Color profile: Generic CMYK printer profile Composite Default screen 482 Reproductive ecology and allometry of red pine (Pinus resinosa) at the northwestern limit of its distribution range in Manitoba, Canada Alanna Sutton, Richard J. Staniforth, and Jacques Tardif Abstract: Red pine (Pinus resinosa Ait.) has been described as a poor seed producer at its distribution range limit; however, few studies have verified this claim or have examined the factors influencing the reproduction of the species. In 2000, data were collected from 60 trees growing in Manitoba at the extreme northwest limit of the natural distribution range for this species. Cones per tree were counted and samples weighed and measured. Likewise, seeds per cone were counted, measured, weighed, and tested for germination. Correlation and regression analyses compared measured characteristics among cones, among individual trees, and among portions of tree crowns (north, west, south, and east portions). Cone abundance among individual trees was significantly and positively correlated with stem diameter and with basal area increment from 1 to 4 years preceding cone maturation. Cone size and fresh mass and seed abundance, mass, and germination were not significantly correlated with individual trees or crown portions; however, seed number per cone and seed size were found to be significantly and positively correlated with cone size. Germination success in red pine increased with seed mass to a certain threshold value, beyond which more than 80% of the seeds germinated no matter what their mass. Our data for 2000 and field observations for 1999 and 2001 showed that red pine at its northwest limit of distribution range produced numerous cones and viable seeds. Key words: red pine, Pinus resinosa, distribution limit, seeds, germination, cones. Résumé : On a longtemps considéré que le pin rouge (Pinus resinosa Ait.) produisait peu de graines à la limite de son aire de répartition. Peu d’études ont toutefois confirmé cette généralisation ou examiné les facteurs influençant la reproduction de l’espèce. En 2000, nous avons échantillonné 60 arbres croissant au Manitoba à la limite nord-ouest de l’aire de répartition de l’espèce. Les cônes ont été dénombrés et des échantillons mesurés et pesés. De plus, les graines ont été comptées, mesurées, pesées et des tests de germination réalisés. À l’aide d’analyses de corrélation et de régression nous avons comparé les caractèristiques des cônes, des arbres et des portions de courronne, divisées selon leur exposition nord, ouest, sud et est. Les analyses montrent que l’abondance des cônes par arbre est significativement et positivement corrélée au diamètre de la tige, à hauteur de poitrine, ainsi qu’à l’accroissement radial pendant les années précédent la maturation des cônes. La taille et la masse des cônes ainsi que l’abondance, la masse et le taux de germination des graines ne sont pas significativement corrélés aux variables décrivant les arbres ou les portions de couronne. Le nombre et la dimension des graines sont toutefois significativement et positivement corrélés à la taille des cônes. Le taux de germination est significativement corrélé à la masse des graines, jusqu’à un seuil critique au-delà duquel plus de 80% des graines ont germé, indépendament de leur masse. Nos données pour l’année 2000 et nos observations pour les années 1999 et 2001 montrent qu’à la limite nord-ouest de sa répartition, le pin rouge produit de nombreux cônes et graines viables. Mots clés : pin rouge, Pinus resinosa, limite de répartition, graines, germination, cônes. Sutton et al. Introduction The northern distribution limits of many tree species are restricted by unfavourable climates that cause interruptions Received 13 September 2001. Published on the NRC Research Press Web site at http://canjbot.nrc.ca on 8 May 2002. A. Sutton,1 R.J. Staniforth, and J. Tardif. Centre for Forest Interdisciplinary Research (C-FIR) and Department of Biology, University of Winnipeg, 515 Portage Avenue, Winnipeg MB R3B 2E9, Canada. 1 Corresponding author (e-mail: [email protected]). Can. J. Bot. 80: 482–493 (2002) J:\cjb\cjb80\cjb-05\B02-031.vp Thursday, May 02, 2002 3:44:29 PM 493 in the reproductive cycle and ultimately depress fecundity levels (Black and Bliss 1980; Pigott and Huntley 1981; Houle and Filion 1993; Tremblay et al. 1996, 2002). Red pine (Pinus resinosa Ait.) populations are disjunct at the northern limit of the species distribution and were once described as declining and rare because of failure to maintain themselves (Haddow 1948). Schooley et al. (1986) later found that red pine is susceptible to ovulate cone damage due to frosts during its early development. Bergeron and Brisson (1990) have suggested that low seed production, especially as a result of large fires, may contribute to the restricted range of red pine. Severe climatic conditions at the northern limit of the distribution range may exaggerate this DOI: 10.1139/B02-031 © 2002 NRC Canada Color profile: Generic CMYK printer profile Composite Default screen Sutton et al. phenomenon (Bergeron and Gagnon 1987). Other species such as basswood (Tilia americana L.) (Pigott and Huntley 1981) and jack pine (Pinus banksiana Lamb.) (Houle and Filion 1993) are limited by extreme climatic conditions at the northern limit of their distribution ranges. Furthermore, both black spruce (Picea mariana (Mill.) BSP) (Black and Bliss 1980) and red maple (Acer rubrum L.) (Tremblay et al. 1996) have shown delayed seed development or low germination success at the northern limits of their distribution range. In addition to climatic factors, nonclimatic factors such as habitat availability, competition, disturbance, and unfavourable fire regimes may contribute to setting distribution limits (Sakai and Weiser 1973; Bergeron and Gagnon 1987; Bergeron and Brisson 1990; Flannigan 1993; Roberts and Mallik 1994; Bergeron et al. 1997; Meilleur et al. 