Voting Theory Lesson Plan: Voting Systems for Elections with 3 or More Candidates Common Core Math 8 Honors Standards 8.H.2 Examine different methods of voting. a) Understand different voting systems. b) Determine the results of an election using various voting systems. Teacher Notes Voting is at the heart of democracy. The goal of an election is to determine “the will of the people”. When the choice is between 2 candidates, it’s easy to determine the winner using majority rule: whoever receives more than 50% of the votes is the winner. But there is no easy way to choose a winner from 3 or more candidates. It’s not uncommon for none of the candidates to receive a majority of the votes. People can then reasonably disagree about who should be declared the winner. Several different voting systems have been devised and are used for elections with 3 or more candidates. In this lesson, students will investigate some of these voting systems: plurality, single and sequential run-offs, point systems (Borda Count), and pairwise comparisons (Condorcet Method). All of these are good methods for choosing the winner of an election with 3 or more candidates, but each also has problems that in some cases can lead to unfair results. In fact, in 1952, economist Kenneth Arrow used mathematics to prove a remarkable fact: for elections of three or more candidates, there is no consistently fair method for choosing a winner. This is known as Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem. Lesson Launch Give the students the election results from the example below. Ask them to decide who they think the winner of the election should be using at least two different ways of determining the winner. EXAMPLE: Imagine a club of 55 people that hold an election among 5 candidates for president. For simplicity we will call the candidates A, B, C, D, and E. The results of the election are shown on a kind of ballot called a preference list ballot. (This example is given in Using and Understanding Mathematics, A Quantitative Reasoning Approach, Fourth Edition, Jeffrey Bennett and William Briggs.) Preference List Ballot Results for the Club Election First A Second D Third E Fourth C Fifth B B E D C A C B E D A D C E B A E B D C A E C D B A Number of voters who chose each ordering 18 12 10 9 4 2 Voting Systems Lesson Plan Following a discussion of the students’ ideas, hand-out the student worksheet and show the class how the winner would be determined using each of 5 different voting system methods. Choose a Winner by Plurality. In plurality voting, only first-place votes are considered. The candidate with the most first-place votes wins, even though this may be considerably fewer than a majority of the votes. This is the voting system commonly used in US political elections. A: B: C: D: E: 18 first place votes 12 first place votes 10 first place votes 9 first place votes 4 + 2 = 6 first place votes A is the winner by Plurality. Choose a Winner by a Single Runoff. “Not so fast!” yell the supporters of Candidate B. They suggest a runoff between A and B because they were the top two candidates in first-place votes. Although 18 people voted for A in first place, the other 37 ranked A in last place. These 37 people would all vote for B over A in a runoff. Thus, B wins the runoff easily by a vote of 37 to 18. Supporters of Candidate B can now proclaim victory for their candidate. B is the winner by a Single Runoff. Choose a Winner by Sequential Runoffs. Now the supporters of Candidate C chime in. They claim that a single runoff is unfair because it ignores rankings below the top two. They suggest a series of runoffs called a sequential runoff: the candidate with the fewest first-place votes is eliminated at each stage and all the others move up in their rankings. Runoffs continue until someone claims a majority. 