WIK-Consult Report Study for the Danish Business Authority Specification of retail costs for a Reasonably Efficient Operator redacted Authors: Peter Kroon Stephan Jay WIK-Consult GmbH Rhöndorfer Str. 68 53604 Bad Honnef Germany Bad Honnef, 5 November 2014 I Retail cost assessment for DBA Contents 1 Executive Summary 1 2 Introduction 5 3 Brief introduction to retail cost categories in the Danish margin squeeze test and available information 7 3.1 Currently applied retail costs in the Danish margin squeeze tests 7 3.2 Overview responses Danish operators in 2014 to DBA data request on retail costs 4 Results European benchmark 10 11 4.1 Benchmark approach 11 4.2 Overview of benchmarked country approaches 12 4.3 Differentiation of retail costs according to business strategy in benchmark countries 14 4.4 Collected absolute cost levels of EU countries 14 5 Analysis of collected retail costs and recommendations 17 5.1 High level comparison; current retail costs applied by DBA versus provided retail costs from Danish operators in 2014 5.2 Detailed analysis 5.2.1 Analysis of and recommendations for one-off retail costs 17 20 20 5.2.1.1 Marketing contributions 20 5.2.1.2 Sales staff and Sales commission 22 5.2.1.3 CPE costs 24 5.2.1.4 Distribution of CPE 27 5.2.1.5 Customer activation costs 28 5.2.1.6 Order related costs 29 5.2.2 Analysis of and recommendations for recurring retail costs 30 5.2.2.1 Customer care / retention 30 5.2.2.2 Billing 32 5.2.2.3 Bad debt 33 5.2.2.4 Non-single customer specific cost 34 5.3 Summary and impact of recommended retail cost levels 6 Summary of recommendations and further conclusions 6.1 Recommended retail cost levels 37 44 44 II Retail cost assessment for DBA 6.2 Retail costs differentiation based on retail product 45 6.3 Retail cost differentiation based on business strategy 46 6.4 Closing remarks 46 Annex I – Questionnaire 49 Annex II – Detailed responses questionnaire 58 Retail cost assessment for DBA III List of tables Table 1: Current and recommended one off retail costs – current structure 1 Table 2: Current and recommended one off retail costs – aggregated structure 2 Table 3: Current and recommended recurring retail costs 2 Table 4: Overall monthly retail costs - current and recommended 3 Table 5: Definition of retail cost categories by the DBA 7 Table 6: One off retail costs currently applied by the DBA 9 Table 7: Recurring retail costs currently applied by the DBA 9 Table 8: Latest one off retail costs collected from Danish operators in 2014 10 Table 9: Latest recurring retail costs collected from Danish operators in 2014 10 Table 10: Overview participating NRA’s 11 Table 11: EU country overview with key findings 12 Table 12: Collected absolute values from EU benchmark 15 Table 13: One off retail costs collected from Danish operators in 2014 17 Table 14: Recurring retail costs collected from Danish operators in 2014 18 Table 15: Indicative total retail costs based on data from Danish operators in 2014 18 Table 16: Comparison total retail costs: current versus input Danish operators in 2014 19 Table 17: Retail costs - currently applied and recommended levels- current structure 38 Table 18: Retail costs - currently applied and recommended levels- aggregated structure 40 Table 19: Recommended one off retail cost levels – current structure 44 Table 20: Recommended one off retail costs – aggregated structure 45 Table 21: Recommended recurring retail cost levels 45 Table 22: Incremental retail costs per product cluster in the Netherlands 65 Table 23: Non single customer specific costs split up in Spain 67 IV Retail cost assessment for DBA List of figures Figure 1: Total retail costs double play: recommended level versus input Danish operators 4 Figure 2: Input Danish operators in 2014 on marketing contributions 21 Figure 3: Input Danish operators in 2014 on sales staff / sales commission 23 Figure 4: Input Danish operators in 2014 on CPE costs 24 Figure 5: Input Danish operators in 2014 on CPE distribution costs 27 Figure 6: Input Danish operators in 2014 on customer activation costs 28 Figure 7: Input Danish operators in 2014 on order related costs 29 Figure 8: Input Danish operators in 2014 on customer care/retention 31 Figure 9: Input Danish operators 2014 – billing costs 32 Figure 10: Input Danish operators 2014 – bad debt costs 34 Figure 11: Input Danish operators 2014 – non single customer specific costs 35 Figure 12: Total retail costs single play: recommended level versus input Danish operators Figure 13: Total retail costs double play: recommended level versus input Danish operators Figure 14: 41 Total retail costs double play with TV: recommended level versus input Danish operators Figure 15: 41 42 Total retail costs triple play: recommended level versus input Danish operators 43 1 Retail costs assessment for DBA 1 Executive Summary The Danish Business Authority (DBA) has tasked WIK-Consult to analyse the retail cost collected from the Danish operators and to perform a European benchmark. This has led to recommendations on the levels of specific retail cost categories as defined by DBA. Confidential information is highlighted. For the intended public consultation there is a redacted version of this report. DBA has currently set specific values for 10 different retail cost categories for single and double play offers. These levels result in total retail costs for single play between 73 DKK per month per customer for ADSL and 99 DKK for VDSL. For double play offers the current total retail costs are 87 DKK per month per customer for ADSL and 118 DKK for VDSL. The DBA also intends to differentiate not only between two product offers (single play and double play) but between four different product offers. Therefore, WIK has recommended detailed values for the 10 different retail cost categories for the four product offers single play, double play (broadband with voice), double play (broadband with TV but without voice) and triple play (broadband, voice and TV). In addition, an aggregation of the one off retail costs has been recommended. See underneath an overview of the current and recommended levels. Table 1: Current and recommended one off retail costs – current structure Currently applied - one off retail costs Recommended - one off retail costs- current structure single play double play single play double play double play TV (new) triple play (new) Marketing contributions 3,43 3,43 XXX 10,0 XXX 18,0 Sales personnel salary/sales commission 5,72 8,59 XXX 7,50 XXX 15,00 Customer premise equipment ADSL 8,01 8,01 XXX XXX XXX XXX Customer premise equipment VDSL 16,03 16,03 Distribution of customer premise equipment 1,14 1,14 XXX XXX XXX XXX Customer activation 1,14 1,72 1,14 XXX XXX XXX Order related costs 2,29 3,43 XXX XXX XXX XXX monthly values (DKK) 2 Retail cost assessment for DBA Table 2: Current and recommended one off retail costs – aggregated structure Recommended - one off retail costs aggregated structure Currently applied - one off retail costs single play double play monthly values (Euro) Marketing contributions 3,43 3,43 Marketing and Sales 15,50 17,50 31,50 33,00 Sales personnel salary/sales commission 5,72 8,59 Customer premise equipment ADSL 8,01 8,01 Customer setup and activation (incl CPE and system costs) 15,94 18,10 30,10 32,70 Customer premise equipment VDSL 16,03 16,03 Distribution of customer premise equipment 1,14 1,14 Customer activation 1,14 1,72 Order related costs 2,29 3,43 monthly values (Euro) Table 3: double play triple play with tv Current and recommended recurring retail costs Current values - recurring retail costs monthly values (DKK) single play double play Recommended - recurring retail costs single play double play double play triple play with tv single play double play Customer care / retention 20,00 27,50 17,60 22,00 44,00 47,00 Billing 8,33 8,33 1,25 2,50 5,00 6,25 Bad debt 1% 1% Non-single customer specific costs 10% 15% The following table shows overall monthly retail cost at the level currently applied in the test and the level recommended following analysis of the new data. 3 Retail costs assessment for DBA Table 4: Overall monthly retail costs - current and recommended Current values - recurring retail costs monthly values (DKK) Total ADSL single play 72,58 Recommended values - recurring retail costs double play single play 80,60 double play TV (new) triple play (new) 159,35 179,08 87,26 82,79 Total VDSL double play 96,34 95,27 In short, the recommended levels result in slightly higher retail costs for single play and double play offers for VDSL and a somewhat bigger difference compared to current ADSL values. For the new product offers double play with TV and triple play, the estimated totals lay considerable higher than the current highest levels for double play VDSL (+63% and 86% respectively). The input from the Danish operators showed large variation when comparing individual retail cost components on one hand but also overall retail cost levels on the other. In some cases the large deviations between operator data are very likely due to different cost allocation methods and/or interpretation of the itemized cost categories. Accordingly, parameter setting on the basis of the collected data is not simply straightforward. Sometimes we suggest to use averages, sometimes we suggest to use a single value and at other times an adjusted single value is suggested. Even though there were large differences the collected data did show that the retail costs differ between single play, double play with VoIP, double play with TV and triple play. While some detailed categories might be the same, the overall total retail costs vary between the different product offers. This could be seen as a validation of the DBA’s efforts to differentiate retail costs between different types of product offers. As illustration, see below graph for double play offers where the total retail costs vary between XXX and XXX DKK per month per customer based on the operators input. The recommended level lies between TDC’s and Telia’s input. 4 Figure 1: Retail cost assessment for DBA Total retail costs double play: recommended level versus input Danish operators Confidential information However, in the EU benchmark, there is not one regulator who also applies a retail cost differentiation based on the retail product sold in terms of single play, double play etc. What does seem to be more common is a differentiation of retail costs between residential and business services (Austria, Italy and the Netherlands). Furthermore, the cost variance in individual cost categories also seems to indicate that it is not straightforward for operators to deliver such granular retail cost data in a homogenous manner. Given that some regulators work with a significantly higher aggregation level (e.g. a single mark-up factor on cost / revenues to determine the overall retail cost) it is not entirely clear that a detailed definition of individual items is superior to a more aggregated manner of deriving retail cost inputs for margin squeeze tests. Lastly, differentiation of retail costs based on business strategy (in the sense of sales channels or a “no frills” versus “premium” positioning1) is not common among respondents in the EU benchmark. However, Italy does differentiate retail costs when products are purely sold via online distribution channels. Only in this case, AGCOM applies the lower retail costs of online channels both for its product by product test as for the portfolio tests. When products are sold via a mixture of distribution channels, it applies the higher standard retail costs for the margin squeeze tests. 1 Operators, with a business strategy, in terms of sales channel, to minimize distribution and sales costs by mainly using the internet. The opposite is called ‘premium’ operators, which mainly focus on providing high quality customer support based on a more traditional distribution channel possibly in combination with the use of internet. Retail costs assessment for DBA 2 5 Introduction The Danish regulator for telecommunications, the Danish Business Authority (DBA), is reviewing its margin squeeze model for analysing margin squeezes in markets 4 and 5. In this context the retail costs applied in the tests are reviewed as well and in this context DBA tasked WIK-Consult with the following: Analyse the retail cost data collected from the Danish operators; Perform a European benchmark on the level of retail costs applied in the margin squeeze tests for broadband markets; Compare the Danish values with the benchmark; Recommend a level for the Danish retail costs as part of DBA’s margin squeeze test review; and The main questions to be addressed are: What is the correct level of retail cost to be applied in margin squeeze tests for market 4 and 5? Do retail costs differ depending on the retail product sold (e.g. single play versus double play and triple play broadband packages)? Do regulatory authorities adapt retail costs in their margins squeeze tests depending on the business strategy regarding sales channels of the considered operator (i.e., “Premium” versus “No Frills” positioning2). This report has the following structure: - Chapter 3 contains the available retail cost data for the Danish market; Chapter 4 presents the results from the European benchmark; Chapter 5 analyses the Danish and EU benchmark information and resulting recommended levels for the retail costs; and Chapter 6 concludes with a summary and other findings. The draft report and four additional questions were consulted with the industry. The comments on the draft report as well as the answers on the questions have been evaluated on their merit and incorporated accordingly in the final report. 