HISPANIC DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS DEMOGRAPHICS REPORT 2017 BOARD OF DIRECTORS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT BOARD PAM CHANTER, CHAIR JORGE ALCAZAR SKIP BRAND TERRI DENTE TERRY GARRETT KATHRYN HECHT LINDA KACHIU WAYNE LEACH MICHAEL NICHOLLS MICHAEL TOMASINI BEN STONE, Executive Director EDB FOUNDATION SPONSORS PRESENTING LEVEL FOUNDATION LEVEL PREMIER LEVEL EXECUTIVE LEVEL AMERICAN AGCREDIT NORBAR AMERICAN RIVER BANK SONOMA COUNTY ALLIANCE COMCAST SUMMIT STATE BANK GEORGE PETERSEN INSURANCE VANTREO INSURANCE KEEGAN & COPPIN CO. ZAINER RINEHART CLARKE MIDSTATE CONSTRUCTION MEDIA LEVEL SONOMAEDB.ORG PG. 2 CONTENTS 4. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 6. A DEMOGRAPHIC SHIFT 7-8. DEMOGRAPHICS 9-10. K-12 EDUCATION SONOMAEDB.ORG 11. COLLEGE EDUCATION 12. HOUSING 13. WORKFORCE 14. HISPANIC BUSINESS PROFILE 15. HEALTHCARE 16. SOURCES 17. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS PG. 3 HISPANIC DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY April 2017 The Sonoma County Economic Development Board (EDB) is pleased to present the 2017 Hispanic Demographics Trends. This report includes demographic and workforce statistics at the local, state, and national levels. Over the last 20 years, a demographic shift has taken place in Sonoma County. The region has become increasingly diverse, due in part to the rapid growth of the Hispanic population. This demographic shift is not restricted to the county, but is active across California and the United States. The 2017 Hispanic Demographic Trends was created to help government, non-profits, businesses, and educational institutions develop plans that will address the future challenges and opportunities associated with changing demographics. The EDB expects to continue to pursue projects and reports related to the Hispanic community. Thank you for your continued interest in the EDB’s research. As always, if you have any questions, please feel free to contact us at (707) 565-7170. All data used is the most recent data available. HIGHLIGHTS According to the U.S. census data, Sonoma County’s Hispanic population was 132,197 in 2015, making up over 26 percent of the county’s inhabitants. The California Department of Finance projects that the Hispanic population will become the ethnic majority in the country (51%) by 2050 (see p. 6). Hispanic-owned businesses have also seen rapid growth both at the local level in Sonoma County and at the national level. According to the most recent U.S. census data available, as of 2012, there are 5,024 Hispanic-owned businesses in Sonoma County, an increase of 24% since 2007. Hispanic purchasing power and aggregate household income has seen a significant rise in buying power, with $1.7 trillion in buying power at the national level and $2.1 billion in aggregate household income for Hispanics in Sonoma County. The Hispanic labor force in Sonoma County has a higher rate of full-time employment than the white labor force, coupled with the Hispanic demographic shifting from young workers entering the market to a larger working-age population, suggests growth in the Hispanic labor force participation rate in Sonoma County. SONOMAEDB.ORG PG. 4 SONOMAEDB.ORG PG. 5 Population Growth Sonoma County 1990-2015 HISPANIC DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS 600000 A DEMOGRAPHIC SHIFT Hispanic 502,146 500000 400000 Sonoma County is continuing to experience a demographic shift, due in large part to the growing population of Hispanics that has reshaped the region’s economic identity. The Hispanic population has grown by almost 230 percent within the last 25 years, and by 2060 the Hispanic population is projected to make up 40 percent of the total population of Sonoma County (see p. 4). In 1990, the county had a population of 388,222, about 10 percent of which was Hispanic. By 2015, the Sonoma County population had grown to 502,146, of which Hispanics made up 26.3 percent of the population. The White population remains the majority in Sonoma County, with 63.8 percent of the population identifying as White, 4 percent as Asians, and 3.61 percent as African-Americans. Looking at future forecasts, Sonoma County is expected to become more heterogeneous in the next couple decades. The Hispanic population is projected to increase by more than 100,000 individuals and grow at a rate of 2.5 times faster that the total population in the county. As this major demographic shift continues and higher rates of Hispanics enter the workforce, unique opportunities and challenges for business, government, education, and community-based organizations will emerge. Total Population Population Growth Sonoma County 388,222 1990-2015 600000 Growth Sonoma 300000 Population Hispanic 1990-2015 500000 Total Population 200000 600000 Hispanic 388,222 400000 100000 500000 39,537 Total Population 300000 0 400000 388,222 1990 2000 County 502,146 132,197 502,146 2010 2015 200000 Source: Bay Area Census (www.bayareacensus.ca.gov) 300000 132,197 U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) 100000 200000 39,537 0 100000 132,197 1990 2000 2010 2015 