ste m (see A lm o n 1996). T h e first re su lts w e re p re se n te d fo r th e In fo ru m C o n fe re n c e in B e rtin o ro in 1997. R e fin e d re su lts w e re p re se n te d fo r th e M a c ro m o d e ls c o n fe re n c e in 1999 an d p u b lis h e d in th e c o n fe r en c e p ro c e e d in g s (P lich 2000). T h a t tim e not m u c h a tte n tio n w a s p aid to p rese n t the m e th o d o lo g y o f c o n s tru c tin g o f tim e series b ein g the b a se fo r th e estim a tio n s. P A D S g iv e s a p o ssib ility o f u s in g g ro u p s an d s u b g ro u p s c o n c e p t to e s tim a te c ro s s -e la s tic itie s . T o u se th is a d v a n ta g e , h o w e v e r, m a n y c a te g o rie s o f P C E sh o u ld b e d istin g u is h e d . O th e rw ise , su b stitu tio n an d c o m p le m e n ta rity e ffe c ts c a n n o t b e se p a ra te d . O u r e x p e rie n c e s sh o w e d th a t th e 18 c a te g o rie s , d is tin g u ish e d in th e IM P E C m o d e l, se e m e d to be too little. T h is is th e re a so n w h y a m o re d e ta ile d d is a g g re g a tio n o f P C E had to b e c o n s id e re d . In th is p a p e r w e c o n c e n tra te on th e m e th o d o lo g y o f th e d isa g g re g a tio n . P e rio d ta k e n in to a c c o u n t sta rts in 1980, e n d s in 2001 a n d n u m b e r o f c a te g o rie s d is tin g u is h e d e q u a ls 108 (see p a ra g ra p h 4). I he final n u m b e r o f 108 ca te g o rie s is a c o m p ro m ise b etw e en o u r g o al to g et as m an y ca te g o rie s a s p o ssib le and the n ecessity o f linking d iffe ren t c la ssific a tio n s an d d a ta s o u rc e s re s u ltin g fro m d a ta sc a rc ity (s e e p a ra g ra p h 3). A n o th e r ite m , w h ic h w e had to h a v e in m in d in th is c o n te x t, is th e p re se n t c la s s ific a tio n u se d b y C e n tral S ta tistic a l O ffic e in P o lan d (G U S ) fo r P C E , i.e. C la s s ific a tio n o f In d iv id u a l ^C hair of Theory and Analyses o f Economic Systems, University o f Łódź. Chair ot I heory and Analyses o f Economic Systems, University o f Łódź. [135] C o n s u m p tio n b y P u rp o s e (C O IC O P ). It is u se d sta rtin g fro m 1998 (s e c p a r a g ra p h 2). T h e c o n s is te n c y o f o u r d a ta w ith C O IC O P w a rra n ts fe w e r tro u b le s in c o n s tru c tin g P C E d a ta b a s e in th e su b se q u e n t y ea rs. A s th e so u rc e d a ta fo r P C E d e c o m p o s itio n b o th p u b lis h e d a n d u n p u b lis h e d in fo rm a tio n fro m G U S h a s b e e n u sed . G e n e ra lly it c o v c rc d c o n s u m p tio n an d p ric e in d ic e s. T h e p ro c e d u re o f d e c o m p o s itio n c a n b e sp lit in to se v e ra l sta g e s: 1. F irst, a d e c o m p o s itio n o f P C E in c u rre n t p ric c s w a s d o n e . C o n s u m p tio n p u b lis h e d in N a tio n a l A c c o u n ts (N A ) w a s u sed as th e s ta rtin g p o in t fo r th is d e c o m p o sitio n . In th e p e rio d u n d e r c o n s id e ra tio n ( 1 9 8 0 -2 0 0 1 ) le v el ol d e ta ils v a r ied fro m 3 to 45 c a te g o rie s o f c o n s u m p tio n an d c la s s ific a tio n s w e re c h a n g e d se v e ra l tim e s. T h e d e c o m p o s itio n w a s d o n e b a se d o n h o u s e h o ld b u d g e ts su rv e y s (U B S ). E ac h o f 108 c a te g o rie s c a n b e c la ssifie d as ’’o rig in a l” ( ta k e n fro m N A ) o r ’’e s tim a te d ” (b a s e d o n I IB S ). 2. N e x t, fo r e a c h o f 108 c o n s u m p tio n c a te g o rie s p ric c in d e x w a s a p p lied . F o r th e " o r ig in a l” c a te g o rie s d e fla to rs fro m N A w e re u se d . P ric e s fo r th e ’’e s ti m a te d ” o n e s w e re e s tim a te d u sin g G U S y e a rly p u b lic a tio n title d “ P ric e in d ic e s o f g o o d s a n d s e rv ic e s ” . 3. H a v in g c o n s u m p tio n in c u rre n t p ric c s a n d p ric c in d ic e s , c o n s ta n t p ric e s c o n s u m p tio n w a s e s tim a te d fo r 108 ca te g o rie s. 4. B e c a u se so u rc e s o f d a ta u se d for th is d e c o m p o s itio n a re in c o m p a tib le w ith re g a rd s to c la s s ific a tio n s a s w ell as lev el o f d e ta ils, s o m e c o rre c tio n p r o c e d u re s h a d to b e e s ta b lis h e d . T h e ir p u rp o s e w a s to g et c o n s is te n c y o f 108 c a te g o rie s w ith d a ta ta k e n fo rm N A . T h is m e a n s th a t b o th c u rre n t a n d c o n s ta n t p ric e s to ta l c o n s u m p tio n g iv e n as su m o f 108 c a te g o rie s m u st b e e q u a l to th e c o n s u m p tio n g iv e n in N A . A lso all su b -su m s o f d is a g g re g a te d c o n s u m p tio n m u st be e q u a l to a d e q u a te c o n s u m p tio n c a te g o ry ta k e n fro m N A . 5. A sp e c ia l c o rre c tio n p ro c e d u re w a s a p p lie d fo r th e p e rio d 1 9 9 0 -1 9 9 4 . In th is p e rio d o n ly 3 c o n s u m p tio n c a te g o rie s in N A w e re d is tin g u is h e d a n d th e re fo re H B S d a ta h a d to b e u se d to a w id e ex ten t. G ra p h s o f s o m e c o n s u m p tio n c a te g o rie s re v e a le d sig n ific a n t “ju m p s ” in 1 9 9 0 an d 1995 w h ic h w e re c a u s e d b y d iffe re n c e s b e tw e e n th e c o n s u m p tio n stru c tu re in N A an d H B S . II. S O U R C E D A T A C H A R A C T E R I S T I C S 2.1. N a tio n a l A c c o u n ts T h e n a tio n a l a c c o u n tin g sy ste m is c o m p o s e d o f a n u m b e r o f m u tu a lly lin k e d m a c ro e c o n o m ic a c c o u n ts p e rm ittin g c o h e re n t d a ta to b e o b ta in e d re g a rd in g on th e o n e h a n d in c o m e , i.e. s o u rc e s o f fin a n c in g e x p e n d itu re s a n d o n th e o th e r h a n d d ata c o n c e rn in g p ro d u c tio n a n d its d istrib u tio n b e tw e e n fin a l c o n s u m p tio n , g ro ss c a p ita l f o rm a tio n a n d b a la n c e o f e x c h a n g e w ith a b ro a d (G U S 2 0 0 1 , p. 5 30). U su a lly th e c o n s u m p tio n is c o n n e c te d w ith e x p e n d itu re s , th u s w c p ul an e q u a l sig n b e tw e e n final c o n s u m p tio n a n d e x p e n d itu re s fo r c o n s u m p tio n p u r p o se s. E x p e n d itu re s a re b o rn e b y e n titie s w h o p a r tic ip a te in tra n s a c tio n s , w h ic h ta k e p la c e in th e n a tio n a l ec o n o m y . T h e s e e n titie s a re d iv id e d in to 6 se cto rs: 1) n o n -fm a n c ia l c o rp o ra tio n se cto r, 2 ) fin a n c ia l c o rp o ra tio n se cto r, 3) g e n e ra l g o v e rn m e n t s e c to r (G G ), 4 ) h o u s e h o ld s e c to r (I II I), 5) n o n -p ro fit in s titu tio n s s e c to r (N P I), 6 ) rest o f th e w o r ld 1. In th e n a tio n a l a c c o u n ts se v e ra l d iffe re n t c a te g o rie s o f c o n s u m p tio n a re d is tin g u ish e d . T h e y re su lt fro m u s in g d iffe re n t c la s s ific a tio n c rite ria a n d p a r tic u la rly fro m d is tin g u is h in g b e tw e e n d iffe re n t fin a n c in g as w ell a s s u p p ly in g fo rm s o f g o o d s a n d s e rv ic e s to b e c o n s u m e d (se e T a b le 1). T h e c o n s u m p tio n e x p e n d itu re s m ay b e b o rn e b y th re e d iffe re n t se cto rs: h o u s e h o ld s, n o n -p ro fit in s titu tio n s a n d g e n e ra l g o v e rn m e n t. C o n s u m p tio n e x p e n d itu re s b o r n e b y h o u s e h o ld s (i.e . fin a n c e d b y p riv a te in c o m e ) a re c a lle d “ in d iv id u a l c o n s u m p tio n e x p e n d itu re s ” an d th e s e b o rn e b y tw o o th e r s e c to rs a re c a lle d “ so c ia l tra n s fe rs in k in d s u p p lie d to H IT '. A lth o u g h e x p e n d itu re s b o rn e b y N P I a n d G G a re a lso c a lle d “ c o n s u m p tio n in th e s e c to r” , w e h a v e to k e e p in m in d , th e N P I a n d G G se c to rs a re o n ly fin a n c in g a p a rt o f th e c o n s u m p tio n o f th e H H se cto r. Table I Classification o f actual consumption (corrected consumption) in the households sector by different criteria Criteria Financing or sup plying form Way o f supplying Kind o f consumption Expenditures’ bearing sector NPI HH Individual consum ption (financed by p riv ate income) Own con sumption GG Social transfers in kind Actual consum ption (individual) _ . Privatc consumption Collective consump tion Public consumption In bold categories detailed published in the statistical yearbook. " Own consumption o f agricultural products originating from own production; includes also the value o f housing services inclusive estimated depreciation o f residential buildings and the imputed rents in non-rental buildings. S o u r c e : Prepared by the authors, based on the Statistical Yearbook 2001. 