2 Operators, with a business strategy, in terms of sales channel, to minimize distribution and sales costs by mainly using the internet. The opposite is called ‘premium’ operators, which mainly focus on providing high quality customer support based on a more traditional distribution channel possibly in combination with the use of internet. 6 Retail cost assessment for DBA Retail costs assessment for DBA 3 7 Brief introduction to retail cost categories in the Danish margin squeeze test and available information DBA has already defined retail cost categories and applied differentiated parameters for single (broadband only) and double play (broadband & voice) retail products. DBA has already been gathering retail cost information in previous years. This resulted in the currently applied levels of retail costs for the margin squeeze tests in Denmark (see Section 3.1). DBA now intends to enable the differentiation of a total of four product categories and has asked operators to supply data. For 2014, DBA therefore initiated another round of data collection, which resulted in the figures presented in Section 3.2. 3.1 Currently applied retail costs in the Danish margin squeeze tests The current retail costs categories are split in recurring and one off retail costs and further defined by the DBA as follows: Table 5: Definition of retail cost categories by the DBA Used categories by DBA Definition used by DBA Customer care / retention Costs related to retaining existing customers. This includes for instance salaries to customer service personnel and website costs Billing Costs related to the usage of the billing platform and related department for producing the retail invoices Bad debt Costs related to retail customers not paying their invoice or paying their invoice later (% of the invoiced amounts incl. 25% VAT, which is lost). Non-single customer specific costs Overhead costs for the REO that cannot be allocated to a specific customer. This includes for instance costs related to IT-personnel who maintain customer related tasks such as setup of systems for billing and sales reporting, costs related to product management, business development and market analyses, central costs related to advertising and marketing that is not intended for new customers, administrative costs, rent and other general costs (% of invoiced amounts excl. VAT) Marketing contributions Sale events or campaigns that focus on acquiring new customers. Recurring Sales personnel salary/sales commission Salaries, sales commission and bonuses. Customer premise equipment ADSL One-off Customer premise equipment VDSL Distribution of customer premise equipment Customer activation Order related costs Wholesale price for equipment (including router), that is sent to the customer (ADSL). Wholesale price for equipment (including router), that is sent to the customer (VDSL). Costs associated with shipping of the CPE. Costs related to setup and activation of the customer in the REO’s internal systems. Costs stemming from call centre support and other relevant departments in relation to installation and setup of the broadband connection. 8 Retail cost assessment for DBA The retail costs in this report are expressed as recurring monthly amounts per customer in Danish Krone (DKK). The one-off retail costs are one-time costs at the beginning of the customer lifetime, which are transferred in this report (and in the margin squeeze calculations) into monthly amounts. The transferral of one-off retail costs into monthly amounts is done by spreading these costs over the applied customer lifetime in Denmark (48 months) while considering the weighted average costs of capital (WACC) of the competitor’s retail business. The DBA currently applies a WACC of 4,7%. The one off amounts are put on a „per month“ scale per customer by multiplying them with the capital cost factor, which is defined by the following formula3: The two tables underneath show the currently applied one-off and recurring retail costs respectively in DKK. The DBA is using differentiated levels of retail costs between single play broadband offers and double play broadband offers with voice. Bad debt and non-single customer specific costs are set as a % of the retail value of the respective broadband offer. In order to estimate absolute amounts in the tables, average yearly retail prices in the Danish broadband market have been used. Excluding VAT of 25% in Denmark, this is 2400 DKK for single play offers and 2677 DKK for double play offers. When comparing the level of one-off retail costs for single play versus double play broadband offers, the difference is a 50% addition on the following three cost categories: - Sales personnel salary and sales commission; - Customer activation; and - Order related costs It is noted that the main difference in the current recurring retail cost between single and double play broadband offers stem from significant higher (+37,5%) customer care / retention costs for double play. 3 As an alternative, linear annualisation could be used. This would reduce the recommended retail costs by approximately 9%. 9 Retail costs assessment for DBA The current total retail costs for single play vary between roughly 73 (ADSL) and 99 (VDSL) and for double play between 87 (ADSL) and 118 (VDSL) DKK per month per customer. Table 6: One off retail costs currently applied by the DBA Currently applied one off retail costs by the DBA Used categories by DBA Current one off value used for single play (DKK) Marketing contributions Current one off value used for double play (DKK) Current monthly value used for single play (DKK) Current monthly value used for double play (DKK) 3,43 3,43 150 Sales personnel salary/sales commission 250 375 5,72 8,59 Customer premise equipment ADSL 350 350 8,01 8,01 Customer premise equipment VDSL 700 700 16,03 16,03 1,14 1,14 Distribution of customer premise equipment 50 Customer activation 50 75 1,14 1,72 Order related costs 100 150 2,29 3,43 Total monthly amount - one off ADSL 21,75 26,33 Total monthly amount - one off VDSL 29,76 34,34 Table 7: Recurring retail costs currently applied by the DBA Currently applied recurring retail costs by the DBA Used categories by DBA Customer care / retention Current annual value used for single play (DKK) Current annual value used for double play (DKK) Current monthly value used for single play (DKK) Current monthly value used for double play (DKK) 240 330 20,00 27,50 Billing 100 8,33 8,33 Bad debt 1,0% 2,50 2,79 Non-single customer specific costs 10,0% 20,00 22,31 50,83 60,93 Total monthly amount - recurring 10 3.2 Retail cost assessment for DBA Overview responses Danish operators in 2014 to DBA data request on retail costs In summer 2014, DBA performed another round of data collection and asked for a further specification of the retail costs; not only for single play and double play, but also for triple play broadband offers. In addition TDC A/S (TDC) provided also data for double play with TV separate from ‘normal’ double play (broadband + VoIP). DBA received data for the year 2012/2013 from incumbent TDC and its subsidiary Fullrate and 2013 data from alternative operator Telia. The 2012 TDC data for double and triple play still contained their cable brand Yousee, whereas this is split for 2013. Telenor could not provide any information. The data provided by TDC/Fullrate has been audited. The Telia data is audited as well as they are part of the TeliaSonera Group official accounts, which are audited. All data provided was in DKK. The following tables contain the collected data from the Danish operators in yearly amounts for the recurring costs and one time amounts for the one off costs. Table 8: Latest one off retail costs collected from Danish operators in 2014 Confidential information Table 9: Latest recurring retail costs collected from Danish operators in 2014 Confidential information In chapter 5, the one-time and yearly amounts are transferred into annualised monthly amounts in order to compare them with the currently used values by DBA and values found in the benchmark. It is already apparent that the reported overall and itemized retail cost varies significantly between the three operators. Retail costs assessment for DBA 4 4.1 11 Results European benchmark Benchmark approach The benchmark was based on a questionnaire (see Annex I) sent to nine national regulatory authorities (NRA’s) in Europe. In order to encourage the responses, the questionnaire was made as compact as possible and feedback of the results was promised. The questionnaire was structured in such a way that it allowed comparison with the Danish retail cost categories and their definitions, input of quantitative data and in case of confidentiality issues a qualitative assessment of the current Danish level of retail costs. The questionnaire has been sent in the second half of April 2014 to nine European regulatory authorities. From end April until beginning of June 2014 the responses were collected, verified by additional interviews and desk research and analysed. The underneath table shows which NRA’s have participated with this research. Table 10: Overview participating NRA’s Right NRA contact Austria v Germany v Greece v Ireland v Italy v Netherlands v Norway v Spain v Sweden v Question naire send out v v v v v v v v v Response v v no response v v v no MST v no MST Out of the 9 benchmarked countries, only the Greek regulator at the end did not provide input. Furthermore, the regulators from Norway and Sweden are not applying margin squeeze tests for the broadband market, however did provide input regarding their intentions for the near future. The remaining 6 regulators provided their input, which is summarised in 4.2 and 4.3. Only one regulator (Germany, Bundesnetzagentur) was able to respond with absolute cost values item by item. The Austrian regulator, RTR provided an absolute cost value for the total retail cost but could not disclose individual items. Two other regulators (Ita- 12 Retail cost assessment for DBA ly, Netherlands) simplify the retail cost determination by applying a single mark-up factor on all other cost to derive the retail cost. The remaining two regulators (Ireland and Spain) did neither provided absolute nor relative values. 4.2 Overview of benchmarked country approaches The results from the European benchmark are summarised in below table describing the key elements of the respective countries. In Annex II the underlying detailed descriptions per benchmark country can be found for more background information. Table 11: EU country overview with key findings Austria Degree of cost category aggregation compared to the 10 DBA items 7 items of which 5 correspond to DBA items. IP connection and additional services are included. Germany Same recurring retail cost categories as DBA, however simplified one off costs (only 2 aggregated categories: customer acquisition and cancellation costs). CPE + distribution costs are indirectly included in customer acquisition costs Actual values provided Methodological comments Business strategy feedback Only total cost provided for retail cost (recurring and one-off shown as annualized monthly cost). Only 3.50€ per month for residential users (excluding 2,212€ for the CPE). Detailed cost provided regarding network cost to test bitstream vs LLU charge. Only 2play product test. No differentiation. Differentiation between residential and business users. EEO approach for LLU. SEO for VULA Itemized values provided. Total cost around 3,75€ per month. No differentiation 13 Retail costs assessment for DBA Ireland Most items correspond with DBA. Difference is that each item has a one off and recurring element. Also CPE costs is aggregated and additional element is Product marketing and Development. Italy No cost value for each individual category but jointly considered recurring and one off retail costs. Not all DBA items are considered in the aggregated calculation. Missing are: - Non single customer specific costs - CPE + distribution - Customer activation - Order related cost No values or qualitative assessment of DBA current level provided. Slightly different approach for legacy Bitstream and NGA: Use 25% extra mark-up on retail costs for sales, product development, help desk and order handling to reflect the additional common cost for a starting alternative operator. - - SEO approach outside LEAs, inside combi of SEO/EEO. Specific EEO for Advertising, Billing and Product Mgt. as altnets have efficiencies due to international size Markup on own network costs + wholesale costs : - In the DCF approach for the portfolio test 25% for residential services and - In the period by period test for the individual products 10% when looking at incremental costs only. Similar cost categories, however many shared retail cost categories excluded due to incremental approach. Considered retail costs are mainly external (outsourced) costs related to one product: - Sales costs - TV content - advertisement CPE costs are not included Specific values confidential, aggregated level only. 3% mark-up for retail costs related to broadband services related to the wholesale price: Markup could be higher if integral retail costs approach. For legacy business voice (ISDN) the set markup is 13,5% …operating inside or outside LEA could be seen as business strategy and this is treated different based on SEO or combined SEO/EEO approach. No differentiation based on different service level. However differentiated retail costs based on distribution channel. Where products are sold only via online channels, the lower retail costs are considered. Both in the product by product test as in the portfolio test. Qualitative statement: total value ‘much lower’ than DBA value. Nether erlands No differentiation on channel strategy and service offering, however… Incremental approach; only retail costs directly related to a specific product. Excludes large portions of shared retail costs like billing, helpdesk etc. Approach in line with very detailed Margin Squeeze test at product level. No input on business strategy. EEO approach 14 Retail cost assessment for DBA in retail costs but included separately in the margin squeeze test. Spain 18 items, nearly all of which correspond to DBA items. Missing category is order related costs, however there are 4 separate categories for different CPE types. 