Since 1972 Estimate of Magnitude of Costs for: Master Planning Program Estimates Preliminary Estimates and Feasibility Studies Easy to Change An Estimate of Magnitude of Cost Creates the Foundation for Your Capital Projects Success 65% Hard to Change 25% 10% Concept Phase Evaluate Options Together with Cost, Program, and Design visualization to Create the Foundation for Success Master Planning Program Estimates Preliminary Estimates Feasibility Studies Design Phase Evaluate Options Together with Cost, Program, and Design to Stay on Budget Pre Schematic Schematic Design Design Development Construction Documents Construction Phase Manage the risk of Errors, and Omissions, Substitutions, Unexpected Site Conditions or Owner-initiated Changes On Time on Budget and meets the Clients expectations 5% 10% 85% Least Expensive Cost of a Change in Time and Money Most Expensive Vermeulens Estimate of Magnitude of Cost Creates the Foundation for Your Capital Projects Success North America’s Construction Economists Boston Toronto Dallas Denver Los Angeles Estimate of Magnitude of Costs for: Master Planning, Program Estimates, Preliminary Estimates, and Feasibility Studies With limited design information, utilizing hundreds of comparable accurately documented historical projects from our elemental system database we can establish the total project budget. We analyze cost data while adjusting for inflation, market conditions, location, and procurement method Project Volume and Benchmarking Our benchmarking process compares hundreds of historical costs across all building types We estimate over 100 new projects every year, which translates into over $5 billion worth of construction volume Our current database of over 3,000 projects form a library to access; market conditions, trade prices, escalation, building type, client contracts, product information, and correspondence that can be extrapolated for your project. This provides owners and architects with detailed and accurate cost reports based on information from our comprehensive database, knowledgeable staff, and developed processes. Realistic project budgets from the outset help minimize the loss of program and scope, and costly re-design. Typical benchmarking analysis encompasses projects from across North America and projects in your area. Element $/sf Structure Enclosure Interiors Fittings Mechanical Electrical Site Markups Total PAC 1 PAC 2 PAC 3 PAC 4 PAC 5 PAC 6 PAC 7 Rehab 78 56 78 50 70 70 66 92 117 104 105 92 83 48 63 94 79 85 69 57 38 58 77 44 70 40 53 41 72 78 82 70 74 66 47 38 56 52 50 47 35 31 24 22 32 20 30 21 10 58 57 76 51 68 52 35 483 557 547 501 490 437 316 Program Analysis Program data on all of our projects allow us to analyze the program mix, and narrow the probable cost range applicable for the project. Project Soft Costs We make comparisons to similar benchmarks in the categories of loose furnishing and equipment, design fees, owner expenses, project contingencies, and provide detailed breakdowns as required. Elemental Systems and Parametric Estimating Our Elemental Systems database provides the cost driving parameters for every project we estimate. We capture not only the trade cost but the elemental systems cost as well. Elemental systems divide the building into structure, enclosure, interiors, etc. As shown in the benchmarking table above. Within each element are typical design parameters such as structural steel pounds per square foot, exterior enclosure ratios, partition densities, air handler volumes, mechanical and electrical device densities. To validate an estimate we compare both the parameters and parametric cost for each elemental system to ensure they are tracking within range for the particular building type. Orientation Our Orientation Session brings the core team together at project formation to identify and incorporate goals, program, site, massing, quality, and more into a preliminary cost model. Collectively as a team, we decide on building systems to establish the appropriate budget for each building type. Page 2 Elemental estimates based on building parameters, program, building arrangement, phased alternate functions sketches, and team conversations on but not limited to; all aspects of the overall architecture and design intent, from exterior and interior finishes to structural systems, landscaping and parking requirements specialized sub-consultant information such as geotechnical, acoustical, theater, audio-visual, elevator, mechanical, electrical general performance space and stage arrangement and technical performance needs with heat and electrical loads program requirements, room data, and appropriate net to gross ratios identification of fundraising opportunities and potential naming rights This initial costing can be reconciled with subsequent design based line item estimates. Due to the preliminary nature of early estimates, they are generally considered to be within 10% accuracy. Escalation and Vermeulens® Index Our cost estimates include an escalation factor which is based on our index. The Vermeulens® Index compiles the bid results of trade costs to establish current pricing trends in the market. We combine this with macro and micro economic factors such as money supply, labor supply, commodity pricing, and overall market activity to provide a forecasting tool for future construction costs. Page 3 It Is Never Too Early To Involve Vermeulens in Your Planning Process We do not need extensive information to develop project budgets that will stand the test. The opposite is true. We will help your team develop the detail necessary