Canola production in Australia: success on the driest continent on earth John Kirkegaard CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra Talk Outline ● Australian farming systems ● Canola industry – history and current production ● Selected R&D highlights ● Current trends and challenges Australian environment, soils and system Dry (12-20 inch), infertile soils, unsubsidised agriculture 120 0 CLERMONT 120 120 0 120 0 GERALDTON Mixed farms (5000 acres) 1 crop/yr (May-Nov) Mean yield 1200 lbs/ac DALBY 0 CONDOBOLIN 120 0 MOOMBOOLDOOL 120 120 0 MERREDIN 0 120 0 ESPERANCE WAGGA WAGGA 120 120 0 0 ROSEWORTHY HORSHAM Growing season rain (mm)` Low and variable rainfall (risk management) 10-year running mean 500 20 400 16 300 12 200 8 100 4 0 1889 1899 1909 1919 1929 1939 1949 1959 1969 1979 1989 1999 Year Crop failure due to drought Failed canola crop (drought) Canola cut for hay Farming “BC” (before canola!) ● Up to 1980s ley pastures grass/annual legumes (merino sheep for wool) cereals (wheat and barley) Pasture Burn or remove residues + Wheat Barley Repeated cultivation for weeds and seedbed Farming system evolution – the 1990s ● Since 1990 - Intensification of cropping fewer, larger farms (5000 acres) increased crop area per farm (3.6% pa) less pasture, fewer sheep more crop diversity (lupin, canola) no-till, stubble retention Pasture Canola Wheat Wheat Lupin Wheat The canola cropping year... Heat, drought Climatic risks Frost risk Sowing rain? Fall Winter Spring Brief history of canola in Australia ● 1970s small areas of rapeseed (B napus, B campestris) ● 1976 decimated by Blackleg disease (Leptosphaeria maculans) ● 1990 resistant “double-low” varieties revive Industry ● 1999 area peaked at 5M acres, stabilised at ~3M acres grown for system benefits rather than profit 80% triazine tolerant varieties, all open pollinated ● 2001 concern over “yield decline” in canola ● 2002-08 widespread drought limits yield and area sown ● 2008 new GM hybrid varieties first approved in 2008 ● 2011 area grown and yield prospects best for a decade ● 2014 private breeding; 50% hybrids, record area 6M acres Canola in Australia - area sown and yield Yield (lb/acre) Area sown (million acres) 7 1750 6 5 4 Canadian varieties Canola Check Australian varieties GM hybrids 1500 1250 1000 3 750 2 TT varieties Blackleg 500 1 250 Millenium drought 0 '70 '75 '80 '85 '90 '95 '00 '05 '10 0 '15 Year Source: ABARE estimates, Australian Oilseeds Federation (AOF) industry estimates Insert presentation title Current status ● 3rd most valuable grain crop in Australia Gross value: Wheat ($7.8B), Barley ($1.9B), Canola ($1.1B) Export value: Wheat ($5.0B); Barley ($1.5B); Canola ($ 0.8B) ● ~ 0.8 – 1.4 Mt (75%) exported annually ● 0.6 Mt canola crushed annually (Australian capacity 1.1 Mt) ● 25% of oil is exported, domestic use in food sector ● meal used in high protein feed in pig, poultry, dairy Canola’s benefits (70%) expressed in wheat crops Wheat after Wheat Wheat after Canola Australian national wheat yield trends 2200 1780 1340 890 450 Kirkegaard et al., (2013) Agriculture, Ecosystem and Environment (online) Crop sequence experiments Kirkegaard et al., (2008) Field Crops Research 107, 185-195 Yield benefit to following wheat crops 10 (a) 180 (b) experiments Yield of wheat after Indian mustard (t/ha) Yield of wheat after canola (t/ha) 10 1:1.2 line 8 1:1.2 l ● Mean8yield benefit 0.8 t/ha ● Independent of wheat yield 1:1 line 6 6 ● Value underestimated in dry seasons 4 2 4 2 (Angus et al 2011) 0 0 0 2 4 6 8 Yield of wheat after wheat (t/ha) 10 0 2 4 6 Yield of wheat after w Canola intensification in NSW, lime and N use 0.5 1.0 