39,537 Source: Bay Area Census (www.bayareacensus.ca.gov) 0 U.S. Projected Population Growth2015 Census Bureau (www.census.gov) 1990 2000 2010 (Sonoma County), 2020-2060 Source: Bay Area Census (www.bayareacensus.ca.gov) U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) 800000 660,937 700000 600000 500000 400000 800000 300000 700000 800000 200000 600000 700000 100000 500000 523,615 Projected Population Growth (Sonoma County), 2020-2060 Projected Population Growth (Sonoma County), 2020-2060 148,333 523,615 264,818 660,937 660,937 2020 2030 523,615 Hispanic 2040 2050 2060 600000 400000 Total Population 264,818 500000 300000 Source: California Department of Finance 400000 148,333 200000 (www.dof.ca.gov) 264,818 300000 100000 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 148,333 200000 Total Population Hispanic 100000 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 Source: California Department of Finance (www.dof.ca.gov) Total Population Hispanic Source: California Department of Finance (www.dof.ca.gov) Percentage Change in Population Sonoma County, 2020-2060 25% 20% 15% 25% 10% Hispanic Total Population Percentage Change in Population Sonoma County, 2020-2060 Percentage Change in Population Hispanic Sonoma County, 2020-2060 Total Population 20% 5% 25% 15% 0% 20% Hispanic 2020-2030 2030-2040 2040-2050 Total Population 2050-2060 10% 15% Source: 5% U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) 10% 0% 5% 2020-2030 SONOMAEDB.ORG PG. 6 2030-2040 2040-2050 2050-2060 0% 2020-2030 2030-2040 2040-2050 2050-2060 Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) HISPANIC DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS DEMOGRAPHICS Sonoma County has a Hispanic population of over 132,000, boasting the largest Hispanic population in the North Bay region. As a percentage of the total population, Sonoma County’s Hispanic population grew faster that that of the Bay Area, state and nation from 2010-2015. In the last 15 years, Sonoma County’s Hispanic population grew by 66 percent and the Hispanic population in the Bay Area grew by 38 percent. During the same time period, the Hispanic population of Napa County increased by 64.1 percent, while the Hispanic population in Marin increased only by 7.2 percent. The composition of Sonoma County’s Hispanic population as a percentage of the total population is 26.3 percent, similar to the composition of the Bay Area, with Hispanics making up 23.8 percent of the total population. While the percentage composition of Sonoma County increased from 24.9 percent to 26.3 percent from 2010 to 2015, this percentage is lower than the state average of 38.8 percent. At the national level, Hispanics comprise 17.6 percent of the U.S. population. The Hispanic population in Sonoma County has 33 percent of its population under the age of 18. By contrast, 14 percent of the White population is under the age of 18. The White and Hispanic populations have a similar portion of their population in the working age (ages 18-64), with 61.5 percent of the Hispanic population at working age compared to 62.3 percent of whites. However, the Hispanic population is younger, with 33 percent under the working age of 18, indicative of a strong relative increase in Hispanics entering the workforce in upcoming years. North Bay Hispanic Population by County North Bay Hispanic Population by County 2000-2015 2000-2015 150000 150000 2015 2015 2010 2010 2005 2005 2000 2000 120000 120000 90000 90000 60000 60000 30000 30000 0 0 Marin Marin Napa Napa Sonoma Sonoma Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) North Bay Hispanic Population by County North Bay Hispanic Population by County 2000-2015 2000-2015 40% 2005 2015 40% 35% 2005 2015 2000 2010 35% 30% 2000 2010 30% 25% 25% 20% 20% 15% 15% 10% 10% 5% 5% 0% United States Bay Area Sonoma 0% United States Bay Area Sonoma California California Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) Age Breakdown Age Breakdown 2015 100% 100% 80% 80% 60% 60% 0-17 0-17 23.62% 23.62% 0% 0% 18-64 18-64 65+ 65+ 5.27% 61.45% 5.27% 61.45% 62.25% 62.25% 40% 40% 20% 20% 2015 33.28% 33.28% 14.14% 14.14% White Hispanic White Hispanic Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) SONOMAEDB.ORG PG. 7 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) HISPANIC DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) DEMOGRAPHICS Hispanic Origin Distribution Hispanic Origin Distribution 2015 1.2%has Sonoma County 3.4% a growing young Hispanic population, many of 4%whom will Mexican be graduating 5% and entering Sonoma County’s workforce within Other Hispanic/Latino the next 5-10 years. Approximately 22,000 Central American Hispanics in Sonoma County are between the South American ages of 15 and 24. Puertoand Rican women The median age for Hispanic men 86% is approximately 22 years younger than that Cuban of White men and women. This age difference Dominican Republic affects the comparison of many social and economic indicators, including education levels Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) achieved, income levels, and household size, among other factors. Despite on average smaller