1997; Flannigan and Bergeron 1998). Within the boreal forest region, climate, disturbance, and soil characteristics including nutrient status are the primary factors that limit northward expansion for many species (Flannigan and Woodward 1994, Flannigan and Bergeron 1998). In red pine, a combination of climatic factors, habitat availability, competition, disturbance regime (i.e., fire regime), and random extinctions may explain the northern distribution range limit (Bergeron and Gagnon 1987; Bergeron and Brisson 1990; Flannigan 1993; Bergeron et al. 1997; Flannigan and Bergeron 1998). Red pine has thick bark and self-pruning abilities that allow it to survive light to moderate surface fires (Bergeron and Brisson 1990) even when the associated vegetation is killed (Butson et al. 1987). Surface fires rarely spread to the upper canopy or kill the trees. Instead, fires remove competing vegetation, contribute to mineral seed bed preparation, and open the canopy, all of which are advantageous events for shade-intolerant species such as red pine. Recruitment patterns of red pine seedlings are largely determined by the occurrence of fires and the resulting formation of suitable seed beds (Engstrom and Mann 1991). The management of competing vegetation by fire or other means may be an important tool in the success of red pine plantations (McRae et al. 1994; Johnson et al. 1998). Several genetic techniques (Simon et al. 1986; Mosseler et al. 1991, 1992; Deverno and Mosseler 1997) have demonstrated that there is a lack of genetic variability in red pine, even amongst disjunct populations near distribution range limits for the species. This characteristic is rare amongst other conifer species (Deverno and Mosseler 1997). Low genetic variability in red pine populations may make this species vulnerable to rapid environmental change, e.g., global climate change (Mosseler et al. 1992). The reproductive biology of red pine has been thoroughly documented (Lyons 1956; Duff and Nolan 1958; Mirov 1967; Dickmann and Kozlowski 1969a, 1969b, 1969c). Optimum cone production occurs between 50 and 150 years, but a few ovulate cones may be formed on trees as young as 5 years (Rudolf 1990). Good crops occur at intervals of 3–7 years and mast crops every 10–12 years (Horton and Bedell 1960; Rudolf 1990; Sims et al. 1990). As in many species of Pinus, cone primordium differentiation occurs 2 years prior to dispersal of mature seeds (Dickmann and Kozlowski 1969b; Barnes et al. 1998; Keeley and Zedler 1998). More 483 cones are produced on vigorous young branches on the southern sides of trees (Rudolf 1990), and cones in the upper third of the crown or on the ends of main branches produce most of the viable seeds (Lyons 1956). Seeds from the middle section of cones show the highest percent viability; however, the proportion of aborted seeds can be as much as 20– 100% in this species (Rudolf 1965, 1990; Sims et al. 1990). Cone and seed production is often influenced by insects and rodents (Lyons 1956). The seeds are dispersed by wind from late August to mid-September (Rudolf 1965, 1990), with germination occurring during the following spring or summer. Not much is understood about factors affecting size of cone crops because of the length of time from cone initiation to dispersal (Keeley and Zedler 1998). Fraser (1951), Cayford (1964), Rudolf (1965, 1990), Stiell (1988), Bergeron and Brisson (1990), and Sims et al. (1990) have described red pine as a poor cone producer, although no definitions of “good” and “poor” cone production or “good” and “poor” seed production have been given. Cone production is lower in the northern populations than in those from the south and is considered by Sims et al. (1990) to be rare near the northern edge of its distribution range. There is much variation among individuals (Stiell 1988). This view was, however, recently challenged by Flannigan and Bergeron (1998) who observed successful germination of red pine seeds near its actual northern distribution limit in Quebec. An understanding of the processes that affect distribution range limits is needed to allow the prediction of future species responses to climate change. Flannigan and Woodward (1994) have predicted that the southern limit of red pine will migrate northward faster than its northern limit and that there will be a drastic shift in the overall range of this species. It is necessary to understand the processes that govern seed production and germination success at the northern limit of the present distribution range because they may determine the extent and rate of northward expansion. The biogeographical success of a species is ultimately decided by its success in colonizing parcels of the earth’s surface (Lanner 1998). In this study, we examined how some biotic factors influence seed and cone production in red pine populations at the extreme northwest of the species’ distribution range. Except for studies by Flannigan and Woodward (1994) and Flannigan and Bergeron (1998), the reproduction ecology of red pine at the limit of its distribution range has not been thoroughly studied. The primary objective was to evaluate differences among trees (age, radial growth, height, diameter) and crown portions (aspect, shape, size) in terms of cone production and seed characteristics and germination. The second objective was to determine whether cone characteristics (size, mass, seed number) have an effect on seed characteristics (size, mass, germination success). Methods Study area The study area was located on Black Island (51°10′ N, 96°30′ W) approximately 300 km north of Winnipeg (Fig. 1). Black Island is located at the north end of the © 2002 NRC Canada J:\cjb\cjb80\cjb-05\B02-031.vp Thursday, May 02, 2002 3:44:29 PM Color profile: Generic CMYK printer profile Composite Default screen 484 Can. J. Bot. Vol. 80, 2002 Fig. 1. Map showing the location of the red pine (Pinus resinosa) stand on Black Island, Lake