4.3 No values and no qualitative assessment of DBA’s current level provided. No differentiation Differentiation of retail costs according to business strategy in benchmark countries All of the responding regulators except Italy denied differentiating retail costs based on business strategy related to different approaches on distribution channels and service offering (no frills versus premium positioning). Italy remarked that when products are purely sold via online distribution channels, it applies the lower retail costs of online channels both for its product by product test as for the portfolio tests. In case products are sold via a mixture of distribution channels, it applies the higher standard retail costs for the margin squeeze tests. It is more common among EU regulators to differentiate retail cost levels for residential and business services; half of the respondents (Austria, Italy and the Netherlands) are doing so. Another variant is used in Ireland, where Comreg uses different levels of (retail) costs for NGA services compared to legacy Bitstream; where the competition is active in so called larger exchange areas (LAEs) a combination of SEO and EEO approach is used leading to lower retail costs. When competition is also active outside these LEAs, SEO is used to model the costs of the alternative operator in the margin squeeze test leading to higher (retail) costs. 4.4 Collected absolute cost levels of EU countries As shown from the overview table in 4.2, only four countries provided absolute figures or percentages: Germany, Austria, Italy and the Netherlands. However, the input varied from providing most of its retail cost categories (Germany), to specifying only a couple or only aggregated totals (Austria, Italy and the Netherlands). Spain and Ireland considered all information on the retail costs as confidential and the Netherlands considered the detailed retail cost levels as confidential. 15 Retail costs assessment for DBA Following table displays the collected absolute values in the benchmark. The input was provided as (annualised) monthly amounts per customer in € or as % of the retail value. For direct comparison with the Danish values and the current levels used by DBA, these amounts have been translated directly into DKK. Table 12: Collected absolute values from EU benchmark Benchmark - one off retail costs (DKK/month/cust) Austria Germany Italy Marketing contribution 14,16 Sales staff/ Sales commission End-user placed equipment 16,48 Distribution of CPE Activation of end-user Order related cost other, not shown seperately by DBA 1,64 Estimated TOTAL - one off Benchmark - recurring retail costs (DKK/month/cust) Austria Germany Italy Customer service 9,31 Billing 0,67 Loss on creditors 4,92 Non-single customer specific cost 7,15% Estimated TOTAL - recurring 26,1 Benchmark - total retail costs (DKK) One off cost Recurring cost Estimated TOTAL - retail cost Austria Germany Italy 25% Explanatory notes: - marketing contributions in Germany include the CPE costs as well; billing costs in Germany are purely based on electronic invoicing costs of the incumbent. bad debt in Germany is 1,9% of retail value including VAT; Non-single customer specific cost in Germany is calculated as a 7,15% mark-up based on underlying total costs (wholesale + own network); in Italy, the 25% mark-up related to underlying wholesale costs + own network costs to be applied in its DCF portfolio test; and the collected figure for the Netherlands (3% of the underlying wholesale costs as mark up for the retail costs for residential broadband services) is left out as the underlying incremental approach is not comparable with the approach in the 16 Retail cost assessment for DBA other countries and Denmark. Dutch regulator ACM only considers those retail costs linked to one specific product. As soon as retail costs are shared among two or more products they are considered non incremental and excluded. Retail costs assessment for DBA 5 17 Analysis of collected retail costs and recommendations In this chapter first the current level of retail costs used by DBA is compared at high level to the latest retail cost data provided by the Danish operators in order to understand the positioning of the Danish operators. Thereafter a more detailed analysis per retail cost category is done where all available data is compared. This includes the benchmark, but also information derived from questions and answers to the Danish operators related to their provided data and additional information provided by the DBA. In order to compare, all collected data was transferred into DKK and one off charges were annualised to monthly amounts per customer. For the transfer between € amounts and DKK an exchange rate of 7,45 DKK per € was used as advised by the DBA. For the transferral of one time amounts to annualised monthly amounts a customer life time (48 months) and a WACC of 4,7% are used. These are the same values currently used by the DBA in their margin squeeze tests. 5.1 High level comparison; current retail costs applied by DBA versus provided retail costs from Danish operators in 2014 As described above, the first step was to calculate the annualised monthly amount of the one off costs provided by the Danish operators. Secondly, the yearly recurring retail costs were transferred into monthly amounts by dividing them by 12 months. Input from Fullrate on bad debt and non-single customer specific costs was expressed as % of the retail value. In order to calculate an absolute amount, an average monthly retail value of 223 DKK excluding VAT for a double play broadband offer and 25% VAT have been used. Below tables displays the total level of one-off and recurring retail costs based on the provided data of the Danish providers. Table 13: One off retail costs collected from Danish operators in 2014 Confidential information 18 Table 14: Retail cost assessment for DBA Recurring retail costs collected from Danish operators in 2014 Confidential information As a second step the total monthly retail costs of each Danish operator, who provided input, were calculated as shown in underneath table. These totals are indicative as they assume that only the provided retail costs levels of the respective operator would have been used. Table 15: Indicative total retail costs based on data from Danish operators in 2014 Confidential information Thirdly, these indicative totals per Danish operator were compared with the currently applied total retail costs by DBA in their margin squeeze tests (as described in paragraph 3.1). The last eight grey rows express the difference as % of the current used figures. Retail costs assessment for DBA Table 16: 19 Comparison total retail costs: current versus input Danish operators in 2014 Confidential information At high level, based on the provided data from the Danish operators, the following can be concluded: - - - - - Input values are quite different between operators, both regarding single items and total retail costs. For single play broadband offers, only TDC has provided input on retail costs. TDC’s input suggest a retail cost level which is between XXX% and XXX% below the currently used level by DBA depending on whether ADSL or VDSL based single play offers. For double play offers (with VoIP), TDC’s cost level is also under DBA current applied level, however less than for Single play. Fullrate’s retail cost level for double play offers with VoIP is the lowest and using their input would reduce the currently applied retail cost level by DBA up to XXX%. Telia’s input for double play (with VoIP) however suggest that the applied retail cost level by DBA should increase with almost the opposite figures (between XXX% and XXX%). The new category ‘double play with TV’ seems justified as TDC’s retail costs for this product category are up to 51% higher than the current ADSL based double play offer with VoIP. However TDC’s subsidiary YouSee retail costs are up to XXX% lower than the current VDSL levels. This might be related to the cable infrastructure used. 20 Retail cost assessment for DBA - 5.2 The new category ‘Triple play’ also seems justified as the retail costs are significantly higher compared to the double play category (up to XXX% for TDC and up to XXX% for Telia). Detailed analysis The detailed analysis is done per retail cost category. Per retail cost category the following aspects are analysed: - currently used level by DBA compared with values collected from the benchmark; based on TDC’s input for all product categories and Telia’s input for double play and triple play, it is analysed whether a differentiated cost level is appropriate; as the most complete data set exists for the double play offer (TDC, Fullrate, Telia input) a recommended level is first set for double play; thereafter a recommended level is set for single play, double play with TV and triple play. At the end of each retail cost category, there are additional questions formulated for the Danish operators to clarify certain issues. These are marked in grey boxes. 5.2.1 Analysis of and recommendations for one-off retail costs 5.2.1.1 Marketing contributions Currently, the DBA applies a cost level of 3,43 DKK per month per customer. From the benchmark the only collected value is 14,16 DKK per month per customer from Germany. However it is noted that the German value includes CPE costs, hence a comparable value would be lower. To make the German value comparable we have made an assumption on the cost of CPE including distribution (35€). Based on the previously described annualisation method, a monthly amount of roughly 6 DKK could be deducted for CPE. Hence an amount around 8 DKK results for Germany, which is still more than twice the current cost level. The marketing contribution costs from the Danish operators vary with the product offering as displayed in the following figure. Retail costs assessment for DBA Figure 2: 21 Input Danish operators in 2014 on marketing contributions Confidential information Both TDC’s (in dark blue) and Telia’s data (in magenta) show that the cost level varies for the different product offers. However it is noted that for Telia and TDC the cost level jumps when adding TV services in the bundle (increase between 80% and 210%). Furthermore, it is noted that for TDC and YouSee the cost levels of double play with TV are quite close to triple play and even quite close to each other. However for Telia the triple play level is significantly higher (XXX) compared to the level of TDC’s and YouSee’s bundles with TV. TDC’s current level for double play was in 2012 XXX, but has decreased significantly for 2013 (-XXX%). This is related to a reduction of marketing costs and increasing sales volumes, which has been ongoing since 2011. In 2012 these costs decreased already with XXX% and from TDC’s annual 2013 report a further 27% decrease in marketing costs was reported. However for triple play offers and especially double play bundles with TV, TDC’s marketing contributions have increased in 2013, which seems conflicting. Partial explanation might be that marketing contributions are proportionally more allocated to TV containing product bundles. The higher Telia cost level for double play might be explained by a more aggressive marketing approach, it could also be the main effect of having a smaller customer base to spread its marketing costs over. This seems to be partly confirmed by TDC’s Fullrate value for double play (XXX DKK per month per customer), which is quite higher than TDC’s value despite assumed scale advantages for Fullrate