families and households, the median White family income is approximately greater annually than Median$15,000 Househould Income that of the median 2015 Hispanic family income, $55,675. $80000 One primary$71,245 indicator of education$66,674 and income $70000 levels in the United States is English language $60000 $55,675 fluency. In Sonoma County, approximately 93 $50000 percent of Hispanic people speak at least some $40000 English. Nearly 29 percent speak only English, 33 $30000 percent speak English “very well,” and approximatley 65 percent are fully or partially $20000 bilingual. $10000 The Hispanic population in Sonoma County $0 White Hispanic Total is largely foreign born, with 86 percent of the Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) Hispanics in Sonoma County of Mexican descent. 2015 Age Distribution for Young People 1.2% 3.4% Sonoma 4%County, 2015 5% 20000 Mexican Other Hispanic/Latino Hispanic Central American White 15000 South American 10000 Puerto Rican 86% Cuban 5000 Dominican Republic Source: 0 U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) Age Distribution for Young People Sonoma County, 2015 Median Househould Income 2015 20000 Hispanic Origin Distribution Hispanic $71,245 White 1.2% $80000 $70000 15000 3.4% $60000 2015 $66,674 4% Mexican 5% $55,675 Other Hispanic/Latino $50000 10000 $40000 Central American $30000 5000 South American $20000 Puerto Rican 86% 0 $10000 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 Cuban25-29 $0 White Bureau (www.census.gov) Hispanic Total Source: U.S. Census Dominican Republic Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) Hispanic Origin Distribution English/Spanish Speaking by Hispanics 2015 English/Spanish Speaking by Hispanics Sonoma County, 2015 Sonoma County, 2015 1.2% 3.4% 4% Mexican Median Househould Income Speak only English 5% 7% 12.7% 28.6% $80000 28.6% $70000 Speak English “well” 18% 33.2% Speak English “very well” 2015 7% $71,245 Speak English “not at all” $40000 Central American $55,675 18% $50000 86% $66,674 Speak English “well” South American Speak English Puerto Rican“not well” Cuban Speak English “not at all” 33.2% $30000 Speak Other Language Other Hispanic/Latino Speak English “very well” 12.7% $60000 Speak English “not well” Speak only English Dominican Republic Speak Other Language $20000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) $10000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) $0 White Hispanic Total Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) SONOMAEDB.ORG PG. 8 Median Househould Income 2015 English/Spanish Speaking by Hispanics American Indian or Alaska Native HISPANIC DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS Source: California Department of Education (www.cde.ca.gov) K-12 EDUCATION California Schools K-12 Sonoma figures County Schools K-12 The enrollment in Sonoma County by Race/Ethnicity 2014-2015 illustrate Breakdown a growing diversity in the K-12 1% 2% educational1% system. Since 2000 the Hispanic 3% White 4% enrollment rate has increased 22 percentage Hispanic in 2000 to points from 22 percent enrollment 44 percent enrollment in 2015. Multirace Despite strong upward Asian trend, Hispanic 44.8% this enrollment in Sonoma County remains relatively 43.7% African American low in comparison to the state average of 54 percent Hispanic enrollment in Pacific K-12.Islander or Filipino Given the large percentage of Indian Hispanic American or Alaska Native students enrolled in Sonoma County schools, it is important to examine how proficient the Source: California Department of Education students (www.cde.ca.gov) are in reading and math. One statistic of concern is the reading proficiency rates among Hispanics, which falls K-12 behind those of California Schools White students. Inby2016, 19 percent of Hispanic Breakdown Race/Ethnicity 2014-2015 students in 1%the third grade met the standard 3% 3% Hispanic and 11 percent exceeded the reading standard, compared to White students inWhite the same grade 6% that met (28%) or exceeded (32%) the reading Asian standard. The low 9% test scores may be indicative of English being a second language for many of African American 53.6% the students. This trend of low test scores for the Pacific Islander or Filipino 24.6% Hispanic population continues when examining Multirace math proficiency scores. In 2016, 58 percent of White students in the third grade met (36%) or American Indian exceeded (22%) the math standard, while or Alaska Nativeonly 32 percent of Hispanic students in the third grade Department of Education metSource: (25%)California or exceeded (7%) the math standard. (www.cde.ca.gov) Breakdown by Race/Ethnicity 2014-2015 Sonoma County Schools K-12 1% 3% 3% Breakdown by Race/EthnicityHispanic 2014-2015 1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 30% American Indian Source: California Department of Education or Alaska Native (www.cde.ca.gov) Source: California Department of Education (www.cde.ca.gov) Third Grade Math Proficiency Sonoma County, 2016 California Schools K-12 40% Breakdown by Race/Ethnicity 2014-2015 Hispanic 35% 1% 3% 3% White Hispanic 30% 25% Asian African