Winnipeg, Manitoba. The location of the town of Arborg (closest meteorological station) is also indicated. southern basin of Lake Winnipeg. It is among the largest islands in Lake Winnipeg with an area of approximately 123 km2. The island lies in the transition between the Canadian Shield and the Great Interior Plains of North America. Geologically, the eastern tip of the island has exposures of hard granitic bedrock of the Canadian Shield that is overlain by Ordovician sandstone and limestone toward the centre and east end of the island (Manitoba Natural Resources (MNR) 1988; Goulet 1992). The surface deposits on Black Island are predominantly coarse-texture glacial tills and silica sands, the latter having eroded from the underlying sandstone. The island is covered by coniferous and mixed forests, dominated by white spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss), black spruce, trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx.), and jack pine (MNR 1988). Black Island provides habitats for provincially rare plant species that include red pine (MNR 1988; Staniforth and Tardif 2000). Black Island has special religious significance for the aboriginal people living in the vicinity of Lake Winnipeg (MNR 1988). Traditional ceremonies took place at the eastern end of the island, and today the native people gather annually on Black Island for berry picking and other activities (Barker 1979; MNR 1988). Forestry operations on Black Island had been carried out for a number of years prior to the creation of Hecla Provincial Park in 1969. Major timber harvesting started in the early 1900s and extensive areas of Black Island were cut over and are now covered in new growth (MNR 1988). It is uncertain how much of the red pine stand was harvested in the early twentieth century or burnt by fires; however, some existing trees are at least 150 years old. The red pine population on Black Island is the most northerly and westerly occurrence of the species in North America (MNR 1988). Most of the stand is intermixed with jack pine, black spruce, balsam fir (Abies balsamea (L.) Mill.), and white birch (Betula papyrifera Marsh.), with common juniper (Juniperus communis L.), lichens, mosses, and a thin litter layer covering the forest floor. Many seedlings and sap© 2002 NRC Canada J:\cjb\cjb80\cjb-05\B02-031.vp Thursday, May 02, 2002 3:44:42 PM Color profile: Generic CMYK printer profile Composite Default screen Sutton et al. 485 Table 1. Basic statistics for red pine (Pinus resinosa) at the extreme northwest of the species’ range on Black Island, Manitoba (n = 60). Variable Height (m) Diameter (cm) Establishment date Basal area increment (cm2) 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 1996–2000 Total number of cones Minimum 8.31 16.20 1883 0.70 1.08 1.12 0.35 0.86 4.11 0 lings of red pine were observed in the sample area, indicating that recruitment is successful. Evidence of past fires included fire scars and charred stumps. The climate of the region has been classified as Humid Continental. The closest meteorological station is located at Arborg (50°56′ N, 97°05′ W) 70 km southwest of the study site. It has a frost-free period of approximately 110 days. The mean annual temperature and total annual precipitation for the reference period 1961–1990 were 0.9°C and 491 mm, respectively. The mean daily January temperature is –20.2°C, and the mean daily July temperature is 18.4°C. The mean proportion of precipitation falling as snow is 22.4% (Environment Canada 1993). Sampling procedures Random sampling and nearest neighbour methods were used to select a sample of 60 individual trees along a 550-m transect at the top of a sand ridge. The sample was restricted to trees having diameters at breast height (dbh) in the range of 16–24 cm to exclude individuals that may have been reproductively immature and those too tall to allow cone collection. The sample trees were growing on acidic, sandy soil. The canopy in this portion of the stand was generally open. The position of each sample tree was recorded using a global positioning system. Tree and crown measurements Height, dbh, age, and the number of cones were determined for each sample tree. Cone numbers were estimated using binoculars during the third week of August 2000. To estimate age, a core was extracted from the east side of each stem base and later analyzed in the laboratory using dendrochronological techniques. Annual basal area increments for the years 1996–2000 were also measured at that time using a Velmex measuring system. Annual radial increments were transformed into annual basal area increments to take into account the variation in diameter among trees. The crown of each sample tree was divided into north, east, south, and west portions, each of which was treated as a distinct sample unit. This gave a total of 240 crown portions (i.e., four portions for each of 60 trees). For each portion, crown size and shape were characterized by measuring the heights and lengths of both the lowest and longest living branches. An estimate was made of the area of each crown Maximum 16.92 23.80 1974 Mean 11.10 20.14 1949 SD 1.51 2.33 27.95 59.17 53.94 56.48 58.86 39.88 245.52 256 22.41 20.64 26.87 26.17 19.60 115.70 43.00 12.79 11.43 14.44 14.03 9.75 59.03 47.77 portion from tree height and branch measurements. For each crown portion, the nearest neighbour tree species, distance, diameter, and height were measured. The nearest neighbour was defined as the closest living or dead tree having a height close to 75% of the sampled tree. These data were then used to calculate a competition index (CI) for each crown portion. For each of the 240 crown portions, the nearest neighbour tree distance, diameter, and height were transformed into percent distance (RDis), diameter (RDia), and height (RH) relative to the sampled crown portion. The competition index that we had formulated was as follows: CI = ((100 – RDis) + RDia + RH)/300. We