as subsidiary from TDC. 22 Retail cost assessment for DBA Therefore a higher level seems to be in line with modelling a reasonable efficient operator. Therefore the marketing contribution costs for double play have been set at 10 considering the above values and the comparable benchmark value of 8. For triple play, the cost levels of TDC and YouSee are in the same range but significantly lower than Telia’s level. However, it is not clear what the effect of the underlying cable network in this context is and TDC’s value reflects the scale effects. Once again, we propose to set the value for triple play as a mark-up on double play. We use a mark-up of 80 %, which is in the lower end of the range (see first paragraph). Hence, the level for triple play is set at 18 DKK. For setting the level for single play and double play with TV we propose to use the cost relation between TDC’s product offers and apply this on the set levels; - TDC’s single play is XXX% lower than its double play level, so proposed level for single play is XXX DKK. TDC’s double play with TV is only slightly lower than its triple play level, so proposed level for double play with TV is XXX DKK. 5.2.1.2 Sales staff and Sales commission DBA’s current values are 5,7 DKK for single play and 8,6 DKK for double play offers per month per customer. The benchmark does not provide a specific number for sales staff and commission. TDC’s (in blue) and Telia’s (in magenta) marketing contribution costs vary strongly with the product offering as displayed in the following figure. For these retail costs, the variation is even stronger for TDC compared to Telia; TDC’s triple play sales staff/commission costs more than double compared to double play sales staff/commission. The same applies for TDC’s subsidiary YouSee. Remarkably is that Telia’s absolute cost level for triple play offers is the lowest, well below TDC, Fullrate and YouSee. In addition, Fullrate has the lowest cost level of XXX for double play due to the reliance on internet as sales channel. Retail costs assessment for DBA Figure 3: 23 Input Danish operators in 2014 on sales staff / sales commission Confidential information The strong increase of these costs based on product offer can be partly explained as commission is likely related to retail revenue, which will increase as there are more products in the bundle. However, this would imply that for TDC, the double play offer with TV should then be twice as expensive as the basic double play offer with VoIP, which is unlikely. Furthermore, the other component, sales salaries, will not vary that much over the product offerings as it is most likely the same sales force. Another aspect might be the complexity and higher diversity of bundles containing TV services, which requires the sales staff to spend more time and efforts in explaining these. The TV containing product offers for TDC, YouSee and Telia are in the same range except for the triple play offer of YouSee. Based on the available data, it seems correct to use a differentiated cost level for the product offers. For double and triple play, we propose to use an average between Telia and TDC which is rounded down to consider the impact of the increased use of online sales channels. This leads to 7,5 DKK per month per customer for double play and 15 for triple play. For single play, there is no comparable value except for TDC’s value of XXX DKK, which seems reasonable compared to TDC’s and Telia’s double play levels. 24 Retail cost assessment for DBA For double play with TV, in line with TDC’s cost levels over the different product categories, a slightly lower level is set compared to triple play; XXX DKK per customer per month. In addition, it is observed that the level of the sales staff/commission costs per product category seem to be related to the marketing contributions described in the previous paragraph; where marketing contributions are relatively high, the sales staff costs are low and the other way around. Only exception again here is the high level of sales staff commission from YouSee despite their comparable level of marketing contributions. 5.2.1.3 CPE costs Current DBA level is 8 DKK per month per customer for ADSL CPE and 16 DKK for VDSL CPE irrespective of use in a single play or double play offer. From the benchmark, only Austria indicated an absolute cost level of 16,5 DKK for an ADSL modem, however this seems to be including distribution costs, so comparable level is quite higher considering modem type. Below figure shows that TDC’s CPE costs are equal for all of its offers, which is partly explained as all of TDC’s customers use the same home gateway, however TV customers in general require an additional set top box. Figure 4: Input Danish operators in 2014 on CPE costs Confidential information Retail costs assessment for DBA 25 Telia’s triple play customers receive the same CPE as its double play customers. Telia seems to factor in additional costs for the TV set top box as the costs for triple play are higher than for double play. YouSee has slightly higher CPE costs but this is likely because of the cable infrastructure and also a similar level for its double play with TV and its triple play offers. Especially with equipment prices, there should be a strong scale advantage for TDC, which would explain the higher costs (+XXX%) for the Telia double play CPE. Fullrate’s CPE costs for double play is the lowest, which can be explained as it uses less expensive equipment (Zyxel) than TDC’s and Telia’s premium product. YouSee’s CPE is cable related so must be slightly different than the CPE used by TDC and Telia. Based on the collected data from the Danish operators it was not clear whether they use different CPE for ADSL and VDSL and have indicated an average cost level or that they only use one type of modem. While consulting on the draft report, following questions were therefore asked. Question 1: Which modem/router types are used (ADSL/VDSL/Cable), what are the difference in costs and how is this translated into provided cost levels for CPE? Question 2: Which additional CPE is used for the provision of TV services and what are the related additional costs? Following information was provided as response on the first question: TDC is using so called ‘Home boxes’ from Sagemcom for both ADSL and VDSL products, for which the new price is XXX DKK. It’s cable-tv brand YouSee uses a cable modem from Netgear which costs around the same level or slightly higher. Furthermore, the cost level for Fullrate is based on a weighted average of cheaper ADSL- and VDSL routers from Zyxel (XXX DKK). TDC also noted that it uses refurbished CPE in varying degree seemingly depending on the age and therefore availability of the equipment. Telia confirmed using the same modem for ADSL and VDSL customers with a new cost of XXX DKK or XXX DKK depending on the calculation manner (respectively latest price versus average historic prices). Based on the provided information, we conclude that it is more common to use the same modem for ADSL and VDSL customers. Only exception is Fullrate, which uses a weighted average of ADSL and VDSL modem costs. We note that forwardly looking more VDSL modems are expected to be used also by Fullrate. In addition, using one type of modem has cost advantages with purchasing, logistics and maintenance. 26 Retail cost assessment for DBA Therefore, a uniform cost level seems reasonable to be used for CPE retail costs. As it is not clear in which instances refurbished CPE are used, we presume that new customers receive a new CPE and that only in cases of equipment failure refurbished equipment becomes relevant. Therefore, based on presumed scale advantages of TDC, Telia’s lowest purchase price of XXX DKK price seems reasonable to be used for double and single play packages, which would translate to XXX DKK per month per customer. The proposed level seems reasonable considering scale advantages for TDC and the higher benchmark value from Austria. Furthermore, it is assumed that the same CPE is also used for single play, hence the same cost level is recommended for the Single Play scenario. Following information was provided as response on the second question: In respect to double play with TV and triple play packages an additional set top box (STB) is needed. In the draft report, we had proposed an additional 5 DKK per month per customer. In this respect the following comments were received: TDC uses a Cisco set-top box (STB) which includes a hard disk (HD) and Personal Video Recorder (PVR) for around XXX DKK, however remarked that cheaper models are available when HD and PVR are not required. YouSee cable offers do not need additional CPE for the provisioning of TV services. Fullrate uses a refurbished Tatung STB for XXX DKK, however it is not clear whether this type contains HD and PVR functions. Considering the price and the no-frills positioning we have to assume not. TDC notes that CPE is refurbished in varying degree, depending on age and most likely availability of new replacement equipment. Telia provides a STB to all its customers using TV services. The new price of their STB varies between XXX and XXX DKK respectively without and with HD and PVR functionality. Based on the responses, we conclude that a STB is required for an alternative operator, which operations are based on wholesale services of TDC. The price variation for a STB is large, from XXX DKK for the refurbished version of Fullrate, most likely without HD and PVR, to XXX for a similar version of Telia to XXX and XXX for the full function STB of TDC and Telia. As it is not clear which share of new customers use a STB with HD and or PVR functions, we recommend a conservative estimation of the STB costs without HD and PVR functions. However, at a new price of Telia (XXX DKK) as TDC has not given the price Retail costs assessment for DBA 27 of its basic model and refurbishing does not seem to be standard practice across the different companies. Therefore, the assumed 5 DKK markup on the CPE costs is too low and will be increased to XXX DKK per month per customer. When the take up in the future of HD and PVR functionalities become more common in the sector, we recommend to review the markup for the STB accordingly. Therefore, for triple play a higher cost level for the CPE seems justified because of the additional set top box for TV. Based on the above information, a mark-up of XXX DKK per month per customer is recommended resulting in XXX DKK total CPE costs for double play with TV and triple play. 5.2.1.4 Distribution of CPE Current DBA level for distribution costs of CPE in the margin squeeze test is a uniform 1,14 DKK per month per customer for single and double play offers. From the benchmark there are no specific values for the CPE distribution costs. As shown in below figure, TDC including its subsidiaries were not able to provide individual values for this cost category as they were not able to specifically allocate the costs to this item. Figure 5: Input Danish operators in 2014 on CPE distribution costs Confidential information 28 Retail cost assessment for DBA Competitor Telia has provided costs between XXX DKK for double play and XXX DKK for triple play. The difference of XXX DKK is most likely due to the extra set top box for TV, which seems reasonable. Fullrate’s CPE distribution costs seem to be in line with Telia’s level considering scale advantages for Fullrate as they belong to TDC. Therefore, it is proposed to set the CPE distribution costs for single and double play at XXX DKK per month per customer and for double play with TV and triple play at XXX. For single play the same level as double play is recommended as it concerns shipping the same CPE. Same reasoning applies for using the same level for double play with TV and triple play. 5.2.1.5 Customer activation costs Current differentiated DBA cost levels are 1,14 DKK per month per customer for single play and 1,72 for double play offers. This differentiated price seems reasonable as it considers the activation of multiple services. There are no benchmark values available. As can be observed in below figure, there is limited data available on this category; Telia has provided values for double and triple play. Fullrate provided a XXX cost level and TDC could not provide this specific cost. Figure 6: Input Danish operators in 2014 on customer activation costs Confidential information Retail costs assessment for DBA 29 Telia’s different levels for double and triple play confirm that there are separate activations for the broadband, voice and TV services hence the additional costs for triple play compared to double play. Based on the REO approach and the available information, we propose to use Telia’s level for double and triple play. Due to the absence of any information on single play, we suggest to maintain the current level of 1,14 DKK. 5.2.1.6 Order related costs Current DBA level is 2,3 DKK per month per customer for single play and 3,4 DKK for double play. From the benchmark no specific values were collected. Underneath figure displays that TDC’s order related cost vary per product offer but do not increase linear as seen before with some other categories. Figure 7: Input Danish operators in 2014 on order related costs Confidential information Comparing the differences between the different product offers of TDC, it seems that order related costs for adding voice service amount to XXX DKK and adding TV service amounts to XXX DKK extra costs per customer per month. For Telia adding TV service also adds XXX DKK per month per customer (being the difference between their costs of double and triple play offers). 