ericsson White paper Uen 284 23-3242 | February 2015 Understanding the Networked Society NEW LOGICS FOR AN AGE OF EMPOWERMENT Some of the most powerful technologies ever created are rapidly diffusing into most aspects of our everyday lives. This paper looks beyond the purely technological effects of the era we call the Networked Society and outlines its transformational business and social logics that are now emerging on a global scale. Digital Dynamics in a Physical World There is little question that technology has the potential to fundamentally transform how we organize our lives, businesses and societies. But only recently have some of the most powerful technologies ever created become intensely personal – they are now embedded not just into our mobile devices and cloud software, but into our everyday expressions, interactions, relationships and exchanges. The result is an unprecedented capacity for individual empowerment, entrepreneurship and innovation. Just two decades into the era of internet connectivity, we now expect not just instant online access to information, our contacts and goods and services from anywhere in the world; we expect these interactions to be intuitively organized, managed and presented for us, without ever having to ask. Through multiple online personae, we adapt our appearance, language and even our name according to the contexts and communities we encounter. We make new acquaintances and business contacts, find nearby friends, and navigate completely new worlds thanks to the contextual awareness, social connections and past preferences stored in a single mobile app. Our very identities are therefore defined less by the traditional gatekeepers of local and national society, and more by the digital services, platforms and global communities we choose. As these digital infrastructures and interactions become increasingly central to the functioning of our societies and economies, it is in everyone’s interest to understand their potential and ensure their integrity. Basic social rights such as personal privacy and security will demand new definitions and protections. Safeguards will be needed to protect individuals from the abuse of information and the rise of new monopolies. And affordable broadband connectivity will need to be extended to billions of individuals who remain economically excluded. If the Networked Society we are now entering is to be a more inclusive, equitable and empowering one, we must start by examining the fundamentally different nature of a physical world fueled by digital connectivity. In this paper, we look beyond the purely technological effects of the era we call the Networked Society and attempt a broader understanding of its transformational business and social dynamics that are now emerging on a global scale. UNDERSTANDING THE NETWORKED SOCIETY • DIGITAL DYNAMICS IN A PHYSICAL WORLD 2 Opening up Platforms for Innovation The industrial economy, in its most basic sense, was built on the efficiencies of mass production and massive concentration of resources. As such, it incentivized scale, standardization and proprietary control. Despite the unparalleled benefits this economic system provided, from poverty reduction and affordable travel to vastly greater access to health care and financial services, power has nonetheless largely remained in the hands of a privileged few. Many of the vertically integrated organizations that have emerged are now sources of major inefficiencies and competitive barriers, as well as significant contributors to some of our most pressing global challenges, including social inequality and resource degradation. The technological revolution of the Networked Society, by contrast, has the power to disrupt these imbalances with increased openness, collaboration and constant innovation. By enabling new contact points and bringing down barriers to the flows of ideas and information, it provides a new platform for innovation that is constantly changing, responding, experimenting and adapting. Rather than rewarding exclusive vertical silos, it rewards participation. Open participation is therefore critical to some of today’s fastest-growing and most innovative businesses, many of which aim to maximize their utility to large user bases before finding the business models that would make them profitable. Figure 1: The dynamics of major business and social paradigms. Instead of serving as passive endpoints in a value chain, individuals now contribute valuable data, ideas, insights and opinions that can be analyzed and acted upon faster and on a greater scale than ever before. These contributions, used responsibly, can have radically important impacts. In just the last 10 years, a global volunteer community has built what is by far the most comprehensive encyclopedia in human history. A European ridesharing network now offers shared trips, each costing no more than the price of fuel, to more than 2 million people every month without adding a single new car to the road. The open innovation platform Quirky, meanwhile, is linking a limited patent library from the industry giant General Electric with thousands of individual inventors worldwide, effectively opening up some of its intellectual property assets to a new global