subtracted the relative distance from 100 to inverse the scale so that close trees contributed more to the competition index than distant ones. Therefore, the crown portion with the neighbour tree having the largest dbh and height and the smallest distance would have the largest competition index value. To complement this index, a densiometer was used to measure the opening of the canopy at the mid-distance between each tree and its nearest neighbour for each crown portion. The number of mature, closed cones per crown portion was estimated with the help of binoculars. Cone collection and measurements Cones that had turned purple were considered mature by Krugman and Jenkinson (1974) and Young and Young (1992). On Black Island, this had occurred by midSeptember 2000, and a collection was made on September 16, 2000. Where possible, at least five cones were collected from each of two randomly chosen crown portions from each sample tree. Some trees had fewer cones at collection time than at the time of cone abundance estimation because of removal by red squirrels (Tamiasciurus hudsonicus (Erxleben)). Red squirrels may remove cone-bearing branch tips during the fall (Roe 1948). The 503 cones collected from the 60 trees were put into paper bags and brought back to the laboratory. In the laboratory, each cone was put into a bag, labelled, and stored at room temperature. Fresh mass, diameter, and length were recorded within a week of collection. The cones were then left to dry with sufficient aeration to prevent molding. Further drying at 55°C for 9 h encouraged the opening of the cones without damaging the seeds (Krugman and Jenkinson 1974; Young and Young 1992). We extracted © 2002 NRC Canada J:\cjb\cjb80\cjb-05\B02-031.vp Thursday, May 02, 2002 3:44:42 PM J:\cjb\cjb80\cjb-05\B02-031.vp Thursday, May 02, 2002 3:44:44 PM 0.61 0.92 0.61 0.59 0.42*† 0.61 0.78 –0.20* 0.66* 0.21* 0.20* 0.22* 0.19* 0.09* 0.17* 0.19* –0.32*† –0.24* –0.19* –0.25* –0.23* –0.26*† 0.2* 0.68 –0.06* 0.31*† 0.12* 0.30* 0.28* –0.29* –0.13* –0.02* 0.47 –0.76 0.36*† –0.10* 0.07* –0.00* 0.02* 0.21* 0.12* 0.22* 0.63 0.63 0.67 0.68 0.68 0.70 — — 1.00 ED 0.45 –0.61 0.65 0.11* 0.06* 0.10* 0.08* 0.2* 0.22* 0.23* 1.00 0.88 0.84 0.80 0.65 0.89 — — — Ba96 0.51 –0.59 0.64 0.10* 0.05* 0.08* 0.08* 0.16* 0.21* 0.13* — 1.00 0.96 0.93 0.80 0.97 — — — Ba97 0.53 –0.60 0.58 0.13* 0.14* 0.15* 0.14* 0.11* 0.19* 0.13* — — 1.00 0.95 0.88 0.98 — — — Ba98 0.54 –0.65 0.61 0.8* 0.11* 0.10* 0.10* 0.18* 0.23* 0.14* — — — 1.00 0.91 0.97 — — — Ba99 *Not significantly correlated; all others values were significant at p = of 0.05 after a Bonferroni correction. † Values significant at p = 0.05 with uncorrected probability but not with Bonferroni correction. — 1.00 0.28*† 1.00 0.28*† –0.47 Height (Hei) Diameter (Dia) Establishment date (ED) Basal area increment (cm2) 1996 (Ba96) 1997 (Ba97) 1998 (Ba98) 1999 (Ba99) 2000 (Ba00) Total basal area (cm2), 1996– 2000 (TBA) Crown area (CA) Competition index (CI) Total number of cones (TNC) Mean cone length (MCL) Mean cone diameter (MCD) Mean cone area (MCA) Mean cone fresh mass (MFM) Mean seed mass (MSM) Mean seeds per cone (MSC) Germination success Dia Hei Variable 0.47 –0.64 0.44*† 0.06* 0.14* 0.11* 0.09* 0.17* 0.21* 0.03* — — — — 1.00 0.89 — — — Ba00 0.53 –0.65 0.62 0.11* 0.11* 0.12* 0.11* 0.18* 0.23* 0.15* — — — — — 1.00 — — — TBA 1.00 –0.22 0.46 0.12* 0.16* 0.15* 0.13* 0.15* 0.20* 0.16* — — — — — — — — — CA — 1.00 –0.42*† 0.14* 0.05* 0.09* 0.12* –0.23* –0.19* –0.19* — — — — — — — — — CI — — 1.00 0.13* 0.13* 0.14* 0.05* 0.20* 0.23* 0.06* — — — — — — — — — TNC — — — 1.00 0.63 0.90 0.79 0.04* 0.17* 0.00* — — — — — — — — — MCL — — — — 1.00 0.90 0.89 0.13* 0.40*† 0.25* — — — — — — — — — MCD — — — — — 1.00 0.93 0.10* 0.31*† 0.15* — — — — — — — — — MCA Table 2. Correlation coefficient matrix showing relationships between characteristics of red pine (Pinus resinosa) on Black Island, Manitoba (n = 60). — — — — — — 1.00 –0.01* 0.19* 0.21* — — — — — — — — — MFM — — — — — — — 1.00 0.84 0.12* — — — — — — — — — MSM — — — — — — — — 1.00 0.07* — — — — — — — — — MSC Color profile: Generic CMYK printer profile Composite Default screen 486 Can. J. Bot. Vol. 80, 2002 © 2002 NRC Canada Color profile: Generic CMYK printer profile Composite Default screen Sutton et al. 487 Table 3. Basic statistics for crown portion variables for red pine (Pinus resinosa) on Black Island, Manitoba (n = 240). Variable Minimum Maximum Mean SD Lowest living branch height (m) Lowest living branch length (m) Longest living branch height (m) Longest living branch length (m) Crown length (m) Total crown area (m2) Total number of cones Nearest tree distance (m) Nearest tree diameter (cm) Nearest tree height (m) Competition index (%) Densiometer (%) 0.12 0.16 0.73 0.30 3.70 0.99 0 0.54 1.32 5.83 21.60 0 6.66 4.57 10.77 3.41 13.78 20.10 82 15.75 54.80 23.65 81.22 24 2.35 1.03 5.49 2.09 8.76 10.76 10.75 5.33 18.02 11.65 49.33 18.54 1.43 0.55 1.52 0.59 1.33 3.69 13.21 3.23 8.58 3.55 11.49 6.33 Fig. 2. Relationship between cone (a) diameter and length, (b) diameter and fresh mass, and (c) length and fresh mass for red pine (Pinus resinosa) on Black Island, Manitoba. Fresh mass (g) Fresh mass (g) (a) (b) (c) approximately 30 seeds per cone using forceps beginning at the base of the cone. The seeds were dewinged by hand and weighed. For each seed, the straight length, straight width, and projected area were determined using program WinSeedle v. 5.0a (Régent Instruments 2000). The total number of seeds was recorded for each cone. Germination success was assessed for unstratified seeds (Krugman and Jenkinson 1974; Young and Young 1992). The seeds were first surface sterilized in a 5% solution of Javex for 2 min and then rinsed in distilled water three times for 1 min each time. They were then aseptically placed into Petri dishes containing 15% weight by volume of nonnutrient Difco agar and the Petri dishes sealed. Each dish contained the