30 Retail cost assessment for DBA It is noted that for TDC the order related costs in 2013 compared to 2012 have gone only slightly up for single and double play, however significantly up for double play with TV and almost doubled for triple play. TDC’s order related cost levels for double play are more than XXX times as large as Telia’s cost level. And even Fullrate’s cost level is higher than Telia’s. For triple play Telia’s costs are also the lowest and TDC’s costs the highest. For this category, it is proposed to use an average between the available data. So Telia, Fullrate and TDC for double play, TDC and YouSee for double play with TV and Telia, TDC and YouSee for triple play. This leads to respectively XXX, XXX and XXX DKK per month per customer. For single play, the only available input is from TDC (XXX DKK), as this is in line with the calculated values, we propose to use TDC’s figure. 5.2.2 Analysis of and recommendations for recurring retail costs The graphs related the recurring retail costs have a different background colour to set them apart from the graphs on the one-off retails costs. 5.2.2.1 Customer care / retention The current levels used by DBA are 20 DKK for single play broadband and 27,50 DKK for double play offers per customer per month. This is well above the only collected value from the EU benchmark from Germany; 9,31 DKK per month per customer. It is not clear why the German value is so much lower. Below graph displays the input of the Danish operators in 2014 on their cost levels per product offer for customer care and retention. Retail costs assessment for DBA Figure 8: 31 Input Danish operators in 2014 on customer care/retention Confidential information TDC’s costs for customer care vary significantly per product offering. Apparently, the offerings with TV service require more customer care and/or retention efforts. The cost level for double play with TV roughly doubles in comparison with double play with VoIP. The same relation is observed in Telia’s costs although the absolute cost level of Telia lies roughly XXX% above the cost level of TDC which is most likely due to the economies of scale of TDC. TDC’s customer care/retention costs for single play offers is 20% lower than for double play offer. When relating the customer care costs for double play with TV with triple play there is only a slight increase of around 7% as observed for TDC and YouSee. Fullrate’s lower cost may be explained by their ‘no frills’ positioning and consequent dependence on internet based customer care. Fullrate has the lowest cost level for customer care/retention, at roughly XXX% of TDC’s level and only XXX% of Telia’s level. However, it does not seem reasonable to use this lower figure due to the different approach of Telia and Telenor in the Danish market and DBA’s intention of modelling a Reasonably Efficient Operator. Considering the above, the level of customer care/retention costs for double play offers is set at 22 DKK per month per customer. The values for the other product categories are set in relation to the double play value using the identified relations between the product categories in the operator’s data: - Single play level is 20% lower than the double play level, so 17,6 32 Retail cost assessment for DBA - Double play with TV is 200% of the double play level, so 44 Triple play is 7% higher than double play with TV, so 47. 5.2.2.2 Billing The current DBA level is an undifferentiated 8,33 DKK per month per customer for single and double play offers. From the European benchmark, a German value of 0,67 DKK per month per customer was collected. The German regulator based this figure on electronic invoicing practice only. The input from TDC, Fullrate, YouSee and Telia can be seen in following figure. Figure 9: Input Danish operators 2014 – billing costs Confidential information The billing costs for TDC are doubling when going from single play offers to double play and again doubling when TV services are included. Telia’s absolute cost levels are quite higher than TDC’s level but shows a similar pattern that the triple play cost level is twice as high as the double play cost level. TDC’s billing costs include the printing, postage, payment and IT activities. In Fullrate, billing is fully automated and the only costs are wages of its IT department used for monitoring the process, which explains the value of XXX for double play. Therefore, Fullrate’s figure is closer to the German benchmark value of 0,67, which is also based on electronic invoicing only. However, this does not seem to be the regular approach in Retail costs assessment for DBA 33 Denmark considering TDC’s and Telia’s figures, but it is recognized that electronic invoicing will be used more frequently in the near future with accompanying lower billing costs. The additional billing costs for TV services for Telia are explained by different billing requirement for the different TV packages, Video on Demand and other functionalities like multi room usage and hard disk recorder. Telia has recently made investments in its billing platform in order to be able to invoice the above describe line items Interesting to note from the benchmark is that the Irish regulator Comreg uses SEO as overall modelling approach in its NGA margin squeeze tests, however uses EEO for billing costs as the competitors are part of international companies and are perceived to have similar scale advantages as the SMP operator. A similar situation could be argued in Denmark where competitors Telenor and Telia are subsidiaries of SMP operators in neighbouring countries. Considering the above, the level of billing costs for double play offers is set at 2,5 DKK per month per customer. The values for the other product categories are set in relation to the double play value using the identified relation between Telia’s and TDC’s values: - Single play level is 50% of the double play level, so 1,25 Double play with TV is 200% of the double play level, so 5 Triple play is 250% of the double play level, so 6,25. 5.2.2.3 Bad debt Currently DBA uses 1% of the retail value including VAT for single and double play offers. From the benchmark, a value of 1,9% of the retail value including VAT is received from the German regulator. The costs for bad debt are also increasing with the number of services in the bundle, therefore, in general, bad debt is expressed as % of the retail price of the offering. 34 Figure 10: Retail cost assessment for DBA Input Danish operators 2014 – bad debt costs Confidential information Fullrate uses XXX% of the retail value including VAT. For double play Telia and TDC have provide absolute numbers (XXX and XXX respectively). These amounts can be expressed as % of the average retail value when related to the average for a Danish double play offer (223 DKK +25% VAT). Resulting value for Telia is then XXX% and for TDC XXX% for bad debt. For this category, we have considered the inputs of all three parties for double play (TDC, Fullrate and Telia) as bad debt does not seem to be depending on the company’s positioning in the market. The resulting 1% for double play is used for all product offers. 5.2.2.4 Non-single customer specific cost The currently used overhead by DBA is 10% of the invoiced amount excl. VAT, this translates into 20 DKK for single play and 23 for double play. In the benchmark, only Germany provided a figure of 7,15%, however on a cost base being the total wholesale costs + network costs. In order to make the benchmark value roughly comparable, we estimated the total wholesale costs + own network costs as 75% of the average German retail price for double play without VAT (34,95 €). This results in an absolute value of 14 DKK per month per customer. As can be observed in below graph, the German value is quite low compared to the input of the Danish operators. Retail costs assessment for DBA Figure 11: 35 Input Danish operators 2014 – non single customer specific costs Confidential information TDC’s cost level for this category is differentiated by product offer, but the relation seems quite linear so a % mark-up is suspected. When relating the amounts for double play to the average Danish retail values (223 DKK excluding VAT for double play) a percentage results of XXX%. Fullrate and YouSee have provided values for double play (+TV) and triple play which are in the same range of the current level. Fullrate has provided a % of the retail value excluding VAT; XXX% in 2013, which is a significant decrease from XXX% in 2012. Telia has a significantly higher cost level for double play and an almost XXX level compared to TDC for triple play. When expressing these cost levels as % of the average retail value for double play, a percentage of XXX% results as mark-up. This value seems very high compared to TDC/Fullrate and the German benchmark value. In setting the level for this retail cost category, the inputs from TDC, Telia and Fullrate have been considered, which resulted in an upward correction to 15% of the currently applied mark-up of 10%. When looking at the developments in the years 2011, 2012 and 2013 for TDC, it was observed that from 2012 onwards NSCS costs for single and double play have decreased between XXX and XXX% and double play with TV and triple play have increased between XXX% and XXX%. 36 Retail cost assessment for DBA In addition, Telia also has a high absolute level of overhead costs for triple play offers, which lead us to ask the following question in the consultation: Question 3: It seems that overhead costs are increasing in general and especially the allocation to triple play offers. Can the industry confirm this and explain the underlying reasons? Following responses were provided: TDC noted that overhead costs and non-single customer specific cost are not equivalent. Furthermore that it added product specific costs in the non-single customer specific costs like commercial management, branding and CPE costs. Furthermore, it notes that real overhead costs (general administration, facilities etc.) make up less than 50% of the TDC reported amount for non-single customer specific costs. TDC does not understand the claimed increase in overhead costs as its real overhead costs have decreased between XXX and XXX% for the various bundles over the last 2 years. For Fullrate, TDC noted a similar trend as the 2014 figures are expected to decline compared to 2013. Furthermore, the non-single customer specific costs for TDC have changed between -XXX% and +XXX% from 2011 – 2013 for the various bundles. Telia explained that IT costs in general for a REO are significantly higher than for an established incumbent who historically built up its IT, CRM and BSS systems and therefore depreciated these investments over a longer period of time. Furthermore, Telia explained that also the increasing complexity of wholesale and retail products further drive up the IT costs and in particular for the more complex triple play products. Therefore, it argues that an amount of XXX DKK per month for double play is more realistic (compared to the proposed 34) and for triple play this is even higher (XXX DKK versus proposed 57 DKK). Lastly, Telia recommends to change the structure of non-single customer specific costs from a percentage of the retail revenue to an absolute amount as IT investments remain the same independent of changes in retail revenue. Based on the provided information, it was clarified to TDC that this question was asked in the context of non-single customer specific (NSCS) costs (section 5.2.2.4) hence when stating ‘overhead’ in the question, it was meant to be ‘non single customer specific costs’ including real overhead and other costs. Furthermore, the background of the question was explained by showing the development from 2012 to 2013 TDC data. Retail costs assessment for DBA 37 Telia’s remarks on higher IT costs for a REO in general and their remark on growing complexity of wholesale services are acknowledged. As a large portion of IT system costs is likely to be fixed, NSCS costs per customer for a REO are higher due to the REO’s smaller customer base compared to the incumbent. Telia’s remark in regards to growing complexity of retail products also apply to the incumbent’s systems, which might explain the increase in the TDC figures from 2012 to 2013 as more customers are opting for the complex triple play packages. Regarding Telia’s further remark on the ‘realistic’ (higher) levels for double and triple play, no additional evidence was provided. However, the significant increase from 10% to 15% is already acknowledging the higher level of IT costs for a REO. Telia’s suggestion on changing the structure of the NSCS costs from a % to an absolute amount seems reasonable, however this would require a more thorough review as other elements like product management of the NSCS costs might be related to retail revenue. And even if IT costs were taken as a separate category, IT costs might have a variable component as increased number of orders might require increased IT capacity and hence costs. Following the comments from the industry, we still find it appropriate to recommend an upward correction of the non-single customer specific costs from 10 to 15%. 