American 53.6% 10% 24.6% 5% 0% Standard Exceeded Standard Met Pacific Islander or Filipino Multirace Standard Standard Nearly Met Not Indian Met American or Alaska Native Source: California Department of Education (www.cde.ca.gov) Source: California Department of Education (www.cde.ca.gov) 35% 35% 20% 20% 20% 15% 15% 15% 10% 10% 10% 5% 5% 5% Hispanic Hispanic White White 0% 0% Standard Standard Exceeded Exceeded Standard Standard Nearly Met Not Met Standard Standard Met Met Standard Standard Standard Standard Nearly Not Met Met Nearly Met Met Not Source: Source: California California Department Department of of Education Education (www.cde.ca.gov) (www.cde.ca.gov) Source: California Department of Education (www.cde.ca.gov) 40% 9% 15% 30% 30% PG. 9 Third Grade Reading Proficiency Sonoma County, 2016 Hispanic White 6% 20% 40% 40% Grade Reading Proficiency Multirace African American American Indian Pacific Islander or Filipino or Alaska Native 25% 25% SONOMAEDB.ORG Third Pacific Islander or Filipino Asian Sonoma Sonoma County, County, 2016 2016 White Standard Met 24.6% Third Grade Reading Proficiency Third Grade Math Proficiency Hispanic Standard Exceeded Asian Hispanic 43.7% 25% 0% 9% African American Multirace 44.8% Sonoma County, 2016 35% White White 53.6% Third Grade Math Proficiency 40% 4% Sonoma County, 2016 40% Hispanic HISPANIC DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS K-12 EDUCATION 36% 36% 36% Source: California Department of Education Source: (www.cde.ca.gov) California Department of Education Source: (www.cde.ca.gov) California Department of Education (www.cde.ca.gov) Graduates with UC/CSU Required Courses Graduates with UC/CSU 2014-2015Required Courses Graduates with UC/CSU 2014-2015Required Courses A A A A Afr Afr fr m mic mic ic a a a 32.7% 32.7% Pa Pa ePraic ernic ernic n 32.7% ci ci cai n an an 22.9% 22.9% 22.9% fic fic fic /F /FI /FI I ili islila islila sla pi pin pin n 56.2% 56.2% 56.2% A A Ano ndoerndoer der m m m /A /Aer /Aer er 42% 42% 42% la laic laic ic sk sakn sakn an a a In a In In N Nd Nd d at atia atia ia 30.4% 30.4% 30.4% iv ivn ivn n e e e PG. 10 29.3% 29.3% 29.3% 49.3% 49.3% 49.3% Source: California Department of Education Source: (www.cde.ca.gov) California Department of Education Source: (www.cde.ca.gov) California Department of Education (www.cde.ca.gov) Dropout Percentage by Race/Ethnicity Dropout Percentage by Race/Ethnicity 2014-2015 Dropout Percentage by Race/Ethnicity 2014-2015 2014-2015 California California Sonoma CaliforniaCounty Sonoma County Sonoma County A A A A Afr Afr fr m mic mic ic e ean ean an Pa Pa Praica rica rica ci ci ci n n n fic fic fic /F /FI /FI I ili islila islila sla p pn pn n A A inAo indoeindoe de m m m r r r /A /Aer /Aer er la laic laic ic sk sakn sakn an a a In a In In N Nd Nd d at atia atia ia iv ivn ivn n e e e M M M ul ul ul tir tir tir ac ac ac e e e A A A si si si an an an 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 10% 10% 10% 8% 8% 8% 6% 6% 6% 4% 4% 4% 2% 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% Source: California Department of Education Source: (www.cde.ca.gov) California Department of Education Source: (www.cde.ca.gov) California Department of Education (www.cde.ca.gov) SONOMAEDB.ORG California California Sonoma CaliforniaCounty Sonoma County Sonoma County 29.1% 29.1% 29.1% M M M ul ul ul tir tir tir ac ac ac e e e 71.8% 71.8% 71.8% A A A si si si an an an 34.6% 34.6% 34.6% 25.3% 25.3% 25.3% H H H is is is pa pa pa ni ni ni c c c 50.5% 50.5% 50.5% 2014-2015 49.7% 49.7% 49.7% 80% 80% 70% 80% 70% 60% 70% 60% 50% 60% 50% 40% 50% 40% 30% 40% 30% 20% 30% 20% 10% 20% 10% 0% 10% 0% 0% H H H is is is pa pa pa ni ni ni 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% c c c Maintaining this downward trend in dropout rates will be vital for the economic competitiveness of the ever-increasing amount of Hispanics entering the workforce. An increase in both the Hispanic graduation rate and the percentage of Hispanic graduates who completed the necessary criteria to continue with a four-year university program, in conjuction with a decrease in dropout rates, forecasts an improved and productive Hispanic labor force. 52% 52% 52% 38.4% 38.4% 38.4% Although achieving skilled employment and earning a high income are not solely contingent upon earning a four-year university degree, they become significantly harder to obtain for those who lack a high school diploma. In Sonoma County dropout rates for Hispanics are continuing to decline, with an annual adjusted grade 9-12 dropout rate of 3.3 percent for Hispanic students in 2015. White White White Hispanic Hispanic Hispanic Asian Asian Asian Multirace Multirace Multirace African American African American African American Pacific Islander or Filipino Pacific Islander or Filipino Pacific Islander American Indianor Filipino American Indian or Alaska Native American Indian or Alaska Native or Alaska Native 3% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% W W W hi hi hi te te te In Sonoma County, about 25 percent of Hispanic graduates completed the necessary criteria to continue with a four-year university program. By contrast, 