pool of innovators. The effects of these innovative platforms are being felt even in traditional sectors at the core of society, such as public utilities, education and health care, each of which will be forced to move from delivering mass services to providing responsive, individualized experiences adapted to today’s participatory culture. Traditional stakeholders and social institutions, of course, remain valuable sources of stability and knowledge in an increasingly disruptive world. Their roles, however, will be transformed as hierarchical structures – and the top-down, mechanistic views of management and social organization that support them – give way to dynamic networks of continuous innovation. UNDERSTANDING THE NETWORKED SOCIETY • OPENING UP PLATFORMS FOR INNOVATION 3 From Linear to Exponential Change As Moore’s law accurately predicted, computational capacity continues to double roughly every 18 months. The pace of this development is only amplified by rapid improvements in software, resulting in artificial intelligence and advanced algorithms that are quickly evolving to understand and interpret some of our most complex natural processes. At the same time, the ability to access this capacity is multiplying due to sharp increases in bandwidth, and improvements in latency and other QoS parameters. Interfaces are also becoming more seamless due to advances in cloud computing as well as in visual, tactile and verbal interfaces. Such exponential improvements have brought what just over a decade ago were considered industrial-strength processing and communication capabilities into the homes and hands of individuals everywhere. Thanks to this highly capable infrastructure, data and information have become the new raw materials for value generation. Metadata, sensor data, interaction patterns, behavioral information and much more are generated in massive volumes and made available in real time. We have reached a point where global networks are equally valuable in terms of content – for example, the information they hold and make available for innovation and extraction of new insights – as they are in terms of their traditional functional value of providing connectivity. The continual improvement of ICT infrastructure also provides increasingly complete off-theshelf capabilities. Anyone starting a company today can acquire all the necessary tools and developed business practices – including a complete e-store, office environment, back-office support and more – at a fraction of the cost compared with just a few years ago. This radically tears down barriers for entrepreneurship, opening possibilities for people to engage in new economic activities in much more flexible settings. The effect is that many more ideas will be tested, with a corresponding rise in overall levels of innovation. Accelerating technology developments in the core of ICT, the rise of data as a raw material and the powerful enabling capabilities of ICT together constitute an exponential change in new forms of value creation. As a result, advanced ICT capabilities represent a fundamentally new starting point for technological progress in almost every area. New applications of emerging technologies such as 3D printing, robotics, biotechnology and smart materials will not only be created at an accelerating pace, but will see ICT rapidly integrated into their technological cores. UNDERSTANDING THE NETWORKED SOCIETY • FROM LINEAR TO EXPONENTIAL CHANGE 4 Digital Solutions to Social Inefficiencies In the years ahead, the immense collective capabilities of digital networks and their users have the potential to solve challenges on a scale never before possible. From today’s ICT systems that find and capitalize on inefficiencies at a personal or organizational level, we will soon have the capacity to make radical interventions across industries and cities throughout the globe. In the developing world, where the vast majority of growth in population, urbanization and surging mobile data traffic is taking place, there is enormous potential to leapfrog traditional paths of development. In the Philippines, mobile-money services are effectively bypassing established banking systems. Throughout India, the world’s largest biometric identification system is enabling both illiterate and previously undocumented citizens to participate in a fast-growing economy. Other regions with low ICT maturity are leveraging widespread mobile connectivity to roll out e-governance and other mobile services that provide better access to scarce public services. More diverse approaches are taking place in areas with higher levels of ICT maturity. The City Operations Center of Rio de Janeiro in Brazil, for example, predicts rainfall patterns and delivers real-time reporting on everything from traffic accidents to power outages. This digital command center is proving instrumental to improving public safety and ensuring rapid response measures. On a more entrepreneurial level, architecture firms in both China and the Netherlands are developing increasingly viable 3D printers that may soon enable customized printing of entire houses, a development that could revolutionize the notoriously costly and time-consuming construction sector, while contributing to