5.3 Summary and impact of recommended retail cost levels Based on the recommended cost levels for the one off and recurring retail costs, following overviews are made. The left tables show the levels of retail costs, currently applied by DBA in their margin squeeze tests and the tables on the right display the recommended levels based on the input from Danish operators in 2014. Based on average retail prices in the Danish market, absolute amounts are calculated where percentage values are set for bad debt and non-single customer specific costs. The calculated totals are therefore estimations in order to see the impact of the recommended cost levels in the margin squeeze test. 38 Retail cost assessment for DBA Table 17: Retail costs - currently applied and recommended levels- current structure Currently applied - one off retail costs Recommended - one off retail costs- current structure single play double play single play double play double play TV (new) triple play (new) Marketing contributions 3,43 3,43 XXX 10,0 XXX 18,0 Sales personnel salary/sales commission 5,72 8,59 XXX 7,50 XXX 15,00 Customer premise equipment ADSL 8,01 8,01 XXX XXX XXX XXX Customer premise equipment VDSL 16,03 16,03 Distribution of customer premise equipment 1,14 1,14 XXX XXX XXX XXX Customer activation 1,14 1,72 1,14 XXX XXX XXX Order related costs 2,29 3,43 XXX XXX XXX XXX monthly values (DKK) Total - adsl 21,75 26,33 Total - vdsl 29,76 34,34 31,44 Current values - recurring retail costs 35,60 61,60 65,70 Recommended values - recurring retail costs single play double play single play double play double play TV (new) triple play (new) Customer care / retention 20,00 27,50 17,60 22,0 44,0 47,0 Billing 8,33 8,33 1,25 2,50 5,00 6,25 Bad debt 2,50 2,79 2,50 2,79 3,75 4,63 Non-single customer specific costs 20,00 22,31 30,00 33,45 45,00 55,50 monthly values (DKK) Total (estimated) 50,83 60,93 Total ADSL 72,58 87,26 Total VDSL 80,60 95,27 51,35 60,74 97,75 113,38 82,79 96,34 159,35 179,08 The following can be observed: - For single play and double play offers the recommendations result in total retail costs which are slightly above the current VDSL single play offer. For the new product category double play with TV, the estimated total retail costs are significantly above the double play (+50%), hence justifying this new category. Retail costs assessment for DBA - 39 The triple play category is new as well and shows also a significantly higher total level compared to double play with VoIP and with TV, hence also seems justified. However, it is proposed to use a more aggregated structure for the one off retail cost categories. This is based on a combination of observations: - - As described in the detailed analysis, there is a strong relation between the detailed categories, which are now aggregated into one category and; The Danish operators have reported challenges from time to time with the allocation of costs to the specifically defined DBA categories, which might lead to subjective cost allocation which in turn reduces the value of comparing the detailed values of the different operators and; From the international benchmark it appeared that for certain categories it is common to club them together. In addition, the aggregated values for the one off retail costs have the advantage in the consultation that they can be used without disclosing confidential information from the operators on the provided detailed categories. This results in the following table. 40 Retail cost assessment for DBA Table 18: Retail costs - currently applied and recommended levels- aggregated structure Recommended - one off retail costs aggregated structure Currently applied - one off retail costs single play double play monthly values (Euro) Marketing contributions 3,43 3,43 Marketing and Sales 15,50 17,50 31,50 33,00 Sales personnel salary/sales commission 5,72 8,59 Customer premise equipment ADSL 8,01 8,01 Customer setup and activation (incl CPE and system costs) 15,94 18,10 30,10 32,70 Customer premise equipment VDSL 16,03 16,03 Distribution of customer premise equipment 1,14 1,14 Customer activation 1,14 1,72 Order related costs 2,29 3,43 monthly values (Euro) Total - adsl 21,75 26,33 Total - vdsl 29,76 34,34 single play double play 31,44 Current values - recurring retail costs monthly values (Euro) double play triple play with tv 35,60 61,60 65,70 Recommended - recurring retail costs single play double play double play triple play with tv single play double play Customer care / retention 20,00 27,50 17,60 22,00 44,00 47,00 Billing 8,33 8,33 1,25 2,50 5,00 6,25 Bad debt (% of revenues incl. VAT) 1% 1% Non-single customer specific costs (% of revenues excl. VAT) 10% 15% Total (estimated) 50,83 60,93 Total ADSL 72,58 87,26 Total VDSL 80,60 51,35 60,74 97,75 113,38 82,79 96,34 159,35 179,08 95,27 We have also compared the recommended retail cost levels with the input provided by the Danish operators. Based on each operator’s input, total retail costs for each product offer were calculated based purely on their respective input and consequently com- Retail costs assessment for DBA 41 pared with the total retail costs calculated based on our recommendations per product offer. Figure 12: Total retail costs single play: recommended level versus input Danish operators Confidential information For single play offers, the estimated total lays around the higher current VDSL level for single play offers but well above the current ADSL level of retail costs. Only TDC provided data related to single play. The higher level is explained as the single play level was set in line with levels for double play (with and without TV) and triple play. Figure 13: Total retail costs double play: recommended level versus input Danish operators Confidential information 42 Retail cost assessment for DBA For double play offers the recommended levels result in estimated retail costs which are positioned between the latest input data from TDC’s and Telia. Furthermore, the recommended level results in a slightly higher retail costs compared to current applied levels for VDSL double play offers but significantly higher retail costs for currently applied double play ADSL offers. Figure 14: Total retail costs double play with TV: recommended level versus input Danish operators Confidential information The total estimated retail costs for double play with TV offers lie above the provided input from TDC and well above TDC’s subsidiary YouSee. This is a consequence of first setting the levels for double and triple play and then aligning the remaining level for double play with TV in the absence of input from alternative operators in Denmark. The recommended levels are roughly double the levels currently used for ADSL double play. Retail costs assessment for DBA Figure 15: 43 Total retail costs triple play: recommended level versus input Danish operators Confidential information For triple play the recommended levels leads to an estimated total retail costs which is not in the middle of TDC and Telia, but more towards the lower TDC value. 44 6 Retail cost assessment for DBA Summary of recommendations and further conclusions The following sections answer the main questions for this project: 6.1 What is the correct level of retail cost to be applied in margin squeeze tests for market 4 and 5? Do retail costs differ depending on the retail product sold (e.g. single play versus double play and triple play broadband packages)? Do regulatory authorities adapt retail costs in their margins squeeze tests depending on the business strategy regarding sales channels of the considered operator (i.e., “Premium” versus “No Frills” positioning). Recommended retail cost levels Below tables represents the recommended cost levels for the retail costs to be applied in margin squeeze tests for market 4 and 5 in Denmark. Underlying analysis is described in chapter 5. For the one off costs, first there is an overview in the current structure and an overview in proposed aggregated structure, which should be nonconfidential. Recommended one off retail cost levels – current structure Table 19: Recommended - one off retail costs - current structure single play double play double play with tv triple play Marketing and Sales XXX 10,00 XXX 18,00 Sales personnel salary/sales commission XXX 7,50 XXX 15,00 Customer premise equipment XXX XXX XXX XXX Distribution of customer premise equipment XXX XXX XXX XXX Customer activation 1,14 XXX XXX XXX Order related costs XXX XXX XXX XXX monthly values (DKK) 45 Retail costs assessment for DBA Table 20: Recommended one off retail costs – aggregated structure Recommended - one off retail costs- aggregated structure single play double play double play TV (new) triple play (new) Marketing and Sales 15,50 17,50 31,50 33,00 Customer setup and activation (incl CPE and system costs) 15,94 18,10 30,10 32,70 monthly values (DKK) Table 21: Recommended recurring retail cost levels Recommended values - recurring retail costs single play double play double play TV (new) triple play (new) Customer care / retention 17,60 22,00 44,00 47,00 Billing 1,25 2,50 5,00 6,25 Bad debt 2,50 2,79 3,75 4,63 Non-single customer specific costs 30,00 33,45 45,00 55,50 monthly values (DKK) 6.2 Retail costs differentiation based on retail product The second question regarding retail cost differentiation based on product offer can be confirmed based on the input from the Danish operators in 2014. In their input data the retail costs really differ between single play, double play with VoIP, double play with TV and triple play. For some categories the costs are the same, but overall the product categories the total retail cost level varies between 86 and 178 DKK per month per customer. 46 Retail cost assessment for DBA However, in the EU benchmark, there is not one regulator who also applies a retail cost differentiation based on the retail product sold in terms of single play, double play etc. What does seem to more common is a differentiation of retail costs between residential and business services (Austria, Italy and the Netherlands). 6.3 Retail cost differentiation based on business strategy In regards to the third question, all of the responding regulators except Italy denied differentiating retail costs based on business strategy related to different approaches on distribution channels and service offering (no frills versus premium positioning). Italy remarked that when products are purely sold via online distribution channels, it applies the lower retail costs of online channels both for its product by product test and for the portfolio tests. In case products are sold via a mixture of distribution channels, it applies the higher standard retail costs for the margin squeeze tests. It is more common among EU regulators to differentiate retail cost levels for residential and business services; half of the respondents (Austria, Italy and the Netherlands) are doing so. Another variant is used in Ireland, where Comreg has proposed to use different levels of (retail) costs for NGA services depending on whether the competition is active in or outside so called “Larger Exchange Areas” (LEAs), which are defined as areas with LLU available and/or cable infrastructure. When competition is active inside the LEAs a combination of SEO and EEO is used and when competition is also active outside these LEAs, SEO is used to model the costs of the alternative operator in the margin squeeze test leading to higher (retail) costs. Margin squeeze tests are in general done for the possible combinations of wholesale and retail services in order not to favor a certain business model of a REO. If tests would be designed per distribution channel, this would imply that certain services are only sold via certain distribution channels hence influence the REO’s decisions on its business model. In addition, the use of distribution channels might differ between the SMP operator and the alternative operators. Therefore, we are of the opinion that the REO retail costs should not be distinguished per distribution channel. 