35 percent of Hispanic graduates achieved those same standards across the state. Comparatively, 38 percent of White graduates in Sonoma County completed the necessary criteria to enter a four-year university, which is lower than the 50 percent of graduates across the state. Breakdown 1% 2% 2% by Race/Ethnicity 2014-2015 W W W hi hi hi te te te Graduation rates among Sonoma County Hispanics are continuing their positive trend while dropout rates are decreasing. In 2015, 52 percent of Sonoma County high school graduates were White, and 36 percent were Hispanic. This is up from 5 years ago, when 29 percent of Sonoma County high school graduates were Hispanic. Sonoma County High School Graduates Sonoma County High School Graduates Breakdown by Race/Ethnicity 2014-2015 Sonoma County High School Graduates Breakdown by Race/Ethnicity 2014-2015 African American American Indian or HISPANIC DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS Alaska Native American Indian or Alaska Native COLLEGE EDUCATION Pacific Islander Source: Santa Rosa Junior College (www.santarosa.edu) Pacific Islander Source: Santa Rosa Junior College (www.santarosa.edu) Sonoma Recent developments in State the local and global Enrollment by Ethnicity, Fall 2015 economy have resulted in an increasing demand White for a workforce with advanced education. In 2% 5% 2015, 10 percent of Hispanics inHispanic Sonoma County 7% ages 25 and over have at least a bachelor’s Multirace degree, while slightly more than 35 percent of whites in the same age range have at least a Asian 49% degree. Nearly 33 percent of Sonoma bachelor’s 28% County residents ages 25 and over at least Africanhave American a bachelor’s degree, a mark that is slightly above American Indian or the national average of 30 percent. Alaska Native Islander In Fall 2014, 32 percent of the Pacific student body at Santa Rosa Junior College was Hispanic, while Source: Sonoma State University and Records White students made up Admissions 53 percent of the student body. At Empire College, 31 percent of the student body is Hispanic and 57 percent Empire College is White. AtEnrollment Sonoma State, 2015-2016 28 percent of the by Ethnicity, student body is 2% Hispanic and 49 percent is 1.5% 1.5% White. Sonoma State has the lowest White percentage 4.5% of White students. Santa Rosa Junior College Sonoma State Enrollment by Ethnicity, Fall 2014 Enrollment by Ethnicity, Fall 2015 White White 3% 2% Alaska Native Source: Empire College 53% 49% 2014-2015 30% 2013 African American African American American Indian or American Indian or Alaska Native Alaska Native Pacific Islander Islander Pacific Source: Santa Rosa Junior College (www.santarosa.edu) Source: Sonoma State University Admissions and Records Sonoma State Empire College Enrollment by Ethnicity, Fall 2015 Santa Rosa Junior College Enrollment by Ethnicity, 2015-2016 Enrollment by Ethnicity, Fall 2014 White 1.5% 1.5% 2% 2% White White Hispanic 5% 3% 4.5% 7% 5% Hispanic Hispanic Multirace 6% Multirace African Asian American 49% 57% 53% Asian Asian African American 31% 28% 32% African American Pacific Islander American Indian or Alaska Native American Indian or American Indian or Pacific Islander Alaska Native Alaska Native Pacific Islander Source: Sonoma State University Admissions and Records Source: Empire College Source: Santa Rosa Junior College (www.santarosa.edu) Enrollment by Ethnicity, 2015-2016 Sonoma State Hispanic Enrollment in Higher Education Enrollment 1.5% 1.5% 2% by Ethnicity, Fall 2015 Institutions, Sonoma County (%), 2013-2015 White White 25% 35% 2% 4.5% 2014-2015 30% 2013 5% Hispanic Hispanic 7% Multirace African American 25% 20% 57% 15% 20% 31% 15% 28% Asian Asian 49% 10% African American Pacific Islander 10% 5% 0% Asian Asian 32% 28% Empire College Hispanic Enrollment in Higher Education Institutions, Sonoma County (%), 2013-2015 35% Hispanic Hispanic 6% 7% Multirace Multirace Hispanic Sonoma State University has seen the largest growth in Hispanic enrollment African as a American percentage 31% of total 57% enrollment, increasing from 19 percent in Asian 2013 to 28 percent in 2015. Hispanic enrollment at Santa Rosa Junior College and Empire College Pacific Islander has increased marginally from 30 percent in American Indian or 2013. 5% 5% 5% Sonoma State SRJC Empire 0% SRJC Empire Source: Empire College Source: Sonoma State University Admissions and Records Source: Santa Rosa Junior College, Sonoma State University, Empire College Source: Santa Rosa Junior College, Sonoma State University, Empire College SONOMAEDB.ORG Sonoma State American American Indian Indian or or Alaska Alaska Native Native Pacific Islander PG. 11 Hispanic Enrollment in Higher Education Empire College Enrollment by Ethnicity, 2015-2016 Sonoma County (%), 2013-2015 Institutions, 35% 30% 1.5% 1.5% 2% 2014-2015 2013 4.5% White HISPANIC DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS HOUSING The median sales price of a home in Sonoma County between 2015 and 2016 increased by 13 percent from $512,100 to $580,500. Families making the median-family income for Sonoma County are not able to afford medianpriced