1 p. 534. Detailed definitions o f sectors are in each statistical yearbook - for instance GUS 2002, T h e s u m o f e x p e n d itu re s b o rn e b y H H an d N P I is c a lle d “ p riv a te c o n s u m p tio n ” . S u m o f p r iv a te c o n s u m p tio n a n d so c ial tra n s fe rs in k in d fin a n c e d b y G G is c a lle d “ a c tu a l c o n s u m p tio n ” o r “ in d iv id u a l c o n s u m p tio n ” . T h e w o rd individual m e a n s h e re g o o d s a n d s e rv ic e s su p p lie d in k in d d ire c tly to s p e c ific , in d iv id u a l h o u s e h o ld s 2. T h e w h o le c o n s u m p tio n o f g o o d s an d se rv ic e s s u p p lie d b y G G s e c to r is c a lle d “ p u b lic c o n s u m p tio n ” . It c a n b e re a liz e d in tw o fo rm s; a s in d iv id u a l c o n s u m p tio n in fo rm (as tra n s fe rs m e n tio n e d e a rlie r) an d in fo rm o f “ c o lle c tiv e c o n s u m p tio n ” w h ic h d o e s n o t h a v e in d iv id u a l re c ip ie n ts b u t is b e in g s u p p lie d c o m m o n ly , to th e w h o le n atio n . T h is so rt o f c o n s u m p tio n c a n b e c o n s id e re d o n ly in th e G G se c to r, b e c a u s e it is a s su m e d th e N P I s e c to r s u p p lie s o n ly in d iv id u a l c o n s u m p tio n . S u m o f p riv a te c o n s u m p tio n a n d p u b lic c o n s u m p tio n is c a lle d “ c o rre c te d a c tu a l c o n s u m p tio n ” . C o n s u m p tio n in th e N A is sh o w n in d e ta ils a c c o rd in g to th e c la s s ific a tio n o f c o n s u m p tio n b y p u rp o se . In th e c a s e o f G G s e c to r th e c la s s ific a tio n is c a lle d C la s s ific a tio n o f th e F u n c tio n s o f G o v e rn m e n t (C O F O G ), in c a s e o f th e N PI s e c to r its n a m e is C la s s ific a tio n o f th e P u rp o se s o f N o n -P ro fit In s titu tio n s S e rv in g H o u se h o ld s (C O P N I), an d in c a s e o f th e h o u se h o ld s s e c to r - C O IC O P . T h e last o n e is to sh o w d e ta ile d d a ta o f ac tu a l c o n s u m p tio n a n d in d iv id u a l c o n s u m p tio n a n d th e tw o c o n s u m p tio n c a te g o rie s a re p u b lis h e d in th e S ta tis tic a l Y e a r b o o k s (S Y ). T h e C O IC O P c la s s ific a tio n h as a fiv e le v e ls s tru c tu re . T h e first o n e (tw o d ig its le v e l) c o n ta in s 12 d iv is io n s an d th e se c o n d o n e (th re e d ig its lev el) in c lu d e s 45 g ro u p s. T h e n ex t tw o le v e ls (fo u r an d fiv e d ig its ) a re s u m s o f c a te g o ries fro m th e lo w est, six -d ig it lev el w h ic h c o n ta in s ca. 300 u n its (se c p o in t 3.2). 2.2. H o u s e h o ld b u d g e t s T h e h o u s e h o ld b u d g e t su rv e y s a re o f sig n ific a n t im p o rta n c e fo r so c ia l s ta tis tic s sy ste m a n d a re a m e a n in g fu l so u rc e o f in fo rm a tio n fo r a n a ly z in g th e lev el o f liv in g c o n d itio n s . T h e y p ro v id e in fo rm a tio n ab o u t re v e n u e s , e x p e n s e s , c o n s u m p tio n , fu rn is h in g o f h o u s e h o ld s w ith d u ra b le g o o d s a n d o th e r liv in g c o n d itio n s o f s p e c ifie d p o p u la tio n g ro u p s as w ell as a b o u t th e d iffe re n tia tio n b e tw e e n b asic s o c io -e c o n o m ic g ro u p s o f h o u se h o ld s. T h e h o u s e h o ld b u d g e t su rv e y s h a v e a q u ite lo n g tra d itio n . In P o la n d th is tr a d itio n re a c h e s th e tu rn o f th e 19'h an d 2 0 11' c e n tu ry . In th a t tim e o n ly p a p e rs o f b u d g e ts o f in d iv id u a l fa m ilie s fro m th e lo w e st so c ia l g ro u p s h a d b e e n d o n e b y in d iv id u a l re s e a rc h e rs . In th e 2 0 -tie s a n d 3 0 -tie s o f th e 2 0 lh c e n tu ry th e h o u s e h o ld b u d g e t su rv e y s h a v e b e e n e n te re d b y G U S , re s e a rc h in s titu tio n s an d lo c al 2 Individual consumption in the households sector means mainly consumption financed by personal income and the own production is o f marginal importance. g o v e rn m e n t in stitu tio n s. T h is a llo w e d to in c lu d e in th e s u rv e y u p to te n s o f h o u se h o ld s. This w e re o n ly fra g m e n ta ry rese arch e s, c o n c e n tra te d o n s e le c te d g ro u p s o f p o p u la tio n , h eld o n sm all sa m p le s and o n ly in so m e re g io n s o f th e co u n try . A fte r W W II th e h o u se h o ld b u d g e t su rv e y s h a v e b e e n c o n tin u e d b y G U S . S ta rtin g fro m 1957 G U S c a rrie s o n w ith re s e a rc h e s b a s e d o n a re p re s e n ta tiv e s a m p le (s e e G U S 1999, p. 17 an d farth er). In th e la st few d e c a d e s th e m e th o d o lo g y o f th e s u rv e y h a v e b e e n c h a n g e d r e g a rd in g th e se le c tio n o f th e s a m p le an d its e x c h a n g e . F ro m th is p o in t o f v ie w o n e c a n d is tin g u is h fo u r p e rio d s (se e G U S 1999, p. 11): 1. 2. 1 9 5 7 -1 9 7 1 - b ra n c h a p p ro a c h , c o n tin u o u s m e th o d , 1 9 7 3 - 1 9 8 2 - g e o g ra p h ic a l a p p ro a c h , c o n tin u o u s m e th o d , 3. 4. 1 9 8 2 - 1 9 9 2 - g e o g ra p h ic a l a p p ro a c h , q u a rte rly ro ta tio n m e th o d , fro m 1992 - g e o g ra p h ic a l a p p ro a c h , m o n th ly ro ta tio n m e th o d . T h e b ra n c h a p p ro a c h h a s a tw o sta g e s e le c tio n p ro c e d u re . A t th e first sta g e in s titu tio n s (p la n ts, c o m p a n ie s ...) a rc se le c te d . A t th e s e c o n d sta g e , e m p lo y e e s a re a ra n d o m ly s e le c te d a n d th e ir h o u se h o ld s p a r tic ip a te in th e su rv e y . In th e g e o g ra p h ic a l a p p ro a c h su b je c t to se le c tio n a re h o u s e h o ld s (d w e llin g s ) in h a b itin g o n th e te rrito ry o f p re v io u s ly s e le c te d e n u m e ra tio n a re a s (o r its s e ts p re p a re d fo r th e N a tio n a l C e n s u s p u rp o se s). T h e c o n tin u o u s m e th o d c o n s is ts in su rv e y in g o n e a n d th e s a m e h o u se h o ld fo r th e w h o le y e a r o r e v e n lo n g e r. U s in g th e ro ta tio n m e th o d th e h o u s e h o ld u n d e r su rv e y a rc b e in g e x c h a n g e d . In c a s e o f q u a rte rly ro ta tio n h o u s e h o ld a re b e in g e x c h a n g e d e v e ry q u a rte r an d in c a s e o f m o n th ly ro ta tio n - e v e ry m o n th . In 1993 a p ro c e s s o f a d a p tin g th e m e th o d o lo g y o f th e h o u s e h o ld b u d g e t s u r v e y s to th e re c o m m e n d a tio n s o f E U R O S T A T sta rted . T h e su b je c t to m o d ific a tio n s w a s a lso th e c la s s ific a tio n o f re v e n u e s an d e x p e n s e s in th e sc o p e o f c o n su m p tio n e x p e n d itu re s . A s e a rly a s 1998 c o n s u m p tio n e x p e n d itu re s a r e g ro u p e d a c c o rd in g ly to 1996 C O I C O P /H B S ' c la ssific a tio n . T h is c la s s ific a tio n d iffe rs fro m th e p re v io u s o n e. A new c la s s ific a tio n o f re v e n u e s an d e x p e n s e s w a s im p le m e n te d - th is c h a n g e d th e sc h e m e o f p re s e n ta tio n a n d n a m e s o f lo ts o f c a te g o rie s as w ell as d e fin itio n s o f s u c h c a te g o rie s lik e d is p o s a b le in c o m e , e x p e n d i tu re s an d e x p e n d itu re s o n c o n s u m e r g o o d s an d se rv ic e s. A ll th is a lte rn a tio n s c a u se s th a t th e resu lts o f th e h o u se h o ld b u d g e t su rv e y are n ot d ire c tly c o m p a ra b le in tim e. T h is re m a rk d o not c o n c e rn th e w a y o f sa m p lin g (w h ic h h as n o in flu e n c e o n th e d ata c o m p a ra b ility ), b u t c h a n g e s in c la ssific a tio n s. H o w e v e r, it is p o s s ib le to re a sse m b le so m e c a te g o rie s o f c o n s u m p tio n e x p e n d i tu re s, so th a t th e p a rtic u la r g ro u p s o f e x p e n d itu re s a re h o m o g e n o u s o v e r tim e. T h e d a ta a r e p re s e n te d b y G U S as m o n th ly a v e ra g e 4 e x p e n d itu re s o n c o n s u m e r g o o d s a n d s e rv ic e s p e r c a p ita in h o u se h o ld in P o lis h c u r r e n c y (z ło ty ) an d 1 Classification o f Individual Consumption by Purpose for Household Budget Survey. 