1. With 6 first-place votes, E is eliminated in the first runoff. First Second Third Fourth # who chose each ordering 2. With 9 first-place votes, D is eliminated in the second runoff. A D C B B D C A C B D A D C B A B D C A C D B A 18 12 10 9 4 2 3. With 12 + 4 = 16 first-place votes, B is now eliminated in the third runoff. First Second # who chose each ordering A C C A C A C A C A C A 18 12 10 9 4 2 First Second Third # how chose this ordering A C B B C A C B A C B A B C A C B A 18 12 10 9 4 2 With 18 first place votes, A is now eliminated and C is declared the winner with 12 + 10 + 9 + 4 + 2 = 37 first place votes. C is the winner by sequential runoffs. Choose a Winner by a Point System, (Borda Count). Now is the turn of Candidate D’s supporters to argue that the winner should be selected by a point system. Because there are 5 candidates, first-place votes are worth 5 points, secondplace votes are worth 4 points, and so on, down to 1 point for fifth-place votes. A system that assigns points for every ranking is called a Borda Count after the French mathematician and astronomer Jean-Charles de Borda (1733-1799). A gets (18 × 5) + (12 × 1) + (10 × 1)) + (9 × 1) + (4 × 1) + (2 × 1) = 127 points B gets (18 × 1) + (12 × 5) + (10 × 4) + (9 × 2) + (4 × 4) + (2 × 2) = 156 points C gets (18 × 2) + (12 × 2) + (10 × 5) + (9 × 4) + (4 × 2) + (2 × 4) = 162 points D gets (18 × 4) + (12 × 3) + (10 × 2) + (9 × 5) + (4 × 3) + (2 × 3) = 191 points E gets (18 × 3) + (12 × 4) + (10 × 3) + (9 × 3) + (4 × 5) + (2 × 5) = 189 points D wins by the Borda Count. Choose a Winner by Pairwise Comparisons, (the Concorcet Method). Now, Candidate E’s supporters point out an important fact about this election’s rankings. Suppose they say, that the vote had been only between E and A, without the other candidates. A got 18 votes for those who placed A above E, but E got 37 votes from those who placed E above A. E wins A, 37 to 18. Now suppose that the vote had been between B and E. B wins 22 votes over E but E wins 33 votes over B. E wins B, 33 to 22. And E wins C, 36 to 19 and E wins D, 28 to 27. Because Candidate E beats every other candidate in one-on-one contests, E’s supporters now declare victory for E. This method that analyzes the outcomes of one-on-one contests is called the Concorcet method because it was invented by French mathematician and political leader, Marie Jean Antoine Nicholas de Caritat, the Marquis de Concorcet (1743-1794). E wins by the Concorcet Method. As you probably have guessed this is no ordinary election. The election results were carefully created to emphasize that sometimes there is no absolutely fair way of deciding elections among more than two candidates. The Approval Voting Method. There is one more method that needs to be understood. We cannot use our example for this method because it uses a different type of ballot. Traditionally voting systems have been based on one person, one vote. However, an alternate voting system called the Approval Voting Method asks voters to mark whether they approve or disapprove of each candidate. Voters may approve as many candidates as they like and the candidate with the most approval votes wins. While approval voting ensures that the winning candidate is acceptable to the largest number of people, another candidate might be the first choice of the majority. Work through the first worksheet as a class. The second worksheet is assigned to provide independent practice. Name _________________________________ Class Period ______ Seat Number ______ Voting Systems for 3 or More Candidates When an election is between 2 candidates, whoever receives a majority of the votes is the winner. Unfortunately, there is no easy way to choose a winner from 3 or more candidates. It’s not uncommon for none of the candidates to receive a majority of the votes. People can then reasonably disagree about who should be declared the winner. Several voting systems have been devised and are used, but in some cases, each has problems that can lead to inconclusive or unfair results. In fact, in 1952 economist Kenneth Arrow used mathematics to prove a remarkable fact: for elections involving three or more candidates, there is no consistently fair method for choosing a winner. This is known as Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem. Today you will investigate several voting systems: Plurality, Runoffs, A point System (Borda Count), and Pairwise Comparisons (Concorcet Method). Who is the winner? Imagine a club of 55 people that hold an election among 5 candidates for president. For simplicity we will call the candidates A, B, C, D, and E. The results of the election are shown on a kind of ballot called a preference list ballot. Preference List Ballot Results for the Club Election First Second Third Fourth Fifth Number of voters who chose each ordering A D E C B 18 B E D C A 12 C B E D A 10 D C E B A 9 E B D C A 4 E C D B A 2 Use the given voting method to determine the winner of the club election. Show the numbers that justify your choice of a winner. 