for a road map to your future. Program Cost Analysis With basic program information Vermeulens can develop your budget and delivery methodology Program data on all of our projects allow us to analyze the program mix, and narrow the probable cost range applicable for the project. PERFORMING ARTS CENTER Lobby of Creativity and Performance Box Office: 3 windows Gallery Storage Subtotal Lobby Program Areas Preliminary Program Unit SF 4,680 $ 4,456,000 500 500 $ 500,000 Subtotal Stage & Technical Areas 8,160 6,070 $ 4,621,000 Subtotal Studio Theater 3,220 3,320 $ 1,896,000 Subtotal House / Technical Area 3,075 1,075 $ 435,000 Subtotal Stage Support 6,120 3,200 $ 802,700 Subtotal Performer Support 3,280 2,850 $ 1,036,500 180 760 $ 184,000 Subtotal Dance studio / Lecture 3,100 2,300 $ 869,600 Subtotal Music Classrooms 3,980 3,450 $ 1,110,900 680 880 $ 352,000 41,515 33,245 $ 18,090,700 Subtotal Bldg Support 2,283 1,828 $ 324,139 SUB-TOTAL NET AREA Efficiency 75% PROGRAM TOTAL 43,798 14,599 58,398 35,073 11,691 46,765 100 $ 419 $ 1,169,116 19,583,955 1,535 1,500 400 50,200 100 300 300 405 $ $ $ $ 153,500 450,000 120,000 20,307,455 11% $ 449 $ 2,233,820 22,541,275 Subtotal Support Spaces Sub-Total Vermeulens Review and Revisions Additional gross Catwalks - 350 Theatre Catwalks - Studio Theatre Revised total efficiency 70% Escalation to Q1 2016, Construction Contingency Total 2 1 40 100 $ per SF Total Cost 36,000 30,000 1,827,000 Subtotal Perf Arts Administration 160 100 4,440 Total 450 $ 300 $ $ Subtotal Control Rooms 40 100 Revised Program Unit SF 80 100 4,160 Subtotal House/Seating Areas 4 1 Total Every area in the program is assigned a cost per sf 4,780 Final Program Signed off by Client and Design Team with Area, Quality, and Construction Budget Approved Page 4 Risk Analysis Appropriate contingencies are necessary in avoiding time-consuming value engineering exercises, and expensive re-design. We specify line item contingencies in the estimate for all scope that we can anticipate. A separate contingency below the line is for changes in design that are unanticipated. The rate of escalation in construction pricing is commonly very different from the rate of inflation in the overall economy. Vermeulens recommendation for cost escalation represents an educated outlook on the economy and its impact on local construction pricing. Project Contingency and Escalation Recommendations Design Contingency Preliminary Design 10% to 15% Schematic Design 6% to 9% Design Development 3% to 6% Contract Documents 0% to 3% Construction Contingency Escalation - based on the Market Outlook and Local index 3% to 5% 3 to 9% Bidding Contingency 0% to 5% Project Contingency (Owner) 5% - 15% Procurement Strategies Experience with all modes of project delivery from traditional Design-Bid-Build to Integrated Project Delivery allows us to help your team plan the best approach for procuring your project For the best outcome, Vermeulens should be engaged early on in the development process. Not only will we be able to help develop the project budget, but we will be able to recommend a procurement route that makes sense. Why is the procurement route so important? It is because the route a client decides to take can impact the overall construction costs, duration of design and construction, and the overall quality of the project. Page 5 Should You already have a Contractor or Developer Onboard Consider utilizing a parallel estimating approach to maximize value, save time and money on costly redesign, and loss of scope by optimizing your budget Parallel Estimating Parallel Estimating is key to the Construction Management process Parallel estimating engages two firms to prepare cost estimates from the same documents at each of the design millstones. The two estimates are cross checked and compared through the Reconciliation Process. With a transparent process and independent market information, the owner and design team have the knowledge to negotiate toward scope and price levels that are fair and reasonable for all parties. Key activities in the parallel estimating process include: preparing the estimates completely independently exchanging estimates when both are complete having a reconciliation meeting to understand and reconcile the two estimates Parallel Estimating - Two firms work in Parallel to develop independent Estimates Estimate Development over Time Reconciliation Budget Exchanging estimates The owner and design team must manage the conflict of interest in delivering the construction project for the best possible price, schedule, etc., while maintaining an ongoing working relationship with contractors. Contractors Estimate Vermeulens Estimate The construction manager must find a balance between competitive and competent subcontractors to deliver a successful project. Owner Millstone Estimating Phase Two Firms prepare the estimates completely independently On Budget Exchanging estimates when both are complete Real-time Reconciliation meeting to understand and reconcile the two estimates We compare the detail of the two estimates and tabulate the results for ease of comparison and discussion. This Reconciliation Tracker document becomes the starting point and the recording document for the reconciliation process. Final Capital Project Sign Off by Client and Design Team with Area, Quality, Escalation, Budget, and Delivery Methodology Approved to Reduce Risk, Maximize Scope, and Budget Parallel Estimating can provide 20% saving at SD, 10% saving at DD, 5% saving at CD and bids that are on budget. Page 6
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