4 Until 1982 yearly averages were shown. fro m 1995 in n e w P o lish c u rrc n c y (P L N ). A fte r th e d e n o m in a tio n p ro c e s s d a ta a rc r o u n d e d u p to 1 g ro s z (0,01 I’L N ) w h a t e q u a ls 100 o ld zł, w h e re a s th e d a ta from p re v io u s y e a rs w e re ro u n d e d u p to 1 o ld zł. F ro m th e p o in t o f v ie w o f g o a ls to b e a c h ie v e d th is m a tte r is ra th e r triv ia l, b e c a u s c w e a rc o n ly in te re s te d in th e stru c tu re o f th e c o n s u m p tio n e x p e n d itu re s an d not o n th e n o m in a l d a ta itself. 2.3. P r ic c s in th e n a tio n a l e c o n o m y D ata o n p ric e c h a n g e s o f c o n s u m p tio n b y c a te g o rie s w e re n c c e s s a ry to c o m p u te c o n s u m p tio n in c o n s ta n t p rice s. T h e d a ta w e re o b ta in fro m tw o G U S p u b li c a tio n s: “ P ric c s in th e N a tio n a l E c o n o m y ” 5 a n d fro m th e c h a p te r “ P ric e s ” o f th e SY . T h e first o n e is an a n n u a l p u b lic a tio n w h ic h is is s u e d sta rtin g fro m 1 989. In th e 8 0 -ties it w as p u b lis h e d th re e tim es (in 1984, 1985, 1988) a n d d id n ot c o v e r all y ea rs w ith th e sa m e p re c isio n w h ic h is n e e d e d fo r o u r re se a rc h (se e p o in t 4.2). T h e p u b lic a tio n s sh o w d y n a m ic s o f p ric e s in th e b a sic s e c to rs o f th e n a tio n a l e c o n o m y i.e. a g ric u ltu re , in d u stry , c o n s tru c tio n , reta il tra d e , tra n s p o rt, sto ra g e an d c o m m u n ic a tio n as w ell a s fo re ig n trad e. Im p o rta n t fo r u s w ill b e th e d ata re g a rd in g th e reta il tra d e a n d e s p e c ia lly p ric e in d ic e s o f th e p a rtic u la r e x p e n d i tu re s c a te g o rie s as w ell as p ric c s o f se le c te d re p re s e n ta tiv e s 6 o f c o n s u m e r g o o d s a n d s e rv ic e s , w h ic h a rc u sed in o rd e r to c a lc u la te p ric c in d ic e s o n th e lo w est ag g re g a tio n level. T h e g ro u p in g o f g o o d s a n d se rv ic es p ric e s fro m th e y e a r 1999 is b a se d o n C la ssific a tio n o f In d iv id u a l C o n su m p tio n b y P u rp o se a d a p te d to n eed s o f th e H a rm o n iz e d In d ice s o f C o n s u m e r P rices c lassificatio n (C O IC O P /H IC P ). S o u rc e o f in fo rm a tio n o n th e c a lc u la te d p ric e in d ic e s a r e q u o ta tio n s o f m a r k et a n d a d m in is tra tiv e p ric e s c o n d u c te d b y p ric e c o lle c to rs th ro u g h o u t th e c o u n try, w h ic h is d iv id e d in to 3 1 0 7 p ric c su rv e y re g io n s. O n c e th e m o n th ly a v e ra g e p ric e s o f re p re s e n ta tiv e s a re o b ta in e d , th e ir p ric e in d ic e s in th e p a r tic u la r re g io n s c a n b e c a lc u la te d as a re la tio n o f th e m o n th ly a v e ra g e p ric e to th e a v e r a g e p ric c fro m th e p re v io u s y ear. T h e n ex t ste p is to c a lc u la te th e a ll-P o lis h p ric e in d ic es o f re p re s e n ta tiv e s a s g e o m e tric a l a v e ra g e s o f p ric e s in d ic e s o f re p re s e n ta tiv e s fro m all re g io n s an d o n its b a s e (a lso u sin g th e g e o m e tric a l a v e ra g e ) p ric e in d i c e s o f g o o d s an d s e rv ic e s fro m th e lo w e st a g g re g a tio n le v e l8. F u rth e r, p r ic c in d i c e s o n h ig h e r a g g re g a tio n le v e l c a n b e c a lc u la te d a p p ly in g th e sy ste m o f w e ig h ts, w h ic h is b a s e d o n th e s tru c tu re o f h o u s e h o ld s ’ e x p e n d itu re s fro m th e 5 This title is consequently used from 1996. Previously to titles were shiftily used: Changes o f prices in the National Economy and Changes o f retail prices. 6 The number o f representatives is permanently growing, e.g. in 1996 - 1 470, and in 2000 ca. 1800. 7 The number o f price survey regions in the year 2000; the number does not vary much, e.g. in 1996 - 307. There are over 28 thousand selected sales outlets. 8 301 such basic groups were distinguished in 2000. There were 287 such groups in 1998 and 1999. y e a r p re c e d in g th e o n e u n d e r th e su rv e y . T h e s tru c tu re o f e x p e n d itu re s is d e riv e d fro m th e H B S (se e e.g . G U S 2 0 0 1 , pp. 15, 2 1 - 2 3 ). III. L E V E L O F D E T A I L S O F T H E S O U R C F D A T A T h e sta rtin g p o in t in c o n s tru c tin g a P C E d a ta b a s e a re d a ta fro m th e N A . T h e d a ta h a v e to b e d is a g g re g a te d a c c o rd in g ly to th e ir r e le v a n t s tr u c tu re o b ta in fro m th e I IB S . At th e s a m e tim e a d a ta b a s e o n p r ic e s ’ d e f la to r s fo r th e d is tin g u ish e d c a te g o rie s h a s to b e b u ilt. B e lo w , a v a ila b ility o f s o u rc e d a ta in th e p a r tic u la r y e a rs is c o n s id e re d . T h is w ill g iv e us k n o w le d g e to w h a t e x te n t H B S an d o u r e s tim a te s o f p ric e s in d ic e s h a v e b e e n u se d in b u ild in g th e P C E d ata. 3.1. C o n s u m p t i o n in th e N a ti o n a l A c c o u n t s G e n e ra lly , d a ta re fe rrin g c o n s u m p tio n in th e N A h a v e b e e n ta k e n fro m th e SY , b u t fo r th e p e rio d fro m 1995 to 2 0 0 0 m o re d e ta ile d in fo rm a tio n fro m u n p u b lish ed so u rc e s w e re a v a ila b le '. T h e d a ta is g iv e n in c u rre n t a n d c o n s ta n t p ric e s b ut its n u m b e r o f c a te g o rie s p re se n te d in SY h ad b e e n c h a n g e d in th e p e rio d ta k e n in to a c c o u n t. W e c a n d is tin g u is h th re e d iffe re n t p e rio d s ( s e e 'F a b le 2): 1. u p to 1989 - 35 c a te g o rie s, 2. 1990 1998 - 5 c a te g o rie s, 3. 1 9 9 5 - 2 0 0 0 - 45 c a te g o rie s 4. 