seeds from one cone. The seeds were placed to germinate for 30 days in a greenhouse having mean minimum and maximum temperatures of 18 and 27°C, respectively, and a 16 h light : 8 h night cycle. Krugman and Jenkinson (1974) and Young and Young (1992) reported that seeds of red pine germinate equally well in the presence or absence of light. The Petri dishes were randomly placed and periodically rearranged to negate any microclimate differences within the greenhouse. The number of germinants was counted at 5-day intervals. Statistical analysis Statistical analysis used SYSTAT (v. 9) for Windows (SYSTAT 1999). Pairwise Pearson correlations with Bonferonni probabilities were done on each of the three categories of data (individual trees, crown portions, cones). For comparisons among trees, correlation analyses compared trends in tree height and tree diameter, establishment date, basal area increments (1996–1999, 2000), total basal area increment (1996–2000), crown area, competition indices, and total number of cones. For comparisons among crown portions, correlation analyses compared trends in height and length of lowest living branches, height and length of longest living branches, bole length, crown portion area, total number of cones, distance, diameter, and height of the nearest tree, competition index, and densiometer reading. For comparison among cones, correlation analyses compared trends in cone length, diameter, area, mass, mean seed mass, number of seeds per cone, total seed mass, seed length, diameter, area, and germination success at 30 days. In addition, multiple regressions using backward selection were done for the total number of cones per tree for comparisons among trees and among crown portions. © 2002 NRC Canada J:\cjb\cjb80\cjb-05\B02-031.vp Thursday, May 02, 2002 3:45:19 PM J:\cjb\cjb80\cjb-05\B02-031.vp Thursday, May 02, 2002 3:45:20 PM 0.31 –0.19*† 0.12* –0.00* –0.06* 0.09* 0.06* 0.01* 0.10* –0.04* 0.05* –0.04* 0.10* 0.13* 0.07* 0.17* 0.01* –0.07* –0.32 0.24 0.18*† 0.19* 0.14* –0.00* 0.19* 0.15* 0.17* 0.11* 0.04* –0.22*† 0.16*† 0.08 0.09 0.01 0.13* 0.12* 0.10* 0.13* –0.19*† –0.27 –0.17*† –0.03* 0.15*† 0.18*† 0.37 1.00 — — — — — CPA 0.24 0.59 1.00 — — — — BL –0.10* 0.31 0.31 0.89 0.27 1.00 — — — Lgl 0.10* –0.11* –0.04* 0.12* –0.07* 0.02* 1.00 — — Lgh *Not significantly correlated; all others values were significant at p = 0.05 after a Bonferroni correction. † Values significant at p = 0.05 with uncorrected probability but not with Bonferroni correction. 0.09* 0.14* 0.04* –0.23*† 0.08* Mean cone fresh mass (MFM) 0.13* –0.29*† 0.12* Mean cone area (MCA) 0.12* 0.10* –0.04* 0.02* Mean cone diameter (MCD) Germination success 0.19* Mean cone length (MCL) –0.07* Mean seeds per cone (MSC) 0.31 Densiometer (D) –0.07* –0.18* 0.48 Competition index (CI) –0.03* –0.10* 0.03* 0.05* 0.30 –0.07* 0.36 –0.14*† 1.00 — Lwl Mean seed mass (MSM) 0.44 † Nearest tree height (Nth) Nearest tree distance (Nds) 0.23* –0.31 Total number of cone (TNC) Nearest tree diameter (Nda) –0.40 –0.29 Crown portion area (CPA) –0.29 –0.41 0.45 Longest living branch height (Lgh) Bole length (BL) 0.11* Lowest living branch length (Lwl) Longest living branch length (Lgl) 1.00 Lwh Lowest living branch height (Lwh) Variable –0.03 0.02 –0.10 0.07* 0.10* 0.11* 0.08* –0.21*† –0.32 –0.21*† 0.08* 0.33 1.00 — — — — — — TNC –0.06* 0.11* –0.13* 0.06* 0.11* 0.09* 0.11* –0.46 –0.58 –0.01* 0.02* 1.00 — — — — — — — Nds 0.01* 0.06* –0.14* –0.01* –0.03* –0.00* –0.03* –0.12* 0.74 0.7 1.00 — — — — — — — — Nda –0.22*† 0.01* –0.20* 0.08* 0.08* 0.04* 0.11* –0.16 0.75 1.00 — — — — — — — — — Nth –0.05* –0.05* –0.07* –0.02* –0.06* –0.05* –0.05* 0.40 1.00 — — — — — — — — — — CI –0.08* 0.20* –0.02* 0.19* 0.17* 0.18* 0.14* 1.00 — — — — — — — — — — — D MCD MCA 0.16* 0.11* 0.58 0.70 0.38*† 0.04* 0.93 0.15* 0.23*† 1.00 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.86 0.88 1.00 — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.02* 0.80 0.91 0.62 1.00 — — — — — — — — — — — — MCL Table 4. Correlation coefficient matrix comparing variables among crown portions for red pine (Pinus resinosa) on Black Island, Manitoba (n = 240). MFM 0.18* 0.56 0.29*† 1.00 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — MSM 0.53 –0.04* 1.00 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — MSC 0.19* 1.00 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Color profile: Generic CMYK printer profile Composite Default screen 488 Can. J. Bot. Vol. 80, 2002 © 2002 NRC Canada Color profile: Generic CMYK printer profile Composite Default screen Sutton et al. 489 Table 5. Basic statistics of variables measured for comparison among cones and seeds of red pine (Pinus resinosa) on Black Island, Manitoba. Variable n Minimum Maximum Mean Cone length (mm) Cone diameter (mm) Cone fresh mass (g) Mean seed mass (g × 10–2) Total seeds per cone Mean seed length (mm) Mean seed diameter (mm) Mean seed area (mm) % germination 5 days 10 days 15 days 20 days 25 days 30 days 503 503 503 477 476 476 476 476 32.61 19.37 5.75 0.47 7 3.81 2.26 6.39 59.83 32.86 23.97 1.18 88 4.70 2.88 9.38 48.61 27.47 13.88 0.83 53.26 4.26 2.57 7.85 SD 3.86 2.00 2.72 0.10 13.02 0.17 0.10 0.57 467 466 467 468 468 468 0 0 40 43.33 43.33 43.33 3.33 100 100 100 100 100 0.02 53.61 89.04 89.72 90.58 90.92 0.27 36.36 10.71 10.44 10.09 9.85 Results Comparisons among trees The 60 sampled trees had an average diameter of 20 cm and were 11 m tall and about 51 years old (Table 1). The total number of cones per tree ranged from 0 to 256. Pearson correlations revealed that older trees were significantly taller, had smaller basal area increments, and had a higher competition index (Table 2). The total number of cones produced per tree was significantly and positively correlated with tree diameter, basal area increments (1–4 years before cone maturation), and crown area. The basal area increment for 2000 was not significantly correlated with total cone number. The competition