6.4 Closing remarks Retail costs in general are considered confidential by operators. During this project, the confidential character also prevented some regulators to participate in the survey or input was given only at a aggregated high level. This made it sometimes difficult to compare the detailed data received from the Danish operators with benchmark values. Retail costs assessment for DBA 47 Despite of this, the response from most regulators was positive and they were all interested as retail costs form a significant part of the downstream costs and therefore influence the outcome of applied margin squeeze tests. Also in general, other regulators seem to use a much more aggregated approach with less detailed retail cost categories as DBA. It is not clear whether this is a deliberated choice and/or that detailed data is lacking in those countries or that they have not started specifying itemized retail costs. In this context, it is worthwhile for DBA to keep an eye on Irish regulator Comreg, who has confirmed that it has internal data on the various retail costs but has not finalised a formal approach yet. Especially while Comreg has developed a specific margin squeeze approach for NGA based retail services, including how to deal with the retail costs applied in the test. The retail cost levels received by the Danish operators varied strongly: item by item and on an overall level. Based on DBA’s overall REO approach, there is a logical orientation on the data from alternative operators. In some cases the large deviations between operator data are very likely due to different cost allocation methods and/ or interpretation of the itemized cost categories. Accordingly, parameter setting on the basis of the collected data is not simply straightforward. Sometimes we suggest to use averages, sometimes we suggest to use a single value and at other times an adjusted single value is suggested. It may be worthwhile for the DBA and the stakeholders to consider moving towards a more aggregated retail cost data collection such as proposed for the one off retail costs. At the other end of retail cost determination methodologies is the approach used in Italy where a single mark-up value on all other cost is used to derive retail costs.4 DBA could still require that operators include all the individual items when determining their retail cost to other cost (or revenue) ratio, so the definitions would remain. From our point of view, it is not entirely clear that the differentiated, itemized approach is superior to a more aggregated approach. Therefore following question was asked in the consultation: Question 4: What is the opinion of the industry on the current aggregation level of retail costs, on the proposed aggregated one off retail costs and do you have any further proposals for improvement ? Following responses were provided: TDC remarked that the proposed aggregation level of existing categories does not fit well with TDC’s perception of how costs should be categorized and allocated. TDC noted that it has mapped the cost categories distinguished in its own 4 This approach is also used in Luxembourg. 48 Retail cost assessment for DBA ABC model to the existing DBA retail cost categories. TDC believes that this mapping makes TDC’s own costs and REO costs non comparable. Lastly, TDC remarked that the proposed further aggregation from the 10 to 6 retail cost categories does not make much of a difference in terms of transparency of assumed REO costs. Telia supports the proposed further aggregation as disaggregated retail costs are more difficult to compare between operator and can lead to a false sense of precision. Cherry-picking of high/low cost items is another risk with disaggregated numbers. As DBA has already consulted the industry on the individual retail cost categories and their definitions, we concluded that TDC was able to map their internal retail cost categories with the defined DBA retail costs categories and hence should not have a difficulty of aggregating further as this means a simplification of the already done mapping. Based on the absence of convincing arguments from TDC, we therefore maintain our recommendation for further aggregation of the REO retail costs to make the data between operators more comparable and easier to produce. Retail costs assessment for DBA Annex I – Questionnaire 49 50 Retail cost assessment for DBA Retail costs assessment for DBA 51 52 Retail cost assessment for DBA Retail costs assessment for DBA 53 54 Retail cost assessment for DBA Retail costs assessment for DBA 55 56 Retail cost assessment for DBA Retail costs assessment for DBA 57 58 Retail cost assessment for DBA Annex II – Detailed responses questionnaire Austria - RTR Currently the Austrian regulator RTR is only applying margin squeeze tests on business broadband services of incumbent (A1 Telekom Austria) as they only have significant market power in the field of business broadband access. However, in the past RTR has applied margin squeeze tests as well on residential broadband services (ADSL) and hence also has information available on the retail costs related to these services. Following retail costs are considered by RTR in their margin squeeze tests. customer care (service and call center) marketing billing and bad debt sales international connectivity additional services (web-space, e-mail addresses etc.) overhead cost at retail level CPE cost There is no distinction in one off versus recurring retail costs and RTR does not differentiate the retail costs based on single/double/triple play, but on residential and business services. Despite the different approach, of the 7 categories used by RTR, 5 fit nicely in DBA’s current categories. RTR puts Billing and Bad Debt together and there are 2 DBA categories that are not explicitly considered: - Customer activation Order related costs Based on the description of RTR ‘customer care category’ this seem to cover the call centre costs which DBA has partly under ‘order related costs’. The category ‘customer activation costs’ due to systems setup seems to be under RTR’s ‘overhead category’. In addition to the 7 categories, RTR also adds International connectivity and additional services to derive a total monthly retail cost. To compare the Austrian value to the Danish ones, an average value for the related monthly annualised costs need to be deducted. The individual values per cost category are confidential but the overall level is indicated to be around 3,5 € per customer per month for residential services and 10,5 € for business services, excluding CPE which is valued at 2,212€ per month. Retail costs assessment for DBA 59 In respect to differentiating retail costs based on business strategies such as channel strategy or service level, RTR linked the different business strategies to alternative operators remarking that REO is not an option in Austria as the tests are based on EEO. In addition, RTR noted furthermore that the use of REO versus EEO is related to the identified competition problem (efficient price level or protection entrant) and that REO differentiated by business strategy actually implies protecting specific entrant business strategies. Germany - BnetzA The German regulator BnetzA is also splitting retail costs into recurring and one-off costs. For the recurring retail costs BnetzA is actually using exactly the same categories as DBA: Customer Care – 1,25 € per customer per month Billing – 0,09€ per customer per month Bad Debt - 1,9% of the retail price including VAT (0,66€) Common cost - 7.15% of total costs including wholesale costs. In respect to billing cost; these are the costs for an electronic invoice only and a value received from the incumbent in Germany. Originally a cost of 0,56 € was applied based on traditional invoicing. However the currently applied costs as based on online invoicing only from Deutsche Telekom. The bad debt amount is based on the average price for a double play broadband package Call & Surf Comfort from Deutsche Telekom (34,95€ incl. VAT). This package is one of the most important product bundles (flagship product) in the German retail market. Common Cost percentage used is a mark-up on all other cost related to local loop, splitter/DSLAM, traffic etc. This % was set in a formal decision regarding costs of the terminating line segment. For one off retail costs, BnetzA uses only two categories instead of 6 categories by DBA (see below). To derive the monthly annualized figures, a customer life time of 50,21 months and a WACC of 6,58% has been used. Until now, CPE costs are not explicitly included in the retail costs, however are indirectly included under customer acquisition costs. Customer acquisition (indirectly including CPE costs) – 1,90 € per month per customer Order cancellation – 0,22 € per month per customer 60 Retail cost assessment for DBA In comparison with DBA’s categories, marketing contributions, sales commission and CPE related costs seem to be included under ‘customer acquisition’, however ‘customer activation’ and ‘order related costs’ seem to be missing. In order to compare the German total with the Danish values, we have increased the German one off total with the current Danish values for customer activation and order related costs (0,21 and 0,42 € per month per customer). Ireland - Comreg The Irish telecom regulator ComReg could not provide details on the retail cost values due to commercial sensitivity. They have discussed indicative values with certain operators but have never published these values. ComReg is using a Discounted Cash Flow model for their margin squeeze tests for current generation Bitstream services in and outside the Local Exchange Areas (LEAs). The DCF model includes one-off start-up costs of an alternative operator including capital costs and a terminal value. In addition, the following costs are further inflated with a 25% mark-up to reflect the likely additional common costs for an entrant in the broadband market (Sales, Product development, Held Desk and Order Handling). All identified retail cost categories can be adjusted for scale and scope. Furthermore, a customer lifetime of 42 months is used in the model in the context of the WBA market. ComReg distinguished the following retail cost categories: Sales costs Marketing / Advertising Product Management & development Accommodation Help Desk Billing Modems Order handling Corporate overhead Servers & co-location IP connectivity (peering) Backhaul Wholesale connections The categories correspond nicely with the ones from DBA. Additional element is ‘Product management & development’. Furthermore, the network related costs of servers, co-location, IP peering and Backhaul are included as well under retail costs. Retail costs assessment for DBA 61 More detail information is derived from chapter 7 of ComReg’s formal publication http://www.comreg.ie/_fileupload/publications/ComReg1390.pdf): Sales costs: These are the one-off start-up costs and ongoing customer acquisition costs faced by a new entrant to attain new residential and business customers. These costs are further inflated by a mark-up of 25% to take into account the likely higher costs of a new entrant. Marketing / Advertising: These are the one-off and ongoing costs including campaign costs and are divided into initial set-up costs and promotions. Product management & development: These are the one-off start-up costs and ongoing costs associated with the product management & development function of a new entrant. These costs take into account new product developments over an ongoing product refreshment cycle. These costs are further inflated by a mark-up of 25% to take into account the likely higher costs of a new entrant. Accommodation: These are the one-off start-up costs and ongoing costs associated with the Accommodation of a new entrant. Help Desk: These are the one-off start-up costs and ongoing costs associated with the Help Desk function of a new entrant. These costs reflect a higher cost during the initial two years after start-up and followed by a lower ongoing cost per subscriber. All Help Desk costs are further inflated by a mark-up of 25% to take into account the likely higher costs of a new entrant (see paragraph 7.11). Billing: These are the one-off start-up costs and ongoing costs per subscriber associated with the Billing function of a new entrant. Billing costs also include a credit management cost which is based on a percentage of revenue. Modems: This category takes into account the actual unit cost based on manufacturers’ offer to Eircom. The cost included in the model takes into account delivery costs. In addition, the model includes respective take-up assumptions of customers requiring new modems over the DCF time period. Order Handling: These are the one-off start-up costs and ongoing costs associated with the Order Handling function by a new entrant. These costs are further inflated by a mark-up of 25% to take into account the likely costs of a new entrant. Corporate overhead: These are the one-off and ongoing costs corporate overhead costs. 