2001 - 12 c a te g o rie s T h e c o n s u m p tio n fo r th e p e rio d 1 9 8 0 -1 9 8 9 h as b e e n sp lit in th e SY in to 35 c a te g o rie s a n d th e a p p lie d c la s s ific a tio n m a tc h e s th e o n e u se d for th e H B S . ľ h e r e a re 9 c o n s u m p tio n c a te g o rie s o f fo o d stu ff, s e p a ra te ly a lc o h o lic b e v e ra g e s an d to b a c c o as w ell as 2 4 c a te g o rie s o f n o n -fo o d s tu ffs a n d s e rv ic e s in th is c la s s i fica tio n . A lso , th e in d ic e s in c o n s ta n t p ric e s o n a y e a r to y e a r b a s e s h a v e b e e n p re se n te d . T h is a llo w s to c a lc u la te th e c o n s u m p tio n in c o n s ta n t p ric e s a n d p ric e d e fla to rs fo r all c a te g o rie s. In th e p e rio d 1 9 9 0 -1 9 9 8 th e p re s e n ta tio n w a s lim ite d to o n ly 5 g e n e ra l c a te g o rie s w h ic h a re th e fo llo w in g : fo o d stu ff, a lc o h o lic b e v e ra g e s , n o n -fo o d stu ff, s e rv ic e s an d d e p r e c ia tio n o f re sid e n tia l b u ild in g s. In p r a c tic e th is m e a n s that o n ly th re e c a te g o rie s c a n b e u se d fo r o u r d a ta b ase. T h e re fo re , th re e o f th e m , i.e. n o n -fo o d s tu ff, s e rv ic e s a n d d e p re c ia tio n o f re sid e n tia l b u ild in g s , h a d to b e c o m b in e d in to o n e g ro u p . T h a t k ind o f p a rtitio n a n d e s p e c ia lly th e sp lit in to g o o d s a n d s e rv ic e s is not c o h e re n t w ith th e C O IC O P c la s s ific a tio n (se e p o in t 3 .2 ). T h is m a k e s u s to u se th e d a ta fro m th e h o u se h o ld b u d g e ts in a w id e r s c o p e th a n in th e p re v io u s y ea rs. ’ For the moment o f preparing this paper data including 45 categories for the year 2001 have been not available yet. We will include it during the next update o f the data base. T a b Iс 2 Dif ferences in the number o f available categories in the period taken into account Number o f categories in current priccs Data source Unpublished data 1980-1989 1990-1994 - SY 35 5 Number o f categories in constant priccs Data source SY 35 5 1995-1997 45 12 5 1998-2000 45 12 12 2(H) 1 - 12 12 S o u r c e : Prepared by the authors. T h e fiv e -c a te g o rie s p re s e n ta tio n h a v e b ee n c a rrie d o n u n til 1997. In 1998 G U S im p le m e n te d th e C O IC O P c la ssific a tio n . C o n s u m p tio n in th e C O IC O P v e rsio n h a v e b e e n re c a lc u la te d fo r th e y e a rs 1 9 9 5 -1 9 9 7 r e tro s p e c tiv e ly , b u t o n ly in c u rre n t p ric e s. D a ta p re s e n te d in th e S Y a re fro m th e tw o -d ig it le v e l o f th e C O IC O P , i.e. 12 c a te g o rie s a re d istin g u ish e d . D is a g g re g a tio n o f c o n s u m p tio n in c u rre n t p ric e s fo r th e y e a rs 1 9 9 5 -2 0 0 0 is b a s e d o n u n p u b lis h e d , m o re d e ta ile d G U S d a ta , s h o w in g 4 5 c a te g o rie s o f c o n s u m p tio n w h ic h c o rre s p o n d s w ith th e th re e -d ig it le v el o f C O IC O P . In d ice s in c o n sta n t p ric e s ac c o rd in g ly to C O IC O P h a v e b e e n c a lc u la te d sta rt in g fro m 1998. H o w e v e r, in th is c a se o n ly 12 C O IC O P c a te g o rie s a re av a ila b le . D ata fo r th e y e a r 2001 h a v e b e e n a v a ila b le o n ly in th e 12 c a te g o rie s sc h e m e in c u rre n t as w e ll as in c o n s ta n t p rice s. T h u s , a d iffe re n t d is a g g re g a tio n m e th o d h a s b e e n a p p lie d th e n fo r th e p e rio d 1 9 9 5 -2 0 0 0 - a m e th o d w h ic h u se s th e h o u s e h o ld b u d g e ts in a w id e r sc o p e. F u rth e rm o re , fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 1 , in c o m p a riso n w ith p re v io u s o n e s , c h a n g e s in th e s u b je c tiv e sc o p e o f th e in stitu tio n a l se c to rs h a v e b e e n in tro d u c e d : th e d e fin itio n o f s m a ll b u s in e s s e s c h a n g e d . In th e p re v io u s y e a rs p e rs o n s c o n d u c tin g e c o n o m ic a c tiv ity e m p lo y in g u p to 5 p e rso n s h a v e b e e n in c lu d e d to th e H H s e c to r. S ta rtin g fro m 2001 th is lim it w a s m o v e d u p to 9 e m p lo y e e s . T h is c h a n g e c a u s e d a n in c re a s e o f h o u s e h o ld n u m b e rs an d an o v e re s tim a tio n o f c o n s u m p tio n in c o m p a ris o n to th e p re v io u s y e a rs. D u e to th is c h a n g e s c o n s u m p tio n in th e S Y fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 0 h a s b e e n p re s e n te d in tw o v a ria n ts - in a c c o rd a n c e to th e n ew a n d o ld d e fin itio n . It tu rn e d o u t, th e c h a n g e c a u s e s a d if fe r e n c e in c o n s u m p tio n b y 1 ,5 3 % a n d it “ b e lo n g s to ” e x p e n d itu re s o n g o o d s a n d s e rv ic e s o th e r th a n food, a lc o h o lic b e v e ra g e s a n d to b a c c o (s e c G U S 2 0 0 2 , p p . 5 3 8 - 5 4 0 ). T h e re fo re th e v a lu e s o f s o m e c a te g o rie s fo r th e y e a r 2001 w e re c o rre c te d d o w n w a rd s , in p ro p o rtio n to th e c h a n g e s re s u ltin g fro m th e y e a r 2 000. 3.2. H o u s e h o ld e x p e n d it u r e s b a s e d o n b u d g e t s u r v e y s T h e h o u s e h o ld su rv e y d a ta u se d fo r th e d e c o m p o s itio n o f c o n s u m p tio n w e re th e a v e ra g e h o u s e h o ld e x p e n d itu re s o n c o n s u m e r g o o d s a n d s e rv ic e s . T h is d a ta w as also th e u n p u b lis h e d one. T h e d isa g g re g a tio n level in th e p u b lic a tio n s o f th e h o u s e h o ld b u d g et su rv e y w a s n o t su fficie n t fo r the c o n s tru c tio n o f P C E d a ta b a se . In p a ra g ra p h 2 .2 w e h a v e m e n tio n e d all m e th o d o lo g ic a l a lte rn a tio n s in th e h o u s e h o ld s e x p e n d itu re s . B u t th e se w e re n o t th e o n ly o n e s . A lso th e n u m b e r an d d e fin itio n s o f p a rtic u la r c o n s u m p tio n e x p e n d itu re s h a v e b e e n c h a n g e d . R e a so n s o f th e s e c h a n g e s c a n b e c la ssifie d in to tw o m a in g ro u p s: a p p e a ra n c e o f n e w g o o d s an d se rv ic e s; th e y h a v e to b e a d d e d to e x is tin g c o n s u m p tio n c a te g o rie s o r n e w c a te g o rie s h a v e to b e s e p a ra te d - th is d e p e n d s o n th e c u rre n t o r e x p e c te d c o n s u m p tio n lev el o f th e s e n ew p ro d u c ts ; c h a n g e s in stru c tu re o f c o n s u m p tio n - so m e p ro d u c ts a r e b e in g m a rg in a liz e d o r s o m e tim e s e v e n d is a p p e a r fro m th e m a rk e t an d o th e r o n e s s h a re s g ro w . T h e s e g e n e ra l fa c ts a re c a u s e d b y e v o lu tio n a ry c h a n g e s in th e c o n s u m p tio n stru c tu re a n d re s u lts fro m c h a n g e s in c o n s u m e r s ’ ta ste , fa s h io n tre n d s , p o p u la tio n a n d d e m o g ra p h ic a l stru c tu re , c h a n g e s o f p o p u la tio n , m ig ra tio n s , te c h n o lo g i cal d e v e lo p m e n t c re a tin g n ew p ro d u c ts an d se rv ic e s . S tro n g c h a n g e s in c o n su m p tio n s tru c tu re h a v e b e e n o b s e rv e d in P o la n d in th e la st d e c a d e . T h e b ig g e s t in flu e n c e o n it h ad th e tra n s itio n o f th e e c o n o m y , w h ic h c a u s e d th a t h o u se h o ld s g a in e d an e a s ie r a c c e s s to a b ig g e r v a rie ty o f g o o d s a n d s e rv ic e s th a t h a d b e e n a la c k o r e v e n d id n o t e x ist o n th e m a rk e t b e fo re . A ll th e s e m e th o d o lo g ic a l an d “ m a rk e t” c h a n g e s c a u s e d th a t in th e b a s ic c la s s ific a tio n o f h o u s e h o ld e x p e n d itu re s in th e H B S , th e n u m b e r o f d is tin g u is h e d c a te g o rie s 10 h a s b e e n ra ise d fro m 2 5 2 in 1992 to 31 4 in 2 0 0 1 . C h a n g e s o f n u m b e r o f c a te g o rie s w h ic h h a v e b e e n d is tin g u is h e d in th e H B S is p r e s e n te d in A p p e n d ix 1. O n e s h o u ld b e a r in m in d that e q u a l n u m b e r o f c a te g o rie s p re s e n te d in th e A p p e n d ix d o e s n o t m e a n e x a c tly th e sa m e c a ls s ific a tio n . T h e re a s o n is th at c a te g o rie s fro m th e six -d ig it le v el m ay c o n ta in d iffe re n t g o o d s an d se rv ic e s, w h ic h m a y h a v e d iffe re n t n a m e s o r e v e n h a v e b e e n m o v e d b e tw e e n g ro u p s. T h e c la s s ific a tio n re m a in e d u n c h a n g e d in th e p e rio d 1 9 8 0 - 1 9 9 2 . S ta rtin g in 1993 c h a n g e s h a v e b e e n in tro d u c e d e v e ry y e a r e s p e c ia lly in g ro u p in g o f d a ta o n d iffe re n t a g g re g a tio n le v e ls. M o st o f th e m a re c a u se d b y im p le m e n tin g th e C O IC O P c la s s ific a tio n . In c o m p a ris o n w ith th e p re v io u s c la s s ific a tio n , C O IC O P u se s a d iffe re n t w a y o f lin k in g g o o d s an d s e rv ic e s to p a r tic u la r c o n s u m p tio n c a te g o rie