index was negatively correlated with the number of cones (Table 2). Cone characteristics (diameter, length, number of seeds) and seed characteristics (size, germination success) were not significantly correlated with the variables measured at the tree level. At the tree level, a multiple regression using backward selection showed that cone production was best predicted by tree diameter and mean distance (four portions) to the neighbour tree (total number of cones = (11.37 × dbh) + (9.32 × mean distance) – 235.61). More cones were thus produced by larger trees growing in a more open environment. The regression model was highly significant and explained 52% of the variance (adjusted R2). Comparisons among crown portions The 240 crown portion areas varied between 1 and 20 m2 with an average of 10.76 m2 (Table 3). The number of cones per crown portion varied from 0 to 82 and the competition index from 21.60 to 81.22% (Table 3). Pearson correlation coefficients indicate that crown portion area was most highly correlated with the length of the longest living branch followed by bole length and lowest living branch height (Table 4). Crown portions with a high competition index value also had lowest living branches higher on the stem, a smaller value for the longest living branch, and a smaller crown portion area. The total number of cones per crown portion was significantly and positively correlated with the longest living branch length, bole length, crown portion area, and nearest neighbour tree distance (Table 4). As for the tree level, cone characteristics (diameter, length, number of seeds) and seed characteristics (size, germination success) were not significantly correlated with variables measured in the field at the crown portion level. When comparing crown portions, a multiple regression using backward selection shows that cone production is best predicted by crown portion area, nearest neighbour tree diameter, and competition index (total number of cones = (0.92 × crown area) + (0.38 × nearest neighbour tree diameter) + (–0.50 × competition index) + 18.50). More cones were produced on larger crown portions in more open sites. The regression model was highly significant and explained 20.4% of the variance (adjusted R2). Comparisons among cones Cone sizes for red pine averaged 48.61 × 27.47 mm with a mean fresh mass of about 13.88 g (Table 5). These three variables are significantly and strongly correlated as indicated by the results from the regression analysis (Fig. 2). Mean seed mass for all cones was 0.83 g per 100 seeds with a mean number of 53 seeds per cone (Table 5). Germination tests yielded high germination success of more than 89% germination after 15 days. At least 40% of seeds germinated from any cone tested (Table 5). Pearson correlations indicate that seed characteristics (number of seeds per cone, mean and total seed mass per cone, seed size parameters) are significantly and positively correlated with cone characteristics (length, diameter, area, fresh mass) (Table 6). Cone diameter is the cone size variable most strongly correlated with the total number and total mass of seeds per cone. Of all of the variables measured, only the mean seed mass and total seed mass are significantly and positively correlated with germination success after 30 days (Table 6). This is further illustrated by the second-order polynomial regression between mean seed mass and percent germination (Fig. 3). From this analysis, a threshold value was apparent where increasing mean seed mass was no longer a factor in increasing germination success (Fig. 3). © 2002 NRC Canada J:\cjb\cjb80\cjb-05\B02-031.vp Thursday, May 02, 2002 3:45:20 PM Color profile: Generic CMYK printer profile Composite Default screen 490 Can. J. Bot. Vol. 80, 2002 Table 6. Correlation coefficient matrix comparing variables among cone and seeds of red pine (Pinus resinosa) on Black Island, Manitoba (n > 450). Variable CL CD CA CFM MSM S/C TSM SL SD SA %G Cone length (CL) Cone diameter (CD) Cone area (CA) Cone fresh mass (CFM) Mean seed mass (MSM) Total seeds per cone (S/C) Total seed mass (TSM) Seed length (SL) Seed diameter (SD) Seed area (SA) Germination success (30 days) (%G) 1.00 0.73 0.94 0.86 0.28 0.52 0.59 0.48 0.29 0.38 0.03* — 1.00 0.92 0.90 0.35 0.73 0.80 0.37 0.20 0.27 0.10*† — — 1.00 0.95 0.34 0.66 0.74 0.46 0.27 0.35 0.07* — — — 1.00 0.41 0.63 0.75 0.49 0.35 0.41 0.11*† — — — — 1.00 0.02* 0.43 0.69 0.77 0.75 0.58 — — — — — 1.00 0.91 –0.10*† –0.22 –0.22 0.15 — — — — — — 1.00 0.19 0.12*† 0.11*† 0.37 — — — — — — — 1.00 0.78 0.94 0.07* — — — — — — — — 1.00 0.94 0.16 — — — — — — — — — 1.00 0.07* — — — — — — — — — — 1.00 *Not significantly correlated; all others values were significant at p = 0.05 after a Bonferroni correction. † Values significant at p = 0.05 with uncorrected probability but not with Bonferroni correction. Fig. 3. Relationship between seed mass and percent germination for red pine (Pinus resinosa) on Black Island, Manitoba. The regression equations are provided along with R2 and n values. The relationship is significant at p < 0.0001. Discussion Our results showed that the general statement that populations of red pine at the northern edge of its range are poor cone producers and have reduced seed production (Fraser 1951; Cayford 1964; Rudolf 1965, 1990; Stiell 1988; Bergeron and Brisson 1990; Sims et al. 1990) does not apply to the most northerly and westerly occurrence of the species in North America, at least for the year 2000. In southeastern Manitoba, cone production in 2000 was generally good but not considered to have been exceptional. Cone production varied across the region, with some areas having no cone production (David Flight, personal communication). On Black Island, trees produced “no cones” to “moderate crops” according to the definitions of Schooley et al. (1986). The number of cones produced per tree was between 50 and 200, i.e., within the range described by