solving the challenges of a rapidly urbanizing world. UNDERSTANDING THE NETWORKED SOCIETY • DIGITAL SOLUTIONS TO SOCIAL INEFFICIENCIES 5 Key Enablers in the Networked Society Like the preindustrial and industrial worlds that preceded it, the Networked Society represents a fundamental paradigm shift for people, business and society. In this shift, new resources are continuously discovered, new forms of value are unleashed, and the most basic logics of life and business are transformed as a result. However, in tomorrow’s networked economy, the key enablers of growth and innovation come not from physical assets and infrastructures, but from the people, platforms and insights that are leveraged to reinvent them. This represents a shift from static objects to dynamic services, from physical communities to digital networks and from centralized production to distributed knowledge. The physical world, in short, behaves more like a digital one – enabled by a fundamentally new set of building blocks for value creation: USERS – PARTICIPATING AND ACTIVE We are moving away from a world defined by hierarchy and linear thinking into a paradigm centered on individual context with a culture defined by collaboration and participation. At the heart of any organization are its users – the students, patients, customers and citizens whose engagement and contributions are vital in maximizing the network’s value. As users become actively involved contributors of knowledge and enthusiasm to the networks in which they participate, products and services will improve their relevance, benefit from new development insights and result in cocreated experiences. As a result, users are an increasingly vital asset for any public or private organization. THINGS – CONNECTED AND INTELLIGENT A product, once designed, is no longer limited to performing its original function. We are entering a reality in which billions of physical objects are embedded with online intelligence and layer upon layer of digital interactivity. These connections, whether between wearable devices, cars and home-automation systems, or among networked urban infrastructure and sensor-equipped industrial machinery, will serve as enablers for more dynamic products enhanced with a wealth of new services that improve product performance and achieve new levels of object network efficiency. DATA – OWN, SHARED AND OPEN Thanks to new analytical and algorithmic tools, the rising amounts of data created by practically every person, thing and interaction can now be combined across object networks to enable new forms of collective reasoning for improved decision-making and automated tasks. Organizations will harness and synthesize this data – whether their own, shared or open data – dynamically and in real time as a new resource to deliver insights that were never before possible. However, without trust in the privacy and security of data used in these applications, the potential benefits in these areas will be severely limited. CAPABILITIES – AVAILABLE AND ON-DEMAND For an increasing number of entrepreneurs, starting a global business today requires little more than an idea, a user base and a network of collaborators. Funding can be crowdsourced. Factories can be rented. And specialized skills, work spaces and digital infrastructures can be acquired or downsized on demand. Many previous barriers to market entry and global scale will be lowered or eliminated as a result. UNDERSTANDING THE NETWORKED SOCIETY • KEY ENABLERS IN THE NETWORKED SOCIETY 6 DIGITIZATION – EXPONENTIAL AND UBIQUITOUS Physical products are either becoming digital services or are significantly enhanced with new digital service capabilities. An organization’s digital assets rise in importance, becoming some of the primary sources of business value, and physical processes become real-time data flows. Wherever possible, business practices are digitized to become faster, more relevant and more cost-efficient. PLATFORMS – ECONOMICS AND SCALE Most business offerings today consist of a product or service. A technology platform, by contrast, makes it possible to provide a function, a network of relationships or a completely new marketplace for one’s own products and services, and those of others. By opening up entire business processes to other stakeholders, the platform serves as the technological base upon which customers, developers, businesses and their partners can build added value through increased participation. Wherever a platform emerges as a business-critical infrastructure for a wide range of other businesses, it not only reduces transaction costs for various business and peer-to-peer functions to nearly zero, but becomes an economic force with a logic of its own. UNDERSTANDING THE NETWORKED SOCIETY • KEY ENABLERS IN THE NETWORKED SOCIETY 7 Success Factors for Organizations These new building blocks require a fresh set of skills and capabilities in order to capture the often unforeseeable opportunities that lie ahead. To succeed in the future, organizations will have to master a number of essential new practices: ENCOURAGE USER CO-CREATION User contributions – ranging from content, feedback and co-creation to a wealth of new data flows – are now vital to the continued innovation of adaptive and