homes. Among Sonoma County’s Hispanic population, the median household income in 2015 was $55,675. The minimum qualifying income to afford the median sales price of a home in Sonoma County is $112,840. Homeownership for the Sonoma County population as a whole is 60 percent, while 41 percent of the population are renters. Thirty-five percent of Hispanic adults in Sonoma County own their own home, and 65 percent rent their home. Homeownership for the State of California has fallen in recent years to about 54 percent. Nationwide, about 45 percent of Hispanic adults, and about 64 percent of the total adult population own their own home. Possibly due to a lack of affordable housing in Sonoma County, the percentage of Hispanic adult renters in Sonoma County is higher than that of Hispanic renters at the state (58%) and national (55%) levels. Housing Indicators Sonoma County, 2015-2016 $600000 $500000 $400000 $300000 $200000 $100000 $0 Median Sales Minimum Qualifying Median Hispanic Price of a Home Income to Afford Household Income 2016 Median Sales Price 2015 Source: California Association of Realtors (www.car.org) Home Ownership and Renting Sonoma County, California, Nation, 2015 80% United States 70% California 60% Sonoma 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Hispanic Owners Hispanic Renters White Owners Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) SONOMAEDB.ORG PG. 12 White Renters Total Owners Total Renters HISPANIC DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS WORKFORCE Hispanics in Labor Force by Age Group 2015 Hispanics in Labor Force by Age Group In 2015, Hispanics made up 26.3 percent of Sonoma County’s labor force, an increase from 2010 when Hispanics made up 24 percent of Sonoma County’s labor force. Of the total Hispanic population, 42 percent worked fulltime in the past 12 months. In comparison, 38 percent of the total population of Sonoma County worked full-time in the past 12 months. 7% 7% 9% 9% 2015 2015 20-24 16-19 16-19 25-54 20-24 20-24 55-64 25-54 25-54 14% 14% 70% 55-64 55-64 70% 70% Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) Source: Source: U.S. U.S. Census Census Bureau Bureau (www.census.gov) (www.census.gov) Median Household Income 2015 $80000 $70000 The Hispanic population is seeing a demographic shift from young workers entering the market to a larger working age population. Nearly 70 percent of Hispanics between the ages of 25 and 54 are employed or looking for work, amounting to nearly 46,000 current and potential workers. Median Household Income 2015 2015 $80000 $60000 $80000 $70000 $50000 $70000 $60000 $40000 $60000 $50000 $30000 $50000 $40000 $20000 $40000 $30000 $10000 $30000 $20000 $0 $20000 Hispanic Pop. Sonoma County $10000 $10000 Sonoma County California $0 Source: CensusPop. Bureau (www.census.gov) $0U.S. Hispanic Sonoma County California Hispanic Pop. Sonoma County California Sonoma County Sonoma County Source: Source: U.S. U.S. Census Census Bureau Bureau (www.census.gov) (www.census.gov) Concentration of Hispanics in Sonoma County Workforce by Occupation, 2006-2010 20000 Concentration of Hispanics in Sonoma 18000 Workforce Workforce by by Occupation, Occupation, 2006-2010 2006-2010 16000 14000 20000 20000 12000 18000 18000 10000 16000 16000 8000 14000 14000 6000 12000 12000 4000 10000 10000 2000 8000 8000 0 6000 6000 4000 4000 2000 2000 0 0 Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) Source: Source: U.S. U.S. Census Census Bureau Bureau (www.census.gov) (www.census.gov) SONOMAEDB.ORG PG. 13 100% County SSee Se rvrv rv icic ic ee e W W W SSaa Sa o o or lele rkrk les ke ss eer r aann rs s s an dd d OO O ffi ffi ffi PPr r P cece rod ce odod ucuc WW uc W titoio oor r tio or nn keke n a ke anan rsrs nd rs dd TrTr Tr CC anan C an oonn spsp on sp stst st oror or ruru r tata ta titoio uc tio cct t tio ioio nn n NN nn Na n aat t WW tu W uur r oor r ra or aal l keke l R ke RR r r r ees s s s es s oouu ou rcrc rc BB ee Bu e uus s WW sin W inin oor r e or ees s keke ss ke ss aann rsrs an rs dd d FFi i Fi EEdd Ed nnaa na uucc u nncc ca nc aat t iaia tio ia ioio ll l nn n aann H an HH eeaa dd ea d ltlhth LLee lth Le ggaa ca ga ccaa rere re ll l PPr r Pr aacc ac PPr r tittit Pr tit oot t o ioio io eecc nnee tec ne titviv rsrs tiv rs ee e SScc SSee Sc Se ieie rvrv ien rv nncc icic ic ee ees s ce es aann an dd d EEnn En ggi i gi nnee ne eer r er inin in gg g As a percentage of Sonoma County’s total workforce, Hispanics made up 50 percent of natural resources, construction, and maintenance occupations, 37 percent of all service workers, and 36 percent of all workers. Sonoma County’s Hispanic workforce has a significant economic impact on Sonoma County as evident through the occupations and industries with a high percentage of Hispanic workers. 