Sims et al. (1990). In addition, field observations from 1999 to 2001 indicate that red pine trees produced cones during 3 successive years. Our results also indicated that reproduction characteristics of red pine on Black Island were well within the normal range of production, size, and viability for the species. The average length of cones was found to be within the range of 4–5 cm (Lyons 1956; Rudolf 1965, 1990; Dickmann and Kozlowski 1969b; Sims et al. 1990; Keeley and Zedler 1998). These previous studies found that the average number of seeds in red pine cones is approximately 45, compared with an average of 53 seeds per cone in this study. Germination success in this study was well above the 14–65% value reported by Sims et al. (1990). Numbers were comparable with those of Cayford (1964) who obtained 86 and 67% germination in the 1957 and 1960 seed crops, respectively, from the Sandilands Forest Reserve in southeastern Manitoba. Under laboratory conditions, Flannigan and Woodward (1993) also obtained germination success in the order of 80– 90%. Similar numbers were also obtained during field trials at the northern limit of the species’ distribution range (Flannigan and Bergeron 1998). Butson et al. (1987) and Roberts (1989) also found red pine seed to be viable at the limit of its distribution. Our results support those of Flannigan and Bergeron (1998) who concluded that seed germination and cone and seed production are not responsible for the northern distribution limit of red pine. Stevens and Enquist (1998) observed that seed size and size of current geographical range in Pinus are not correlated. Comparisons among trees Of the variables measured for individual trees, number of cones was found to be significantly related to dbh and to nearest neighbour distance. This means that larger trees and those that were more distant from the nearest neighbours produced more cones. This suggested that light availability played an important role in influencing the production of cones. Stiell (1988) observed that red pine trees with larger dbh values generally produce more cones than smaller ones. Stiell (1971) observed that for a similar dbh, wider spacing was associated with more cones. Rudolf (1990) and Sims et al. (1990) also mentioned that trees in overstocked stands have very low seed fall, and many trees do not produce cones because of excess shading. Correlation analyses indicate that the more productive trees were those with wider basal area increments before © 2002 NRC Canada J:\cjb\cjb80\cjb-05\B02-031.vp Thursday, May 02, 2002 3:45:30 PM Color profile: Generic CMYK printer profile Composite Default screen Sutton et al. cone primordia initiation (1996–1997), during the year of cone primordia initiation (1998), and during the year of cone emergence and pollination (1999). This suggested that cone production could be enhanced during years of increased radial growth, i.e., when larger reserves are accumulated by the tree. For 2000, however, basal area increment is not significantly correlated with cone abundance. This strongly suggests that during the year of cone maturation, a portion of the energy normally allocated to radial growth was diverted to cone development. During the year of maturation, cones of red pine acquire 67 and 97.5% of their final length and mass, respectively (Lyons 1956; Dickmann and Kozlowski 1969b). Considerable energy is needed to accomplish this growth, and although the cones were able to photosynthesize (Dickmann and Kozlowski 1970), they depended mostly on other sources for nutrition. Others have suggested that cone and seed production reduce vegetative growth (Eis et al. 1965; Kozlowski 1971; Harper 1977; Wilson 1983; Fenner 1985; Barnes et al. 1998; Keeley and Zedler 1998). This occurs because the vegetative parts of the tree receive less photosynthates, which are instead directed into the cones. Developing cones are major resource sinks, as they depend largely on needle and stem reserves and current photosynthates from 1-year-old needles (Dickmann and Kozlowski 1968; Kozlowski 1971; Wilson 1983; Barnes et al. 1998). Comparisons among crown portions Contrary to our expectations, cone, seed, and germination characteristics were not correlated with the sizes of individual crown portions. It was hypothesized that larger crown portions would have higher photosynthetic reserves to allocate to the cones and that this would influence both cone size and seed size. Our results showed that crown portion size solely influenced cone abundance. We speculated that compared with small crown portions, large crown portions maintain more cones instead of larger cones. Cone size may depend more on the success of fertilization and the ultimate number of seeds that will develop. In the case of seed size, even though it is known to be at least partly related to parent plant size, phenotypically it is one of the characteristics that is the least affected by environmental factors (Harper 1977; Fenner 1985). When comparing crown portions, the variables influencing cone abundance were mainly bole length, crown portion area, and nearest tree distance. These factors are all related in some way to competition for light. Neighbouring plants can reduce light received by an individual through interception (Harper 1977). Stiell (1988) also found that trees with larger dbh and larger crown surface produce most of the cone crop of a stand. Comparisons among cones Cone size variability, which showed no correlation with any of the tree and crown portion characteristics, was related to cone characteristics. Cone size and the number of seeds per cone were found to be positively correlated, i.e., larger cones contained more seeds than smaller ones. In addition, we found that larger, heavier cones also contained larger seeds. Although Lyons (1956) stated that seed yield varies directly with cone length, our data indicate that cone width 491 is a better estimator of