more relevant value systems. As participation in digitally mediated networks becomes a significantly more active and natural part of business, enterprises must implement new processes for improved user engagement, provide enhanced means of user empowerment and open up more digital products and services to the collaborative models that enable micro-entrepreneurs to flourish. INNOVATE IN THE SERVICE BUSINESS In a world of connected things, value will shift from the physical properties of a product to the services that it provides. For instance, the automotive business is set to evolve from a value model centered on product hardware into a service model focused on delivering transport utility, with today’s connected cars and car-sharing services ultimately progressing to tomorrow’s selfdriving cars. In this example, it will be the shapers of the new service model – and not necessarily the automotive manufacturers themselves – that are able to capture the future value of transportation most successfully. Across all industrial sectors, the ability to establish service-centric business models and ecosystems while innovating in services adjacent to products will be increasingly critical to success. In many cases, the products of tomorrow will serve merely as a means for the service business, which will emerge as the dominant model in a number of industries. In addition to delivering enriched experiences, intuitive interactions and responsive features for users, the ecosystems that emerge will introduce fundamentally different operating models for governments, communities and businesses whose interests and assets will converge in multiple new ways. MAKE SENSE OF DATA Individuals and decision-makers will be empowered by powerful real-time data analytics, new interactive tools and augmented environments. We will also see automated workflows and new forms of artificial intelligence. The ability to combine, sort, analyze and visualize actionable data insights from a multitude of sources is therefore becoming a critical skill for people, businesses and governments everywhere. Wherever private data is concerned, new data protection standards will be required to protect against misuse of information, as even metadata can be used to create profiles of highly sensitive personal behaviors. ESTABLISH NETWORKED PRACTICES The expanding landscape of ICT-enabled resources will create new operational dimensions and efficiencies that demand in-depth understanding and management. The near-instant scalability of digital platforms and cloud services, for example, transforms our conceptions of value creation tools and business practices. Future businesses will rely on a fundamentally different balance between the resources and capabilities they own, rent or share, and will apply new access logics in which critical assets are acquired on an on-demand basis. DIGITIZE BUSINESS RESOURCES As more processes and products become digitized, we will enter an era of highly adaptive, innovation-driven organizations that can rapidly reallocate resources and knowledge while finetuning products and services through streamlined digital relationships. This poses clear challenges 8 UNDERSTANDING THE NETWORKED SOCIETY • SUCCESS FACTORS FOR ORGANIZATIONS to established players, spurring them to develop their own digital solutions to strengthen decisionmaking and value creation surrounding existing core assets. DEVELOP NEW PLATFORMS As the dimensions of businesses expand through new value networks, the economic models of technology platforms will follow. Web search, social networks and e-commerce are just a few current examples of this development, whereby new platforms emerge and mature as powerful, market-dominating business players. In the years ahead, we can expect technology platforms to emerge in many more areas as network logics are applied into new spaces including connected things, industries and practices. Establishing and maintaining successful platforms requires the ability to serve a two- or multi-sided business, while providing substantial simplifications and added functionalities that support the business of others. As digital markets continue to mature, the pace of change will only accelerate. Technologies will become cheaper, faster and more powerful. New, highly efficient competitors will emerge. And everything from business models and product categories to financing and human resources will be forced to reinvent itself. With the rise of mobile, cloud and broadband technologies, we are witnessing a radical transformation of the global economy. Near-universal interconnectedness and access to technology has driven billions of people, businesses, processes and things to reconfigure themselves into new networks of real-time interaction, collaboration and innovation. To manage this fundamental shift, successful organizations will have to adapt their strategies to meet a vast array of new market conditions. Depending on the industry’s degree of digital maturity, this means dramatically redefining the boundaries of a company’s markets, competition and resources – and of the enterprise itself. 