1. Choose a Winner by Plurality In plurality voting, only first-place votes are considered. The candidate with the most first-place votes wins, even through this may be considerably less than a majority. This is the most common voting system in use today. 2. Choose a Winner by a Single Runoff. In a single runoff, only the two candidates with the most first-place votes are compared. How many voters chose the candidate receiving the most first-place votes over the candidate receiving the second most, first-place votes. And how many voters chose the candidate receiving the second most, first-place votes over the candidate receiving the most first-place votes. 3. Choose a Winner by Sequential Runoffs Using a sequence of runoffs, the candidate with the least number of first-place votes is eliminated at each stage and all the remaining candidates move up in their rankings. Runoffs continue until someone claims a majority. 1. First Runoff: _____ is eliminated. First Second Third Fourth # who chose each ordering 2. Second Runoff: _____ is eliminated. First Second Third # who chose this ordering 18 12 10 9 4 18 12 10 9 4 2 2 3. Third Runoff: _____ is eliminated. First Second # who chose each ordering 18 12 10 9 4 2 4. Choose a Winner by a Point System, (Borda Count) A system that assigns points for every ranking is called a Borda Count after the French mathematician and astronomer JeanCharles de Borda (1733-1799). Because there are 5 candidates, first-place votes are worth 5 points, second-place votes are worth 4 points, and so on, down to 1 point for fifth-place votes. The candidate with the most points wins. 5. Choose a Winner by Pairwise Comparisons, (the Concorcet Method) The Concorcet method analyzes the outcomes of one-on-one contests between each pair of the candidates. How many voters chose A over E? How many chose E over A? Who won this contest? Now how many voters chose B over E? How many chose E or B? Who won this contest? Whoever beats all the other candidates in one-on-one contests is the winner. Named after the French mathematician and political leader, Marie Jean Antoine Nicholas de Caritat, the Marquis de Concorcet (1743-1794), the Concorcet Method does not always determine a winner. Name ___________________________________ Class Period ______ Seat Number ______ Independent Practice with Voting Systems Ballot Rank the activities in order of preference. Caving, C, Rafting, R, and Water Skiing, S. 1st Choice _____ 2nd Choice _____ 3rd Choice _____ Who is the Winner? The 40 members of your school adventure club are trying to decide what type of trip to take. They use a preference list ballot to choose between a caving, rafting, or water-skiing trip. For simplicity we will call these choices C, R, and S. The results are shown on the table below. First Choice Second Choice Third Choice Number Who Chose Each Ordering S R C 10 S C R 7 R S C 1 R C S 10 C S R 4 C R S 8 Use the given voting method to determine the winner of the club election. Show the numbers that justify your choice of a winner. 1. Choose a winner by plurality. 2. Choose a winner by a single runoff. 3. Choose a winner by sequential runoffs. 1st Runoff: First-Place Votes: S ____ R ____ C ____ Eliminate ______. 2nd runoff: First-Place Votes: S ____ R ____ C ____ Eliminate ______. First Second Third # who chose this ordering S R C 10 S C R 7 R S C 1 R C S 10 C S R 4 C R S 8 4. Choose a winner by a point system, (the Borda Count) 5. Choose a winner by pairwise comparisons, (the Concorcet Method). Who is the Winner? Given the preferences of 100 voters in an election of three candidates, A, B, and C, who is the winner? First Second Third Number Who Chose Each Ordering A B C 30 A C B 5 B A C 20 B C A 5 C A B 10 C B A 30 Use the given method to determine the winner of the election. Show the numbers that justify your choice of the winner. 