0.5 2 1.0 2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 Canola area (million ha) 0.3 Canola area (million ha) 0.4 Fertiliser N use (million tonnes) 0.3 Fertiliser N use (million tonnes) Lime in NSW (million tonnes) Lime in NSW (million tonnes) Canola area, lime use and N-fertiliser use 0.4 1 Fertiliser N use Fertiliser N use NSWNSW limelime useuse Canola areaarea Canola 0 19961998 19982000 2000 1980 1980 19821982 19841984 19861986 19881988 1990199019921992199419941996 Benchmarking yield performance in canola What should my canola yield? ● Simple rules of thumb e.g. yield should be 50% of wheat ● Water-limited yield based on seasonal rainfall Based on French and Shultz WUE approach Relate yield to seasonal rainfall total Simple, accessible but less precise ● Prediction based on crop simulation models JK000214.PPT Accounts for daily weather, soil, management Requires more data and interpretation Benchmarking yield in canola ● Farmers often expect yield to be 50% of wheat? R atio can o la:w h eat yield 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 JK000214.PPT 0 1780 2000 3560 4000 5300 6000 7080 8000 Wheat W h eat grain g rain yield yield(lbs/acre) (kg /h a) Robertson et al (1999) 10000 8860 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 Water-limited yieldIn-crop concept rain (mm) (d) 6000 5300 700 800 R2=0.68 240 lbs/acre/inch 5000 4450 4000 3560 Yield (lbs/acre) 600 330 lbs/acre/inch 3000 2670 2000 1780 175 lbs/acre/inch 1000 890 0 0 4 100 8 200 12 300 16 400 20 500 24 600 28 700 Seasonal water supply(inches) (mm) Seasonal water supply [in-crop rainfall + stored water – water left] (f) 6000 Robertson and Kirkegaard (2005) Aust. J. Agric. Res. 56, 1373-86 32 800 Simulation models online - Yield Prophet Based on APSIM canola model - well validated in NSW Simulated grain yield (g/m2) 500 4450 3560 400 2670 300 200 1780 R2 = 0.86 Error + 270 lbs/acre 890 100 0 0 890 100 1780 200 2670 300 3560 400 Observed grain yield (g/m2) Observed grain yield (lbs/acre) 4450 500 Simulated yield vs district yields Yield “gap” worse in better seasons 4.0 3560 b) Canola yield (t/ha) 3.5 3.0 2670 2.5 2.0 1780 1.5 1.0 890 0.5 simulated yield canola yield 0.0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Kirkegaard et al. (2006) Aust. J. Ag. Res. 57, 201-12. Establishing canola in wheat stubble Burn Retain • • • • Poor emergence Poor vigour 25% yield loss Causes (allelopathy?) Separating physical and biochemical effects Bruce et al., (2006) Plant and Soil 281, 203-218 A solution to the problem – without burning Burn 3100 lbs/acre Stubble inter-row 3030 lbs/acre Stubble spread Bruce et al., (2006) Aust. J. Agr. Res. 57, 1203-1212 2225 lbs/acre Modern, no-till canola Stubble retained, direct seeded, inter-row sowing disc-seeder, controlled traffic Canola intensification and yield decline? Concerned since 1999, poor yields in good seasons Paddock Survey (2000 paddocks 1991 - 2000) 10% reduction in yield ABARE census and survey data (high rainfall east) Increased diseases in wet seasons! Blackleg Sclerotinia stem rot Premature death Root rot Summary of response to disease control Response to fungicides at 7 sites from 2001-2005 Year Sclerotinia control (lbs/acre) Blackleg control (lbs/acre) 2001 980 800 2002 90 712 2003 90 180 2004 ns 90 2005 ns 270 JK000214.PPT If disease was controlled or absent crops yielded to potential Kirkegaard et al. (2006) Aust. J. Ag. Res. 57, 201-12. Wider survey of 132 fields (2004 – 2006) ● Dry years, low disease - 75% of crops yielded to potential ● No evidence of widespread micronutrient or N deficiency ● Under-performing crops had: - late season heat and water