9 UNDERSTANDING THE NETWORKED SOCIETY • SUCCESS FACTORS FOR ORGANIZATIONS Opportunities ahead for people, business and society The world continues to struggle with the systemic limitations of the economic model created by the industrial revolution. There are ample signs that a fundamental change is required in order for the global economy to sustain the realities of the future: >> The world’s resources are insufficient for the entire global population to adopt the consumption patterns of the Western world – even without taking climate change into account. >> The stagnation of Western economies seems to have no apparent remedy. At the same time, these regions face rising demands due to aging populations, youth unemployment, climate change, defense expenditures and wealth disparities. >> A continuation of past models of industrialization will not bring prosperity to the less affluent regions of the world, as increasingly automated production and ICT-based business processes eliminate many of the opportunities of low-cost production that brought wealth to large parts of Asia. >> Automation of increasingly qualified tasks will render more and more skilled workers redundant. The digital economy, which now makes up a sizable and growing share of the world economy, will continue to contribute to substantial efficiency improvements in the current industrialized model over the coming years. Looking further ahead, however, digital technologies have the potential to bring about a new post-industrial logic in which ICT will make even more significant contributions to social and economic progress. Equipped with a new array of technological enablers, we now have a rare opportunity to reinvent those industrial logics and social institutions that no longer serve us well. For people, it will mean taking a greater responsibility for the systems into which we are becoming increasingly intertwined. This includes holding network stakeholders and participants accountable, improving products and infrastructure and exploring new realms of microentrepreneurship, social development and intellectual creativity. Accordingly, working life can be dictated less by the structures and relationships of the industrial era and more by flexible, entrepreneurial opportunities. Digital technologies can be leveraged to cultivate and empower the best talents for the new economy by democratizing education and bringing learning to those most capable of taking advantage of it. Across all areas of life, increased participation can lead to a range of new functions and services that are better optimized for specific times, spaces and uses. As products are increasingly shared, repurposed and resold through digital networks, they can gain extended forms of lifetime value that reduce waste and improve personal utility. For business, new collaborative cultures and creative environments will emerge alongside powerful platforms that open up entirely new market sectors. These markets will be defined more by functionality and content than by physical proximity or existing industrial boundaries, making it possible to provide both richer services to niche groups and high-volume capabilities across the globe. The production, use and distribution of resources can be made dramatically more efficient, and a new global market can be created for high-quality craftsmanship that requires fewer resources and maintains strong residual value. In addition to increasing market efficiencies, digital connectivity is also set to bring an additional 3 billion participants into the online global marketplace – a nearly unimaginable source of knowledge, buying power and innovative capacity. 10 UNDERSTANDING THE NETWORKED SOCIETY • OPPORTUNITIES AHEAD FOR PEOPLE, BUSINESS AND SOCIETY For society, economic and environmental sustainability will require transformational changes both in technology and in our patterns of production and consumption. ICT is one of the key enablers for this change. The shift from consumption of physical goods to consumption of digital services will lead to the dematerialization, reuse and shared usage of many existing products. Digitally-enhanced transport services, such as apps that facilitate shared vehicles, hourly rentals or multimodal services, will both expand access and reduce the need for costly and wasteful ownership of underutilized physical assets. Faced with the effects of climate change, according to GeSI, ICT has the potential to help reduce global greenhouse gas emissions by more than 16 percent [1], while helping to create more resilient societies, improve disaster management and enable disaster relief by coordinating emergency responses and much more. Lifelong learning opportunities, freely accessible public services and powerful new devices can also improve the quality of life for millions of people across the globe, including disadvantaged, disabled and aged citizens for whom these possibilities were previously out of reach. In many respects, increased individual empowerment will force us to reconsider some of our most deeply held convictions about the roles of social institutions. Instead of recipients of education, students become agents of lifelong learning. Rather than treating illness, doctors can proactively deliver personalized wellness and preventive care. And the wastefulness of one-way commerce can be replaced by efficient systems of multidirectional exchange. All major social institutions are likely to be subjected to greater transparency demands and competition, forcing them once again to ask the most basic questions, such as: What core social functions do we provide? Who do we serve? And what technologies can we leverage to do this with greater relevance and efficiency? 