62 Retail cost assessment for DBA Servers and collocation: These are the total servers and collocation costs faced by a new entrant. Initial start-up costs and ongoing costs are taken into account. Internet connectivity (peering charges); This is the cost of internet connectivity faced by a new entrant. The unit cost of internet connectivity is consistent with the unit cost used in the NGA model in the NGA Decision. This cost is a common cost to all the standalone broadband products offered by a new entrant and is calculated based on an average bandwidth requirement. This is based on the forecast total number of subscribers of the new entrant. This total number of subscribers is then allocated to equivalent Eircom retail products based on the actual mix of Eircom retail customers on those products to determine the average bandwidth requirement. Backhaul charges: This is the cost of backhaul faced by a new entrant based on available wholesale offers from Eircom. This cost would be a common cost to all the standalone broadband products offered by a new entrant. Wholesale connection: These are the wholesale connection charges for new customers of the new entrant and reflect the prices published in the BARO. Different approach on retail costs for legacy and NGA broadband services In respect to NGA margin squeezes, ComReg has published its final decision in http://www.comreg.ie/_fileupload/publications/ComReg1311.pdf (pages 227-241 for the retail costs). ComReg views SEO as a suitable approach outside the LEAs (competition by smaller altnets) and a combined SEO and EEO approach for inside the LEAs. Inside the LEAs there are larger altnets present with an international presence who can take advantage of their (international) economies of scale and scope. Specifically for some retail costs (Advertising, Billing and Product Management) it views the EEO approach as suitable. ComReg believes that these retail costs are most susceptible to scale/scope advantages in the context of bundle offers and that in Ireland there are operators with international presence who can take advantage of economies of scale and scope between their operations in Ireland and other countries in which they operate. This is in line with their NGA approach. In addition, ComReg decided on the level of following retail costs for NGA: Helpdesk cost: the level of should be based on SEO costs based on the current level for legacy Bitstream services. Alternative operators in Ireland have the abil- Retail costs assessment for DBA 63 ity to gain scale/scope efficiencies which would result in lower unit costs. However during NGA roll it should be observed what the impact is on the helpdesk. IP connectivity costs: level should be based on the incumbent’s IP connectivity costs (this includes interconnection costs for altnets from their IP core to the incumbent’s backhaul network). Modem costs: a period of 5 years is an appropriate lifetime. This is more than the average customer life time, but the modem can be re-used. In addition, the costs for a technician visit should be written of over 20 years as the activated connection will be re-used in case of migration to other operators. However, due to possible technology changes, ComReg continues the observation of the modem life time. In respect to multicast costs, ComReg decided begin 2013 that it was too early to decide as the incumbent did not launched IPTV services yet. ComReg’s preliminary view was that multicast platform costs and marketing costs could be considered as retail costs. As of October 2013 Eircom has launched IPTV, however no update of ComReg’s position. Italy - Agcom For both tests, the retail-mark-up is applied to both Initially, the retail mark-ups were set by AGCOM and then put into consultation. Based on the responses from the industry, the mark-ups were adjusted. AGCOM did not have a specific description on how the mark-ups were defined initially or what made them adjust them afterwards. Italy’s regulator Agcom has provided us with aggregated totals and mapped their applied cost categories on the ones used in Denmark. The total retail costs (including one off and recurring costs) are calculated as a % of both wholesale costs and own network costs. AGCOM performs two different test, respectively: 1) A period-by-period test where only incremental costs are included. For this test, a retail markup of 10% is used; and 2) A DCF test where all costs are included and a retail mark-up of 25% is used for residential services and 20% for business services. For the purpose of calculating a comparable value to the Danish value, the residential value of 25% has been used. The network costs of the alternative operator are estimated to be around 3€ per month per customer (IP core network). For the wholesale costs 64 Retail cost assessment for DBA of residential broadband 13,94 5 is considered. This leads to 4,2 € total retail costs per month per customer. Agcom is using similar retail cost categories as in Denmark, however less. The following DBA items are missing: - Non single customer specific costs (recurring) CPE + distribution (one off) Customer activation (one off) Order related cost (one off) Without giving absolute figures, Agcom commented that their level of retail costs was much lower than the retail costs considered by Agcom. This could be partly explained by the above listed missing categories. Especially the recurring non-single customer specific (overhead) could represent a significant number. In order to compare the estimated Italian total, estimations of the missing cost categories have been added. No differentiation based on different service level, however Agcom does consider different retail costs for different distribution channels (e.g. online sales has lower sales comissions). Netherlands - ACM The regulator in the Netherlands is the Authority for Consumer and Market (ACM), previously known as OPTA. Due to confidentiality, ACM could only comment on the overall aggregated level of retail costs used in their margin squeeze tests. Market analyses by telecom regulator OPTA (predecessor of ACM) in the Netherlands resulted in a non discrimination obligation for many wholesale services of incumbant KPN. Part of this obligation is the behaviour rule not to margin squeeze (non discrimination rule 5). This rule is applicable for each individual product offer and based on the underlying incremental costs and resulted in a very detailed margin squeeze test. In line with this incremental approach, ACM allowed incumbent KPN to consider only those retail costs which are directly related to one specific product offering. In this approach shared retail costs are therefore not included. For example, billing costs are excluded as the same people are used for multiple products and billing is done in batches hence not attributable to a single product offering. 5 Commission Decision of ( May 2014 concerning Case IT/2014/1587: Wholesale broadband access in Italy - VULA, NGA Bitstream and ancillary services price, for market 5 for for FttC based WBA 13,94€ monthly. Retail costs assessment for DBA 65 All other ‘out of pocket’ retail costs like provided equipment (modem and installation therefor) are excluded in retail mark ups, but are included in the margin squeeze test. This resulted in a uniform retail mark-up on the wholesale costs of 1% for fixed telephony services and rental lines and data connectivity and 3% for broadband. Table 22: Incremental retail costs per product cluster in the Netherlands Product clusters Identified incremental retail costs as markup on the wholesale price Voice (incl. resold voice by KPN Corporate Services) 1% Broadband 3% Rental lines + Data connectivity 1% As markup on the retail price Data Services by KPN Corporate Services 4% All of the absolute figures are redacted in the KPN cost accounting publication of 2009, but from the text it seems that the retail to wholesale markup is mainly based on : - External distribution costs for one specific product (compensation paid to resellers) External call center costs when specific actions for one product offering Payments to third parties for specific TV content Resell costs for voice reselling by KPN subsidiary Corporate Solutions (CS) which sells predominantly business services Advertisements specific for one product offering (however after deducting a certain % for the brand as this is considered shared cost again). For data solutions sold by KPN’s subsidiary CS, a seperate retail markup has been established as the retail costs of CS are considered and not KPN. This retail markup is therefor related to the retail price of CS. Only manpower involved in one single product offering are considerd as incremental costs and hence included in the calculation. 66 Retail cost assessment for DBA In 2011, OPTA issued a complimentary decision on tarif regulation for fixed net voice for business markets. See https://www.acm.nl/nl/publicaties/publicatie/10295/Aanvullendontwerpbesluit-op-marktanalyse-vaste-telefonie-2011/ (dutch only). In this decision, OPTA established that KPN still has SMP on the retail markets for fixed multiple voice calling (ISDN1/2/15/20/30 excluding Voice over Broadband) due to their history despite having wholesale services available. For this reason the previously incremental approach towards retail costs was replaced by the approach that the integral retailcosts of KPN need to be covered. This resulted first in a temporary retail markup of 18,6% based on 2008 data, which was corrected afterwards to 11,2% and per February 2013 has been increased again to 13,5% based on 2011 data. For all other retail markets fixed telephony markets and business connectivity the previously lower retail markup of 1% of the wholesale rate still applies. Same for the market for broadband access, 3%. OPTA defended this approach with the argument that the incremental apporach is in line with the very detailed, product specific ND 5 margin squeeze test. Furthermore, OPTA stated that market parties can not expect both applying a detailed , product specific ND 5 test and using integral retail cost markup. Norway - NPT The regulator in Norway, NPT is in the process of developing the margin squeeze models for market 4 and 5 including elements such as the retail costs. It has however not yet started to discuss the relevant principles or the margin squeeze model in market 4 and 5 yet so could not provide much input. However NPT indicated that the margin squeeze test would be developed for fibre only. Per January 2014, incumbent Telenor has been designated as SMP in Norway and obligation to allow access and not to margin squeeze are the two available tools. Tests for copper based services are not deemed necessary as there is a price cap regulation for Unbundled Local Loop wholesale services based on historic costs and Bitstream is available as well. There is also price regulation in place for the wholesales service Wholesale Line Rental and as part of that for the retail costs. However NPT stated that these retail costs most likely will not be indicative for the retail costs related to the selling of broadband based packages. NPT has, on the other hand, developed a margin squeeze model in previous market 15 (access and call origination on mobile networks, which is still regulated in Norway), but this model and principles may not be directly applicable for market 4 and 5. In any case, the following set up is done for retail costs in the tests for market 15: - Retail costs split in fixed and variable 67 Retail costs assessment for DBA - No differentiation based on single/double/triple offering or business positioning Spain - CNMC The Spanish regulator CNMC considered all data as confidential, however could comment on the used retail cost categories (see below). Furthermore, CNMC does not consider business strategy while defining the level of the retail costs. CNMC is applying more recurring categories than DBA especially the category ‘non single customer specific costs’ is expanded into 6 categories (labelled with ‘4’ in second column). Table 23: Non single customer specific costs split up in Spain Non – single customer specific costs split up in: reference to DBA retail cost categories Product development costs 4 Sales cost 4 Marketing & advertising 4 Taxes 4 Costs of other added services 4 Monthly payment for rental of equipment associated with the new service 4 In respect to the one-off retail costs, CNMC uses similar categories except that ‘Order related cost’ is missing and that for the CPE they have 4 different categories instead of one based on the different CPE used: - modem router TV decoder Modem USB Handset The CPE costs themselves are also confidential. 68 Retail cost assessment for DBA CNMC does not consider different retail costs based on different business strategy / market segmentation. Sweden - PTS The Swedish telecom regulator does not have an economic replicability test or margin squeeze test, however has started a consultation recently on the proposed approach including a proposed mark-up to cover retail costs. The modelled alternative operator would be a EEO, and the test will only be used for Fibre not copper in line with the latest EU recommendations. Furthermore, the test is proposed to be done on an average user, for just the flagship products. In regards to the retail costs a mark-up between 20 and 25% related to the wholesale price plus network costs is proposed. This mark-up would be the same for fibre products and copper based products. PTS did his own benchmark among telecom regulators of the UK, Ireland and Italy (Ofcom, ComReg and Agcom) and observed these common aspects. Subscriber Acquisition Costs are not part of the retail mark-up, since it can be calculated and uniquely addressed to a customer. In these costs are for example the one-off cost for CPE and initial discounts to attract the customer. These costs will be annualized over the average customer life time.
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