9% 16-19 14% Despite a higher rate of full-time employment, median household income for Hispanics in Sonoma County falls below the median household income for the total population. Median household income for Hispanics is $55,675. Comparatively, the average median household income for the total population in Sonoma County is $66,674, and in California is $64,500. In Sonoma County, the Hispanic workforce is most heavily concentrated in the areas of service work, labor and help, construction, and sales and related occupations. In 2015, 18,103 Hispanic workers were employed as service workers, and of those employed as service workers nearly 6,000 were employed in food preparation and serving related occupations. Hispanics were also represented heavily in other occupations, such as the 11,693 Hispanic workers in sales and office occupations, and the nearly 9000 Hispanic workers employed in production and transportation occupations. 7% 80% 100% 100% 60% 80% 80% 40% 60% 60% 20% 40% 40% 0% 20% 20% 0% 0% HISPANIC DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS HISPANIC BUSINESS PROFILE Sonoma County, 2010-2015 (In Thousands of Dollars) $350000 $350000 $300000 $323,921 $323,921 $300000 $250000 $258,149 $250000 $200000 $258,149 $200000 $150000 $150000 $100000 $100000 $50000 Over the last decade, the amount of Hispanicowned firms has increased rapidly at the national level. This same trend is present in Sonoma County. In 2012, there were 5,024 Hispanicowned firms in Sonoma County, an increase of 24 percent from the 4,056 Hispanic-owned businesses in 2007. Hispanics have also nationally seen a rise in the percentage of startups. According to Kauffman, the percentage of new Hispanic entrepreneurs has doubled within the last decade. In 2015, Hispanics made up nearly 21 percent of new entrepreneurs, up from 10 percent in 1996. The expansion of Hispanic-owned firms and the purchasing power of Hispanic consumers provides an opportunity for Hispanic entrepreneurs and consumers alike to impact the local and national economies. $50000 $0 2010 2015 $0 2010 2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) *Discretionary income calculated as 15% of aggregate income Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) *Discretionary income calculated as 15% of aggregate income Aggregate Income of Hispanics Sonoma County, 2010-2015 (In of Thousands of Dollars) Aggregate Income Hispanics Sonoma County, 2010-2015 (In Thousands of Dollars) $2500000 $2500000 $2000000 $2,159,470 $2000000 $2,159,470 $1500000 $1500000 $1,720,996 $1,720,996 $1000000 $1000000 $500000 $500000 $0 2010 2015 $0 2010 2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) Source: U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) Percentage of New Entrepreneurs by Race States, 1996-2015 Percentage United of New Entrepreneurs by Race United States, 1996-2015 80% 80% 70% 70% 60% 60% 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 30% 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% White Hispanic White Hispanic African American African American Asian Other Asian Other Source: Kauffman Foundation (www.kauffman.org) Source: Kauffman Foundation (www.kauffman.org) SONOMAEDB.ORG PG. 14 1996 1996 2015 2015 20.8% 20.8% On the national level, Hispanic consumers have seen a significant rise in buying power, with $1.7 trillion in buying power. Consumption is the single most direct way for individual consumers to affect the overall market. As purchasing power increases, so too will market representation in response to the increased demand. Disposable Income of Hispanics Sonoma County, 2010-2015 (In Thousands of Dollars) Disposable Income of Hispanics 10% 10% According to U.S. Census data, aggregate household income for Hispanics in Sonoma County is $2.1 billion. Hispanic residents of Sonoma County therefore account for an estimated $324 million in disposable income. (Disposable income calculated as 15% of aggregate income). HISPANIC DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS HEALTHCARE 50% 40% White 51.7% 51.7%51.7% Hispanic White 40% 30% 30% 20% 31.8% 31.8%31.8% 36.9% 36.9% 36.9% 60% 50% 0% M M M eedd ed EEm iicc i m Em aaii cai ppll pl d ooyy oy dd m m m eenn en tt-tPPrr Pr bbaa ba iivv i aatt vat sseedd sed eell el yy y PPuu Pu rrcc r hhaa cha ssee se dd d 10% 0% M M M && eedd& ed M M iiccM ic ee aae a M M M ddiicc rreedic re eedd ed aa ai d iicc i iidd aarr car ee e && & oott ot hh he M M M ee rs eedd ed rrss iicc ic aarr ar ee e OO O nnll nl yy y 20% 10% Source: UCLA Center for Health Policy Research (www.healthpolicy.ucla.edu) Source: UCLA Center for Health Policy Research (www.healthpolicy.ucla.edu) Body Mass Index Measure 2014 BodySonoma Mass County, Index Measure Sonoma County, 2014 50% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0% 15.7% 15.7%15.7% 20% 10% 20.6% 20.6% 20.6% 36.8% 36.8% 36.8% Hispanic 40% 30% 40.5% 40.5% 40.5% White Hispanic 39.3% 39.3%39.3% 50% 40% 41.8% 41.8%41.8% White Underweight Normal Overweight Obese Underweight Normal Overweight Obese Source: UCLA Center for Health Policy Research (www.healthpolicy.ucla.edu) Source: UCLA Center for Health Policy Research (www.healthpolicy.ucla.edu) Overall Health Overall Health Sonoma County, 2014 Overall Health Sonoma County, 2014 5% 0% Very Good Fair Poor Good Very Good Fair Poor Good Source: UCLA Center for Health Policy Research 0% Excellent 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 10% 5% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8% 15% 10% 12.8% 