s. B a s ic d iffe re n c e c o n s is ts in d iv id in g th e e c o n o m y in th e o ld c la s s ifi c a tio n in to th e m a te ria l a n d n o n -m a te ria l sp h e re . A c c o rd in g to th is c o n v e n tio n all so -c a lle d m a te ria l g o o d s a n d s e rv ic e s a re b e in g p u rc h a s e d in th e m a te ria l 10 This numbers docs not include expenses spent on private agriculture farms. Apart from this taxes and fees, financial and other positions have been shown in details since 1993, but have not been taken into account. sp h e re . O th e r s e rv ic e s b e lo n g s to th e n o n -m a te ria l sp h e re . In th e C O IC O P c la s s i fic a tio n s e rv ic e s a re lin k e d to g o o d s w h ic h th e y a re c o n n e c te d to , b e c a u s e g o o d s a n d s e rv ic e s a re c la s s ifie d a c c o rd in g to th e p u rp o s e o f c o n s u m p tio n . H o w e v e r, g o o d s an d s e rv ic e s a re s e p a ra te d o n th e six -d ig it lev el b u t th is is n o t th e aim as su c h o f th e c la s s ific a tio n . T h e s h a re d p u ip o s e o f th e c o n s u m p tio n e x p e n d itu re s is set o n ly o n th e tw o h ig h e st le v el o f a g g re g a tio n . E x p e n d itu re s o n g o o d s an d s e rv ic e s o n lo w e r lev els d o e s n o t re p re s e n t th e p u rp o s e as su c h b u t se rv e th e p u rp o s e o f g ro u p s fro m th e tw o h ig h e st le v el (R a in e r 1997). T h is m e a n s th e g ro u p in g o n th e lo w e s t six -d ig it le v e l is u n re s tric te d c o n c e rn in g th e a m o u n t o f c a te g o rie s b e in g d is tin g u is h e d an d th e lin k in g o f c e rta in g o o d s a n d s e rv ic e s to g ro u p s w ith in th e s e n s e o f th e c la s s i fica tio n . T h is se e m s to b e n e c e s sa ry b e c a u s e o f th e s p e c ific o f th e c o n s u m p tio n in d iffe re n t c o u n trie s . U sin g th is o p tio n th e C O IC O P w a s c h a n g e d se v e ra l tim e s in th e y e a rs 1 9 9 8 -2 0 0 1 . A n e x a m p le o f th is m a y b e e x p e n d itu re s o n “ c o n s u m p tio n b o n e s ” w h ic h w e re s e p a ra te d fro m “ o th e r m e a ts ” a n d lin k e d in p o rtio n s to th e d iffe re n t k in d o f m e ats. 3.3. P ricc in d ic c s P u b lic a tio n c o n c e rn in g p ric e s p re se n ts o n ly fo r c h o s e n y e a rs (n a m e ly 1981 an d 1 9 8 4 -1 9 8 6 ) p ric c in d ic e s fo r c a te g o rie s from th e lo w e s t a g g re g a tio n level m a tc h in g th e o n e u se d in M B S. D a ta fo r th e y e a r 1982 is n o t a s d e ta ile d b u t d e ta ile d e n o u g h fo r o u r p u rp o se s (s e e p o in t 4). F o r th e rest o f th e y e a rs th e n u m b e r o f g ro u p s fo r w h ic h p ric e in d ic e s w e re p u b lis h e d is m u c h lo w e r. T h e re fo re , it w a s n e c e s sa ry to e s tim a te th e m is s in g in d ic e s (se e p o in t 4 .2 ). A n o th e r d iffic u lty is th a t in d iffe re n t y e a rs in d ic e s h a v e n o t b e e n p re s e n te d fo r th e sa m e g ro u p s. G e n e ra lly s p e a k in g , th e e s tim a tio n o f m is sin g in d ic e s w a s b a s e d o n p ric e s o f re p re s e n ta tiv e s o f g o o d s an d se rv ic e s , w h ic h y e a rly a v e ra g e s a r c b e in g p u b lis h e d b y G U S . T h e n u m b e r o f re p re s e n ta tiv e s a m o u n ts ca. 1500, b u t o n ly c a . 150 o f th e m a re b e in g p u b lis h e d . D u e to th e lim ite d a c c e ss to r e p r e s e n ta tiv e s few d if fe re n t e s tim a tio n m e th o d s h a v e b e e n a p p lie d (s e e 4 .2 ). IV . B U I L D I N G T I M E S E R I E S O F C O N S U M P T I O N In th is p a r a g ra p h w e w ill in tro d u c e th e m e th o d o lo g y o f P C E d is a g g re g a tio n (its ste p s h a v e b e e n s h o w n in p o in t 1.2). T h e d iffic u ltie s th a t h a d to b e g o n e th ro u g h , re su lte d fro m d iffe re n t c la s s ific a tio n s an d d iffe re n t d is a g g re g a tio n le v els o f s o u rc e d ata. 4.1. C o n s u m p t i o n in c u r r e n t p ric cs T h e first ste p w a s c a lc u la tin g c o n s u m p tio n in c u rre n t p ric e s. D a ta fro m N A an d H B S w as used, but first h o m o g e n o u s co n su m p tio n ca te g o rie s for H B S d ata had to b e created. T h e s e ca te g o rie s had to b e co h e ren t w ith ca te g o rie s u sed in N A . In o r d e r to d o so d e ta ile d d a ta fo r c a te g o rie s fro m th e e a r lie r m e n tio n e d s ix d ig it lev el w e re n e e d e d . T h e s e c a te g o rie s c a n n o t b e d iv id e d in to sm a lle r e le m e n ts. T h e s e c o n d im p o rta n t s o u rc e o f in fo rm a tio n w e re in s tru c tio n s c o n c e rn in g th e o rg a n iz in g a n d re p o rtin g sy ste m o f th e H B S , w h ic h in c lu d e a d e ta ile d list o f g o o d s an d s e rv ic e s in all c a te g o rie s. T h a n it w a s p o ssib le , o n th e o n e h a n d , to u n ify d iffe re n t c la s s ific a tio n s in th e p e rio d b e in g u n d e r c o n s id e ra tio n , a n d o n th e o th e r to k e e p a h ig h le v el o f c o n s u m p tio n s ’ d e c o m p o s itio n as w e ll a s to fin d c o m m o n c a te g o rie s in c e rta in y ea rs. T h is w a s re a c h e d b y c o d in g th e c a te g o rie s fro m th e s ix -d ig it le v el in a w a y , w h ic h a llo w e d a d d in g s o m e c a te g o rie s th at b e lo n g e d to a g ro u p o f e x p e n d itu re s b e in g a h o m o g e n o u s c o n s u m p tio n c a te g o ry in th e w h o le p e rio d . T h e re su lt o f g ro u p in g is a ta b le w ith 108 c a te g o rie s o f h o u s e h o ld e x p e n d i tu r e s " . T h is ta b le w a s u se d to c a lc u la te th e stru c tu re o f h o u s e h o ld e x p e n d itu re s w ith in c a te g o rie s b e in g b ig g e r a g g re g a te s, w h ic h w e re re le v a n t to c a te g o rie s in th e N A . N e x t ste p w a s to m a k e a d e c o m p o s itio n o f th e c a te g o ry fro m th e N A u s in g th e s tru c tu re b a s e d o n th e H B S . In th is w a y w e re c e iv e d d is a g g re g a te d v a lu e s o f c o n s u m p tio n e q u a lin g th e N A d ata in c u rre n t p ric e s. 4.2. P r ic c in d iccs A s n ex t ste p , p ric c in d ic e s fo r e a c h o f th e 108 c re a te d c a te g o rie s w e h a d to b e fo u n d . In c a s e p ric e in d ic e s o f a c a te g o ry h a v e n o t b e e n p u b lis h e d th e y h ad to b e e s tim a te d . D e p e n d in g o n th e a c c e ss to d ata se v e ra l m e th o d s o f e s tim a tio n h a v e b e e n a p p lie d (in b ra c k e ts - s y m b o ls u se d fo r th e m e th o d s): u s in g p ric e s o f re p re s e n ta tiv e s (R ), u s in g a w e ig h te d a v e ra g e fro m th e rest o f in d ic e s b e in g a p a rt o f o n e an d th e sa m e c a te g o ry o f a h ig h e r a g g re g a tio n lev el fo r w h ic h a p ric e in d e x w as p u b lis h e d (X ), u s in g p ric e in d ic e s o f a h ig h e r a g g re g a tio n le v e l fo r a c a te g o ry o f a lo w e r o n e - u se d in c a se th e tw o a b o v e listed m e th o d s co u ld n o t b e a p p lie d (K ), u sin g p r ic e in d ic e s o f a c a te g o ry b e in g th e d o m in a n t p a r t w ith in o n e o f th e 108 c a te g o rie s fo r th e w h o le c a te g o ry (U ), u s in g s e v e ra l o f th e m e n tio n e d m e th o d s fo r o n e c a te g o ry (M ). 