11 UNDERSTANDING THE NETWORKED SOCIETY • OPPORTUNITIES AHEAD FOR PEOPLE, BUSINESS AND SOCIETY Conclusion As this paper has argued, there is good reason to consider the transformational power of ICT and the emerging Networked Society as a shift on par with, or even greater than, that of the industrial revolution. The difference this time is twofold: a combination of individual empowerment with an exponential rate of technological change that outpaces every other technological revolution in human history. A transformation of this magnitude will impact every aspect of society, from governing principles and economic models to wealth creation. History has shown that every new technology brings new opportunities, challenges and risks. And the more a technology challenges existing institutions, the greater the demand for new legal, commercial and social frameworks for its adoption. The current debates surrounding security, integrity, trust, inclusion and market conditions indicate that we are just beginning to grasp some of the broader societal impacts of the digital revolution. Just as the steam engine and electrification initially replaced manual power with machines, only later to evolve into sophisticated systems of mass industrialization, production and consumption, there is likely to be significant lag between the widespread adoption of new technologies and the creation of appropriate regulatory and organizational models needed to balance the benefits and risks. As with any new technological infrastructure, the current benefits are far from being evenly distributed. The so-called “digital divide” that deprives billions of affordable access to the Networked Society, together with the misuse of data and monopoly control, are all examples of current inequalities that threaten us as participants and creators of a new era for society. But the risks of inaction, or of simply perpetuating the unsustainable models of the past in the face of climate-related issues and massive imbalances in resources and consumption, leave us little option but to create new policies and practices that address our common challenges with the help of ICT. In such times of rapid change, thoughtful discussion and forward-thinking visions are more necessary than ever. New conflicts, vested interests and conventional thinking all pose obstacles to progress toward a more equitable and innovative application of the immense technological capabilities now at our disposal. Citizens and civic leaders will need to consider when to exercise their power to protect the values of the current order, and when to drive more fundamental change through legal adoptions, economic incentives and institutional reforms. Business leaders will need to weigh when to capitalize on current investments and business models, while at the same time transforming their core capabilities, building new assets and initiating new value networks better positioned for a fast-changing technology landscape. Most importantly, we all need to assume the personal leadership required to understand and engage with these ubiquitous new tools and systems, many of which can be leveraged for radical improvements to quality of life on a global scale. Only by recognizing the fundamental social transformations now taking place, and by involving our communities in defining the way forward, will we be able to steer these unprecedented technological resources toward the greater benefit of people, business and society. UNDERSTANDING THE NETWORKED SOCIETY • CONCLUSION 12 References [1] Global e-Sustainability Initiative, ICT can cut global greenhouse gas emissions by 16.5%, saving up to $1.9T annually, December 2012, available at: http://gesi.org/news?news_id=40 FURTHER READING >> Ericsson, Networked Society Essentials, March 2014, available at: http://www.ericsson.com/industry-transformation/wp-content/uploads/sites/6/2014/04/networked-societyessentials-booklet.pdf >> Ericsson, Industry Transformation in the Networked Society, March 2014, available at: http://www.ericsson.com/industry-transformation/wp-content/uploads/sites/6/2014/04/industrytransformation-in-the-networked-society.pdf >> Ericsson, The Disruption of Industry Logics, March 2014, available at: http://www.ericsson.com/industry-transformation/wp-content/uploads/sites/6/2014/04/the-disruption-ofindustry-logics.pdf >> Ericsson, The Impact of Datafication on Strategic Landscapes, April 2014, available at: http://www.ericsson.com/industry-transformation/wp-content/uploads/sites/6/2014/04/LME0005_ Datafication_IndTrans_Teaser_final.pdf >> Ericsson, Digital Disruptors – models of digital operations, May 2014, available at: http://www.ericsson.com/industry-transformation/wp-content/uploads/sites/6/2014/05/digital-distuptors.pdf © 2015 Ericsson AB – All rights reserved UNDERSTANDING THE NETWORKED SOCIETY • REFERENCES & FURTHER READING 13
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