12.8%12.8% 20% 15% 10.9% 10.9%10.9% 25% 20% Hispanic 24.2% 24.2%24.2% 30% 25% White White Hispanic 24.8% 24.8% 24.8% 35% 30% 22.4% 22.4% 22.4% 35% 34.7% 34.7%34.7% Examining healthcare for Hispanics is an important part of understanding the challenges of an evolving demographic in Sonoma County. Sonoma County, 2014 Hispanic 33.8% 33.8%33.8% The trend of lower health indicators for the Hispanic population continues when examining BMI scores. Hispanics have a significantly higher percentage of overweight percentages than whites, with 42 percent of Hispanics reported as being obese, and 41 percent reported as overweight, while 21 percent of Whites reported being obese and 39 percent reported being overweight. The percentage of Hispanics in Sonoma County ranked in the normal BMI range is also significantly lower than that of Whites, with 37 percent of Whites in Sonoma County ranked in the normal BMI level and 16 percent of Hispanics ranked in the normal BMI level. 60% 26.3% 26.3%26.3% The higher rate of the Hispanic uninsured population may contribute to a higher rate of Hispanics self-reporting their overall health as fair or poor. Of the Hispanic population, 7 percent self-report their overall health being fair, and 24 percent self-report their overall health as poor. Sixty-nine percent report their overall health as excellent (12%), very good (34%), or good (22%), compared to the nearly 86 percent of Whites that positively reported their health. Types of Insurance for Hispanics and Whites Sonoma County, 2014 Types of Insurance for Hispanics and Whites UU U nnii n nnss ins uurr u 20.3% 20.3% eedd red 20.3% Insurance is a key indicator of the well-being of a demographic, as it helps to understand the health of Hispanics living in Sonoma County. Nearly 37 percent of Hispanics are using Medicaid, 32 percent are using employment20 percent are based insurance, and uninsured. Comparatively, only 3 percent of the White population is uninsured. Excellent (www.healthpolicy.ucla.edu) Source: UCLA Center for Health Policy Research (www.healthpolicy.ucla.edu) SONOMAEDB.ORG PG. 15 HISPANIC DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS SOURCES The 2016-2017 Hispanic Demographics Trends Indicators provide a comparative study on various economic, demographic, environmental, and social aspects of the Hispanic Demographic within Sonoma County. Sonoma County Economic Development Board (EDB) research originates from information available from outside resources and previously published material. The 2016-2017 Hispanic Demographics Trends offer partial or composite representations of raw data and cite respective data sets. For more information see listed sources. DATA SOURCES Bay Area Real Estate Information Services, Inc. California Association of Realtors California Board of Education California Department of Finance California Employment Development Department Empire College Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation ESRI Business Analyst Geoscape, American Marketspace DataStream Moody’s Analytics Nielsen Santa Rosa Junior College Sonoma State University Sonoma County Economic Development Board UCLA Center for Health Policy Research United States Census Bureau United States Bureau of Labor Statistics SONOMAEDB.ORG PG. 16 HISPANIC DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS METHODOLOGY The 2016-2017 Hispanic Demographics Trends is a product of the Sonoma County Economic Development Board (EDB). According to the Census Bureau, Hispanics are those people who classify their origin (ancestry) as Mexican, Mexican American, Chicano, Puerto Rican, Cuban, Argentinean, Colombian, Costa Rican, Dominican, Ecuadoran, Guatemalan, Honduran, Nicaraguan, Peruvian, Salvadoran, from other Spanish-speaking countries of the Caribbean or Central or South America, or from Spain. The data used by the Economic Development Board is reflective of this definition. This report offers composite representations of raw data and cite respective source data sets on demographic trends occurring in Sonoma County. The Indicators do not provide complete indepth analyses of all facets of Sonoma County. The EDB believes all data contained within this report to be accurate and the most current available, but does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Use of data from an outside source does not represent an endorsement of any product or service by the EDB, its members or affiliates. For more information, please see the listed sources. Interested readers are encouraged to contact data source agencies or organizations for further research or visit our website at www.sonomaedb. org. Readers are also invited to suggest improvements for future reports by calling (707) 565-7170 or emailing [email protected]. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The 2016-2017 Hispanics Demographic Trends data was updated by Intern Justin Cox, and the report was analyzed and edited by Economic Development Project Coordinator, Kanny Morgan. SONOMAEDB.ORG PG. 17 SONOMAEDB.ORG 707 - 565 - 7170 141 STONY CIRCLE, STE. 110, SANTA ROSA, CA 95401
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