11 On this stage we did not pay attention on the possibilities o f finding price indices for cre ated categories. O ur main goal was to achieve the highest possible level o f PCE disaggregation. F o r th e first m e th o d an a u x ilia ry ta b le w a s c re a te d . It c o n ta in e d y e a rly a v e ra g e p ric e s o f g o o d s a n d s e rv ic e s w h ic h w e re c o n s id e re d as re p re s e n ta tiv e s fo r a c o n s u m p tio n c a te g o ry in U B S . I f few re p re s e n ta tiv e s fit to o n e c a te g o ry an a v e ra g e w a s c a lc u la te d u sin g g e o m e tric a l a v e ra g e . B a s in g o n th e a v e ra g e p ric e s for a c e rta in c a te g o ry , p ric e in d ic e s fo r ea c h y e a r w a s c a lc u la tc d 12. A d d itio n a l c a lc u la tio n s w e re a lso n e c e s s a ry fo r s o m e c a te g o rie s, b e c a u s e o f c h a n g e s in u n its o f m e a s u re m e n t o v e r tim e. T h e s a m e re p re s e n ta tiv e s w a s u sed o v e r th e w h o le p e rio d i f o n ly it w as p o s sib le. It w a s n o t th e c a s e o f s o m e d u ra b le g o o d s w h e n n e w m o d e ls a p p e a re d o n th e m a rk e t. It w a s p o s s ib le , h o w e v e r, to sm o o th th e p ric e s c h a n g e s w ith th e h elp o f o v e rla p p e d “ n e w ” a n d “ o ld ” n u m b e rs. F a ilu re o f th e s m o o th in g p ro c e d u re m e a n s th a t a p ric e ju m p sh o w s a m a rk e t situ a tio n a c o n s u m e r h a d to d o w ith . T h e se c o n d te c h n iq u e w a s a p p lie d w h e n a c e rta in c a te g o ry c o n s is te d o f s u b c a te g o rie s an d n o t fo r all o f th e m p ric e in d ic e s w e re a v a ila b le . In th is c a s e th e p ric e in d e x fo r la c k in g e le m e n ts w a s c a lc u la te d a p p ly in g th e c o n v e rte d fo rm u la fo r a w e ig h te d a v e ra g e u sin g I IB S c o n s u m p tio n s tru c tu re fro m th e p re v io u s y e a r a s w e ig h ts 13. D e ta ile d in fo rm a tio n a b o u t th e m e th o d b e in g a p p lie d in o r d e r to c a lc u la te p ric e indices fo r ea c h o f 108 d istin g u ish e d categ o ries a re g ath ered in A p p en d ix 2. A s it w a s m e n tio n e d b e fo re , c o n s u m p tio n d ata in c u rre n t p ric e s w ith in N A fo r th e p e rio d 1 9 9 5 -1 9 9 7 w a s p u b lis h e d b y G U S fo r 12 c a te g o rie s , w h ile c o n su m p tio n in c o n s ta n t p ric e s as w ell as d e fla to rs fo r o n ly 5 c a te g o rie s . In o r d e r to h o m o g e n iz e th e sc h e m e o f c o n s u m p tio n d isa g g re g a tio n in th e y e a rs 1 9 9 5 -2 0 0 1 w e d e c id e d to e s tim a te th e d e fla to rs for th e y ea rs 1 9 9 5 -1 9 9 7 u sin g p ric c s in d iccs o f c a te g o rie s fro m h ig h e r lev els ta k en fro m G U S ’ p u b lic a tio n s (se c p o in t 2 .3.). 4.3. C o n s u m p t i o n in c o n s t a n t p ric cs C o n s u m p tio n in c o n s ta n t p ric e s w a s c a lc u la te d b y d iv id in g e le m e n ts o f tim e se rie s o f c o n s u m p tio n in c u rre n t p ric e s b y th e a p p ro p ria te p ric e in d ic e s. T h e n a c o rre c tio n p ro c e d u re w a s u se d to b a la n c e th e d e ta ile d c o n s ta n t p ric e d a ta w ith d a ta a v a ila b le in. In th is w a y th e c o n s is te n c y w ith N A d a ta in c o n s ta n t p ric e s h a v e b e e n ac h ie v e d . F in a lly , c o n s u m p tio n in c u rre n t p ric e s fo r 108 c a te g o rie s w e r e d iv id e d b y c o n s u m p tio n in c o n s ta n t p ric e s a n d th u s c o n s u m p tio n d e f la to r s fo r all P C E c a te g o rie s w a s c o m p u te d . 12 This procedure is coherent with the one used by GUS. The only difference is the calcula tion order, however from mathematical point o f view both methods are equal. GUS, first calculates price indiccs o f representatives and using the geometrical average derives from them the category index, here first the geometrical average o f representatives’ prices was calculated and then the index. 13 Exception is the year 1980 for which the structure o f the same year was applied. W e do not have the HBS data for 1979. 4 .4 . S p c c ia l c o r r e c t io n f o r p e r i o d 1 9 9 0 - 1 9 9 4 In th e p a ra g ra p h 3.1 it w a s m e n tio n e d th a t in N A th re e p e rio d s o f P C E d ata a v a ila b ility c a n b e d is tin g u ish e d . F o r th e m id d le p e rio d i.e. th e y e a rs 1 9 9 0 -1 9 9 4 o n ly th re e c a te g o rie s o f P C E h a v e b e e n a v a ila b le . T h is is w h y fo r th is p e rio d H B S h as to b e in v o lv e d in a m u c h w id e r sc o p e th e n in th e tw o o th e r. A s re su lt o f th a t, c o n s u m p tio n fo r c e rta in c a te g o rie s sig n ific a n tly d iffe rs in th is p e rio d fro m th e lev el o b s e rv e d in th e p re v io u s (1 9 8 9 ) a n d fo llo w in g (1 9 9 5 ) y e a rs. T h e re fo re , e a c h o f th e 108 P C E c a te g o rie s h a v e b e e n c o rre c te d a p p ly in g in fo rm a tio n o f th e sh a re o f a c a te g o ry in th e “ e d g e d ” y e a rs (i.e. 1989 an d 1 9 9 5 ) a s w ell as its d y n a m ic s o b s e rv e d in H B S fo r th a t p erio d . T h is m e a n s, th e in d ic e s (o n th e y e a r to y e a r b a s is ) o f th e 108 c a te g o rie s in th e p e rio d 1 9 9 0 -1 9 9 4 a r e p ro d u c ts o f in d ic e s fro m H B S a n d a c o rre c tio n fac to r, w h ic h a s su m e s d iffe re n t v a lu e s in th e c o n s id e re d y ea rs. N e x t, all c a te g o rie s h a v e b e e n b a la n c e d to th e “ tr u e ” P C E v a lu e s o f N A . V. C O N C L U S I O N S The re su lt o f th e re se a rc h is a u n iq u e P C E d a ta b a s e fo r P o la n d . It in c lu d e s c o n s u m p tio n in b o th c u rre n t a n d c o n s ta n t p ric e s as w e ll a s th e c o n s u m p tio n d e flato rs. N u m b e r o f P C E c a te g o rie s in th e d a ta b a se c o m e s to 108 a n d c o v e r th e p e rio d 1 9 8 0 -2 0 0 1 . A d d itio n a lly , d a ta c a n b e a u to m a tic a lly a g g re g a te d to fo u r le v e ls o f a g g re g a tio n , i.e. 12, 18, 34 c a te g o rie s w h ic h c o rre s p o n d to: C O IC O P c la s s ific a tio n p u b lis h e d in S Y s in c e 1995 (1 2 c a te g o rie s ), IM P E C m o d e l P C E c u rre n t c la s s ific a tio n (1 8 ), P C E c la s s ific a tio n u se d in th e S Y in th e 8 0 -tie s (3 4 ). T h e d a ta b a s e c a n b e e a s ily u p d a te d in futu re. T o e x te n d th e b a s e fo r th e fo l lo w in g y e a rs, d a ta fro m th e N A p re s e n te d in S Y w ill b y s u ffic ie n t, h o w e v e r th e m o re d e ta ile d , u n p u b lis h e d o n e s w o u ld b e b e tte r. A lso H B S d a ta c o n ta in in g d e ta ils o n p r o d u c ts c o n s u m p tio n is n e c e ssa ry . O n e m u st h a v e in m in d , h o w e v e r, th a t P C E d a ta b a s e p re s e n te d h e re is b u r d e n e d w ith s e v e ra l e rro rs o f b o th o b je c tiv e an d s u b je c tiv e k in d . T h e o b je c tiv e o n e s c o n c e rn th e m e th o d o lo g y as w e ll as c la s s ific a tio n s u s e d b y G U S in so u rc e d a ta . T h e s u b je c tiv e o n e s a re c o n n e c te d w ith s im p lific a tio n s u s e d b y th e a u th o rs to c o m p ile P C E d a ta b a s e p re s e n te d in th is p a p e r an d w h ic h a r e m a in ly d u e to la ck o f m o re p re c is e d ata. H o w e v e r, in th e a u th o rs ’ o p in io n th e se e rro rs a re n o t o f m a jo r im p o rta n c e , so th e y r a th e r n o t c a u s e se rio u s tro u b le s. T h e tim e se rie s g a th e re d in th e d a ta b a s e c a n b e u se d fo r P C E e q u a tio n s e s tim a tio n n o t c a u s in g b ia s o r d e te rio ra tio n o f th e ir p a ra m e te rs. REFEREN CES A 1 m o n C. (9 9 6 ), A P erh a p s A d eq u a te D em a n d S ystem , „ In fo ru m W o rk in g P a p ers” , no. 9 6 0 0 7 , (h ttp ://in fo ru m w e b .u m d .e d u /W o rk p a p e r.h tm l) B a l e e r а к A. , L i p i ń s k i C z., P r z y b y l i ń s k i M. , P l i c h M ., T o m a s ż e w i c z L. (1 9 9 7 ), The M o d e l IM P E C o f th e P olish E con om y a n d th e U se f o r the A n alysis o f T ransform ation P ro c e sse s, [in:] P ro c e e d in g s o f th e 3 rd W orld IN F O R U M C on feren ce (1 9 9 7 ), A b so lw en t, Ł ó d ź 1997, p. 83 102 B a r d a z z i R ., B a r n a b a n i M . 