6. Choose a winner by plurality. 7. Choose a winner by a single runoff. 8. Choose a winner by a sequential runoff. 1st Runoff: First-Place Votes: A ____ B ____ C ____ Eliminate ____ First Second Third 2nd Runoff: First-Place Votes: A ____ B ____ C ____ Eliminate ____ 9. Choose a winner by a point system, (the Borda Count). A B C 30 A C B 5 B A C 20 B C A 5 C A B 10 C B A 30 10. Choose a winner by pairwise comparisons, (The Concorcet Method). Name ___________________________________ Class Period ______ Seat Number ______ Independent Practice with Voting Systems - KEY Ballot Rank the activities in order of preference. Caving, C, Rafting, R, and Water Skiing, S. 1st Choice _____ 2nd Choice _____ 3rd Choice _____ Who is the Winner? The 40 members of your school adventure club are trying to decide what type of trip to take. They use a preference list ballot to choose between a caving, rafting, or water-skiing trip. For simplicity we will call these choices C, R, and S. The results are shown on the table below. First Choice Second Choice Third Choice Number Who Chose Each Ordering S R C 10 S C R 7 R S C 1 R C S 10 C S R 4 C R S 8 Use the given voting method to determine the winner of the club election. Show the numbers that justify your choice of a winner. 1. Choose a winner by plurality. First-Place Votes: S has 𝟏𝟎 + 𝟕 = 𝟏𝟕; R has 𝟏 + 𝟏𝟎 = 𝟏𝟏; C has 𝟒 + 𝟖 = 𝟏𝟐. S wins by plurality but not by majority. 2. Choose a winner by a single runoff. The 2 candidates with the top first-place votes are S with 17 and C with 12. In a single runoff with S vs. C, S gets 𝟏𝟎 + 𝟕 + 𝟏 = 𝟏𝟖 votes. C gets 𝟏𝟎 + 𝟒 + 𝟖 = 𝟐𝟐. C wins by a Single runoff. 3. Choose a winner by sequential runoffs. 1st Runoff: First-Place Votes: S _17_ R _11_ C _12_ Eliminate __R__. 2nd runoff: First-Place Votes: S _18_ R _0_ C _22_ Eliminate __S__. C is the winner by a sequential runoffs First Second Third # who chose this ordering S R C 10 S C R 7 R S C 1 R C S 10 C S R 4 C R S 8 4. Choose a winner by a point system, (the Borda Count) S gets (𝟏𝟎 × 𝟑) + (𝟕 × 𝟑) + (𝟏 × 𝟐) + (𝟏𝟎 × 𝟏) + (𝟒 × 𝟐) + (𝟖 × 𝟏) = 𝟕𝟗 R gets (𝟏𝟎 × 𝟐) + (𝟕 × 𝟏) + (𝟏 × 𝟑) + (𝟏𝟎 × 𝟑) + (𝟒 × 𝟏) + (𝟖 × 𝟐) = 𝟖𝟎 C gets (𝟏𝟎 × 𝟏) + (𝟕 × 𝟐) + (𝟏 × 𝟏) + (𝟏𝟎 × 𝟐) + (𝟒 × 𝟑) + (𝟖 × 𝟑) = 𝟖𝟏 C wins by the Borda Count. 5. Choose a winner by pairwise comparisons, (the Concorcet Method). S vs R: S gets 𝟏𝟎 + 𝟕 + 𝟒 = 𝟐𝟏 votes. R gets 𝟏 + 𝟏𝟎 + 𝟖 = 𝟏𝟗 votes. S wins R in a pairwise comparison. S vs C: S gets 𝟏𝟎 + 𝟕 + 𝟏 = 𝟏𝟖 votes. C gets 𝟏𝟎 + 𝟒 + 𝟖 = 𝟐𝟐 votes. S wins C. in a pairwise comparison. S is the winner by the Concorcet Method. Who is the Winner? Given the preferences of 100 voters in an election of three candidates, A, B, and C, who is the winner? First Second Third Number Who Chose Each Ordering A B C 30 A C B 5 B A C 20 B C A 5 C A B 10 C B A 30 Use the given method to determine the winner of the election. Show the numbers that justify your choice of the winner. 6. Choose a winner by plurality. A: 𝟑𝟎 + 𝟓 = 𝟑𝟓 first-place votes. B: 𝟐𝟎 + 𝟓 = 𝟐𝟓 first-place votes. C: 𝟏𝟎 + 𝟑𝟎 = 𝟒𝟎 first-place votes. 7. C is the winner by plurality, but not by majority. Choose a winner by a single runoff. A and C are the top two first-place vote getters. A gets 𝟑𝟎 + 𝟓 + 𝟐𝟎 = 𝟓𝟓 votes and C get 𝟓 + 𝟏𝟎 + 𝟑𝟎 = 𝟒𝟓 A is the winner by a single runoff. 8. Choose a winner by a sequential runoffs. 1st Runoff: First-Place Votes: A _35_ B _25_ C _40_ Eliminate _C_ First Second Third A B C 30 A C B 5 B A C 20 2nd Runoff: First-Place Votes: A _45_ B _55_ C _0_ Eliminate _A_ B is the winner by sequential runoffs. 9. Choose a winner by a point system, (the Borda Count). A gets (𝟑𝟎 × 𝟑) + (𝟓 × 𝟑) + +(𝟐𝟎 × 𝟐) + (𝟓 × 𝟏) + (𝟏𝟎 × 𝟐) + (𝟑𝟎 × 𝟏) = 𝟐𝟎𝟎 votes. B gets (𝟑𝟎 × 𝟐) + (𝟓 × 𝟏) + (𝟐𝟎 × 𝟑) + (𝟓 × 𝟑) + (𝟏𝟎 × 𝟏) + (𝟑𝟎 × 𝟐) = 𝟐𝟏𝟎 votes. B C A 5 C A B 10 C B A 30 C gets (𝟑𝟎 × 𝟏) + (𝟓 × 𝟐) + (𝟐𝟎 × 𝟏) + (𝟓 × 𝟐) + (𝟏𝟎 × 𝟑) + (𝟑𝟎 × 𝟑) = 𝟏𝟗𝟎 votes. B is the winner by the Borda Count. 10. Choose a winner by pairwise comparisons, (The Concorcet Method). A vs B: A gets 𝟑𝟎 + 𝟓 + 𝟏𝟎 = 𝟒𝟓. B gets 𝟐𝟎 + 𝟓 + 𝟑𝟎 = 𝟓𝟓. B wins A in a pairwise comparison. B vs C: B gets 𝟑𝟎 + 𝟐𝟎 + 𝟓 = 𝟓𝟓. C gets 𝟓 + 𝟏𝟎 + 𝟑𝟎 = 𝟒𝟓. B wins C in a pairwise comparison. B is the winner by pairwise comparisons.
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