stress on bulky crops - range of subsoil constraints, south of Wagga 60% of paddocks had root distortions >3.0 Lisson et al (2007) Aust. J. Exp. Agriculture 47, 1435-45 Subsoil constraints in canola (2007 – 2009) ● Experiments on hard, acid or saline/sodic subsoils ● Effect of ripping (30 cm) with lime or gypsum injected ● No yield responses at 10 of 14 sites ● Canola relatively (and surprisingly) insensitive (cf barley) ● No support for expensive interventions Reducing risk - dual-purpose canola ● Canola crops grazed without yield penalty ● Increase flexibility, profitability and reduce risk ● Increase animal and crop production from mixed farms Defoliation experiments Grazing experiments Simulation Profitability, risk and systems benefits If yield penalty is avoided, feed is added value $GM/ha increase of $100 - $400/ha; whole-farm $100/ha Indirect benefits include grass weed and cereal disease control pasture spelling provides lambing feed in late winter wider sowing and grazing windows for crops reduced crop height to facilitate windrow and harvest graze, hay and grain option = increased flexibility, lower risk “A decade ago we only grew fine wool…… Now we produce a range of crops and pastures for forage, silage, hay and grain as well as meat from sheep and cattle” New horizons... ● New cropping areas, varieties and systems High rainfall zone; raised beds, dual-purpose, winter hybrids Low rainfall zone; earlier-maturity, low- input precision systems Existing areas; new agronomy for GM herbicide tolerant hybrids Precision on wide rows Herbicide resistant weeds National Canola Productivity Project (2014 - 2019) “....robust information on specific adaptation of canola varieties to make more profitable management decisions...” Western Eastern High Rainfall South Many colleagues, farmers and friends..... Thank you Contact Us Phone: 1300 363 400 or +61 3 9545 2176 Email: [email protected] Web: www.csiro.au CSIRO Plant Industry John Kirkegaard Email: [email protected] New regions – crops in the High Rainfall Zone Conversion of low productivity waterlogged pastures to highly productive cropping land 200,000 ha > 9 mth season ● 32 M ha Total ● 20 M ha Agriculture ● 2-6 M ha arable 5-6 t/ha yield feasible with long-season hybrids Soil EC, canola rooting depth and yield 180 Root depth reduced by salinity in both years 160 120 100 2008 2009 80 60 y = 2.1057 - 0.000026x r2 = 0.00 2.5 40 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 ECa (dS/m) Yield reduced in dry year; unaffected in wet year Grain Yield (t/ha) Root Depth (cm) 140 2.0 1.5 1.0 y = 0.836 - 0.0028x r2 = 0.46 0.5 2009 2008 0.0 0.5 CSIRO. Potential impacts of subsoil constraints on canola productivity in southern NSW 1.0 1.5 2.0 ECa (dS/m) 2.5 3.0 Yield Prophet – report for 2011 crop Impacts of soil salinity - variable salinity site EM Survey Area: EM38: 45m x 600m every 5m x 1m Sampling Positions 20 each 12 m2 with 16 plants/m2 CSIRO. Potential impacts of subsoil constraints on canola productivity in southern NSW Effect of sowing date on yield (Forbes) 5000 Yield (kg/ha) 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 9-Apr 29-Apr 19-May 8-Jun 28-Jun Sowing date Forbes, 150 mm soil, Oscar phenology 18-Jul average 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Dual-purpose canola – it works! Site Sow Variety Canberra 2008 3 April Winter 440 2 3.1 3.0 23 April Spring 70 4 2.8 2.2* 7 April Winter 630 1 5.0 4.6 16 April Spring 283 7 4.7 4.9 Young 2008 Grazing Flower (sheep.day/acre) Delay (d) Kirkegaard et al (2012) Crop and Pasture Science 63, 429-443 Yield (t/ha) G UG
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