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(1 9 9 1 ), Bank obsłu gi i a n a liz b ila n só w p rz e p ły w ó w m ięd zyg a łęzio w yc h BAOBAB. P o d ręczn ik użytkow nika, p art I, W y d a w n ic tw o U L, Ł ó d ź O r ł o w s k i W. M. T o m a s z e w i c z Ł. (1 9 9 1 ), The Inforum M o d e l o f th e P olish E con om y, [in:] „E c o n o m ic S y stem R ese arch ” , pp. 8 5 -9 2 P l i c h M . (1 9 9 3 a ), D e k o m p o zycja sp o ży c ia p ryw a tn e g o w banku W6. A n a liza p o r ó w n a w cza danych p o ch o d zą c y ch z b a d a ń b u d żetó w g o sp o d a r stw d o m o w ych i sta ty sty k i d och odu n a ro d o w e g o K on stru kcja szere g ó w p o p y tu k o n su m pcyjn ego. R ep o rt for P o lish C o m m itte e fo r S cien tific R esearch , P ro je c t N o 1 0 1 4 0 91 01 P l i c h M. (1 9 9 3 b ), O sza co w a n ie m a cierzy k o n w ersji 19 ro d za jó w sp o ży c ia p ry w a tn e g o na 43 sek to ry p ro d u k cji zg o d n e z SNA. R ep o rt for P o lish C o m m itte e fo r S cien tific R esearch , P ro je c t N o 1 0 1 4 0 91 01 P l i c h M . (2 0 0 0 ), S ystem o f D e m a n d F unctions f o r P o la n d - N e w E stim a te s, [in:] P ro ceed in g s o f A M F E T '99 C on feren ce - M o d ellin g E con om ies in Transition, A b so lw en t, Ł ó d ź , pp. 1 6 1 -1 8 5 P l i c h M. (2 0 0 2 ), B u dow a i za sto so w a n ie w ielo sek to ro w ych m o d eli ekon om iczn oekologiczn ych . W y d a w n ic tw o U L , Ł ó d ź P ro ceed in g s o f th e 3 rd W orld IN F O R U M C on feren ce (1 9 9 7 ), A b so lw e n t, Ł ó d ź R a i n e r R. (1 9 9 7 ), B asic p rin c ip le s f o r d evelo p m en t o f c o rresp o n d e n c e ta b les: linking the C P C Version 1.0 to C O IC O P , A u strian C en tral S tatistical O ffic e S h e n g c h u P. (e d .) (2 0 0 2 ), Inforum M odel: M odellin g a n d A p p lica tio n s. P ro ceed in g s o f th e 7th W orld IN F O R U M C onference. C h in a F in an cial and E c o n o m ic P u b lish in g H ouse, B eijin g N a m e o f c o n s u m p t io n c a te g o ry in 108 c a te g o r ie s c la s s if ic a tio n 1 9 8 0 -1 9 9 2 1993 19 9 4 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 R ic e R y e b read W h e a te n b r e a d M ix e d g ra in b re a d C o o k ie s & c r is p b r e a d F lo u r C e re a ls B o v in e m e a t V eal m eat S w in e m e a t H Q c o ld c u ts & s a u s a g e s O th e r c o ld c u ts & c a n n e d m e a t O th e r p r o c e s s e d m e a t P lu c k & g ib le ts S a l t - w a t e r f is h e s F r e s h - w a t e r f is h e s P ro c e s s e d & c a n n e d fis h e s M ilk & m i lk - b a s e d b e v e ra g e s P re s e rv e d m ilk C u r d ____________________________ C h eese M odel - Constructing a D atab ase S h e e p , g o a t & o th e r m e a t C h ic k e n O th e r p o u ltry PCE in IMPEC N o o d le C re a m Eggs B u tte r о 10 о II M a r g a r in e & o th e r v e g e ta b le fa ts O liv e & e d ib le o ils O th e r e d ib le a n im a l fa ts C itr u s f ru its , b a n a n a s & o th e r fru its A p p le s _______________________________ P each P lu m O th e r s to n e f r u its & n u ts P ro c e s s e d & d r ie d fru its L e ttu c e C abbage C a u liflo w e rs T o m a to C ucum ber B e e tr o o t C arro t O n io n M u s h ro o m s P u ls e O th e r & p r o c e s s e d v e g e ta b le s P o ta to e s S ugar H oney C h o c o la te C o n f e c tio n a r y & o th e r s u g a r p ro d u c ts O th e r f o o d p ro d u c ts C o f fe e Tea C o c o a & p o w d e r e d c h o c o la te N o n - a lc o h o l ic b e v e ra g e s S p ir its & w in e B eer 10 Mariusz Plich, Marcin P o n ew czy ń sk i B e rrie s 1 2 1 6 8 2 1 8 2 1 8 2 1 11 2 4 5 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 I 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 6 1 1 7 8 1 1 4 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 9 4 10 11 4 4 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 I 1 2 1 1 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 8 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 8 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 8 2 1 6 3 3 3 3 3 5 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 2 1 1 1 1 2 6 1 1 1 1 2 6 1 1 1 1 2 6 1 1 1 1 2 6 1 1 1 1 2 6 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 7 7 7 7 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 5 4 5 4 5 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 1 2 6 1 2 6 1 2 6 1 2 4 2 1 5 2 2 1 1 Model * Constructing a D atabase 5 3 PCE in IMPEC Tobacco Clothing materials Garm ents for men U nderwear for men Socks & stocking for men Garm ents for women Underwear for women Socks & stocking for women Garm ents for children Underwear for children Socks & stocking for children Other clothings & accessories Clothing services Footwear for men Footwear for women Footwear for children Footw ear services Rental, water sup.& other serv.for dwel. M aintenance o f the dwelling Furniture & furnishing Household textiles & other equipment Carpets & floor coverings Refrigerators & freezers W ashing & drying m achines Cookers, heaters & other appliances Cleaning equipm ent Sewing & knitting machines Glasswear, tablew ear & household utensils Tools & equipm ent for house & garden O ther goods & services for household m aintenance Electricity Gas 1 Liquid & solid fuels Hot water & heat energy Health & social protection Purchase o f vehicles Operation o f personal transport equipm ent Transport services Com m unication Recreation, culture equipment & durables Recreational & cultural services Newspapers, books & stationary Package holidays Education Restaurants & hotels Personal care O ther goods & services T o ta l n u m b e r o f c a te g o rie s 2 3 4 3 2 2 8 5 T 6 2 2 8 i 4 3 2 2 8 8 8 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 1 7 8 i 2 9 5 10 s 2 5 5 2 2 2 14 4 15 4 14 5 13 5 5 5 5 5 6 8 8 8 4 31 4 31 4 32 8 8 8 8 8 8 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 13 5 4 18 4 5 3 3 4 19 4 19 4 19 4 19 4 6 6 6 6 21 8 8 3 3 5 3 3 5 3 3 5 3 3 5 6 6 20 6 20 6 20 6 20 234 234 234 234 6 3 4 6 6 252 14 222 3 7 4 7 18 289 11 3 3 3 8 11 12 5 7 18 304 5 7 17 307 5 7 17 310 Name o f consum ption category in 108 categories classification 1 3 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 К R К R R R 1 I R R R K R X I 1 I X I 1 1 I I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 I 1 K R R 1 1 1 1 R K R K R K R R K K I I 1 R K R R R 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 5 R 6 1 1 I I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 X R R R K R K R K R R K K R X K R K R R R 1 1 R R R K R X 1 1 1 7 8 1 1 1 I I 1 I 1 1 I 1 I X 1 I 1 X 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I [ 1 1 X I I 1 X 1 1 I I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I 1 I 1 1 I I 1 1 1 1 I I I 1 1 1 1 1 1 I I 1 1 I I I I I 9 R K R R R X R R R K R K R K R R K K R X I R K. R R R 1 1 R R R K R 10 11 12 R K R R R X R R R K R K R K R R K K R R K. R R R X R R R K R K R K R R K K R K R K R R R X R R R K R K R K R R K. 1 1 1 1 1 R K R R R 1 I R R R K R R K R R R I 1 R R R K R K R K 13 R K R R R X R R R K R K R K R R K K R K K 14 R K R R R X R R R K R K R K R R K K R K K 15 R K R R R X R R R K. R K R K R R K K R K K 16 R K R R R K R R R K R K R K R R K K R K K I 1 1 1 K R K R K R 1 1 R R I I R R R R R K R I R I 1 1 1 1 R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R 1 I R R R K R 1 R I K. R I R 17 R K. R R R K R R R K R K R K R R K K R K K I K R 1 R I 1 R R R R R 18 R K R R R K R R R K R K R K R R K K R K K 19 R K R R R K R R R K. R K. R K R R K K R K K 1 1 K R I R K R 1 I R R R R R 20 21 22 R K R R R K R R R K R K R K R R K K R K K I R K R R R K R R I K R K R R R K R R K. R 1 K 1 K R R K K I K K R K R 23 R K R R R K R R 1 1 K I K I K R R K K I K K R K R K I K 1 1 1 1 R I R R R 1 1 1 R R R R R R R R R R 1 1 1 1 1 1 R R R R R R R R 1 K R R K K I K. K R K R I R 1 1 I R R R R Model - Constructing a Database 2 R К R R R X R R R К R К R К R R К К R