seed yield. Even though it is a reproductive strategy of some plants to partition their output into either few large seeds or many small seeds (Fenner 1985), our results show that seed number and size increased with cone size. Caron and Powell (1989) found similar significant correlations between total seed number per cone and cone length and mass in black spruce plantation trees in northwestern New Brunswick. It would seem that cone size depends largely on pollination and fertilization success, which dictates the number of seeds that will grow and mature (Fenner 1985). Pollination success is also largely dependent on weather conditions (Barnes et al. 1998). Our results strongly suggest that seed mass positively affected germination success up to a threshold value. Above this value, seed mass may determine survival after germination, but this remains unknown. Horton and Bedell (1960) reported that seed mass in eastern white pine (Pinus strobus L.) and red pine is an important factor for germination success. Houle and Filion (1993) found a positive, significant correlation between seed mass and germination rate for one of their jack pine populations but not for the other. They proposed that the heavier seeds of jack pine germinate faster and the resulting seedlings have a better chance of survival in a relatively short growing season at the northern limit of the species’ distribution range. Seed size is an index of the material and energetic investment from the parent plant into the offspring (Harper 1977; Wilson 1983). It is evident, therefore, that one of the most effective adaptations for ensuring successful seedling establishment is the possession of a large seed that contains large reserves of nutrients for survival of the seedling in the period following germination (Wilson 1983; Fenner 1985). Venable and Brown (1988) also reported that, in general, seed mass is an important factor for germination success in most species and that larger seeds also tend to be better prepared for survival after germination because of their larger store of reserves. Spurr (1944) observed that seed mass influences germination rate in white pine, that seeds with lower masses do not germinate, and that heavy seeds germinate faster than light seeds. Seedlings from heavier seeds are significantly larger in white pine, experience a longer growing season, and survive longer than seedlings from lighter, smaller seeds (Spurr 1944). The existence of a threshold value requires further evidence, since only 63 of the 479 cones had germination success lower than 85%. Perhaps cones with less than 85% germination were not as mature as the other ones. The 63 cones came from 17 of the 60 sample trees. Among these 17 trees, one tree, even though it had many cones (28 in total), only had one cone with a germination success higher than 85%. This tree was a geographic outlier, being the farthest west of any of the sample trees, possibly making pollination less effective. Smith et al. (1988) suggested that although open-grown, semi-isolated individuals may often produce abundant and easily collected cones, many seeds are inviable because of higher rates of self-fertilization in such situations. Conclusion The influence of ecological factors on the reproductive ecology of red pine has been assessed for trees growing at the northwest limit of their distribution range. Our data do © 2002 NRC Canada J:\cjb\cjb80\cjb-05\B02-031.vp Thursday, May 02, 2002 3:45:31 PM Color profile: Generic CMYK printer profile Composite Default screen 492 not confirm previous statements that red pine at the northern limit of the species distribution produce less cones, less seeds, or seeds with lower germination success than more central populations. Several factors influenced the reproduction of red pine. Cone abundance was influenced more strongly by tree size than by age. The number of cones per crown portion was found to be a function of competition for light. Both tree and crown portion characteristics did not, however, influence the characteristics of the individual cones or seeds or germination success. After cone initiation and fertilization, the growth of the cones and seeds did not appear to be influenced by the amount of light reaching the crown or the amount of photosynthesis done by the crown. Results show that cone size is a function of the number of seeds that develop in the cone and the size of those seeds. Larger cones contained more and larger seeds than smaller ones. Germination success was also a function of seed size. The relationship between seed mass and germination success suggests that there was a threshold where seed mass became less important, and we hypothesize that larger size will give the developing seedling a greater chance at survival. Acknowledgements This study was conducted as part of the requirements for an honours degree in biology by the first author. We thank D. Bailey, L. Buchanan, F. Conciatori, G. Damiani, D. Flight, J. Joa, K. Jones, and K. Skibo for their field and (or) laboratory assistance. We also thank the two anonymous reviewers and the Associate Editor for their constructive comments. We thank Manitoba Hydro (Forest Enhancement Program), the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada, Manitoba Conservation, and the University of Winnipeg for their financial and (or) logistic support. We are also grateful to the Hollow Water First Nation for their cooperation and for giving us the opportunity to appreciate Black Island. References Barker, G. 1979. Forty years a chief. Peguis Publishers, Winnipeg, Man. Barnes, B.V., Zak, D.R., Denton, S.R., and Spurr, S.H. 1998. Forest ecology. 4th ed. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York. Bergeron, Y., and Brisson, J. 1990. Fire regime in red pine stands at the northern limit of the species range. Ecology, 71: 1352– 1364. Bergeron, Y., and Gagnon, D. 1987. 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