PCE in IMPEC Rice Rye bread W heaten bread M ixed grain bread Noodle Cookies & crispbread Flour Cereals Bovine meat Veal meat Swine meat Sheep, goat & other meat Chicken O ther poultry HQ coldcuts & sausages O ther coldcuts & canned meat O ther processed meat Pluck & giblets S alt-w ater fishes Fresh-w ater fishes Processed & canned fishes Milk & m ilk-based beverages Preserved milk Curd Cheese Cream Eggs Butter M argarine & other vegetable fats O live & edible oils O ther edible animal fats Citrus fruits, bananas & other fruits Apples 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2 3 4 К К К к к к R К К R R R R К R К 1 1 1 1 R R M M I I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I 1 I 1 I I i 1 1 1 I I 1 1 1 1 X 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 K K M 1 1 1 R R I 1 X I 1 x x x 1 1 1 R M M I 1 I 1 M I 1 1 R R 5 K K K K K K. R K K R R R R K. R K 6 1 1 7 I 1 1 1 1 I I 1 1 1 1 I I 1 1 1 1 1 I I I 1 1 1 I 9 K K K K K K R K K R R R R K R K I I R R M M 10 11 12 K K K K K K R K. K K R R R K R K. K K K K K. K. R K K K R R R K R K. K. K K K K. K. R K K. K R R R K R K. l I K R M M 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 X 1 1 X X X K K M 1 I R R R K K M 1 I R R R I I I 1 1 1 1 1 i 1 I I 1 1 1 1 x X 1 1 I R R M M I I X 1 1 1 I K K M 1 1 1 R R I 1 1 X 1 1 X X x I 1 1 1 8 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 I 1 I x x 1 1 x x x X I 1 1 K R M M 1 I K R M M I 1 K K M I 1 R R R 1 I K K M I I R R R 13 K K K K K K R K K K R R R K R K. I I K. R M M I 1 K K M I 1 R R R 15 K K K K K K R K K K. R R R K R K R 16 K K K K. K. K R K K K R R R K R K. R 17 K K K. K K K R K K K R R R K. R K R 18 K K K. K K K. R K K K R R R K. R K R 19 K K K K K K R K K K R R R K R K R 20 21 22 K. K K K K K R K. K K. R R R K R K R K K K K K K R K K K R R R K R K 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 K K. K K K K R K. K K R R R K R K I K R M M K R M M K R M K K R M K K R M K K R M K 1 1 1 I K K M I I R R R 1 1 1 I K K M I I R R R K R M K I I K K M I I I K K M I I R 1 1 R I K K M I I R R R R R R R 14 K K K K K K R K K K R R R K R K R I K R M M K. K M 1 1 R R R K K M 1 I R R R 1 I K K. M 1 1 R R R 1 K. R M K I I K K. M 1 1 R R R 23 K K. K. K K K R K K K R R R K R K. 1 I K. R M K 1 I K K M 1 1 R R R Mariusz Plich, Marcin Ponew czyński I Peach Plum O ther stone fruits & nuts Berries Processed & d n ed fruits Lettuce Cabbage Cauliflowers Tom ato Cucum ber Beetroot Carrot Onion Mushrooms Pulse O ther & processed vegetables Potatoes Sugar Honey Chocolate Confectionary & other sugar products O ther food products Coffee Tea Cocoa & powdered chocolate N on-alcoholic beverages Spirits & wine Beer Tobacco Clothing m aterials G arm ents for men Underwear for men 1 2 3 R R R R R R R M 1 1 R R R M M 1 M R R R U R R M M 1 X X 1 X X X X X X X X I X X 5 R R R R R R R M I X X 1 X X 1 1 I U R R M M M X 1 1 X X X X M I X X 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 M I X X M X R R R R R R R M 1 M M X X 12 R R R R R R R M 1 X X I X X 1 11 R R R R R R R M M X I X X 1 1 10 M X I X X I 1 R R R X X X X I X X I X X X X X X 9 R R R R R R R M 1 1 1 8 1 X X X X X X R R R I I X X 7 I X X I X X 1 X X X X X X M R R R U R R M M 1 1 6 1 1 13 R R R R R R R M 14 R R R R R R R M 15 R R R R R R R M 16 R R R R R R R M 17 R R R R R R R M 18 R R R R R R R M 19 R R R R R R R M 20 21 22 R R R R R R R M R R R R R R R M R R R R R R R M 23 R R R R R R R M 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 R R R R R R R R R I R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R 1 1 1 1 1 1 R R R I R R R 1 R R R I R R R 1 R R R I R R R 1 R R R I M M I M R M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M 1 1 1 M R M R M R M M I M R 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 M R M R M R I U R R M M M R I I U R R M M M M I M R 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 U R R M M U R R M M U R R M M U R R M M X X X X 1 1 X X X X I X X I X X M X X X M M M M M M 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I I I M f I 1 1 1 1 I I 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 M I X X X X I X X 1 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 M I M M к к M 1 1 I M I M 1 I I M I I U R R M M 1 1 и к 1 1 1 1 1 1 M R M R i I U R R M M M R R R M R R R 11 11 R R M M R R M M M R R R П R R M M M M M I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 u 1 1 U R R M M I tl R R M M tl R R M M M M M M 1 1 1 1 1 u 1 1 1 1 1 1 I K U K 1 I 1 U K M I 1 1 f U II K I I 1 1 U I I Model - Constructing a Database 1 X X 4 R R R R R R R M PCE in IMPEC Socks & stocking for men Garm ents for women U nderwear for women Socks & stocking for women Garm ents for children Underwear for children Socks & stocking for children O ther clothings & accessories Clothing services Footwear for men Footwear for women Footwear for children Footwear services Rental, water supply & other services for the dwelling M aintenance o f the dwelling Furniture & furnishing Household textiles & other equipm ent Carpets & floor coverings Refrigerators & freezers W ashing & drying m achines Cookers, heaters & other appliances Cleaning equipm ent Sewing & knitting machines Glasswear, tablew ear & household utensils Tools & equipm ent for house & garden O ther goods & services for household m aintenance Electricity Gas Liquid & solid fuels Hot water & heat energy Health & social protection Purchase o f vehicles t-л Ul O' 1 M 1 1 M M и и и K. M K 3 4 5 X X M M 1 1 x 1 1 x x x x x 1 x K K. 1 X X X x x I M M u u u 1 M K 6 x x 1 x x x x x 1 x 7 x x 1 x x x x x 1 x 8 x x 1 x x x x x 1 x K K K Explanations o f sym bols for m ethods o f price indices estimation: 1 - index К - applying o f indices from higher levels o f aggregation for lower levels M - using o f several methods R - on the base o f representatives U - on the base o f dom inant elem ent index X - on the base o f "reversed” weighted average o f higher level category 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 M M M M M M M M M M M M 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 M M M M M M M M M M I M M 1 1 M M M I I M M M 1 1 M I I M M I M M M M M M M M M M M M u u u 1 u u u 1 u u u 1 u u u 1 u u u 1 u u u 1 u u u 1 u u u 1 u u u 1 u u u 1 u u u 1 u u u 1 u 1 1 u 1 1 1 1 M K M K M K M K. M K M K M K M K M K. M K M K. M K. 1 1 I M K. M K I 1 I M K Mariusz Plich, Marcin Ponew czyński Operation o f personal transport equipment Transport services Com m unication Recreation, culture equipment & durables Recreational & cultural services Newspapers, books & stationary Package holidays Education Restaurants & hotels Personal care O ther goods & services 2 M a riu sz Plich, M arcin P o n ew czyń sk i W Y D A T K I K O N SU M P C Y JN E W M O D E L U I M P E C K O N STR U K C JA BAZY DANYCH B ard z o w ażn y m ele m e n te m m o d eli typu IN F O R U M je s t b lo k ró w n a ń sp o ży cia z d o c h o d ó w o so b isty c h lu d n o ści. W y ró żn ia się w n ich z w y k le o d 4 0 d o 100 k ateg o rii sp o ży cia. W p rz y p ad k u m o d elu IM P E C (m o d el typu IN F O R U M d la P o lsk i) liczb a tych kategorii nie p rz e k ra c z a ła 18, co b y ło u w a ru n k o w a n e d o stę p n o śc ią d a n y c h sta ty sty c z nych. W o p ra co w an iu p rz e d sta w io n o m e to d o lo g ię b u d o w y b a z y d a n y c h o sp o ży ciu w p o d ziale na 108 k ateg o rii, o b ejm u ją c ej lata 1 9 8 0 -2 0 0 1 . D o b u d o w y b azy w y k o rz y sta n o m ięd zy in n y m i w y n ik i b ad ań b u d ż e tó w g o sp o d arstw d o m o w y c h o ra z in fo rm ac je o cen ach w g o sp o d a rc e n aro d o w ej. S k o n stru o w a n e szereg i są zg o d n e z rach u n k a m i n aro d o w y m i, co u m o ż liw ia b e z p o śre d n ie w y k o rz y sta n ie tej b azy do b u d o w y b ard ziej n iż d o ty c h c z a s ro z w in ię te g o b lo k u ró w n a ń sp o ż y c ia dla p o trzeb m o d elu IM P E C .
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